Reply Brief — Press Robinson, et al., Applicants v. Phillip Callais, et al.

Supreme Court briefMay 14, 2024

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No. 23A994

In the Supreme Court of the United States

PRESS ROBINSON, et al.,

Applicants,

v.

PHILLIP CALLAIS, et al.,

Respondents.

On Appeal from the

United States District Court for the

Western District of Louisiana

REPLY IN SUPPORT OF APPLICATION FOR STAY

JANAI NELSON

SAMUEL SPITAL

STUART NAIFEH

Counsel of Record

KATHRYN SADASIVAN

VICTORIA WENGER

COLIN BURKE

NAACP LEGAL DEFENSE AND

EDUCATIONAL FUND, INC.

40 Rector Street, 5th Floor

New York, NY 10006

Tel: (212) 965-2200

snaifeh@naacpldf.org

ROBERT A. ATKINS

YAHONNES CLEARY

JONATHAN H. HURWITZ

AMITAV CHAKRABORTY

ADAM P. SAVITT

ARIELLE B. MCTOOTLE

ROBERT KLEIN

NEIL CHITRAO

PAUL, WEISS, RIFKIND,

WHARTON & GARRISON LLP

1285 Avenue of the Americas

New York, NY 10019

TRACIE WASHINGTON

LOUISIANA JUSTICE INSTITUTE

Suite 132

3157 Gentilly Blvd.

New Orleans LA, 70122

DEUEL ROSS

R. JARED EVANS

I. SARA ROHANI

NAACP LEGAL DEFENSE AND

EDUCATIONAL FUND, INC.

700 14th Street N.W. Ste. 600

Washington, DC 20005

JOHN ADCOCK

ADCOCK LAW LLC

3110 Canal Street

New Orleans, LA 70119

NORA AHMED

STEPHANIE WILLIS

ACLU FOUNDATION OF LOUISIANA

1340 Poydras St., Ste. 2160

New Orleans, LA 70112

SOPHIA LIN LAKIN

GARRETT MUSCATEL

AMERICAN CIVIL LIBERTIES

UNION FOUNDATION

125 Broad Street, 18th Floor

New York, NY 10004

SARAH BRANNON

MEGAN C. KEENAN

ADRIEL I. CEPEDA DERIEUX

DAVID D. COLE

AMERICAN CIVIL LIBERTIES

UNION FOUNDATION

915 15th St., NW

Washington, DC 20005

CECILLIA D. WANG

AMERICAN CIVIL LIBERTIES

UNION FOUNDATION

39 Drumm Street

San Francisco, CA 94102

T. ALORA THOMAS-LUNDBORG

DANIEL HESSEL

ELECTION LAW CLINIC

HARVARD LAW SCHOOL

6 Everett Street, Ste. 4105

Cambridge, MA 02138

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................ 1

ARGUMENT ........................................................................................................................ 4

I.

Applicants Have Standing to Appeal..................................................................... 4

II.

The District Court Violated Applicants’ Due Process Rights by Rushing

to a Final Judgment and Failing to Allow Applicants to Develop a

Complete Factual Record. ....................................................................................... 7

III.

Applicants Are Likely to Succeed in Their Appeal ............................................ 10

IV.

A.

Respondents Inappropriately Demand that States Litigate

Every VRA Case to Judgment to Avoid Fourteenth Amendment

Liability........................................................................................................ 10

B.

No Additional Pre-enactment Analysis Was Required Where the

Robinson Court Had Already Found the Gingles Standard

Satisfied. ...................................................................................................... 14

C.

The District Court Applied an Incorrect Legal Standard in

Assessing Racial Predominance................................................................ 17

The Equities Favor a Stay .................................................................................... 18

CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................. 21

i

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

Page(s)

Cases

Abbott v. Perez,

585 U.S. 579 (2018) ..................................................................................................... 13

Abrams v. Johnson,

521 U.S. 74 (1997) ......................................................................................................... 5

Ala. Legis. Black Caucus v. Alabama,

575 U.S. 254 (2015) ..................................................................................................... 13

Allen v. Milligan,

599 U.S. 1 (2023).................................................................................................... 14, 18

Ardoin v. Robinson,

142 S. Ct. 2892 (2022) ................................................................................................. 18

Ardoin v. Robinson,

143 S. Ct. 2654 (2023) ................................................................................................... 6

Bethune-Hill v. Va. State Bd. of Elections,

580 U.S. 178 (2017) ..................................................................................................... 13

Bush v. Vera,

517 U.S. 952 (1996) ............................................................................................... 16, 17

Cooper v. Harris,

581 U.S. 285 (2017) ..................................................................................................... 14

DeWitt v. Wilson,

856 F. Supp. 1409 (E.D. Cal. 1994), aff’d 515 U.S. 1170 (1995)............................. 17

Easley v. Cromartie,

532 U.S. 234 (2001) ..................................................................................................... 17

Hollingsworth v. Perry,

570 U.S. 693 (2013) ................................................................................................... 4, 6

LULAC v. Perry,

548 U.S. 399 (2006) ..................................................................................................... 16

McAllen Grace Brethren Church v. Salazar,

764 F.3d 465 (5th Cir. 2014)......................................................................................... 4

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

(Continued)

Page(s)

