Amicus Curiae Brief — Bazemore v. Friday
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Supreme Court, U.S.
FILED
eae { FEB 13 1986
So
IN THE rs
Supreme Court of the United'States
OCTOBER TERM, 1985
P. E. BAZEMORE, et al.,
rs Petitioners,
WILLIAM C. FRIDAY, et al.,
Respondents.
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, et al.,
Petitioners,
Vv.
WILLIAM C. FRIDAY, et ai.,
Respondents.
On Writ of Certiorari to the United States Court of Appeals
for the Fourth Circuit
BRIEF AMICUS CURIAE OF THE
EQUAL EMPLOYMENT ADVISORY COUNCIL
ROBERT E. WILLIAMS
DouGLas S. MCDOWELL *
THOMAS R. BaaBy, P.C.
GAREN E. DODGE
McGUINEss & WILLIAMS
1015 Fifteenth Street, N.W.
Suite 1200
Washington, D.C. 20005
(202) 789-8600
Attorneys for Amicus Curiae
Equal Employment Advisory
Council
* Counsel of Record
LS OT ET SRNR SE TE SN SE AS RRNA KS ERR SEES
WILSON - Erxs PRINTING Co.. Inc. - 769-0096 - WASHINGTON, D.C. 20001
®
1"
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ........
INTEREST OF THE AMICUS CURIAE
STATEMENT OF THE CASE
SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT .........................
ARGUMENT
THE COURT OF APPEALS PROPERLY AL-
LOCATED THE BURDENS OF PROOF IN THIS
DISPARATE TREATMENT PATTERN OR
PRACTICE CASE INVOLVING THE USE OF
A MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS
I. To Establish A Prima Facie Case Of An Em-
ployer’s Pattern Or Practice Of Disparate
Treatment, A Plaintiff’s Multiple Regression
Analysis Must Account For Variables Reason-
ably Viewed As Determinants Of Salary
A. A Plaintiff Has The Burden To Account
For Relevant Variables
1. The Plaintiff’s Regression Analysis Must
Include The Relevant Objective And
Quantifiable Factors Actually Used By
The Employer To Make Salary Deter-
minations
Where The Plaintiff’s Regression Does
Not Account For Subjective And Un-
quantifiable Variables, Evidence Revard-
ing These Relevant Variables Must Be
Introduced In Some Other Form To Es-
tablish A Prima Facie Case
B. The Requirement That A Plaintiff Using
A Regression Analysis Acccunt For Rele-
vant Variables As Part Of Its Prima
Facie Case Is Consistent With The Legal
Requirements And Logical Basis For Es-
tablishing A Pattern Or Practice Of Dis-
parate Treatment
ii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued
Il. A Defendant Need Only Articulate A Non-
discriminatory Reason For Its Conduct By
Identifying A Relevant Variable Omitted From
Plaintiff’s Regression, And Need Not Disprove
Plaintiff’s Case At Rebuttal
CONCLUSION
Page
20
ili
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Cases: Page
Agarwal v. Arthur G. McKee & Co., 19 FE:/P Cases
503 (N.D. Cal. 1977), aff’d, 644 F.2d 803 (9th
GH: BD etltcecttincdeenninnentiitiincece ine, eae 14, 15
Bazemore v. Friday, C.A. No. 2879 (E.D.N.C.
Aug. 20, 1982), aff’d, 751 F.2d 662 (4th Cir.
TEED cccnicsnniiattibssticibtencicnssiibiaiene eee eee 5, 13, 20
Capaci v. Katz & Besthoff, 711 F.2d 647 (5th Cir.
1983), cert. denied, 466 U.S. 927 (1984) .......... 22
Coates v. Johnson & Johnson, 756 F.2d 524 (7th
REE EE pre enna aoe 17
Connecticut v. Teal, 457 U.S. 440 (1982) iinet 3
Cooper v. Federal ei Bank, —— U.S. —,
104 S.Ct. 2794 (1984)...... SS Oe eS 18
Coser v. Moore, 587 F. Supp. 572 (E.D.N.Y.
1983), aff’d, 739 F.2d 746 (2d Cir. 1984) 14, 15
Eastland v. Tennessee Valley Authority, 704 F.2d
613 (11th Cir. 1983), cert. denied sub nom..,
James v. Tennessee Valley Autherity, 465 U.S.
Be GED cetitebntitnitaaee: 13, 14
EEOC v. Federal Reserve Bank, 698 F.2d 633
(4th Cir. 1983), rev ’ and remanded on other
grounds sub nom., > oon v. Federal Reserve
Bank, U.S. , 104 S.Ct. 2794 (1984)......... 11-12
EEOC v. Hartford Fire Insurance Co., 31 FEP
Cases 531 (D.D.C. 19838) _................... 14
EEOC v. International Business Machines Corp..
583 F. Supp. 875 (D. Md. 1984) ” 14, 19
EEOC v. Sears, Roebuck & Co., C.A. No. 79C
1873 (E.D. Ill. Jan. 31, 1986), reprinted in
Daily Labor Report (BNA) D-1 (Feb. 6, 1986) .. 12, 13,
14, 15, 16, 17
Furnco Construction Corp. v. Waters, 438 U.S.
567 (1978) ......... 3,9
Grano v. Department of Dev elopment, 699 F. 2d 836
ee ee ee a
Greenspan v. Automobile Club of Michigan, 495
F. Supp. 1021 (E.D. Mich. 1980) _........... 17
Hazelwood School District v. United States, 433
U.S. 299 (1977) ...............-...
iv
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued
Page
International Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United
pe RE UL UU >», | ee passim
James v. Stockham Valves & Fittings Co., 559
F.2d 310 (5th Cir. 1977), cert. denied, 434 U.S.
I I is seca aniettadelenislanninsiamenennnndmenienneenetentn 16
McDonnell Douglas Corp. v. Green, 411 U.S. 792
a 9, 10, 20
Melani v. Board of Higher Education, 561 F.
