Criteria for the Certification and Determination of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant's Compliance With Environmental Standards for the Management and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and Transuranic Radioactive Wastes

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Part II

Environmental Protection Agency

_______________________________________________________________________

40 CFR Part 194

Criteria for the Certification and Determination of the Waste Isolation

Pilot Plant's Compliance With Environmental Standards for the

Management and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and

Transuranic Radioactive Wastes; Proposed Rule

Proposed Rules

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 194

[FRL-5142-4]

RIN 2060-AE30

Criteria for the Certification and Determination of the Waste

Isolation Pilot Plant's Compliance With Environmental Standards for the

Management and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and

Transuranic Radioactive Wastes

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing

criteria for certifying and determining whether the Department of

Energy's Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) complies with disposal

standards set forth in 40 CFR part 191 (Environmental Standards for the

Management and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and

Transuranic Radioactive Wastes). EPA is required to promulgate these

criteria under the 1992 Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Land Withdrawal Act

(WIPP LWA). These criteria will be used by the Agency in ascertaining

whether the WIPP disposal system complies with the disposal standards.

DATES: Comments on today's proposal must be received by May 1, 1995.

Public hearings on today's proposal will be held in New Mexico. A

separate annoucement will be published in the Federal Register to

provide public hearing information.

ADDRESSES: Comments should be submitted, in duplicate, to: Docket No.

A-92-56, Air Docket, room M-1500 (LE-131), U.S. Environmental

Protection Agency, 401 M Street SW., Washington, DC 20460. See

additional docket information in the Supplementary Information.

sal will be held in New Mexico. A

separate annoucement will be published in the Federal Register to

provide public hearing information.

ADDRESSES: Comments should be submitted, in duplicate, to: Docket No.

A-92-56, Air Docket, room M-1500 (LE-131), U.S. Environmental

Protection Agency, 401 M Street SW., Washington, DC 20460. See

additional docket information in the Supplementary Information.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mary Kruger or Martin Offutt;

telephone number (202) 233-9310; address: Criteria and Standards

Division, Mail Code 6602J, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M

Street SW., Washington, DC 20460. An addendum to the supplementary

information provided in today's notice is located in Docket No. A-92-

56. For copies of this addendum and the Background Information Document

and Economic Impact Analysis prepared for this proposed rule, contact

Mary Kruger at the above phone number and address.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: As discussed below, the scope of today's

proposal is limited to proposed criteria for certifying and determining

whether the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in New Mexico complies

with the disposal standards set forth in 40 CFR part 191. Accordingly,

comments should be similarly limited in scope; e.g., comments should

not address the Agency's recently promulgated radioactive waste

disposal standards--40 CFR part 191 (58 FR 66398, December 20, 1993)--

or whether WIPP should be used as a disposal facility.

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is developing the Waste

Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) near Carlsbad in southeastern New Mexico

as a potential deep geologic repository for the disposal of defense

transuranic (TRU) radioactive waste currently being stored on Federal

reservations in Washington, Ohio, Idaho, New Mexico, Tennessee, South

Carolina, Nevada and Colorado

ed as a disposal facility.

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is developing the Waste

Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) near Carlsbad in southeastern New Mexico

as a potential deep geologic repository for the disposal of defense

transuranic (TRU) radioactive waste currently being stored on Federal

reservations in Washington, Ohio, Idaho, New Mexico, Tennessee, South

Carolina, Nevada and Colorado. TRU waste consists of materials

containing one or more elements having atomic numbers greater than 92,

in concentrations greater than 100 nanocuries of alpha-emitting TRU

isotopes per gram of waste, with half-lives greater than 20 years. Most

TRU waste consists of items that have become contaminated as a result

of activities associated with the production of nuclear weapons, e.g.,

rags, equipment, tools, and organic and inorganic sludges. TRU waste is

often mixed with hazardous chemical constituents.

Before beginning disposal of radioactive waste at the WIPP, DOE

must demonstrate that the WIPP complies with the Environmental

Protection Agency's (EPA) radioactive waste standards at 40 CFR part

191 (Environmental Standards for the Management and Disposal of Spent

Nuclear Fuel, High-Level and Transuranic Radioactive Wastes).

On October 30, 1992, the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Land

Withdrawal Act (WIPP LWA) was enacted (Pub. L. 102-579). The WIPP LWA

contains numerous provisions pertaining to EPA's role in overseeing

DOE's activities at the WIPP, including requirements for the

development and implementation of the 40 CFR part 191 disposal

standards as they are applied to the WIPP. Specifically, section 8(a)

of the WIPP LWA reinstated all of the remanded disposal standards

except those aspects of the individual and ground-water protection

requirements which the court found problematic in NRDC v. U.S. EPA. The

WIPP LWA requires EPA to certify and determine whether or not the WIPP

will comply with the Agency's final radioactive waste disposal

standards

plied to the WIPP. Specifically, section 8(a)

of the WIPP LWA reinstated all of the remanded disposal standards

except those aspects of the individual and ground-water protection

requirements which the court found problematic in NRDC v. U.S. EPA. The

WIPP LWA requires EPA to certify and determine whether or not the WIPP

will comply with the Agency's final radioactive waste disposal

standards. ``Certification'' refers to any initial certification of

compliance of DOE's application for the WIPP with subparts B and C of

40 CFR part 191 (see section 8(d) of the WIPP LWA). ``Determination''

refers to any subsequent decisions by the Agency (required every 5

years by the WIPP LWA) of whether the WIPP continues to be in

compliance with subparts B and C of 40 CFR part 191 (see section 8(f)

of the WIPP LWA). In order to certify or determine compliance, the

Agency will be issuing criteria for assessing compliance with the final

disposal standards, as required by section 8(c) of the WIPP LWA. On

February 11, 1993, as a first step in the development of compliance

criteria, EPA issued an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR)

soliciting comments on issues associated with the development of

compliance criteria. (58 FR 8029.) The next step in the evolution of

these criteria is occurring today with the issuance of proposed

compliance criteria.

Objective and Implementation of Today's Proposed Criteria

as a first step in the development of compliance

criteria, EPA issued an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR)

soliciting comments on issues associated with the development of

compliance criteria. (58 FR 8029.) The next step in the evolution of

these criteria is occurring today with the issuance of proposed

compliance criteria.

Objective and Implementation of Today's Proposed Criteria

Under authority of the WIPP LWA, the Agency is proposing criteria

for certifying and determining whether the Department of Energy's (DOE)

Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) will comply with the Agency's

radioactive waste disposal standards set forth in 40 CFR part 191. The

WIPP LWA specifies that underground emplacement of transuranic wastes

for disposal at the WIPP may not commence unless and until EPA

certifies that the WIPP facility will comply with 40 CFR part 191,

subparts B and C. If the Agency certifies compliance, the WIPP LWA

requires EPA to subsequently conduct periodic determinations of

continued compliance throughout waste disposal operations at the WIPP.

Criteria contained in today's notice address any initial certification

of compliance as well as any subsequent determinations of continued

compliance. When final compliance criteria are promulgated as Agency

regulations, EPA will be responsible for assuring that the requirements

are properly implemented.

Importantly, today's proposal is limited to consideration of the

WIPP's compliance with the disposal regulations found in subparts B and

C of 40 CFR part 191 (which include containment requirements, assurance

requirements, individual protection requirements, and ground-water

protection requirements). These compliance criteria do not address

compliance with the management and storage regulations found in subpart

A of 40 CFR part 191. The Agency plans to issue guidance

addressing implementation of subpart A at a later date

and

C of 40 CFR part 191 (which include containment requirements, assurance

requirements, individual protection requirements, and ground-water

protection requirements). These compliance criteria do not address

compliance with the management and storage regulations found in subpart

A of 40 CFR part 191. The Agency plans to issue guidance

addressing implementation of subpart A at a later date.

The Agency also wishes to make clear that today's proposal does not

address compliance with all of the requirements of the WIPP LWA.

Rather, today's proposal is limited to those requirements of the WIPP

LWA which pertain to the WIPP's compliance with the disposal standards

in 40 CFR part 191. For example, today's proposal does not address the

WIPP's compliance with EPA regulations developed pursuant to the

Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) or any other

environmental laws or regulations. EPA intends to address compliance

with the balance of these additional laws and regulations through

compliance plans being developed by EPA's Region VI. For more

information regarding the Region's activities, please write to EPA

Region VI, 1445 Ross Avenue, Dallas, Texas 75202-2733; Attn: Chuck

Byrum.

EPA has prepared a document entitled ``Implementation Strategy for

the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Land Withdrawal Act of 1992'' (EPA 402-

R-93-002, March 1993) which explains in more detail the Agency's roles

and responsibilities under the WIPP LWA. For more information

concerning the Implementation Strategy Document, please write to the

Policy and Public Information Section, Office of Radiation and Indoor

Air, U.S. EPA, Mail Code 6602J, 401 M St., S.W., Washington, D.C. 20460

or call the EPA WIPP Information Line at 1-800-331-WIPP.

Additional Docket Information

in more detail the Agency's roles

and responsibilities under the WIPP LWA. For more information

concerning the Implementation Strategy Document, please write to the

Policy and Public Information Section, Office of Radiation and Indoor

Air, U.S. EPA, Mail Code 6602J, 401 M St., S.W., Washington, D.C. 20460

or call the EPA WIPP Information Line at 1-800-331-WIPP.

Additional Docket Information

The Agency is currently maintaining the following public

information dockets: (1) Docket No. A-92-56, located in room 1500

(first floor in Waterside Mall near the Washington Information Center),

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street, S.W., Washington,

D.C. 20460 (open from 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. on weekdays); (2) EPA's

docket in the Government Publications Department of the Zimmerman

Library of the University of New Mexico located in Albuquerque, New

Mexico (open from 8:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. on Monday through Thursday,

8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. on Friday, 9:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. on Saturday,

and 1:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. on Sunday); (3) EPA's docket in the Fogelson

Library of the College of Santa Fe in Santa Fe, New Mexico located at

1600 St. Michaels Drive (open from 8:00 a.m. to 12:00 midnight on

Monday through Thursday, 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. on Friday, 9:00 a.m. to

5:00 p.m. on Saturday, 1:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. on Sunday); and (4) EPA's

docket in the Municipal Library of Carlsbad, New Mexico located at 101

S. Halegueno (open from 10:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. on Monday through

Thursday, 10:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. on Friday and Saturday, and 1:00 p.m.

to 5:00 p.m. on Sunday). As provided in 40 CFR part 2, a reasonable fee

may be charged for photocopying docket materials.

Description of Proposed Criteria

The proposed criteria consist of four subparts. Each of these

subparts is discussed in more detail below.

Subpart A--General Provisions

o 9:00 p.m. on Monday through

Thursday, 10:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. on Friday and Saturday, and 1:00 p.m.

to 5:00 p.m. on Sunday). As provided in 40 CFR part 2, a reasonable fee

may be charged for photocopying docket materials.

Description of Proposed Criteria

The proposed criteria consist of four subparts. Each of these

subparts is discussed in more detail below.

Subpart A--General Provisions

Subpart A is chiefly concerned with identifying the purpose, scope

and applicability of the criteria, defining terms, setting forth

requirements regarding communications, addressing conditions of

compliance certification and determinations, incorporating publications

by reference, and providing for alternative provisions if future

information indicates a need to modify the criteria. The specific

provisions of Subpart A are discussed below.

Purpose, Scope, and Applicability

Under Section 7(b) of the WIPP LWA, the DOE cannot dispose of

transuranic waste at the WIPP until the EPA certifies that the WIPP is

in compliance with the Agency's radioactive waste disposal standards

set forth in 40 CFR part 191. In addition, under Section 8(f) of the

WIPP LWA, not later than five years after initial receipt of waste for

disposal at the WIPP, and every five years thereafter until the end of

the decommissioning phase (as defined in section 2 of the WIPP LWA),

DOE is required to submit to the Administrator documentation of

continued compliance with the Agency's disposal standards. EPA is

proposing to specify that these criteria will apply to any

certification of compliance or determination of continued compliance

under these sections of the WIPP LWA

rs thereafter until the end of

the decommissioning phase (as defined in section 2 of the WIPP LWA),

DOE is required to submit to the Administrator documentation of

continued compliance with the Agency's disposal standards. EPA is

proposing to specify that these criteria will apply to any

certification of compliance or determination of continued compliance

under these sections of the WIPP LWA. The Administrator will review any

compliance applications (hereinafter, the term ``compliance

applications'' refers to applications for certification of compliance

under section 8(d) of the WIPP LWA as well as applications for

determinations of continued compliance under section 8(f) of the WIPP

LWA) and will utilize these criteria to ascertain whether such

applications demonstrate compliance with subparts B and C of 40 CFR

part 191. The Administrator's certification or determination of

compliance for the WIPP facility will depend on satisfying the specific

requirements of each section of these criteria.

Definitions

In an effort to be consistent with the disposal standards set forth

in 40 CFR part 191, the Agency is proposing that, unless otherwise

indicated, all terms in the criteria have the same meaning as terms

found in the disposal regulations.

Communications

The Agency is proposing to specify that any compliance applications

shall be addressed to the Administrator and shall be signed by the

Secretary. Any other communications concerning compliance applications

for the WIPP shall, likewise, be addressed to the Administrator and

shall be signed by the Secretary or the Secretary's authorized

representative.

Conditions of Compliance Certification and Determination

roposing to specify that any compliance applications

shall be addressed to the Administrator and shall be signed by the

Secretary. Any other communications concerning compliance applications

for the WIPP shall, likewise, be addressed to the Administrator and

shall be signed by the Secretary or the Secretary's authorized

representative.

Conditions of Compliance Certification and Determination

EPA is proposing that any certification or determination issued by

the Agency pursuant to the WIPP LWA may include any conditions that the

Administrator finds necessary to support a compliance certification or

determination. In addition, EPA is proposing that any certification or

determination of compliance be potentially subject to modification,

suspension, or revocation for cause. The Agency believes that such

conditions are necessary in order to guard against the possibility that

the disposal system does not perform as expected (i.e., according to

predictions contained in compliance applications).

Any certification or determination of the WIPP's compliance will be

based upon the information contained in any compliance application

submitted to the Administrator and upon other available information

relevant to the application. So long as the contents of the application

remain valid, the current certification or determination will remain

valid. However, if the information contained in the application becomes

invalid due to unanticipated developments, then the basis for the

certification or determination may no longer be valid, and

modification, suspension, or revocation of the certification or

determination may be in order. Any modification, suspension, or

revocation of a compliance certification will be subject to Agency

rulemaking

owever, if the information contained in the application becomes

invalid due to unanticipated developments, then the basis for the

certification or determination may no longer be valid, and

modification, suspension, or revocation of the certification or

determination may be in order. Any modification, suspension, or

revocation of a compliance certification will be subject to Agency

rulemaking.

