Petition for Writ of Certiorari — Javier Herrera, Petitioner v. Kwame Raoul, Attorney General of Illinois, et al.

Supreme Court briefFeb 12, 2024

Ask Donna

What actually matters in this document.

Text

APPENDIX

i

APPENDIX

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Appendix A Opinion, United States Court of

Appeals for the Seventh Circuit,

Herrera v. Raoul, No. 23-1793

(Nov. 3, 2023) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 1

Appendix B Memorandum Opinion and Order,

United States District Court for the

Northern District of Illinois, Herrera

v. Raoul, No. 1:23-cv-532

(Apr. 25, 2023). . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 109

Appendix C Order Denying Rehearing, United

States Court of Appeals for the

Seventh Circuit, Herrera v. Raoul,

No. 23-1793

(Dec. 11, 2023). . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 143

Appendix D Relevant Constitutional and Statutory

Provisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 145

U.S. Const. amend. II . . . . . . . . App. 145

U.S. Const. amend. XIV, §1 . . . App. 145

720 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/24-1 . . . . App. 146

720 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/24-1.9. . . App. 148

720 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/24-1.10. . App. 166

Cook Cnty. Ord. §54-211 . . . . . App. 169

Cook Cnty. Ord. §54-212 . . . . . App. 178

Cook Cnty. Ord. §54-214 . . . . . App. 180

Chicago Mun. Ord. §8-20-010. . App. 181

Chicago Mun. Ord. §8-20-075. . App. 193

Chicago Mun. Ord. §8-20-085. . App. 194

Chicago Mun. Ord. §8-20-300. . App. 195

ii

Appendix E Declaration of Javier Herrera, United

States District Court for the Northern

District of Illinois, Herrera v. Raoul,

No. 1:23-cv-532

(Jan. 27, 2023). . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 197

Appendix F Supplemental Declaration of Javier

Herrera, United States District Court

for the Northern District of Illinois,

Herrera v. Raoul, No. 1:23-cv-532

(Mar. 14, 2023) . . . . . . . . . . . . . App. 204

App. 1

APPENDIX A

IN THE

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE SEVENTH CIRCUIT

[Filed November 3, 2023]

No. 23-1353

________________________________________________

ROBERT BEVIS, et al.,

)

Plaintiffs-Appellants,

)

)

v.

)

)

CITY OF NAPERVILLE, ILLINOIS and JASON ARRES,

)

Defendants-Appellees,

)

)

and

)

)

THE STATE OF ILLINOIS,

)

Intervening Appellee.

)

_______________________________________________ )

Appeal from the United States District Court for the

Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.

No. 1:22-cv-04775 — Virginia M. Kendall, Judge.

App. 2

No. 23-1793

________________________________________________

JAVIER HERRERA,

)

Plaintiff-Appellant,

)

)

v.

)

)

KWAME RAOUL, et al.,

)

Defendants-Appellees.

)

_______________________________________________ )

Appeal from the United States District Court for the

Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.

No. 1:23-cv-00532 — Lindsay C. Jenkins, Judge.

No. 23-18251

________________________________________________

CALEB BARNETT, et al.,

)

Plaintiffs-Appellees,

)

)

v.

)

)

KWAME RAOUL and BRENDAN F. KELLY,

)

Defendants-Appellants.

)

_______________________________________________ )

Appeals from the United States District Court for the

Southern District of Illinois.

No. 3:23-cv-00209-SPM —

Stephen P. McGlynn, Judge.

1

Consolidated with No. 23-1826, Harrel v. Raoul (S.D. Ill. No.

3:23-cv-00141-SPM); No. 23-1827, Langley v. Kelly (S.D. Ill. No.

3:23-cv-00192-SPM); and No. 23-1828, Federal Firearms Licensees

of Illinois, et al. v. Pritzker (S.D. Ill. No. 3:23-cv-00215-SPM).

App. 3

____________________

ARGUED JUNE 29, 2023 — DECIDED NOVEMBER 3, 2023

____________________

Before EASTERBROOK, WOOD, and BRENNAN, Circuit

Judges.

WOOD, Circuit Judge. The Second Amendment to

the Constitution recognizes an individual right to “keep

and bear Arms.” Of that there can be no doubt, in the

wake of the Supreme Court’s decisions in District of

Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570 (2008); McDonald v.

City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742 (2010); Caetano v.

Massachusetts, 577 U.S. 411 (2016) (per curiam); and

New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

2111 (2022). But as we know from long experience with

other fundamental rights, such as the right to free

speech, the right peaceably to assemble, the right to

vote, and the right to free exercise of religion, even the

most important personal freedoms have their limits.

Government may punish a deliberately false fire alarm;

it may condition free assembly on the issuance of a

permit; it may require voters to present a valid

identification card; and it may punish child abuse even

if it is done in the name of religion. The right enshrined

in the Second Amendment is no different.

The present cases, which we have consolidated for

disposition, relate to the types of “Arms” that are

covered by the Second Amendment.2 This presents a

line-drawing problem. Everyone can agree that a

2

For ease of exposition, we will use the term Arms to refer to those

weapons that fall within the scope of the Second Amendment.

App. 4

personal handgun, used for self-defense, is one of those

Arms that law-abiding citizens must be free to “keep

and bear.” Everyone can also agree, we hope, that a

nuclear weapon such as the now-retired M388 Davy

Crockett system, with its 51-pound W54 warhead, can

be reserved for the military, even though it is light

enough for one person to carry.3 Many weapons,

however, lie between these extremes. The State of

Illinois, in the legislation that lies at the heart of these

cases, has decided to regulate assault weapons and

high-capacity magazines—a decision that is valid only

if the regulated weapons lie on the military side of that

line and thus are not within the class of Arms protected

by the Second Amendment. Several municipalities have

done the same. The plaintiffs in these cases challenge

that conclusion. Using the tools of history and tradition

to which the Supreme Court directed us in Heller and

Bruen, we conclude that the state and the affected

subdivisions have a strong likelihood of success in the

pending litigation. We therefore affirm the decisions of

the district courts in appeals No. 23-1353 and 23-1793

refusing to enjoin these laws, and we vacate the

injunction issued by the district court in appeals

No. 23-1825, 23-1826, 23-1827, and 23-1828.

3

See Matthew Seelinger, The M28/M29 Davy Crockett Nuclear

Weapon System, T HE A RMY H ISTORICAL F OUNDATION ,

https://armyhistory.org/the-m28m29-davy-crockett-nuclearweapon-system/; see also Jeff Schogol, The Story of the ‘Davy

Crockett,’ a Nuclear Recoilless Rifle Once Fielded by the US Army,

TASK & PURPOSE (Sept. 19, 2022), https://taskandpurpose.

com/history/army-davy-crockett-tactical-nuclear-weapon/.

App. 5

I. Background

A. The Act

At the center of these appeals lies a new statute in

Illinois that took effect on January 10, 2023—a

measure called the Protect Illinois Communities Act,

Pub. Act 102-1116 (2023) (“the Act”). Some of the

consolidated cases also implicate three municipal laws

that cover much of the same ground, though the details

vary: Cook County Ordinances No. 54-210 to 54-215;

City of Chicago Municipal Ordinances 8-20-010 to 8-20100; and City of Naperville Ordinances No. 3-19-1 to 319-3. We make note of the municipal laws only when

their specific provisions affect our analysis. For the

interested reader, the chart in the Appendix to this

opinion summarizes the relevant differences among

these enactments.

The Act is a sprawling piece of legislation made up

of 99 sections that cover a vast array of regulatory and

record-keeping matters, along with the provisions of

interest here. The Act’s wide scope led to a challenge in

Illinois’s courts for failing to comply with state-law

requirements such as the single-subject rule, the threereadings requirement, and the ban on special

legislation. See Caulkins v. Pritzker, 2023 IL 129453

(Aug. 11, 2023). The state supreme court upheld the

Act against those contentions, and it also ruled that the

Act did not violate the state constitution’s equal

protection clause. It did not reach any argument about

the Second Amendment, because it found that the

plaintiffs had waived any reliance on that theory. The

plaintiffs in these cases have not argued that the Act is

invalid under state law.

App. 6

The critical part of the Act for our purposes is its

treatment of so-called assault weapons and largecapacity magazines. Those sections institute something

close to a ban on “assault weapons,” through the Act’s

general prohibitions of the sale, possession, and use of

a defined set of weapons. The Act also bans largecapacity magazines. The plaintiffs have not specified

exactly which provisions of the Act they believe are

unconstitutional under the Second Amendment, but we

assume that their principal targets are 720 ILCS 5/241.9 and 5/24-1.10. Section 5/24-1.9 addresses the

“[m]anufacture, possession, delivery, sale, and

purchase of assault weapons, .50 caliber rifles, and .50

caliber cartridges,” and section 5/24-1.10 deals with

“[m]anufacture, delivery, sale, and possession of large

capacity ammunition feeding devices.”

The Act defines “assault weapon” using language

that is largely borrowed from the expired Federal

Assault Weapons Ban, which was a subsection of the

Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of

1994, Pub. L. No. 103-322, 108 Stat. 1796.4 The Illinois

Act bans certain semiautomatic rifles and pistols. A

semiautomatic rifle falls under the Act’s proscriptions

if it has the capacity to accept a detachable magazine

and one or more of the following features: a pistol grip

or thumbhole stock; any feature capable of functioning

as a protruding grip for the non-trigger hand; a folding,

telescoping, thumbhole, or detachable stock or a stock

that otherwise enhances the concealability of the

weapon; a flash suppressor; a grenade launcher; or a

4

The more formal name of the relevant part of the law was the

Public Safety and Recreational Firearms Use Protection Act.

App. 7

barrel shroud. 720 ILCS 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(A). The

definition also includes a semiautomatic rifle with a

fixed magazine capacity of greater than 10 rounds,

except those that accept only .22 caliber rimfire

ammunition. Id. 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(B). Finally, there is a

lengthy list of particular models that fall within the

scope of the statute. See 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(J). Subpart (i) of

that section covers all AK weapons, and subpart

(ii) covers all AR types. In the remainder of this

opinion, we will refer often to the AR-15 as a

paradigmatic example of the kind of weapon the

statute covers. We use it only illustratively, however;

our analysis covers everything mentioned in the Act.

The Act makes it unlawful for any person within

Illinois knowingly to “manufacture, deliver, sell,

import, or purchase … an assault weapon, assault

weapon attachment, .50 caliber rifle, or .50 caliber

cartridge.” Id. 5/24-1.9(b). (Unless the context requires

otherwise, from this point we use the term “assault

weapon” to cover all four covered items, in the interest

of readability.) With some exceptions, the Act also

makes it unlawful as of January 1, 2024, for any person

within the state knowingly to “possess an assault

weapon.” Id. 5/24-1.9(c).

There are two significant exceptions to these

prohibitions. Using the terminology the Supreme Court

of Illinois adopted in Caulkins, the first is for “trained

professionals” and the second is for “grandfathered

individuals.” 2023 IL 129453 at ¶ 1. The list of trained

professionals, set forth in 5/24-1.9(e), includes peace

officers; qualified active and retired law-enforcement

officers; prison wardens and “keepers”; members of the

App. 8

Armed Services, Reserves, or Illinois National Guard;

nuclear facility guards; and licensed private security

personnel. Id. 5/24-1.9(e)(1)–(7). The “grandfather”

provision can be found at 5/24-1.9(d). It states that the

Act’s prohibitions do “not apply to a person’s possession

of an assault weapon … if the person lawfully

possessed” that weapon as of the effective date of the

law and then the person “provide[s] in an endorsement

affidavit, prior to January 1, 2024, under oath or

affirmation” certain specified information to the Illinois

State Police. Id. 5/24-1.9(d)(1)–(3). A completed

endorsement affidavit “creates a rebuttable

presumption that the person is entitled to possess and

transport the assault weapon.” Id. 5/24-1.9(d), at ¶ 2.

The Act restricts the places where authorized persons

may possess their weapons to the following: (1) private

property owned or controlled by the person; (2) other

private property, with the express permission of the

owner or controller; (3) premises of a licensed firearms

dealer or gunsmith for lawful repairs; (4) licensed firing

ranges or sport shooting competition venues; and (5) in

transit to or from any of those locations, if the weapon

is unloaded and in a container. Id. 5/24-1.9(d), at

¶ 3(1)–(5). The parties have not focused on these

locational restrictions, and so neither will we.

Section 5/24-1.10 sets out the rules for largecapacity ammunition feeding devices. They are defined

as a magazine (or similar mechanism) that can accept

“more than 10 rounds of ammunition for long guns and

more than 15 rounds of ammunition for handguns.” Id.

5/24-1.10(a), at ¶ 3(1). This provision also grandfathers

in those who lawfully possessed a large-capacity

magazine before the effective date of the Act, so long as

App. 9

the device is used in a permitted place. Id. 5/241.10(d). It has an analogous set of exceptions for

trained professionals. Id. 5/24-10(d), at ¶ 1.

Broadly speaking, violations of the assault-weapon

ban are classified as felonies when the violation

involves guns or gun parts, and as misdemeanors when

the violation involves .50 caliber cartridges. Id. 5/241(b).

B. The Lawsuits

The ink was barely dry on the pages of the Act when

litigation began. Before us now are six related cases, in

which 26 plaintiffs have challenged the Act and the

three municipal ordinances we mentioned earlier. All

of the challengers contend that the legislation in

question violates their Second Amendment right to

keep and bear Arms. A brief review of the individual

cases should help keep the issues straight.

1. Bevis v. City of Naperville (No. 23-2353)

This case, filed in the Northern District of Illinois,

was brought by three parties: (1) Robert Bevis, a

Naperville resident and owner of Law Weapons, Inc.;

(2) Law Weapons, Inc., a commercial firearms store in

Naperville; and (3) the National Association for Gun

Rights. We refer to them collectively as Bevis. Once the

suit was filed and landed in Judge Kendall’s court,

Bevis’s first step was to seek a preliminary injunction

against both the Naperville ordinance and the Act.

They were unsuccessful. Applying the standard fourpart test for preliminary injunctions established in

Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 555

U.S. 7, 20 (2008), Judge Kendall decided that the

App. 10

plaintiffs were unlikely to succeed on the merits. This

would have been an easy conclusion under our decision

in Friedman v. City of Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406

(7th Cir. 2015), but the judge was concerned that

Friedman’s methodology may have been undermined

by Bruen, and so she undertook a fresh analysis of the

merits using only Bruen. (We address Friedman’s

continuing vitality below.)

Judge Kendall’s efforts convinced her that “[t]he

history of firearm regulation … establishes that

governments enjoy the ability to regulate highly

dangerous arms (and related dangerous accessories).”

Bevis v. City of Naperville, No. 22 C 4775, 2023 WL

2077392, at *14 (N.D. Ill. Feb. 17, 2023). She took

particular note of longstanding regulations on Bowie

knives and other “melee weapons.” Id. at *10–11. Next,

she found that assault weapons fit within this tradition

because they pose “an exceptional danger” compared

with “standard self-defense weapons such as

handguns.” Id. at *14. Critically for our purposes, after

citing statistics about the lethality and injury rates of

assault weapons, id., she highlighted the fact that

“[a]ssault rifles can … be easily converted to … mimic

military-grade machine guns,” id. at *15. Quoting from

the Fourth Circuit, she observed that

the very features that qualify a firearm as a

banned assault weapon—such as flash

suppressors, barrel shrouds, folding and

telescoping stocks, pistol grips, grenade

launchers, night sights, and the ability to accept

bayonets and large-capacity magazines—serve

specific, combat-functional ends.

App. 11

Id. (quoting Kolbe v. Hogan, 849 F.3d 114, 137 (4th Cir.

2017) (en banc), abrogated on other grounds by Bruen,

142 S. Ct. at 2126–27) (cleaned up). Finally, the judge

noted that the high-capacity magazines exhibited

similar dangers. Id.

This was enough, in her view, to show that the

plaintiffs were not likely to succeed on the merits.

Quickly looking at the other three criteria for a

preliminary injunction, she also found that without a

presumption of irreparable harm related to the alleged

Second Amendment violation, plaintiffs could not

satisfy that factor. Bevis had not shown that the gun

shop would lose substantial sales because of the two

laws, and the organizational members retained other

effective weapons for self-defense. Id. at *16. Finally,

Judge Kendall concluded that neither the balance of

equities nor the public interest favored plaintiffs

sufficiently to overcome the inadequate showing on the

other issues. Id. at *17.

2. Herrera v. Raoul (No. 23-1793)

The plaintiff in our next case, Javier Herrera, is a

Chicago emergency room doctor who owns several

assault weapons and large-capacity magazines. After

the Act was passed, he filed a suit seeking both a

temporary restraining order and a preliminary

injunction against the Act, the Chicago ordinance, and

the Cook County ordinance. Unlike Bevis, he also

challenged the Act’s registration requirements (through

which the grandfathering provisions are administered).

This case was assigned to Judge Jenkins, who largely

agreed with the reasoning in Bevis. See Herrera v.

Raoul, No. 23 CV 532, 2023 WL 3074799 (N.D. Ill.

App. 12

Apr. 25, 2023). She rejected Hererra’s attempt to

distinguish Bevis on the ground that his suit focused on

the defense of his home, rather than on the public-carry

right. Although she recognized that the analogies to

Bowie knives and melee weapons were not perfect, she

noted that Bruen did not demand a “dead ringer” or a

“historical twin,” especially if there are “‘dramatic

technological changes’ or ‘unprecedented societal

concerns’ [that] may require a ‘more nuanced

approach.’” Id. at *7, *9 (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2133, 2132).

With respect to the need to register a covered

weapon in order to take advantage of the Act’s

grandfathering provision, Judge Jenkins first assured

herself that the question was ripe even though Herrera

had not yet taken steps to register his guns. Id. at *8.

Herrera made clear that he intended to disobey that

law, that his intended conduct “[ran] afoul of a criminal

statute,” and that the effective date of the registration

requirement was “sufficiently imminent.” Id.

