Amicus Curiae Brief — Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc., et al., Petitioners v. County Commissioners of Boulder County, et al.
Supreme Court briefMay 20, 2026
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No. 25-170
In the Supreme Court of the United States
_________
S UNCOR E NERGY (U.S.A.) I NC., ET AL .,
Petitioners,
v.
COUNTY C OMMISSIONERS
OF B OULDER C OUNTY , ET AL .,
Respondents.
_________
On Writ Of Certiorari
To The Supreme Court Of Colorado
_________
BRIEF AMICUS CURIAE OF PACIFIC
LEGAL FOUNDATION IN SUPPORT
OF PETITIONERS AND REVERSAL
_________
FRANK D. G ARRISON
Counsel of Record
TYLER FRY
Pacific Legal Foundation
3100 Clarendon Blvd.,
Suite 1000
Arlington, VA 22201
202.888.6881
fgarrison@pacificlegal.org
Counsel for Amicus Curiae Pacific Legal Foundation
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Identity and interest of amicus curiae ....................... 1
Introduction and summary of argument ................... 1
Argument .................................................................... 4
I. The Due Process Clause incorporates
common-law causation requirements.............. 4
II. Respondents’ claims fail each requirement
due process imposes ....................................... 11
A. Respondents’ multi-step causal chain
cannot satisfy the foreseeability
requirement .............................................. 12
B. Respondents’ causal chain also fails the
directness and immediacy requirement... 13
C. Aggregate and statistical causation
theories violate the individualized
proof requirements that due process
demands .................................................... 15
D. Respondents’ disproportionate, retroactive,
and punitive damages claims for lawful,
federally authorized conduct independently
violate due process .................................... 17
III. Respondents’ theory would devastate
domestic energy production and undermine
individual economic liberty ............................ 23
Conclusion ................................................................. 26
ii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Cases:
Am. Elec. Power Co. v. Connecticut,
564 U.S. 410 (2011) ................................. 16, 23, 25
Associated Gen. Contractors of Cal., Inc.
v. Cal. State Council of Carpenters,
459 U.S. 519 (1983) ...................................... 7-8, 10
BMW of North America, Inc. v. Gore,
517 U.S. 559 (1996) .............................. 4, 11, 17-19
Bolling v. Sharpe,
347 U.S. 497 (1954) ............................................... 4
Burrage v. United States,
571 U.S. 204 (2014) ......................................... 6, 15
Den ex dem. Murray v. Hoboken Land &
Improvement Co.,
59 U.S. (18 How.) 272 (1855) ............................ 3, 5
Eastern Enterprises v. Apfel,
524 U.S. 498 (1998) .................................... 4, 20-22
Exxon Co., U.S.A. v. Sofec, Inc.,
517 U.S. 830 (1996) ............................................. 10
General Motors Corp. v. Romein,
503 U.S. 181 (1992) ............................................. 20
Gross v. FBL Financial Services, Inc.,
557 U.S. 167 (2009) ............................................. 15
Hamilton v. Beretta U.S.A. Corp.,
96 N.Y.2d 222 (2001) ........................................... 22
Hemi Group, LLC v. City of New York,
559 U.S. 1 (2010) ................................................... 9
Holmes v. Sec. Inv. Prot. Corp.,
503 U.S. 258 (1992) .................................. 3, 6-9, 13
Jefferson v. Lead Indus. Ass’n, Inc.,
106 F.3d 1245 (5th Cir. 1997) ........................ 22-23
iii
Juliana v. United States,
947 F.3d 1159 (9th Cir. 2020) ................. 17, 23, 25
Lexmark International, Inc. v. Static
Control Components, Inc.,
572 U.S. 118 (2014) ............................................... 8
Palsgraf v. Long Island R.R. Co.,
248 N.Y. 339 (1928) ............................................... 8
Rapanos v. United States,
547 U.S. 715 (2006) ............................................... 1
Sackett v. EPA,
598 U.S. 651 (2023) ............................................... 1
Santiago v. Sherwin Williams Co.,
3 F.3d 546 (1st Cir. 1993) .................................... 22
Schaffer ex rel. Schaffer v. Weast,
546 U.S. 49 (2005) ............................................... 15
Sindell v. Abbott Laboratories,
26 Cal. 3d 588 (1980) ........................................... 22
State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co. v. Campbell,
538 U.S. 408 (2003) .................................. 11, 18-20
Washington Env’t Council v. Bellon,
732 F.3d 1131 (9th Cir. 2013) .................. 12, 14-16
Weyerhaeuser Co. v. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Serv.,
586 U.S. 9 (2018) ................................................... 1
Other Authorities:
Adler, Jonathan H., Standing in the Hot Seat:
Climate Change Litigation, 8 Engage: J.
Federalist Soc’y Prac. Groups No. 1 (2007) ........ 21
Adler, Jonathan H., Warming Up to Climate
Change Litigation, 3 Va. L. Rev. 63 (2007) ... 16-17
Bacon, Francis, The Elements of the Common
Lawes of England (1630) ................................... 5, 9
iv
1 Blackstone, William, Commentaries on the
Laws of England (1765) ........................................ 5
Chapman, Nathan S. & McConnell, Michael W.,
Due Process as Separation of Powers,
121 Yale L.J. 1672 (2012) ...................................... 5
Inst. for Energy Research, Supreme Court Will
Hear a Climate Case Against Oil Companies
(Feb. 25, 2026) ..................................................... 25
Reid, John Phillip, Constitutional History of the
American Revolution (1995) .................................. 5
Robertson, Cassandra Burke & Rhodes, Charles W.
