Petition for Writ of Certiorari — W. Scott Harkonen, Petitioner v. United States

Supreme Court briefOct 1, 2018

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No. 18IN THE

Supreme Court of the United States

W. SCOTT HARKONEN, M.D.,

Petitioner,

v.

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

Respondent.

ON PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI TO THE

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT

PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI

JOSHUA M. KOPPEL

ALAN E. SCHOENFELD

Counsel of Record

WILMER CUTLER PICKERING

PETER G. NEIMAN

HALE AND DORR LLP

1875 Pennsylvania Ave., NW WILMER CUTLER PICKERING

HALE AND DORR LLP

Washington, DC 20006

7 World Trade Center

250 Greenwich Street

New York, NY 10007

(212) 937-7294

alan.schoenfeld@wilmerhale.com

QUESTION PRESENTED

Whether a writ of error coram nobis should issue

for a petitioner who presents “compelling” new evidence that establishes his actual innocence of the crime

of conviction.

(i)

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

QUESTION PRESENTED ............................................... i

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ........................................... v

OPINIONS BELOW .......................................................... 1

JURISDICTION ................................................................. 2

INTRODUCTION .............................................................. 2

STATEMENT ..................................................................... 6

A. Background ............................................................ 6

B. Dr. Harkonen’s Trial And Appeal .................... 11

C. Petition For A Writ Of Error Coram

Nobis ..................................................................... 15

REASONS

FOR

GRANTING

THE

PETITION ......................................................................... 20

I.

THE COURT SHOULD GRANT REVIEW TO

CONSIDER WHETHER A CLAIM OF NEW

EVIDENCE

DEMONSTRATING

ACTUAL

INNOCENCE CAN EVER JUSTIFY CORAM

NOBIS RELIEF ............................................................. 20

A. The Circuits Are Split On Whether A

Pure Actual Innocence Claim Based On

New Evidence Meets The Standard

For Coram Nobis ................................................ 22

B. Dr. Harkonen’s Compelling New

Evidence Of Actual Innocence Would

Have Warranted Relief In The Sixth,

Eighth, And Tenth Circuits ............................... 25

(iii)

iv

TABLE OF CONTENTS—Continued

Page

C. The Ninth Circuit Erred By Denying

Coram Nobis Relief Despite Finding

Dr.

Harkonen’s

New

Evidence

“Compelling” ........................................................ 29

II. THIS CASE PRESENTS A GOOD VEHICLE TO

ADDRESS THE STANDARD FOR CORAM

NOBIS RELIEF ............................................................. 33

CONCLUSION ................................................................. 34

APPENDIX A: Opinion of the United States

Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit,

dated December 4, 2017............................................. 1a

APPENDIX B: Opinion of the United States

District Court for the Northern District of

California, dated August 21, 2015 ............................ 5a

APPENDIX C: Order of the United States

Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit

denying petition for rehearing and petition

for rehearing en banc, dated June 1, 2018 ............ 29a

v

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

CASES

Page(s)

Azzone v. United States, 341 F.2d 417

(8th Cir. 1965).............................................................. 24

Barrow v. United States, 455 F. App’x 631

(6th Cir. 2012).............................................................. 25

Byrnes v. United States, 408 F.2d 599

(9th Cir. 1969).............................................................. 23

Chaidez v. United States, 568 U.S. 342 (2013) ........ 15, 21

Fiswick v. United States, 329 U.S. 211 (1946) ............... 31

Foont v. United States, 93 F.3d 76

(2d Cir. 1996) ......................................................... 22, 24

Gavitt v. Born, 835 F.3d 623 (6th Cir. 2016) .................... 5

Harkonen v. United States, 571 U.S. 1110

(2013) (mem.) ............................................................... 15

Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390 (1993) .............. 28, 30, 31

Jimenez v. Trominski, 91 F.3d 767

(5th Cir. 1996).............................................................. 32

Kandiel v. United States, 964 F.2d 794

(8th Cir. 1992).............................................................. 24

Kuhlmann v. Wilson, 477 U.S. 436 (1986) ............... 29, 30

Maryland v. Kulbicki, 136 S. Ct. 2 (2015) ....................... 5

Matrixx Initiatives, Inc. v. Siracusano,

563 U.S. 27 (2011) ..................................... 13, 14, 26, 27

Moody v. United States, 874 F.2d 1575

(11th Cir. 1989)...................................................... 22, 23

vi

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued

Page(s)

Murray v. United States, 704 F.3d 23

(1st Cir. 2013) .............................................................. 21

Schlup v. Delo, 513 U.S. 298 (1995)........................... 30, 32

Telink, Inc. v. United States, 24 F.3d 42

(9th Cir. 1994).............................................................. 23

United States v. Bustillos, 31 F.3d 931

(10th Cir. 1994)...................................................... 25, 32

United States v. Denedo, 556 U.S. 904 (2009) .......21, 29, 31

United States v. Harkonen, 2010 WL 2985257

(N.D. Cal. July 27, 2010) .............................................. 6

United States v. Harkonen, 510 F. App’x 633

(9th Cir. 2013).............................................................. 15

United States v. Hedman, 655 F.2d 813

(7th Cir. 1981).............................................................. 24

United States v. Johnson, 237 F.3d 751

(6th Cir. 2001).............................................................. 25

United States v. Mayer, 235 U.S. 55 (1914) ................... 21

United States v. Miles, 553 F. App’x 846

(10th Cir. 2014)............................................................ 25

United States v. Mills, 221 F.3d 1201

(11th Cir. 2000)............................................................ 23

United States v. Morgan, 346 U.S. 502 (1954) ......21, 29, 31

United States v. Ridings, 569 F. App’x 73

(3d Cir. 2014) ............................................................... 32

United States v. Scherer, 673 F.2d 176

(7th Cir. 1982).............................................................. 24

vii

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued

Page(s)

United States v. Stoneman, 870 F.2d 102

(3d Cir. 1989) ............................................................... 24

DOCKETED CASES

Harkonen v. United States, No. 13-180 (U.S.) .............. 15

United States v. Harkonen, Nos. 11-10209 &

11-10242 (9th Cir.) ........................................................ 9

STATUTES, RULES, AND REGULATIONS

2 U.S.C.

§ 331 .............................................................................. 12

§ 333 .............................................................................. 12

§ 352 .............................................................................. 12

18 U.S.C. § 1343 ................................................................. 12

28 U.S.C.

§ 1254 .............................................................................. 2

§ 2241 ...................................................................... 15, 21

§ 2255 ...................................................................... 15, 21

17 C.F.R. § 243.100 ............................................................ 10

Fed. R. Crim. P. 33 .............................................................. 5

OTHER AUTHORITIES

Bajwa, Ednan K., et al., Interferon-γ1b

Therapy

in

Idiopathic

Pulmonary

Fibrosis, 128 Chest 203 (2005) .................................... 8

Briggs, William M., The Substitute for pValues, 112 J. Am. Stat. Ass’n 897 (2017) ............... 26

viii

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued

Page(s)

FDA, Guidance for Industry: Providing

Clinical Evidence for Human Drug and

Biological Products (1998), at https://

tinyurl.com/ya2aentj .................................................. 26

Friendly, Is Innocence Irrelevant? Collateral

Attack on Criminal Judgments, 38 U. Chi.

