Control of Air Pollution From New Motor Vehicles and New Motor Vehicle Engines: State Commitments to National Low Emission Vehicle Program

Federal RegisterAug 22, 1997

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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 86

[AMS-FRL-5872-8]

RIN 2060-AF75

Control of Air Pollution From New Motor Vehicles and New Motor

Vehicle Engines: State Commitments to National Low Emission Vehicle

Program

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Supplemental notice of proposed rulemaking (SNPRM).

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SUMMARY: For several years, EPA, the Ozone Transport Commission (OTC)

States, the auto manufacturers and other interested parties have been

developing a voluntary clean car program called the National Low

Emission Vehicle (``National LEV'') program, which is designed to

reduce smog and other pollution from new motor vehicles. National LEV

would be a regulatory program that would be enforceable in the same

manner as any other federal new motor vehicle program, except that it

can only come into effect if the OTC States and the auto manufacturers

agree to it.

A significant amount of progress has been made in developing this

program. In October, 1995, EPA proposed the National LEV program. In

June of this year, EPA issued a final rule setting forth the basic

framework and regulatory provisions of the National LEV program. EPA

will resolve the remaining issues in a supplemental final rule it

intends to issue this fall. This supplemental notice of proposed

rulemaking (SNPRM) seeks comment on some of the remaining issues to be

addressed in the supplemental final rule.

DATES: Written comments on this SNPRM must be submitted by September

22, 1997 to the address specified below. EPA will hold a public hearing

on this SNPRM on September 8, 1997 if one is requested by August 29,

1997. This hearing, if requested, would begin at 9:00 a.m. and continue

until 4:30 p.m. or until all commenters have the opportunity to

testify.

ADDRESSES: Interested parties may submit written comments (in

triplicate, if possible) to Public Docket No. A-95-26, at: Air Docket

Section, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street SW,

Washington, DC 20460 (Telephone 202-260-7548; Fax 202-260-4400).

Materials relevant to this final rule have been placed in Public Docket

No. A-95-26. The docket is located at the above address, in Room M-

1500, Waterside Mall, and may be inspected weekdays between 8:00 a.m.

and 5:30 p.m. A reasonable fee may be charged by EPA for copying docket

materials.

Members of the public may contact the person indicated below to

find out whether a hearing will be held and, if so, the exact location.

Requests for a public hearing should be directed to the contact person

indicated below. The hearing, if requested, will be held in the Ann

Arbor, Michigan metropolitan area.

For further information on electronic availability of this SNPRM,

see the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section below.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Karl Simon, Office of Mobile Sources,

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street SW, Washington, DC

20460. Telephone (202) 260-3623; Fax (202) 260-6011; e-mail

[email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Regulated Entities

Entities potentially regulated by this action are those that

manufacture and sell motor vehicles in the United States. Regulated

categories and entities include:

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Examples of regulated

Category entities

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Industry.................................. New motor vehicle

manufacturers.

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This table is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather provides a

guide for readers regarding entities likely to be regulated by this

action. This table lists the types of entities that EPA is now aware

could potentially be regulated by this action. Other types of entities

not listed in the table could also be regulated. To determine whether

your activities are regulated by this action, you should carefully

examine the applicability criteria in Sec. 86.1701-97 of the rule

published in the June 6, 1997 Federal Register (62 FR 31192). If you

have questions regarding the applicability of this action to a

particular entity, consult the person listed in the preceding FOR

FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.

Obtaining Electronic Copies of the Regulatory Documents

The preamble, regulatory language, regulatory support document, and

other related documents are also available electronically from the EPA

Internet Web site. This service is free of charge, except for any cost

you already incur for internet connectivity. The electronic version of

this proposed rule is made available on the day of publication on the

primary Web site listed below. The EPA Office of Mobile Sources also

publishes Federal Register notices and related documents on the

secondary Web site listed below.

1. http://www.epa.gov/docs/fedrgstr/EPA-AIR/ (either select desired

date or use Search feature)

2. http://www.epa.gov/OMSWWW/lev-nlev.htm

Please note that due to differences between the software used to

develop the document and the software into which the document may be

downloaded, changes in format, page length, etc. may occur.

I. Outline

The preamble is organized into the following sections.

I. Outline

II. Background

III. National LEV Start Date

IV. National LEV Will Produce Larger VOC and NOX Emission

Reductions in the OTR Compared to OTC State Adopted Section 177

Programs

V. OTC State Commitments

A. Duration of OTC State Commitments

B. Timing of OTC State Commitments, Manufacturer Opt-Ins, and

EPA Finding National LEV in Effect

C. OTC State Commitments, Manufacturer Opt-Ins, and EPA Finding

that National LEV Is in Effect

1. Initial Opt-In by OTC States

2. Manufacturer Opt-Ins

3. EPA Finding That National LEV Is in Effect

4. SIP Revisions

VI. Incentives for Parties to Keep Commitments to Program

A. Offramp for Manufacturers for OTC State Violation of

Commitment

1. OTC State No Longer Accepts National LEV as a Compliance

Alternative

2. OTC State Fails to Submit SIP Revision Committing to National

LEV

3. OTC State Submits Inadequate SIP Revision Committing to

National LEV

B. OTC State or Manufacturer Legitimately Opts Out of National

LEV

C. Offramp for Manufacturers for EPA Failure to Consider In-Use

Fuel Issues

D. Offramp for OTC States

1. OTC State Offramp Based on Manufacturer Opt-Out

2. OTC State Offramp Based on Change to Stable Standards

E. Lead Time Under Section 177

VII. National LEV Will Produce Creditable Emissions Reductions

A. OTC States Will Keep Their Commitments to National LEV

B. EPA is Unlikely to Change a Stable Standard to Allow OTC

States to Opt Out of National LEV

C. EPA is Unlikely to Fail to Consider In-Use Fuels Issues to

Allow Manufacturers to Opt Out of National LEV

VIII. Additional Provisions

[[Page 44755]]

A. Early Reduction Credits for Northeast Trading Region

B. Calculation of Compliance With Fleet Average NMOG Standards

C. Certification of Tier 1 Vehicles in a Violating State

D. Provisions Relating to Changes to Stable Standards

E. Nationwide Trading Region

F. Elimination of Five-Percent Cap on Sales of Tier 1 Vehicles

and TLEVs in the OTR

G. Technical Corrections to Final Framework Rule

IX. Supplemental Federal Test Procedure

A. Background

B. Elements of the CARB Proposal and Applicability Under

National LEV

1. Test Procedure

2. Emission Standards

a. LEVs and ULEVs

b. Tier 1 Vehicles and TLEVs

3. Implementation Schedule

4. Implementation Compliance

X. Administrative Requirements

A. Administrative Designation

B. Regulatory Flexibility

C. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act

D. Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements

XI. Statutory Authority

II. Background 1

This Supplemental Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (SNPRM) is another

step towards a voluntary clean car program (``National LEV'') that will

help control emissions nationwide as well as in the northeastern

states. As discussed in previous Federal Register

documents,2 there have been a number of regulatory and other

steps in the development of this program. The process will conclude

with EPA establishing all the regulations necessary to set up the

voluntary clean car program, which will then come into effect if the

auto manufacturers and the OTC States commit to it. In June of this

year, EPA published a final rule setting forth the framework for the

program, including the specific standards that would apply to new motor

vehicles if manufacturers opted in. See 62 FR 31192 (June 6, 1997)

(``Final Framework Rule''). This SNPRM solicits comments on specified

program issues that EPA must resolve to finalize the regulations for

the National LEV program.3 Once EPA issues that supplemental

final rule, it will be up to the OTC States and the auto manufacturers

to determine whether the program comes into effect.

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\1\ Although this section contains a brief summary of the

National LEV program and the process that led up to it, this SNPRM

assumes that the reader has an in-depth understanding of the

National LEV program and is best read as a supplement to the

October, 1995, NPRM and the June, 1997, Final Framework Rule.

Readers should review those documents for in-depth discussion of the

program, the process and other background information.

\2\ See 60 FR 4712 (Jan. 24, 1995), 60 FR 52734 (Oct. 10, 1995),

62 FR 31192 (June 6, 1997).

\3\ This SNPRM supplements EPA's October 10, 1995, proposal for

the National LEV program (60 FR 52734) (``NPRM'').

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Under the National LEV program, auto manufacturers would have the

option of agreeing to comply with tailpipe standards that are more

stringent than EPA can mandate prior to model year (MY) 2004. Once

manufacturers commit to the program, the standards will be enforceable

in the same manner that other federal motor vehicle emissions control

requirements are enforceable. See the Final Framework Rule at 62 FR

31201-31223 for a detailed discussion of the program structure,

tailpipe and related standards, and legal authority for and

enforceability of National LEV. Manufacturers have indicated their

willingness to volunteer to meet these tighter emissions standards if

EPA and the northeastern states (i.e., those in the Ozone Transport

Commission (OTC) or the ``OTC States'') agree to certain conditions,

including providing manufacturers with regulatory stability and

reducing regulatory burdens by harmonizing federal and California motor

vehicle emissions standards.

The National LEV program has been developed through an

unprecedented, cooperative effort by the OTC States, auto

manufacturers, environmentalists, fuel providers, EPA and other

interested parties. The OTC States and environmentalists provided the

opportunity for this cooperative effort by pushing for adoption of the

California Low Emission Vehicle (CAL LEV) program throughout the

northeast Ozone Transport Region (OTR). Under EPA's leadership, the

states, auto manufacturers, environmentalists, and other interested

parties then embarked on a process to develop a voluntary National LEV

program, a process marked by extensive public participation and a focus

on joint problem solving. See the Final Framework Rule at 62 FR 31199

and the NPRM at 60 FR 52739-52740 for further discussion of public

participation in the National LEV decisionmaking process.

National LEV will provide public health and environmental benefits

by reducing air pollution nationwide. Both inside and outside the OTR,

National LEV will reduce ground level ozone, the principal harmful

component in smog, as well as emissions of other pollutants, including

particulate matter (PM), benzene, and formaldehyde. The Final Framework

Rule contains a substantive discussion on the health and environmental

benefits of the National LEV program. See 62 FR 31195. EPA has

determined that the National LEV program will result in emissions

reductions in the OTR that are equivalent to or greater than the

emissions reductions that would be achieved through OTC State Section

177 Programs. National LEV will also provide manufacturers regulatory

stability and reduce regulatory burden by harmonizing federal and

California motor vehicle standards. This will reduce testing and design

costs for motor vehicles, as well as allow more efficient distribution

and marketing of vehicles nationwide. See the Final Framework Rule at

60 FR 31195-31197 and 31224 for further discussion of the benefits of

the National LEV program.

In addition to the national public health benefits that would

result from National LEV, the program has been motivated largely by the

OTC's efforts to reduce motor vehicle emissions either by adoption of

the CAL LEV program throughout the OTR or by adoption of the National

LEV program. One of the OTC States' efforts was a petition the OTC

filed with EPA. On December 19, 1994, EPA approved this petition, which

requested that EPA require all OTC States to adopt the CAL LEV program

(called the Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle (OTC LEV)

program). See 60 FR 4712 (January 24, 1995) (``OTC LEV Decision''). See

the Final Framework Rule at 60 FR 31195 for a summary of this decision.

In February of this year, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of

Columbia affirmed states' rights to adopt the CAL LEV program, but

reversed EPA's decision requiring the OTC States to do so. Some, but

not all, OTC States have adopted CAL LEV programs to date.

Given statutory constraints on EPA, National LEV will be

implemented only if it is agreed to by the OTC States and the auto

manufacturers. EPA does not have authority to force either the OTC

States or the manufacturers to sign up to the program. EPA cannot

require the auto manufacturers to meet the National LEV standards,

absent the manufacturers' consent, because section 202(b)(1)(C) of the

Clean Air Act (CAA, or ``the Act'') prevents EPA itself from mandating

new exhaust standards applicable before model year 2004. The auto

manufacturers have indicated that they would be willing to opt into

National LEV only if the OTC States make certain commitments, including

committing to allow the manufacturers to comply with National LEV in

lieu of Section 177 Programs. EPA cannot require the OTC States to make

such commitments (although EPA can issue regulations to help make the

commitments enforceable). Thus, National LEV cannot come into effect

[[Page 44756]]

absent the agreement of the auto manufacturers and the OTC States.

Over the past several years, the OTC States and the auto

manufacturers have conducted negotiations to develop an agreement on

National LEV to be contained in a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU).

The parties have reached agreement on most provisions of the National

LEV program. Each side has sent EPA an MOU that it has initialed,

indicating its agreement with the National LEV program as contained in

that Memorandum of Understanding.4 Although there are

differences in the two Memoranda, they show that agreement has been

reached between the OTC States and the auto manufacturers on most of

the provisions of the National LEV program. Based on the MOUs provided

to the Agency, EPA issued the Final Framework Rule on June 6, 1997,

setting the framework for and describing most of the elements of the

National LEV program.

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\4\ See Docket No. A-95-26, IV-G-31 and IV-G-34.

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Although the parties had hoped to jointly sign a comprehensive MOU

affirming their mutual agreement on the National LEV program, the

parties now agree that further discussions are unlikely to result in

resolution of the last outstanding issues. Nonetheless, EPA and the

parties believe that National LEV would provide substantial public

health and environmental benefits. Failure to come to agreement on a

National LEV program would be a significant lost opportunity.

EPA believes that there is sufficient common ground between the

parties to provide a basis for a National LEV program that all parties

could agree to opt into, even if the parties do not first come to

agreement on an MOU laying out the elements of that program. Therefore,

EPA intends to issue a supplemental final rule that would allow the

parties to opt into National LEV even without final agreement on an

MOU. In that final rule, EPA plans to resolve the remaining issues. To

do so, EPA must first take comment on the issues presented in this

notice. EPA believes that finalizing a program for the OTC States and

manufacturers to evaluate as a whole presents the greatest likelihood

that the country will achieve the benefits of National LEV.

EPA is proposing to resolve most of the outstanding issues in the

National LEV program. EPA believes that a targeted proposal will speed

the rulemaking process, give the parties a better sense of the likely

parameters of the final program, and help to focus attention on the few

key critical issues that remain. Nevertheless, in the few areas where

the OTC States and manufacturers are farther apart in their positions

and in the areas where EPA needs more factual information to support a

decision, the Agency is explicitly taking comment on several options.

In this SNPRM, EPA is making proposals and soliciting public

comment on issues relating to how the OTC States will voluntarily opt

into the National LEV program and commit to allow motor vehicle

manufacturers to comply with the National LEV program in lieu of state

Section 177 Programs. These issues include the duration of the OTC

State commitments, the instruments and process through which the OTC

States will commit to the program, and the substantive details of their

commitments.

EPA is also proposing resolutions of several other outstanding

structural details of the National LEV program. These provisions

include the timing of OTC State and auto manufacturer opt-ins to the

National LEV program, incentives for the parties to keep their

commitments to the National LEV program and conditions under which OTC

States and manufacturers could exit the program (``offramps''), and the

start date of the National LEV program.

In addition, EPA is proposing to address a number of technical

issues not fully resolved in the Final Framework Rule. These include

provisions relating to how the off-cycle supplemental federal test

procedure would apply to National LEV vehicles, provisions to address

manufacturer concerns regarding the effect of in-use fuels on National

LEV vehicles, and provisions relating to banking and trading issues.