“Rocky”, Causation’s Due Process Dimensions,
13 Tex. A&M L. Rev. 295 (2025) ........................ 2-3
Viscusi, W. Kip, The Dimensions of the
Product Liability Crisis,
20 J. Legal Stud. 147 (1991) ............................... 24
Wharton, Francis, A Treatise on the Law of
Negligence (2d ed. 1878) ........................................ 6
White, Michelle J., Asbestos and the Future of
Mass Torts, 18 J. Econ. Persp. 183 (2004) .......... 24
IDENTITY AND INTEREST
OF AMICUS CURIAE1
Founded in 1973, Pacific Legal Foundation (PLF)
is a nonprofit, tax-exempt corporation organized under the laws of the state of California for the purpose
of engaging in litigation matters affecting the public
interest. PLF provides a voice for Americans who believe in limited government, private property rights,
and individual freedom.
In furtherance of this mission, PLF attorneys have
participated as lead counsel in several cases involving
environmental regulation, administrative law, and
property rights, including: Sackett v. EPA, 598 U.S.
651 (2023); Weyerhaeuser Co. v. U.S. Fish & Wildlife
Service, 586 U.S. 9 (2018); and Rapanos v. United
States, 547 U.S. 715 (2006). PLF’s Environment and
Natural Resources Practice Group works to remove
government barriers that prevent individuals from
unlocking America’s vast natural resources potential,
advancing America’s energy development free of unreasonable government restrictions, and using natural resources productively.
INTRODUCTION
AND SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT
Respondents City of Boulder and Boulder County
ask this Court to allow a lawsuit to proceed against
two private energy companies in state court for the
full costs of climate change in Colorado—wildfires,
floods, drought, and whatever else may follow—with
Amicus curiae states that no counsel for any party authored
this brief in whole or in part and that no entity or person other
than PLF and its counsel made any monetary contribution
toward the preparation or submission of this brief.
1
2
no ceiling on damages and no meaningful limit on retroactive liability. Indeed, Respondents’ theory is
breathtakingly expansive: that because Petitioners
produced and sold fossil fuels, they should be liable in
state court for natural disasters that cannot be directly traced to them. That theory is not simply wrong
as a matter of tort law but threatens to serve as a blueprint for dismantling America’s domestic energy sector through litigation. If accepted, every oil and gas
producer, refiner, and distributor in the country faces
the same exposure—enormous retroactive liability for
unproven damages—in every jurisdiction where a
weather event has caused municipal costs. The upshot is that the energy investment, production, and
innovation on which Americans depend for economic
opportunity, affordable power, and individual liberty
would be suppressed through the accumulated weight
of adverse state court judgments.
While this brief supports Petitioners in reversal, it
addresses an independent constitutional defect that is
inherent in Respondents’ theory.2 The Constitution’s
prohibition on the deprivation of life, liberty, or property without due process of law was designed to prevent exactly this kind of arbitrary, unbounded liability. See Cassandra Burke Robertson & Charles W.
“Rocky” Rhodes, Causation’s Due Process Dimensions,
13 Tex. A&M L. Rev. 295, 300-01 (2025) (explaining
Amicus agrees with Petitioners that, if the federal
government has constitutional authority to regulate greenhousegas emissions and their effects on the global climate, the
structure of the Constitution forecloses Respondents’ state-law
claims for the reasons Petitioners give. See Brief for the
Petitioners 21-43. The due process barrier addressed here
operates independently of that antecedent question.
2
3
that due process limits prevent tort law “from becoming a subterfuge for redistributing wealth . . . in the
absence of any connection between [a defendant’s]
conduct and [a plaintiff’s] harm,” consistent with the
Clause’s traditional role “in ensuring and protecting
fundamental fairness, fair notice, and inalienable
rights”).
And as this Court has explained, what constitutes
“due process” in part depends on “settled usages and
modes of proceeding existing in the common and statute law of England.” See Den ex dem. Murray v. Hoboken Land & Improvement Co., 59 U.S. (18 How.)
272, 277 (1855). Since before the Founding, the AngloAmerican legal tradition has consistently held that
tort liability requires a direct, foreseeable, and proportionate connection between a specific defendant’s conduct and a specific plaintiff’s harm. See Holmes v. Sec.
Inv. Prot. Corp., 503 U.S. 258, 268-69 (1992) (legal
causation requires “some direct relation between the
injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged,”
and harm “flowing merely from the misfortunes visited upon a third person” is too remote to support liability).
Respondents’ lengthy causal chain—running from
individual production decisions, through global atmospheric systems, through independent weather
events, to specific municipal costs—cannot satisfy
that standard. As Petitioners explain, Respondents’
claims necessarily implicate the emissions of “countless other sources worldwide” and rest on greenhouse
gases that “mixed with other molecules of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere from other human and natural causes.” Brief for the Petitioners 2, 35-37. No
4
court can, for example, determine what, if any, fraction of Colorado floods is attributable to an energy
company’s production decisions spanning decades.