Supp. 769 (B.D.N.Y. 19GB) ...........--....---.0-cecceeee---- 17
Penk v. Oregon State Board of Higher Educ.,
C.A. No. 80-436 (D. Or. Feb. 13, 1985) .........-..... passim
Pouncy v. Prudential Insurance Co., 499 F. Supp.
427 (S.D. Tex. 1980), aff'd, 668 F.2d 795 (5th
a a acllcciels 14
Segar v. Civiletti, 508 F. Supp. 690 (D.D.C.
1981), rev'd in part sub nom., Segar v. Smith,
738 F.2d 1249 (D.C. Cir.), cert. denied sub nom.,
Meese v. Segar, 105 S. Ct. 2357 (1985) ............. 22
Sobel v. Yeshiva University, 566 F. Supp. 1166
I a eelinennenens 14, i6
Spaulding v. University of Washington, 740 F.2d
686 (9th Cir. 1984), cert. denied, —— USS.
S% §: 8 Oe 18
Stastny v. Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Co., 458 F.
Supp. 314 (W.D.N.C. 1978), aff'd in part, 628
F.2d 267 (4th Cir. 1980) -....... acta cattails 18, 19
Sweeney v. Research Foundation, 711 F.2d 1179
EEE aw perro ree 22
Texas Department of Community Affairs v. Bur-
Game, GO Us BE CIID cccecncccttcncnccssntesecnccsesccssses passim
Tolliver v. Yeargan, 567 F. Supp. 116 (S.D. Ark.
1983), aff'd, 728 F.2d 1076 (8th Cir. 1984) ........ 14
Trout v. Hidalgo, 517 F. Supp. 873 (D.D.C. 1981),
rev'd in part sub nom., Trout v. Lehman, 702
F.2d 1094 (D.C. Cir. 1983), vacated and re-
manded on other grounds, 465 U.S. 1056 (1984). 22
United Air Lines, Inc. v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553
ERE NT PR ETN a ee NOR I 18
V
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued
Page
Valentino v. United States Postal Service, 511 F.
Supp. 917 (D.D.C. 1981), aff’d, 674 F.2d 56
I 14, 18
White v. City of San Diego, 605 F.2d 455 (9th
i Panne =a 12
White v. Vathally, 732 F. 2d 103 37 (st Cir. ), cert.
denied, 469 U.S. , 105 S.Ct. 331 (1984) _....... 22
Wilkins v. University of Houston, 471 F. Supp.
1054 (S.D. Tex. 1979), vacated and remanded,
654 F.2d 388 (5th Cir.), vacated and remanded
on other grounds, 459 U.S. 822 (1982), aff’d on
remand, 695 F.2d 134 (5th Cir. 1983) _................ )S- 10-11
Federal Statute:
Title 42, United States Code (1982)
§ 2000e, et seq. (Title VII, Civil Rights Act of
a ae passim
Miscellaneous:
D. Baldus and J. Cole, Statistical Proof of Dis-
crimination (1980 & Supp. 1985)... are il
D. Bloom and M. Killingsworth, Pay Discrimina-
tion Research and Litigation: The Use of Re-
gression, 21 Indus. Rel. L. J. 318 (1983) ............ 11
T. Campbell, Regression Analysis in Title VII
Cases: Minimum Standards, Comparable Worth,
and Other Issues Where Law and Statistics Meet,
36 Stan. L. Rev. 1299 (1984) 00 . 12,18
M. Finkelstein, The Judicial Reception of Multiple
Regression Studies in Race and Sex Discrimina-
tion Cases, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 737 (1980)........ 15
F. Fisher, Multiple Regression in Legal Proceed-
ings, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 702 (1980) ..................... 11, 12
Note, Title VII, Multiple Linear Regression Mo-
dels, and the Courts: An Analysis, 46 Law &
Contemp. Probs. 283 (1983)... 15
B. Schlei and P. Grossman, Employment Discrim-
ination Law (BNA) (2d ed. 1983 & Supp. 1983-
IIIT satenessdeaddhsediniadimiiaiinnaibatiainipe denen ae nee ier 21, 22
IN THE
Supreme Court of the United States
OCTOBER TERM, 1985
Nos. 85-93 and 85-428
P. E. BAZEMORE, et al.,
Petitioners,
Vv.
WILLIAM C. FRIDAY, et al.,
Respondents.
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, et al.,
Petitioners,
V.
WILLIAM C. FRIDAY, et al.,
Respondents.
On Writ of Certiorari to the United States Court of Appeals
for the Fourth Circuit
BRIEF AMICUS CURIAE OF THE
EQUAL EMPLOYMENT ADVISORY COUNCIL
The Equal Employment Advisory Council (EEAC)
respectfully submits this brief amicus curiae. The
2
parties’ written consents to file this brief have been
filed with the Clerk of this Court.
INTEREST OF THE AMICUS CURIAE
The Equal Employment Advisory Council (EEAC)
is a voluntary nonprofit associaticn organized to pro-
mote the common interest of employers and the gen-
eral public in sound government policies, procedures
and requirements pertaining to nondiscriminatory
employment practices. Its membership comprises a
broad segment of the employer community in the
United States, including both individual employers
and trade and industry associations. Its governing
body is a Board of Directors composed primarily of
experts and specialists in the field of equal employ-
ment opportunity, whose combined experience gives
EEAC a unique depth of understanding of the prac-
tical and legal considerations relevant to the proper
interpretation and application of equal employment
policies and requirements. EEAC’s members are
committed firmly to the principles of nondiscrimina-
tion and equal employment opportunity.
Substantially all of EEAC’s members, or their con-
stituents, are employers subject to various equal em-
ployment laws, including Title VII of the Civil Rights
Act of 1964, as amended, 42 U.S.C. § 2000e, et seg.
EEAC’s members maintain wage and salary sched-
ules that comply with Title VII’s non-discrimination
requirements. Thus, EEAC has a direct interest in
one of the issues presented for the Court’s considera-
tion in the instant case—whether a district court
properly may dismiss allegations of a pattern or prac-
tice of disparate treatment which are based on multi-
ple regression analyses that fail to account for rele-
vant variables that are likely to affect salary deter-
3
minations. EEAC takes no position regarding
whether the plaintiffs in the instant case established
a timely claim under Title VII for current wage
disparities that result from pre-Act discrimination,
but rather limits its discussion herein to the issue of
the appropriate burdens of proof in cases involving
the use of multiple regression analyses.
