Petition for Writ of Certiorari — Caleb Barnett, et al., Petitioners v. Kwame Raoul, Attorney General of Illinois, et al.

Supreme Court briefFeb 12, 2024

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APPENDIX

TABLE OF APPENDICES

Appendix A

Order, United States Court of Appeals for

the Seventh Circuit, Barnett v. Raoul,

No. 23-1825 (May 4, 2023) .......................... App-1

Appendix B

Order, United States Court of Appeals for

the Seventh Circuit, Barnett v. Raoul,

No. 23-1825 (May 12, 2023) ........................ App-2

Appendix C

Opinion, United States Court of Appeals

for the Seventh Circuit, Barnett v. Raoul,

No. 23-1825 (Nov. 3, 2023) .......................... App-5

Appendix D

Order, United States Court of Appeals for

the Seventh Circuit, Barnett v. Raoul,

No. 23-1825 (Dec. 11, 2023)..................... App-105

Appendix E

Memorandum & Order, United States

District Court for the Southern District of

Illinois, Barnett v. Raoul, No. 23-cv00209 (Apr. 28, 2023) .............................. App-106

Appendix F

Relevant Statutes .................................... App-138

720 ILCS 5/24-1 ................................ App-138

720 ILCS 5/24-1.9 ............................. App-148

720 ILCS 5/24-1.10 ........................... App-169

App-1

Appendix A

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE SEVENTH CIRCUIT

________________

No. 23-1825

________________

CALEB BARNETT, et al.,

v.

Plaintiffs-Appellees,

KWAME RAOUL and BRENDAN F. KELLY,

Defendants-Appellants.

________________

Filed: May 4, 2023

________________

ORDER

________________

The following is before the court: STATE

DEFENDANTS’ EMERGENCY MOTION TO STAY

THE

DISTRICT

COURT’S

PRELIMINARY

INJUNCTION ORDER PENDING APPEAL, filed on

May 2, 2023, by counsel for the appellants.

The motion for a stay of the district court’s

preliminary injunction is GRANTED, pending further

order of the court. Any response to the motion for a

stay must be received by the close of business on May

9, 2023. Any response should discuss the bearing of

Friedman v. Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406 (7th Cir.

2015), and Wilson v. Cook County, 937 F.3d 1028 (7th

Cir. 2019), in addition to any other matters the

appellees deem pertinent.

App-2

Appendix B

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE SEVENTH CIRCUIT

________________

No. 23-1353

________________

ROBERT BEVIS, et al.,

v.

Plaintiffs-Appellants,

CITY OF NAPERVILLE, et al.,

Defendants-Appellees,

STATE OF ILLINOIS,

Intervening Appellee.

________________

Nos. 23-1793, 23-1825, 23-1826,

23-1827, & 23-1828

________________

JAVIER HERRERA, CALEB BARNETT, et al.,

v.

Plaintiffs-Appellants,

KWAME RAOUL, et al.,

Defendants-Appellees.

________________

Filed: May 12, 2023

________________

ORDER

________________

App-3

Herrera v. Raoul, No. 23-1793, is consolidated

with Barnett v. Raoul, Nos. 23-1825 through 23-1828.

These appeals will be briefed on the following

schedule:

1. Briefs for the governmental parties

(whether appellants or appellees) are due

June 5, 2023.

2. Briefs for the plaintiffs are due June 19,

2023.

3. Reply briefs, if any, are due June 26, 2023.

Motions to extend these dates, or to allow late

filings by amici curiae, will not be entertained.

One litigant may file only one brief in all five

consolidated appeals, and the court encourages

multiple litigants on the same side to file joint briefs

to the extent possible.

These consolidated cases, together with Bevis v.

Naperville, No. 23-1353, will be argued the morning of

June 29. Argument is set for 90 minutes, with the

governmental litigants sharing 45 minutes and the

litigants contesting the laws sharing 45 minutes. The

court encourages counsel to agree on an allocation that

minimizes the number of different lawyers who will

present argument. If counsel are unable to agree, they

should notify the court, which will allocate time.

In the meantime, the statutes remain in effect.

This court already has denied a motion for an

injunction pending appeal in Bevis. As for the Barnett

appeals: based on our review of the parties’

submissions, the breadth of the litigation, and the

differing conclusions reached by different district

judges, we conclude that the stay of the district court’s

App-4

order already entered will remain in effect until these

appeals have been resolved and the court’s mandate

has issued.

App-5

Appendix C

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE SEVENTH CIRCUIT

________________

No. 23-1825 1

________________

CALEB BARNETT, et al.,

v.

Plaintiffs-Appellants,

KWAME RAOUL and BRENDAN F. KELLY,

Defendants-Appellees.

________________

Argued June 29, 2023

Decided: November 3, 2023

________________

Before: Easterbrook, Wood, and Brennan,

Circuit Judges.

________________

OPINION

________________

Wood, Circuit Judge. The Second Amendment to the

Constitution recognizes an individual right to “keep

and bear Arms.” Of that there can be no doubt, in the

1 Consolidated with No. 23-1826, Harrel v. Raoul (S.D. Ill.

No. 3:23-cv-00141-SPM); No. 23-1827, Langley v. Kelly (S.D. Ill.

No. 3:23-cv-00192-SPM); and No. 23-1828, Federal Firearms

Licensees of Illinois, et al. v. Pritzker (S.D. Ill. No. 3:23-cv-00215SPM).

App-6

wake of the Supreme Court’s decisions in District of

Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570 (2008); McDonald v.

City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010); Caetano v.

Massachusetts, 577 U.S. 411 (2016) (per curiam); and

New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S.

Ct. 2111 (2022). But as we know from long experience

with other fundamental rights, such as the right to

free speech, the right peaceably to assemble, the right

to vote, and the right to free exercise of religion, even

the most important personal freedoms have their

limits. Government may punish a deliberately false

fire alarm; it may condition free assembly on the

issuance of a permit; it may require voters to present

a valid identification card; and it may punish child

abuse even if it is done in the name of religion. The

right enshrined in the Second Amendment is no

different.

The present cases, which we have consolidated for

disposition, relate to the types of “Arms” that are

covered by the Second Amendment. 2 This presents a

line-drawing problem. Everyone can agree that a

personal handgun, used for self-defense, is one of those

Arms that law-abiding citizens must be free to “keep

and bear.” Everyone can also agree, we hope, that a

nuclear weapon such as the now-retired M388 Davy

Crockett system, with its 51-pound W54 warhead, can

be reserved for the military, even though it is light

enough for one person to carry. 3 Many weapons,

2 For ease of exposition, we will use the term Arms to refer to

those weapons that fall within the scope of the Second

Amendment.

3 See Matthew Seelinger, The M28/M29 Davy Crockett Nuclear

Weapon

System,

The

Army

Historical

Foundation,

App-7

however, lie between these extremes. The State of

Illinois, in the legislation that lies at the heart of these

cases, has decided to regulate assault weapons and

high-capacity magazines—a decision that is valid only

if the regulated weapons lie on the military side of that

line and thus are not within the class of Arms

protected by the Second Amendment. Several

municipalities have done the same. The plaintiffs in

these cases challenge that conclusion. Using the tools

of history and tradition to which the Supreme Court

directed us in Heller and Bruen, we conclude that the

state and the affected subdivisions have a strong

likelihood of success in the pending litigation. We

therefore affirm the decisions of the district courts in

appeals No. 23-1353 and 23-1793 refusing to enjoin

these laws, and we vacate the injunction issued by the

district court in appeals No. 23-1825, 23-1826, 231827, and 23-1828.

I.

Background

A. The Act

At the center of these appeals lies a new statute

in Illinois that took effect on January 10, 2023—a

measure called the Protect Illinois Communities Act,

Pub. Act 102-1116 (2023) (“the Act”). Some of the

consolidated cases also implicate three municipal laws

that cover much of the same ground, though the

details vary: Cook County Ordinances No. 54-210 to

54-215; City of Chicago Municipal Ordinances 8-20https://armyhistory.org/the-m28m29-davy-crockett-nuclearweapon-system/; see also Jeff Schogol, The Story of the ‘Davy

Crockett,’ a Nuclear Recoilless Rifle Once Fielded by the US Army,

Task & Purpose (Sept. 19, 2022), https://taskandpurpose.com/history/army-davy-crockett-tactical-nuclear-weapon/.

App-8

010 to 8-20-100; and City of Naperville Ordinances

No. 3-19-1 to 3-19-3. We make note of the municipal

laws only when their specific pro-visions affect our

analysis. For the interested reader, the chart in the

Appendix to this opinion summarizes the relevant

differences among these enactments.

The Act is a sprawling piece of legislation made

up of 99 sections that cover a vast array of regulatory

and record-keeping matters, along with the provisions

of interest here. The Act’s wide scope led to a challenge

in Illinois’s courts for failing to comply with state-law

requirements such as the single-subject rule, the

three-readings requirement, and the ban on special

legislation. See Caulkins v. Pritzker, 2023 IL 129453

(Aug. 11, 2023). The state supreme court upheld the

Act against those contentions, and it also ruled that

the Act did not violate the state constitution’s equal

protection clause. It did not reach any argument about

the Second Amendment, because it found that the

plaintiffs had waived any reliance on that theory. The

plaintiffs in these cases have not argued that the Act

is invalid under state law.

The critical part of the Act for our purposes is its

treatment of so-called assault weapons and largecapacity magazines. Those sections institute

something close to a ban on “assault weapons,”

through the Act’s general prohibitions of the sale,

possession, and use of a defined set of weapons. The

Act also bans large-capacity magazines. The plaintiffs

have not specified exactly which provisions of the Act

they believe are unconstitutional under the Second

Amendment, but we assume that their principal

targets are 720 ILCS 5/24-1.9 and 5/24-1.10. Section

App-9

5/24-1.9 addresses the “[m]anufacture, possession,

delivery, sale, and purchase of assault weapons, .50

caliber rifles, and .50 caliber cartridges,” and section

5/24-1.10 deals with “[m]anufacture, delivery, sale,

and possession of large capacity ammunition feeding

devices.”

The Act defines “assault weapon” using language

that is largely borrowed from the expired Federal

Assault Weapons Ban, which was a subsection of the

Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of

1994, Pub. L. No. 103-322, 108 Stat. 1796. 4 The Illinois

Act bans certain semiautomatic rifles and pistols. A

semiautomatic rifle falls under the Act’s proscriptions

if it has the capacity to accept a detachable magazine

and one or more of the following features: a pistol grip

or thumbhole stock; any feature capable of functioning

as a protruding grip for the non-trigger hand; a

folding, telescoping, thumbhole, or detachable stock or

a stock that otherwise enhances the concealability of

the weapon; a flash suppressor; a grenade launcher; or

a barrel shroud. 720 ILCS 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(A). The

definition also includes a semiautomatic rifle with a

fixed magazine capacity of greater than 10 rounds,

except those that accept only .22 caliber rimfire

ammunition. Id. 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(B). Finally, there is a

lengthy list of particular models that fall within the

scope of the statute. See 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(J). Subpart

(i) of that section covers all AK weapons, and subpart

(ii) covers all AR types. In the remainder of this

opinion, we will refer often to the AR-15 as a

paradigmatic example of the kind of weapon the

4 The more formal name of the relevant part of the law was the

Public Safety and Recreational Firearms Use Protection Act.

App-10

statute covers. We use it only illustratively, however;

our analysis covers everything mentioned in the Act.

The Act makes it unlawful for any person within

Illinois knowingly to “manufacture, deliver, sell,

import, or purchase ... an assault weapon, assault

weapon attachment, .50 caliber rifle, or .50 caliber

cartridge.” Id. 5/24-1.9(b). (Unless the context requires

otherwise, from this point we use the term “assault

weapon” to cover all four covered items, in the interest

of readability.) With some exceptions, the Act also

makes it unlawful as of January 1, 2024, for any

person within the state knowingly to “possess an

assault weapon.” Id. 5/24-1.9(c).

There are two significant exceptions to these

prohibitions. Using the terminology the Supreme

Court of Illinois adopted in Caulkins, the first is for

“trained professionals” and the second is for

“grandfathered individuals.” 2023 IL 129453 at ¶ 1.

The list of trained professionals, set forth in 5/241.9(e), includes peace officers; qualified active and

retired law-enforcement officers; prison wardens and

“keepers”; members of the Armed Services, Reserves,

or Illinois National Guard; nuclear facility guards; and

licensed private security personnel. Id. 5/24-1.9(e)(1)(7). The “grandfather” provision can be found at 5/241.9(d). It states that the Act’s prohibitions do “not

apply to a person’s possession of an assault

weapon ... if the person lawfully possessed” that

weapon as of the effective date of the law and then the

person “provide[s] in an endorsement affidavit, prior

to January 1, 2024, under oath or affirmation” certain

specified information to the Illinois State Police. Id.

5/24-1.9(d)(1)-(3). A completed endorsement affidavit

App-11

“creates a rebuttable presumption that the person is

entitled to possess and transport the assault weapon.”

Id. 5/24-1.9(d), at ¶ 2. The Act restricts the places

where authorized persons may possess their weapons

to the following: (1) private property owned or

controlled by the person; (2) other private property,

with the express permission of the owner or controller; (3) premises of a licensed firearms dealer or

gunsmith for lawful repairs; (4) licensed firing ranges

or sport shooting competition venues; and (5) in

transit to or from any of those locations, if the weapon

is unloaded and in a container. Id. 5/24-1.9(d), at

¶ 3(1)-(5). The parties have not focused on these

locational restrictions, and so neither will we.

Section 5/24-1.10 sets out the rules for largecapacity ammunition feeding devices. They are

defined as a magazine (or similar mechanism) that can

accept “more than 10 rounds of ammunition for long

guns and more than 15 rounds of ammunition for

handguns.” Id. 5/24-1.10(a), at ¶ 3(1). This provision

also grandfathers in those who lawfully possessed a

large-capacity magazine before the effective date of

the Act, so long as the device is used in a permitted

place. Id. 5/24-1.10(d). It has an analogous set of

exceptions for trained professionals. Id. 5/24-10(d), at

¶ 1.

Broadly speaking, violations of the assaultweapon ban are classified as felonies when the

violation involves guns or gun parts, and as

misdemeanors when the violation involves .50 caliber

cartridges. Id. 5/24-1(b).

App-12

B. The Lawsuits

The ink was barely dry on the pages of the Act

when litigation began. Before us now are six related

cases, in which 26 plaintiffs have challenged the Act

and the three municipal ordinances we mentioned

earlier. All of the challengers contend that the

legislation in question violates their Second

Amendment right to keep and bear Arms. A brief

review of the individual cases should help keep the

issues straight.

1.

Bevis v. City of Naperville (No. 232353)

This case, filed in the Northern District of Illinois,

was brought by three parties: (1) Robert Bevis, a

Naperville resident and owner of Law Weapons, Inc.;

(2) Law Weapons, Inc., a commercial firearms store in

Naperville; and (3) the National Association for Gun

Rights. We refer to them collectively as Bevis. Once

the suit was filed and landed in Judge Kendall’s court,

Bevis’s first step was to seek a preliminary injunction

against both the Naperville ordinance and the Act.

They were unsuccessful. Applying the standard fourpart test for preliminary injunctions established in

Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 555

U.S. 7, 20 (2008), Judge Kendall decided that the

plaintiffs were unlikely to succeed on the merits. This

would have been an easy conclusion under our

decision in Friedman v. City of Highland Park, 784

F.3d 406 (7th Cir. 2015), but the judge was concerned

that Friedman’s methodology may have been

undermined by Bruen, and so she undertook a fresh

analysis of the merits using only Bruen. (We address

Friedman’s continuing vitality below.)

App-13

Judge Kendall’s efforts convinced her that “[t]he

history of firearm regulation ... establishes that

governments enjoy the ability to regulate highly

dangerous arms (and related dangerous accessories).”

Bevis v. City of Naperville, No. 22 C 4775, 2023 WL

2077392, at *14 (N.D. Ill. Feb. 17, 2023). She took

particular note of longstanding regulations on Bowie

knives and other “melee weapons.” Id. at *10-11. Next,

she found that as-sault weapons fit within this

tradition because they pose “an exceptional danger”

compared with “standard self-defense weapons such

as handguns.” Id. at *14. Critically for our purposes,

after citing statistics about the lethality and injury

rates of assault weapons, id., she highlighted the fact

that “[a]ssault rifles can ... be easily converted

to ... mimic military-grade machine guns,” id. at *15.

Quoting from the Fourth Circuit, she observed that

the very features that qualify a firearm as a

banned assault weapon—such as flash

suppressors, barrel shrouds, folding and

telescoping stocks, pistol grips, grenade

launchers, night sights, and the ability to

accept

bayonets

and

large-capacity

magazines—serve specific, combat-functional

ends.

Id. (quoting Kolbe v. Hogan, 849 F.3d 114, 137 (4th

Cir. 2017) (en banc), abrogated on other grounds by

Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2126-27) (cleaned up). Finally, the

judge noted that the high-capacity magazines

exhibited similar dangers. Id.

This was enough, in her view, to show that the

plaintiffs were not likely to succeed on the merits.

Quickly looking at the other three criteria for a

App-14

preliminary injunction, she also found that without a

presumption of irreparable harm related to the alleged

Second Amendment violation, plaintiffs could not

satisfy that factor. Bevis had not shown that the gun

shop would lose substantial sales because of the two

laws, and the organizational members retained other

effective weapons for self-defense. Id. at *16. Finally,

Judge Kendall concluded that neither the balance of

equities nor the public interest favored plaintiffs

sufficiently to overcome the inadequate showing on

the other issues. Id. at *17.

2.

