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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Federal Trade Commission
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20580
Office of Commissioner
Mark R. Meador
Statement of Commissioner Mark R. Meador
In the Matter of IonQ, Inc. and SkyWater Technology, Inc.
Matter No. 2610061
July 31, 2026
On July 28 the Commission granted early termination of the waiting period in its review of IonQ,
Inc.’s (“IonQ”) acquisition of SkyWater Technology, Inc. (“SkyWater”). I write to complement
Chairman Ferguson’s thoughtful remarks explaining the Commission’s decision in this important
matter.
SkyWater is an American advanced semiconductor foundry used by several firms actively
competing in the race to develop the first fault-tolerant quantum computer, 1 including IonQ and a
number of IonQ’s rivals. IonQ has publicly represented that its acquisition of SkyWater is
intended to accelerate its quantum computing research and development efforts by enabling
closer collaboration with its manufacturing partner throughout the highly iterative development
process. 2
The potential commercial, national security, and societal benefits from quantum computing are
difficult to overstate. The Chairman describes them well. 3 Notwithstanding these benefits, as the
Chairman also notes, the instant transaction raised a potential vertical foreclosure concern that
warranted further investigation. 4 This concern centered on the possible incentive and ability of
IonQ to limit rivals’ access to SkyWater’s foundry services as well as the potential for IonQ to
gain access to those same rivals’ competitively sensitive information.
The 2023 Merger Guidelines wisely raised the profile of these types of concerns, and I share
Chairman Ferguson’s assessment that certain commentators have overstated the supposed
EYCK FREYMANN, ET AL., HOOVER INST., STAN. UNIV., THE QUANTUM REVOLUTION: A GUIDE FOR ALLIED
POLICYMAKERS 8 (2026) (“The long-term goal of quantum computing is to build fault-tolerant systems: machines
that can run arbitrarily long quantum algorithms while automatically correcting for physical errors in real time.”).
2
See IonQ to Acquire SkyWater Technology, IONQ 1, 3, 13 (slide deck Jan. 26, 2026),
https://s28.q4cdn.com/828571518/files/doc_downloads/2026/01/29/IonQ-to-Acquire-SkyWater-Technology-202601-26-vFinal.pdf.
3
See Statement of Chairman Andrew N. Ferguson at 1–2, In re IonQ Inc. & SkyWater Tech., Inc., FTC File No.
2610061 (July 31, 2026).
4
Id. at 2, 4.
1
universal felicity of vertical integration. The question before the Commission here is whether
IonQ’s acquisition of SkyWater may have the effect of substantially lessening competition
through such foreclosure and, if so, whether the proposed order is an appropriate remedy.
I agree with the Chairman that reasonable minds can reach different conclusions on each of these
questions. My own conclusion is that the evidence available is insufficient to demonstrate that
the effect of the transaction may be to substantially lessen competition, and on the contrary
suggests that the transaction would be procompetitive or competitively neutral in its effects.
Four factors lead me to this conclusion: (1) the hypothetical foreclosure share falls well below
the legal threshold for substantial foreclosure; (2) the evidence does not show SkyWater to be a
“must have”; (3) the hypothetical foreclosure concern is decidedly short-term; and (4) the United
States government, especially under the Trump Administration, has invested heavily in ensuring
a diverse and dynamic quantum computing industry. Having reached this assessment, I cannot
support what would amount to a regulatory intervention by the Commission into a highly
competitive and dynamic innovation market.
A. Foreclosure Share
The United States has a large and diverse range of quantum computing companies and continues
to lead the world in commercialization precisely because it has embraced a decentralized,
competition-driven model 5 supporting multiple technological approaches. 6 Dozens of quantum
computing R&D firms possess significant manufacturing resources, including a number of
leading American firms pursuing diverse hardware modalities such as IBM, Google, Microsoft,
Amazon, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum. 7 As one industry report puts it, “The United States
JOSEPH FEDERICI, U.S.-CHINA ECON. & SEC. REV. COMM’N, VYING FOR QUANTUM SUPREMACY: U.S.-CHINA
COMPETITION IN QUANTUM TECHNOLOGIES (2025); see INT’L TRADE ADMIN., U.S. INDUSTRY LANDSCAPE:
QUANTUM COMPUTING 2 (2026) (listing U.S. as the leading country in quantum computing startups); NAT’L SEC.