EPA is proposing to include these conditions because the Agency

believes it is important to have a mechanism which enables a

certification or determination to be modified, suspended, or revoked if

new information comes to light which suggests that the WIPP is no

longer performing or may no longer perform as predicted.

It would not be prudent to wait until submission of documentation of

continued compliance (potentially up to five years later) before taking

steps to mitigate against potential malfunctioning of the disposal

system. Delay would allow a situation which could result in a violation

continuing to exist or, perhaps, worsen. Hence, EPA is proposing these

conditions in order to be able to take action quickly to address

serious issues raised as to whether the WIPP is in compliance with the

disposal regulations.

The Agency is not specifying, in today's proposal, the particular

actions which may be required to be undertaken if modification or

suspension were invoked. EPA has not done so because the Agency

believes that it is inappropriate to specify particular actions prior

to knowing the precise circumstances in which the actions would be

undertaken. Since all of the scenarios in which the conditions might be

invoked would be difficult to predict, specification of the actions

necessary to mitigate against the consequences of all such scenarios

becomes even more difficult. EPA, therefore, is proposing that

decisions about the appropriate actions shall be based upon the nature

and gravity of the given scenario at the time it occurs

ertaken. Since all of the scenarios in which the conditions might be

invoked would be difficult to predict, specification of the actions

necessary to mitigate against the consequences of all such scenarios

becomes even more difficult. EPA, therefore, is proposing that

decisions about the appropriate actions shall be based upon the nature

and gravity of the given scenario at the time it occurs. In some cases

this might entail instituting remedial actions or even removal of

waste, while in other cases it might simply involve temporarily halting

waste emplacement. Thus, actions will be evaluated on a case by case

basis. The Agency solicits comment on this approach.

While the Agency is not specifying the particular actions which may

be required in the event of a modification or suspension, the Agency is

proposing that, in the event of a revocation (where presumably all

attempts at remedial action have failed), the Department shall

retrieve, to the extent practicable, any waste emplaced in the disposal

system. The Agency solicits comment on this proposal.

The Agency is proposing that upon written request of the

Administrator (after any certification or determination of compliance

has been issued), the Department shall submit information to enable the

Administrator to determine whether cause exists to modify, revoke, or

suspend any certification or determination. Moreover, the EPA is

proposing that the Department shall provide the requested information

to the Administrator within 30 days of receipt of the Administrator's

request. By requiring such a quick response time, the Agency can be

assured that if circumstances arise which warrant suspension,

modification, or revocation, the potential consequences of such

circumstances can be mitigated early and safety can, therefore, be

increased

he Department shall provide the requested information

to the Administrator within 30 days of receipt of the Administrator's

request. By requiring such a quick response time, the Agency can be

assured that if circumstances arise which warrant suspension,

modification, or revocation, the potential consequences of such

circumstances can be mitigated early and safety can, therefore, be

increased. As an additional measure to ensure that the Administrator is

kept apprised of any developments at the WIPP which might warrant

modification, suspension, or revocation of any certification or

determination of compliance, the Agency is proposing that the

Department report, within ten days of discovery, any significant

changes in conditions pertaining to the disposal system that depart

from the application and which formed the basis of any certification or

determination. Moreover, the Agency is requiring that a written report

of all changes in conditions and/or activities pertaining to the

disposal system that depart from the application and which formed the

basis of any certification or determination be submitted to the Agency

at least once every six months. If the Department plans to

intentionally make any significant changes in conditions or activities

pertaining to the disposal system, all such changes must be approved by

the Administrator prior to being made. The Administrator will consider

whether the planned change will invalidate the terms of the

certification or determination in assessing whether approval should be

given.

EPA is proposing to require the reporting of changes in WIPP

conditions or activities once every six months to assure that the

Agency is kept apprised of such changes but in a manner which is not

overly burdensome to the Department in submitting the information or to

the Agency in reviewing it

ate the terms of the

certification or determination in assessing whether approval should be

given.

EPA is proposing to require the reporting of changes in WIPP

conditions or activities once every six months to assure that the

Agency is kept apprised of such changes but in a manner which is not

overly burdensome to the Department in submitting the information or to

the Agency in reviewing it.

EPA is also proposing to require that if the Department determines

that a release of waste from the disposal system in excess of what is

permitted under the disposal regulations has occurred or is likely to

occur, the Department shall immediately suspend emplacement of waste in

the disposal system and notify the Administrator within 24 hours of

discovery of such a release. Following such notification, the

Administrator may request additional information and will determine

whether to modify, suspend, or revoke any previously issued

certification or determination of compliance. The EPA is proposing this

requirement to ensure that the Administrator is quickly apprised of any

changes in the disposal system's performance from the projections

included in any compliance applications.

Publications Incorporated by Reference

EPA is proposing that the following four documents be incorporated

by reference: (1) The Nuclear Regulatory Commission's NUREG 1297 ``Peer

Review for High-Level Nuclear Waste Repositories''; (2) The American

Society of Mechanical Engineers' (ASME) NQA-1-1989 edition ``Quality

Assurance Program Requirements for Nuclear Facilities''; (3) ASME NQA-

2a-1990 addenda (part 2.7) to ASME NQA-2-1989 edition ``Quality

Assurance Requirements of Computer Software for Nuclear Facility

Applications''; and (4) ASME NQA-3-1989 edition ``Quality Assurance

Program Requirements for the Collection of Scientific and Technical

Information for Site Characterization of High-Level Nuclear Waste

Repositories.'' The Agency is proposing to incorporate all of these

documents because EPA believes that each is app

n ``Quality

Assurance Requirements of Computer Software for Nuclear Facility

Applications''; and (4) ASME NQA-3-1989 edition ``Quality Assurance

Program Requirements for the Collection of Scientific and Technical

Information for Site Characterization of High-Level Nuclear Waste

Repositories.'' The Agency is proposing to incorporate all of these

documents because EPA believes that each is appropriate for use at the

WIPP. More detailed information about the contents of each document is

provided below in the sections dedicated to the particular topic

covered by the various documents. Documents incorporated by reference

are also available for inspection in the Office of the Federal

Register.

Alternative Provisions

Although the Agency believes that the criteria being proposed today

are appropriate based upon current knowledge and information, the

possibility that future information may indicate necessary

modifications to the criteria can not be ruled out.

In recognition of this possibility, today's proposed criteria set

forth procedures under which the Administrator may develop

modifications to this part, should the need arise. Any such

modifications would proceed through the notice-and-comment rulemaking

process under the Administrative Procedure Act (5 U.S.C. 553). The

proposed criteria stipulate that such a rulemaking would require a

public comment period of at least 120 days, including public hearings

in New Mexico.

Subpart B--Compliance Certification and Determination Applications

Subpart B of the proposed compliance criteria addresses: (1) The

completeness and accuracy of compliance applications; (2) the filing

and distribution requirements for such applications and any associated

reference materials; (3) the contents of a complete application; and

120 days, including public hearings

in New Mexico.

Subpart B--Compliance Certification and Determination Applications

Subpart B of the proposed compliance criteria addresses: (1) The

completeness and accuracy of compliance applications; (2) the filing

and distribution requirements for such applications and any associated

reference materials; (3) the contents of a complete application; and

(4) the criteria for updating certification applications.

Each of these sections is discussed below.

Completeness and Accuracy of Compliance Applications

The Agency proposes to require that any applications submitted to

the Administrator for a certification or determination of compliance be

complete and accurate. Since the statutory review period for

applications is only one year for certification and six months for

determinations, it is essential that all of that time be devoted to

substantive evaluation of the information contained in the

applications. Therefore, the Agency is proposing that the statutory

review periods not begin until the Administrator has determined that

the application is complete, accurate, and in accordance with the

compliance criteria. The Administrator will notify the Secretary in

writing once this determination is made.

Submission of Compliance Applications

In order to meet EPA's needs for reviewing and docketing any

compliance applications, the Agency proposes to require that 30 paper

copies of applications be filed with the Administrator (one original

and 29 printed copies), unless otherwise specified by the

Administrator. This number of copies is necessary because the Agency

plans to place copies of compliance applications in various public

dockets and the complexity of the application material will require

multiple reviewers

the Agency proposes to require that 30 paper

copies of applications be filed with the Administrator (one original

and 29 printed copies), unless otherwise specified by the

Administrator. This number of copies is necessary because the Agency

plans to place copies of compliance applications in various public

dockets and the complexity of the application material will require

multiple reviewers. The phrase ``unless otherwise specified by the

Administrator'' is meant to allow for the possibility of alternative

requirements for submission of compliance applications in the event

that new submission methods are developed; e.g., electronic submission

requirements.

Submission of Reference Materials

The Agency recognizes that compliance applications will likely

include references to other sources of information. Accordingly,

today's proposal requires submission to the Administrator of ten paper

copies of any referenced material unless otherwise specified by the

Administrator. This is necessary due to the limited time period for

review and due to the needs of multiple reviewers, including the

public. Again, the phrase ``unless otherwise specified by the

Administrator'' signals that the Administrator may require an

alternative method for submission of reference materials if a more

appropriate system (e.g., an electronic submission system) is

developed. Regardless of what system is ultimately used, submissions

need not include referenced material from standard textbooks (e.g.,

physics or chemical handbooks).

Content of Compliance Certification Applications

' signals that the Administrator may require an

alternative method for submission of reference materials if a more

appropriate system (e.g., an electronic submission system) is

developed. Regardless of what system is ultimately used, submissions

need not include referenced material from standard textbooks (e.g.,

physics or chemical handbooks).

Content of Compliance Certification Applications

The Agency is proposing to specify information which must be

included in any compliance certification application. The proposed

criteria require descriptions of the WIPP disposal system and

surrounding environment, and the components and results of long-term

compliance assessments. The items listed, however, are not intended to

be an exhaustive identification of the necessary elements of a complete

application. Rather, the proposed criteria identify what the Agency

considers to be major elements of a complete compliance application.

Note that other major submission requirements are discussed elsewhere

in the criteria and are too numerous to list here (such as

documentation requirements for use of expert judgment and for waste

characterization).

In the future, the Agency will be issuing a detailed guide as a

supplement to the 40 CFR part 194 compliance criteria. This guide will

provide additional detailed information on the expected format and

content of a complete compliance application. The Agency is not

including such a detailed itemization in today's proposal because EPA

needs more information about factors important to the disposal system's

ability to contain waste before such detailed submission requirements

can be identified.

As an example of the type of information which may be necessary for

inclusion in a complete application, but which EPA is not specifying in

today's proposal due to the fact that there is currently an incomplete

understanding of its effect on the disposal system, is an analysis and

identification of higher permeability marker beds in the host rock

ed submission requirements

can be identified.

As an example of the type of information which may be necessary for

inclusion in a complete application, but which EPA is not specifying in

today's proposal due to the fact that there is currently an incomplete

understanding of its effect on the disposal system, is an analysis and

identification of higher permeability marker beds in the host rock.

(Marker beds are stratified units with distinctive characteristics

making them an easily recognized geologic horizon.) At present, there

is some information about the existence of these marker beds in the

host rock, but little knowledge about how they may affect the transport

of radionuclides and the flow of ground water. As further study is done

of these marker beds, it is possible that they may be discovered to

have a great impact on the WIPP's ability to comply with the disposal

standards of 40 CFR part 191. It is also possible that they will be

discovered to have little or no impact. Depending on the results of

further study, then, EPA will decide whether information about the

higher permeability beds needs to be included in compliance

applications and if so, how much information. EPA solicits comment on

this approach.

Content of Compliance Determination Application(s)

As required by section 8(f) of the WIPP Land Withdrawal Act, DOE

must submit documentation of continued compliance every five years

after any initial certification is granted for the WIPP until the end

of the decommissioning phase, when all shafts and rooms at the WIPP are

backfilled and sealed. To avoid duplication of information already

submitted to the Administrator as part of any previous compliance

applications, EPA proposes to require that only relevant new

information be submitted as documentation of continued compliance. This

documentation must update the information contained in previous

applications and apprise the Agency of new developments regarding the

WIPP disposal system and its performance

information already

submitted to the Administrator as part of any previous compliance

applications, EPA proposes to require that only relevant new

information be submitted as documentation of continued compliance. This

documentation must update the information contained in previous

applications and apprise the Agency of new developments regarding the

WIPP disposal system and its performance. Information included in

previous applications may be summarized and referenced.

Subpart C--Compliance Certification and Determination

Subpart C sets forth general and specific requirements for

certifying and determining compliance with the provisions of the

disposal regulations found in subparts B and C of 40 CFR part 191. The

provisions of Subpart C are discussed in detail below.

General Requirements

Inspections

Today's proposal provides for EPA inspections to help ensure that

WIPP-related activities and pertinent records described in any

compliance applications are implemented as described. Inspections,

including, random, unannounced inspections of WIPP-related activities

and records, will assist EPA in assuring the validity of information

used to support compliance applications. In conducting such

inspections, EPA will comply with applicable access control measures

for security, radiological protection and personal safety, but shall

otherwise have unfettered access to WIPP-related activities and

records.

To facilitate EPA's ability to inspect as warranted, EPA is

proposing that, upon request, the Department provide the

Administrator's inspectors with rent-free office space convenient to

the WIPP disposal system. Additionally, records shall be made

immediately available to Agency inspectors where

possible, and in no circumstances shall the furnishing of records be

extended beyond 30 days from the initial request.

As an additional matter, the Agency believes that on occasion, EPA

personnel may need to conduct sampling and analysis or monitoring of

the disposal system

ient to

the WIPP disposal system. Additionally, records shall be made

immediately available to Agency inspectors where

possible, and in no circumstances shall the furnishing of records be

extended beyond 30 days from the initial request.

As an additional matter, the Agency believes that on occasion, EPA

personnel may need to conduct sampling and analysis or monitoring of

the disposal system. Such sampling may include split sampling, in which

portions of samples taken by the DOE shall be furnished to EPA for

analysis. Through split sampling, EPA can independently verify the

results of DOE analyses. Moreover, by taking such samples, EPA will be

better equipped to evaluate the quality of data being produced, as well

as gain a better understanding of the disposal system.

EPA proposes that its inspection privileges be broad enough to

allow the Agency to inspect activities that may provide information

used to support compliance application(s) and are deemed by the

Administrator or the Administrator's authorized representative to be

relevant to a compliance certification or determination. This may

include, but is not necessarily limited to, examination of quality

assurance procedures, waste characterization activities, experimental

programs, computer operations, and data collection activities, insofar

as all of these items may affect the WIPP's ability to comply with the

40 CFR part 191 disposal regulations. Significantly, under today's

proposal, EPA inspections would be limited to locations to which the

Department has rights of access but would not be limited to activities

which occur at the WIPP facility. As discussed above, if an activity

can potentially affect the WIPP's ability to comply with the Agency's

disposal regulations, it shall be subject to potential inspection by

EPA personnel. For instance, EPA may inspect WIPP-destined waste

generation and storage sites because waste characterization activities

often occur at these sites.