Herrera v. Raoul (No. 23-1793)

The plaintiff in our next case, Javier Herrera, is a

Chicago emergency room doctor who owns several

assault weapons and large-capacity magazines. After

the Act was passed, he filed a suit seeking both a

temporary restraining order and a preliminary

injunction against the Act, the Chicago ordinance, and

the Cook County ordinance. Unlike Bevis, he also

challenged the Act’s registration requirements

(through which the grandfathering provisions are

administered). This case was assigned to Judge

Jenkins, who largely agreed with the reasoning in

Bevis. See Herrera v. Raoul, No. 23 CV 532, 2023 WL

3074799 (N.D. Ill. Apr. 25, 2023). She rejected

Hererra’s attempt to distinguish Bevis on the ground

that his suit focused on the defense of his home, rather

than on the public-carry right. Although she

recognized that the analogies to Bowie knives and

melee weapons were not perfect, she noted that Bruen

did not demand a “dead ringer” or a “historical twin,”

especially if there are “‘dramatic technological

changes’ or ‘unprecedented societal concerns’ [that]

App-15

may re-quire a ‘more nuanced approach.’” Id. at *7, *9

(quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133, 2132).

With respect to the need to register a covered

weapon in order to take advantage of the Act’s

grandfathering provision, Judge Jenkins first assured

herself that the question was ripe even though

Herrera had not yet taken steps to register his guns.

Id. at *8. Herrera made clear that he intended to

disobey that law, that his intended conduct “[ran]

afoul of a criminal statute,” and that the effective date

of the registration requirement was “sufficiently

imminent.” Id. (quotations omitted). On the merits,

however, she concluded that Herrera was un-likely to

succeed because historical evidence showed that the

“colonies required gun registration in a variety of

ways,” such as colonial “muster” requirements and a

variety of tax requirements, “which in essence

required that firearms be identified and disclosed to

the government.” Id. at *9. She also took note of

several 19th- and 20th-century laws as evidence of a

“continuing tradition of state and national

registration requirements.” Id. She found support for

her ruling in the Bruen Court’s comment that “nothing

in our analysis should be interpreted to suggest the

unconstitutionality of existing ‘shall-issue’ licensing

laws.” Id. at *10 (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2138 n.9

(cleaned up)).

Although lack of likely success on the merits

pointed strongly toward denial of preliminary

injunctive relief, Judge Jenkins also looked briefly at

the other three factors and found that they pointed in

the same direction. She rejected the argument that

there is an established presumption of irreparable

App-16

harm for all Second Amendment challenges. Id. at *11.

She was also unpersuaded by Herrera’s argument that

the laws prevented him from protecting himself in his

home and at-tending his monthly SWAT training

(because of the commute time to retrieve his assault

weapons from an out-of-county location). Herrera

owned other compliant guns suitable for self-defense,

and he had managed the commute since 2018. Id. at

*12. Lastly, she found that neither the public interest

nor the equities pushed the needle far enough to

justify an injunction. Id. at *13.

3.

Barnett v. Raoul (No. 23-1825)

The perspective reflected in the third case, which

arose in the Southern District of Illinois, is quite

different from the first two. In Barnett and the three

other cases that were consolidated with it, the

plaintiffs included individual gun owners, commercial

firearms dealers, and various organizations devoted to

protecting and enhancing Second Amendment rights.

Like their counterparts in the Northern District, these

plaintiffs sought a preliminary injunction against the

Act. Unlike the others, they succeeded. Judge

McGlynn concluded that because the plaintiffs had

brought a facial challenge to the Act, “the entirety of

[the Act] as codified will be enjoined.” Barnett v.

Raoul, No. 3:23-cv-00209-SPM (Lead Case), 2023 WL

3160285, at *2 (S.D. Ill. Apr. 28, 2023). (We put to one

side the fact that there are many provisions of the Act

that have nothing to do with gun ownership or

regulation. See generally Pub. Act 102-1116 (2023).

Presumably the judge did not mean to enjoin them,

but if that is so, then the injunction does not comply

with Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 65. That rule

App-17

requires an injunction to indicate clearly what is

forbidden or mandated—a rule necessitated by the

fact that injunctions are enforceable by contempt. We

need not explore this further, given our ultimate

conclusion in these appeals.)

With obvious reference to the two sections of the

Act that address assault weapons and high-capacity

magazines, Judge McGlynn chose to start with the

issue of irreparable injury, rather than likelihood of

success on the merits. He found that there is a

presumption of irreparable harm when plaintiffs

mount a facial challenge under the Second

Amendment, and even if there were not, these

plaintiffs had shown irreparable injury because the

restrictions on their ability to buy or sell the weapons

and accessories covered by the Act limited their right

to armed self-defense. 2023 WL 3160285, at *4-5.

The judge then moved on to likelihood of success

on the merits. He rejected the defendants’ arguments

that many of the Act’s provisions regulated only

accessories (such as threaded barrels and pistol grips),

which in themselves were not the Arms protected by

the Second Amendment. Those items were “important

corollar[ies] to the meaningful exercise of the core

right to possess firearms for self-defense.” Id. at *8

(quoting Ezell v. City of Chicago, 651 F.3d 684, 708

(7th Cir. 2011)). He then moved on to consider whether

the Act was “consistent with this Nation’s historical

tradition of firearm regulation.” Id. at *9. For this

purpose, he assigned to the defendants the burden of

“(1) demonstrat[ing] that the ‘arms’ in [the Act] are not

in ‘common use;’ and (2) ‘identify[ing] a wellestablished and representative historical analogue’ to

App-18

[the Act].” Id. (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2128,

2133). He rejected the defendants’ argument that the

weapons had to be in common use for self-defense. The

defendants failed to carry their burden, he held,

because they “focused almost entirely on AR-15 rifles

and their commonality or lack thereof” instead of the

many other weapons and accessories covered by the

Act. Id. at *10. Accepting an argument of the plaintiffs

in the cases now before us (as well as their amici

curiae), the judge held that AR-15s and large-capacity

magazines are “in common use” because a large

number of people own them. Id.

Wrapping up, the judge characterized the

defendants’ proposed historical analogues as inapt,

because they were simply concealed-carry regulations,

not outright bans on possession. Id. at *11. The

balance of harms, in his view, decidedly favored the

plaintiffs, as (in his words) “there can be no harm to a

government agency when it is prevented from

enforcing an unconstitutional statute,” id. (cleaned up

and quotation omitted), and he saw no evidence in the

record indicating how the Act would help Illinois

communities. He noted that the Act “was purportedly

enacted in response to the Highland Park [mass]

shooting,” id. at *12, but that fact was not enough to

overcome the injury it inflicted.

II. Governing Law

A. Preliminary Injunction Standard

As our account of the proceedings in the district

courts shows, we are not here today to rule definitively

on the constitutionality of the Act or any of the

municipal ordinances. The only issue before us

concerns preliminary injunctive relief. The Bevis and

App-19

Herrera courts denied motions for such an injunction,

which would have suspended the operation of 720

ILCS 5/24-1.9 and 5/24-1.10 (and the corresponding

Naperville, Chicago, and Cook County ordinances),

and the Barnett court granted the injunction

(ostensibly against the entire Act, as we mentioned).

We entered a stay of the Barnett injunction pending

the resolution of these interlocutory appeals, which

are authorized by 28 U.S.C. § 1292(a)(1); the order

stipulated that the stay would remain in effect “until

these appeals have been resolved and the court’s

mandate has is-sued.”

As we mentioned earlier, the leading Supreme

Court decision establishing the standard for granting

preliminary injunctive relief is Winter v. Natural

Resources Defense Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7 (2008). The

Court summarized the pertinent requirements as

follows:

A plaintiff seeking a preliminary injunction

must establish that he is likely to succeed on

the merits, that he is likely to suffer

irreparable harm in the absence of

preliminary relief, that the balance of

equities tips in his favor, and that an

injunction is in the public interest.

Id. at 20. It elaborated on these factors in a later case

dealing with the criteria for staying a court decision,

Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418 (2009), noting there that

“[t]here is substantial overlap between [the criteria for

a stay] and the factors governing preliminary

injunctions.” Id. at 434 (citing Winter, 555 U.S. at 24).

The two most important considerations are likelihood

of success on the merits and irreparable harm. Id.

App-20

With respect to the former, the Court said that “[i]t is

not enough that the chance of success on the merits be

‘better than negligible.’” Id. (quoting and disapproving

Sofinet v. INS, 188 F.3d 703, 707 (7th Cir. 1999)). Nor

is a mere possibility enough. Id. As we put it in Illinois

Republican Party v. Pritzker, 973 F.3d 760, 763 (7th

Cir. 2020), although the party seeking the injunction

need not demonstrate likelihood of success by a

preponderance of the evidence, that party must

nevertheless make a “strong” showing that reveals

how it proposes to prove its case. Similarly, a mere

possibility of irreparable harm will not suffice. See

Nken, 556 U.S. at 434-35; Winter, 555 U.S. at 22.

Decisions such as Winter and Nken reflect the fact

that “[a] preliminary injunction is an extraordinary

remedy never awarded as of right.” Winter, 555 U.S.

at 24. The party seeking the injunction bears the

burden of showing that this type of relief is warranted.

Nken, 556 U.S. at 433-34. We must also bear in mind,

when a party is seeking to enjoin a statute, that

legislative enactments are entitled to a presumption

of constitutionality. See Flemming v. Nestor, 363 U.S.

603, 617 (1960) (quoting Fletcher v. Peck, 10 U.S. (6

Cranch) 87, 128 (1810)). Though we carefully evaluate

any claim that a statute violates the Constitution, we

assume that the legislative body—whether Congress

or a state legislature—was aware of constitutional

limitations and endeavored to follow them.

Finally, we note that a hybrid standard of review

applies to interlocutory review of a preliminary

injunction: “we review the district court’s findings of

fact for clear error, its legal conclusions de novo, and

its balancing of the factors for a preliminary injunction

App-21

for abuse of discretion.” Doe v. University of Southern

Indiana, 43 F.4th 784, 791 (7th Cir. 2022) (brackets

and quotation omitted).

B. The Second Amendment

The basic contours of the second article of the Bill

of Rights have become familiar, and so we will only

summarize them here. In a crisp, if not enigmatic,

way, it says this: “A well regulated Militia, being

necessary to the security of a free State, the right of

the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be

infringed.” U.S. Const. amend. II. For many years,

both the Supreme Court and scholars thought that

there was a relation between the prefatory clause,

which refers to the Militia, and the operative clause,

which refers to the right to keep and bear Arms. See,

e.g., Robert H. Bork, Slouching Towards Gomorrah:

Modern Liberalism and American Decline 166 (rev.

ed. 2003). But in Heller the Supreme Court severed

that connection. Undertaking its own examination of

the events that led up to the Amendment’s inclusion

in the Constitution, it concluded that the Amendment

recognized an individual right to keep and bear Arms.

At the same time, Heller held that “[l]ike most

rights, the right secured by the Second Amendment is

not unlimited.” 554 U.S. at 626. It continued as

follows:

From Blackstone through the 19th-century

cases, commentators and courts routinely

explained that the right was not a right to

keep and carry any weapon whatsoever in

any manner whatsoever and for whatever

purpose.

App-22

Id. This opened up new frontiers of litigation: Which

weapons are covered? What manner of “keeping and

bearing” is protected? What purpose must or may the

user have? Which people hold this right? The Heller

Court recognized that there was much left to be

resolved. It did give some hints, however. One

important tea leaf for present purposes was its refusal

to endorse the idea that the Amendment protects “only

those weapons useful in warfare.” Id. at 624. It called

this a “startling reading,” since that would have

implied that machineguns—quintessential weapons

used exclusively by the military, not private citizens—

could not be regulated, in the face of the National

Firearms Act’s restrictions on those weapons. Id.; see

also Pub. L. No. 73-474, 48 Stat. 1236 (1934).

Perhaps the most important expansion of Heller

occurred in McDonald, in which the Supreme Court

confirmed that the Second Amendment, like the First,

Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, and Eighth Amendments, applies

to the states through incorporation pursuant to the

Fourteenth Amendment. See 561 U.S. at 750. The late

date of the McDonald decision—2010—explains why

there are so few cases exploring the Second

Amendment implications of state laws regulating

weapons from the time the Amendment became part

of the Constitution (1791) to the present. Under the

view that prevailed until McDonald, the states were

free to regulate weapons in any way compatible with

their own constitutions. See generally Jeffrey S.

Sutton, 51 Imperfect Solutions: States and the Making

of American Constitutional Law (2018). And they did

so in countless ways—a point of some significance

when we come to consider the history and tradition of

regulation in this area.

App-23

After McDonald, most courts of appeals adopted a

two-step test for legality under the Second

Amendment. See, e.g., Ezell, 651 F.3d at 702-03. Step

one asked whether the “challenged firearms law

regulates activity falling outside the scope of the

Second Amendment right as it was understood

[historically].” Id. If the regulated activity was

unprotected, then the law in question was not subject

to further Second Amendment review. If, however,

history showed that the activity was protected, or the

evidence was inconclusive, step two called on the court

to balance the public benefit the government was

seeking to achieve against the regulatory means it

selected, using a form of heightened scrutiny. Id. at

703.

Some courts, including our own, steered clear of

that two-step approach. That explains the path we

chose in Friedman, which dealt with exactly the same

issue we face now: a ban on assault weapons and

large-capacity magazines. Although the district court

in Bevis thought that the reasoning in Friedman

might not have survived Bruen, we see Friedman as

basically compatible with Bruen, insofar as Friedman

anticipated the need to rest the analysis on history,

not on a free-form balancing test.

After briefly reviewing the holdings in Heller and

McDonald, Friedman turned to the question of the

scope of the individual right to keep and bear Arms. It

began by summarizing the Court’s own historical

analysis in Heller:

[The Court] cautioned against interpreting

the [Heller] decision to cast doubt on

“longstanding prohibitions,” including the

App-24

“historical tradition of prohibiting the

carrying of ‘dangerous and unusual

weapons.’” [554 U.S.] at 623, 627. It observed

that state militias, when called to service,

often had asked members to come armed with

the sort of weapons that were “in common use

at the time”, id. at 624, and it thought these

kinds of weapons (which have changed over

the years) are protected by the Second

Amendment in private hands, while militarygrade weapons (the sort that would be in a

militia’s armory), such as machine guns, and

weapons especially attractive to criminals,

such as short-barreled shotguns, are not. Id.

at 624-25.

784 F.3d at 407-08. The plaintiffs in Friedman had

contended that “there is no ‘historical tradition’ of

banning possession of semi-automatic guns and largecapacity magazines.” Id. at 408. But, we observed,

“this argument proves too much: its logic extends to

bans on machine guns, ... [but] Heller deemed a ban on

private possession of machine guns to be obviously

valid.” Id. (citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 624). That was so

even though states “didn’t begin to regulate private

use of machine guns until 1927,” and the federal

government did not do so until 1934. Id.

The critical question of “[h]ow weapons are sorted

between private and military uses,” we noted, “has

changed over time.” Id. Anticipating Bruen, we

rejected a historical focus on the 1920s, when these

bans started to come into existence, and turned

instead to the time of the Second Amendment’s

adoption. Id. With respect to the common ownership

App-25

and use question, we cautioned against circular

reasoning:

Machine guns aren’t commonly owned for

lawful purposes today because they are

illegal; semi-automatic weapons with largecapacity magazines are owned more

commonly because, until recently (in some

jurisdictions), they have been legal. Yet it

would be absurd to say that the reason why a

particular weapon can be banned is that there

is a statute banning it, so that it isn’t

commonly owned. A law’s existence can’t be

the source of its own constitutional validity.

Id. at 409. 5 We were not persuaded by the plaintiffs’

efforts to put semiautomatic weapons on the “private”

or “mixed” side of the line between private or mixed

private/military weapons, on the one hand, and

weapons exclusively for military use, on the other. We

were reluctant to place semiautomatic weapons in the

former category for the simple reason that the Heller

Court had not done so. Instead, in distinguishing

United States v. Miller, 307 U.S. 174 (1939), we

reaffirmed “the rule that the Second Amendment does

not authorize private persons to possess weapons such

as machine guns and sawed-off shotguns that the

government would not expect (or allow) citizens to

bring with them when the militia is called to service.”

784 F.3d at 408.

5 The dissent embraces the reasoning we rejected in Friedman;

it asserts that circularity concerns are more hypothetical than

actual.

App-26

Conspicuously absent from our Friedman

analysis is any hint of the two-part test that Bruen

disapproved. We looked instead to the type of Arms

that the Second Amendment has always protected for

private use and contrasted them with weapons

reserved for military use. We expressly declined to

subject Highland Park’s law to means-end scrutiny.

Id. at 410. Instead, we said, “we think it better to ask

whether a regulation bans weapons that were common

at the time of ratification or those that have ‘some

reasonable relationship to the preservation or

efficiency of a well regulated militia,’ ... and whether

law-abiding citizens retain adequate means of selfdefense.” Id. (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 622 (quoting

Miller, 307 U.S. at 178)). This approach, we believe, is

consistent with the methodology approved in Bruen.

Pointing to Wilson v. Cook County, 937 F.3d 1028

(7th Cir. 2019) (per curiam), the dissent sees

Friedman differently. It notes that one can find

language in Wilson that characterizes Friedman as

“evaluat[ing] the importance of the reasons for the

[assault weapons ban] to determine whether they

justified the ban’s intrusion on Second Amendment

rights.” 937 F.3d at 1036. But this language is pure

dicta. It may represent the Wilson panel’s attempt to

put a gloss on Friedman, but it did not change the

actual legal test that Friedman applied. The issue in

Wilson, recall, was whether Friedman could be

reconciled with Ezell, which struck down Chicago’s

ban on firing ranges within city limits. See id. at 1035.

On that issue, Wilson found that “Friedman fits

comfortably under the umbrella of Ezell” and that it

“represents the application and extension of its

principles to the specific context of a ban on assault

App-27

weapons and large-capacity magazines.” Id. at 1036.

