Opinion

Federal Trade Commission v. Edwards Lifesciences Corporation

Court
District Court, District of Columbia
Filed
Jan 28, 2026
Status
Published
On the bench
Judge Rudolph Contreras
Cited by
0 cases
Authority
More cited than 38.3%

“Section 7 is, after all, concerned with probabilities, not certainties.”

How later courts described this case

  • “Section 7 is, after all, concerned with probabilities, not certainties.”
  • “The district court is not authorized to determine whether the antitrust laws have been or are about to be violated. That adjudicatory function is vested in the FTC in the first instance.”
  • “[{Jn some instances, efficiencies resulting from the merger may be considered in rebutting the government’s prima facie case.’’
  • noting that “[f]inancial weakness, while perhaps relevant in some cases, is probably the weakest ground of all for justifying a merger” and “certainly cannot be the primary justification” for permitting one

Written by the judges who cited it.

The opinion

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT

FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION,

Plaintiff, : Civil Action No.: 25-2569 (RC)

Vv. : Re Document Nos.: 1, 104

EDWARDS LIFESCIENCES CORP., et al., :

Defendants.

MEMORANDUM OPINION

GRANTING PLAINTIFF’S PETITION FOR A PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION

I. INTRODUCTION

Over 100,000 Americans suffer from severe aortic regurgitation (“AR”), a

life-threatening disease of the aortic heart valve. Today in the United States, the only treatment

that has been approved by the Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) for the treatment of AR is

open-heart surgery. In the last several years, however, two medical device companies began

clinical trials for a promising new treatment: transcatheter aortic valve replacement (“TAVR”)

for aortic regurgitation (“TAVR-AR”). The TAVR-AR devices offered by these two

companies—JenaValve Technology, Inc. (“JenaValve”) and JC Medical, Inc. (“JC Medical”)—

allow interventional cardiologists to replace a diseased aortic valve through a catheter, without

the need for open-heart surgery. Historically, AR patients have benefitted from competition

between JenaValve and JC Medical, which has spurred the two companies to accelerate the

development of their competing TAVR-AR devices. But over the course of two days in July

2024, another company, Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (“Edwards”), separately and secretly

agreed to acquire both JC Medical and JenaValve, the only two companies in the United States

with TAVR-AR devices in clinical trials.

—————————————————_———EE—

Edwards’s simultaneous acquisitions of JenaValve and JC Medical caught the two former

competitors by surprise. JenaValve’s CEO was “totally blindsided” by the news. PX-2162 at 1.

Another JenaValve employee remarked, after learning about the two deals, that Edwards had

“just bought the AR market.” PX-2052 at 2. JenaValve’s CEO immediately expressed concerns

to Edwards about the deals’ antitrust implications, later telling Edwards’s Corporate Vice

President that if JenaValve had known about the JC Medical acquisition, it “more than likely”

would not have agreed to a deal with Edwards. See PX-2162 at 1; PX-2373 at 1. Edwards’s

acquisition of JC Medical has now closed, while its acquisition of JenaValve has been paused for

regulatory review.

On August 6, 2025, the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) voted 3-0 to initiate an

administrative proceeding to determine whether the proposed merger between Edwards and

JenaValve (“Defendants”) would substantially lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly,

in violation of Section 7 of the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. § 18. On the same day, the FTC filed suit

in this Court to halt the merger (“Proposed Transaction”) between Defendants. Specifically,

under Section 13(b) of the Federal Trade Commission Act, the FTC seeks an order preliminarily

enjoining Defendants from consummating the Proposed Transaction pending the resolution of an

administrative merits proceeding, which is scheduled to begin on April 8, 2026.

On September 4, 2025, the Court entered a scheduling order providing for expedited

discovery and briefing on the FTC’s petition for a preliminary injunction. Within a two-month

period, the parties reviewed thousands of documents, deposed dozens of witnesses, exchanged

expert reports, filed preliminary injunction briefing, and prepared for an evidentiary hearing,

which began on November 18, 2025. Over the course of six days, the Court heard live testimony

from Defendants, third parties, and several economic and industry experts. The parties then

submitted proposed findings of fact and proposed conclusions of law (“PFOF-PCOL”) on

December 10, 2025.

Having considered all evidence and testimony in this case, the Court concludes that the

FTC has established a likelihood of success on the merits. In particular, because the Proposed

Transaction would eliminate the vigorous competition in which Edwards and JenaValve

currently engage, there is a reasonable probability that it violates Section 7 of the Clayton Act.

The Court further finds that the equities weigh in favor of the FTC. Accordingly, the Court

GRANTS the FTC’s petition for a preliminary injunction.

Il. FACTUAL BACKGROUND

A. Aortic Regurgitation and Transcatheter Heart Valves

The aortic valve separates the heart from the aorta, the body’s main blood vessel. See

McCabe Dep. at 21:1—19, PX-7011. It consists of three leaflets that, in healthy individuals, open

and close with each heartbeat to allow oxygenated blood to flow out of the heart to every tissue

in the body. See id. Aortic regurgitation (“AR”) is a disease of the aortic valve that is often

deadly. In patients with AR, the aortic valve’s leaflets fail to fully close after each heartbeat,

causing blood to flow back through the valve. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 17 (citing PX-2327 at

5; PX-6006 at 1; DX-0297 at 1-2), ECF No. 163-1. Asa result, the heart is forced to work

harder to pump blood throughout the body, and over time, it can weaken irreversibly. Severe

symptomatic AR is an advanced form of the disease that afflicts over 100,000 individuals in the

United States. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL ] 10 (citing Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at

132:18-20), ECF No. 166-1. Nearly one in four patients with severe symptomatic AR’ will die

within one year of diagnosis without treatment. See id.

Treatments for AR are limited. In the United States today, the only FDA-approved

treatment for AR is open-heart surgery, or surgical aortic valve replacement (““SAVR”). See

FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 18 (citing PX-6006 at 1; PX-1390 at 1; DX-0297 at 1—2); Defs.’

PFOF-PCOL f 11 (citing Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 83:20-84:1). A highly

invasive procedure, SAVR requires a physician to surgically open a patient’s chest, stop the

heart, cut open the aorta, and replace the malfunctioning native valve with a manufactured

replacement. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 18 (citing Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at

123:15—23; Kesselheim Rep. {[[ 24-25, PX-8000). Although SAVR is an effective option for

AR patients who are at low or intermediate surgical risk, it is a poor option for patients at high

risk for mortality and complications from surgery. See id. J 19 (citing Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 84:4-85:17); Defs.” PROF-PCOL 11 (citing Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 85:9-17). Some high-risk AR patients are altogether ineligible for

SAVR, and even eligible patients sometimes decline surgical treatment due to fear of open-heart

surgery. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 19 (citing Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 66:12-67:3). The

lack of nonsurgical alternatives for treating AR leads to nearly 75% of AR patients in the United

States going untreated. See id. J 20 (citing PX-1010 at 4; PX-1394 at 3).

A new medical technology—transcatheter aortic valve replacement (““TAVR”)—

promises to improve that statistic. TAVR is a nonsurgical procedure through which a

manufactured heart valve is attached to a catheter and guided to the aorta for implantation. See

' Unless otherwise noted, “AR” henceforth refers to severe symptomatic aortic

regurgitation.

id. § 21 (citing Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 127:10-21). TAVR already provides

a minimally invasive treatment option for patients suffering from aortic stenosis (“AS”), a

different disease of the aortic valve. See id.; Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 2 (citing DX-0288; Nov. 21

AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 15:7—-15). In patients with AS, calcium buildup in the aorta prevents the

aortic valve from opening fully, whereas in AR patients, the valve fails to fully close. See FTC’s

PFOF-PCOL 22 (citing PX-6006 at 1-3). Numerous companies across the world have

developed TAVR valves to treat AS, and a handful of them, including Edwards, have obtained

commercial approval for their TAVR-AS devices in the United States. See id.; Defs.” PFOF-

PCOL 4 3 (citing Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma (Edwards)) at 120:9-13). TAVR-AS valves are

generally ill-suited for treating AR, however, because they rely on calcium buildup around the

aorta for proper anchoring, and AR often presents without calcification. See Thourani Dep. at

74:9-78:1, PX-7029.

To solve this problem, several companies are developing TAVR devices designed

specifically to treat AR, with unique anchoring systems that clip onto the aortic valve’s native

leaflets and therefore do not require calcification. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 22 (citing DX-0297

at 3). Although TAVR-AR devices have been approved for commercial use in other

jurisdictions, including Europe and China, no TAVR-AR device has yet received commercial

approval in the United States. Edwards and JenaValve are currently the only two companies

conducting clinical trials for TAVR-AR devices in the United States. See id. { 69 (citing Nov.

21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 62:1-23; Nov. 25 AM Hr’g Tr. (Chetcuti) at 40:15—21; Kereiakes Dep.

at 29:17-22, PX-7020; PX-6006 at 2).

B. The FDA’s Regulatory Approval Process for Medical Devices

To market a medical device in the United States, the device manufacturer must satisfy the

requirements of the Food and Drug Administration’s (“FDA”) regulatory approval process. See

Kesselheim Rep. 9 14, 30, 37-40. The FDA categorizes medical devices into three levels of

risk. Replacement heart valves, including Edwards’s and Jenavalve’s TAVR-AR devices, are

classified as Class III devices, being those that pose the highest risk to patients. See Wilson Rep.

q 17, PX-8001; Bailey Rep. § 62, DX-0289. Class III devices require premarket approval

(“PMA”) prior to commercialization, which is the most stringent review that the FDA can

conduct of new medical devices. See Kesselheim Rep. § 40. A PMA application must be

supported with pre-clinical data, such as from laboratory or in vivo animal studies, and clinical

data assessing the device’s safety and effectiveness in humans. See id. For high-risk medical

devices, the PMA process takes an average of eight and a half years. See id. | 60; Bailey Rep.

4 82; Nov. 25 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bailey) at 28:25-29:14.

1. Investigational Device Exemption

Once a manufacturer demonstrates proof of concept for a medical device through pre-

clinical studies, the manufacturer’s first step to obtaining FDA approval is typically to apply for

an Investigational Device Exemption (“IDE”), which permits a new device to be clinically tested

in humans. See Wilson Rep. { 17; Bailey Rep. 63. An IDE application generally includes an

outline of the proposed clinical study protocol, pre-clinical data, and, if applicable, data from

prior clinical studies. See Kesselheim Rep. 4 45; Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kesselheim) at 44:1—11.

The application can include data gathered in other countries. See Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kesselheim) at 44:5-19. In fact, any prior clinical studies must have occurred abroad, as the

United States does not allow clinical testing of high-risk medical devices in humans without an

IDE. See id.

By regulation, the FDA has 30 days to review an IDE application, but it does not have to

issue a decision at the end of that period. See Kesselheim Rep. 45. If it has concerns about the

application, it can request additional information or changes from the device manufacturer. See

Kesselheim Reply Rep. J 21, PX-8004; Wood (Edwards) Dep. at 35:1-36:2, PX-7019. The FDA

can require multiple rounds of questions and answers with the manufacturer before authorizing

an IDE. See Kesselheim Rep. { 45. The FDA can also ultimately reject an IDE application if it

believes that a medical device’s risks to human subjects are not outweighed by the device’s

anticipated benefits. See id.

2. Feasibility Study

If the FDA approves the IDE, the medical device manufacturer can initiate human

clinical studies in the United States. See id. ] 41. For high-risk medical devices, clinical testing

typically begins with one or more feasibility studies, which can be early feasibility studies

(“EFS”) or traditional feasibility studies. See id. | 47; McWilliams Rep. {| 34-35, DX-0288.

An EFS allows a manufacturer to test a device that is early in development in small cohorts

(sometimes fewer than ten patients) to gather preliminary safety and effectiveness data and

identify necessary device modifications. See Kesselheim Rep. § 47. A traditional feasibility

study, which may or may not be preceded by an EFS, is commonly used to capture clinical data

from near-final medical devices. See id.

3. Pivotal Trial

After a successful feasibility study, a medical device generally proceeds to a pivotal trial.

See id. A pivotal trial is a larger, more rigorous study that can involve hundreds or even

thousands of patients. See McWilliams Rep. § 35. Data from the pivotal trial will ultimately

form the primary basis for FDA approval of the medical device. See Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kesselheim) at 19:6-10. Accordingly, the pivotal trial is designed to collect definitive evidence

of the device’s safety and effectiveness in the specific patient group, or “indication,” for which

the manufacturer will seek premarket approval. See id.; Kesselheim Rep. 4 50. For example, a

TAVR manufacturer might focus an initial clinical investigation on patients who are at high

surgical risk and therefore ineligible for SAVR. If the FDA approves the TAVR device for that

indication, the manufacturer might later seek to expand the indications that the device can treat

through subsequent pivotal trials.

4, Premarket Approval Application

If the pivotal trial is successful, the device manufacturer proceeds to prepare a PMA

application for the FDA’s review. The FDA may allow a manufacturer to submit the PMA

application in separate sections, or “modules,” as each module is completed. See id. | 69. The

PMA application includes data from the pivotal trial; results from prior feasibility studies and

other clinical studies in foreign jurisdictions, as applicable; findings from pre-clinical studies;

and detailed information on device design and engineering, the device manufacturing process

and quality controls, and proposed labeling for the device. See id. 451; Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kesselheim) at 19:11—20. In reviewing a PMA application, the central question that the FDA

must answer is whether the manufacturer’s evidence gives a “reasonable assurance” of safety

and effectiveness for the device’s intended use. See Kesselheim Rep. { 52.

Upon receipt of the PMA application, the FDA has 180 days to review it. See

Kesselheim Rep. § 53. The FDA does not start the clock until it determines that the application

is complete, however. See id. And if it determines that the PMA application is missing critical

information, it can issue a “deficiency letter,” often with the option for the manufacturer to

amend and resubmit the PMA application with additional data. See id. 55. A deficiency letter

generally conveys at least one major issue and places the PMA application on hold pending the

FDA’s receipt of additional information from the manufacturer. See id. Once a manufacturer

corrects any deficiencies identified by the FDA, the FDA can decide to approve the PMA

application or approve it with conditions. See id. The manufacturer can thereafter market and

sell its medical device in the United States for the approved indication. See id.

C. The Parties to the Proposed Transaction

1. Edwards Lifesciences Corporation

Edwards, headquartered in Irvine, CA, is a global supplier of medical devices for treating

structural heart disease. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 1 (citing Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo

(Edwards)) at 7:2-8). Founded in 1958, it developed the world’s first heart valve soon

thereafter. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 2 (citing Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at

86:10-13). Since then, it has established itself as a leader in structural heart valve technology.

Currently, Edwards employs thousands of R&D engineers, hundreds of field technicians, and

over 9,000 manufacturing employees. See id. § 6 (citing Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian

(Edwards)) at 81:5-10; DX-0211 at 6). It also boasts extensive in-house valve-testing resources,

multiple engineering research centers, and an expansive field clinical support team. See id. Tf 2,

6, 134 (citations omitted).

Edwards has pioneered various surgical and transcatheter therapies for aortic-valve

disease. See id. J 2 (citing Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 86:10—17). In the

early 2000s, it began working on a TAVR therapy for patients suffering from AS, which at that

point could be treated only with open-heart surgery. See id. To augment its internal program, it

acquired a small, Israeli startup that had developed a TAVR-AS device. /d. (citing Nov. 19 AM

Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 62:2-63:2). Edwards combined the two companies’ R&D

workstreams and succeeded in introducing the first commercially available TAVR-AS device in

the United States, SAPIEN, which received FDA approval in 2011. See id. {3 (citing Nov. 19

AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 63:3—10).

Edwards is currently developing SOJOURN, a TAVR device designed to treat AR. See

id. § 12; FTC’s PFOF-PCOL f 4 (citing PX-1263 at 1; Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion

(Edwards)) at 15:12-16:5, 17:4-9). Edwards obtained SOJOURN through its acquisition of JC

Medical, a small medical device startup, in July 2024. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 4 (citing Nov.

19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 46:12—15). Prior to Edwards’s acquisition, JC

Medical had received an IDE to begin a pivotal trial in the United States for its TAVR-AR

device, J-Valve (which Edwards rebranded as SOJOURN). See id. (citing Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr.

(Turco (JC Medical)) at 79:8—11, 79:14—20, 80:2-9; PX-1171 at 1; PX-1011 at 6). In October

2024, Edwards launched this pivotal trial (the “JOURNEY trial”), which studies SOJOURN in

AR patients who are ineligible for surgical aortic valve replacement or at high surgical risk. See

Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL 4 31 (citing Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 17:46). As

further described below, enrollment for the JOURNEY trial is currently paused, and Edwards

anticipates receiving FDA approval for SOJOURN no sooner than 2029. See id. (citing Nov. 20

PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 19:9—20:25).

2. JenaValve Technology, Inc.

JenaValve, also headquartered in Irvine, CA, is a small medical startup that develops and

manufactures TAVR devices. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 7 (citing Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 123:16-124:8); Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 151:11—

10

23). Founded in Germany in 2006, it currently employs about twelve R&D engineers, twelve

sales employees, and eight marketing employees. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL { 7.

JenaValve is developing Trilogy, a TAVR device designed to treat AR. Trilogy received

commercial approval in Europe in 2021, becoming the first TAVR device in the world approved

for the treatment of AR in patients at high surgical risk. See id. | 9; McWilliams Rep. { 28 n.36.

