Amicus Curiae Brief — Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, et al., Appellants v. New York, et al.
Supreme Court briefOct 30, 2020
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No. 20-366
In The
Supreme Court of the United States
DONALD J. TRUMP,
PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, ET AL.,
Appellants,
v.
NEW YORK, ET AL.,
Appellees.
On Appeal from the United States District
Court for the Southern District of New York
BRIEF OF AMICUS CURIAE FAIR LINES
AMERICA FOUNDATION, INC.
IN SUPPORT OF NEITHER PARTY
JASON B. TORCHINSKY
Counsel of Record
JONATHAN P. LIENHARD
SHAWN T. SHEEHY
KEN DAINES
HOLTZMAN VOGEL
JOSEFIAK TORCHINSKY PLLC
15405 John Marshall Hwy
Haymarket, VA 20169
(540) 341-8808
(540) 341-8809
Jtorchinsky@hvjt.law
DALTON L. OLDHAM
DALTON L. OLDHAM, LLC
137 Edgewater Lane
Lexington, SC 29072
(803) 772-7729
LANTAGNE LEGAL PRINTING
801 East Main Street Suite 100 Richmond, Virginia 23219 (800) 847-0477
i
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ....................................... ii
INTEREST OF AMICUS CURIAE ............................ 1
INTRODUCTION & SUMMARY OF THE
ARGUMENT ............................................................... 2
ARGUMENT ............................................................... 4
I.
THIS COURT’S PRECEDENTS FAVOR
THE CENSUS BUREAU PROVIDING
THE PRESIDENT AND THE PUBLIC
WITH INFORMATION—NOT
SUPPRESSING INFORMATION. ................ 4
II. PERMITTING THE CENSUS BUREAU
TO REPORT THIS INFORMATION IS
IMPORTANT FOR REDISTRICTING
PURPOSES. ................................................. 10
CONCLUSION .......................................................... 27
ii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
CASES
Abbott v. Perez, 138 S. Ct. 2305 (2018)..................... 26
Bartlett v. Strickland, 556 U.S. 1 (2009) ...... 16, 24, 25
Burns v. Richardson, 384 U.S. 73
(1966) .............................................. 11, 12, 13, 14
Chen v. City of Houston, 532 U.S. 1046 (2001) .. 14, 15
Chen v. Houston, 206 F.3d 502
(5th Cir. 2000) ............................................. 12, 17
Cox v. Larios, 542 U.S. 947 (2004) ........................... 14
Daly v. Hunt, 93 F.3d 1212 (4th Cir. 1996) .............. 12
Dep't. of Comm. v. New York, 139 S. Ct. 2551
(2019) .......................................................... 4, 8, 9
Dep't. of Comm. v. U.S. House of
Representatives, 525 U.S. 316 (1999) ....... 5, 8, 17
Evenwel v. Abbott, 136 S. Ct. 1120 (2016) ........ passim
Flores v. Town of Islip, 382 F. Supp. 3d 197
(E.D.N.Y. 2019) ................................................. 25
Franklin v. Massachusetts, 505 U.S. 788
(1992) ............................................................ 9, 10
Growe v. Emison, 507 U.S. 25 (1993) ....................... 11
iii
Harris v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm'n,
136 S. Ct. 1301 (2016) ...................................... 14
Kumar v. Frisco Indep. Sch. Dist., 2020 U.S.
Dist. LEXIS 138141 (E.D. Tex., August
4, 2020) .............................................................. 25
League of United Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry,
548 U.S. 399 (2006) .................................... 24, 25
NAACP v. E. Ramapo Cent. Sch. Dist. ,
2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 91273 (S.D.N.Y.,
May 25, 2020) ................................................... 25
Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533 (1964) ..................... 11
Rios-Andino v. Orange Cty., 51 F. Supp. 3d
1215 (M.D. Fla. 2014) ....................................... 25
Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U.S. 30 (1986) ................ 24
WMCA, Inc. v. Lomenzo, 377 U.S. 633 (1964) .......... 11
Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1 (1964).................... 19
STATUTES
2 U.S.C. § 2a(a)............................................................ 5
13 U.S.C. § 141(a).................................................... 4, 5
13 U.S.C. § 141(b)……………… .................................. 5
42 U.S.C. § 1973 ........................................................ 23
iv
OTHER AUTHORITIES
Excluding Illegal Aliens From The
Apportionment Base Following the 2020
Census, 85 Fed. Reg. 44679 (July 23,
2020) ............................................................ 2, 5, 6
Final 2020 Census Residence Criteria and
Residence Situations, 83 Fed. Reg. 5525
(Feb. 8, 2018) .............................................. 2, 3, 6
https://www.polidata.org/census/law/20366dl.
htm (updated October 28, 2020) .......... 20, 21, 22
Nate Cohn and Kevin Quealy, “A Mysterious
‘Undervote’ Could End Up Settling the
Florida Senate Race,” N.Y. Times (Nov.