Merrill v. Milligan,

142 S. Ct. 879 (2022) ................................................................................................... 18

Robinson v. Ardoin,

605 F. Supp. 3d 759 (M.D. La. 2022) ............................................................... 5, 12, 15

Robinson v. Ardoin,

86 F.4th 574 (5th Cir. 2023) ....................................................................................... 12

Robinson v. Ardoin,

No. 3:22-cv-211-SDD-SDJ (M.D. La. Apr. 19, 2022), ECF No. 63 ........................... 9

Va. House of Delegates v. Bethune-Hill,

139 S. Ct. 1945 (2019) ................................................................................................... 5

Wis. Legislature v. Wis. Elections Comm’n,

595 U.S. 398 (2022) ..................................................................................................... 16

i

TO THE HONORABLE SAMUEL ALITO, ASSOCIATE JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT

OF THE U NITED STATES AND CIRCUIT JUSTICE FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT.

INTRODUCTION

Like the Defendant-Intervenor voters (“Applicants” here), the State of

Louisiana and the State and the Secretary of State, in their separate application,

throw into stark relief the reasons a stay is critical to protecting Applicants’ right to

vote in 2024 under a congressional redistricting plan that does not dilute their votes

in violation of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 (“VRA”). According to the

State’s stay application, if the District Court’s injunction is not stayed by May 15,

2024, allowing the map struck down by the District Court as a purported racial

gerrymander (“SB8”) to go into effect, the only alternative map that can feasibly be

implemented for the upcoming election is the State’s prior map (“HB1”). HB1—which

was repealed unconditionally by SB8 and for that reason alone cannot and should not

be used in 2024—is, of course, the very map found to violate Section 2 by the district

court and the Fifth Circuit in the Robinson litigation. Applicants were already

compelled to vote under that unlawful map in 2022. It was solely because that

irreparable harm had already occurred that the Fifth Circuit vacated the Robinson

preliminary injunction. In light of Applicants’ strong showing that they are likely to

succeed on appeal because the District Court applied the wrong legal standard, this

Court must not allow that irreparable harm to be repeated in 2024. The Court should

grant the Application and issue a stay of the District Court’s injunction.

In their response to the application for a stay, as they did in their trial

presentation, Respondents attempt to wish away the legal and political contexts in

1

which SB8 was enacted. Respondents first seek to minimize the significance of the

Robinson litigation, which they and the District Court concede provided the rationale

for the State of Louisiana to redraw its congressional districts in January 2024. Their

response suggests that the State just threw in the towel on the day the Robinson

litigation was filed. But it did no such thing. Rather, it vigorously litigated for two

years—through appeals, certiorari petitions, and a writ of mandamus—to prevent,

first, a preliminary injunction striking down HB1 as a likely violation of the VRA,

and second, the imposition of a remedial map with a second majority-Black

congressional district. The District Court here also failed to give due account to the

Robinson rulings. Rather than see Robinson as providing a strong justification for the

State’s remedial redistricting, the court treated legislators’ acknowledgement of the

Robinson litigation as evidence of unlawful racial gerrymandering. But under this

Court’s precedents, a factual finding by a federal court based on a comprehensive

evidentiary record that the State’s redistricting plan is dilutive in violation of Section

2—a finding affirmed by a court of appeals—provides the strongest basis in evidence

for the Legislature’s creation of a new opportunity district for Black voters. The

Respondents’ argument boils down to the proposition that the decision to create a

new majority-Black district necessarily amounts to racial predominance, a position

squarely at odds with this Court’s precedent.

Respondents also barely acknowledge the political motivations of the

Louisiana Legislature in choosing SB8 over more compact alternatives. They dismiss

political considerations as accounting for SB8’s unusual configuration because,

2

insisting that the State could have accomplished those political goals in a more

compact plan if it had simply ignored the Robinson decisions and declined to create a

new majority-Black district. See Resp. at 19; App. 427-28. That, of course, would have

led to the Robinson court stepping in and doing exactly what the State sought to

avoid—imposing a map that contained the majority-Black district Section 2 requires

without any consideration for the Legislature’s political goals. Respondents’ willful

disregard of these facts and their failure to meaningfully engage with the applicable

legal standards cannot overcome Applicants’ showing that a stay is warranted.

Whether the Court treats May 15 or early June as the date by which a map

must be in place for the 2024 election, the Court should, as it has in similar situations,

stay the underlying judicial order and permit the State to proceed with the 2024

election under SB8. Without the 2024 election looming over remedial proceedings,

the court below and this Court will have sufficient time to settle on a final resolution

of the State’s congressional map for subsequent elections. But at this point, for this

Court to remain true to its prior rulings in similar circumstances, it should stay

judicial intervention with respect to the map to be used in the 2024 election, and allow

that election to proceed under the status quo map—SB8.

3

ARGUMENT

I.

Applicants Have Standing to Appeal

Applicants have standing to appeal the District Court’s injunction. 1 The ruling

directly impairs their right to an undiluted vote and threatens to force them, once

again, to vote for their congressional representatives under a map that violates

Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. Respondents, relying principally on Hollingsworth

v. Perry, 570 U.S. 693 (2013), erroneously contend that Applicants lack standing to

appeal. 2 Resp. at 11-13. Respondents are wrong for three reasons.

