Record of Decision: Tritium Supply and Recycling Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement
Federal RegisterDec 12, 1995
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SUMMARY: The Department of Energy (DOE) is issuing this Record of
Decision regarding DOE's proposal for Tritium Supply and Recycling
Facilities. The Department is making three simultaneous decisions.
First, the Department will pursue a dual track on the two most
promising tritium supply alternatives: to initiate purchase of an
existing commercial reactor (operating or partially complete) or
irradiation services with an option to purchase the reactor for
conversion to a defense facility; and to design, build, and test
critical components of an accelerator system for tritium production.
Within a three-year period, the Department would select one of the
tracks to serve as the primary source of tritium. The other
alternative, if feasible, would be developed as a back-up tritium
source. Second, the Savannah River Site is selected as the location for
an accelerator, should one be built. Third, the tritium recycling
facilities at the Savannah River Site will be upgraded and consolidated
to support both of the dual track options. If the commercial reactor
alternative is selected as the primary source, a tritium extraction
facility will also be constructed at the Savannah River Site. The
environmental analysis to support this decision was issued by the
Department in the Final Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement for
Tritium Supply and Recycling (PEIS) DOE/EIS-0161 (October 1995). The
PEIS identified the dual-track strategy described above as the
preferred technology alternative. The Savannah River Site was
identified as the preferred site for an accelerator, and the site for
the upgrade and consolidation of existing recycling facilities. The
Department has decided to implement the preferred alternatives.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Further information on the Final
Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement can be obtained by calling
800-776-2765, or writing to: Stephen M. Sohinki, Director, Office of
Reconfiguration, DP-25, U.S. Department of Energy, P.O. Box 3417,
Alexandria, VA 22302.
Information on the Department of Energy National Environmental
Policy Act process can be obtained by contacting: Carol M. Borgstrom,
Director, Office of NEPA Policy and Assistance, EH-42, U.S. Department
of Energy, 1000 Independence Ave. SW., Washington DC 20585, Telephone:
(202) 586-4600 or (800) 472-2756.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The Department of Energy has prepared this
Record of Decision pursuant to the Council on Environmental Quality
(CEQ) Regulations for implementing the procedural provisions of the
National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) (40 CFR Parts 1500-1508) and
the Department of Energy regulations implementing the National
Environmental Policy Act (10 CFR Part 1021). This Record of Decision is
based on the Final Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement for
Tritium Supply and Recycling (DOE/EIS-0161, October 1995) and the
Technical Reference Report for Tritium Supply and Recycling (DOE/DP-
0134, October 1995). The Technical Reference Report summarizes
schedule, production assurance and cost data and presents the results
of the uncertainty analysis. Several comments and a report from
Congress were received after the documents listed above were published.
This additional information was taken into consideration in preparing
this Record of Decision.
In January 1991, the Department announced it would prepare a
Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement (PEIS) examining
alternatives for the reconfiguration of the Department's nuclear
weapons complex. The framework for the Reconfiguration PEIS was
described in the Nuclear Weapons Complex Reconfiguration Study (DOE/DP-
0083), issued in January 1991. A Notice of Intent to prepare the PEIS
was published in the Federal Register on February 11, 1991 (56 FR
5590). The purpose of the PEIS was to establish the locations for
future weapons complex missions. The missions to be analyzed included
plutonium and uranium component fabrication and processing, weapons
assembly and disassembly, high explosive production, tritium recycling,
and nonnuclear component fabrication.
At the time the Reconfiguration PEIS was begun, technology and
siting alternatives for a new tritium supply facility were being
examined in a separate New Production Reactor Capacity Environmental
Impact Statement. On September 27, 1991, President Bush announced an
initiative to reduce the Nation's nuclear weapons stockpile. In
response to this initiative, the need for new facilities was delayed
and the Department announced, on November 1, 1991, that it would delay
decisions on the new production reactor technology and siting and
include the environmental analysis for a new tritium production source
in the Reconfiguration PEIS. The Department's intent to incorporate the
New Production Reactor capacity analysis into the Reconfiguration PEIS
was published in the Federal Register on November 29, 1991 (56 FR
60985).
In June 1992, the United States and Russia announced an arms
reduction agreement which was signed in January 1993 as the START II
Protocol. This agreement caused the most significant reductions to date
in planned future weapons stockpiles of both nations. It also provided
the Department with the opportunity to consider a much smaller weapons
complex than previously envisioned. Therefore, the Department
determined that it was necessary to reevaluate the Reconfiguration
Program to insure that alternatives which reflected requirements of a
greatly downsized nuclear weapons stockpile would be assessed in the
PEIS. On July 23, 1993, a revised Notice of Intent was published in the
Federal Register (58 FR 39528) which described a smaller, more
integrated nuclear weapons complex. Additionally, long-term storage
alternatives for plutonium and uranium were added to the analysis. As a
result of this reevaluation and public comment, the Department
published a notice in the October 28, 1994, Federal Register (59 FR
54175), that would separate the Reconfiguration PEIS into two separate
analyses: the Tritium Supply and Recycling PEIS and Stockpile
Stewardship and Management PEIS.
On March 1, 1995 the Department issued a Draft Programmatic
Environmental Impact Statement for Tritium Supply and Recycling (DOE/
EIS-0161) which presented an analysis of the environmental impacts of
the proposed action and alternatives. In the Draft PEIS, the Department
indicated that the use of a commercial reactor was not a reasonable
long-term tritium supply alternative due to concerns about the use of
civilian reactors for military purposes. However, the Draft PEIS
evaluated the impacts associated with the use of a commercial reactor
to make tritium, whether such a reactor were used as a contingency
source of tritium in the event of a national emergency, or the
Department chose to purchase an existing reactor and convert it to a
defense facility for long-term tritium supply. Comments received during
the agency and public review of the Draft PEIS asserted that the use of
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an existing commercial reactor had the potential to be the lowest cost
option and indicated confusion as to whether purchase of a commercial
reactor or irradiation services from a privately owned reactor were
treated as reasonable alternatives capable of meeting long-term tritium
requirements. These comments and concerns prompted the Department to
issue a Federal Register announcement on August 25, 1995 (60 FR 44327)
in which the Department reopened the comment period for 21 days
regarding its intention to treat both the purchase of irradiation
services and the purchase of an existing or partially completed reactor
as reasonable alternatives for long-term tritium supply. The Department
summarized all comments received from both comment periods, prepared
responses to the summaries, made revisions to the PEIS based on the
comments, and identified its preferred alternative. The Notice of
Availability of the Final Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement
was published in the Federal Register on October 27, 1995 (60 FR
55021).
Comments have been received since the Notice of Availability was
published asserting that there are errors in the analysis of cost,
schedule and production assurance, especially regarding a new large
Advanced Light Water Reactor. Comments were also received regarding the
multipurpose reactor concept, and the use of the Fast Flux Test
Facility at the Department's Hanford site to produce tritium. These
comments are addressed in a subsequent section of this Record of
Decision.
Alternatives Considered
Proposed Action: The Department of Energy proposes to provide
tritium supply and recycling facilities for the Nation's Nuclear
Weapons Complex. Tritium, a radioactive isotope of hydrogen, is
produced in nature, but in very small amounts. Therefore, since it is
an essential component of every warhead in the current and projected
U.S. nuclear weapons stockpile, the amounts required must be man-made.
Tritium decays at a rate of approximately 5.5 percent per year and must
be replaced periodically as long as the Nation relies on a nuclear
deterrent. Currently, the Department does not have the capability to
produce the required amounts of tritium. The Department needs a
capability that can produce tritium to meet the requirements set forth
in the 1994 Nuclear Weapons Stockpile Plan, the latest official
guidance. These requirements have been defined as a steady-state mode
of 3/16 of the goal amount previously established for a nuclear reactor
under the Department's New Production Reactors (NPR) program. The
tritium supply source should also be capable of producing 3/8 of NPR
goal amount if necessary either to eliminate inventory shortfalls or to
support a larger stockpile size. The Department is currently meeting
tritium requirements for the stockpile by utilizing tritium recycled
from dismantled weapons. Ratification of the START II Protocol would
mean that new tritium would be required by approximately 2011. The
ability to meet an earlier date, if stockpile requirements should
change, was also analyzed.
New tritium would be supplied, in either a reactor or accelerator,
by irradiating target materials with neutrons and subsequently
extracting the tritium in pure form for its use in nuclear weapons. The
tritium recycling process consists of recovering residual tritium from
weapons components, purifying it, and refilling weapons components with
pure tritium. The Department's tritium recycle facilities are located
at the Savannah River Site (SRS) near Aiken, SC.