9, 2018) .............................................................. 21
National Conference of State Legislatures,
2010 Redistricting Deviation Table,
available at
https://www.ncsl.org/research/redistricti
ng/2010-ncsl- redistricting-deviationtable.aspx (last visited Oct. 26, 2020) ........ 17, 18
Redistricting Law 2020, National Conference
of State Legislatures (Denver, 2019) ............... 22
U.S. Census Bureau, “Citizen Voting-Age
Population and Voting Rates for
Congressional Districts: 2018,” available
at https://www.census.gov/data/
tables/time-series/demo/voting-andregistration/congressional-votingtables.html (last visited Oct. 29, 2020) ...... 18, 19
1
INTEREST OF AMICUS CURIAE
Amicus Curiae is Fair Lines America
Foundation, Inc.1 Fair Lines America Foundation is
a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that educates
the public on fair and legal redistricting through
comprehensive data gathering, processing, and
deployment; dissemination of relevant news and
information; and strategic investments in academic
research and litigation.
Fair Lines America Foundation’s interest in this
case focuses on the importance of obtaining full and
accurate data from the census. There are significant
legal and compliance challenges when creating
redistricting plans, and Fair Lines America
Foundation helps educate the public about these
important issues. Ensuring courts, legislatures,
academics, and others have access to full and
accurate data is critical to Fair Lines America
Foundation’s mission and to legislatures, academics,
and courts around the country.
1 Fair Lines America Foundation affirms no counsel
for a party to this case authored this brief in whole
or in part, and no person or entity, other than
amicus and its counsel, made a monetary
contribution intended to fund the preparation and
submission of this brief. On October 28, Counsel for
Petitioners and Counsel for all Respondents filed
letters with this Court granting blanket consent to
the filing of all amicus briefs.
2
INTRODUCTION & SUMMARY OF THE
ARGUMENT
This Court should not block the Census Bureau
from providing information available to it and
requested by the President. Nothing in the
Constitution or law—or in the Presidential
Memorandum2—should be allowed to prevent the
President from requesting and making public
multiple datasets of entirely lawful information
obtained and processed by the Census Bureau.
In fact, the Presidential Memorandum requires
the Census Bureau to “provide information
permitting the President, to the extent practicable,
to exercise the President’s discretion to” exclude
those persons residing in the United States without
authorization from the Congressional apportionment
base.3 Importantly, the Memorandum instructs the
Census Bureau to count people consistent with its
methodology, which includes counting those residing
in the United States at detention facilities operated
by Immigration and Customs Enforcement. See
Final 2020 Census Residence Criteria and Residence
See Excluding Illegal Aliens From The
Apportionment Base Following the 2020 Census, 85
Fed. Reg. 44679 (July 23, 2020). Fair Lines America
Foundation takes no position before this Court on
what population should or should not be the baseline
population in any particular apportionment (either
the distribution of Congressional seats to the states
or the drawing of various district lines within each
state).
3 See id. at 44680.
2
3
Situations, 83 Fed. Reg. 5525, 5535 (Feb. 8, 2018);
see also id. at 5533 (stating that citizens of foreign
countries living in the United States are counted at
their residence where they sleep and live most of the
time).
Accordingly, the “information” the Census
Bureau must provide to the President includes the
following three pieces of data:
First: the total population residing in the United
States, including those persons who reside in the
United States illegally;
Second: the total number of United States
citizens of voting age;
Third: the total number of persons residing in
the United States without legal authorization.
Amicus Curiae presents two arguments for this
Court’s consideration.
First, the Presidential Memorandum directs the
Census Bureau to provide the President (and the
public) with information. This Court should not
interfere with the release of information requested
by the President. The more information obtained
from the census, the more the data can assist
policymakers in crafting policies to address issues
confronting federal, state, and local governments.
Second, obtaining information that concerns the
number of U.S. citizens of voting age who reside in
the United States, as well as the number of persons
4
residing in the United States without authorization,
will be of paramount importance to Congress, state
legislatures, and thousands of local government
bodies that will soon draw representative districts
for the next decade. This information will be
instrumental in the drawing of districts that, in their
judgment, best comply with the one-person, one-vote
principle as well as the Voting Rights Act. This
Court should permit the public dissemination of this
information at the earliest moment possible.
ARGUMENT
I.
THIS COURT’S PRECEDENTS FAVOR
THE CENSUS BUREAU PROVIDING
THE PRESIDENT AND THE PUBLIC
WITH INFORMATION—NOT
SUPPRESSING INFORMATION.
A.
The Presidential Memorandum
Requests The Census Bureau
Provide Him With Information
Available to the Bureau.
The Enumeration Clause of the Constitution
“vests Congress with virtually unlimited discretion
in conducting the decennial actual Enumeration…”.
Dep’t. of Comm. v. New York, 139 S. Ct. 2551, 2566
(2019). Congress then “delegated its broad authority
over the census to the Secretary.” Id.
The Census Bureau is currently tabulating the
total population of those persons residing in the
United States. 13 U.S.C. § 141(a). Once this
tabulation of total population is complete, the
5
Secretary of Commerce is then directed to report
these numbers to the President of the United States.
Id. § 141(b).
Congress then empowers the President to
transmit the “whole number of persons in each
State” to Congress, including a report detailing the
number of congressional seats each State receives
according the apportionment formula. See 2 U.S.C. §
2a(a).
