Petition — John F. Lehman, Jr., Secretary of the Navy v. Yvonne G. Trout

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OCT 28 i993

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In the Supreme Court of the Anited States

; OCTOBER TERM, 1983

CLERK

JOHN F. LEHMAN, JR., SECRETARY OF THE NAVY,

ET AL., PETITIONERS

v.

YVONNE G. TROUT, ET AL.

PETITION FOR A4’WRIT OF CERTIORARI

TO THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT

Rex E. LEE

Solicitor General

J. PAUL MCGRATH

Assistant Attorney General

CAROLYN B. KUHL -

ROBERT E. Kopp ind

Attorneys a

Department of Justice “4

Washington, D.C. 20530

(202) 633-2217

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QUESTIONS PRESENTED

1. Whether, in light of this Court’s subsequent deci-

sion in United States Postal Service Board of Gover-

nors v. Aikens, No. 81-1044 (Apr. 4, 1983), the court of

appeals erred in affirming the judgment of the district

court despite concluding that the statistical analysis

upon which that court had relied in finding discrimina-

tion in violation of Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of

1964, as amended (42 U.S.C. 2000e et seg.), included

data that could not form a basis for imposing liability.

Our primary submission is that, because of the errors

in the district court’s analysis identified by the court of

appeals, no violation of Title VII has been established

under the standard prescribed in Aikens, and the judg-

ment of the court of appeals should accordingly be sum-

marily vacated and the case remanded for reconsidera-

tion in the light of Aikens. If this Court nevertheless

decides to set this case for plenary review, two addi-

tional questions are presented:

2. Whether intentional discrimination is established

in a class action suit involving professional technical po-

sitions by a statistical analysis that fails to account ade-

quately for minimum objective qualifications for those

positions.

3. Whether, in remedial hearings after a class-wide

violation of Title VII has been found, the burden shifts

to the employer to demonstrate “by clear and convinc-

ing evidence” that its employment decisions with re-

gard to particular individuals were based on legitimate,

non-discriminatory factors.

(1)

Rag T

ar ae 24

II

PARTIES TO THE PROCEEDINGS

The petitioners are John F. Lehman, Jr., Secretary

of the Navy, and Capt. James C. Richardson, Jr., Com-

manding Officer of the Navy Regional Data Automation

Center. The named respondents representing the class

are Clara A. Perlingiero and Yvonne G. Trout. In addi-

tion, the individual claims of Marie Bach, Charlene

Hardy, and Joan S. Creighton were consolidated with

the class action in the district court, and Bach’s appeal

was consolidated with the class action in the court of

appeals. Hardy and Creighton did not appeal from the

district court’s denial of their claims; Trout’s individual

appeal was rejected and this Court denied her individu-

al petition for certiorari on April 18, 1983 (No. 82-1429).

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

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Reasons for granting the petition.............. 8

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TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

Cases:

California v. *Zitchell Brothers’ Santa Ana

Reeeene, AUG, WO. ass ibis dc ce' 15

EEOC vy. American National Bank,

GER Tie BOWE asc sicc's c ubdine coradeuttes 15

EEOC vy. Federal Reserve Bank, 698 F.2d

633, petition for cert. pending sub nom.

Cooper v. Federal Reserve Bank, No.

BPR cdevknawdsve Kb apivanabomraneae 12

Hazlewood School District v. United States,

GE i cas es cae Ceparasanbae Craite 14

Herman & MacLean v. Huddleston, Nos.

81-680 & 81-1076 (Jan. 24, 1983)......... 15

International Brotherhood of Teamsters v.

United States, 431 U.S. 324 ............ 9, 15

Lee v. Washington County Board of Educa-

on Be ee ee er 15

McKenzie v. Sawyer, 684 F.2d 62......... 7, 15

(III)

S|

oe

IV

Cases—Continued: Page

Pegues v. Mississippi State Employment

Service, 699 F.2d 760, petition for cert.

pending, No. 83-139............eeeceees 9

Pouncy v. Prudential Insurance Co. of

ro A Pre eee 9

Pullman-Standard v. Swint, 456 U.S. 273. 9, 13

Sledge v. J. P. Stevens, 585 F.2d 625, cert.

Gonted, G40 WB. BGb os. cckevvacesoasere 15

Stewart v. General Motors Corp., 542 F.2d

445, cert. denied, 483 U.S. 919.......... 15

United Air Lines v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553 .. 11

United States Postal Service Board of Gov-

ernors v. Aikens, No. 81-1044 (Apr. 4,

BE de> vc csuk at oueney seein 8, 10, 13, 14, 16

Valentino v. United States Postal Service,

Ee BE Speesmenere tay ees” thar a by 10

Wilkins v. University of Houston, 654 F.2d

BN cbs icncss\belveeds oabal chee 9

Wilkins v. University of Houston, 662 F.2d

Beis oSasis os cs c2ks Fs ve tek evs eh eS 13

Statute and regulation:

Civil Rights Act of 1964, § 717(a), 42 U.S.C.

(Supp. V) 2000e-16(a) ............20008. 2

> Chane Oe OEE, avec cas veces saves tind 11

Miscellaneous:

Finkel, The Judicial Reception of Multiple

Regression Studies in Race & Sex Dis-

crimination Cases, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 737

CEWOEE sich dota chbgapeatobeths cea Wnaan 14

4

In the Supreme Court of the Anited States

OCTOBER TERM, 1983

No.

JOHN F. LEHMAN, JR., SECRETARY OF THE NAVY,

ET AL., PETITIONERS

Vv.

YVONNE G. TROUT, ET AL.

PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI

TO THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT

The Solicitor General, on behalf of the Secretary of

the Navy and the Commanding Officer of the Navy Re-

gional Data Automation Center, petitions for a writ of

certiorari to review the judgment of the United States

Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit in

this case.

OPINIONS BELOW

The opinion of the court of appeals (App., infra,

la-39a) is reported at 702 F.2d 1094. The opinion of the

district court (App., infra, 40a-70a) is reported at 517

F. Supp. 873.

JURISDICTION

The judgment of the court of appeals was entered on

March 11, 1983. Rehearing was denied on May 31, 1983

(App., infra, 73a). The time for filing a petition for a

writ of certiorari was extended to and including Octo-

ber 28, 1983, by Justice Brennan on August 15, 1983.

(1)

2

The jurisdiction of this Court is invoked under 28

U.S.C. 1254(1).

STATUTE INVOLVED »*

Section 717(a) of Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of

1964, 42 U.S.C. (Supp. V) 2000e-16(a), provides in per-

tinent oe

rsonnel actions affecting employees or a

Pant ~ fe nog sap diene Sn mili itary de .

ments as defined in section 102 of Title 5,

shall be beam free from any discrimination Sid

on race, color, religion, sex, or national original.

STATEMENT

1. Four cases involving individual and class sex dis-

crimination claims under Title VII were brought

against petitioners (the Secretary of the Navy and the

Commanding Officer of the Navy Regional Data Auto-

mation Center) and consolidated for trial in the United

States District Court for the District of Columbia. Re-

spondents’ class allegations were that the Navy inten-

tionally discriminated in employment practices against

“all female professional technical employees employed

by the [Naval Command Support Activity] ‘NAVCOSS-

ACT’ or the [Navy Regional Data Automation Center]

‘NARDAC’ at any time between June 6, 1972 and June

4, 1979.”1 App., infra, 4la. The employees involved

performed computer-related tasks.

1 NAVCOSSACT was responsible for the Chief of Navy Oper-

ations’ computer activities in the 1960’s and 1970’s. Among its

duties were the development and operation of highly classified

computer programs and systems relating to national defense.

These activities included wargaming, telecommunications, and

strategic command and control. The name of NAVCOSSACT

was changed to NARDAC on March 17, 1977, when the Navy

effected a major reorganization of its data processing activities.

In order to consolidate these activities, data-processing person-

nel and support resources of the Navy Materiel Command Sup-

port Activity, the Navy Accounting and Finance Center and the

Naval District, Washington, D.C., were transferred to

NARDAC.

8

At trial, respondents relied on a computerized multi-

ple regression analysis to show that women received

lower salaries than men, in an attempt to show women

were paid less than one would expect in the absence of

discrimination. A multiple regression analysis is a sta-

tistical technique designed to estimate the effects of

several independent variables on a given result. Prop-

erly used, such an analysis can show how much influ-

ence factors such as sex, experience, and education had

on perceived disparities in salary levels. Here, the inde-

pendent variables included in respondents’ study were

the following: (1) level (but not type) of formal educa-

tion, (2) years between date of last education and entry

into the federal service—in effect, the age at which the

employee was hired, (3) length of service (but not type

of service) with NAVCOSSACT and NARDAC, and (4)

length of service (but not type of service) with the fed-

eral government. App., infra, 6a. After accounting for

these four variables, the analysis attributed the re-

maining salary differences to the sex of the employees

considered. Based on this analysis, which reflects the

effects of pre-1972 actions on salaries within the plain-

tiff class as well as the effects of actions taken by

agencies other than NAVCOSSACT and NARDAC, re-

spondents’ expert concluded that there was statistically

significant adverse treatment of women at NAVCOSS-

ACT and NARDAC.

Petitioners introduced evidence to show that this

conclusion resulted from certain flaws in respondents’

analysis, including the fact that respondents’ study

relied on data regarding employment decisions that

could not form the basis of Title VII liability. Accord-

2 To eliminate the effects of pre-1972 actions and actions

taken by employees other than NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC, peti-

tioners ran the same regressions used by respondents, but only

for those employees hired by petitioners after 1972. In no year

for which those regressions were run (1974-1979) was sex a sta-

tistically significant variable. Def. Exh. 204, at 4-6, Def. Exh.

205; Tr. 1427-1432, 1436-1437, 1500-1506.

4

ingly, petitioners’ evidence excluded—and was the only

evidence to exclude—employment decisions that the

court of appeals ultimately held were not action-

able—i.e., the effect of pre-1972 actions and initial

placement decisions. See page 6, infra,.* On the basis

of this evidence, petitioners contended that when such

irrelevant factors as pre-1972 actions and initial place-

ment decisions were eliminated and persons with com-

parable computer experience were compared, women

advanced in a statistically indistinguishable way from

men.

2. Following a trial, the district court ruled that peti-

tioners had discriminated against the class of women

professional technical employees in initial grade place-

ment and promotions, basing its finding largely on the

regression analysis presented by respondents.‘ Essen-

3 This evidence included an extensive “cohort analysis” that

grouped men and women who started at NAVCOSSACT and

NARDAC at the same GS level at similar times and compared

their advancements. In addition, applicant flow data presented

by petitioners showed that women applying for promotions from

September 1976 to 1979 had statistically the same treatment

with regard to promotions as did their male counterparts.

In addition, petitioners filed a motion for reconsideration af-

ter trial based upon new statistical analyses. These new analy-

ses were intended to further clarify two points: (1) an evaluation

of NAVCOSSACT and NARDAC personnel files showed that

women who were initially placed at NAVCOSSACT and

NARDAC had 49% of the computer experience of men, and the

generally lower initial placement level of women simply reflect-

ed their relative lack of computer experience; and (2) any show-

ing of adverse treatment of women was eliminated when initial

placement and time-barred acts were removed from the regres-

sion analyses. The district court rejected this evidence as

untimely.

“ The court also considered five individual claims, ruling in fa-

vor of respondents on two and against them on the remaining

three claims. The court of appeals affirmed the district court’s

finding of discrimination against the two individuals, but modi-

,

5

tial to the district court’s ultimate conclusion was its re-

jection of two arguments made by petitioners. First,

the court ruled (App. infra, 46a-48a) that petitioners’

objection to respondents’ failure to distinguish between

pre- and post-1972 actions was not valid because dis-

crimination occurring before 1972 “even if coupled with

neutral employment practices since then, produced ac-

tionable continuing discriminatory effects after 1972

* * * "5 Second, the court rejected (App., infra, 48a)

petitioners’ contention that respondents’ regression

analyses were flawed because they placed responsibility

on petitioners for decisions regarding initial placement

of employees when hired by, or transferred to, NAV-

COSSACT and NARDAC.®

Applying similar reasoning, the district court also re-

jected petitioners’ statistical analyses, in large part be-

cause they did not take into account pre-1972 discrimi-

nation, App., infra, 57a, and because they “assumed

that the employees studied were placed in an appropri-

ate salary grade at the outset, and (the analyses) there-

fore could not and did not detect any bias in the hiring

and placement process.” App., infra, 56a (footnote

omitted). Relying on its conclusion that pre-1972 ac-

fied the relief awarded. We do not challenge the rulings regard-

ing the individual claims in this petition.

5 The court stated that it knew of no practical method of

separating the effects of pre-1972 and post-1972 discrimination

in a regression analysis (App., infra, 48a n.20).

® The district court also rejected petitioners’ contention that

respondents’ regression analysis failed to account adequately

for the minimum necessary objective qualifications of the posi-

tions at issue. That is, petitioners contended that the fundamen-

tal cause for the mistaken notion that sex discrimination caused

the salary disparity between men and women in NAVCOSSACT

and NARDAC was the failure of respondents’ analyses to ac-

count for differences in computer-related experience. The dis-

trict court rejected this argument on the ground that respon-

dents’ variables were sufficiently accurate to establish a prima

facie case. App., infra, 49a-52a.

6

tions and initial placement decisions were actionable,

the district court concluded that respondents’ multiple

regression analysis established a prima facia case, and

that “applying the burden-of-production rule articulated

by the Supreme Court in [Texas Department of Com-

munity Affairs v.] Burdine, [450 U.S. 248 (1981),]

* * * the [petitioners] have not rebutted [respondents’]

prima facie case of discrimination” (App., infra, 59a).

3. A divided court of appeals (MacKinnon, J., dis-

senting) affirmed in part and reversed in part the dis-

trict court’s ruling on the class claims presented in this

ease. It reversed the district court’s holding that peti-

tioners, rather than other federal agencies responsible

for formulating federal personnel regulations, were re-

sponsible for determining the grade levels of new em-

ployees.” The appellate court also ruled that the district

court’s theory for permitting the inclusion of pre-1972

statistics in respondents’ analysis “is flatly inconsistent

with the Supreme Court’s pronouncements in Hazle-

wood School District v. United States, 483 U.S. at

309-10, * * * and United Air Lines, Inc. v. Evans, 431

U.S. 553, 558 (1977)” (App., infra, 15a-16a).

Notwithstanding these rulings, the court of appeals

affirmed the district court’s decision that respondents

had established a prima facie case that petitioners had

violated Title VII with regard to promotions (App.,

infra, 17a-18a) and that petitioners had not rebutted

that case (App., infra, 18a-19a).8 The court acknowl-

7 In accordance with that determination, the court of appeals

concluded that “the District Court erred in holding that the

class was entitled to relief for discriminatory initial place-

ments” (App., infra, 17a; emphasis in original).

® The court of appeals’ opinion focuses almost exclusively on

the statistical evidence presented. Without discussion, it notes

that “the District Court properly considered the statistical and

nonstatistical evidence on a cumulative basis in assessing the

strength of the [respondents’] prima facie case.” App., infra, 6a

n.7.

7

edged (App., infra, 16a) that, because they group

nonactionable employment decisions with actionable

ones, respondents’ analyses “hold the potential for some

distortion”; it nonetheless concluded that respondents

had established a prima facie case because their analy-

ses “included a substantial amount of data covering

post-1972 employment decisions affecting class mem-

bers.” ‘

The court of appeals also affirmed the district court’s

decision regarding the burden of proof that would be

placed on the employer in remedial hearings held to de-

termine liability to individual class members. Reiterat-

ing its ruling in McKenzie v. Sawyer, 684 F.2d 62,

76-78 (D.C. Cir. 1982), the court held (App., infra,

21a-22a): “Because such class members are presump-

tively entitled to relief upon showing that they were po-

tential victims of the defendants’ discriminatory prac-

tices * * * the defendants must ‘rebut the plaintiffs’

individual showing by clear and convincing evidence’.

McKenzie, 685 F.2d at 78.”

Judge MacKinnon dissented from the majority’s im-

position of class-wide liability. He argued that the dis-

trict court had incorrectly allocated the burden of proof

by requiring defendants to “disprove the plaintiffs’ alle-

gations” (App., infra, 29a; emphasis in original). More-

over, he concluded (id. at 3la) that the district court

“was so concerned with the allocation of the ‘stages’ of

proof, focusing upon whether the plaintiffs established

a prima facie case and whether the defendant rebutted

that case, that it lost sight of the basic principle that

® Regarding petitioners’ objection that respondents’ analyses

ignored the minimum objective qualificatons necessary for

placement and promotion in the professional technical job series

at issue, the court ruled (App., infra, 12a-l4a) that respon-

dents’ variables were closely enough related to years of comput-

er experience to provide an adequate basis for inferring dispar-

ate treatment.

ae ee

8

plaintif’* were ultimately required to prove intentional

discrimin. tion by a preponderance of the evidence.”

Petitioners filed a petition for rehearing, suggesting

rehearing en banc. The court of appeals denied the peti-

tion, with Judges Tamm, Wilkey, MacKinnon and Bork

dissenting (App., infra, 75a).

REASONS FOR GRANTING THE PETITION

The outcome of most Title VII litigation involving

class-wide claims of discrimination is determined by the

court’s evaluation of statistical evidence and analyses.