(quotations omitted). On the merits, however, she

concluded that Herrera was unlikely to succeed

because historical evidence showed that the “colonies

required gun registration in a variety of ways,” such as

colonial “muster” requirements and a variety of tax

requirements, “which in essence required that firearms

be identified and disclosed to the government.” Id. at

*9. She also took note of several 19th- and 20th-century

laws as evidence of a “continuing tradition of state and

national registration requirements.” Id. She found

support for her ruling in the Bruen Court’s comment

that “nothing in our analysis should be interpreted to

suggest the unconstitutionality of existing ‘shall- issue’

App. 13

licensing laws.” Id. at *10 (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2138 n.9 (cleaned up)).

Although lack of likely success on the merits

pointed strongly toward denial of preliminary

injunctive relief, Judge Jenkins also looked briefly at

the other three factors and found that they pointed in

the same direction. She rejected the argument that

there is an established presumption of irreparable

harm for all Second Amendment challenges. Id. at *11.

She was also unpersuaded by Herrera’s argument that

the laws prevented him from protecting himself in his

home and attending his monthly SWAT training

(because of the commute time to retrieve his assault

weapons from an out-of-county location). Herrera

owned other compliant guns suitable for self-defense,

and he had managed the commute since 2018. Id. at

*12. Lastly, she found that neither the public interest

nor the equities pushed the needle far enough to justify

an injunction. Id. at *13.

3. Barnett v. Raoul (No. 23-1825)

The perspective reflected in the third case, which

arose in the Southern District of Illinois, is quite

different from the first two. In Barnett and the three

other cases that were consolidated with it, the

plaintiffs included individual gun owners, commercial

firearms dealers, and various organizations devoted to

protecting and enhancing Second Amendment rights.

Like their counterparts in the Northern District, these

plaintiffs sought a preliminary injunction against the

Act. Unlike the others, they succeeded. Judge McGlynn

concluded that because the plaintiffs had brought a

facial challenge to the Act, “the entirety of [the Act] as

App. 14

codified will be enjoined.” Barnett v. Raoul, No. 3:23-cv00209-SPM (Lead Case), 2023 WL 3160285, at *2 (S.D.

Ill. Apr. 28, 2023). (We put to one side the fact that

there are many provisions of the Act that have nothing

to do with gun ownership or regulation. See generally

Pub. Act 102-1116 (2023). Presumably the judge did not

mean to enjoin them, but if that is so, then the

injunction does not comply with Federal Rule of Civil

Procedure 65. That rule requires an injunction to

indicate clearly what is forbidden or mandated—a rule

necessitated by the fact that injunctions are

enforceable by contempt. We need not explore this

further, given our ultimate conclusion in these

appeals.)

With obvious reference to the two sections of the Act

that address assault weapons and high-capacity

magazines, Judge McGlynn chose to start with the

issue of irreparable injury, rather than likelihood of

success on the merits. He found that there is a

presumption of irreparable harm when plaintiffs mount

a facial challenge under the Second Amendment, and

even if there were not, these plaintiffs had shown

irreparable injury because the restrictions on their

ability to buy or sell the weapons and accessories

covered by the Act limited their right to armed selfdefense. 2023 WL 3160285, at *4–5.

The judge then moved on to likelihood of success on

the merits. He rejected the defendants’ arguments that

many of the Act’s provisions regulated only accessories

(such as threaded barrels and pistol grips), which in

themselves were not the Arms protected by the Second

Amendment. Those items were “important corollar[ies]

App. 15

to the meaningful exercise of the core right to possess

firearms for self-defense.” Id. at *8 (quoting Ezell v.

City of Chicago, 651 F.3d 684, 708 (7th Cir. 2011)). He

then moved on to consider whether the Act was

“consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition of

firearm regulation.” Id. at *9. For this purpose, he

assigned to the defendants the burden of

“(1) demonstrat[ing] that the ‘arms’ in [the Act] are not

in ‘common use;’ and (2) ‘identify[ing] a wellestablished and representative historical analogue’ to

[the Act].” Id. (quoting Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2128, 2133).

He rejected the defendants’ argument that the weapons

had to be in common use for self-defense. The

defendants failed to carry their burden, he held,

because they “focused almost entirely on AR-15 rifles

and their commonality or lack thereof” instead of the

many other weapons and accessories covered by the

Act. Id. at *10. Accepting an argument of the plaintiffs

in the cases now before us (as well as their amici

curiae), the judge held that AR-15s and large-capacity

magazines are “in common use” because a large

number of people own them. Id.

Wrapping up, the judge characterized the

defendants’ proposed historical analogues as inapt,

because they were simply concealed-carry regulations,

not outright bans on possession. Id. at *11. The balance

of harms, in his view, decidedly favored the plaintiffs,

as (in his words) “there can be no harm to a

government agency when it is prevented from enforcing

an unconstitutional statute,” id. (cleaned up and

quotation omitted), and he saw no evidence in the

record indicating how the Act would help Illinois

communities. He noted that the Act “was purportedly

App. 16

enacted in response to the Highland Park [mass]

shooting,” id. at *12, but that fact was not enough to

overcome the injury it inflicted.

II. Governing Law

A. Preliminary Injunction Standard

As our account of the proceedings in the district

courts shows, we are not here today to rule definitively

on the constitutionality of the Act or any of the

municipal ordinances. The only issue before us

concerns preliminary injunctive relief. The Bevis and

Herrera courts denied motions for such an injunction,

which would have suspended the operation of 720 ILCS

5/24-1.9 and 5/24-1.10 (and the corresponding

Naperville, Chicago, and Cook County ordinances), and

the Barnett court granted the injunction (ostensibly

against the entire Act, as we mentioned). We entered

a stay of the Barnett injunction pending the resolution

of these interlocutory appeals, which are authorized by

28 U.S.C. § 1292(a)(1); the order stipulated that the

stay would remain in effect “until these appeals have

been resolved and the court’s mandate has issued.”

As we mentioned earlier, the leading Supreme

Court decision establishing the standard for granting

preliminary injunctive relief is Winter v. Natural

Resources Defense Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7 (2008). The

Court summarized the pertinent requirements as

follows:

A plaintiff seeking a preliminary injunction

must establish that he is likely to succeed on the

merits, that he is likely to suffer irreparable

harm in the absence of preliminary relief, that

App. 17

the balance of equities tips in his favor, and that

an injunction is in the public interest.

Id. at 20. It elaborated on these factors in a later case

dealing with the criteria for staying a court decision,

Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418 (2009), noting there that

“[t]here is substantial overlap between [the criteria for

a stay] and the factors governing preliminary

injunctions.” Id. at 434 (citing Winter, 555 U.S. at 24).

The two most important considerations are likelihood

of success on the merits and irreparable harm. Id. With

respect to the former, the Court said that “[i]t is not

enough that the chance of success on the merits be

‘better than negligible.’” Id. (quoting and disapproving

Sofinet v. INS, 188 F.3d 703, 707 (7th Cir. 1999)). Nor

is a mere possibility enough. Id. As we put it in Illinois

Republican Party v. Pritzker, 973 F.3d 760, 763 (7th

Cir. 2020), although the party seeking the injunction

need not demonstrate likelihood of success by a

preponderance of the evidence, that party must

nevertheless make a “strong” showing that reveals how

it proposes to prove its case. Similarly, a mere

possibility of irreparable harm will not suffice. See

Nken, 556 U.S. at 434–35; Winter, 555 U.S. at 22.

Decisions such as Winter and Nken reflect the fact

that “[a] preliminary injunction is an extraordinary

remedy never awarded as of right.” Winter, 555 U.S. at

24. The party seeking the injunction bears the burden

of showing that this type of relief is warranted. Nken,

556 U.S. at 433–34. We must also bear in mind, when

a party is seeking to enjoin a statute, that legislative

enactments are entitled to a presumption of

constitutionality. See Flemming v. Nestor, 363 U.S.

App. 18

603, 617 (1960) (quoting Fletcher v. Peck, 10 U.S. (6

Cranch) 87, 128 (1810)). Though we carefully evaluate

any claim that a statute violates the Constitution, we

assume that the legislative body—whether Congress or

a state legislature—was aware of constitutional

limitations and endeavored to follow them.

Finally, we note that a hybrid standard of review

applies to interlocutory review of a preliminary

injunction: “we review the district court’s findings of

fact for clear error, its legal conclusions de novo, and its

balancing of the factors for a preliminary injunction for

abuse of discretion.” Doe v. University of Southern

Indiana, 43 F.4th 784, 791 (7th Cir. 2022) (brackets

and quotation omitted).

B. The Second Amendment

The basic contours of the second article of the Bill of

Rights have become familiar, and so we will only

summarize them here. In a crisp, if not enigmatic, way,

it says this: “A well regulated Militia, being necessary

to the security of a free State, the right of the people to

keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.” U.S.

CONST. amend. II. For many years, both the Supreme

Court and scholars thought that there was a relation

between the prefatory clause, which refers to the

Militia, and the operative clause, which refers to the

right to keep and bear Arms. See, e.g., ROBERT H.

BORK, SLOUCHING TOWARDS GOMORRAH: MODERN

LIBERALISM AND AMERICAN DECLINE 166 (rev. ed. 2003).

But in Heller the Supreme Court severed that

connection. Undertaking its own examination of the

events that led up to the Amendment’s inclusion in the

App. 19

Constitution, it concluded that the Amendment

recognized an individual right to keep and bear Arms.

At the same time, Heller held that “[l]ike most

rights, the right secured by the Second Amendment is

not unlimited.” 554 U.S. at 626. It continued as follows:

From Blackstone through the 19th-century

cases, commentators and courts routinely

explained that the right was not a right to keep

and carry any weapon whatsoever in any

manner whatsoever and for whatever purpose.

Id. This opened up new frontiers of litigation: Which

weapons are covered? What manner of “keeping and

bearing” is protected? What purpose must or may the

user have? Which people hold this right? The Heller

Court recognized that there was much left to be

resolved. It did give some hints, however. One

important tea leaf for present purposes was its refusal

to endorse the idea that the Amendment protects “only

those weapons useful in warfare.” Id. at 624. It called

this a “startling reading,” since that would have

implied that machineguns— quintessential weapons

used exclusively by the military, not private

citizens—could not be regulated, in the face of the

National Firearms Act’s restrictions on those weapons.

Id.; see also Pub. L. No. 73-474, 48 Stat. 1236 (1934).

Perhaps the most important expansion of Heller

occurred in McDonald, in which the Supreme Court

confirmed that the Second Amendment, like the First,

Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, and Eighth Amendments, applies

to the states through incorporation pursuant to the

Fourteenth Amendment. See 561 U.S. at 750. The late

App. 20

date of the McDonald decision—2010—explains why

there are so few cases exploring the Second

Amendment implications of state laws regulating

weapons from the time the Amendment became part of

the Constitution (1791) to the present. Under the view

that prevailed until McDonald, the states were free to

regulate weapons in any way compatible with their

own constitutions. See generally Jeffrey S. Sutton, 51

Imperfect Solutions: States and the Making of American

Constitutional Law (2018). And they did so in countless

ways—a point of some significance when we come to

consider the history and tradition of regulation in this

area.

After McDonald, most courts of appeals adopted a

two-step test for legality under the Second

Amendment. See, e.g., Ezell, 651 F.3d at 702–03. Step

one asked whether the “challenged firearms law

regulates activity falling outside the scope of the

Second Amendment right as it was understood

[historically].” Id. If the regulated activity was

unprotected, then the law in question was not subject

to further Second Amendment review. If, however,

history showed that the activity was protected, or the

evidence was inconclusive, step two called on the court

to balance the public benefit the government was

seeking to achieve against the regulatory means it

selected, using a form of heightened scrutiny. Id. at

703.

Some courts, including our own, steered clear of

that two-step approach. That explains the path we

chose in Friedman, which dealt with exactly the same

issue we face now: a ban on assault weapons and large-

App. 21

capacity magazines. Although the district court in

Bevis thought that the reasoning in Friedman might

not have survived Bruen, we see Friedman as basically

compatible with Bruen, insofar as Friedman

anticipated the need to rest the analysis on history, not

on a free-form balancing test.

After briefly reviewing the holdings in Heller and

McDonald, Friedman turned to the question of the

scope of the individual right to keep and bear Arms. It

began by summarizing the Court’s own historical

analysis in Heller:

[The Court] cautioned against interpreting the

[Heller] decision to cast doubt on “longstanding

prohibitions,” including the “historical tradition

of prohibiting the carrying of ‘dangerous and

unusual weapons.’” [554 U.S.] at 623, 627. It

observed that state militias, when called to

service, often had asked members to come armed

with the sort of weapons that were “in common

use at the time”, id. at 624, and it thought these

kinds of weapons (which have changed over the

years) are protected by the Second Amendment

in private hands, while military-grade weapons

(the sort that would be in a militia’s armory),

such as machine guns, and weapons especially

attractive to criminals, such as short-barreled

shotguns, are not. Id. at 624–25.

784 F.3d at 407–08. The plaintiffs in Friedman had

contended that “there is no ‘historical tradition’ of

banning possession of semi-automatic guns and largecapacity magazines.” Id. at 408. But, we observed, “this

argument proves too much: its logic extends to bans on

App. 22

machine guns, … [but] Heller deemed a ban on private

possession of machine guns to be obviously valid.” Id.

(citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 624). That was so even

though states “didn’t begin to regulate private use of

machine guns until 1927,” and the federal government

did not do so until 1934. Id.

The critical question of “[h]ow weapons are sorted

between private and military uses,” we noted, “has

changed over time.” Id. Anticipating Bruen, we rejected

a historical focus on the 1920s, when these bans

started to come into existence, and turned instead to

the time of the Second Amendment’s adoption. Id. With

respect to the common ownership and use question, we

cautioned against circular reasoning:

Machine guns aren’t commonly owned for lawful

purposes today because they are illegal; semiautomatic weapons with large-capacity

magazines are owned more commonly because,

until recently (in some jurisdictions), they have

been legal. Yet it would be absurd to say that

the reason why a particular weapon can be

banned is that there is a statute banning it, so

that it isn’t commonly owned. A law’s existence

can’t be the source of its own constitutional

validity.

Id. at 409.5 We were not persuaded by the plaintiffs’

efforts to put semiautomatic weapons on the “private”

5

The dissent embraces the reasoning we rejected in Friedman; it

asserts that circularity concerns are more hypothetical than

actual. See post at 62 n.4 (citing Friedman, 784 F.3d at 416 n.5

(Manion, J., dissenting)).

App. 23

or “mixed” side of the line between private or mixed

private/military weapons, on the one hand, and

weapons exclusively for military use, on the other. We

were reluctant to place semiautomatic weapons in the

former category for the simple reason that the Heller

Court had not done so. Instead, in distinguishing

United States v. Miller, 307 U.S. 174 (1939), we

reaffirmed “the rule that the Second Amendment does

not authorize private persons to possess weapons such

as machine guns and sawed-off shotguns that the

government would not expect (or allow) citizens to

bring with them when the militia is called to service.”

784 F.3d at 408.

Conspicuously absent from our Friedman analysis

is any hint of the two-part test that Bruen disapproved.

We looked instead to the type of Arms that the Second

Amendment has always protected for private use and

contrasted them with weapons reserved for military

use. We expressly declined to subject Highland Park’s

law to means-end scrutiny. Id. at 410. Instead, we said,

“we think it better to ask whether a regulation bans

weapons that were common at the time of ratification

or those that have ‘some reasonable relationship to the

preservation or efficiency of a well regulated militia,’ …

and whether law-abiding citizens retain adequate

means of self-defense.” Id. (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at

622 (quoting Miller, 307 U.S. at 178)). This approach,

we believe, is consistent with the methodology

approved in Bruen.

Pointing to Wilson v. Cook County, 937 F.3d 1028

(7th Cir. 2019) (per curiam), the dissent sees Friedman

differently. It notes that one can find language in

App. 24

Wilson that characterizes Friedman as “evaluat[ing]

the importance of the reasons for the [assault weapons

ban] to determine whether they justified the ban’s

intrusion on Second Amendment rights.” 937 F.3d at

1036. But this language is pure dicta. It may represent

the Wilson panel’s attempt to put a gloss on Friedman,

but it did not change the actual legal test that

Friedman applied. The issue in Wilson, recall, was

whether Friedman could be reconciled with Ezell,

which struck down Chicago’s ban on firing ranges

within city limits. See id. at 1035. On that issue,

Wilson found that “Friedman fits comfortably under

the umbrella of Ezell” and that it “represents the

application and extension of its principles to the

specific context of a ban on assault weapons and largecapacity magazines.” Id. at 1036. Indeed, Wilson is

notable for what it did not say: it never said that

Friedman had used intermediate scrutiny or meansend balancing; and it did not depict Friedman as

evaluating only the importance of the reasons behind

the ordinance at issue there. The fleeting reference to

the city’s reasons for adopting the ordinance, in short,

was not part of the panel’s reasoning, and so, while

certainly disapproved in Bruen, does not undermine

the central analysis in the case.

We have now referred many times to Bruen, and

finally, it takes center stage. Rejecting the two-part

test adopted by the courts of appeals (which it derided

as having “one step too many,” 142 S. Ct. at 2127), the

Bruen Court elaborated on the test that Heller

requires. See 142 S. Ct. at 2129–30. First, it said, the

trial court must decide whether “the Second

Amendment’s plain text covers an individual’s

App. 25

conduct.” Id. If so, then “the Constitution

presumptively protects that conduct.” Id. at 2130. The

analysis then moves to the second step, which calls on

the “government [to] justify its regulation by

demonstrating that it is consistent with the Nation’s

historical tradition of firearm regulation.” Id. The

Court predicted that this second step would be

relatively easy in some instances, when historical

analogues are easy to find. But in other instances, it

recognized that the task would be challenging. It

singled out “cases implicating unprecedented societal

concerns or dramatic technological changes,” which

“may require a more nuanced approach.” Id. at 2132.