EPA is soliciting comment solely on the issues raised in this notice

and any closely related elements of the final rule that would need to

be modified in accordance with today's proposals. Except to the extent

that resolution of an issue raised in this notice would necessitate

modifications of the Final Framework Rule, EPA is not reopening that

final rule for further public comment.5

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\5\ The supplemental final rule will resolve the issues raised

in this SNPRM, the issues that were raised in the NPRM and not

resolved in the Final Framework Rule, and any closely related

elements of the Final Framework Rule that would need to be modified

in accordance with today's proposal. The reader should be aware

that, although the CAA does not require publication of proposed

regulatory text, EPA has included the proposed regulatory text for

most, but not all, of the proposed program elements. Also, for some

provisions of the Final Framework Rule where EPA is not proposing a

change in the language but is merely reordering the provisions, EPA

has not reproduced those provisions here. In particular, please note

that EPA is not proposing to modify or drop 40 CFR 86.1705(g)(5) in

the existing final regulations. While a new provision in today's

proposed regulations is designated Sec. 86.1705(g)(5), the existing

provision will be renumbered in the supplemental final rule.

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III. National LEV Start Date

Although EPA had proposed model year MY1997 as the start date for

National LEV,6 in the Final Framework Rule EPA used MY1997

only as a placeholder for the start date of National LEV. EPA noted

that MY1997 was no longer a reasonable start date due to changes in

circumstances after the proposal. Today EPA proposes that the National

LEV program start in MY1999. This would still produce VOC and

NOX emissions reductions from National LEV that are

equivalent to or exceed the emissions reductions that would occur in

the OTR in the absence of National LEV, as discussed below in section

IV.

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\6\ 60 FR 52746 (Oct. 10, 1995).

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As initially proposed by the manufacturers and negotiated with the

OTC States, National LEV was designed to begin in MY1997. Thus, EPA

used MY1997 as the program start date in modeling the volatile organic

compound (VOC) and nitrogen oxide (NOX) emissions reductions

from National LEV and in finding that those reductions were equivalent

to or greater than the emissions reductions expected from OTC LEV,

assuming that OTC LEV was implemented by the OTC States by the date

required under the OTC LEV state implementation program (SIP) call

(i.e., all OTC States were to have state LEV programs effective in

MY1999). In addition, the MOUs initialed by the OTC States and the

manufacturers assumed a program start date of MY1997. However, as EPA

noted in the Final Framework Rule, changed circumstances have since

made a National LEV start date of MY1997 unrealistic. Thus, in the

Final Framework Rule, EPA used MY1997 as a placeholder for the start

date for National LEV, but noted that it would take comment on a

realistic start date at a later time.

Several factors make a National LEV start date of MY1997

unrealistic. Given the delays that have occurred in reaching agreement

between the manufacturers and the OTC States, and the resulting delays

in the National LEV rulemaking, manufacturers are unlikely to be able

to opt into National LEV prior to late in calendar year 1997. By then,

manufacturers will have already completed EPA certification and

agreements with suppliers for the MY1998 vehicles. A MY1997 start date

would effectively require manufacturers to begin the program with

debits for MY1997 and probably for MY1998 as

[[Page 44757]]

well, and then make up those debits over the next few model years. EPA

does not believe it is reasonable to have the National LEV program

start with some manufacturers having debits from the beginning, which

will be difficult to erase as the fleet average NMOG standards become

more stringent.

Moreover, the court decision vacating EPA's OTC LEV decision

removed the legal requirement for National LEV to produce emissions

reductions at least equivalent to those that would be produced by OTC

LEV under EPA's SIP call. Nor does EPA believe there is any compelling

practical need to begin National LEV effective MY1997. Because many of

the OTC States will not have Section 177 Programs in place effective

MY1999, and there is no longer a SIP call requiring such programs, a

MY1997 start date for National LEV is not necessary to produce a

quantity of emissions reductions equivalent to or greater than those

that would be produced in the absence of National LEV through the

alternative approach of individual OTC State adoption of Section 177

Programs. Even if National LEV begins in MY1999, the program will still

produce emissions benefits in the OTR at least equivalent to and likely

significantly greater than the alternative, as well as producing

substantial additional emissions reductions for the rest of the

country.

EPA is proposing that National LEV start with MY1999. All

requirements set forth in the Final Framework Rule for MY1997 and

MY1998 would be dropped. National LEV would start in MY1999 with all

the requirements set forth in the Final Framework Rule for MY1999

(e.g., non-methane organic gas (NMOG) average of 0.148 grams/mile for

light-duty vehicles and light light-duty trucks (0-3750 loaded vehicle

weight (LVW)) in the OTR). In proposing a start date of MY1999, EPA is

proposing to drop the first two years of the National LEV program set

forth in the Final Framework Rule--it is not proposing that the entire

program be delayed two years. Thus, the 2001 nationwide NMOG fleet

average of 0.075 g/mi for light-duty vehicles and light light-duty

trucks (0-3750 LVW) would not be changed. EPA has not included in

today's notice proposed new regulatory language to reflect this

proposed start date due to the straightforward nature of the necessary

changes to the regulations.7

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\7\ The sections in the Final Framework Rule regulations that

would need to be modified to account for a start date of MY1999

include 40 CFR 86.097-1, 86.101, 86.1701-97, 86.1705-97, 86.1708-97,

86.1709-97, and 86.1710-97. In addition, section titles would need

to be changed in some sections, such as 40 CFR 86.602-97, 86.1003-

97, 86.1012-97, and all subpart R sections. EPA is taking comment on

other changes to the Final Framework Rule regulations that need to

be made to account for the change in start dates for the National

LEV program.

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EPA is also taking comment on allowing manufacturers to sell

California-certified vehicles instead of National LEV vehicles

throughout the Northeast Trading Region (NTR) for MY1999 and MY2000.

Manufacturers are concerned that they would have insufficient time to

produce and certify National LEV vehicles for these two model years

given the likely effective date of the National LEV program and their

typical production planning cycles, which call for determining models

to be produced and arranging for parts with suppliers in advance of

actual vehicle production. Allowing manufacturers to increase their

production of California-certified vehicles and sell them throughout

the NTR could help manufacturers meet the National LEV fleet average

NMOG standards for these two model years. To date, EPA has required

manufacturers to certify to federal National LEV standards and

requirements, rather than accepting California-certified-vehicles

alone, to ensure that all federal certification requirements are met.

While National LEV harmonizes most of the elements of the federal and

California motor vehicle programs, certain additional elements of the

federal program would not necessarily be met by California-certified

vehicles.

IV. National LEV Will Produce Larger VOC and NOX Emission

Reductions in the OTR Compared to OTC State Adopted Section 177

Programs

In the Final Framework Rule, EPA found that the National LEV

program would provide greater emission reductions than those from OTC

LEV (which is equivalent to state-by-state adoption of the CAL LEV

program throughout the OTR). See 62 FR 31224. EPA assumed a start date

of MY1997 for the National LEV program and MY1999 for the state Section

177 Programs. EPA noted at that time that it would update the modeling

of benefits in the OTR to reflect realistic start date assumptions.

Since the MY2001 introduction of National LEV vehicles nationwide

remains unaffected by today's proposal, National LEV will continue to

provide substantial emission reductions to the 37 states outside the

OTR (``37 States''). EPA's modeling includes nationwide emissions

inventories as well (included in Docket A-95-26).

Using realistic start dates, EPA's modeling shows that National LEV

would produce larger VOC and NOx emission reductions in the

OTR than would Section 177 Programs in the OTR. This modeling is based

on National LEV starting in MY1999, which EPA is proposing today, and

on state Section 177 Programs going into effect as provided in the

current state regulations. EPA's modeling includes a sensitivity

analysis that shows National LEV would produce greater emission

reductions than state Section 177 Programs even if all OTC States

adopted Section 177 Programs as quickly as is realistically possible,

given their current status.

EPA's updated analysis more accurately reflects expected reductions

from OTC State Section 177 Programs than did the analysis described in

the Final Framework Rule. EPA's previous modeling assumed that all of

the OTC States had Section 177 Programs in effect for MY1999 and later.

Given the two-year lead time requirement for such adoption, as

specified in section 177 of the Clean Air Act, it is impossible for all

OTC States to have a Section 177 Program in place for MY1999. In fact,

only six states have adopted a Section 177 Program as of July 1, 1997:

New York, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, and

Vermont. While other OTC States are contemplating adoption of a Section

177 Program, the earliest any such adoption could become enforceable is

MY2000. EPA's analysis does not assume that any other OTC State will

implement a Section 177 Program. Therefore, for purposes of modeling

emission benefits, EPA is capturing the current level of CAL LEV

adoption in the OTR. EPA believes that this realistic assumption is the

proper comparison to National LEV since legally, individual state

adoption is the only manner in which California vehicles can be

required in the Northeast.

EPA's modeling shows that National LEV would achieve greater

emission reductions in the OTR than individual OTC State Section 177

Programs. The emission levels are listed in the table below. The

modeling is based on National LEV starting in MY1999 in the OTR and

MY2001 in the rest of the country. For the OTC State Section 177

Program case, EPA included only those OTC States that have adopted the

CAL LEV program and will have an enforceable state program as of July

1, 1997. These states and their program start dates are New York

(MY1996), Massachusetts (MY1996), Rhode Island (MY1999), Connecticut

(MY1998), Vermont (MY1999), and New Jersey (MY1999). All other states

would receive Federal Tier 1 vehicles. EPA did

[[Page 44758]]

not include existing OTC State zero emission vehicle (ZEV) sales

mandates in either of its modeling runs since these mandates are not

affected by the National LEV rule. ZEV sales mandates would thus have

similar effects on emission levels in both modeling cases and would not

affect the relative emissions benefits of National LEV compared to

those of OTC State Section 177 Programs.

EPA believes its current modeling makes the appropriate assumptions

and correctly estimates a realistic level of OTC State Section 177

Programs. However, to test its assumptions, EPA also ran a sensitivity

analysis assuming that the seven OTC States without a Section 177

Program in place as of July 1, 1997 had adopted the program effective

in MY2000, the earliest time a state that had not yet adopted a Section

177 Program could legally enforce such a program, given the two year

lead time requirement in section 177 of the Act. This analysis showed

that, even with all 13 OTC States having a Section 177 Program in place

at the earliest possible times, National LEV still provided greater

emission reductions in the Northeast.

Table 1.--Ozone Season Weekday Emissions for Highway Vehicles in the OTR

[Tons/day]

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OTC state National

Year Pollutant CAL LEV LEV

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2005.......................... NMOG 1,573 1,499

NOX 2,526 2,403

2007.......................... NMOG 1,480 1,366

NOX 2,427 2,226

2015.......................... NMOG 1,386 1,148

NOX 2,367 1,899

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V. OTC State Commitments

A. Duration of OTC State Commitments

EPA is proposing that the OTC States would commit to the National

LEV program until MY2006. This means that the OTC States would commit

to accept manufacturers' compliance with National LEV (or equally or

more stringent mandatory federal standards) as an alternative to

compliance with a state Section 177 Program through MY2005. The length

of the auto manufacturers' commitment was set in the Final Framework

Rule. Under that rule, manufacturers that opt into the program would be

bound to comply with National LEV until the first model year that

manufacturers are subject to a mandatory federal tailpipe emissions

program at least as stringent as the National LEV program with respect

to NMOG, NOX and carbon monoxide (CO) exhaust emissions

(``Tier 2 standards''). Under section 202(b)(1)(c) of the Clean Air

Act, EPA could not mandate such standards prior to MY2004. Thus, the

manufacturers' commitment to National LEV lasts at least until MY2004

and could last longer.

The proposed duration of the OTC State commitments differs slightly

from the duration specified in the initialed MOUs. The initialed MOUs

provide that the auto manufacturers' and the states' commitments to the

program would end at the same time. Under the MOU approach, the auto

manufacturers' and the states' commitments would last through MY2003

and possibly through MY2005, depending on whether, by January 1, 2001,

EPA had promulgated a final rule mandating Tier 2 standards at least as

stringent as National LEV and effective in MY2004, MY2005, or MY2006.

If EPA did not issue the specified regulations on time, then National

LEV would end with MY2003 and, starting in MY2004, in any state where

California or OTC LEV standards were not in place, the applicable

standards for manufacturers would revert back to the federal Tier 1

standards.

In the Final Framework Rule, EPA did not accept the MOU provisions

for setting the duration of the National LEV program. As it explained

fully in that final rule, EPA rejected the MOU provisions because it is

unacceptable to set up a program that has the country take a step

backward environmentally if the Agency fails to act by a specified

deadline. Instead, under the Final Framework Rule, the auto

manufacturers' commitment to National LEV would continue until a

mandatory national tailpipe emissions program that is at least

equivalent in stringency to the National LEV program is in effect. Once

EPA promulgates such a mandatory tailpipe emissions program, the

manufacturers' obligation under the National LEV program would end in

the first model year that the mandatory program is at least as

stringent on a fleet wide basis as National LEV. Under section

202(b)(1)(C) of the Clean Air Act, this cannot occur until MY2004.

Today's proposal attempts to be as faithful to the OTC States' and

auto manufacturers' intent regarding the duration of state commitments

to National LEV as is possible, given that EPA did not accept the MOU

provision that would have put the country back to Tier 1 if EPA failed

to issue Tier 2 standards by a certain date. The MOU approach to the

duration of the OTC State commitments indicates that the OTC States are

willing to commit to National LEV through MY2005, if they are assured

that they would continue to receive vehicles meeting LEV stringency or

better standards (on average). The Final Framework Rule provisions for

the duration of the auto manufacturers' commitment provides such

assurance. Thus, EPA's proposed approach to duration of the OTC State

commitments would not bind the states beyond what they have indicated

is acceptable. Moreover, under the MOU approach to the duration of the

OTC State commitments, under no circumstances would the states be bound

beyond MY2005, so the manufacturers could not have expected the OTC

State commitments to extend further.

EPA believes this approach is also fair to the manufacturers. It

gives them the maximum stability (both in terms of state LEV programs

and nationwide tailpipe standards) that they could have hoped to have

achieved under the MOU. Admittedly, the manufacturers' commitment to

National LEV may last longer than the OTC States' commitment (it could

also end earlier), but only if the National LEV standards remain

effective longer than currently anticipated. Manufacturers thus would

get more stability of nationwide tailpipe standards than they had

bargained for, which does not provide justification for requiring

states to extend their commitments beyond MY2005.

[[Page 44759]]

B. Timing of OTC State Commitments, Manufacturer Opt-Ins, and EPA

Finding National LEV in Effect

EPA is proposing a process for the OTC States and the manufacturers

to opt into the National LEV program and for EPA to find the program in

effect that would allow the program to go into effect without requiring

the parties to sign an MOU. As discussed in the notice of proposed

rulemaking (NPRM) (60 FR 52742), to implement the program promptly upon

completion of the National LEV rulemaking, there needs to be a deadline

for EPA to assess whether the National LEV program is in effect. Also,

EPA must establish deadlines for the OTC States and manufacturers to

opt into National LEV in advance of the deadline for EPA's

determination.