Quality Assurance

ies

which occur at the WIPP facility. As discussed above, if an activity

can potentially affect the WIPP's ability to comply with the Agency's

disposal regulations, it shall be subject to potential inspection by

EPA personnel. For instance, EPA may inspect WIPP-destined waste

generation and storage sites because waste characterization activities

often occur at these sites.

Quality Assurance

To help assure that calculations of compliance with 40 CFR part

191, subparts B and C, are based upon sound data and information, the

Agency proposes to include compliance criteria addressing quality

assurance (QA). EPA is proposing that the Department implement a QA

program that meets the requirements of the American Society of

Mechanical Engineer's (ASME) ``Quality Assurance Program Requirements

for Nuclear Facilities'' (NQA-1-1989 Edition), ASME's ``Quality

Assurance Requirements of Computer Software for Nuclear Facility

Applications'' (NQA-2a-1990 addenda, part 2.7 to ASME NQA-2-1989

edition), and ASME's ``Quality Assurance Program Requirements for the

Collection of Scientific and Technical Information on Site

Characterization of High-Level Nuclear Waste Repositories'' (NQA-3-1989

edition--excluding Section 2.1 (b) and (c)). EPA is proposing to use

the ASME standards referenced above because it appears they offer the

most comprehensive and specific set of QA requirements for all

compliance-related elements of the disposal system. EPA solicits

comment on whether these standards are the most appropriate to use for

this purpose.

With respect to data collected prior to the implementation of the

ASME standards, EPA is proposing that such data be acceptable for the

purpose of supporting any applications for compliance certification if

it can be demonstrated to have been collected: (1) Under a QA program

that is equivalent in scope and implementation to the NQA series, or

e the most appropriate to use for

this purpose.

With respect to data collected prior to the implementation of the

ASME standards, EPA is proposing that such data be acceptable for the

purpose of supporting any applications for compliance certification if

it can be demonstrated to have been collected: (1) Under a QA program

that is equivalent in scope and implementation to the NQA series, or

(2) through a method otherwise approved by the Administrator for use at

the WIPP. Today's proposal does not include any specific criteria

identifying how such equivalence should be demonstrated, nor is there

any specification about what the Agency will consider in approving QA

plans. The Agency intends to issue guidance on this topic in the

future.

The Agency is proposing to allow a flexible approach on quality

assurance for data collected prior to implementation of the ASME NQA

series because the Agency recognizes that unless a method exists for

qualifying such ``old data,'' the efforts in collecting such ``old

data'' will be wasted. It is likely that a large portion of the data

submitted in support of an application for certification of compliance

will be ``old data.'' To prohibit the inclusion of such data if the

data can be demonstrated to be of equivalent quality to ``new data,''

or is sufficiently reliable for approval by the Administrator, would be

unreasonable because data that are sufficiently reliable should be

included in the analysis. The Agency solicits comment on this approach

an application for certification of compliance

will be ``old data.'' To prohibit the inclusion of such data if the

data can be demonstrated to be of equivalent quality to ``new data,''

or is sufficiently reliable for approval by the Administrator, would be

unreasonable because data that are sufficiently reliable should be

included in the analysis. The Agency solicits comment on this approach.

The ASME NQA-1-1989 edition sets forth requirements for the

``establishment and execution of quality assurance programs for the

siting, design, construction, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear

facilities.''

The NQA-2(a)-1990 addenda (part 2.7) to ASME NQA-2-1989 edition

standard is directed toward establishing requirements for ``the

development, procurement, maintenance, and use of computer software, as

applied to the design, construction, operation, modification, repair,

and maintenance of nuclear facilities.'' More specifically, it applies

to computer software ``used to produce or manipulate data which is used

directly in the design, analysis, and operation of structures, systems,

and components.''

The NQA-3-1989 edition standard sets forth quality assurance

requirements for ``the collection of scientific and technical

information for site characterization of high-level nuclear waste

repositories.'' The requirements apply to ``activities which could

affect the quality of scientific and technical information collected as

part of the site characterization phase of high-level nuclear waste

repositories * * * [which include] as a minimum: (a) Readiness reviews;

for ``the collection of scientific and technical

information for site characterization of high-level nuclear waste

repositories.'' The requirements apply to ``activities which could

affect the quality of scientific and technical information collected as

part of the site characterization phase of high-level nuclear waste

repositories * * * [which include] as a minimum: (a) Readiness reviews;

(b) peer reviews; (c) data and sample management; (d) data collection

and analysis; (e) coring; (f) sampling; (g) in situ testing; and (h)

scientific investigations.''

EPA is proposing criteria which require submission of information

which demonstrates that QA programs have been established and executed

for aspects of the WIPP disposal system important to the containment of

waste in the disposal system. QA programs must address elements such as

models used to support applications for certification of compliance,

waste characterization, monitoring, field measurements, design of the

disposal system (and actions taken to ensure compliance with design

specification), use of expert judgment, and other factors important to

the containment of radionuclides in the disposal system. EPA solicits

comment on the appropriateness of the items listed above and on any

other items which should be specifically included in such a list. The

Agency also is proposing that applications for certification of

compliance address how quality indicators such as data accuracy,

precision, representativeness, completeness, comparability, and

reproducibility have been or will be achieved in the collection of

compliance data and information.

As a final matter, the Agency is proposing to conduct its own

examination of DOE QA programs and plans through select inspections,

management system reviews, and audits. This is to help assure that QA

plans are implemented appropriately.

Models and Computer Codes

pleteness, comparability, and

reproducibility have been or will be achieved in the collection of

compliance data and information.

As a final matter, the Agency is proposing to conduct its own

examination of DOE QA programs and plans through select inspections,

management system reviews, and audits. This is to help assure that QA

plans are implemented appropriately.

Models and Computer Codes

Computer models are needed to assess whether the WIPP disposal

system will comply with the 40 CFR part 191 disposal regulations. In

order for these computer models to perform their

functions with acceptable accuracy, they must be based

upon appropriate conceptual, mathematical, and numerical models.

In order to ensure that the conceptual, mathematical, numerical,

and computer models used to support compliance applications are

appropriate for use in certifying whether the WIPP complies with the

disposal regulations, EPA proposes to require that detailed information

about these models be submitted to the Agency as part of any compliance

certification applications. EPA proposes to assess the appropriateness

of the models and any computer codes used to represent them based on

the following factors: Whether conceptual models reasonably represent

the disposal system; whether mathematical models incorporate equations

and boundary conditions which reasonably represent mathematical

formulations of the conceptual models; whether numerical models provide

numerical schemes which enable mathematical models to obtain stable

solutions; whether computer models accurately implement the numerical

models (i.e., are free of coding errors and produce stable and accurate

solutions); and whether the models, data, and computer codes have been

properly peer reviewed. EPA solicits comment on these factors and

whether other factors should be included

rovide

numerical schemes which enable mathematical models to obtain stable

solutions; whether computer models accurately implement the numerical

models (i.e., are free of coding errors and produce stable and accurate

solutions); and whether the models, data, and computer codes have been

properly peer reviewed. EPA solicits comment on these factors and

whether other factors should be included. For instance, should EPA

require information which demonstrates that there is agreement between

the model results and any measured and observed data? Or, if it can be

demonstrated that models and computer codes are sufficiently

conservative, is such demonstration unnecessary?

In addition, EPA is proposing to require that the American Society

of Mechanical Engineer's NQA-2a-1990 addenda (part 2.7 to ASME NQA-2-

1989 edition) be used to help ensure that models and codes are fully

and clearly documented.

In order to determine whether the conceptual models used to support

a compliance certification application offer the best representation of

the disposal system, EPA is proposing to require a complete listing and

description of conceptual models considered but not used to support

such application. In addition, EPA is proposing to require a complete

listing of conceptual model(s) considered but not used to support

compliance certification applications, a description of such model(s),

and an explanation of the reason(s) why such model(s) was/were not

used. An examination of conceptual models requires an assessment as to

whether the theories represented in conceptual models are appropriate

and whether other theories may be more or equally appropriate. For this

reason, EPA is proposing that the DOE identify and describe all

conceptual models that the Department considered and provide

justification why some were selected and others were not

used. An examination of conceptual models requires an assessment as to

whether the theories represented in conceptual models are appropriate

and whether other theories may be more or equally appropriate. For this

reason, EPA is proposing that the DOE identify and describe all

conceptual models that the Department considered and provide

justification why some were selected and others were not. The Agency

solicits comments on this approach and on whether any particular

theories should be represented in conceptual models used to support

compliance certification applications.

EPA is proposing to require that documentation include such items

as: Descriptions of the theoretical backgrounds of each model, the

method of analysis and assessment, scenario construction, data

collection procedures, and code structures and source codes. In

addition, the Agency is proposing that user's manuals be submitted that

include the following information: discussions of the limits of

applicability of each model; detailed instructions for running the

codes including hardware and software requirements; input and output

formats with detailed explanations of each input and output variable

and parameter; listings of input and output files with a sample

computer run; reports on code verification, benchmarking, validation

and quality assurance procedures. The Agency is also proposing to

require the submission of programmer's manuals and any necessary

licenses. Programmer's manuals typically include such things as the

mathematical formulations included in the model, computational

algorithms and modeling structures.

In addition, because the WIPP disposal system is very complex, it

is likely that some of its characteristics correlate to one another. If

this correlation is not reflected in modeling efforts, then the models

may fail to portray the realities of the system and significant errors

in performance assessment results can occur

cluded in the model, computational

algorithms and modeling structures.

In addition, because the WIPP disposal system is very complex, it

is likely that some of its characteristics correlate to one another. If

this correlation is not reflected in modeling efforts, then the models

may fail to portray the realities of the system and significant errors

in performance assessment results can occur. Covariance, a measurement

of the tendency of random variables to vary together, is used to

evaluate this possibility. Therefore, EPA is proposing that information

be provided which indicates whether and how models and codes handle

covariance of model input parameters. If models do not consider

covariance, EPA would expect to be provided with an explanation of why

covariance was not considered and the potential impact of instead

treating variables independently. EPA solicits comments on this

approach and on the alternatives of (1) requiring covariance to be

included in models and codes and, (2) requiring covariance to be

included unless justification can be provided that the independent

treatment of variables would cause models to predict greater releases

than if covariance is taken into account.

Finally, EPA proposes that copies of the models and software, data

files, source codes, licenses, or other materials necessary to run the

models on EPA's own computers (or on DOE computers if EPA computers are

unable to run the models) be provided to the Agency within 30 days of a

request by the Administrator or the Administrator's authorized

representative. Additional requirements for models are covered in the

quality assurance and peer review sections of today's proposal.

Waste Characterization

materials necessary to run the

models on EPA's own computers (or on DOE computers if EPA computers are

unable to run the models) be provided to the Agency within 30 days of a

request by the Administrator or the Administrator's authorized

representative. Additional requirements for models are covered in the

quality assurance and peer review sections of today's proposal.

Waste Characterization

In order to make meaningful predictions about the performance of

the WIPP over long periods of time, it is necessary to have a good

understanding of the characteristics of the waste proposed to be

emplaced in the disposal system. The potential for releasing

radionuclides from the disposal system can be directly affected by the

chemical, radiological, and physical composition of the waste. These

factors, therefore, can affect the ability of the WIPP to comply with

the 40 CFR part 191 disposal standards and, consequently, must be

examined as part of any certification or determination of compliance.

Currently, the waste inventory to be potentially disposed of at the

WIPP consists of: (1) A large volume of stored (``existing'') waste

with varying degrees of adequacy of accompanying documentation

regarding its composition and properties; and (2) an estimated larger

volume of ``to-be-generated'' waste about which there is uncertain

knowledge of its expected composition and properties.

For the purpose of gaining a complete understanding of the waste

proposed for disposal at the WIPP, EPA is proposing to require

submittal of a detailed description of the waste's chemical, physical,

and radiological contents including a description of the activity in

curies of each radionuclide contained in such waste. Such description

shall be used in assessing compliance with subparts B and C of 40 CFR

part 191

ning a complete understanding of the waste

proposed for disposal at the WIPP, EPA is proposing to require

submittal of a detailed description of the waste's chemical, physical,

and radiological contents including a description of the activity in

curies of each radionuclide contained in such waste. Such description

shall be used in assessing compliance with subparts B and C of 40 CFR

part 191.

To identify waste characteristics important to the containment of

waste in the disposal system, EPA is proposing that DOE undertake a

study to determine the effect of various characteristics on the

performance of the disposal system. The characteristics studied shall

include, but need not be limited to: (1) waste form; (2) free liquid

content and liquid saturation; (3) pyrophoric and

explosive material content, and (4) characteristics affecting the

solubilization and mobilization of radionuclides, formation of

colloidal suspensions containing radionuclides, production of gas from

the waste, nuclear criticality, and generation of heat in the disposal

system. The impact of non-radioactive hazardous components of the waste

should also be assessed as such components have the capacity to

influence radionuclide transport. The results of this study shall be

provided to EPA along with documentation of the methodology and

information describing the importance of particular characteristics of

the waste. These results shall dictate the breadth of characterization

to be performed.

Once the waste characteristics that are important to the disposal

system's ability to isolate radionuclides have been identified, the

waste shall be categorized based on those characteristics that would be

expected to make all waste within a particular category behave

similarly in the disposal system. For example, if the curie content of

a given radionuclide in the waste is determined to be important to the

disposal system's ability to contain radionuclides, it might be used as

part of a system of categorization

ified, the

waste shall be categorized based on those characteristics that would be

expected to make all waste within a particular category behave

similarly in the disposal system. For example, if the curie content of

a given radionuclide in the waste is determined to be important to the

disposal system's ability to contain radionuclides, it might be used as

part of a system of categorization. Waste having a high curie content

of that nuclide could comprise one category, while waste having a low

curie content of that nuclide could comprise another category.

Similarly, if a given waste form is found to be important, categories

could be made for various waste forms such as sludges and solids. EPA

proposes that a detailed description shall be provided which identifies

the characteristics of each category of waste established.

A variety of methods for characterizing waste exists including

sampling and analysis, radioassay, and examination of waste generation

documentation and associated records (often referred to as ``process

knowledge''). Today's proposal does not specify any particular method

for characterizing the waste. Nevertheless, regardless of which method

or combination of methods is selected for waste characterization

activities, the Agency is proposing to require that each method be

identified and described. Moreover, the uncertainty associated with

each method shall be identified, and if information about the processes

and materials that generated the waste is used as a basis for waste

characterization, the DOE shall be required to substantiate such

characterization.