L. Rev. 142 (1970) ....................................................... 30

Wasserstein, Ronald L. & Nicole A. Lazar, The

ASA’s Statement on p-Values: Context,

Process, and Purpose, 70 Am. Statistician

129 (2016), at https://amstat.tandfonline.com/

doi/pdf/10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108?need

Access=true............................... 4, 16, 17, 18, 26, 27, 28

IN THE

Supreme Court of the United States

No. 18W. SCOTT HARKONEN, M.D.,

Petitioner,

v.

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

Respondent.

ON PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI TO THE

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT

PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI

Dr. Scott Harkonen respectfully petitions for a writ

of certiorari to review the judgment of the United

States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in this

case.

OPINIONS BELOW

The opinion of the Ninth Circuit affirming the denial of Dr. Harkonen’s petition for a writ of error coram

nobis (App. 1a-4a) is unpublished but is available at 705

F. App’x 606. The Ninth Circuit’s order denying the

petition for rehearing (App. 29a-30a) is unreported.

The opinion of the district court denying Dr. Harkonen’s coram nobis petition (App. 5a-27a) is unpublished

but is available at 2015 WL 4999698.

2

JURISDICTION

The Ninth Circuit entered judgment on December

4, 2017, and denied a timely rehearing petition on June

1, 2018. App. 1a, 29a-30a. On July 30, 2018, Justice

Kennedy extended the time to file a petition for a writ

of certiorari to October 1, 2018. No. 18A107. This

Court has jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1254(1).

INTRODUCTION

W. Scott Harkonen, M.D. is an experienced medical

researcher. In 2009, he was convicted of wire fraud,

based on statistical evidence the government claimed

showed a press release he issued was false. In 2016, the

American Statistical Association formally disavowed

the statistical theory at the heart of the prosecution.

The court below found that the evidence that Dr.

Harkonen is innocent was “compelling.” App. 2a. But

the court declined to vacate Dr. Harkonen’s conviction,

holding that more than actual innocence was required

before a writ of coram nobis vacating the conviction

could be issued. This holding conflicts with the holdings of three other circuits (the Sixth, Eighth, and

Tenth) that actual innocence itself is a basis for coram

nobis relief. The Court should grant review to address

the circuit split on this important question, and should

hold that at least where advances in science establish

innocence, coram nobis relief is appropriate.

The press release at issue reported the results of a

clinical trial. The trial was designed to evaluate the

safety and efficacy of a biologic drug, Actimmune, to

treat a rare, progressive invariably fatal lung disease

known as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).

The trial showed something compelling: There was

a 40% reduction in mortality in the patients taking Ac-

3

timmune compared to those taking placebo. And

among patients treated at relatively early stages of the

disease, there was a 70% reduction in mortality for

those taking Actimmune compared to those taking placebo. As required by the securities laws, the company

issued a press release reporting these results. The

press release described the study as “demonstrat[ing] a

… survival benefit.” C.A.E.R. 1047.

The government conceded that the study was well

designed and had been properly conducted, and that

every piece of data in the press release was entirely accurate. But the government argued that it was a crime

to describe these results as demonstrating anything at

all. The government’s theory was that there was a

hard and fast law of science: Conclusions about causation could only be drawn from data that demonstrated

statistical significance as measured by what is known

as the “p-value test.” In the government’s world, statistical significance, measured by a p-value less than or

equal to .05, was the gateway to drawing scientific conclusions. See C.A.E.R. 594-597. The government elicited testimony supporting this theory from a statistician.

Summing up this theory in closing argument, the prosecution told the jury that because the study failed to

meet the p-value test, “you can’t draw any conclusions

from this trial.” Id. at 595.

More than six years after the jury convicted Dr.

Harkonen, the American Statistical Association (ASA)

issued a statement of fundamental principles declaring

the government’s statistical theory wrong. In particular, the ASA explained that the concept of statistical

significance had been “misused and misinterpreted,”

that reliance on p-values “leads to considerable distortion of the scientific process,” and that a “p-value, or

statistical significance, does not measure the size of an

4

effect or importance of a result,” and is “not equivalent

to scientific, human, or economic significance.” Wasserstein & Lazar, The ASA’s Statement on p-Values:

Context, Process, and Purpose, 70 Am. Statistician 129,

131-132 (2016) (ASA Principles)). In fact, p-values “do[]

not provide a good measure of evidence regarding a

model or hypothesis,” and “[s]cientific conclusions …

should not be based only on whether a p-value passes a

specific threshold.” Id.1

Because Dr. Harkonen was no longer in custody, he

petitioned for a writ of error coram nobis to avoid the

lingering adverse consequences of his conviction. The

Ninth Circuit found Dr. Harkonen’s evidence of actual

innocence “compelling” but, because it found Dr.

Harkonen had not shown an intervening change in law

or an independent constitutional error in the conduct of

the trial, it held that he had not “establish[ed] that his

trial resulted in a manifest injustice warranting issuance of the writ.” App. 2a. In doing so, the Ninth Circuit deepened a circuit split over whether a petitioner

is entitled to coram nobis relief upon a showing of new

evidence demonstrating his actual innocence, or whether a petitioner must also allege a constitutional or jurisdictional error in the proceedings leading to his conviction. This Court should grant certiorari to resolve

that important question.

Although the question whether new evidence of actual innocence justifies coram nobis relief can arise in a

variety of contexts, it is particularly important where,

as here, the new evidence consists of scientific developments that discredit key evidence or theories used at

1

The ASA Principles are available at https://amstat.tandfon

line.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108?needAccess=true.

5

trial. The history of criminal law is replete with examples of convictions founded on bad science, whether it

be Comparative Bullet Lead Analysis, see Maryland v.

Kulbicki, 136 S. Ct. 2, 3-4 (2015) (per curiam), outdated

understandings of burn patterns in arson science, see

Gavitt v. Born, 835 F.3d 623, 630-636 (6th Cir. 2016), or,

as here, misplaced reliance on the concept of statistical

significance. Fundamental fairness requires that there

be a mechanism to challenge such convictions, but a defendant cannot bring a motion for a new trial when, as

is often the case, the scientific developments come to

light more than three years after the defendant is convicted, see Fed. R. Crim. P. 33(b)(1), and constitutional

challenges to these convictions are often unavailing, see

Kulbicki, 136 S. Ct. at 4-5 (rejecting an ineffectiveassistance-of-counsel claim because counsel could not

have been expected to predict that Comparative Bullet

Lead Analysis would be discredited).

In these cases, the only potential remedy is a freestanding claim of actual innocence based on new evidence. And where the science has taken years to develop, the defendant will frequently be out of custody

before the evidence proving his innocence is discovered, and the only mechanism for seeking relief is a coram nobis petition. Under the Ninth Circuit’s rule—

and that of four other circuits—innocent defendants

whose convictions are premised on discredited science

have no plausible avenue for relief. This Court should

grant certiorari to resolve the circuit split and affirm

that—at least where new scientific evidence irrefutably

establishes actual innocence—defendants may obtain

relief through a petition for a writ of error coram nobis.