Bruen also confirmed some additional points that

inform our analysis. First, the Court said (not for the

first time) that the Arms protected by the Second

Amendment are not limited to those that were in

existence at the time of its ratification, 1791, or at the

time the Fourteenth Amendment took effect, 1868. Id.

Second, the search is for a historical regulation that is

relevantly similar, not identical. Bearing in mind that

“the central component” of the Second Amendment

right is individual self-defense, id. at 2133 (quoting

McDonald, 561 U.S. at 767 (emphasis in original)), the

question is whether the modern and historical

regulations “impose a comparable burden on the right

of armed self-defense and whether that burden is

comparably justified,” id. And the Court made it clear

that this search was a meaningful one, not just a

subterfuge for either upholding or striking down all

modern laws:

App. 26

[A]nalogical reasoning under the Second

Amendment is neither a regulatory straightjacket nor a regulatory blank check. On the one

hand, courts should not uphold every modern

law that remotely resembles a historical

analogue, because doing so risk[s] endorsing

outliers that our ancestors would never have

accepted. On the other hand, analogical

reasoning requires only that the government

identify a well-established and representative

historical analogue, not a historical twin. So

even if a modern- day regulation is not a dead

ringer for historical precursors, it still may be

analogous enough to pass constitutional muster.

Id. (quotation and citation omitted, and second

alteration and emphases in original). Finally, the

Court’s decision in Bruen builds on, rather than

disturbs, Heller and McDonald. See id. at 2157 (Alito,

J., concurring); id. at 2161 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring).

Justice Alito in particular took care to make this point

when he wrote “[n]or does [Bruen] decide anything

about the kinds of weapons that people may possess.”

Id. at 2157 (Alito, J., concurring). Bruen simply “made

the constitutional standard endorsed in Heller more

explicit” and applied it to the handgun regulation at

issue. Id. at 2134.

Our task is to apply Bruen’s methodology to the four

laws before us. We begin by assessing whether the

assault weapons and large-capacity magazines

described in those laws are Arms for purposes of the

Second Amendment. If not, then the Second

Amendment has nothing to say about these laws: units

App. 27

of government are free to permit them, or not to permit

them, depending on the outcome of the democratic

process. If they are properly characterized as Arms,

then we must proceed to Bruen’s second step, at which

the governments bear the burden of proof, and

determine whether these laws pass muster.

III. Application to the Cases

A. Are the Covered Weapons “Arms”?

We begin by looking at the “plain text” of the Second

Amendment to see whether the assault weapons and

large-capacity magazines (terms that we, like the

parties, continue to use as short-hand for the many

items covered by these laws) fall within the scope of the

“Arms” that individual persons are entitled to keep and

bear. Both Supreme Court decisions and historical

sources indicate that the Arms the Second Amendment

is talking about are weapons in common use for selfdefense. That is not to say that there are no other

lawful uses for weapons—sporting uses, collection, and

competitions come to mind as examples. But the

constitutional protection exists to protect the individual

right to self-defense, and so that will be our focus.

Our starting point is, once again, Heller. It began by

interpreting the object of the Second Amendment right:

Arms. See 554 U.S. at 581. It is worth a close look at

this part of the opinion:

The 18th-century meaning is no different from

the meaning today. The 1773 edition of Samuel

Johnson’s dictionary defined “arms” as

“[w]eapons of offence, or armour of defence.” 1

Dictionary of the English Language 106 (4th ed.)

App. 28

(reprinted 1978). Timothy Cunningham’s

important 1771 legal dictionary defined “arms”

as “any thing that a man wears for his defence,

or takes into his hands, or useth in wrath to cast

at or strike another.” 1 A New and Complete

Law Dictionary; see also N. Webster, American

Dictionary of the English Language (1828)

(reprinted 1989) (similar).

The term was applied, then as now, to

weapons that were not specifically designed for

military use and were not employed in a military

capacity. For instance, Cunningham’s legal

dictionary gave as an example of usage:

“Servants and labourers shall use bows and

arrows on Sundays, &c. and not bear other

arms.” … Although one founding-era thesaurus

limited “arms” (as opposed to “weapons”) to

“instruments of offence generally made use of in

war,” even that source stated that all firearms

constituted “arms.” 1 J. Trusler, The Distinction

Between Words Esteemed Synonymous in the

English Language 37 (3d ed. 1794) (emphasis

added).

554 U.S. at 581–82 (first emphasis and ellipsis added,

and “hereinafter” parentheticals omitted).

Summarizing, the Court said that “the Second

Amendment extends, prima facie, to all instruments

that constitute bearable arms.” Id. at 582.

But what exactly falls within the scope of “bearable”

Arms? Not machineguns, the Court said, because they

can be dedicated exclusively to military use. See id. at

624. Yet a normal person can certainly pick up and

App. 29

carry a machinegun, or for that matter the portable

nuclear weapons we mentioned at the outset.

“Bearable” thus must mean more than “transportable”

or “capable of being held.” See id. at 627 (discussing

“weapons that are most useful in military service—M16

rifles and the like,” which “may be banned”).

The Court’s comments about the role of the militia

shed light on the scope of the term “Arms.” It explained

that “[t]he traditional militia was formed from a pool of

men bringing arms ‘in common use at the time’ for

lawful purposes like self-defense.” Id. at 624. It then

concluded that “the Second Amendment does not

protect those weapons not typically possessed by lawabiding citizens for lawful purposes, such as shortbarreled shotguns. That accords with the historical

understanding of the scope of the right.” Id. at 625

(emphasis added). We take from this that the definition

of “bearable Arms” extends only to weapons in common

use for a lawful purpose. That lawful purpose, as we

have said several times, is at its core the right to

individual self-defense.

This approach is consistent with the historical

antecedents on which the Second Amendment was

based. Chief among those was the 1689 English Bill of

Rights, which is a key precursor to the bills of rights in

the U.S. state and federal constitutions. The 1689 Bill

of Rights “explicitly protected a right to keep arms for

self-defense.” McDonald, 561 U.S. at 768. Similarly,

Blackstone explained that at the root of the right to

bear arms, there is a “natural right of resistance and

self-preservation,” and “the right of having and using

arms for self-preservation and defence.” Heller, 554

App. 30

U.S. at 594 (quoting 1 WILLIAM BLACKSTONE,

COMMENTARIES *139, *140). State constitutional

protections from the Founding Era confirm this

understanding. As Heller observed, “nine state

constitutional provisions written in the 18th century or

the first two decades of the 19th … enshrined a right of

citizens to bear arms in defense of themselves and the

state or bear arms in defense of himself and the state.”

554 U.S. at 584–85, 585 n.8 (citing the state

constitutions of Pennsylvania, Vermont, Kentucky,

Ohio, Indiana, Mississippi, Connecticut, Alabama, and

Missouri) (quotations omitted).

In order to show a likelihood of success on the

merits, the plaintiffs in each of the cases before us thus

have the burden of showing that the weapons

addressed in the pertinent legislation are Arms that

ordinary people would keep at home for purposes of

self-defense, not weapons that are exclusively or

predominantly useful in military service, or weapons

that are not possessed for lawful purposes. This search

for the correct meaning of “Arms” for the Second

Amendment is consistent with our approach to its

companions in the Bill of Rights. When interpreting the

text of a constitutional provision or a statute, we often

resort to contemporaneous dictionaries or other sources

of context to ensure that we are understanding the

word in the way its drafters intended. In Fourth

Amendment cases, we ask whether the place or item

searched falls within the Amendment’s scope. See, e.g.,

California v. Ciraolo, 476 U.S. 207, 213–14 (1986)

(aerial view of backyard). For purposes of the Sixth

Amendment, before we apply the Confrontation Clause

we must ensure that a particular statement was

App. 31

testimonial. See, e.g., Ohio v. Clark, 576 U.S. 237,

243–44, 247 (2015) (child’s responses to questions from

a teacher). The famous Fifth Amendment right against

compulsory self-incrimination attaches only if the

person is in custody, despite no mention of custody in

the “plain text” of the Amendment. See, e.g., New York

v. Quarles, 467 U.S. 649, 654 (1984).

We find substantial support for the proposition that

the Arms protected by the Second Amendment do not

include weapons that may be reserved for military use.

We already have pointed to language in the Supreme

Court’s opinions to this effect.6 The dissent, relying

heavily on Staples v. United States, 511 U.S. 600

(1994), contends that the Court has already decided

that the AR-15 is in common use, and thus that the

weapon is presumptively immune from regulation. See

post at 67. We see no such holding in Staples. That case

had nothing to do with the Second Amendment, which

is mentioned nowhere in the opinion. The Court

handed down the Staples decision five months before

Congress enacted the Federal Assault Weapons Ban,

6

We note, too, that this court was not the first to observe the line

that Heller recognized, and which was applied to the states in

McDonald. For example, over a decade ago, and three years before

Friedman, one scholar of the Second Amendment wrote that

“Heller and McDonald … focused on the right of a law-abiding

person to have a handgun in his or her home for self-protection,”

but “[n]either case foreclosed reasonable gun regulations,”

including “bans on military weapons wholly unnecessary for

ordinary self-defense,” “limits on the size of gun clips,” and

“registration and permit requirements.” See Akhil Reed Amar,

Gun Control After Newtown (Dec. 26, 2012), reprinted in THE

CONSTITUTION TODAY: TIMELESS LESSONS FOR THE ISSUES OF OUR

ERA 230, 231 (2016).

App. 32

when as a matter of federal law it was lawful to own an

AR-15. (We assume that this statute is of little

relevance to our historical inquiry, given the Supreme

Court’s insistence that the relevant time to consult is

1791, or maybe 1868, not the late 20th century.) The

status of the AR-15 at the time Staples was decided

provides a ready explanation for why the Court

asserted (with no empirical support) that the AR-15 is

among the weapons that have been “widely accepted as

lawful possessions.” 511 U.S. at 612. Interestingly, the

Staples Court contrasted the AR-15s with grenades, the

possession of which it said “is not an innocent act.” Id.

at 610 (quotation omitted). It said the same about

“machineguns, sawed-off shotguns, and artillery

pieces.” Id. at 611. Overall, we see nothing in Staples

that decides whether the Second Amendment protects

AR-15s, though we do find much in the opinion that

reinforces the line we discern from Heller, and which is

confirmed by history.

When we compare the AR-15s and other

semiautomatic weapons covered by the Act and its

counterparts, we come to the same conclusion. Indeed,

we asked the plaintiffs at oral argument to explain

what distinguishes AR-15s from M16s, the military’s

counterpart that is capable of both fully automatic

operation and semiautomatic operation. The question

is important precisely because Heller itself stated that

M16s are not among the Arms covered by the Second

Amendment; they are instead a military weapon. See

554 U.S. at 624, 627.

The plaintiffs’ responses to our question were

unconvincing. They argued, for instance, that civilians

App. 33

do not regard machineguns as useful for self-defense,

but that is because they cannot purchase machineguns.

It is not too much of a stretch to think that some people

might like the fully automatic feature of a machinegun,

if they were hoping to defend their families, their

property, and themselves from invaders. The plaintiffs

also noted that machineguns are more expensive than

semiautomatic weapons, but we cannot believe that an

item’s entitlement to constitutional protection depends

on its price. Finally, with a nod to the “lawful use”

criterion, the plaintiffs said that when machineguns

were available to civilians (early in the 20th century),

they were primarily used by criminals. But this tells us

nothing about how use of those guns would have

evolved, had they remained legal and readily

available.7

Coming directly to the question whether the

weapons and feeding devices covered by the challenged

legislation enjoy Second Amendment protection, at the

first step of the Bruen analysis, we conclude that the

answer is no. We come to this conclusion because these

assault weapons and high-capacity magazines are

much more like machineguns and military-grade

weaponry than they are like the many different types

of firearms that are used for individual self-defense (or

7

It appears that there is a large and growing demand for guns in

general. Since 1986, the number of guns manufactured each year

has almost quadrupled, from around 3 million in 1986 to almost 11

million in 2013. See Scott Horsley, Guns in America, by the

Numbers, NPR (Jan. 5, 2016), https://www.npr.org/2016/01/05/

462017461/guns-in-america-by-the-numbers. There is no reason to

think that machineguns would not have followed the same pattern,

had they been lawful in civilian hands.

App. 34

so the legislature was entitled to conclude).8 Indeed,

the AR-15 is almost the same gun as the M16

machinegun. The only meaningful distinction, as we

already have noted, is that the AR-15 has only

semiautomatic capability (unless the user takes

advantage of some simple modifications that

essentially make it fully automatic), while the M16

operates both ways. Both weapons share the same core

design, and both rely on the same patented operating

system.9

The similarity between the AR-15 and the M16 only

increases when we take into account how easy it is to

modify the AR-15 by adding a “bump stock” (as the

shooter in the 2017 Las Vegas event had done) or autosear to it, thereby making it, in essence, a fully

automatic weapon. In a decision addressing a ban on

bump stocks enacted by the Maryland legislature,

another federal court found that bump-stock devices

enable “rates of fire between 400 to 800 rounds per

minute.” Maryland Shall Issue v. Hogan, 353 F. Supp.

3d 400, 404 (D. Md. Nov. 16, 2018) (quotation omitted).

8

Obviously, many weapons are “dual use”: private parties have a

constitutionally protected right to “keep and bear” them and the

military provides them to its forces. In this sense, there is a thumb

on the scale in favor of Second Amendment protection. When we

refer to “military” weapons here, we mean weapons that may be

essentially reserved to the military.

9

See ARMALITE, INC., Technical Note 54: Direct Impingement

Versus Piston Drive (July 3, 2010), available at https://wayback.

archive-it.org/all/20120905024032/http://www.armalite.

com/images/Tech%20Notes%5CTech%20Note%2054,%20Gas%2

0vs%20Op%20Rod%20Drive,%20020815.pdf.

App. 35

To the same effect, the Fourth Circuit noted that “[t]he

difference between the fully automatic and

semiautomatic versions of [the AR-15 and AK-47] is

slight. That is, the automatic firing of all the

ammunition in a large-capacity thirty-round magazine

takes about two seconds, whereas a semiautomatic rifle

can empty the same magazine in as little as five

seconds.” Kolbe, 849 F.3d at 125. The District of

Columbia Circuit also noted that “semiautomatics …

fire almost as rapidly as automatics.” Heller v. District

of Columbia, 670 F.3d 1244, 1263 (D.C. Cir. 2011), on

remand from Heller, 554 U.S. 570; see also ATF Ruling

2006-2, at 2 (Dec. 13, 2006) (discussing a device

(apparently the “Akins Accelerator,” an early bumpstock device) that “is advertised to fire approximately

650 rounds per minute”).

There are a few other differences between the AR15 and the M16, but none that is relevant. The M16

has an automatic firing rate of 700 rounds per minute,

while the AR-15 has a semiautomatic rate of “only” 300

rounds per minute—unless, as we have just noted, it is

modified with, for example, a bump stock or a “binary”

trigger, which can double the rate at which

semiautomatic weapons can be fired. Both models use

the same ammunition, deliver the same kinetic energy

(1220–1350 foot-pounds), the same muzzle velocity

(2800–3100 feet per second), and the same effective

range (602–875 yards). And these comments apply with

equal force to the high-capacity handguns that are

restricted by these laws. The latter are almost

indistinguishable from the 17- or 21-round M17 and

M18 pistols that are standard-issue in the military.

App. 36

But what about the possibility that the AR-15 (and

its many cousins covered by the Act) as sold is an Arm,

even though simple modifications can transform it into

a military weapon? On the one hand, this might

support an argument against the Act, which focuses

initially on the product as sold. On the other hand,

there is a serious question whether the legislature

sought to prevent users from deconstructing weapons

into (or assembling weapons from) their constituent

parts in order to evade the core regulation. If the AR-15

by itself is not a machinegun because it fires “only” at

the rate of 300 rounds per minute, and the auto-sear is

also not a machinegun because it is just a component

that holds a hammer in the cocked position, that would

be a road map for assembling machineguns and

avoiding legitimate regulations of their private use and

carry. A question of this nature is raised in VanDerStok

v. Garland, No. 4:22-cv-00691-O, 2023 WL 4539591

(N.D. Tex. June 30, 2023), appeal docketed, No. 2310718, 2023 WL 4945360 (5th Cir. July 24, 2023), and

stay pending appeal granted sub nom. Garland v.

Vanderstok, No. 23A82, 2023 WL 5023383 (U.S. Aug. 8,

2023), where the Supreme Court has issued a stay of a

district court’s order vacating a federal “ghost gun”

regulation, 87 Fed. Reg. 24652 (Apr. 26, 2022). See also

Garland v. Blackhawk Mfg. Grp., Inc., No. 23A302,

2023 WL 6801523 (U.S. Oct. 16, 2023) (vacating a

second injunction limited to the parties).

Neither the parties nor the evidence before us

addressed these points, but the district courts may

explore them as the cases move forward. Better data on

firing rates might change the analysis of whether the

AR-15 and comparable weapons fall on the military or

App. 37

civilian side of the line. We note in this connection that

it is one thing to say that the AR-15 is capable of firing

at a rate of 300 rounds per minute and the comparable

rate for the M16 is 700 rounds per minute, but quite

another to address actual firing capacity, which

accounts for the need to change magazines. No one

here has suggested that the M16 comes with a 700round magazine, or for that matter that the AR-15

comes with a 300-round magazine. Either one must be

reloaded multiple times to fire so many rounds.

Factoring in the reloading time, the record may show

that the two weapons differ more—or less—than it

appears here.

Turning now to large-capacity magazines, we

conclude that they also can lawfully be reserved for

military use. Recall that these are defined by the Act as

feeding devices that have in excess of 10 rounds for a

rifle and 15 rounds for a handgun. Anyone who wants

greater firepower is free under these laws to purchase

several magazines of the permitted size. Thus, the

person who might have preferred buying a magazine

that loads 30 rounds can buy three 10-round magazines

instead.

Based on the record before us, we are not persuaded

that the AR-15 is materially different from the M16.