JenaValve now seeks to commercialize Trilogy in the United States. In 2022, it completed a

U.S. pivotal trial for Trilogy (the “ALIGN-AR Trial”), which studied the device in AR patients

who were inoperable or at high surgical risk. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 4 18 (citing Nov. 19 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 79:14-80:6; Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 91:8—

17). JenaValve has submitted a PMA application to the FDA and forecasts receiving FDA

approval in [renee See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 85:3-

8. However, as further detailed below, recent developments have injected some uncertainty into

this timeline.

D. The Trilogy and SOJOURN Valves

At present, JenaValve’s Trilogy device and Edwards’s SOJOURN (formerly J-Valve)

device are the sole TAVR-AR valves that are undergoing clinical investigation in the United

States. See PX-6006 at 2-3. These devices share several characteristics. Early in their

development, both were implanted transapically, meaning directly into the apex of the heart

through an incision in the chest wall. See Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (Jenavalve)) at 127:10—

128:3; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 100:13—101:12. Currently, though, both

devices feature transfemoral delivery systems, which allow doctors to insert the valves through a

small incision in the groin and guide them through the femoral artery up to the heart. See id.

11

Furthermore, the Trilogy and SOJOURN valves are both contained within self-expanding nitinol

frames. See PX-6006 at 2-3.

Trilogy and SOJOURN differ in other respects, though. Each device has a unique

anchoring mechanism that enables attachment to the aortic valve’s native leaflets. See PX-6006

at 2-3; DX-0297 at 3. Furthermore, Trilogy uses porcine pericardial (pig heart) tissue in its

manufactured leaflets, while SOJOURN uses bovine pericardial (cow heart) tissue. See PX-6006

at 2-3; DX-0078 at 1, 8. And the valves come in different sizes. The Trilogy system, which

uses a “taller, rigid valve,” has valve sizes that can treat patients whose aortic annulus—the

perimeter of the aortic valve—is between 66 and 90 millimeters. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL 141

(citing Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 95:12—12); PX-6006 at 2. In contrast, the

SOJOURN system, with its “lower profile” valve, offers valve sizes to treat aortic annuli

between 57 and 104 millimeters. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 142 (citing Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr.

(Wood (Edwards)) at 83:13-17; DX-0078 at 1-2; DX-0160 at 26); PX-6006 at 3.

1. Trilogy’s Timeline for FDA Approval

JenaValve began working toward FDA approval for the Trilogy system over a decade

ago. In October 2015, the FDA approved JenaValve’s initial IDE application, which proposed

an early feasibility study using a transapical valve. See Kesselheim Rep. { 74; Kilcoyne

(JenaValve) Dep. at 66:4-7, PX-7038. Following further development of the Trilogy delivery

system, JenaValve submitted an IDE supplement to incorporate a transfemoral approach into its

EFS, which the FDA authorized in January 2016. See Kesselheim Rep. 74, PX-8000; Kilcoyne

(JenaValve) Dep. at 66:22-67:8. JenaValve later removed the transapical approach due to a lack

of physician interest in that option. See Kesselheim Rep. { 74; Kilcoyne (JenaValve) Dep. at

67:14-68:6.

12

au

In early 2017, JenaValve received a Humanitarian Device Exemption (“HDE”)

designation for its EFS. See Kesselheim Rep. 75; PX-0043 at 36. This designation, available

for devices that treat conditions affecting fewer than 8,000 individuals in the United States,

provided JenaValve a less demanding pathway to FDA approval compared to the standard PMA

process. See Kesselheim Rep. §{ 70, 75; PX-0043 at 036. JenaValve enrolled its first patient in

its HDE-designated EFS in 2018. See Kesselheim Rep. | 75; PX-2457 at 40. The following

year, though, it paused enrollment in the study for six months after a patient died in Europe,

where clinical testing was also taking place. See PX-0043 at 36. JenaValve eventually

submitted an IDE to transition to an HDE-designated pivotal trial, which the FDA approved in

May 2020. See Kesselheim Rep. 76; PX-2457 at 40-41. But in early 2021, the FDA revoked

JenaValve’s HDE designation due to new evidence suggesting a treatable patient population of

greater than 8,000 individuals. See Kesselheim Rep. 76. JenaValve thus prepared an IDE

outlining a new pivotal trial protocol that would satisfy the standard PMA requirements. See

PX-0043 at 37.

In July 2021, the FDA approved JenaValve’s IDE for a pivotal trial. See Kesselheim

Rep. 76. This trial, known as the ALIGN-AR trial, was designed to evaluate Trilogy’s safety

and effectiveness in AR patients who were at high surgical risk, and required the enrollment of

180 patients. See id.; PX-0043 at 37. JenaValve completed enrollment for the ALIGN-AR trial

in August 2022. See Kesselheim Rep. (76. Based on its ALIGN-AR trial data, it submitted its

first PMA application module in March 2023. See PX-0043 at 37.

While review of that PMA application was pending, JenaValve submitted an IDE for an

additional pivotal trial—the ARTIST trial—which the FDA authorized in August 2024. See id.

The ARTIST trial seeks to expand Trilogy’s indications to include AR patients who are at low or

13

intermediate surgical risk. See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 136:20-137:6.

Enrollment is ongoing for the ARTIST trial, which JenaValve anticipates will involve a thousand

patients and last at least eighteen months. See id. at 136:24—-137:3.

On June 30, 2025, JenaValve made its final PMA submission based on data from its

ALIGN-AR pivotal trial. See Kesselheim Rep. { 77. However, on September 26, 2025—afier

the FIC had filed its complaint in this matter—the FDA sent JenaValve a deficiency letter. See

generally DX-0283. In that letter, the FDA identified fj “significant deficiencies” with

JenaValve’s PMA application, which the FDA has instructed JenaValve to resolve before review

of the PMA application can continue. See id. at 1.

Defendants fixate on one of these deficiencies: Ra ea |

2 Tn addition to the _ the FDA’s letter identified

Nothing in the record suggests

as significant obstacles to obtaining FDA approval.

that Defendants view

14

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Although the FDA acknowledged JenaValve’s as in the deficiency letter,

it nevertheless requested that JenaValve run a new to confirm the La

DS See DX-0283 at 1. John Kilcoyne, JenaValve’s CEO, testified that JenaValve is in

talks with the FDA to attempt to convince it that a a which would take Cay

a to complete—is not needed. See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 118:4—5,

119:2-6. If JenaValve succeeds in doing so, Mr. Kilcoyne contemplates receiving FDA approval

for Trilogy and launching i See id. at 85:3-8. However, if the FDA

holds firm to a new test, and assuming JenaValve passes it, that timeline could get pushed back

EE. See ic. at 119:10-13.

2. SOJOURN’s Timeline for FDA Approval

Prior to its acquisition by Edwards in July 2024, JC Medical had developed and received

commercial approval in China for a transapical version of its TAVR-AR device, J-Valve, and

had begun clinical trials in China for a transfemoral version. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco

(JC Medical)) at 100:7-12. Following successful commercialization of the transapical J-Valve

15

system in China, JC Medical looked to obtain FDA approval for the transfemoral version in the

United States. JC Medical began transfemoral implants of J-Valve in U.S. patients around 2018

or early 2019. See id. at 79:8-11; See Kesselheim Rep. § 79. The earliest implantations were

under the FDA’s compassionate use program, which allows medical device manufacturers to

petition the FDA to treat patients with life-threatening conditions even without an IDE. See

Kesselheim Rep. 4 79 & n.170.

In May 2019, JC Medical submitted an IDE to conduct a clinical study with J-Valve. See

Kesselheim Reply Rep. 4 22. The FDA did not approve the IDE, however, but sent JC Medical a

deficiency letter. See id.; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 102:3-6. Although JC

Medical initially engaged with the FDA regarding the deficiency letter, the company then

became “relatively dormant” and failed to resolve the multiple deficiencies identified by the

FDA. See Kesselheim Reply Rep. J 22; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 101:18—

102:11. Mark Turco, JC Medical’s former President and CEO, testified that when he took over

JC Medical in May 2023, the company’s approach had been to use data from compassionate use

cases to attempt to bypass an EFS and proceed directly to a pivotal trial—“which was not

something that the FDA took kindly on.” See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at

102:7-21. Dr. Turco thus redirected JC Medical’s focus to correcting J-Valve’s deficiencies.

See id. at 102:22—103:4.

Once JC Medical had addressed these deficiencies, the FDA approved the company’s

IDE for an EFS in August 2023. See Kesselheim Reply Rep. § 22. JC Medical began its EFS in

October 2023 and completed enrollment—a total of 15 patients—within six months. See

Kesselheim Rep. § 80; DX-0078 at 1. JC Medical then submitted an IDE for a pivotal study—

the JOURNEY trial—which the FDA authorized in May 2024. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco

16

(JC Medical)) at 80:6-9. The JOURNEY trial aims to assess J-Valve’s safety and effectiveness

in AR patients who are at high surgical risk. See Kesselheim Rep. { 80.

After Edwards acquired JC Medical in mid-2024, it enrolled the first patient in the

JOURNEY trial for J-Valve (now rebranded as SOJOURN) in October 2024. See id. 81.

Since then, the JOURNEY trial has been paused twice. Edwards first paused patient treatment in

May 2025 because the SOJOURN valve

yee, See Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 87:5-88:1; Nov. 20 PM Hr’g

Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 19:5—-16. The JOURNEY trial resumed in July 2025, after

Edwards developed procedural guidelines to help physicians See

Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 19:20—20:10. Later that month, though,

Edwards paused both enrollment and treatment after i _

Pn See id. at 20:11-25. Edwards

ES <.. 00.22 ee eT:

(Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 90:16—91:4; Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 21:12—

| i Aa ~

Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 22:2—7.

Edwards hopes to resume the JOURNEY trial by the end of a. assuming the

FDA provides authorization to do so. See id. at 22:3-10. Given these delays, Edwards estimates

that under the “best case scenario,” it will obtain FDA approval for SOJOURN sometime in

2029. See Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 95:2-5; Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood

(Edwards)) at 106:12-23.

17

E. The Proposed Transaction

According to Edwards’s CEO, Bernard Zovighian, it is a “top priority” for the company

to develop a TAVR technology that can treat AR patients. Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian

(Edwards)) at 95:17—20. Over a decade ago, it pioneered and received FDA approval for a

TAVR device to treat AS: the SAPIEN valve. Edwards investigated whether SAPIEN could be

used to treat AR patients but concluded this would not be feasible. See Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Wood (Edwards)) at 79:2—13; Zovighian (Edwards) Dep. at 140:8-10, PX-7009. Edwards then

looked into developing an internal TAVR-AR valve but abandoned that effort, finding that it

“d[idn’t] have . . . the capability to do so” within a reasonable timeframe. Zovighian (Edwards)

Dep. at 140:1-4. Accordingly, Edwards decided to explore external options. See id. at 140:8—

10. As detailed below, its negotiations with JenaValve and JC Medical culminated in Edwards

agreeing to acquire both companies (the “Proposed Transaction”).

1. Negotiations between Edwards and JenaValve

In October 2023, Edwards began negotiations with JenaValve regarding a potential

merger after JenaValve presented compelling data on the Trilogy valve from its ALIGN-AR

pivotal trial. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 79:14-80:6. Negotiations with

JenaValve continued into 2024, as Edwards conducted diligence into JenaValve and the Trilogy

system. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 18.

During diligence, Edwards identified several product development issues, which it

worried would impact JenaValve’s capacity to manufacture the Trilogy valve at full commercial

scale. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 80:11-15. As Jeremy Bierman,

Edwards’s Vice President of Strategy and Analytics, testified, JenaValve’s cost to produce each

18

AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 102:16-103:15. And JenaValve could not explain the gap

between its anemic output and its optimistic future sales projections. See id. at 103:16—104:21.

Despite these issues, Edwards believed that it could harness “its TAVR-AS experience

and superior resources and capabilities” to improve manufacturing capacity and “provide the best

chance to obtain approval for, and successful commercialization of, Trilogy.” See Defs.’ PFOF-

PCOL § 21 (citing Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 115:18-116:3). Edwards thus

made a purchase offer to JenaValve in January 2024. This offer was short-lived, however.

Around that time, JenaValve experienced I. and once it shared this

information with Edwards, Edwards “stepped away.” See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne

(JenaValve)) at 7:10—-16; Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma (Edwards)) at 132:10-16.

A few months later, Edwards returned to the negotiating table with a second offer that

was a See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 7:17-22. The

La See id. at 8:24-9:11. Edwards’s second offer ultimately became the agreement

establishing the Proposed Transaction. See id. at 7:23—25.

2. Negotiations between Edwards and JC Medical

In February 2024, while Edwards was in potential merger discussions with JenaValve,

Edwards was approached by another small startup—JC Medical—looking to sell its TAVR-AR

device. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 80:19-81:6. At that point, JC Medical

had completed an EFS for J-Valve and planned to begin a pivotal trial later that year. See

DX-0078 at 1. As Edwards’s former Corporate Vice President of TAVR testified, JC Medical’s

then CEO, Dr. Turco, called him “out of the blue” to pitch a sale because JC Medical’s

19

Singapore-based parent company, Genesis MedTech (“Genesis”), could no longer afford to

pursue FDA approval for J-Valve. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 80:19—-81:6;

see also Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 80:13—24. Apparently, Genesis was

facing financial pressure from its Board of Directors and had decided to concentrate its resources

on JC Medical’s operations in China. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 104:16—

105:10. Genesis instructed Dr. Turco to shut down JC Medical’s U.S. operations by the end of

May 2024 if he was unable to secure a buyer or other funding for the company by then. See id.

at 106:12-22.

After Dr. Turco’s initial outreach, Edwards undertook diligence of JC Medical. See Nov.

20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 30:11-22. Given FDA skepticism about the accuracy of

Chinese product data, Edwards expressed some hesitation about acquiring J-Valve, which was

being manufactured in China. See Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 128:7-129:8.

Nevertheless, Edwards ultimately “g[o]t comfortable” with J-Valve’s product and clinical data

and decided to pursue JC Medical as a potential acquisition candidate alongside JenaValve. See

Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 30:11-31:12. Edwards’s Corporate Vice President of

Strategy and Corporate Development testified that the “tipping point” for Edwards was that J-

Valve’s larger valve size offerings allowed it to treat about 30 percent more patients compared to

JenaValve’s Trilogy, which would be “valuable to [Edwards’s] broader AR strategy.” See id. at

31:12-33:8.

In early negotiations with Edwards, Dr. Turco and Genesis floated purchase prices for JC

Medical between $100 million and $150 million. See Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at

131:5-15. In April 2024, Edwards sent JC Medical a term sheet offering $115 million upfront

for the acquisition. See Nov. 21 AM Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 84:11-18, 92:21—24.

20

Significantly, the FTC argues, this number was just below an important reporting threshold in

U.S. antitrust law. Under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act (““HSR Act”),

proposed transactions then valued above $119.5 million had to be reported to the FTC and the

Department of Justice prior to closing for antitrust review. See id. at 91:14-20; Nov. 19 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 135:16—18. During negotiations, Edwards had apparently raised

an “H[SR] concern” with Dr. Turco, which Dr. Turco concluded was “real,” judging from the

FTC’s recent “anti M&A” bent. PX-1039 at 1. But Dr. Turco was not fully satisfied with

Edwards’s below-HSR Act offer, which was $10 to $35 million dollars lower than Genesis’s

valuation of JC Medical. See id.; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 92:16-93:6. Dr.

Turco thus proposed to Genesis that “[if] the HSR component [wa]s a no-go for the deal

structure,” Edwards could close the valuation gap by making a separate investment in Genesis.

See PX-1039 at 1; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 93:3—23. As detailed below,

Edwards and JC Medical did, in fact, end up agreeing to this proposal.

3. Edwards’s Simultaneous Acquisitions of JenaValve and JC Medical

On July 23, 2024, Edwards and JenaValve signed an agreement and plan of merger,

whereby Edwards agreed to acquire JenaValve for approximately $945 million. See Nov. 19 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 46:19-21; PX-6002 at 41. The agreement provides for an

aggregate cash purchase price of $500 million and up to an additional $445 million upon

achievement of certain regulatory and sales milestones. See PX-6002 at 41. Edwards reported

this agreement in its Form 10-Q filing to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, noting

its plan to acquire “JenaValve Technology, Inc., a developer of a catheter-based system to treat

patients suffering from aortic regurgitation.” See id.

21

Just one day before, on July 22, Edwards agreed to acquire JC Medical. See Nov. 19 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 46:12-15. The acquisition closed for a purchase price of

$115 million. See PX-6002 at 42. Edwards also reported this agreement in its 10-Q filing, but it

did not mention JC Medical by name, referring to it as “an early-stage medical device company

that is developing a catheter-based system to treat patients suffering from a valvular disease.”

See id. Edwards also invested $25 million in Genesis, but it did not disclose this investment in

the 10-Q filing. See Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 49:23-50:9. And Edwards

did not make an HSR filing prior to acquiring JC Medical. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC

Medical)) at 94:19-21.