It is, therefore, crucial that such evidence be carefully

analyzed, bearing in mind that the ultimate responsibil-

ity of the court is to apply the substantive principles of

law underlying Title VII and, as this Court emphasized

in United States Postal Service Board of Governors v.

‘Aiken, supra, to determine whether, at the conclusion

of the trial, plaintiffs have established that they have

been discriminated against in violation of Title VII. The

uncritical acceptance of statistical evidence, without re-

gard to settled principles of law carefully developed by

Congress and this Court’s prior decisions, will inevita-

bly undermine the objectives of Title VII. The courts

below imposed liability relying on a statistical analysis

whose conclusion was based, in critical part, on evi-

dence that did not relate to employment decisions ac-

tionable under Title VII. The data offered in this case

showed only that women in respondent’s class generally

occupy lower pay levels than men in a unit of the Navy

that has recently increased substantially the number of

its women employees, with resultant added concentra-

tion of women at trainee and entry level positions.

The district court and the court of appeals rendered

their decision before Aikens was decided, and com-

mitted the same fundamental error as the lower courts

in Aikens.!° Had the court of appeals focused “directly

1° In our petition for rehearing, we called the court’s atten-

tion to Aikens and its application to this case.

9

on the question of discrimination,” Aikens, slip. op. 5,

and decided whether plaintiffs, at the conclusion of the

evidence, had established the existence of discriminato-

ry employment practices, it would necessarily have con-

cluded that there was no basis for affirming the district

court’s imposition of liability. The foundation of the dis-

trict court’s evaluation of the evidence was simply

swept away by the court of appeals’ ruling that the ef-

fects of pre-1972 actions and initial placement decisions

could not form the basis for imposing liability. The dis-

trict court relied on statistical evidence that factored in

employment decisions that the court of appeals specifi-

cally found could not form the basis for imposing liabili-

ty under Title VII, and rejected petitioners’ statistical

evidence precisely because it excluded such decisions.

Once the court of appeals corrected those errors in the

district court’s legal analysis, there remained no relia-

ble evidence upon which the appellate court could prop-

erly conclude that respondents had established, with

respect to the class claims, any violation of Title VII by

petitioners. Accordingly, the court of appeals should

have either reversed the district court’s decision or re-

manded the case to the district court for an evaluation

of all the evidence under correct legal standards.

Pullman-Standard v. Swint, 456 U.S. 273, 292 (1982).

The district court and the court of appeals agreed

that the determination of whether defendants had en-

gaged in class-wide discrimination “revolves primarily

around the statistics submitted by the parties and the

analysis of the statistics by the parties’ experts” (App.,

infra, 42a, 6a). Statistical evidence “must be regarded

with a substantial degree of caution,” Pegues v.

Mississippi State Employment Service, 699 F.2d 760,

766 (5th Cir. 1983), petition for cert. pending, No.

83-139, because the usefulness of statistics “depends on

all the surrounding facts and circumstances.” Interna-

tional Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States, 431

U.S. 324, 340 (1977). No valid conclusions regarding pe-

titioners’ employment practices can be drawn unless

10

the statistical evidence is analyzed in accordance with

legally correct interpretations of substantive Title VII

Law. See Pegues, 699 F.2d at 767-768; Pouncy v. Pru-

dential Insurance Co. of America, 668 F.2d 795, 803

(5th Cir. 1982); Wilkins v. University of Houston, 654

F.2d 388, 395 (5th Cir. 1981). In this case, the court of

appeals premised liability on statistics which admittedly

were not meaningfully tied to correct legal principles.

When analyzed in light of those principles and of the

government’s evidence revealing their flaws, those sta-

tistics simply do not show that NAVCOSSACT and

NARDAC discriminated against women in promotions

during the relevant time frame. Yet the court of ap-

peals, repeating the same error that court had made in

Aikens, based its decision on whether respondents’ evi

dence was adequate to establish a prima facie case in

the absence of evidence by the government proving the

flaws in respondents’ statistical presentation (App.,

infra, 10a-21a; Cf. id. at 3la-33a (dissenting opinion).

It is undisputed that the women in respondents’ class

in general occupy lower pay grades than men. It is,

however, both erroneous and contrary to the purposes

of Title VII for a court to leap from that fact alone to

the conclusion that discrimination has caused the dis-

parity. Recent recruitment efforts have brought more

members of previously under-represented groups into

the federal workforce in technical fields such as the

computer operations involved here.'' Substantial num-

1! Evidence at trial (Def. Exh. 198, at 1-18; Tr. 1409-1425)

showed that the selection of women for trainee positions at

NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC generally compared favorably with

their availability at the appropriate grade level both nationally

and locally: Nationwide Wash., D.C.

Total % Female % Female

New Hires % Female Availability Availability

Grade (1/1/72-3/12/72) _—_ Representation

5 26 38.46 20.88 27.09

7 64 42.19 18.91 24.28

9 16 18.75 17.33 21.97

im

be? sw

i

1]

bers of women and minorities are accordingly necessari-

ly clustered in entry level positions, and are paid ac-

cordingly. Until these inexperienced workers gain the

requisite experience and training, and until vacancies

occur at higher level positions, it cannot legitimately be

expected that minorities and women will be equally dis-

tributed throughout an agency’s workforce. See Valen-

tino v. United States Postal Service, 674 F.2d 56, 72

n.29 (D.C. Cir. 1982). Unwarranted speculation, such

as that of the court below, that the disparity between

the numbers of men and women in higher level posi-

tions is the result of discrimination penalizes agencies

for recruiting women and minorities at entry-level posi-

tions, thereby discouraging such recruitment efforts

and, in the long run, tending to decrease the opportuni-

ties of these groups for advancement in new fields.

Moreover, the court of appeals’ substantive rulings

entirely eliminated the legal basis for the district

court’s conclusion that respondents’ regression analysis

established facts necessary to impose liability on peti-

tioners. The court of appeals correctly ruled that two

critical components of respondents’ analysis were not

legally relevant. First, it held that the district court

had erred in ruling that petitioners’ pre-1972 actions

“even if coupled with neutral employment practices

since then, produced actionable continuing discrimina-

tory effects after 1972” (App., infra, 47a). As this

Court said in United Air Lines v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553,

558 (1977) (emphasis in original): “the emphasis should

not be placed on mere continuity; the critical question is

whether any present violation exists.” Accordingly,

here as in Evans, where the present system is neutral,

pre-1972 acts of discrimination, alone, do not convert it

into a violation of Title VII. Second, the court of ap-

peals properly concluded that petitioners had estab-

lished at trial “that initial grade placements were made

by either the CSC [Civil Service Commission] or the

OPM [Office of Personnel Management] or by em-

12

ploying agencies that were not made defendants in this

case” (App., infra, 17a).!* There was thus no basis for

holding defendants here responsible for initial place-

ment decisions.

The inclusion of data regarding pre-1972 actions and

initial placement decisions necessarily rendered respon-

dents’ regression analysis, and the district court’s con-

clusions based on it, unreliable. See EEOC v. Federal

Reserve Bank, 698 F.2c 633, 645 (4th Cir. 1983), peti-

tion for cert. pending sub. nom. Cooper v. Federal Re-

serve Bank, No. 88-185. Liability cannot be premised

upon the results of a multiple regression analysis that

inextricably intertwines the effects of actionable em-

ployment decisions with the effects of nonactionable

employment decisions. It is not possible to isolate the

portion of such results, if any, attributable to decisions

on which liability may properly be grounded. The sta-

tistical results upon which the trial court relied reflect-

ed without differentiation the combined effects of three

factors: (1) timely promotion decisions upon which it

would be legally permissible to premise liability; (2) un-

timely promotion decisions upon which it would not be

legally permissible to premise liability; and (3) timely

and untimely initial placement and decisions of others

upon which it would not be legally permissible to prem-

ise petitioners’ liability. Based on the evidence relied

upon by the trial court, it is not legally or logically pos-

sible to determine which, if any, portion of the com-

bined results of these three factors is due to personnel

actions upon which liability can be based. Indeed, the

district court specifically stated that there was “{nJo

The grade (i.e., salary) levels of persons entering the fed-

eral service are determined in accordance with OPM (formerly

CSC) regulations that take account of relevant education and

experience. Similarly, OPM regulations limit the extent to

which a person’s grade level may be increased on a transfer

from one agency to another. See generally 5 C.F.R. Pts.

300-351.

13

practical method of separating the effects of pre-1972

and post-1972 discrimination in regression analysis”

(App., infra, 48a n.20); but see note 14, infra.* It was,

therefore, improper for the court of appeals to hold

without further refinement or analysis that the relevant

evidence established an inference of discrimination suf-

ficient to carry respondents’ burden of proof. Wilkins

v. University of Houston, 662 F.2d 1156, 1157 (5th Cir.

1981).

Under Pullman-Standard vy. Swint, 456 U.S. 273,

292 (1982), a remand is required where the district

court findings are rendered unreliable by an erroneous

view of the law, such as the district court exhibited

here, unless “the record permits only one reso’ution of

the factual issue.” See also United States Postal Serv-

ice Board of Governors v. Aikens, supra. The evidence

in this record when evaluated under the correct legal

standards regarding the effects of pre-1972 actions and

initial placement decisions does not permit the conclu-

sion that the trier of the fact would be required to re-

solve the issues in respondents’ favor. Thus, the state

of the record required the court of appeals to remand

the case to the district court for further proceedings un-

der proper legal standards. In Aikens, this Court or-

dered remand because “we cannot be certain that [the

district court’s] findings of fact in favor of the Postal

Service were not influenced by its mistaken view of the

law” (slip op. 5). In the instant case, the district court’s

acceptance of respondents’ statistics and its rejection of

petitioners’ statistics are expressly based upon the very

legal errors recognized by the court of appeals (pages

‘9 The district court made no finding that promotion decisions

alone were discriminatory, because it believed, contrary to the

court of appeals’ ruling, that petitioners had control over initial

placement decisions. Indeed, the district covrt specifically re-

jected defendants’ extensive statistical evidence, which focused

on promotions and showed no adverse treatr-ent of class mem-

bers, because that evidence did not deal with initial placement.

(App., infra, 55a n.40, 59a n.47.)

14

3-6, supra). Accordingly, the principle of Aikens, a for-

tiorari, requires a remand to the district court here.'*

The courts below rendered their decisions prior to

Aikens. The court of appeals’ decision cannot stand in

light of this Court’s direction in Aikens that all of the

evidence must be evaluated at the conclusion of the

case in order to determine whether plaintiffs carried

their burden of establishing by a preponderance of the

evidence that defendants intentionally discriminated

against them. We therefore submit that the court of ap-

peals’ decision should be summarily vacated and the

case remanded with appropriate directions for further

proceedings. '®

‘4 The respondents’ multiple regression analysis could then be

rerun using a model that factors out the effects of irrelevant em-

ployment decisions (i.e., decisions occurring prior to March 24,

1972, and decisions relating to initial placement at time of hire).

This can be easily accomplished with the simple addition of a

variable to the respondents’ model that accounts for grade or

salary as of March 24, 1972, and for grade or salary at initial

placement for those placed after March 24, 1972. See Finkle-

stein, The Judicial Reception of Multiple Regression Studies in

Race and Sex Discrimination Cases, 80 Colum. L. Rev. 737,

745-746 (1980).

While we would not oppose affording respondents a further

opportunity for evidentiary development in light of the court of

appeals’ clarification of the governing legal standards, we sub-

mit that, in fairness, the government should also be given the

opportunity to submit additional evidence, such as that sub-

mitted with our motion for reconsideration. See note 3, supra.

We submit that such evidence will establish that women at

NAVCOSSACT and NARDAC have received as many promo-

tions and advanced as rapidly as similarly situated men at all

relevant times.

158 In light of this submission, we do not urge that the Court

grant plenary review in order to consider the two additional

questions we have presented. We do not, on balance, believe

that these questions present issues requiring plenary considera-

tion at this time. Should the Court set the case for briefing and

argument, however, we believe that these additional questions

should also be considered, in order to present the case in its full

factual and legal context.

15

The Court recognized in Hazelwood School District v. United

States, 433 U.S. 299, 308 (1977), that when special qualifications

are required to fill the jobs at issue, the relevant statistical

comparisons must be among those who possess these qualifica-

tions. Here, respondents’ regression analysis failed to account

for such qualifications, since it did not factor in computer-

related experience as an independent variable. The court below

concluded (App., infra, 14a) that the independent variable of

length of employment with NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC was a

valid proxy for such experience. That conclusion overlooks the

fact that the grade level at which a class member is initially

placed when joining NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC reflects her

computer-related experience before coming to the agency. All

respondents’ independent variables relevant to that initial

placement (education, length of government service and, essen-

tially, age) ignore that experience. The class members had sig-

nificantly less computer-related experience; that relative lack of

experience was not adequately reflected in respondents’ regres-

sion analysis.

The court of appeals followed its prior practice in imposing a

heightened burden of proof on the employer at the remedial

stage of Title VII litigation. It held that after a class member

shows she has been adversely affected, the employer must re-

but the presumption of discrimination by “clear and convincing

evidence” establishing a legitimate business reason for the ad-

verse action. App., infra, 2la-22a; McKenzie v. Sawyer, 684

F.2d 62, 78 (D.C. Cir. 1982). This ruling is consistent with the

practice in the Seventh and Fifth Circuits (Stewart v. General

Motors Corp., 542 F.2d 445, 453 (7th Cir. 1976), cert. denied,

433 U.S. 919 (1977); Lee v. Washington County Board of Edu-

cation, 625 F.2d 1235, 1239 (5th Cir. 1980)), but it conflicts with

the practice in the Fourth Circuit, where the employer may jus-

tify his actions by a simple preponderence of the evidence.

Sledge v. J. P. Stevens, 585 F.2d 625, 637 (1978, cert. denied,

440 U.S. 981 (1979); EEOC v. American National Bank, 652

F.2d 1176, 1201 (4th Cir. 1981). Petitioners are defendants

placed in the unusual posture of having the burden of proof

shifted to them at the remedial stage. The shift of the burden is,

we submit, clearly adequate to protect the interests served by

Title VII under the ordinary “preponderance of the evidence”

standard. See International Brotherhood of Teamsters v.

United States, 431 U.S. 324, 362 (1977); California v. Mitchell

Brathers’ Santa Aaa Theater, 454 U.S. 90, 93 (1981); Herman &

MacLean v. Huddleston, Nos. 81-680 & 81-1076 (Jan. 24, 1983).

16

CONCLUSION

The judgment of the court of appeals should be va-

cated and the case remanded for further consideration

in light of United States Postal Service Board of Gover- —

nors v. Aikens, supra.

Rex E. LEE

Solicitor General

J. PAUL MCGRATH

Assistant Attorney General

CAROLYN B. KUHL

ROBERT E. Kopp

Attorneys

OCTOBER 1983

APPENDIX A

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT

No. 81-2370

YVONNE G. TROUT, ET AL.

Vv.

JOHN F, LEHMAN, JR., SECRETARY OF THE NAVY, ET AL.,

APPELLANTS

No. 81-2373

MARIE LouIs E. BACH, ET AL.

Vv.

JOHN F. LEHMAN, JR., SECRETARY OF THE NAVY, ET AL.,

APPELLANTS

[See draft, attached, for No. 82-1304. ]

No. 82-1305

YVONNE G. TROUT, ET AL.

Vv.

JOHN F. LEHMAN, JR., SECRETARY OF THE NAVY, ET AL.,

APPELLANTS

Appeals from the United States District Court

for the District of Columbia

(D.C. Civil Actions Nos. 73-55 & 76-1206

Argued November 19, 1982

Decided March 11, 1988

la

es) he

2a

Before MACKINNON and EDWARDS, Circuit Judges, and

SwyYGERT, * Senior Circuit Judge, United States Court of

Appeals for the Seventh Circuit.

Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge EDWARDS.

Separate opinion by MACKINNON, Circuit Judge, dis-

senting in part and concurring in part.

EDWARDS, Circuit Judge: These appeals arise out of Dis-

trict Judge Harold H. Greene’s rulings against the Depart-

ment of the Navy (“Navy”), an operational unit within the

Navy, and certain named officials in four consolidated Title

VII‘ sex discrimination cases on the questions of liability ,?

relief,? and reconsideration. We are asked to review the

District Court’s conclusion that the appellants discrimi-

nated against a class of female professional technical em-

ployees in initial grade placements and promotions. We are

also requested to review the District Court’s ruling that,

once an individual class member shows in a remedial hear-

ing that she was a potential victim of the proven discrimi-

nation, the burden shifts to the employer to demonstrate

by clear and convincing evidence that its employment deci-

sions with regard to that individual were based on legiti-

mate factors unrelated to the policy of discrimination that

has already been proved. Finally, the appellants challenge

the District Court’s findings of discrimination against two

individual employees and the relief ordered for those

individuals.

In pursuing these appeals, the appellants have raised an

issue concerning the sufficiency of the prima facie case pre-

sented by the class plaintiffs. On the record at hand, we be-

lieve that the appellants’ objections on this score arise from

*Sitting by designation pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 294(d) (Supp. V

1981).

! Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, 42 U.S.C. $§ 2000e to

2000e-17 (1976 & Supp. IV 1980).