DATA & POL’Y INST., UNIV. OF VA., PROD. NO. 00035, ADVANCEMENTS IN QUANTUM COMPUTING WITH POL’Y
STANDARDS & IMPLICATIONS 8 (2026) (showing U.S. as top headquarter location of companies identified as
emerging quantum computing industry leaders); FREYMANN ET AL., supra note 1, at 25–26.
6
See, e.g., QUANTUM ECON. DEV. CONSORTIUM, STATE OF THE GLOBAL QUANTUM INDUSTRY 2026: INDUSTRY
OVERVIEW & METHODOLOGY 8 (2026) (listing United States as the leading country in “pure-play” quantum-only
technology companies); QUANTUM INDUS. ANALYTICS, DEEP KNOWLEDGE GRP., QUANTUM COMPUTING INV. DIG.,
Q2 2025, at 42 (describing several key sectors of the quantum computing industry); Ellie Brown et al., Energy,
Compute and the Quantum Era, S&P GLOB. ENERGY, Mar. 2026, at 11 (describing various vendors providing
quantum hardware and software).
7
See The Quantum Information Market Map: The Companies Working on Quantum Computing, Post-quantum
Cryptography, and More, CBINSIGHTS (May 7, 2024), https://www.cbinsights.com/research/quantum-informationcomputing-cryptography-software-market-map/?utm_campaign=SO_IUR_LI_Q42024_CBI_SOCIAL
&utm_content=319188127&utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin&hss_channel=lcp-1140722; JONATHAN
RUANE ET AL., MIT INITIATIVE ON THE DIGITAL ECONOMY, QUANTUM INDEX REPORT 2025, at 20 (2025) (identifying
two dozen manufacturers commercially offering quantum processing units and up to 80 manufacturers across 17
countries); Matt Swayne, The Quantum Supply Chain: Market Map & Key Players for 2026, QUANTUM INSIDER
(Mar. 19, 2026), https://thequantuminsider.com/2025/03/19/the-quantum-supply-chain-mapping-the-market-and5
2
holds its lead through breadth rather than any single champion, fielding more credible hardware
companies than any other country and backing them with the world’s deepest pool of risk capital.
Where China concentrates effort in a handful of state-linked institutions, the American model
spreads bets across competing firms, universities, and national laboratories. That competition has
produced commercial cloud platforms, repeated error-correction milestones, and a steady flow of
new startups.” 8
Firms within this robust ecosystem pursue a broad range of hardware modalities—including
superconducting, trapped ion, photonic, neutral atom, and topological platforms 9—each
requiring distinct chip architectures, fabrication techniques, and supply chain inputs. 10 These
independent hardware pathways have driven the development of diverse fabrication strategies,
from superconducting circuit nanofabs to trapped ion testbeds and photonic device foundries. 11
To support this diversity, U.S. national laboratories and agencies have established multiple
quantum foundries and testbeds—including facilities at Sandia, Berkeley, Argonne, SLAC, and
the forthcoming NSF National Quantum Nanofab. 12
Given the broad set of competing innovators and fabrication providers active in this space, any
hypothetical foreclosure concern here appears limited solely to SkyWater’s own existing
customer base, which SkyWater reported as eight customers at the end of 2025. 13 Several of
these customers do not appear to have been engaged with SkyWater prior to 2025, based on
SkyWater’s public press releases. Nothing in the materials I reviewed indicates that these nonkey-players/ (identifying up to 40 quantum-computing hardware developers across superconducting, trapped-ion,
neutral-atom, silicon-spin, photonic, and other architectures, many of which require specialized fabrication and
manufacturing capabilities); Image posted by Alex G. Lee (@alexgeunholee), LINKEDIN, State-of-the-Art Quantum
Computing Hardware Ecosystem Landscape: Commercial Quantum Processing Unit (QPU) Developers Across the
Global Quantum Computing Industry (July 11, 2026),
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/alexgeunholee_quantumcomputing-quantumhardwarefaulttolerantquantumcomputing-share-7481651138614710272-dg9N/ (a taxonomy of 46 commercial quantumcomputing hardware developers organized by QPU architectures, many of which depend on specialized
semiconductor, photonic, superconducting, or other precision-fabrication infrastructure).