Heller informs us that the latter weapon is not

protected by the Second Amendment, and therefore

may be regulated or banned. Because it is

indistinguishable from that machinegun, the AR-15

may be treated in the same manner without offending

the Second Amendment.

App. 38

We conclude this portion of the opinion by stressing

again that this is just a preliminary look at the subject.

That assessment persuades us, as it did Judges

Kendall and Jenkins, that the plaintiffs have not

shown a strong likelihood of success on the merits. But,

as we previously have recognized, Second Amendment

challenges to gun regulations often require more

evidence than is presented in the early phases of

litigation. See Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018,

1023–25 (7th Cir. 2023) (vacating the district court’s

order dismissing a Second Amendment challenge to a

federal statute and remanding with a list of specific

questions to consider as the case proceeded). There

thus will be more to come, and we do not rule out the

possibility that the plaintiffs will find other evidence

that shows a sharper distinction between AR-15s and

M16s (and each one’s relatives) than the present record

reveals.

B. Historical Tradition

Although we are satisfied that these appeals can be

resolved at the first step of the Bruen framework—are

the weapons among the Arms protected by the Second

Amendment—for the sake of completeness we now turn

to the question whether, if the weapons covered by the

statutes before us ought to be considered bearable

“Arms,” the laws nonetheless pass muster under

Bruen’s second step. In short, are these laws consistent

with the history and tradition of firearms regulation?

Here, too, at the preliminary injunction stage, we

conclude that the plaintiffs have not shown the

necessary likelihood of success on the merits.

App. 39

In discussing whether these assault weapons and

large-capacity magazines are Arms protected by the

Second Amendment, we have (as instructed by Bruen)

confined ourselves to textual considerations. There is

another aspect of the Bruen framework, which is

whether the regulated weapons are “in common use.”

There is no consensus on whether the common-use

issue belongs at Bruen step one or Bruen step two. The

plaintiffs argue that it belongs at the second step. We

will assume (without deciding the question) that this is

a step two inquiry, where the state bears the burden of

proof. Even with that leeway, we do not find this factor

to be very helpful.

In this respect, we find the analysis in Friedman to

be particularly useful, and unlike the district courts,

we do not believe that the relevant portion was

undermined by Bruen. We recognized in Friedman that

“common use” is a slippery concept. Suppose, for

example, a new type of handgun is introduced to the

market on January 1, 2024. As of that day, zero guns of

that type have been sold. Yet if its characteristics are

analogous to those of the many other types of handguns

available for consumers, no one would say that this

new handgun was not within the class of Arms

protected by the Second Amendment. At the other end

of the spectrum, consider the actual case of

machineguns, which for a time were available for

civilian purchase, but which were eventually

withdrawn from that market. However popular

machineguns might have been, either in organized

crime circles or more generally, because their

characteristics were military in nature, the decision to

App. 40

reserve them to military use was within the power of

the legislature.

The dissent repeatedly makes the point that the

assault weapons covered by the challenged legislation

are obviously in common use, because there are so

many in private hands. Indeed, the dissent’s argument

boils down to two propositions: first, it contends that

the fact that many people own assault weapons

insulates them from regulation; and second, it makes

the surprising assertion that assault weapons are not

particularly dangerous. The latter proposition finds no

empirical support in the record, and the former, as we

will explain, does not carry the day.

The plaintiffs present basically the same argument.

One brief asserts that at least 20 million AR-15s and

similar rifles are owned by some 16 million citizens

(though they do not specify how many of these owners

would fall within the large carveout created by the

grandfather and the trained professional exceptions to

the Act). The plaintiffs also assert that at least 150

million magazines with a capacity greater than 10

rounds have been bought for private use. (The state

criticizes these numbers for being based, it says, on “an

unpublished, non-peer-reviewed paper recounting an

online survey that does not disclose its funding or

measurement tools.” We have no need for present

purposes to resolve that dispute.) Cook County offers a

different perspective, noting that of all the firearms in

the country, only 5.3% are assault weapons, and that

percentage includes those held by law-enforcement

agencies. One is reminded of Mark Twain’s apocryphal

App. 41

remark, “There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned

Lies, and Statistics.”

For the reasons set forth in more detail in

Friedman, we decline to base our assessment of the

constitutionality of these laws on numbers alone. Such

an analysis would have anomalous consequences. The

problem with this approach can be seen in the case of

the AR-15. When, in 1994, the Federal Assault

Weapons Ban made civilian possession of AR-15s

(among other assault weapons) unlawful, see Pub. L.

No. 103-322, § 110102, 108 Stat. 1796, 1996, few

civilians owned AR-15s. But in 2004, after the

legislation was allowed to expire pursuant to its sunset

provision, id. § 110105(2), 108 Stat. at 2000, these

weapons began to occupy a more significant share of

the market. Indeed, most of the AR-15s now in use

were manufactured in the past two decades.10 Thus, if

we looked to numbers alone, the federal ban would

have been constitutional before 2004, but

unconstitutional thereafter. This conclusion is essential

to the plaintiffs’ position, yet it lacks both textual and

historical provenance.

As this example illustrates, the idea of “common

use” cannot be severed from the historical scope of the

common-law right that the Second Amendment was

designed to protect against encroachment. In other

words, the relevant question is what are the modern

10

See Aaron O’Neill, Annual Share of AR-15 Assault Rifles in the

Total Number of Firearms Manufactured in the United States from

1990 to 2020, STATISTA (June 2, 2023), https://www.statista.com/

statistics/1388010/share-ar-15-united-states-firearm-productionhistorical/.

App. 42

analogues to the weapons people used for individual

self-defense in 1791, and perhaps as late as 1868. This

would exclude the weapons used exclusively by the

military—and every Framer of the Second Amendment

was well aware by 1791 that the King of England had

an impressive standing army, and that such weapons

existed. The weapons used for self-defense are the ones

that Heller, McDonald, Caetano, and Bruen had in

mind—not a militaristic weapon such as the AR-15,

which is capable of inflicting the grisly damage

described in some of the briefs.

Bruen recognized that even Arms (i.e., nonmilitaristic weapons) may be regulated, as long as the

regulation is “part of an enduring American tradition

of state regulation.” 142 S. Ct. at 2155. A regulation is

a part of this tradition if one can provide answers to

two questions: (1) how, and (2) why, does a given

regulation “burden a law-abiding citizen’s right to

armed self-defense”? Id. at 2133. With respect to the

“how” question, judges are instructed to consider

“whether modern and historical regulations impose a

comparable burden” on that right. Id. For all its

disclaiming of balancing approaches, Bruen appears to

call for just that: a broader restriction burdens the

Second Amendment right more, and thus requires a

closer analogical fit between the modern regulation and

traditional ones; a narrower restriction with less

impact on the constitutional right might survive with

a looser fit. It is at this stage that many courts, as well

as the state parties here, point to the long-standing

tradition of regulating the especially dangerous

weapons of the time, whether they were firearms,

explosives, Bowie knives, or other like devices. (The

App. 43

regulations we list below are representative of this

tradition.) The dissent cannot deny that regulation

existed; it relies only on the fact that the particulars of

those regulations varied from place to place, and that

some were more absolute than others. But the same is

true in our case. The laws before us have one huge

carve-out: people who presently own the listed firearms

or ammunition are entitled to keep them, subject only

to a registration requirement that is no more onerous

than many found in history. In addition, as we noted at

the outset, the laws do not purport to regulate many

other special uses. This is enough, in our view, to

satisfy the “how” question Bruen identified.

The “why” question is another one that at first

blush seems hard to distinguish from the discredited

means/end analysis. But we will do our best. Bruen

makes clear that the question whether a burden is

“comparably justified” cannot be answered by pointing

to the gravity of the harms the legislation was designed

to avert and the appropriateness of the mechanism

they adopt. See id. at 2133, 2129. The dissent chooses

to take a purposive approach to this question: what

were the reasons motivating the historical regulations,

and do they map well onto the reasons behind the

modern law? We confess to some skepticism about any

test that requires the court to divine legislative purpose

from anything but the words that wound up in the

statute. Legislator A may have had one goal; Legislator

B may have had another; and Legislator C might have

agreed to vote for one bill in exchange for a reciprocal

vote for Legislator D’s pet project later. That is why, as

the author of Heller reminded us, “The text is the law,

App. 44

and it is the text that must be observed.” ANTONIN

SCALIA, A MATTER OF INTERPRETATION 22 (1997).

The best one can say is that if the text of the

legislation evinces its purpose (perhaps in an

introductory Statement of Purpose, which many bills

contain, or in some other prefatory provision), that is a

valid source to consult in answering the “why”

question. When we consult the text of the Act, we find

the best indication of its purpose in its name: “Protect

Illinois Communities Act.” See Pub. Act. 102-1116, at

§ 1 (2023). Cf. Johnson v. Robison, 415 U.S. 361, 377

(1974) (noting that the name of a statute can

emphasize its purpose). Historical regulations show

that at least since the Founding there has been an

unbroken tradition of regulating weapons to advance

similar purposes.

Once again, the dissent cannot dispute the existence

of this enduring American tradition. It tries to escape

it, asserting that “stop[ping] a mass casualty event,” or

perhaps “stopping escalating gun violence,” is the

purpose of the statute, post at 71, 74, yet it points to

nothing in the Act that supports either of these specific

characterizations. To be sure, the dissent notes that the

bill enacted by the City of Naperville recites a few of

the many mass shootings that have occurred during the

last decade. See post at 71 n.13.11 But the bill also

expressly states that the purpose of the ordinance is to

11

Indeed, the dissent relies solely on the municipal bill’s

recitations as proof of the state statute’s purpose. It is quite the

puzzle to try to square this interpretive method with the dissent’s

lengthy criticism of our brief invocation of the name of the Act. See

post at 63-65.

App. 45

protect public health, safety, and welfare. See City of

Naperville, Ill., Ordinance No. 22-099, at 4 (Aug. 16,

2022). The mass-shooting details appear to be nothing

more than particular examples illustrating that

broader purpose. The state’s attorney also informs us

that the legislation was enacted after the Highland

Park July 4 massacre. But we have not rested our

opinion on this point, because in our view it comes too

close to the means/end scrutiny that Bruen rejected. In

any event we do not think it is appropriate to rely on

extratextual considerations to answer the “why”

question. The issue, whether we separate out “how”

and “why” or we consider them a unified test, is

whether the tools the legislature used were limited to

those that the Second Amendment left for it, after (as

the Court said in Heller, 554 U.S. at 635, and Bruen,

142 S. Ct. at 2133 n.7) the Second Amendment itself

performed the necessary means/end balancing. As we

have explained, we think that the legislatures involved

here did stay within those boundaries.

Harking back to our examination of covered Arms,

we find the distinction between military and civilian

weaponry to be useful for Bruen’s second step, too. Both

the states and the federal government have long

contemplated that the military and law enforcement

may have access to especially dangerous weapons, and

that civilian ownership of those weapons may be

restricted.12 Many other weapons remain that are more

12

We realize that all guns are dangerous when used as intended:

a gunshot wound may be fatal or life-threatening. The Centers for

Disease Control and Prevention estimate that 48,830 people died

as a result of a firearm in 2021. See CENTERS FOR DISEASE

App. 46

universally available. That is enough to assure us that

we are not creating some unbounded “military veto”

over the types of Arms that can be regulated. History

and tradition leave no doubt that certain weaponry is

for the state only: weapons such as the grenades, the

machineguns, the artillery pieces, and the like

mentioned in Staples. See 511 U.S. at 611–12. (And

recall that the laws before us carve out not only the

military, but police and security forces too, from their

coverage.) And, as we now show, the distinction

between the two uses is one well rooted in our history.

The following examples suffice to make the point:

• In 1746, Boston outlawed the discharging of

any cannon, gun, or pistol within city limits,

but it explained that soldiers were still

permitted to discharge weaponry on their

training days. See Chapter 11—An Act to

Prevent the Firing of Guns Charged with

Shot[t] or Ball in the Town of Boston, §§ 1–3,

in 3 THE ACTS AND RESOLVES OF THE

PROVINCE OF THE MASSACHUSETTS BAY 17421756, at 309 (1878).

• Other cities, such as Cleveland, Ohio,

implemented similar ordinances throughout

the 19th century, again exempting military

CONTROL AND PREVENTION, National Center for Health Statistics:

All Injuries (Sept. 13, 2023), https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/

fastats/injury.htm. But the record indicates that there are

important differences in the lethality of the military-grade

weapons, as compared with guns that are commonly owned and

used for self-defense and other lawful purposes.

App. 47

companies during drills. See Chapter

33—Fire Arms, §§ 417–423, in ORDINANCES

OF THE CITY OF CLEVELAND 136–37 (H.L. Vail

& L.M. Snyder, eds., 1890).

• There are dozens of examples of Bowie knife

regulations, forbidding or limiting the use of

these dangerous weapons. Several of those

featured military exceptions. In 1884, for

example, Arkansas outlawed the sale of all

dirks, Bowie knives, cane-swords, metal

knuckles, and pistols, except as for use in the

army or navy of the United States. See

Chapter 53—Carrying Weapons,

§§ 1907–1909, in A DIGEST OF THE STATUTES

OF ARKANSAS 490 (W.W. Mansfield, ed.,

1884).

• Several city ordinances in the late 1800s

followed suit, restricting the carry of a wide

array of dangerous and concealable weapons

(slingshots, metal knuckles, Bowie knives,

daggers, pistols, and clubs), but exempting

“peace officers” and “conservator[s] of the

peace.” See Chapter 6—Offenses Against the

Peace of the City, § 182, in THE REVISED

ORDINANCES OF PROVO CITY 106–07 (1877);

Chapter 534—Ordinances of Baltimore,

§ 742A, in THE BALTIMORE CITY CODE 297–98

(John Prentiss Poe, ed., 1893).

• The federal government continued this

tradition when it began passing gun control

laws. The National Firearms Act of 1934

imposed taxation and registration

App. 48

requirements on all guns, but it exempted

transfers to the U.S. government, states,

territories, political subdivisions, and peace

officers. See Pub. L. No. 73-474, §§ 1-12, § 13,

48 Stat. 1236, 1236-40, 1240 (1934).

• Federal restrictions expanded in 1968, when

sale and delivery of destructive devices

(defined as an “explosive, incendiary, or

poison gas bomb, grenade, mine, rocket,

missile, or similar device”) and machineguns

were severely restricted. See Omnibus Crime

Control and Safe Streets Act of 1968, Pub. L.

No. 90-351, § 921(a)(4), § 922(b), 82 Stat. 197,

227, 230 (1968). Once again, these provisions

did not apply to items sold to the United

States or to any individual state. Id. § 925(a),

82 Stat. at 233.

• Machineguns were banned by the Firearm

Owners’ Protection Act of 1986. Since then,

civilian ownership has been capped at pre1986 levels and only military and law

enforcement have access to these weapons.

See Pub. L. No. 99-308, § 102(9), 100 Stat.

449, 453 (1986).

In short, there is a long tradition, unchanged from

the time when the Second Amendment was added to

the Constitution, supporting a distinction between

weapons and accessories designed for military or lawenforcement use, and weapons designed for personal

use. The legislation now before us respects and relies

on that distinction.

App. 49

IV. Concluding Observations

We conclude with a few remarks about several

additional issues in some of these cases that do not

require immediate attention, and a reminder about the

limits on our ruling.

First, we briefly comment on Herrera’s challenge to

the constitutionality of the registration requirement

that implements the grandfather exemption. He

regards it as a burden on his Second Amendment

rights, and he worries that it may in the future lead to

confiscatory acts on the part of the state. If we are

correct in our prediction that the state will prevail in

its defense of the Act against the Second Amendment

arguments, then the registration requirement will be

valid as long as it can withstand rational basis review.

At this juncture, we see nothing particularly onerous

about it, though as with everything we have said, this

is a preliminary assessment. Herrera has until the end

of 2023 to file the necessary forms, and if he does so, he

may retain all of the covered weapons he already owns;

the Act will prohibit only his acquisition of additional

assault weapons or high-capacity feeding devices. For

its own reasons, the dissent agrees with us that the

registration requirement should not be enjoined. See

post at 76.

Second, in this court none of the parties has

developed any coherent argument that would

distinguish restrictions on possession, on the one hand,

from restrictions on sale or manufacture, on the other.

One of the parties in Bevis is a gun store, but the

implications of that have yet to be addressed. We thus

have no comment on it.

App. 50

Finally, we have no need to decide whether an

alleged Second Amendment violation gives rise to a

presumption of irreparable harm, and if so, whether

any such presumption is rebuttable or ironclad. Given

our decision that the plaintiffs have not shown that

they have a strong likelihood of success on the merits,

we think it best to save this point for another day. We

also have no comment on the other two parts of the

Winter inquiry: where the balance of equities lies, and

what the public interest dictates.13

We close with an important reminder. Nothing that

we have said here indicates that any state or

municipality must enact restrictions on the ownership

of assault weapons or high-capacity magazines. Unless

preemptive federal legislation requires otherwise, this

is an issue for the political process in each jurisdiction.

The people of some states may find the arguments in

favor of a lack of restrictions to be persuasive; the

people of other states may prefer tighter restrictions.

As long as those restrictions do not infringe on the

constitutionally protected right to keep and bear the

Arms covered by the Second Amendment, either choice

is permissible. In the cases now before us, however, the

plaintiffs have not shown a likelihood of success on the

merits, based on the fact that military weapons lie

13

The governmental parties devoted considerable attention in

their briefs to the horrors of the mass shootings that have occurred

with distressing regularity throughout the country. Illinois reports

that the mass shooting in the town of Highland Park on July 4,

2022, in which seven people were killed and another 48 were

injured, inspired the Act. We have not relied on this point,

however, because, as we have mentioned, it appears to depend on

the type of means/end analysis that Bruen disapproved.

App. 51

outside the class of Arms to which the individual right

applies.