6

STATEMENT

A. Background

Dr. Harkonen is an accomplished medical doctor,

researcher, and biotechnology executive. His work has

led to the approval of FDA labeling for five new disease

indications, including three for rare, orphan diseases.

In 1998, Dr. Harkonen founded InterMune, a biotechnology company focused on developing new treatments

for unmet medical needs. InterMune began trading as

a public company in 2000, and Dr. Harkonen served as

InterMune’s CEO until 2003. See United States v.

Harkonen, 2010 WL 2985257, at *1 (N.D. Cal. July 27,

2010).

One of the therapies under development at InterMune was Actimmune. Harkonen, 2010 WL 2985257,

at *1. Actimmune is a bio-engineered form of interferon gamma that occurs naturally in the human body and

that inhibits fibrosis that scars lung tissue. Actimmune

had been approved for two other orphan diseases. Researchers found that in IPF, patients have abnormally

low levels of interferon gamma in their bodies. This

observation, along with Actimmune’s ability to inhibit

fibrosis, suggested it might be useful in treating IPF,

which involves fibrotic scarring of lung tissue. Id.

There were no approved treatments for IPF.

In 1999, the New England Journal of Medicine published the results of a randomized, controlled trial involving 18 patients with IPF (the “Phase II trial”). InterMune had no role in the trial. After twelve months,

the patients receiving interferon gamma had meaningful improvement in lung function tests. See C.A.E.R.

529. The long-term survival status of the Phase II

study patients was assessed over five years; 78% of the

patients who received interferon gamma remained

7

alive, while only 16% in the control group survived.

The p-value for this result was .009. Id. at 282, 1048.

Because Actimmune was already approved by the

FDA for other uses, InterMune had the option of conducting no further research, and letting doctors choose

to prescribe Actimmune based on the Phase II trial.

Instead, after consultation with the FDA, InterMune

decided to fund a gold-standard, double-blind, multicenter clinical study (the GIPF-001 study) to develop

further information on the safety and efficacy of Actimmune as a treatment for IPF. See App. 7a. A Steering Committee of leading experts in pulmonary medicine and IPF supervised the trial, which enrolled 330

patients at 58 different study locations. C.A.S.E.R. 626,

652.

The results of the GIPF-001 study were reported

to InterMune in August 2002. On safety, the drug was

very well tolerated, confirming that physicians could

prescribe Actimmune for IPF patients without harming them. C.A.E.R. 1048. On efficacy, the results were

mixed. The primary efficacy endpoint—progressionfree survival—showed approximately a 10% reduction

in death or disease progression, but the effect was too

small to be clinically meaningful to patients with IPF.

Id. The result also did not achieve statistical significance on the “p-value” test. Id. at 1047.

While the data did not meet the study’s primary

endpoint, the results on the mortality endpoints were

compelling. Across the entire study population, the

mortality rate among those who took Actimmune was

40% lower than in the group taking the placebo,

C.A.E.R. 1048, a result consistent with the overall mortality benefit observed in the long-term follow-up to the

Phase II trial. The p-value for this result was .084. Id.

8

The mortality results were even more pronounced

among patients with mild-to-moderate IPF (254 out of

the 330 patients in the study, id.). In that group, the

survival rate was 70% higher for patients taking Actimmune than for those taking placebo. Id. Only 6 of

the 126 patients on Actimmune died during the study.

Id. More than three times as many—21 of the 128 patients on the placebo—died. Id. The p-value for this

result was .004. Id.

The size and consistency of the mortality results

across two independent studies, and the persistence of

the results across the entire population in the Phase III

trial, and across various large subgroups in that trial,

made a powerful case that there was a real mortality

benefit.2

The graphs below depict what is known as a

Kaplan-Meier analysis, and illustrate the dramatic survival advantage for patients taking Actimmune as compared to placebo in the Phase III trial.

2

Indeed, a later, independent meta-analysis of the data from

the Phase II and Phase III trials, among other trials, concluded

that interferon gamma “treatment is associated with decreased

mortality.” Bajwa et al., Interferon-γ1b Therapy in Idiopathic

Pulmonary Fibrosis, 128 Chest 203, 206 (2005).

9

12/4/2009 Topel Decl. Ex. S at 6 (D. Ct. Dkt. 249-6);

C.A.E.R. 2366, United States v. Harkonen, Nos. 1110209 & 11-10242 (9th Cir. Oct. 31, 2011). The analyses

show the large separation between the survival rates

for the drug and placebo group, and that the separation

increased over time.

10

Other data points in the study also supported the

inference that Actimmune reduced mortality for IPF

patients. There was a trend in favor of Actimmune in

terms of both improved breathing and reduced need for

supplemental oxygen. C.A.E.R. 1048. The results

were reviewed at an off-site meeting on August 27 with

the company’s employees and with the study’s Steering

Committee and principal investigators.

Once the GIPF-001 study’s results were disclosed

to the corporate outsiders for their review and analysis,

InterMune was obligated by federal securities law prohibiting selective disclosure promptly to disclose those

results to investors and the public. C.A.E.R. 753, 808809, 811-815; see 17 C.F.R. § 243.100. Accordingly, InterMune issued a press release, held a conference call,

and posted the top line results of the GIPF-001 study

on its website on August 28, 2002. C.A.E.R. 1047-1050;

12/4/2009 Topel Decl. Ex. SS (D. Ct. Dkt. 249-13).3

The press release’s headline stated: “InterMune

Announces Phase III Data Demonstrating Survival

Benefit of Actimmune in IPF.” C.A.E.R. 1047 (capitalization altered). The subtitle read: “Reduces Mortality

by 70% in Patients with Mild to Moderate Disease.” Id.

The release further stated that the “preliminary”

data “demonstrate a significant survival benefit in pa3

At trial, the government focused heavily on the mechanics

of the preparation of the press release, urging the jury to find a

culpable mental state from Dr. Harkonen’s efforts to limit the

number of people involved in drafting the release. That argument

was misdirected, because limiting the number of people involved

in coordinating the release of material, non-public information was

routine and appropriate, particularly where, as here, the release

included revisions to its future earnings projections.

11

tients with mild to moderate disease randomly assigned

to Actimmune versus control treatment (p=0.004).”

C.A.E.R. 1047. It stated in the first paragraph that

there was a 10% reduction in progression-free survival

and that this result was not statistically significant. Id.

at 1047, 1048. It explained that the preliminary results

were part of a continuing study to track “longer term

outcomes.” Id. at 1047-1050. And the press release

provided the underlying data on the survival benefit,

including the number of patients who lived and died

and the associated p-values for the study group as a

whole and for those patients who comprised the mildto-moderate-IPF subgroup. Id. at 1048; see also id. at

723:20-21.

The press release was only InterMune’s initial disclosure related to the study. As promised in the release, that same day, InterMune conducted a conference call with investors at which additional details of

the study results were discussed. See 12/4/2009 Topel

Decl. Ex. SS (D. Ct. Dkt. 249-13). And over the next

several weeks, leading physicians involved in the study

provided comprehensive analyses of the study results,

including the same survival analyses presented in the

press release, at various medical conferences. See

12/4/2009 Topel Decl. Exs. C, Z (D. Ct. Dkts. 249-1, 2496). Thereafter, InterMune met with the FDA to review

the study results and discuss requirements for including an IPF indication in Actimmune’s labeling.