EPA is proposing the following timing for the OTC States and

manufacturers to opt into National LEV, and for EPA to find the program

in effect. Because National LEV needs to be in place as soon as

possible to ensure that it is available for MY1999, the following

deadlines are based on the date of signature of the supplemental final

rule.8 Seventy-five days from signature of the final

supplemental rule, EPA would be required to determine whether the

National LEV program was in effect (see section V.C.3 below for the

criteria for finding National LEV in effect). This finding would be

based on the OTC States' initial opt-in packages from their Governors

and state environmental commissioners or secretaries (discussed below

in section V.C) that were submitted no later than 45 days from the date

of signature of the final supplemental rule and on the manufacturers'

opt-ins submitted no later than 60 days from signature of the final

supplemental rule. If EPA were to find National LEV in effect, all

parties would be bound by their commitments to the program. While any

party that missed its deadline for opt-in would not be barred from

submitting a late opt-in, EPA would only be required to consider timely

opt-ins in determining whether National LEV is in effect. Moreover,

given the very short timeframe for the opt-in process and the fact that

some parties may be reluctant to opt in before they know whether others

will do so, a late opt-in is likely to jeopardize the start-up of the

program.

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\8\ EPA would provide directly affected parties actual notice

and make copies of the final rule available within a week of

signature.

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EPA recognizes that the proposed deadlines are quite tight, and

will require swift action by the parties. Given both the manufacturers'

production schedules and the earliest plausible signature date for the

supplemental final rule, any extension of the proposed schedule may

jeopardize the MY1999 start date and, thus, the entire program.

Nevertheless, EPA requests comment on the proposed schedule and the

viable start date for the program.

EPA is proposing that, after the initial opt-ins and an EPA finding

that the program is in effect, the OTC States would generally have one

year from the date of the in-effect finding to submit the final portion

of their opt-ins, which would be a SIP revision committing the state to

the National LEV program and allowing manufacturers to comply with

National LEV as an alternative to a state Section 177 Program, as

described in more detail in section V.C.4 below. EPA is aware that a

few states, specifically Delaware, New Hampshire, Virginia and the

District of Columbia, have particular circumstances related to their

state rulemaking processes that make a one year deadline unrealistic.

Thus, EPA proposes that for these states, the deadlines would be

eighteen months from the date of the in-effect finding. The consequence

of a state missing its deadline for submission of its SIP revision

committing to National LEV would be that the manufacturers would have

the opportunity to opt out of the program. See section VI below for

further discussion of offramps.

C. OTC State Commitments, Manufacturer Opt-Ins, and EPA's Finding That

National LEV is in Effect

This section describes EPA's proposed process for the OTC States

and the manufacturers to commit to the National LEV program and for EPA

to find the program in effect. This includes how the OTC States would

commit to the program, the elements of their commitments, the

permissible conditions on OTC State and manufacturer opt-ins, and the

criteria that EPA would use to find the program in effect.

1. Initial Opt-In by OTC States

EPA proposes that the OTC States would commit to National LEV in

two steps, the first of which would be an opt-in package from each

state's Governor and environmental commissioner, indicating the OTC

State's intent to opt into National LEV. The second step would be a SIP

revision incorporating the OTC State's commitment to National LEV in

state regulations, which EPA would approve into the federally

enforceable SIP.

EPA proposes that, within 45 days of signature of the supplemental

final rule, the Governor (or Mayor, in the District of Columbia) would

submit to EPA an executive order (or, for some states, a letter)

committing the OTC State to the National LEV program. The executive

order (or letter) would contain three main elements. First, it would

state that its purpose is to opt the state into National LEV. Second,

it would state that the Governor is forwarding a letter signed by the

head of the state environmental agency (or other appropriate agency or

department), which specifies the details of the state's commitment to

the National LEV program. Third, it would state that the Governor has

directed the head of the state environmental agency to take the

necessary steps to adopt regulations and submit a SIP revision

committing the state to National LEV in accordance with the

requirements of the National LEV regulations. In addition, OTC States

with existing ZEV mandates 9 may add language confirming

that the opt-in will not affect the state's requirements pertaining to

ZEVs.

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\9\ ZEV mandates are those state regulations or other laws that

impose (or purport to impose) obligations on auto manufacturers to

produce or sell a certain number or percentage of ZEVs. EPA is

proposing that any OTC State with a ZEV mandate that was adopted

prior to the OTC State's opt-in to National LEV would be treated as

a state with an existing ZEV mandate. EPA takes comment on whether

another cut-off date would be appropriate in place of the date of

the state's opt-in, including: September 15, 1996; the signature

date of the Final Framework Rule; the signature date of the final

supplemental rule; and the date of EPA's finding that National LEV

is in effect.

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The Governor's executive order (or letter) would enclose a letter

signed by the state environmental commissioner or secretary of the

appropriate state department (``commissioner's letter''), which would

specify the details of the state's commitment to National LEV.

Alternatively, if an OTC State has proposed regulations meeting the

requirements for a SIP revision specified below, the state may

substitute the proposed regulations for the portions of the

commissioner's letter for which they are duplicative. In that case, the

Governor would send to EPA the Governor's executive order (or letter),

the proposed regulations, and a letter from the commissioner, which

would contain the elements specified below that were not included in

the proposed regulations.

EPA is proposing that the commissioner's letter would include the

following elements. First, it would indicate that National LEV would

achieve reductions of VOC and NOx emissions equivalent to or

greater than the reductions that would be achieved through state

adopted Section 177 Programs in the OTR. Second, it would

[[Page 44760]]

indicate that the state intends National LEV to be the state's new

motor vehicle emissions control program. Third, it would state that for

the duration of the state's participation in National LEV, the state

will accept National LEV or mandatory federal standards of at least

equivalent stringency as a compliance alternative to any state Section

177 Program. A state Section 177 Program is any regulation or other

law, except a ZEV mandate, adopted by an OTC State in accordance with

section 177 and which is applicable to passenger cars, light duty

trucks up through 6,000 pounds GVWR, and/or medium-duty vehicles from

6,001 to 14,000 pounds GVWR if designed to operate on gasoline, as

these vehicle categories are defined under the California regulations.

(This commitment would not restrict states from adopting and

implementing requirements under section 177 for heavy-duty trucks and

engines and diesel-powered vehicles between 6,001 and 14,000 pounds

GVWR.) The letter would further state that the state's participation in

National LEV extends until MY2006, except as provided in the National

LEV regulations' provisions for the duration of the OTC State

commitments, including provisions for state offramps. The offramps

would allow the OTC States to exit National LEV if an auto manufacturer

decided to exit the program. OTC States without existing ZEV mandate

provisions would add a statement that the state accepts National LEV as

a compliance alternative to any ZEV mandates. OTC States with existing

ZEV mandate provisions would add a statement that their acceptance of

National LEV as a compliance alternative for state Section 177 Programs

does not include or have any effect on the OTC State's ZEV mandates.

Fourth, the commissioner's letter would include both an explicit

recognition that the manufacturers are opting into National LEV in

reliance on the OTC States' opt-ins, and a recognition that the

commitments in the initial OTC State opt-in package have not yet gone

through the state rulemaking process to be incorporated into state

regulations, so they do not yet have the force of law; in addition, the

letter would recognize that the state's executive branch must comply

with any laws passed by the state legislature that might affect the

state's commitment. Fifth, the commissioner's letter would include an

acknowledgment that, if a manufacturer were to opt out of National LEV

pursuant to the opt-out provisions in the National LEV regulations, the

transition from the National LEV requirements to any state Section 177

Program or ZEV mandate would be governed by the National LEV

regulations. Sixth, similar to the manufacturers' opt-in letters, the

commissioner's letter would state that the state supports the

legitimacy of the National LEV program and EPA's authority to

promulgate the National LEV regulations.

As it stated in the NPRM for National LEV (60 FR 52740), EPA

believes that the decision regarding adoption of ZEV mandates by OTC

States must be left up to each individual OTC State, to the extent

permitted under section 177. The OTC States have indicated that they

support certain commitments regarding ZEV mandates by including those

provisions in the MOU voted on by the OTC and initialed by the OTC

pursuant to the vote. EPA is proposing in the alternative that the OTC

States without existing ZEV mandate provisions would either have to

include a statement in the commissioner's letter indicating that the

state intends to forbear from adopting a ZEV mandate effective before

MY2006 or would have to include a statement that the state will forbear

from adopting such a provision. The draft MOU initialed by the OTC

contains the ``intends to'' language, while the draft MOU initialed by

the manufacturers uses the ``will'' language.

EPA is also taking comment on whether those OTC States that have

not adopted a Section 177 Program at the time of signature of the

supplemental final rule should include in the commissioner's letter a

statement that the state intends to or will forbear from adopting a

Section 177 Program effective before MY2006. The draft MOU initialed by

the manufacturers included a statement that certain OTC States would

forbear from adopting such ``backstop'' Section 177

Programs,10 while the draft MOU initialed by the OTC States

did not include any statement regarding adoption of such backstop

programs.

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\10\ ``Backstop'' Section 177 Programs are programs that allow

National LEV as a compliance alternative to the Section 177 Program

requirements.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Finally, EPA is proposing that the commissioner's letter may

include a statement that the state's opt-in to National LEV is

conditioned on all of the motor vehicle manufacturers listed in the

National LEV regulations opting into National LEV pursuant to the

National LEV regulations and on EPA finding National LEV to be in

effect. EPA is further proposing that, as with the manufacturers' opt-

ins, no conditions other than those specified in the regulations may be

placed on any of the state opt-in instruments (the Governor's executive

order (or letter), the commissioner's letter, or the SIP revision).

EPA is taking comment on whether the regulations should allow an

OTC State to condition its opt-in on signature of an acceptable

independent agreement with the manufacturers to promote advanced

technology vehicles (ATVs). Although EPA agrees that advancing

technology is an important policy goal and EPA believes that the

National LEV program could be a part of an agreement that would provide

important opportunities to promote ATVs, as proposed, the regulatory

portion of the National LEV program does not address ATVs. EPA also

recognizes that the manufacturers have indicated their belief that any

agreement on ATVs should only be addressed as part of a larger MOU

committing to National LEV. Some of the OTC States, however, have

indicated a continuing interest in an ATV agreement and the desire to

condition their opt-ins on the signature of an ATV agreement. Such an

agreement could be comprehensive, as contemplated by the agreement

contained in the MOU. Or, it could be a smaller agreement between a

particular state or states and a particular manufacturer or

manufacturers. EPA believes that if such a condition were allowed, it

would have to be met prior to EPA finding that National LEV was in

effect. Under the proposed timetable, this would allow manufacturers

and states only 30 days to conclude such an agreement after the due

date for the OTC States' initial opt-in packages. Even if manufacturers

were amenable to some type of an ATV agreement (or agreements with

individual states), conditioning an opt-in on an undefined ATV

agreement might dissuade manufacturers from opting in. Therefore, EPA

believes that the questions of whether there will be any ATV agreements

and if so, what they will contain, are best determined between the auto

manufacturers and the OTC States prior to the deadline for state opt-

ins.

In the proposed regulations, EPA is proposing specific language for

each element of the OTC States' opt-ins to be included in the

Governor's executive order (or letter), the commissioner's letter, and

the SIP revision. EPA is also taking comment on whether it is necessary

for EPA to specify language or whether it would be sufficient for the

National LEV regulations to identify the elements that must be in the

OTC States' opt-in documents without specifying exact language.

Although it is somewhat unusual for EPA to identify specific

[[Page 44761]]

language for state submissions, EPA believes this may be an appropriate

case to do so. Because the OTC States and manufacturers are signing up

for a voluntary program and are unlikely to sign an MOU, using

specified language would be useful to ensure that they sign up to the

same program. Otherwise, the opt-ins might not represent agreement on

the terms and conditions of the voluntary National LEV program. In

addition, as discussed further below, EPA proposes to find National LEV

in effect without providing for additional notice-and-comment on

whether the conditions are met for finding National LEV in effect. It

is more appropriate to proceed without additional rulemaking if the

Agency's in-effect finding is essentially a nondiscretionary action

based on clear factual determinations. If EPA must use its discretion

to determine whether a state has adequately committed to National LEV,

that might require further rulemaking and substantially delay

implementation of the program. However, if the OTC States use the

language specified in the regulations, which EPA will have determined

to be adequate through a notice-and-comment rulemaking, EPA could find

National LEV in effect on that basis.

EPA recognizes that some states may need to use language for

certain elements of the opt-in that deviates in a few respects from the

language proposed today, due to the requirements of different states'

individual administrative laws and rulemaking procedures. EPA requests

that any OTC States that have concerns about using the proposed

language notify EPA to that effect in comments on this proposal. EPA

requests that any such comments include alternate suggested language

for the specified elements of the opt-in, and that a state make the

minimum adjustments to the language necessary to allow the state to opt

into National LEV. EPA proposes to provide in the final rule alternate

approved specific language for specific states, as necessary to account

for individual states' particular needs. Any such language would still

need to address each of the opt-in elements and commit the state

adequately to the National LEV program. EPA also recognizes that a

state may wish to include background information, especially in the

Governor's executive order (or letter). This would be permissible under

EPA's proposed regulations, providing that the additional information

did not add conditions to the state's opt-in.

2. Manufacturer Opt-Ins

EPA is proposing that motor vehicle manufacturers' opt-ins to

National LEV would be due within 60 days from signature of the final

rule. As provided in the Final Framework Rule, a manufacturer would opt

into National LEV by submitting a written notification signed by the

Vice President for Environmental Affairs (or a company official of at

least equivalent authority who is authorized to bind the company to the

National LEV program) that unambiguously and unconditionally states

that the manufacturer is opting into the program, subject only to

conditions expressly contemplated by the regulations. See 40 CFR

86.1705(c)(2). EPA is proposing that the only permissible conditions in

a manufacturer's opt-in notification would be that all of the OTC

States opt into National LEV pursuant to the National LEV regulations

and that EPA find the program to be in effect. These conditions

parallel the proposed permissible conditions described above for the

OTC States' opt-ins.

3. EPA Finding That National LEV is in Effect

The OTC States' and the auto manufacturers' opt-ins would become

effective upon EPA's receipt of the opt-in notification or, if the opt-

in were conditioned, upon the satisfaction of that condition. Under

today's proposal, EPA would find National LEV in effect if each OTC

State and each listed manufacturer were to submit an opt-in

notification that complied with the requirements for opt-ins, and all

conditions on any of those opt-ins had been satisfied (or would be

satisfied upon EPA finding National LEV in effect). EPA is also taking

comment on whether the Agency should be able to find National LEV in

effect if each of the listed manufacturers were to submit an opt-in

notification that complied with the requirements for opt-ins, each of

the opt-in notifications submitted by an OTC State complied with the

requirements for opt-ins, and any conditions placed upon any of the

opt-ins were satisfied, even if fewer than all OTC States opted into

National LEV. EPA believes that National LEV should be a national

program--effective in all states but California. This would provide the

OTR with emissions reductions greater than what could be achieved

without National LEV and would simplify distribution and other aspects

of the sale of motor vehicles. Moreover, the manufacturers have stated

that they are not willing to opt into National LEV unless each and

every OTC State opts into National LEV. However, if the OTC States and

auto manufacturers are willing to participate in a National LEV program

even if all OTC States do not opt-in, EPA will not stand in the way of

National LEV going into effect. Once EPA finds National LEV in effect,

the manufacturers would be subject to the National LEV requirements for

new motor vehicles for the duration of the program, and the OTC States

would be committed to participate in the National LEV program for the

duration of their commitments, as discussed above in section V.A.