Four technology alternatives were evaluated for a new supply
facility--a heavy water reactor, an advanced light water reactor--both
large (1,300 MWe) and small (600 MWe); a modular high temperature gas-
cooled reactor; and a linear accelerator. Emerging design options for
the heavy water reactor and the modular high temperature gas-cooled
reactor were also reviewed. The advanced light water reactor and
modular high temperature gas-cooled reactor alternatives were also
evaluated as to the potential use of fuel fabricated from plutonium
excess to weapons program requirements while simultaneously producing
tritium and electricity (the so-called ``multipurpose reactor''). Five
sites were evaluated for a new facility--the Idaho National Engineering
Laboratory (INEL), near Idaho Falls, ID; the Nevada Test Site (NTS),
near Las Vegas, NV; the Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR), Oak Ridge, TN; the
Pantex Plant (Pantex), Amarillo, TX; and SRS. The Department also
evaluated the use of existing commercial light water reactors, either
through purchase of an existing or partially completed reactor that
would be converted for the production of tritium or through purchase of
irradiation services from a privately owned reactor. The purchase of an
existing or partially completed reactor would allow the Department,
should it choose to do so, to implement the multipurpose reactor
concept. Such use is evaluated in the Final PEIS and the Technical
Reference Report. Additionally, in accordance with CEQ regulations, the
no action alternative (not providing a new supply of tritium) was
evaluated.
Tritium recycling alternatives evaluated included no action
(utilizing existing facilities at the Savannah River Site with no
upgrades or consolidation), consolidation and upgrading of the existing
facilities, or construction of new recycling facilities to be
collocated with a new tritium supply facility if the Savannah River
Site were not chosen as the site for a new tritium supply facility. The
consolidation and upgrading of the Savannah River Site recycling
facilities would support either a new tritium supply facility (if
constructed at the Savannah River Site) or the use of an existing
commercial reactor (if a commercial reactor were ultimately selected as
a long-term tritium supply source or became necessary as a contingency
source of tritium). In addition, a new tritium extraction facility
would be constructed at the Savannah River Site.
Tritium Supply Technology Alternatives
This section describes each of the alternatives. The size of the
facilities, land area requirements, and construction and operation
workforces are presented.
1. No Action: No Action is presented for comparison with the action
alternatives. Under No Action, the Department would not establish a new
tritium supply capability, the current inventory of tritium would
decay, and the Department would eventually not meet stockpile
requirements for tritium.
Construct and Operate New Facilities
2. Accelerator Production of Tritium (APT): An APT would accelerate
a proton beam in a long tunnel toward one of two target/blanket
assemblies located in separate target stations. Such an accelerator
would be approximately 4,000 feet in length and would be housed in a
concrete tunnel buried 40 to 50 feet underground. It would require
approximately 550 MWe of electricity during peak production periods (to
meet the 3/8 requirement) and 355 MWe to produce the steady-state
requirement (to meet the 3/16 requirement) of tritium. In addition to
the accelerator, the facility would include a klystron manufacturing
and remanufacturing building as well as waste treatment, maintenance,
operation, and administrative buildings, and a security infrastructure.
Two target types are being analyzed, a helium-3 target which uses
helium-3 gas to make tritium or a spallation-induced lithium
[[Page 63880]]
conversion (SILC) target which uses lithium-6 to make tritium. The
facilities required for the helium-3 target include target fabrication
and target processing (including extraction) buildings. Facilities for
the SILC target include target fabrication, target processing, and
tritium extraction buildings. The APT complex would cover approximately
173 acres. Construction would take approximately 5 years and require
approximately 2,760 workers during the peak construction year.
Operation of the APT would require approximately 624 workers.
3. Advanced Light Water Reactor (ALWR): The ALWR would be a high
temperature, high pressure reactor whose primary purpose would be to
produce tritium, but which would also generate substantial amounts of
electricity. There are two options for the ALWR technology: A large
ALWR (1,300 MWe) and a small ALWR (600 MWe). Both options use light
(regular) water as the reactor coolant and moderator, and include a
power conversion facility as an integral part of the design. The design
of the ALWR complex would include an interim spent fuel storage
building, a waste treatment facility, a tritium target processing
facility, warehouses, and security infrastructure. Fuel rods would be
purchased from commercial suppliers.
Large ALWR: The large ALWR complex would require approximately 350
acres. Construction would take approximately 6 years and approximately
3,500 workers during the peak construction year. Operation would
require approximately 830 workers.
Small ALWR: The small ALWR complex would also require approximately
350 acres. Construction would take approximately 5 years and require
approximately 2,200 workers during the peak construction year.
Operation would require approximately 500 workers.
4. Heavy Water Reactor (HWR): The HWR would be a low pressure, low
temperature reactor whose sole purpose would be to produce tritium. The
HWR uses heavy water (i.e. deuterium oxide) as the reactor coolant and
moderator. Because of the low temperature of the exit coolant, a power
conversion system designed to produce electrical power as an option
would not be feasible. The conceptual design of the HWR complex
includes a fuel and target fabrication facility, a tritium target
processing building, an interim spent fuel storage building, a general
services building, and security infrastructure. The HWR complex would
cover approximately 260 acres. Construction would take somewhat less
than 8 years and require approximately 2,320 workers during the peak
construction year. Operation would require approximately 930 workers.
Small Advanced HWR: The small advanced HWR is an emerging design
variation of the HWR. The design output of the small advanced HWR would
be 470 MWt compared to 990 MWt for the HWR. It would have the same
configuration of support buildings although they would be somewhat
smaller. The design could be developed to produce tritium to meet
steady-state tritium requirements, or modified to meet peak capacity
requirements. The total area required for the complex would be 150 to
170 acres. Construction would take approximately 5 years and require
approximately 1,800 workers during the peak year of construction. An
operational workforce has not been estimated.
5. Modular High Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (MHTGR): The MHTGR
would be a high temperature, moderate pressure reactor whose primary
purpose would be to produce tritium, but which would also generate
substantial amounts of electricity. The MHTGR would use helium gas as a
core coolant and graphite as a moderator. A steam cycle MHTGR would use
a heat converter to transfer the heat from the helium coolant to
feedwater producing super-heated steam which is then used to drive a
turbine in the production of electricity.
The steam cycle MHTGR requires three 350 MWt reactors to produce
the maximum (3/8) requirement of tritium. Because of the high
temperature of the exit coolant, a power conversion facility designed
to produce electricity is an integral part of the design. The design of
the MHTGR complex, in addition to the three reactors, includes a fuel
and target fabrication facility, a tritium target processing facility,
helium storage buildings, waste treatment facilities, interim spent
fuel storage facility, general services building, security
infrastructure, and power conversion facility. The MHTGR complex would
cover approximately 360 acres. Construction of the MHTGR would take
about 9 years and require approximately 2,210 workers during the peak
construction period. Operation would require approximately 910 workers.
Direct Cycle MHTGR: A direct cycle MHTGR is an emerging design
variation of the steam cycle MHTGR. In this design the primary helium
coolant drives a turbine generator through a gas-compression/gas-
expansion, heating/cooling cycle. Two 600 MWt direct cycle reactors
would be needed to produce the maximum (3/8) requirement of tritium.
The support facilities, resource requirements, and environmental
impacts of the direct cycle MHTGR are similar to the steam cycle MHTGR.
A two reactor direct cycle MHTGR would require fewer operating
personnel than the three module steam cycle MHTGR.
Use Existing Reactors
6. Existing Commercial Reactors: The purchase by the Department of
an existing operating reactor, the purchase of a partially completed
reactor, or the purchase of irradiation services from a commercial
power reactor(s)(with an option to purchase the reactor) are the three
options evaluated which utilize existing facilities. Commercial light
water reactors use both pressurized water and boiling water
technologies. The Department has conducted significant development work
on tritium targets for pressurized water reactors. Significant
additional development work would likely be required to develop a
target for a boiling water reactor. The Department plans to proceed
with development of the target for the pressurized water reactor, but
has not ruled out the use of boiling water reactors if industry
demonstrates an advantage to the Department in developing such a
target.
Commercial pressurized water reactors are high-temperature, high
pressure reactors that use ordinary light water as the coolant and
moderator and are capable of generating large amounts of electricity
through a steam turbine generator. A typical commercial light water
reactor facility includes the reactor building, turbine generator
building, auxiliary buildings, interim spent fuel storage facilities,
cooling towers, a switchyard for the transmission of electricity,
maintenance buildings, administrative buildings, and security
facilities.