B. Dr. Harkonen’s Trial And Appeal

The government launched an investigation of InterMune largely focused on allegations of “misbranding,” that is, that InterMune encouraged doctors to

prescribe Actimmune for IPF without obtaining FDA

approval to market it for that use. In 2006, InterMune

12

entered into a deferred prosecution agreement and paid

a settlement. C.A.S.E.R. 4031.

In 2008, Dr. Harkonen was indicted, both for misbranding, in violation of 2 U.S.C. §§ 331(k), 333(a)(2),

and 352(a), and for wire fraud, in violation of 18 U.S.C.

§ 1343. C.A.E.R. 1036-1045. The premise of the wire

fraud charge was that the press release “falsely portrayed the results of the GIPF-001 Phase III trial as

establishing that Actimmune helped IPF patients live

longer.” Id. at 1041. The only statements specifically

alleged to be false were the press release’s headline and

subheading. Id. at 1041-1042. These statements were

allegedly made “to induce doctors to prescribe, and patients to take, Actimmune to treat IPF.” Id. at 1041.

At trial, the government acknowledged that the

press release accurately reported the data from the

GIPF-001 study. But the government took issue with

the conclusions about those data as stated in the headline and subheading of the release. The government’s

theory was that “no reasonable scientist could have, in

good faith, reported the trial to be anything but an abject failure because its results did not meet certain statistical principles [the government] argued were immutable.” App. 6a-7a.

Specifically, the government argued that because

the study failed to achieve statistical significance, no

conclusions could be drawn from the trial. C.A.E.R.

212-214; see also id. at 3, 594-596. As the prosecution

argued in summation: “The only meaningful p-value for

this trial is the p-value for the primary endpoint. And

that p-value was 0.5; nowhere near statistical significance. What that p-value means … [is] that you can’t

draw any conclusions from this trial.” Id. at 595. Thus,

the government’s case expressly relied on a particular

13

(and subsequently-discredited) view of statistical significance: that because the study results did not meet

the p-value test for statistical significance, the data was

unreliable and no inferences could be drawn from the

study.4

On September 29, 2009, the jury found Dr. Harkonen guilty of wire fraud and not guilty of misbranding.

C.A.E.R. 550. Dr. Harkonen moved for a judgment of

acquittal for insufficient evidence and on First

Amendment grounds and for a new trial. Id. The district court denied the motion on July 27, 2010. Id. at

550-582. In doing so, the court relied on the testimony

of the government’s witnesses that “a p-value of 0.05 is

somewhat of a magic number,” id. at 557, and that if the

primary endpoint fails to achieve a p-value of less than

.05, no conclusions can be drawn from the trial, id. at

558-559.

On February 14, 2011, prior to sentencing, Dr.

Harkonen filed a second new trial motion. Dr. Harkonen argued that an amicus brief filed by the United

States in Matrixx Initiatives, Inc. v. Siracusano, 563

U.S. 27 (2011), constituted newly-discovered exculpatory evidence because the government took a position in

that brief that “directly conflict[ed] with the testimony

it elicited at trial and argued to the jury.” 2/14/2011

Mot. for New Trial 12 (D. Ct. Dkt. 322). Specifically,

the United States took the position in Matrixx that “a

determination that certain data are not statistically

4

Just as the prosecution was taking this position in Dr.

Harkonen’s trial, the NIH was issuing a press release touting the

success of an HIV vaccine trial despite argument that “per protocol” results were not statistically significant. See 12/4/2009 Motion

to Dismiss 19 (D. Ct. Dkt. 247).

14

significant … does not refute an inference of causation”

and that “causation can appropriately be inferred

through consideration of multiple factors independent

of statistical significance.” Id. at 1 (internal quotation

marks omitted; alteration in the original).

In opposing the new trial motion, the government

sought to recharacterize its brief in Matrixx. The Matrixx brief, according to the government, was about

whether investors might care about safety data drawn

from a statistically insignificant number of adverse

events. But the Matrixx brief, the government argued,

did not resolve the role of statistical significance in

drawing conclusions about efficacy from study data. In

the government’s view, it remained improper to “assert

that statistically insignificant data proves a drug

works.” 3/7/2011 Opp. to Mot. for New Trial 7 (D. Ct.

Dkt. 343).

In the midst of the briefing on the new trial motion,

this Court issued its decision in Matrixx. Relying in

large part on the government’s amicus brief, this Court

rejected the argument that “statistical significance is

the only reliable indication of causation,” and stated

that “[a] lack of statistically significant data does not

mean that medical experts have no reliable basis for

inferring a causal link between a drug” and observed

clinical outcomes. Matrixx, 563 U.S. at 40. Moreover,

the Court acknowledged that “medical experts rely on

other evidence to establish an inference of causation.”

Id. For example, researchers and clinicians consider

the “strength of the association” and “temporal relationship” between a drug and the observed outcome;

“consistency across studies; biological plausibility; consideration of alternative explanations; specificity …;

the dose-response relationship; and the clinical and

pathological characteristics of the event.” Id. at 40 n.7.

15

Notwithstanding Matrixx, the district court denied

Harkonen’s motion for a new trial. C.A.E.R. 228. On

April 13, 2011, the court imposed a sentence of three

years’ probation and six months’ home detention. Id. at

232-237.

The Ninth Circuit affirmed Dr. Harkonen’s conviction and sentence. United States v. Harkonen, 510 F.

App’x 633, 635 (9th Cir. 2013). Dr. Harkonen petitioned

for certiorari, arguing that a conclusion about the

meaning of scientific data cannot be a “false or fraudulent” statement within the meaning of the wire fraud

statute and that applying that statute to scientific conclusions would violate the First Amendment’s proscription against viewpoint discrimination. Pet., Harkonen

v. United States, No. 13-180 (U.S. Aug. 5, 2013). This

Court denied certiorari on December 16, 2013. 571 U.S.

1110 (2013).

C. Petition For A Writ Of Error Coram Nobis

On July 30, 2014, Dr. Harkonen filed a petition for a

writ of error coram nobis in the district court challenging the statistical basis for the government’s theory at

trial. 7/30/2014 Pet. for Writ of Error Coram Nobis (D.

Ct. Dkt. 399).5 Dr. Harkonen explained that the government statistical witness’s testimony regarding the

5

The writ of error coram nobis provides a way to collaterally

attack a conviction for a person, like Dr. Harkonen, who is no

longer in custody and therefore cannot seek habeas relief or file a

§ 2255 motion. Chaidez v. United States, 568 U.S. 342, 345 n.1

(2013); see 28 U.S.C. § 2241(c) (“The writ of habeas corpus shall not

extend to a prisoner unless … [h]e is in custody ….”); id. § 2255(a)

(“A prisoner in custody under sentence of a court … may move

the court which imposed the sentence to vacate, set aside or correct the sentence.” (emphasis added)).

16

proper interpretation of data and the import of data

showing statistically-insignificant results was inconsistent with generally-accepted principles of biostatistics. 7/30/2014 Memo ISO Pet. for Writ of Error Coram

Nobis 72-74 (D. Ct. Dkt. 399-1). The district court denied the petition as untimely on August 21, 2015. App.