Because of its interest in the issues of statistical
proof of discrimination under Title VII, and the rela-
tive burdens required of plaintiffs and defendants
thereunder, EEAC has filed amicus curiae briefs with
this Court in numerous cases involving the interpre-
tation of that Act, including /nternational Brother-
hood of Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324
(1977); Furnco Construction Co. v. Waters, 438 U.S.
567 (1978); Texas Department of Community Af-
fairs v. Burdine, 450 U.S. 248 (1981); and Connecti-
cut v. Teal, 457 U.S. 440 (1982).
STATEMENT OF THE CASE
Bazemore and more than fifty other employees
(“Bazemore” or “plaintiffs”, -<ued officials of the
North Carolina Agricultural Extension Service
(“NCAES” or “defendants’’), alleging a pattern or
practice of intentional race discrimination. Before
1965, NCAES agents, who provide agricultural and
other educational services to state residents, were
divided racially into separate branches. Prior to
1965, NCAES had paid black agents serving black
constituents a lower salary than white agents in a
similar capacity.
NCAES eliminated these separate branches in
1965, shortly after the effective date of Title VII, by
mcrging the two branches into a single organization.
4
NCAES attempted to eliminate pre-Act salary dis-
parities by, for exampie, setting uniform minimum
starting salaries for all agents. Wage disparities,
however, had not been entirely eliminated when this
suit was filed in 1971, or in 1972 when Title VII
was amended to require compliance by state agencies.
At trial, the Justice Department, as intervenor, in-
troduced multiple regression analyses comparing the
salaries of black and white agents for the years 1974,
1975 and 1981. These regression analyses, which con-
trolled for four variables allegedly determinative of
salary (race, education, tenure and job title), sug-
gested statistically significant racial effects in 1974
and 1975, but not 1981. These regressions did not
eontrol for across-the-board and percentage pay in-
creases. NCAES introduced regressions which also
added quartile rank, a measure of job performance,
yielding statistically significant disparities in 1975,
but not 1981.
The district court ruled in favor of NCAES on
all counts. First, the court ruled that a pre-Act dif-
ference in salaries need not be affirmatively elim-
inated. In addition, the district court rejected the
Justice Department’s regression analyses as flawed
because the regressions failed to account for a num-
ber of relevant variables, including across-the-board
and percentage pay increases. The court concluded
that while the plaintiffs had “probably made out a
prima facie case with respect to defendants’ promo-
tion and salary practices,” the defendant “articu-
lat{ed] plausible reasons for its actions . . . which
the court found convincing.” Pet. App. 190a.'
1 “Pet. App.” refers to the appendix filed with the petition
in hiv. 85-93. “Justice Br.” refers to the Brief for the Federal
5
The panel majority of the Fourth Circuit affirmed,
holding that while discrimination existed before the
enactment of Title VII, the law does not require that
a “pre-Act discriminatory difference in salaries
[. . . be] affirmatively eliminated.” Bazemore v.
Friday, 751 F.2d 662, 670 (4th Cir. 1984). Simi-
larly, the appeals court affirmed the district court’s
rejection of the plaintiffs’ regression analysis because
the figures analyzed “reflect the effect of pre-Act dis-
crimination” and fail to include “variables which
ought to be reasonably viewed as determinants of
salary.” Jd. at 672. Judge Phillips dissented in part,
reasoning that salary differentials continued “until
at least 1976,” and that the statistical analyses were
“wholly consistent” in showing a substantial race-
based disparity. Jd. at 693, 694.
SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT
The Fourth Circuit properly imposed upon the
plaintiffs the burden, in their prima facie case, to
account for those variables reasonably viewed as de-
terminants of salary. This Court should affirm that
standard, and also should require a plaintiff to prove
several specific elements, as part of its prima facie
case, when attempting to use a multiple regression
analysis to show a pattern or practice of disparate
treatment.
First, a plaintiff should be required to account for
the variables relevant to an employer’s salary deter-
Petitioners. “NAACP Br.” refers to the Brief for the Peti-
tioners, NAACP Legal Defense & Educational Fund, Inc.
“NCAES Br.” refers to the Brief for the Respondents, William
C. Friday, et al.
6
mination, a requirement met by initially ensuring
that the theoretical foundation of its regression
analysis “fits” the particular facts of the case. Thus,
a plaintiff’s regression analysis should include rele-
vant objective and quantifiable variables that are
likely to affect salary determinations. Second, if a
variable is truly unquantifiable, the plaintiff should
be required at a minimum to substitute a suitable
“proxy” for the relevant variable, or account for
the variable through other evidence. In addition, a
plaintiff should not be excused from the duty to
account for a variable merely because it is arguably
“tainted,” or allegedly masks an employer’s discrim-
ination, since the resolution of whether the variable
is in fact tainted is a question of fact to be decided
by the trial court. Also, a plaintiff’s regression nor-
mally should focus upon employment decisions made
during the relevant time period.
Legal and logical considerations favor adherence
to this standard. First, it is consistent with the
plaintiff’s customary burden in a disparate treatment
case to establish an employer’s discriminatory intent.
Imposition of this burden is particularly important
in a pattern or practice case, since a plaintiff under
that theory at all times maintains the responsibility
for proving by a preponderance of the evidence that
race discrimination “was the company’s standard op-
erating procedure—the regular rather than the un-
usual practice.” Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 336. Finally,
such burden is not onerous, but rather merely re-
quires the plaintiff to eliminate the most likely non-
discriminatory reasons for any observed disparity in
7
order to establish a prima facie case of discrimina-
tion.