Purchase of an Operating Commercial Light Water Reactor or Purchase
of Irradiation Services: Approximately 72 to 127 workers (depending
upon the number of reactors utilized) would be added to the work force
because of the tritium activities. New fencing and security buildings
may be required to support additional security requirements. Road
access restrictions or construction of new roads may also be required.
Purchase of a Partially Constructed Commercial Light Water Reactor:
The number of construction workers and the length of the construction
period would vary depending on the percentage of completion of the
plant. Data were available for a two-unit reactor plant
[[Page 63881]]
with one unit 45 percent complete and the second unit 85 percent
complete. The schedule data estimated completing the 45 percent
complete unit in 5 years or both units simultaneously in 7 years. Since
the Department is only interested in one unit, the 5 year estimate was
selected. It is possible that the 85 percent unit could be completed in
a shorter time. For the 45 percent complete unit, peak year workers
were estimated to be approximately 2,065. The 85 percent complete unit
would require a peak work force of approximately 1,525. Operations
would require approximately 830 workers.
Other Missions Beyond Tritium Production
Multi-Purpose Reactor Concept: The ALWR, MHTGR, and the purchase
options of the commercial reactor alternative would also be capable of
utilizing fuel fabricated from excess plutonium to make tritium and
generate electricity. To ``burn'' plutonium in an ALWR or a commercial
light water reactor, a plutonium Pit Disassembly, Conversion, and Fuel
Fabrication Facility would be needed to fabricate the plutonium and
uranium (mixed oxide) fuel rods. For the MHTGR, only a plutonium Pit
Disassembly and Conversion Facility would be needed, because the MHTGR
design already includes a fuel fabrication facility. The MHTGR, if used
to ``burn'' plutonium, would utilize fuel fabricated solely from
plutonium without blending it with uranium. However, because tritium
production declines significantly in a plutonium-fueled MHTGR, twice as
many reactors would be necessary in order to produce the steady-state
(3/16) tritium requirements. The need to include a plutonium Pit
Disassembly, Conversion, and Fuel Fabrication facility for the ALWR and
commercial reactor options, and the need for plutonium Pit Disassembly
and Conversion Facility and more reactors for the MHTGR, would be major
contributors to potential direct environmental impacts.
If an ALWR or commercial light water reactor were used as multi-
purpose facilities, the new plutonium Pit Disassembly, Conversion, and
Fuel Fabrication Facility would cover up to 129 acres and require a
peak construction work force of approximately 745 during the 6-year
construction period. Operation would require approximately 650 workers.
If an MHTGR were used as a multi-purpose reactor, the new plutonium Pit
Disassembly and Conversion Facility would cover up to 30 acres and
require a peak construction work force of approximately 125 during the
6-year construction period. Operation would require approximately 520
workers.
Recycling Facilities
The tritium recycling facility processes and recycles tritium for
use in nuclear weapons. This includes emptying reservoirs returned from
weapons in the stockpile, recovering and purifying the tritium,
reclaiming reusable reservoirs, providing new gas mixtures, and
refilling reservoirs. The facility also tests reservoirs and provides
appropriate waste management activities.
1. No Action: The Department currently operates tritium recycling
facilities at the Savannah River Site. These facilities would continue
to operate without modifications or consolidation to meet
environmental, health, and safety requirements, or to maximize
efficiencies. Environmental impacts would not change from those
experienced today.
2. Construct New Facilities: If the tritium supply and recycling
facilities were to be located at any site other than the Savannah River
Site, new recycling facilities could be collocated with the supply
facilities. The tritium recycling activities would be housed in two
buildings for operations and several support facilities. All tritium
handling activities would be completed in the tritium processing
building, which would be designed to contain tritium releases should
they occur. An auxiliary building would house non-tritium activities
and extremely small amounts of working tritium. The recycling
facilities would cover approximately 196 acres. Construction would take
approximately 4 years and require approximately 335 workers during the
peak year of construction. Operation of the recycling facilities would
require approximately 910 workers.
3. Upgrade Existing Facilities at Savannah River Site: There are
two options for the upgrade of recycling facilities at the Savannah
River Site. The first, the unconsolidated upgrade, would result in the
continued use of all existing facilities and thus no consolidation of
tritium handling activities. Five buildings would be upgraded in order
to meet environmental, health, and safety requirements. No additional
land area would be required. Construction of the upgrades would take
approximately 3 years and require approximately 26 workers during the
peak construction year. Operations would require approximately 970
workers.
The second option, the consolidated upgrade, would result in
closing one building and transferring its functions to two existing
buildings. Four buildings would be upgraded to meet environmental,
health, and safety requirements and one to accept the transferred
activities. The land area required for the facilities would not change.
Construction would take approximately 3 years and require approximately
36 workers during the peak construction year. Operations would require
approximately 910 workers.
Siting of New Tritium Supply Facilities
New tritium supply facilities, if constructed, would be located at
one of five sites currently owned by the Department. These five sites
are:
1. Idaho National Engineering Laboratory: The INEL is situated on
approximately 570,000 acres, approximately 50 miles west of Idaho Falls
and presently employs approximately 10,100 workers. The site has been
used to test, build, and operate nuclear facilities. Research and
development activities include reactor performance studies, materials
testing, environmental monitoring, waste processing, breeder reactor
development, and naval reactor operator training. Currently, there are
four operational reactors. In addition to nuclear research, INEL
supports processing and/or storage of high-level, low-level, and
transuranic radioactive wastes.
2. Nevada Test Site: The NTS is situated on approximately 854,000
acres, 65 miles northwest of Las Vegas. Approximately 6,850 workers are
presently employed at the site. The site is a remote secure facility
for conducting underground testing of nuclear weapons and evaluating
the effects of nuclear detonations on military communications,
electronics, satellites, sensors, and other materials. NTS is also the
location of a low level radioactive waste management facility.
3. Oak Ridge Reservation: The ORR is located on approximately
35,000 acres, 20 miles west of Knoxville, TN. Approximately 15,000
workers are presently employed at the site. It includes three major
facilities: the Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Y-12 Plant, and the K-25
site. The Oak Ridge National Laboratory conducts basic and applied
scientific research and technology development. The K-25 site is the
location of the former Oak Ridge Gaseous Diffusion Plant. It currently
serves as an operations center for environmental restoration and waste
management programs. Y-12 is the primary location for nuclear weapons
activities at Oak Ridge. These include
[[Page 63882]]
the dismantling of nuclear weapons components, maintaining uranium and
lithium component fabrication capabilities, and storing special nuclear
materials.
4. Pantex Plant: The Pantex Plant is located on 10,000 acres, 17
miles northeast of Amarillo, TX. Approximately 3,400 workers are
presently employed at the site. Activities at Pantex include
fabrication of chemical explosives, nuclear weapons assembly and
disassembly, testing, repair and disposal of nonnuclear components, and
development activities in support of the national laboratories. Pantex
also is the interim storage site for sealed plutonium components from
dismantled weapons.
5. Savannah River Site: The SRS is situated on approximately
198,000 acres, 12 miles south of Aiken, SC. Approximately 20,300
workers are presently employed at the site. Currently, tritium
recycling operations to support nuclear weapons activities are
conducted at the SRS. Other activities include interim storage of
plutonium, waste management, and environmental monitoring and
restoration. Past activities at SRS have included nuclear fuel and
tritium target fabrication, operation of reactors for nuclear material
production, chemical separation for recovery of plutonium and plutonium
isotopes, tritium extraction, and uranium fuel reprocessing. The
facilities that supported these past activities are currently
supporting waste management and environmental cleanup activities and
will ultimately be decommissioned and decontaminated.
Commercial Reactor Site: The commercial light water analysis does
not evaluate a specific site. Currently, commercial light water
reactors are operating on 59 sites in 32 states. Approximately one-half
of these sites contain two or three nuclear units. The sites range in
size from 84 to 30,000 acres. The largest use of the sites is for
cooling systems, including reservoirs and artificial lakes, and safety
buffer areas. Analysis of specific candidate reactors would be
conducted in a separate NEPA document.
Preferred Alternative
Based on the analysis presented in the PEIS and Technical Reference
Report, the Department announced a preferred alternative in the FINAL
PEIS. The preferred alternative is a acquisition strategy that assures
tritium production for the nuclear weapons stockpile rapidly, cost
effectively, and safely. The preferred strategy is to begin work on the
most promising production alternatives of purchasing an existing
commercial light water reactor or irradiation services with an option
to purchase the reactor for conversion to a defense facility, and to
design, build, and test critical components of an accelerator system
for tritium production.