In Nos. 23-1353 and 23-1793, we AFFIRM the

district courts’ orders denying preliminary injunctive

relief. In Nos. 23-1825, 23-1826, 23-1827, and 23-1828,

we VACATE the district court’s order granting

preliminary injunctive relief. We also confirm that the

stay we issued in these appeals will remain in effect

until our mandate issues.

SO ORDERED.

Illinois

•

•

•

•

•

Rifles—

over 10

rounds

Handguns

—over 15

rounds

Magazines

Covered

Semiautomatic •

rifles that have

one or more

assault weapon- •

like

modifications

Semiautomatic

pistols that have

one or more

assault

weapon-like

modifications

Firearms Covered

Manufacture

•

Delivery

Sale

Purchase

Possession (pre-existing

possession and private

post-Act use are

•

permissible if registration

requirements are met)

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

App. 52

APPENDIX

Firearms Covered

• Semiautomatic

shotguns with a

revolving cylinder

or that have one

or more assault

weapon-like

modifications

• Various assault

weapons listed by

name

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

Illinois

Magazines

Covered

App. 53

• Semiautomatic

N/A

rifles that can

accept more than

10 rounds or that

have one or more

assault weaponlike modifications

• Devices that

accelerate the rate

of fire of a

semiautomatic

rifle

• Various assault

weapons listed by

name

• Commercial sale

Naperville

Magazines

Covered

Firearms Covered

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

App. 54

• Semiautomatic

• Magazine

rifles that have

s over 10

one or more

rounds

assault weaponlike modifications

• Semiautomatic

pistols that have

one or more

assault weaponlike modifications

Manufacture

Sale

Offer or display for sale

Give

Lend

Transfer of ownership

Acquire

Carry

Possession

Cook County •

•

•

•

•

•

•

•

•

Magazines

Covered

Firearms Covered

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

App. 55

Firearms Covered

• Semiautomatic

shotguns with a

revolving cylinder

or that have or

one more assault

rifle-like

modifications

• Combination kits

from which an

assault weapon

can be assembled

• Various assault

weapons listed by

name

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

Cook County

Magazines

Covered

App. 56

Import

Sale

Manufacture

Transfer of ownership

Possession

• Semiautomatic

• Handguns

rifles with the

—over 15

ability to accept a

rounds

detachable

magazine and that

have one or more

assault weaponlike modifications

• Semiautomatic

rifles that have a

fixed magazine

with the capacity

to accept more

than 10 rounds

•

•

•

•

•

Chicago

Magazines

Covered

Firearms Covered

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

App. 57

Firearms Covered

• Devices that

accelerate the rate

of fire of a

semiautomatic

rifle

• Shotguns that

have one or more

assault weaponlike modifications

• Semiautomatic

handguns that

have one or more

assault weaponlike modifications

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

Chicago

Magazines

Covered

App. 58

Firearms Covered

• Various assault

weapons listed by

name

Jurisdiction Actions Prohibited

Chicago

Magazines

Covered

App. 59

App. 60

BRENNAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting. The Second

Amendment “right of the people to keep and bear

Arms” is not a second-class right. Yet the State of

Illinois and several Illinois municipalities have

categorically banned law-abiding citizens from keeping

and bearing a sweeping range of firearms and

magazines. In a remarkable conclusion, the majority

opinion decides that these firearms are not “Arms”

under the Second Amendment. Because the banned

firearms and magazines warrant constitutional

protection, and the government parties have failed to

meet their burden to show that their bans are part of

the history and tradition of firearms regulation,

preliminary injunctions are justified against

enforcement of the challenged laws. I respectfully

dissent.

I

The Protect Illinois Communities Act, Pub. Act 1021116, challenged in each case before us, dramatically

redefines the legality of firearms and magazines in

Illinois. It goes far beyond the prohibition of “assault

rifles.” The Act eliminates the ownership, possession,

and use for self-defense of many of the most commonlyowned semiautomatic handguns, shotguns, rifles, and

magazines. Exceptions to the Act are narrow.

Specifically, the Act covers firearms, magazines,

and an endorsement process for registration. The Act

bans the manufacture, delivery, sale, import, and

purchase of a vast array of weapons, 720 ILL. COMP.

STAT. §§ 5/24-1(a)(16), 75/24-1.9(a), 5/24-1.10(a)–(b),

prohibiting them by their features, by their functions,

and by name. The Act bans semiautomatic rifles with

App. 61

detachable magazines and one additional qualifying

attachment, such as a pistol grip or a flash suppressor.

Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(A). “[A]ll AR type[]” rifles are

banned, including 43 named variants, such as the AR15. The Act further prohibits “copies, duplicates,

variants, or altered facsimiles with the capability of

any such weapon.” Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(J)(ii). It also bans

almost 100 more rifles by name. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(J).

The Act restricts various other firearms as well. For

example, a law-abiding citizen in Illinois can no longer

purchase semiautomatic pistols that have “a fixed

magazine with the capacity to accept more than 15

rounds,” regardless of any attachments. Id. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(D). The same goes for a semiautomatic

shotgun with a fixed magazine holding more than five

shells. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(F)(v). The list of restricted

weapons includes nearly all detachable magazines

holding more than 10 rounds of ammunition for long

guns and 15 rounds of ammunition for handguns. Id.

§ 5/24-1.10(a)(1)–(2). Many handguns, the

“quintessential self-defense weapon” for the American

people, District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 629

(2008), come standard with magazines carrying more

than 15 rounds. As with semiautomatic rifles, after

banning pistols by their features, the Act bans “[a]ll AR

type[] pistols” and approximately 40 semiautomatic

pistols by name. 720 ILL. COMP. STAT. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(K).

Three municipal laws are also challenged, which are

as or more restrictive than the Act. The City of

Naperville ordinance is similar to the Act in most

respects; both are challenged in Bevis. The Cook

App. 62

County and City of Chicago ordinances, challenged

along with the Act in Herrera, are even broader. Cook

County bans possession of “assault weapons,” COOK

COUNTY, ILL. CODE § 54-211 and § 54-212, which

includes semiautomatic pistols with the capacity to

accept a detachable magazine and contain a qualifying

attachment (such as a muzzle brake). The City of

Chicago ordinance is similar. See CHI. MUN. CODE §§ 820-010, 8-20-075, 8-20-085.1

1

The majority opinion uses the phrase “assault weapon” to

simplify the covered arms. The appendix to the majority opinion

uses a variety of terms to summarize the types of arms the four

challenged laws categorically ban.

Still, the description in the appendix of the Act’s ban is

underinclusive in some ways. The Act bans semiautomatic rifles

with fixed magazines over 10 rounds (unless it fires .22 rimfire and

is loaded with a tubular mechanism). ILL. COMP. STAT. § 5/241.9(a)(1)(B). The appendix uses the phrase “[s]emiautomatic pistols

that have one or more assault weapon-like modifications,” most

likely a reference to ILL. COMP. STAT. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(C). More

precisely, the Act also bans semiautomatic pistols with fixed

magazines over 15 rounds. Id. § 5/24-1.9(a)(1)(D). Not included in

the appendix are bump stocks and binary triggers (a device

enabling the firing of two-rounds per trigger pull), which are both

prohibited by the Act. Id. § 5/24-1(a)(14).

The Cook County ordinance mirrors the Act’s prohibitions,

although it is stricter than the Act in that it bans semi-automatic

handguns with fixed magazines over 10 rounds (as opposed to 15

rounds under the Act). COOK COUNTY, ILL. CODE § 54-211(2).

The City of Chicago ordinance is underinclusive in its

description of the magazines covered. The ordinance prohibits any

magazine holding greater than 15 rounds, encompassing

magazines for all types of firearms (except for attached devices

that only accept and operate with .22 rimfire ammunition), not just

handguns. CHI. MUN. CODE § 8-20-010.

App. 63

II

The parties dispute whether the state, county, and

city bans respect the constitutional right to keep and

bear arms. In New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n, Inc.

v. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. 2111 (2022), the Supreme Court set

forth the framework for addressing those disputes.

Rejecting means-end scrutiny, the Court held: “When

the Second Amendment’s plain text covers an

individual’s conduct, the Constitution presumptively

protects that conduct. The government must then

justify its regulation by demonstrating that it is

consistent with the Nation’s historical tradition of

firearm regulation.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2129–30.

The Second Amendment states in part, “the right of

the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be

infringed.” U.S. CONST. amend. II. The amendment

presents several conditions for plain text coverage,

which raise questions including:

• Is the regulated population a covered

“people?” See, e.g., Range v. Att’y Gen. United

States, 69 F.4th 96, 101–03 (3d Cir. 2023) (en

banc); United States v. Sitladeen, 64 F.4th

978, 983 (8th Cir. 2023); and

• Is the conduct regulated “keep[ing]” or

“bear[ing]” arms? See, e.g., Heller, 554 U.S. at

582–92.

We consider another question: Are the instruments

regulated “Arms”?

“Arms” in the Second Amendment is a broad term

that “covers modern instruments that facilitate armed

App. 64

self-defense.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2132. The term

“extends, prima facie, to all instruments that constitute

bearable arms, even those that were not in existence at

the time of the founding.” Heller, 554 U.S. at 582.

When the plain text of the Second Amendment covers

an individual’s conduct, then the Constitution

presumptively protects the conduct. Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

at 2129–30. That presumptive protection is of all

bearable instruments that facilitate armed self-defense,

even those not in existence at the time of the Founding.

Id. at 2132, 2143 (citing Caetano v. Massachusetts, 577

U.S. 411, 411–412 (2016) (per curiam), and Heller, 554

U.S. at 627).2

As an initial matter, magazines—ammunition

feeding devices without which semiautomatic firearms

cannot operate as intended—are “Arms.” Such devices

are required as part of the firing process. This court

has recognized that corollaries to firearms fall within

Second Amendment protection. See Wilson v. Cook

County, 937 F.3d 1028, 1032 (7th Cir. 2019) (quoting

Ezell v. City of Chicago, 651 F.3d 684, 708 (7th Cir.

2011)). Further, the Act’s ban on magazines holding

more than ten rounds for rifles and more than fifteen

rounds for handguns effectively bans firearms that

come standard with magazines over the limit.

2

When the Supreme Court issued Bruen, it vacated several federal

appellate decisions upholding gun controls laws, remanding them

for reconsideration. Two of them—Duncan v. Bonta, 19 F.4th 1087

(9th Cir. 2021), and Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs Inc. v. Att’y

Gen. N.J., 974 F.3d 237 (3d Cir. 2020)—concerned magazine limits

of 10 rounds, and Bianchi v. Frosh, 858 F. App’x 645 (4th Cir.

2021) (per curiam) (unpublished), upheld Maryland’s “assault

weapons” ban.

App. 65

As for the broader definition of “Arms,” that term

should be read as “Arms”—not “Arms in common use at

the time.” In Heller, the Supreme Court recognized a

“historical tradition of prohibiting the carrying of

‘dangerous and unusual weapons,’” 554 U.S. at 627,

which may be regulated—a point it repeated in Bruen,

142 S. Ct. at 2143.

The Court “did not say that dangerous and unusual

weapons are not arms.” Teter v. Lopez, 76 F.4th 938,

950 (9th Cir. 2023) (emphasis in original) (ruling that

Hawaii statute banning butterfly knives violated

Second Amendment). To be sure, this does not mean

that the Second Amendment bars governments from

regulating weapons long held improper for civilian use.

This reading of Bruen permits the government, for

example, to preclude civilian ownership of military

weaponry when the history and tradition of weapons

regulation so dictates. As other examples, the

government may prohibit sawn-off rifles and shotguns,

which properly qualify as dangerous and unusual

firearms as they are not ordinarily used by law-abiding

citizens. See Heller, 554 U.S. at 625 (“[T]he Second

Amendment does not protect those weapons not

typically possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful

purposes, such as short-barreled shotguns.”). But that

distinction does not determine whether a weapon is an

“Arm.”

The government parties limit the Second

Amendment right by importing the phrase “in common

use” to assess whether firearms are “Arms.” But their

reading improperly restricts the constitutional right.

The banned firearms propel bullets by explosive force

App. 66

from gunpowder, yet the government parties ask us to

conclude that these rifles and pistols are not “Arms.”

As one amicus curiae submitted, “in common use” is a

sufficient condition for finding arms protected under

the history and tradition test in Bruen, not a necessary

condition to find them “Arms.”3 The nature of an object

does not change based on its popularity, but the

regulation of that object can.

The government parties also incorrectly attempt to

place a burden on the plaintiffs to show that the plain

text of “Arms” includes the banned firearms. Bruen

does not say that. Instead, Bruen states that when the

Second Amendment’s text covers an individual’s

conduct, the Constitution presumptively protects it.

142 S. Ct. at 2126, 2129–30. It is undisputed that the

government then bears the burden of proof under

Bruen’s history and tradition framework.

Whether a firearm is “in common use” is asked as

part of the history and tradition analysis. At least two

reasons support this reading. First, the “in common

use” test in Bruen is drawn from the “historical

tradition” of restrictions on “dangerous and unusual

weapons.” Id. at 2143. The test is not drawn from a

historical understanding of what an “Arm” is. Id. at

2132. Second, if a weapon is an “Arm,” it is only prima

facie protected by the Second Amendment. Bruen, 142

S. Ct. at 2132 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 582); see

Teter, 76 F.4th at 949–50 (placing “in common use” test

in history and tradition test of Bruen).

3

See D.E. 99, Brief for Amici Curiae Idaho, et al., at 6.

App. 67

The limitation of the Second Amendment right is

addressed in Bruen’s history and tradition test. This

requires the government to identify well-established

and representative historical analogues to show that

the modern regulation is consistent with a historical

tradition of firearms regulation. Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at

2133. In performing this analogical inquiry, it is critical

to fly at the right level of generality. Id. (“[A]nalogical

reasoning under the Second Amendment is neither a

regulatory straightjacket nor a regulatory blank

check.”); see J. H ARVIE WILKINSON, COSMIC

CONSTITUTIONAL THEORY 44 (2012). Fly too high, and

we risk any historical firearms regulation becoming an

analogue. Under Bruen, courts must not “uphold every

modern law that remotely resembles a historical

analogue.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2133. (quoting

Drummond v. Robinson, 9 F.4th 217, 226 (3d Cir.

2021)). Fly too low, and we risk myopia—nitpicking

differences because a historical regulation is not a

“dead ringer.” Id. We are looking for “a well-established

and representative historical analogue, not a historical

twin.” Id.

Before reviewing the approach to decide whether a

regulation is an analogical fit, it helps to address what

history and tradition refer to here. “History” means

that analogous laws must be “longstanding” and from

the relevant “timeframe.” Id. at 2131, 2133 (citing

Heller, 554 U.S. at 626). “History” helps establish the

public meaning of the Constitution as “understood ...

when the people adopted” it. Id. (citing Heller, 554 U.S.

at 634–35). The Court tells us that only two historical

timeframes are relevant to the public understanding of

the Second Amendment—the adoption of the Second

App. 68

Amendment in 1791 and the ratification of the

Fourteenth Amendment in 1868. Id. at 2136. Laws

enacted after the “end of the 19th century” must be

given little weight. Id. at 2136–37 (cleaned up).

“Tradition” means that the comparison must be to laws

with wide acceptance in American society. Id. at 2136.

Laws that enjoyed “widespread” and “unchallenged”

support form part of our tradition. Id. at 2137.

In Bruen, the Court reaffirmed that “individual selfdefense is ‘the central component’ of the Second

Amendment right,” id. at 2133 (citing McDonald, 561

U.S. at 767 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 599)), and

expressly identified two questions to assess the

analogical strength of a historical regulation: “how and

why the regulations burden a law-abiding citizen’s

right to armed self-defense.” Id. at 2133. Put another

way, how does the regulation limit the Second

Amendment right, and why does it do so?

How. How a historical regulation addressed a

particular problem, or whether it did at all, matters.

“[I]f earlier generations addressed the societal problem,

but did so through materially different means, that

also could be evidence that a modern regulation is

unconstitutional.” Id. at 2131. Whether a given

regulation was ever enforced, and to what extent, can

be relevant here as well. Id. at 2149.

Courts must also evaluate how historical

“regulations burden a law-abiding citizen’s right to

armed self-defense.” Id. at 2133. Modern regulations

that impose a “comparable burden on the right of

armed self-defense” are more likely to be upheld. Id.

App. 69

In assessing these comparable burdens, we consider

the breadth of the ban and the weapon banned. For the

breadth of the ban, the more expansive the limitation,

the greater the burden on the Second Amendment

right, which necessarily requires a close analogical fit.

For the weapon banned, the burden on the right to

keep and bear arms necessarily correlates with

whether the prohibited weapon is “in common use at

the time” of regulation. Id. at 2128, 2134, 2143. So, it is

natural that categorical bans of weapons in common

use will require an even stronger analogical fit with

historical regulations. See id. at 2143–44 (rejecting the

analogical value of alleged colonial era categorical bans

on “dangerous and unusual” weapons because

handguns are “unquestionably in common use today”).

Why. Why a historical regulation addressed a

particular problem, or whether it did at all, is also key

to evaluating its analogical value. In considering

whether a historical regulation is an analogical fit,

courts are to address whether the modern regulation

and proposed historical analogue have comparable

justifications for burdening the right to bear arms. Id.

at 2133. If the reasons motivating the historical and

modern regulations differ, there is no analogue. See id.

at 2140, 2144. Beyond doubt, this inquiry should not

allow a return to interest balancing. See id. at 2131

(explaining that the Second Amendment itself “is the

very product of an interest balancing by the people”

(quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 635)). Rather, the state’s

current rationale for arms regulation only matters

insofar as a historical regulation was motivated by

similar reasons. If not, the analogy fails. See id. at 2144

(discussing the context of the colonial New Jersey

App. 70

restrictions, in which land disputes between planters

and the colony’s proprietors caused planters to carry

pistols).