5a, 17a-22a.

Dr. Harkonen appealed the district court’s denial of

his petition. On appeal, he argued that a recent scientific development had disproven the theory upon which

he was convicted. Dr. Harkonen explained that the

American Statistical Association had, in 2016—more

than six years after the jury found him guilty—

promulgated a statement of six fundamental principles

that govern the field of statistics. Pet. C.A. Br. 43-44

(citing the ASA Principles). Dr. Harkonen argued that

the ASA Principles “declare[] to be false” “precisely

the statistical propositions” on which the “government

convicted Dr. Harkonen.” Id. at 44. Accordingly, “his

conviction must now be declared void.” Id.

The ASA issued these principles because the concept of statistical significance and the use of p-values

had been “commonly misused and misinterpreted,”

which had led to “considerable distortion of the scientific process.” ASA Principles 131. Through the Principles, the ASA sought to “improve the conduct or interpretation of quantitative science” by “clarifying …

principles underlying the proper use and interpretation

of the p-value” based on “widespread consensus in the

statistical community.” Id.

The conclusions from the ASA Principles are the

opposite of the government’s theory of guilt. The government presented statistical significance as the gateway through which clinical trial data must pass, with p-

17

values as “magic number[s]” that determine the reliability of study results. C.A.E.R. 557. The government

flatly told the jury that the p-value on the primary

endpoint, by itself, showed the study had “failed” and

precluded drawing any conclusions from it. Id. at 594595.

The ASA Principles establish that the scientific

consensus is now squarely to the contrary. The ASA

Principles explain that the consensus of statisticians is

that statistical significance is not the gateway to sound

inferences from study data, and p-values are not magic

at all. Indeed, “[p]-values do not measure the probability that the studied hypothesis is true, or the probability that the data were produced by random chance

alone.” ASA Principles 131.6 Thus, “[a] conclusion does

not immediately become ‘true’” if data generates a particular p-value (such as less than .05) or (more importantly here) “‘false’” if it does not. Id.7 Nor does a

p-value “measure the size of an effect or the importance

of a result.” Id. at 132.

All that is consistent with this Court’s statement in

Matrixx that a lack of statistical significance is not a

bar to causation, and that scientists appropriately consider other factors. But the ASA Principles go much

further. They explain that p-values are not an im6

The district court, in upholding the verdict, had said just the

opposite: “The lower a p-value is, the greater probability that the

result perceived in the data is not due to chance.” C.A.E.R. 557.

7

Again, the district court in upholding the verdict had said

precisely the opposite: Simply because the “data for the secondary endpoint of survival time yielded a p-value [higher than .05] …

the jury could have concluded beyond a reasonable doubt that [the

press release] … was false.” C.A.E.R. 563.

18

portant tool in assessing causation. To the contrary,

“[b]y itself, a p-value does not provide a good measure

of evidence regarding a model or hypothesis.” ASA

Principles 132. A low p-value “offers only weak evidence against the null hypothesis.” Id. And a “relatively large p-value does not imply evidence in favor of

the null hypothesis.” Id.8 Accordingly, as the ASA

Principles state, “[s]cientific conclusions and business

or policy decisions should not be based only on whether

a p-value passes a specific threshold.” Id. at 131. Rather, researchers “should bring many contextual factors into play to derive scientific inferences, including

the design of a study, the quality of the measurements,

the external evidence for the phenomenon under study,

and the validity of assumptions that underlie the data

analysis.” Id.

Dr. Harkonen argued (Pet. C.A. Br. 43-48) that the

current understanding of statistical significance and pvalues—as reflected in the ASA Principles—directly

undermines the government’s theory at trial that no

reasonable scientist could “conclude that Actimmune

has a survival benefit” simply because the GIPF-001

trial did not yield statistically significant results.

C.A.E.R. 595. With p-values in their proper place—not

as magic numbers, or a gateway that must be crossed

before drawing conclusions, but rather as evidence too

“weak” to form the basis for scientific conclusion—the

“logical conclusion from [the survival] data was that it

showed or ‘demonstrated’ a mortality benefit,” as stated in the press release. Pet. C.A. Br. 44. Accordingly,

8

The “null hypothesis” in the context of a drug trial is the

hypothesis that there is no evidence of an association between the

drug and the effect.

19

the conclusions stated in the press release could not be

false or fraudulent.

In response, the government acknowledged that

“experts can use statistically insignificant data coupled

with other information to infer a link between a drug

and a particular effect in patients.” Resp. C.A. Br. 66.

But it maintained that this pivotal concession “has

nothing to do with Harkonen’s conviction,” which it instead attributed to the supposed fact that Dr. Harkonen “did not rely on other evidence in asserting that

the clinical trial results supported the inference that

Actimmune was responsible for a survival benefit.” Id.

That argument, of course, was never made to the jury,

which was instead told that the statistical results, by

themselves, precluded drawing conclusions from the

study. It is also contrary to the plain language of the

press release, which refers expressly to other evidence,

such as the Phase II study results, and the supportive

trends on other endpoints. And it does not reckon with

the ASA Principles, which make clear something the

jury was never told: The p-value results do not count

as important evidence against the efficacy conclusion.

The Ninth Circuit rejected the government’s effort

to salvage the factual basis for the conviction. Instead,

the court of appeals found Dr. Harkonen’s “proffered

evidence” of innocence “compelling, especially in light

of Matrixx.” App. 2a. Nevertheless, it affirmed the

judgment below. For the Ninth Circuit, innocence was

not enough. To be entitled to relief, Dr. Harkonen

needed to point to a “change in controlling law.” Id.

Because he had not done so, the court held that he had

failed to “establish that his trial resulted in a manifest

20

injustice warranting issuance of [a] writ” of error coram nobis. Id.9

Dr. Harkonen filed a petition for rehearing and rehearing en banc arguing that the Ninth Circuit had

erred in denying his coram nobis petition despite finding his claim of actual innocence “compelling.” Pet.

C.A. Reh’g Pet. 10-16. Dr. Steven Goodman, Associate

Dean of Clinical and Translational Research and Professor of Medicine and of Health Research and Policy at

Stanford University, filed an amicus brief in support of

Dr. Harkonen. Dr. Goodman confirmed that the ASA’s

statement of principles “utterly discredited” the “government’s ‘immutable’ theory of statistics upon which it

obtained Dr. Harkonen’s conviction” and demonstrated

Dr. Harkonen’s innocence. Goodman C.A. Br. 9. Dr.

Goodman added that “leaving this conviction in place

would represent an implicit endorsement of scientific

falsehoods,” which “does not serve the courts, science

or society well.” Id. at 7. The Ninth Circuit called for a

response, but denied Dr. Harkonen’s petition for rehearing on June 1, 2018. App. 29a-30a.

REASONS FOR GRANTING THE PETITION

I.

THE COURT SHOULD GRANT REVIEW TO CONSIDER

WHETHER A CLAIM OF NEW EVIDENCE DEMONSTRATING ACTUAL INNOCENCE CAN EVER JUSTIFY CORAM

NOBIS RELIEF

A petition for a writ of error coram nobis provides

a way to collaterally attack a criminal conviction when

the petitioner is no longer “in custody,” and therefore

9

The court did not reach the question whether Dr. Harkonen’s coram nobis petition was timely. App. 4a n.1.