Indeed, Wilson is notable for what it did not say: it

never said that Friedman had used intermediate

scrutiny or means-end balancing; and it did not depict

Friedman as evaluating only the importance of the

reasons behind the ordinance at issue there. The

fleeting reference to the city’s reasons for adopting the

ordinance, in short, was not part of the panel’s

reasoning, and so, while certainly disapproved in

Bruen, does not undermine the central analysis in the

case.

We have now referred many times to Bruen, and

finally, it takes center stage. Rejecting the two-part

test adopted by the courts of appeals (which it derided

as having “one step too many,” 142 S. Ct. at 2127), the

Bruen Court elaborated on the test that Heller

requires. See 142 S. Ct. at 2129-30. First, it said, the

trial court must decide whether “the Second

Amendment’s plain text covers an individual’s

conduct.” Id. If so, then “the Constitution

presumptively protects that conduct.” Id. at 2130. The

analysis then moves to the second step, which calls on

the “government [to] justify its regulation by

demonstrating that it is consistent with the Nation’s

historical tradition of firearm regulation.” Id. The

Court predicted that this second step would be

relatively easy in some instances, when historical

analogues are easy to find. But in other instances, it

recognized that the task would be challenging. It

singled out “cases implicating unprecedented societal

concerns or dramatic technological changes,” which

“may require a more nuanced approach.” Id. at 2132.

App-28

Bruen also confirmed some additional points that

inform our analysis. First, the Court said (not for the

first time) that the Arms protected by the Second

Amendment are not limited to those that were in

existence at the time of its ratification, 1791, or at the

time the Fourteenth Amendment took effect, 1868. Id.

Second, the search is for a historical regulation that is

relevantly similar, not identical. Bearing in mind that

“the central component” of the Second Amendment

right is individual self-defense, id. at 2133 (quoting

McDonald, 561 U.S. at 767 (emphasis in original)), the

question is whether the modern and historical

regulations “impose a comparable burden on the right

of armed self-defense and whether that burden is

comparably justified,” id. And the Court made it clear

that this search was a meaningful one, not just a

subterfuge for either upholding or striking down all

modern laws:

[A]nalogical reasoning under the Second

Amendment is neither a regulatory straightjacket nor a regulatory blank check. On the

one hand, courts should not uphold every

modern law that remotely resembles a

historical analogue, because doing so risk[s]

endorsing outliers that our ancestors would

never have accepted. On the other hand,

analogical reasoning requires only that the

government identify a well-established and

representative historical analogue, not a

historical twin. So even if a modern-day

regulation is not a dead ringer for historical

precursors, it still may be analogous enough

to pass constitutional muster.

App-29

Id. (quotation and citation omitted, and second

alteration and emphases in original). Finally, the

Court’s decision in Bruen builds on, rather than

disturbs, Heller and McDonald. See id. at 2157 (Alito,

J., concurring); id. at 2161 (Kavanaugh, J.,

concurring). Justice Alito in particular took care to

make this point when he wrote “[n]or does [Bruen]

decide anything about the kinds of weapons that

people may possess.” Id. at 2157 (Alito, J., concurring).

Bruen simply “made the constitutional standard

endorsed in Heller more explicit” and applied it to the

handgun regulation at issue. Id. at 2134.

Our task is to apply Bruen’s methodology to the

four laws before us. We begin by assessing whether

the assault weapons and large-capacity magazines

described in those laws are Arms for purposes of the

Second Amendment. If not, then the Second

Amendment has nothing to say about these laws:

units of government are free to permit them, or not to

permit them, depending on the outcome of the

democratic process. If they are properly characterized

as Arms, then we must proceed to Bruen’s second step,

at which the governments bear the burden of proof,

and determine whether these laws pass muster.

III. Application to the Cases

A. Are the Covered Weapons “Arms”?

We begin by looking at the “plain text” of the

Second Amendment to see whether the assault

weapons and large-capacity magazines (terms that

we, like the parties, continue to use as short-hand for

the many items covered by these laws) fall within the

scope of the “Arms” that individual persons are

entitled to keep and bear. Both Supreme Court

App-30

decisions and historical sources indicate that the Arms

the Second Amendment is talking about are weapons

in common use for self-defense. That is not to say that

there are no other lawful uses for weapons—sporting

uses, collection, and competitions come to mind as

examples. But the constitutional protection exists to

protect the individual right to self-defense, and so that

will be our focus.

Our starting point is, once again, Heller. It began

by interpreting the object of the Second Amendment

right: Arms. See 554 U.S. at 581. It is worth a close

look at this part of the opinion:

The 18th-century meaning is no different

from the meaning today. The 1773 edition of

Samuel Johnson’s dictionary defined “arms”

as “[w]eapons of offence, or armour of

defence.” 1 Dictionary of the English

Language 106 (4th ed.) (reprinted 1978).

Timothy Cunningham’s important 1771 legal

dictionary defined “arms” as “any thing that

a man wears for his defence, or takes into his

hands, or useth in wrath to cast at or strike

another.” 1 A New and Complete Law

Dictionary; see also N. Webster, American

Dictionary of the English Language (1828)

(reprinted 1989) (similar).

The term was applied, then as now, to

weapons that were not specifically designed

for military use and were not employed in a

military

capacity.

For

instance,

Cunningham’s legal dictionary gave as an

example of usage: “Servants and labourers

shall use bows and arrows on Sundays, &c.

App-31

and not bear other arms.” ... Although one

founding-era thesaurus limited “arms” (as

opposed to “weapons”) to “instruments of

offence generally made use of in war,” even

that source stated that all firearms

constituted “arms.” 1 J. Trusler, The

Distinction Between Words Esteemed

Synonymous in the English Language 37 (3d

ed. 1794) (emphasis added).

554 U.S. at 581-82 (first emphasis and ellipsis added,

and

“hereinafter”

parentheticals

omitted).

Summarizing, the Court said that “the Second

Amendment extends, prima facie, to all instruments

that constitute bearable arms.” Id. at 582.

But what exactly falls within the scope of

“bearable” Arms? Not machineguns, the Court said,

because they can be dedicated exclusively to military

use. See id. at 624. Yet a normal person can certainly

pick up and carry a machinegun, or for that matter the

portable nuclear weapons we mentioned at the outset.

“Bearable” thus must mean more than “transportable”

or “capable of being held.” See id. at 627 (discussing

“weapons that are most useful in military service—

M16 rifles and the like,” which “may be banned”).

The Court’s comments about the role of the militia

shed light on the scope of the term “Arms.” It

explained that “[t]he traditional militia was formed

from a pool of men bringing arms ‘in common use at

the time’ for lawful purposes like self-defense.” Id. at

624. It then concluded that “the Second Amendment

does not protect those weapons not typically possessed

by law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes, such as

short-barreled shotguns. That accords with the

App-32

historical understanding of the scope of the right.” Id.

at 625 (emphasis added). We take from this that the

definition of “bearable Arms” extends only to weapons

in common use for a lawful purpose. That lawful

purpose, as we have said several times, is at its core

the right to individual self-defense.

This approach is consistent with the historical

antecedents on which the Second Amendment was

based. Chief among those was the 1689 English Bill of

Rights, which is a key precursor to the bills of rights

in the U.S. state and federal constitutions. The 1689

Bill of Rights “explicitly protected a right to keep arms

for self-defense.” McDonald, 561 U.S. at 768.

Similarly, Blackstone explained that at the root of the

right to bear arms, there is a “natural right of

resistance and self-preservation,” and “the right of

having and using arms for self-preservation and

defence.” Heller, 554 U.S. at 594 (quoting 1 William

Blackstone, Commentaries *139, *140). State

constitutional protections from the Founding Era

confirm this understanding. As Heller observed, “nine

state constitutional provisions written in the 18th

century or the first two decades of the

19th ... enshrined a right of citizens to bear arms in

defense of themselves and the state or bear arms in

defense of himself and the state.” 554 U.S. at 584-85,

585 n.8 (citing the state constitutions of Pennsylvania,

Vermont, Kentucky, Ohio, Indiana, Mississippi,

Connecticut, Alabama, and Missouri) (quotations

omitted).

In order to show a likelihood of success on the

merits, the plaintiffs in each of the cases before us thus

have the burden of showing that the weapons

App-33

addressed in the pertinent legislation are Arms that

ordinary people would keep at home for purposes of

self-defense, not weapons that are exclusively or

predominantly useful in military service, or weapons

that are not possessed for lawful purposes. This search

for the correct meaning of “Arms” for the Second

Amendment is consistent with our approach to its

companions in the Bill of Rights. When interpreting

the text of a constitutional provision or a statute, we

often resort to contemporaneous dictionaries or other

sources of context to ensure that we are understanding

the word in the way its drafters intended. In Fourth

Amendment cases, we ask whether the place or item

searched falls within the Amendment’s scope. See,

e.g., California v. Ciraolo, 476 U.S. 207, 213-14 (1986)

(aerial view of backyard). For purposes of the Sixth

Amendment, before we apply the Confrontation

Clause we must ensure that a particular statement

was testimonial. See, e.g., Ohio v. Clark, 576 U.S. 237,

243-44, 247 (2015) (child’s responses to questions from

a teacher). The famous Fifth Amendment right

against compulsory self-incrimination attaches only if

the person is in custody, despite no mention of custody

in the “plain text” of the Amendment. See, e.g., New

York v. Quarles, 467 U.S. 649, 654 (1984).

We find substantial support for the proposition

that the Arms protected by the Second Amendment do

not include weapons that may be reserved for military

use. We already have pointed to language in the

Supreme Court’s opinions to this effect. 6 The dissent,

6 We note, too, that this court was not the first to observe the

line that Heller recognized, and which was applied to the states

in McDonald. For example, over a decade ago, and three years

App-34

relying heavily on Staples v. United States, 511 U.S.

600 (1994), contends that the Court has already

decided that the AR-15 is in common use, and thus

that the weapon is presumptively immune from

regulation. See post at 67. We see no such holding in

Staples. That case had nothing to do with the Second

Amendment, which is mentioned nowhere in the

opinion. The Court handed down the Staples decision

five months before Congress enacted the Federal

Assault Weapons Ban, when as a matter of federal law

it was lawful to own an AR-15. (We assume that this

statute is of little relevance to our historical inquiry,

given the Supreme Court’s insistence that the

relevant time to consult is 1791, or maybe 1868, not

the late 20th century.) The status of the AR-15 at the

time Staples was decided provides a ready explanation

for why the Court asserted (with no empirical support)

that the AR-15 is among the weapons that have been

“widely accepted as lawful possessions.” 511 U.S. at

612. Interestingly, the Staples Court contrasted the

AR-15s with grenades, the possession of which it said

“is not an innocent act.” Id. at 610 (quotation omitted).

It said the same about “machineguns, sawed-off

shotguns, and artillery pieces.” Id. at 611. Overall, we

before Friedman, one scholar of the Second Amendment wrote

that “Heller and McDonald … focused on the right of a lawabiding person to have a handgun in his or her home for selfprotection,” but “[n]either case foreclosed reasonable gun

regulations,” including “bans on military weapons wholly

unnecessary for ordinary self-defense,” “limits on the size of gun

clips,” and “registration and permit requirements.” See Akhil

Reed Amar, Gun Control After Newtown (Dec. 26, 2012),

reprinted in The Constitution Today: Timeless Lessons for the

Issues of Our Era 230, 231 (2016).

App-35

see nothing in Staples that decides whether the

Second Amendment protects AR-15s, though we do

find much in the opinion that reinforces the line we

discern from Heller, and which is confirmed by history.

When we compare the AR-15s and other

semiautomatic weapons covered by the Act and its

counterparts, we come to the same conclusion. Indeed,

we asked the plaintiffs at oral argument to explain

what distinguishes AR-15s from M16s, the military’s

counterpart that is capable of both fully automatic

operation and semiautomatic operation. The question

is important precisely because Heller itself stated that

M16s are not among the Arms covered by the Second

Amendment; they are instead a military weapon. See

554 U.S. at 624, 627.

The plaintiffs’ responses to our question were

unconvincing. They argued, for instance, that civilians

do not regard machineguns as useful for self-defense,

but that is because they cannot purchase

machineguns. It is not too much of a stretch to think

that some people might like the fully automatic

feature of a machinegun, if they were hoping to defend

their families, their property, and themselves from

invaders. The plaintiffs also noted that machineguns

are more expensive than semiautomatic weapons, but

we cannot believe that an item’s entitlement to

constitutional protection depends on its price. Finally,

with a nod to the “lawful use” criterion, the plaintiffs

said that when machineguns were available to

civilians (early in the 20th century), they were

primarily used by criminals. But this tells us nothing

App-36

about how use of those guns would have evolved, had

they remained legal and readily available. 7

Coming directly to the question whether the

weapons and feeding devices covered by the

challenged legislation enjoy Second Amendment

protection, at the first step of the Bruen analysis, we

conclude that the answer is no. We come to this

conclusion because these assault weapons and highcapacity magazines are much more like machineguns

and military-grade weaponry than they are like the

many different types of firearms that are used for

individual self-defense (or so the legislature was

entitled to conclude). 8 Indeed, the AR-15 is almost the

same gun as the M16 machinegun. The only

meaningful distinction, as we already have noted, is

that the AR-15 has only semiautomatic capability

(unless the user takes advantage of some simple

modifications that essentially make it fully

automatic), while the M16 operates both ways. Both

7 It appears that there is a large and growing demand for guns

in general. Since 1986, the number of guns manufactured each

year has almost quadrupled, from around 3 million in 1986 to

almost 11 million in 2013. See Scott Horsley, Guns in America,

by the Numbers, NPR (Jan. 5, 2016), https://www.npr.org

/2016/01/05/462017461/guns-in-america-by-the-numbers. There

is no reason to think that machineguns would not have followed

the same pattern, had they been lawful in civilian hands.

8 Obviously, many weapons are “dual use”: private parties have

a constitutionally protected right to “keep and bear” them and

the military provides them to its forces. In this sense, there is a

thumb on the scale in favor of Second Amendment protection.

When we refer to “military” weapons here, we mean weapons that

may be essentially reserved to the military.

App-37

weapons share the same core design, and both rely on

the same patented operating system. 9

The similarity between the AR-15 and the M16

only increases when we take into account how easy it

is to modify the AR-15 by adding a “bump stock” (as

the shooter in the 2017 Las Vegas event had done) or

auto-sear to it, thereby making it, in essence, a fully

automatic weapon. In a decision addressing a ban on

bump stocks enacted by the Maryland legislature,

another federal court found that bump-stock devices

enable “rates of fire between 400 to 800 rounds per

minute.” Maryland Shall Issue v. Hogan, 353 F. Supp.

3d 400, 404 (D. Md. Nov. 16, 2018) (quotation omitted).

To the same effect, the Fourth Circuit noted that “[t]he

difference between the fully automatic and

semiautomatic versions of [the AR-15 and AK-47] is

slight. That is, the automatic firing of all the

ammunition in a large-capacity thirty-round

magazine takes about two seconds, whereas a

semiautomatic rifle can empty the same magazine in

as little as five seconds.” Kolbe, 849 F.3d at 125. The

District of Columbia Circuit also noted that “semiautomatics ... fire almost as rapidly as automatics.”

Heller v. District of Columbia, 670 F.3d 1244, 1263

(D.C. Cir. 2011), on remand from Heller, 554 U.S. 570;

see also ATF Ruling 2006-2, at 2 (Dec. 13, 2006)

(discussing a device (apparently the “Akins

Accelerator,” an early bump-stock device) that “is

9 See Armalite, Inc., Technical Note 54: Direct Impingement

Versus Piston Drive (July 3, 2010), available at

https://wayback.archive-it.org/all/20120905024032/http://www.

armalite.com/images/Tech%20Notes%5CTech%20Note%2054,%

20Gas%20vs%20Op%20R od%20Drive,%20020815.pdf.

App-38

advertised to fire approximately 650 rounds per

minute”).

There are a few other differences between the AR15 and the M16, but none that is relevant. The M16

has an automatic firing rate of 700 rounds per minute,

while the AR-15 has a semiautomatic rate of “only”

300 rounds per minute—unless, as we have just noted,

it is modified with, for example, a bump stock or a

“binary” trigger, which can double the rate at which

semiautomatic weapons can be fired. Both models use

the same ammunition, deliver the same kinetic energy

(1220-1350 foot-pounds), the same muzzle velocity

(2800-3100 feet per second), and the same effective

range (602-875 yards). And these comments apply

with equal force to the high-capacity handguns that

are restricted by these laws. The latter are almost

indistinguishable from the 17- or 21-round M17 and

M18 pistols that are standard-issue in the military.

But what about the possibility that the AR-15

(and its many cousins covered by the Act) as sold is an

Arm, even though simple modifications can transform

it into a military weapon? On the one hand, this might

support an argument against the Act, which focuses

initially on the product as sold. On the other hand,

there is a serious question whether the legislature

sought to prevent users from deconstructing weapons

into (or assembling weapons from) their constituent

parts in order to evade the core regulation. If the AR15 by itself is not a machinegun because it fires “only”

at the rate of 300 rounds per minute, and the autosear is also not a machinegun because it is just a

component that holds a hammer in the cocked

position, that would be a road map for assembling

App-39

machineguns and avoiding legitimate regulations of

their private use and carry. A question of this nature

is raised in VanDerStok v. Garland, No. 4:22-cv00691-O, 2023 WL 4539591 (N.D. Tex. June 30, 2023),

appeal docketed, No. 23-10718, 2023 WL 4945360 (5th

Cir. July 24, 2023), and stay pending appeal granted

sub nom. Garland v. Vanderstok, No. 23A82, 2023 WL

5023383 (U.S. Aug. 8, 2023), where the Supreme

Court has issued a stay of a district court’s order

vacating a federal “ghost gun” regulation, 87 Fed. Reg.