The government can only defend a regulation by

proving it is consistent with this country’s history and

tradition. See Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018,

1020–21 (7th Cir. 2023). Whether that history and

tradition allows regulating firearms in sensitive places,

for the mentally ill, and for felons, is currently under

debate. See, e.g., United States v. Rahimi, 61 F. 4th

443, 460–61 (5th Cir. 2023) (ruling that federal statute

prohibiting possession of firearm by individual subject

to domestic violence restraining order violates Second

Amendment as inconsistent with historical tradition),

cert. granted 143 S. Ct. 2688.

This understanding of the Bruen framework is

different from that of my colleagues. First, the majority

opinion acknowledges Bruen’s “in common use”

language but criticizes it as spawning unworkable

circularity issues: If the Second Amendment protects

firearms in common use, then that right would turn on

how quickly a state enacts regulations. If a firearm is

outlawed quickly following its introduction to the

market, then it has no chance of gaining common use

and enjoys only limited or no Second Amendment

protection. This cannot be how the Second Amendment

functions, the argument goes, as the speed of

regulation should not bear on an arm’s

constitutionality.

This circularity concern is far less pressing when

the “in common use” language is properly situated.

Because that consideration plays into the history and

App. 71

tradition analysis—and not the scope of the Second

Amendment’s text—it is not an “on-off” switch for

constitutional protection. Just because a weapon is not

in common use does not mean it falls outside the text

of the Second Amendment; and just because a weapon

is in common use does not necessarily mean a

government is barred from regulating it. Proper inquiry

requires full examination of the government’s evidence

and historical analogues, keeping in mind that bans of

weapons “in common use” are constitutionally suspect.

The Supreme Court certainly was not worried about

circularity. In Bruen, the Court explicitly linked the

Second Amendment analysis to “in common use.” See

142 S. Ct. at 2128 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 629)

(explaining that “the Second Amendment protects only

the carrying of weapons that are those ‘in common use

at the time,’ as opposed to those that ‘are highly

unusual in society at large’”). The Court reasoned that

even if handguns were once “dangerous and unusual,”

such firearms “are unquestionably in common use

today” and therefore receive robust Second Amendment

protection. Id. at 2143. In Caetano, the Court

addressed Second Amendment protections for a new

electronic weapon. So many were in circulation

(200,000 stun guns, far fewer than the approximately

25 million AR rifles) that the electronic weapon was

deemed “commonly possessed by law-abiding citizens

for lawful purposes … .” 577 U.S. at 420. We are not

free to ignore the Court’s instruction as to the role of

“in common use” in the Second Amendment analysis.4

4

The circularity argument also is not new. See Friedman v. City

of Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406 (7th Cir. 2015). As Judge Manion

App. 72

Next, my colleagues disagree with my approach to

Bruen’s “why” question, raising the specter of

purposivism. The majority opinion urges respect for the

text of a statute alone, which I share. Indeed, a fair

reading of a statute always “requires an ability to

comprehend the purpose of the text, which is a vital

part of its context.” See ANTONIN SCALIA & BRYAN A.

GARNER, READING LAW: THE INTERPRETATION OF LEGAL

TEXTS 33 (2012); see also John O. McGinnis, The

Contextual Textualism of Justice Alito, 14 HARV. J. L. &

PUB. POL’Y PER CURIAM, at 2 (2023) (describing Justice

Alito’s use of context in interpretation). This is

certainly a different task than interpreting a statute by

reference to the intent of its drafters, which I agree is

an inappropriate job for judges.

Still, Bruen requires us to consider the historical

context giving rise to the statute (the “why”). Bruen

looks at history and tradition to determine “the content

of the preexisting legal right to bear arms.” Randy E.

Barnett & Lawrence B. Solum, Originalism After

Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy, 118 NW. U. L. REV. 433,

469 (2023). And Bruen’s history and tradition approach

is a different endeavor than statutory interpretation.

Often a statute takes center stage for a purpose

other than to discern the scope of its legal rule, even

when determining whether it violates a constitutional

right. See Vill. of Arlington Heights v. Metro. Hous.

Dev. Corp., 429 U.S. 252, 270 (1977) (considering

whether a discriminatory purpose was a motivating

explained in dissent, circularity concerns deal in the hypothetical

more than the actual. Id. at 416 n.5.

App. 73

factor in a city’s zoning rules). For example, in Bruen

the Court considered Henry VIII’s “displeasure with

handguns” due to his concern that they would

“threaten[] Englishmen’s proficiency with the longbow,”

which led to Parliament’s passage of handgun

restrictions. 142 S. Ct. at 2140. East New Jersey

prohibited the concealed carry of pocket pistols in

response to “‘strife and excitement’ between planters

and the Colony’s proprietors ‘respecting titles to the

soil.’” Id. at 2143–44. And Heller discusses the “publicsafety reasons” behind several Colonial-era individualarms-bearing statutes. Heller, 554 U.S. at 601.

When looking to the text in its “why” analysis, the

majority opinion relies on the Act’s title, Protect Illinois

Communities Act. Set aside for the moment that “for

interpretive purposes,” courts should only rely on titles

to “shed light on some ambiguous word or phrase” in

the text. See Trainmen v. Baltimore & Ohio R. Co., 331

U.S. 519, 529 (1947). Titles and section headings have

a short history in the Anglo-American interpretive

tradition—legislatures did not always include the title

while debating the act. See SCALIA & GARNER at 221. If

there is serious doubt as to whether those titles and

headings received a fair shake in the legislative

process, relying on them would make little sense. One

influential treatise implores judges to check a state’s

constitution for provisions that vouchsafe interpretive

usefulness on a statutory title. See id. at 224.

As it turns out, the title of the Protect Illinois

Communities Act has little interpretive utility. The

Illinois Constitution has a provision grounding the title

in the legislative process, but there is serious doubt

App. 74

whether the legislature obeyed it here. The so-called

three-readings clause states: “A bill shall be read by

title on three different days in each house.” ILL. CONST.

art. IV, § 8(d). Reading rules exist precisely to ensure

“that each House knows what it is passing and passes

what it wants.” Schwegmann Bros. v. Calvert Distillers

Corp., 341 U.S. 384, 396 (1951) (Jackson, J.,

concurring) (explaining that the federal three-readings

rule helps draw a line where debate ends and drafting

begins).

Consider the procedural path of the Act, during

which the Illinois legislature may very well have

ignored the three-readings rule. See Caulkins v.

Pritzker, No. 129453, 2023 WL 5156850, at *17 (Ill.

Aug. 11, 2023) (White, J., dissenting). A group of

firearms owners challenged the Act in Illinois state

court, arguing it violated several provisions of the

Illinois Constitution. Id. at *1. The three-readings

clause is one of these provisions, and the Supreme

Court of Illinois rejected that claim only because the

plaintiffs failed to cross-appeal it, a jurisdictional error

warranting dismissal. Id. This legislation began in the

Illinois House with the title, “an Act concerning

regulation,” and its synopsis described changes to the

state’s insurance code. Id. at *17 (White, J.,

dissenting). The House read it three times by this title,

then sent it to the Illinois Senate. Id. The Senate read

it twice before the Senate adopted an amendment that

“completely stripped the insurance provisions[,] …

replaced them with the ‘Protect Illinois Communities

Act[,]’” and added the new bill’s popular title. Id. The

day the legislation became the “Protect Illinois

Communities Act,” the Senate read it for the first time

App. 75

under the new title and passed it. Id. The Act was

returned to the House the day after that and passed

without a reading. Id. The Illinois Governor signed it

later that day. Id.5

Though the Act’s possible three-readings problem

bears on neither the Second Amendment question nor

the Act’s legitimacy, it remains a good reason to be

skeptical of the interpretive value of language extrinsic

to the operative text. Instead, I focus on permissible

indicators of meaning.

III

Turning to this interlocutory appeal, the plaintiffs

make a facial challenge to the Act and ordinances at

the preliminary injunction stage. According to the

Supreme Court in Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418, 434

(2009), the two most important considerations at this

stage are likelihood of success on the merits and

irreparable harm. For the reasons explained below,

plaintiffs have satisfied both considerations.

A

As for likelihood of success on the merits, the

firearms and magazines banned by the Act and

ordinances are “Arms” under the plain text of the

Second Amendment. These firearms and magazines are

5

The Illinois Supreme Court decided that the Act does not violate

certain provisions of that state’s constitution. Caulkins, 2023 WL

5156850, at *4–6. The court also ruled that a challenge based on

the federal Second Amendment had been waived. Id. at *6.

App. 76

therefore presumptively protected.6 The government

parties embrace a contrasting, very narrow view of the

scope of the Second Amendment. They would limit this

constitutional right to the facts in Heller and Bruen.

Yet, as examples, the First and Fourth Amendments

would surely not be read in such a cramped manner.

Under Bruen’s history and tradition test, the

government parties bear the burden to show that the

banned arms are not in common use—or in other

words, are not dangerous and unusual—and to identify

historical analogues. As described above, Bruen

reviewed Heller and set forth its test to determine if

regulations satisfied the “how” and “why” test. Bruen,

142 S. Ct. at 2128 (citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 626–34).

The Act and ordinances here do not fall within a

“historical tradition of prohibiting the carrying of

‘dangerous and unusual weapons.’” Heller, 554 U.S. at

627; see Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143. The banned arms

are “in common use,” including for self-defense,

hunting, and sporting pursuits. Each side chooses its

metric—regulators divide the banned guns by the total

number of firearms, and gun owners use gross numbers

of the banned guns and magazines. Under either

measure, the banned weapons and magazines meet the

definition of “common”: “the quality of being public or

generally used.” BRYAN GARNER, GARNER’S DICTIONARY

OF LEGAL USAGE 179 (Oxford, 3d ed. 2011). More than

24 million AR rifles are estimated to be in circulation

6

Debates about grenades or rocket launchers are off subject. Some

military weaponry is covered by federal statute, see 18 U.S.C. ch.

44, which is not challenged here.

App. 77

in this country.7 Magazines number far more: in 2020

it was estimated that approximately 160 million pistol

and rifle magazines with a capacity of 11 rounds or

more were in U.S. consumer possession from

1990–2018.8

Federal courts have recognized that the AR-15 rifle

is common. In Staples v. United States, 511 U.S. 600

(1994), the Supreme Court offered comments in dicta

stating how common AR-15s were at that time in this

country. That case, which did not address the Second

Amendment, turned on the question of mens rea, and

the Court decided that to convict a person of possession

of an unregistered machinegun, the government must

prove the defendant knew that it would fire

automatically. Id. at 619. In Staples, the Court

contrasted the semiautomatic AR-15 with the

automatic M16. Id. at 602 n.1, 603. Acknowledging “a

long tradition of widespread lawful gun ownership by

private individuals in this country,” the Court stated,

“[e]ven dangerous items can, in some cases, be so

commonplace and generally available that we would

not consider them to alert individuals to the likelihood

of strict regulation.” Id. at 610–11. Staples contrasted

7

Commonly Owned: NSSF Announces over 24 Million MSRs in

Circulation, NAT’L SHOOTING SPORTS FOUND. (July 20, 2022),

https://www.nssf.org/articles/commonly-owned-nssf-announcesover-24-million-msrs-in-circulation/ [https://perma.cc/2LX6-UN3B].

8

Firearm Production in the United States, NAT’L SHOOTING SPORTS

FOUND.

7

(2020),

https://www.nssf.org/wpcontent/uploads/2020/11/IIR-2020-Firearms-Production-v14.pdf

[https://perma.cc/3WK8-TVAV] (sum of pistol and rifle magazines

with 11 or more rounds).

App. 78

ordinary firearms such as the AR-15 in that case with

“machineguns, sawed-off shotguns, and artillery

pieces,” stating “guns falling outside those categories

traditionally have been widely accepted as lawful

possessions.” Id. at 612.

Albeit pre-Bruen, two federal appellate courts also

concluded that AR platform rifles are common. N.Y.

State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n, Inc. v. Cuomo, 804 F.3d 242,

255 (2d Cir. 2015) (“Even accepting the most

conservative estimates cited by the parties and by

amici, the assault weapons and large-capacity

magazines at issue are ‘in common use’ as that term

was used in Heller.”); Heller v. District of Columbia,

670 F.3d 1244, 1261 (D.C. Cir. 2011) (“We think it clear

enough in the record that semi-automatic rifles and

magazines holding more than ten rounds are indeed in

‘common use,’ … .”). The firearms banned by the Act

and ordinances here have achieved common use in the

United States. They are not unusual.

As for magazines, Heller recognizes that

ammunition feeding devices may store rounds in a way

that the ammunition can be used immediately. 554

U.S. at 630. The Act and ordinances limit the number

of rounds a magazine may contain to 10 and 15.

Nothing in the record supports these arbitrary limits.

“Large”- or “high”-capacity magazine is a relative term,

as pistols may ship with magazine sizes ranging from

5 to 20 rounds, and common self-loading rifles have a

standard magazine capacity of between 20 and 30

App. 79

rounds.9 The numbers chosen in the Act and ordinances

do not track the gun market and are not “in common

use.”

Even if AR platform rifles were unusual, they are

not more dangerous than handguns. (Recall the test is

“dangerous and unusual.” (emphasis added). See id. at

627; Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2143.) The semiautomatic

mechanism in an AR-15 rifle is, in all material

respects, the same as in a semiautomatic handgun.

That mechanism is gas powered, and the impact of the

pin firing the bullet pushes back the lock mechanism,

ejects the old shell, and loads the new round from the

magazine. If Bruen and Heller provide that

semiautomatic handguns do not fail under the

“dangerous” prong, the mechanism in the AR-15 must

survive scrutiny. Indeed, a handgun could be viewed as

more dangerous than an AR-15 rifle because the

handgun is less accurate and more concealable.10

9

David B. Kopel, The History of Firearm Magazines and Magazine

Prohibitions, 78 ALB. L. REV. 849, 874 (2015) (“It is indisputable in

the modern United States that magazines of up to thirty rounds

for rifles and up to twenty rounds for handguns are standard

equipment for many popular firearms.”); id. at 859 (“The most

popular rifle in American history is the AR-15 platform, a

semiautomatic rifle with standard magazines of twenty or thirty

rounds.”). Springfield, for example, ships a small handgun with a

5-round magazine. See XD-S Mod.2 OSP 3.3” Single Stack .45 ACP

Handgun, SPRINGFIELD ARMORY (2023), https://www.springfieldarmory.com/xd-series-handguns/xd-s-mod-2-osp-handguns/xd-smod-2-osp-3-3-single-stack-45-acp-handgun

[https://perma.cc/64NQ-KRWM].

10

One pre-Bruen analysis offered a test for “Arms” consistent with

the elements Heller pointed to: common use, unusualness,

App. 80

AR-15s are not more dangerous because of the

projectile used. The regulations challenged here do not

speak to the type of round employed, but to the

capacity of the magazines and the rate of fire. In this

respect, an AR-15 and a semiautomatic handgun are

very similar. Controlling for the same caliber of round,

the difference between a Glock semiautomatic pistol

and an AR-15 is just the stock and barrel length. Their

rate of fire depends on how fast a trigger can be pulled.

On that metric, an AR-15 is closer to a semiautomatic

handgun (protected in Bruen and Heller) than an

automatic rifle such as the M16.11

Though dangerousness can be measured by many

metrics, it is best to focus on what we know. The

dangerousness, and use by law-abiding citizens for lawful

purposes. Eugene Volokh, Implementing the Right to Keep and

Bear Arms for Self Defense: An Analytical Framework and a

Research Agenda, 56 UCLA L. REV. 1443, 1481–82 (2009). Volokh

suggested that “Arms” with the same level of practical

dangerousness as those in common use are protected. Id.

Machineguns fail this test due to their rapid rate of fire and the

difficulty of firing them in a discriminating way. The same with

short-barreled shotguns, which combine the lethality of a shotgun

at the short distance characteristic of a criminal attack, and the

concealability of a handgun. Id. at 1482.

The weapons banned by the Act and the ordinances here have

the same practical dangerousness as those in common use among

law-abiding citizens. See id. at 1485.

11

See STEPHEN P. HALBROOK, AMERICA’S RIFLE: THE CASE FOR THE

AR-15, at 9 (2022) (“The features that make an otherwise legal

semiautomatic firearm an ‘assault weapon’ under various laws do

nothing to affect the firearm’s functional operation and, if

anything, promote safe and accurate use.”).

App. 81

traditional demarcation for regulation has been

between automatic and semiautomatic weapons. Fully

automatic weapons have long been heavily regulated,

and lawfully owned, fully automatic firearms are very

rare and expensive.12 The Act and ordinances violate

that tradition.

The banned arms are “in common use.” They are

commonly possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful

purposes, including self-defense. They may be

“dangerous”—as are all firearms—but they are not

“unusual,” and thus would not be within the history

and tradition recognized in Heller of prohibiting

“dangerous and unusual” weapons.

The Act and ordinances burden the rights of

hundreds of thousands of law-abiding citizens to keep

and bear the types of weapons and magazines that

have long been deemed appropriate for self-defense.

This leaves one option for the government

parties—they must identify analogous weapons

regulations from at or near the time of the Founding.

These are the “how” and “why” questions of Bruen’s

history and tradition test—“how” did the regulation

burden the Second Amendment right, and “why” was

this regulation adopted? The government parties offer

a variety of historical regulations on weapons. These

regulations show, they argue, that the Act and

ordinances are consistent with the Nation’s history and

tradition. But the governments’ examples are not

12

See GARY KLECK, TARGETING GUNS: FIREARMS AND THEIR

CONTROL 108–10 (1997).

App. 82

relevantly similar—their “how” and “why” set them

apart from the Act and ordinances here.

The government parties first point to regulations

limiting the public carry of certain weapons, such as

pistols, dirks (a long-bladed dagger), Bowie knives, and

clubs. See, e.g., 1813 Ky. Acts 100 (restricting concealed

carry of weapons like pocket pistols, dirks, or swords in

a cane, unless the individual was “travelling on a

journey”); 1813 La. Acts. 172; 1819 Ind. Acts 39. But

those regulations are limited only to the public carry of

certain weapons. The Act and ordinances here do more,

prohibiting the sale and eventually the possession of

the banned firearms. The “how” of the current

regulations is more burdensome than historical

regulations limiting public carry of weapons.