First, in this appeal, Applicants assert their own interests in an undiluted vote,

not the State’s separate interest in upholding the constitutional validity of its

legislative enactment. Specifically, Applicants seek to ensure that their votes are not

diluted as a result of the invalidation of SB8, which was adopted to remedy a violation

of Applicants’ rights under Section 2 as a direct result of the Robinson litigation. See

App. 88 (“Any changes to the SB8 map that may result from decisions in this case

would directly implicate the relief Movants have sought and secured in Robinson.”).

1

The Court need not resolve Applicants’ standing to seek a stay. That is because even if Applicants

lacked standing to seek this stay on their own, the State also seeks a stay, and Respondents do not

dispute that the State has standing to do so. Where any party has standing, this Court has Article

III jurisdiction to decide the appeal. Cf., e.g., McAllen Grace Brethren Church v. Salazar, 764 F.3d

465, 471 (5th Cir. 2014) (“It is well settled that once we determine that at least one plaintiff has

standing, we need not consider whether the remaining plaintiffs have standing to maintain the

suit.”).

2

Respondents also suggest that Applicants’ status as permissive intervenors is somehow relevant to

the standing question, but they cite no authority for that notion. Even if it were relevant,

Respondents and the District Court are wrong that Applicants remained permissive intervenors

after the court’s reconsideration of its initial intervention order. In the initial order, the court found

that Applicants had satisfied three of the four requirements for intervention as of right, but that

their interests were adequately represented by the existing parties at the liability phase. App. 17072. Upon reconsideration, the court found that Applicants had established inadequate

representation on the liability issues the court allowed intervention on. App. 256. Thus, on the basis

of the court’s findings, Applicants were entitled to intervene as of right.

4

In Robinson, the district court found that the VRA demands a map with a second

Black-opportunity district and that failure to provide that district dilutes Applicants’

votes. Robinson v. Ardoin, 605 F. Supp. 3d 759, 766 (M.D. La. 2022) (“Robinson I”).

Yet the court below struck down the map that the Legislature adopted to remedy that

identified and particularized vote dilution, and Respondents have not been coy about

their true goal—not to vindicate their right to be free from racial gerrymandering,

but to prevent any map that would create a second district in which Black

Louisianians have an opportunity to elect candidates of their choice. See Resp. at 6365; App. 76 (“Plaintiffs urge this Court to adopt Illustrative Plan 1[,]” a plan with

only one majority-Black district).

Additionally, the District Court conceded that at least one Applicant, Davante

Lewis, resides in CD6, the district that was struck down as a racial gerrymander in

the court’s injunction and that, if upheld on appeal, would provide him and other

Black voters their VRA-guaranteed equal opportunity to elect candidates of choice to

Congress. App. 406. In such circumstances, private intervenor-defendants have been

permitted to pursue an appeal, even when the state has chosen not to. E.g., Abrams

v. Johnson, 521 U.S. 74, 78 (1997). This case is unlike Virginia House of Delegates v.

Bethune-Hill, where a single house of the state legislature sought to represent the

state in an appeal that the state itself was not a party to. 139 S. Ct. 1945 (2019).

Applicants seek to represent their own interests; they do not seek to represent the

State, which has simultaneously sought a stay, and therefore, Va. House of Delegates

has no applicability here.

5

Second, Applicants assert a particularized injury to themselves—dilution of

their votes—caused by the District Court’s injunction, and not an abstract preference

for a generally applicable law. Respondents’ heavy reliance on Hollingsworth v. Perry

is therefore misplaced. In Hollingsworth, this Court found that proponents of a ballot

initiative defining marriage to exclude same-sex unions lacked standing to appeal a

decision invalidating the initiative after it was codified into the state constitution.

570 U.S. at 707. The proponents identified no particularized injury to themselves

from the appealed judgement other than the invalidation of the constitutional

provision they had worked to enact. Id. at 706-07. But once the initiative was codified,

the proponents’ interest in upholding its validity constituted a generalized grievance

no different from that of any Californian. Id. at 707. Here, in contrast, the injury to

Applicants is not the invalidation of SB8 per se, but the imminent threat that their

own votes will be diluted as a result of the invalidation of SB8.

Third, the injury to Applicants is not speculative because the risk of vote

dilution is substantial. Applicants were already forced, in 2022, to vote under a map

that the Robinson district court and the Fifth Circuit had found likely violated Section

2 by diluting their votes. After this Court remanded the case to the lower courts for

resolution “in advance of the 2024 congressional elections,” the Legislature adopted

SB8 as a direct response. Ardoin v. Robinson, 143 S. Ct. 2654 (2023). Now that SB8

has been invalidated, there is an imminent risk that Applicants will again be forced

to undergo an election under a congressional redistricting plan that illegally dilutes

their votes. Indeed, the State has contended that if the District Court’s injunction is

6

not stayed, the only map that can feasibly be implemented in 2024 is HB1, the very

map that was found likely to violate Section 2 in Robinson. Even were the District

Court to order a different map and were the State feasibly able to implement it

without disruption, any decision on a remedy will come too late for Applicants. Should

the remedial map fail to remedy the Section 2 violation identified in Robinson, any

appeal would not be resolved before 2024 elections.

Applicants have standing to bring this appeal.

II.