The Savannah River Site was designated as the preferred site for an
accelerator, should one be built. The preferred alternative for tritium
recycling and extraction activities was to remain at the Savannah River
Site with appropriate consolidation and upgrading of current
facilities, and construction of a new extraction facility.
Tritium Supply Evaluation
This section describes the results of the Department's evaluation
of each of the alternatives. It summarizes their environmental impacts,
costs, and schedule and production assurance risks. The evaluation of
schedule, production assurance and costs were completed by developing
base estimates and then conducting a formal assessment by experts to
determine the risk. The risk is presented as the probability of
achieving a specific objective. Base cases were developed for six
schedule components, production capacity and availability, and five
cost components. The estimates were normalized to insure consistency
across all tritium supply alternatives. Technical experts (different
groups for schedule, production assurance, and cost) were asked to
provide judgments of the probability of success of the base estimates
for each of the schedule components, capacity and availability, and
each of the cost components. In addition, potential technical,
regulatory, or institutional problems were identified for each tritium
supply alternative and their probability for causing schedule delay,
production assurance uncertainty or cost uncertainty were assessed. The
impacts of the problems on schedule, capacity and availability, and
cost were assessed. This information was combined through multiple
simulations to develop probabilities of meeting various schedule,
production assurance and cost objectives. The environmental impacts
reported in the PEIS were evaluated for discriminators among tritium
supply technologies and among sites.
The schedule, production assurance, and waste factors which
discriminate among tritium supply technology alternatives are
summarized in Table 1. These are: (1) The capability of meeting a
schedule supporting a START II Protocol stockpile size; (2) the
likelihood of producing the amount of tritium necessary to meet maximum
(3/8) tritium requirements; (3) amount of additional spent fuel
generated; and (4) amount of additional solid low level radioactive
waste generated. Costs are presented in Table 2. They are divided into:
(a) Total life cycle cost with revenue; (b) total life cycle cost
without revenue; (c) total project cost; (d) operations and maintenance
cost; and (e) revenue.
Additional environmental discriminators are the need for or
generation of electricity, and cancer risk from a severe accident. The
APT and HWR are users of electricity while the ALWR(s), MHTGR(s), and
purchase of a partially completed or existing commercial reactor will
result in the generation of additional electricity. The range between
the potential amount of electricity used (550 MWe for the APT) and the
potential amount of electricity generated (1,300 MWe for the large
ALWR) is 1,850 MWe. The amount of electricity used was evaluated for
each candidate site against the capability of the power pool to supply
electricity. No significant impacts on the pool or the ability to
supply the required amounts were identified. A separate evaluation of
the option of the construction and operation of a dedicated 550 MWe
coal or gas-fired electrical generating plant was completed for the
APT. The potential impacts of a gas-fired electrical generating plant
were incorporated into the environmental analysis for each of the
sites. The cancer risks attributable to a severe accident are, in
absolute terms, very low for each alternative. However, in comparative
terms, the APT clearly has a significantly lower cancer risk than any
of the new facility reactor alternatives. Therefore, cancer risk is
considered a discriminator between the APT and new reactor alternatives
for the purposes of this decision. The results of the evaluations are
described below.
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Table 1.--Schedule, Production Assurance, and Waste Discriminators
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Probability of
Probability of producing START I Additional spent fuel generated per Additional solid low level waste
Alternatives delivering first amounts in any year (yd \3\/yr) generated (yd \3\/yr)
gas in 2011 a one year
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No Action......................... 0 0 0..................................... 0
APT............................... 0.76 0.77 0..................................... 57 e
Large ALWR........................ 0.78 0.96 55.................................... 710
Small ALWR........................ 0.78 0.89 36.................................... 660
HWR............................... 0.40 0.93 7..................................... 5,200
Small Advanced HWR................ b 0.79 f.................................. f
Steam Cycle MHTGR................. 0.22 0.86 80.................................... 1,300
Direct Cycle MHTGR................ c 0.49 82.................................... 1,300 g
Purchase Existing CLWR............ >0.99 d >0.96 40.................................... 160
Purchase Partially Complete CLWR.. >0.99 d >0.96 Similar to Large ALWR................. Similar to Large ALWR
Purchase Irradiation Services..... >0.99 d >0.96 0 to 40 depending on number of 160
reactors used.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
a Includes technical, regulatory, and institutional delays.
b Due to emerging state of technology longer delays than HWR assumed.
c Probability without any delays is 0.14. Delay would reduce this probability.
d Assumes institutional questions are resolved.
e For Helium-3 target; 544 yd3/yr for SILC target.
f No analysis completed, however, expected to be the same or less than the HWR.
g No analysis completed, however, expected to be approximately the same as the steam cycle MHTGR.
1. Ability to meet required schedules. To meet projected stockpile
requirements for tritium, new tritium gas is required by 2011. This
date is based on a stockpile consistent with the START II Protocol.
Maintaining a stockpile consistent with the START I Treaty would
require new tritium gas by 2005. The schedule analyses assumed a
requirement to deliver tritium in 2011. A sensitivity analysis assessed
the ability of the alternatives to deliver new tritium gas in 2005.
[[Page 63884]]
Table 2.--Cost Evaluation Data at Savannah River Site
[In Billions of 1995 Dollars]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life cycle cost w/o Total life cycle cost w/o Total project cost a Operations and maintenance b
revenue a revenue a ------------------------------ costs a
Alternatives ------------------------------------------------------------ -----------------------------
Low Mean High Low Mean High Low Mean High Low Mean High
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No Action....................... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
APT............................. 3.6 5.1 7.8 3.6 5.1 7.8 2.0 3.0 5.5 1.4 2.1 2.9
Large ALWR...................... 1.3 3.7 7.6 4.8 6.5 10.2 2.4 4.0 7.2 1.9 2.5 3.3
Small ALWR...................... 1.5 2.7 4.5 3.2 4.2 5.8 1.6 2.3 3.9 1.4 1.8 2.5
HWR............................. 4.3 5.8 8.1 4.3 5.8 8.1 2.6 3.8 6.4 1.4 2.0 2.9
Small Advanced HWR.............. 2.9 4.2 5.7 2.9 4.2 5.7 1.8 2.7 4.1 0.9 1.5 2.1
Steam Cycle MHTGR............... 4.1 6.3 9.9 5.0 7.1 10.7 3.0 4.5 7.8 1.8 2.6 3.7
Direct Cycle MHTGR.............. 3.0 5.0 8.3 4.2 6.0 9.5 2.5 4.1 7.4 1.4 1.9 2.6
Purchase existing CLWR.......... 0.8 1.4 3.8 2.8 4.1 5.2 1.0 1.7 2.8 1.7 2.4 3.2
Purchase partially complete CLWR 0.1 2.0 4.4 2.9 4.4 6.6 1.1 1.9 3.4 1.7 2.5 3.8
Purchase Irradiation Services... 0.8 1.2 1.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
a The costs are for steady-state production, discounted at 4.9% per year at SRS for new facilities. The low estimate corresponds to the 5th percentile
of the cost probability distribution. The high estimate corresponds to the 95th percentile of the cost probability distribution.
b Operations and maintenance costs include decontamination and decommissioning costs.
[[Page 63885]]
The potential for technical or regulatory delays in the baseline
schedule was also considered in assessing schedule uncertainties for
each of the technologies. Technical delays relate to issues such as the
maturity of the facility design, operational experience associated with
the technology and maturity of the target design. Regulatory delays
relate to the potential that independent reviews by organizations
external to the Department could take longer than anticipated, either
due to administrative licensing proceedings or to resolution of
technical issues that delays design acceptance by the reviewing
organization. By the end of 1995, a Task Force on External Regulation
established by the Department is scheduled to present its
recommendations whether the Department's nuclear facilities should be
externally regulated, and if so, by what entity. While a number of
different outcomes are possible as a result of the Task Force efforts,
the Nation's commercial nuclear reactors are now regulated by the
Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). Therefore, in considering
scenarios that involved regulatory delay, the Department used the NRC
regulatory process and structure as the basis for this consideration,
and assumed that an NRC license would be obtained for construction and
operation of the reactor technologies.
Since the NRC has the greatest amount of experience with regulation
of light water reactors, the potential regulatory delays associated
with the light water options, either the new ALWR designs or the
existing commercial reactor options, were assumed to be the shortest
among the reactor technologies. Potential regulatory delays associated
with the MHTGR and the HWR would be greater than for the light water
candidates because changes to the NRC's regulatory structure would be
required to license these technologies. While there will be technical
and potential regulatory reviews associated with the APT design, the
safety issues associated with this technology are not nearly as complex
as those associated with any of the reactor technologies. Therefore,
the potential for regulatory delays was assessed to be minimal. The
purchase of an existing or partially complete commercial reactor would
also require the transfer of a license to the Department, which would
require a change to the Atomic Energy Act and corresponding changes to
the NRC regulations.