24652 (Apr. 26, 2022). See also Garland v. Blackhawk

Mfg. Grp., Inc., No. 23A302, 2023 WL 6801523 (U.S.

Oct. 16, 2023) (vacating a second injunction limited to

the parties).

Neither the parties nor the evidence before us

addressed these points, but the district courts may

explore them as the cases move forward. Better data

on firing rates might change the analysis of whether

the AR-15 and comparable weapons fall on the

military or civilian side of the line. We note in this

connection that it is one thing to say that the AR-15 is

capable of firing at a rate of 300 rounds per minute

and the comparable rate for the M16 is 700 rounds per

minute, but quite another to address actual firing

capacity, which accounts for the need to change

magazines. No one here has suggested that the M16

comes with a 700-round magazine, or for that matter

that the AR-15 comes with a 300-round magazine.

Either one must be reloaded multiple times to fire so

many rounds. Factoring in the reloading time, the

record may show that the two weapons differ more—

or less—than it appears here.

App-40

Turning now to large-capacity magazines, we

conclude that they also can lawfully be reserved for

military use. Recall that these are defined by the Act

as feeding devices that have in excess of 10 rounds for

a rifle and 15 rounds for a handgun. Anyone who

wants greater firepower is free under these laws to

purchase several magazines of the permitted size.

Thus, the person who might have preferred buying a

magazine that loads 30 rounds can buy three 10-round

magazines instead.

Based on the record before us, we are not

persuaded that the AR-15 is materially different from

the M16. Heller informs us that the latter weapon is

not protected by the Second Amendment, and

therefore may be regulated or banned. Because it is

indistinguishable from that machinegun, the AR-15

may be treated in the same manner without offending

the Second Amendment.

We conclude this portion of the opinion by

stressing again that this is just a preliminary look at

the subject. That assessment persuades us, as it did

Judges Kendall and Jenkins, that the plaintiffs have

not shown a strong likelihood of success on the merits.

But, as we previously have recognized, Second

Amendment challenges to gun regulations often

require more evidence than is presented in the early

phases of litigation. See Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th

1018, 1023-25 (7th Cir. 2023) (vacating the district

court’s order dismissing a Second Amendment

challenge to a federal statute and remanding with a

list of specific questions to consider as the case

proceeded). There thus will be more to come, and we

do not rule out the possibility that the plaintiffs will

App-41

find other evidence that shows a sharper distinction

between AR-15s and M16s (and each one’s relatives)

than the present record reveals.

B. Historical Tradition

Although we are satisfied that these appeals can

be resolved at the first step of the Bruen framework—

are the weapons among the Arms protected by the

Second Amendment—for the sake of completeness we

now turn to the question whether, if the weapons

covered by the statutes before us ought to be

considered bearable “Arms,” the laws nonetheless

pass muster under Bruen’s second step. In short, are

these laws consistent with the history and tradition of

firearms regulation? Here, too, at the preliminary

injunction stage, we conclude that the plaintiffs have

not shown the necessary likelihood of success on the

merits.

In discussing whether these assault weapons and

large-capacity magazines are Arms protected by the

Second Amendment, we have (as instructed by Bruen)

confined ourselves to textual considerations. There is

another aspect of the Bruen framework, which is

whether the regulated weapons are “in common use.”

There is no consensus on whether the common-use

issue belongs at Bruen step one or Bruen step two. The

plaintiffs argue that it belongs at the second step. We

will assume (without deciding the question) that this

is a step two inquiry, where the state bears the burden

of proof. Even with that leeway, we do not find this

factor to be very helpful.

In this respect, we find the analysis in Friedman

to be particularly useful, and unlike the district

courts, we do not believe that the relevant portion was

App-42

undermined by Bruen. We recognized in Friedman

that “common use” is a slippery concept. Suppose, for

example, a new type of handgun is introduced to the

market on January 1, 2024. As of that day, zero guns

of that type have been sold. Yet if its characteristics

are analogous to those of the many other types of

handguns available for consumers, no one would say

that this new handgun was not within the class of

Arms protected by the Second Amendment. At the

other end of the spectrum, consider the actual case of

machineguns, which for a time were available for

civilian purchase, but which were eventually

withdrawn from that market. However popular

machineguns might have been, either in organized

crime circles or more generally, because their

characteristics were military in nature, the decision to

reserve them to military use was within the power of

the legislature.

The dissent repeatedly makes the point that the

assault weapons covered by the challenged legislation

are obviously in common use, because there are so

many in private hands. Indeed, the dissent’s

argument boils down to two propositions: first, it

contends that the fact that many people own as-sault

weapons insulates them from regulation; and second,

it makes the surprising assertion that assault

weapons are not particularly dangerous. The latter

proposition finds no empirical support in the record,

and the former, as we will explain, does not carry the

day.

The plaintiffs present basically the same

argument. One brief asserts that at least 20 million

AR-15s and similar rifles are owned by some 16

App-43

million citizens (though they do not specify how many

of these owners would fall within the large carveout

created by the grandfather and the trained

professional exceptions to the Act). The plaintiffs also

assert that at least 150 million magazines with a

capacity greater than 10 rounds have been bought for

private use. (The state criticizes these numbers for

being based, it says, on “an unpublished, non-peerreviewed paper recounting an online survey that does

not disclose its funding or measurement tools.” We

have no need for present purposes to resolve that

dispute.) Cook County offers a different perspective,

noting that of all the firearms in the country, only

5.3% are assault weapons, and that percentage

includes those held by law-enforcement agencies. One

is reminded of Mark Twain’s apocryphal remark,

“There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and

Statis-tics.”

For the reasons set forth in more detail in

Friedman, we decline to base our assessment of the

constitutionality of these laws on numbers alone. Such

an analysis would have anomalous consequences. The

problem with this approach can be seen in the case of

the AR-15. When, in 1994, the Federal Assault

Weapons Ban made civilian possession of AR-15s

(among other assault weapons) unlawful, see Pub. L.

No. 103- 322, § 110102, 108 Stat. 1796, 1996, few

civilians owned AR-15s. But in 2004, after the

legislation was allowed to expire pursuant to its

sunset provision, id. § 110105(2), 108 Stat. at 2000,

these weapons began to occupy a more significant

share of the market. Indeed, most of the AR-15s now

App-44

in use were manufactured in the past two decades. 10

Thus, if we looked to numbers alone, the federal ban

would have been constitutional before 2004, but

unconstitutional thereafter. This conclusion is

essential to the plaintiffs’ position, yet it lacks both

textual and historical provenance.

As this example illustrates, the idea of “common

use” cannot be severed from the historical scope of the

common-law right that the Second Amendment was

designed to protect against encroachment. In other

words, the relevant question is what are the modern

analogues to the weapons people used for individual

self-defense in 1791, and perhaps as late as 1868. This

would exclude the weapons used exclusively by the

military—and every Framer of the Second

Amendment was well aware by 1791 that the King of

England had an im-pressive standing army, and that

such weapons existed. The weapons used for selfdefense are the ones that Heller, McDonald, Caetano,

and Bruen had in mind—not a militaristic weapon

such as the AR-15, which is capable of inflicting the

grisly damage described in some of the briefs.

Bruen recognized that even Arms (i.e., nonmilitaristic weapons) may be regulated, as long as the

regulation is “part of an enduring American tradition

of state regulation.” 142 S. Ct. at 2155. A regulation is

a part of this tradition if one can provide answers to

two questions: (1) how, and (2) why, does a given

10 See Aaron O’Neill, Annual Share of AR-15 Assault Rifles in

the Total Number of Firearms Manufactured in the United States

from 1990 to 2020, Statista (June 2, 2023), https://www.

statista.com/statistics/1388010/share-ar-15-united-statesfirearm-production-historical/.

App-45

regulation “burden a law-abiding citizen’s right to

armed self-defense”? Id. at 2133. With respect to the

“how” question, judges are instructed to consider

“whether modern and historical regulations impose a

comparable burden” on that right. Id. For all its

disclaiming of balancing approaches, Bruen appears to

call for just that: a broader restriction burdens the

Second Amendment right more, and thus requires a

closer analogical fit between the modern regulation

and traditional ones; a narrower restriction with less

impact on the constitutional right might survive with

a looser fit. It is at this stage that many courts, as well

as the state parties here, point to the long-standing

tradition of regulating the especially dangerous

weapons of the time, whether they were firearms,

explosives, Bowie knives, or other like devices. (The

regulations we list below are representative of this

tradition.) The dissent cannot deny that regulation

existed; it relies only on the fact that the particulars

of those regulations varied from place to place, and

that some were more absolute than others. But the

same is true in our case. The laws before us have one

huge carve-out: people who presently own the listed

firearms or ammunition are entitled to keep them,

subject only to a registration requirement that is no

more onerous than many found in history. In addition,

as we noted at the outset, the laws do not purport to

regulate many other special uses. This is enough, in

our view, to satisfy the “how” question Bruen

identified.

The “why” question is another one that at first

blush seems hard to distinguish from the discredited

means/end analysis. But we will do our best. Bruen

makes clear that the question whether a burden is

App-46

“comparably justified” cannot be answered by pointing

to the gravity of the harms the legislation was

designed to avert and the appropriateness of the

mechanism they adopt. See id. at 2133, 2129. The

dissent chooses to take a purposive approach to this

question: what were the reasons motivating the

historical regulations, and do they map well onto the

reasons behind the modern law? We confess to some

skepticism about any test that requires the court to

divine legislative purpose from anything but the

words that wound up in the statute. Legislator A may

have had one goal; Legislator B may have had

another; and Legislator C might have agreed to vote

for one bill in exchange for a reciprocal vote for

Legislator D’s pet project later. That is why, as the

author of Heller reminded us, “The text is the law, and

it is the text that must be observed.” Antonin Scalia,

A Matter of Interpretation 22 (1997).

The best one can say is that if the text of the

legislation evinces its purpose (perhaps in an

introductory Statement of Purpose, which many bills

contain, or in some other prefatory provision), that is

a valid source to consult in answering the “why”

question. When we consult the text of the Act, we find

the best indication of its purpose in its name: “Protect

Illinois Communities Act.” See Pub. Act. 102-1116, at

§ 1 (2023). Cf. Johnson v. Robison, 415 U.S. 361, 377

(1974) (noting that the name of a statute can

emphasize its purpose). Historical regulations show

that at least since the Founding there has been an

unbroken tradition of regulating weapons to advance

similar purposes.

App-47

Once again, the dissent cannot dispute the

existence of this enduring American tradition. It tries

to escape it, asserting that “stop[ping] a mass casualty

event,” or perhaps “stopping escalating gun violence,”

is the purpose of the statute, post at 71, 74, yet it

points to nothing in the Act that supports either of

these specific characterizations. To be sure, the

dissent notes that the bill enacted by the City of

Naperville recites a few of the many mass shootings

that have occurred during the last decade. See post at

71 n.13. 11 But the bill also expressly states that the

purpose of the ordinance is to protect public health,

safety, and welfare. See City of Naperville, Ill.,

Ordinance No. 22-099, at 4 (Aug. 16, 2022). The massshooting details appear to be nothing more than

particular examples illustrating that broader purpose.

The state’s attorney also informs us that the

legislation was enacted after the Highland Park July

4 massacre. But we have not rested our opinion on this

point, because in our view it comes too close to the

means/end scrutiny that Bruen rejected. In any event

we do not think it is appropriate to rely on

extratextual considerations to answer the “why”

question. The issue, whether we separate out “how”

and “why” or we consider them a unified test, is

whether the tools the legislature used were limited to

those that the Second Amendment left for it, after (as

the Court said in Heller, 554 U.S. at 635, and Bruen,

11 Indeed, the dissent relies solely on the municipal bill’s

recitations as proof of the state statute’s purpose. It is quite the

puzzle to try to square this interpretive method with the dissent’s

lengthy criticism of our brief invocation of the name of the Act.

See post at 63-65.

App-48

142 S. Ct. at 2133 n.7) the Second Amendment itself

performed the necessary means/ends balancing. As we

have explained, we think that the legislatures

involved here did stay within those boundaries.

Harking back to our examination of covered Arms,

we find the distinction between military and civilian

weaponry to be useful for Bruen’s second step, too.

Both the states and the federal government have long

contemplated that the military and law enforcement

may have access to especially dangerous weapons, and

that civilian ownership of those weapons may be

restricted. 12 Many other weapons remain that are

more universally available. That is enough to assure

us that we are not creating some unbounded “military

veto” over the types of Arms that can be regulated.

History and tradition leave no doubt that certain

weaponry is for the state only: weapons such as the

grenades, the machineguns, the artillery pieces, and

the like mentioned in Staples. See 511 U.S. at 611-12.

(And recall that the laws before us carve out not only

the military, but police and security forces too, from

their coverage.) And, as we now show, the distinction

between the two uses is one well rooted in our history.

We realize that all guns are dangerous when used as

intended: a gunshot wound may be fatal or life-threatening. The

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimate that 48,830

people died as a result of a firearm in 2021. See Centers For

Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health

Statistics:

All

Injuries

(Sept.

13,

2023),

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/injury.htm. But the record

indicates that there are important differences in the lethality of

the military-grade weapons, as compared with guns that are

commonly owned and used for self-defense and other lawful

purposes.

12

App-49

The following examples suffice to make the point:

•

In 1746, Boston outlawed the discharging of

any cannon, gun, or pistol within city limits,

but it explained that soldiers were still

permitted to discharge weaponry on their

training days. See Chapter 11—An Act to

Prevent the Firing of Guns Charged with

Shot[t] or Ball in the Town of Boston, §§ 1-3, in

3 The Acts and Resolves of the Province of the

Massachusetts Bay 1742-1756, at 309 (1878).

•

Other cities, such as Cleveland, Ohio,

implemented similar ordinances throughout

the 19th century, again exempting military

companies during drills. See Chapter 33—Fire

Arms, §§ 417-423, in Ordinances of the City of

Cleveland 136-37 (H.L. Vail & L.M. Snyder,

eds., 1890).

•

There are dozens of examples of Bowie knife

regulations, forbidding or limiting the use of

these dangerous weapons. Several of those

featured military exceptions. In 1884, for

example, Arkansas outlawed the sale of all

dirks, Bowie knives, cane-swords, metal

knuckles, and pistols, except as for use in the

army or navy of the United States. See

Chapter 53—Carrying Weapons, §§ 19071909, in A Digest of the Statutes of Arkansas

490 (W.W. Mansfield, ed., 1884).

•

Several city ordinances in the late 1800s

followed suit, restricting the carry of a wide

array of dangerous and concealable weapons

(slingshots, metal knuckles, Bowie knives,

daggers, pistols, and clubs), but exempting

App-50

“peace officers” and “conservator[s] of the

peace.” See Chapter 6—Offenses Against the

Peace of the City, § 182, in The Revised

Ordinances of Provo City 106-07 (1877);

Chapter 534—Ordinances of Baltimore,

§ 742A, in The Baltimore City Code 297-98

(John Prentiss Poe, ed., 1893).

•

The federal government continued this

tradition when it began passing gun control

laws. The National Firearms Act of 1934

imposed

taxation

and

registration

requirements on all guns, but it exempted

transfers to the U.S. government, states,

territories, political subdivisions, and peace

officers. See Pub. L. No. 73-474, §§ 1-12, § 13,

48 Stat. 1236, 1236-40, 1240 (1934).

•

Federal restrictions expanded in 1968, when

sale and delivery of destructive devices

(defined as an “explosive, incendiary, or poison

gas bomb, grenade, mine, rocket, missile, or

similar device”) and machineguns were

severely restricted. See Omnibus Crime

Control and Safe Streets Act of 1968, Pub. L.

No. 90-351, § 921(a)(4), § 922(b), 82 Stat. 197,

227, 230 (1968). Once again, these provisions

did not apply to items sold to the United States

or to any individual state. Id. § 925(a), 82 Stat.

at 233.

•

Machineguns were banned by the Firearm

Owners’ Protection Act of 1986. Since then,

civilian ownership has been capped at pre1986 levels and only military and law

enforcement have access to these weapons. See

App-51

Pub. L. No. 99-308, § 102(9), 100 Stat. 449, 453

(1986).

In short, there is a long tradition, unchanged from

the time when the Second Amendment was added to

the Constitution, supporting a distinction between

weapons and accessories designed for military or lawenforcement use, and weapons designed for personal

use. The legislation now before us respects and relies

on that distinction.

IV. Concluding Observations

We conclude with a few remarks about several

additional issues in some of these cases that do not

require immediate attention, and a reminder about

the limits on our ruling.

First, we briefly comment on Herrera’s challenge

to the constitutionality of the registration

requirement that implements the grandfather

exemption. He regards it as a burden on his Second

Amendment rights, and he worries that it may in the

future lead to confiscatory acts on the part of the state.

If we are correct in our prediction that the state will

prevail in its defense of the Act against the Second

Amendment arguments, then the registration

requirement will be valid as long as it can withstand

rational basis review. At this juncture, we see nothing

particularly onerous about it, though as with

everything we have said, this is a preliminary

assessment. Herrera has until the end of 2023 to file

the necessary forms, and if he does so, he may retain

all of the covered weapons he al-ready owns; the Act

will prohibit only his acquisition of additional assault

weapons or high-capacity feeding devices. For its own

reasons, the dissent agrees with us that the

App-52

registration requirement should not be enjoined. See

post at 76.

Second, in this court none of the parties has

developed any coherent argument that would

distinguish restrictions on possession, on the one

hand, from restrictions on sale or manufacture, on the

other. One of the parties in Bevis is a gun store, but

the implications of that have yet to be addressed. We

thus have no comment on it.