8
US Quantum Computing Companies 2026, QUANTUM ZEITGEIST (Mar. 3, 2026), https://quantumzeitgeist.com/usquantum-computing-companies/.
9
See NAT’L SEC. DATA & POL’Y INST., supra note 5, at 24 (describing types of quantum systems).
10
FEDERICI, supra note 5, at 15 (listing notable results of various quantum computing approaches and stating “[t]he
more varied U.S. approach means the United States potentially has more pathways to make breakthroughs in
quantum computing”).
11
NAT’L SEC. DATA & POL’Y INST., supra note 5, at 10–11 (describing operational infrastructure needs of various
quantum platform types).
12
FEDERICI, supra note 5, at 15–16; see also FREYMANN, ET AL., supra note 5, at 38–40 (outlining an illustrative list
of more than twenty-five “key players” spanning major quantum-computing firms spanning superconducting,
trapped-ion, neutral atom, spin, photonic, cat-qubit and topological approaches, which depend on specialized
fabrication capabilities including semiconductor-style nanofabrication, photonics foundries, or advanced optical and
vacuum manufacturing).
13
SkyWater Technology Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Results, SKYWATER (Feb. 25, 2026),
https://ir.skywatertechnology.com/news/news-details/2026/SkyWater-Technology-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-FullFiscal-Year-2025-Results/default.aspx.
3
IonQ SkyWater customers account for a significant, let alone substantial, portion of any relevant
downstream market for quantum-computing chips or related research and development.
Similarly, the record contains no evidence that the transaction would enable substantial upstream
foreclosure of any relevant fabrication input or manufacturing capability. The diverse mix of
available innovators and foundry partners underscores that SkyWater does not control a material
share of upstream capacity in this domain and that downstream quantum computing R&D firms
have significant alternative options to choose from when selecting a foundry partner.
Taken together, the evidence indicates that any foreclosure associated with the transaction in the
upstream or downstream markets at issue would be only a small fraction of the 50 percent share
that the 2023 Merger Guidelines identify as presumptively substantial. 14 It would also fall well
below the even lower thresholds—typically at least 30 to 40 percent—that courts have found
necessary to establish substantial foreclosure in exclusive-dealing cases. 15
B. SkyWater Is Not a “Must Have”
Of course, the absence of a substantial foreclosure share does not end the analysis. It remains
relevant to assess whether access to the “related product”—here, a quantum-capable foundry—is
“competitively significant” or “important to trading partners” in light of the merged firm’s
upstream position, such that the merged firm might have an incentive to engage in foreclosure
post-transaction. Input-foreclosure concerns most commonly arise when vertical integration
results in substantial foreclosure of the upstream inputs (typically over 30 percent, as noted
above). 16 In that circumstance, the integrated firm would control access to a “must have” input
that customers need in order to compete effectively in the downstream market, or the
downstream market is already heavily concentrated and exhibits high barriers to entry such that
the integrated firm is positioned to deny rivals access to the upstream sources.
FED. TRADE COMM’N & U.S. DEPT. OF JUST., MERGER GUIDELINES § 2.5.A.2 & n.30 (2023).
See B&H Med., v. ABP Admin. Inc., 526 F.3d 257, 266 (6th Cir. 2008) (quoting Stop & Shop Supermarket Co. v.
Blue Cross & Blue Shield of R.I., 373 F.3d 57, 68 (1st Cir. 2004)) (noting that courts “routinely observe that
‘foreclosure levels are unlikely to be of concern where they are less than 30 or 40 percent’”); cf. United States v.