The Fourth Circuit also applied the proper bur-
den of proof standards in finding that, even if the
plaintiffs established their prima facie case, the de-
fendants rebutted it. The appropriate rebuttal stand-
ard, as conceded by both plaintiffs herein, requires
a defendant only to articulate or “raise[] a genuine
issue of fact as to whether it discriminated against
the plaintiff,” not to “persuade the court that it was
actually motivated by the proffered reasons.” Texas
Department of Community Affairs v. Burdine, 450
U.S. at 254-55. This rebuttal standard, requiring a
defendant only to show that a plaintiff’s regression
is flawed in its assumptions, data or analysis, is
especially important in a case involving a pattern or
practice of disparate treatment. Of course, this artic-
ulation must be “clear and reasonably specific,” and
must have some basis in the facts as developed in
discovery or otherwise, but a defendant clearly is
not required to disprove a plaintiff’s case. Finally,
as this and other courts have noted, this standard is
appropriate since the defendant usually will attempt
to show at rebuttal that its practices were lawful, and
since liberal discovery rules permit a plaintiff access
to the relevant information needed to establish its
case.
8
ARGUMENT
THE COURT OF APPEALS PROPERLY ALLOCATED
THE BURDENS OF PROOF IN THIS DISPARATE
TREATMENT PATTERN OR PRACTICE CASE IN-
VOLVING THE USE OF A MULTIPLE REGRESSION
ANALYSIS
The Fourth Circuit below rejected the plaintiffs’
statistical proof because it believed that the plaintiffs
failed to establish a prima facie case of intentional
discrimination, and found that the defendants would
have rebutted any inference of discrimination. In
doing so, the court established appropriate burdens of
proof for both plaintiffs and defendants in a pattern
or practice disparate treatment case where multiple
regression analyses are used.’
While this case involves the use of a number of
complicated statistical analyses, including multiple re-
gression analyses, it is at bottom a relatively simple
burden of proof case, in which the parties’ respective
burdens are defined clearly under previous decisions
of this Court. In fact, all parties herein agree that
the defendant’s burden in such cases is that laid out
by this Court in Texas Department of Community
Affairs v. Burdine, 450 U.S. 248 (1981), and Inter-
national Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States,
431 U.S. 324 (1977). See NAACP Br. at 53; Jus-
tice Br. at 25 n.23.
All parties concede, and the courts below properly
viewed this case to be a disparate treatment case. Dis-
2 EEAC takes no position on whether the plaintiffs in this
case established a timely claim under Title VII for current
wage disparities that result from pre-Act discrimination.
Rather, EEAC’s brief is limited to a discussion of the proper
burdens of proof in a class action or pattern or practice case
involving the use of multiple regression analyses.
parate treatment is concerned with those situations
where an employer “simply treats some people less
favorably than others because of their race, color,
religion, sex, or national origin.” Teamsters, 431
U.S. at 335 n.15 (emphasis added). Proof of dis-
criminatory motive is the central inquiry. /d. To
establish discriminatory motive in a disparate treat-
ment case, this Court has required a three-part order
and allocation of proof. McDonnell Douglas Corp. v.
Green, 411 U.S. 792 (1973). Briefly, a plaintiff may
establish a prima facie case by producing evidence
“adequate to create an inference that an employment
decision was based on a discriminatory criterion ille-
gal under the Act,” Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 358, and
by “eliminating the most common nondiscriminatory
reasons for the employer’s actions.” Burdine, 450
U.S. at 255.* A plaintiff carries the burden of show-
ing “actions taken by the employer from which one
can infer, if such actions remain unexplained, that
it is more likely than not that such actions were
‘based on a discriminatory criterion illegal under the
Act.’” Furneo, 438 U.S. at 576, citing McDonnell
Douglas (emphasis added).
* McDonnell Douglas permits the plaintiff to establish a
prima facie case by showing “(i) that he belongs to a [pro-
tected class]; (ii) that he applied and was qualified for a job
for which the employer was seeking applicants; (iii) that,
despite his qualifications, he was rejected; and (iv) that, after
his rejection, the position remained open and the employer
continued to seek applicants from persons of complainant’s
qualifications.” 411 U.S. at 802. The four McDonnell Douglas
requirements, however, are not an inflexible formula, but “a
sensible, orderly way to eveluate the evidence in light of com-
mon experience as it bears on the critical question of discrimi-
nation.” Furnco Construction Corp. v. Waters, 438 U.S. 567,
577 (1978).
10
The defendant then must “articulate,” or come
forward with, evidence of “some legitimate, nondis-
criminatory reason” for its actions, McDonnell Doug-
las, 411 U.S. at 802, or “provide a nondiscriminatory
explanation for the apparently discriminatory result.”
Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 360 n.46. If the defendant
carries this burden, the plaintiff has the opportunity
to show that the proffered reasons are “pretextual,”
that they were not the true reasons for the employ-
er’s action, and that the true reasons were discrimi-
natory. McDonnell Douglas, 411 U.S. at 804-05. The
burden of proof remains at all times with the plain-
tiff. Burdine, 450 U.S. 248. As detailed below, these
basic principles are fully and readily applicable to
pattern or practice cases involving the use of multi-
ple regression analyses.
I. To Establish A Prima Facie Case Of An Employer’s
Pattern Or Practice Of Disparate Treatment, A Plain-
tiff’s Multiple Regression Analysis Must Account For
Variables Reasonably Viewed As Determinants Of
Salary
This Court has recognized that “statistics can be
an important source of proof in employment discrimi-
nation cases.” Hazelwood School District v. United
States, 433 U.S. 299, 307 (1977). In fact, statistics
generally, and multiple regressions specifically, often
play an important role in proving a pattern or prac-
tice of discrimination. This Court has recognized,
however, that statistical proof’s “usefulness depends
on all of the surrounding facts and circumstances.”
Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 340. It is precisely “[b]e-
cause of the significant role that statistics can play
in discrimination cases” and because of their “inher-
ently slippery nature” that “it is imperative that
they be used properly.” Wilkins v. University of
11
Houston, 654 F.2d 388, 395 (5th Cir.), vacated and
remanded on other grounds, 459 U.S. 822, aff'd on
remand, 695 F.2d 184 (5th Cir. 1983); see also
EEOC v. Federal Reserve Bank, 698 F.2d 633, 645
(4th Cir. 1983), rev’d and remanded on other grounds
sub nom., Cooper v. Federal Reserve Bank, U.S.