2 Trout v. Hidalgo, 517 F. Supp. 873 (D.D.C. 1981).

3 Trout v. Hidalgo, Civ. No. 73-55 (D.D.C. Oct. 20, 1981), reprinted

in I Joint Appendix (“Jt. App.”) 16.

* Trout v. Lehman, Civ. No. 73-55 (D.D.C. Mar. 10, 1982) reprinted

in I Jt. App. 28.

3a

too stringent a view of the requisites of a prima facie case.

“The burden of establishing a prima facie case of disparate

treatment,” the Supreme Court has emphasized, “is not on-

erous.” Texas Department of Community Affairs v.

Burdine, 450 U.S. 248, 253 (1981). On the basis of the evi-

dence of discrimination introduced at trial, Judge Greene

properly held that the class plaintiffs had satisfied this bur-

den; the Navy’s objections to the plaintiffs’ statistical pre-

sentation were speculative and unquantified, and the

court’s decision to disregard those challenges was neither

clearly erroneous nor contrary to established legal princi-

ples.5 We hold, however, that evidence introduced at trial

effectively rebutted the inference that the defendants had

discriminated in initia! grade placements, and we reverse

that aspect of the District Court’s judgment of class-wide

liability.

The remaining issues raised in these appeals are less dif-

ficult to resolve. As the appellants appeared to concede in

the oral argument before this court, the District Court’s ap-

plication of the clear and convincing evidence standard in

individual relief hearings is consistent with the law of this

circuit. The District Court’s findings of discrimination

against two individual employees, moreover, rest largely

on its evaluation of the design, motive, and intent with

which the appellants acted; while “it would be our duty to

correct clear error,” United States v. Yellow Cab Co., 338

U.S. 338, 342 (1949), the trial court’s choice between two

permissible views of the weight and direction of the evi-

dence was not clearly erroneous. Nevertheless, we are

unable to determine whether the District Court acted with-

in its authority in fashioning relief for these individuals,

and we remand several elements of the relief award for fur-

ther consideration.

* Although a more thorough analysis of the evidence offered by the

appellants in support of their motion for reconsideration might have

led the trial court to conclude that the prima facie case had been

rebutted—a proposition about which we will not speculate since the

appellants’ evidence was not subjected to the rigors of the adversarial!

process—we find no basis for overturning the court's discretionary re-

fusal to retry the case many months after rendering its decision.

4a

I, BACKGROUND

A. Factual Background

The appellants in these cases are officials of the Navy

and an agency of the Navy formerly referred to as the Na-

val Command Support Activity and now known as the

Navy Regional Data Automation Center (““NAVCOSS-

ACT/NARDAC”). NAVCOSSACT was originally estab-

lished as the center of Navy computer operations for na-

tional defense purposes; in 1977, NAVCOSSACT was

dissolved and its personnel and resources were combined

with those of several other agencies to form NARDAC,

which develops computer systems and documents for com-

puter systems, delivers the systems and documents to user

organizations, and trains personnel in their operation. The

appellees are employees or former employees of NAVCOS-

SACT/NARDAC, some of whom are members the class of

“all female professional technical employees employed by

... [NAVCOSSACT] or ... [NARDAC] at any time be-

tween June 6, 1972, and June 4, 1979.”

The genesis of this protracted litigation, the annals of

which fill many volumes and the resolution of which already

has consumed a large chunk of judicial resources, can be

traced to June 21, 1972. It was then that Yvonne Trout, a

NAVCOSSACT computer systems analyst, filed an infor-

mal charge of sex discrimination on behalf of herself and a

class of female NAVCOSSACT employees. This charge, the

relevant portion of which alleged “[t]he existence of a con-

tinuing and pervasive pattern of discrimination against

women which results in their being deprived of considera-

tion for and promotion to upper grade levels and manage-

ment positions,” II Jt. App. 632-33, was made part of a for-

mal complaint filed by Trout on September 20, 1972.

Shortly thereafter, on January 10, 1973, Trout filed.a civil

action in the District Court alleging, in part, “a continuing

and pervasive pattern of discrimination with respect to all

* Trout v. Middendorf, Civ. No. 73-55 (D.D.C. June 18, 1979) (order

limiting class definition), Record (“R.") 115; see Trout v. Hidalgo, 617

F. Supp. 878, 877 (D.D.C. 1981).

5a

professionaal technical female applicants and employees.”

Complaint § 63, R.1.

For purposes of this appeal, the extensive procedural his-

tory of Trout’s civil action may be summarized quickly. In

April 1973, Clara Perlingiero, another NAVCOSSACT

computer systems analyst who had filed informal charges of

sex discrimination in September 1971 and August 1972 and

a formal administrative complaint in September 1972, was

allowed to join as a party plaintiff. Immediately thereafter,

the District Court conditionally certified a class consisting

of “all past, present and future female professional techni-

cal employees of ... [NAVCOSSACT].” Trout v. Warner,

Civ. No. 73-55 (D.D.C. Apr. 6, 1973) (order authorizing

class action), R.16. In 1976, two additional cases involving

sex discrimination were filed by NAVCOSSACT employees

and consolidated with Trout’s case; one of these suits al-

leged discrimination against Marie Bach, a security mana-

ger and nonmember of the conditionally certified class. An

independent action filed by Trout was also consolidated

with her original case in 1978. The conditionally certified

class was redefined in June 1979, see text at note 6 supra,

and a ten-day trial of the consolidated actions was con-

ducted in June 1980.

B. The District Court’s Decisions

1. Class Claims

As the District Court recognized, “[t]he class action as-

pects of this lawsuit involve an alleged pattern and practice

of sex discrimination in [NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC’s]

hiring, performance evaluation, job assignment, promotion,

and award procedures.” Trout v. Hidalgo, 517 F. Supp.

873, 877 (D.D.C. 1981). Hiring and initial job placement

procedures, however, were the subject of only a small frac-

tion of the trial testimony and exhibits. The meager evi-

dence adduced regarding the determination of initial grade

levels for new NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC employees uni-

formly supported the defendants’ contention that they were

not responsible for initial placement decisions. The plain-

tiffs, in fact, made no effort whatsoever to rebut the de-

fendants’ evidence attributing sole responsibility for initial

os |

6a

placement decisions to the Civil Service Commission

(“CSC”) and the Office of Personnel Management (“OPM”).

Notwithstanding this deficiency in the plaintiffs’ proof with

respect to initial placements, the District Court held, on

the basis of extensive statistical evidence and the testimony

of a number of present and former NAVCOSSACT/

NARDAC employees, that the class plaintiffs had estab-

lished a prima facie case of sex discrimination in both initial

placements and promotions, and that the defendants had

failed to rebut that showing.

These conclusions rested primarily, but not exclusively,’

on the District Court’s assessment of the probative value of

the competing statistical studies presented by the parties.

The plaintiff’s expert, whose techniques and findings were

ultimately accepted by the court, began his analysis with

the undisputed salary differentials between men and wom-

en at NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC, reflecting a relative con-

centration of women in lower-level positions. His study was

designed to determine whether these differentials could be

explained by differences between men and women in educa-

tional attainment and experience. Using data from NAV-

COSSACT/NARDAC personnel records, he specified a

model in which the dependent variable was salary and the

independent variables were (1) level of education, (2) years

of NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC experience, (3) years of other

governmental experience, (4) years of potential nongovern-

mental experience between the date of receipt of last edu-

cational degree and date of entry into the federal service,

and (5) sex. Factors (1) through (4) proved insufficient to

explain the salary differentials. Even when differences in

education and experience were taken into account, female

employees continued to receive substantially lower salaries

than men. Indeed, “[t]hese differences in salaries were sta-

tistically significant at the .01 level, that is, they would be

7 The District Court also found persuasive the testimony of a num-

ber of class members. Although we do not specifically discuss this tes-

timony, the District Court properly considered the statistical and

nonstatistical evidence on a cumulative basis in assessing the strength

of the plaintiffs’ prima facie case. EEOC v. American Nat'l Bank, 652

F.2d .176, 1188-89 (4th Cir. 1981), cert. denied, 108 S. Ct. 235 (1982).

7a

expected to arise by chance less than one percent of the

time if there were no discrimination based on sex.” Trout,

517 F. Supp. at 879 n.14. An additional regression confined

to employees hired after 1972, the effective date of Title

VII in the federal service, yielded results consistent with

the basic model.

The defendants responded to this statistical showing of

discrimination in two ways. First, they argued that the

plaintiffs’ statistics were insuificiently refined to support a

prima facie case because (1) the regressions omitted critical

variables concerning the minimum objective qualifications

required for promotions within NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC,

(2) the regression results were biased by the expert’s fail-

ure to eliminate the effects of nonactionable pre-1972 dis-

crimination, and (3) the inclusion of the effects of discrimi-

nation by agencies other than NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC

skewed the regression results. The view of the requisites of

a prima facie case embodied in these objections was reject-

ed by the trial judge, who apparently believed that while

otherwise valid studies incorporating these factors could be

used to rebut a prima facie case, the plaintiffs’ statistical

evidence was sufficiently accurate to give rise to an infer-

ence of actionable discrimination. Such studies did consti-

tute the second prong of the defendants’ response to the

plaintiffs’ case, but the District Court concluded that the

statistical analyses proffered by the defendants suffered

from a number of defects that rendered them less persua-

sive than the plaintiffs’ exhibits.

Following the trial of the plaintiffs’ liability claims, and

after holding the defendants liable for discrimination

against the class of female professional technical employees

at NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC, the District Court directed

the parties to submit memoranda on potential methods of

determining individual employees’ entitlement to relief.

Taking liberties with this instruction, the defendants pre-

sented a number of new statistical studies on the question

of class liability and substantial documentary evidence per-

taining to their responsibility for initial grade placement

decisions. These data later formed the basis for a motion

for reconsideration, which the trial court characterized as

a.

8a

“more akin to a demand for a new trial than for reconsider-

ation.”* The basic thrust of this motion was that the de-

fendants, in preparing for the relief proceedings, had col-

lected new evidence that required the court to enter judg-

ment for them on the question of liability. In the court’s

view, however, this motion was untimely and provided no

basis for either reconsideration or a new trial. The court

reasoned that the defendants had had ample time to pre-

pare their case, the evidence was not of a sort that would

have been unavailable to a duly diligent defendant at the

time of the trial, the new studies were cumulative and un-

likely to affect the result, and the resolution of the entire

matter would not be advanced by another trial on the ques-

tion of liability.

If the District Court’s rulings on class liability are af-

firmed, this lawsuit must enter a second phase, in which

class members’ entitlement to relief will be determined on

an individual basis. See, e.g., International Brotherhood of

Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324, 360-62 (1977). On

this point, the District Court held that, after an employee

demonstrates in remedial hearings that she was a potential

victim of the proven discrimination, “the burden shifts to

the employer to demonstrate by clear and convincing evi-

dence that its employment decisions with regard to that in-

dividual were based on legitimate factors unrelated to the

policy of discrimination which has already been proved.”®

This placement of the burden of persuasion provides a sec-

ond ground for challenging the District Court’s resolution

of the class action aspects of this suit.

2. Individual Claims

In addition to resolving the issue of class liability, the

District Court considered five individuals’ allegations of sex

discrimination and ruled in favor of two of the employees.

It found, first, that Marie Bach, a nonmember of the class,

® Trout v. Lehman, Civ. No. 73-55, mem. op. at 2 (D.D.C. Mar. 10,

1982), reprinted in I Jt. App. 28, 29.

* Trout v. Hidalgo, Civ. No. 73-55, mem. op. at 4 (D.D.C. Oct. 20,

1981), reprinted in I Jt. App. 16, 19.

9a

had been removed from her position as a GS-13 security

manager in 1976 and 1979, replaced by younger males with

grades of GS-14 and GS-15, and subjected to other discrimi-

natory acts, including the failure to classify her position at

a grade comparable to that of other Navy security special-

ists with similar functions. Among the relief awarded Bach

were two retroactive promotions and commensurate back-

pay. The court also found that Clara Perlingiero, a class

member, had been discriminatorily denied promotions in

1971 and 1979 and subjected to other discriminatory acts,

including the failure to classify her position at a grade com-

parable to similarly situated males. Among the relief

awarded Perlingiero were retroactive promotions to GS-13

as of September 1971 and to GS-14 as of September 1979

and commensurate backpay. Both the findings of liability

and the awards of relief have been challenged in these

appeals.

II, DISCUSSION

A. The Scope of Review

In reviewing the challenged decisions, we are guided by

the principle that “factfinding is the basic responsibility of

district courts, rather than appellate courts,” DeMarco v.

United States, 415 U.S. 449, 450 n.* (1974) (per curiam),

and the rule that a district court’s factual findings may not

be set aside unless clearly erroneous, Pullman-Standard v.

Swint, 102 S. Ct. 1781, 1789 (1982); Fep. R. Crv. P. 52(a).

This rule, of course, does not apply to conclusions of law,

Pullman-Standard, 102 S. Ct. at 1789, or to factual find-

ings that result from the application of incorrect legal prin-

ciples, Inwood Laboratories, Inc. v. Ives Laboratories,

Inc., 102 S. Ct. 2182, 2189 n.15 (1982). But most findings of

fact, including findings of discriminatory intent, will be left

undisturbed unless “the reviewing court on the entire evi-

dence is left with the definite and firm conviction that a

mistake has been committed.” United States v. United

States Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 395 (1948).

Although many of the issues raised in these appeals in-

volve purely factual conclusions of the District Court, sev-

eral present legal questions or mixed questions of law and

10a

fact. The trial court’s findings of discrimination against

Bach and Perlingiero and its assessment of the relative pro-

bative force of the parties’ statistical evidence, for exam-

ple, are undoubtedly factual. See Pullman-Standard, 102

S. Ct. at 1790-91; Medina v. Reinhardt, 686 F.2d 997, 1007

(D.C. Cir. 1982). But the appellants’ challenges to the suffi-

ciency of the prima facie case of discrimination against the

class of female professional technical, employees at NAV-

COSSACT/NARDAC, grounded as they are in the alleged

omission from the statistical showing of factors reflecting

important legal principles, raise legal issues that trigger a

more careful examination by this court.

B. The Prima Facie Case

To establish a prima facie case of sex discrimination in

initial grade placements or promotions, plaintiffs are re-

quired to show only that it is more likely than not that their

employers failed properly to place or promote women be-

cause of discriminatory intent. See Furnco Construction

Corp. v. Waters, 438 U.S. 567, 576 (1978); O’Brien v. Sky

Chefs, Inc., 670 F.2d 864, 866 (9th Cir. 1982). This burden

is not a heavy one, Texas Department of Community Af-

fairs v. Burdine, 450 U.S. at 253, and the required showing

may be made by statistics alone, Hazelwood School District

v. United States, 433 U.S. 299, 307-08 (1977), or by a “cu-

mulation of evidence, including statistics, patterns, prac-

tices, general policies, or specific instances of discrimina-

tion,” EEOC v. American National Bank, 652 F.2d 1176,

1188 (4th Cir. 1981), cert. denied, 103 S. Ct. 235 (1982).

If the plaintiffs have used statistics to make out a prima

facie case, the defendants may rebut the inference of dis-

crimination b' presenting a legitimate, nondiscriminatory

explanation for the observed statistical disparity or by rais-

ing a genuine issue of material fact concerning the accuracy

of the picture painted by the plaintiffs’ statistics. See Inter-

national Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States, 431.

U.S. at 360; Croker v. Boeing Co. (Vertol Division), 662

F.2d 975, 991 (3d Cir. 1981) (en banc). To prevent the latter

course from becoming an incomprehensible battle of the ex-

perts, several general principles should guide a court’s as-

lla

sessment of the sufficiency of the plaintiffs’ prima facie

case. The most important of these principles is that, while

plaintiffs must demonstrate to the court’s satisfaction that

their statistical comparisons are meaningful, they need not

present a perfect statistical analysis at the prima facie case

stage. See Dothard v. Rawlinson, 433 U.S. 321, 331 (1977);

Medina v. Reinhardt, 686 F.2d at 1008-09; Vuyanich v.

Republic National Bank, —% F. Supp. 224, 306-07, 354-57

(N.D. Tex. 1980).

The appropriate degree of refinement of the plaintiffs’

statistical analysis, moreover, may depend on the quality

and control of the available data. See Vuyanich, 505 F.

Supp. at 356. If the plaintiffs account for the effects of ex-

traneous variables to the extent reasonably permitted by

the available data and the evidence presented strongly sup-

ports an inference of discriminatory treatment, the District

Court properly may cc iclude that the plaintiffs have made

out a prima facie case. As noted in Detroit Police Officers’

Association v. Young, 608 F.2d 671 (6th Cir. 1979), cert.

denied, 452 U.S. 938 (1981), a court should not “require

proof to a mathematical certainty, ... [because] there is no

such requirement [under Title VII]. Deficiencies in the data

base ‘may, of course, detract from the value of [statistical]

evidence,’ but ordinarily would not obliterate its evidentia-

ry value.” Jd. at 687 (citations omitted) (quoting

Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 340 n.20). This is particularly true

where, as here, the defendants controlled the only sources

of data on which statistical analyses could be based. As the

District Court observed, “plaintiffs cannot legitimately be

faulted for gaps in their statistical analysis when the infor-

mation necessary to close those gaps was possessed only by

defendants and was not furnished either to plaintiffs or to

the Court.” Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 883 (footnote omitted).