Foundationally, Respondents’ claims fail on due
process grounds independent of questions this Court
granted certiorari to address. The core defect is causation: Respondents’ multi-step theory cannot satisfy
the foreseeability and directness requirements that
due process demands. And that flaw does not stay
contained. Once a plaintiff is permitted to recover
without proving that a specific defendant’s conduct
caused a specific harm, the remaining constitutional
limits on tort liability unravel with it. Punitive and
retroactive damages lose the proportionality and fairnotice moorings this Court enforced in BMW of North
America, Inc. v. Gore, 517 U.S. 559 (1996), and Eastern Enterprises v. Apfel, 524 U.S. 498 (1998). One constitutional defect breeds others—each compounding
the arbitrary deprivation of property the Due Process
Clause was designed to forbid.
ARGUMENT
I.
The Due Process Clause Incorporates
Common-Law Causation Requirements
The Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment
was understood by the founding generation to incorporate the substantive protections embedded in the
English common-law tradition—protections that the
Fourteenth Amendment equally guarantees against
deprivations by state actors and in state-court proceedings. See Bolling v. Sharpe, 347 U.S. 497, 499500 (1954) (holding that the Fifth Amendment’s Due
Process Clause imposes the same prohibition on the
federal government that the Fourteenth Amendment
5
imposes on the states—and that the two clauses must
be read to guarantee equivalent protections). These
protections include settled principles of the common
law that ensured that liability was imposed only
through fair, reliable, and nonarbitrary means. Murray, 59 U.S. at 277.
Heavily influenced by the writings of Sir William
Blackstone and Sir Francis Bacon, the common law
instructed that legal liability required a necessary
connection between an act and its consequence. See 1
William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of
England, 84 (1765) (“So great . . . is the regard of the
law for private property, that it will not authorize the
least violation of it; no, not even for the general good
of the whole community.”).3 These principles required
that legal consequences flow directly and foreseeably
from individual conduct, establishing the causation
requirements that became engrained in American due
process jurisprudence. See Francis Bacon, The Elements of the Common Lawes of England (1630) (“it
were infinite for the law to judge the causes of causes,
and their impulsions one of another; therefore it content itself with the immediate cause”).
While this Court has not squarely held as much, its
due process jurisprudence reflects that causation is
not merely a policy choice, but a constitutional constraint rooted in the common-law tradition that due
process preserves. Because due process incorporates
See also John Phillip Reid, Constitutional History of the
American Revolution 89-92 (1995) (discussing founding-era
understanding of “law of the land”). See also Nathan S.
Chapman & Michael W. McConnell, Due Process as Separation
of Powers, 121 Yale L.J. 1672, 1683-1715 (2012) (tracing due
process to English constitutional tradition).
3
6
those settled common law usages, the causation requirements embedded in that tradition carry constitutional force—they are not merely policy considerations
courts may set aside when convenient. Burrage v.
United States, 571 U.S. 204, 210-11, 214 (2014) (recognizing but-for causation as a “background principle[]” of the legal tradition that courts presume Congress legislates against, confirming that individualized causation is fundamental to our legal system);
Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268 (reflecting the same tradition
in holding that legal liability demands “some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
conduct alleged”). The Court also has rejected “contributing cause” theories that would impose liability
based merely on incremental contributions to a harm,
holding instead that legal causation demands a direct
causal link. Burrage, 571 U.S. at 218-19.
These principles show that causation requirements
have typically limited legal liability to foreseeable,
proximate consequences of individual conduct. 4 The
decisions discussed above—Burrage, Holmes, and
their predecessors—primarily arise in statutory interpretation contexts, where this Court has presumed
that Congress legislates against common-law background principles including individualized causation.
They are not due process holdings on their face. But
the constitutional argument does not depend on characterizing them as such. Those decisions establish
that causation requirements are fundamental to the
Anglo-American legal tradition and that courts presume against their displacement. These cases show
See Francis Wharton, A Treatise on the Law of Negligence 11
(2d ed. 1878) (negligent injuries are those where the actor “may
foresee a probable danger”).
4
7
what the founding era understanding assumed: that
due process forbids imposing liability based on speculative, attenuated, or aggregate theories of causation
untethered from an individual defendant’s conduct.
See Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268 (“[T]he notion of proximate cause reflects ‘ideas of what justice demands
. . . .’ Accordingly, among the many shapes this concept took at common law was a demand for some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged.” (citations omitted)).
As discussed below, due process imposes distinct
but related causation requirements that Respondents’
claims cannot satisfy. First, harm must be foreseeable: a defendant can be held liable only for consequences within the reasonable range of apprehension
at the time of the allegedly wrongful conduct. Second,
the causal connection must be direct: the defendant’s
conduct must be the immediate, rather than the attenuated or remote, cause of the plaintiff’s injury.
Third, causation must be individualized: due process
bars liability based on aggregate or statistical theories
that substitute aggregated industry activity for proof
that a specific defendant’s specific conduct caused a
specific plaintiff’s specific harm. Fourth, legal consequences must be proportionate to individual conduct.
The foreseeability requirement is essential in protecting individual liberty and enabling economic activity: it ensures that defendants can anticipate potential liability and adjust their conduct accordingly, and
it prevents unlimited expansion of liability theories
that would make productive activity economically unfeasible. As this Court has recognized, without foreseeability limits, “the judicial remedy cannot encompass every conceivable harm that can be traced to alleged wrongdoing.” Associated Gen. Contractors of
8
Cal., Inc. v. Cal. State Council of Carpenters, 459 U.S.