Phila. Nat’l Bank, 374 U.S. 321, 364–66 (1963) (noting that a market share of 30% approaches a level of presenting
a threat of “undue concentration” and explaining, based on prior Clayton Act §3 exclusivity cases and scholarly
commentary, that foreclosure concerns generally arise either when exclusive arrangements foreclose a substantial
portion of relevant commerce in a related product market (e.g., over 40%), or where the percentage of commerce
foreclosed is smaller (e.g., under ~20%) but the foreclosed market is highly concentrated and has high barriers to
entry).
16
See United States v. Microsoft Corp., 253 F.3d 34, 70 (D.C. Cir. 2001); cf. Ford Motor Co. v. United States, 405
U.S. 562, 567–68 (1972) (finding foreclosure of ~10% of upstream spark-plug demand could substantially lessen
competition, given evidence that the downstream replacement market was highly concentrated and exhibited high
entry barriers, and that the acquiring firm had been the largest upstream purchaser of spark plugs from
independents).
14
15
4
Based on the evidence before the Commission, none of those apply here. There is no evidence
the merged entity will possess significant, let alone monopoly-level, market power in either
upstream foundry resources or downstream quantum computing R&D. Nor does evidence
suggest that SkyWater is a “must have” input or the most competitively significant fabrication
pathway available for quantum R&D firms such that rivals would lack access to key inputs
following the transaction.
C. The Hypothetical Harm Is Short-term
The short-term nature of any potential harm further underscores that individual customers are
well-positioned to protect their own interests through ordinary contracting. The quantum
computing industry is characterized by highly specialized and customized strategic partnerships.
There has also been substantial government investment in other quantum computing firms,
including at least two domestic foundry competitors to SkyWater (as noted below) that can
further facilitate switching. The temporary nature of any foreclosure risk is another indication
that the concern is too narrow, too short-lived, and too speculative to justify either a legal
challenge or an extensive remedial order.
D. The Quantum Computing Industry Is Highly Diversified and Benefitting from Substantial
Federal Investment
Finally, the transaction takes place within a highly dynamic and seemingly fragmented industry.
The Trump Administration is also pursuing significant initiatives to expand quantum R&D, grow
domestic foundry capacity, and secure supply chains in this strategically important sector.
As discussed above, companies in this industry routinely vertically integrate, develop in-house
fabrication capabilities, or rely on a diverse set of domestic and international foundries. In an
ecosystem defined by multiple technological modalities and decentralized supply chain
pathways, the proposed transaction could plausibly contribute to U.S. leadership in quantum
computing rather than diminish it.
The broad range of technical approaches in the industry means that when a quantum computing
R&D firm selects a fabrication partner, it is choosing from multiple viable options and can tailor
its fabrication pathway to its modality and design strategy. Firms in this sector have multiple
viable strategies for securing fabrication capabilities, including vertical integration, in-house
development, and shifting work to alternative domestic foundries. Therefore, at least at this
moment in time, quantum computing firms do not appear to be functionally required to use any
single fabrication supplier or architecture in order to pursue R&D development and
commercialization efforts, countering concerns that the merged entity would gain the ability or
incentive to foreclose existing SkyWater customers.
5
Any lingering worry that the transaction could impair industry access to fabrication or critical
inputs is further tempered by the significant and unprecedented strategic investment the Trump
Administration has made to expand domestic quantum manufacturing, research, and
commercialization capacity. Recent public reporting reinforces this point, noting that industry
concerns have softened in light of substantial federal investments at both the quantum R&D and
foundry levels. 17
To date, the Trump Administration has invested at least $625 million in national quantum
research institutes, and expanded workforce programs and initiatives to secure domestic
manufacturing capability for quantum technologies. 18 Federal commitments across the quantum
ecosystem have accelerated markedly in just the past few months:
•
In May, the Department of Commerce announced $2.013 billion in CHIPS Act incentives
across nine quantum companies—including two domestic quantum foundries
(GlobalFoundries 19 and IBM) and seven quantum computing firms—to strengthen U.S.
manufacturing infrastructure and ensure resilient supply chains across multiple
modalities. 20
•
In June, the President issued an executive order on quantum innovation directing federal
agencies to expand domestic quantum technology supply chains, build Quantum
Information Science and Technology relevant foundry resources, and advance next
generation sensing and networking initiatives. 21 He also issued a second executive order
integrating quantum priorities into the broader federal innovation agenda, strengthening
commercialization pathways and accelerating deployment across national science and
security missions. 22
•
In July, the Trump Administration announced more than $5 billion through the Genesis
Mission—paired with mission driven National Science and Technology Challenges—
17
IonQ/SkyWater: U.S. Government Investment in Quantum Industry Softens Some Third Party Concerns Amid FTC
Review, CAPITOL F., July 22, 2026, at 1.