The District Court Violated Applicants’ Due Process Rights by

Rushing to a Final Judgment and Failing to Allow Applicants to

Develop a Complete Factual Record.

Respondents ask this Court to deny a stay based on what they say they will

show in coming remedial proceedings—but failed to show at trial—to rebut the

State’s strong basis in evidence that it needed to comply with Section 2. Resp. at 41

(“[T]he record will show … Plaintiffs will make the showing…”) (emphasis added).

Specifically, Respondents assert their intention to ask the District Court to find—in

direct conflict with the findings of the Robinson courts—that a second majority-Black

district cannot be drawn. Id. At the same time, they argue that the District Court

should be deprived of the benefit of the extensive evidentiary record in Robinson

because none of the four legislators who testified at trial—out of the 144 members of

the State Legislature—claimed that it informed their decision-making on what the

VRA required, and on that basis, the District Court excluded it. Id. at 38. All of this

only serves to highlight the inadequacy of the District Court’s process to develop a

sufficient factual record on which to strike down a map when no one disputes that

the impetus to create that new map with a second majority-Black district was based

7

on multiple rulings—from a total of seven federal judges from the Middle District of

Louisiana and the Fifth Circuit—finding that HB1 likely violated the VRA.

At the behest of the Respondents, and with no opposition from the Secretary of

State, App. 266-67—who was the only defendant in the case at the time and who has

steadfastly declined to defend SB8, or even implement it after it was enacted into

law—the District Court advanced the trial on the merits and consolidated it with the

hearing on Respondents’ preliminary injunction. Id. at 164. The court took this

extraordinary step without input from the Applicants, despite the pendency of

Applicants’ motion to intervene. Id. at 266-67. The court then denied Applicants’

motion to deconsolidate the trial from the preliminary injunction despite

Respondents’ failure to oppose the motion. 3 Id. at 289.

The District Court then proceeded to conduct a trial less than a month after it

belatedly granted Applicants’ motion to intervene. In marked contrast to the

Robinson proceedings—which, on a motion for a preliminary injunction, unfolded

over a five-day hearing involving 21 witnesses and over 200 exhibits, and culminated

in a 165-page decision—the District Court here compressed an entire trial into less

than three days and on a limited evidentiary record issued a permanent injunction.

See generally id. at 385-444. It has now set a schedule for briefing on remedy and has

invited the parties to submit additional evidence but has declined to allow for

3

Applicants have appealed these rulings and will fully brief them at the merits phase of this appeal.

Respondents opposed Applicants’ request to continue the trial to allow adequate discovery and trial

time consistent with due process but mounted no opposition to Applicants’ alternative request to

decouple the trial from the preliminary injunction proceedings. Nevertheless, the District Court

denied both requests.

8

discovery or an evidentiary hearing, id. at 1081-82, despite conceding that the trial

record was insufficient for it to make findings on the requirements of Section 2. Id. at

442-43. And Respondents have indicated they intend to offer new evidence on new

contested issues in those remedial proceedings—issues that were not litigated below

or in the Robinson proceedings. Resp. at 41. Even if there were time for adequate

remedial proceedings—and there is not—the process adopted by the court below—

again in stark contrast to the Robinson court, which at several junctures prior to the

enactment of SB8 allowed for robust remedial discovery ahead of an evidentiary

remedial hearing, see, e.g., Scheduling Order, Robinson v. Ardoin, No. 3:22-cv-211SDD-SDJ (M.D. La. Apr. 19, 2022), ECF No. 63—is wholly inadequate to ensure the

interests of all stakeholders are taken into account and that it can reach an informed

conclusion that respects the voting rights not only of Applicants but of Black voters

across the state. In light of the stakes of this case, these procedural failings, and the

doubt they cast on the soundness of the District Court’s decision, Applicants support

staying the injunction to ensure that Applicants and others in Louisiana are not twice

subjected to an election under a map that unlawfully dilutes their votes and denies

them the equal opportunity mandated by the VRA. Granting a stay will ensure that

the 2024 election, like the 2022 election, proceeds under the map the Legislature

chose where there is insufficient time to conduct proceedings consistent with

Applicants’ due process rights before the coming election.

9

III.

Applicants Are Likely to Succeed in Their Appeal

A.

Respondents Inappropriately Demand that States Litigate Every VRA

Case to Judgment to Avoid Fourteenth Amendment Liability.

Respondents expend much of their brief looking for a difference between the

State’s “desire to avoid litigation in Robinson” and its need to “ensure compliance

with the VRA”—ignoring that the State did not, in fact, avoid litigation in Robinson.

Resp. at 23. On the contrary, in Robinson, the State opposed a preliminary injunction

motion and when it lost, filed a motion for a stay pending appeal, then successfully

pursued a stay from this Court, and on remand, litigated its appeal on the merits at

the Fifth Circuit, delayed remedial proceedings through a petition for writ of

mandamus, and after losing its appeal, unsuccessfully sought en banc rehearing. See

Stay Appl. at 11-14 (detailing the Robinson litigation’s history). It was only after two

years of hard-fought litigation, which resulted in multiple rulings telling the State

exactly what it needed to do to “ensure compliance with the VRA” that the State chose

voluntary compliance with federal law over continued litigation. The State then

sought to resolve the Robinson litigation and its likely Section 2 violation by enacting

a map that accomplished what courts in Robinson had told them Section 2 required

while also pursuing its own political goals of protecting the seats of certain favored

incumbents. Id. at 14-17. In other words, the State’s desire to avoid further litigation

in Robinson was not distinct from its obligation to adhere to Section 2; they were one

and the same.