Edwards’s acquisition of JC Medical caught JenaValve by surprise. Bernard Zovighian,

Edwards’s CEO, testified that for competitive reasons—namely, to avoid disrupting the

JenaValve acquisition—Edwards did not want JenaValve to find out about the JC Medical

acquisition before the deal with JenaValve had closed. See Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian

(Edwards)) at 48:25-49:9. When Edwards issued a press release announcing the JenaValve

acquisition on July 24, it did not disclose the simultaneous JC Medical acquisition. See Nov. 19

AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 30:20-23. Jan Keltjens, JenaValve’s Chairman of the Board,

learned of the JC Medical acquisition later that day from a screenshot of an internal Edwards

announcement, which he believed to be “fake news” at first. See PX-2198 at 2. JenaValve’s

CEO was similarly “‘blindsided” by the acquisition, which was “never discussed, intimated or

socialized” in Edwards’s negotiations with JenaValve. See PX-2162 at 1.

22

Ill. LEGAL STANDARD

A. Clayton Act

Section 7 of the Clayton Act prohibits a merger between two companies “where in any

line of commerce or in any activity affecting commerce in any section of the country, the effect

of such [merger] may be substantially to lessen competition, or to tend to create a monopoly.”

15 U.S.C. § 18; see also United States v. Anthem, Inc. (“Anthem IT”), 855 F.3d 345, 349 (D.C.

Cir. 2017). “Congress has empowered the FTC, inter alia, to weed out those mergers whose

effect ‘may be substantially to lessen competition’ from those that enhance competition.” FTC v.

HJ. Heinz Co., 246 F.3d 708, 713 (D.C. Cir. 2001). “The United States has the ultimate burden

of proving a Section 7 violation by a preponderance of the evidence.” United States v. H&R

Block, Inc., 833 F. Supp. 2d 36, 49 (D.D.C. 2011) (quoting United States v. Sungard Data Sys.,

Inc., 172 F. Supp. 2d 172, 180 (D.D.C. 2001)).

To establish a Section 7 violation, the United States “must show that a pending [merger]

is reasonably likely to cause anticompetitive effects.” Jd. (quoting Sungard, 172 F. Supp. 2d at

180). In drafting this statute, “Congress used the words ‘may be substantially to lessen

competition’ (emphasis supplied), to indicate that its concern was with probabilities, not

certainties.” Heinz, 246 F.3d at 713 (quoting Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, 370 U.S. 294,

323 (1962)). Although certainty of anticompetitive harm is not required, Section 7 nevertheless

demands that the United States “demonstrate that the substantial lessening of competition will be

‘sufficiently probable and imminent’ to warrant relief.” United States v. AT&T Inc., 310 F.

Supp. 3d 161, 189 (D.D.C. 2018) (quoting FTC v. Arch Coal, Inc., 329 F. Supp. 2d 109, 115

(D.D.C. 2004)).

23

In assessing a Section 7 case, “the Court must undertake a ‘comprehensive inquiry’ into

the ‘future competitive conditions in a given market.’” United States v. Aetna Inc., 240 F. Supp.

3d 1, 18 (D.D.C. 2017) (quoting United States v. Baker Hughes, Inc., 908 F.2d 981, 988 (D.C.

Cir. 1990)). This inquiry “requires determinations of (1) the relevant product market in which to

assess the transaction, (2) the geographic market in which to assess the transaction, and (3) the

transaction’s probable effect on competition in the relevant product and geographic markets.”

Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 117 (citing United States v. Marine Bancorp., 418 U.S. 602, 618-

23 (1974); United States v. Gen. Dynamics Corp., 415 U.S. 486, 510-11 (1974)).

B. Federal Trade Commission Act

“Congress has empowered the Federal Trade Commission to seek preliminary injunctive

relief preventing parties from consummating a merger until the FTC has had an opportunity to

adjudicate the merger’s legality.” Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 115. Section 13(b) of the

Federal Trade Commission Act (“FTC Act”) provides for the grant of a preliminary injunction

“[u]pon a proper showing that, weighing the equities and considering the Commission’s

likelihood of ultimate success, such action would be in the public interest.” 15 U.S.C.

§ 53(b)(2). In enacting Section 13(b), Congress “demonstrated its concern that injunctive relief

be broadly available to the FTC by incorporating a unique ‘public interest’ standard . . . rather

than the more stringent, traditional ‘equity’ standard for injunctive relief.” F'7C v. Exxon Corp.,

636 F.2d 1336, 1343 (D.C. Cir. 1980). Accordingly, to obtain a preliminary injunction under

Section 13(b), “the FTC need not show any irreparable harm,” as required under the traditional

standard, and “the ‘private equities’ alone cannot override the FTC’s showing of likelihood of

success.” FTC v. Whole Foods Mkt., Inc., 548 F.3d 1028, 1034~-35 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (quoting

FTC v. Weyerhaeuser Co., 665 F.2d 1072, 1082-83 (D.C. Cir. 1981)).

24

“In deciding the FTC’s request for a preliminary injunction blocking a merger under

[Section 13(b)], a district court must balance the likelihood of the FTC’s success against the

equities, under a sliding scale.” Jd. at 1035. Because Congress’s specific “public equity

consideration” in enacting Section 13(b) was “the public interest in effective enforcement of

antitrust laws,” id. (quoting Heinz, 246 F.3d at 726), “a showing of likely success on the merits

will presumptively warrant an injunction,” Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 116. Nevertheless,

“the merging parties may rebut that presumption, requiring the FTC to demonstrate a greater

likelihood of success, by showing equities weighing in favor of the merger.” Whole Foods, 548

F.3d at 1035.

In any event, in a Section 13(b) preliminary injunction proceeding, the FTC “is not

required to prove, nor is the court required to find, that the proposed merger would in fact violate

Section 7 of the Clayton Act.” Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 115-16 (quoting FTC v. Staples,

Inc., 970 F. Supp. 1066, 1070 (D.D.C. 1997)); see also FTC v. Food Town Stores, Inc., 539 F.2d

1339, 1342 (4th Cir. 1976) (“The district court is not authorized to determine whether the

antitrust laws have been or are about to be violated. That adjudicatory function is vested in the

FTC in the first instance.”). All that is required is a “reasonable probability” that the proposed

merger violates Section 7. Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 116 (quoting Staples, 970 F. Supp. at

1072). In other words, the FTC need only show, based on a “predictive judgment,” that there is

an “appreciable danger” of “future coordinated interaction” between the merging parties. Id.

(quoting Heinz, 246 F.3d at 719). Nevertheless, the district court may not simply “rubber-stamp

an injunction whenever the FTC provides some threshold evidence,” but must “evaluate the

FTC’s chance of success on the basis of all the evidence before it, from the defendants as well as

from the FTC.” Whole Foods, 548 F.3d at 1035.

25

IV. ANALYSIS

A. Likelihood of Success on the Merits

To determine whether the FTC is entitled to a preliminary injunction under Section 13(b)

of the FTC Act, the Court must gauge the probability that, at the administrative merits

proceeding, the FTC will be able to prove that the effect of the Proposed Transaction “may be

substantially to lessen competition, or to tend to create a monopoly” in violation of Section 7 of

the Clayton Act. 15 U.S.C. § 18. The standard for likelihood of success on the merits is met if

the FTC “has raised questions going to the merits so serious, substantial, difficult and doubtful as

to make them fair ground for thorough investigation, study, deliberation and determination by

the FTC in the first instance.” Heinz, 246 F.3d at 714-15 (quoting FTC v. Beatrice Foods Co.,

587 F.2d 1225, 1229 (D.C. Cir. 1978)); see also Whole Foods, 548 F.3d at 1035.

Courts apply a burden-shifting framework to determine whether a proposed merger

violates the Clayton Act. See Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 991. Under this framework, the FTC

“must first establish its prima facie case by (1) identifying the relevant product and geographic

market and (2) showing that the proposed merger is likely to ‘substantially lessen competition’ in

that market.” AT&T, 310 F. Supp. 3d at 191 (quoting Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 982). If the

FTC successfully does so, the defendants can rebut the prima facie case by “provid[ing]

sufficient evidence that the prima facie case ‘inaccurately predicts the [merger’s] probable effect

on future competition’” or by “sufficiently discredit[ing]” the FTC’s evidence. Anthem IT, 855

F.3d at 349 (quoting Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 991). Ifthe FTC’s prima facie case is rebutted,

“the burden of producing additional evidence of anticompetitive effect shifts to the government,

and merges with the ultimate burden of persuasion, which remains with the government at all

times.” Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 983. In practice, courts apply this burden-shifting framework

26

flexibly, often considering evidence all at once and analyzing the burdens together. See

Illumina, Inc. v. FTC, 88 F.4th 1036, 1048 (Sth Cir. 2023).

Below, the Court first considers the relevant market in which to assess the likely effects

of the Proposed Transaction, which it concludes is the market for the research, development, and

commercialization of TAVR-AR devices in the United States. Next, the Court assesses whether

the Proposed Transaction is likely to substantially lessen competition in that market, in violation

of Section 7 of the Clayton Act. It finds that Edwards and JenaValve are currently engaged in

active competition to develop superior TAVR-AR valves and bring their respective valves to

market as quickly as possible, and that because the Proposed Transaction would eliminate this

competition, there is a “reasonable probability” that it violates Section 7. Arch Coal, 329 F.

Supp. 2d at 116 (quoting Staples, 970 F. Supp. at 1072). Although Defendants dispute this

finding by arguing, among other things, that the Proposed Transaction would benefit consumers,

the Court determines that Defendants have not rebutted the FTC’s prima facie case.

Accordingly, the Court finds that the FTC has met its burden of showing a likelihood of success

on the merits.

1. The Relevant Antitrust Market

“The FTC’s initial burden is to define a relevant market in which the proposed

acquisition is likely to harm competition.” FTC v. IQVIA Holdings Inc., 710 F. Supp. 3d 329,

352 (S.D.N.Y. 2024); see also United States v. Bertelsmann SE & Co. KGaA, 646 F. Supp. 3d 1,

23 (D.D.C. 2022) (“The first step in merger analysis is the identification of a relevant market.”).

“Defining the relevant market is a ‘necessary predicate’ to finding a Clayton Act violation

because the proposed merger ‘must be one which will substantially lessen competition within the

27

area of effective competition.’”” FTC v. RAG-Stiftung, 436 F. Supp. 3d 278, 291 (D.D.C. 2020)

(quoting United States v. E.1. du Pont de Nemours & Co., 353 U.S. 586, 593 (1957)).

A relevant antitrust market comprises two parts. First, the “relevant product market” is

the universe of products “with which the defendants’ products compete.” Arch Coal, 329 F.

Supp. 2d at 119. Second, the “relevant geographic market” refers to the geographic area in

which the defendants compete to sell their products. See id. Defining the product and

geographic markets helps courts ascertain the “locus of competition.” Bertelsmann, 646 F. Supp.

3d at 24. Ultimately, this is “a pragmatic, factual” analysis, rather than a “formal, legalistic one.”

Id. (quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 336).

The FTC argues that the relevant market in this case encompasses the research,

development, and commercialization of TAVR-AR devices in the United States. See FTC’s

PFOF-PCOL 9 36-63. In its view, Defendants’ ordinary course documents and third-party

testimony demonstrate that the “locus of competition,” FTC’s Prelim. Inj. Mot. at 14 (quoting

Bertelsmann, 646 F. Supp. 3d at 24), ECF No. 104-1, is “among TAVR-AR device companies

that are pursuing FDA approval in the United States and have begun implanting valves in

patients in FDA-approved clinical trials,” id. The FTC further contends that its proposed product

and geographic markets find support in the economic analysis and testimony of its economic

expert, Dr. Nathan Wilson. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 56.

Defendants, on the other hand, urge the Court to reject the FTC’s “novel, pre-commercial

market” because no TAVR-AR device is currently approved for commercial sale in the United

States. Defs.” PFOF-PCOL § 281. Furthermore, Defendants allege that the FTC’s proposed

market is “gerrymandered” to ensure that only Edwards and JenaValve can be considered market

participants. Id. J] 167, 280. For example, Defendants argue that the FTC’s product market

28

—————

unjustifiably excludes alternative AR treatment options that could reasonably be said to compete

with TAVR-AR devices. They also maintain that the “competitive landscape” includes “all

TAVR-AR devices,” including those that are in development and clinical studies outside of the

United States. Jd. 178. Defendants offer the economic analysis and testimony of their own

economic expert, Dr. Elizabeth Bailey, in support of their proposed market. See id. {4 173-76.

The Court is persuaded by the FTC’s proposed market. In the sections that follow, the

Court examines the relevant product and geographic markets, and finally considers whether a

pre-commercial product market is cognizable under Section 7.

a. The Relevant Product Market

A relevant product market’s “outer boundaries” are “determined by the reasonable

interchangeability of use or the cross-elasticity of demand between the product itself and

substitutes for it.” Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 325. “[I]nterchangeability of use” and “cross-

elasticity of demand” refer to the extent to which “there are other products offered to consumers

which are similar in character or use” to the product in question. Staples, 970 F. Supp. at 1074.

In other words, courts look at “whether two products can be used for the same purpose, and if so,

whether and to what extent purchasers are willing to substitute one for the other.” Jd. (quoting

Hayden Pub. Co. v. Cox Broadcasting Corp., 730 F.2d 64, 70 n.8 (2d Cir. 1984)). Iftwo

products are sufficiently similar and reasonably interchangeable, they can be considered part of

the same product market. See Buccaneer Energy (USA) Inc. v. Gunnison Energy Corp., 846

F.3d 1297, 1313 (10th Cir. 2017).

“Courts generally consider two categories of evidence when defining the relevant product

market: the ‘practical indicia’ identified by the Supreme Court in Brown Shoe Company v.

United States, 370 U.S. 294 (1962), and quantitative evidence from expert economists,” which

29

“typically comes in the form of an expert economist conducting a ‘hypothetical monopolist

test.”” United States v. Google LLC, 747 F. Supp. 3d 1, 108-09 (D.D.C. 2024) (quoting FTC v.

Sysco Corp., 113 F. Supp. 3d 1, 33 (D.D.C. 2015)). The Court considers each category of

evidence in turn. Then, it addresses Defendants’ challenge to the FTC’s “novel, pre-

commercial” product market. Defs.” PFOF-PCOL {ff 281-84.

i. Brown Shoe Factors

In Brown Shoe, the Supreme Court set forth “practical indicia” for defining a relevant

product market. 370 U.S. at 325. These factors include “the product’s peculiar characteristics

and uses, unique production facilities, distinct customers, distinct prices, sensitivity to price

changes, and specialized vendors,” as well as “industry or public recognition” of the market. Id.;

see also Whole Foods, 548 F.3d at 1037-38. “All the factors need not be satisfied for the Court

to conclude that the FTC has identified a relevant market.” JQVIA, 710 F. Supp. 3d at 355; see

also Staples, 970 F. Supp. at 1075 (“Since the Court described these factors as ‘practical indicia’

rather than requirements, subsequent cases have found that submarkets can exist even if only

some of these factors are present.”). The FTC argues that several of the Brown Shoe factors—

specifically, peculiar characteristics and uses, distinct customers, distinct pricing, and industry

recognition—establish TAVR-AR devices as the relevant product market. See FTC’s

PFOF-PCOL { 49.

Peculiar Characteristics and Uses

As the FTC argues, ample evidence shows that features specific to TAVR-AR devices

distinguish them from other methods of treating AR. Alternative AR treatments include medical

management, the “off-label” use of TAVR-AS devices, and SAVR. See, e.g., PX-2327 at 6. But

medical management, or the use of pharmaceuticals, is not an effective therapy because it

30

temporarily treats AR symptoms but not the disease. See PX-0033 at 6. TAVR-AS devices,

meanwhile, have been used “off-label” to treat AR, but often with poor outcomes. Because AS-

specific TAVR devices require calcium buildup in the aorta to attach to the aortic valve, they are

ill-suited to treating AR patients, who often have little aortic calcification. See Thourani Dep. at

74:9-78:1. If anchoring fails, a TAVR-AS valve can dislodge—a potentially fatal complication

called embolization. See Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 86:9-11. In contrast,

AR-specific TAVR devices are designed with unique anchoring mechanisms that clip onto the

aortic valve’s native leaflets—a feature that lowers the risk of embolization. See PX-6006 at 2-3;

DX-0297 at 3, 12.

SAVR, meanwhile, is an invasive surgical procedure to replace the malfunctioning native

aortic valve with a manufactured replacement. See Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at

123:15—23; Kesselheim Rep. { 24-25. Defendants do not dispute that SAVR is a poor option

for AR patients who are inoperable or at high risk for surgery. PX-0033 at 6; see also Defs.’

PFOF-PCOL 4 11. AR patients at high surgical risk amount to over a third of the total

addressable AR population in the United States. See Wilson Rep. § 46 & n.96. Defendants

nevertheless suggest that for patients at low to medium surgical risk, SAVR is a “tried and true”

treatment for AR and thus competes with TAVR-AR among this patient indication. Nov. 20 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 142:4-142:6; see also Defs.” PFOF-PCOL {| 168. The Court

agrees that SAVR is an effective AR treatment for patients at low to medium surgical risk. See,

e.g., PX-6006 at 1. Furthermore, Defendants’ internal documents show that TAVR developers

expect that, at least in the near term, SAVR will outcompete TAVR-AR as the preferred AR

treatment among patients at low to medium surgical risk. See, e.g., PX-1394 at 3; PX-1049 at 7.