Furthermore, the most effective way to rebut a statistic-

ally based prima facie case is to present more accurate sta-

tistics. As the Supreme Court has made clear, where “the

employer discerns fallacies or deficiencies in the data of-

fered by the plaintiff, he is free to adduce countervailing

evidence on his own.” Dothard, 433 U.S. at 331. But un-

quantified, speculative, and theoretical objections to the

om .

12a

proffered statistics are properly given little weight by the

trial court:

When a plaintiff submits accurate statistical data,

and a defendant alleges that relevant variables are ex-

cluded, defendant may not rely on hypothesis to lessen

the probative value of plaintiff's statistical proof.

Rather, defendant ... must either rework plaintiff's

statistics incorporating the omitted factors or present

other proof undermining plaintiff’s claims.

Segar v. Civiletti, 508 F. Supp. 690, 712 (D.D.C. 1981). Al-

though NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC did present some

studies of its own—ultimately rejected by the District

Court—tending to undermine the plaintiffs’ claims, it did

not, for the most part, attempt to correct the alleged defi-

ciencies in the plaintiffs’ statistical presentation in its trial

testimony or exhibits. See IV Jt. App. 1921-23. For this

and other reasons—set forth below—these alleged short-

comings neither prevented the plaintiffs from establishing a

prima facie case nor constituted a persuasive rebuttal to an

otherwise adequate initial showing.

1. Minimum Objective Qualifications

The appellants’ principal objection to the statistical anal-

yses on which the District Court relied appears to be that

the statistics ignored the minimum objective qualifications

necessary for placement and promotion in the professional

technical job series at issue. In Davis v. Califano, 613 F.2d

957 (D.C. Cir. 1979), this court suggested that “the mini-

mum objective qualifications necessary for one to be eligi-

ble for promotion must be considered in the statistical data

presented initially by a plaintiff.” Jd. at 964 (emphasis in

original). The Davis court also speculated that “if a particu-

lar number of years of work experience were established as

a minimum job criterion, then that would need to be re-

flected in the proffered statistics.” Jd. At least part of the

Davis court’s rumination became the law of this circuit in

Valentino v. United States Postal Service, 674 F.2d 56

(D.C. Cir. 1982), in which we affirmed a ruling that mem-

bers of a class consisting of a wide variety of occupational

categories had failed to make out a prima facie case of sex

13a

discrimination. “‘When special qualifications are required

to fill particular jobs,’” the court declared, “proof that does

not center on those ‘who possess the necessary qualifica-

tions’ falls short.” Jd. at 67-68 (quoting Hazelwood School

District v. United States, 433 U.S. at 308 n.13).?°

Relying on these cases, the appellants claim that place-

ments and promotions within the NAVCOSSACT/

NARDAC work force rest on minimum objective qualifica-

tions established by the OPM. These qualifications, they ar-

gue, can be summarized in terms of years of computer-

related experience; as a result, any analysis of initial

placements and promotions above the GS-5 level must in-

clude the amount of computer-related experience possessed

by the employees. Because the appellants contend that the

plaintiffs’ statistics did not account for such experience,

they conclude that the regressions could not establish a

prima facie case. We reject this line of argument for two

principal and related reasons: first, we find that the plain-

tiffs’ statistical analyses did account for minimum objective

qualifications; and second, contrary to the appellants’ asser-

tions, we find the conclusions reached by the District Court

in this case to be consistent with the principles enunciated

in Valentino.

Not only did the Valentino court implicitly approve the

results reached by the District Court in this case, see id. at

68, 70, but the reasoning underlying its decision is wholly

inapplicable in a case, like this one, where all members of

the class are professional technical employees with general-

ly similar job skills. The regression analyses under consid-

eration in Valentino, like the studies presented in this

case, attempted to estimate the effect of sex, years of edu-

cation, and length of governmental service on employee’s

salaries. But that case, unlike this one, involved a class

composed of individuals in numerous occupational catego-

1° Valentino's holding is limited, we believe, by the fact that the

plaintiffs’ expert there had failed to submit qualification data that were

available. Jd. at 71 n.23. If data on a particular minimum objective

qualification are simply unavailable, Valentino's requirement may be

eased, for “({e)xactness is not required at the prima facie stage.”

Medina v. Reinhardt, 686 F.2d at 1008-09 & n.6.

l4a

ries with readily distinguishable qualifications whose ex-

perts had “utterly failed to control for type of education and

job classification.” Jd. at 70. The “grossly imprecise” com-

parisons that resulted, Medina v. Reinhardt, 686 F.2d at

1010, simply could not provide a reasonabie basis for infer-

ring disparate treatment. It would, it seems clear, truly

have been “irrational to assume ‘equal qualifications’ to fill

engineering or secretarial vacancies among persons educa-

ted the same number of years and employed by the govern-

ment for the same length of time.” Valentino, 674 F.2d at

71 (footnotes omitted).

So understood, the result in Valentino turns on the inad-

equacy of the proxies—years of education and government

experience—for the myriad minimum objective qualifica-

tions of the diverse positions held by class members. No

such problem is present here. The class certified by the

District Court consists solely of employees performing

computer-related tasks, and the only minimum objective

qualification identified by the appellants is one-to-three

years of computer-related experience. Far from being

“grossly imprecise,” the plaintiffs’ proxy for this qualifica-

tion—years of experience with NAVCOSSACT/NAR-

DAC—provides a perfectly adequate basis for inferring

disparate treatment. As the appellants observe, this proxy

arguably does equate time spent in a clerical position with

time spent in the computer field and could thus penalize

them for moving female employees from lower-level, non-

professional jobs into technical professional computer posi-

tions with higher potential salaries. Brief for “ »pellants at

44 & n.21. But the record does not suggest that such move-

ment occurred with any regularity, see IV Jt. App.

1860-61, much less with sufficient frequency to cast doubt

upon the inference of discrimination arising from the plain-

tiffs’ statistical showing."

11 The appellants also argue that the plaintiffs’ statistics overstate

the qualifications of women in ways that, while not related to the mini-

mum objective qualifications for NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC positions,

exaggerate the expected salaries of female employees and reduce the

explanatory power of the plaintiffs’ model. They contend, for example,

that the plaintiffs’ failure to account for type of education biased their

15a

2. Relevant Time Frame

The appellants also argue that the plaintiffs’ statistics

failed to make out a prima facie case because they ignored

the time limitations embodied in Title VII. Absent a valid

claim of continuing violation, see, e.g., McKenzie v. Saw-

yer, 684 F.2d 62, 72 (D.C. Cir 1982), Milton v. Weinberger,

645 F.2d 1070, 1074-77 (D.C. Cir. 1981), Title VII does not

apply retroactively to discrimination against federal em-

ployees that occurred prior to March 24, 1972, unless a

complaint was pending on its effective date. Stoller v.

Marsh, 682 F.2d 971, 974 (D.C. Cir. 1982); Thompson v.

Sawyer, 678 F.2d 257, 289 (D.C. Cir. 1982); Brown v.

Turner, 659 F.2d 1199, 1201-02 (D.C. Cir. 1981). In this

case, the administrative complaint on which the class alle-

gations rest was not filed until June 21, 1972. Under the

Civil Service Regulations in effect at that time, all claims

originating more than fifteen days prior to that complaint

are time-barred. 5 C.F.R. § 713.214(a) (1) (i) (1972) (cur-

rently codified at 29 C.F.R. § 1613.214(a) (1) (i) (1982)); see

Milton, 645 F.2d at 1072 & n.6. Although the District Court

recognized these fundamental principles, the appellants be-

lieve that it erred in refusing to apply them when analyzing

the plaintiffs’ statistical evidence.

The District Court concluded that plaintiffs need not fac-

tor out time-barred discrimination because defendants may

be held liable for the continuing effects of that discrimina-

tion. This theory was once in vogue, but it is flatly incon-

sistent with the Supreme Court’s pronouncements in

statistics because most computer science degrees are earned by men,

and that the plaintiffs’ nongovernmental experience proxy biased their

statistics because women, on the average, spend more time out of the

labor force than do men. Because the testimony offered at trial did not

quantify these objections or show that such differences existed in the

population of NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC employees, the District Court

could, at most, speculate that the omissions might have had some ef-

fect on the statistical showing. See, e.g., I] Jt. App. 758-60; IV Jt.

App. 1880-85. Such speculation, based on evidence not “keyed to the

population here involved,” Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 881, would do little

to undermine the plaintiffs’ prima facie case. See Vuyanich v. Republic

Nat'l Bank, 505 F. Supp. at 307.

l6a

Hazelwood School District v. United States, 433 U.S. at

309-10, and United Air Lines, Inc. v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553,

558 (1977). As noted above, however, we believe that the

District Court’s conclusion that the plaintiffs’ statistics

were capable of establishing a prima facie case was correct,

albeit in part for the wrong reason, and should thus be af-

firmed. See Helvering v. Gowran, 302 U.S. 238, 245 (1937);

Eikenberry v. Callahan, 653 F.2d 632, 636 (D.C. Cir.

1981).

By grouping nonactionable hiring decisions with those

for which NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC could properly be

held liable, certain of the plaintiffs’ statistical analyses hold

the potential for some distortion concerning the adverse im-

pact of the appellants’ post-1972 promotion policies. How-

ever, it is clear that the plaintiffs did not rely solely on data

regarding nonactionable hiring decisions; indeed, there is

no doubt whatsoever that the plaintiffs’ statistical analyses

included a substantial amount of data concerning post-1972

employment decisions affecting class members. For these

reasons, we do not believe that “failure to factor out time-

barred discrimination discredited the analyses. Statistics

tuned to the proper time period are more probative than

statistics not so tuned, but categorical rejection of the lat-

ter is not warranted.” Valentino v. United States Postal

Service, 674 F.2d at 71 n.26. The approach to statistics

adopted by the Supreme Court in Hazelwood, 433 U.S. at

309-10, and International Brotherhood of Teamsters v.

United States, 431 U.S. at 360, plainly suggests that statis-

tics including time-barred decisions are “sufficient to sup-

port a prima facie case and shift the burden to the defend-

ant to show that its actions during the relevant period

rebut the inference of discrimination raised by the plain-

tiff’s broad summary.” Movement for Opportunity &

Equality v. General Motors Corp., 622 F.2d 1235, 1258 (7th

Cir. 1980).%?

12 See EEOC v. American Nat'l Bank, 652 F.2d at 1188, 1194-95;

B. SCHLEI & P. GROSSMAN, EMPLOYMENT DISCRIMINATION LAW 326-27

(Supp. 1979). But see EEOC v. United Va. Bank/Seaboard Nat'l, 615

F.2d 147, 150-51 (4th Cir. 1980.)

17a

Although the appellants did attempt to make such a

showing, the trial court found their statistical evidence de-

fective on other grounds. We can find no basis upon which

to overturn Judge Greene’s findings on this point. There-

fore, we agree that the appellants’ evidence was incapable

of raising a genuine issue concerning the validity of the in-

ference of discrimination raised by the plaintiffs’ statistical

presentation. As a result, NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC was

left with only an unquantified theoretical objection that

could not undermine the prima facie case. See II Jt. App.

743-44.

3. Relevant Employer

The appellants’ final objection to the sufficiency of the

prima facie case is that the plaintiffs’ statistics attribute to

NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC responsibility for the employ-

ment decisions of other agencies over which it had no con-

trol. Undisputed trial testimony reveals, they claim, that

initial grade placements were made by either the CSC or

the OPM or by employing agencies that were not made de-

fendants in this case. As we read the record, the District

Court’s conclusion that NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC [“did”]

not make a convincing showing that it had no control over

initial grade determinations,” Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 880,

was clearly erroneous. The rebuttal evidence submitted by

the defendants at trial was sufficient to raise a genuine is-

sue concerning their responsibility for initial placement de-

cisions, and the plaintiffs made no attempt to counter this

evidence. We conclude, therefore, that the Disrict Court

erred in holding that the class was entitled to relief for dis-

criminatory initial placements.

This does not mean, however, that the plaintiffs’ statis-

tics could not make out a legally sufficient prima facie case

of discrimination in promotions. Because NAVCOSS-

ACT/NARDAC did not quantify the extent to which the

disparity between men and women revealed by the plain-

tiffs’ statistics was attributable to the locked-in effects of

nonactionable discrimination, see, e.g., IV Jt. App. 1829,

the plaintiffs’ statistical analyses created a justifiable infer-

ence that the defendants had “failed to promote equitably

18a

individuals who were discriminated against at hiring,”

Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 885, or had slowed the progress of

women who had initially been properly placed.

C. The Rebuttal Evidence

NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC attempted to bolster its ob-

jections to the plaintiffs’ statistical evidence by introducing

several statistical studies of its own at trial and by prof-

fering additional analyses at the relief and reconsideration

stages. The District Court, however, found the former

studies unpersuasive for a variety of reasons and refused to

consider the latter as untimely tendered. The appellants

object to both of these decisions.

1. The Evidence Offered at Trial

The evidence introduced at trial in opposition to the

plaintiffs’ statistical studies consisted primarily of a “co-

hort” analysis (which examined the flow through NAV-

COSSACT/NARDAC’s promotional system of male and fe-

male employees with similar hiring dates who started at

the same grade level), a promotion study, and several re-

gression analyses. As we have already observed, the Dis-

trict Court’s decision to reject this evidence can be upset

only if clearly erroneous. See Medina v. Reinhardt, 686

F.2d at 1007; Payne v. Travenol Laboratories, Inc., 673

F.2d 798, 823 (5th Cir.), cert. denied, 103 S. Ct. 451 (1982).

Although the appellants characterize the reasons underly-

ing Judge Greene’s rejection of their studies as unproven

speculation, our review of the record has not left us with a

“definite and firm conviction that a mistake has been

committed.” United States v. United States Gypsum Co.,

333 U.S. at 395.

As the District Court observed, NAVCOSSACT/NAR-

DAC’s regression studies were, for the most part, not in-

troduced into evidence at trial. The defendants relied in-

stead on brief descriptions of the conclusions allegedly

supported by studies that were not in evidence. See, e.g.,

II Jt. App. 761. Judge Greene’s decision to assign little

weight to these studies, which, in any event, did not cor-

rect the specification errors allegedly afflicting the plain-

19a

tiffs’ regressions, was totally reasonable. The defendants’

promotion analysis, moreover, consisted solely of twenty-

three pages of statistics, see II Jt. App. 636-41, 719-35,

which, as far as we can tell, were never adequately ex-

plained at trial. Nothing in the record leads us to believe

that the District Court’s characterization of this study as

less persuasive than the plaintiffs’ regressions was clearly

erroneous,

The centerpiece of the defendants’ rebuttal presentation

was their cohort analysis. The experts who peformed this

study “divided ... [NAVCOSSACT/NARDAC’s] work

force into groups by the year in which the employees joined

the agency and the GS grade at which they entered” and

examined the “promotion experiences of each of these

groups or ‘cohorts’ over time ... to compare the relative

progress of men and women.” Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 884.

Having reviewed the record on this point, we cannot say

that Judge Greene’s ultimate conclusion that the cohort

analysis was less persuasive than the plaintiffs’ regressions

was clearly erroneous. As the defendants’ expert conceded

in another context, see IV Jt. App. 1874, the division of the

work force into extremely small segments made it unlikely

that this cohort study would detect sex-based disparities.

See Schmid v. Frosch, 680 F.2d 248, 249-50 & n.4 (D.C.

Cir. 1982) (per curiam); Woodard v. Lehman, 530 F. Supp.

139, 145 (D.S.C. 1982); Segar v. Civiletti, 508 F. Supp. at

698. The District Court could properly conclude, moreover,

that the exclusion of a substantial number of employees

from the cohort analysis reduced its probative force. And,

even though the defendants could not be held liable for dis-

criminatory initial grade placements, see Part II.B.3.

supra, the lack of verification of the critical assumption of

proper initial placements substantially reduced the persua-

sive appeal of the cohort study. See Trout, 517 F. Supp. at

885 & n.45; Segar, 508 F. Supp. at 698.

2. The Appellants’ Attempt to Retry the Case

The appellants’ objection to the District Court’s disposi-

tion of their motion for reconsideration is both meritless

and outrageous for what it suggests. At some point litiga-

20a

tion must come to an end, even though it is always possible

to offer more evidence. Notwithstanding NAVCOSS-

ACT/NARDAC’s contention that the new evidence might

alter the previous finding of class liability, the District

Court could properly conclude that the time for rebuttal

had come and gone. Although the court had inherent power

to reconsider its interlocutory orders concerning class-wide

liability, see Laffey v. Northwest Airlines, Inc., 642 F.2d

578, 583-84 (D.C. Cir. 1980), the critical question is wheth-

er there was good cause to do so. Absent a convincing

showing that the District Court’s answer to this question

constituted an abuse of discretion, we will not second-guess

its decision. Cf. GAF Corp. v. Transamerica Insurance

Co., 665 F.2d 364, 370-71 (D.C. Cir. 1981) (discussing Rule

60(b) motion for relief from judgment); Washington Mobili-

zation Committee v. Jefferson, 617 F.2d 848, 850 (D.C. Cir.

1980) (discussing Rule 59a) motion to reopen record).