21

cannot seek relief under 28 U.S.C. §§ 2241 or 2255.

Chaidez v. United States, 568 U.S. 342, 345 n.1 (2013)

see also United States v. Morgan, 346 U.S. 502, 506-511

(1954). Like habeas corpus, the writ of error coram

nobis was originally confined to cases where the tribunal lacked jurisdiction or where other errors rendered

the proceeding invalid. At common law, coram nobis

was available to correct “errors in matters of fact which

… were material to the validity and regularity of the

legal proceeding itself; as where the defendant, being

under age, appeared by attorney, or the plaintiff or defendant was a married woman at the time of commencing the suit, or died before verdict or interlocutory

judgment.” United States v. Mayer, 235 U.S. 55, 68

(1914). But the scope of coram nobis—like that of habeas corpus—has been expanded to provide a remedy

for a variety of constitutional errors or otherwiseunjust verdicts. As the Court said in Morgan, although

the writ of error coram nobis is generally described by

reference to a narrow set of instances warranting relief, see, e.g., Mayer, 235 U.S. at 68, “its use has been by

no means so limited,” Morgan, 346 U.S. at 507-508; see

also United States v. Denedo, 556 U.S. 904, 910-911

(2009).

Although the Court has spoken of coram nobis in

general terms, it has not “addressed the precise standards that lower courts should use in deciding whether

to issue” the writ. Murray v. United States, 704 F.3d

23, 29 (1st Cir. 2013). One question, in particular, that

arises on coram nobis review is whether a court may

grant the writ based on new evidence of actual innocence. It often takes years for new evidence to materialize, by which point defendants have frequently completed any term of imprisonment and coram nobis is the

only avenue for seeking relief. The courts of appeals

22

have taken differing positions on whether an actualinnocence claim warrants coram nobis relief. The Court

should grant certiorari to resolve that split and confirm

that where a petitioner presents compelling evidence of

actual innocence, coram nobis relief is available.

A. The Circuits Are Split On Whether A Pure

Actual Innocence Claim Based On New Evidence Meets The Standard For Coram Nobis

The Second, Third, Seventh, Ninth, and Eleventh

Circuits have held that a freestanding claim of actual

innocence does not warrant coram nobis relief. In those

circuits, a petitioner must allege a constitutional or jurisdictional error. In contrast, courts in the Sixth,

Eighth, and Tenth Circuits will grant coram nobis relief

if the petitioner brings newly-discovered evidence

demonstrating his actual innocence.

1. Five circuits, including the Ninth Circuit in this

case, have held that a “claim of newly discovered evidence relevant … to the guilt or innocence of the petitioner is not cognizable in a coram nobis proceeding.”

Moody v. United States, 874 F.2d 1575, 1577 (11th Cir.

1989). In those circuits, even a petitioner who presents

new evidence conclusively demonstrating his innocence

cannot obtain relief unless that evidence reveals an independent “constitutional or jurisdictional error.”

Foont v. United States, 93 F.3d 76, 80 (2d Cir. 1996).

In Moody, for example, Walter Moody had been

convicted of possessing an unregistered destructive

device. 874 F.2d at 1576. Moody petitioned for coram

nobis relief on the ground that new evidence proved

that he did not commit the crime. Id. The Eleventh

Circuit rejected the claim without considering its merits, stating that “newly discovered evidence affords no

23

entrée to the writ.” Id. at 1577 (internal quotation

marks and brackets omitted); see also United States v.

Mills, 221 F.3d 1201, 1205 (11th Cir. 2000) (“allegations

of newly discovered evidence are not cognizable in a

petition for coram nobis”).

The Ninth Circuit has taken a particularly narrow

view of coram nobis, stating that, to warrant relief, a

coram nobis petition must present a “constitutional

controversy.” Byrnes v. United States, 408 F.2d 599,

602 (9th Cir. 1969); see also Telink, Inc. v. United

States, 24 F.3d 42, 45 (9th Cir. 1994) (“The writ of error

coram nobis affords a remedy to attack an unconstitutional or unlawful conviction in cases when the petitioner already has fully served a sentence.”). A freestanding claim of actual innocence—one in which the

petitioner has discovered new evidence that proves

that he did not commit the crime of conviction, but

where he cannot establish that an independent constitutional error infected the proceedings that led to conviction—does not warrant coram nobis relief.10

The Second, Third, and Seventh Circuits have similarly held that a petitioner cannot obtain coram nobis

relief by showing only that he is innocent of the crime

of conviction; the petitioner must also demonstrate an

independent constitutional or jurisdictional error. See

10

The Ninth Circuit applied this heightened standard here.

The court recognized that Dr. Harkonen’s “proffered evidence”—

which demonstrated that the conclusions stated in the press release were well within the realm of reasonable scientific debate—

were “compelling.” App. 2a. The court of appeals denied the writ

nonetheless, finding that this demonstration of actual innocence

did “not establish that [Dr. Harkonen’s] trial resulted in a manifest

injustice warranting issuance of the writ,” because he had not

“point[ed] to [any] change in controlling law.” Id.

24

Foont, 93 F.3d at 80 (“Claims of new evidence, … without constitutional or jurisdictional error in the underlying proceeding, cannot support a coram nobis claim.”);

United States v. Stoneman, 870 F.2d 102, 106 (3d Cir.

1989) (“The error must go to the jurisdiction of the trial

court, thus rendering the trial itself invalid.”); United

States v. Scherer, 673 F.2d 176, 178 (7th Cir. 1982)

(“[T]he burden is on the petitioner to demonstrate that

‘the asserted error is jurisdictional or constitutional,

and involves an error of law that results in a complete

miscarriage of justice.’” (internal brackets omitted));

United States v. Hedman, 655 F.2d 813, 815 (7th Cir.

1981) (coram nobis “[r]elief … is available only if the

asserted error is jurisdictional or constitutional”).

2. Three circuits, in contrast, will recognize a

claim of new evidence demonstrating actual innocence

in a coram nobis petition. The Eighth Circuit, for example, has rejected the argument “that coram nobis

relief is not available for claims based on newly discovered evidence.” Kandiel v. United States, 964 F.2d 794,

797 n.1 (8th Cir. 1992) (per curiam). The Kandiel court

ultimately did not grant the writ, finding that the new

evidence did not “constitute[] positive proof” of the petitioner’s innocence. Id. at 797. But the Eighth Circuit

confirmed that coram nobis relief is available for compelling new evidence that undermines the factual basis

for a conviction. Id. at 797 n.1; see also Azzone v. United States, 341 F.2d 417, 419 (8th Cir. 1965) (per curiam)

(considering petitioner’s claim “that he has newly discovered evidence which proves that he did not violate

18 U.S.C.A. § 1073”).

Similarly, the Tenth Circuit has not limited coram

nobis relief to cases in which the petitioner can demonstrate a constitutional or jurisdictional error, stating

more generally that “a writ of error coram nobis is

25

available … to correct errors resulting in a complete

miscarriage of justice, or under circumstances compelling such action to achieve justice.” United States v.