The Presidential Memorandum, as this Court
has recognized, separates these two distinct steps.
See Dep’t. of Comm. v. U.S. House of Representatives,
525 U.S. 316, 321 (1999) (stating that the Census
Bureau conducts the census, then the Secretary
reports the results of the tabulation to the President
and “[u]sing this information, the President must
then transmit to the Congress a statement showing
the whole number of persons in each State.”)
(internal quotation marks omitted).
Prior to transmitting his report, the Presidential
Memorandum indicates his intent to “exclud[e]
Illegal Aliens from the Apportionment Base
Following the 2020 Census.”4 To do this, he orders
the Secretary of Commerce to provide the President
with the “information” necessary to effectuate his
policy.5 This Memorandum does not require the
Census Bureau to exclude illegal aliens from the
tabulation of total population. On the contrary, the
Memorandum explicitly orders the Census Bureau to
4 See 85 Fed. Reg. at 44680.
5 See id.
6
include the total population in the United States.6
See Final 2020 Census Residence Criteria and
Residence Situations, 83 Fed. Reg. 5525, 5535 (Feb.
8, 2018).
This means the Census Bureau will still provide
the President with the total population of the United
States. What the Memorandum requests is that the
Census Bureau also provide information concerning
how many persons reside in the United States
without authorization. The Memorandum also
requests the number of United States citizens
residing in the United States.
Regardless of whether the President must use
the total population number when apportioning
congressional seats, this Court should continue to
recognize the two steps—the Secretary reporting
various pieces of information to the President and
the President then apportioning the number of
congressional seats—as separate and distinct
processes. Thus, however this Court rules on which
dataset is correct for the apportionment, this Court
should permit the Secretary to publicly report this
important information.
Accordingly, the district court’s opinion went too
far when it enjoined the Census Bureau from
reporting “information” to the President that would
allow the President to carry out the policy he
outlined in his Presidential Memorandum. See JA
99a. The district court ordered that the Census
Bureau withhold from the President (and the public)
6 See 85 Fed. Reg. at 44680.
7
the number of persons residing in the United States
without authorization and only report to the
President the total population. See id. This was
erroneous: there is nothing unconstitutional or
impermissible about providing the number of
persons lawfully and unlawfully within the
boundaries of the United States.
Regardless of the outcome of this case on the
apportionment base debate, the district court’s order
committed legal error by barring the Secretary from
providing the President with information he
requested. It precluded the reporting of information
to the President—step one—as a means to prevent
the President from using that information to
apportion congressional seats at step two. In
preventing the dissemination of citizenship
information and the number of those persons living
in the United States without authorization, the
district court exceeded its remedial scope and
prohibited the release of otherwise permissible
public information the President may lawfully
request from the Census Bureau. This Court should
permit the dissemination of this pertinent
information.7
While not addressed in detail herein, Fair Lines
America Foundation agrees with the Solicitor
General that the Appellees here, Plaintiffs below,
lack standing.
7
8
B.
Both Congress And This Court
Favor Obtaining The Most
Accurate Information.
From the very first census in 1790, Congress has
demanded “a just and perfect enumeration of every
person” living in the United States. Dep’t. of Comm.,
525 U.S. at 335. Statistical sampling was prohibited.
Id. This remained the practice in the United States
from 1790 to 1957. Id. at 336. In 1957, some
statistical sampling was permitted, but not for
purposes of apportionment. See id. at 336-37.
Congress’s steadfast purpose in obtaining the most
accurate count of population for apportionment
purposes remains as true today as it did in 1790. See
id. at 338.
This does not mean the census cannot use
statistical sampling. In fact, the Secretary is
required “to use statistical sampling in assembling
the myriad demographic data that are collected in
connection with the decennial census.” Id. Congress
was interested in both obtaining the most accurate
count of the population for apportionment purposes
as well as obtaining the most data it could assemble.
Accordingly, citizenship has long been the subject of
census questions, among other demographic data.
Dep’t of Comm., 139 S. Ct. at 2567. In fact, nearly
every census since 1790 has included a question
about whether the census respondent was a U.S.
citizen. Id. at 2561.8
The American Community Survey (ACS) is
insufficient to determine the number of U.S. citizens
because the ACS is sent to only 2.6% of households.
8
9
Accordingly, the purpose of the census is to both
apportion Congress and for “information-gathering
purposes.” Id. The census is, therefore, the “linchpin
of the federal statistical system by collecting data on
the characteristics of individuals, households, and
housing units throughout the country.” Id. Thus,
using the census to collect data on the number of
citizens is permissible under the Constitution. Id. In
fact, this Court credited the Secretary’s interest in
including a citizenship question on the census
because it was likely to obtain “more complete and
accurate citizenship data” and was worth the risk of
a potentially “lower response rate.” Id. at 2571.