The facts of this case afford no support for a suggestion

that the District Court abused its discretion in refusing to

reconsider the question of class-wide liability. As Judge

Greene properly concluded, the evidence on which the re-

quest for reconsideration was based could have been dis-

covered and presented at trial by a duly diligent defendant.

Cf. 6A J. MOORE, MOORE’S FEDERAL PRACTICE { 59.08{3}

(1982) (discussing motion for new trial). The defendants had

over seven years in which to collect evidence and prepare

their case, and they have offered no good reason whatsoev-

er to explain why their statistical analyses were not pro-

duced at trial. Even if these analyses might have adequate-

ly rebutted the plaintiffs’ prima facie case—an issue on

which our comments would be wholly gratuitous—the Dis-

trict Court plainly did not abuse its discretion in concluding

that it need not conduct another trial on the question of

liability.

We would add that we find it extremely troublesome-—in

light of the long and complex history of this litigation and in

light of Judge Greene’s patient and thoughtful treatment of

the case—that the appellants would even propose that the

trial court reopen and retry the matter. In the context of

this case setting, such an adversaria! tactic is irresponsible,

2la

insensitive to the extraordinary burdens faced by district

courts already overloaded with heavy dockets, and wasteful

of precious resources of litigants and the judiciary. Viewed

in this posture, we consider the appellants’ request for re-

consideration an affront to the judicial system.

D. The Clear and Convincing Evidence Standard

Once a class has established liability in a disparate treat-

ment case, “a discrete remedy phase begins. Any individual

ciass claimant may raise a presumption that he is entitled

to relief upon a prima facie showing of class membership.

The burden of proof then shifts to the employer to rebut

that presumption in each individual case.’’ Milton v.

Weinberger, No. 81-2200, slip op. at 8 (D.C. Cir. Oct. 26,

1982) (as modified, Dec. 20, 1982). This burden, the District

Court held, is quite substantial: After an individual employ-

ee lists the assignments or opportunities denied her or de-

scribes other ways in which she was victimized, an employ-

er must rebut the presumption of discrimination with “clear

and convincing evidence.” See Stewart v. General Motor

Corp., 542 F.2d 445, 453 (7th Cir. 1976), cert. denied, 433

U.S. 919 (1977); Baxter v. Savannah Sugar Refining

Corp., 495 F.2d 437, 444-45 (5th Cir.), cert. denied, 419

U.S. 1033 (1974).

Relying on International Brotherhood of Teamsters v.

United States, 431 U.S. at 360-62, and Texas Department

of Community Affairs v. Burdine, 450 U.S. at 254-56, the

appellants argue that the effect of a finding of class-wide

discrimination is identical to the effect of a prima facie case

in an individual suit. They claim, therefore, that they can

defeat individual class members’ entitlement to relief mere-

ly by advancing legitimate, nondiscriminatory reasons for

their employment decisions. As the appellants appeared to

recognize in the oral argument before this court, however,

their precise claim was recently considered and rejected in

McKenzie v. Sawyer, 684 F.2d at 76-78. We held in

McKenzie that the situation of an individual class member

after a showing of class-wide liability “is not analogous to

the situation of an individual plaintiff who has made out a

prima facie case of disparate treatment.” Jd. at 77. Because

22a

such class members are presumptively entitled to relief

upon showing that they were potential victims of the de-

fendants’ discriminatory practices, Teamsters, 431 U.S. at

362, the defendants must “rebut the plaintiffs’ individual

showings by clear and convincing evidence.” McKenzie, 684

F.2d at 78. Cf. Day v. Mathews, 530 F.2d 1083, 1085-86

(D.C. Cir. 1976) (per curiam) (individual case).

E. The Individual Claims

The appellants’ final challenges to the District Court’s de-

cisions concern its findings of discrimination against two in-

dividual plaintiffs, Marie Bach and Clara Perlingiero, and

the relief awarded to those individuals. We have found no

basis for challenging the District Court’s conclusion that ap-

pellee Bach was relieved of her responsibility for automatic

data processing security in March 1976 and May 1978 for

discriminatory reasons. When tested against the clearly er-

roneous standard, the court’s conclusions that questions

concerning her technical background were not the predomi-

nant reason for the personne! actions and that the reasons

given were mere pretext for discrimination are impreg-

nable.

When her responsibilities were removed, Bach was a

GS-13 security specialist; the duties that she had preformed

were transferred to males at the GS-14 and GS-15 levels in

1976 and to males at the GS-15 level in 1978. Apparently for

this reason, the District Court ordered her retroactively

promoted to GS-14 as of March 1976 and to GS-15 as of May

1978. We agree with the District Court that these reassign-

ments could constitute evidence that the defendants had

failed appropriately to classify Bach’s position. Trout v. Hi-

dalgo, No. 73-55, mem. op. at 10 n.12 (D.D.C. Oct. 20,

1981), reprinted in I Jt. App. 16, 25. We believe, however,

that further consideration of the propriety of the retroac-

tive proinotions is necessary because it is not clear that

Bach was ever denied a promotion to GS-14 or GS-15 and

the males who assumed her duties may have had additional

responsibilities that justified their higher classifications.

We have found no basis for upsetting the District Court’s

conclusions that “the various actions taken against

23a

[Perlingiero] were based on sex discrimination and on retal-

iation, as distinguished from objective efficiency-related

factors,” Trout, 517 F. Supp. at 891, and that she should be

awarded a retroactive promotion to GS-14. The promotion

to GS-13 made effective September 1, 1971 poses a more

troubling question. This award was improper, the appel-

lants argue, because Perlingiero had no administrative

complaint pending on March 24, 1972, the effective date of

Title VII. Although the record suggests that Perlingiero

may have withdrawn a complaint filed on September 1,

1971 in response to promises that her grievance would be

remedied, the District Court made no finding to that effect,

and we are thus unable to discern the rationale underlying

its retroactive promotion to GS-13.

III. CONCLUSION

For the reasons set forth above, we affirm in part, re-

verse in part, and vacate and remand in part. The District

Court’s findings of class-wide discrimination in promotions

and discrimination against Bach and Perlingiero are af-

firmed, as is its decision impoSing the clear and convincing

standard of proof in individual relief hearings. The court’s

imposition of liability for discrimination in initial grade

placements is reversed, and its awards of retroactive pro-

motions to GS-14 and GS-15 and commensurate backpay to

Bach and a retroactive promotion to GS-13 and commensu-

rate backpay to Perlingiero are vacated and remanded. All

other elements of the individual relief are affirmed.

So Ordered.

24a

MACKINNON, Circuit Judge (dissenting in part and con-

curring in part).

I. STANDARD OF REVIEW

Claiming to differentiate between this court’s review of

“findings of fact” and “conclusions of law,” the opinion for

the court unnecessarily restricts its scrutiny of the trial

court’s decision. [Op. at 11] Denominating the trial court’s

findings of discrimination in the individual claims as pri-

marily “factual,” the court’s opinion essentially declines to

review these judgments.

Categorizing determinations by the district court as “fac-

tual” or “legal” in the context of an employment discrimina-

tion class action is not as simple as the court’s opinion

suggests. Other courts have recognized the appropriate

standard of review in such cases and their decisions, not

recognized by the court, in my opinion provide a more rea-

sonable guide to the appropriate review in these cases.

The Seventh Circuit, has acknowledged that

[t]he statement that discrimination exists for the pur-

poses of establishing liability under Title VII ... is as

much a conclusion of law as a finding of fact. A distine-

tion must be drawn between subsidiary facts to which

the “clearly erroneous” standard applies, and the ulti-

mate fact of discrimination necessary to trigger a stat-

utory ... violation....

United States v. City of Chicago, 529 F.2d 415, 425 (7th

Cir. 1977). In line with this pronouncement the court con-

tinued to an “independent examination” to determine

whether the alleged “employment practices as a matter of

law, were proscribed under Title VII....” Jd. See also,

Detroit Police Officers’ Association v. Young, 608 F.2d

671, 686 (6th Cir. 1979).

Categorizing determinations by the district court as “fac-

tual” and thereby insulating them from meaningful review

can be highly improper. The review employed in this dis-

sent is distinguishable from that employed in the opinion

for the court in two critical respects. First, while accepting

the district court’s factual deterzninations, I have teviewed

25a

the district court’s application of the relevant legal stand-

ards of proof. Second, I have reviewed the cistrict court’s

findings of fact in support of its judgment to be certain that

these findings have an evidentiary basis in the record.

Therefore, this analysis is premised upon a somewhat dif-

ferent standard of review then that employed in the opinion

for the court, supra.

II. CLASS CLAIMS

A. Liability for Initial Placement and Hiring

Plaintiffs alleged that defendant engaged in a pattern or

practice of discrimination against the class of women in nu-

merous respects—“hiring, performance evaluation, job as-

signment, promotion and award procedures.” The trial

court found the defendant liable for discrimination in hiring

and/or initial placement, as well as promotion. The district

court’s judgment with respect to liability for hiring and/or

initial placement should be vacated and remanded for dis-

missal, however, because these claims of the class were not

properly before the court. Neither of the class representa-

tives (Trout and Perlingiero) had standing to claim that

they were discriminated against with respect to initial hir-

ing and/or placement. Both of these women were hired well

before the effective date of Title VII;! neither named plain-

tiff ever administratively challenged her hiring or initial

placement;? and neither alleged in her complaint that she

was discriminated against with respect to hiring or initial

placement. Consequently, these named plaintiffs cannot

represent a class challenging the defendant’s hiring or ini-

tial placement practices; they do not share an injury with

the class they purport to represent. “To have standing to

sue as a class representative it is essential that a plaintiff

must be a part of that class, that is, he must possess the

1 In her complaint, plaintiff Trout states that she was bired in March

1967. Trout Complaint 47. Plaintiff Perlingiero states’that she was

hired in October 1967. Perlingiero Complaint 4 67.

? The filing of a “charge” » ‘th the Equal Employment Opportunity

Commission (EEOC) is a prerequisite to suit under Title VII. 42

U.S.C. § 2000e-16 (1976).

26a

same interest and suffer the same injury shared by all

members of the class he represents.” Schlesinger v. Re-

servists Committee to Stop the War, 418 U.S. 208, 216

(1974).

It is easy to understand how the district court came to

consider the hiring and initial placement issue, even though

it was not properly presented. The original complaints,

alleging individual and class discrimination, were filed in

1973. The theory of the case was that the defendnat had en-

gaged in a “pattern or practice” of discrimination. Even

though neither of the named plaintiffs alleged that they had

been discriminated against with respect to hiring or initial

placement, the class-aspects of their complaints asserted

that the defendant had pursued discriminatory hiring and

placement practices with respect to the class of women.*

On April 6, 1973, the district court conditionally certified

the class as consisting of “all past, present and future fe-

male professional technical employees of the defendant Na-

val Command System Support Activity.” The certification

order did not specify the issues for resolution.

During the 1960s and early 1970s, the “across the board”

theory of discrimination in the class action-employment dis-

crimination context was in vogue. This theory had its

origins in the Fifth Circuit,‘ and essentially permitted a

3 Count One of the Trout Complaint alleges:

34. There exists at NAVCOSSACT a continuing and pervasive

pattern of discrimination against women individually and as a

class with respect to the recruiting and hiring of professional

technical employees.

* The first “across the board” case which clearly held that a plaintiff

could represent a class challenging alleged discriminatory employment

practices to which he (individual plaintiff) had not actually been sub-

jected was Johnson v. Georgia Highway Express, Inc., 417 F.2d 1122,

1124 (5th Cir. 1969).

The Johnson court's “across the board” approach was endorsed by

commentators, Developments in the Law—Employment Discrimina-.

tion and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, 84 Harv. L. Rev.

1109, 1218-22 (1971), and applied by trial courts, Mack v. General Elec-

tric Co., 329 F. Supp. 72, 73-76 (E.D. Pa. 1971); Wilson v. Monsanto

Co., 315 F. Supp. 977, 979 (E.D. La. 1970); and Bateman v. Retail

Credit Co., 320 F. Supp. 1115, 1116 (N.D. Ga. 1970).

27a

plaintiff who alleged individual discrimination because of a

particular employment practice to litigate class claims

which included allegations of other, different discriminato-

ry employment practices. Class claims which were broader

than those asserted by the named plaintiff were considered

a permissible “across the board” attack on the defendant’s

employment practices. Long v. Sapp, 502 F.2d 34, 40-43

(5th Cir. 1974); Huff v. N.D. Cass Company of Alabama,

485 F.2d 710, 714 (5th Cir. 1973); and Carr v. Conoco Plas-

tics, Inc., 423 F.2d 57, 62-66 (5th Cir.), cert. denied, 400

U.S. 951 (1970).

As jurisprudence on this subject developed, the “across

the board” approach was generally repudiated® and the Su-

preme Court cautioned courts that the typicality require-

ment of Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure and

considerations of standing mandated that a named plaintiff

must share the same injury as the class he purports to rep-

resent. In East Texas Motor Freight System, Inc. v. Rod-

riguez, 431 U.S. 395 (1977), the Court held that plaintiffs

alleging discrimination in denial of transfer could not main-

tain a class action challenging hiring by the defendant-

Another Fifth Circuit case frequently cited as a forerunner in devel-

oping the “across the board” theory of class action-employment dis-

crimination is Oatis v. Crown Zellerbach Corp., 398 F.2d 496 (5th Cir.

1968). In Oatis, however, the named plaintiffs alleged that they had,

in fact, been injured by the same employment practices challenged by

the class. Judge Bell, writing for the court, endorsed allowing a

“board” attack against the defendant’s employment practices, but rec-

ognized that the “issues that may be raised by plaintiff in ... a class

action are those issues that he has standing to raise[,] i.e., the issues

as to which he is aggrieved. ...” Jd. at 499 (Emphasis added). Thus,

subsequent reliance upon Oatis for the proposition that in an “across

the board” attack a named-plaintiff may assert class claims based upon

injuries which he did not suffer is misplaced. The Oatis court recog-

nized that the issues raised in a class action must be identical to those

issues which the named plaintiff has standing to raise.

5 Courts of the Fifth Circuit continue to adhere to an “across the

board” theory of standing in class suits, and attempt to distinguish the

Court’s decision in East Texas Motor Freight System, Inc. v. Rodri-

guez, 431 U.S. 395 (1977). For a discussion of the Fifth Circuit’s adher-

ence to this theory, see Vuyanich v. Republic National Bank of Dallas,

505 F. Supp. 224, 234-37 (N.D. Tex. 1980).

28a

employer: The Court reversed the Fifth Circuit’s sua

sponte class certifiction and imposition of class-wide liabili-

ty, and held that these plaintiffs could not represent a class

whose alleged injury they did not share. Numerous subse-

quent decisions recognized and applied the principle an-

nounced in Rodriguez.* Named plaintiffs cannot represent

a class to litigate an issue which they themselves do not

have standing to pursue.

On June 18, 1979, the Trout class was “fully certified” by

the trial court. The conditional order of class certification

was redefined to specify the class as follows.

That the class is hereby determined to consist of all fe-

male professional technical employees employed by the

Naval Command System Support Activity or the Navy

Regional Data Automation Center at any time be-

tween June 6, 1972 and June 4, 1979.

Again, the court did not specify the scope of the class

issues, and does not appear to have re-evaluated the pro-

priety of these plaintiffs continuing to represent a class of

women challenging discrimination in hiring and/or initial

placement. However, by this date it was clear that a named

plaintiff could only litigate, on behalf of a class, claims

which she shared. Therefore, these plaintiffs could not liti-

gate claims of discrimination in hiring and/or initial promo-

tion on behalf of this class. As the Supreme Court “has re-

peatedly held, a class representative must be part of the

class and ‘possess the same interest and suffer the same in-

* Abron v. Black & Decker (U.S.) Inc., 654 F.2d 951 (4th Cir. 1981)

(district court improperly found class-wide liability for racial discrimi-

nation in “recruitment; job classification; hiring; assignment; promo-

tion; transfer; discipline; discharge; benefits; apprenticeship training

programs; compensation; terms, conditions and privileges of employ-

ment” when only claim presented by representative plaintiff was for

discrimination with regard to a specific, temporary transfer); DeGrace

v. Rumsfeld, 614 F.2d 796 (1st Cir. 1980) (plaintiff who did not claim

that he had been discriminated against in the hiring process and whose

“individual grievance—termination—did not implicate hiring proce-

dures” could not represent class alleging racially discriminatory hir-

ing); and Hill v. Western Elec. Co., Inc., 596 F.2d 99 (4th Cir. 1979)

(plaintiffs alleging racial discrimination in work assignments and pro-

motions cannot represent class challenging denial of employment).

29a \

jury’ as the class members. Schlesinger v. Reservists Com-

mittee to Stop the War, 418 U.S. 208, 216.” East Texas Mo-

tor Freight, supra, at 403. It is unquestioned that Trout

and Perlingiero were not members of the class of discrimi-

natees (applicants) they sought to represent. Therefore,

their class claims could not encompass allegations of dis-

crimination in hiring and/or initial placement.

That portion of the judgment against the defendant based

upon the finding of class-wide discrimination in hiring

and/or initial grade placement should therefore be vacated

and the district court directed to dismiss those class claims.