The manner in which the Agency proposes that waste characterization

shall be accomplished is explained below. The DOE will examine each

important characteristic of the waste and determine a value or range of

values for that characteristic

ses

and materials that generated the waste is used as a basis for waste

characterization, the DOE shall be required to substantiate such

characterization.

The manner in which the Agency proposes that waste characterization

shall be accomplished is explained below. The DOE will examine each

important characteristic of the waste and determine a value or range of

values for that characteristic. Since DOE must demonstrate that the

WIPP complies with the containment, individual, and ground-water

protection requirements of 40 CFR part 191 for the whole range of

values for each waste characteristic, the larger the range, the greater

the uncertainty associated with a claim that WIPP complies. DOE can

reduce the range of values for each characteristic through enhanced

information gathering until the range is small enough such that DOE is

reasonably confident that the resulting probability for compliance will

meet the containment, individual, and ground-water protection

requirements of 40 CFR part 191. Thus, DOE has a great deal of

flexibility in the amount of characterization required. However,

whatever value or range of values DOE selects for each characteristic

must be considered in compliance assessments of the WIPP. In assessing

compliance, DOE shall consider all combinations of waste

characteristics and the resulting impact on the disposal system's

behavior.

EPA is proposing that waste not be emplaced in the repository

unless its characteristics fall within the ranges of values for those

characteristics used in compliance assessments. To assure that only

waste whose characteristics fall within the given range of values is

emplaced, the Agency is proposing that a system of controls be

established, including measurements, sampling, and recordkeeping for

the waste, such that the actual characteristics of waste will be

identified before the waste is emplaced in the WIPP

or those

characteristics used in compliance assessments. To assure that only

waste whose characteristics fall within the given range of values is

emplaced, the Agency is proposing that a system of controls be

established, including measurements, sampling, and recordkeeping for

the waste, such that the actual characteristics of waste will be

identified before the waste is emplaced in the WIPP. Compliance

applications shall provide an identification and description of these

controls along with an analysis of the uncertainty associated with

them.

As a final measure to assure proper waste characterization, the

Agency is proposing that EPA audits and inspections will be used to

verify the waste characterization requirements of this part.

Future State Assumptions

Demonstrating compliance with 40 CFR part 191, subparts B and C,

involves the use of computer models based on conceptual models which

project, over an extended period of time, the transport of

radionuclides from the disposal system to the accessible environment

and resulting radiation doses to individual members of the public.

Because of the long-term nature of these evaluations, uncertainty of

values for many parameters important to the analysis may be very large.

Environmental conditions and living habits of future populations and

individuals may change in significant and unforeseeable ways over the

lengthy timeframes that will be analyzed for compliance.

In light of the difficulty of assigning appropriate values with

confidence, the Agency is proposing to specify certain assumptions

about the future for use in long-term modeling. The Agency is proposing

that, unless otherwise specified, any certification of compliance shall

assume that characteristics of the future remain what they are today.

EPA believes such an approach will enable compliance assessment to

focus on more predictable and more significant features of disposal

system performance

pecify certain assumptions

about the future for use in long-term modeling. The Agency is proposing

that, unless otherwise specified, any certification of compliance shall

assume that characteristics of the future remain what they are today.

EPA believes such an approach will enable compliance assessment to

focus on more predictable and more significant features of disposal

system performance. For instance, EPA is proposing that such an

approach not be used to characterize the long-term geologic,

hydrologic, or climatologic conditions of the system and its vicinity.

With regard to consideration of climatic conditions, the Agency is

proposing to require predictions about climate, but within a specified

framework. Specifically, EPA is proposing to limit the consideration of

climate effects to the effects of increased and decreased precipitation

on the disposal system. This would include predictions of temperature,

which affects evapotranspiration, and other factors.

With respect to human technology and behavior, EPA has tentatively

concluded that it would be fruitless to attempt any predictions about

the future that would be useful over 10,000 years. The one constant in

human history is change--in social organization, economic activity, and

technology. Thus, at first glance it seems highly anomalous to assume

that future states will be like the present. However, as noted, EPA

believes that there is no reasonable way to predict in any definitive

way what changes will take place in the future. In effect, then, EPA is

proposing to employ present conditions as default values for future

states because it has no better choices, and because this approach at

least has the advantage of providing readily ascertainable and

verifiable values.

The Agency solicits comment on its approach to future states

assumptions and the Agency's treatment of geology, hydrology, and

climate considerations. Suggestions of alternatives to the proposed

approach are also solicited.

Expert Judgment

states because it has no better choices, and because this approach at

least has the advantage of providing readily ascertainable and

verifiable values.

The Agency solicits comment on its approach to future states

assumptions and the Agency's treatment of geology, hydrology, and

climate considerations. Suggestions of alternatives to the proposed

approach are also solicited.

Expert Judgment

EPA recognizes that expert judgment may be used to support disposal

system compliance analyses. EPA is proposing that use of

expert judgment be limited to those situations where data is not

reasonably attainable through data collection or experimentation.

To assure that the Agency is aware of all cases in which expert

judgment is used, EPA is proposing that any compliance certification

application clearly identify all instances in which such judgment is

used and the names and professional affiliations of experts involved.

Moreover, documentation shall be included which describes the process

for expert judgment elicitation, the results of expert elicitation, and

the reasoning behind those results. Documentation shall also be

provided of interviews used to elicit judgments from experts,

deliberations and formal interactions among experts, background

information provided to experts, and the questions or issues presented

for elicitation of expert judgment. Access to this information will

help the Agency assess the quality and appropriateness of expert

judgment as well as DOE's interpretation and use of that judgment.

Although EPA has not specified any particular methods for expert

judgment elicitation in today's proposal, the Agency does believe that

some restrictions and guidelines for the selection of individuals for

expert judgment are appropriate

to this information will

help the Agency assess the quality and appropriateness of expert

judgment as well as DOE's interpretation and use of that judgment.

Although EPA has not specified any particular methods for expert

judgment elicitation in today's proposal, the Agency does believe that

some restrictions and guidelines for the selection of individuals for

expert judgment are appropriate. The restrictions which EPA is

proposing today include prohibitions on: selecting individuals who are

members of the team of investigators requesting the judgment or the

team of investigators who will use the judgment; selecting individuals

who maintain a supervisory role or who are supervised by (directly or

indirectly) those who will utilize the judgment; and selecting a

membership of which no more than one-third consists of individuals who

are employed directly by the Department or its contractors (unless it

can be shown that this is impracticable because of a lack or

unavailability of qualified independent experts, in which case at least

one-half of the membership must be non-DOE personnel). University

professors with grants from the Department not related to work on the

WIPP and the New Mexico Environmental Evaluation Group are not

considered employees or contractors of the Department for purposes of

this part. Additionally, compliance applications shall provide

information which demonstrates that the expertise of any individuals

involved in expert judgment is consistent with the level of knowledge

required by the question or issue presented to that individual.

Furthermore, the Agency is requiring that at least five individuals

be used in any expert elicitation process, unless a lack or

unavailability of experts can be demonstrated

ons shall provide

information which demonstrates that the expertise of any individuals

involved in expert judgment is consistent with the level of knowledge

required by the question or issue presented to that individual.

Furthermore, the Agency is requiring that at least five individuals

be used in any expert elicitation process, unless a lack or

unavailability of experts can be demonstrated. Also, any compliance

certification application shall include a discussion explaining the

relationship between the information presented, the questions asked,

the judgment of any expert panel or individual, and the purpose for

which the expert judgment is being used. The Agency is proposing all of

the above requirements to assure that expert judgment is elicited in a

manner that is as objective and informed as possible.

As a final means of helping to assure the appropriateness of expert

judgment, EPA is proposing that the elicitation process afford an

opportunity for presentation to the experts of the scientific and

technical views of outside groups and individuals. This provision is

being proposed in today's notice because the Agency believes it will

help to provide experts involved in elicitations with a fuller range of

information and view points upon which to base their judgments.

The Agency considered several different approaches to the use of

expert elicitation and concluded that though each was appropriate for a

specific type of situation, none were appropriate for all types of

situations. For example, one approach identified would require that the

average of all values elicited by an expert panel be used as the final

judgment. This may be appropriate if the issue presented to an expert

panel lends itself to meaningful averaging of values. For instance, if

an expert panel is asked to determine the rate of rainfall in the

Delaware Basin over 10,000 years, the range of answers that would be

obtained from the various experts would be expressed in numbers that

could be meaningfully averaged

used as the final

judgment. This may be appropriate if the issue presented to an expert

panel lends itself to meaningful averaging of values. For instance, if

an expert panel is asked to determine the rate of rainfall in the

Delaware Basin over 10,000 years, the range of answers that would be

obtained from the various experts would be expressed in numbers that

could be meaningfully averaged. However, if an expert panel is asked to

determine whether the possibility of a meteor hitting the WIPP site is

likely, the answers would be expressed in terms of yes or no, which

cannot be meaningfully averaged. Hence, depending on the situation,

this approach may not be appropriate.

Given the above, EPA believes that it may not be useful to specify

a particular method. However, the Agency solicits comments on

alternative approaches to incorporating the results of expert judgment

elicitations into compliance assessment.

Peer Review

Peer review is widely used as a means of validating technical data,

processes and assumptions. Peer review involves a group of experts who

are convened to review work conducted by their peers to determine

whether the work was performed appropriately and in keeping with the

purpose intended.

Since a large part of compliance applications will consist of data

and descriptions of methods for producing data, EPA believes that peer

review can be helpful as a means of validating the information

contained in such applications. Therefore, the Agency proposes that

peer review be used to support compliance applications. Specifically,

EPA proposes to require peer review of any information contained in any

compliance certification application regarding the evaluation of

engineered barriers, consideration of processes and events that may

affect the disposal system's performance, quality assurance programs

and plans, models and computer codes and including data used to support

them, and waste characterization activities

lly,

EPA proposes to require peer review of any information contained in any

compliance certification application regarding the evaluation of

engineered barriers, consideration of processes and events that may

affect the disposal system's performance, quality assurance programs

and plans, models and computer codes and including data used to support

them, and waste characterization activities. Peer review can build

additional confidence in the soundness of these important aspects of a

compliance certification.

EPA proposes that peer review be conducted in a manner which is

compatible with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's NUREG-1297 ``Peer

Review for High-Level Nuclear Waste Repositories,'' which is

incorporated by reference in today's proposal. This document provides

guidance on the definition of peer review, the acceptability of peers,

and the conduct and documentation of peer review.

Containment Requirements

The Agency's disposal regulations found in 40 CFR part 191 include

requirements for containment of radionuclides. These containment

requirements specify numerical requirements limiting the cumulative

release of radionuclides over 10,000 years. The specific release limits

are found in Appendix A of the disposal regulations. The containment

requirements specify that there be less than one chance in ten of

cumulative releases exceeding the limits specified in Appendix A and

less than one chance in 1,000 of cumulative releases exceeding ten

times those limits.

Application of Release Limits

release of radionuclides over 10,000 years. The specific release limits

are found in Appendix A of the disposal regulations. The containment

requirements specify that there be less than one chance in ten of

cumulative releases exceeding the limits specified in Appendix A and

less than one chance in 1,000 of cumulative releases exceeding ten

times those limits.

Application of Release Limits

The containment requirements of 40 CFR part 191 specify that

releases from a disposal system to the accessible environment can not

exceed release limits set forth in Appendix A, Table 1. Information

about the curie content will be needed for calculation of the release

limits. However, because the curie content of the waste inventory will

vary over time due to natural ingrowth and decay of radionuclides, a

question arises concerning when the curie content of the

waste should be fixed for purposes of calculating the release limits.

The EPA is proposing that the expected curie activity 100 years

after disposal of the waste in the WIPP be used in calculating

applicable release limits. The Agency is proposing this approach

because EPA believes that 100 years represents a long enough period of

time for most of the radioactive material with short half-lives to

decay to low levels. The remaining activity after the 100-year period

will largely be the result of radioactivity from waste with long half-

lives. Such waste may pose the most danger to human health and the

environment and, therefore, should be the focus of attention.

The Agency solicits comment on the appropriateness of the above-

mentioned approach and on alternative time frames for fixing the curie

content.

Scope of Performance Assessments

e 100-year period

will largely be the result of radioactivity from waste with long half-

lives. Such waste may pose the most danger to human health and the

environment and, therefore, should be the focus of attention.

The Agency solicits comment on the appropriateness of the above-

mentioned approach and on alternative time frames for fixing the curie

content.

Scope of Performance Assessments

In today's notice, the Agency is proposing criteria which indicate

that performance assessments shall consider both natural and human-

initiated processes and events that may affect the disposal system.

However, EPA is also proposing that performance assessments need not

consider processes, events, or sequences of processes and events

(sometimes referred to as ``scenarios'') that have less than one chance

in 10,000 of occurring over 10,000 years.

EPA is proposing the above requirements because section 13 of 40

CFR part 191 requires the implementing agencies to evaluate compliance

through performance assessments. One method of displaying results of

performance assessments required under section 13 of 40 CFR part 191 is

to assemble ``complementary cumulative distribution functions'' (CCDF).

CCDFs are assembled by first calculating the probability of each

release scenario and associating a consequence (e.g., release of

radionuclides) with each probability. Once the paired probability and

consequence estimates are made, they are combined into the CCDF by

ranking them in the order of decreasing consequences. The first point

on the curve would represent the large consequence of a low probability

scenario. The second point on the curve would represent the probability

of the first scenario added to the probability of a second scenario

h probability. Once the paired probability and

consequence estimates are made, they are combined into the CCDF by

ranking them in the order of decreasing consequences. The first point

on the curve would represent the large consequence of a low probability

scenario. The second point on the curve would represent the probability

of the first scenario added to the probability of a second scenario.

Since the probability of scenarios occurring is cumulative, scenarios

with probabilities lower than one chance in 1,000 must be incorporated

into probability distributions assembled under section 13 of 40 CFR

part 191 to see if the results are significant with regard to

compliance assessment.

Importantly, not all scenarios considered by the Department will

necessarily be included in calculations of compliance with the 40 CFR

part 191 disposal standards. Some scenarios may be eliminated from

incorporation into performance assessments because assumptions will be

made about such scenarios which indicate that the probability or

consequences of such scenarios are outside of the scope of the

requirements of 40 CFR part 191. In an effort to understand which

scenarios were considered in performance assessments, EPA is proposing

that information be provided which identifies all potential processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events that may occur during the

regulatory time frame and that may affect the disposal system, as well

as information which identifies those processes, events, or sequences

of processes and events actually included in performance assessment

results.

Consideration of Human-Initiated Processes and Events

provided which identifies all potential processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events that may occur during the

regulatory time frame and that may affect the disposal system, as well

as information which identifies those processes, events, or sequences

of processes and events actually included in performance assessment

results.