But according to Respondents, because the State continued to maintain that

HB1 was lawful, it forfeited any breathing room in seeking to comply with what two

10

federal courts had said it must do to avoid a likely VRA violation. Resp. at 23 (“The

State’s avid defense of HB1 as VRA compliant [means] [a]ny breathing room . . . was

abandoned long ago.”). In other words, according to Respondents, unless legislators

or their legal advisors subjectively agree with the conclusions of the federal courts

that rule against them, they do not have a strong basis in evidence to believe that

remedial action is required to avoid VRA liability. Id. (“There is no evidence that the

Legislature found that there was a VRA violation . . . .”). Because the State insisted

that HB1 was lawful even after the Robinson rulings—as is common in negotiated

resolutions of litigation—Respondents fault it for “shirk[ing] the chance” “to put on a

full, actual defense of HB1.” Id. at 26. Merely to state this argument is to refute it;

defendants can, and often do, insist they did nothing wrong and simultaneously take

action to remedy a violation of law. The District Court found, and Respondents

concede, that the Legislature drew SB8 to comply with the Robinson court’s ruling.

App. 425-26; Resp. at 3-4. Whether they agreed with it or not is immaterial. They

were required to comply or face a trial they would likely lose. They chose to comply.

Respondents also argue that because the Fifth Circuit had “emphasized that

‘the State put all their eggs’ in one basket” and had “determined that the Supreme

Court’s decision in Allen v. Milligan ‘largely rejected’ the ‘State’s initial approach,’”

Resp. at 25 (citing Robinson v. Ardoin, 37 F.4th 208, 217 (5th Cir. 2022) (“Robinson

II”) and Robinson v. Ardoin, 86 F.4th 574, 592 (5th Cir. 2023) (“Robinson III”)), the

State was obligated, before taking action to comply with Section 2, to put its eggs in

a different basket and to try a new approach at a trial. But litigation strategy has

11

nothing to do with whether the state has a strong basis to believe a Section 2 remedy

is required. And entirely missing from the Respondents selective quotation of

Robinson is that the basket in which the State put all its eggs in Robinson was the

“racial gerrymandering” basket and the approach rejected in Milligan was the State’s

argument that complying with Section 2 would necessarily require racial

gerrymandering. Robinson III, 86 F.4th at 592. Both the district court and the Fifth

Circuit merits panel rejected that argument, concluding that a reasonably configured

additional majority-Black district could be drawn without race predominating and

that, in any event, the VRA provided a compelling interest justifying race-based

remedial districting. Robinson I, 605 F. Supp. 3d 759, 839 (M.D. La. 2022); Robinson

III, 86 F.4th at 593-95. And because it had no other basket, the State conceded and

chose compliance with the VRA over continuing to press racial gerrymandering

arguments that had been rejected.

Respondents further contend that because the rulings in Robinson were on a

preliminary injunction, where the district court found—based on the robust

evidentiary record from the preliminary injunction hearing 4 and under the applicable

preliminary injunction standard—that the Robinson plaintiffs had satisfied the

Gingles standard and were “likely” to succeed on the merits of their Section 2 claim,

the Legislature was not entitled to rely on the court’s findings. Resp. at 24-25. That

4

Respondents characterize the Western District’s 60-page opinion as “lengthy” and “exhaustive[,]”

Resp. at 20, and based on a “comprehensive” record, id. at 5-6, where the court considered thirteen

witnesses and 110 exhibits. The Chief Judge of the Middle District wrote a 152-page Ruling and

Order after a five-day evidentiary hearing involving twenty-one witnesses and over 200 exhibits.

See generally Robinson I, 605 F. Supp. 3d at 768-69; see also App. 338.

12

assertion, unsupported by any legal authority, rings hollow. Nothing in this Court’s

jurisprudence requires a state to fight to the bitter end before taking remedial action

in the face of a likely Section 2 violation. Nor has this Court ever held that a state

faced with an adverse judicial finding of VRA liability must conduct its own

independent analysis of whether the court was correct. Indeed, this Court has

recognized a State’s strong basis in evidence to draw Section 2 districts without any

litigation at all. The strong basis in evidence standard “does not demand that a State’s

actions actually be necessary to achieve a compelling state interest in order to be

constitutionally valid,” and states may have good reason to consider race to remedy a

VRA violation “even if a court does not find that the actions were necessary for

statutory compliance.” Alabama Legislative Black Caucus v. Alabama, 575 U.S. 254,

278 (2015) (cleaned up). In Bethune-Hill, for example, the Court found a sufficiently

strong basis in evidence for drawing a district with a 55 percent Black voting age

population based on demographic data, election results, and the legislature’s

“informed bipartisan consensus” that such a district was required to avoid VRA

liability. Bethune-Hill v. Va. State Bd. of Elections, 580 U.S. 178, 194-95 (2017). And

when litigation has occurred, this Court has not required the state to await a final

judgment before taking remedial action. See, e.g., Abbott v. Perez, 585 U.S. 579, 594603 (2018). These precedents allow states to make a good faith effort based on

reasonably available information—whether derived from the “preliminary” findings

of a court or its own inquiry—to determine what the VRA requires without thereby

being liable for racial gerrymandering.