519, 536 (1983).
The foreseeability requirement has deep roots in
common-law tradition. Chief Judge Cardozo’s opinion
in Palsgraf v. Long Island R.R. Co., 248 N.Y. 339, 344
(1928), famously illustrates that liability extends only
to those “within the range of apprehension.” The opinion articulates the principle that defendants cannot be
held liable for consequences they could not reasonably
foresee: “The risk reasonably to be perceived defines
the duty to be obeyed.” Ibid. Likewise, this Court has
consistently applied these foreseeability principles to
constitutional and statutory liability. In Holmes, 503
U.S. at 268, the Court required “some direct relation
between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct
alleged.” Most importantly, the Court emphasized
that “a plaintiff who complained of harm flowing
merely from the misfortunes visited upon a third person by the defendant’s acts was generally said to stand
at too remote a distance to recover.” Id. at 268-69.
This “third person” language is critical: when harm
flows through the independent decisions and actions
of intervening parties rather than directly from the
defendant to the plaintiff, foreseeability disappears.
Lexmark International, Inc. v. Static Control Components, Inc., 572 U.S. 118, 132-33 (2014), further confirms that proximate cause “generally bars suits for
alleged harm that is ‘too remote’ from the defendant’s
unlawful conduct” and that remoteness exists when
“the harm is purely derivative of ‘misfortunes visited
upon a third person by the defendant’s acts.’” (quoting
Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268). Even where the ultimate
harm is foreseeable in some general sense, the insertion of intervening parties breaks the chain of proximate causation. Id. at 133-34 (quoting Holmes, 503
9
U.S. at 268-69). The presence of an intermediate
step—harm to a third party that then causes plaintiff’s injury, renders the causation too attenuated. In
other words, the Court rejected causation theories
where harm flows through a butterfly chain.
This principle applies with particular force where
multiple intervening steps involve independent actors
making autonomous decisions. In Hemi Group, LLC
v. City of New York, 559 U.S. 1, 10-11 (2010), the Court
rejected a RICO claim where the causal chain required: (1) defendant’s failure to report cigarette
sales; (2) the state’s inability to collect information;
(3) the state’s failure to provide information to the
city; (4) customers’ decisions not to pay city taxes; and
(5) the city’s resulting revenue loss. The Court held
this chain too attenuated because the “theory of liability rests on the independent actions of third parties
and even fourth parties.” Id. at 15. The key principle
from Hemi is that when the causal chain requires independent decisions by actors not controlled by the defendant, foreseeability evaporates—even if the general outcome might have been predictable. These requirements—that harm be foreseeable, that causation
be direct, and that liability does not flow through the
autonomous choices of third parties—apply with full
constitutional force to Respondents’ claims, as Part II
demonstrates.
Independent of foreseeability, traditional commonlaw principles require direct and immediate causal
connection between defendant’s conduct and plaintiff’s harm, along with proportionate responses to individual conduct. As Lord Francis Bacon observed,
“judgeth of acts by that, without looking to any further
degree.” Bacon, The Elements of the Common Lawes
of England, supra. This directness requirement also
10
prevents liability based on attenuated chains involving multiple actors and complex multilayered interactions precisely like those implicated by Respondents’
claims.
This Court has applied directness requirements to
protect constitutional due process in complex causation scenarios. In Associated General Contractors, 459
U.S. at 532-33, the Court emphasized that well accepted common-law doctrines such as “foreseeability
and proximate cause, directness of injury, [and] certainty of damages,” were “well-accepted common-law
rules.” (footnotes omitted). Further, the intervening
causes doctrine, fundamental to due process causation
requirements, prohibits liability when “‘an intervening force supersedes prior negligence’ and thus breaks
the chain of proximate causation required to impose
liability on the original actor.” Exxon Co., U.S.A. v.
Sofec, Inc., 517 U.S. 830, 835 (1996). This directness
requirement is essential for maintaining the constitutional boundaries on legal liability that protect individual economic freedom. The intervening causes that
saturate Respondents’ causal chain—the emissions of
other nations, natural atmospheric variability, and independent land-use decisions—are precisely the kind
of independent forces that sever directness and bar liability under these principles.
The third requirement is individualization. The
Due Process Clause protects individual rights against
collective liability theories that abandon traditional
requirements for individualized proof of causation.
This individualization requirement is the constitutional guarantee that private parties will not be held
responsible for harms they did not individually and
demonstrably cause. Respondents’ reliance on aggre-
11
gate and statistical causation violates these constitutional protections because it would subject private
parties to liability based on collective activities rather
than specific individual conduct. Respondents themselves have admitted that their claims are “based in
part on ‘fossil fuel use by non-parties and the resulting
emissions.’” Brief for the Petitioners at 35 (quoting
Respondents’ own submissions below). The constitutional causation problem is thus self-evident from the
face of the claims.
Finally, the legal consequences must be proportionate, and not punitive. Legal consequences must bear
a reasonable relationship to a defendant’s identified
individual conduct and the harm it actually caused.
This Court has recognized this as a constitutional
command: the Due Process Clause “prohibits the imposition of grossly excessive or arbitrary punishments
on a tortfeasor.” State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co. v.