Consideration of Human-Initiated Processes and Events

Compliance with the containment requirements of 40 CFR part 191

requires consideration of the effects of human-initiated processes and

events on the disposal system. The Agency believes that the most

productive consideration of inadvertent human-initiated processes and

events concerns those realistic possibilities that may be usefully

mitigated by disposal system design, site selection, or use of passive

institutional controls. Therefore, the Agency is proposing that

inadvertent and intermittent drilling for resources (other than those

resources provided by the waste in the disposal system or any

engineered barriers designed to isolate such waste) be the most severe

scenario for human-initiated processes and events.

Further, the Agency is limiting the consideration of human-

initiated processes and events to drilling events because mining events

were not included in EPA's analyses that supported the final rule of 40

CFR part 191 as promulgated in 1985.

The Agency has chosen to divide human-initiated processes and

events into two distinct categories, ``human intrusion'' and ``human

activity,'' and is proposing a separate process to establish the

drilling rate for each. ``Human intrusion'' includes those drilling

events that reach the level of the waste in the disposal system or

below. Such events would include, but would not be limited to,

exploration for and development of oil and natural gas resources

vents into two distinct categories, ``human intrusion'' and ``human

activity,'' and is proposing a separate process to establish the

drilling rate for each. ``Human intrusion'' includes those drilling

events that reach the level of the waste in the disposal system or

below. Such events would include, but would not be limited to,

exploration for and development of oil and natural gas resources. The

second category of human-initiated processes and events, ``human

activity,'' includes all drilling events that may affect the disposal

system, but do not reach the level of the waste in the disposal system.

Such drilling events may include, but would not be limited to,

exploration for potash, withdrawal of water--whether for purposes of

drinking, irrigating or controlling dust--and drilling for other

resources. Note that a given resource may exist at levels above and

below the level of the waste in the disposal system and may therefore

be included in establishing the rates for both human intrusion and

human activity.

EPA is proposing that consideration be given to the record of

human-initiated processes and events in the Delaware Basin over the

past 50 years. The Agency believes that the 50-year time frame is

appropriate because it represents a period during which information

regarding human-initiated processes and events in the Delaware Basin

can be reasonably obtained.

Importantly, by making assumptions about the frequency of human-

initiated processes and events in the vicinity of the WIPP and holding

them constant throughout the future, scenarios in which such events

cease because, for instance, resources eventually become depleted would

no longer be considered. However, the Agency recognizes that as one

resource becomes depleted, the decrease in exploratory or production

operations may be compensated for by the increase in drilling

operations for another

vicinity of the WIPP and holding

them constant throughout the future, scenarios in which such events

cease because, for instance, resources eventually become depleted would

no longer be considered. However, the Agency recognizes that as one

resource becomes depleted, the decrease in exploratory or production

operations may be compensated for by the increase in drilling

operations for another. Rather than engage in speculation about which

resources will become more valuable in the future, and which will

become depleted, EPA believes it is preferable to assume that current

rates of drilling for each individual resource will remain constant.

The Agency solicits comment on this approach.

As stated above, the Delaware Basin is being proposed as the area

for examination of the record of human-initiated processes and events.

The Delaware Basin is an elongated depression that extends from just

north of Carlsbad, New Mexico, southward into Texas. The Agency

solicits comment on how, precisely, the Delaware Basin should be

defined. The Agency believes that the Delaware Basin is an appropriate

region because the WIPP is situated within it and, as a region, it

represents the largest contiguous area which shares similar geologic

and hydrologic conditions with the WIPP site. However, EPA solicits

comments on whether a different area should be used (such as a subset

of the Delaware Basin).

It is important to note that the Agency is proposing to require a

separate examination of each type of human-initiated

process and event. The reason for this requirement is to account for

the fact that each type of drilling has a distinct rate and unique

properties, resulting in a different effect on the disposal system for

each type of drilling. For example, oil drilling is conducted at a

different depth, rate and with a different drilling technique than

water drilling and is, therefore, more likely to penetrate the

repository than water drilling

equirement is to account for

the fact that each type of drilling has a distinct rate and unique

properties, resulting in a different effect on the disposal system for

each type of drilling. For example, oil drilling is conducted at a

different depth, rate and with a different drilling technique than

water drilling and is, therefore, more likely to penetrate the

repository than water drilling. Accordingly, the analyses for each

resource must be conducted individually.

In assessing the consequences of human-initiated processes and

events, the Agency is proposing that such processes and events be

assumed to occur at random intervals in time and space throughout the

regulatory time frame. The consequences of each human-initiated process

and event shall be calculated in terms of the projected impact on the

WIPP disposal system. If more than one human-initiated process or event

is predicted to occur, the consequences of any processes and events

which occur subsequent to initial ones shall take into account any

impacts on the disposal system from such previous disruptions. This is

done to take into account the fact that every drilling event introduces

potential changes to the disposal system. For example, a disposal

system with man-made pathways interconnecting aquifers underlying the

disposal system with ground water above the disposal system may react

differently than a disposal system that has never been disturbed. In

other words, the cumulative consequences of all human-initiated

processes and events shall be taken into account in performance

assessment results.

For the purpose of performance assessments, the Agency is proposing

different criteria for establishing the frequency of ``human

intrusion'' and the frequency of ``human activity''. While both are

based on the historical record of resource exploration over the past 50

years in the Delaware Basin, an upper and lower limit is placed on the

rate of human intrusion

rformance

assessment results.

For the purpose of performance assessments, the Agency is proposing

different criteria for establishing the frequency of ``human

intrusion'' and the frequency of ``human activity''. While both are

based on the historical record of resource exploration over the past 50

years in the Delaware Basin, an upper and lower limit is placed on the

rate of human intrusion. The rate of human activity, however, is not

limited to a set range.

Specifically, the rate of human intrusion is determined by first

identifying and examining past occurrences of human intrusion in the

Delaware Basin over the past 50 years for all resources.

The sum of the individual rates of human intrusion for each

resource then becomes the rate of human intrusion to be used in

performance assessments, provided that the sum is not less than 25 and

not greater than 62.5 boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years.

In the event that the calculated total rate is less than 25, then the

rate of human intrusion to be used in performance assessments should be

adjusted upward proportionally to yield a total rate of 25 boreholes

per square kilometer per 10,000 years. Thus, if the oil drilling rate

is 8 and the natural gas drilling rate is 2, both values are adjusted

upward by a factor of 2.5 to yield a rate of 20 for oil and 5 for

natural gas. Likewise, if the calculated total rate exceeds 62.5, then

the rate of each type of human intrusion should be adjusted downward

proportionally to yield a maximum rate of 62.5 boreholes per square

kilometer per 10,000 years to be used in performance assessments.

By placing an upper and lower limit on the rate of human intrusion,

the Agency is adhering to the assumptions that the Agency made in

developing the technical basis used for formulating the containment

requirements of the final disposal regulations as promulgated in 1985

ally to yield a maximum rate of 62.5 boreholes per square

kilometer per 10,000 years to be used in performance assessments.

By placing an upper and lower limit on the rate of human intrusion,

the Agency is adhering to the assumptions that the Agency made in

developing the technical basis used for formulating the containment

requirements of the final disposal regulations as promulgated in 1985.

As part of the development of the disposal regulations, the Agency

estimated the range of future human intrusion and human activity for

the general case of a repository in bedded salt, the geologic setting

of the WIPP. Assumptions were made about the presence near a repository

of different types of resources--including oil, gas, minerals and

water--though it was assumed that the most significant resources

present would be oil and gas. Using drilling data from the contiguous

48 states as a rough guide, the Agency estimated that a region of

bedded salt would experience 25 to 62.5 boreholes per square kilometer

per 10,000 years. Because the depths at which oil and gas, the only

significant resources assumed to be present, are located typically

exceed 10,000 feet the estimated range applies only to the rate of

human intrusion. Thus, by proposing a human intrusion range of 25 to

62.5 boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years, the Agency is

grounding the criteria on the same basis as 40 CFR part 191. Discussion

of the assumptions as developed for the 1985 final rule of 40 CFR part

191 can be found in ``Technical Support of Standards for High-Level

Radioactive Waste Management, Volume D'' (EPA 520/4-79-007D) and

``Addendum to Volumes C and D'' (EPA 520/4-79-007E).

The Agency is proposing that, should the Department wish to forego

the process of analyzing the historical rates of human intrusion events

in the Delaware Basin, the Department shall assume the maximum rate of

62.5 boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years

or High-Level

Radioactive Waste Management, Volume D'' (EPA 520/4-79-007D) and

``Addendum to Volumes C and D'' (EPA 520/4-79-007E).

The Agency is proposing that, should the Department wish to forego

the process of analyzing the historical rates of human intrusion events

in the Delaware Basin, the Department shall assume the maximum rate of

62.5 boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years. The Agency is

further proposing that the rate of human intrusion may be reduced in

accordance with the criteria found in Sec. 194.41, active institutional

controls, and Sec. 194.43(c), passive institutional controls. A

complete discussion of reduction of the human intrusion rate can be

found in the discussion of those two portions of the criteria.

For consideration of ``human activity'' in performance assessments,

the Agency is proposing that the historical record of drilling be

examined, but without placing pre-set limits on the rates.

Specifically, the rate of human activity is determined by first

identifying and examining past occurrences of human activity in the

Delaware Basin over the past 50 years for all resources. The sum of the

individual rates for each resource then becomes the rate of human

activity to be used in performance assessment.

The Agency is placing no limits on the rate of human activity, in

contrast to the treatment of the rate of human intrusion. This

divergent treatment is consistent with the final rule of 40 CFR part

191, which was based on an estimate of 25 to 62.5 boreholes per square

kilometer per 10,000 years for the general case of a repository in

bedded salt in the vicinity of few resources other than oil and natural

gas. Because the depths at which oil and natural gas reserves are

located typically exceed 10,000 feet, the estimated range of 25 to 62.5

boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years applies to the case of

human intrusion only. Hence, no limit, upper or lower, is placed on the

rate of human activity

of a repository in

bedded salt in the vicinity of few resources other than oil and natural

gas. Because the depths at which oil and natural gas reserves are

located typically exceed 10,000 feet, the estimated range of 25 to 62.5

boreholes per square kilometer per 10,000 years applies to the case of

human intrusion only. Hence, no limit, upper or lower, is placed on the

rate of human activity.

The Agency recognizes that for some resources such as water, the

use of that resource may depend upon the quality of the specific

reservoir of that resource that is being exploited. A given reservoir

of water, for example, may not be of potable quality but may still be

usefully withdrawn for controlling dust. Therefore it may be possible

to show that certain resources found within the controlled area differ

in quality from the same resource as found in rest of the Delaware

Basin. For such resources, it could potentially be demonstrated that

the resource would normally be exploited for different purposes at a

different rate within the controlled area, and further that there is

reason to believe that such practices would continue. The Agency is

proposing that if such a case can be made in compliance applications,

then when examining the historical record of human activity associated

with that resource, only that human activity that has been associated

with resources of quality similar to that found within the

controlled area need be considered. Consider a

hypothetical example in which the water resources in the controlled

area were found not to be of potable quality, and this were

demonstrated and documented in the application for certification of

compliance. Then, when examining the history of drilling for water in

the Delaware Basin, the Department would need only consider boreholes

created for water uses other than drinking, e.g., irrigation and

control of dust.

The Agency is further proposing that the rate of human activity may

be reduced in accordance with the criteria found in Sec

cumented in the application for certification of

compliance. Then, when examining the history of drilling for water in

the Delaware Basin, the Department would need only consider boreholes

created for water uses other than drinking, e.g., irrigation and

control of dust.

The Agency is further proposing that the rate of human activity may

be reduced in accordance with the criteria found in Sec. 194.41, active

institutional controls, and in Sec. 194.43(c), passive institutional

controls. A complete discussion of reduction of the human activity rate

can be found under the discussion of those two portions of the

criteria.

In assessing the consequences of human-initiated processes and

events, the Agency is proposing that assumptions pertaining to

characteristics of such processes and events be based on

characteristics associated with current practice in the Delaware Basin.

This approach is consistent with the approach the Agency is proposing

for future state assumptions. For example, assumptions related to the

type and amount of any drilling fluids, borehole depths, diameters, and

seals should be assumed to remain consistent with the current practice

in the Delaware Basin. For the specific case of borehole seals, EPA is

further proposing that boreholes shall be assumed to be sealed at the

rate boreholes have been sealed over the past 50 years in the Delaware

Basin and that natural processes will degrade or otherwise affect the

permeability of boreholes over the regulatory time frame.

The Agency has chosen in today's proposal to differ from the

Appendix C ``Guidance for Implementation'' which accompanied 40 CFR

part 191 because EPA believes that the approach outlined above for

assessing the likelihood and consequences of human-initiated processes

and events is more appropriate for the WIPP than the method discussed

in the guidance. Today's proposal is specific to the WIPP; the

guidance, on the other hand, is generic

differ from the

Appendix C ``Guidance for Implementation'' which accompanied 40 CFR

part 191 because EPA believes that the approach outlined above for

assessing the likelihood and consequences of human-initiated processes

and events is more appropriate for the WIPP than the method discussed

in the guidance. Today's proposal is specific to the WIPP; the

guidance, on the other hand, is generic. Moreover, the guidance only

took into account drilling frequencies for oil and gas. The Agency

believes that other human activities, such as drilling for potash and

drilling for water, are equally important for consideration at the

WIPP, as they too have the potential to affect the disposal system.

Therefore, today's proposal requires consideration of all human actions

that could affect a waste disposal system. However, the Agency solicits

comment on its proposed approach and the appropriateness of differing

from the Appendix C guidance.

Results of Performance Assessments

The Agency proposes to establish criteria for assessing the results

of performance assessments required under the containment requirements

of 40 CFR part 191. The Agency is proposing to require that the results

of performance assessments be displayed as complementary cumulative

distribution functions or ``CCDFs.'' These CCDFs would display the

releases of radionuclides over 10,000 years after disposal--summed and

normalized according to Table 1, Note 6 of 40 CFR part 191--on the

horizontal axis and the probability of releases occurring on the

vertical axis.

In conducting performance assessments, there will be many parameter

values that can affect the results of such assessments. For instance,

gas generation by the waste, radionuclide solubilities, permeability of

the host rock, and the porosity and transmissivity of surrounding

aquifers entail parameter values that can affect the results of such

performance assessments. These values may be difficult to quantify

particularly over a 10,000-year period

y parameter

values that can affect the results of such assessments. For instance,

gas generation by the waste, radionuclide solubilities, permeability of

the host rock, and the porosity and transmissivity of surrounding

aquifers entail parameter values that can affect the results of such

performance assessments. These values may be difficult to quantify

particularly over a 10,000-year period. Therefore, the Agency is

proposing to require the development of probability distributions for

parameter values in order to represent the probability of different

values of the parameter occurring.