, 104 S.Ct. 2794 (1984).
Multiple regression is a “relatively sophisticated
means of determining effects that any number of dif-
ferent factors have upon a particular variable.”
Wilkins, 654 F.2d at 402-03.* Thus, the “validity of
the [regression] and the significance of its results”
must be examined, id. at 403, to determine the “ ‘ex-
* A multiple regression analysis is concerned with the effect
that various independent variables (such as race, sex, seniority
or education) might have on a dependent variable (such as
salary). In other words, a regression analysis, in appropriate
cases, can help determine to what extent race may have been
a factor in the salary received by certain employees. Thus,
the purpose of a regression analysis regarding alleged pay
discrimination on the basis of race “is to determine whether a
[racial] difference in pay persists when one factors out the
possible effects of other variables.” D. Bloom and M. Killings-
worth, Pay Discrimination Research and Litigation: The Use
of Regression, 21 Indus. Rel. L.J. 318, 321 (1983). With a
multiple regression, “one first specifies the major variables
that are believed to influence the dependent [salary] variable.”
F. Fisher, Multiple Regression in Legal Proceedings, 80 Colum.
L. Rev. 702, 705 (1980). “The relationship between the de-
pendent variable and the independent variable of interest is
then estimated by extracting the effects of the other major
variables. .. .” Jd. at 706. Those results “can be read as show-
ing the effects of each variable on the dependent variable, hold-
ing the others constant. Moreover, those results allow one to
make statements about the probability that the effect described
has merely been observed as a result of chance fluctuation.”
Id.; see D. Baldus and J. Cole, Statistical Proof of Discrimina-
tion § 8.022[1] (1980 & Supp. 1985).
12
istence of proper supportive facts and the absence of
variables which would undermine the reasonableness
of the inference of discrimination which is drawn,’ ”’
Federal Reserve Bank, 698 F.2d at 645, quoting
White v. City of San Diego, 605 F.2d 455, 460 (9th
Cir. 1979). The Fourth Circuit properly stated gen-
erally that a plaintiff’s regression must account for
variables reasonably viewed as determinants of sal-
ary, but it is imperative to delineate several specific
elements of that standard which this Court should re-
quire for a plaintiff’s regression analysis to establish
a prima facie case of a pattern or practice of dispar-
ate treatment.
A. A Plaintiff Has The Burden To Account For Rele-
vant Variables
1. The Plaintiff’s Regression Must Include The
Relevant Objective And Quantifiable Factors Ac-
tually Used By The Employer To Make Salary
Determinations
The specific elements of the general standard out-
lined by the Fourth Circuit flow logically from that
standard. First, a plaintiff must relate the theoreti-
cal foundation of its regression analysis (in this case,
the variables believed to influence salary) to the
method actually used by the employer to make the
decisions under scrutiny. This requirement is often
referred to by statisticians as “goodness of fit.” See,
e.g., EEOC v. Sears, Roebuck & Co., C.A. No. 79C
4373 (E.D. Ill. Jan. 31, 1986), reprinted in Daily
Labor Report (BNA) D-1, D-6 (Feb. 6, 1986); Bal-
dus and Cole § 8.2; T. Campbell, Regression Analysis
In Title VII Cases: Minimum Standards, Comparable
Worth and Other Issues Where Law and Statistics
Meet, 36 Stan. L. Rev. 1299, 1803 (1984); Fisher at
716.
13
The statistical “model must be hypothesized to link
the influences with the outcome,” Campbell at 1302,
a hypothesis that usually is formed during discovery,
and which yields potential explanatory variables that
are believed to affect salary. See Eastland v. Tennes-
see Valley Authority, 704 F.2d 613 (11th Cir. 1983),
cert. denied sub nom., James v. Tennessee Valley Au-
thority, 465 U.S..1066 (1984); Stastny v. Southern
Bell Tel. & Tel. Co., 628 F.2d 267, 274 (4th Cir.
1980) ; Penk v. Oregon State Board of Higher Educ.,
C.A. No. 80-436, slip. op at 379-380 (D. Or. Feb. 13,
1985).° These variables in the instant case, as rec-
ognized by the Fourth Circuit, include education, ten-
ure, job title, work performance and county-by-county
disparities. Bazemore v. Friday, 751 F.2d 662, 672
(4th Cir. 1984).
The burden to construct a theoretical model that
“fits” places the concomitant burden upon a plaintiff
to include in its regression those objective and quan-
tifiable variables relevant in actually determining
wages. EEOC v. Sears at D-6 & n.8. Many courts
have imposed this relevance requirement, and have
examined closely those factors included or omitted
from a plaintiff’s regression. For example, the court
° The failure to establish a theoretical foundation repre-
sents a significant problem for plaintiffs attempting to use a
regression analysis to establish a prima facie case. In fact,
one commentator in 1984 noted that “in only eight reported
cases has the opinion reflected any attempt to measure
whether the model was appropriate for the data.” Campbell
at 1306-07. The commentator also noted that “evidence of
the model’s appropriateness and the closeness of its fit may
have been introduced at trial [in other cases] but not included
in the opinion. If so, judges are not exhibiting adequate con-
cern for a fundamental aspect of statistical proof, important
upon appellate review.” Campbell at 1307 n.22.
14
in EEOC v. International Business Machines Corp.,
583 F. Supp. 875, 906 (D. Md. 1984), found that
the plaintiff’s omission of relevant factors such as
seniority, job level and class groupings rendered the
results of its multiple regression analysis “useless.”’
The court in Tolliver v. Yeargan, 567 F. Supp. 116
(S.D. Ark. 1983); aff'd, 728 F.2d 1076 (8th Cir.