Sil

a

But although SAVR is effective for AR patients at low to medium surgical risk,

Defendants have not established that SAVR and TAVR-AR are so “similar in character or use”

that these patients would be “willing to substitute one for the other.” Staples, 970 F. Supp. at

1074 (citation modified). To the contrary, testimony from interventional cardiologists indicates

that, for many of these patients, SAVR and TAVR are not interchangeable. As Dr. Dean

Kereiakes explained, patients who undergo TAVR procedures typically “go home the next day

and can function normally within a week,” whereas with SAVR, the “recovery is more

prolonged” and “possibly more painful.” Kereiakes Dep. at 9:24-10:12. Moreover, Dr. Torsten

Vahl testified that in his own practice, he has had AR patients decline SAVR despite being at

low to medium surgical risk. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 66:20-67:3. It is easy to

understand why: when faced with the prospect of their “chest being cracked open and their heart

being stopped,” “a lot of patients just [refuse] intervention.” Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma

(Edwards)) at 129:18—130:5.

Even if TAVR-AR differs from non-transcatheter AR treatment options, Defendants

argue that the FTC improperly excludes other transcatheter treatment options—namely,

transapical TAVR-AR devices*—from its proposed market. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL {ff 171-72.

3 Defendants additionally argue that the FTC improperly excludes transcatheter valve

repair devices. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL § 172. In contrast to transcatheter aortic valve

replacement (“TAVR”) devices, which replace the native aortic valve with a bio-prosthetic

valve, transcatheter valve repair devices “modify the native valve” to “restore heart function.”

Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 110:4-10. Little evidence regarding repair

devices was presented at the hearing. One non-U.S. company—Cuspa Medical—appears to

have developed a repair device, Cusper. See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at

13:19-14:1. Although Cusper is a transcatheter device that aims to treat AR, see Nov. 20 AM

Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 110:11-14, JenaValve’s CEO testified that Cusper has a

“different design” than TAVR-AR devices and that the FDA-approved indication for Cusper

would be different from that of a TAVR-AR device in that Cusper would treat AR patients “that

need[] repair versus replacement,” see Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 14:3-24.

This suggests to the Court that Cusper has different characteristics, uses, and customers than

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The FTC’s expert, Dr. Wilson, distinguishes between transapical and transfemoral TAVR-AR

devices because transapical access is “invasive,” requiring incisions in the chest and heart for

implantation, while transfemoral access requires only a small incision in the groin. See Wilson

Rep. 27. Defendants reject this distinction, noting that both types of devices are definitionally

TAVR-AR devices, even if the access points for implantation differ. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL

{4 171, 279; Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma (Edwards)) at 136:20-137:20. That difference does

not strike the Court as insignificant, however. At the evidentiary hearing, the Court heard

testimony that compared to transfemoral access, transapical access is not only more invasive—

often requiring a rib-spreading procedure—but is also associated with longer recoveries and

worse patient outcomes. See, e.g., Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 61:5—25; Nov. 18 PM Hr’g

Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 6:23-7:3. Such differences suggest that transfemoral and

transapical TAVR-AR devices are not interchangeable. See Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr. (FTC

Opening Statement) at 22:19—23.

Distinct Customers

The FTC also asserts that TAVR-AR devices have distinct customers: AR patients and

the interventional cardiologists who treat them via TAVR. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 54. As Dr.

Wilson explained, in the medical device market, there are multiple actors whose preferences

influence the purchase and consumption of products, including physicians, who decide which

devices to implant, and the patients who benefit from them. See Wilson Rep. {| 14—15.

TAVR-AR devices. Furthermore, Cusper does not appear to be available in the United States.

Edwards’s Vice President of Strategy testified that although Cuspa has announced plans to begin

a U.S. pivotal study, those plans have been delayed. See Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman

(Edwards)) at 110:15—25. For these reasons, the Court declines to include Cusper in the relevant

market.

33

The Court finds that at minimum, the FTC has shown that AR patients who are

inoperable or at high surgical risk constitute a distinct customer base for transfemoral TAVR-AR

devices, which, in contrast to SAVR and transapical TAVR-AR devices, do not require invasive

surgical intervention. For this reason, interventional cardiologists who treat this patient

indication also prefer transfemoral TAVR-AR devices. As JenaValve’s CEO testified,

physicians are “not really” interested in transapical devices because of their invasive delivery

systems, “longer recovery times,” and “worse outcomes.” See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne

(JenaValve)) at 8:17-9:15.

Nevertheless, to the extent that the FTC suggests that the entire population of U.S.

patients with severe symptomatic AR constitutes a distinct customer base for transfemoral

TAVR-AR devices, see FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 54 (citing PX-1078 at 50), the Court finds this

proposition insufficiently supported. Although the parties agree there is a subset of AR patients

at low to medium surgical risk who would refuse invasive surgical treatments, the FTC has not

established that this is the case for all or a significant number of AR patients. As noted,

Defendants reasonably expect that SAVR will remain a “tried and true” AR treatment, at least in

the near term. See Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 142:4-142:6; PX-1394 at 3;

PX-1049 at 7.

Distinct Prices

Given “the absence of competitive pressure from non-TAVR-AR products,” the FTC

argues that “Defendants have adopted distinct pricing strategies for their TAVR-AR devices.”

FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 55. Because Defendants’ TAVR-AR devices are still undergoing clinical

testing, FDA regulations prevent Defendants from charging prices greater than necessary to

recover manufacturing and R&D costs. See Bailey Rep. {{ 62, 63 (citing 21 C.F.R. § 812.7).

34

Once commercialized, though, the devices can be sold for a profit. As the FTC notes,

Defendants’ ordinary course documents suggest an intent to sell the Trilogy and SOJOURN

valves at “premium” prices after receiving FDA commercial approval. See, e.g., PX-2326 at 6;

PX-1453 at 5.

See PX-2326 at 6; PX-1453 at 5. Furthermore, JenaValve contemplated

Ea i ae once it obtained FDA approval, as Trilogy would be “the

only device for the treatment of aortic regurgitation in the United States” and the market could

bear the higher price. Kilcoyne (JenaValve) Dep. at 196:16-197:11, PX-7007; see also Nov. 18

AM. Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 93:24-94:6; PX-2303 at 15.

As Defendants note, though, the FTC offered no comparative pricing evidence for SAVR

valves, transapical TAVR-AR valves, or even other transfemoral TAVR-AR valves in clinical

testing outside of the United States. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL { 182. The Court agrees that such

evidence would have bolstered the FTC’s case. Nevertheless, Defendants’ contemplated pricing

strategies assume the absence of competitive pressure from non-TAVR-AR products, as the FTC

asserts. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 55. In light of such evidence, the Court is comfortable with

the prediction that commercialized transfemoral TAVR-AR devices in the United States will be

priced differently at least from non-TAVR products.

Industry Recognition

The FTC next argues that the medical device industry recognizes TAVR-AR devices as a

distinct market. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL {§ 50-51. The Court concurs. As indicated by

Defendants’ ordinary course documents and testimony, medical device companies view TAVR-

AR as distinct from other methods of treating AR. For Edwards, TAVR-AR is the “next frontier

of aortic valve disease.” See PX-1394 at 5 (citation modified). In corporate presentations,

JenaValve referred to AR as an “untapped market,” and Edwards pitched TAVR-AR as an

opportunity to expand into that market. See id. at 3; PX-2327 at 8. JenaValve’s CEO confirmed

that no “front-line therapy” exists today for AR patients at high surgical risk. Nov. 18 AM Br’g

Tr. (Kilcoyne) at 84:8-86:15; see also PX-0033 at 6. Edwards, JenaValve, and JC Medical agree

that TAVR-AR will fill this treatment gap. See, e.g., PX-1394 at 3; PX-2327 at 8; PX-1049 at 7.

As Edwards wrote in a strategy presentation during deal negotiations, “a dedicated AR product is

needed for a unique patient population.” PX-1445 at 57 (citation modified).

Furthermore, there is evidence that medical device companies do not believe it would be

viable to enter the U.S. market with a transapical TAVR-AR device. In early 2025, JenaValve’s

CEO commented that the approval in China of Ken-Valve, a TAVR-AR device developed by

Jenscare, a Chinese competitor, was “[n]ot a real concern” given that the device is transapical.

PX-1292 at 1. Later that year, at the annual Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (“TCT”)

medical conference, Jenscare announced that it is developing a transfemoral TAVR-AR valve.

See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 121:3-122:17. According to JC Medical’s

former CEO, this development indicates that Jenscare “realize[s] [it] can’t enter the United States

market with a transapical product.” Jd. at 122:8—-17.

Interventional cardiologists who perform TAVR-AR procedures also distinguish

transfemoral TAVR-AR devices from other AR treatments. Dr. Torsten Vahl, Dr. Dean

Kereiakes, and Dr. James McCabe testified that the off-label use of TAVR-AS to treat AR does

not provide acceptable clinical outcomes for patients. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 59:5-

18; Kereiakes Dep. at 59:9-60:10; McCabe Dep. at 29:14—30:2, 30:17-33:4. According to an

36

article Dr. Vahl co-authored, “suboptimal results with off-label TAVR” have “fueled the

development” of TAVR-AR, a unique technology “with design features that address the specific

needs of valve implantation” in AR patients. PX-6006 at 2. Dr. Vahl further explained that

although SAVR is currently the “gold standard treatment” for AR patients, a “treatment gap

remains for patients at high surgical risk due to the unavailability of less invasive treatment

options.” PX-6006 at 1. “[T]he need for a less invasive option for these patients has become

increasingly important,” he wrote. Jd.

The totality of evidence suggests that transfemoral TAVR-AR devices differ from other

AR treatment options in their peculiar characteristics and uses, customers, and prices, and that

the medical device industry distinguishes transfemoral TAVR-AR devices from all other AR

treatments. The evidence is strongest with respect to peculiar characteristics and uses.

Transfemoral TAVR-AR devices are effective at treating AR and minimally invasive, both of

which are not the case for medical management, off-label TAVR-AS, SAVR, and transapical

TAVR-AR devices. As a result, only transfemoral TAVR-AR devices are viable options for AR

patients at high surgical risk. And although SAVR and transapical TAVR-AR devices can treat

AR patients at lower surgical risk—a customer base that is thus shared with transfemoral TAVR-

AR devices—the Court does not believe this one factor warrants including SAVR and

transapical TAVR-AR devices in the relevant product market. As noted, industry participants

recognize that a treatment gap exists among lower risk AR patients due to the unavailability of

less invasive treatment options, which transfemoral TAVR-AR is expected to fill. Defendants

additionally believe that U.S. market preferences favor the entry of transfemoral TAVR-AR

37

a

devices specifically. The Court therefore concludes that the Brown Shoe factors support

recognition of transfemoral TAVR-AR devices as the relevant product market.

ii. Hypothetical Monopolist Test

In addition to using the Brown Shoe factors, courts can conduct an economic analysis

known as the hypothetical monopolist test (“HMT”) to determine whether a relevant product

market is valid. See, e.g., H&R Block, 833 F. Supp. 2d at 51-52. The HMT imagines a scenario

in which all products in a candidate product market are controlled and sold by a monopolist. See

id. It then asks whether, under that scenario, the hypothetical monopolist could profitably

impose a small but significant and non-transitory increase in price (“SSNIP”), typically five

percent, on one of the merging parties’ products. See id. If so, the merging parties’ products

constitute a relevant market. See id.

As a “common quantitative metric” used to determine the relevant product market, the

HMT typically relies on quantitative data. FTC v. Microsoft Corp., 681 F. Supp. 3d 1069, 1086

n.5 (N.D. Cal. 2023); see also Google, 747 F. Supp. at 109. Nevertheless, the Merger Guidelines

issued by the Department of Justice and the FTC endorse the use of both qualitative and

quantitative data in undertaking the HMT. See U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm'n

Merger Guidelines § 4.3.C (2023) (“Merger Guidelines”). In any event, “[t]here is no legal

requirement that a plaintiff supply quantitative proof to define a relevant market.” Google, 747

F. Supp. 3d at 109. Neither is there a “requirement to use any specific methodology” to do so.

FTC v. Tempur Sealy Int'l, Inc., 768 F. Supp. 3d 787, 825 (S.D. Tex. 2025) (quoting Optronic

Techs., Inc. v. Ningbo Sunny Elec. Co., 20 F.4th 466, 482 (9th Cir. 2021)). “As such, courts have

determined the relevant antitrust markets using, for example, only the Brown Shoe factors, or a

combination of the Brown Shoe factors and the HMT.” Jd. at 825-26 (citation modified).

38

The FTC’s economic expert in this matter, Dr. Wilson, conducted the HMT to determine

the appropriate product market. See Wilson Rep. ff 43-50. Dr. Wilson first imagined a market

composed of all “TAVR-AR devices available for implantation and use by American

consumers” and controlled by a single firm. See Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at 23:3-17. He

then considered whether patients and physicians would choose alternative forms of treatment for

AR in response to a SSNIP imposed on one of those products. See Wilson Rep. § 45.

Specifically, he analyzed three alternative forms of treatment laid out in a JenaValve corporate

presentation: medical management, SAVR, and off-label TAVR-AS. See id. | 46 & n.93 (citing

PX-0033 at 6); Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at 23:18-25. Relying on available evidence,

including testimony from physicians and Defendants’ ordinary course documents, Dr. Wilson

determined that none of these options are adequate therapeutic alternatives for AR patients at

high surgical risk. See Wilson Rep. 46. Accordingly, he found that “few, if any, physicians,

especially those who treat high surgical risk AR patients, would choose to forego all TAVR-AR

options in response to a SSNIP,” and that a monopolist could therefore profitably impose a

SSNIP on at least one TAVR-AR product. Jd. 950. Because his candidate market passed the

HMT, Dr. Wilson ultimately concluded that the relevant market here includes “only TAVR-AR

products that can be supplied to American consumers.” See Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at

22:25—23:2.

Defendants reject Dr. Wilson’s HMT on several grounds. Their principal criticism

hinges on Dr. Wilson’s failure to “conduct any quantitative analysis.” Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL

4291. The Court recognizes that the HMT typically involves quantitative analysis. Although

this does not appear to be a strict requirement, see, e.g., Merger Guidelines § 4.3.C, the Court is

unaware of any case endorsing an HMT conducted entirely or predominantly with qualitative

39

data. Still, the Court takes Dr. Wilson’s point that “in matters such as this one, where the

relevant products are still in the pre-commercial stage,” there is little quantitative data available

on customer preferences or economic margins with which to conduct the HMT. Wilson Rep.

442. In other cases where quantitative data was unavailable, courts have deemed it reasonable

for plaintiffs to forego an HMT and instead depend on qualitative analysis to define a relevant

market. See, e.g., Google, 747 F. Supp. 3d at 109.

In this case, the Court does not view the lack of quantitative data as fatal to Dr. Wilson’s

analysis, which, although presented in the form of an HMT, resembles the sort of qualitative

analyses that courts frequently rely on to define relevant markets. See FTC v. Tapestry, Inc., 755

F. Supp. 3d 386, 414 (S.D.N.Y. 2024) (“Hard data concerning cross-elasticity is not the only

means of proving a relevant market.” (citation omitted)); McWane, Inc. v. FTC, 783 F.3d 814,

829 (11th Cir. 2015). As Dr. Wilson notes, “[t]he inability to conduct econometric analysis does

not prohibit the application of economic logic” to predict whether participants of a candidate

market would turn to alternatives in response to a SSNIP. Wilson Rep. § 42. Indeed, Dr. Wilson

eliminated several potential AR treatment alternatives from his candidate market based on much

of the same qualitative data that the Court relied on in conducting the Brown Shoe factor analysis

above. And his conclusion that patients and physicians would not turn to these alternatives in

response to a SSNIP is supported by the record. Dr. Kereiakes, for example, testified that he

would “[nJot willingly” switch to off-label TAVR-AS if the price of TAVR-AR valves increased

by five to ten percent. Kereiakes Dep. at 61:6—9.

Defendants also criticize Dr. Wilson’s assumption that the TAVR-AR devices in his

candidate market are priced at their “profit-maximizing level.” Wilson Rep. { 41 n.82; see also

Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 4 292. They note that the HMT asks “whether a hypothetical profit-

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Maso eS

se

maximizing firm, not subject to price regulation, that was the only present and future seller” ofa

product could profitably raise prices, yet Dr. Wilson acknowledged in his report that for products

in clinical trials, “it is not a priority for the firm to maximize profits.” See Wilson Rep. { 116;

Defs.” PFOF-PCOL § 292. But the Court is not persuaded that Dr. Wilson’s assumption renders

his analysis unusable. As a former Edwards executive testified, although the cost of clinical

research “far exceeds” the revenue Edwards receives from selling a valve to clinical trial sites,

Edwards determines the sales price of a valve in the clinical stage by approximating its expected

commercial price. Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 60:39.

In any event, the Court is not relying on Dr. Wilson’s analysis to model Defendants’

behavior at the clinical stage, but to predict—based on economic logic, not mathematical

precision—whether patients and doctors are likely to switch to alternative treatments in response

to a SSNIP on a TAVR-AR valve. The Court agrees with Dr. Wilson that patients and

physicians are unlikely to switch to medical management, SAVR, and off-label TAVR-AS in

response to a SSNIP on TAVR-AR devices, and that these treatment options should therefore be

excluded from the relevant product market. Dr. Wilson did not, however, analyze whether a

SSNIP on transfemoral TAVR-AR devices specifically would cause patients and physicians to

switch to transapical TAVR-AR devices, if available. The Court therefore does not rely on Dr.