While the OTC States' SIP revisions are a necessary component of

their commitments to National LEV, EPA is proposing to make the finding

as to whether National LEV is in effect before the OTC States' SIP

revisions are due. Through the executive order (or letter), the

Governor of each state will have opted into National LEV and started

the process for submission of an approvable SIP revision. Also, as

discussed further below, EPA is proposing that an OTC State's failure

to submit the SIP revision within the time provided for submission

would give manufacturers an opportunity to opt out of the National LEV

program. Together, this high level directive for action and the

consequences of a failure to conclude the action provide substantial

assurance that the OTC States will submit their SIP revisions within

the specified time.

EPA would publish the finding that National LEV is in effect in the

Federal Register, but the Agency would not need to go through

additional rulemaking to make this determination. In the Final

Framework Rule, EPA stated that further Agency rulemaking to find

National LEV in effect would be unnecessary because EPA would establish

the criteria for the finding through notice-and-comment rulemaking, and

EPA's finding that the criteria are satisfied would be an easily

verified objective determination. See 62 FR 31226 (June 6, 1997). As

discussed above, to find National LEV in effect, EPA would have to

determine that the OTC States and the manufacturers had submitted opt-

in notifications that met the requirements specified in the regulations

and that any conditions on those opt-ins had been satisfied. EPA

established most of the specifics of the manufacturers' opt-in

notifications in the Final Framework Rule after taking comment on those

issues in the NPRM. In today's SNPRM, EPA is taking comment on

additional details of manufacturer opt-in notifications and the

specifics of the OTC States' opt-in notifications, which EPA will

finalize in the supplemental final rule. Thus, the

[[Page 44762]]

public will have had full opportunity to comment on the adequacy of the

elements of the manufacturers' and OTC States' opt-ins and the language

provided for those opt-ins. As with the manufacturers' opt-ins,

determining whether a state has used the specified language without

adding any conditions is a simple, objective determination, which would

not require further rulemaking. Similarly, if OTC States or

manufacturers conditioned their opt-ins on either all manufacturers or

all OTC States opting into National LEV, determining whether these

conditions were satisfied would be a simple factual inquiry involving

no discretion on the part of EPA. Thus, EPA proposes to find that

National LEV is in effect without conducting further rulemaking if the

Agency determines that it has received opt-in notifications from each

OTC State and listed manufacturer that include the specified elements

in approved language without qualifications and the Agency determines

that all conditions on those opt-ins have been satisfied.

4. SIP Revisions

EPA proposes that within one year of the date of EPA's finding that

National LEV is in effect, the OTC States would complete the second

phase of their commitments to National LEV by submitting SIP revisions

to EPA incorporating their commitments (``National LEV SIP

revisions'').11 EPA proposes that the SIP revisions would

contain the following elements incorporated in enforceable state

regulations. The first regulatory provision would commit that, for the

duration of the state's participation in National LEV, the

manufacturers may comply with National LEV or mandatory federal

standards of at least equivalent stringency as a compliance alternative

to any state Section 177 Program (which is any regulation or other law,

except a ZEV mandate, adopted by an OTC State in accordance with

section 177 and which is applicable to passenger cars, light duty

trucks up through 6,000 pounds GVWR, and medium-duty vehicles from

6,001 to 14,000 pounds GVWR if designed to operate on gasoline, as

these vehicle categories are defined under the California

regulations).12 This provision would not restrict states

from adopting and implementing requirements under section 177 for

heavy-duty trucks and engines and diesel-powered vehicles between 6,001

and 14,000 pounds GVWR. The regulations would also commit the state to

participate in National LEV until MY2006, except as provided in the

National LEV regulatory provisions for the duration of the OTC State

commitments, including provisions for state offramps. States that did

not have an existing ZEV mandate (see n. 9 above) would additionally

provide that manufacturers may comply with National LEV as a compliance

alternative to any ZEV mandates for the duration of the state's

participation in National LEV. The second element of the state

regulations would explicitly acknowledge that, if a manufacturer were

to opt out of National LEV pursuant to the opt-out provisions in the

National LEV regulations, the transition from the National LEV

requirements to any state Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate (for

states without existing ZEV mandates) would be governed by the National

LEV regulations, thereby incorporating these National LEV provisions by

reference into state law.

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\11\ See section V.B above for discussion of the proposed

extended deadline for a few specified states.

\12\ OTC States that had Section 177 Programs at the time of

opt-in would need to modify their existing regulations in accordance

with this provision. EPA is also taking comment on whether by some

earlier date (perhaps June 1, 1998), OTC States with Section 177

Programs at the time of opt-in would have to take whatever actions

would be necessary to ensure that manufacturers complying with

National LEV in MY1999 would not have to comply with the state

Section 177 Program for MY1999.

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The SIP submission to EPA would include state regulations

containing the elements discussed above, and a transmittal letter or

similar document from the state commissioner forwarding those

regulations. EPA proposes that three additional elements of the SIP

commitment may be included either in the transmittal letter or the

state regulations. First, the state would commit to support National

LEV as an acceptable alternative to state Section 177 Programs. Second,

the state would recognize that its commitment to National LEV is

necessary to ensure that National LEV remain in effect. Third, the

state would state that it is submitting the SIP revision to EPA in

accordance with the National LEV regulations.

EPA is further proposing that the provisions of the OTC States'

commitments relating to ZEV mandates should also be included in the SIP

revision. EPA is proposing in the alternative that in the transmittal

letter portion of the SIP submission to EPA, each OTC State without an

existing ZEV mandate (see n. 9 above) would have to state either that,

for the duration of the state's participation in National LEV, the

state intends to forbear from adopting any ZEV mandate provisions

effective before MY2006, or the state will forbear from adopting such

provisions. EPA is taking comment on whether this commitment instead

should be incorporated in the state's regulations.

Finally, EPA is also taking comment on whether those OTC States

that have not adopted a Section 177 Program at the time of signature of

the supplemental final rule should include in the transmittal letter

for the SIP revision or in the state regulations a statement that the

state intends to or will forbear from adopting a Section 177 Program

effective before MY2006. As noted above, the draft MOU initialed by the

manufacturers included a statement that certain OTC States would

forbear from adopting such backstop Section 177 Programs, while the

draft MOU initialed by the OTC States did not include any comparable

statement.

As with the finding that National LEV is in effect, EPA is

proposing that the Agency could approve SIP revisions committing to the

National LEV program without further rulemaking, as long as the

revisions include the language specified in the regulations without

adding conditions and meet the CAA requirements for approvable SIP

submissions. In this notice, EPA is providing full opportunity for

public comment on the language that the states would use in their SIP

revisions. Thus, in reviewing a SIP submittal, EPA would only have to

determine whether the submittal included the specified language without

additional conditions, and whether it met the statutory criteria for

approvable SIP submissions, as laid out in sections 110(a)(2) and

110(l) of the CAA. Section 110(a)(2), in relevant part, specifies that

the state must have provided public notice and a hearing on the SIP

provisions and the submission must provide necessary assurances that

the state will have adequate personnel, funding and authority under

state law to carry out the provisions. Section 110(l) (discussed in

more detail below) provides that SIP revisions must not interfere with

attainment or any other applicable requirement.

In this case, these requirements for EPA's approval are easily

verified objective criteria. They would leave EPA little discretion in

deciding whether to approve the SIP revision, and consequently would

remove any benefits to be derived from conducting notice-and-comment

rulemaking on each approval. Determining whether the language of the

SIP submittal tracks the language provided in the final regulations and

whether the state has substantively qualified or conditioned that

language through modifications or additions is a straightforward,

[[Page 44763]]

essentially ministerial task. This is also true for assessing whether

the state has provided notice and a public hearing on the SIP

submission. Because National LEV is a federal program, the state needs

no personnel or funding to carry it out, so there is nothing related to

the requirement for adequate personnel and funding for EPA to evaluate.

For a state with existing regulations requiring compliance with a state

Section 177 Program, EPA would merely have to determine whether the

state had modified its regulations to include the language in the

National LEV regulations to accept National LEV as a compliance

alternative for the specified duration of the state commitment, as well

as the additional provisions specified above. Again, this is a very

simple, objective assessment, requiring no exercise of discretion.

Finally, EPA has determined that National LEV would provide reductions

in the OTR equivalent to or greater than OTC State Section 177 Programs

in the OTR (see section IV), so that a state commitment to National LEV

would not interfere with attainment or any other Act requirement.

Because the satisfaction of the criteria for approval of the state SIP

revisions is so clear as to be virtually self-executing, EPA believes

that conducting further notice-and-comment rulemaking on whether the

criteria were satisfied for each individual SIP revision would produce

additional delay while serving no purpose.

Incorporating the OTC States' commitments to National LEV in state

regulations approved into the SIPs will substantially enhance the

stability of the National LEV program and support giving states credit

for SIP purposes for emissions reductions from National LEV. A SIP

revision would clearly indicate a state's commitment to National LEV

and would reiterate the state executive branch's support for the

National LEV program. More importantly, an approved SIP revision is

federal law and hence has binding legal effect. Violation of a

commitment to National LEV contained in a SIP is enforceable as a

violation of applicable federal law.

The SIP revision would provide that the state commits to accept

National LEV or mandatory federal standards of at least equivalent

stringency as a compliance alternative to a state program under section

177 for a specified time period. If a state adopted new state law or

regulations that violated this commitment in the SIP (e.g., by

requiring compliance only with a state Section 177 Program), this new

state law would not be valid prior to EPA action on the SIP revision

incorporating the new law. Prior to such action, the new state law

would be precluded by the federal law with which it conflicted (i.e.,

the SIP revision EPA had approved). Moreover, pursuant to section

304(a)(1) and (f), manufacturers could bring suit against the state to

enforce the initial SIP commitment in court. To revise the SIP, the

state would have to submit a new SIP revision and EPA would have to

approve the new revision through notice and comment rulemaking.

Moreover, if EPA disapproved the newly submitted SIP revision, then the

new state law would continue to violate the approved SIP revision

containing the state commitment to National LEV, and manufacturers

could continue to enforce the initial SIP commitment in court.

EPA would be obligated under section 110(l) of the CAA to

disapprove a SIP revision that violated a state's commitment to allow

National LEV as a compliance alternative if EPA were to find that the

SIP revision would interfere with other states' ability to attain or

maintain the national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS).

Specifically, section 110(l) provides that EPA must disapprove a plan

revision if it ``interfere[s] with any applicable requirement

concerning attainment and reasonable further progress * * * or any

other applicable requirement of this Act.'' By the terms of its

rulemaking, National LEV comes into and stays in effect only if all

relevant states commit to allow it as a compliance alternative. If

National LEV comes into effect, a number of OTC States, as well as

states outside the OTR, are likely to rely on National LEV as a means

of attaining and maintaining the ozone NAAQS. These states are likely

to forego adoption of other control measures because they will count on

reductions from National LEV to meet their attainment and maintenance

obligations. In this manner, other states will be relying on each of

the OTC States' commitments to National LEV. An OTC State breaking its

commitment to allow National LEV as a compliance alternative could lead

to the dissolution of the National LEV program, which in turn would

likely deprive other states of the emission reductions from National

LEV, and could thereby interfere with other states' ability to attain.

As discussed above, EPA is proposing that in the SIP revisions

committing to National LEV, each OTC State would explicitly recognize

that the state's commitment to National LEV is necessary to ensure that

the program remain in effect.

VI. Incentives for Parties To Keep Commitments to Program

Once it comes into effect, National LEV is designed to be a stable

program that will remain in effect until replaced by mandatory federal

tailpipe standards of at least equivalent stringency. Manufacturers

have the option, but not the requirement, to participate in National

LEV. Manufacturers have indicated a willingness to opt into the

program, but only if the EPA and the OTC States make certain

commitments. To give the manufacturers both assurance that the

commitments will be kept and recourse if they are not, EPA is proposing

that the program include a few specified conditions (``offramps'') that

would allow manufacturers to opt out of National LEV if EPA or the OTC

States did not keep their commitments. In addition, the OTC States also

need assurance that National LEV will continue to provide the benefits

they anticipated when they opted into the program, both in terms of the

number of manufacturers covered by the program and the level of

emissions reductions that the program was designed to achieve. Thus,

EPA is proposing that National LEV would also include limited offramps

for the OTC States to protect against changes in anticipated emission

benefits or the number of covered manufacturers. Both the

manufacturers' and the OTC States' proposed offramps are structured to

maximize all parties' incentives to maintain the agreed-upon program

provisions and thereby to maximize the stability of National LEV over

its intended duration.

In the unlikely event that any of the offramps were triggered and

manufacturers or states opted out, EPA's proposed regulations set forth

which requirements would apply, the timing of such requirements, the

states in which they would apply, and the manufacturers that would have

to comply with them. The main purpose of these provisions is to enhance

the stability of the program by minimizing the incentives for EPA or

the OTC States to act in a manner that would trigger an offramp.

Additionally, EPA has structured the offramp provisions such that no

single event automatically would end the National LEV program. EPA will

continue to make National LEV available as long as one or more

manufacturers and one or more OTC States wish to remain in the program.

EPA recognizes, of course, that if a significant number of OTC States

or manufacturers were to opt out of National LEV, after a certain point

it is unlikely that the remaining parties

[[Page 44764]]

would choose to continue the program. However, the issue is highly

unlikely to arise and if it did, it is not clear what would be the

critical mass of opt-outs sufficient to end the program. Rather than

deciding now how many OTC State and auto manufacturer opt outs would be

significant enough to end National LEV, EPA believes it is both more

appropriate and more efficient to leave that decision to the OTC States

and manufacturers to decide, in the unlikely event that an offramp is

triggered and significant opt-outs occur.

In the NPRM, EPA proposed that manufacturers' right to opt out of

the National LEV program would be limited to two conditions. These

offramps were: (1) EPA modification of a Stable Standard, except as

specifically provided, and (2) an OTC State's failure to meet or keep

its commitment regarding adoption or retention of a state motor vehicle

program under section 177. The Final Framework Rule addressed the first

offramp, which would allow manufacturers to opt out of National LEV if

EPA modified a Stable Standard except as provided for under the

National LEV regulations, but did not address the second offramp. This

second offramp is addressed here. EPA also is proposing to add a third

type of offramp related to auto manufacturers' concerns regarding the

effects of using federal fuel (instead of California fuel) on emissions

control systems. This is discussed in section VI.C below. In addition,

EPA is proposing a fourth type of offramp based on an OTC State or

another manufacturer legitimately opting out of National LEV.

A. Offramp for Manufacturers for OTC State Violation of Commitment

Under today's proposal, there are several ways in which an OTC

State might break its commitment and thereby allow manufacturers to opt

out of National LEV. These are: (1) Final action in violation of the

commitment to continue to allow National LEV as a compliance

alternative to a Section 177 Program or to a ZEV mandate (in those OTC

States without existing ZEV mandates); (2) failure to submit a National

LEV SIP revision within the timeframe set forth in the National LEV

regulations; and (3) submission of an inadequate National LEV SIP

revision. 13 In addition, EPA is taking comment on whether

manufacturers should also be able to opt out of National LEV if an OTC

State without an existing ZEV mandate adopted a ZEV mandate (even if it

accepted National LEV as a compliance alternative for that requirement)

and that state had either stated its intent or committed not to adopt

such a mandate. 14 The discussion below addresses each of

these proposed possible types of OTC State violations individually. EPA

does not believe that any of these scenarios are likely to arise under

the National LEV program. Nevertheless, spelling out in the regulations

the consequences under each of these scenarios will provide the parties

certainty regarding the worst-case outcomes, and more importantly,

allows EPA to structure the consequences so as to minimize the

likelihood that any of these scenarios will occur.