Campbell, 538 U.S. 408, 416 (2003); see also Gore, 517
U.S. at 574-75. Proportionality also requires fair notice—defendants must be able to anticipate from existing legal frameworks what conduct may expose
them to liability and the severity of that liability.
Gore, 517 U.S. at 574. These requirements apply to
any legal consequence, compensatory or punitive, that
deprives a private party of property without the individualized causal foundation due process demands.
II.
Respondents’ Claims Fail Each Requirement Due Process Imposes
The constitutional requirements established in
Part I—foreseeability, directness, individualized causation, and proportionality—are not satisfied by Re-
12
spondents’ claims. Each of the liability theories Respondents advance thus independently violates due
process.
A. Respondents’ Multi-Step Causal Chain
Cannot Satisfy the Foreseeability Requirement
Respondents’ theory requires a court to find:
(1) that the Companies’ specific production and marketing decisions (2) contributed some incremental
fraction to global greenhouse gas concentrations
(3) that in turn shifted global climate systems (4) that
in turn worsened specific weather events in Colorado
(5) that in turn caused quantifiable municipal infrastructure costs. Connecting each of these steps is the
emissions of hundreds of nations, natural climate variability, decades of compounding atmospheric physics,
and countless independent third-party decisions. See
Washington Env’t Council v. Bellon, 732 F.3d 1131,
1143-44 (9th Cir. 2013) (finding the causal chain between specific emissions sources and climate-related
injuries “too tenuous” where impacts are “scientifically indiscernible”). This multi-step chain involving
“third persons” (such as energy producers and global
emitters) whose independent decisions break any connection is precisely the type of “remote” causation
Holmes held insufficient. Because Respondent cannot
tie a foreseeable chain of actions to harm, instead relying on speculative chains involving countless intervening actors, its claims fail the standard Holmes reflects—and that the Due Process Clause, through its
incorporation of common-law causation tradition,
makes constitutionally required.
Indeed, climate change represents precisely the
type of unforeseeable consequence that traditional
13
causation doctrine, as illustrated in Palsgraf, was designed to exclude from legal liability. The distinction
between general scientific knowledge and specific legal foreseeability is crucial for protecting individual
liberty through predictable legal standards. While the
companies may understand that fossil fuel use contributes to global emissions, this general knowledge
does not create the specific, individualized foreseeability that due process requires for legal liability. See
Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268 (foreseeability requires “some
direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged”).
No private energy company could reasonably have
foreseen, at the time of any specific production decision, that it would bear legal responsibility for a particular municipal flood-damage cost decades later.
Abandoning foreseeability requirements for climate
cases would destroy the constitutional protections
that enable energy innovation and development. Energy producers and individual Americans making energy-related decisions would face unlimited liability
for global phenomena beyond their control or reasonable anticipation. This outcome would violate the due
process principles designed to protect individual liberty through predictable legal frameworks.
B. Respondents’ Causal Chain Also Fails
the Directness and Immediacy Requirement
Independent of foreseeability, Respondents’ multistep causal chain cannot satisfy the directness requirement that Part I establishes as a separate and
independently sufficient constitutional bar.
The Companies’ production activities do not directly cause floods or wildfires in Boulder. At most,
14
they—along with a multitude of other actors—may
contribute to a global concentration of greenhouse
gases which interact with atmospheric systems over
decades to alter regional climate patterns, which may
affect weather events, which may cause municipal
costs. See, e.g., Washington Env’t Council, 732 F.3d at
1143-44 (holding the causal chain between local agencies’ failure to regulate five oil refineries and plaintiffs’ climate-change related injuries was “too tenuous” because the refineries had a “scientifically indiscernible” impact on climate change).
Respondents’ causation theory is exactly the type
of tenuous chain theory that fails the directness requirement of due process. The actions of these companies as they relate to energy production do not directly cause climate change but, at most, contribute to
global emissions that interact with complex climate
systems involving countless variables. Indeed, climate change does not directly cause Respondents’ alleged damages, and at most contributes to environmental conditions that may affect the environment
through multiple intervening factors. The attenuation of causation becomes even more pronounced
when examining the nature of the claimed injury itself. A temperature increase of one to two degrees
Fahrenheit does not, on its own, constitute cognizable
legal harm to any specific party. Rather, Respondents’ theory requires multiple attenuated causal steps
beyond temperature change. Other nations’ energy
policies, natural climate variability, technological developments, market forces, and individual consumer
choices all independently influence the global phenomena Respondents attribute to these two defendants—and each independently severs the causal
chain.
15
C. Aggregate and Statistical Causation
Theories Violate the Individualized
Proof Requirements That Due Process
Demands
Respondents’ aggregate causation theory abandons
precisely the individualized proof requirement that
Part I establishes as a constitutional floor. Rather
than showing that Petitioners’ specific conduct caused
a specific, quantifiable harm, Respondents rely on collective industry emissions as a proxy for individual
causation—a substitution the Due Process Clause
does not permit.