Finally, we have no need to decide whether an

alleged Second Amendment violation gives rise to a

presumption of irreparable harm, and if so, whether

any such presumption is rebuttable or ironclad. Given

our decision that the plaintiffs have not shown that

they have a strong likelihood of success on the merits,

we think it best to save this point for another day. We

also have no comment on the other two parts of the

Winter inquiry: where the balance of equities lies, and

what the public interest dictates. 13

We close with an important reminder. Nothing

that we have said here indicates that any state or

municipality must enact restrictions on the ownership

of assault weapons or high-capacity magazines.

Unless preemptive federal legislation requires

13 The governmental parties devoted considerable attention in

their briefs to the horrors of the mass shootings that have

occurred with distressing regularity throughout the country.

Illinois reports that the mass shooting in the town of Highland

Park on July 4, 2022, in which seven people were killed and

another 48 were injured, inspired the Act. We have not relied on

this point, however, because, as we have mentioned, it ap-pears

to depend on the type of means/end analysis that Bruen

disapproved.

App-53

otherwise, this is an issue for the political process in

each jurisdiction. The people of some states may find

the arguments in favor of a lack of restrictions to be

persuasive; the people of other states may prefer

tighter restrictions. As long as those restrictions do

not infringe on the constitutionally protected right to

keep and bear the Arms covered by the Second

Amendment, either choice is permissible. In the cases

now before us, however, the plaintiffs have not shown

a likelihood of success on the merits, based on the fact

that military weapons lie outside the class of Arms to

which the individual right applies.

In Nos. 23-1353 and 23-1793, we AFFIRM the

district courts’ orders denying preliminary injunctive

relief. In Nos. 23-1825, 23-1826, 23-1827, and 23-1828,

we VACATE the district court’s order granting

preliminary injunctive relief. We also confirm that the

stay we issued in these appeals will remain in effect

until our mandate issues.

SO ORDERED.

App-54

(Foldout Next Page)

App-55

Appendix

Jurisdiction

Actions Prohibited

Firearms Covered

Magazines Covered

Illinois

• Manufacture

• Semiautomatic rifles that

have one or more assault

• Rifles—over 10

rounds

• Semiautomatic pistols that

have one or mor assault

weapon-like modifications

• Handguns—over 15

rounds

• Delivery

• Sale

• Purchase

• Possession (pre-existing

possession and private

post-Act use are

permissible if

registration requirement

are met

Naperville

• Commercial sale

• Semiautomatic shotguns with

a revolving cylinder or that

have one or more assault

weapon-like modifications

• Various assault weapons

listed by name

• Semiautomatic rifles that can

accept more than 10 rounds or

that have one or more assault

weapon-like modifications

• Devices that accelerate the

rate of fire of a semiautomatic

rifle

• Various assault weapons

listed by name

N/A

App-56

Cook County

• Manufacture

• Sale

• Offer or display for sale

• Give

• Lend

• Transfer of ownership

• Acquire

• Carry

• Possession

• Semiautomatic rifles that

have one or more assault

weapon-like modifications

• Magazines over 10

rounds

• Semiautomatic pistols that

have one or more assault

weapon-like modifications

• Semiautomatic shotguns with

a revolving cylinder or that

have one or more assault riflelike modifications

• Combination kits from which

an assault weapon can be

assembled

• Various assault weapons

listed by name

Chicago

• Import

• Sale

• Manufacture

• Transfer of ownership

• Possession

• Semiautomatic rifles with the

ability to accept a detachable

magazine and that have one

or more assault weapon-like

modifications

• Semiautomatic rifles that

have a fixed magazine with

the capacity to accept more

than 10 rounds

• Handguns—over 15

rounds

App-57

• Devices that accelerate the

rate of fire of a semiautomatic

rifle

• Shotguns that have one or

more assault weapon-like

modifications

• Various assault weapons

listed by name

App-58

Brennan, Circuit Judge, dissenting.

The Second Amendment “right of the people to

keep and bear Arms” is not a second-class right. Yet

the State of Illinois and several Illinois municipalities

have categorically banned law-abiding citizens from

keeping and bearing a sweeping range of firearms and

magazines. In a remarkable conclusion, the majority

opinion decides that these firearms are not “Arms”

under the Second Amendment. Because the banned

firearms and magazines warrant constitutional

protection, and the government parties have failed to

meet their burden to show that their bans are part of

the history and tradition of firearms regulation,

preliminary injunctions are justified against

enforcement of the challenged laws. I respectfully

dissent.

I

The Protect Illinois Communities Act, Pub. Act

102-1116, challenged in each case before us,

dramatically redefines the legality of firearms and

magazines in Illinois. It goes far beyond the

prohibition of “assault rifles.” The Act eliminates the

ownership, possession, and use for self-defense of

many of the most commonly-owned semiautomatic

handguns, shotguns, rifles, and magazines.

Exceptions to the Act are narrow.

Specifically, the Act covers firearms, magazines,

and an endorsement process for registration. The Act

bans the manufacture, delivery, sale, import, and

purchase of a vast array of weapons, 720 Ill. Comp.

Stat. §§ 5/24-1(a)(16), 75/24-1.9(a), 5/24-1.10(a)-(b),

prohibiting them by their features, by their functions,

and by name. The Act bans semiautomatic rifles with

detachable magazines and one additional qualifying

App-59

attachment, such as a pistol grip or a flash

suppressor. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(A). “[A]ll AR type[]”

rifles are banned, including 43 named variants, such

as the AR-15. The Act further prohibits “copies,

duplicates, variants, or altered facsimiles with the

capability of any such weapon.” Id. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(J)(ii). It also bans almost 100 more rifles by

name. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(J).

The Act restricts various other firearms as well.

For example, a law-abiding citizen in Illinois can no

longer purchase semiautomatic pistols that have “a

fixed magazine with the capacity to accept more than

15 rounds,” regardless of any attachments. Id. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(D). The same goes for a semi-automatic

shotgun with a fixed magazine holding more than five

shells. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(F)(v). The list of restricted

weapons includes nearly all detachable magazines

holding more than 10 rounds of ammunition for long

guns and 15 rounds of ammunition for handguns. Id.

§ 5/24-1.10(a)(1)-(2).

Many

handguns,

the

“quintessential self-defense weapon” for the

American people, District of Columbia v. Heller, 554

U.S. 570, 629 (2008), come standard with magazines

carrying more than 15 rounds. As with semiautomatic

rifles, after banning pistols by their features, the Act

bans “[a]ll AR type[] pistols” and approximately 40

semiautomatic pistols by name. 720 Ill. Comp. Stat.

§ 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(K).

Three municipal laws are also challenged, which

are as or more restrictive than the Act. The City of

Naperville ordinance is similar to the Act in most

respects; both are challenged in Bevis. The Cook

County and City of Chicago ordinances, challenged

along with the Act in Herrera, are even broader. Cook

County bans possession of “assault weapons,” Cook

App-60

County, Ill. Code § 54-211 and § 54-212, which

includes semiautomatic pistols with the capacity to

accept a detachable magazine and contain a

qualifying attachment (such as a muzzle brake). The

City of Chicago ordinance is similar. See Chi. Mun.

Code §§ 8-20-010, 8-20-075, 8-20-085. 1

II

The parties dispute whether the state, county,

and city bans respect the constitutional right to keep

and bear arms. In New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n,

1 The majority opinion uses the phrase “assault weapon” to

simplify the covered arms. The appendix to the majority opinion

uses a variety of terms to summarize the types of arms the four

challenged laws categorically ban.

Still, the description in the appendix of the Act’s ban is

underinclusive in some ways. The Act bans semiautomatic rifles

with fixed magazines over 10 rounds (unless it fires .22 rimfire

and is loaded with a tubular mechanism). Ill. Comp. Stat. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(B). The appendix uses the phrase “[s]emiautomatic

pistols that have one or more assault weapon-like

modifications,” most likely a reference to Ill. Comp. Stat. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(C). More precisely, the Act also bans semiautomatic

pistols with fixed magazines over 15 rounds. Id. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(D). Not included in the appendix are bump stocks and

binary triggers (a device enabling the firing of two-rounds per

trigger pull), which are both prohibited by the Act. Id. § 5/241(a)(14).

The Cook County ordinance mirrors the Act’s prohibitions,

although it is stricter than the Act in that it bans semi-automatic

handguns with fixed magazines over 10 rounds (as opposed to 15

rounds under the Act). Cook County, Ill. Code § 54-211(2).

The City of Chicago ordinance is underinclusive in its

description of the magazines covered. The ordinance prohibits

any magazine holding greater than 15 rounds, encompassing

magazines for all types of firearms (except for attached devices

that only accept and operate with .22 rimfire ammunition), not

just handguns. Chi. Mun. Code § 8-20-010.

App-61

Inc. v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022), the Supreme

Court set forth the framework for addressing those

disputes. Rejecting means-end scrutiny, the Court

held: “When the Second Amendment’s plain text

covers an individual’s conduct, the Constitution

presumptively protects that conduct. The government

must then justify its regulation by demonstrating

that it is consistent with the Nation’s historical

tradition of firearm regulation.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2129-30.

The Second Amendment states in part, “the right

of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be

infringed.” U.S. Const. amend. II. The amendment

presents several conditions for plain text coverage,

which raise questions including:

•

Is the regulated population a covered

“people?” See, e.g., Range v. Att’y Gen.

United States, 69 F.4th 96, 101-03 (3d Cir.

2023) (en banc); United States v.

Sitladeen, 64 F.4th 978, 983 (8th Cir.

2023); and

•

Is the conduct regulated “keep[ing]” or

“bear[ing]” arms? See, e.g., Heller, 554

U.S. at 582-92.

We consider another question: Are the instruments

regulated “Arms”?

“Arms” in the Second Amendment is a broad term

that “covers modern instruments that facilitate

armed self-defense.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2132. The

term “extends, prima facie, to all instruments that

constitute bearable arms, even those that were not in

existence at the time of the founding.” Heller, 554 U.S.

at 582. When the plain text of the Second Amendment

covers an individual’s conduct, then the Constitution

App-62

presumptively protects the conduct. Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

at 2129-30. That presumptive protection is of all

bearable instruments that facilitate armed selfdefense, even those not in existence at the time of the

Founding. Id. at 2132, 2143 (citing Caetano v.

Massachusetts, 577 U.S. 411, 411-412 (2016) (per

curiam), and Heller, 554 U.S. at 627). 2

As an initial matter, magazines—ammunition

feeding devices without which semiautomatic

firearms cannot operate as intended—are “Arms.”

Such devices are required as part of the firing process.

This court has recognized that corollaries to firearms

fall within Second Amendment protection. See Wilson

v. Cook County, 937 F.3d 1028, 1032 (7th Cir. 2019)

(quoting Ezell v. City of Chicago, 651 F.3d 684, 708

(7th Cir. 2011)). Further, the Act’s ban on magazines

holding more than ten rounds for rifles and more than

fifteen rounds for handguns effectively bans firearms

that come standard with magazines over the limit.

As for the broader definition of “Arms,” that term

should be read as “Arms”—not “Arms in common use

at the time.” In Heller, the Supreme Court recognized

a “historical tradition of prohibiting the carrying of

‘dangerous and unusual weapons,’” 554 U.S. at 627,

which may be regulated—a point it re-peated in

Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143.

2 When the Supreme Court issued Bruen, it vacated several

federal appellate decisions upholding gun controls laws,

remanding them for reconsideration. Two of them—Duncan v.

Bonta, 19 F.4th 1087 (9th Cir. 2021), and Ass’n of N.J. Rifle &

Pistol Clubs Inc. v. Att’y Gen. N.J., 974 F.3d 237 (3d Cir. 2020)—

concerned magazine limits of 10 rounds, and Bianchi v. Frosh,

858 F. App’x 645 (4th Cir. 2021) (per curiam) (unpublished),

upheld Maryland’s “assault weapons” ban.

App-63

The Court “did not say that dangerous and

unusual weapons are not arms.” Teter v. Lopez, 76

F.4th 938, 950 (9th Cir. 2023) (emphasis in original)

(ruling that Hawaii statute banning butterfly knives

violated Second Amendment). To be sure, this does

not mean that the Second Amendment bars

governments from regulating weapons long held

improper for civilian use. This reading of Bruen

permits the government, for example, to preclude

civilian ownership of military weaponry when the

history and tradition of weapons regulation so

dictates. As other examples, the government may

prohibit sawn-off rifles and shotguns, which properly

qualify as dangerous and unusual firearms as they

are not ordinarily used by law-abiding citizens. See

Heller, 554 U.S. at 625 (“[T]he Second Amendment

does not protect those weapons not typically

possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes,

such as short-barreled shotguns.”). But that

distinction does not determine whether a weapon is

an “Arm.”

The government parties limit the Second

Amendment right by importing the phrase “in

common use” to assess whether firearms are “Arms.”

But their reading improperly restricts the

constitutional right. The banned firearms propel

bullets by explosive force from gunpowder, yet the

government parties ask us to conclude that these

rifles and pistols are not “Arms.” As one amicus curiae

submitted, “in common use” is a sufficient condition

for finding arms protected under the history and

tradition test in Bruen, not a necessary condition to

find them “Arms.” 3 The nature of an object does not

3 See D.E. 99, Brief for Amici Curiae Idaho, et al., at 6.

App-64

change based on its popularity, but the regulation of

that object can.

The government parties also incorrectly attempt

to place a burden on the plaintiffs to show that the

plain text of “Arms” includes the banned firearms.

Bruen does not say that. Instead, Bruen states that

when the Second Amendment’s text covers an

individual’s conduct, the Constitution presumptively

protects it. 142 S. Ct. at 2126, 2129-30. It is

undisputed that the government then bears the

burden of proof under Bruen’s history and tradition

framework.

Whether a firearm is “in common use” is asked as

part of the history and tradition analysis. At least two

reasons support this reading. First, the “in common

use” test in Bruen is drawn from the “historical

tradition” of restrictions on “dangerous and unusual

weapons.” Id. at 2143. The test is not drawn from a

historical understanding of what an “Arm” is. Id. at

2132. Second, if a weapon is an “Arm,” it is only prima

facie protected by the Second Amendment. Bruen, 142

S. Ct. at 2132 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 582); see

Teter, 76 F.4th at 949-50 (placing “in common use”

test in history and tradition test of Bruen).

The limitation of the Second Amendment right is

addressed in Bruen’s history and tradition test. This

requires the government to identify well-established

and representative historical analogues to show that

the modern regulation is consistent with a historical

tradition of firearms regulation. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2133. In performing this analogical inquiry, it is

critical to fly at the right level of generality. Id.

(“[A]nalogical

reasoning

under

the

Second

Amendment is neither a regulatory straightjacket nor

App-65

a regulatory blank check.”); see J. Harvie Wilkinson,

Cosmic Constitutional Theory 44 (2012). Fly too high,

and we risk any historical firearms regulation

becoming an analogue. Under Bruen, courts must not

“uphold every modern law that remotely resembles a

historical analogue.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133.

(quoting Drummond v. Robinson, 9 F.4th 217, 226 (3d

Cir. 2021)). Fly too low, and we risk myopia—

nitpicking differences because a historical regulation

is not a “dead ringer.” Id. We are looking for “a wellestablished and representative historical analogue,

not a historical twin.” Id.

Before reviewing the approach to decide whether

a regulation is an analogical fit, it helps to address

what history and tradition refer to here. “History”

means that analogous laws must be “longstanding”

and from the relevant “timeframe.” Id. at 2131, 2133

(citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 626). “History” helps

establish the public meaning of the Constitution as

“understood ... when the people adopted” it. Id. (citing

Heller, 554 U.S. at 634-35). The Court tells us that

only two historical timeframes are relevant to the

public understanding of the Second Amendment—the

adoption of the Second Amendment in 1791 and the

ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment in 1868. Id.

at 2136. Laws enacted after the “end of the 19th

century” must be given little weight. Id. at 2136-37

(cleaned up). “Tradition” means that the comparison

must be to laws with wide acceptance in American

society. Id. at 2136. Laws that enjoyed “widespread”

and “unchallenged” support form part of our

tradition. Id. at 2137.

In Bruen, the Court reaffirmed that “individual

self-defense is ‘the central component’ of the Second

Amendment right,” id. at 2133 (citing McDonald, 561

App-66

U.S. at 767 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 599)), and

expressly identified two questions to assess the

analogical strength of a historical regulation: “how

and why the regulations burden a law-abiding

citizen’s right to armed self-defense.” Id. at 2133. Put

another way, how does the regulation limit the

Second Amendment right, and why does it do so?

How. How a historical regulation addressed a

particular problem, or whether it did at all, matters.

“[I]f earlier generations addressed the societal

problem, but did so through materially different

means, that also could be evidence that a modern

regulation is unconstitutional.” Id. at 2131. Whether

a given regulation was ever enforced, and to what

extent, can be relevant here as well. Id. at 2149.

Courts must also evaluate how historical

“regulations burden a law-abiding citizen’s right to

armed self-defense.” Id. at 2133. Modern regulations

that impose a “comparable burden on the right of

armed self-defense” are more likely to be upheld. Id.

In assessing these comparable burdens, we

consider the breadth of the ban and the weapon

banned. For the breadth of the ban, the more

expansive the limitation, the greater the burden on

the Second Amendment right, which necessarily

requires a close analogical fit. For the weapon

banned, the burden on the right to keep and bear

arms necessarily correlates with whether the

prohibited weapon is “in common use at the time” of

regulation. Id. at 2128, 2134, 2143. So, it is natural

that categorical bans of weapons in common use will

require an even stronger analogical fit with historical

regulations. See id. at 2143-44 (rejecting the

analogical value of alleged colonial era categorical

App-67

bans on “dangerous and unusual” weapons because

handguns are “unquestionably in common use

today”).