While issues related to the new facility technologies are primarily
technical and regulatory, existing commercial reactors are subject to
an additional set of institutional issues that must be resolved before
this option could be implemented to meet long-term tritium
requirements. These center around concerns about the use of civilian
commercial reactors for purposes which support military requirements.
Such issues have been raised in the past predominantly in conjunction
with the use of civilian reactors to produce special nuclear materials
(highly enriched uranium and plutonium) which would, in turn, be used
to make nuclear weapons. Any concerns will have to be addressed and
resolved over the course of the next several years if the commercial
reactor alternative options are to be utilized as the primary long-term
source of tritium.
The no action alternative would not be able to produce new tritium.
Therefore, it could not meet the schedule requirements.
Of the action alternatives, the commercial reactor options have the
highest probability of meeting the 2011 start date, if there are no
technical or institutional delays. However, as noted above, there are
institutional issues related to their implementation. If these issues
cannot be resolved, the commercial reactor alternative would remain
only as a contingency source of tritium in the event of an emergency.
Even when delays or major issues are taken into account, the ALWRs,
among the new facility alternatives, have a high probability of meeting
the required 2011 start date. The base case construction schedule of
the small ALWR is one year shorter than that of the large ALWR.
However, the small ALWR has a higher risk of technical delays due to
the uncertainties surrounding its passive safety system and potential
regulatory delays, due to the fact that it has not yet received NRC
design certification. The APT has only a slightly smaller probability
of meeting the 2011 date compared to the ALWRs, and it is expected to
have very few technical or regulatory delay problems. The HWR and the
MHTGR would have difficulty in meeting the 2011 date.
The sensitivity analysis on producing tritium as early as 2005
assumed that the base schedules could be compressed by 2 years, and
that no technical or regulatory delays would occur. It showed that the
commercial options have a high probability (0.80 to 0.99) of meeting
the 2005 date. The APT and the small ALWR have a small (0.20)
probability of producing tritium by 2005 if no delays are experienced.
None of the other alternatives could produce tritium by 2005.
The assessment also showed that the schedule for completing all
activities to develop a multipurpose reactor would be similar or
identical to that of the MHTGR, ALWRs, and purchase of a commercial
reactor options if they are used for tritium production alone, as long
as the tritium mission is given priority over the plutonium burning and
electricity production missions.
In summary, the no action alternative is not able to meet tritium
schedule requirements. The HWR and MHTGR have the potential for major
technical or institutional delays; thus, there is a low probability of
their making tritium by the 2011 start date. The ALWRs and the APT have
a very high probability of delivering tritium by 2011. The commercial
options have the highest potential for delivering tritium by 2011, if
the institutional issues associated with the defense use of such
facilities can be resolved. Only the commercial options have a high
probability of delivering tritium by 2005, if that becomes a
requirement.
2. Ability to produce the required amounts of tritium. Production
assurance refers to the ability of the tritium supply alternatives to
meet the annual production requirements for maintaining the tritium
inventory. The steady-state (3/16) and maximum (3/8) production rates
were used in the production assurance analysis.
The second column of Table 1 summarizes the results of the
production assurance analysis in terms of the probability that a
tritium supply option can meet the maximum rate in any given year.
Since the facility is designed to operate for 40 years, a technology
that produced at more than the maximum rate in any given year would
produce excess tritium. If such a year is followed by a year that the
technology produced at less than the maximum rate, the combination of
years would still produce roughly the desired overall quantity of
tritium over the 40-year lifetime of the facility. Thus, a production
rate with a 0.50 probability of a rate meeting or exceeding the maximum
rate in any given year provides a reasonable degree of production
assurance. A 0.75 probability of meeting or exceeding the maximum rate
every year is a high degree of production assurance, since it means
that roughly during 30 years of the 40 years of production the maximum
rate will be exceeded.
For all tritium supply alternatives, with the exception of the
direct cycle MHTGR, there is a high probability of producing the
required amounts of tritium (0.77 or higher). The direct cycle
[[Page 63886]]
MHTGR has a moderate probability of production assurance (0.49).
The production assurance of a multipurpose reactor would not change
from that of the MHTGR, ALWR, and commercial reactor purchase options,
as long as tritium production is the primary mission of the facility.
National security requirements mandate that tritium supply remain the
primary mission of a multipurpose reactor.
In summary, the no action alternative has no chance of meeting the
tritium production requirements. With the exception of the direct cycle
MHTGR, all other alternatives have very high probabilities of meeting
the steady-state and maximum production requirements.
3. Environmental Impacts. The Final PEIS presents numerous
environmental impacts for a variety of resource areas for each of the
new tritium supply facility alternatives at each of the five sites, and
generic impacts for the commercial reactor options. The analysis was
completed for meeting the maximum (3/8) goal requirement of tritium.
Many of these impacts are very small. For example, the air quality
impacts of all technological alternatives at all sites are very low.
Most other impacts show little or no differentiation among
alternatives. The evaluation of the tritium supply alternatives
focuses, therefore, on the three environmental impacts that
differentiate among the tritium supply alternatives: spent fuel
generation, low level radioactive waste generation and risks from
severe accidents. For all three of these area of environmental impact,
the no action alternative would not change the status quo, i.e., no
tritium would be produced. Therefore, it has the lowest environmental
impact. This section presents the evaluation of tritium supply
technology alternatives which are not site dependent. The following
section presents the evaluation of the sites.
3.1 Spent fuel. Spent fuel is measured by the cubic yards of
radioactive spent fuel rods produced during reactor operations in one
year. The third column of Table 1 shows the annual amounts of spent
fuel generated by the reactor supply alternatives. The new reactors
generate spent fuel amounts ranging from 7 cubic yards to 80 cubic
yards. The options to purchase an operating reactor or to purchase
irradiation services would create up to 40 cubic yards of additional
spent fuel (if only one reactor were utilized) due to shorter refueling
cycles. If there were no change to the refueling cycles, no additional
spent fuel would be generated. The option to purchase an incomplete
reactor would create amounts of spent fuel comparable to those of the
large ALWR. The APT does not generate any spent fuel. No additional
spent fuel would be produced by virtue of the use of fuel fabricated
from excess plutonium for the ALWR, MHTGR, or purchase commercial
reactors options.
3.2 Low level radioactive waste. The fourth column of Table 1
shows the annual amounts of low level radioactive waste produced by the
supply alternatives. For the new facility alternatives the HWR creates
by far the most low level radioactive waste (5,200 cubic yards),
followed by the other new rectors. The APT generates the least amount
of low level radioactive waste (57 cubic yards) when using the helium-3
target, and 544 cubic yards when using the SILC target. The options to
purchase an operating commercial reactor or to purchase irradiation
services would create 160 cubic yards of additional low level
radioactive waste due to the use of additional fuel rods and to
handling additional radioactive materials. The option of purchasing an
incomplete reactor would produce amounts of low level radioactive
wastes that are similar to those of the large ALWR. A multipurpose
reactor would generate about the same amount of low level radioactive
waste as the reactor when used for tritium production alone. However,
the plutonium Pit Disassembly and Conversion and Mixed-Oxide Fuel
Fabrication Facility for the ALWR and commercial reactor options would
generate approximately 540 cubic yards of low level radioactive waste
annually. The plutonium Pit Disassembly and Conversion Facility for the
MHTGR would generate approximately 10 cubic yards of low level
radioactive waste per year.
3.3 Severe accidents. Risk is the probability of an accident
occurring times the consequences of the accident if it occurred. Cancer
risk to a population within a 50-mile radius of a facility is
influenced by the size of the population within the radius. However,
technologies can be compared if the same 50 mile radius is used for the
analysis. For the purposes of comparison the SRS is used. The annual
cancer risk from a severe accident to the population within 50 miles of
the facility for the new reactor technologies is very low, ranging from
5.1x10-5 to 2.6x10-7 at the SRS. The APT would have the
lowest annual cancer risk (2.8x10-11) for all the new facility
alternatives. The options to purchase an operating reactor or to
purchase irradiation services would pose no significant additional
severe accident risks because of adding tritium production. The option
to purchase an incomplete commercial reactor would have severe accident
risks that are comparable to that of a large ALWR.