This Court’s decisions in Burrage v. United States,
571 U.S. 204 (2014), and Gross v. FBL Financial Services, Inc., 557 U.S. 167 (2009), suggest these constitutional parameters. In Burrage, the Court rejected a
“contributing cause” theory that would impose liability where the defendant’s contribution was one factor
among several in producing the ultimate harm, holding instead that legal causation requires a direct butfor link: the harm “would not have occurred” absent
the defendant’s conduct. 571 U.S. at 218-19. The
Court’s decision reflects our constitutional tradition,
not merely statutory interpretation. Id. at 210-11
(but-for causation is a “background principle” of the
legal tradition incorporated into modern law). In
Gross, the Court confirmed that “the ordinary default
rule [is] that plaintiffs bear the risk of failing to prove
their claims,” 557 U.S. at 177 (quoting Schaffer ex rel.
Schaffer v. Weast, 546 U.S. 49, 56 (2005)), and that
departures from this default require clear affirmative
justification. See also Schaffer, 546 U.S. at 56-57. In
an ocean of actors, no one can demonstrate that any
specific party more likely than not caused any specific
16
injury to any particular plaintiff. See Washington
Env’t Council, 732 F.3d at 1144 (“Because a multitude
of independent third parties are responsible for the
changes contributing to [p]laintiffs’ injuries,” the
Court concluded, “the causal chain is too tenuous to
support standing.”).
When fossil fuel producers contribute an infinitesimal fraction to global emissions yet face liability for
worldwide climate impacts through an overexpanded
causation analysis, the legal response is grossly disproportionate to individual conduct and independently violates due process. The constitutional
problem is compounded in the damages context specifically. Unlike prospective relief, compensatory and
punitive damages are a permanent action requiring a
court to determine what fraction of a company’s historical production caused what fraction of a municipality’s weather-derived repair costs. No methodology
exists for that determination, and the absence of any
coherent damages methodology is itself a signal that
this causal theory cannot support liability. See Am.
Elec. Power Co. v. Connecticut, 564 U.S. 410, 428
(2011) (“The expert agency is surely better equipped
to do the job than individual district judges issuing ad
hoc, case-by-case” emissions rulings.).
Even more, no statistical analysis can demonstrate
that Petitioners’ production decisions in any particular year, rather than, for example, China’s energy
plants, other producers, or any of countless contributing factors, more likely than not caused any particular flood event in Boulder County. The global climate system involves millions of variables and individual decisions across decades or centuries. See Jonathan H. Adler, Warming Up to Climate Change Liti-
17
gation, 3 Va. L. Rev. 63, 67-69 (2007) (discussing challenges of establishing causation in climate litigation
where harms result from cumulative effects of countless individual decisions and emission sources, and
the global nature of emissions). Subjecting any individual defendant to liability based on statistical contribution to this global phenomenon abandons the individualized proof that Burrage and Gross reflect as a
background constitutional principle—one embedded
in due process tradition and one that Respondents
cannot satisfy. See also Juliana v. United States, 947
F.3d 1159, 1169-70 (9th Cir. 2020) (acknowledging
“many of the emissions causing climate change happened decades ago or come from foreign and non-governmental sources”).
D. Respondents’ Disproportionate, Retroactive, and Punitive Damages Claims
for Lawful, Federally Authorized Conduct Independently Violate Due Process
Respondents’ theories independently violate the
proportionality and fair-notice requirements framework this Court established in Gore and State Farm.
In Gore, 517 U.S. at 575, the Court held that due
process prohibits awards that are “grossly excessive”
relative to the defendant’s conduct. The Court’s analysis emphasizes that constitutional due process requires reasonable proportionality between legal consequences and individual conduct. Gore identified
three guideposts for evaluating the constitutionality
of punitive damage awards: (1) the degree of reprehensibility of the defendant’s conduct; (2) the ratio of
the punitive award to the actual or potential harm suffered by the plaintiff; and (3) the difference between
the punitive award and the civil penalties authorized
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or imposed in comparable cases. 517 U.S. at 574-75.
State Farm reinforced these guideposts and made
clear that they are constitutional requirements, not
mere factors in a balancing test: “The Due Process
Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment prohibits the
imposition of grossly excessive or arbitrary punishments on a tortfeasor.” 538 U.S. at 416.
Gore identified several factors relevant to reprehensibility, including whether the conduct “evinced an
indifference to or a reckless disregard of the health or
safety of others,” whether the “conduct involved repeated actions,” and whether “the harm was the result
of intentional malice, trickery, or deceit, or mere accident.” 517 U.S. at 576-77. Petitioners produced and
sold fossil fuels—a product that was legal, federally
regulated, urged by government policy, and upon
which is essential to the American economy and
American consumers. The federal government did not
merely permit fossil fuel production—it authorized
drilling on federal lands and waters, provided tax incentives for exploration and production, contracted for
fuel for the Department of Defense, and generally
made domestic energy production a cornerstone of national security policy. Conduct the government has
authorized, subsidized, and promoted across administrations cannot be characterized as reprehensible to
justify massive punitive sanctions. Gore, 517 U.S. at
579 (conduct involving “no deliberate false statements, acts of affirmative misconduct, or concealment
of evidence of improper motive” is at the low end of the
reprehensibility scale). The Court emphasized in
State Farm that punitive damages may not be used to
punish defendants for lawful out-of-state conduct or
for conduct that did not harm the plaintiff, 538 U.S. at
422-23—yet Respondents’ punitive theory is precisely
19
a vehicle for punishing the Companies for production
activity spanning the globe and across decades, nearly
all of which bore no demonstrable relationship to any
specific harm in Colorado.