Why. Why a historical regulation addressed a

particular problem, or whether it did at all, is also key

to evaluating its analogical value. In considering

whether a historical regulation is an analogical fit,

courts are to address whether the modern regulation

and proposed historical analogue have comparable

justifications for burdening the right to bear arms. Id.

at 2133. If the reasons motivating the historical and

modern regulations differ, there is no analogue. See

id. at 2140, 2144. Beyond doubt, this inquiry should

not allow a return to interest balancing. See id. at

2131 (explaining that the Second Amendment itself

“is the very product of an interest balancing by the

people” (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 635)). Rather, the

state’s current rationale for arms regulation only

matters insofar as a historical regulation was

motivated by similar reasons. If not, the analogy fails.

See id. at 2144 (discussing the context of the colonial

New Jersey restrictions, in which land disputes

between planters and the colony’s proprietors caused

planters to carry pistols).

The government can only defend a regulation by

proving it is consistent with this country’s history and

tradition. See Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018,

1020-21 (7th Cir. 2023). Whether that history and

tradition allows regulating firearms in sensitive

places, for the mentally ill, and for felons, is currently

under debate. See, e.g., United States v. Rahimi, 61 F.

4th 443, 460-61 (5th Cir. 2023) (ruling that federal

statute prohibiting possession of firearm by

individual subject to domestic violence restraining

order violates Second Amendment as inconsistent

App-68

with historical tradition), cert. granted 143 S. Ct.

2688.

This understanding of the Bruen framework is

different from that of my colleagues. First, the

majority opinion acknowledges Bruen’s “in common

use” language but criticizes it as spawning

unworkable circularity issues: If the Second

Amendment protects firearms in common use, then

that right would turn on how quickly a state enacts

regulations. If a firearm is outlawed quickly following

its introduction to the market, then it has no chance

of gaining common use and enjoys only limited or no

Second Amendment protection. This cannot be how

the Second Amendment functions, the argument goes,

as the speed of regulation should not bear on an arm’s

constitutionality.

This circularity concern is far less pressing when

the “in common use” language is properly situated.

Because that consideration plays into the history and

tradition analysis—and not the scope of the Second

Amendment’s text—it is not an “on-off” switch for

constitutional protection. Just because a weapon is

not in common use does not mean it falls outside the

text of the Second Amendment; and just because a

weapon is in common use does not necessarily mean

a government is barred from regulating it. Proper

inquiry requires full examination of the government’s

evidence and historical analogues, keeping in mind

that bans of weapons “in common use” are

constitutionally suspect.

The Supreme Court certainly was not worried

about circularity. In Bruen, the Court explicitly

linked the Second Amendment analysis to “in

common use.” See 142 S. Ct. at 2128 (quoting Heller,

App-69

554 U.S. at 629) (explaining that “the Second

Amendment protects only the carrying of weapons

that are those ‘in common use at the time,’ as opposed

to those that ‘are highly unusual in society at large’”).

The Court reasoned that even if handguns were once

“dangerous and unusual,” such firearms “are

unquestionably in common use today” and therefore

receive robust Second Amendment protection. Id. at

2143. In Caetano, the Court addressed Second

Amendment protections for a new electronic weapon.

So many were in circulation (200,000 stun guns, far

fewer than the approximately 25 million AR rifles)

that the electronic weapon was deemed “commonly

possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful

purposes ... .” 577 U.S. at 420. We are not free to

ignore the Court’s instruction as to the role of “in

common use” in the Second Amendment analysis. 4

Next, my colleagues disagree with my approach

to Bruen’s “why” question, raising the specter of

purposivism. The majority opinion urges respect for

the text of a statute alone, which I share. Indeed, a

fair reading of a statute always “requires an ability to

comprehend the purpose of the text, which is a vital

part of its context.” See Antonin Scalia & Bryan A.

Garner, Reading Law: The Interpretation of Legal

Texts 33 (2012); see also John O. McGinnis, The

Contextual Textualism of Justice Alito, 14 Harv. J. L.

& Pub. Pol’y Per Curiam, at 2 (2023) (describing

Justice Alito’s use of context in interpretation). This

is certainly a different task than interpreting a

4 The circularity argument also is not new. See Friedman v.

City of Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406 (7th Cir. 2015). As Judge

Manion explained in dissent, circularity concerns deal in the

hypothetical more than the actual. Id. at 416 n.5.

App-70

statute by reference to the intent of its drafters, which

I agree is an inappropriate job for judges.

Still, Bruen requires us to consider the historical

context giving rise to the statute (the “why”). Bruen

looks at history and tradition to determine “the

content of the preexisting legal right to bear arms.”

Randy E. Barnett & Lawrence B. Solum, Originalism

After Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy, 118 Nw. U. L. Rev.

433, 469 (2023). And Bruen’s history and tradition

approach is a different endeavor than statutory

interpretation.

Often a statute takes center stage for a purpose

other than to discern the scope of its legal rule, even

when determining whether it violates a constitutional

right. See Vill. of Arlington Heights v. Metro. Hous.

Dev. Corp., 429 U.S. 252, 270 (1977) (considering

whether a discriminatory purpose was a motivating

factor in a city’s zoning rules). For example, in Bruen

the Court considered Henry VIII’s “displeasure with

hand-guns” due to his concern that they would

“threaten[] English-men’s proficiency with the

longbow,” which led to Parliament’s passage of

handgun restrictions. 142 S. Ct. at 2140. East New

Jersey prohibited the concealed carry of pocket pistols

in response to “‘strife and excitement’ between

planters and the Colony’s proprietors ‘respecting

titles to the soil.’” Id. at 2143-44. And Heller discusses

the “public-safety reasons” behind several Colonialera individual-arms-bearing statutes. Heller, 554

U.S. at 601.

When looking to the text in its “why” analysis, the

majority opinion relies on the Act’s title, Protect

Illinois Communities Act. Set aside for the moment

that “for interpretive purposes,” courts should only

App-71

rely on titles to “shed light on some ambiguous word

or phrase” in the text. See Trainmen v. Baltimore &

Ohio R. Co., 331 U.S. 519, 529 (1947). Titles and

section headings have a short history in the AngloAmerican interpretive tradition—legislatures did not

always include the title while debating the act. See

Scalia & Garner at 221. If there is serious doubt as to

whether those titles and headings received a fair

shake in the legislative process, relying on them

would make little sense. One influential treatise

implores judges to check a state’s constitution for

provisions that vouchsafe interpretive usefulness on

a statutory title. See id. at 224.

As it turns out, the title of the Protect Illinois

Communities Act has little interpretive utility. The

Illinois Constitution has a provision grounding the

title in the legislative process, but there is serious

doubt whether the legislature obeyed it here. The socalled three-readings clause states: “A bill shall be

read by title on three different days in each house.”

Ill. Const. art. IV, § 8(d). Reading rules exist precisely

to ensure “that each House knows what it is passing

and passes what it wants.” Schwegmann Bros. v.

Calvert Distillers Corp., 341 U.S. 384, 396 (1951)

(Jackson, J., concurring) (explaining that the federal

three-readings rule helps draw a line where debate

ends and drafting begins).

Consider the procedural path of the Act, during

which the Illinois legislature may very well have

ignored the three-readings rule. See Caulkins v.

Pritzker, No. 129453, 2023 WL 5156850, at *17 (Ill.

Aug. 11, 2023) (White, J., dissenting). A group of

firearms owners challenged the Act in Illinois state

court, arguing it violated several provisions of the

Illinois Constitution. Id. at *1. The three-readings

App-72

clause is one of these provisions, and the Supreme

Court of Illinois rejected that claim only because the

plaintiffs failed to cross-appeal it, a jurisdictional

error warranting dismissal. Id. This legislation began

in the Illinois House with the title, “an Act concerning

regulation,” and its synopsis described changes to the

state’s insurance code. Id. at *17 (White, J.,

dissenting). The House read it three times by this

title, then sent it to the Illinois Senate. Id. The Senate

read it twice before the Senate adopted an

amendment that “completely stripped the insurance

provisions[,] ... replaced them with the ‘Protect

Illinois Communities Act[,]’” and added the new bill’s

popular title. Id. The day the legislation became the

“Protect Illinois Communities Act,” the Senate read it

for the first time under the new title and passed it. Id.

The Act was returned to the House the day after that

and passed without a reading. Id. The Illinois

Governor signed it later that day. Id. 5

Though the Act’s possible three-readings problem

bears on neither the Second Amendment question nor

the Act’s legitimacy, it remains a good reason to be

skeptical of the interpretive value of language

extrinsic to the operative text. Instead, I focus on

permissible indicators of meaning.

III

Turning to this interlocutory appeal, the

plaintiffs make a facial challenge to the Act and

ordinances at the preliminary injunction stage.

5 The Illinois Supreme Court decided that the Act does not

violate certain provisions of that state’s constitution. Caulkins,

2023 WL 5156850, at *4-6. The court also ruled that a challenge

based on the federal Second Amendment had been waived. Id. at

*6.

App-73

According to the Supreme Court in Nken v. Holder,

556 U.S. 418, 434 (2009), the two most important

considerations at this stage are likelihood of success

on the merits and irreparable harm. For the reasons

explained below, plain-tiffs have satisfied both

considerations.

A

As for likelihood of success on the merits, the

firearms and magazines banned by the Act and

ordinances are “Arms” under the plain text of the

Second Amendment. These firearms and magazines

are therefore presumptively protected. 6 The

government parties embrace a contrasting, very

narrow view of the scope of the Second Amendment.

They would limit this constitutional right to the facts

in Heller and Bruen. Yet, as examples, the First and

Fourth Amendments would surely not be read in such

a cramped manner.

Under Bruen’s history and tradition test, the

government parties bear the burden to show that the

banned arms are not in common use—or in other

words, are not dangerous and unusual—and to

identify historical analogues. As described above,

Bruen reviewed Heller and set forth its test to

determine if regulations satisfied the “how” and “why”

test. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2128 (citing Heller, 554 U.S.

at 626-34).

The Act and ordinances here do not fall within a

“historical tradition of prohibiting the carrying of

‘dangerous and unusual weapons.’” Heller, 554 U.S. at

6 Debates about grenades or rocket launchers are off subject.

Some military weaponry is covered by federal statute, see 18

U.S.C. ch. 44, which is not challenged here.

App-74

627; see Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143. The banned arms

are “in common use,” including for self-defense,

hunting, and sporting pursuits. Each side chooses its

metric—regulators divide the banned guns by the

total number of firearms, and gun owners use gross

numbers of the banned guns and magazines. Under

either measure, the banned weapons and magazines

meet the definition of “common”: “the quality of being

public or generally used.” Bryan Garner, Garner’s

Dictionary of Legal Usage 179 (Oxford, 3d ed. 2011).

More than 24 million AR rifles are estimated to be in

circulation in this country. 7 Magazines number far

more: in 2020 it was estimated that approximately

160 million pistol and rifle magazines with a capacity

of 11 rounds or more were in U.S. consumer

possession from 1990-2018. 8

Federal courts have recognized that the AR-15

rifle is com-mon. In Staples v. United States, 511 U.S.

600 (1994), the Supreme Court offered comments in

dicta stating how common AR-15s were at that time

in this country. That case, which did not address the

Second Amendment, turned on the question of mens

rea, and the Court decided that to convict a person of

possession of an unregistered machinegun, the

government must prove the defendant knew that it

7 Commonly Owned: NSSF Announces over 24 Million MSRs

in Circulation, Nat’l Shooting Sports Found. (July 20, 2022),

https://www.nssf.org/articles/commonly-owned-nssf-announcesover-24-million-msrs-in-circulation/

[https://perma.cc/2LX6UN3B].

Firearm Production in the United States, Nat’l Shooting

Sports

Found.

7

(2020),

https://www.nssf.org/wpcontent/uploads/2020/11/IIR-2020-Firearms-Production-v14.pdf

[https://perma.cc/3WK8-TVAV] (sum of pistol and rifle

magazines with 11 or more rounds).

8

App-75

would fire automatically. Id. at 619. In Staples, the

Court contrasted the semiautomatic AR-15 with the

automatic M16. Id. at 602 n.1, 603. Acknowledging “a

long tradition of widespread lawful gun ownership by

private individuals in this country,” the Court stated,

“[e]ven dangerous items can, in some cases, be so

commonplace and generally available that we would

not consider them to alert individuals to the

likelihood of strict regulation.” Id. at 610-11. Staples

contrasted ordinary firearms such as the AR-15 in

that case with “machineguns, sawed-off shotguns,

and artillery pieces,” stating “guns falling outside

those categories traditionally have been widely

accepted as lawful possessions.” Id. at 612.

Albeit pre-Bruen, two federal appellate courts

also concluded that AR platform rifles are common.

N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n, Inc. v. Cuomo, 804

F.3d 242, 255 (2d Cir. 2015) (“Even accepting the most

conservative estimates cited by the parties and by

amici, the assault weapons and large-capacity

magazines at issue are ‘in common use’ as that term

was used in Heller.”); Heller v. District of Columbia,

670 F.3d 1244, 1261 (D.C. Cir. 2011) (“We think it

clear enough in the record that semi-automatic rifles

and magazines holding more than ten rounds are

indeed in ‘common use,’ ... .”). The firearms banned by

the Act and ordinances here have achieved common

use in the United States. They are not unusual.

As for magazines, Heller recognizes that

ammunition feeding devices may store rounds in a

way that the ammunition can be used immediately.

554 U.S. at 630. The Act and ordinances limit the

number of rounds a magazine may contain to 10 and

15. Nothing in the record supports these arbitrary

limits. “Large”- or “high”-capacity magazine is a

App-76

relative term, as pistols may ship with magazine sizes

ranging from 5 to 20 rounds, and common self-loading

rifles have a standard mag-azine capacity of between

20 and 30 rounds. 9 The numbers chosen in the Act and

ordinances do not track the gun market and are not

“in common use.”

Even if AR platform rifles were unusual, they are

not more dangerous than handguns. (Recall the test is

“dangerous and unusual.” (emphasis added). See id. at

627; Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143.) The semiautomatic

mechanism in an AR-15 rifle is, in all material respects,

the same as in a semiautomatic handgun. That

mechanism is gas powered, and the impact of the pin

firing the bullet pushes back the lock mechanism, ejects

the old shell, and loads the new round from the

magazine. If Bruen and Heller provide that

semiautomatic handguns do not fail under the

“dangerous” prong, the mechanism in the AR-15 must

survive scrutiny. Indeed, a handgun could be viewed

as more dangerous than an AR-15 rifle because the

handgun is less accurate and more concealable. 10

David B. Kopel, The History of Firearm Magazines and

Magazine Prohibitions, 78 Alb. L. Rev. 849, 874 (2015) (“It is

indisputable in the modern United States that magazines of up

to thirty rounds for rifles and up to twenty rounds for handguns

are standard equipment for many popular firearms.”); id. at 859

(“The most popular rifle in American history is the AR-15

platform, a semiautomatic rifle with standard magazines of

twenty or thirty rounds.”). Springfield, for example, ships a

small handgun with a 5-round magazine. See XD-S Mod.2 OSP

3.3” Single Stack .45 ACP Handgun, Springfield Armory (2023),

https://www.springfield-ar-mory.com/xd-series-handguns/xd-smod-2-osp-handguns/xd-s-mod-2-osp-3-3-single-stack-45-acphandgun [https://perma.cc/64NQ-KRWM].

9

10 One pre-Bruen analysis offered a test for “Arms” consistent

with the elements Heller pointed to: common use, unusualness,

App-77

AR-15s are not more dangerous because of the

projectile used. The regulations challenged here do

not speak to the type of round employed, but to the

capacity of the magazines and the rate of fire. In this

respect, an AR-15 and a semiautomatic handgun are

very similar. Controlling for the same caliber of

round, the difference between a Glock semiautomatic

pistol and an AR-15 is just the stock and barrel

length. Their rate of fire depends on how fast a trigger

can be pulled. On that metric, an AR-15 is closer to a

semiautomatic handgun (protected in Bruen and

Heller) than an automatic rifle such as the M16. 11

Though dangerousness can be measured by many

metrics, it is best to focus on what we know. The

traditional demarcation for regulation has been

between automatic and semiautomatic weapons.

Fully automatic weapons have long been heavily

dangerousness, and use by law-abiding citizens for lawful

purposes. Eugene Volokh, Implementing the Right to Keep and

Bear Arms for Self Defense: An Analytical Framework and a

Research Agenda, 56 UCLA L. Rev. 1443, 1481-82 (2009). Volokh

suggested that “Arms” with the same level of practical

dangerousness as those in common use are protected. Id.

Machineguns fail this test due to their rapid rate of fire and the

difficulty of firing them in a discriminating way. The same with

short-barreled shotguns, which combine the lethality of a

shotgun at the short distance characteristic of a criminal attack,

and the concealability of a handgun. Id. at 1482.

The weapons banned by the Act and the ordinances here have

the same practical dangerousness as those in common use

among law-abiding citizens. See id. at 1485.

11 See Stephen P. Halbrook, America’s Rifle: The Case For the

AR-15, at 9 (2022) (“The features that make an otherwise legal

semiautomatic firearm an ‘assault weapon’ under various laws

do nothing to affect the firearm’s functional operation and, if

anything, promote safe and accurate use.”).

App-78

regulated, and lawfully owned, fully automatic

firearms are very rare and expensive. 12 The Act and

ordinances violate that tradition.

The banned arms are “in common use.” They are

commonly possessed by law-abiding citizens for

lawful purposes, including self-defense. They may be

“dangerous”—as are all firearms—but they are not

“unusual,” and thus would not be within the history

and tradition recognized in Heller of prohibiting

“dangerous and unusual” weapons.

The Act and ordinances burden the rights of

hundreds of thousands of law-abiding citizens to keep

and bear the types of weapons and magazines that

have long been deemed appropriate for self-defense.