1984), also held that the plaintiff had not established
a prima facie case in part because its regression
failed to account for school-by-school differences in
salary. Another court found that the plaintiff’s re-
gression was “rife with methodological and analytical
flaws, and therefore is not credible,” partly because
the analysis failed to account for the defendant’s
across-the-board percentage increases, as well as dis-
cretionary or merit increases. Coser v. Moore, 587
F.Supp. 572, 599 (E.D.N.Y. 1983), aff'd, 739 F.2d
746 (2d Cir. 1984).°
It is clear, therefore, that a plaintiff does not
establish its prima facie case when it relies solely
upon a regression analysis that does not account for
® See also EEOC v. Sears at D-37 (failure to account for,
inter alia, job performance and the employer’s decentralized
decision-making made plaintiff’s statistics “‘so flawed that they
lack any persuasive value”); EEOC v. Hartford Fire Insur-
ance Co., 31 FEP Cases 531, 545 (D.D.C. 1983) (failure to
account for several relevant variables which might have influ-
enced an employee’s salary, including age, employment experi-
ence, work performance and tenure); Pouncy v. Prudential
Insurance Co., 668 F.2d 795, 803 (5th Cir. 1982); Sobel v.
Yeshiva University, 566 F. Supp. 1166 (S.D.N.Y. 1983) (fail-
ure to control for rank) ; Eastland, 704 F.2d at 623 (failure to
control for job category casts doubt on regression) ; Valentino
v. United States, 511 F. Supp. 917, 945 (D.D.C. 1981), aff’d
674 F.2d 56 (D.C. Cir. 1982); Agarwal v. Arthur G. McKee
& Co., 19 FEP Cases 503 (N.D. Cal. 1977), aff’d, 644 F.2d 803
(9th Cir. 1981).
15
relevant objective and quantifiable variables. More-
over, to shift the burden of persuasion to the defend-
ant based upon a poorly fitted or incomplete regres-
sion would violate the standards of proof articulated
by this Court in Teamsters and Burdine, as discussed
infra. :
2. Where The Plaintiff’s Regression Does Not Ac-
count For Subjective And Unquantifiable Vari-
ables, Evidence Regarding These Relevant V ari-
ables Must Be Introduced In Some Other Form
To Establish A Prima Facie Case
In some instances, a regression analysis may be
unable to account for truly unquantifiable variables,
such as job prefereces or motivation. Note, Title
VII, Multiple Linear Regression Models, and the
Courts: An Analysis, 46 Law & Contemp. Probs. 282,
286-7 (1983); See M. Finkelstein, The Judicial Re-
ception of Multiple Regression Studies in Race and
Sex Discrimination Cases, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 737, 742
(1980). It is obvious, however, that employers do,
in fact, make employment decisions based upon un-
quantifiable differences between empioyees (job per-
formance, in many instances), a practice that is “‘per-
missible and necessary under Title VII.” Penk, slip
op. at 387; see also EEOC v. Sears at D-38. These
unquantifiable variables, in fact, may significantly
affect the salaries paid to particular employees. It
follows, therefore, that a court cannot correctly hold
that plaintiffs have established a prima facie case
where their regression fails to account for the actual
“processes used . . . to make employment decisions.”’
Penk, slip op. at 388; see EEOC v. Sears at D-38;
Agarwal, 19 FEP Cases at 506; Coser, 587 F. Supp.
at 599.
Plaintiffs, certainly, can use non-statistical evi-
dence to account for the actual processes used by an
16
employer to make the decisions under scrutiny. In
fact, a regression may not be an appropriate means
by which to infer discrimination from an employer’s
compensation scheme, if the factors affecting compen-
sation cannot be quantified. EEOC v. Sears at D-39.
in the situation where a plaintiff fails to account for
the factors affecting compensation, either with a re-
gression or with other evidence, the district judge
should dismiss the claim for failure to establish a
prima facie case.
Plaintiffs will not be unduly hindered by the im-
position of this requirement to account for relevant
unquantifiable variables. If a plaintiff wishes to use
a regression analysis, instead of other relevant evi-
dence, suitable “proxies” sometimes can be used to
estimate variables such as “productivity.” ’ The court
in Sobel v. Yeshiva University, 566 F. Supp. 1166
(S.D.N.Y. 1983), for example, substituted rank as a
proxy for productivity. In fact, NCAES in the in-
stant case used the quartile ranking system for rro-
ductivity, a factor which plaintiffs chose not to in-
corporate into their regression. Of course, a proxy
may not represent a relevant variable exactly. Where
an appropriate proxy is not available, it is imperative
that a plaintiff prove its case with other evidence.
Plaintiffs often object to any requirement that
they account for subjective factors which are alleged
to be “tainted,” or which allegedly mask an employ-
‘A proxy attempts to measure a variable which seems un-
quantifiable in its pure form. For example, while a regres-
sion analysis can account for productivity in a job where the
measurement is widgets produced per hour, it may not be
able to measure research quality or student teaching in a
university setting. See, e.g., Penk, slip op. at 385. The proxy
purports to measure the apparently unquantifiable factor by
substituting another measurement.
17
er’s discrimination. See James v. Stockham Valves
¢ Fittings Co., 559 F.2d 310, 332 (5th Cir. 1977),
cert. denied, 434 U.S. 1034 (1978); Greenspan v.
Automobile Club of Michigan, 495 F. Supp. 1021, 1064
(E.D. Mich. 1980) ; Melani v. Board of Higher Educ.,
561 F. Supp. 769, 778 (S.D. N.Y. 1983). This objec-
tion lacks persuasive appeal, however, since whether
a variable is tainted depends upon the district court’s
ultimate ruling on whether there has been discrim-
ination in the employer’s application of that factor.
Absent persuasive extrinsic evidence that the variable
was in fact “tainted” by unlawful discrimination,
the plaintiffs should be required to include such a
variable in their regression analysis. See EEOC v.
Sears at D-41. Allowing the plaintiffs to exclude the
variable from their regression merely because they
have alleged that the factor was applied discrimina-
torily would presuppose that discrimination occurred.
See Coates v. Johnson & Johnson, 756 F.2d 524, 544
(7th Cir. 1985).