Another example of Congress’s determination to
ensure an accurate count is the 1970 Census. This
census, conducted during the Vietnam War,
accounted for the numerous Armed Forces members
serving abroad. The Census Bureau used personnel
records from the Department of Defense to allocate
these persons to their “home[s] of record.” Franklin
v. Massachusetts, 505 U.S. 788, 793 (1992). After
realizing that those “home[s] of record” in Defense
Department records were prone to misuse, the
Census Bureau declined to use these records in the
1980 Census. Id. Later, for the 1990 Census, the
Census Bureau found these records were in fact
accurate and invited 40 federal agencies with
employees overseas to “submit counts of their
employees as well.” Id. at 795. This Court upheld
this practice in part because these employees and
Dep’t. of Comm. v. New York, 139 S. Ct. 2551, 2562
(2019).
10
service members likely consider themselves to be
“usual residents” of the United States, and counting
them does not harm the “goal of equal
representation” but “actually promotes equality.” Id.
at 806.
All this information is submitted to the
President who this Court has ruled has the power to
“reform” the census count before apportioning the
number of congressional seats. See id. at 798.
Additionally, the Secretary’s report “carries no direct
consequences for reapportionment.” Id at 798. To
ensure the integrity and accuracy of the census
count, Congress empowered both the Secretary of
Commerce and the President of the United States to
tabulate the total population and make calculations
to send the final report with the apportionment
conclusions to Congress. Id. at 800. The President
has an independent duty to consider the census data
before making the apportionment.
II.
PERMITTING THE CENSUS BUREAU
TO REPORT THIS INFORMATION IS
IMPORTANT FOR REDISTRICTING
PURPOSES.
A. OBTAINING THIS INFORMATION
IS
IMPORTANT
FOR
ONE
PERSON, ONE VOTE PURPOSES.
1.
This
Information
Is
Instrumental
For
Policy
Makers Deciding How to
Conduct Redistricting.
11
When state legislatures conduct their sovereign
function of drawing districts, see, e.g., Growe v.
Emison, 507 U.S. 25, 34 (1993), the Fourteenth
Amendment’s Equal Protection Clause does not
command that the legislature use total population or
citizen population as the basis for those districts. See
Evenwel v. Abbott, 136 S. Ct. 1120, 1123, 1126 (2016)
(holding a state may use total population as its base
to draw legislative districts, and further holding that
the Equal Protection Clause does not require a state
to use the number of voters as its base); Burns v.
Richardson, 384 U.S. 73, 91 (1966) (“[T]he Equal
Protection Clause does not require the States to use
total population figures derived from the federal
census as the standard by which this substantial
population equivalency is to be measured.”).
In fact, this Court has reviewed equal protection
challenges to state legislative districts where the
state used total population, Reynolds v. Sims, 377
U.S. 533 (1964) and where the state used citizen
population, WMCA, Inc. v. Lomenzo, 377 U.S. 633,
646-49 (1964) (analyzing under the Equal Protection
Clause New York’s redistricting plan drawn on the
basis of citizen population).9 This Court has
therefore acknowledged that it has never held States
“are required to include aliens, transients, shortterm or temporary residents, or persons denied the
vote for conviction of crime, in the apportionment
9 See also Burns, 384 U.S. at 91-92 (stating that in
Lomenzo “we treated an apportionment based upon
United States citizen population as presenting
problems no different from apportionments using a
total population measure”).
12
base by which their legislators are distributed and
against which compliance with the Equal Protection
Clause is to be measured.” Burns, 384 U.S. at 92. A
State legislature’s choice of its apportionment base
“involves
a
choice
about
the
nature
of
representation.” Id.
Accordingly, the state legislatures need
citizenship data in determining whether to apportion
their districts based upon total population or citizen
populations, or by using some combination of this
data. States have the discretion to apportion their
districts to “equalize total population, to equalize
eligible voters, or to promote any other principle
consistent with a republican form of government.”
Evenwel, 136 S. Ct. at 1133 (Alito, J., concurring).
Some federal circuit courts are in agreement that
the political branches of government are empowered
to decide whether to use a total population or citizen
population. See Chen v. Houston, 206 F.3d 502, 523
(5th Cir. 2000) (“[W]e find that the choice of
population figures—[the use of CVAP or total
population]—is a choice left to the political process.”)
(emphasis added); Daly v. Hunt, 93 F.3d 1212, 1227
(4th Cir. 1996). Accordingly, for States to make
informed decisions about this “quintessentially”
political decision of which apportionment base most
accurately reflects their individual state, Daly, 93
F.3d at 1227, the legislatures need the most accurate
citizenship data. This Court should permit the
Secretary to report this data.
13
2.
This Data Implicates Serious
Policy Decisions Regarding the
One
Person,
One
Vote
Principle.
This Court has previously expressed concern
about the difference between districts drawn on the
basis of total population with those districts drawn
on the basis of registered voters in discussing
electoral equality. See Burns, 384 U.S. at 90. In
Burns, this Court analyzed Hawaii’s state legislative
redistricting plan. Hawaii chose to use registered
voters as a basis “for Hawaiian apportionment…”.