13

The demand Respondents place on the Louisiana Legislature—that it

subjectively find, based on its own full-blown statistical, demographic, and social and

historical analysis, that the VRA requires it to engage in race-conscious districting or

that it be compelled by a final judgment from a federal court to do so—would require

expert consultants to be involved in every redistricting decision, magnifying the

burden on states (not to mention local jurisdictions) of an already complex process,

and yet would do little to reduce the likelihood of redistricting decisions to be resolved

through litigation. Throwing out the “good reasons” standard and further enmeshing

the federal courts in redistricting matters will do little to advance the goal of reducing

“the role of race in the electoral process.” Allen v. Milligan, 599 U.S. 1, 30 (2023). This

Court should decline Respondents’ efforts to remake the law.

B.

No Additional Pre-enactment Analysis Was Required Where the

Robinson Court Had Already Found the Gingles Standard Satisfied.

Respondents next contend that the District Court’s injunction was proper

because the State—faced with the ruling in Robinson, upheld on appeal, finding that

the plaintiffs had satisfied the Gingles preconditions and proven likely vote dilution

in the totality of the circumstances—failed to perform its own redundant “preenactment analysis of the Gingles factors” before enacting a remedial redistricting

plan. Resp. at 27-30. Here, unlike in Cooper, on which Respondents rely for this

proposition, the State had good reason to believe that “a [§ 2] plaintiff could establish

the Gingles preconditions” in a Louisiana congressional plan with only a single

majority-Black district, Cooper v. Harris, 581 U.S. 285, 304 (2017)—because a § 2

plaintiff had already done so in Robinson. In such circumstances, no purpose would

14

be served by requiring the state to conduct its own analysis based on the same

demographic data and voting patterns to prove to itself what had already been proven

in court. 5

Respondents next turn to LULAC to argue that while the Robinson plaintiffs

may have presented sufficient evidence to establish vote dilution in the area

connecting Baton Rouge to Louisiana’s Delta Parishes, that did not justify the State’s

creation of a remedial district connecting Baton Rouge to Natchitoches and

Shreveport. Resp. at 28-29 (citing LULAC v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399 (2006)), 33-34. There

are two problems with this argument. First, Respondents are simply incorrect about

what the record in Robinson showed. The evidence in Robinson demonstrated racially

polarized voting patterns in Northwest Louisiana as well as the Delta. The Robinson

plaintiffs’ expert, Dr. Lisa Handley, analyzed voting patterns and Black candidate

success rates in Congressional Districts 4, 5, and 6, which cover the territory included

in SB8’s District 6, and found voting to be highly polarized with the result that Blackpreferred candidates in all of those districts were universally defeated. See Robinson

I, 605 F. Supp. 3d at 800-04. In addition, as Applicants demonstrated below, a

compact map that connected these regions had been introduced in the legislative

session in which HB1 was enacted, but it paired two of the incumbents the

5

Puzzlingly, Respondents assert that VRA compliance was a “post hoc justification” for SB8, Resp.

at 26—as if the Robinson litigation had never happened and the Legislature, out of the blue, chose

to engage in congressional districting for the second time in two years to create a new majorityBlack district, and only after the fact concocted a VRA-compliance story to justify its actions. But

that narrative is inconsistent with the facts and inconsistent with the evidence on which the District

Court based its racial predominance findings—which showed that legislators were acting in direct

response to the losses in Robinson. App. 425-26.

15

Legislature sought to protect in SB8. 4/9 Tr. 403:23-404:21, ECF No. 185. Together,

that evidence provided the State with a basis for concluding that there was vote

dilution in Northwest Louisiana.

Second, although the State had evidence of vote dilution in both the Delta and

Northwest Louisiana, there was no evidence that two majority-Black districts could

be created that would accommodate voters in both regions. “[W]hen the racial group

in each area had a § 2 right and both could not be accommodated,” the VRA allows

“the State to use one majority-minority district to compensate for the absence of

another.” LULAC, 548 U.S. at 429; id. at 429-30 (if the inclusion of one group of voters

in a majority-minority district would necessitate the exclusion of others, “then the

State cannot be faulted for its choice”).

Thus, the State did not draw SB8 based on “generalizations,” Resp. at 30, but

based on the record in Robinson and the Attorney General’s advice that it was

unlikely to be overcome at trial. Robinson had already found each of the Gingles

preconditions satisfied and found that in the totality of the circumstances, Black

Louisianians did not have an equal opportunity to participate in the political process

and elect candidates of their choice. Unlike Wis. Legislature v. Wis. Elections Comm’n,

595 U.S. 398 (2022), where neither the state nor any court had found a likely VRA

violation, here, the Robinson court already had. The State thus had a strong basis to

conclude that § 2 required remedial action, and it was permissible to choose SB8 over

other more compact options to accomplish its political goals. See Bush v. Vera, 517

U.S. 952, 994 (1996) (plurality) (state’s “districting plan will be deemed narrowly

16

tailored” if it creates “a district that substantially addresses the potential liability

and does not deviate substantially from a hypothetical court-drawn § 2 district for

predominantly racial reasons”) (emphasis added); id. at 999 (Kennedy, J., concurring)

(“States are not prevented from taking into account race-neutral factors in drawing

permissible majority-minority districts,” and “[d]istricts not drawn for impermissible

reasons or according to impermissible criteria may take any shape, even a bizarre

one.”).