Thus, a plaintiff has the specific burden to include
in its regression analysis the relevant factors used
by the employer to determine salaries. Seemingly
subjective or unquantifiable factors may be repre-
sented in the analysis by suitable proxies, but where
suitable proxies are not available, unquantifiable fac-
tors affecting salary must be taken into account by
the production of other evidence of discriminatory
intent. Plaintiffs also must account for evidence that
is arguably tainted unless plaintiffs can prove, with
persuasive extrinsic evidence, that the variable actu-
ally masks the employer’s discrimination. Ultimately,
therefore, plaintiffs must account for the factors used
18
by the employer to make its decisions, or risk failing
to establish a prima facie case.*_
B. The Requirement That A Plaintiff Using A Regres-
sion Analysis Account For Relevant Variables As
Part Of Iis Prima Facie Case Is Consistent With
The Legal Requirements And Logical Basis For
Establishing A Pattern Or Practice Of Disparate
Treatment
Legal and logical reasons favor imposing upon a
plaintiff the burden to establish, at the prima facie
case stage, that its statistics account for relevant
variables that may have affected salary determina-
tions within the relevant tirae period. This burden is
not overly stringent; rather, it is simply a specific
application of the plaintiff's normal burden in a
disparate treatment case, which is to establish proof
of an employer’s “discriminatory motive” or intent.
Spaulding v. University of Washington, 740 F.2d 686
(9th Cir. 1984), cert. denied, U.S. —— (1984) ;
Penk, slip op. at 403.
Adherence to this standard is especially important
where a plaintiff alleges a pattern or practice of
disparate treatment, since under that theory a plain-
tiff must show by a preponderance of the evidence
that the alleged discriminatory practice is the “com-
pany’s standard operating prucedure—the regular
rather than the unusual practice.” Cooper, 104 S. Ct.
at 2800. citing Teamsters at 336. Such a wholesale
8 While EEAC takes no position regarding whether the
plaintiffs in the instant case established a timely claim under
Title V1I for current wage disparities resulting from pre-Act
discrimination, it is important to stress that regression analy-
ses normally should focus on employment decisions made
during the relevant time period. See Valentino, 511 F. Supp.
at 944, 955; see generally Hazelwood, 433 U.S. at 309; United
Air Lines, Inc. v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553 (1977).
19
attack on an employer’s standard operating proce-
dure “must be one based upon a specific intent to
discriminate against an entire group, to treat it as
a group less favorably because of [race].” HEHOC
v. International Business Machines Corp., 583 F.
Supp. at 903, citing Stastny, 628 F.2d at 274 n.10.
A plaintiff alleging disparate treatment, of course,
always bears the prima facie burden to “eliminate ]
the most common nondiscriminatory reasons for the
employer’s action.” Burdine, 450 U.S. at 254. But
where the attack is directed at an employer’s entire
operating procedure, it is particularly important that
the plaintiff’s evidence account for variables that
- might legitimately explain differences in measured
results.
This standard has intuitive appeal given the ulti-
mate factual issue before the district court in a case
of this type: whether the defendant both intention-
ally and as a standard operating procedure, discrim-
inated against the plaintiffs. Thus, it makes little
sense to permit a plaintiff to establish its initial bur-
den with statistics that fail to account for the pri-
mary factors that are likely to affect salary.
Requiring a plaintiff to account for such factors
is entirely reasonable. The Justice Department, a
plaintiff herein, has noted that the Fourth Circuit
“clearly would have erred if it had held, as private
petitioners assert in their Questions Presented, ‘that
statistics may not be treated as probative evidence of
discrimination unless the statistical analysis con-
siders every conceivable non-racial variable.’” Jus-
tice Br. at 21. Of course, the court below did not
impose this onerous “every conceivable variable” bur-
den on plaintiffs. Rather, as the Justice Department
itself acknowledges, “the appellate court articulated
— 20
the correct rule, that a plaintiff’s statistical analyses
in a disparate treatment case must include ‘variables
which ought to be reasonably viewed as determinants
of salary.’”’ Jd. This burden is one which properly
allocates the relative burdens between plaintiffs and
defendants and, with the further requirement that
a plaintiff account, either through its regression anal-
ysis or otherwise, for relevant variables, will pro-
vide adequate guidance to future litigants.
Il. A Defendant Need Only Articulate A Nondiscrimina-
tory Reason For Its Conduct By Identifying A Rele-
vant Variable Omitted From Plaintiff's Regression, And
Need Not Disprove Plaintiff’s Case At Rebuttal
The Fourth Circuit below rejected the plaintiffs’
regression analysis because the court determined that
plaintiffs failed to establish a prima facie case. Baze-
more, 751 F.2d at 672. The court went on to find that
even “assum[ing] that a prima facie case was made
. it has been completely refuted [by NCAES].”
Id. at 687. It is important for the present discussion
to examine what the law currently requires a defend-
ant to produce to rebut a plaintiff’s prima facie case,
and how that theoretical burden should be applied in
a regression case.
Once a plaintiff establishes an inference of inten-
tional discrimination by proving a prima facie case,
the burden shifts to the employer to “articulate some
legitimate, nondiscriminatory reason” for the chal-
lenged action, McDonnell Douglas, 411 U.S. at 802, or
to “provide a nondiscriminatory explanation for the
apparently discriminatory result.” Teamsters, 434
U.S. at 360 n.46; Burdine, 450 U.S. at 255. This
Burdine standard, conceded as applicable by NAACP
in its brief at 53 and by the Justice Department in its
brief at 25 n.23, requires that the defendant “clearly
21
set forth, through the introduction of admissible evi-
dence, the reasons for [its actions].” Burdine, 450
U.S. at 255. This concession by the petitioners is im-
portant, because defendant’s burden is then merely to
“raise[] a genuine issue of fact as to whether it dis-
criminated against the plaintiff,” not to “persuade
the court that it was actually motivated by the
proffered reasons.” Id. at 254-55.
Thus, the Burdine standard, as applied to a pat-
tern or practice case involving regression analyses,
permits a defendant to meet its burden either (1) by
showing that a plaintiff’s regression is flawed in its
assumptions, data or analysis; or (2) by demonstrat-
ing, through its own analysis, that there does not
exist a significant statistical disparity. Teamsters,
431 U.S. at ©“ 9-40; See B. Schlei and P. Grossman,
Employment Discrimination Law (BNA) 1323 (2d
ed. 1983).