The Agency is further proposing to require that, in generating

CCDFs, computational techniques be developed that sample randomly

across the full range of probability distributions developed for

uncertain disposal system parameter values used in performance

assessments. In so doing, it is possible to convey the influence of

parameter uncertainty upon the resulting CCDFs. Random sampling

techniques can select a predetermined number of values from a

parameter's probability distribution, the collection of which will

represent the range of the distribution in successive stages of

calculation.

The Agency is proposing to require that the entire range or

``family'' of CCDFs generated as a result of these sampling techniques

be included in compliance applications. By requiring that all CCDFs be

submitted, the Agency can evaluate whether given the conditions that

exist at the disposal system, the disposal system could fail to comply

with section 13 of 40 CFR part 191 in some of the CCDFs. By noting the

number of total CCDFs generated that fail to comply, the Agency will

gain insight into the performance of the disposal system over the

10,000-year time frame.

The Agency is proposing to place statistical criteria on the number

of CCDFs generated

that

exist at the disposal system, the disposal system could fail to comply

with section 13 of 40 CFR part 191 in some of the CCDFs. By noting the

number of total CCDFs generated that fail to comply, the Agency will

gain insight into the performance of the disposal system over the

10,000-year time frame.

The Agency is proposing to place statistical criteria on the number

of CCDFs generated. The Agency is proposing to require that the number

of CCDFs generated be large enough such that the maximum CCDF generated

exceeds the 99th percentile of the population of CCDFs with at least a

0.95 probability. A 95% confidence level is commonly recognized as

being a good indicator of statistical acceptability. The Agency

believes that the effect of this approach will be that the number of

CCDFs generated will be large enough to ensure that a full range of

realizations have been generated. EPA estimates that this will require

several hundred realizations, although the number submitted in

compliance with this requirement may ultimately be larger or smaller.

The Agency is proposing to require that the mean CCDF of the

population of CCDFs meets the requirements of section 13(a) of 40 CFR

part 191 with at least a 95 percent level of statistical confidence.

The mean CCDF is calculated from a ``family'' of CCDFs whose parameters

have an associated uncertainty to them, as discussed above. As a

result, the mean will have its own associated uncertainty. This

uncertainty around the location of the mean reduces the level of

assurance with which we can state that the mean CCDF is in compliance

with section 13 of 40 CFR part 191. One way of attaining statistical

confidence in the mean is to determine how reproducible the mean is if

recalculated. For example, first generate an ensemble of a certain

number of CCDFs and calculate the mean. Next, generate an entirely new

ensemble of the same number of CCDFs and compare the mean calculated

for this new set to that of the first set

iance

with section 13 of 40 CFR part 191. One way of attaining statistical

confidence in the mean is to determine how reproducible the mean is if

recalculated. For example, first generate an ensemble of a certain

number of CCDFs and calculate the mean. Next, generate an entirely new

ensemble of the same number of CCDFs and compare the mean calculated

for this new set to that of the first set. If the number of CCDFs

generated is a statistically representative portion of the infinite

population of CCDFs, then the two calculated means will likely agree.

By placing a statistical confidence requirement on the mean of the

CCDFs, the Agency hopes to ensure that a mean that is in compliance

would upon recalculation from a new ensemble of CCDFs, still be in

compliance. The Agency is proposing to require a 95 percent level of

statistical confidence that the mean meets the requirements but

solicits comment on other levels of confidence which may be more

appropriate.

Before selecting the mean as the compliance indicator, the Agency

examined three options. The first option, the mean CCDF

or expected value, was selected because of its ability to convey a

sense of the whole ensemble of CCDFs generated. In calculating the

mean, all CCDFs--those representing best case results, those

representing worst case results, and everything in between--are

included. Since it cannot be known which CCDF represents actual

performance over the 10,000 year regulatory period, it is deemed wise

to include the influence of all generated CCDFs.

The Agency also examined the median CCDF. The median CCDF would be

indicative of the central tendency of the majority of the CCDFs and

would not exhibit the influence of high or low consequence CCDFs as

strongly as the mean CCDF. Specifically, the influence of high

consequence CCDFs that do not meet the requirements of section 13(a) of

40 CFR part 191 would be discounted by the median. In the Agency's

view, this makes the median CCDF less suitable as a compliance

indicator

e central tendency of the majority of the CCDFs and

would not exhibit the influence of high or low consequence CCDFs as

strongly as the mean CCDF. Specifically, the influence of high

consequence CCDFs that do not meet the requirements of section 13(a) of

40 CFR part 191 would be discounted by the median. In the Agency's

view, this makes the median CCDF less suitable as a compliance

indicator.

The Agency also examined the possibility of using a percentile

value as a compliance indicator. The Agency has considered and rejected

percentile values at or below 50 on grounds that such values would not

provide adequate confidence of achieving the desired protection of

public health. As for higher values, the Agency believes that it would

be extremely difficult to justify any specific higher value.

The Agency solicits comment on the appropriateness of the mean or

some other CCDF as a basis for compliance. The Agency solicits comments

on using some possible combination of CCDFs as a basis for compliance;

e.g., requiring that the mean and the median meet the requirements of

section 13(a) of 40 CFR part 191.

Another issue upon which the Agency solicits comment is on the

alternative of basing compliance on one single realization, rather than

on a multitude of them as discussed above and then using that

realization to determine compliance with the containment requirements.

Instead of sampling from a given range of variables for each parameter

and generating a new realization curve each time this is done, it has

been suggested that all possible values for each parameter should be

selected in creating a single curve. In this way, all the information

is folded into one realization which either complies or does not. The

advantage in this technique is that the issue of the appropriateness of

the mean, median, or other percentile is obviated. The disadvantage is

that it is difficult to see exactly which parameters caused the curve

to behave in a particular way

r should be

selected in creating a single curve. In this way, all the information

is folded into one realization which either complies or does not. The

advantage in this technique is that the issue of the appropriateness of

the mean, median, or other percentile is obviated. The disadvantage is

that it is difficult to see exactly which parameters caused the curve

to behave in a particular way.

Regardless of the method ultimately used to determine compliance

with the numerical requirements of section 13 of 40 CFR part 191, a

``reasonable expectation of compliance'' with the containment

requirements cannot be achieved until a demonstration has been made

that the qualitative requirements set forth in sections 21 through 27

of today's proposal have also been met. A ``reasonable expectation of

compliance'' with the containment requirements shall not be based

solely upon a statistical estimate of radionuclide releases to the

accessible environment. Instead, the Agency will consider the full

record of information submitted in compliance applications and will

examine the methods and assumptions which were used to support the

development of radionuclide release estimates. For example, the EPA

will consider such factors as the reasonableness of the processes and

events incorporated into performance assessments, the appropriateness

of any expert elicitation used to provide input to models, the adequacy

of peer review, and the quality of other data inputs. Only after a

demonstration has been made that all of the requirements set forth in

sections 21 through 27 of today's proposal have been met and that the

numerical requirements of section 13 of 40 CFR part 191 have been

satisfied, will a ``reasonable expectation'' of compliance with the

containment requirements be achieved.

Assurance Requirements

review, and the quality of other data inputs. Only after a

demonstration has been made that all of the requirements set forth in

sections 21 through 27 of today's proposal have been met and that the

numerical requirements of section 13 of 40 CFR part 191 have been

satisfied, will a ``reasonable expectation'' of compliance with the

containment requirements be achieved.

Assurance Requirements

In addition to the numerical requirements set forth in the Agency's

radioactive waste disposal standards, section 14 of the standards

contains a set of qualitative requirements to help assure that the

desired level of protection is achieved. These assurance requirements

address: (1) Active institutional controls; (2) monitoring; (3) passive

institutional controls; (4) engineered barriers; (5) consideration of

the presence of resources; and (6) removal of waste.

Active Institutional Controls

According to the disposal standards:

Active institutional controls over disposal sites should be

maintained for as long a period of time as is practicable after

disposal; however, performance assessments that assess the isolation

of the wastes from the accessible environment shall not consider any

contributions from active institutional controls for more than 100

years after disposal.

As defined in 40 CFR part 191, ``active institutional control''

means: ``(1) Controlling access to a disposal site by any means other

than passive institutional controls; (2) performing maintenance

operations or remedial actions at a site; (3) controlling or cleaning

up releases from a site; or (4) monitoring parameters related to

disposal system performance.''

With the above requirements in mind, today's proposal requires that

any application for certification of compliance contain detailed

descriptions of proposed active institutional controls, their location

and the period of time they are proposed to remain active

a site; (3) controlling or cleaning

up releases from a site; or (4) monitoring parameters related to

disposal system performance.''

With the above requirements in mind, today's proposal requires that

any application for certification of compliance contain detailed

descriptions of proposed active institutional controls, their location

and the period of time they are proposed to remain active. Any credit

assumed for reduced human activity in the vicinity of the WIPP or

reduced releases of radionuclides must be supported by such

descriptions but, as indicated in the disposal standards, in no case

shall it be assumed that active institutional controls will be

effective in preventing or reducing releases beyond 100 years after

disposal.

Monitoring

Since the predictions associated with long-term compliance with the

disposal standards of 40 CFR part 191 are inherently uncertain, final

disposal standards issued in 1985 included a provision requiring

monitoring of disposal systems to help assure that they are performing

as predicted. The proposed disposal standards issued in 1982 had not

included such a requirement. However, several commenters (including

most of the States) urged addition of a requirement for long-term

monitoring of a repository after disposal to guard against unexpected

failures. Accordingly, further information was sought on this idea. The

Agency surveyed the capabilities and expectations of long-term

monitoring approaches. As explained in the preamble to the 1985

disposal standards (50 FR 38081, September 19, 1985):

Evaluating this information led the Agency to several

conclusions:

(1) Perhaps most importantly, the techniques used for monitoring

after disposal must not jeopardize the long-term isolation

capabilities of the disposal system. Furthermore, plans to conduct

monitoring after disposal should never become an excuse to relax the

care with which systems to isolate these wastes must be selected,

designed, constructed, and operated.

Agency to several

conclusions:

(1) Perhaps most importantly, the techniques used for monitoring

after disposal must not jeopardize the long-term isolation

capabilities of the disposal system. Furthermore, plans to conduct

monitoring after disposal should never become an excuse to relax the

care with which systems to isolate these wastes must be selected,

designed, constructed, and operated.

(2) Monitoring for radionuclide releases to the accessible

environment is not likely to be productive. Even a poorly performing

geologic repository is very unlikely to allow measurable releases to

the accessible environment for several hundreds of years or more,

particularly in view of the engineered controls needed to comply

with 10 CFR Part 60. A monitoring system based only on

detecting radionuclide releases--a system which would

almost certainly not be detecting anything for several times the

history of the United States--is not likely to be maintained for

long enough to be of much use.

(3) Within the above constraints, however, there are likely to

be monitoring approaches which may, in a relatively short time,

significantly improve confidence that a repository is performing as

intended. Two examples are of particular interest. One involves the

concept of monitoring ground-water sources at a variety of distances

for benign tracers intentionally released to the ground water in the

repository; this approach can evaluate the delay involved in ground-

water movement from the repository to the environment and can serve

to validate expectations of the performance expected from the

system's natural barriers. Another concept involves monitoring the

small uplift of the land surface over the repository in order to

validate predictions of the system's thermal behavior. Both of these

approaches can be carried out without enhancing pathways for the

wastes to escape from the repository.

he environment and can serve

to validate expectations of the performance expected from the

system's natural barriers. Another concept involves monitoring the

small uplift of the land surface over the repository in order to

validate predictions of the system's thermal behavior. Both of these

approaches can be carried out without enhancing pathways for the

wastes to escape from the repository.

Based on these conclusions and the public comments on this

question, the Agency included a provision (in the assurance

requirements of the final disposal standards) for long-term monitoring

after disposal: ``Disposal systems shall be monitored after disposal to

detect substantial and detrimental deviations from expected

performance. This monitoring shall be done with techniques that do not

jeopardize the isolation of the wastes and shall be conducted until

there are no significant concerns to be addressed by further

monitoring.''

Accordingly, EPA is proposing criteria for complying with the

monitoring requirements in the disposal standards. EPA is proposing

that monitoring programs be designed to detect the movement of

radionuclides toward the accessible environment at the earliest

practicable time. Such monitoring programs shall be consistent with

monitoring required under applicable federal hazardous waste

regulations and shall be done with techniques that do not jeopardize

the containment of waste in the disposal system. Due to the long-term

nature of the potential hazard associated with disposal of transuranic

radioactive waste, any unpredicted detection of movement of

radionuclides away from the disposal system and toward the accessible

environment would be cause for concern that an exceedance of what is

permitted under the disposal regulations is likely to occur. If

releases are detected early enough, remedial action can be implemented

before radionuclides reach the accessible environment

uranic

radioactive waste, any unpredicted detection of movement of

radionuclides away from the disposal system and toward the accessible

environment would be cause for concern that an exceedance of what is

permitted under the disposal regulations is likely to occur. If

releases are detected early enough, remedial action can be implemented

before radionuclides reach the accessible environment.

EPA is proposing in today's criteria that any compliance

certification application include a detailed plan for monitoring the

performance of the WIPP after disposal. At a minimum, this plan shall:

Identify parameters that will be monitored and how baseline states will

be determined; indicate how each parameter will be used to evaluate the

performance of the disposal system; and discuss the length of time over

which each parameter will be monitored to detect deviations from

expected performance. Radionuclide monitoring programs should be

consistent with applicable federal hazardous waste monitoring programs

in order to minimize duplication of monitoring efforts. The Agency

solicits comments on this approach.

In addition to monitoring after closure of the disposal system

(i.e., when all of the shafts to the repository are backfilled and

sealed), EPA proposes that, to the extent practicable, pre-closure

monitoring of parameters which may affect the long-term performance of

the disposal system after closure shall also be conducted. The Agency

believes that such monitoring can provide important information about

the disposal system and that such information can contribute to a

better understanding of how the disposal system is likely to perform

after closure. Furthermore, such information can be used to verify

assumptions (about the disposal system) which form the basis of a

compliance assessment

hall also be conducted. The Agency

believes that such monitoring can provide important information about

the disposal system and that such information can contribute to a

better understanding of how the disposal system is likely to perform

after closure. Furthermore, such information can be used to verify

assumptions (about the disposal system) which form the basis of a

compliance assessment.