Because Respondents cannot establish what fraction of its flood and wildfire costs are attributable to
Petitioners’ specific actions rather than natural climate variability or the actions of other parties, the
compensatory award itself has no basis. The Court in
Gore cautioned that “[e]lementary notions of fairness
enshrined in our constitutional jurisprudence dictate
. . . the severity the penalty that a State may impose,”
517 U.S. at 579, and in State Farm held that “ratios
greater than those [the Court] ha[s] previously upheld
may comport with due process where ‘a particularly
egregious act has resulted in only a small amount of
economic damages.’” 538 U.S. at 425 (quoting Gore,
517 U.S. at 582).
Respondents’ compensatory damages claim suffers
the same constitutional deficiency as its punitive
claim, and for the same reason. A compensatory
award is constitutionally grounded in the proposition
that a defendant caused an identified harm at an identified magnitude. Here, because Respondents cannot
establish what fraction of municipal costs are attributable to any individual defendant’s specific conduct rather than the emissions of millions of other
global actors, any award framed as “compensatory”
necessarily functions as a punitive sanction. It punishes the defendant not for causing Respondents’
harm solely by participating in the fossil fuel industry.
An award untethered from individual causation is not
compensatory in any constitutional sense; it is a penalty imposed on a defendant for its share of an industry. Gore and State Farm’s proportionality framework
20
applies with equal force to such awards. See State
Farm, 538 U.S. at 423 (“a defendant should be punished for the conduct that harmed the plaintiff, not for
being an unsavory individual or business”).
Respondents’ damages claims also reach back to
production and marketing decisions made across several decades—many of which occurred long before any
court recognized any type of climate change tort claim;
long before current climate attribution science existed
as a legal tool; and long before any regulatory or legal
framework put private energy companies on notice
that their federally permitted activities might expose
them to state tort damages. This retroactive imposition of liability constitutes an independent due process violation regardless of whether the underlying
causation theory is permitted to proceed.
In Eastern Enterprises v. Apfel, 524 U.S. 498
(1998), a majority of the Court expressed serious constitutional concern about retroactive liability of this
magnitude. The plurality struck down the Coal Industry Retiree Health Benefit Act as a regulatory taking in part because it imposed “severe retroactive liability on a limited class of parties that could not have
anticipated the liability” and that this retroactivity
raised concerns because it “deprive[d] citizens of legitimate expectations and upset settled transactions.”
Id. at 533 (quoting General Motors Corp. v. Romein,
503 U.S. 181, 191 (1992)). Justice Kennedy, concurring in judgment, also recognized that imposing liability for conduct that occurred before any legal duty existed raises serious constitutional concerns, even if
their analytical frameworks differed. Id. at 547-49
(Kennedy, J., concurring in the judgment and dissenting in part) (concluding that the Coal Act must be in-
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validated as violative of due process based on our nation’s history of “distrust” with retroactive statutes
and that stating that due process protections “must be
understood to incorporate our settled tradition
against retroactive laws of great severity”). The core
constitutional principle is clear: individuals and private parties are entitled to rely on existing law in ordering their affairs, and imposing substantial liability
based on legal theories that did not exist when the
conduct occurred violates the fair notice guarantee
embedded in due process.
The retroactivity problem is particularly acute
here. Climate change tort theories—the proposition
that private energy companies are liable in state court
for the diffuse global harms of climate change—did
not exist as a recognized legal claim when Petitioners
made the production decisions Respondents challenge. The first serious legal scholarship proposing
such liability emerged in the late 1990s and early
2000s. See Jonathan H. Adler, Standing in the Hot
Seat: Climate Change Litigation, 8 Engage: J. Federalist Soc’y Prac. Groups No. 1 (2007) (surveying the
emergence of climate tort theory as a novel legal proposition). The Colorado trial court did not deny the
Companies’ motion to dismiss until 2024 and no court
had ever imposed damages liability on a private energy company for climate change at the time of the
challenged conduct. The Companies therefore conducted their operations under federal regulatory
frameworks that sanctioned fossil fuel production,
with no indication that such production would expose
them to state-law tort damages of the magnitude Respondents seek.
The retroactivity problem is compounded by the aggregate causation structure. Because Respondents
22
cannot identify what fraction of their claimed damages results from any one defendant’s historical emissions in any particular year, any damages award necessarily rests on an arbitrary analysis on a global
scale and across decades of lawful commerce. The
combination of retroactive liability and arbitrary apportionment falls squarely within the due process prohibition recognized in Eastern Enterprises. 524 U.S.
at 528-29 (striking down liability that was “severe,”
“retroactive,” imposed on “a limited class of parties,”
and based on conduct occurring under a different legal
regime). The Companies’ situation is even more constitutionally troubling than the coal company’s in
Eastern Enterprises: not only is the liability retroactive, but it is based on causal theories that did not exist, imposed for conduct that was affirmatively authorized and subsidized, measured by an aggregate
global phenomenon rather than any identified specific
harm, and potentially unlimited in scope.5
5 Market share liability—the doctrine introduced in Sindell v.
Abbott Laboratories, 26 Cal. 3d 588 (1980)—cannot bridge
Respondents’ causation gap. Sindell arose from a specific,
narrow evidentiary problem: plaintiffs injured by DES, a
chemically identical drug manufactured by hundreds of
companies, could not identify which manufacturer’s specific
product their mother had ingested decades earlier. The causal
mechanism was scientifically established; only the tortfeasor’s
identity was unknown. Courts have consistently refused to
extend the doctrine beyond that context. See Hamilton v. Beretta
U.S.A. Corp., 96 N.Y.2d 222, 240-41 (2001) (rejecting market
share for handguns—products not fungible and marketing
practices not uniform); Santiago v. Sherwin Williams Co., 3 F.3d
546, 552 (1st Cir. 1993) (rejecting for lead paint); Jefferson v.