Wilson’s economic analysis to conclude that the relevant product market is limited to

transfemoral TAVR-AR devices.

iii. Pre-Commercial Product Markets

Defendants further challenge the FTC’s proposed product market because no TAVR-AR

device is currently approved for commercial sale in the United States. Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL

q 281. A market including future commercialized TAVR-AR devices is too speculative,

41

Defendants argue, because “it is unclear when or even if there ever will be” an FDA-approved

device. Jd. Defendants warn that if this Court endorses the FTC’s “novel” product market—

which presently includes only pre-commercial TAVR-AR devices—the Court would be the first

ever to do so. Id. J 284.

Although the Court is unaware of a case recognizing a mixed market for the research,

development, and commercialization of a product that is not yet commercially available, this

may be because no court has yet had to consider this scenario. See Nov. 25 AM Hr’g Tr.

(McWilliams) at 105:9-13 (testimony by Defendants’ industry expert that he could not think of

“a single example in U.S. history where a company had bought the two medical devices furthest

along in the FDA approval pipeline”). In any event, courts, economists, and the Merger

Guidelines do recognize that a relevant antitrust market can include products still in clinical

development. The Merger Guidelines, for example, provide that “where a merger may

substantially lessen competition by decreasing incentives to innovate, the Agencies may define

relevant antitrust markets around the products that would result from that innovation if

successful, even if those products do not yet exist.” Merger Guidelines § 4.3.D.7.4

Not all mergers that eliminate competition decrease firms’ incentives to innovate. See

Wilson Rep. § 88. Nevertheless, the Court agrees with the FTC’s expert, Dr. Wilson, that

characteristics specific to the Proposed Transaction here would decrease Edwards’s incentives to

innovate. Most significantly, ample evidence suggests that Edwards’s SOJOURN and

JenaValve’s Trilogy valves are close substitutes and will compete among similar patient

indications. See id. | 74. If Edwards owns both products, it will have “less incentive to incur

4 Although the Merger Guidelines are not binding on this Court, the D.C. Circuit and

other courts have relied on them for guidance in merger cases. See Sysco, 113 F. Supp. 3d at 38

(citing Heinz, 246 F.3d at 716 n.9; H&R Block, 833 F. Supp. 2d at 52 n.10).

42

costs to develop products that will compete with each other.” Jd. | 89. Accordingly, the Court

finds it prudent to include TAVR-AR devices in the relevant product market, even if no device

has yet received commercial approval.

This approach finds support in a recent Fifth Circuit decision, Illumina, Inc. v. FTC, 88

F.4th 1036 (Sth Cir. 2023). In ///umina, the Fifth Circuit held that the FTC alleged a viable

antitrust market for cancer-detection tests, including both firms in clinical trials and firms with

commercialized products. Jd. at 1049-52. The challenged transaction there involved Illumina, a

manufacturer of DNA-sequencing technology, who sought to acquire Grail, a company with the

only cancer-detection test available in the market. Id. at 1044. Grail and its competitors—whose

cancer-detection tests were in development—trelied on Illumina’s DNA-sequencing technology

for their products. Jd. The FTC argued that, because of the acquisition, Illumina would be

incentivized to withhold its technology from Grail’s competitors. Id. at 1045. In validating the

FTC’s proposed market—framed as one for the research, development, and commercialization of

cancer-detection tests, rather than the “existing commercial market” for these tests—the Fifth

Circuit observed that although Grail had the most advanced test, there was “ongoing competition

to bring additional products to market.” Jd. at 1049-50. To exclude products in development

from the relevant market, the Fifth Circuit explained, would “prevent research-and-development

[R&D] markets from ever being recognized for antitrust purposes.” Jd. at 1050.

Defendants argue that J/Jumina is inapposite because there, unlike here, the challenged

transaction was a vertical merger in which the merging firms’ products were already

commercially available. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL 283. The Court disagrees. Although the

Proposed Transaction here is a horizontal merger, economic literature recognizes that the merger

of firms with competing products can harm competition and innovation. See Wilson Rep. {{ 88—

43

92. Furthermore, the FTC does not simply allege that “some company, someday may innovate a

competing product,” which, as the Fifth Circuit noted, would be too speculative to ground an

antitrust market. Ilumina, 88 F.4th at 1050. As in //umina, evidence here shows that “there is

indisputably ongoing competition” between Edwards and JenaValve, that Defendants’ TAVR-

AR devices have been clinically validated, and that both devices are expected to go to market in

the next few years. Jd. After a thorough investigation, the FTC has found reason to believe that

the Proposed Transaction would harm competition and innovation in both the development and

commercialization of TAVR-AR devices. See Compl. § 28, ECF No. 1. The FTC should not be

expected to wait until one of those devices is commercialized to bring its current challenge. As

the Fifth Circuit found in J//umina, insulating R&D markets from antitrust review “would

directly contravene the purpose of Section 7—“‘to arrest anticompetitive tendencies in their

incipiency.’”” I/lumina, 88 F.4th at 1050 (quoting United States v. Philadelphia Nat’l Bank, 374

USS. 321, 362 (1963)).

b. The Relevant Geographic Market

The relevant geographic market encompasses “the area to which consumers can

practically turn for alternative sources of the product and in which the antitrust defendants face

competition.” FTC v. Cardinal Health, Inc., 12 F. Supp. 2d 34, 49 (D.D.C. 1998) (citation

modified). Like the product market, the relevant geographic market need not be identified with

“scientific precision,” but must correspond to the “commercial realities” of the medical device

industry. Jd. at 43, 49 (first quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 336; and then quoting United

States v. Connecticut Nat’l Bank, 418 U.S. 656, 669 (1974)).

The Court finds that the relevant geographic market is the United States. As the FTC

notes, the FDA is the “gatekeeper” for high-risk medical devices in the United States, including

44

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TAVR-AR devices. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 59. TAVR-AR valves cannot be used in U.S.

clinical trials without FDA authorization. See Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at 26:2-27:5;

Kesselheim Rep. §{ 14, 79 n.170. And they cannot be marketed or sold in the United States

without premarket approval, which entails a rigorous review by the FDA to ensure a “reasonable

assurance” of safety and effectiveness for the device’s intended use. See Kesselheim Rep. § 52.

Although Defendants do not dispute that FDA authorization is required to implant

TAVR-AR valves in the United States, they nevertheless contend that the area of effective

competition is global, encompassing “all TAVR-AR devices, no matter where they are currently

being developed and no matter the stage of development.” Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL 4 301. In

Defendants’ view, competitor TAVR-AR devices could enter the U.S. market from abroad and

“easily” catch up to Trilogy and J-Valve. See Defs.’ Opp’n to FTC’s Prelim. Inj. Mot. at 31-32,

ECF No. 115-1. Just like Edwards acquired JC Medical, which developed J-Valve in China,

Defendants argue that another U.S. medical device company—such as Medtronic, Boston

Scientific, or Abbott Laboratories—could purchase a foreign device and pursue FDA approval

for it in the United States. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL §[ 301. Alternatively, a foreign competitor

developing a device abroad could itself bring the device to the United States and seek FDA

approval, much like JenaValve, originally a German company, did with Trilogy. See id.

Despite Defendants’ suggestions to the contrary, the parties’ expert reports and testimony

demonstrate that the FDA’s premarket approval process is a significant barrier to entry for

competitors seeking to commercialize a foreign TAVR-AR device in the United States. Ifa

TAVR developer sought to begin implanting a TAVR-AR device developed or tested abroad in

USS. patients, the “most common” first step would be for it to apply for an investigational device

exemption from the FDA to launch a feasibility study. See Wood (Edwards) Dep. at 33:17-34:5;

45

Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kesselheim) at 44:5-19. Although a developer could also submit

compassionate use requests on a patient-by-patient basis, the FDA does “not . . . t{ake] kindly

on” using this approach to attempt to bypass the normal premarket approval process. See Nov.

21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 102:11-21. Defendants submit that the process to

obtain an IDE for an early feasibility study (“EFS”) is “quite easy.” Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr.

(Wood (Edwards)) at 95:12—18. It is true, as the FTC’s FDA regulatory expert explained, that an

IDE application for an EFS can be based on less pre-clinical data than one for a traditional

feasibility study. See Kesselheim Rep. § 47. But a foreign TAVR-AR device cannot skip the

pre-clinical stage entirely, even if it has already undergone pre-clinical testing abroad. See Nov.

21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 26:12-27:7 (noting that, at minimum, the FDA requires 150-day data

from pre-clinical studies in the United States).

After a successful feasibility study, the TAVR developer would need to apply for an IDE

to begin a U.S. pivotal trial, which would allow it to gather required clinical data for an eventual

premarket approval application. See Wood (Edwards) Dep. at 39:10-14. Even ifa TAVR-AR

device has previously undergone clinical testing outside of the United States, the parties agree

that U.S. clinical data is all but required to obtain premarket approval. This is because the FDA

is “very skeptical of data of high-risk devices that comes from outside the United States,” as such

data “might not be generalizable to U.S. patients.” Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kesselheim) at 34:2—

17; see also Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Keltjens (JenaValve)) at 32:10-16 (noting that JenaValve’s

PMA application is based only on U.S. patient data because “the FDA is reluctant to accept

European data’).

Given the FDA’s rigorous regulatory review process, the Court agrees with the FTC that

patients and doctors cannot “practically tum” to TAVR-AR devices outside of the United States

46

as alternatives to Defendants’ products, whether in compassionate use cases, clinical testing, or,

eventually, the commercial market. See FTC’s Prelim. Inj. Mot. at 19; Wilson Rep. | 5 1;

Cardinal Health, 12 F. Supp. 2d at 49. Consistent with these limitations, Defendants’ ordinary

course documents distinguish between TAVR-AR devices on the path toward commercialization

in the United States and all other TAVR-AR devices. For example, a slide from an internal

Edwards presentation tracking the “AR TAVR” space shows that only JenaValve and JC

Medical are on the path to FDA approval, while slides assessing “other AR TAVR players” note

that none are undergoing U.S. clinical studies. PX-1267 at 6-9; see also Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr.

(Wood (Edwards)) at 48:1—52:9.

Other evidence shows that this distinction generally pervades U.S. TAVR developers’

strategic planning and behavior in the TAVR-AR space. An internal JC Medical presentation

evaluating “USA TAVR-AR Case Volumes and [JC Medical] Revenue Projections” assumes

that JenaValve and JC Medical will have 100% of market share through 2035. PX-1049 at 10;

see also Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 73:16—75:10. Gilbert Madrid, CEO of

LagunaTech—a U.S. medical device company that has clinically tested a TAVR-AR device in

Chile—testified that he monitors Trilogy and J-Valve but is not aware of other TAVR-AR

devices being developed outside of the United States. See Madrid Designation at 40:12-20.

JenaValve, meanwhile, considered it important to undertake “messaging and engagement”

regarding JC Medical’s J-Valve with hospitals deciding whether to implant a commercialized

Trilogy valve or a J-Valve in clinical development. Kilcoyne (JenaValve) Dep. at 73:11—74:16.

JenaValve did not contemplate similar outreach related to other TAVR-AR devices in

development. As JenaValve’s CEO explained, doing so “would not make sense” because “no

47

other product is in a clinical trial in the geographies that we are engaged in.” Jd. at 78:12-19.

“The other companies are irrelevant,” he added, “because they’re not in our universe.” Id.

Considering the foregoing record, the Court is not persuaded that other TAVR developers

whose TAVR-AR devices are not on the path toward FDA approval serve as effective

competitive constraints for developers of TAVR-AR devices in the United States. The Court

therefore concludes that the relevant geographic market is the United States.

2. Effects of the Proposed Transaction

Having now determined the relevant antitrust market—the research, development, and

commercialization of TAVR-AR devices in the United States—the Court proceeds to assess the

likely effects of the Proposed Transaction on competition within that market. As noted, Section

7 of the Clayton Act prohibits mergers whose effect “may be substantially to lessen competition,

or to tend to create a monopoly.” 15 U.S.C. § 18. To prove its entitlement to a preliminary

injunction in this Section 13(b) proceeding, the FTC is not required to prove that the Proposed

Transaction “would in fact violate Section 7,” but “need only show that there is a ‘reasonable

probability’” that it does so. Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 116 (quoting Staples, 970 F. Supp. at

1070, 1072); see also Whole Foods, 548 F.3d at 1036 (“[A]t this preliminary phase [the FTC]

just has to raise substantial doubts about a transaction.”).

As the FTC notes, JenaValve and Edwards are currently the only competitors in the

relevant market because their respective TAVR-AR devices, Trilogy and SOJOURN, are the

only two TAVR-AR devices that are on the path to obtaining FDA premarket approval.

According to the FTC, the Proposed Transaction, which would merge Edwards and JenaValve,

violates Section 7 of the Clayton Act in three ways. First, the FTC argues that the Proposed

Transaction violates Section 7 because, by allowing Edwards to acquire its only competitor, it

48

“tend[s] to create a monopoly.” See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 64 (quoting 15 U.S.C. § 18); see also

id. {| 65-77. Second, the FTC asserts that, by consolidating all current participants in the

TAVR-AR market, the Proposed Transaction results in market shares and concentrations that are

“so inherently likely to lessen competition” as to be presumptively unlawful. Philadelphia Nat’l

Bank, 374 U.S. at 363; see also FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 78-85. Third, the FTC maintains that the

Proposed Transaction is likely to substantially lessen competition, in violation of Section 7,

because it will eliminate substantial head-to-head competition between Edwards and JenaValve.

See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL {ff 86-139.

The Court will focus on the FTC’s second and third arguments. Although there is some

support in mid-20th century Supreme Court decisions for the FTC’s first argument—that the

“nontrivial acquisition of a competitor” alone suffices to establish a Section 7 violation,

regardless of its effect on competition, see Hosp. Corp. of Am. v. FTC, 807 F.2d 1381, 1385 (7th

Cir. 1986) (collecting cases)—the Supreme Court has since “cast doubt on the continued vitality

of such cases” by emphasizing “that the economic concept of competition, rather than any desire

to preserve rivals as such, is the lodestar that shall guide the contemporary application of the

antitrust laws,” see id. at 1386. Regardless, as set forth below, the Court finds that the FTC has

met its prima facie burden of showing a “reasonable probability” that an effect of the Proposed

Transaction “may be substantially to lessen competition.” Arch Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 116

(quoting Staples, 970 F. Supp. at 1072); 15 U.S.C. § 18. Specifically, the Court is convinced by

the FTC’s third argument—that the Proposed Transaction will likely eliminate the vigorous

competition in which Edwards and JenaValve currently engage. Below, the Court briefly

discusses the FTC’s second argument before turning to the third.

49

a. Presumption of Illegality

The FTC’s second argument is that because the Proposed Transaction seeks to combine

the only two participants in the U.S. TAVR-AR market, the “resulting market share and

concentration entails a presumption that the merger is illegal.” FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 78. In

Philadelphia National Bank, the Supreme Court held that “a merger which produces a firm

controlling an undue percentage share of the relevant market, and results in a significant increase

in the concentration of firms in that market is so inherently likely to lessen competition

substantially that it must be enjoined in the absence of evidence clearly showing that the merger

is not likely to have such anticompetitive effects.” 374 U.S. at 363. Applying Philadelphia

National Bank, courts examining horizontal merger cases have held the FTC can establish a

presumption of illegality by putting forward statistics “showing that the proposed

transaction . . . will lead to undue concentration [of firms] in the [relevant] market.” Staples, 970

F. Supp. at 1083.

Courts commonly employ the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (“HHI”)—a tool that

measures changes in market concentration—to evaluate the anticompetitive effects of a

contemplated merger. JOVIA, 710 F. Supp. 3d at 377; see also Anthem II, 855 F.3d at 349. The

HHI is calculated as the sum of the squares of each market participant’s share of the relevant

market. See, e.g., Tapestry, 755 F. Supp. 3d at 458. “By squaring individual firms’ market

shares, the HHI takes into account the relative size and distribution of the firms in a market,

increasing both as the number of firms in the market decreases and as the disparity in size among

thosé firms increases.” Id. (citation modified). An HHI close to zero indicates a competitively

structured market, while an HHI of 10,000 reflects a perfect monopoly. See id. Under the

Merger Guidelines, a merger is presumed anticompetitive if it increases the HHI by more than

50

100 points and results in a post-merger HHI exceeding 1,800. See id. at 458-59; Merger

Guidelines § 2.1.

The FTC maintains that the Proposed Transaction is presumptively illegal because it will

dramatically increase concentration in the U.S. TAVR-AR device market. See FTC’s

PFOF-PCOL 4 85. The FTC’s economic expert, Dr. Wilson, reached this conclusion by

calculating HHIs for the Proposed Transaction based on two metrics: the number of U.S. clinical

trial sites enrolled in Edwards’s and JenaValve’s respective clinical trials and the number of

TAVR-AR devices implanted by each company. See Wilson Rep. §{] 61-65. According to Dr.

Wilson’s calculations, after the Proposed Transaction, the HHI based on clinical trial sites would

increase from 5,356 to 10,000, as Edwards would be taking over all JenaValve sites, and the HHI

based on units implanted would increase from 8,063 to 10,000, as Edwards would be implanting

both the Trilogy and SOJOURN devices. See id. Regardless of metric, the FTC asserts that the

HHIs demonstrate an “undue concentration” in the U.S. TAVR-AR market. See Staples, 970 F.

Supp. at 1083; see also FTC’s PFOF-PCOL { 85.