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\13\ In addition, as discussed in the following section, EPA is

proposing that manufacturers may opt out if an OTC State takes a

legitimate offramp.

\14\ If, as discussed at n. 12 above, EPA were to set a separate

date by which OTC States with Section 177 Programs had to take

action to ensure that manufacturers complying with National LEV

would not have to comply with the state program requirements,

failure to meet such a deadline would also trigger an offramp. EPA

is taking comment on what the consequences should be if such an

offramp were triggered.

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1. OTC State No Longer Accepts National LEV as a Compliance Alternative

The most significant way in which an OTC State could violate its

commitment to National LEV would be to attempt to have a Section 177

Program that was in effect and that did not allow National LEV or

mandatory federal standards of at least equivalent stringency as a

compliance alternative \15\ through MY2005.\16\ This could happen if an

OTC State accepted National LEV as a compliance alternative to a state

Section 177 Program or a ZEV mandate (in an OTC State without an

existing ZEV mandate) and then took final action purportedly removing

those provisions from its regulations, leaving only the state Section

177 Program or ZEV mandate requirements in place. It would also happen

if an OTC State took final action purportedly adopting a Section 177

Program or a ZEV mandate (in an OTC State without an existing ZEV

mandate) without providing for National LEV as a compliance

alternative.\17\ This violation of the OTC State's commitment to

National LEV attempts to directly impose a compliance burden on the

manufacturers and would abandon the most fundamental element of the

agreement underlying the voluntary National LEV program.

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\15\ Throughout this preamble, EPA often uses ``National LEV as

a compliance alternative'' as shorthand for ``National LEV or

mandatory federal standards of at least equivalent stringency as a

compliance alternative.''

\16\ An OTC State with a Section 177 Program that did not allow

National LEV as a compliance alternative as of MY2006 or later would

not be in violation of its commitment under National LEV.

\17\ In addition, an OTC State with a Section 177 Program in its

regulations at the time of opt-in that does not already permit

manufacturers to comply with National LEV as a compliance

alternative might fail to modify those existing regulations within

the time-frame provided, which would be the same as the deadline for

submission of the state's SIP revision. The consequences of this

type of violation would differ slightly from the consequences of

other types of violations that attempted to have a Section 177

Program without allowing National LEV as a compliance alternative,

as noted below in n.18.

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The consequences of such a violation, as proposed below, take into

account the seriousness of the breach of the commitment, even though

the violation would not necessarily burden the manufacturers. Once a

state had adequately committed to National LEV through an approved SIP

revision, even if the state were to change its regulations to disallow

compliance with National LEV, the requirement would not be enforceable

until EPA approved a further SIP revision incorporating the change, as

discussed above in section V.C.4. Yet although the violation might not

actually impose any burden on the manufacturers because it is not

enforceable, manufacturers should not be bound to comply with the

National LEV requirements in the violating state and should not be

bound to continue in the National LEV program, as even an unenforceable

Section 177 Program would create risks and uncertainties for

manufacturers. Manufacturers would be at risk of having to defend

against a state enforcement action. The question of whether, under any

circumstances, EPA could approve a proposed state SIP revision deleting

National LEV as a compliance alternative--if only by virtue of the lack

of precedence for this issue--would create further uncertainty for

manufacturers.

EPA is proposing that manufacturers would be able to opt out at any

time after an OTC State takes final action that would require

manufacturers to comply with a Section 177 Program or a ZEV mandate (in

an OTC State without an existing ZEV mandate) prior to MY2006 without

allowing them to comply with National LEV or mandatory federal

standards of at least equivalent stringency as an alternative, even if

the effective date of the state requirement would be some time in the

future. The final state action would be the action promulgating the

state law or regulations at issue, not the act of defending such law or

regulations in litigation. Thus, a self-effectuating state law

purporting to impose a Section 177 Program without including National

LEV as a compliance alternative would

[[Page 44765]]

be final state action, as would final state regulations purporting to

impose such a program. A state law directing the relevant state agency

to change its regulations to remove National LEV as a compliance

alternative would not be a final state action, but the regulations

promulgated in accordance with that directive would be final state

action.

EPA is proposing that, if an OTC State were to violate its

commitment by purportedly disallowing National LEV as a compliance

alternative, there would be both automatic consequences in the

violating state and an opportunity for manufacturers to opt out of

National LEV.\18\ To determine the consequences in the violating state,

there are two significant issues. The first issue is what are the

compliance obligations of the manufacturers in the violating state. The

second issue is when would the state Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate

requirements apply to manufacturers. Outside of the violating state,

manufacturers would continue to be subject to the National LEV

requirements unless they opted out of the National LEV program.

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\18\ In an OTC State that had a Section 177 Program in its

regulations at the time of opt-in and that had never accepted

National LEV as a compliance alternative to the Section 177 Program

requirements, the consequences in the violating state discussed in

this section would not apply, given EPA's interpretation of section

177. See section VI.D. However, the provisions for a manufacturer's

offramp would be the same for a state that failed to modify existing

regulations to accept National LEV as a compliance alternative as

for any other state action not allowing National LEV as a compliance

alternative.

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Until the violating state's Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate

requirements apply, the manufacturers' compliance obligations in that

state would be governed by the terms of the National LEV regulations.

EPA is proposing that, in a state that has violated its commitment by

attempting to have a Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate without

allowing National LEV as a compliance alternative, beginning with the

next model year,19 National LEV regulations would allow

manufacturers to sell vehicles complying with Tier 1 tailpipe standards

in that state and those vehicles would not be counted in determining

whether the NLEV fleet average NMOG standard was met. Because model

years generally run somewhat ahead of the calendar years with the same

numbers, generally this will result in a near-term or immediate change

in the manufacturers' compliance obligations. Until the violating

state's Section 177 Program requirements applied (which might not be

until MY2006), the manufacturers would only have to meet the federal

Tier 1 tailpipe standards for vehicles sold in the violating state, and

those vehicles would not be used to calculate the manufacturers' fleet

NMOG averages.

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\19\ The ``next model year'' would be the model year named for

the calendar year following the calendar year in which the OTC State

took final state action violating its commitment. For example, if an

OTC State violated its commitment by taking final state action in

calendar year 1999, the next model year would be MY2000.

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The earliest date on which the violating state's Section 177

Program or ZEV mandate would apply would be governed by the lead time

requirements in section 177 and EPA's regulations on model year at 40

CFR part 85 subpart X and in the National LEV regulations. This date

would apply only for any auto manufacturer that opted out of National

LEV as a result of the violating state's action (provided that it is

later than the effective date of the opt-out), for any auto

manufacturer that decided to comply with the violating state's

requirements even though it otherwise chose to stay in National LEV,

and for all manufacturers if EPA approved the violating state's program

into the SIP. (As discussed below, EPA believes the violating state's

refusal to allow National LEV as a compliance alternative would not

otherwise be effective until MY2006. Thus, if none of these situations

occurred, National LEV regulations would allow manufacturers to sell in

the violating state vehicles that meet Tier 1 tailpipe standards and to

exclude those vehicles from the NMOG fleet average calculation until

MY2006.)

After National LEV is in effect, a change to a state regulation

that deletes National LEV as a compliance alternative attempts to

change the manufacturers' obligations. In that circumstance, as

discussed in section VI.D below, EPA interprets section 177 to require

two years of lead time from the date that the state takes final action

changing its regulations (or other law) deleting National LEV as a

compliance alternative regardless of when the state adopted its

previous Section 177 Program. Thus, pursuant to the model year

regulations at 40 CFR part 85 subpart X and those proposed here, the

earliest the state Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate requirements

could apply would be to engine families for which production begins

after the date two calendar years from the date of the final state

action. For example, if the violating state promulgated regulations

purportedly removing National LEV as a compliance alternative on June

1, 2000, the earliest the state Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate

requirements could apply would be to engine families that began

production on or after June 1, 2002, which likely would apply to some,

but not all, MY2003 vehicles. EPA is also taking comment on whether

there is a way to ensure that manufacturers have at least four, rather

than two, years of lead time from the date that the state takes final

action changing its regulations deleting National LEV as a compliance

alternative, and what the legal basis would be for such an approach.

The combined effect of the National LEV regulations allowing

manufacturers to comply with Tier 1 tailpipe standards in the violating

state and the requirement for two years lead time before the state

Section 177 Program or ZEV mandate requirements could apply means that,

if an OTC State were to violate its commitment by not allowing National

LEV as a compliance alternative, manufacturers would be subject to only

Tier 1 tailpipe standards (and not the NLEV NMOG average) in that state

for at least two years. As a consequence, the violating state could not

claim SIP credits for control of emissions from vehicles meeting

anything more stringent than Tier 1 tailpipe standards during that

period. EPA believes that this would provide a powerful incentive for

the OTC States to uphold their commitments to accept National LEV as a

compliance alternative for the specified duration.

EPA recognizes that it may take manufacturers some time to take

advantage of the less stringent Tier 1 tailpipe standards, and that,

consequently, the hardware of the vehicles supplied to the violating

state may not change dramatically in the short-term. However,

manufacturers would be able to revise vehicle compliance levels rapidly

to provide that, for warranty and recall purposes, the vehicles are

only complying with Tier 1 tailpipe standards. This means that over the

life of those vehicles they would only be required to produce emissions

below the 50,000 mile and 100,000 mile Tier 1 standards and enforcement

action could not be taken to require those vehicles to meet any more

stringent standards.\20\ As long as manufacturers are not required to

sell vehicles meeting standards more stringent than Tier 1 in the

violating state, it would not be appropriate for EPA to approve SIP

credits for any emissions reductions beyond the levels provided by Tier

1 tailpipe standards. Those vehicles would not be included in

calculating the manufacturers'

[[Page 44766]]

compliance with the National LEV fleet average NMOG standards and the

SIP would not provide in any way for vehicles sold in that state to

meet emission standards more stringent than Tier 1 levels. EPA is

proposing to include in the supplemental final regulations provisions

for this approach to SIP credits for vehicles sold in a violating

state.

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\20\ See section VIII.C for discussion of how EPA's vehicle

certification process would allow a manufacturer to provide vehicles

meeting Tier 1 standards in a violating state.

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In addition to the relaxed emissions standards that would apply to

vehicles sold in the violating state, the other incentive for OTC

States not to violate their commitments is that manufacturers would

also be able to opt out of National LEV if an OTC State violated its

commitment to the program by not allowing National LEV as a compliance

alternative. EPA is proposing that there would be no time limit for

manufacturers to exercise their right to opt out as long as the state

was in violation of its commitment. After a manufacturer opted out,

there also would be no opportunity for the state to cure the violation

by changing the state law or regulations to accept National LEV as a

compliance alternative and thereby negate an opt-out that a

manufacturer had already submitted, regardless of whether that opt-out

had become effective already. However, once a violating state took

final action to cure the violation, manufacturers that had not already

opted out could not opt out based on the violation that the state had

cured.

The Final Framework Rule gives EPA an opportunity to make a finding

as to the validity of an opt-out based on a change to a Stable

Standard. See 62 FR 31202-07. This both provides a safe harbor for a

manufacturer that relies on an EPA determination of validity, and

provides for rapid resolution in the United States Court of Appeals for

the District of Columbia if the validity is disputed, thereby avoiding

protracted litigation in federal district court. In contrast, EPA does

not believe such a process is necessary here. The validity of an opt-

out based on a state disallowing National LEV as a compliance

alternative should be a straight-forward factual determination.

Consequently, EPA believes there is very little benefit to be gained by

providing for an EPA determination of the validity of such an opt-out,

and EPA is not proposing such a provision.

EPA is proposing that a manufacturer that opts out of National LEV

based on a state violation of its commitment to National LEV must

continue to comply with National LEV until the opt-out becomes

effective (although Tier 1 tailpipe standards will apply in the

violating state, as proposed above). EPA is proposing that each

manufacturer's opt-out notification would specify the effective date of

the opt-out, which in no event could be any earlier than the next model

year (i.e., the model year named for the calendar year following the

calendar year in which the manufacturer opted out).\21\ After the

effective date of its opt-out, a manufacturer would have to comply with

any non-violating state's Section 177 Program (except for ZEV mandates)

provided that at least two-years lead time (as provided in section 177)

had passed since the adoption of the state's Section 177 Program. Other

than those ZEV mandates that would be unaffected by the National LEV

program (i.e., existing ZEV mandates), if a manufacturer opts out, it

would not be subject to any other ZEV mandates until two years of lead

time had passed, which would run from the date the manufacturer opts

out of National LEV and be measured according to the section 177

implementing regulations. After the effective date of a manufacturer's

opt-out, in a non-violating state without a Section 177 Program, the

manufacturer must meet all applicable federal standards that would

apply in the absence of National LEV.

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\21\ If, however, an OTC State took a legitimate offramp as

discussed below, a manufacturer could not use a delayed effective

date of opt out to continue to comply with National LEV in a state

that had opted out after that state's opt-out became effective. As

discussed below in section VI.B, an OTC State legitimately opting

out of National LEV is required to provide manufacturers at least

two years lead time.

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The following summarizes EPA's proposal for the tailpipe standards

that would apply if an OTC State violated its commitment by not

allowing National LEV as a compliance alternative. For vehicles sold in

the violating state, all manufacturers would be allowed to sell

vehicles meeting Tier 1 standards and to exclude those vehicles from

the NMOG fleet average beginning in the next model year after the date

of the state violation for at least the two-year lead time set forth in

section 177 and the implementing regulations; then manufacturers would

become subject to the state Section 177 Program only if the

manufacturer opted out of National LEV and its opt-out had become

effective, if the manufacturer decided to comply with the violating

state's new Section 177 Program while remaining in National LEV, or if

EPA approved the state's requirements into the SIP. If a manufacturer

opted out, before the opt-out became effective, the manufacturer would

continue to be subject to all National LEV requirements for vehicles

sold outside of the violating state. Once a manufacturer's opt-out had

become effective, for vehicles sold outside of the violating state, the

manufacturer would have to comply with any backstop state Section 177

Programs (except ZEV mandates) that a state had adopted at least two

years before the effective date of opt-out and, in other states, would

have to comply with all applicable federal standards that would apply

in the absence of National LEV. Manufacturers would not have to comply

with any ZEV mandates (except those that were unaffected by National

LEV) until after two years of lead time had passed as set forth in

section 177, which would start to run from the date EPA received the

manufacturer's opt-out. Manufacturers that did not opt out would

continue to be subject to all National LEV requirements for vehicles

sold outside of the violating state and, in the violating state, would

be allowed, under the National LEV regulations, to sell vehicles

meeting Tier 1 tailpipe standards and to exclude those vehicles from

the NMOG fleet average. To the extent these proposed regulations would

provide a manufacturer with less than the two-years lead time set forth

in section 177, the manufacturer would waive that protection by opting

into National LEV and then setting an effective date in its opt-out

notification that was earlier than the two-years leadtime would

provide.

2. OTC State Fails to Submit SIP Revision Committing to National

LEV

The second way in which an OTC State could violate its commitment

to National LEV would be to fail to submit a SIP revision to EPA

containing the state's regulatory commitment to the program. The

consequences of this violation differ slightly from a situation where a

state does submit such a SIP revision, receives EPA approval for it,

but then violates the commitment by attempting to remove National LEV

as a compliance alternative. Failure to submit a SIP revision would not

necessarily indicate that the state was attempting to impose a

compliance obligation on the manufacturers contrary to the terms of the

fundamental agreement underlying the voluntary National LEV program.