In addition, the district court’s improper consideration of

claims of class-wide hiring and initial placement discrimina-

tion, which functions were exercised by other agencies, so

permeated the trial court’s evaluation of the evidence pre-

sented that its judgment of liability for discrimination in

promotion cannot stand. As discussed infra, the promotion

claim should be remanded to the district court for retrial.

The sole issue for consideration, to which all proof must

then be relevant, would be whether the defendant discrimi-

nated against women as a class in promotions during the

relevant time period.

B. Promotion Claims—Proper Evaluation of this

Claim at Retrial

A fundamental problem with the conduct of this case in

the district court is that some basic tenants of employment

discrimination-class action case law were ignored. The trial

court appears to have confused the respective burdens of

proof, ultimately finding against the defendant because it

did not disprove the plaintiffs’ allegations. Such procedure

improperly allocates the burden of proof.”

7 In addition to not distinguishing between the respective burdens of

proof and production incumbent upon a plaintiff and defendant, it ap-

pears that the court in several instances did not properly scrutinize the

evidence.

This action was tried as a consolidated case, co:nprised of a class ac-

tion and five individual actions. The court recognized that

{t]he allegations made by these plaintiffs, and particularly those

of Ms. Trout, are at best confusing in that major and minor com-

~ Saet Copy

Sos ek = cet

30a

Two theories for proof of employment discrimination in

violation of Title VII have been recognized by the

Court—disparate treatment or disparate impact. /nterna-

tional Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S.

324, 335-36 n.15 (1977). In this case the plaintiff alleges that

the employer followed a “pattern or practice” of disparate

treatment of female employees that was discriminatory. To

prevail upon a disparate treatment claim, plaintiffs must

prove that a particular group (females) was regularly

treated in a discriminatory fashion, andsthat this treatment

was intentional—motive is essential.* Proof of disparate

treatment may be by statistics or by instances of individual

discrimination, or both.

In individual disparate treatment cases the Court has

established “stages” of proof which are intended to simplify

the factfinder’s analysis of the evidence presented. The

Court has emphasized thet these “stages” do not alter the

traditional burden of proof in a civil case.® A careful read-

ing of Texas Department of Community Affairs v.

Burdine, 450 U.S. 258 (1981) and its predecessors, high-

lights the conclusion that the Court was addressing the

method of proving discrimination in the case of an individ-

plaints are indiscriminately recited, sometimes without a clear

delineation of what is claimed to be sex discrimination or retalia-

tion and what is contended to be mere supporting data.

517 F. Supp. at 888 n.55.

This confusion in plaintiff's case was not completely unravelled by the

court, both as to the individual claims (discussed infra) and the class

claims. The court failed to distinguish between that statistical evidence

which tended to prove plaintiffs’ discriminatory hiring claims and that

which went to the promotion claims.

* In a “pattern or practice” case, the plaintiff must prove:

more than the mere occurrence of isolated or “accidental” or spo-

radiec discriminatory acts. [The plaintiff must) establish by a pre-

ponderance of the evidence that ... discrimination was the [em-

ployer’s| standard operating procedure—the regular rather than

the unusual practice.

Int’! Bhd. of Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324, 386 (1977)

(footaote omitted).

* “The ultimate burden of persuading the trier of fact that the de-

fendant intentionally discriminated against the plair.iff remains at all

times with the plaintiff.” Burdine, 450 U.S. at 253 (footnote omitted).

3la

ual plaintiff. The “stages” which the court described can-

not be mechanically applied to the case of class litigation of

alleged employment discrimination. This is the error of the

district court. (And the court’s opinion here) As recognized

in Vuyanich v. Republic National Bank of Dallas, 521 F.

Supp. 656 (N.D. Tex. 1981), proof of employment discrimi-

nation in the class action context differs from that offered

in the individual plaintiff case. The three “stages” applica-

ble in the trial of an individual plaintiff’s claim are merged

into two in class litigation: (1) The plaintiff initially proves

both a “prima facie” case and discrimination by a prepon-

derance of the evidence. (2) Then, the defendant’s proof

must cast sufficient doubt on the plaintiff’s proof (and sta-

tistics) “to cause the trier of fact to conclude that the plain-

tiff has not proved discrimination by a preponderance of the

evidence.” Jd. at 663.

The district court in Trout was so concerned with the al-

location of the “stages” of proof, focusing upon whether the

plaintiffs established a prima facie case and whether the

defendant rebutted that case, that it lost sight of the basic

principle that plaintiffs were ultimately required to prove

intentional discrimination by a preponderance of the evi-

dence. It is submitted that, based upon the evidence pre-

sented, the ultimate burden of proof was not met.

Statements in the opinion for the court suggest a recogni-

tion of the fact that establishing a prima facie case might

not always be the equivalent of proving discrimination by a

preponderance of the evidence. At p. 12 the opinion states

“while plaintiffs must demonstrate to the court’s satisfac-

tion that their statistical comparisons are meaningful, they

need not present a perfect statistical analysis at the prima

facie case stage.” (Emphasis added) This statement may

constitute a recognition that additional proof may be re-

quired at some later stage in order to prevail on the merits.

However, in this case, no additional proof was forthcom-

ing—and the “inference” of discrimination wnich the dis-

trict court drew from the plaintiffs’ statistics became suffi-

ciently probative for plaintiffs to prevail upon their claim of

discrimination by a preponderance of the evidence. Upon

examining the plaintiffs’ evidence, I cannot agree that the

32a

evidence which was sufficient to establish a prima facie

showing was also sufficient to establish liability.

The only “facts” supporting the plaintiffs’ claim were that

(1) as undisputed, “the average salary for female employees

at NARDAC has throughout the relevant period been con-

siderabiy lower than that of males,” 517 F. Supp. at 878; (2)

that women were generally over-represented at the lower

grade positions, id.; and (3) that the salary differential

could only be accounted for by reference to the gender of

the employee, id. at 879. Plaintiffs did not establish wheth-

er these facts were due to discrimination in hiring and ini-

tial placement (women being consistently hired only at the

lower levels); or althrough hired properly, women were not

being promoted as equitably as men; or whether because of

a low rate of turnover, the effects of pre-1972 discrimina-

tion in hiring and promotion have not been eliminated, even

though the defendant’s employment practices are now neu-

tral. Simply demonstrating that women earn less than men

in this division, and that the earnings differential may only

be explained by reference to gender, certainly suggests

that discrimination has occurred, or may be occurring. But

those facts do not, without more, prove discrimination in

hiring or promotion.

Having found that the plaintiffs’ statistics were sufficient

to establish a prima facie case, the district court placed an

improper burden upon the defendant to “rebut” such proof.

It was incumbent upon the defendant only to raise genuine

issues as to the sufficiency of the plaintiffs’ evidence.?®

1° Discussing the burden which falls upon an employer to respond to

the plaintiff's prima facie proof in the class action context, the Su-

preme Court has explained:

The burden then shifts to the employer to defeat the prima facie

showing of a pattern or practice by demonstrating that the

{plaintiff's} proof is either inaccurate or insignificant.

Teamsters, supra, at 360 (Emphasis added).

The opinion for the court suggests that the defendant failed to meet

the plaintiffs’ prima facie showing because it failed to introduce an ac-

ceptable statistical showing which would prove discrimination was not

ercurring. While the defendant was certainly free to introduce such

proof, I believe that such proof was not necessary; to require such

proof impermissibly burdens the defendant. As stated by the Court in

33a

Presentation of such evidence by defendant would then re-

turn the “scales to equipoise,” requiring the plaintiff to

prove discrimination in order to prevail. To require any

more proof from a defendant in response to the plaintiff's

prima facie showing impermissibly shifts the burden of

proof traditionally required in a civil case.

Contrary to the district court’s conclusion, the defendant

made three specific challenges to plaintiffs’ statistics which

raised a serious question as to the accuracy and/or suffi-

ciency of the plaintiffs’ proof. The defendant argued

1. that the statistics attributed responsibility to the

defendant for hiring and initial placements, such de-

cisions not being within the defendant’s control;

2. that the statistics included the effects of time-

barred acts; and

3. that the statistics did not take into account mini-

mum objective qualifications.

These challenges to the accuracy of the plaintiffs’ proof are

designed to “discredit the plaintiff’s statistics by demon-

strating flaws in the assumptions, data or analyses pre-

sented.” Vuyanich v. Republic National Bank of Dallas,

521 F. Supp. 656, 663 (N.D. Tex. 1981).

The opinion for the court concedes that the defendant

successfully challenged the plaintiffs’ proof of discrimina-

tion in hiring and initial placement, and yet this is not con-

sidered adequate to raise a “question” as to the sufficiency

of the plaintiffs’ statistics on the whole. The plaintiffs did

not differentiate between their statistical evidence which

tended to prove discrimination in hiring, and that which

tended to prove discrimination in promotion. Based upon

this lack of distinction, the defendant objected that the in-

ference of discrimination which was drawn from these sta-

tistics was not attributable to it, if such inference was

based upon alleged discriminatory hiring. The defendant’s

Teamsters, supra, the defendant need only clearly demonstrate inac-

curacies in the plaintiff's proof, which then requires the plaintiff to re-

spond and prove his case. A defendant may meet plaintiff's prima

facie showing by either presenting its own set of acceptable statistics

or by “other proof undermining plaintiff's claims.” Segar v. Civiletti,

508 F. Supp. 690, 712 (D.D.C. 1981).

34a

objection to plaintiffs’ statistics, based upon its denial of lia-

bility for hiring and/or initial placement decisiuns, did raise

a genuine issue as to the sufficiency of plaintiffs’ proof.

The government’s second challenge was that plaintiffs’

statistics included pre-1972 data and that, therefore, any

finding of discrimination based upon this data was not ac-

tionable."! The district court rejected this challenge stating

that although discrimination prior to 1972 is not directly ac-

tionable, “in some circumstances (evidence of such conduct)

can support the inference that such discrimination contin-

ued.” 517 F.2d at 880. Suggesting that this defendant had

discriminated prior to 1972, the court then stated that

“such discrimination before 1972, even if coupled with neu-

tral employment practices since then, produced actionable

continuing discriminatory eifects. ...”’ Jd. (Emphasis

added). This is an incorrect application of the law.

In Hazelwood School District v. United States, 433 U.S.

299 (1977), it was held that an employer who discriminated

before 1972, but who ceased uponm*enactment of the statute

would not have violated the Act if after 1972 all employ-

ment decisions were made in a non-discriminatory fashion.

Thus, if pre-Act practices produced discrimination, but dis-

crimination ceased in 1972, the employer would not be lia-

ble for the “frozen-in” effects of discrimination. In my opin-

ion the above-quoted statement by the district court to the

contrary is erroneous.

This error in applying the law is not harmless in the con-

text of this case. The government challenged the discrimi-

nation inferred from the plaintiffs’ statistics by asserting

that it was the result of pre-1972 practices. Therefore, it

was incumbent upon the plaintiffs to prove that the dis-

crimination suggested by their statistics was not due to

non-actionable pre-Act conduct. This challenge to the plain-

"In United Airlines, Inc. v. Evans, 431 U.S. 553 (1977), the Court

stated that while evidence of pre-Act violations by the employer might

be “relevant background evidence,” such acts were “merely ... unfor-

tunate event(s] in history which ha[ve] no present legal consequences.”

Id. at 558 (Emphasis added). Thus, this defendant's objection to the in-

clusion of pre-act practices in plaintiffs’ statistics was based upon

sound authority.

35a

tiffs’ statistics is valid and sufficient to raise a genuine issue

as to the accuracy of the plaintiffs’ statistical proof. The

district court should not have disregarded the defendant’s

argument. 517 F.2d 879-80.

Two of the three government challenges to the accuracy

of the plaintiffs’ statistics were valid.'* And yet, the dis-

trict court did not find this sufficient to raise a question re-

garding plaintiffs’ initial showing so as to require plaintiffs

to introduce additional, more accurate and refined proof.

Clearly the district court placed too great a burden of proof

on the defendant, and based its ultimate finding of liability

upon an insufficient showing by the plaintiffs. On a retrial

plaintiffs must fully satisfy their burden of proof.

III. INDIVIDUAL CLAIMS

A. Perlingvero

1. Denial of Promotion

This finding of liability for discriminatory denial of pro-

motion should be reversed because the plaintiff failed, as a

matter of law, to prove discrimination by a preponderance

of the evidence.

Even though on appeal, the government specifically chal-

lenged both the district court’s findings of ultimate liability

and its finding that plaintiff Perlingiero had successfully es-

tablished a prima facie case, without any analysis, the

court’s opinion “found no basis for upsetting the District

Court’s conclusions” on this issue. An examination of the

record reveals that the government’s challenge is

well-taken.

In this Circuit, to establish a prima facie case of discrim-

inatory refusal to promote, the plaintiff must

show that she belongs to a protected group, that she

was qualified for and applied for a promotion, that she

was considered for and denied the promotion, and that

other employees of similar qualifications who were not

members of the protected group were indeed pro-

12 T defer to the district court’s determination, upheld by the opinion

for the court, that plaintiffs’ statistical proxies adequately reflected

the minimum objective qualifications. Op. at 14-16.

be

36a

moted at the time the plaintiff’s request for promotion

was denied.

Bundy v. Jackson, 461 F.2d 934, 951 (D.C. Cir. 1981).

Herein, the district found that:

a new layer of three supervisory positions was estab-

lished at the GS-14 level; Ms. Perlingiero applied for

all three; and all of them were again given to white

males who were junior to her.

517 F. Supp. at 891.

This statement embodies the requisite elements of proof to

establish a prima facie claim of discrimination in promo-

tion.'%

“To meet a prima facie case, a defendant must present

with clarity and reasonable specificity a legitimate, nondis-

criminatory reason for the action it took.” Valentino v.

United States Postal Service, 675 F.2d 56, 63 (D.C. Cir.

13 Because they are not “clearly erroneous,” I defer to the district

judge’s factual findings which support the legal conclusion that a

prima facie case was established. However, I am compelled to note

that the plaintiff's evidence tending to establish a prima facie case

was minimal. The plaintiff did not clearly identify who received the

three promotions, and provided no evidence to support the court’s

finding that the individuals who were promoted were “junior to her.”

When asked how many promotions there had been in her code (unit)

the plaintiff testified:

there were four in my department, three of them went to white

males, one person in particular that I knew fairly well who was a

GS-9 in 1967 when I was a 12 was one of those promoted to a

GS-14.

Tr. at 252. (Emphasis added.)

The plaintiff also introduced a letter from the Department of Defense’s

Office of Personnel and Security (dated 30 November 1979) informing

her that she was not selected for the GS-334-14/15 position for which

she applied. The letter stated

you meet the qualifications required by this position, but you

were not rated among the “best qualified.”

I Jt. App. 324.

The foregoing is the only evidence cited by appellee, upon which the

court could have based its conclusion that Perlingiero was

discriminatorily denied promotion. Independent examination of the

record has failed to reveal any additional evidence to support the

court’s conclusion.

37a

1982). This “burden” on the defendant is not one of persua-

sion, but merely of “production.” The defendant need only

articulate a legitimate explanation for its choice; an employ-

er is not required to “persuade the court that it was actual-

ly motivated by the proffered reasons.” Texas Department

of Community Affairs v. Burdine, 450 U.S. 248, 254

(1981). (Emphasis added). The Supreme Court has empha-

sized the nature of this “burden” on the defendant by re-

minding courts that “[t]he ultimate burden of persuading

the trier of fact that the defendant intentionally discrimi-

nated against the plaintiff remains at all times with the

plaintiff.” Burdine, supra, at 253.

Without explicating the facts supportifig his conclusion,

the district judge simply found that the defendant failed to

rebut the plaintiff’s prima facie case. However, as a mat-

ter of law, the defendant clearly rebutted the inference of

discrimination by articulating a legitimate, nondiscrimina-

tory reason for this plaintiff’s nonpromotion. Testimony by

the defendant’s witness revealed that of the three positions

available, two were selected at one point in time, and an-

other selected later. The applicants for the positions were

evaluated by a “rating and ranking panel.” In both in-

stances, plaintiff Perlingiero’s name was not forwarded to

the selecting officer on the list of “best qualified” candi-

dates. Therefore, if she was discriminated against in this

promotion decision, it was by the “rating and ranking” pan-

el; testimony reveals, however, that each panel had wom-

en members.'* The defendant’s witness also explained why

Perlingiero was not qualified to be recommended by the

“rating and ranking” panel. The plaintiff offered no evi-

dence to contradict this testimony.

In light of the defendant’s explanation of the reasons for

Perlingiero’s non-promotion, and the showing that the

decision-making process was fair, the defendant, as a mat-

ter of law, successfully rebutted plaintiff’s prima facie

ease. To require the defendant to produce additional

‘# In fact, Ms. Trout, the plaintiff in a companion case, was a mem-

ber of the second “rating and ranking” panel which did not recommend

Ms. Periingiero for promotion.

28a

“proof” would contradict the Court’s requirement in

Burdine and alter the traditional burdens of proof.

Once the defendant meets the plaintiff’s prima facie

proof, the plaintiff has “the opportunity to demonstrate

that the proffered reason was not the true reason for the

employment decision.” Burdine, supra, at 256. The plain-

tiff must carry the “ultimate burden” of persuading the

court that “she has been the victim of intentional discrimi-

nation.” JJ. Plaintiffs offered no additional evidence to

demonstrate that the defendant’s explanation was merely

pretextual, or to prove actual discriminatory treatment in

this employment decision.