The use of plutonium as mixed oxide fuel in an ALWR or the purchase
of commercial reactor options would not significantly affect the
consequences of radioactivity releases from severe accidents though
there would be some small changes in the source term release spectrum
and frequency. The MHTGR would have twice as many reactors when
operated in the multipurpose mode, and therefore, while extremely
small, the accident risk for the MHTGR would double if used in this
mode compared to the risk if used for tritium production alone.
An accident at a plutonium Pit Disassembly and Conversion and
Mixed-Oxide Fuel Fabrication Facility for the ALWR and purchase of
commercial reactor options would result in a small additional cancer
risk from a severe accident if located at the SRS. A severe accident at
the plutonium Pit Disassembly and Conversion facility for the MHTGR
would also result in a small additional cancer risk.
In summary, the no action alternative has no additional
environmental impacts. The APT and the commercial options to purchase
an operating reactor or to purchase irradiation services, if the fuel
cycle is not changed, generate no additional spent fuel, and have the
lowest amounts of additional low level radioactive waste and cancer
risks from a severe accident. The new reactor alternatives and the
completion of a partially complete commercial reactor produce spent
fuel and low level radioactive waste, and they present a very small
additional cancer risk from a severe accident.
4. Affordability (Cost). For each action alternative, a range of
costs, and the probability distributions over the range, were developed
for Total Life Cycle Cost (TLCC), Total Project Cost (TPC), and
Operation and Maintenance (O&M). The O&M costs included decontamination
and decommissioning. No costs were developed for the no action
alternative. For the action alternatives, results were calculated for
both undiscounted and discounted cost. The discount rate used was 4.9%
per year in accordance with Office of Management and Budget guidance.
The ALWR, MHTGR, and purchase commercial reactor options can produce
revenues through electricity generation. The TLCC was calculated with
and without revenues for these alternatives. Costs were estimated both
for steady-state and maximum production rates.
[[Page 63887]]
The results of the cost ranges for steady-state production using
discounted 1995 dollars are shown in Table 2. For each alternative a
low, mean and high cost estimate is presented for TLCC with revenue,
TLCC without revenue, TPC and O&M. The low estimate is the 5th
percentile of the cost probability distribution, i.e., there is a 5%
chance that the true cost will fall below the low estimate. The mean
estimate is the average of the cost probability distribution. The high
estimate is the 95th percentile of the cost probability distribution,
i.e., there is a 95% chance that the true cost will fall below it.
The TLCC with revenue represents the estimated cumulative
discounted net cost to the government or the taxpayers for each of the
alternatives, since revenues from electricity sales would come to the
government, not the Department. The Department must budget for all
costs; therefore, the TLCC without revenue shows the estimated
cumulative discounted cost to the Department. TPC represents the
discounted capital cost estimates to develop, construct and make
operational each alternative. The O&M costs are the discounted costs
after the facility would become operational.
For TLCC with revenues (first column of Table 2), the option to
purchase irradiation services has the lowest mean estimated cost (1.2
billion dollars) with uncertainty adding approximately 500 million
dollars (95th percentile above the mean). The option to purchase an
existing reactor has a mean cost of 1.4 billion dollars (17 percent
higher than purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding
approximately 2.4 billion dollars. The option to purchase a partially
complete commercial reactor has a mean cost of 2.0 billion dollars (67
percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty
adding 2.4 billion dollars. The new reactor technology alternatives
have mean costs that range from 2.7 billion dollars for the small ALWR
(125 percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) to 6.3
billion dollars for the steam cycle MHTGR (425 percent higher than
purchasing irradiation services). All new reactor alternatives have
significant cost uncertainties, which add from 1.5 billion dollars
(small advanced HWR) to 3.9 billion dollars (large ALWR). The APT has a
mean cost of 5.1 billion dollars (325 percent higher than purchasing
irradiation services) with uncertainty adding approximately 2.7 billion
dollars. The large uncertainties create a substantial overlap in the
cost distributions of the alternatives, except for the purchase of
irradiation services.
For TLCC without revenues (second column of Table 2), the option to
purchase irradiation services has the lowest mean estimated cost (1.2
billion dollars) with uncertainty adding approximately 500 million
dollars (95th percentile above the mean). The option to purchase an
existing reactor has a mean cost of 4.1 billion dollars (242 percent
higher than purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding
approximately 1.1 billion dollars. The option to purchase a partially
complete commercial reactor has a mean cost of 4.4 billion dollars (267
percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty
adding approximately 2.2 billion dollars. The new reactor technology
alternatives have mean costs that range from 4.2 billion dollars for
the small ALWR and small advanced HWR (250 percent higher than
purchasing irradiation services) to 7.1 billion dollars for the steam
cycle MHTGR (492 percent higher than purchasing irradiation services).
All new reactor alternatives have significant cost uncertainties, which
add from 1.5 billion dollars (small advanced HWR) to 3.7 billion
dollars (large ALWR). The APT has a mean cost of 5.1 billion dollars
(325 percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) with
uncertainty adding approximately 2.7 billion dollars. The large
uncertainties create a substantial overlap in the cost distributions of
the alternatives, except for the purchase of irradiation services.
For TPC (third column of Table 2), the option to purchase
irradiation services has the lowest mean estimated TPC (0.5 billion
dollars) with uncertainty adding approximately 200 million dollars
(95th percentile above the mean). The option to purchase an existing
reactor has a mean TPC of 1.7 billion dollars (240 percent higher than
purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding approximately
1.1 billion dollars. The option to purchase a partially complete
commercial reactor has a mean TPC of 1.9 billion dollars (280 percent
higher than purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding
1.5 billion dollars. The new reactor technology alternatives have mean
TPCs that range from 2.3 billion dollars for the small ALWR (360
percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) to 4.5 billion
dollars for the steam cycle MHTGR (800 percent higher than purchasing
irradiation services). All new reactor alternatives have significant
cost uncertainties, that add from 1.4 billion dollars (small advanced
HWR) to 3.3 billion dollars (Direct Cycle MHTGR). The APT has a mean
TPC of 3.0 billion dollars (500 percent higher than purchasing
irradiation services) with uncertainty adding approximately 2.5 billion
dollars. The large uncertainties create a substantial overlap in the
TPC distributions of the alternatives, except for the purchase of
irradiation services.
The O&M costs make up the fourth cost item (fourth column of Table
2). The option to purchase irradiation services has the lowest mean
estimated O&M cost (700 million dollars) with uncertainty adding
approximately 400 million dollars (95th percentile above the mean). The
option to purchase an existing reactor has a mean O&M cost of 2.4
billion dollars (243 percent higher than purchasing irradiation
services) with uncertainty adding approximately 800 million dollars.
The option to purchase a partially complete commercial reactor has a
mean O&M cost of 2.5 billion dollars (257 percent higher than
purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding 1.3 billion
dollars. The new reactor technology alternatives have mean O&M costs
that range from 1.5 billion dollars for the small advanced HWR (114
percent higher than purchasing irradiation services) to 2.6 billion
dollars for the steam cycle MHTGR (271 percent higher than purchasing
irradiation services). All new reactor alternatives have significant
O&M cost uncertainties, that add from 600 million dollars (small
Advance HWR) to 1.1 billion dollars (steam cycle MHTGR). The APT has a
mean O&M cost of 2.1 billion dollars (200 percent higher than
purchasing irradiation services) with uncertainty adding approximately
800 million dollars. The large uncertainties create a substantial
overlap in the cost distributions of the alternatives, except for the
purchase of irradiation services.
The costs of a multipurpose reactor were analyzed separately from
the tritium supply alternatives. The Department's Fissile Materials
Disposition Office and an independent contractor prepared separate
estimates. Different discount rates were used in the reports, which
also only identified the minimum and maximum cost range. The results of
the independent analysis, in discounted 1995 dollars are: (1) $4.5
billion to $14 billion for a government-owned large ALWR, $2.9 billion
to 8.6 billion for a small ALWR, and $2.7 billion to $9.9 billion for a
commercial reactor option; (2) $5.2 billion to $25.4 billion for a
privatized large ALWR, $3.1 billion to $14 billion for a small ALWR,
and $1.9 billion to $11.3 billion for a commercial reactor option. The
result of the Department's analysis, in discounted 1993 dollars, is:
(1) For a
[[Page 63888]]
government-owned large ALWR costs would range from $1.5 billion to $3.5
billion, and 2) for a privately financed large ALWR costs would range
from $0.7 billion to $5.0 billion. These amounts include revenue from
electricity sales.