C.

The District Court Applied an Incorrect Legal Standard in Assessing

Racial Predominance.

Respondents spend much of their opposition reciting the evidence and arguing

that this Court must defer to the District Court’s factual findings. See, e.g., Resp. at

13-14 (arguing that this Court may not disturb the District Court’s findings on racial

predominance as long as those findings are plausible). But errors of law are subject

to de novo review, and Applicants’ principal argument is that the District Court erred

as a matter of law when it assumed that evidence that the Legislature intentionally

created a majority-Black district to comply with the VRA, without more, was

sufficient to establish racial predominance. As this Court has made clear, it is not.

See Easley v. Cromartie, 532 U.S. 234, 241-42 (2001); Vera, 517 U.S. at 958, 962. That

erroneous understanding of the law infected the District Court’s view of all of the

evidence of racial predominance it considered, both direct and indirect.

Respondents do not argue the contrary nor do they even address this Court’s

precedent on the topic. See, e.g., Vera, 517 U.S. at 962 (“the decision to create a

majority-minority district” is not “objectionable in and of itself”); see also DeWitt v.

17

Wilson, 856 F. Supp. 1409 (E.D. Cal. 1994), aff’d 515 U.S. 1170 (1995) (declining to

apply strict scrutiny to an intentionally created majority-minority district absent

evidence of racial predominance). Rather, they simply offer the generalized

observation that “race neutrality is the driving force of the Equal Protection Clause.”

Resp. at 20 (citing Bartlett v. Strickland, 556 U.S. 1, 21-22 (2009) (plurality)). But as

this Court made clear as recently as 2023, intentionally creating a majority-minority

district to satisfy Section 2 does not automatically lead to unlawful racial

gerrymandering. See Milligan, 599 U.S. at 34-35 & n.7. The District Court’s

conclusion that race predominated in SB8 based on its application of a contrary rule

constituted an error of law warranting reversal and a stay.

IV.

The Equities Favor a Stay

Beyond the merits, a stay is required here for a more fundamental reason,

which is that there simply is not time for fair consideration of these issues and to

have a remedial process with initial appellate review that will ensure Black voters

rights are not again violated in the 2024 elections. Respondents have failed to show

that the merits are “entirely clearcut in [their] favor,” Merrill v. Milligan, 142 S. Ct.

879, 881 (2022) (Kavanaugh, J., concurring) (granting stay prior to commencement of

remedial proceedings), and consistency of judicial decision making requires a stay

here just as stays were granted in numerous other cases where voters challenged

discriminatory maps and courts issued rulings within months of the next election.

See Ardoin v. Robinson, 142 S. Ct. 2892 (2022) (granting stay amid ongoing remedial

proceedings); Order, S.C. State Conf. of the NAACP v. Alexander, No. 3:21-cv-03302MGL-TJH-RMG (D.S.C. Mar. 28, 2024), ECF No. 523 (postponing injunction to

18

commence after the 2024 election). It cannot be that successful redistricting

challenges brought by Black voters must be stayed while courts ensure the law and

the facts have been faithfully applied, even where that means an unlawful map

remains in place through an election, but in redistricting challenges brought by “nonAfrican American” voters, federal courts can impose dramatic last minute changes to

congressional maps created by the state legislature without an adequate opportunity

for this Court’s review.

In this case, the Secretary of State has said that she needs a congressional map

by May 15, 2024, to ensure a “disruption-free” election. App. 1089-90. To be clear,

there will be no congressional map available to the Secretary by that date other than

SB8 or HB1. The Legislature cannot adopt a new map by that deadline, see App. 108485 (showing that the Louisiana constitution requires certain procedures to be

followed for bills to be introduced in regular session and arguing that introducing a

congressional redistricting challenge would lead to legal liability for the Legislature),

or interrupt other legislative priorities, see id. at 1085-86 (outlining the proposed

constitutional convention which would be necessarily disrupted for any congressional

map to be proposed, debated, and enacted by the deadline), and the District Court

will not impose a new map before June 4, 2024.

Accordingly, ignoring the Secretary’s May 15 deadline risks imperiling

Applicants’ right to vote in the upcoming congressional elections under a map that

does not unlawfully dilute their votes. If the Secretary is correct that the only feasible

option after May 15 is HB1, then, absent a stay, Applicants will be forced to vote

19

under the same map that diluted their votes in 2022 and that both the Middle District

and Fifth Circuit agreed likely violated Section 2. And even if the Secretary is wrong,

and there is some additional latitude to implement a map ordered on June 4, that

timeline will not permit pre-implementation appellate review of the map should it

fail to include the second Black-opportunity district the Robinson rulings have found

to be required, and that the Legislature sought to provide in SB8. Respondents have

made clear their intention to seek a map that does not include such a district and to

oppose any that do. See Resp. at 1-2, 41. And the District Court has shown a

willingness to disregard the decisions of the Robinson courts without evidentiary

basis. There is thus a substantial risk that a court-ordered remedial map will conflict

with the findings of another federal district court, twice approved by the Fifth Circuit.