Bustillos, 31 F.3d 931, 934 (10th Cir. 1994). And the

Tenth Circuit has held that “[a] colorable showing of

factual innocence demonstrates a fundamental miscarriage of justice.” United States v. Miles, 553 F. App’x

846, 848 (10th Cir. 2014) (internal quotation marks

omitted). Indeed, in Bustillos, the court rejected the

petitioner’s claim that an insufficient factual basis was

presented at the plea hearing to support his guilty plea

because, the court stated, he had “not assert[ed] his innocence of the charge to which he pleaded guilty.” 31

F.3d at 934.

The Sixth Circuit’s standard for coram nobis relief

also permits the writ to issue upon a showing of compelling new evidence. The court has stated that to obtain relief, a coram nobis petitioner must show “(1) an

error of fact; (2) unknown at the time of trial; (3) of a

fundamentally unjust character which probably would

have altered the outcome of the challenged proceeding if

it had been known.” United States v. Johnson, 237

F.3d 751, 755 (6th Cir. 2001) (emphasis added); see also

Barrow v. United States, 455 F. App’x 631, 634-637 (6th

Cir. 2012) (affirming denial of writ because petitioner

did not present new evidence that would have “altered

the outcome of the entire proceeding”).

B. Dr. Harkonen’s Compelling New Evidence Of

Actual Innocence Would Have Warranted Relief In The Sixth, Eighth, And Tenth Circuits

The Ninth Circuit found Dr. Harkonen’s evidence

of actual innocence “compelling.” App. 2a. That finding

was plainly correct. The government told the jury that

the press release was false because the trial results

26

were not statistically significant. The ASA Principles

are squarely to the contrary: P-values are not a measure of a proposition’s truth or falsity. A p-value is

“weak evidence” insufficient to determine the clinical

meaning of study data. ASA Principles 132. Indeed, no

“[s]cientific conclusions” at all—much less a mandate to

ignore all evidence from a study—should be “based only on whether a p-value passes a specific threshold.”

Id. at 131.11

Absent the government’s statistical theory that the

p-value precluded drawing any conclusions from the

study data, the statements in the press release were

uncontroversial. In two consecutive studies—the longterm follow-up to the Phase II trial, and the Phase III

trial InterMune conducted—patients taking Actimmune were much more likely to survive than those taking placebo. The trend was large, and continued for

years in both trials.

Such “consistency across more than one study” is

(unlike p-values), highly relevant in assessing causation, since it “greatly reduc[es] the possibility that a

biased, chance, site-specific, or fraudulent result will

lead to an erroneous conclusion that a drug is effective.” FDA, Guidance for Industry: Providing Clinical

Evidence for Human Drug and Biological Products 5

(1998), at https://tinyurl.com/ya2aentj; see also Matrixx, 563 U.S. at 41 (“‘consistency of findings across

available data sources’” is relevant in assessing causation). Moreover, the study was well designed, there

11

Many statisticians now conclude that “[t]here are no good

reasons nor good ways to use p-values,” and that reporting them

in scholarly journals should be proscribed. Briggs, The Substitute

for p-Values, 112 J. Am. Stat. Ass’n 897, 897 (2017).

27

appeared to be a dose-response relationship,12 the survival benefit appeared to increase over time, and there

was a plausible biologic basis to believe Actimmune—

which had known anti-fibrotic properties—would work

for IPF patients. See Matrixx, 563 U.S. at 41 (discussing role of “‘dose-response,’” “‘temporal relationship,’”

and “‘biologic plausibility’” in assessing causation);

ASA Principles 132 (discussing role of “good study design” in assessing causation). In short, the inferences

stated in the press release are amply supported by the

kinds of evidence that scientists should rely on. The

government told the jury something very different. It

insisted that lack of statistical significance, measured

by p-values, was enough to make the results unreliable

and the press release fraudulent. But the ASA Principles now establish p-values have no magic power to

outweigh compelling evidence of causation; they are

instead evidence too “weak” to form the basis for “scientific conclusions.” ASA Principles 131-132.

Dr. Harkonen’s claim of new evidence is thus quite

unlike, and much stronger than, the usual case in which

new evidence casts doubt on the facts proven at trial.

The new evidence in this case demonstrates that the

prosecution’s own version of the facts does not establish the crime alleged. This is not a case where Dr.

Harkonen is relying on after-the-fact affidavits, or witness recantations, or belatedly challenging who said

what to whom. Rather, the new evidence establishes

that the metric by which the government asked the jury to judge the truth or falsity of Dr. Harkonen’s undisputed statements in the press release was itself flatly wrong. The jury was told that because the study’s p12

See 3/23/2009 Topel Decl. Ex. 1 at 1 (D. Ct. Dkt. 89-1).

28

values failed to hit a “magic” number, no conclusions

could be drawn from the study; on that premise, the jury had little choice but to find the press release inaccurate. Had the jury instead been told that p-values “do[]

not provide a good measure of evidence regarding a

model or hypothesis,” ASA Principles 132, and that scientists instead focus on issues such as consistency of

results across trials, the jury would have had no option

other than to acquit.

Because the new evidence in this case undermines

the government’s entire theory of guilt, and not just

one piece of evidence, Dr. Harkonen has established his

actual innocence under any possible standard. Cf. Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390, 417 (1993) (assuming that

“a truly persuasive demonstration of ‘actual innocence’

made after trial would render the execution of a defendant unconstitutional”); id. at 429 (White, J., concurring) (“To be entitled to relief, … petitioner would at

the very least be required to show that based on proffered newly discovered evidence and the entire record

before the jury that convicted him, ‘no rational trier of

fact could find proof of guilt beyond a reasonable

doubt.’” (alterations omitted)); id. at 444 (Blackmun, J.,

dissenting) (a petitioner would be entitled to habeas

relief if he could “show that he is probably actually innocent, in light of all the evidence”). The new evidence

conclusively establishes that the government was relying on faulty scientific theories in arguing that rules of

statistical significance made it impossible to draw any

conclusions from the GIPF-001 study. No rational jury

could convict Dr. Harkonen in light of the ASA’s rejection of the government’s false statistical theory.

As the Ninth Circuit recognized, there is compelling evidence of innocence. In the Sixth, Eighth, and

Tenth Circuits, that would be enough to warrant coram

29

nobis relief. By the fortuity of having been tried in the

Ninth Circuit, however, Dr. Harkonen remains convicted of a crime that the evidence now indicates he did not

commit. That ought to be an intolerable result.

C. The Ninth Circuit Erred By Denying Coram

Nobis Relief Despite Finding Dr. Harkonen’s

New Evidence “Compelling”

As explained above (at 21), coram nobis has been

used to remedy a wide range of errors in criminal proceedings and generally “under circumstances compelling such action to achieve justice.” Morgan, 346 U.S.

at 511. Thus, the Court has “found that a writ of coram

nobis can issue to redress a fundamental error” as well

as “mere technical errors.” Denedo, 556 U.S. at 911. In

Morgan, for example, the Court held that coram nobis

was available to review a claim of deprivation of counsel in violation of the Sixth Amendment. 346 U.S. at

512-513. Coram nobis has also been used to examine

claims of insanity, id. at 510, that the government coerced witnesses to commit perjury, id., and ineffective

assistance of counsel, Denedo, 556 U.S. at 907.