In summary, the purchase of irradiation services is the lowest cost
in all categories and has the lowest uncertainty. The other commercial
options have the lowest cost estimates for TLCC both with and without
revenues, and for TPC but with a higher degree of uncertainty. The APT,
small ALWR, and small advanced HWR make up a middle group with
approximately similar discounted mean costs for TLCC without revenue,
and TPC. The small ALWR and small Advanced HWR have smaller
uncertainties than the APT in both these categories. TLCC with revenue
shows the small ALWR to have a lower mean cost than the APT or the
small advanced HWR and adds the large ALWR to this middle group. The
large ALWR is in the higher mean cost group for TLCC without revenue
and for TPC, along with the MHTGRs and HWR, which also have higher
uncertainties. The O&M analysis shows that the purchase of irradiation
services has clearly the lowest mean cost, with all other alternatives
grouped together. The uncertainties for all the alternatives generally
have a substantial overlap in their cost distributions.
Evaluation of Site Alternatives
The five sites for new tritium supply and recycling facilities were
evaluated with respect to environmental impacts and cost. Two criteria
emerged as discriminators: (1) Ability to handle low-level radioactive
waste; and (2) cost. No siting analysis was needed for the commercial
reactor options, since they all currently exist, and any reactor
ultimately selected would have to undergo a separate NEPA review.
Numerous environmental impacts were examined in the Final PEIS. The
analysis either showed very small or no impacts, or the impacts did not
differentiate among sites including cancer risks from a severe
accident. Impact differences are primarily due to the differences in
the size of the population within 50 miles of the site. Because cancer
risk is low for all sites, it is not a discriminator between sites. The
cost estimates for site alternatives are published in the Technical
Reference Report.
The results of the evaluations are summarized in Table 3 and
described below.
Table 3.--Site Evaluation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent adjustment to
base cost site (INEL) due
Cost of adding non- to site differences
Criterion site Ability to dispose of evaporative cooling --------------------------
wastes on site (reactors only)a Operation &
Construction maintenance
(percent) (percent)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INEL............................... Yes.................... $86 to $208............ 0 0
NTS................................ Yes.................... 99 to 239.............. 5 15
ORR................................ Yes.................... 0...................... 5 0
PANTEX............................. No..................... 98 to 239.............. -10 15
SRS................................ Yes.................... 0...................... 0 10
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
a Mean discounted cost in millions of 1995 dollars, using a 4.9% annual discount rate.
1. Ability to Handle Wastes. As shown in column 2 of Table 3, with
the exception of Pantex, all sites can dispose of low level radioactive
waste on site. The wastes from Pantex would be shipped to an approved
off site low level radioactive waste disposal facility.
2. Cost. The results of the cost comparisons are shown in Table 3.
Cost differences among sites are determined by three major factors:
(1) The cost for the non-evaporative cooling system needed at sites
which do not have ample water availability (this does not apply to the
APT, which is not designed to use non-evaporative cooling),
(2) The percentage differential in construction costs (primarily
because of labor rates), and
(3) The percentage differential in operation and maintenance costs
(primarily because of labor and electricity rates).
The third column of Table 3 shows the range of additional costs due
to the need for non-evaporative dry cooling for reactors at INEL, NTS,
and Pantex. The high end of these costs would occur for the large ALWR.
The fourth and fifth columns of Table 3 show the percent increases
in cost of construction, and operation and maintenance over the least
expensive site (INEL). For construction, Pantex shows a decrease, SRS
shows no change, and NTS and ORR show small increases. Operation and
maintenance costs are higher at NTS and Pantex than INEL, with SRS
higher than INEL but less than NTS and Pantex. ORR shows the same cost
to INEL. These differences are fairly small compared to the large
uncertainties in the actual costs of the facilities.
Evaluation of Tritium Recycling Alternatives
If a new supply facility is chosen at INEL, NTS, ORR, or Pantex,
the alternatives are to build a new recycling facility collocated with
the supply facility or to upgrade the SRS facility. Constructing a new
tritium recycling facility (1.9 to 2.1 billion dollars) is more
expensive (between $500 million and $750 million) than upgrading
existing tritium recycling facilities (1.3 billion) at SRS. The
operational environmental impacts would be similar.
If a new supply facility is chosen at SRS or if a commercial
reactor option is chosen, upgrading the existing tritium recycling
facility is the only option considered, since building a new recycling
facility at another site is more expensive and has no other advantages.
Cumulative Impacts
Impacts from the siting, construction, and operation of new tritium
supply and recycling facilities would be cumulative with impacts from
existing and planned facilities and actions at the five candidate
sites. The consequences of each new tritium supply alternative and
recycling alternatives include the cumulative effect of tritium supply
and recycling impacts and impacts from existing, planned, and
reasonably foreseeable operations. Other more long-term impacts
associated with the Department's proposed Environmental
[[Page 63889]]
Management Program and the Storage and Disposition of Weapons-Usable
Fissile Materials Program are speculative at this time but could
increase or decrease cumulative impacts, depending on the decisions
resulting from the PEISs being prepared for these programs and the time
frame of site-specific projects. Information on potential waste
management activities at the candidate sites was included as
appropriate in the assessment of waste management impacts in the
Tritium Supply and Recycling PEIS.
The Storage and Disposition PEIS alternative of burning plutonium
in a reactor could result in increased cumulative impacts at the
candidate sites if this Record of Decision selected a new facility, and
the Record of Decision for the Storage and Disposition PEIS selected a
separate new reactor. The impacts of combining tritium production and
plutonium disposition in a single reactor, the multipurpose reactor,
were evaluated in the Tritium Supply and Recycle PEIS. Cumulative
impacts from constructing two separate reactors would approximately
double those presented for a single reactor in the Tritium Supply and
Recycling PEIS. Cumulative impacts from construction of a APT for
tritium production and a new reactor for plutonium disposition would be
represented by adding together the APT and ALWR or MHTGR impacts
evaluated in the Tritium Supply and Recycling PEIS. Cumulative impacts
would be minimized if tritium production and plutonium disposition were
to take place in a single reactor.
The Environmentally Preferable Alternative
The environmentally preferable alternative is the alternative that
would cause the least impact to the physical environment, and best
protect worker and public health.
With respect to all three decisions, the no action alternative is
the environmentally preferable alternative. Under the no action
alternative, tritium requirements to support the nuclear weapons
stockpile would continue to be met by recovering residual tritium from
weapons components, purifying it, and refilling weapons components.
These activities would be performed at the Savannah River Site, the
current location of this function. However, under the no action
alternative, the Department would not establish a new tritium supply
capability and the Department would not meet future stockpile
requirements of tritium. This would be contrary to the Department's
mission as specified by the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended.
Thus, no action is not a reasonable alternative.
Of the alternatives that would satisfy the Department's mission,
the potential environmental impacts are generally small and, except for
the commercial reactor options to purchase an existing reactor or
irradiation services, the impacts are within the same range. The
Department considers the commercial reactor options of purchasing an
existing reactor or irradiation services to be the environmentally
preferred alternative.
Implementation of either of these options would result in certain
environmental impacts. The environmental impacts of construction
activities would be limited to any support facilities that would be
required. Operation of the commercial reactor options would have few
potential environmental impacts. No additional spent fuel over and
above what the reactor(s) would otherwise generate during their planned
lifetime would be generated, assuming that operating scenarios do not
change fuel cycles. If fuel cycles were changed, additional spent fuel
would be generated.
There are no environmental grounds for discrimination among sites
for the tritium supply alternatives. Therefore, the SRS is the
environmentally preferred site since impacts from upgrading tritium
recycling facilities are less than building new facilities at any of
the other sites. Resource areas where no major differences exist, or
where potential environmental impacts are small are: land resources,
air quality, water resources, geology and soils, biotic resources,
socioeconomics, and site infrastructure.
Comments on the PEIS and Related Documents
Several comments were received on the Final PEIS during the 30-day
period following the filing of the Final PEIS with the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA). The EPA stated that all of its specific
comments on the Draft PEIS had been adequately addressed in the Final
PEIS. A vendor for one of the ALWRs commented that on the Final PEIS
did not adequately reflect the fact that the electricity-producing
reactor options have an environmental benefit. That is, construction of
such a reactor would offset the need to build and operate an equivalent
capacity of fossil-fueled power plants, whereas the accelerator would
have an additional environmental impact from a power plant needed to
provide electricity for operating the accelerator.
The Final PEIS assessed the environmental impacts associated with
providing power to the APT. Two methods were assessed: (1) Purchasing
electricity from regional power pool grids; and (2) building and
operating a dedicated power plant. If a new dedicated power supply were
constructed, impacts would occur to air resources, land use, soils,
biotic resources, and socioeconomics at the construction site.