The Bowie knife example offered by the government

parties and relied on by the district court in Bevis falls

short as a historical analogue under the “how” and

“why” questions. The Bowie knife was not categorically

banned, just burdened in certain ways. The “how” is

different, as it was taxed, or it could not be carried. The

“why” for the Bowie knife was also different. The knife

was regulated because it was used in duels, not to stop

a mass casualty event—the “why” proffered here.13

Laws banning Bowie knives are also a poor analogue

because of what they ban. Guns and knives present

different dangers. Bodily harm is inflicted up-close and

13

For example, the Naperville ordinance states its bans are a

direct response to mass shootings over the last decade. See

NAPERVILLE, ILL. MUN. CODE tit. 3, ch.19 (reciting list of mass

shootings and incorporating them into text of the ordinance).

App. 83

personal with a knife, and from a distance with a gun.

These differences caution that the “how” and “why”

behind historical Bowie knife regulations are not so

comparable to justify the bans here.

Elsewhere, the government parties note historical

bans on the sale, possession, and carry of pocket

pistols, revolvers, and other kinds of weapons. Such

regulations appear to have been uncommon. One

example is an 1837 Georgia statute stating, “it shall

not be lawful for any merchant … or any person or

persons whatsoever, to sell, or offer to sell, or to keep,

or to have about their person or elsewhere, any of the

hereinafter described weapons, to wit: Bowie, or any

other kinds of knives, manufactured and sold for the

purpose of weapon, or carrying the same as arms of

offence or defense, pistols, dirks, sword canes, spears …

save such pistols as are known and used as horseman’s

pistols … .” 1837 Ga. Acts 90, § 1; see also 1879 Tenn.

Pub. Acts 135–36, An Act to Prevent the Sale of Pistols,

chap. 96 § 1; 1881 Ark. Acts 192, An Act to Preserve

the Public Peace and Prevent Crime, ch. XCVI, § 3.

These regulations also tended to restrict only

unusual kinds of pistols, preserving the right to

continue carrying army or navy pistols. Even more,

Heller, McDonald, and Bruen have solidified the

constitutional right to own and carry handguns, so it is

unclear what insights to draw from these defunct

regulations. The “how” of regulations like the Georgia

statute are thus distinguishable. The current

regulations do far more than limit small, uncommon

handguns or other outlier weapons. They limit access

to many of the most popular models of semiautomatic

App. 84

rifles, handguns, shotguns, and magazines. The Act

and ordinances therefore impose a far greater burden

on the right to keep and bear arms. If all that is not

enough, the Supreme Court of Georgia declared the

1837 statute unconstitutional to the extent it limited

one’s constitutional right to carry arms openly. See

Nunn v. State, 1 Ga. 243, 251 (1846); Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

at 2147 (discussing Nunn and the 1837 Act).

Cook County contends that historical regulations on

gunpowder support their current ordinance. The

County argues that the “why” of those regulations is

comparable to the “why” of the Act and the county’s

ordinance—preventing mass casualty events. But the

County’s argument “flies too high.” The “why” of the

gunpowder regulations was to stop fires resulting from

the combustion of stored flammable materials.

Moreover, while gunpowder storage was regulated,

purchasing and possessing gunpowder was not

prohibited. Fire-safety laws do not create a comparable

burden to an absolute ban on arms. See Heller, 554

U.S. at 632 (“Nothing about those fire-safety laws

undermines our analysis; they do not remotely burden

the right of self-defense as an absolute ban on

handguns.”). Even more, the Court rejected this

gunpowder analogy in Heller. Id. (“Justice Breyer cites

... gunpowder-storage laws that he concedes did not

clearly prohibit loaded weapons, but required only that

excess gunpowder be kept in a special container or on

the top floor of the home. Nothing about those firesafety laws undermines our analysis; they do not

remotely burden the right of self-defense as much as an

absolute ban on handguns.”).

App. 85

Various government parties also offer as historical

analogues regulations on trap or spring guns, fully

automatic machineguns, and short-barreled rifles and

shotguns. See, e.g., 18 U.S.C. § 922(a)(4) (short-barreled

shotguns and rifles); id. § 922(o) (machineguns);

1763–1775 N.J. Laws 346, An Act for the Preservation

of Deer and Other Game, and to Prevent Trespassing

with Guns, ch. 539, § 10 (trap guns). But the “how” and

“why” of those restrictions are materially different as

well. Trap or spring guns—rigged to fire when a string

or other device is triggered by contact—do not provide

a historical analogue. They fire indiscriminately, and

the “why” of banning them—the imbalance of using

lethal force to protect property versus human life—is

different than the “why” the Act and ordinances seek to

address of stopping escalating gun violence. Just so,

machineguns can expend hundreds more rounds per

second than even the fastest semiautomatic firearm,

disqualifying such a law as an analogue.

The majority opinion also relies on anti-carry laws

as analogues. But the challenged Act and ordinances

ban possession of arms. The distinction between anticarry and anti-possession laws is critical: the first

limits only the way a person may use a firearm in

public; the second categorically denies possession of a

firearm for any purpose. To elide this difference

between anti-carry and anti-possession laws ignores

Heller and Bruen. Bruen states that the “central”

consideration in assessing historical analogues is

“whether modern and historical regulations impose a

comparable burden on the right of armed self-defense

and whether that burden is comparably justified.” 142

S. Ct. at 2133.

App. 86

This leaves only those regulations restricting

semiautomatic firearms and ammunition feeding

devices, but those regulations all come from the

twentieth century. Even if valid for other reasons,

Bruen states that regulations so far from the time of

the Founding cannot meaningfully inform the history

and tradition analysis. 142 S. Ct. at 2136–37 (“[W]e

must also guard against giving postenactment history

more weight than it can rightly bear.”).

Even if the government parties had identified a

historical analogue that satisfied the “how” and “why”

inquiries of Bruen’s history and tradition test, a single

such regulation was not enough in that case. 142 S. Ct.

at 2153. In fact, three analogues were not enough in

Bruen. Id. One can ask if there is any “why” in support

of the Act and ordinances that did not also apply to the

ownership and public carry of handguns in Bruen. If

the “how” and “why” of handguns did not satisfy Bruen,

what about these regulations supply a different “why”?

This question was not adequately answered at oral

argument.14

Because the Act and ordinances fail the “how” and

“why” questions of Bruen, the government parties have

not met their burden that these regulations are

“relevantly similar” to a historical law. Some

hypothetical laws might satisfy the history and

tradition test—say, a law that banned carbine rifles

that hold more than six rounds, or possession of a pistol

that need not be reloaded. Magazines fall within the

category of “Arms,” so banning them must also satisfy

14

Oral Arg. at 15:20.

App. 87

the history and tradition test. For example, if there had

been a historical analogue of “25 or fewer bullets is the

number of shots a gun shall fire,” the government

parties might rely on that. But no such laws have been

cited for firearms or magazines. The government

parties have failed to show that the Act and ordinances

are consistent with the Nation’s history and tradition

of firearm regulation. History and tradition do not

support banning firearms and magazines so many

citizens own, possess, and use for lawful purposes.

To finish up likelihood of success on the merits, I

agree with my colleagues that on this record, the

registration requirement does not appear to be

unconstitutional.

B

On the second consideration for a preliminary

injunction, an alleged constitutional violation often

constitutes irreparable harm. See Int’l Ass’n of Fire

Fighters, Loc. 365 v. City of East Chicago, 56 F.4th 437,

450 (7th Cir. 2022); 11A CHARLES ALAN WRIGHT &

ARTHUR R. MILLER, FEDERAL PRACTICE AND PROCEDURE

§ 2948.1 (3d ed. 2022) (“When an alleged deprivation of

a constitutional right is involved ... most courts hold

that no further showing of irreparable injury is

necessary.”). For some constitutional violations,

particularly First Amendment violations, irreparable

harm is presumed. Christian Legal Soc’y v. Walker, 453

F.3d 853, 867 (7th Cir. 2006). Although the Supreme

Court has not recognized a presumption of irreparable

harm for Second Amendment violations, it has

emphasized that the constitutional right to bear arms

for self-defense is not “a second-class right, subject to

App. 88

an entirely different body of rules than the other Bill of

Rights guarantees.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2156 (citing

McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 780 (2010)

(plurality opinion)).

This court has held that when a law is facially

challenged under the Second Amendment, “the form of

the claim and the substance of the Second Amendment

right” create a “harm [that] is properly regarded as

irreparable and having no adequate remedy at law.”

Ezell, 651 F.3d at 699–700. In Ezell, the court likened

the plaintiff’s alleged Second Amendment harm to a

First Amendment challenge, implying a presumption of

irreparable harm. Id. In accord, the Ninth Circuit has

held that there is a presumption of irreparable harm

where a Second Amendment right is violated. See

Baird v. Bonta, 81 F.4th 1036, 1046 (9th Cir. 2023)

(“[W]e presume that a constitutional violation causes a

preliminary injunction movant irreparable harm and

that preventing a constitutional violation is in the

public interest.”) Pre-Bruen, the D.C. Circuit concluded

the same. See Wrenn v. District of Columbia, 864 F.3d

650, 667–68 (D.C. Cir. 2017).

Accordingly, a violation of the Second Amendment

right presumptively causes irreparable harm. The Act

and other ordinances challenged here violate the

Second Amendment, and thus, irreparable harm has

occurred. The majority opinion does not speak to

irreparable harm.

Neither of the final two preliminary injunction

factors—balance of the equities and what the public

interest dictates—cuts against the plaintiffs. Gunshot

victims and gun owners each claim harms, and what is

App. 89

in the public interest on questions of gun possession

and ownership is constantly under public debate. So, I

would rule that preliminary injunctions are justified

against enforcement of the challenged laws.

IV

In reaching the opposite result, the majority opinion

applies precedent and reasoning that Bruen abrogated.

A

Notwithstanding Bruen, the majority opinion relies

on reasoning from this court’s decision in Friedman v.

City of Highland Park, 784 F.3d 406 (7th Cir. 2015).

See also Wilson v. Cook County, 937 F.3d 1028, 1035

(7th Cir. 2019) (relying on Friedman to dismiss a

Second Amendment challenge to the Cook County

ordinance banning assault weapons and large-capacity

magazines). It is true that the Act regulates firearms

and magazines in substantially the same way as the

ordinances in Friedman (Highland Park) and in Wilson

(Cook County), which were upheld. Compare 720 ILL.

COMP. STAT. §§ 5/24-1.9(a)(1), 1.10(a) with Friedman,

784 F.3d at 407 and Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1029–30. As

noted in I., the City of Chicago and City of Naperville

ordinances are functionally similar to the Act and the

Cook County ordinance.

In Friedman, this court announced a unique test for

Second Amendment questions: “whether a regulation

bans weapons that were common at the time of

ratification or those that have ‘some reasonable

relationship to the preservation or efficiency of a well

regulated militia,’ … and whether law-abiding citizens

retain adequate means of self-defense.” 784 F.3d at

App. 90

410. The government parties assert Friedman focused

on the considerations identified by Heller and Bruen,

specifically, historical evidence and the impact of the

regulation on an individual’s meaningful opportunities

for self-defense. Id.; Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1033.

Friedman is therefore compatible with the

constitutional analysis endorsed by Bruen, the

government parties submit, and Friedman remains

good law and should control the outcome here.

But after Bruen, Friedman’s test is no longer viable,

and much of Friedman is inconsistent with it. The

Second Amendment’s “reference to ‘arms’ does not

apply only to those arms in existence in the 18th

century.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2132 (cleaned up). That

amendment’s operative clause “does not depend on

service in the militia.” Id. at 2127. Indeed, the dissent

in Bruen admitted that under the majority opinion’s

holding the scope of the right to bear arms has “nothing

whatever to do with service in a militia.” Id. at 2177–78

(Breyer, J. dissenting). And “the right to bear other

weapons is ‘no answer’ to a ban on the possession of

protected arms.” Caetano, 577 U.S. at 421 (quoting

Heller, 554 U.S. at 629).

This court in Friedman based its decision in

substantial part on its view of the benefits of the

ordinance, including that the arms ban reduced

“perceived risk” and “makes the public feel safer.” 784

F.3d at 411–12. But Bruen emphatically rejected this

sort of interest-balancing. 142 S. Ct. at 2127. Friedman

also held that categorical bans may be proper even if

the limits do not “mirror restrictions that were on the

books in 1791.” 784 F.3d 410. The Bruen decision

App. 91

superseded that, concluding that a restriction on

Second Amendment rights will survive scrutiny only if

“the government identif[ies] a well-established and

representative historical analogue” to the regulation.

142 S. Ct. 2133.

Friedman looked to history when it held that a

court must ask whether the arms were common at the

time of ratification. 784 F.3d at 410. But in Bruen, the

Court was clear that “the Second Amendment’s

definition of ‘arms’ … covers modern instruments that

facilitate armed self-defense,” “‘even those that were

not in existence at the time of the founding.’” 142 S. Ct.

at 2132 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 582); see Caetano,

577 U.S. at 411–12 (holding lower court’s decision that

arms were unprotected because they were not in

common use at the time of ratification was

“inconsistent with Heller”).

In Wilson, this court described Friedman as

“evaluat[ing] the importance of the reasons for the

[ban] to determine whether they justified the ban’s

intrusion on Second Amendment rights,” such as the

“‘substantial’ interest[]” in “making the public feel

safer” and “overall dangerousness.” Wilson, 937 F.3d at

1036. But Bruen rejected that interest-balancing

approach as “inconsistent with Heller’s historical

approach.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct. at 2129. Governments

may no longer “simply posit that the regulation

promotes an important interest,” id. at 2126, or

advances a “substantial benefit,” Friedman, 784 F.3d at

412. Wilson described Friedman’s application of an

interest-balancing test as “intermediate scrutiny,”

App. 92

Wilson, 937 F.3d at 1036, the approach Bruen expressly

left behind.

Recently, in Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018 (7th

Cir. 2023), this court considered the new world Bruen

presented for Second Amendment jurisprudence, in the

context of possession of a firearm as a felon. Id. at

1022. There, we declined to avoid a Bruen analysis by

relying on Heller and instead stated, “[w]e must

undertake the text-and-history inquiry the Court so

plainly announced and expounded upon at great

length.” Id. Neither the majority nor the dissent in

Atkinson discussed or even cited Friedman, although

those opinions relied on other pre-Bruen precedents

from our court.

In sum, Bruen effectively abrogated Friedman and

Wilson. The “history and tradition” methodology of

Bruen is not the framework applied in either of those

cases. “Stare decisis cannot justify adherence to an

approach that Supreme Court precedent forecloses.”

Fed. Trade Comm’n v. Credit Bureau Ctr., LLC, 937

F.3d 764, 767 (7th Cir. 2019). “When an intervening

Supreme Court decision unsettles [this court’s]

precedent, it is the ruling of the [Supreme] Court …

that must carry the day.” United States v. Wahi, 850

F.3d 296, 302 (7th Cir. 2017). That happened here, and

the district court in Bevis correctly concluded that

Friedman cannot be reconciled with Bruen. This court

should review the challenged laws under Bruen’s

framework, distinct from any interest-balancing

approach, and separate from the reasoning employed in

Friedman and Wilson.

App. 93

The majority opinion is correct that Friedman’s test

differs from the two-step interest balancing test of

other courts that Bruen replaced. Nevertheless,

Friedman cites to history to compare the arms the

regulation bans, rather than the regulations

themselves. 784 F.3d at 410. Friedman discusses the

features of the weapons, including whether they are in

common use for militia or police functions. Id. It also

examines the gun’s characteristics—such as its weight,

caliber, and magazine capacity—as determinative of its

value to self-defense. Id. at 411. Representative of that

analysis, the majority opinion engages in a matching

exercise between the AR-15 and the M16, assessing the

similarity and differences of the characteristics of the

two firearms.

In stark contrast, in Bruen the Court did not say

“Arms” are defined by using the history and tradition

of military versus civilian weaponry, such as the line

drawn in the majority opinion. Rather, the Court

looked to common usage to define the term “Arms.”

Even more, the assessment in Bruen is whether a

firearm regulation has a historical analogue, 142 S. Ct.

at 2133, not whether a weapon does. Under Bruen’s

framework, courts can entertain the parties’ arguments

as to whether a regulation is a historical analogue. Per

Bruen, whether firearm regulations were historically

grounded in a military versus civilian distinction is to

be performed as part of the history and tradition

analysis, not in the plain text review, as the majority

opinion does.

App. 94

B

The majority opinion’s reasoning departs from

Bruen in other ways, which I examine next.

1. A weapon’s military counterpart does not

determine whether it is an “Arm.”

The AR-15 is a civilian, not military, weapon. No

army in the world uses a service rifle that is only

semiautomatic.15 Even so, the majority opinion uses a

civilian firearm’s military counterpart to determine

whether it is an “Arm.” But neither Heller nor Bruen

draw a military/civilian line for the Second

Amendment. Similarity between the AR-15 and the

M16 should not be the basis on which to conclude that

the AR-15 is not a weapon used in self-defense.

The majority opinion concludes that Heller limits

the scope of “Arms” in the amendment to those not

“dedicated to military use” and those possessed for a

lawful purpose. Citing to “historical support” that “the

Arms protected by the Second Amendment do not

include weapons for the military,” the majority opinion

focuses on Heller’s comment about the M16 rifle. 554

U.S. at 627. The AR-15 and the M16 are similar

weapons, my colleagues conclude, which means the AR15 is beyond protection under the Second Amendment.

My colleagues read the passages in Heller

discussing weapons with military capabilities too

broadly, however, placing controlling weight on

15

E. Gregory Wallace, “Assault Weapon” Myths, 43 S. ILL. U. L.J.

193, 205–06 (2018).

App. 95

supporting or explanatory language in that decision.