Defendants challenge the FTC’s attempt to use a “short cut”—the Philadelphia National

Bank presumption—to establish its prima facie case. Defs.” PFOF-PCOL {| 266. Although a

presumption of anticompetitive effect might properly be applied in a commercial market from

which market shares can be calculated, Defendants caution that no court has ever applied this

presumption in an “innovation market” encompassing competitors in the research and

development (“R&D”) of a future product. See Defs.’ Opp’n at 4; Michael L. Katz & Howard

A. Shelanski, Mergers and Innovation, 74 Antitrust L.J. 1, 4-5 (2007). As Defendants urge, the

Court should decline the FTC’s invitation to apply this presumption here because neither

JenaValve nor Edwards has been authorized to market and sell their TAVR-AR devices,

51

meaning “there are no real market shares.” Defs.” PFOF-PCOL § 267. Defendants further

contend that in an innovation market, “the fact that a merger combines two previously

independent R&D streams tells the Court nothing about whether such combination will enhance

or diminish innovation.” Jd.

Given that the FTC’s proposed market currently includes only pre-commercial products,

the Court is not convinced that the FTC should be entitled to a presumption of illegality simply

based on market share and concentration statistics. In establishing this presumption, the

Philadelphia National Bank Court reasoned that it comported with economic theory showing that

in commercial markets, “competition is likely to be greatest when there are many sellers, none of

which has any significant market share.” 374 U.S. at 363 (citation modified); see also Katz &

Shelanski, supra, at 2 (“[W]hen producers face rivalry, they seek to attract customers through

lower prices and higher quality.”). But the FTC has not shown that this presumption typically

holds in innovation markets. Indeed, as Defendants note, the FTC once took the position that “a

general causal relationship between innovation and competition” had not been established in

such markets. Fed. Trade Comm’n, | Anticipating the 21st Century: Competition Policy in the

New High-Tech, Global Marketplace ch. 7, at 16 (1996),

https://www.fic.gov/system/files/documents/reports/anticipating-2 1 st-century-competition-

policy-new-high-tech-global-marketplace/gce_v1.pdf [https://perma.cc/69EP-DMR7]. A former

FTC Chairman even warned that “[flar from serving to protect consumer interests,” applying the

presumption in innovation markets would “routinely block[] mergers likely to accelerate

innovation.” Statement of Chairman Muris at 23, In re Genzyme Corp., No. 021-0026 (F.T.C.

Jan. 13, 2004), https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/attachments/press-releases/ftc-closes-its-

investigation-genzyme-corporations-2001 -acquisition-novazyme-pharmaceuticals-

52

inc./murisgenzymestmt.pdf [https://perma.cc/3NNR-RLNS]; see also Katz & Shelanski, supra,

at 5 (“[MJarket consolidation may in fact help to speed innovation by bringing complementary

assets together.”). But see Dissenting Statement of Commissioner Thompson at 3, In re

Genzyme Corp., No. 021-0026 (F.T.C. Jan. 13, 2004) (“I see no compelling reason why

innovation mergers should be exempt from . . . the presumption of anticompetitive effects.”),

https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/attachments/press-releases/ftc-closes-its-investigation-

genzyme-corporations-2001-acquisition-novazyme-pharmaceuticals-

inc./thompsongenzymestmt.pdf [https://perma.cc/66D5-T5QZ]. Given the FTC’s inconsistent

views on the issue—and considering the strength of the FTC’s other evidence establishing the

Proposed Transaction’s anticompetitive effects, detailed below—the Court deems it unnecessary

to decide whether Dr. Wilson’s market share and concentration evidence entitles the FTC to a

presumption of illegality.

b. Elimination of Head-to-Head Competition

If the FTC is not entitled to a general presumption of illegality, it must instead “make a

fact-specific showing that the proposed merger is likely to be anticompetitive.” United States v.

AT&T, Inc., 916 F.3d 1029, 1032 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (citation modified). “The Supreme Court has

adopted a totality-of-the-circumstances approach to [Section 7], weighing a variety of factors to

determine the effects of particular transactions on competition.” Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 984.

Only “examination of the particular market—its structure, history and probable future—can

provide the appropriate setting for judging the probable anticompetitive effect of the merger.”

Gen. Dynamics, 415 U.S. at 498 (quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 322 n.38); see also Arch

Coal, 329 F. Supp. 2d at 116 (“[A]}ntitrust theory and speculation cannot trump facts... .”).

53

The FTC maintains that Edwards and JenaValve “vigorously compete” in the market for

TAVR-AR devices in the United States and that the elimination of direct competition between

them is likely to harm consumers in that market, which include patients and physicians. See

FTC’s PFOF-PCOL 4 54, 86, 88. Indeed, courts have “recognized that a merger that eliminates

head-to-head competition between close competitors can result in a substantial lessening of

competition.” Sysco, 113 F. Supp. 3d at 61. The effects that result directly from the elimination

of competition between the merging parties are referred to as “unilateral effects.” See

Bertelsmann, 646 F. Supp. 3d at 39; United States v. Anthem, Inc. (“Anthem I’), 236 F. Supp. 3d

171, 216 (D.D.C. 2017). “The most obvious example of this phenomenon is a ‘merger to

monopoly’—e.g., where a market has only two firms, which then merge into one.” ProMedica

Health Sys., Inc. v. FTC, 749 F.3d 559, 569 (6th Cir. 2014) (quoting Merger Guidelines § 6).

The Court concurs with the FTC that the Proposed Transactions is likely to have

extensive anticompetitive effects. First, Edwards and JenaValve are currently the only two

competitors in the TAVR-AR market in the United States. Second, substantial evidence

demonstrates that Edwards and JenaValve vigorously compete in that market. Third, the

Proposed Transaction is likely to lessen that competition substantially.

i. Edwards and JenaValve Are the Only Competitors in the Relevant Market

Prior to Edwards’s acquisition of JC Medical, JenaValve and JC Medical viewed each

other as their closest competitors in the relevant market: TAVR-AR devices on the path toward

FDA approval in the United States. JenaValve was the first TAVR developer to clinically test a

TAVR-AR valve in the United States, completing enrollment of its ALIGN-AR pivotal trial for

the Trilogy device in 2022. See Kesselheim Rep. { 76. In 2023, Dr. Mark Turco became CEO

of JC Medical and oversaw the company’s receipt of an IDE to begin an EFS for its J-Valve

54

device. See Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 102:7-103:8; Kesselheim Reply Rep.

4] 22. After JC Medical launched its EFS in late 2023, Dr. Turco commented, referencing the

Trilogy valve, that JC Medical had an “opportunity to close the gap and be a very fast follower

with a likely better valve,” given J-Valve’s superior “ease of use,” among other advantages.

PX-1038 at 1. In an internal presentation earlier that year, JC Medical referred to JenaValve as

“Tour closest competitor” in the U.S. TAVR-AR market. PX-1037 at 16. JenaValve similarly

viewed JC Medical as its “main competitor.” PX-3057 at 2. JenaValve’s CEO testified that as

of the 2023 Cardiovascular Research Technologies (“CRT”) conference, JenaValve took JC

Medical seriously, as JC Medical “presented reasonably good data, [was] well capitalized,

and . . . selected several strong [principal investigators]” to lead its EFS. Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr.

(Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 96:25—98:13.

Additionally, several Edwards executives testified that, if the Proposed Transaction is

blocked, its SOJOURN valve (formerly J-Valve) would be competing with JenaValve’s Trilogy

valve. See, e.g., Nov. 19 Hr’g PM Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 78:18-79:5. Edwards’s CEO,

Mr. Zovighian, testified that Edwards would need a strategy update if the FTC prevails in its

merger challenge, as JenaValve would then become Edwards’s competitor. See id. at 79:6-13;

PX-1437 at 1. As part of that strategy update, Mr. Zovighian contemplated “[h]ow to make JC

[Medical] the first and best,” as well as how to “further slow down” JenaValve, including by

limiting Edwards’s provision of knowledge and funds to JenaValve beyond what is contractually

required under the parties’ Merger Agreement. PX-1437 at 1; see also Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Zovighian (Edwards)) at 78:21-79:5. JenaValve, meanwhile, demanded a “firewall” blocking

Edwards’s access to JenaValve information once it found out about Edwards’s acquisition of JC

Medical. Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 112:2-7. An Edwards executive

55

observed that it was “fair enough” for JenaValve to make this demand, as “the deal hasn’t closed

and we have a competing AR technology.” Jd. at 112:12—113:16. Defendants’ industry expert,

Dennis McWilliams, agreed that for Edwards, “JenaValve’s Trilogy device is the closest

competitor for U.S. TAVR-AR.” Nov. 25 AM Hr’g Tr. (McWilliams) at 107:8-11.

Although Defendants concede that the SOJOURN and Trilogy valves are close

competitors, they insist that Edwards views other TAVR-AR devices as “potential innovation

competitors,” regardless of location or development stage. Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL { 300. As

explained in Section IV.A.1.b, however, the FDA’s regulatory approval process for high-risk

medical devices is a significant barrier to entry for TAVR-AR valves in development abroad.

Furthermore, although Defendants track the development of TAVR-AR valves in other

countries, and other TAVR developers have published clinical trial data from abroad and

presented at U.S. conferences, Defendants are generally unaware whether TAVR developers

outside of the United States have concrete and imminent plans to initiate U.S. clinical trials.

Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 16:6-18:4. The Court considers that

Defendants’ ordinary course documents and testimony more strongly suggest that other TAVR

developers outside of the United States are not viewed as serious competitors. See, e.g.,

PX-1048 at 20; Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 96:25—99:17.

In the United States, it is clear that Edwards and JenaValve are not only the closest

competitors, but currently, the only two competitors in the TAVR-AR space. Defendants

acknowledge that SOJOURN and Trilogy are the only two TAVR-AR devices in clinical trials in

the United States and the only two to have been implanted in patients in the United States. See

Nov. 18 PM Ht’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (Jenavalve)) at 18:7—15; Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood

56

(Edwards)) at 32:2-8. Leading physicians—including Defendants’ witnesses—agree. See, e.g.,

Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 62:1—23.

Other than Defendants, LagunaTech is the only TAVR-AR developer that is based in the

United States. See FTC’s PFOF-PCOL § 73. |

a | See Madrid Designation at 108:19-22; 111:25—-113:24; see

also Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Keltjens (JenaValve)) at 31:23-32:6. As for other TAVR developers

abroad, the Court agrees with the FTC that “[s]imply publishing clinical data” and “attending

conferences in the United States,” without undertaking U.S. clinical testing for their TAVR-AR

valves, is “insufficient to affect the behavior of U.S. TAVR-AR manufacturers,” given that these

other TAVR-AR valves are not yet available for implantation in U.S. patients. See FTC’s

PFOF-PCOL 4 75.

ii. Edwards and JenaValve Vigorously Compete in the Relevant Market

Defendants’ ordinary course documents and testimony show that Edwards and JenaValve

spur each other to increase the pace of innovation and bring a superior TAVR-AR valve to

patients in the United States. Defendants compete in several areas, including valve sizes, patient

indications, speed to market, clinical testing, clinical outcomes, and pricing.

Expanding Valve Sizes

Edwards/JC Medical and JenaValve compete to expand their valve size offerings to cover

a broader range of patients. Currently, SOJOURN is designed to treat patients with aortic annular

perimeters up to 104 millimeters, while Trilogy cannot treat patients with perimeters greater than

90 millimeters. See PX-6006 at 2-3; Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 142. In a March 2024 email to

JenaValve’s Board of Directors, JenaValve’s CEO, Mr. Kilcoyne, observed that JC Medical was

57

using J-Valve’s larger size offerings to their advantage, and that JenaValve “need[ed] to have

one more additional large size to optimize market opportunity.” PX-2139 at 3-4; Nov. 18 AM

Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 99:22-101:13. That same month, in a presentation to its

Board, JenaValve made the case for a larger valve size, noting that “competitor J-Valve already

has a large valve size” and concluding that it was “imperative that we accelerate the XL

valve . . . to maintain our leadership position.” PX-2186 at 24-25 (citation modified). And in an

April 2023 presentation, JC Medical noted that J-Valve had an “advantage” over JenaValve with

its larger valve sizes. PX-1037 at 16.

Around that time, a principal investigator for JenaValve’s ALIGN-AR trial also pressured

JenaValve to develop a larger valve size. JenaValve’s CMO, Dr. Duane Pinto, told the principal

investigator that it would take two or more years for JenaValve to develop the larger valve, to

which the principal investigator responded that he was “worried J-Valve [wa]s gaining too much

of a foothold” and did not want to wait that long for a larger valve size for Trilogy. PX-2132 at

1; see also Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 91:11—93:7. At the evidentiary hearing,

Dr. Pinto testified that JenaValve is still in the process of developing a larger Trilogy valve,

which is expected to launch in two or three years. See Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve))

at 93:8-19; see also Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Keltjens (JenaValve)) at 123:8—25.

Expanding Patient Indications

Edwards/JC Medical and JenaValve also compete to cover a broader range of patient

indications. JenaValve’s pending PMA application, based on the ALIGN-AR trial, is for AR

patients who are at high surgical risk. JenaValve’s ARTIST trial seeks to expand Trilogy’s

indications to AR patients at low and intermediate surgical risk. See Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Sharma (Edwards)) at 151:7-152:5; Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 65:25-66:7. Ifthe ARTIST

58

trial is successful, Trilogy will thus be able to treat a larger portion of the AR population. See

Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 74:9-12. This is of “huge strategic importance,”

JenaValve executives observed, because obtaining multiple indications for Trilogy will help

JenaValve stay ahead of J-Valve and maintain market share dominance over J-Valve if both

devices are commercialized. PX-2042 at 1; see also Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sun (JenaValve)) at

53:23-54:1. As JenaValve’s Daniel Sun wrote in a corporate presentation, the ARTIST trial will

allow JenaValve to “extend [its] head start on J-Valve by moving on to low and intermediate risk

[patients] as [JC Medical] work[s] on their high-risk study.” PX-2041 at 7. Another JenaValve

presentation from March 2024 cited competitive pressure from J-Valve four times as a rationale

for accelerating the launch of the ARTIST trial. See PX-2138 at 8.

Speed to Market

JenaValve and JC Medical competed to bring their respective TAVR-AR devices more

quickly through the FDA approval process and to market. In March 2023, a JenaValve executive

observed that “[a] major takeaway” from the CRT conference, at which JC Medical presented,

was that “J-Valve is ramping up activities” and that, while JenaValve had the “lead,” it “will

need to maintain it.” PX-2436 at 2. JC Medical, meanwhile, sought to catch up to Trilogy,

noting in an April 2023 presentation that it “need[ed] to start [a] US pivotal trial before Trilogy

is approved.” PX-1037 at 16. A few months later, in August 2023, J-Valve obtained an IDE

from the FDA, to which Daniel Sun, at JenaValve, commented, “Hopefully the leadership

realizes it’s time to get ready for launch.” PX-2533 at 2. At the evidentiary hearing, Mr. Sun

testified that he would often “bring up J-Valve” with others at JenaValve as a reason to “move

faster” on projects like JenaValve’s ARTIST trial and the program to develop larger Trilogy

valves. Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sun (JenaValve)) at 50:1—21.

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Since acquiring JC Medical, Edwards has continued to focus on accelerating J-

Valve/SOJOURN. Upon learning the “disappointing news” that the FTC had brought a merger

challenge, Edwards’s CEO instructed the team responsible for J-Valve to go faster, considering it

his “duty” as CEO to challenge the team “to do anything possible” with J-Valve. Nov. 19 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Zovighian (Edwards)) at 45:2-46:6. Following through on their CEO’s orders,

Edwards leadership scheduled a meeting in August 2025 “specifically on how [to] accelerate

SOJOURN.” PX-1285 at 3; see also PX-1389 at 1; Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards))

at 86:23-87:8.

Clinical Testing

Dr. McCabe, a principal investigator for JenaValve’s ALIGN-AR trial, explained that

device manufacturers are “deliberate” in seeking out clinical sites and principal investigators that

will enable them to enroll patients quickly and execute the trial expertly. See McCabe Dep. at

74:9-75:6. This has been the case for Defendants. In organizing clinical trials for their

respective TAVR-AR devices, Edwards/JC Medical and JenaValve carefully selected clinical

sites and principal investigators that, in the companies’ views, would maximize the chances for

successful clinical trials. In early 2023, for example, soon after JC Medical announced that it

was contemplating an EFS for J-Valve, JenaValve’s CEO reported that JC Medical was “literally

chasing” down principal investigators who had participated in JenaValve’s ALIGN-AR pivotal

trial. PX-2181 at 2. In response to JC Medical “targeting all of our [clinical] sites,” a JenaValve

executive suggested communicating to JenaValve’s current and prospective priority clinical sites

“that involvement in J-Valve trials would preclude us [from] including them in the future.”

PX-2097 at 1. He wrote: “We need to. . . leverage our strength, leadership and

relationships . . . to present the practical reality of multiple AR trials in one site.” Id.

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JenaValve’s concern is not unfounded. As Dr. McCabe testified, given how “resource-

and effort-intensive” it is to enroll patients in trials, his preference as a principal investigator is to

avoid “competing trials for the same disease” in the same clinical site. McCabe Dep. at 70:1 1—

71:8. Conducting competing trials in the same site can, in fact, hurt patients, Dr. McCabe

explained, because the site has to split up eligible patients into two trials, which can slow down

clinical testing for medical devices and ultimately postpone their commercialization. See id. at

71:2-22. Accordingly, Medtronic’s Greg Larkin testified that “there is some competition”

between device manufacturers with competing trials for placing their products in different sites

and ensuring that physicians choose to enroll in their trials. Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Larkin

(Medtronic)) at 129:8-130:1.