Lead Indus. Ass’n, Inc., 106 F.3d 1245, 1253 (5th Cir. 1997)
(market share theory “would create too much risk that a
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III.
Respondents’ Theory Would Devastate
Domestic Energy Production And Undermine Individual Economic Liberty.
If Respondents’ causation theory is accepted—if a
private energy company’s fractional contribution to
global greenhouse gas emissions is sufficient to establish state-court liability for climate-related municipal
costs—then every oil and gas producer, mining operation, natural gas distributor, and petroleum refiner
faces unlimited retroactive liability in every jurisdiction where a weather event has caused municipal
costs. This Court has already recognized that courts
are ill-suited to serve as ad hoc greenhouse gas regulators. See American Electric Power, 564 U.S. at 428
(“The expert agency is surely better equipped to do the
job than individual district judges issuing ad hoc,
case-by-case” greenhouse gas rulings.); see also Juliana, 947 F.3d at 1175 (“[T]he plaintiffs’ case must be
made to the political branches or to the electorate at
large,” because courts lack the institutional competence to manage climate policy.). Allowing these state
tort claims to proceed on Respondents’ causation and
damages theories produces the same result through a
different door. Here, the consequences of altering national energy policy by accepting Respondents’ claims
illustrate the fundamental problem with climate-causation litigation. Because market share theory, if
adopted, would apportion that unlimited exposure
across every participant in the domestic energy industry, the potential liability is effectively uncapped.
defendant will be held liable for more harm than it caused, or,
worse yet, without causing any harm at all to the plaintiff”).
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If Respondents prevail, the consequences will not
be confined to Colorado. Many climate-change cases
are pending across the nation, each resting on the
same speculative causal chain and each seeking the
same open-ended damages. If cases of this nature
were permitted to continue flooding our judicial system, with each asserting a variation on the same causation theory Respondents’ advance, the economic
consequences would devastate American energy production and the individual liberty it enables. The economic stakes are not abstract. When liability exposure is unlimited, retroactive, and uninsurable, investment in domestic energy production, exploration,
and development stops. The entrepreneurs and independent producers who have driven American energy
abundance cannot survive untethered liability measured by an entire global industry. See Michelle J.
White, Asbestos and the Future of Mass Torts, 18 J.
Econ. Persp. 183, 184-87 (2004) (documenting how expanded and unpredictable liability theories in asbestos litigation created over $200 billion in liabilities
and bankrupted more than 100 companies despite
limited evidence of individual causation in many
cases). Unlimited climate liability would prevent individual entrepreneurs and innovators from developing America’s vast energy resources. See W. Kip Viscusi, The Dimensions of the Product Liability Crisis,
20 J. Legal Stud. 147, 148-58 (1991) (expanded and
unpredictable liability regimes cause market withdrawals and cost increases that harm consumers).
Respondents’ counsel has publicly acknowledged
that “[t]ort liability is an indirect carbon tax” and that
the purpose of this litigation is to accomplish through
state court judgments what environmental advocates
have been unable to accomplish through the political
25
branches. Inst. for Energy Research, Supreme Court
Will Hear a Climate Case Against Oil Companies
(Feb. 25, 2026). See American Electric Power, 564
U.S. at 427 (Congress and the Executive are the
proper forums for “complex balancing” of climate policy considerations, not courts). That is not a tort
claim—it is an admission that this litigation is policy
by other means. The political branches are the constitutionally designated forums for making the fundamental policy choices about energy production, climate risk, and economic development that Respondents’ claims implicate. When state tort liability becomes the mechanism for making those choices,
through the accumulation of case-by-case judicial determinations that private energy companies are
forced to continuously defend, judicial power expands
far beyond its constitutional domain. See Juliana, 947
F.3d at 1171 (courts cannot resolve disputes “entrusted, for better or worse, to the wisdom and discretion of the executive and legislative branches”).
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CONCLUSION
The Due Process Clause requires that liability rest
on a direct, foreseeable, and proportionate causal connection between a specific defendant’s conduct and a
plaintiff’s specific harm. Respondents’ claims satisfy
none of those requirements. The causal chain that
somehow stretches from energy production decisions
to municipal damages is far too attenuated and too
saturated with independent intervening causes to
support liability. If this causation theory is blessed,
the potential punitive damages and retroactive liability that may result would likely devastate America’s
energy development and harm all Americans who rely
on abundant energy to make their lives better.
Respectfully submitted,
F RANK D. G ARRISON
Counsel of Record
T YLER F RY
Pacific Legal Foundation
3100 Clarendon Blvd.,
Suite 1000
Arlington, VA 22201
202.888.6881
fgarrison@pacificlegal.org
Counsel for Amicus Curiae Pacific Legal Foundation
MAY 2026
This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.