Reviewing all the evidence introduced by the plaintiff on

this issue, in my opinion it is insufficient to sustain the legal

conclusion that Perlingiero was intentionally discriminated

against when she was not promoted to the GS-14 position in

1979.

2. Additional Alleged Acts of Discrimination

In support of its finding of liability for discrimination

against Perlingicro the district court states that

[s]he was repeatedly passed over for promotion in fa-

vor of males, some of whom had inferior credentials or

were junior to her, and at least one of whom was clear-

ly preselected for the position.

This conclusion is clearly erroneous as there is no evidence

in the record to support it. In fact, the relevant evidence,

from the plaintiff herself, contradicts this conclusion.

On cross-examination the plaintiff was unable to identify

any promotions for which she had applied, with the excep-

tion of one in 1971 (prior to the effective date of Title VII)

and the GS-14 position in 1979, discussed supra. To be re-

peatedly “passed over” for promotion within the Civil Serv-

ice system one must have applied for a promotion.

For the foregoing reasons, the judgment in favor of

Perlingiero must be vacated. This analysis is guided by the

requirement that “as a matter of law” certain facts must be

proven to prevail upon a claim of employment discrimina-

tion. I am compelled to disagree with the trial judge’s judg-

ment of liability (and the court’s opinion affirming) because

39a

I cannot find evidentiary support in the record which clear-

ly establishes that plaintiff has proved the legal requisites

necessary to support her claim.

“B. Bach

Reviewing the record and the district court’s—findings

and conclusions on Bach's claim, I agree with the court’s

opinion affirming the judgment against the defendant.

CONCLUSION

In my view the court’s opinion in material respects

“glosses-over” serious problems with the judgment of the

district court. I thus dissent to the extent indicated above.

- , .

Pes

Pot

Be

Sad 7

40a

APPENDIX B

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT,

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA.

April 16, 1981

Civ. A. Nos. 73-55, 76-315, 76-1206, 78-1098

YVONNE G. TROUT, ET AL., PLAINTIFFS,

v.

EDWARD HIDALGO, ET AL., DEFENDANTS.

CHARLENE HARDY, PLAINTIFF,

v.

EDWARD HIDALGO, ET AL., DEFENDANTS.

MARIE LOUISE BACH, ET AL., PLAINTIFFS,

v.

EDWARD HIDALGO, ET AL., DEFENDANTS.

YVONNE G. TROUT, PLAINTIFF,

v~,

EDWARD HIDALGO, ET AL., DEFENDANTS.

OPINION

HAROLD H. GREENE, District Judge.

These four consolidated cases raise individual and class

sex discrimination claims under Title VII of the Civil

Rights Act of 1964, as amended, 42 U.S.C. § 2000e, et seq.

The defendants in all of these actions are officials of the De-

? Although plaintiff Bach, in Civil Action No. 76-1206, also asserts a

claim under the Age Discrimination in Employment Act of 1967, as

amended, 29 U.S.C. § 633a (1974), plaintiffs did not argue this claim in

their trial brief and the statistical evidence at trial was devoted exclu-

sively to sex discrimination. By order filed December 13, 1976, the

Court struck the claims for relief involving individual disciplinary

action.

4la

partment of the Navy and an agency of the Department of

the Navy formerly referred to as the Naval Command Sup-

port Activity (NAVCOSSACT) and, since March, 1977, as

the Navy Regional Data Automation Center (NARDAC).?

NAVCOSSACT was established in 1962 as the center of

Navy computer operations for national defense purposes.

The organization grew from about 250 employees in 1962 to

one employing over 1,000 individuals in the late 1960’s. By

the early 1970’s, however, lesser United States involve-

ment in foreign conflicts and fiscal restraints placed upon

the agency resulted in a reduction in the size of the organi-

zation, and consequently fewer high-grade employees were

authorized and fewer promotions occurred. In 1977, NAV-

COSSACT was dissolved in the course of a reorganization

of the Navy’s automated data processing activities (ADP),

and its personnel and resources were combined with per-

sonnel and resources of the Navy Material Command Sup-

port Activity, the Navy Accounting and Finance Center,

and the Naval District Washington, D.C., to form

NARDAC. NARDAC develops computer systems and doc-

uments for computer systems, trains personnel in the

operations of systems, and delivers the systems to user

organizations.

Plaintiffs Yvonne G. Trout and Clara Perlingiero, both

computer systems analysts, brought the first of the

currently-pending actions, Civil Action No. 73-55, and they

are also the representatives of the class previously condi-

tionally and now fully certified in that case consisting of “all

female professional technical employees employed by

{NAVCOSSACT] or [NARDAC] at any time between June

6, 1972, and June 4, 1979.” Trout is also the plaintiff in Civil

Action No. 78-1098, in which she alleges retaliatory actions

arising from her initia] claim. Charlene Hardy, the plaintiff

in Civil Action No. 76-315, is a retired computer program-

mer from NARDAC and a member of the designated class.

Marie Louise Bach, a NARDAC security manager, and

? For the sake of simplicity, both of these agencies as well as the

several individual defendants are generally hereinafter referred to as=———""""

NARDAC.

ok «J

42a

Joan Swann Creighton, director of the NARDAC Training

Department, are the plaintiffs in Civil Action No. 76-1206,

but they are not members of the class.

I

The class action aspects of this lawsuit involve an alleged

pattern and practice of sex discrimination in defendants’

hiring, performance evaluation, job assignment, promotion,

and award procedures. Their resolution revolves primarily

around the statistics submitted by the parties and the anal-

ysis of those statistics by the parties’ experts.* As might be

expected, the evidence adduced by plaintiffs in these areas

differs sharply from that advanced by defendants. More-

over, as will be explained below, neither analysis is wholly

free from defects or ambiguities. Some of these problems

are attributable to the underlying data (see note 4 infra)

while others are to a degree inherent in the various meth-

ods of analysis (see, e.g., 884 infra) which almost inevita-

bly required those performing them to make trade-offs in

terms of inclusiveness and specificity. On balance, how-

ever, for the reasons indicated below, the court finds plain-

tiffs’ statistical proof to be the more reliable.

That proof consists essentially of multiple regression

analyses of raw statistical data furnished to plaintiffs by de-

fendants in the course of discovery.* Multiple regression is

5 However, as discussed in Part IV infra, testimony concerning ac-

tual personnel practices was also adduced on the class action issues.

*The data used by both parties’ experts for statisticai analysis

consisted of a computer tape and a computer printout furnished to

plaintiffs by defendants in response to an interrogatory. The tape in-

cluded eighteen recent job actions taken with respect to each employee

from 1970 to 1979, as well as the employee's age, sex, date of entry in

federal service, date of hire by, and departure from, NARDAC, and

the prior employing agency. The printout included age, sex, education-

al level, date of entry in federal service, date of hire by NAVCOSS-

ACT, and all job actions between 1972 and 1977. These data, from

which all subsequent analyses were derived, were first requested by

plaintiffs on May $, 1980, five weeks before the trial began. Some of

the deficiencies in the parties’ statistical analysis can be traced directly

to certain gaps in these two sources of data. Had either party focused

its attention earlier on the critical role statistical analysis would play

43a

a statistical technique designed to estimate the effects of

several independent variables on a single dependent varia-

ble. Properly used in a case such as this, the methodology

provides the ability to determine how much influence fac-

tors such as sex, experience, and education each have had

on determining the value of a variable such as salary level.®

The analysis also enables an observer to cumulate effects of

the various factors so as to determine the degree to which

explanation of the dependent variable can be attributed to

the independent variables in combination.* Regression

analysis is well recognized by the literature and the courts

in Title VII litigation.’

Plaintiffs’ expert® began his analysis with the undisputed

fact that the average salary for female employees at

NARDAC has throughout the relevant period been consid-

erably lower than that of males. At the beginning of that

period, in 1972, women earned $2,700 less than men, that

is, 82 percent of the male salaries; at the end of the period,

in 1979, women earned $4,300 less than men, or 84 percent

of the male salaries. The salary differentials throughout

in the proof of this case, it might have been possible to obtain and ana-

lyze the personnel records themselves as a basis for more accurate

determinations.

5 See Fisher, Multiple Repression in Legal Proceedings, 80

Colum. L. Rev. 702, 721-25 (1980).

* The best measure of the degree of explanation of movement of the

dependent variable by the model is known as R?. A value for R? of 1.0

represents total explanation; zero indicates no explanation.

7 See, e.g., Presseisen v. Swarthmore College, 442 F.Supp. 593

(E.D.Pa.1977), aff'd, 582 F.2d 1275 (3rd Cir. 1978); Agarwal v. McKee

and Co., 16 E.P.D. 4 8301 (N.D.Cal.1977); Wade v. Mississippi Coop-

erative Extension Service, 528 F.2d 508, 514 (5th Cir. 1976); Penn-

sylvania v. Local 542, Operating Engineers, 469 F.Supp. 329, ly»

E.P.D. € 9028 (E.D.Pa.1978); Finkelstein, The Judicial Reception of

Multiple Regression Studies in Race and Sex Discrimination Cases, 80

Column.L.Rev. 737 (1980); Note, Beyond the Prima Facie Case in

Employment Discrimination Law: Statistical Proof and Rebuttal, 89

Harv.L. Rev. 387 (1975); Fisher, supra note 5.

*® Plaintiffs’ principal expert was Mahlon R. Straszheim, Ph.D., a -

professor of economics at the University of Maryland. .

® The relative decrease in the percentage gap when compared to the

increase in the dollar gap is accounted for by inflation.

~~

44a

this period reflect the relative concentration of women in

NARDAC in the lower civil service grade levels. During

that period, women constituted about 20 percent of the

NARDAC labor force. They were consistently overrepre-

sented in the lower grades, with their share varying be-

tween 21 and 50 percent for GS-7 through GS-11 and be-

tween 42 and 100 percent for GS-5, and they were with

equal consistency underrepresented in the upper grades,

where they occupied between 3 and 10 percent of the jobs

at GS-14 and above. In the middle positions there also was

a contrast, although it was less stark. Women held approxi-

mately 24 percent of the GS-12 positions, and about 10 per-

cent of the GS-13 positions.

With these salary differentials clearly established, plain-

tiffs’ expert sought to determine next, on a year-by-year

basis between 1972 and 1979,'° whether the disparity could

be accounted for by differences between men and women in

education and experience,'! or whether it was more likely

to be attributable to sex discrimination. To accomplish this

analysis, the expert witness specified for regression a line-

ar model which included dummy variables for level of edu-

cation,!? years of NARDAC service, years of other govern-

ment employment service, years of _ potential

nongovernment experience between date of receipt of last

educational degree and date of entry in federal service, and

sex.!® The dependent variable was salary.

1° No regression was run for 1978.

1! Experience and education were largely determinative of salary at

NARDAC. In 1972, for example, each year of service at the agency

tended to increase the salary level by $1,209, each year of service at

other federal agencies by $194, and each year of “nonfederal service”

by $152. Employ «s with graduate degrees tended to receive $3,788

more than those with no college experience.

12 The 1979 regression model did not include education variables be-

cause education data were unavailable. Plaintiffs’ expert reported that

this alternative specification altered the magnitude of the sex coeffi-

cient only slightly and did not change the statistical significance of the

coefficient.

18 For a discussion of the problems surrounding the accuracy of the

experience and education factors used by plaintiffs, see Part III infra.

sn Sal

ss

45a

When prior experience and education were thus taken

into account, female employees still received substantially

lower salaries than men, the yearly differential attributable

to sex ranging from $2,200 to $3,500.'* Since there never

was any suggestion by the government that factors other

than education or experience could legitimately account for

the differences,'® the Court would clearly have been jus-

tified, absent some explanation, to draw the conclusion that

equa!ly qualified female employees of NARDAC consistent-

ly received lower salaries on the average than male employ-

ees and, accordingly, that they had been the victims of im-

proper discrimination.

II

The government’s answer to plaintiffs’ statistical case

was two-fold. It argues initially that various defects in the

analysis renders its ultimate conclusions unreliable and

that, inasmuch as plaintiffs have the burden of proof, this

unreliability demands that judgment be entered against

14 Women received $2,271 less than men in 1972, $2,189 less in 19738,

$3,437 less in 1974, $2,547 less in 1975, $2,885 less in 1976, $3,106 less

in 1977, and $3,109 less in 1979. These differences in salaries were sta-

tistically significant at the .01 level, that is, they would be expected to

arise by chance less than one percent of the time if there were no dis-

crimination based on sex. In each regression, all of the other variables

showed up as significant at the .01 level, with the exception of the

dummy variables for college. The R*’s, representing the explanatory

fit of the model overall range from .42 to .64. Plaintiffs’ expert also

performed several variant regressions, including running of the 1979

model using a population of employees hired only since 1972, when Ti-

tle VII became applicable to federal employees; running of the 1979

model using subpopulations categorized by agency origin within

NARDAC; and running of data for both 1977 and 1979 using a logarith-

mic, rather than a linear, equation. Each of these variants produced

statistically significant results which were wholly consistent with those

of the basic model. The expert finally offered evidence to show that

women were treated less favorably than men in grade level placement

in hiring and promotion decisions. Because this evidence merely

amounted to a repetition of evidence already built into the regression

conclusions, and was substantially less probative than the regression

analysis, the Court has not considered it on an independent basis. _

15 See note 11 supra; but see also 879-881 infra.

46a

them. Additionally, the government presented statistical

evidence through its own experts, arguing that, even if

plaintiffs’ statistical analysis were deemed to constitute a

prima facie case, that case was adequately rebutted by the

government’s statistical findings. The Court considers each

of these arguments in turn.

The government’s objections to the reliability of plain-

tiffs’ statistically-based conclusions may be summarized as

follows. First, it is claimed that plaintiffs’ expert improper-

ly permitted pre-1972 statistical evidence and evidence of

other agencies’ actions to intrude into his analyses. In this

regard, defendants assert that the inclusion of individuals

hired before 1972 (when Title VII was not applicable to fed-

eral employees) and of individuals who transferred from

other federal agencies (whose salaries were presumably al-

ready predetermined) would inappropriately subject the

defendants to liability for actions that either were not legal-

ly cognizable when they occurred or were attributable to

agencies other than NARDAC. Second, defendants argue

that plaintiffs’ expert failed to include in his analysis sever-

al relevant factors and that for this reason the coefficient

suggesting discrimination was biased. And third, it is con-

tended that the experience factor used by plaintiffs’ expert,

who included as experience the entire period between com-

pletion of education and hiring by the government, reflects

not so much actual experience as merely age.

A. Defendants’ objection to the failure of plaintiffs’ ex-

pert to eliminate all pre-1972 data is not as persuasive as

might appear at first blush. Although discriminatory con-

duct which occurred solely prior to March 24, 1972, is not

directly actionable in Title VII suits against the federal

government,'* it has been recognized that evidence of such

conduct can

in some circumstances support the inference that such

discrimination continued, particularly where relevant

16 Hazelwood School District.v. United States, 433 U.S. 299, 97

S.Ct. 2736, 53 L.Ed.2d 768 (1977).

47a

aspects of the decision-making process had undergone

little change.'?

Between 1967 and 1972, NARDAC engaged in a number

of practices which unfairly discriminated or had the strong

potential to discriminate against women—among them the

conducting of evaluations of employees on a subjective ba-

sis by male supervisors;'® the failure to advertise promo-

tion opportunities; and the preselection of male employees

for higher level positions by male supervisors. It is likely

that such discrimination before 1972, even if coupled with

neutral employment practices since then, produced actiona-

ble continuing discriminatory effects after 1972, particular-

ly since Civil Service regulations patterned after the so-

called Whitten Amendment (5 C.F.R. § 300.602 (1968);

P.L. 253, 82d Cong., Ist Sess. (1951)), constraimed the

maximum allowable rate of grade promotion.’® Under these

17 Hazelwood, supra, 433 U.S. at 309 n.15, 97 S.Ct. at 2742 n.15.

For example, on that basis, if promotion decisions within the period of

legal responsibility indicate an adverse impact on a protected group,

but there is too small a sample within that period on which to base a

finding of statistical significance, the data for earlier periods may be

aggregated with the information for more recent periods. See

Finkelstein, supra note 7, at 746; Vera v. Bethlehem Steel Corp., 448

F.Supp. 610, 615 (M.D.Pa. 1978); Parson v. Kaiser Aluminum and

Chemical Corp., 575 F.2d 1374, 1385, rehearing denied, 583 F.2d 132

(5th Cir. 1978); Patterson v. Youngstown Sheet and Tube Co., 440

F.Supp. 409, 411-13 (N.D.Ind. 1977).

18 All of the department and division heads and other management

officials at NARDAC (with the exception of one black male) were

white males. Of the approximately 215 to 220 project leaders, only 6

were women. See Rowe v.General Motors Corp., 457 F.2d 348, 358-59

(5th Cir. 1972); Ste. Marie v. Eastern Railroad Ass'n, 458 F.Supp.