This leaves one option for the government parties—

they must identify analogous weapons regulations

from at or near the time of the Founding. These are

the “how” and “why” questions of Bruen’s history and

tradition test—“how” did the regulation burden the

Second Amendment right, and “why” was this

regulation adopted? The government parties offer a

variety of historical regulations on weapons. These

regulations show, they argue, that the Act and

ordinances are consistent with the Nation’s history

and tradition. But the governments’ examples are not

relevantly similar—their “how” and “why” set them

apart from the Act and ordinances here.

The government parties first point to regulations

limiting the public carry of certain weapons, such as

pistols, dirks (a long-bladed dagger), Bowie knives,

and clubs. See, e.g., 1813 Ky. Acts 100 (restricting

See Gary Kleck, Targeting Guns: Firearms and Their

Control 108-10 (1997).

12

App-79

concealed carry of weapons like pocket pistols, dirks,

or swords in a cane, unless the individual was

“travelling on a journey”); 1813 La. Acts. 172; 1819

Ind. Acts 39. But those regulations are limited only to

the public carry of certain weapons. The Act and

ordinances here do more, prohibiting the sale and

eventually the possession of the banned firearms. The

“how” of the current regulations is more burdensome

than historical regulations limiting public carry of

weapons.

The Bowie knife example offered by the

government parties and relied on by the district court

in Bevis falls short as a historical analogue under the

“how” and “why” questions. The Bowie knife was not

categorically banned, just burdened in certain ways.

The “how” is different, as it was taxed, or it could not

be carried. The “why” for the Bowie knife was also

different. The knife was regulated because it was used

in duels, not to stop a mass casualty event—the “why”

proffered here. 13 Laws banning Bowie knives are also

a poor analogue because of what they ban. Guns and

knives present different dangers. Bodily harm is

inflicted up-close and personal with a knife, and from

a distance with a gun. These differences caution that

the “how” and “why” behind historical Bowie knife

regulations are not so comparable to justify the bans

here.

Elsewhere, the government parties note

historical bans on the sale, possession, and carry of

pocket pistols, revolvers, and other kinds of weapons.

13 For example, the Naperville ordinance states its bans are a

direct response to mass shootings over the last decade. See

Naperville, Ill. Mun. Code tit. 3, ch.19 (reciting list of mass

shootings and incorporating them into text of the ordinance).

App-80

Such regulations appear to have been uncommon.

One example is an 1837 Georgia statute stating, “it

shall not be lawful for any merchant ... or any person

or persons whatsoever, to sell, or offer to sell, or to

keep, or to have about their person or elsewhere, any

of the hereinafter described weapons, to wit: Bowie,

or any other kinds of knives, manufactured and sold

for the purpose of weapon, or carrying the same as

arms of offence or defense, pistols, dirks, sword canes,

spears ... save such pistols as are known and used as

horseman’s pistols ... .” 1837 Ga. Acts 90, § 1; see also

1879 Tenn. Pub. Acts 135-36, An Act to Prevent the

Sale of Pistols, chap. 96 § 1; 1881 Ark. Acts 192, An

Act to Preserve the Public Peace and Prevent Crime,

ch. XCVI, § 3.

These regulations also tended to restrict only

unusual kinds of pistols, preserving the right to

continue carrying army or navy pistols. Even more,

Heller, McDonald, and Bruen have solidified the

constitutional right to own and carry handguns, so it

is unclear what insights to draw from these defunct

regulations. The “how” of regulations like the Georgia

statute are thus distinguishable. The current

regulations do far more than limit small, uncommon

handguns or other outlier weapons. They limit access

to many of the most popular models of semiautomatic

rifles, handguns, shotguns, and magazines. The Act

and ordinances therefore impose a far greater burden

on the right to keep and bear arms. If all that is not

enough, the Supreme Court of Georgia declared the

1837 statute unconstitutional to the extent it limited

one’s constitutional right to carry arms openly. See

Nunn v. State, 1 Ga. 243, 251 (1846); Bruen, 142 S.

Ct. at 2147 (discussing Nunn and the 1837 Act).

App-81

Cook County contends that historical regulations

on gunpowder support their current ordinance. The

County argues that the “why” of those regulations is

comparable to the “why” of the Act and the county’s

ordinance—preventing mass casualty events. But the

County’s argument “flies too high.” The “why” of the

gunpowder regulations was to stop fires resulting

from the combustion of stored flammable materials.

Moreover, while gunpowder storage was regulated,

purchasing and possessing gunpowder was not

prohibited. Fire-safety laws do not create a

comparable burden to an absolute ban on arms. See

Heller, 554 U.S. at 632 (“Nothing about those firesafety laws undermines our analysis; they do not

remotely burden the right of self-defense as an

absolute ban on handguns.”). Even more, the Court

rejected this gunpowder analogy in Heller. Id.

(“Justice Breyer cites ... gunpowder-storage laws that

he concedes did not clearly prohibit loaded weapons,

but required only that excess gunpowder be kept in a

special container or on the top floor of the home.

Nothing about those fire-safety laws undermines our

analysis; they do not remotely burden the right of selfdefense as much as an absolute ban on handguns.”).

Various government parties also offer as

historical analogues regulations on trap or spring

guns, fully automatic machineguns, and shortbarreled rifles and shotguns. See, e.g., 18 U.S.C.

§ 922(a)(4) (short-barreled shotguns and rifles); id.

§ 922(o) (machineguns); 1763-1775 N.J. Laws 346, An

Act for the Preservation of Deer and Other Game, and

to Prevent Trespassing with Guns, ch. 539, § 10 (trap

guns). But the “how” and “why” of those restrictions

are materially different as well. Trap or spring guns—

rigged to fire when a string or other device is triggered

App-82

by contact—do not provide a historical analogue. They

fire indiscriminately, and the “why” of banning

them—the imbalance of using lethal force to protect

property versus human life—is different than the

“why” the Act and ordinances seek to address of

stopping escalating gun violence. Just so,

machineguns can expend hundreds more rounds per

second than even the fastest semiautomatic firearm,

disqualifying such a law as an analogue.

The majority opinion also relies on anti-carry

laws as analogues. But the challenged Act and

ordinances ban possession of arms. The distinction

between anti-carry and anti-possession laws is

critical: the first limits only the way a person may use

a firearm in public; the second categorically denies

possession of a firearm for any purpose. To elide this

difference between anti-carry and anti-possession

laws ignores Heller and Bruen. Bruen states that the

“central” consideration in assessing historical

analogues is “whether modern and historical

regulations impose a comparable burden on the right

of armed self-defense and whether that burden is

comparably justified.” 142 S. Ct. at 2133.

This leaves only those regulations restricting

semiautomatic firearms and ammunition feeding

devices, but those regulations all come from the

twentieth century. Even if valid for other reasons,

Bruen states that regulations so far from the time of

the Founding cannot meaningfully inform the history

and tradition analysis. 142 S. Ct. at 2136-37 (“[W]e

must also guard against giving postenactment history

more weight than it can rightly bear.”).

Even if the government parties had identified a

historical analogue that satisfied the “how” and “why”

App-83

inquiries of Bruen’s history and tradition test, a single

such regulation was not enough in that case. 142 S.

Ct. at 2153. In fact, three analogues were not enough

in Bruen. Id. One can ask if there is any “why” in

support of the Act and ordinances that did not also

apply to the ownership and public carry of handguns

in Bruen. If the “how” and “why” of handguns did not

satisfy Bruen, what about these regulations supply a

different “why”? This question was not adequately

answered at oral argument. 14

Because the Act and ordinances fail the “how”

and “why” questions of Bruen, the government parties

have not met their burden that these regulations are

“relevantly similar” to a historical law. Some

hypothetical laws might satisfy the history and

tradition test—say, a law that banned carbine rifles

that hold more than six rounds, or possession of a

pistol that need not be reloaded. Magazines fall

within the category of “Arms,” so banning them must

also satisfy the history and tradition test. For

example, if there had been a historical analogue of “25

or fewer bullets is the number of shots a gun shall

fire,” the government parties might rely on that. But

no such laws have been cited for firearms or

magazines. The government parties have failed to

show that the Act and ordinances are consistent with

the Nation’s history and tradition of firearm

regulation. History and tradition do not support

banning firearms and magazines so many citizens

own, possess, and use for lawful purposes.

To finish up likelihood of success on the merits, I

agree with my colleagues that on this record, the

14 Oral Arg. At 15:20.

App-84

registration requirement does not appear to be

unconstitutional.

B

On the second consideration for a preliminary

injunction, an alleged constitutional violation often

constitutes irreparable harm. See Int’l Ass’n of Fire

Fighters, Loc. 365 v. City of East Chicago, 56 F.4th

437, 450 (7th Cir. 2022); 11A Charles Alan Wright &

Arthur R. Miller, Federal Practice and Procedure

§ 2948.1 (3d ed. 2022) (“When an alleged deprivation

of a constitutional right is involved ... most courts

hold that no further showing of irreparable injury is

necessary.”). For some constitutional violations,

particularly First Amendment violations, irreparable

harm is presumed. Christian Legal Soc’y v. Walker,

453 F.3d 853, 867 (7th Cir. 2006). Although the

Supreme Court has not recognized a presumption of

irreparable harm for Second Amendment violations,

it has emphasized that the constitutional right to bear

arms for self-defense is not “a second-class right,

subject to an entirely different body of rules than the

other Bill of Rights guarantees.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2156 (citing McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S.

742, 780 (2010) (plurality opinion)).

This court has held that when a law is facially

challenged under the Second Amendment, “the form

of the claim and the substance of the Second

Amendment right” create a “harm [that] is properly

regarded as irreparable and having no adequate

remedy at law.” Ezell, 651 F.3d at 699-700. In Ezell,

the court likened the plaintiff’s alleged Second

Amendment harm to a First Amendment challenge,

implying a presumption of irreparable harm. Id. In

accord, the Ninth Circuit has held that there is a

App-85

presumption of irreparable harm where a Second

Amendment right is violated. See Baird v. Bonta, 81

F.4th 1036, 1046 (9th Cir. 2023) (“[W]e presume that

a constitutional violation causes a preliminary

injunction movant irreparable harm and that

preventing a constitutional violation is in the public

interest.”) Pre-Bruen, the D.C. Circuit concluded the

same. See Wrenn v. District of Columbia, 864 F.3d

650, 667-68 (D.C. Cir. 2017).

Accordingly, a violation of the Second

Amendment right presumptively causes irreparable

harm. The Act and other ordinances challenged here

violate the Second Amendment, and thus, irreparable

harm has occurred. The majority opinion does not

speak to irreparable harm.

Neither of the final two preliminary injunction

factors—balance of the equities and what the public

interest dictates—cuts against the plaintiffs. Gunshot

victims and gun owners each claim harms, and what

is in the public interest on questions of gun possession

and ownership is constantly under public debate. So,

I would rule that preliminary injunctions are justified

against enforcement of the challenged laws.

IV

In reaching the opposite result, the majority

opinion applies precedent and reasoning that Bruen

abrogated.

A

Notwithstanding Bruen, the majority opinion

relies on reasoning from this court’s decision in

Friedman v. City of Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406 (7th

Cir. 2015). See also Wilson v. Cook County, 937 F.3d

1028, 1035 (7th Cir. 2019) (relying on Friedman to

App-86

dismiss a Second Amendment challenge to the Cook

County ordinance banning assault weapons and

large-capacity magazines). It is true that the Act

regulates firearms and magazines in substantially

the same way as the ordinances in Friedman

(Highland Park) and in Wilson (Cook County), which

were upheld. Compare 720 Ill. Comp. Stat. §§ 5/241.9(a)(1), 1.10(a) with Friedman, 784 F.3d at 407 and

Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1029-30. As noted in I., the City

of Chicago and City of Naperville ordinances are

functionally similar to the Act and the Cook County

ordinance.

In Friedman, this court announced a unique test

for Second Amendment questions: “whether a

regulation bans weapons that were common at the

time of ratification or those that have ‘some

reasonable relationship to the preservation or

efficiency of a well regulated militia,’ ... and whether

law-abiding citizens retain adequate means of selfdefense.” 784 F.3d at 410. The government parties

assert Friedman focused on the considerations

identified by Heller and Bruen, specifically, historical

evidence and the impact of the regulation on an

individual’s meaningful opportunities for selfdefense. Id.; Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1033. Friedman is

therefore compatible with the constitutional analysis

endorsed by Bruen, the government parties submit,

and Friedman remains good law and should control

the outcome here.

But after Bruen, Friedman’s test is no longer

viable, and much of Friedman is inconsistent with it.

The Second Amendment’s “reference to ‘arms’ does

not apply only to those arms in existence in the 18th

century.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2132 (cleaned up). That

amendment’s operative clause “does not depend on

App-87

service in the militia.” Id. at 2127. Indeed, the dissent

in Bruen admitted that under the majority opinion’s

holding the scope of the right to bear arms has

“nothing whatever to do with service in a militia.” Id.

at 2177-78 (Breyer, J. dissenting). And “the right to

bear other weapons is ‘no answer’ to a ban on the

possession of protected arms.” Caetano, 577 U.S. at

421 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 629).

This court in Friedman based its decision in

substantial part on its view of the benefits of the

ordinance, including that the arms ban reduced

“perceived risk” and “makes the public feel safer.” 784

F.3d at 411-12. But Bruen emphatically rejected this

sort of interest-balancing. 142 S. Ct. at 2127.

Friedman also held that categorical bans may be

proper even if the limits do not “mirror restrictions

that were on the books in 1791.” 784 F.3d 410. The

Bruen decision superseded that, concluding that a

restriction on Second Amendment rights will survive

scrutiny only if “the government identif[ies] a wellestablished and representative historical analogue” to

the regulation. 142 S. Ct. 2133.

Friedman looked to history when it held that a

court must ask whether the arms were common at the

time of ratification. 784 F.3d at 410. But in Bruen, the

Court was clear that “the Second Amendment’s

definition of ‘arms’ ... covers modern instruments that

facilitate armed self-defense,” “‘even those that were

not in existence at the time of the founding.’” 142 S.

Ct. at 2132 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 582); see

Caetano, 577 U.S. at 411-12 (holding lower court’s

decision that arms were unprotected because they

were not in common use at the time of ratification was

“inconsistent with Heller”).

App-88

In Wilson, this court described Friedman as

“evaluat[ing] the importance of the reasons for the

[ban] to determine whether they justified the ban’s

intrusion on Second Amendment rights,” such as the

“‘substantial’ interest[]” in “making the public feel

safer” and “overall dangerousness.” Wilson, 937 F.3d

at 1036. But Bruen rejected that interest-balancing

approach as “inconsistent with Heller’s historical

approach.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2129. Governments

may no longer “simply posit that the regulation

promotes an important interest,” id. at 2126, or

advances a “substantial benefit,” Friedman, 784 F.3d

at 412. Wilson described Friedman’s application of an

interest-balancing test as “intermediate scrutiny,”

Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1036, the approach Bruen

expressly left behind.

Recently, in Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018

(7th Cir. 2023), this court considered the new world

Bruen

presented

for

Second

Amendment

jurisprudence, in the context of possession of a

firearm as a felon. Id. at 1022. There, we declined to

avoid a Bruen analysis by relying on Heller and

instead stated, “[w]e must undertake the text-andhistory inquiry the Court so plainly announced and

expounded upon at great length.” Id. Neither the

majority nor the dissent in Atkinson discussed or even

cited Friedman, although those opinions relied on

other pre-Bruen precedents from our court.

In sum, Bruen effectively abrogated Friedman

and Wilson. The “history and tradition” methodology

of Bruen is not the framework applied in either of

those cases. “Stare decisis cannot justify adherence to

an approach that Supreme Court precedent

forecloses.” Fed. Trade Comm’n v. Credit Bureau Ctr.,

LLC, 937 F.3d 764, 767 (7th Cir. 2019). “When an

App-89

intervening Supreme Court decision unsettles [this

court’s] precedent, it is the ruling of the [Supreme]

Court ... that must carry the day.” United States v.

Wahi, 850 F.3d 296, 302 (7th Cir. 2017). That

happened here, and the district court in Bevis

correctly concluded that Friedman cannot be

reconciled with Bruen. This court should review the

challenged laws under Bruen’s framework, distinct

from any interest-balancing approach, and separate

from the reasoning employed in Friedman and

Wilson.

The majority opinion is correct that Friedman’s

test differs from the two-step interest balancing test

of other courts that Bruen replaced. Nevertheless,

Friedman cites to history to compare the arms the

regulation bans, rather than the regulations

themselves. 784 F.3d at 410. Friedman discusses the

features of the weapons, including whether they are

in common use for militia or police functions. Id. It

also examines the gun’s characteristics—such as its

weight, caliber, and magazine capacity—as

determinative of its value to self-defense. Id. at 411.

Representative of that analysis, the majority opinion

engages in a matching exercise between the AR-15

and the M16, assessing the similarity and differences

of the characteristics of the two firearms.

In stark contrast, in Bruen the Court did not say

“Arms” are defined by using the history and tradition

of military versus civilian weaponry, such as the line

drawn in the majority opinion. Rather, the Court

looked to common usage to define the term “Arms.”

Even more, the assessment in Bruen is whether a

firearm regulation has a historical analogue, 142 S.

Ct. at 2133, not whether a weapon does. Under

Bruen’s framework, courts can entertain the parties’

App-90

arguments as to whether a regulation is a historical

analogue. Per Bruen, whether firearm regulations

were historically grounded in a military versus

civilian distinction is to be performed as part of the

history and tradition analysis, not in the plain text

review, as the majority opinion does.

B

The majority opinion’s reasoning departs from

Bruen in other ways, which I examine next.

1.

A weapon’s military counterpart does

not determine whether it is an “Arm.”

The AR-15 is a civilian, not military, weapon. No

army in the world uses a service rifle that is only

semiautomatic. 15 Even so, the majority opinion uses a

civilian firearm’s military counterpart to determine

whether it is an “Arm.” But neither Heller nor Bruen

draw a military/civilian line for the Second

Amendment. Similarity between the AR-15 and the

M16 should not be the basis on which to conclude that

the AR-15 is not a weapon used in self-defense.