Id. This decision produced “sizable differences in
results produced by that distribution in contrast to
that produced” by total population. Id. For example,
if Hawaii drew districts on the basis of total
population, Oahu constituted 79% of Hawaii’s
population and was entitled to 40 seats in its 51-seat
House of Representatives. Id. By contrast, if districts
were drawn on the basis of registered voters, Oahu
would be entitled to 37 representatives. Id. The
reason for this disparity was the “uneven
distribution
of
military
residents—largely
unregistered…”. Id. The difference between districts
on the island of Oahu are even more striking. If
districts were drawn on the basis of total population,
Oahu’s 9th and 10th districts would be entitled to
eleven representatives. On the other hand, if they
were drawn on the basis of registered voters, this
number drops to six. See id. at 90-91.
The Court then highlighted the problem with the
choice between total population and registered
voters as the basis of apportionment. Each choice is
14
“susceptible to improper influences” by those with
political power. Id. at 92. Those in political power
could use the over-representation issue presented by
non-voting populations like military bases to
“perpetuate
underrepresentation
of
groups
constitutionally entitled to participate in the
electoral process, or perpetuate a ghost of prior
malapportionment.” Id. at 92-93. Due to the large
presence of the military bases containing large
population centers but only a small number of
voters, “if total population were to be the only
acceptable
criterion upon
which
legislative
representation could be based, in Hawaii, grossly
absurd and disastrous results would flow.” Id. at 94.
Accordingly, using total population figures may
constitute a “substantially distorted reflection of the
distribution of state citizenry.” Id.
In a subsequent case, Justice Thomas
highlighted how this choice between total population
and citizen population implicated the one-person,
one-vote principle. See Chen v. City of Houston, 532
U.S. 1046 (2001) (Thomas, J., dissenting from denial
of cert.). There, the City of Houston’s total
population deviation had less than 10% of population
variance. Id. at 1048. This Court has ruled that a
population variance of less than 10% is prima facie
constitutional. Harris v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting
Comm’n, 136 S. Ct. 1301, 1307 (2016). But see Cox v.
Larios, 542 U.S. 947, 949-50 (2004) (Stevens, J.,
concurring) (declining to create a “safe harbor” for all
“population deviations of less than 10 percent,
within which districting decisions could be made for
any reason whatsoever”). Based on total population,
the City of Houston’s redistricting map appears to
15
survive a one person, one vote equal protection
challenge. If, however, citizen population were used
as the basis, the maximum deviation is anywhere
from 20% to 32.5%. Chen, 532 U.S. at 1048 (Thomas,
J., dissenting from denial of cert.). Thus, the decision
to base apportionment on total population or citizen
population can be the difference between a
constitutional map with population deviations less
than 10% or an unconstitutional map with
deviations above 30%.
The problem is one of numerical, racial, and
political vote dilution, as well as often intentional
dilution. Non-citizen population is yet another
subset of non-voting population, no different than
the previously cited military bases in Hawaii. It is
also similar to universities, prisons, and other nonvoting populations—many of which have been
“adjust[ed]” by various states over the years when
determining the apportionment base. See Evenwel,
136 S. Ct. at 1124 n.3. However, non-citizen
population is the largest non-voting block of voting
age population by far. It is also the only non-voting
block for which accurate geographic data is currently
unattainable.10
10 “Geographic accuracy” refers to the ability to have
accurate data at small levels of geography (i.e. the
block level) that can be accurately aggregated into
political districts. The Census Bureau often
discusses the similar concept of “distributive
accuracy,” which is also concerned with the issue of
small area accuracy, but does not always address the
issue of maintaining accuracy when aggregating
those areas into non-census geography, such as
16
As the Census Bureau ramped up for the 2010
Census, this Court decided Bartlett v. Strickland,
which reinforced the importance of citizen voting age
population as a key determinant for remedies of
Section 2 cases. 556 U.S. 1 (2009). However, prior to
the census following this Court’s decision in Bartlett,
the Census Bureau eliminated the long form (and
therefore the citizenship question) from the
decennial census.11
When the Bureau did that, it had to determine
whether to continue including the citizenship
question as part of the decennial census, what had
previously been called the short form, or migrate the
question to the American Community Survey (ACS).
Because the ACS is a rolling survey done over
multiple years with a different population base and
with a smaller sample size, it cannot, as
demonstrated in the Evenwel case, provide accurate
geographic data with respect to the citizenship
question, particularly at the block level as is needed
for redistricting. See 136 S. Ct. 1120.
political districts. This is another reason why the use
of enumerated data, rather than statistically
generated data, is critical.
11 Until 2010, the long form was asked of every
seventh person in the decennial census and
contained a citizenship question. Because it was
asked with the decennial census, used the same
population base, and was asked of a large
contemporaneous sample, it provided reasonably
accurate characteristic data at the block level, which
neither the ACS nor any other current census
product does.
17
Having the enumerated data, which the Bureau
is now preparing from administrative records, see
Dept. of Commerce v. House of Representatives, 525
U.S. at 321-27, is critical to an apportionment
process that protects the equal protection rights of
all citizens. The district court’s decision below will
have the effect of denying any relief for any
Fourteenth Amendment and Voting Rights Act
violations because litigants will not have complete
data with which to make their case, and courts will
not have accurate data with which to fashion any
required remedies. If a state uses total population as
its apportionment base, and its “eligible voters are
unevenly distributed, the result will necessarily
devalue the votes of individuals in the area with a
higher percentage of potentially eligible voters.”