The defendant’s articulation, of course, must be
“clear and reasonably specific.” Burdine, 450 U.S. at
258. Typically, this burden of specific articulation in
a regression case will be met when the defendant
identifies a relevant variable that is likely to have
affected salary, which is omitted from the plain-
tiff’s regression or otherwise is unaccounted for in
the plaintiff’s evidence. This identification of an omit-
ted variable will “raise[] a genuine issue of fact as
to whether [the defendant] discriminated against
the plaintiff,” id. at 254-55, and will also provide the
plaintiff with a full and fair opportunity to demon-
strate pretext at the next stage of proof. Id. at 258;
see Sweeney v. Research Foundation, 711 F.2d 1179
(2d Cir. 1983); Grano v. Department of Develop-
22
ment, 699 F.2d 836, 837 (6th Cir. 1983); White v.
Vathally, 732 F.2d 1037 (1st Cir.), 469 U.S. ;
cert. denied, 105 S.Ct. 331 (1984); See also Schlei
and Grossman (Supp. 1983-84) at 250.
The two alternative methods of rebutting a plain-
tiff’s case—identifying an omitted variable or pre-
senting a more appropriate regression—will not re-
sult in a “nonexistent” level of proof as plaintiffs
fear. Under the first method, a defendant’s articula-
tion of an omitted variable will raise more than theo-
retical or hypothetical objections to a plaintiff’s re-
gression. Trout v. Lehman, 702 F.2d 1094, 1102
(D.C. Cir. 1983), vacated and remanded on other
grounds, 465 U.S. 1056 (1984) ; Penk, slip op. at 404.
Normally, this articulation will be grounded in the
facts as determined during discovery. Alternatively,
if a defendant chooses to present a more appropriate
regression, its model normally will focus the issues
by demonstrating that the inclusion of different or
additional] variables may affect the outcome.
Under no circumstances, however, should the de-
fendant be required at rebuttal to “rework plaintiff’s
statistics” by “incorporating the omitted factor,” or
to demonstrate “how specific errors” actually have
affected the statistical results obtained from the plain-
tiff’s model, as some courts have required. See, e.g.,
Trout, 702 F.2d at 1102; Capaci v. Katz & Besthoff,
Inc., 711 F.2d 647, 654 (5th Cir. 1983), cert. denied,
466 U.S. 927 (1984) ; Segar v. Civiletti, 508 F. Supp.
690, 712 (D.D.C. 1981), rev’d in part sub nom.,
Segar v. Smith, 738 F.2d 1249 (D.C. Cir.), cert.
denied sub nom., Meese v. Segar, 105 S.Ct. 2357
(1985). As noted by the Justice Department, these
23
cases rely on Teamsters for the relevant burden
standards. Justice Br. at 25 n.23. “But the pattern
of proof in Teamsters does not differ significantly
from that stated in Burdine,”’ a standard which
should only require a showing of “inaccurate or insig-
nificant” proof or providing a “nondiscriminatory
explanation,” not the more burdensome standard of
persuasion. Jd. Thus, while the employer always has
the option of offering its own regression analysis to
offset the plaintiff’s prima facie showing, it is not
required to do so.
Other policy reasons stated by this Court favor
imposing the traditional Burdine rebuttal standard
upon a defendant in a pattern or practice disparate
treatment case. As this Court stated in Burdine, a
limited evidentiary obligation will not “unduly hinder
the plaintiff.” 450 U.S. at 258. At the “pretext”
stage, the plaintiff will have the opportunity to show
that the defendant’s stated reason has no basis in
fact, and that its real reason was a discriminatory
one, which, if proven, ends the inquiry.
This Court has noted a final reason why a plaintiff
will not be disadvantaged by a defendant’s limited
evidentiary obligation at the rebuttal stage. “([L]ib-
eral discovery rules applicable to any civil suit in
federal court” allow the plaintiff to become aware, at
an early stage, of the relevant facts making up the
employer’s decision. Jd; see also Penk, slip op. at
398. This rationale is especially appropriate in the
instant case, where the extensive discovery prior to
the plaintiff’s development of its statistical regres-
sion should have alerted it to the fact that NCAES
would claim that across-the-board increases, county-
24
by-county disparities, and merit differentials would
account for significant wage disparities.’
The Burdine and Teamsters rebuttal standard,
therefore, requires the defendant to identify clearly
and specifically a relevant variable omitted from a
plaintiff’s regression, or otherwise not accounted for
by the plaintiff’s evidence. This identification prop-
erly focuses the inquiry, yet reinforces plaintiff’s ulti-
mate burden of proving, either with a regression
analysis or with other evidence, that the employer
engaged in a pattern or practice of intentional dis-
crimination.
* The Justice Department argues that it “should be excused
from including” the county-by-county variable in its regres-
sion even though it is a “major salary-affecting variable,”
because this factor was not revealed “until the brink of trial.”
Justice Br. at 30 & n.30. NCAES responds that depositions
conducted before 1975, and again in July 1981 revealed this
factor as important. See NCAES Br. Regardless of whether
plaintiffs were actually notified, the argument of the Justice
Department may well be legally irrelevant, since lack of actual
notice does not obviate a plaintiff’s responsibility to account
for a relevant factor that it should have been aware of through
discovery. See discussion, supra, at 8-17.
25
CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, EEAC respectfully
urges this Court to clarify the respective burdens of
proof that rest upon plaintiffs and defendants in cases
involving the use of multiple regression analyses, as
set forth herein.
Respectfully submitted,
ROBERT E. WILLIAMS
DOUGLAS S. MCDOWELL *
THOMAS R. Baapy, P.C.
GAREN E. DODGE
McGUINESS & WILLIAMS
1015 Fifteenth Street, N.W.
Suite 1200
Washington, D.C. 20005
(202) 789-8600
Attorneys for Amicus Curiae
Equal Employment Advisory
Council
* Counsel of Record
February 13, 1986
This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.