18
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Ushers in the Next Frontier of Quantum Innovation, WHITE HOUSE (June
22, 2026), https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/06/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-ushers-in-the-nextfrontier-of-quantum-innovation/.
19
The Department of Commerce in July announced that GlobalFoundries will receive an additional $300 million in
CHIPs incentives to accelerate its domestic research and development of co-packaged optics. Department of
Commerce Announces Letters of Intent with 7 Companies for $874 Million to Accelerate Semiconductor R&D for
the Compute Supply Chain, NAT’L INST. STANDARDS & TECH., (July 29, 2026), https://www.nist.gov/newsevents/news/2026/07/department-commerce-announces-letters-intent-7-companies-874-million.
20
Department of Commerce Announces Letters of Intent with 9 Companies for $2 Billion to Accelerate U.S.
Leadership in Quantum Computing, NAT’L INST. STANDARDS & TECH., (May 21, 2026), https://www.nist.gov/newsevents/news/2026/05/department-commerce-announces-letters-intent-9-companies-2-billion.
21
Exec. Order No. 14413, 91 Fed. Reg. 38487 (June 22, 2026).
22
Exec. Order No. 14412, 91 Fed. Reg. 38483 (June 22, 2026).
6
mobilizing more than fifteen agencies to support AI enabled scientific discovery,
quantum relevant fabrication and metrology infrastructure, and programs aimed at
accelerating quantum computing, sensing, and communications from laboratory research
toward applied use. 23
Firms are actively pursuing a wide range of technological modalities that compete within the
quantum computing industry. Many firms explore parallel development paths across different
architectures and frequently work with multiple fabricators. In this environment of technical
uncertainty and rapid iteration, the value of a merchant foundry capable of serving all modalities
remains high. IonQ’s incentives therefore appear aligned with maintaining SkyWater as a neutral,
multi-customer foundry rather than restricting access, particularly given sustained federal
investment and ongoing national initiatives in this area.
These considerations reflect an industry with abundant competition at both the R&D and
fabrication layers, a national strategy designed to expand domestic manufacturing options, and
strong incentives to maintain open foundry access, all of which serve to alleviate concerns that
the acquisition would constrain industry access to critical fabrication resources. The American
quantum sector appears to be the beneficiary of a well-crafted national strategy to significantly
expand manufacturing options and reduce structural dependencies. 24
***
In light of this record, it is my view that the Commission lacks a reason to believe IonQ’s
acquisition of SkyWater may have the effect of substantially lessening competition. In fact, there
are more reasons to believe it will be procompetitive. While a different record may have led to a
different conclusion, I must base my decision on the record before me. Having made this
determination, it is unnecessary to pass upon the merits of the proposed order.
Lastly, I would like to extend my deepest thanks to the Commission staff who worked on this
matter. Their herculean efforts are a testament to what makes this agency great.
23
Trump Administration Announces More Than $5 Billion for the Genesis Mission, a National Mission on AI for
Science, WHITE HOUSE (July 22, 2026), https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/45502/.
24
FEDERICI, supra note 5, at 14; see also Scott Bessent, A Conversation with Scott Bessent, US Secretary of the
Treasury, WORLD ECON. F., at 25:25 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.weforum.org/meetings/world-economic-forumannual-meeting-2026/sessions/conversation-with-scott-bessent-us-secretary-of-the-treasury/ (“The single biggest
threat to the world economy, the single biggest point of single failure, is that 97 percent of the high-end chips are
made in Taiwan. If that island were blockaded, that capacity were destroyed, it would be an economic apocalypse.”).
7
This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.