For example, Heller did not limit the scope of “Arms” to

those without an analogous military capacity. 554 U.S.

at 581–82. The majority opinion emphasizes the

statement in Heller that “Arms” are “weapons that

were not specifically designed for military use and were

not employed in a military capacity.” Maj. Op. at 26

(emphasis omitted). But this passage most naturally

means that the public understanding of “Arms”

encompassed more than weapons designed for or

employed in a military capacity. At that section of

Heller, the Court was refuting the argument that the

Second Amendment only protected a military right to

keep and bear arms. Instead, “Arms” was broad enough

to include “any thing that a man wears for his defence,

or takes into his hands, or useth in wrath to coast at or

strike another.” Heller, 554 U.S. at 581. That passage

in Heller does not support a reading that weapons the

military uses are not “Arms.”

Relying on Heller’s discussion of United States v.

Miller—the Supreme Court’s 1939 decision upholding

a conviction under the National Firearms Act against

a Second Amendment challenge—the majority opinion

points out that militaristic weapons are not “bearable”

and thus not “arms” at all. Justice Stevens in dissent in

Heller viewed Miller as endorsing a military-only view

of the Second Amendment. To him, Miller says

regulating “the nonmilitary use and ownership of

weapons” is fine—so the Amendment protects only the

“right to keep and bear arms for certain military

purposes.” Id. at 637–38 (Stevens, J., dissenting).

App. 96

But according to Heller, Miller does not say that the

Second Amendment protects machineguns as part of

ordinary military equipment. Rather, Miller explains

that a short-barreled shotgun, the weapon at issue, is

not “‘any part of the ordinary military equipment’” nor

“‘could contribute to the common defense.’” Id. at 622

(quoting Miller, 307 U.S. at 178). In Heller, the Court

explained, “we therefore read Miller to say only that

the Second Amendment does not protect those weapons

not typically possessed by law-abiding citizens for

lawful purposes, such as short-barreled shotguns.” Id.

at 625.

The majority opinion here quotes this passage and

reframes it as a military-analogue test. It introduces

the passage with Heller’s observation that an M16 is

“most useful in military service.” Id. at 627. But after

Heller, we know Miller does not address a weapon’s

military use. Because the National Firearms Act of

1934 targeted the firearms most commonly used by

criminals and gangs, Miller’s “lawful use” language

relates to criminal use, not military use.

One example of this military-analogue test falling

short is when the majority opinion compares the rates

of fire of the AR-15 and the M16. My colleagues credit

the AR-15’s rate of fire as “‘only’ 300 rounds per

minute,” which they do not see as a relevant difference

from the M16’s 700 rounds per minute. Maj. Op. at 33.

The two record sources they point to do not support a

300-rounds-per-minute rate; in fact, those sources give

good reasons to doubt that figure.

The first is the district court’s opinion in Bevis,

which explains: “[A] shooter using a semiautomatic

App. 97

weapon can launch thirty rounds in as little as six

seconds, with an effective rate of about a bullet per

second for each minute of firing, meeting the U.S.

Army definition for ‘rapid fire.’” Set to the side the

district court’s concession that the effective rate is

actually only sixty rounds per minute. For the 300rounds-per-minute figure, the district court cited a law

journal article that spends nine pages discussing the

dubious origins of the 300-rounds-per-minute claim.16

Wallace agrees that 30 shots in six seconds is

possible—if you are an expert at operating firearms

and you neglect aiming and reloading.17

The second source that might be referenced for the

figure is a government witness’s report in Herrera.

James Yurgealitis included a chart listing weapons, an

ammunition type, and the “semiautomatic cyclic rate”

of each. Each rifle, including “M-16/AR-15 Rifle,” has a

cyclic rate of exactly 300 rounds per minute, and the

three pistols have a rate of “300–400 rounds per

minute.” Yurgealitis offers no source for his

calculations. He does not describe the firing conditions

or how the shooter timed the shots.

Yurgealitis describes the rate as “cyclic,” a type of

fire where “the gunner holds the trigger to the rear

while the assistant gunner feeds ammunition into the

weapon.” DEP’T OF THE ARMY, ARMY TRAINING

PUBLICATION: INFANTRY PLATOON AND SQUAD, ATP 321.8, at Appendix F. The cyclic rate “produces the

16

See Wallace, supra note 15 at 214–22.

17

See id. at 217–18.

App. 98

highest volume of fire the machine gun can fire” and is

a drastic step, as it “can permanently damage the

machine gun and barrel and should be used only in

case of emergency.” Id. It is difficult to see how a

gunner could fire an AR-15 cyclically. Because it is a

semiautomatic firearm, if the trigger were held to the

rear, the cyclic rate would be one round per minute.

Yurgealitis does not explain how this can be done.

The effective rate of fire, rather than the cyclic rate,

would be a better comparison. There, Yurgealitis helps.

He includes in his report a table from an Army field

manual on rifle marksmanship listing the M16’s

maximum semiautomatic effective rate at 45 rounds

per minute—more than four times slower than its

maximum automatic effective rate.

Heller does not draw a line between firearms that

are military counterparts and those that are not. That

demarcation should not decide whether firearms and

magazines are protected under the Second

Amendment.

2. A “military weapon” is defined too broadly.

Even if Heller drew such a line, the majority

opinion’s standard for what constitutes a “military

weapon” renders the “military” category substantially

overbroad.

The majority opinion draws a line between “private”

or “mixed private/military” weapons on one side (also

characterized as “dual use” weapons) and “military

weapons” on the other side. Military weapons are

defined as “weapons that may be essentially reserved

to the military,” Maj. Op. at 31 n.8—meaning that a

App. 99

military weapon is one not made available for public

use. The only “characteristic” that matters is that the

government decided to ban it. “Dual use” weapons are

those “private parties have a constitutionally protected

right to ‘keep and bear’” and “the military provides [] to

its forces.” Id. “In this sense, there is a thumb on the

scale in favor of Second Amendment protection.” Id.

Under the majority opinion’s definition, “dual use”

weapons are on the side of the line protected by the

Second Amendment.

Applying their framework, my colleagues find the

AR-15 “more like” the M16 by comparing the firearms’

characteristics. Id. To my colleagues, the firearms look

the same (“same core design”), operate the same (“same

patented operating system”), and have similar

specifications (same ammunition, kinetic energy,

muzzle velocity, and effective range), identifying “the

only meaningful distinction” as an M16’s automaticfire capability. Id. at 31–32. But because the AR-15 is

not “essentially reserved to the military” and shares

characteristics with “private” weapons, such as being

semiautomatic, the AR-15 is at most a “dual use”

weapon. So under the majority opinion’s categories, the

AR-15 should warrant Second Amendment protection.

In any event, because the majority opinion defines

a military weapon as any that “may be essentially

reserved to the military,” a weapon’s characteristics are

not relevant to how it is categorized. Thus, any combat

weapon would be a military weapon. This effectively

allows the U.S. Armed Forces to decide what “Arms”

are protected under the Second Amendment. Such a

“military veto” is mistaken for at least three reasons.

App. 100

First, the military has historically selected for

commission firearms already publicly available and

thus on the “dual use” side of the line. Privately

available repeating and semiautomatic rifles, and the

arms the American military selected for wartime use,

overlapped substantially at least until the 1930’s.

When the Second Amendment was ratified,

repeaters—firearms capable of repeated firing before

they required manual reloading—were useful for

military purposes and were widely available for civilian

purchase. The Girandoni air rifle, for example, was

invented for the Austrian army.18 The “state-of-the-art

repeater” at the time, the Girandoni was useful for

hunting as well—Meriwether Lewis took one on his

expedition.19 In 1828, the military awarded a contract

to a gunsmith to produce the Jennings repeater for

military use.20 But the military only “considered the

guns promising” after seven years of “private use,” as

the repeater had been circulating at least since 1821.21

Another repeater, the Henry, won a military contract

after a Union captain used it to defend his home

18

NICHOLAS J. JOHNSON, ET AL., FIREARMS LAW AND THE SECOND

AMENDMENT: REGULATION, RIGHTS, AND POLICY 2206 (3d ed., 2021).

19

See id.

20

See id. at 2221.

21

Id.

App. 101

against seven Confederates who ambushed him while

eating dinner with his family.22

In 1900, the military began considering

semiautomatic rifles but, after years of searching,

decided to stick with the .30'06 Springfield bolt-action

rifle.23 Even though “semi-automatic rifles for the

civilian market were abundant,” the military declined

to select one because they were too complicated and

brittle for field use.24 In the 1930s, the military’s desire

to issue semiautomatic rifles caused it to “encourage[]

… private experimentation” in development and

testing.25 A military veto contravenes the robust history

of “dual use” weapons beyond the private sector.

Second, the military has historically commissioned

pistols, a firearm that is an “Arm” under Heller. Pistols

have always been standard-issue military firearms.

Under the majority opinion’s approach, Heller would

have been mistaken.

Major Pitcairn began the American Revolution with

a shot from his pistol.26 General George Washington

22

HORACE WILLIAM SHALER CLEVELAND, HINTS TO RIFLEMEN

180–81 (1864). See also id. at 179 (reproducing letter from a

private citizen testifying to the exceptional quality of the weapon).

23

See JOHNSON at 2233–34.

24

Id. at 2233.

25

Id. at 2234.

26

See CHARLES WINTHROP SAWYER, 1 FIREARMS IN AMERICAN

HISTORY: 1600 TO 1800, at 72 (1910).

App. 102

carried pistols into battle at Valley Forge, Monmouth,

and Yorktown.27 In 1811, a brigade major in the

Massachusetts militia described the pistol as a

standard weapon for an infantryman in a

comprehensive guide to the day’s military science.28

The military has not stopped issuing pistols. In

1911, after lengthy trials and revisions with Colt and

gun designer John Browning, the military selected for

its troops the Colt Model 1911.29 It is unclear whether

that model was available for civilian purchase after the

military contract in 1911. But like more common

civilian handguns, the M1911 was semiautomatic and

had an eight-round magazine.30 Indeed, the Civilian

Marksmanship Program, a federally chartered

501(c)(3) entity responsible for arranging sales of

decommissioned military service weapons to the public,

sells Colt M1911s today.31

27

See Evan Brune, Arms of Independence: The Guns of the

American Revolution, A M . R IFLEMAN (July 2, 2021),

https://www.americanrifleman.org/content/arms-of-independencethe-guns-of-the-american-revolution [https://perma.cc/9S69-T56Y].

28

See E. HOYT, PRACTICAL INSTRUCTIONS FOR MILITARY OFFICERS

111 (1811).

29

See JOHNSON at 2232.

30

See id.

31

See About, C I V . M ARKSMANSHIP P ROG . (2023),

https://thecmp.org/about/ [https://perma.cc/L7T5-6T5D];1911

Information, CIV. MARKSMANSHIP PROG. (2023),

https://thecmp.org/sales-and-service/1911-information/

[https://perma.cc/7HQW-G3VJ].

App. 103

In the 1980s, the military switched to the Beretta

M9, a handgun with a counterpart available for

purchase today on Beretta’s website. In fact, the M9

was designed and available to civilians a decade before

the military selected it as the Beretta 92.32 The only

differences between the military-issue M9 and the one

for public sale are the markings, the dots on the sights,

and the screw heads.33 Under the majority opinion, the

military’s decision to award Beretta a military contract

for the Beretta 92 would take the firearm out of the

“Arms” protected by the Second Amendment.

Third, the military’s decommissioning and sale of its

surplus weapons would mean that the Second

Amendment right might spring into and out of life. The

military sometimes decommissions service weapons

and sells them to the public through the Civilian

Marksmanship Program, as mentioned above. As with

the M16, the military also decides not to renew

contracts for weapons it deems no longer fit for military

32

See American Service Pistols & Civilian Counterparts,

KEYSTONE SHOOTING CTR. (2023), https://keystoneshootingcenter.

com/blog/american-service-pistols-civilian-counterparts

[https://perma.cc/UG45-V46Q].

33

See Christopher Bartocci, Beretta Government vs Commercial

M9 Identification, SMALL ARMS SOLUTIONS LLC (May 28, 2018),

https://smallarmssolutions.com/home/beretta-government-vscommercial-m8-identification [https://perma.cc/EDT4-JEXT]; Bob

Campbell, Range Report: Beretta’s M9 Civilian Version, CHEAPER

THAN D IRT : THE S HOOTER ’ S L OG (Feb. 22, 2016),

https://blog.cheaperthandirt.com/berettas-m9-civilian-version

[https://perma.cc/VL7T-ZXQA] (“The M9 is a variant that’s as close

to the military M9 as possible. The sights are marked in a different

manner, and the finish differs from the standard M92.”).

App. 104

use. The majority opinion does not explain the status of

a weapon like this, including whether the right to

possess it springs to life, or if its analogues become

“Arms.”

3. The examples given are not historical analogues.

The majority opinion sets forth “the relevant

question [a]s what are the modern analogues to the

weapons people used for their personal self-defense in

1791, and perhaps as late as 1868.” Maj. Op. at 38. But

when declaring its holding in Bruen, the Court

discussed historical analogues with reference not to

weapons, but to regulations. Following Heller, Bruen

considered “whether ‘historical precedent’ from before,

during, and even after the founding evinces a

comparable tradition of regulation.” Bruen, 142 S. Ct.

2111, 2131–32. “Only if a firearm regulation is

consistent with this Nation’s historical tradition may a

court conclude that the individual’s conduct falls

outside the Second Amendment’s ‘unqualified

command.’” Id. at 2126.

The seven historical examples the majority opinion

offers as comparators are laws or ordinances which it

says support “a distinction between weapons and

accessories designed for military or law-enforcement

use, and weapons designed for personal use.” Maj. Op.

at 45. For my colleagues, the challenged Act and

ordinances carry forward this same distinction. Under

Bruen, though, these examples do not satisfy the “how”

and “why” questions in the history and tradition test,

and thus are not comparators for the challenged Act or

ordinances.

App. 105

The first example is a 1746 Boston ordinance

outlawing the discharge of a cannon, gun or pistol

within city limits.34 The second is an allusion to similar

ordinances in Cleveland in the nineteenth century. The

fourth refers to late nineteenth century ordinances

restricting the carry of various weapons. except for

peace officers. Such prohibitions differ, however, from

a categorical ban of a class of weapons from private

ownership which burden the right of armed selfdefense. Regulations against the discharge of weapons

compare better to modern criminal statutes

prohibiting, for example, the reckless discharge of a

firearm. See 720 ILL. COMP. STAT. § 5/24-1.5(a). And

prohibitions on the carrying of certain weapons do not

amount to a categorical ban of whole classes of

firearms. These examples thus fail the “how” question

in Bruen.

The fifth, sixth, and seventh examples are the

National Firearms Act of 1934 and two amendments to

it: the Omnibus Crime control and Safe Streets Act of

1968, and Firearm Owners’ Protection Act of 1986. Yet

these examples do not provide insight into the public

understanding of the Second Amendment right in 1791

(or in 1868). They are too far removed from the

ratification of the Constitution (or of the Fourteenth

Amendment) to qualify as historical analogues under

Bruen. They therefore fail the “why” question in Bruen.

The remaining third example cites dozens of Bowie

knife regulations which forbid or limit their use,

34

Heller rejected this regulation as a historical analogue. 554 U.S.

at 633.

App. 106

specifically citing an 1884 Arkansas statute outlawing

“the sale of all dirks, Bowie knives, cane-swords, metal

knuckles, and pistols, except as for use in the army or

navy of the United States.” This law was passed after

ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment and banned

the sale of these knives. It did not categorically ban

their possession. This example fails the “how” and the

“why” test of Bruen for the reasons given previously.

Attempting to show that the “how” test has been

correctly applied, my colleagues point to what they

consider a “huge carve-out” in the Act. Maj. Op. at 39.

To the contrary, exceptions to the categorical ban in the

Act are narrow. The Act outright forbids the

manufacture, delivery, sale, importation, and

purchasing of the covered arms within the state of

Illinois. On January 1, 2024, a total ban on possession

of the covered arms takes effect. 720 ILL. COMP. STAT.

§ 5/24-1.9(c). Though an exception exists for those who

submit a compliant “endorsement affidavit” to the

Illinois State Police, id. § 5/24-1.9(d), the majority

opinion mistakes its scope. The exception is limited to

the sale or transfer of a covered arm: (1) to seven

specially excepted classes of authorized persons; (2) to

the United States; or (3) in another state or for export.

Id. § 5/24-1.9(e). And the only people who can take

advantage of this exception are current in-state

residents who possess a covered arm prior to

January 1, 2024, and future in-state residents who

move into Illinois already in possession of a covered

arm. Id.35 Such a narrow exception cannot legitimize a

35

The municipal ordinances are even more limiting, excepting

from their reach only military and law enforcement personnel.

App. 107

broad categorical ban on the ownership, possession,

purchase, and sale of a vast swath of arms.

For my colleagues, it is sufficient that the seven

regulations deemed similar “are representative of [the]

tradition” of “regulating the especially dangerous

weapons of the time.” Yet, Bruen requires more. The

particulars of the historical analogues are critical; they

illustrate whether the Act and the municipal

ordinances place comparable burdens on the Second

Amendment right when considered against historical

analogues. Bruen itself gave weight to the differences

between the particulars of regulations. 142 S. Ct. at

2148–49 (rejecting nineteenth century surety statutes

as sufficiently analogous to restrictions on public carry

because these laws did not constitute a “ban[] on public

carry,” indicating their “burden” on public carry was

“likely too insignificant.”). The examples the majority

opinion cites may illustrate weapons regulation

generally. But none of them is a categorical ban on an

entire class of arms.

V

Since Bruen, this is the first federal appellate court

to uphold a categorical ban on

This text is long and has been trimmed here. Open the source document for the complete record.

This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.

A word about cookies

We need a few to keep you signed in and the library working. The rest help us see which pages people use and where they get stuck. They stay off unless you say yes.

Petition for Writ of Certiorari — Javier Herrera, Petitioner v. Kwame Raoul, Attorney General of Illinois, et al. | Frix