There is no error more fundamental than the conviction of an innocent person. The Court should take

this opportunity to hold that coram nobis relief is available to a petitioner who has made a compelling showing

of actual innocence, at least where (as here) that showing is based on a new scientific consensus.

In

Kuhlmann v. Wilson, a plurality of the Court recognized that “a prisoner retains a powerful and legitimate

interest in obtaining his release from custody if he is

innocent of the charge for which he was incarcerated.”

477 U.S. 436, 452 (1986). Thus, a defendant who shows

that “a constitutional violation has probably resulted in

[his] conviction” though he is “actually innocent” can

30

show a “fundamental miscarriage of justice” that will

excuse any procedural default of a claim on habeas review. Schlup v. Delo, 513 U.S. 298, 321 (1995) (internal

quotation marks omitted). The fundamental miscarriage of justice is just as clear here, and warrants extending collateral relief to a defendant who can demonstrate his innocence without regard to whether there

was also independent constitutional error in the proceedings leading to his conviction.13

In Herrera v. Collins, the Court assumed without

deciding that, at least in a capital case, “a truly persuasive demonstration of ‘actual innocence’ made after trial would render” punishment “unconstitutional, and

warrant federal habeas relief.” 506 U.S. at 417. Although the Court only assumed this rule, a majority of

the justices agreed that a capital prisoner’s demonstration of actual innocence would be grounds for relief

from the conviction. Justice O’Connor, joined by Justice Kennedy, wrote in a concurrence that “the execution of a legally and factually innocent person would be

a constitutionally intolerable event.” Id. at 419. Justice

Blackmun, joined by Justices Stevens and Souter,

meanwhile, wrote in dissent that “if a prisoner can

13

In recognizing that a showing of actual innocence can excuse a procedural default, the Court adopted a standard proposed

by Judge Friendly. Kuhlmann, 477 U.S. at 454 (plurality opinion)

(citing Friendly, Is Innocence Irrelevant? Collateral Attack on

Criminal Judgments, 38 U. Chi. L. Rev. 142 (1970)); see also

Schlup, 513 U.S. at 328 (adopting Judge Friendly’s description of

the actual-innocence inquiry, that the habeas court must determine the petitioner’s innocence “‘in light of all the evidence’”).

Judge Friendly recognized that substantive claims of actual innocence should be considered on collateral review, even without an

independent constitutional error. 38 U. Chi. L. Rev. at 159 n.87,

160.

31

show that he is probably actually innocent, in light of all

the evidence, then he has made ‘a truly persuasive

demonstration [of innocence],’ … and his execution

would violate the Constitution.” Id. at 444.

While the consequences of error are obviously

uniquely high in the capital context, a petitioner who

has completed his term of incarceration maintains a

strong interest in avoiding the lingering consequences

of a conviction for an offense of which he is actually innocent. Subsequent convictions may carry heavier

penalties, Morgan, 346 U.S. at 512-513; a non-citizen

may face deportation, Denedo, 556 U.S. at 907-908; and

the individual may be deprived of certain civil rights,

such as the ability to serve on a jury, vote, or hold office, Fiswick v. United States, 329 U.S. 211, 222 & n.10

(1946). A criminal record may also limit or prohibit individuals from accessing employment, occupational licensing, housing, education, adoption services, and other opportunities.14 There is no legitimate reason to impose such burdens on a person who has demonstrated

factual innocence. Indeed, doing so only undermines

public confidence in the judicial system.

Where the new evidence demonstrating the defendant’s innocence consists of changed science, that

new evidence often will not be available for many years

following the verdict because it takes time for science

to change and new theories to find acceptance in the

scientific community. By that time, other remedies—

such as motions for a new trial—may no longer be

available. Yet that kind of new evidence can be among

14

Dr. Harkonen, for example, is subject to a lifetime bar from

working for any company seeking FDA approval for a product.

32

the most compelling because it demonstrates that the

evidence the jury relied upon does not prove what the

government argued or expert witnesses testified that it

proved. Moreover, where, as here, scientific developments discredit the entire premise of the government’s

case, justice requires a mechanism for the defendant to

challenge his conviction.

The Court has recognized that the conviction of an

innocent person is a “fundamental miscarriage of justice.” Schlup, 513 U.S. at 321. There was just such a

miscarriage here. The government told the jury that

any conclusion drawn from the study was false because

the study had a p-value greater than .05. But we now

know that it was the government’s statistical premise—not the press release’s conclusions—that was

false. The writ of coram nobis is an appropriate mechanism to obtain relief from such errors. See, e.g., United

States v. Ridings, 569 F. App’x 73, 75 (3d Cir. 2014)

(per curiam) (denying coram nobis because petitioner

had not “made the necessary showing of a ‘complete

miscarriage of justice’”); Jimenez v. Trominski, 91 F.3d

767, 768 (5th Cir. 1996) (coram nobis “will issue only to

correct errors resulting in a complete miscarriage of

justice”); Bustillos, 31 F.3d at 934 (“a writ of error coram nobis is available only to correct errors resulting

in a complete miscarriage of justice, or under circumstances compelling such action to achieve justice”). The

Court should take this opportunity to confirm that coram nobis can be used to grant relief from a conviction

for a defendant who is able to make a compelling showing of innocence based on new evidence.

33

II. THIS CASE PRESENTS A GOOD VEHICLE TO ADDRESS

THE STANDARD FOR CORAM NOBIS RELIEF

This case presents an ideal vehicle to address the

question presented because the Court need not resolve

any factual issues to reach that question. In particular,

the Ninth Circuit has already found Dr. Harkonen’s

new evidence of actual innocence “compelling.” App.

2a. It denied relief because Dr. Harkonen had not

pointed to any “change in controlling law.” Id. The

question whether new evidence of actual innocence justifies coram nobis relief is thus cleanly presented here,

and requires no fact finding from this Court.

Many coram nobis cases raising claims of actual innocence, by contrast, will raise subsidiary factual questions. Which pieces of evidence or what witnesses’ testimony are called into doubt by the new evidence? Was

the affected evidence harmless? Would the unaffected

evidence have been sufficient to convict? But the Court

need not address any of those questions in the present

case because the new scientific evidence undermines

the government’s entire theory of guilt. Nor need the

Court worry that it will not be able to reach the question presented because Dr. Harkonen could not demonstrate his innocence under the appropriate standard in

any event. Because the scientific consensus undermines the theory of conviction, Dr. Harkonen can

demonstrate his actual innocence, however stringent

the standard.

34

CONCLUSION

The petition for a writ of certiorari should be

granted.

Respectfully submitted.

JOSHUA M. KOPPEL

ALAN E. SCHOENFELD

Counsel of Record

WILMER CUTLER PICKERING

PETER G. NEIMAN

HALE AND DORR LLP

1875 Pennsylvania Ave., NW WILMER CUTLER PICKERING

HALE AND DORR LLP

Washington, DC 20006

7 World Trade Center

250 Greenwich Street

New York, NY 10007

(212) 937-7294

alan.schoenfeld@wilmerhale.com

OCTOBER 2018

This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.

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