Operation of a dedicated power supply, or increased electrical demand
on the power pool would result in increased impacts to air resources,
water resources, waste management systems, and local traffic. Impacts
to land use, soils, waste management systems, and biotic resources
could occur at the plant location and along the transportation system
supplying the coal or gas to the power plant. While these environmental
impacts were assessed, no decision regarding a preferred source of
power is appropriate at this time. If an accelerator were eventually
built, the site-specific NEPA review would more fully explore the
options of providing power to the accelerator, and the appropriate
decision would be made at that time. The environmental impacts that
could be avoided through the use of a multipurpose reactor are
discussed qualitatively in the Final PEIS for both the ALWR, MHTGR, and
commercial reactor alternatives. These impacts are presented as part of
the cumulative impacts discussion in the previous section.
Additional comments on the Technical Reference Report and cost
analysis were also received from the vendor for one of the ALWRs. The
vendor questioned the basis of the cost estimate and the judgments used
in developing the uncertainties related to schedule, production
assurance, and cost as presented in the Technical Reference Report. The
commentor presented a revised set of assumptions resulting in
modifications to the cost ranges for the large and small ALWRs, APT and
commercial reactor options. The Department does not agree with these
assumptions. However, if these assumptions were accepted
hypothetically, and applied consistently and appropriately to each of
the ALWR, APT, and commercial reactor options, the result would be to
increase the cost range of the purchase of irradiation services and
lower the cost ranges of all other light water alternatives. Thus,
there still would be significant overlap in the cost of these
alternatives, and there would be no effect on the decisions presented
in this Record of
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Decision. The Department selected experts knowledgeable in schedule,
cost or production assurance for the assessment panels who did not
stand to gain from the results of the assessment. In addition, each
panel included experts knowledgeable in the different technologies and
the mean results of their combined judgments were used in the
uncertainty analysis.
The Department received on October 11, 1995, a Congressional
report: ``Getting On With Tritium Production: A Report to Speaker Newt
Gingrich''. The primary recommendation of the report is that the
Department base its selection of a tritium production source on two
objectives: Maximizing the assurance that tritium sources will be
available when needed and minimizing costs to the taxpayers. The
Department's acquisition strategy described in this Record of Decision
implements this recommendation of the Congressional report. Additional
recommendations related to insuring that the plutonium disposition
mission and the tritium production mission be reviewed for combining
efforts to save money, and the new reactor option must be evaluated to
the same level of detail as the commercial reactor options. The
responsibility for tritium production and fissile material disposition
rests with two separate offices in the Department, the preparation of
the Tritium Supply and Recycle PEIS and Technical Reference Report was
closely coordinated with the Office of Fissile Materials Disposition.
Therefore, the option of using a reactor in a multipurpose mode is
analyzed in these two documents and the factors relevant to decision
making are presented in this Record of Decision. Due to the rapid decay
of tritium, and the long lead time required to bring a new tritium
source on line, even supplies of tritium from retired weapons are not
sufficient to postpone the need for a tritium supply facility to the
point where decisions concerning technology and site selection can be
deferred. With regard to equal evaluation, the Department believes that
the analysis completed to date accomplishes this recommendation. Cost
considerations associated with the reactor alternatives point the
decision toward existing commercial reactors. Moreover, a new reactor
has no major schedule or production advantage over an existing reactor
that would justify incurring the additional cost and environmental
impacts associated with a new reactor.
A private group has recently suggested that it purchase the Fast
Flux Test Facility (FFTF) from the Department and that the Department
then contract with the private group to make tritium at that facility.
In the PEIS, the use of FFTF was considered and dismissed as a long-
term tritium supply option because the amount of tritium that it could
produce would only meet a percentage of the steady state tritium
requirements, and it was not reasonable to rely on operating the
facility far beyond the end of its design life. However, the Department
will evaluate the presentation made by the private group to determine
whether the operation of the FFTF might be able to play any role in
meeting future tritium requirements. If any changes are warranted to
this Record of Decision following that review, or further NEPA
documentation is required, the Department will take appropriate action.
Decision
The Department is making three simultaneous decisions regarding
tritium supply and recycling. First, the Department will pursue a dual
track on the two most promising tritium supply alternatives: (1) To
initiate the purchase of an existing commercial reactor (operating or
partially complete) or irradiation services with an option to purchase
the reactor for conversion to a defense facility; and (2) to design,
build, and test critical components of an accelerator system for
tritium production. Within a three-year period, the Department would
select one of the tracks to serve as the primary source of tritium. The
other alternative, if feasible, would be developed as a back-up tritium
source. Second, the Savannah River Site is selected as the location for
an accelerator, should one be built. Third, the tritium recycling
facilities at Savannah River Site will be upgraded and consolidated to
support both of the dual track options. A tritium extraction facility
will be constructed at Savannah River Site. The basis for these
decisions is as follows.
Tritium Supply Decision: The options of the commercial reactor
alternative are the best in terms of schedule, production assurance and
cost. However, there are institutional issues with these options that
must be resolved, or else the alternative can only be used as a
contingency.
Institutional issues regarding the use of a commercial reactor(s)
must be resolved. Since commercial reactors are already constructed and
operating, adding the tritium mission to an existing reactor does not
significantly increase any existing environmental impact. Using
existing commercial reactors offers the least expensive approach. The
purchase of irradiation services presents the lowest cost and has the
lowest uncertainty. The purchase of an existing or partially completed
commercial reactor has the lowest capital and life cycle costs but a
greater degree of uncertainty than the purchase of irradiation
services.
Among the new facility alternatives, the accelerator has the
highest probability to meet earlier production requirements because of
less regulatory uncertainty. Among the new facility alternatives, the
accelerator also has the least environmental impact because it does not
use fissile material, generates no high-level wastes, and while the
risk from a severe accident is very small for all of the alternatives,
the risk for the accelerator is the smallest. While all of the
components of the accelerator have been proven, the entire system needs
to be demonstrated to assure the components work together as a complete
system. From a cost perspective, the APT is grouped with the small ALWR
and small advanced HWR in a middle range of costs if revenue is not
taken into consideration. There is significant overlap among the
alternatives, however. The two reactor alternatives have a smaller
uncertainty than the APT. If revenue is included, the small ALWR has a
lower mean cost than the APT and small advanced HWR. Also the large
ALWR is added to this middle group. The Department has confidence that
as we optimize the accelerator design over the next several years, the
resulting costs will fall within the lower end of the cost range
presented in the Technical Reference Report.
Based on the these considerations, the Department will implement a
dual acquisition strategy that assures tritium production for the
nuclear stockpile rapidly, cost-effectively, and safely. This dual-
track strategy for meeting tritium supply requirements provides the
following advantages:
Resolves major uncertainties over the next three years,
before selection of the primary alternative;
Selects the new facility that has the lowest estimated
environmental impacts, an accelerator, and the environmentally
preferred alternative, purchase of a existing commercial reactor or
irradiation services;
Lessens programmatic risk because it: 1) pursues two
technically different and independent approaches which provide fall
back in the event either approach develops significant problems; 2)
provides proven independent capability to increase production; 3)
develops and protects contingency capability to support requirements in
the event of a national emergency; 4) selects a strategy that has the
greatest
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flexibility to meet production requirements earlier than 2011, if
necessary, and 5) includes the least cost option (irradiation
services); and
Preserves an option for simultaneous reactor ``burning''
of excess weapons plutonium, if the Storage and Disposition of
Weapons--Usable Fissile Materials Record of Decision selects reactor
burning of that material.
Site Decision: For the commercial options, the potential sites are
where existing facilities are located. Selection will be subject to a
separate NEPA analysis. For the APT, environmental impacts and costs
are not significant discriminators. The Savannah River Site will be the
site for the APT, if one is constructed, because it has the only
existing tritium recycling capability and infrastructure of the
candidate sites.
Tritium Recycling Decision: Upgrading and consolidating the tritium
recycling facilities at the Savannah River Site is the least expensive
option and avoids additional transportation of tritium between sites if
the APT is constructed. Therefore, if the APT is the primary source of
tritium, the existing tritium recycling facilities at Savannah River
Site will be consolidated and upgraded. If one of the commercial
reactor options becomes the primary source of tritium, the existing
recycling facilities at Savannah River Site will be consolidated and
upgraded, and a new extraction facility will be constructed.
Issued in Washington D.C., December 5, 1995.
Hazel R. O'Leary,
Secretary.
[FR Doc. 95-30238 Filed 12-11-95; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6450-01-P
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