In these circumstances, ensuring sufficient time for appellate review of any map

ordered by the District Court is critical to ensure that a split decision of the court

below does not override the unanimous view of seven federal judges in Robinson.

Respondents contend that the harm of voting under a map the panel majority

found to be a racial gerrymander outweighs Robinson Applicants’ harm of voting

under a map that seven judges in Robinson found likely unlawfully diluted their

votes. See Resp. at 59. But if SB8 was necessary to remedy a Section 2 violation, it

doesn’t violate anyone’s rights, because strict scrutiny would be satisfied. In any

event, this Court at this stage need not resolve whose harm is greater. The fact that

Applicants have already suffered irreparable harm in one election under an unlawful

map and that there is insufficient time to resolve any tension between the VRA and

20

the Equal Protection Clause here before the 2024 election, are reason enough to

prevent further irreparable harm to Applicants here. What’s sauce for the goose is

sauce for the gander. Just as this Court deemed a stay necessary to maintain the

legislative status quo in 2022, despite findings of a likely Section 2 violation, so a stay

is necessary here to maintain the legislative status quo in 2024, despite findings of

an Equal Protection violation. In both instances, the dispute over Louisiana’s map is

not likely to be resolved in time for the next election, and a stay is therefore

warranted.

Moreover, in contrast to Applicants, who have testified both as plaintiffs in the

Robinson proceedings and as intervenors below about the real and concrete harms

they suffer from having unresponsive political representation, not a single

Respondent testified at trial or sat for a deposition. Respondents can point to nothing

in the record about the impact of the racial gerrymandering harm they allegedly

suffer, because they did not bother to show up at their own trial. Indeed, although

the import of their legal claim is that they were assigned to districts on the basis of

race, they have declined to reveal their own racial identities. The abstract and

undelineated harms asserted by Respondents pale in comparison to the real and

concrete harms that the Applicants have already suffered and will continue to suffer

if the injunction is not stayed.

CONCLUSION

For the foregoing reasons, Robinson Applicants’ request for a stay of the

District Court’s injunction pending resolution of their appeal should be granted.

21

DATED: May 14, 2024

Respectfully submitted,

By: /s/ Stuart Naifeh

Stuart Naifeh

Counsel of Record

NAACP Legal Defense and

Educational Fund, Inc.

40 Rector Street, 5th Floor

New York, NY 10006

Tel: (212) 965-2200

snaifeh@naacpldf.org

Counsel for the Applicants

22

Janai Nelson

Samuel Spital

Kathryn Sadasivan

Victoria Wenger

Colin Burke

NAACP Legal Defense and

Educational Fund, Inc.

40 Rector Street, 5th Floor

New York, NY 10006

Tel: (212) 965-2200

jnelson@naacpldf.org

sspital@naacpldf.org

ksadasivan@naacpldf.org

vwenger@naacpldf.org

cburke@naacpldf.org

Robert A. Atkins

Yahonnes Cleary

Jonathan H. Hurwitz

Amitav Chakraborty

Adam P. Savitt

Arielle B. McTootle

Robert Klein

Neil Chitrao

Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton

& Garrison LLP

1285 Avenue of the Americas

New York, NY 10019

Tel.: (212) 373-3000

Fax: (212) 757-3990

ratkins@paulweiss.com

ycleary@paulweiss.com

jhurwitz@paulweiss.com

achakraborty@paulweiss.com

asavitt@paulweiss.com

amctootle@paulweiss.com

rklein@paulweiss.com

nchitrao@paulweiss.com

Tracie L. Washington

Louisiana Justice Institute

8004 Belfast Street

New Orleans, LA 70125

Tel: (504) 872-9134

tracie.washington.esq@gmail.com

Deuel Ross

R. Jared Evans

I. Sara Rohani

NAACP Legal Defense and

Educational Fund, Inc.

700 14th Street N.W. Ste. 600

Washington, DC 20005

Tel: (202) 682-1300

dross@naacpldf.org

jevans@naacpldf.org

srohani@naacpldf.org

Sophia Lin Lakin

Garrett Muscatel

Dayton Campbell-Harris

American Civil Liberties Union Foundation

125 Broad Street, 18th Floor

New York, NY 10004

slakin@aclu.org

gmuscatel@aclu.org

dcampbell-harris@aclu.org

T. Alora Thomas-Lundborg

Daniel Hessel

David Cole

Election Law Clinic

Sarah Brannon

Harvard Law School

Megan C. Keenan

6 Everett Street, Ste. 4105

American Civil Liberties Union Foundation Cambridge, MA 02138

915 15th St., NW

(617) 495-5202

Washington, DC 20005

tthomaslundborg@law.harvard.edu

dcole@aclu.org

dhessel@law.harvard.edu

sbrannon@aclu.org

mkeenan@aclu.org

23

Nora Ahmed

ACLU Foundation of Louisiana

1340 Poydras St, Ste. 2160

New Orleans, LA 70112

Tel: (504) 522-0628

nahmed@laaclu.org

John Adcock

Adcock Law LLC

3110 Canal Street

New Orleans, LA 70119

Tel: (504) 233-3125

jnadcock@gmail.com

Additional counsel for the Applicants

24

This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.

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