The Agency is proposing to require that, as a part of the pre-

closure monitoring plan for the WIPP, monitoring of parameters which

can affect the containment of waste in the disposal system shall be

conducted to the extent practicable. The Agency believes that the

following parameters can affect the containment capability of the WIPP:

Brine quantity, flux, composition, and spatial distribution; gas

quantity and composition; and temperature distribution. Since there may

be additional disposal system parameters important to the containment

of waste, EPA is proposing that DOE undertake a study to determine the

effect of various disposal system parameters on the performance of the

disposal system. Such study shall consider whether a disposal system

parameter should be monitored because the parameter either provides

information regarding the disposal system's ability to contain waste or

regarding the ability to predict the future performance of the disposal

system. The parameters studied shall include, but need not be limited

to: Backfilled mechanical state including porosity, permeability, and

degree of compaction and reconsolidation; extent of deformation of the

surrounding roof, walls, and floor of the disposal room; and initiation

or displacement of major brittle deformation features in the roof or

surrounding rock. The results of the study shall be provided to EPA

along with documentation of the methodology and information describing

the importance of each disposal system parameter studied. The results

of such study shall dictate the breadth of monitoring of disposal

system parameters

he disposal room; and initiation

or displacement of major brittle deformation features in the roof or

surrounding rock. The results of the study shall be provided to EPA

along with documentation of the methodology and information describing

the importance of each disposal system parameter studied. The results

of such study shall dictate the breadth of monitoring of disposal

system parameters.

The parameters specifically mentioned above and in the proposed

criteria were identified as important to the containment capability of

the WIPP by the Agency in its comments to the Department (dated October

19, 1989) regarding the Test Phase Plan for the WIPP. In those

comments, EPA recommended that the Department implement monitoring

systems in disposal rooms that would be ``indicative of waste system

performance'' (Recommendation 7). In response to EPA's comments, the

DOE agreed to conduct a feasibility study on underground monitoring of

the WIPP.

EPA solicits comment on whether monitoring should be required for

the specific parameters listed above, on whether additional or other

parameters should be specified, and on the feasibility of continuing

such monitoring after disposal (i.e., after the repository has been

backfilled and sealed). Additionally, the Agency solicits comment on

whether EPA should require the use of specific monitoring methods.

Passive Institutional Controls

The assurance requirements of 40 CFR part 191 require that

``disposal systems shall be designated by the most permanent markers,

records, and other passive institutional controls practicable to

indicate the dangers of the wastes and their location.'' Section 14(c)

of 40 CFR part 191

comment on

whether EPA should require the use of specific monitoring methods.

Passive Institutional Controls

The assurance requirements of 40 CFR part 191 require that

``disposal systems shall be designated by the most permanent markers,

records, and other passive institutional controls practicable to

indicate the dangers of the wastes and their location.'' Section 14(c)

of 40 CFR part 191. The standards define ``passive institutional

controls'' as ``(1) permanent markers placed at a disposal site, (2)

public records and archives, (3) government ownership and regulations

regarding land or resource use, and (4) other methods of preserving

knowledge about the location, design and contents of a disposal

system.''

In light of the requirement for use of passive institutional

controls set forth in 40 CFR part 191, the Agency is proposing that any

application for certification of compliance include detailed

descriptions of the measures that will be employed to preserve

knowledge about the location, design, and contents of the

disposal system. At a minimum, it is proposed that such measures will

include: (1) Identification of the controlled area by markers that have

been designed, fabricated and emplaced to be as permanent as

practicable; and (2) placement of records in the archives and land

record systems of local, state, and Federal Government agencies, and

international archives, that would be likely to be consulted by

individuals in search of unexploited resources

measures will

include: (1) Identification of the controlled area by markers that have

been designed, fabricated and emplaced to be as permanent as

practicable; and (2) placement of records in the archives and land

record systems of local, state, and Federal Government agencies, and

international archives, that would be likely to be consulted by

individuals in search of unexploited resources.

The Agency proposes that the type of information contained in

records shall include: The location of the controlled area and the

disposal system; the design of the disposal system; the nature and

hazard of the waste; geologic, geochemical, hydrologic, other site data

pertinent to the containment of waste in the disposal system, and the

results of tests, experiments, and other analyses relating to backfill

of excavated areas, shaft sealing, waste interaction with the disposal

system, and any other tests, experiments, or analyses pertinent to the

containment of waste in the disposal system. EPA solicits comments on

the appropriateness of this list and on whether additional or other

items should be specified. Any application for certification of

compliance shall include detailed descriptions of the proposed controls

as well as information regarding the period of time those controls are

expected to endure and be understood.

A question arises with regard to the extent to which the Agency

should allow performance assessments to consider contributions from

passive institutional controls in reducing the likelihood of human-

initiated processes and events that may affect the disposal system.

While the disposal regulations address contributions from active

institutional controls (see above discussion of active institutional

controls), they do not specifically address contributions from passive

institutional controls

to consider contributions from

passive institutional controls in reducing the likelihood of human-

initiated processes and events that may affect the disposal system.

While the disposal regulations address contributions from active

institutional controls (see above discussion of active institutional

controls), they do not specifically address contributions from passive

institutional controls. The Agency may be willing to consider such

contributions if a persuasive case can be made that the passive

institutional controls can be expected to endure and act as a deterrent

to potential intruders. In no instance, however, will passive

institutional controls be assumed to eliminate the likelihood of human-

initiated processes and events entirely. Furthermore, contributions

from passive institutional controls may vary over time. For example,

the effectiveness of passive institutional controls may decrease over

the regulatory time frame. The Agency solicits comment on the extent--

if any--to which contributions from passive institutional controls

should be considered in performance assessments.

Because of the uncertainty concerning the effectiveness of passive

institutional controls in terms of influencing human activity, EPA must

carefully scrutinize information about such controls. The Agency has

considered the fact that markers exist in the world today that are

thousands of years old. This would tend to support the view that

passive institutional controls can survive for very long periods of

time. Nevertheless, it is possible that markers have been created in

the past and were destroyed or disintegrated. The actual percentage of

surviving markers is thus unknown. It could be very small, meaning that

an unrealistically large number of markers would have to be placed at

the WIPP in order to assure survival. Further uncertainty in the

effectiveness of markers derives from the possibility that even if

markers survive, it does not mean they will necessarily be understood

by future generations

ed. The actual percentage of

surviving markers is thus unknown. It could be very small, meaning that

an unrealistically large number of markers would have to be placed at

the WIPP in order to assure survival. Further uncertainty in the

effectiveness of markers derives from the possibility that even if

markers survive, it does not mean they will necessarily be understood

by future generations.

Institutional controls have been known to fail. The New Mexico

Environmental Evaluation Group (EEG) has documented instances in the

recent past where institutional controls have failed at the WIPP.

According to EEG, both the DOE and the Department of the Interior's

Bureau of Land Management ``failed to implement the procedures

described by the DOE as crucial to protecting the site from inadvertent

human intrusion in twenty-two of the twenty-five applications to drill

oil and gas wells filed while a Memorandum of Understanding was legally

binding and the WIPP facility was in a state of full readiness to

receive waste.'' (EEG letter to EPA dated February 23, 1994). This

indicates that even today, and even with governmental entities

responsible for implementation of controls, such controls are not,

necessarily, reliable. The unknown nature of future societies and

governmental institutions compounds the uncertainty.

Engineered Barriers

The assurance requirements of 40 CFR part 191 require that disposal

systems ``use different types of barriers to isolate the wastes from

the accessible environment.'' Additionally, the disposal standards

mandate that ``Both engineered and natural barriers shall be used.'' 40

CFR part 191 defines the term ``barrier'' as ``any material or

structure that prevents or substantially delays movement of water or

radionuclides toward the accessible environment

sposal

systems ``use different types of barriers to isolate the wastes from

the accessible environment.'' Additionally, the disposal standards

mandate that ``Both engineered and natural barriers shall be used.'' 40

CFR part 191 defines the term ``barrier'' as ``any material or

structure that prevents or substantially delays movement of water or

radionuclides toward the accessible environment. For example, a barrier

may be a geologic structure, a canister, a waste form with physical and

chemical characteristics that significantly decrease the mobility of

radionuclides, or a material placed over and around waste, provided

that the material or structure substantially delays movement of water

or radionuclides.''

If selected and designed properly, engineered barriers can

significantly reduce the potential for waste migration away from the

disposal system. They can be an effective mechanism for improving the

performance of the WIPP and for reducing the uncertainty inherent in

long-term projections about the ability of the disposal system to

comply with the quantitative requirements of 40 CFR part 191.

While the disposal standards require use of engineered barriers,

they do not specify how many or what kinds of engineered barriers must

be used. The Agency is, therefore, proposing criteria for selecting

engineered barriers.

In today's notice, EPA is proposing that DOE complete a study of

engineered barrier alternatives and their benefits and costs. The

results of such study shall be used to justify both the selection and

rejection of engineered barriers at the WIPP. Moreover, the study shall

be peer reviewed. For example, EPA believes that the National Academy

of Sciences may be able to provide an appropriate forum for peer review

of the study envisioned in today's proposed criteria. The Agency

believes that the credibility of the study of engineered barrier

alternatives and resulting selection of engineered barriers for the

WIPP disposal system is critically important

udy shall

be peer reviewed. For example, EPA believes that the National Academy

of Sciences may be able to provide an appropriate forum for peer review

of the study envisioned in today's proposed criteria. The Agency

believes that the credibility of the study of engineered barrier

alternatives and resulting selection of engineered barriers for the

WIPP disposal system is critically important.

The specific engineered barriers proposed to be evaluated include,

but are not limited to: Cementation, shredding, supercompaction,

incineration, vitrification, improved waste canisters, grout and

bentonite backfill, melting of metals, alternative configurations of

waste placements in the disposal system, and alternative disposal

system dimensions. These specific engineered barriers were selected by

the Agency because they have already begun to be considered by DOE's

Engineered Alternatives Task Force (EATF) (see July, 1991 EATF Report

on Engineered Alternatives for the WIPP, DOE/WIPP 91-007) and appear to

represent potentially promising alternatives. EPA solicits comment on

the appropriateness of specifying the above-mentioned engineered

barriers as the subject of the study and on whether alternative

barriers should be specified.

The Agency is proposing that the following factors be considered in

benefit/cost analysis of the above-mentioned engineered barriers: the

ability of the engineered barrier to prevent or

substantially delay the movement of water or radionuclides toward the

accessible environment; the impact on worker exposures to radiation (at

the WIPP and off-site) both during and after incorporation of

engineered barriers; the increased ease or difficulty in removing the

waste from the disposal system; the increased or reduced risk of

transporting the waste to the disposal system; the increased or reduced

uncertainty in compliance assessment; the increased or reduced public

confidence in the performance of the disposal system; the increased or

reduced total system costs; the impact,

on of

engineered barriers; the increased ease or difficulty in removing the

waste from the disposal system; the increased or reduced risk of

transporting the waste to the disposal system; the increased or reduced

uncertainty in compliance assessment; the increased or reduced public

confidence in the performance of the disposal system; the increased or

reduced total system costs; the impact, if any, on other waste disposal

programs from the incorporation of engineered barriers; and the effect

on mitigating the consequences of human-initiated processes and events.

It would be inappropriate to limit the study only to the impact of

engineered barriers on the performance of the WIPP. If this were done,

the possibility would exist that an engineered barrier may be selected,

for example, which marginally improves the disposal system's

performance, yet results in much higher environmental risks at

treatment sites. This increase in risk would contravene the Agency's

objective of protecting human health and the environment. EPA solicits

comment on this approach to selecting engineered barriers and on

whether an alternative list of factors should be specified for

consideration.

The Agency proposes that the benefit/cost study described above

include separate analyses for different categories of waste potentially

destined for disposal at the WIPP. The Agency believes that benefits

and costs of engineered barriers can differ depending on whether they

are applied to existing waste that is already packaged, existing waste

that is not yet packaged or is in need of repackaging, or to-be-

generated waste. Therefore, the Agency is proposing that these

different categories of waste be analyzed separately.

Finally, EPA is proposing that engineered barrier alternatives be

considered both alone and in combination. In this way, assurance can be

had that the full range of alternative applications of engineered

barrier systems has been considered

r is in need of repackaging, or to-be-

generated waste. Therefore, the Agency is proposing that these

different categories of waste be analyzed separately.

Finally, EPA is proposing that engineered barrier alternatives be

considered both alone and in combination. In this way, assurance can be

had that the full range of alternative applications of engineered

barrier systems has been considered.

Importantly, today's proposal requires the results of the benefit/

cost study to be included in any compliance application and for the

results to be used to justify the selection or rejection of any

engineered barrier. This will help the Agency understand why particular

barriers were selected while others were not, as well as help the

Agency to evaluate the appropriateness of such selections.

The Agency solicits comments on other potential approaches to the

treatment of engineered barriers in the WIPP compliance criteria. In

particular, the Agency is interested in receiving comment on the option

of specifying a performance standard for engineered barriers similar to

that specified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in 10 CFR part 60

regulations for disposal of high-level radioactive waste. Under this

approach, a maximum radionuclide release rate would be established for

the engineered barrier system. Engineered barriers selected for the

disposal system would have to contain radionuclide releases within the

established rate.

Consideration of the Presence of Resources

by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in 10 CFR part 60

regulations for disposal of high-level radioactive waste. Under this

approach, a maximum radionuclide release rate would be established for

the engineered barrier system. Engineered barriers selected for the

disposal system would have to contain radionuclide releases within the

established rate.

Consideration of the Presence of Resources

Section 14 of 40 CFR part 191 includes the following requirement:

``Places where there has been mining for resources, or where there is a

reasonable expectation of exploration for scarce or easily accessible

resources, or where there is a significant concentration of any

material that is not widely available from other sources, should be

avoided in selecting disposal sites. Resources to be considered shall

include minerals, petroleum or natural gas, valuable geologic

formations, and ground waters that are either irreplaceable because

there is no alternative source of drinking water available for

substantial populations or that are vital to the preservation of unique

and sensitive ecosystems. Such places shall not be used for disposal of

the wastes covered by this part unless the favorable characteristics of

such places compensate for their greater likelihood of being disturbed

in the future.''

EPA is proposing that any application for certification of

compliance shall include information which demonstrates that the

favorable characteristics of the WIPP compensate for the presence of

resources and the likelihood of human-initiated processes and events as

a result of the presence of those resources. If, after full

consideration of the potential effects of resource recovery activities

the WIPP is still predicted to meet the requirements of 40 CFR part

191, then the Agency will assume that the requirements of this part and

section 14(e) of 40 CFR part 191 have been fulfilled. The Agency

solicits comment on this approach.

Removal of Waste

ts as

a result of the presence of those resources. If, after full

consideration of the potential effects of resource recovery activities

the WIPP is still predicted to meet the requirements of 40 CFR part

191, then the Agency will assume that the requirements of this part and

section 14(e) of 40 CFR part 191 have been fulfilled. The Agency

solicits comment on this approach.

Removal of Waste

Another assurance requirement included in the 40 CFR part 191

disposal standards involves the removal of waste from the disposal

system. Specifically, 40 CFR part 191 mandates that: ``Disposal systems

shall be selected so that removal of most of the wastes is not

precluded for a reasonable period of time after disposal.'' In order to

address this requirement, EPA is proposing criteria to require a plan

for removing waste from the disposal system using the best technology

available at the time of application.