Defendants disagree with Mr. Larkin. In their view, “[c]linical trials do not involve

competition in the ordinary sense and are not a proper antitrust market.” Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL

1] 235-42. Defendants explain that companies in clinical trials are not competing to implant as

many devices as possible—to maximize output, so to speak—because to get a device to

commercial approval as quickly as possible, companies aim to enroll the minimum number of

patients needed to satisfy clinical protocols. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at

60:10-21. Device manufacturers are also not attempting to maximize profits at the clinical stage,

Defendants note. By law, companies cannot charge sites or investigators a price for the device

greater than necessary to recover manufacturing and R&D costs. See Bailey Rep. {{] 62, 63

(citing 21 C.F.R. § 812.7); Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at 30:16-31:1. Moreover, according to

Defendants, Edwards and JenaValve do not face a scarcity of clinical sites or principal

investigators. For example, only about five percent of clinical sites in the United States equipped

to perform TAVR procedures are currently involved either in the JOURNEY trial for Edwards’s

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SOJOURN device or in the ARTIST trial for JenaValve’s Trilogy device—and a handful of sites

are involved in both trials. See Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 59:3-60:2; Bailey

Rep. 7 58.

The Court agrees that, at the clinical stage, device manufacturers are not seeking to

maximize output or profits, and that the total number of clinical sites and principal investigators

available to conduct TAVR trials exceeds Defendants’ current demands. Furthermore, to the

extent the FTC is arguing that a reduction in the number of companies competing for available

sites is itself an independent antitrust harm, the Court has already explained that it will not

presume illegality based on Dr. Wilson’s HHI calculations for clinical sites.

Nevertheless, as noted above, there is evidence that Defendants have competed for access

to some of the same clinical sites and principal investigators, even though there are more sites

and investigators than Defendants can use. See, e.g., PX-2097 at 1; PX-2181 at 2. The Court is

persuaded that such competition for clinical sites and investigators has benefitted patients, at

least indirectly. JenaValve, for example, sought to accelerate its ARTIST trial because of

competition from JC Medical at clinical sites, with Dr. Pinto writing in November 2023 that “it is

time critical and mission critical to get our ARTIST Sites buttoned up ASAP (Concern about

Jvalve).” PX-2104 at 1; Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 105:4-106:06. According

to Dr. Pinto, JenaValve also streamlined its patient enrollment process in part because of

concerns from principal investigators that patients would “jump to J-Valve.” Nov. 20 PM Hr’g

Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 93:20—97:3; see also PX-2132.

Clinical Outcomes

Edwards/JC Medical and JenaValve also compete on the quality of their respective

TAVR-AR valves, as measured across several dimensions, including mortality, valve

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embolization (when valve anchoring fails), and pacemaker rate (the rate at which a pacemaker

must be implanted along with the valve). In a May 2023 email to JenaValve’s CEO, Dr. Pinto

provided eighteen bullets summarizing the “clinical outcomes” from J-Valve’s EFS results. See

PX-2195 at 1. In turn, JC Medical analyzed Trilogy’s clinical data, concluding that J-Valve’s

“clinical performance ha[d] to match or be superior to Jena[V]alve’s” and that JC Medical

“need[ed] to start [a] US pivotal trial before Trilogy is approved.” PX-1037 at 16.

After the 2023 TCT Conference, JC Medical’s CEO wrote about “[g]reat excitement

around our valve and the opportunity for improvement” from JenaValve’s Trilogy valve,

including J-Valve’s better “pace{[maker] rates, larger annular dimensions, ease of use, [and] no

need for general anesthesia.” PX-1036 at 1 (citation modified). Meanwhile, a JenaValve

executive opined after analyzing JC Medical’s compassionate use data that Trilogy beat J-Valve

“on basically everything but pacemaker.” PX-2056 at 1. Later, after Edwards acquired JC

Medical, an Edwards executive wrote that J-Valve “may have [an] edge” on valve embolization

rates compared to Trilogy. PX-1289 at 2. JenaValve has devoted resources to improving

Trilogy’s pacemaker rate, with Dr. Pinto vowing in an April 2025 email to PIs that JenaValve is

“best positioned to figure this out and we will.” PX-3078 at 2.

Pricing

The FTC’s evidence shows that there is some price competition even at the clinical stage.

The FTC highlighted Defendants’ pricing strategies with respect to The Christ Hospital, a

clinical site that participated in both JenaValve’s ALIGN-AR trial and Edwards’s/JC Medical’s

EFS and JOURNEY trial. When JC Medical began its EFS, it did not charge The Christ

Hospital for the J-Valve device in clinical trial or compassionate use cases, at least initially. See

Kereiakes Dep. at 33:11-34:1, 48:6-17. Around the time Edwards acquired JC Medical, The

63

———————— EE ——————————E EE

Christ Hospital was being charged for each J-Valve device, a ie Se

after the JC Medical acquisition. See id. at 33:15-34:21. The Christ Hospital i

SES eee after which it agreed to participate in the JOURNEY pivotal

trial. See id. at 34:23-35:22.

JenaValve, meanwhile, initially charged The Christ Hospital a for the Trilogy

valve in the ALIGN-AR trial. See id. at 32:7-18. In the latter half of 2024, though, JenaValve

increased the price to ES for its LVAD study, which examines Trilogy in AR patients who

use left ventricular assist devices (“LVAD”) to combat end-stage heart failure, and its ALIGN-

AR continued access program, which permits clinical sites to continue implanting Trilogy

devices even after enrollment in the ALIGN-AR trial has ended. See PX-2232 at 1-3. After

JenaValve declined The Christ Hospital’s request to maintain the lower price, The Christ

Hospital decided to withdraw from these trials. See id. at 1-2. Although “unfortunate,” The

Christ Hospital communicated to JenaValve that “given the cost issue and other viable device

options available to us”—namely, J-Valve—withdrawing was the “best decision” for the

hospital. Jd. at 2.

Defendants argue that this evidence is not indicative of pre-commercial price competition

because the FTC did not establish that Edwards/JC Medical’s lower price for J-Valve was driven

by competition with JenaValve, as opposed to some other factor, or that this lower price exerted

competitive pressure on JenaValve. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL § 241. And Defendants’ economic

expert, Dr. Bailey, performed economic analyses indicating that, at several clinical sites hosting

trials for both the Trilogy and J-Valve devices, including The Christ Hospital, JenaValve did not

lower Trilogy’s price once JC Medical/Edwards began hosting a rival EFS or pivotal trial. See

Bailey Rep. at Exs. 13-19.

64

3 ee EE eee

The Court acknowledges that there is little evidence of JenaValve engaging in pre-

commercial price competition. See Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sun (JenaValve)) at 66:24-67:1 (“Q:

Has JenaValve ever used pricing or discounts to incentivize a physician to enroll Trilogy over J-

Valve? A: No.”). But JC Medical, at least, understood that J-Valve’s lower price would

incentivize enrollment of J-Valve over Trilogy. In late 2024, Dr. Kereiakes, a principal

investigator at The Christ Hospital, informed JC Medical’s CEO, Dr. Turco, that The Christ

Hospital had decided to forego participation in JenaValve’s LVAD study due to Trilogy’s high

price. See PX-1046 at 2. A large reason for this was that JC Medical had also agreed to conduct

an LVAD study, for which it offered J-Valve to The Christ Hospital for free. See id. at 2-3. Dr.

Kereiakes urged Dr. Turco to accelerate JC Medical’s LVAD study, predicting that the price

difference between the two valves would cause “everyone [to] want to use J-Valve and not

[Trilogy].” Id. at 2. Dr. Turco responded that he “could not agree more” and asked Dr.

Kereiakes to similarly urge Edwards, which had acquired JC Medical by that point, to initiate an

LVAD study. /d. at 1.

In sum, the Court considers that the FTC’s evidence shows a modest amount of pre-

commercial price competition. That is, Defendants’ pricing decisions for their TAVR-AR valves

in clinical trials seem to be influenced primarily by manufacturing and R&D costs and

secondarily by other considerations, such as accelerating enrollment in their clinical trials. The

Court further accepts that the incentive to lower prices as a means of accelerating enrollment in

trials is naturally strongest when there are multiple TAVR developers offering competing

TAVR-AR devices and clinical trials. And lower prices indisputably benefit the patients and

physicians who participate in clinical trials. As Dr. Kereiakes testified, The Christ Hospital can

65

EE

afford to enroll more patients in a clinical trial when the price of a device is lower. See

Kereiakes Dep. at 37:17—38:20.

Additionally, the Court finds that the FTC has established that Edwards and JenaValve

would engage in price competition once one or both of their TAVR-AR devices are

commercialized. For example, JenaValve’s Daniel Sun proposed pricing rebates on a

commercialized Trilogy device “in an effort to get [JOURNEY sites] to prioritize Trilogy

implants over J-Valve.” PX-2414 at 2. Furthermore, JenaValve planned to increase the list price

of Trilogy upon launch because JenaValve would have the only TAVR-AR device approved

commercially in the United States. See Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 93:15-

94:6. But JenaValve estimates that J-Valve’s entry into the commercial market would erode

JenaValve’s market share “15 to 20 percent.” PX-2090 at 1. Edwards, similarly, anticipated

setting a premium price for its AR platform if it acquired both JC Medical and JenaValve,

recognizing that, in that scenario, it would be “first to market” and have “one shot at setting the

bar on commercial price.” PX-1390 at 2. Additionally, Edwards would not “have to deal with

low-cost alternatives.” Jd.

iii. The Proposed Transaction Will Likely Lessen Competition Substantially

By eliminating head-to-head competition between Edwards and JenaValve, the Proposed

Transaction is likely to lessen competition substantially. As shown above, current competition

between Edwards and JenaValve—even at the clinical trial stage—has incentivized the firms to

make decisions that have benefitted and will continue to benefit patients and physicians.

JenaValve, for example, has responded to competitive pressure from Edwards/JC Medical by

seeking to accelerate the development of a larger Trilogy valve and enrollment in the ARTIST

pivotal trial—efforts that, if successful, will allow JenaValve to treat more AR patients.

66

Similarly, Edwards/JC Medical has sought to stay ahead of JenaValve by accelerating

development and clinical testing of SOJOURN/J-Valve, including by offering the device for free

to clinical sites. If the Proposed Transaction is consummated, Edwards will no longer face the

threat of a rival TAVR-AR valve beating it to market and cannibalizing its sales, reducing its

current incentive to accelerate the development of SOJOURN. Furthermore, if Edwards owns

both Trilogy and SOJOURN, it anticipates setting a premium price for its AR platform, as it

would not have to contend with competitor devices.

Edwards resists these conclusions. It argues that “Edwards has strong incentives to

innovate regardless of competitive pressure from JenaValve.” Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL {| 203-212.

The company’s “biggest competitor,” one Edwards executive testified, “is the disease” itself.

Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma (Edwards)) at 125:9. As another Edwards executive put it, the

company’s “north star” is to “‘get to zero percent mortality, zero percent stroke, [and] zero

percent on other complications,” and until that happens, Edwards’s “job isn’t done.” Nov. 20

AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 93:15-25. This guiding philosophy translates into an

economic incentive to “unlock[] the market,” “[drive] market growth,” and treat more AR

patients. Nov. 24 PM Hr’g Tr. (Sharma (Edwards)) at 125:11-15. And this, according to

Edwards’s CEO, is ultimately the reason for which Edwards wants both Trilogy and SOJOURN:

to develop a TAVR-AR solution “able to treat a broad range of patients.” Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr.

(Zovighian (Edwards)) at 79:21—80:4.

While the Court does not doubt Edwards’s bona fides, the central question here is not

whether Edwards would have strong incentives to develop SOJOURN if JenaValve were out of

the picture, but rather, whether Edwards would be meaningfully incentivized to develop both

SOJOURN and Trilogy if it owns the two devices. Economic theory predicts that this would not

67

be the case. As the FTC’s economic expert, Dr. Wilson, explained, “if two firms have products

that will ‘contest’ with each other for sales,” a merger would reduce the combined firm’s

“incentive to incur costs to develop [both] products.” Wilson Rep. { 89. This describes Trilogy

and SOJOURN: although the two TAVR-AR devices have certain differentiated features,

including sizing and frame design, their addressable populations overlap—so much so that

JenaValve and JC Medical predicted that the two devices would compete for market share. See

PX-2090 at 1 (estimating that J-Valve’s entry into the commercial market would erode

JenaValve’s market share “15 to 20 percent”); PX-1049 at 10.

Economic theory aside, Edwards contends that its experience in the TAVR-AS space

shows that it will have incentives to innovate in the TAVR-AR space even without commercial

competition. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 209. Between 2011 and 2014, Edwards’s TAVR-AS

device, SAPIEN, was the only commercially approved TAVR-AS device in the United States.

See id. Despite the lack of competition during this time, Edwards highlights that it did not stop

innovating. See id. By the time a second TAVR-AS device entered the commercial market—

Medtronic’s Core Valve—Edwards “had already expanded [SAPIEN’s addressable] patient

population, developed a second-generation device, and was working on a third.” Jd.

Although Edwards lacked commercial competition, however, it overlooks the fact that it

faced non-commercial competition even while SAPIEN was the only commercially approved

TAVR-AS device. Medtronic, for example, began a U.S. pivotal trial for CoreValve a year

before SAPIEN received commercial approval. See Kesselheim Rep. J 117. Dr. Kesselheim, the

FTC’s FDA regulatory expert, noted that panel-track supplements—FDA submissions signaling

innovations to approved devices, such as significant design changes or new indications—

occurred most often after CoreValve and SAPIEN were approved. Jd. §{ 101, 120. In any event,

68

ee

—=

Edwards’s record of developing SAPIEN despite a lack of commercial competition does not

show that Edwards would be incentivized to continue developing both Trilogy and SOJOURN

under similar circumstances.

Defendants next argue that the FTC did not prove that the Proposed Transaction would

result in substantial harm to innovation. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL {ff 231-33. Dr. Wilson, for

example, did not attempt to quantify the extent to which competition between Edwards and

JenaValve is currently driving innovation or analyze whether the Proposed Transaction will

reduce net R&D expenditure in the TAVR-AR market. See id. { 231. In contrast, Defendants

note that their economic expert, Dr. Bailey, did conduct an empirical analysis of Edwards’s

innovation incentives after the Proposed Transaction. See id. 4232 Dr. Bailey explained at the

evidentiary hearing that her analysis examined whether Edwards would find it profitable to

continue developing only the larger SOJOURN valve sizes that Trilogy currently lacks. See

Nov. 25 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bailey) at 17:17-19:20. Dr. Bailey concluded that even if Edwards owns

both Trilogy and SOJOURN, it would have a $76 million incremental profit incentive to

continue developing those additional SOJOURN valve sizes. See id.

Again, though, that analysis misses the point. If Edwards owns two TAVR-AR devices,

one of which can treat patients with larger aortic annuli, and one of which cannot, Edwards

would plainly find it profitable to continue developing the device that can treat more patients.

But Dr. Bailey did not analyze the more relevant question of whether it would be profitable for

Edwards to develop larger valve sizes for two TAVR-AR devices instead of one. See id. at

72:36. In fact, testimony from Edwards executives at the evidentiary hearing suggests that

Edwards may not pursue development of larger Trilogy valve sizes if the Proposed Transaction

is consummated. As discussed, JenaValve is developing a larger valve size for Trilogy, and if

69

the Proposed Transaction terminates, it plans to continue this effort, assuming it has the budget

for it. See Nov. 18 AM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 113:22—-114:12. However, because

SOJOURN already has large valve sizes and because Edwards has doubts about whether Trilogy

can support larger valve sizes, Edwards has yet to determine whether it would continue Trilogy’s

large valve program after the Proposed Transaction. See Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo

(Edwards)) at 32:20—33:23; Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 87:23-88:1.

Evidence at the hearing also indicates that Edwards has contemplated adopting J-

Valve/SOJOURN as its long-run TAVR-AR platform. In May 2024, shortly before Edwards

agreed to acquire JenaValve and JC Medical, Larry Wood, Edwards’s former Corporate Vice

President, suggested to other Edwards executives that an optimal “Gen 2” TAVR-AR product for

Edwards might turn out to be a “combination” of Trilogy and J-Valve. DX-0116 at 2; see also

Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 99:10-100:23. But after Edwards agreed to the dual

acquisition, Edwards’s Vice President of Strategy circulated materials for a leadership meeting

describing Trilogy as “Gen 1” and J-Valve as “Gen 2.” PX-1394 at 3. A “key priority”

discussed at this meeting—as reflected in notes taken by an Edwards employee—was launching

Trilogy as “Gen 1” and “proceed{ing] with [J-Valve] Gen 2 over JenaValve.” PX-1280 at 1; see

also Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 9:18-20, 12:13-18. Furthermore, in May

2025, Mr. Wood wrote to Edwards’s CEO that “[f]eedback from the doctors who have used

Jena[ Valve] and JC [Medical] is that JC is clearly the better platform” and that “{iJ]t is becoming

increasingly clear we have a next generation AR platform.” PX-1272 at 2.

The Court finds that in addition to reducing competition and the incentive to innovate in

both the pre-commercial and commercial TAVR-AR markets, the Proposed Transaction is likely

to produce anticompetitive unilateral effects once Trilogy and/or SOJOURN are commercialized.