The majority opinion concludes that Heller limits

the scope of “Arms” in the amendment to those not

“dedicated to military use” and those possessed for a

lawful purpose. Citing to “historical support” that

“the Arms protected by the Second Amendment do not

include weapons for the military,” the majority

opinion focuses on Heller’s comment about the M16

rifle. 554 U.S. at 627. The AR-15 and the M16 are

similar weapons, my colleagues conclude, which

15 E. Gregory Wallace, “Assault Weapon” Myths, 43 S. Ill. U.

L.J. 193, 205-06 (2018).

App-91

means the AR-15 is beyond protection under the

Second Amendment.

My colleagues read the passages in Heller

discussing weapons with military capabilities too

broadly, however, placing controlling weight on

supporting or explanatory language in that decision.

For example, Heller did not limit the scope of “Arms”

to those without an analogous military capacity. 554

U.S. at 581-82. The majority opinion emphasizes the

statement in Heller that “Arms” are “weapons that

were not specifically designed for military use and

were not employed in a military capacity.” Maj. Op. at

26 (emphasis omitted). But this passage most

naturally means that the public understanding of

“Arms” encompassed more than weapons designed for

or employed in a military capacity. At that section of

Heller, the Court was refuting the argument that the

Second Amendment only protected a military right to

keep and bear arms. Instead, “Arms” was broad

enough to include “any thing that a man wears for his

defence, or takes into his hands, or useth in wrath to

coast at or strike another.” Heller, 554 U.S. at 581.

That passage in Heller does not support a reading

that weapons the military uses are not “Arms.”

Relying on Heller’s discussion of United States v.

Miller—the Supreme Court’s 1939 decision upholding

a conviction under the National Firearms Act against

a Second Amendment challenge—the majority

opinion points out that militaristic weapons are not

“bearable” and thus not “arms” at all. Justice Stevens

in dissent in Heller viewed Miller as endorsing a

military-only view of the Second Amendment. To him,

Miller says regulating “the nonmilitary use and

ownership of weapons” is fine—so the Amendment

protects only the “right to keep and bear arms for

App-92

certain military purposes.” Id. at 637-38 (Stevens, J.,

dissenting).

But according to Heller, Miller does not say that

the Second Amendment protects machineguns as part

of ordinary military equipment. Rather, Miller

explains that a short-barreled shotgun, the weapon at

issue, is not “‘any part of the ordinary military

equipment’” nor “‘could contribute to the common

defense.’” Id. at 622 (quoting Miller, 307 U.S. at 178).

In Heller, the Court explained, “we therefore read

Miller to say only that the Second Amendment does

not protect those weapons not typically possessed by

law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes, such as

short-barreled shotguns.” Id. at 625.

The majority opinion here quotes this passage

and reframes it as a military-analogue test. It

introduces the passage with Heller’s observation that

an M16 is “most useful in military service.” Id. at 627.

But after Heller, we know Miller does not address a

weapon’s military use. Because the National

Firearms Act of 1934 targeted the firearms most

commonly used by criminals and gangs, Miller’s

“lawful use” language relates to criminal use, not

military use.

One example of this military-analogue test

falling short is when the majority opinion compares

the rates of fire of the AR-15 and the M16. My

colleagues credit the AR-15’s rate of fire as “‘only’ 300

rounds per minute,” which they do not see as a

relevant difference from the M16’s 700 rounds per

minute. Maj. Op. at 33. The two record sources they

point to do not support a 300-rounds-per-minute rate;

in fact, those sources give good reasons to doubt that

figure.

App-93

The first is the district court’s opinion in Bevis,

which explains: “[A] shooter using a semiautomatic

weapon can launch thirty rounds in as little as six

seconds, with an effective rate of about a bullet per

second for each minute of firing, meeting the U.S.

Army definition for ‘rapid fire.’” Set to the side the

district court’s concession that the effective rate is

actually only sixty rounds per minute. For the 300rounds-per-minute figure, the district court cited a

law journal article that spends nine pages discussing

the dubious origins of the 300-rounds-per-minute

claim. 16 Wallace agrees that 30 shots in six seconds is

possible—if you are an expert at operating firearms

and you neglect aiming and reloading. 17

The second source that might be referenced for

the figure is a government witness’s report in

Herrera. James Yurgealitis included a chart listing

weapons,

an

ammunition

type,

and

the

“semiautomatic cyclic rate” of each. Each rifle,

including “M-16/AR-15 Rifle,” has a cyclic rate of

exactly 300 rounds per minute, and the three pistols

have a rate of “300-400 rounds per minute.”

Yurgealitis offers no source for his calculations. He

does not describe the firing conditions or how the

shooter timed the shots.

Yurgealitis describes the rate as “cyclic,” a type of

fire where “the gunner holds the trigger to the rear

while the assistant gunner feeds ammunition into the

weapon.” Dep’t of the Army, Army Training

Publication: Infantry Platoon and Squad, ATP 3-21.8,

at Appendix F. The cyclic rate “produces the highest

16 See Wallace, supra note 15 at 214-22.

17 See id. at 217-18.

App-94

volume of fire the machine gun can fire” and is a

drastic step, as it “can permanently damage the

machine gun and barrel and should be used only in

case of emergency.” Id. It is difficult to see how a

gunner could fire an AR-15 cyclically. Because it is a

semiautomatic firearm, if the trigger were held to the

rear, the cyclic rate would be one round per minute.

Yurgealitis does not explain how this can be done.

The effective rate of fire, rather than the cyclic

rate, would be a better comparison. There, Yurgealitis

helps. He includes in his report a table from an Army

field manual on rifle marksmanship listing the M16’s

maximum semiautomatic effective rate at 45 rounds

per minute—more than four times slower than its

maximum automatic effective rate.

Heller does not draw a line between firearms that

are military counterparts and those that are not. That

demarcation should not decide whether firearms and

magazines are protected under the Second

Amendment.

2.

A “military weapon” is defined too

broadly.

Even if Heller drew such a line, the majority

opinion’s standard for what constitutes a “military

weapon” renders the “military” category substantially

overbroad.

The majority opinion draws a line between

“private” or “mixed private/military” weapons on one

side (also characterized as “dual use” weapons) and

“military weapons” on the other side. Military

weapons are defined as “weapons that may be

essentially reserved to the military,” Maj. Op. at 31

n.8—meaning that a military weapon is one not made

available for public use. The only “characteristic” that

App-95

matters is that the government decided to ban it.

“Dual use” weapons are those “private parties have a

constitutionally protected right to ‘keep and bear’”

and “the military provides [] to its forces.” Id. “In this

sense, there is a thumb on the scale in favor of Second

Amendment protection.” Id. Under the majority

opinion’s definition, “dual use” weapons are on the

side of the line protected by the Second Amendment.

Applying their framework, my colleagues find the

AR-15 “more like” the M16 by comparing the firearms’

characteristics. Id. To my colleagues, the firearms

look the same (“same core design”), operate the same

(“same patented operating system”), and have similar

specifications (same ammunition, kinetic energy,

muzzle velocity, and effective range), identifying “the

only meaningful distinction” as an M16’s automaticfire capability. Id. at 31-32. But because the AR-15 is

not “essentially reserved to the military” and shares

characteristics with “private” weapons, such as being

semiautomatic, the AR-15 is at most a “dual use”

weapon. So under the majority opinion’s categories,

the AR-15 should warrant Second Amendment

protection.

In any event, because the majority opinion

defines a military weapon as any that “may be

essentially reserved to the military,” a weapon’s

characteristics are not relevant to how it is

categorized. Thus, any combat weapon would be a

military weapon. This effectively allows the U.S.

Armed Forces to decide what “Arms” are protected

under the Second Amendment. Such a “military veto”

is mistaken for at least three reasons.

First, the military has historically selected for

commission firearms already publicly available and

App-96

thus on the “dual use” side of the line. Privately

available repeating and semiautomatic rifles, and the

arms the American military selected for wartime use,

overlapped substantially at least until the 1930’s.

When the Second Amendment was ratified,

repeaters—firearms capable of repeated firing before

they required manual reloading—were useful for

military purposes and were widely available for

civilian purchase. The Girandoni air rifle, for

example, was invented for the Austrian army. 18 The

“state-of-the-art repeater” at the time, the Girandoni

was useful for hunting as well—Meriwether Lewis

took one on his expedition. 19 In 1828, the military

awarded a contract to a gunsmith to produce the

Jennings repeater for military use. 20 But the military

only “considered the guns promising” after seven

years of “private use,” as the repeater had been

circulating at least since 1821. 21 Another repeater,

the Henry, won a military contract after a Union

captain used it to defend his home against seven

Confederates who ambushed him while eating dinner

with his family. 22

In 1900, the military began considering

semiautomatic rifles but, after years of searching,

decided to stick with the .30’06 Springfield bolt-action

18 Nicholas J. Johnson, et al., Firearms Law and the Second

Amendment: Regulation, Rights, and Policy 2206 (3d ed., 2021).

19 See id.

20 See id. at 2221.

21 Id.

22 Horace William Shaler Cleveland, Hints to Riflemen 180-81

(1864). See also id. at 179 (reproducing letter from a private

citizen testifying to the exceptional quality of the weapon).

App-97

rifle. 23 Even though “semi-automatic rifles for the

civilian market were abundant,” the military declined

to select one because they were too complicated and

brittle for field use. 24 In the 1930s, the military’s

desire to issue semiautomatic rifles caused it to

“encourage[] ... private

experimentation”

in

25

development and testing.

A military veto

contravenes the robust history of “dual use” weapons

beyond the private sector.

Second,

the

military

has

historically

commissioned pistols, a firearm that is an “Arm”

under Heller. Pistols have always been standardissue military firearms. Under the majority opinion’s

approach, Heller would have been mistaken.

Major Pitcairn began the American Revolution

with a shot from his pistol. 26 General George

Washington carried pistols into battle at Valley

Forge, Monmouth, and Yorktown. 27 In 1811, a brigade

major in the Massachusetts militia described the

pistol as a standard weapon for an infantryman in a

comprehensive guide to the day’s military science. 28

23 See Johnson at 2233-34.

24 Id. at 2233.

25 Id. at 2234.

See Charles Winthrop Sawyer, 1 Firearms in American

History: 1600 to 1800, at 72 (1910).

26

27 See Evan Brune, Arms

of Independence: The Guns of the

American Revolution, Am. Rifleman (July 2, 2021),

https://www.americanrifleman.org/content/arms-ofindependence-the-guns-of-the-american-revolution

[https://perma.cc/9S69-T56Y].

28 See E. Hoyt, Practical Instructions for Military Officers 111

(1811).

App-98

The military has not stopped issuing pistols. In

1911, after lengthy trials and revisions with Colt and

gun designer John Browning, the military selected for

its troops the Colt Model 1911. 29 It is unclear whether

that model was available for civilian purchase after

the military contract in 1911. But like more common

civilian handguns, the M1911 was semiautomatic and

had an eight-round magazine. 30 Indeed, the Civilian

Marksmanship Program, a federally chartered

501(c)(3) entity responsible for arranging sales of

decommissioned military service weapons to the

public, sells Colt M1911s today. 31

In the 1980s, the military switched to the Beretta

M9, a handgun with a counterpart available for

purchase today on Beretta’s website. In fact, the M9

was designed and available to civilians a decade

before the military selected it as the Beretta 92. 32 The

only differences between the military-issue M9 and

the one for public sale are the markings, the dots on

the sights, and the screw heads. 33 Under the majority

29 See Johnson at 2232.

30 See id.

See About, Civ.

Marksmanship Prog. (2023),

https://thecmp.org/about/ [https://perma.cc/L7T5-6T5D]; 1911

Prog.

(2023),

Information,

Civ.

Marksmanship

https://thecmp.org/sales-and-service/1911-information/

[https://perma.cc/7HQW-G3VJ].

31

See American Service Pistols & Civilian Counterparts,

Keystone Shooting Ctr. (2023), https://keystoneshootingcenter

.com/blog/american-service-pistols-civilian-counterparts

[https://perma.cc/UG45-V46Q].

32

See Christopher Bartocci, Beretta Government vs

Commercial M9 Identification, Small Arms Solutions LLC (May

28,

2018),

https://smallarmssolutions.com/home/berettagovernment-vs-commercial-m8-identi-fication [https://perma.cc/

33

App-99

opinion, the military’s decision to award Beretta a

military contract for the Beretta 92 would take the

firearm out of the “Arms” protected by the Second

Amendment.

Third, the military’s decommissioning and sale of

its surplus weapons would mean that the Second

Amendment right might spring into and out of life.

The military sometimes decommissions service

weapons and sells them to the public through the

Civilian Marksmanship Program, as mentioned

above. As with the M16, the military also decides not

to renew contracts for weapons it deems no longer fit

for military use. The majority opinion does not

explain the status of a weapon like this, including

whether the right to possess it springs to life, or if its

analogues become “Arms.”

3.

The examples given are not historical

analogues.

The majority opinion sets forth “the relevant

question [a]s what are the modern analogues to the

weapons people used for their personal self-defense in

1791, and perhaps as late as 1868.” Maj. Op. at 38.

But when declaring its holding in Bruen, the Court

discussed historical analogues with reference not to

weapons, but to regulations. Following Heller, Bruen

considered “whether ‘historical precedent’ from

before, during, and even after the founding evinces a

EDT4-JEXT]; Bob Campbell, Range Report: Beretta’s M9

Civilian Version, Cheaper Than Dirt: The Shooter’s Log (Feb. 22,

2016),

https://blog.cheaperthandirt.com/berettas-m9-civilianversion [https://perma.cc/VL7T-ZXQA] (“The M9 is a variant

that’s as close to the military M9 as possible. The sights are

marked in a different manner, and the finish differs from the

standard M92.”).

App-100

comparable tradition of regulation.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

2111, 2131-32. “Only if a firearm regulation is

consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition may

a court conclude that the individual’s conduct falls

outside the Second Amendment’s ‘unqualified

command.’” Id. at 2126.

The seven historical examples the majority

opinion offers as comparators are laws or ordinances

which it says support “a distinction between weapons

and accessories designed for military or lawenforcement use, and weapons designed for personal

use.” Id. at 45. For my colleagues, the challenged Act

and ordinances carry forward this same distinction.

Under Bruen, though, these examples do not satisfy

the “how” and “why” questions in the history and

tradition test, and thus are not comparators for the

challenged Act or ordinances.

The first example is a 1746 Boston ordinance

outlawing the discharge of a cannon, gun or pistol

within city limits. 34 The second is an allusion to

similar ordinances in Cleveland in the nineteenth

century. The fourth refers to late nineteenth century

ordinances restricting the carry of various weapons.

except for peace officers. Such prohibitions differ,

however, from a categorical ban of a class of weapons

from private ownership which burden the right of

armed self-defense. Regulations against the discharge

of weapons compare better to modern criminal

statutes prohibiting, for example, the reckless

discharge of a firearm. See 720 Ill. Comp. Stat. § 5/241.5(a). And prohibitions on the carrying of certain

weapons do not amount to a categorical ban of whole

34 Heller rejected this regulation as a historical analogue. 554

U.S. at 633.

App-101

classes of firearms. These examples thus fail the

“how” question in Bruen.

The fifth, sixth, and seventh examples are the

National Firearms Act of 1934 and two amendments

to it: the Omnibus Crime control and Safe Streets Act

of 1968, and Firearm Owners’ Protection Act of 1986.

Yet these examples do not provide insight into the

public understanding of the Second Amendment right

in 1791 (or in 1868). They are too far removed from

the ratification of the Constitution (or of the

Fourteenth Amendment) to qualify as historical

analogues under Bruen. They therefore fail the “why”

question in Bruen.

The remaining third example cites dozens of

Bowie knife regulations which forbid or limit their

use, specifically citing an 1884 Arkansas statute

outlawing “the sale of all dirks, Bowie knives, caneswords, metal knuckles, and pistols, except as for use

in the army or navy of the United States.” This law

was passed after ratification of the Fourteenth

Amendment and banned the sale of these knives. It

did not categorically ban their possession. This

example fails the “how” and the “why” test of Bruen

for the reasons given previously.

Attempting to show that the “how” test has been

correctly applied, my colleagues point to what they

consider a “huge carve-out” in the Act. Maj. Op. at 39.

To the contrary, exceptions to the categorical ban in

the Act are narrow. The Act outright forbids the

manufacture, delivery, sale, importation, and

purchasing of the covered arms within the state of

Illinois. On January 1, 2024, a total ban on possession

of the covered arms takes effect. 720 Ill. Comp. Stat.

§ 5/24-1.9(c). Though an exception exists for those

App-102

who submit a compliant “endorsement affidavit” to

the Illinois State Police, id. § 5/24-1.9(d), the majority

opinion mistakes its scope. The exception is limited to

the sale or transfer of a covered arm: (1) to seven

specially excepted classes of authorized persons; (2) to

the United States; or (3) in another state or for export.

Id. § 5/24-1.9(e). And the only people who can take

advantage of this exception are current in-state

residents who possess a covered arm prior to January

1, 2024, and future in-state residents who move into

Illinois already in possession of a covered arm. Id. 35

Such a narrow exception cannot legitimize a broad

categorical ban on the ownership, possession,

purchase, and sale of a vast swath of arms.

For my colleagues, it is sufficient that the seven

regulations deemed similar “are representative of

[the] tradition” of “regulating the especially

dangerous weapons of the time.” Yet, Bruen requires

more. The particulars of the historical analogues are

critical; they illustrate whether the Act and the

municipal ordinances place comparable burdens on

the Second Amendment right when considered

against historical analogues. Bruen itself gave weight

to t

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