Individual and Ground-Water Protection Requirements

The Agency incorporated requirements in 40 CFR part 191 for the

protection of individuals and ground-water. The individual protection

requirements of 40 CFR part 191 limit annual committed effective doses

of radiation to members of the public to no more than 15 millirem. The

ground-water protection requirements limit releases to ground water to

no more than the limits set by the maximum contaminant level for

radionuclides (MCL) established in 40 CFR part 141 under section 1412

of the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA), 42 U.S.C. 300g-1. Both of these

requirements are concerned with human exposure to radionuclides from

disposal systems and, like the containment requirements of 40 CFR part

191, both limit such exposure for 10,000 years

o

no more than the limits set by the maximum contaminant level for

radionuclides (MCL) established in 40 CFR part 141 under section 1412

of the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA), 42 U.S.C. 300g-1. Both of these

requirements are concerned with human exposure to radionuclides from

disposal systems and, like the containment requirements of 40 CFR part

191, both limit such exposure for 10,000 years.

The proposed criteria address the following issues: the definition

of a protected individual, the consideration of exposure pathways, the

consideration of underground sources of drinking water, the scope of

compliance assessments, and the basis for a determination of compliance

with these requirements (results of compliance assessments).

With regard to identifying protected individuals, the Agency is

proposing to require that assessments regarding individual exposures to

radiation from the disposal system be based upon the assumption that

individuals reside at the point on the surface of the accessible

environment where they would be expected to receive the highest

exposure from radionuclide releases from the disposal system. This

helps ensure that the individual most likely to receive the highest

exposure from the disposal system is accounted for and protected.

In assessing individual doses, the Agency proposes to require

consideration of all potential pathways (associated with undisturbed

performance) for radionuclide transport. The pathways which need to be

considered include land-surface pathways (including direct radiation

exposure), surface or ground-water pathways, and air pathways, as well

as combinations of the above. Furthermore, consistent

with the Agency's approach under the Safe Drinking Water Act (42

U.S.C.A. sections 300(f) to 300j-26), it should be assumed that

individuals consume two liters of water per day from any underground

source of drinking water in the accessible environment

direct radiation

exposure), surface or ground-water pathways, and air pathways, as well

as combinations of the above. Furthermore, consistent

with the Agency's approach under the Safe Drinking Water Act (42

U.S.C.A. sections 300(f) to 300j-26), it should be assumed that

individuals consume two liters of water per day from any underground

source of drinking water in the accessible environment.

EPA is proposing today that any underground sources of drinking

water in the accessible environment which are likely to be affected by

the disposal system over 10,000 years be considered in WIPP compliance

applications. Such consideration should include an analysis of the

interconnection and commingling of bodies of ground water with

underground sources of drinking water, as well as ground-water flow

rates and direction.

According to 40 CFR part 191, calculations of compliance with the

individual and ground-water protection requirements must consider the

undisturbed performance of the disposal system. 40 CFR part 191 defines

``undisturbed performance'' as: ``the predicted behavior of a disposal

system, including consideration of the uncertainties in predicted

behavior, if the disposal system is not disrupted by human-intrusion or

the occurrence of unlikely natural events.'' The Agency solicits

comment on whether there is a need for further clarification of the

analysis of undisturbed performance, e.g.; is there a need to identify

what constitutes an ``unlikely'' natural event or what probability of

occurrence renders an event ``likely'' or ``unlikely?''.

EPA is proposing that any application for certification of

compliance shall include information which identifies the processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events considered in compliance

analyses. Moreover, EPA is proposing that documentation be provided

which justifies the inclusion/non-inclusion of particular processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events in compliance assessment

results

hat any application for certification of

compliance shall include information which identifies the processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events considered in compliance

analyses. Moreover, EPA is proposing that documentation be provided

which justifies the inclusion/non-inclusion of particular processes,

events, or sequences of processes and events in compliance assessment

results.

Once the processes, events, or sequences of processes and events

have been identified, they shall be incorporated into compliance

assessments of the disposal system. The disposal standards require

compliance assessments to include consideration of the uncertainties

associated with the undisturbed performance of the disposal system. To

do this, it is necessary to identify all disposal system parameters

that can affect the performance of the WIPP, as well as to identify the

uncertainty associated with each parameter.

When the disposal system parameters and their accompanying

uncertainty have been identified, EPA is proposing that probability

distributions be developed for each such parameter. A probability

distribution is a function which assigns a probability of occurrence to

each value for a given parameter.

The Agency is proposing that, in compiling compliance assessment

results, computational techniques be used which draw random samples

from across the full range of probability distributions for parameter

values used in compliance assessments. This will help assure that all

possible values of a parameter have been considered in compiling

compliance assessment results.

EPA is proposing that the range of estimated radiation doses to

individuals (as generated through use of the computational techniques

referred to above), and the range of estimated radionuclide

concentrations in ground water must be large enough such that the

maximum estimate generated exceeds the 99th percentile of the

population of estimates with at least a 95% probability

essment results.

EPA is proposing that the range of estimated radiation doses to

individuals (as generated through use of the computational techniques

referred to above), and the range of estimated radionuclide

concentrations in ground water must be large enough such that the

maximum estimate generated exceeds the 99th percentile of the

population of estimates with at least a 95% probability. The

``population of estimates'' refers to the set of all possible estimates

that can be generated from all disposal system parameter values used in

compliance assessments. A single estimate, in effect, samples this

population. This is similar to the requirement for the number of CCDFs

which must be generated for purposes of compliance with the containment

requirements. The Agency is proposing to include this provision for the

purpose of ensuring that there is a 95% probability that 99% of all

possible values have been exceeded by the maximum estimate generated.

In order to assure that all pertinent information is provided to

the Agency, EPA is proposing to require that compliance applications

display the full range of estimated radiation doses and the full range

of estimated radionuclide concentrations.

Finally, the Agency is proposing to require that any compliance

certification application provide information which demonstrates that

there is at least a 95% level of statistical confidence that the mean

and the median of the full range of estimated radiation doses and of

the full range of estimated radionuclide concentrations meet the

requirements set forth in sections 15 and 16 of 40 CFR part 191. The

mean estimate provides a measure of compliance that expresses the

average impacts of the disposal system on individuals and ground water

as well as the probabilities of uncertain disposal system parameter

values. The median estimate provides a measure of compliance that

expresses the central tendency of a population of estimates

irements set forth in sections 15 and 16 of 40 CFR part 191. The

mean estimate provides a measure of compliance that expresses the

average impacts of the disposal system on individuals and ground water

as well as the probabilities of uncertain disposal system parameter

values. The median estimate provides a measure of compliance that

expresses the central tendency of a population of estimates.

Specifically, the median represents the point that a calculated

estimate would be equally likely to fall above or below. Insofar as

both statistics contain useful information, the Agency is proposing an

approach that assures that both meet the limits of the individual and

ground-water protection requirements.

The Agency solicits comments on the above approach for evaluating

the results of compliance assessment.

Subpart D--Public Participation

The Agency intends to involve the public throughout the Agency's

regulatory oversight at the WIPP. Accordingly, today's proposal

contains a set of criteria for public participation in any compliance

certification or determination.

In today's proposal, the Agency is proposing to continue to

maintain the four public information dockets listed in the

Supplementary Information section of this part. All materials relevant

to any compliance certification or determination or to any decision

regarding modifications, suspensions, or revocations of such compliance

certifications and determinations will be placed in the proposed

dockets.

The Agency believes that maintaining dockets is useful because they

can greatly increase communication between EPA and all interested

parties. The Agency intends to maintain all dockets in conformance with

EPA's ``Uniform Rulemaking Docket Guidance'' to the extent practicable.

This guidance is widely used within the Agency and helps to ensure that

public participation in Agency rulemakings is optimized.

The Agency also proposes to hold public hearings on proposed

compliance criteria within the State of New Mexico

nterested

parties. The Agency intends to maintain all dockets in conformance with

EPA's ``Uniform Rulemaking Docket Guidance'' to the extent practicable.

This guidance is widely used within the Agency and helps to ensure that

public participation in Agency rulemakings is optimized.

The Agency also proposes to hold public hearings on proposed

compliance criteria within the State of New Mexico. These hearings will

provide an opportunity for members of the public, beyond submission of

written comments, to express their views to EPA in the rulemaking

process.

With respect to applications for compliance certification, the

Agency is proposing that, upon receipt of an application for

certification of compliance, it will publish a notice in the Federal

Register announcing that an application for certification of compliance

has been received and soliciting comment on that application. This

notice in the Federal Register will be an Advance Notice of Proposed

Rulemaking (ANPR), as it will also announce the Agency's intent to

conduct a rulemaking to certify whether the WIPP will

comply with the disposal regulations. The Agency is proposing this

approach in order to afford the public an opportunity for early input

into EPA's certification decision. The alternative might have been

simply putting the application in the docket and receiving comments

from the public through a more informal means. However, the Agency

believes that this approach would not necessarily lead to as much

public input relevant to its decision. Hence, the more formal approach

is proposed.

Upon completion of a review of the application for certification of

compliance, the Agency also proposes to publish in the Federal Register

a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking announcing the Administrator's proposed

decision on whether the WIPP facility will comply with the disposal

regulations and soliciting comment on such proposal

to its decision. Hence, the more formal approach

is proposed.

Upon completion of a review of the application for certification of

compliance, the Agency also proposes to publish in the Federal Register

a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking announcing the Administrator's proposed

decision on whether the WIPP facility will comply with the disposal

regulations and soliciting comment on such proposal. The notice will

provide a comment period of at least 120 days and will announce the

opportunity for public hearings in New Mexico (including times and

procedures for registering to testify).

The Agency will publish a Notice of Final Rule in the Federal

Register announcing the Administrator's decision on certifying whether

the WIPP facility will comply with the disposal regulations.

Additionally, a document summarizing major comments and issues arising

from comments received on the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, as well as

the Administrator's response to such comments and issues, will be

prepared and made available for inspection in Agency dockets.

Similar to the process outlined above for applications for

compliance certification (and for the same reasons), when EPA receives

documentation of continued compliance as required under 8(f) of the

WIPP LWA, the Agency will publish a notice in the Federal Register

announcing the Administrator's intent to determine whether the WIPP

facility continues to be in compliance with the disposal regulations.

Copies of any documentation received will be made available for

inspection in Agency dockets and comments will be solicited for at

least 30 days after receipt. Once the Agency has considered all

comments received, the Administrator will make a determination

regarding WIPP's continued compliance and publish that decision in the

Federal Register.

Questions for Comment

he disposal regulations.

Copies of any documentation received will be made available for

inspection in Agency dockets and comments will be solicited for at

least 30 days after receipt. Once the Agency has considered all

comments received, the Administrator will make a determination

regarding WIPP's continued compliance and publish that decision in the

Federal Register.

Questions for Comment

The Agency is requesting comment on today's proposed criteria for

the certification and determination of the WIPP's compliance with the

40 CFR part 191 disposal standards and on the proposed approaches

taken. EPA generally invites comment on whether today's proposal

addresses all issues related to any EPA certification or determination

of WIPP's compliance with the disposal regulations in 40 CFR part 191.

Effective Date

The effective date of these compliance criteria, once finalized,

will be 30 calendar days after date of publication of the final rule in

the Federal Register.

Regulatory Analyses

Executive Order 12866

Under Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735 (October 4, 1993)) the

Agency must determine whether the regulatory action is ``significant''

and therefore subject to OMB review and the requirements of the

Executive Order. The Order defines ``significant regulatory action'' as

one that is likely to result in a rule that may:

(1) Have an annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more

or adversely affect in a material way the economy, a sector of the

economy, productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public

health or safety, or State, local, or tribal governments or

communities;

(2) Create a serious inconsistency or otherwise interfere with

an action taken or planned by another agency;

(3) Materially alter the budgetary impact of entitlements,

grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and obligations of

recipients thereof; or

my, productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public

health or safety, or State, local, or tribal governments or

communities;

(2) Create a serious inconsistency or otherwise interfere with

an action taken or planned by another agency;

(3) Materially alter the budgetary impact of entitlements,

grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and obligations of

recipients thereof; or

(4) Raise novel legal or policy issues arising out of legal

mandates, the President's priorities, or the principles set forth in

the Executive Order.

Pursuant to the terms of Executive Order 12866, it has been

determined that this rule is a ``significant regulatory action''

because it raises novel policy issues arising out of legal mandates. As

such, this action was submitted to OMB for review. Changes made in

response to OMB suggestions or recommendations will be documented in

the public record.

Regulatory Flexibility Act

The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) requires each

Federal agency to consider the effects of their regulations on small

entities and to examine alternatives that may reduce these effects. The

nature of this action is to propose criteria for the certification of

compliance of the WIPP with the Agency's radioactive waste disposal

standards set forth in 40 CFR Part 191. Since the preparation of

applications for compliance will only be conducted by DOE, and since

any ensuing disposal and information gathering activities will only be

carried out by DOE, the Agency certifies that this regulation will not

have a significant impact on a substantial number of small entities.

Paperwork Reduction Act

The EPA has determined that this proposed rule contains no

information requirements as defined by the Paperwork Reduction Act (42

U.S.C. 3501 et seq.).

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 194

mation gathering activities will only be

carried out by DOE, the Agency certifies that this regulation will not

have a significant impact on a substantial number of small entities.

Paperwork Reduction Act

The EPA has determined that this proposed rule contains no

information requirements as defined by the Paperwork Reduction Act (42

U.S.C. 3501 et seq.).

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 194

Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,

Nuclear materials, Plutonium, Radiation protection, Radionuclides,

Uranium, Transuranics, Waste treatment and disposal.

Dated: January 11, 1995.

Carol M. Browner,

Administrator.

A new part 194 is hereby proposed to be added to title 40, Code of

Federal Regulations, as follows:

PART 194--CRITERIA FOR THE CERTIFICATION AND DETERMINATION OF THE

WASTE ISOLATION PILOT PLANT'S COMPLIANCE WITH ENVIRONMENTAL

STANDARDS FOR THE MANAGEMENT AND DISPOSAL OF SPENT NUCLEAR FUEL,

HIGH-LEVEL AND TRANSURANIC RADIOACTIVE WASTES

Subpart A--General Provisions

Sec.

194.1 Purpose, scope, and applicability.

194.2 Definitions.

194.3 Communications.

194.4 Conditions of compliance certification and determination.

194.5 Publications incorporated by reference.

194.6 Alternative provisions.

Subpart B--Compliance Certification and Determination Applications

194.11 Completeness and accuracy of compliance applications.

194.12 Submission of compliance applications.

194.13 Submission of reference materials.

194.14 Content of compliance certification application.

194.15 Content of compliance determination application(s).

Subpart C--Compliance Certification and Determination

General

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