Chen, 206 F.3d at 525. The problem arises because
“the large populations in the other district will
leverage the votes of the smaller number of eligible
voters there.” Id.
This problem persists now. For example, in
California, using total population as the base for its
apportionment, its 53 congressional districts have a
population deviation of 0%.12 Its state Senate
districts and state House districts have total
population deviations of 1.98% and 1.99%
respectively.13 Using actual voter turnout as the
See National Conference of State Legislatures,
2010 Redistricting Deviation Table, available at
https://www.ncsl.org/research/redistricting/2010ncsl-redistricting-deviation-table.aspx (last visited
Oct. 26, 2020).
12
18
apportionment basis (i.e., as a proxy for the number
of eligible voters since geographically accurate
citizen voting age population (CVAP) data isn’t
available),14 it is possible to examine the population
“deviation” in California’s congressional districts in
2018. The “ideal” turnout in a California district in
2018 was 229,869 based on the votes cast that year.
The highest turnout district had 340,654 votes cast.
The lowest turnout district had 113,616 votes cast.
The “deviation” from the ideal for the highest
turnout district is +48%, and the deviation for the
lowest turnout district is -51%, for a “range” of
99%.15 In other words, in the 2018 election 340,654
citizens voted to elect one U.S. Representative in one
California district, while in another California
13 See id.
14 While data about the number of voters who turned
out for elections is not detailed enough to address
the possible equal protection issues created by large
blocks of non-voting population, it is sufficient to
illustrate the extent and nature of the issue. It also
helps to illustrate the problems that come with the
Census Bureau’s sudden removal of geographically
accurate non-citizen data ten years ago, which had
been available previously for decades. If allowed to
stand, the district court’s decision may ensure this
information never returns.
15
U.S. Census Bureau, “Citizen Voting-Age
Population and Voting Rates for Congressional
Districts:
2018,”
available
at
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/timeseries/demo/voting-and-registration/congressionalvoting-tables.html (last visited Oct. 29, 2020).
19
district 113,616 citizens voted to elect one U.S.
Representative.
Another metric that can be used to assess
electoral equality (or inequality) is the vote weight,
which is a comparison of the population base, here
votes cast for all candidates in a statewide race, for
the district with the most votes and the least.
Looking again at the 2018 California congressional
plan to illustrate, these numbers translated into a
vote weight of 2.998 (340,654/113,616),16 meaning
the weight of a vote in the low turnout district was
worth nearly three times a vote in the high turnout
district in that election year.17 This kind of vote
weight imbalance between a State’s districts
seriously implicates the one-person, one-vote
principle. As this Court has pertinently admonished:
“It would be extraordinary to suggest . . . the votes of
inhabitants of some parts of a State . . . could be
weighted at two or three times the value of the votes
of people living in [other] parts of the State.”
Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1, 8 (1964).
Comparable metrics from New York state also
illustrate the disparity in electoral equality. For
example, in the 2014 race for Governor of New York,
the range of deviations from the average number of
16 See id.
This demonstrates that because many persons
identified by the census are not even eligible to vote,
using total population as the basis for apportionment
can result in significant vote weight inequality
among actual eligible voters.
17
20
total votes for all candidates per district is as
follows:
For congressional districts: 106.10%
(+48.50% to -57.59%) which translates
into a vote weight of 3.50 for that plan. In
the congressional district with the highest
turnout, 209,714 voters voted to elect one
U.S. Representative. In the congressional
district with the lowest turnout, 59,890
voters
voted
to
elect
one
U.S.
Representative.
For state senate districts: 118.38% (+55.75
to -62.93%) which translates into a vote
weight of 4.20 for that plan. In the senate
district with the highest turnout, 94,257
voters voted to elect one senator. In the
senate district with the lowest turnout,
22,433 voters voted to elect one senator.
For state assembly districts: 160.59%
(+86.71 to -73.88%) which translates into
a vote weight of 7.14 for that plan. In the
legislative district with the highest
turnout, 47,474 voters voted to elect one
state assembly member. In the assembly
district with the lowest turnout, 6,641
voters voted to elect one state assembly
member.18
18See https://www.polidata.org/census/law/20366dl.ht
m (updated October 28, 2020).
21
For both California and New York, a comparison
of the number of total votes for statewide office
demonstrates a clear relationship: the higher the
proportion of non-citizens based on ACS estimates,
the lower the total votes for all candidates. To
illustrate, the close correlation between CVAP on the
one hand and total votes cast on the other is evident
from examining these numbers from the 2018
election across the five most populous states’
congressional districts, as reflected in the attached
graphs. See App. 1-5.19
How electoral equality varies (at least for
congressional districts) across other states is
apparent in the results from a review of all 435
districts for each presidential election.20 For
19 Four Florida congressional districts are excluded
in the Florida graph in the attached appendices
because the Census Bureau’s 2018 data table did not
include the votes cast in those congressional
districts. This is because in Florida, candidates do
not appear on the ballot in uncontested races. See
Nate Cohn and Kevin Quealy, “A Mysterious
‘Undervote’ Could End Up Settling the Florida
Senate Race,” N.Y. Times (Nov. 9, 2018), available at
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/09/upshot/floridasenate-race-broward-undercount.html (last visited
Oct. 29, 2020). Accordingly, no votes were cast or
counted in those four districts with uncontested
races.