Consequently, if manufacturers did not choose to opt out of National

LEV, they would continue to be subject to all the National LEV

requirements for vehicles sold both within and outside of the violating

state, and the National LEV program would continue. However, the

portion of the OTC State commitments contained in the SIP revisions is

critical to the long-term enforceability of the state commitments, so

EPA believes it is

[[Page 44767]]

important to allow the manufacturers to opt out of National LEV if a

state fails to submit a SIP revision. This will maximize the incentives

for OTC States to submit their National LEV SIP revisions and to

provide manufacturers recourse in the event of a state failure to do

so.

As under the previous scenario, EPA is proposing that there would

be no time limit for manufacturers to exercise their right to opt out

of National LEV if an OTC State had missed the deadline for its

National LEV SIP revision and had not yet submitted such a SIP

revision. Once the state submitted its SIP revision, even if after the

deadline, manufacturers would no longer have the opportunity to decide

to opt out of National LEV. Unlike the previous scenario, EPA is

proposing that a state that had missed the deadline for its SIP

submission would have a limited opportunity to cure the violation. For

the first six months from the deadline for the SIP submission,

manufacturers would only be able to opt out conditioned on the state

not submitting a SIP revision within six months of the initial

deadline. If the state submitted the revision within that six-month

grace period, any opt-outs based on that violation would be invalidated

and would not come into effect. EPA believes this limited opportunity

to cure is appropriate here, given the very tight timeframes provided

for the OTC States to submit their SIP revisions and the fact that

failure to submit this SIP revision would not pose the risk of any

immediate change in the manufacturers' compliance obligations. After

the six-month grace period, the state's submission of a SIP revision

would not negate an opt-out that a manufacturer had already submitted

to EPA, even if the manufacturer's opt-out had not yet become

effective. However, no manufacturer would be able to opt out after the

state submitted the SIP revision no matter how late. As under the

previous scenario, whether or not a state has failed to submit a SIP

revision by a given date and thereby provided a basis for an opt-out is

a very clear cut issue. Consequently, EPA is not proposing to provide

for an EPA determination of the validity of an opt-out based on this

violation.

Again consistent with the previous scenario, EPA is proposing that,

if a manufacturer opts out it may set the effective date of its opt-out

as early as the next model year after the date of the opt-out or any

model year thereafter. 22 If a manufacturer opts out of

National LEV, in the violating state, the National LEV regulations

would allow the manufacturer to meet Tier 1 tailpipe standards and

would not require those vehicles to be included in the NMOG fleet

average calculations. These special provisions for vehicles sold in the

violating state would start with the next model year after the

manufacturer opts out (e.g., MY2000 for a manufacturer that opts out in

calendar year 1999) and continue until the effective date set in the

opt-out notice. As under the scenario above, the violating state would

not receive SIP credits for emissions reductions from vehicles meeting

anything more stringent than the Tier 1 tailpipe standards while those

standards apply. Once the manufacturer's opt-out had become effective,

the manufacturer would be subject to a Section 177 Program in the

violating state if the two-year lead time requirement of section 177

had been met. EPA is taking comment on whether, regardless of the

effective date of an opt-out, National LEV regulations should allow

manufacturers to sell vehicles that meet Tier 1 tailpipe standards for

four years in the violating state.

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\22\ If, however, an OTC State took a legitimate offramp as

discussed below, a manufacturer could not use a delayed effective

date of opt out to continue to comply with National LEV in a state

that had opted out after the state opt-out became effective. As

discussed below in section VI.B an OTC State legitimately opting out

of National LEV is required to provide manufacturers at least two

years lead time.

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If a manufacturer opted out of National LEV, in non-violating

states it would continue to meet all National LEV requirements until

the effective date of its opt out. For vehicles sold in the non-

violating states, once the opt-out became effective.

3. OTC State Submits Inadequate SIP Revision Committing to National LEV

A third way in which an OTC State could violate its commitment to

National LEV would be to submit a SIP revision that did not adequately

commit the state to the National LEV program. Evaluation and approval

of SIP revisions is an EPA responsibility, as delegated by Congress

under section 110(k) of the Act. Thus, EPA believes that it is

appropriate for the Agency to evaluate the adequacy of the submission

before a manufacturer could opt out on the basis of a claimed

inadequacy. EPA is proposing that manufacturers would be able to opt

out if EPA disapproved a National LEV SIP revision, and either the

state failed to submit a corrected SIP revision within one year of

EPA's disapproval, or the state submitted a modified SIP revision and

EPA subsequently disapproved the revision. Under this scenario, the

date of the violation that would allow a manufacturer to opt out of

National LEV would be either the state's failure to submit a National

LEV SIP revision committing to National LEV within one year of EPA's

disapproval of its initial SIP revision, or publication of EPA's second

disapproval. EPA also considered and is taking comment on the following

alternative approaches for when a manufacturer could opt out based on

an inadequate National LEV SIP revision. One alternative would be to

allow manufacturers to opt out immediately upon EPA's initial

disapproval of a state's National LEV SIP revision. Another would be to

allow manufacturers to opt out if a state's National LEV SIP revision

was inadequate and EPA failed to approve it within nine months (or one

year) of the deadline for state submission of the SIP revision, whether

that failure was through disapproval or inaction. Still another

alternative would be upon a determination by the manufacturer that the

SIP revision is inadequate, even if EPA has not yet acted on it.

As with the other types of state violations, EPA is proposing no

deadline for manufacturers to opt out based on this offramp. Also,

there would be no opportunity for the state to cure the violation after

a manufacturer had opted out, although manufacturers that had not opted

out could no longer do so once the state had cured a violation and EPA

had approved the SIP revision committing the state to National LEV. As

proposed, the action allowing opt out is very clear, and hence EPA is

not proposing to provide for an EPA determination of the validity of an

opt-out based on this type of violation.

Again consistent with the previous scenarios, EPA is proposing that

if a manufacturer opts out it may set the effective date of its opt-out

as early as the next model year or any model year

thereafter.23 EPA is proposing that manufacturers'

obligations under National LEV and state Section 177 Programs would be

identical to those described if a state failed to submit a SIP

revision.

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\23\ If, however, an OTC State took a legitimate offramp as

discussed below, a manufacturer could not use a delayed effective

date of opt out to continue to comply with National LEV in a state

that had opted out after the state opt-out became effective. As

discussed below in section VI.B an OTC State legitimately opting out

of National LEV is required to provide manufacturers at least two

years lead time.

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B. OTC State or Manufacturer Legitimately Opts Out of National LEV

Following the general principle that parties should be able to exit

National

[[Page 44768]]

LEV if there is a significant change in the assumptions that underlay

their decision to opt in initially, a manufacturer also could opt out

if an OTC State or another manufacturer were to opt out of National LEV

legitimately.24 This offramp could be used within 30 days of

EPA's receipt of an OTC State or a manufacturer opt-out. The

manufacturer could set an effective date for its opt-out beginning the

next model year after the date of the manufacturer's opt-out, or any

model year thereafter. EPA would not determine the validity of opt-out

under this offramp unless EPA is to determine the validity of the

initial opt-out. EPA is proposing that manufacturers' obligations under

National LEV and state Section 177 Programs would be identical to those

described if a state failed to submit a SIP revision, except that no

state would be a violating state.

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\24\ The validity of any opt-out from National LEV would depend

in part on whether the underlying condition allowing opt-out has

actually occurred. Where the initial state or manufacturer's opt-out

was invalid, it would not provide an offramp for another

manufacturer to opt-out of National LEV. Thus, throughout this

notice when EPA refers to an initial opt-out as the condition that

allows another opt-out, it refers only to valid initial opt-outs.

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C. Offramp for Manufacturers for EPA Failure to Consider In-Use Fuel

Issues

EPA is proposing an additional offramp for manufacturers related to

the potential effects of fuel sulfur levels on emissions performance of

National LEV vehicles. EPA is proposing that manufacturers could opt

out of National LEV if EPA failed to consider certain vehicle

modifications, on-board diagnostic control systems, or preconditioning

of vehicles when requested to do so by a manufacturer as a result of an

alleged effect of high-sulfur fuel levels. Manufacturers are concerned

that the sulfur levels of in-use fuels supplied outside of California

may affect the on-board diagnostic (OBD) systems and tailpipe emissions

of National LEV vehicles. However, EPA does not believe that at this

point it has sufficient data on these potential effects to identify any

problems conclusively and to fully resolve any such problems in the

context of the National LEV regulations. EPA recognizes that this

remains an important issue for the manufacturers, however, and is

proposing to build into National LEV means to allow problems related to

fuel sulfur effects on emissions performance of National LEV vehicles

to be addressed within the context of National LEV as more information

becomes available. These problems would be addressed on a case-by-case

basis. EPA would act based on a manufacturer's request, supported by

data, that a specific engine family or families are adversely affected

by sulfur in a manner covered by one of the conditions incorporated

into the National LEV regulations and that appropriate relief is

warranted for such family or families.

EPA recognizes that sulfur effects on motor vehicles is also an

issue outside of the National LEV context and is being addressed in

numerous other actions. These include testing being done to support

EPA's Tier 2 Study and the Ozone Transport Assessment Group's

recommendation to EPA to explore reducing fuel sulfur levels. EPA is

working with the various stakeholders in developing data to quantify

any sulfur effects on current and future technology vehicles. EPA has

said that in appropriate instances, EPA will address sulfur effects on

specific mobile source programs. In March, 1997, EPA released a paper

entitled ``OBD & Sulfur White Paper: Sulfur's Effect on the OBD

Catalyst Monitor on Low Emission Vehicles.'' This paper summarized the

sulfur concerns and the available data, and outlined EPA's approach to

resolving OBD/sulfur issues on a case-by-case basis. 25 EPA

is pursuing additional investigations into sulfur impacts on OBD and

emission control system performance with the cooperation and

contribution of other stakeholders. However, as of yet there is little

additional data, and while the OBD & Sulfur White Paper will likely be

revised in the near future, its suggested case-by-case approach remains

EPA's expected approach regarding the OBD/sulfur issue.

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\25\ OBD and Sulfur White Paper, March 1997 (Docket A-95-26, IV-

B-06).

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Based on their continuing concerns regarding the effects of fuel

sulfur levels on OBD systems and vehicle emissions, the auto

manufacturers approached EPA in June, 1997 with a proposed resolution

for National LEV. Believing that the effects of fuel sulfur were not

adequately addressed by EPA in the National LEV program, the

manufacturers proposed that National LEV should include an offramp for

manufacturers related to in-use fuels issues and that they should be

allowed to exit the National LEV program if EPA were to act (or fail to

act) in a specified manner to resolve specific sulfur-related issues.

The manufacturers outlined six different conditions (set forth below)

related to EPA actions (or lack of action) on these issues that they

believe should allow the manufacturers to opt out of National LEV.

Below, EPA has reproduced each of the conditions for triggering the

offramp as stated by the manufacturers, followed by a discussion and

EPA's proposal regarding each of the requested offramp conditions.

First, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

if ``EPA declines to allow the use of OBD catalyst monitor systems

which, if functioning properly on low sulfur gasoline, indicate sulfur-

induced passes when exposed to high sulfur gasoline.''

Under current regulations, manufacturers are required to install

OBD systems that monitor emission control components for any

malfunction or deterioration causing exceedance of certain emission

thresholds. These systems also must alert the vehicle operator to the

need for repair by illuminating a dashboard malfunction indicator light

(MIL) and must store diagnostic information in the vehicle's computer

to assist the diagnosis and repair of the problem. Before an OBD system

can appear on new vehicles, EPA must certify that the system meets

these requirements, and these requirements must continue to be met in

actual in-use operation. Proper functioning of OBD systems is evaluated

by simulating various malfunctions of the emission control system

(e.g., replacing the catalyst or oxygen sensors with ineffective

components) and determining whether or not the OBD system ``notices''

the simulated malfunction and responds appropriately.

The offramp condition suggested by the manufacturers reflects their

concern that their OBD systems will be designed to pass a certification

or recall test properly using the low-sulfur fuel required in

California, but that high-sulfur fuel supplied outside of California

may affect the OBD system such that it may be unable to detect catalyst

degradation at the necessary emission level. In such cases, the MIL

could fail to illuminate (a ``sulfur-induced pass''), whereas if the

vehicle was operated on low sulfur fuel the MIL would react

appropriately. In the unlikely event that EPA concluded that an OBD

system should not be certified specifically because of this type of

behavior, manufacturers suggest that they be allowed to opt out of the

National LEV program.

EPA acknowledges that some data indicate that some OBD systems may

behave in the way suggested by this suggested condition for triggering

an offramp. Thus, an OBD system might be affected by high-sulfur fuel

and fail to register decreased catalyst performance. However, EPA

believes that more data is needed to characterize this potential

[[Page 44769]]

concern better. Also, as stated above, considerable efforts involving

various stakeholders are underway to evaluate this and other related

concerns further. EPA believes that, in the context of the National LEV

program, it may be inappropriate to penalize a manufacturer who uses a

system that performs as required on low-sulfur fuel but has sulfur-

induced passes due to high-sulfur fuel. However, EPA needs to evaluate

this potential problem properly on a case-by-case basis. To certify

such a system, EPA would have to conclude that the effect was due

solely to sulfur and that the OBD system could not otherwise account

for the effects of high-sulfur fuel. EPA is also concerned that

providing an offramp if the Agency failed to certify an OBD system upon

a manufacturer's request puts the Agency in the difficult position of

having to approve every request or else risk the collapse of the

National LEV program, even if EPA believes that certification is not

technically supportable.

EPA is proposing that manufacturers could opt out of National LEV

if EPA, upon a written request from a manufacturer in relation to the

certification of an OBD catalyst monitor system, fails to consider the

use of the system because it indicates sulfur-induced passes when

exposed to high-sulfur gasoline, even though it functions properly on

low-sulfur gasoline. EPA does not intend to preclude the use of such

systems out-of-hand, but believes it cannot at this time accept the

offramp language proposed by manufacturers given the current state of

knowledge and the need for EPA to evaluate requests carefully on a

case-by-case basis. EPA is taking comment on the manufacturers'

suggestion. EPA is also taking comment on an alternative that would

allow manufacturers to opt out if EPA determined that an OBD system

functioned properly on low-sulfur fuel, had sulfur-induced passes due

solely to high-sulfur fuel and that the OBD system could not otherwise

account for the effects of high-sulfur fuel, and EPA then refused to

certify the OBD system because of the sulfur-induced

Second, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

of National LEV if ``EPA declines to approve modifications to, on a

case-by-case basis, vehicles that exhibit sulfur-induced MIL

illuminations due to high sulfur gasoline so as to eliminate the

sulfur-induced MIL.''