1147, 1162 (S.D.N.Y.1978); Neely v. Grenada, 438 F.Supp. 390, 407-08

(N.D.Miss.1977); Stastny v. Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Co., 458

F.Supp. 314, 345-46 (W.D.N.C.1978); Kyriazi v. Western Electric Co.,

461 F.Supp. 894, 923 (D.N.J.1978).

1® The situation is analogous to the effect of racial discrimination by

labor unions that is succeeded by use of neutral seniority rules, or of

discriminatory voting registration practices followed by neutral, but

particularly arduous, requirements. In such cases, courts have not hes-

itated to hold that “freezing” the effects of prior discrimination is ac-

tionable. See, e.g., United States v. Jacksonville Terminal Co., 451

F.2d 418, 450-51 (5th Cir. 1971); Quarles v. Philip Morris, Inc., 279

48a

circumstances, it was appropriate for plaintiffs’ expert not

to exclude completely the effects of pre-1972 conditions.”°

With regard to defendants’ objection that plaintiffs in-

cluded employees who transferred from other agencies with

“predetermined grades and salaries,” NARDAC did not

make a convincing showing that it had no control over ini-

tial grade determinations.?! Although the agency was, of

course, entitled to attempt to demonstrate in its own statis-

ticel analysis that if grade placement decisions by other

agencies were excluded no vestige of discriminatory results

would remain, the Court could not appropriately dismiss

plaintiffs’ own analytical conclusion upon that basis. The

logical product of defendants’ theory would be a require-

ment that plaintiffs in Title VII cases must join as defend-

ants all government agencies from which any employees

ever transferred—a proposition which suggests that the

objection is not compelling.??

B. The other objections made by defendants to plaintiffs’

statistics essentially raise legal issues relating to the bur-

den of proof. Certainly, plaintiffs’ expert did not, in his

analysis, account for each of the factors that the govern-

ment suggests should have been considered. It is also true

that a model which incorporated additional potentially rele-

F.Supp. 505, 516 (E.D.Va.1968); United States v. Dogan, 314 F.2d

767, 772-73 (5th Cir. 1963).

20 No practical method of separating the effects of pre-1972 and

post-1972 discrimination in regression analysis was suggested by de-

fendants or is readily apparent. See Segar v. Civiletti, 508 F.Supp.

690, at 697 (D.D.C.1981). Plaintiffs did perform one regression includ-

ing solely employees hired after 1972 and found statistically significant

discrimination in salaries. That study, however, was not a suitable re-

placement for broader regressions, if only because its exclusion of

long-time employees precluded analysis of promotion practices in

higher grades.

21 See 885-886 infra, for a discussion of the issue regarding

NARDAC’s liability for initial grade determinations, which in signifi-

cant respect also applies to transferees.

22 A court recently dealt with the identical issue by assuming that,

in the absence of evidence to the contrary, transferor agencies and

transferee agencies discriminated equally. See Segar v. Civiletti,

supra, 508 F.Supp. at p. 699 n.4.

49a

vant factors (such as type or quality of education and expe-

rience) would form a more perfect foundation for determi-

nations regarding allegations of discrimination. However,

defendants have furnished no evidence that inclusion of the

missing variables or refinement of others would have al-

tered rejection of the hypothesis of no discrimination. In-

deed, they failed to offer any evidence indicating that type

of education and experience or quantity of experience per

age was distributed unequally among the women and men

in the NARDAC population.

To be sure, defendants did suggest that technical,

computer-related education and experience are not equally

distributed in the general population between men and

women,?* and they have also argued that women are more

likely than men to leave the labor force to raise children,

and, hence that on the average they possess less experience

per age than men. However, the generalities offered by lay

witnesses on these subjects are inadequate, by themselves,

to undermine plaintiffs’ analysis. Certainly, the Court

would not be justified in accepting mere sex stereotypes as

an adequate rebuttal. What was required in this circuin-

stance was substantial, expert supporting evidence keyed

to the population here involved, but such evidence was not

forthcoming. See Vuyanich v. Republic National Bank,

505 F. Supp. 224 (N.D.Tex. 1980).

C. Thus, the basic question is—have the plaintiffs satis-

fied their burden of proof by adducing the type of statistical

evidence that they did, or were they affirmatively and as

part of their own case required to do more?**

Under current law, a plaintiff has the burden of estab-

lishing a prima facie case of sex discrimination under Title

VII.** In class action litigation under that statute, statis-

*3 Census data were submitted in support of this proposition.

*4 In an ideal world, all of the necessary proof would be fully avail-

able, and the decision could then be said to be based on correctness to

a scientific and mathematical certainty. However, in an actual trial

context, the Court must, absent unusual circumstances, make its deci-

sion on the basis of what evidence has been presented.

*%8 Under McDonnell Douglas Corp. ». Green, 411 U.S. 792, 98 S.Ct.

1817, 36 L.Ed.2d 668 (1973), the plaintiff in » Title VII case has the

50a

tics often play an important role in both parties’ claims re-

garding the existence of discrimination.** Indeed, statistics

alone may suffice to establish a prima facie case.?7 As the

Supreme Court made it clear in Hazelwood School District

v. United States, supra, 433 U.S. at 307-08, 97 S.Ct. at

2741-42,

[w]here gross statistical disparties can be shown, they

alone may in a proper case constitute prima facie proof

of a pattern or practice of discrimination.”*

burden of establishing a prima facie case; the defendant may then re-

but the prima facie case by demonstrating legitimate business reasons

for the apparent discrimination, and olainttt may then attempt to

show that the reasons given amount to a pretext. See Texas Depart-

ment of Community Affairs v. Burdine, —. U.S. —_, 101 S.Ct.

1089, 67 L.Ed.2d 207 (1981).

26 See International Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States, 431

U.S. 324, 339, 97 S.Ct. 1843, 1856, 52 L.Ed.2d 396 (1977).

27 Castaneda v. Partida, 430 U.S. 482, 97 S.Ct. 1272, 51 L.Ed.2d

498 (1977); United States v. International Union of Elevator Con-

structors, Local No. 5, 538 F.2d 1012, 1015 n.6 (3rd Cir. 1976); Wetzel

v. Liberty Mutual Insurance Co., 508 F.2d 239, 259 (3rd Cir. 1975);

Davis v. Califano, 613 F.2d 957 (D.C. Cir. 1979).

2® Where racial or sex-based disparities are particularly gross, plain-

tiffs have often relied on mere percentage differentials between the

work force and the general population to base a claim of discrimination

(see B. Schlei and P. Grossman, Employment crimination Law,

332 nn.80-82 (1979 Supp.), although, as the Supreme Court pointed out

in Hazelwood, supra, 433 U.S. at 308 n. 13, 97 S.Ct. at 2742 n. 13,

such comparisons are only highly probative when skills required for

the job are ones “that many persons possess or can fairly readily ac-

quire.” Some courts have also allowed such data to be used for skilled

>=. bre

—S - 2

é

5la

As indicated, parties in complicated Title VII actions are

increasingly using multiple regression analysis, such as that

conducted in the instant case, to separate the phenomenon

of discrimination from a myriad of innocent interacting fac-

tors.2® While such analysis can assist significantly in mak-

ing the refined and sophisticated judgments required,*° it

would be erroneous to impose upon the party relying upon

this technique the burden of incorporating every conceiva-

ble refinement and disproving every contingency. As Pro-

fessor Finkelstein has pointed out,**

[iJn criticizing models it is possible to speculate end-

lessly that different data, forms of equation, or explan-

atory variables would yield significantly different and

superior results. Compelling definite calculations will

bring such easy speculation down to earth,*?

In the case at hand, plaintiffs used regression analysis to

attempt to eliminate such possible explanations for the sala-

2° “Multiple regression is well suited to [distinguish sex discrimina-

tion from differences in qualifications such as education and experi-

ence] fairly precisely. Moreover, without a multiple regression study it

is difficult to see how it could be decided. The raw comparison of aver-

age wages for women and for men may make one suspicious, but it can-

not tell one anything definite.” Fisher, supra note 5, at 721.

* The Court does not interpret Movement fur Opportunity v. Gen-

eral Motors Corp., 622 F.2d 1235 (7th Cir. 1980), which is heavily

relied upon by defendants, to the contrary. In that case, in which the

court found defendants’ work force “flow” statistics more probative on

the issue of discrimination than plaintiffs’ statistics, plaintiffs merely

compared work force percentages with potential work force composi-

tion figures and did not perform any regression analysis. On the basis

of that evidence, moreover, the court held that plaintiffs had made a

prima facie showing, albeit one that defendants adequately rebutted.

* Finkelstein, Regression Models in Administrative Proceedings, 86

Harv.L. Rev. 1442, 1466 (1973).

% Judge Robinson of this Court recently adopted this same position

in Segar v. Civiletti, supra, when he held, at p. 712, that

(w)hen a plaintiff submits accurate statistical data, and a defend-

ant alleges hat relevant variables are excluded, defendant

must qlitee seneth plaintiff's ey ce oe the

omitted factors or present other proof plaintiff's

52a

ry differentials as educational and experience factors. They

succeeded in doing so to a substantial extent. The govern-

ment argues, in essence, that because plaintiffs did not re-

fine the variables in their regression to an absolute degree,

they failed in meeting the required burden of proof. The

Court declines to impose upon Title VII plaintiffs so im-

practical a requirement.

This conclusion is especially compelling when, as here,

the deficiencies in plaintiffs’ statistical proof may to a sub-

stantial extent be attributed to the defendants. In the

course of discovery, plaintiffs requested NARDAC’s com-

puterized personnel records describing employees’ grade,

salary, promotion, training, job performance, education,

and prior employment experience, among other informa-

tion. Defendants replied that much of the information was

unavailable, and they furnished instead a coniputer tape

which provided only the data used by plaintiffs’ expert in

preparing his statistical analysis. To be sure, plaintiffs’ re-

quest was made relatively late in the history of this long-

pending litigation. Nevertheless, plaintiffs cannot legiti-

mately be faulted for gaps in their statistical analysis when

the information necessary to close those gaps was pos-

sessed only by defendants and was not furnished either to

plaintiffs or to the Court.**

D. Defendants rely to the contrary principally upon two

eases in which courts have criticized regression analyses.

In Agarwal v. McKee and Co., 16 E.P.D. 4 8301 (N.D.

Cal. 1977), the plaintiffs sought to support their claims of

racial discrimination with a multiple regression, but the

Court refused to credit the findings of discrimination, citing

that their failure to include variables representing types of

education and types of experience. In the view of that

court, regressions which aggregate individuals of all posi-

33 See Donnell v. General Motors Corp., 576 F.2d 1292, 1297 (8th

Cir. 1978); Dickerson v. United States Steel Corp., 439 F.Supp. 55, 80

n. 27 (E.D.Pa.1977), rev'd on other grounds, 582 F.2d 827 (8rd Cir.

1978). One clear purpose of discrimination law is to foree employers to

bring their employment processes into the open. See Note, Employ-

ment Testing: The Aftermath of Griggs v. Duke Power Company, 72

Col. L. Rev. 900, 908 (1972).

53a

tions, and which treat “all job positions as fungible, involv-

ing equal levels of knowledge, skill and responsibility” are

invalid. 16 E.P.D. at 5581. In the instant case, all members

of the class are professional technical employees with gen-

erally similar job skills, and it is not at all clear that the

Agarwal ruling would be pertinent here.** In any event,

the Court does not agree with the view that an aggregation

across job lines necessarily destroys the probative value of

regressions. Absent a demonstration that such an aggrega-

tion imports a bias into the conclusions, the methodology is

not inappropriate. Indeed, as is discussed in more detail be-

low, the technique is superior to methods which entail a

fragmentation into populations so small that statistical

analysis loses much of its power to find any discrimina-

tion.*5 To the extent that Agarwal may be read as sug-

gesting that type and quality of education and experience

must always be included in a valid statistical model pro-

posed by a Title VII plaintiff, it appears to be simply wrong

and has for that reason been justly criticized. In the words

of Professor Finkelstein,

The failure to code type or quality of prior experience

or education should more properly fall on the employer

than on the plaintiff, since such coding would be rele-

vant only to the extent the employer could demon-

*% A position similar to that taken by the court in Agarwal was also

expressed in a recent decision of Judge Gasch of this District. See

Valentino v. United States Postal Service, 511 F.Supp. 917 at 957

(D.D.C.1981). Defendants’ reliance upon that case in this context is

likewise misplaced, and for similar reasons. The class in that action in-

cluded “economists, computer experts, business managers, personnel-

ists, engineers. statisticians, lawyers, accountants, and secretaries.”

At p. 940. The instant case, of course, involves no such aggregation of

disparate occupations.

%* Defendants’ response to plaintiffs’ expert’s objection to the aggre-

gation by year only in defendants’ promotion analysis was that the

most accurate analysis would have been to disaggregate by each sepa-

rate promotion decision. See Defendants’ Post-Trial Brief Regarding

Statistics pp. 10-11 n. 4. Although defendants are correct that no inac-

curacies are introduced by such disaggregation, it is also true that no

comparative information is generated until individual cases are aggre-

gated. The cost of following defendants’ suggestion seems inordinately

high.

54a

strate that differences in type of education or prior

employment experience were vaiidly related to the re-

quirements of the job.**

In Presseisen v. Swarthmore College, 442 F. Supp. 593

(E.D.Pa. 1977), aff'd, 582 F.2d 1275 (3rd Cir. 1978), both

parties conducted sophisticated regression studies to but-

tress their contentions regarding the practice of sex dis-

crimination in faculty employment decisions. The court in

that case found that neither side had adequately supported

its own regression analysis, and in that posture it saw only

two basic alternatives: to ignore both sets of statistical

analysis or to consider both studies as if they suffered no

defects. After concluding that it did “not believe that the

statistics give rise to any inference whatsoever,” it held

that plaintiffs had not made out a prima facie case. That

conclusion, however, must be viewed in the peculiar con-

text in which it arose. The action was brought by faculty

members at a liberal arts college, and the court’s decision

necessarily was colored by the fact that it is difficult to

quantify and thus to incorporate into a regression analysis

such factors as scholarship, teaching ability, and the like,

which play a predominant role in employment decisions at

such an institution.*’ The instant case does not to the same

degree involve factors of such elusiveness. Moreover, de-

fendants here did not offer their own regressions to correct

the deficiencies they complained of in plaintiffs’ analysis.**

For the reasons stated, the Court rejects the various ob-

jections proffered by the government and it concludes that,

based upon the statistics, plaintiffs have established a

prima facie case of sex discrimination in initial grade place-

% Finkelstein, Judicial Reception, supra note 7, at p. 744. It may be

noted, too, that the court did not hold that the plaintiffs had failed to

meet their burden of proof but merely that they did not adequately re-

fute defendant’s presentation of legitimate nondiscriminatory reasons

for its conduct.

37 See also, Marimont v. Califano, 464 F.Supp. 1220, 1227 (D.D.C.

1979); Finkelstein, supra note 7, at p. 744.

%® See 886-887 infra, for a discussion of the regressions defendants

did conduct.

55a

ment and promotion against the class of professional techni-

cal women employed at NARDAC.

Ill

To rebut this prima facie case, the government, through

its experts,®® introduced its own statistical evidence. This

evidence, based essentially upon the same data as that used

by plaintiffs, consisted of a so-called cohort analysis and

various independent regressions.”

A. The cohort analysis examined the flow of male and fe-

male employees of the same grade level through

NARDAC’s premotional system. The experts divided the

work force into groups by the year in which the employees

joined the agency and the GS grade at which they entered.

The promotion experiences of each of these groups or “co-

horts” over time were examined to compare the relative

progress of men and women. On the basis of this analysis,

the government’s experts concluded that NARDAC’s pro-

motion system had not had any disportionately adverse im-

pact on female employees.

Although defendants’ statistics did support that conclu-

sion, several defects inherent in their use of the statistics

severely mitigate its force.*!

First and foremost, the-cohort analysis necessarily divid-

ed the population under examination into extremely small

segments or groups.*? As population size decreases, a dis-

3® Defendants’ experts were Peter Lewin, Ph.D., assistant professor

of economics, University of Texas at Dallas; and Robert R. Hill,

Ph.D., assistant professor, Texas A&M University.

“ Defendants also offered a promotion analysis to refute allegations

of discriminatory promotion practices. However, because this analysis

suffers from a number of the same defects that limit the probative

value of defendants’ other statistical analysis (such as excessive disag-

gregation and inability to reflect discrimination in hiring, see infra)

and is inherently less probative than regression analysis (see pp.

877-878, 882 supra), it does not significantly assist defendants.

*' In a similar situation, it has been said of cohort analysis (Segar v.

Civiletti, supra, at p. 712), that it “was irreparably flawed ... and is

devoid of probative value.”

“2 For example, many of the cohorts contain only two, three, or four

employees.

56a

parity must be increasingly large to be statistically signifi-

cant, for the division of observations into small groups nec-

essarily reduces the detectable level of significance. See Jn-

ternational Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States,

supra, 431 U.S. at 340, 97 S.Ct. at 1856; Mayor of

Philadelphia v. Educational Equality League, 415 U.S.

605, 620-21, 94 S.Ct. 1323, 1333-34, 39 L.Ed.2d 630 (1974);

Beyond the Prima Facie Case in Employment Discrimina-

tion Law: Statistical Proof and Rebuttal, 89 Harv. L.Rev.

387, 417-18 (1975). The failure of the government’s analysis

to reject, in many instances, the hypothesis of

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