20See https://www.polidata.org/census/law/20366dl.ht
m (updated October 28, 2020). Examples listed here
include states for which the listings on the website,
22
example, looking at the 2004 presidential race,
Florida had a high district with 379,839 votes and a
low district with 206,081 votes: this is a vote weight
of 1.84. North Carolina had a high district with
349,702 votes and a low district with 223,421 votes:
this is a vote weight of 1.56. Texas had a high
district with 347,217 votes and a low district with
107,631 votes: this is a vote weight of 3.22.21 And,
once again, based on non-citizen data, the proportion
of non-citizens was generally higher in the districts
with the lowest number of votes cast.
Furthermore, an alternate population base is not
the only way the discriminatory effect of non-voter
population can be dealt with. For instance, several
states have already chosen to take areas of readily
identifiable
non-voting
population,
such
as
universities, military installations, and correctional
institutions, and reassign those persons amongst
many districts to minimize the electoral inequality
impact of the non-voting population.22 However,
without accurate geographic non-voting population
data, this is impossible for the non-voting population
that has the largest impact on electoral inequality.
The data the President seeks in his memo is the
which summarize only the top and bottom districts
for the entire nation, include the high and low
turnout districts.
21See https://www.polidata.org/census/law/20366dl.ht
m (updated October 28, 2020).
22 See Redistricting Law 2020, National Conference
of State Legislatures (Denver, 2019), at 155; see also
Evenwel, 136 S. Ct. at 1124 n.3.
23
necessary predicate for that geographically accurate
data.
To determine how best to represent its
population, whether to base apportionment on total
population or citizen population, states need
information on citizenship status. Accordingly, this
Court should permit the Census Bureau to publish
its information on the number of citizens residing in
the United States.
B. OBTAINING THIS INFORMATION
IS IMPORTANT FOR VOTING
RIGHTS ACT PURPOSES.
Information on the number of citizens residing in
a district, and information concerning the number of
persons residing in a district illegally, is important
for compliance with the Voting Rights Act. Section 2
of the Voting Rights Act prohibits the enactment of
laws or procedures that results in “a denial or
abridgment of the right of any citizen of the United
States to vote on account of race or color…”. 42
U.S.C. § 1973 (emphasis added). To violate this
provision, a plaintiff must show that based on the
totality of the circumstances, the ability to cast a
ballot in a primary or general election “are not
equally open to participation by members of a class
of citizens…”. See id. (emphasis added).
To prove a violation under Section 2 of the
Voting Rights Act, a plaintiff must demonstrate the
minority citizen population is sufficiently large to be
considered a voting majority in a single-member
district; the minority group is politically cohesive;
24
and there must be racially polarized voting such that
the majority typically defeats the minority’s
candidate of choice. See Thornburg v. Gingles, 478
U.S. 30, 50-51 (1986). The purpose of Section 2 is to
extract from our body politic the corrosive wrong
that occurs when a minority has “50% or more of the
voting population and could constitute a compact
voting majority, but, despite racially polarized bloc
voting, that group is not put into a district.” Bartlett,
556 U.S. at 19 (emphasis added).
In analyzing whether a plaintiff has shown the
minority population is sufficiently large as to
constitute a majority, the proper basis of the
population is citizen voting age population. See id. at
27 (Souter, J., dissenting) (“In the plurality's view,
only a district with a minority population making up
50% or more of the citizen voting age population
(CVAP) can provide a remedy to minority voters
lacking an opportunity ‘to elect representatives of
their choice.’”); League of United Latin American
Citizens v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399, 436 (2006)
(“LULAC”) (“We proceed now to the totality of the
circumstances, and first to the proportionality
inquiry, comparing the percentage of total districts
that are [minority] opportunity districts with the
[minority] share of the citizen voting age
population.”).
As discussed above, just as this Court
determined CVAP was the crucial piece of data for
determining what is and is not a majority-minority
district, the Bureau frustrated the decision of the
Court by eliminating the very data and evidence it
relied upon in LULAC and Bartlett. Because this
25
data which the Court had relied upon in those cases
has been absent from the public record since the
2010 Census, the courts, legislatures, litigants, and
the public have been forced to use inaccurate
estimates and indirect data to estimate a data point
which was quite specific when this Court made its
decision in Bartlett.23
The current administration, through its
administrative data program, has attempted to
restore what was taken away in 2010, with perhaps
23 Recent disputes before federal courts over how to
calculate or estimate CVAP in Voting Rights Act
cases show just how imprecise and contested these
estimates are. See e.g., Kumar v. Frisco Independent
School District, 2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 138141 (E.D.