This suggested offramp condition reflects the manufacturers'

concern that exposure to high-sulfur fuel could cause the performance

of the catalyst to degrade to the point of OBD detection and the MIL is

therefore illuminated, even though the same catalyst would not have

degraded enough to cause the MIL to illuminate if the vehicle had been

operated on low-sulfur fuel. When such a MIL illumination problem is

identified, under current regulations modifications to OBD systems to

resolve the problem could be accomplished via field fixes or running

changes, which are methods that allow a manufacturer (with EPA

approval) to make changes to a previously certified emission control

system configuration. With this offramp proposal, manufacturers are

essentially requesting that they be allowed to determine when a sulfur-

related MIL illumination is occurring in a given engine family and what

the appropriate response is, and that if they are not allowed to

implement their chosen response (e.g., if EPA does not approve a

particular field fix or running change requested by a manufacturer)

they are then provided an opportunity to exit the National LEV program.

EPA pledged to address the issue of sulfur-induced MIL

illuminations on an in-use, case-by-case basis until future data and

information enable a long-term resolution of this issue. This remains

the current policy. EPA currently believes that it would be

inappropriate to modify OBD systems unless a manufacturer were able to

supply in-use data, or at least production-ready vehicle data,

demonstrating that sulfur has an adverse effect on catalyst monitoring

systems for specific engine families. EPA believes that the offramp

language suggested by the manufacturers would be inappropriate because

it would effectively force EPA to accept solutions to this problem that

may not be technically supportable or else risk the termination of the

National LEV program.

EPA is proposing that manufacturers could opt out if, based on a

written request from a manufacturer, EPA declines to consider, on a

case-by-case basis, the manufacturer's suggested modifications to

vehicles that exhibit sulfur-induced MIL illuminations due to high-

sulfur gasoline so as to eliminate the sulfur-induced MIL. As explained

below, EPA is proposing that the National LEV regulations would define

a specific process that would allow manufacturers to notify EPA of this

type of problem and would require EPA to respond to a manufacturer's

request (e.g., for a running change) within a specified time period.

EPA is taking comment on the manufacturers' suggestion. EPA is also

taking comment on an alternative that would allow manufacturers to opt

out if, on a case-by-case basis, EPA determined that an OBD system

exhibited sulfur-induced MIL illuminations due solely to high-sulfur

fuel and failed to allow modifications to the vehicles to eliminate the

sulfur-induced MIL.

Third, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

of National LEV if ``EPA declines to adjust I/M (240/ASM) cut points to

account for the effect of the high sulfur content of current

commercially available gasoline.''

Similar to the previous issue, manufacturers are concerned that

high-sulfur levels could degrade catalysts to the point where vehicles

would fail state Inspection/Maintenance (I/M) tests due to the high-

sulfur fuel, and they are requesting that EPA adjust I/M standards

upwards to account for the impact of sulfur. If EPA does not take such

action, manufacturers have proposed that they be allowed to opt out of

the National LEV program. EPA does not believe adjustments to I/M cut

points to account for the impacts of sulfur are necessary or

appropriate at this time. While data being collected by the several

cooperative sulfur test programs may help EPA in assessing this issue,

there is currently no data to determine whether an adjustment to I/M

cutpoints is necessary and if so, the appropriate degree of such an

adjustment. Although EPA is taking comment on the manufacturers'

suggestion, EPA cannot justify establishing the above condition as a

trigger for an offramp because the necessity for such an adjustment is

not clear at this time. EPA is interested in obtaining data, including

data on Tier 1 vehicles, that might help quantify the effect of sulfur

on I/M testing and will work with all the stakeholders to develop the

appropriate response if data indicates there is a problem in this

instance.

Fourth, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

of National LEV if ``EPA declines to allow sufficient pre-conditioning

procedures (including low sulfur fuel and additional vehicle

preparation cycles) prior to in-use testing to remove the effects of

high sulfur from currently available gasoline.''

Current emission test procedures require specific procedures to

``precondition'' each test vehicle before the vehicle enters the actual

emission test portion of the procedure. This ensures that all vehicles

enter the emission test in a similar condition. Current data suggests

that the deleterious effect of sulfur on the catalyst is reversible by

operating the vehicle for some period of time on a low-sulfur fuel.

This suggested offramp condition is designed to alleviate

[[Page 44770]]

manufacturers concern that in-use vehicles tested by EPA (recall

testing) might not experience enough preconditioning operation under

current regulations to eradicate the effect of sulfur, and that this

could cause vehicles to inappropriately fail in-use emission tests.

This issue does not apply to preconditioning of vehicles for

certification or Selective Enforcement Auditing (SEA) testing, since

these vehicles would not have been exposed to high-sulfur fuel.

Consequently, manufacturers propose that EPA allow them to expand the

preconditioning of the vehicle used for in-use testing in order to

guarantee the maximum reversal of the sulfur impact.

Current regulations allow the approval of additional

preconditioning in ``unusual circumstances'' if the need is

demonstrated (see 40 CFR 86.132-96(d)). EPA stated in the Final

Framework Rule that ``[d]etrimental effects on National LEV vehicles

from commercially available fuel sold in the 49 States could likely be

considered an unusual circumstance'' (62 FR 31230). The specific

preconditioning offramp language proposed by the auto manufacturers is

inappropriate because it would remove EPA's ability to determine what

type and amount of preconditioning is necessary and appropriate,

particularly given that all stakeholders are continuing to explore the

exact nature of sulfur's impact on various technologies and the degree

of reversibility exhibited by different emission control technologies.

EPA will work with manufacturers in the context of the currently

applicable regulations to determine an appropriate level of allowable

preconditioning. Any preconditioning procedure utilized under 40 CFR

86.132-96(d) to address sulfur effects on National LEV vehicles must be

directed only at alleviating sulfur effects. EPA also notes that the

automakers, oil industry, and EPA are currently testing the potential

effects of various sulfur levels on clean vehicles, and in the context

of this testing a pre-conditioning cycle to remove sulfur effects on

catalysts is being analyzed. EPA will look at the results of this

testing and other appropriate test results presented by interested

parties and will determine whether any resulting sulfur preconditioning

cycle is appropriate to apply to specific National LEV vehicles for in-

use testing. Currently it is premature to discuss whether an offramp

should be triggered by EPA's refusal to allow a specific sulfur

preconditioning procedure since no such procedure has been developed.

Sulfur effects seem to vary depending on catalyst type and location, so

EPA will not automatically apply one procedure to all manufacturers

unless new information arises from the various test programs that

causes EPA to determine that to be an appropriate course of action.

EPA believes that given the current understanding of sulfur effects

on in-use emission performance (as measured by in-use testing) and the

case-by-case approach EPA is planning to use to address sulfur effects

on OBD systems, manufacturers should only be able to opt out of

National LEV based on preconditioning concerns if EPA fails to consider

information before the Agency in a specific case showing a need for

additional preconditioning. Thus, EPA is proposing that manufacturers

would be able to opt out of National LEV if EPA declines to consider,

on a case-by-case basis, prior to in-use testing, pre-conditioning

procedures designed solely to remove the effects of high sulfur from

currently available gasoline. EPA is taking comment on the

manufacturers suggestion. EPA is also taking comment on an alternative

that would allow manufacturers to opt out if EPA determined that there

are significant effects of high-sulfur fuel on OBD systems, and then

EPA declined to allow sufficient pre-conditioning procedures prior to

in-use testing to remove the effects of high sulfur from currently

available gasoline.

Fifth, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

of National LEV if ``EPA declines to ensure that in-use, SEA, and/or

certification testing of low emission vehicles is conducted using

California Phase 2 reformulated gasoline (RFG).''

The regulations promulgated in the Final Framework Rule allow the

use of California Phase II RFG for in-use, SEA, and certification

testing. Certification test fuel specifications, which include

California Phase II RFG, are part of the National LEV Core Stable

Standards, and thus EPA cannot change these specifications over the

objection of the manufacturers without providing an offramp for them to

opt out of National LEV (See 62 FR 31202). Under National LEV,

manufacturers will be able to choose to use specified Federal or

California gasoline for exhaust emission testing, except where a

specific fuel is required, such as Federal fuel for evaporative

emissions testing. EPA's longstanding policy of conducting SEA and

recall testing using the fuel on which the manufacturer chose to

certify its vehicle will continue to apply under the National LEV

program. EPA does not believe that a specific condition for opt-out

related to use of California Phase 2 RFG for vehicle testing is

necessary given the fuel specifications already in the National LEV

regulations and EPA's policy regarding in-use test fuels. However, EPA

is taking comment on allowing manufacturers to opt out of National LEV

if EPA declines to conduct National LEV compliance testing on the fuel

used by a manufacturer during certification of the vehicle or engine.

Sixth, the manufacturers suggested that they be allowed to opt out

of National LEV if ``EPA, after concluding that there are significant

effects of high sulfur fuel, fails to initiate a multi-party process to

take appropriate action to ameliorate the effects of high sulfur

gasoline.''

EPA has already committed that it will conduct a multi-party

process to resolve in-use fuel sulfur issues if further testing reveals

a significant sulfur effect on National LEV vehicles. See 62 FR 31221.

However, EPA believes that it is unnecessary to make violation of this

commitment a condition that would allow manufacturers to opt out of

National LEV.

EPA is proposing the following process for manufacturers to opt out

of National LEV if one of the conditions described above occurred. A

manufacturer would have to send a request to EPA in writing identifying

the particular problem at issue, demonstrating that it was due to in-

use fuel sulfur levels, and requesting EPA to consider taking a

specified action in response. EPA proposes that the Agency would have

60 days to respond to the manufacturer's request in writing, stating

the Agency's decision and explaining the basis for the decision. If EPA

fails to respond in this manner in the timeframe allotted,

manufacturers would have 180 days after the deadline for the EPA

response to decide to opt out of National LEV. Once EPA responded to

the manufacturer's request, even if after the 60-day deadline, a

manufacturer that had not yet opted out based on this offramp would no

longer be able to do so, although if a manufacturer had already

submitted an opt-out, that opt-out would be unaffected by EPA's

subsequent response. Only the manufacturer that sent the initial

request to EPA would be able to opt out if EPA failed to respond, but

in section VI, EPA is proposing that if one manufacturer (or OTC State)

opted out based on any of the identified offramps, other manufacturers

would be able to opt out as well on the basis that there had been a

change to the set of parties originally covered by the program.

[[Page 44771]]

EPA proposes that, consistent with opt-outs based on other

offramps, a manufacturer that opts out based on this offramp must

continue to comply with National LEV until the opt-out becomes

effective. The manufacturer may set the effective date of its opt-out

as early as the next model year or any model year thereafter. After the

effective date of its opt-out, the manufacturer would be subject to any

backstop Section 177 Programs (except for ZEV mandates) provided that

at least two-years lead time (as provided in section 177) had passed

since the adoption of the state's Section 177 Program, or would be

subject to Tier 1 requirements in states without such backstops. Other

than those ZEV mandates that would be unaffected by the National LEV

program (i.e., existing ZEV mandates), if a manufacturer opts out, it

will not be subject to any other ZEV mandates until two years of lead

time has passed, which would run from the date the manufacturer opts

out of National LEV and would be measured according to the section 177

implementing regulations.

In lieu of providing the offramps described above, EPA is also

taking comment on an alternative approach that would make the

provisions for EPA action described above a substantive requirement on

EPA under the regulations, rather than making EPA's failure to act a

condition that would allow manufacturers to opt out of National LEV.

For example, the preconditioning regulations of 40 CFR 86.132-96(d)

would be modified to include a requirement that EPA respond to any

manufacturer's request made under that section within 60 days. In the

event that EPA failed to respond within the specified time period, the

manufacturer would be able to enforce the regulatory requirement

against EPA, but would not also be able to opt out of National LEV.

D. Offramp for OTC States

In light of the proposed practically and legally binding

commitments that the OTC States would make to the National LEV program,

it is also appropriate to identify the limited circumstances under

which the states should no longer be bound by those commitments. EPA is

proposing two circumstances in which an OTC State could opt out of

National LEV: (1) If a manufacturer were to opt out of National LEV; or

(2) if EPA were to change a Stable Standard in a way that would make it

less stringent and as a consequence, it would have changed EPA's

initial determination that National LEV would produce emissions

reductions equivalent to OTC State Section 177 Programs. EPA is

proposing that if an OTC State were to take an identified legitimate

offramp from National LEV, it would no longer be bound by any

commitments that it made to the program in its initial opt-in package,

other than its commitment to follow the National LEV regulations to

transition from National LEV to a state Section 177 Program. An OTC

State that was already in violation of its National LEV commitments

would not be able legitimately to opt out of National LEV based on a

manufacturer's opt-out.

To opt out of National LEV, EPA is proposing that the state

official that signed the commissioner's letter in that state would send

EPA an opt-out notification letter. The letter would state that the

state was opting out of National LEV and specify the condition allowing

the state to opt out. The date of the state opt-out would be the date

that EPA received the opt-out letter, but EPA is proposing that there

would be a two-year transition period before the state opt-out would

become effective and the state could require compliance with a Section

177 Program without allowing National LEV as a compliance alternative.

EPA is taking comment on whether the National LEV regulations should

require a four-year transition period instead. Whether an opt-out

letter alone would itself remove National LEV as a compliance

alternative as of the effective date of the opt-out depends on how the

state regulations are written. In opting into National LEV the state

could structure its regulations and SIP to provide that National LEV

would not be an alternative to the state's Section 177 Program if the

state had opted out of National LEV pursuant to the National LEV

regulations and the opt-out had become effective.

1. OTC State Offramp Based on Manufacturer Opt-Out

EPA is proposing that an OTC State would be able to opt out of

National LEV without violating its commitment if a manufacturer opted

out of National LEV under one of the identified offramps for

manufacturers.26 All parties would have made the choice to

opt into National LEV with an understanding about the manufacturers and

states that would be subject to the program. If those fundamental

assumptions were to change, the parties to the voluntary program should

have the opportunity to reevaluate their commitments and choose to opt

out. Some OTC States have indicated, for example, that they believe it

would not be feasible in their states to have some manufacturers

subject to National LEV while others that had opted out of National LEV

were subject to Section 177 Program requirements.

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\26\ The condition allowing an OTC State to opt out would only

arise if the initial manufacturers' opt-out were valid. See n. 27.

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If a manufacturer opted out, EPA is proposing that OTC States would

have a three-month period to submit an opt-out letter. The start of the

three-month period would depend on the reason the manufacturer opted

out. If a manufacturer were to opt out because of state action or

inaction, or because of EPA's failure to consider a manufacturer's

request related to effects of in-use fuels, the three-month period

would start on the date EPA received the manufacturer's opt out

notification.27 For a manufacturer's opt-out based on a

change to a Stable Standard, the three-month period would start on the

date of EPA's finding that the opt-out was valid or the date of a final

judicial ruling that a disputed opt-out was valid. If a state did not

opt out within that three-month period, the opportunity to opt out

based on that manufacturer action would no longer be available.

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\27\ However, if a manufacturer were to opt out because a state

failed to submit a SIP revision by the applicable deadline and the

manufacturer submitted the opt-out notification within six months of

the applicable deadline for the SIP revision, the manufacturer's

opt-out would not be final until the end of that six-month period.

That date (not the date of the manufacturer's opt-out) would start

the three-month period for state opt out.

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The state opt-out could not become effective until the state had

provided manufacturers with the two-year lead time set forth in section

177, with the two-year lead time to start on the date that EPA received

that state's opt-out letter. Until the state's opt-out became

effective, manufacturers that had not opted out of National LEV or

whose opt-outs had not yet become effective would continue to be

subject to all the National LEV requirements for vehicles sold in that

state. Manufacturers whose opt-outs had already become effective would

not be affected by the state opt-out. Once the state opt-out became

effective, all manufacturers would be subject to the state's Section

177 Program, if it had been adopted at least two years

previously.28 As the existence of a manufacturer opt-out as

the basis for the state opt-out is a simple factual determination, EPA

is not proposing that the Agency should evaluate the

[[Page 44772]]

validity of a state opt-out before it could become effective.

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\28\ This is true even for a manufacturer that had opted out and

set an effective date for its opt-out that was later than the

effective date of the state's opt-out.

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2. OTC State Offramp Based on Change to Stable Standards

The second condition that would allow an OTC State to opt out of

National LEV would be an EPA change to a Stable Standard that made

National LEV less stringent and, if the change had been known at the

start of National LEV, would have changed EPA's initial determination

that National LEV would produce emissions reductions at least

equivalent to the adopted OTC State Section 177 Programs. This offramp

for OTC States is the counterpart to the manufacturers' offramp if EPA

makes certain types of changes to Stable Standards that make the

Standards more stringent.

In section IV above, EPA discussed its determination that National

LEV would produce equivalent or greater emissions reductions than the

alternative of adopted OTC State Section 177 Programs. In the modeling,

EPA assumed that, in the absence of National LEV, programs would be in

place in those OTC States that currently have Section 177 Programs

(including backstop programs) and that the federal Tier 1 standards

would apply in the other OTC States. EPA is proposing that, if EPA were

to change any of the Stable Standards in a way that made the

requirements less stringent, an OTC State could request EPA to

reevaluate whether National LEV is still equivalent to the alternative

approach of OTC State Section 177 Programs. The National LEV

regulations would provide that within six months of receiving the

request EPA would conduct such an evaluation or would determine that

the revision to the standard or requirement would not make it less

stringent.

In reevaluating equivalency, EPA would use the same model and

inputs as it used in the initial equivalency determination. EPA would

modify the modeling only to reflect the effect of the modified Stable

Standard and the effect of having Section 177 Programs (identical in

stringency to the Section 177 Programs modeled in the initial

equivalency determination) in any additional OTC States that had

adopted section 177 backstop programs since the initial equivalency

determination. In reevaluating equivalency, EPA believes that the focus

of the evaluation should be the ongoing validity of the initial

decision to opt into National LEV, not whether the parties would make

the same decision at the time of the reevaluation based on then-current

conditions. This is consistent with the approach that the parties took

to the periodic equivalency evaluation in the initialed MOUs. At the

time of their opt-ins, the parties should not have anticipated that EPA

would change one of the Stable Standards, and such a change would

affect one of the basic assumptions used to calculate the relative

benefits of National LEV and the alternative of OTC State Section 177

Programs. Thus, it is appropriate to reevaluate the equivalency of the

two approaches given such a change, and provide the OTC States an

opportunity to opt out of National LEV if it is no longer equivalent to

the alternative.

EPA is proposing to include in the equivalency reevaluation the

effect of Section 177 Programs in any additional OTC States that had

adopted Section 177 Programs since the initial equivalency

determination. This represents a compromise between OTC States' and

manufacturers' positions. In making the initial equivalency

determination, EPA is proposing to compare National LEV to the

alternative of OTC State Section 177 Programs. See section IV. As

discussed above, EPA is proposing to assume that Section 177 Program

requirements would apply in those OTC States that currently have the

requirements or backstop requirements in their state law or regulations

and that the federal Tier 1 standards would apply in the other OTC

States. The OTC States requested that EPA take a somewhat different

approach to the initial equivalency determination by assuming that

Section 177 Programs would also apply in particular OTC States that are

currently in the process of developing such regulations. For the

initial determination, such a change in the assumptions would have no

effect on EPA's finding that National LEV would produce emissions

reductions at least equivalent to those that would be produced by the

alternative. EPA performed a sensitivity analysis for the initial

equivalency determination to analyze the effects of the most optimistic

assumptions regarding adoption of Section 177 Programs by OTC States,

which indicated that even with those assumptions National LEV would

still produce emissions reductions equivalent to or greater than that

alternative. However, given the OTC States' concern, EPA believes it

would be appropriate to modify the inputs to any reevaluation to

reflect the then-current reality in terms of which OTC States had

actually adopted Section 177 Programs. The modeling would continue to

assume that all states with Section 177 Programs would have the same

requirements used in the initial equivalency modeling, as discussed

above. Thus, the reevaluation would not reflect any changes in the

state's legal authority under the CAA to adopt programs subsequent to

their decision to opt into National LEV, but it would take into account

subsequent actions taken by the OTC States based on legal authority

they had at the time of the decision.

EPA does not believe it would be appropriate to include in the

reevaluation of equivalency the effects of other changes in

circumstances affecting emissions reductions under National LEV or the

alternative, such as changes to California's LEV program. At the time

of opt-in, all of the parties will be aware that circumstances might

change over the period that National LEV is in effect. For example,

California might modify its requirements during that time. In making

the decision to opt into National LEV and choose it over the

alternative for a given period of time, the parties will have to

evaluate the likelihood that any of the relevant circumstances would

change sufficiently to reverse their inclination to opt in. Thus, the

OTC States will have to consider the likelihood that California would

modify its CAL LEV requirements and the likely effect of such a

modification, and decide whether to commit to National LEV in lieu of a

state Section 177 Program that could include any subsequent changes to

CAL LEV. By opting in, the OTC States will have made the decision that

the possibility of those benefits is outweighed by the certainty of the

benefits from National LEV (if it goes into effect). The reevaluation

of equivalency should not allow parties to reconsider that initial

choice with the benefit of hindsight. National LEV will only come into

effect if the parties to the program commit to it for a specified

duration, and an EPA change to the underlying standards should not

become an opportunity to undermine that basic commitment.

If EPA made a change to a Stable Standard that would have changed

the equivalency determination, EPA is proposing that the OTC States

would have three months to opt out, running from the date that EPA

found that National LEV would no longer produce emissions reductions

equivalent to those that would be produced by OTC State Section 177

Programs. If a state did not opt out within that three month period,

the opportunity to opt out based on that finding would no longer be

available.

Also consistent with the other state offramp, a state opt-out based

on a change to a Stable Standard could not become effective until it

had provided

[[Page 44773]]

manufacturers with the two-year lead time set forth in section 177,

with the two-year lead time to start on the date that EPA received the

state's opt-out letter. The manufacturers' obligations if a state took

this offramp would be determined the same way as described in the

preceding section (when an OTC State opts out because a manufacturer

opted out).

E. Lead Time Under Section 177

The proposed opt-out regulations discussed above incorporate and

rely on EPA's proposed interpretation of section 177's requirements

related to state adoption of the CAL LEV program. Section 177 of the

Act provides the legal authority for states to adopt ``standards

relating to the control of emissions from new motor vehicles'' and

governs the timing of implementation of such requirements. It provides

that a state may adopt new motor vehicle standards only if they are

identical to California standards for a given model year for which EPA

has granted a waiver, and the state must ``adopt such standards at

least two years before commencement of such model year (as determined

by regulation of the Administrator).'' EPA has previously adopted

regulations interpreting this provision. See 40 CFR 85.2301 et seq.

These regulations do not adequately address the issue of when the two-

year lead time starts for backstop Section 177 Programs (i.e., a

Section 177 Program that allows National LEV as a compliance

alternative) after National LEV has come into effect.

It is not clear under section 177 or EPA's current implementing

regulations when the two-year lead time period would start if, after

National LEV came into effect, a state with a backstop Section 177

Program were to delete National LEV as a compliance alternative (either

in violation of its commitment to National LEV or legitimately by

taking an offramp) or if a manufacturer legitimately decided to opt out

of National LEV. Therefore, as part of the National LEV regulations,

EPA is proposing regulations to determine the date on which the two-

year lead time period starts in the special circumstances that arise

only when a state has a backstop Section 177 Program that allows

National LEV as a compliance alternative and National LEV has gone into

effect.

The meaning of the two-year lead time provision in section 177 is

ambiguous in the context of National LEV and backstop Section 177

Programs. There are at least three possible ways to approach this

provision in this context. One possible approach is that the two-year

lead time period starts when the state adopts the backstop Section 177

Program. Under this interpretation, section 177 would require the state

to have adopted its backstop Section 177 Program at least two years

before the model year to which it applies. After the two-year lead time

had run from the date of adoption, the state could remove National LEV

as a compliance alternative and require immediate compliance with the

Section 177 Program at any time. EPA does not believe this is a proper

application of section 177 in the National LEV context. The two-year

lead time requirement is intended to give manufacturers time to make

the changes in product planning, production and distribution that are

involved in switching from one motor vehicle program to another. It

recognizes the practical difficulties in making large production shifts

in very short time-frames. Where manufacturers have had the legal

authority to comply with National LEV in lieu of the state program,

allowing states to drop National LEV as a compliance alternative with

no lead time would allow states to circumvent the protection that

Congress conferred on manufacturers in section 177.29 Thus,

EPA is not proposing to adopt this approach.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\29\ EPA is proposing to reject the date of state adoption of

regulations as the starting date for determining whether the section

177 lead time requirement has been met only in those situations

where a state has adopted a backstop Section 177 Program and

National LEV has come into effect. For those states that already

have backstop Section 177 Programs, if National LEV does not come

into effect, the date of adoption of the state regulations is still

the controlling date for determining when the two-year lead time

requirement has been met. In those states, the only legal option

available to manufacturers has been to comply with the state Section

177 Program. The theoretical possibility that they might not have to

comply with the state requirements does not mean that they have not

been given the two-year lead time required by section 177.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Another possible approach to section 177 in these limited

circumstances, and the one that EPA is proposing to adopt, is that, if

a manufacturer will need to comply with a state Section 177 Program

after National LEV has come into effect, the two-year lead time runs

from the date that the manufacturer knew that it would need to comply

with the state Section 177 Program rather than with National LEV. EPA

believes this is the most appropriate way to implement section 177 in

this special circumstance, as long as manufacturers are able to waive

the two-year lead time requirement. Given that the failure to provide

statutory lead time renders noncomplying state programs unenforceable,

rather than rendering them void,30 there should be little

question that manufacturers have the ability to waive the lead time

requirement if they choose. This approach to section 177 (including

both when lead time starts and that manufacturers can waive the lead

time) ensures that, in the context of National LEV and state backstop

Section 177 Programs, two of Congress' purposes in adopting section 177

are met--it protects manufacturers from having insufficient time to

switch from one motor vehicle program to another, and it allows states

to ensure that they can achieve the extra emissions reductions from

motor vehicles contemplated by section 177.

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\30\ See American Automobile Manufacturers Ass'n v. Greenbaum,

No. 93-10799-MA, slip op. at 23, 1993 WL 442946 (D. Mass. Oct. 27,

1993), aff'd., 31 F.3d 18 (1st Cir., 1994).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

EPA's proposed interpretation of section 177 is reflected in

today's proposed regulations regarding what requirements would apply in

the unlikely event that an OTC State were to break its commitment to

National LEV or that a manufacturer or an OTC State were to opt out of

National LEV. For example, if a state with a backstop Section 177

Program were to delete National LEV as a compliance alternative after

National LEV had come into effect, the state would have changed the

manufacturers' regulatory obligations and the manufacturers would be

entitled to two-years lead time running from the date of the state

action purporting to change the manufacturers' regulatory obligation.

By opting into National LEV, manufacturers would not be agreeing to

waive the lead time required under section 177 in a circumstance where

a state broke its commitment to National LEV and deleted National LEV

as a compliance alternative, and thus the manufacturer would get the

full two-years lead time set by section 177.

Another example demonstrates how the waiver provision modifies the

two-year lead time. If an offramp were triggered and a manufacturer

were to decide to opt out of National LEV and then set an effective

date one year from the time of its opt out, under today's proposed

regulations, upon the effective date of the opt out, the manufacturer

would be required to comply with Section 177 Programs (except for

backstop ZEV mandates) in any state that had not broken its commitment

to National LEV. To the extent that this provides the manufacturer with

less than two-years lead time, the manufacturer will have waived the

lead time provision by opting into National

[[Page 44774]]

LEV combined with setting the effective date for its opt-out. For

backstop ZEV mandates, however, manufacturers would not have to comply

with the ZEV mandate until the two-year lead time period had passed

(which would start running from the date of the manufacturer's opt-out)

because in opting into National LEV manufacturers are not waiving the

two-year lead time with respect to ZEV mandates.

A third possible approach to section 177's two-year lead time

requirement provides an alternative basis for today's proposal. Under

this approach, the lead time requirement differs depending upon the

factual setting. In some instances, measuring lead time from the date

of state adoption of a backstop Section 177 Program still provides

manufacturers adequate protection and thereby implements both the clear

language of the statute and the clear intent of the provision. For

example, in opting into National LEV, a manufacturer is choosing to

accept a compliance alternative that involves some risk of a rapid

change in the manufacturer's regulatory obligations if the manufacturer

opts out. However, as proposed here, the program that the manufacturer

is opting into provides substantial protection for manufacturers with

regard to the applicability of backstop Section 177 Programs upon an

opt-out. Because the manufacturer controls the effective date of the

opt-out and the manufacturer would not be subject to a backstop Section

177 Program until its opt-out became effective, the manufacturer can

ensure that it does not become subject to a Section 177 Program without

whatever lead time it views as adequate. In this situation, the

statutory intent to ensure that manufacturers have lead time is met by

providing that a state can immediately implement a Section 177 Program

for any manufacturer whose opt-out from National LEV is effective, if

the backstop Section 177 Program was adopted at least two years

previously. Thus, for situations where the manufacturer controls the

date that it becomes subject to the Section 177 Program, section 177

would start the two year lead time period from the date of state

adoption of the backstop Section 177 Program.

The other type of situation is one where the state takes an action

imposing requirements on a manufacturer under section 177 and the

manufacturer has no control over the timing of those requirements. For

example, a state might remove National LEV as a compliance alternative

from its state regulations, leaving only the Section 177 Program

requirements in place, which the state had adopted at least two years

earlier. In that instance, making the manufacturer immediately subject

to the section 177 requirements would be contrary both to the purposes

of the section 177 lead time requirement and to the intended operation

of National LEV. By opting into National LEV the manufacturer did not

accept the possibility that a state might commit to National LEV and

then violate that commitment. Nor is there any way for the manufacturer

to protect itself against an immediate application of the section 177

requirements by the violating state, except not to opt into National

LEV at all. Under the circumstances where the state controls the timing

of the applicability of the Section 177 Program, the section 177 lead

time provisions would be implemented by requiring two years of lead

time from the date that the manufacturer knew it would become subject

to the state's Section 177 Program without the option of complying with

National LEV as an alternative.

The interpretation of section 177 that EPA is proposing would apply

only in the very unique situation presented by National LEV--where

states and manufacturers are both voluntarily opting into the national

program. It does not necessarily provide any guidance for other

circumstances.

VII. National LEV Will Produce Creditable Emissions Reductions

In the Final Framework Rule, EPA noted that National LEV must be an

enforceable program to grant states credits for SIP purposes for

emission reductions from National LEV vehicles. As discussed in the

Final Framework Rule, there are two aspects to ensuring that National

LEV is enforceable. See 62 FR 31225 (June 6, 1997). First, the National

LEV program emissions standards and requirements must be enforceable

against those manufactu

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Control of Air Pollution From New Motor Vehicles and New Motor Vehicle Engines: State Commitments to National Low Emission Vehicle Program · 62 FR 44754 | Frix