Tex., August 4, 2020) (utilizing CVAP data derived
from a Spanish surname list in a Section 2 case and
not using ACS data); NAACP v. E. Ramapo Central
School District, 2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 91273
(S.D.N.Y., May 25, 2020) (approving use of the
Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (“BISG”)
method for determining CVAP in a Section 2 case);
Flores v. Town of Islip, 382 F. Supp. 3d 197
(E.D.N.Y. 2019) (utilizing ACS data estimates to
determine CVAP in a Section 2 case); Rios-Andino v.
Orange County, 51 F. Supp. 3d 1215 (M.D. Fla. 2014)
(ruling against plaintiffs in a Section 2 case because
of the uncertain nature of the dueling experts’
citizenship calculations, where the experts used two
different analyses of ACS data to determine
citizenship). If the Census Bureau were to release
enumerated data, these expert battles over CVAP
before the lower courts would be minimized or even
eliminated.
26
an increase in geographic accuracy. The decision
below—if uncorrected by the Court—would ensure
the enumerated citizenship data is never available
for any purpose. This suppression of information by
court order is unnecessary to provide relief to the
plaintiffs in the case below.
Furthermore, in drafting districts, legislatures
must have access to citizenship data for another
reason. Without that data, in attempting to comply
with the Voting Rights Act, legislatures must be
wary of the “competing hazards of liability” by
violating the Equal Protection Clause’s prohibition
against racial gerrymandering while balancing the
requirements of Section 2. See Abbott v. Perez, 138 S.
Ct. 2305, 2314-15 (2018) (“The Equal Protection
Clause forbids “racial gerrymandering,” that is,
intentionally assigning citizens to a district on the
basis of race without sufficient justification.”)
(emphasis added).
For legislatures to determine whether the Voting
Rights Act requires the creation of a majorityminority district, these legislatures must have access
to data about the citizenship composition of the
proposed district maps.24 This data will also assist in
preventing the legislature from violating the
prohibition against racial gerrymanders.
As demonstrated above, supra note 22, ongoing
disputes remain over what CVAP data or estimates
legislatures and line drawers should use when
assessing Section 2 compliance with adopted or
proposed maps.
24
27
CONCLUSION
The district court committed an error at the very
least in their commanded remedy. The district court
was asked to prevent the President of the United
States from using anything other than the total
population of the United States to apportion
congressional
seats.
The
Congressional
apportionment occurs at the second step of the
census reporting statute, and the district court’s
order did not properly assess the first step of the
process.
The district court improperly prevented the
Secretary from even reporting information to the
President at step one. Regardless of how this Court
decides the merits of the case at step two, this Court
should never prevent the Secretary of Commerce
from reporting the number of U.S. citizens living in
the United States and the number of those persons
residing in the United States without authorization.
This information is critically important, especially
for legislatures as they embark on their sovereign
function of drawing districts for the following
decade.
Respectfully submitted,
JASON B. TORCHINSKY
Counsel of Record
JONATHAN P. LIENHARD
SHAWN T. SHEEHY
KEN DAINES
HOLTZMAN VOGEL
JOSEFIAK TORCHINSKY PLLC
28
15405 John Marshall Hwy
Haymarket, VA 20169
(540) 341-8808
(540) 341-8809
Jtorchinsky@hvjt.law
DALTON L OLDHAM
DALTON L OLDHAM, LLC
137 Edgewater Ln
Lexington, SC 29072
(803) 772-7729
October 30, 2020
Appendix
App. 1
California Congressional Districts: CVAP and Votes Cast (2018)
700,000
600,000
Total Number
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
‐
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Congressional District
Votes Cast
CVAP
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "Citizen Voting‐Age Population and Voting Rates for Congressional Districts: 2018," available at
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time‐series/demo/voting‐and‐registration/congressional‐voting‐tables.html
App. 2
Texas Congressional Districts: CVAP and Votes Cast (2018)
700,000
600,000
Total Number
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
‐
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
Congressional District
Votes Cast
CVAP
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "Citizen Voting‐Age Population and Voting Rates for Congressional Districts: 2018," available at
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time‐series/demo/voting‐and‐registration/congressional‐voting‐tables.html
App. 3
New York Congressional Districts: CVAP and Votes Cast (2018)
600,000
500,000
Total Number
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
‐
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Congressional District
Votes Cast
CVAP
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "Citizen Voting‐Age Population and Voting Rates for Congressional Districts: 2018," available at
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time‐series/demo/voting‐and‐registration/congressional‐voting‐tables.html
27
App. 4
Florida Congressional Districts: CVAP and Votes Cast (2018)
700,000
600,000
Total Number
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
‐
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
15
16
17
18
19
20
22
23
25
26
27
Congressional District
Votes Cast
CVAP
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "Citizen Voting‐Age Population and Voting Rates for Congressional Districts: 2018," available at
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time‐series/demo/voting‐and‐registration/congressional‐voting‐tables.html
App. 5
Pennsylvania Congressional Districts: CVAP and Votes Cast (2018)
600,000
500,000
Total Number
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
‐
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Congressional District
Votes Cast
CVAP
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "Citizen Voting‐Age Population and Voting Rates for Congressional Districts: 2018,"
available at https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time‐series/demo/voting‐and‐registration/congressional‐voting‐
18
This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.