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“The extent of direct competition between the products sold by the merging parties is central to

the evaluation of unilateral price effects.” H&R Block, 833 F. Supp. 2d at 81 (quoting Merger

Guidelines § 6.1). In a differentiated product market—or one in which products “are similar

enough to compete in a relevant market, but different enough that some customers prefer one

product over another”—unilateral effects are likely to be profitable under four conditions.

ProMedica Health, 749 F.3d at 569; see also FTC v. CCC Holdings Inc., 605 F. Supp. 2d 26, 68

(D.D.C. 2009). First, the products in the market must be differentiated. CCC Holdings, 605 F.

Supp. 2d at 68. Second, “the products controlled by the merging firms must be close substitutes,

i.e., ‘a substantial number of the customers of one firm would turn to the other in response to a

price increase.’” Id. (quoting United States v. Oracle Corp., 331 F. Supp. 2d 1098, 1117 (N.D.

Cal. 2004)). Third, “other products must be sufficiently different from the products offered by

the merging firms that a merger would make a small but significant and non-transitory price

increase [SSNIP] profitable for the merging firm.” /d. Fourth, repositioning—or, in other

words, new entry by competitors—must be unlikely. See id.

A future market including commercialized TAVR-AR devices in the United States would

meet these conditions. Although competing TAVR-AR devices, including Trilogy and

SOJOURN, are viewed as close substitutes for AR patients, they also differ in certain features, as

noted above. See Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 32:20-33:8. Furthermore, as Dr.

Wilson found, a merger would likely make a SSNIP profitable for Edwards. See Wilson Rep.

450. And, as further explained below in Section IV.A.3.a, new entry by competitors into a

commercialized market is unlikely in the short term because both Trilogy and SOJOURN are

expected to receive commercial approval between Bend 2029, but no other TAVR-AR

device is likely to do so before 2034. Accordingly, in a world where Edwards owns both Trilogy

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and SOJOURN and either is commercialized, the Court finds that unilateral anticompetitive

effects are very likely to be profitable for Edwards.

As a final matter, the Court acknowledges that this scenario is not a certainty. It assumes

that Trilogy and/or SOJOURN will obtain FDA approval—a nontrivial assumption, given the

inherent uncertainties surrounding the FDA’s premarket approval process. See Defs.’

PFOF-PCOL {ff 187-92. Nevertheless, a Section 7 analysis demands a “predictive judgment,

necessarily probabilistic and judgmental rather than demonstrable.” Hosp. Corp. of Am., 807

F.3d at 1389; see also Heinz, 246 F.3d at 719 (“Section 7 is, after all, concerned with

probabilities, not certainties.”). As Defendants recognize, the Court “must compare the world

with the merger against the world without” it to determine which one “is better for patients.”

Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 265.

Experts for the FTC and Defendants provided identical estimates of the average

likelihood of obtaining FDA approval for therapeutic medical devices at each stage of the

premarket approval process, drawn from the same academic publication. See Kesselheim Rep.

4] 66; Bailey Rep. § 13 & nn.20-21. According to that publication, the estimated probability of

FDA approval is 14% from the nonclinical stage, 29% from a feasibility study, 61% from a

pivotal study, and 81% from a PMA submission. See Kesselheim Rep. 66. Based on these

Statistics, Dr. Bailey calculated that the probability of both Trilogy and SOJOURN obtaining

FDA approval is 49.1%.° See Bailey Rep. § 54 & n.118. Given that “the probability of both

devices being approved is less than 50%,” Defendants argue that the prospect of anticompetitive

> Trilogy has a PMA submission pending (80.5% chance of FDA approval). SOJOURN

is undergoing a pivotal trial (60.9% chance of approval). 80.5% multiplied by 60.9% is 49.1%.

See DX-0289 (Bailey Rep.) | 54 n.118. Despite this simple mathematic calculation, both devices

are more likely than not to individually obtain FDA approval (80.5% and 60.9% respectively).

And the evidence presented at the hearing corroborates these positive predictions.

72

harm in a future commercial TAVR-AR market is “too speculative” to support a Section 7 claim.

Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL ff 187-92.

However, the danger of anticompetitive harm associated with an Edwards monopoly in

the commercial TAVR-AR market will materialize once either Trilogy or SOJOURN obtains

FDA approval. If Edwards owns both Trilogy and SOJOURN, it would be entirely within

Edwards’s control whether to continue developing both devices or whether to focus on one of the

devices and withdraw the other. Regardless, once either device obtains FDA approval, Edwards

would control the entire commercial TAVR-AR market, assuming that Trilogy or SOJOURN is

the first to market. The Court finds, in its “predictive judgment,” that this scenario is likely. In

other words, the Proposed Transaction would grant Edwards a total monopoly in the commercial

TAVR-AR market because at least one of Trilogy or SOJOURN—or both—will likely obtain

FDA approval at least several years before another TAVR-AR device manages to do so.

In the case of Trilogy, Defendants counter that JenaValve’s recurring issues with

i i make its timeline for FDA approval i

Defs.” PFOF-PCOL 4] 188. JenaValve completed enrollment in the ALIGN-AR pivotal trial for

Trilogy over three years ago, see Kesselheim Rep. { 76, and until recently, anticipated obtaining

FDA approval by 2025, see PX-0044 at 19. But, as explained above, in September 20235 it

Ww

Although JenaValve’s are not inconsequential, not even Defendants believe

that they doom Trilogy’s chances for FDA approval. See, e.g., Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Keltjens

(JenaValve)) at 122:16—-18 (“[I]f this transaction would have closed as we originally hoped for a

year ago, I think we would have PMA approval by today.”); iia or a;

Defs.’

PFOF-PCOL 4 79-92 (arguing that “Edwards can help Trilogy obtain FDA approval”). The

Court will assume, however, that the FDA will require

the FTC provided no evidentiary basis on which to conclude that

the FDA is likely to dispense with this request. A new test would push back JenaValve’s

expected timeline for approval »y i. See id. at 119:10-13. Nevertheless,

nothing in the record suggests that JenaValve is likely to fail the new test or fail to receive FDA

approval.

. Therefore, the Court finds it reasonable to expect that JenaVaive will

and receive FDA approval sometime in a

As for SOJOURN, Defendants offered little evidence to refute Edwards’s current

projections regarding its FDA approval timeline. Although Edwards anticipates receiving FDA

approval in 2029, Defendants note that since initiating the JOURNEY pivotal trial, Edwards has

twice opted to pause enrollment to address issues that could affect patient safety. See Defs.’

74

PFOF-PCOL 4 86, 319. However, Edwards resolved these unforeseen issues both times using

its “resources, creativity, and expertise,” and from the latest the Court heard at the evidentiary

PM Hr’g Tr. (Concepcion (Edwards)) at 22:2—10. Furthermore, Edwards’s current “best-case”

2029 projection presumably already factors in the delays from the recent enrollment pauses. See

Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL § 190; Nov. 19 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wood (Edwards)) at 106:12—23.

In view of the above, the Court is not concerned that the FTC’s alleged harms are based

on mere “ephemeral possibilities.” See FTC v. Meta Platforms Inc., 654 F. Supp. 3d 892, 927

(N.D. Cal. 2023). The Court concludes that, in addition to the immediate harm to innovation and

competition threatened by the Proposed Transaction, the FTC has also shown a “reasonable

probability” that a merger between Edwards and JenaValve may lessen competition substantially

by granting Edwards a monopoly in the U.S. TAVR-AR market.

3. Defendants’ Rebuttal Arguments

Defendants advance three principal arguments in an attempt to rebut the FTC’s prima

facie showing that the Proposed Transaction is likely to be anticompetitive. First, they argue that

numerous TAVR developers around the world could seek to enter the U.S. TAVR-AR market,

which would offset the anticompetitive effects of the Proposed Transaction. Second, they

contend that, given JenaValve’s limited resources and capabilities, merging with Edwards would

produce procompetitive “efficiencies.” Third, they argue that JenaValve has no feasible

alternatives outside of the Proposed Transaction. The Court finds that none of Defendants’

rebuttal arguments is availing.

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a. New Entry or Expansion

Defendants contend that numerous companies around the world are developing TAVR-

AR devices today, any of which could begin U.S. clinical trials and seek FDA approval for their

devices. See Defs.” PFOF-PCOL § 214. In predicting the likely future effects of a merger,

courts “consider the existence and significance of barriers to entry or expansion into the relevant

market by new competitors.” Anthem I, 236 F. Supp. 3d at 221. “In the absence of significant

barriers, a company probably cannot maintain supracompetitive pricing for any length of time.”

Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 987.

“[D]efendants may meet their burden of rebuttal by demonstrating low barriers to entry in

the relevant market.” Bertelsmann, 646 F. Supp. 3d at 47. “[B]ecause the burden of persuasion

ultimately lies with the [FTC], the burden to rebut must not be ‘unduly onerous.’” Anthem II,

855 F.3d at 350 (quoting Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 991). Defendants can meet their burden by

producing evidence showing that any entry by new firms, or expansion by existing firms, will be

“timely, likely, and sufficient in its magnitude, character, and scope” to counteract the Proposed

Transaction’s anticompetitive effects. Anthem I, 236 F. Supp. 3d at 222 (quoting H&R Block,

833 F. Supp. 2d at 73). The “relevant time frame” for entry to be considered timely is “two to

three years.” FTC v. Staples, Inc., 190 F. Supp. 3d 100, 133 (D.D.C. 2016); see also H&R Block,

833 F. Supp. 2d at 73 n.28.

Defendants have not shown that low barriers to entry into the market for TAVR-AR

devices in the United States offset the Proposed Transaction’s anticompetitive effects. As the

Court has explained, the FDA’s premarket approval process for high-risk medical devices is a

significant barrier to entry in this market. Defendants agree that the FDA sets a high clinical bar

to protect U.S. patients from suboptimal technologies. See, e.g., Nov. 19 PM Hr’g Tr.

76

(Zovighian (Edwards)) at 71:13-17. As JenaValve’s Dr. Pinto put it, “you can’t just have a new

valve and then start putting it into people,” because the FDA requires evidence of a device’s

safety and effectiveness before it can be implanted in humans or commercialized. Nov. 21 AM

Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at 8:11—24.

In Edwards’s view, though, the FDA’s regulatory requirements offer little guarantee that

the U.S. TAVR-AR market will remain unsaturated. Even if no other TAVR-AR devices

besides Defendants’ are in U.S. clinical trials today, Edwards insists that there are numerous

competing TAVR-AR developers “whose mere potential entry” into the U.S. market “drives

Edwards to constantly innovate.” Defs.” PFOF-PCOL { 213. Multiple TAVR-AR developers

have presented at recent U.S. medical conferences, which, according to Defendants, “suggest[s]

a strategic focus on the US market and possible entry.” Id. 4222. A U.S. strategic buyer could

also acquire a foreign TAVR-AR valve at any time, Defendants observe. See id. { 220.

Considering these possibilities, Edwards’s expert explained that it must “constantly be

innovating, constantly looking over [its] shoulder,” because “if [it] slow[s] down, the competitor

can show up, and it will be hard to catch up,” given the long development cycle of TAVR

devices. Nov. 25 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bailey) at 20:9-19.

It is true that the D.C. Circuit has found that, “[i]f barriers to entry are insignificant,”

even “the threat of entry can stimulate competition in a concentrated market, regardless of

whether entry ever occurs.” Baker Hughes, 908 F.2d at 988. Nevertheless, as explained, the

barriers to entry into the U.S. TAVR-AR market are not “insignificant.” See id. Furthermore,

Defendants offer little evidence suggesting an imminent threat of new entrants into the U.S.

market. Participation in U.S. medical conferences, for example, does not strike the Court as a

reliable indicator of a company’s intent to enter the U.S. market imminently. See Kesselheim

77

ami ee Mt

ke

Reply Rep. { 32 (noting that “research at any stage may be presented” at such conferences,

which are not specifically “intended for manufacturers with a plan to commercialize their

devices imminently in the United States”).

As far as the Court is aware, no other TAVR-AR developer has taken the first step

toward FDA approval. See Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kesselheim) at 33:7-19. The closest in this

regard appears to be Jenscare, a Chinese company with a transapical TAVR-AR device, Ken-

Valve, that has been approved for commercial use in China. See PX-1292 at 1. Edwards’s

internal documents anticipate Ken-Valve’s entry into the U.S. market, albeit without a specific

timeframe. See, e.g., DX-0197 at 15 (noting that Jenscare’s anticipated entry is “TBD”). Part of

the reason for Jenscare’s predicted entry, according to Edwards’s Jeremy Bierman, is that

Jenscare has completed an EFS in the United States for another TAVR device used for treating a

different heart valve. See Nov. 20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 108:2-109:10. Given

that Jenscare has already learned how to navigate the U.S. regulatory landscape, Mr. Bierman

surmised that Jenscare should logically pursue U.S. clinical testing for Ken-Valve, too. See id.

The Court agrees with this logic. However, other evidence suggests that J enscare’s entry may be

delayed. Ken-Valve is a transapical device, which the U.S. market disfavors. See, e.g., Nov. 21

AM Hr’g Tr. (Turco (JC Medical)) at 100:21-101:4, 122:8-17. Jenscare has recently announced

that it is developing a transfemoral TAVR-AR device, see id. at 122:8-17, but this, too, is not a

guarantee of imminent entry, see Kesselheim Reply Rep. {22 (noting that although early concept

development of the transfemoral J-Valve system began in 2015, the first in-human transfemoral

implantation did not occur until 2018).

Assuming, however, that Jenscare or another competitor enters the U.S. market in the

next year or so—which the Court agrees is possible, see Defs.’” PFOF-PCOL {If 243-49—

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such potential entry would not be timely enough to offset some of the most significant

anticompetitive effects likely to be caused by the Proposed Transaction. Currently, JenaValve

and Edwards are finishing up pivotal trials or navigating premarket application submissions. The

Proposed Transaction would grant Edwards ownership of the two TAVR-AR devices furthest

along in the FDA approval pipeline. See Nov. 25 AM Hr’g Tr. (McWilliams) at 104:8-105:13.

Although JenaValve projected receiving FDA approval in mm. the Court assumes for present

purposes that JenaValve could be required to pushing back Trilogy’s approval

timeline to 5. Nov. 18 Hr’g PM Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 85:3-8, 119:10-13.

SOJOURN, meanwhile, is expected to be approved in 2029. See PX-1048-007; Nov. 24 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Sirimanne (Edwards)) at 94:24-95:5. If Trilogy and SOJOURN are commercialized

consistent with these projections, Edwards would have a complete monopoly in commercialized

TAVR-AR devices in the United States as soon as this year, and no later than 2029.

For new entry to be considered timely, it must break up this expected monopoly within

two to three years of its formation. See H&R Block, 833 F. Supp. 2d at 73 n.28; Staples, 190 F.

Supp. 3d at 133; Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at 52:14-21. In other words, a competing

TAVR-AR valve should ideally obtain FDA approval by 2029, assuming the monopoly forms

this year or next, and no later than 2031 or 2032 in any event. However, both Dr. Kesselheim,

the FTC’s FDA regulatory expert, and Dr. Bailey, Defendants’ economic expert, agree that on

average, starting from the feasibility study stage, it takes medical device manufacturers eight and

a half years to complete the FDA’s premarket approval (“PMA”) process. See Kesselheim Rep.

4 60, Table 2; Bailey Rep. { 82; Nov. 25 PM Hr’g Tr. (Bailey) at 28:25-29:14. Ifa medical

device developer were to begin an EFS today for a new TAVR-AR valve, it would probably not

obtain FDA approval for the valve until 2034, according to the parties’ experts. This would

79

impermissibly leave Edwards as the sole supplier of commercialized TAVR-AR devices for at

least five years, and likely longer. See Nov. 24 AM Hr’g Tr. (Wilson) at 53:3-18.

Defendants submit that some parts of the PMA process can be shortened if a TAVR-AR

device has completed pre-clinical or clinical testing outside of the United States, see Nov. 21

AM Hrt’g Tr. (Vahl) at 26:12-27:7, which is the case for several competitor devices, largely

being developed in China, see DX-0197 at 15. Nevertheless, the Court heard from multiple

witnesses that clinical data associated with foreign devices, particularly from China, is viewed

skeptically by the FDA and frequently fails to meet the FDA’s regulatory standards. See Nov. 19

PM Hr’g Tr. (Bobo (Edwards)) at 128:15—129:8; Nov. 21 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kesselheim) at 34:2-17.

Accordingly, Dr. Kesselheim explained that “in nearly all cases, high-risk devices are approved

based on U.S. data.” Nov. 21 PM Tr. (Kesselheim) at 34:2-17. This conclusion is consistent

with the history of the TAVR-AS market in the United States, where “no TAVR-AS device was

approved solely on the basis of ex-U.S. data.” Jd. at 13:16—24. In view of the FDA’s strong

preference for U.S. clinical data, the Court accepts that any TAVR developer seeking to bring a

foreign TAVR-AR valve to the U.S. market will need to conduct U.S. clinical testing as part of

the FDA’s premarket approval process.

Still, the experts’ eight-and-a-half-year estimate for the PMA process assumes some

degree of variation. See id. at 68:17—-25. Defendants suggested during the hearing that if

Medtronic, for example, acquired a foreign TAVR-AR device, got through a feasibility study on

the same timeline that JC Medical did (nine months), then got through a pivotal trial and the

PMA process on the same timeline that Medtronic did with its TAVR-AS device (three years),

then Medtronic’s TAVR-AR device could be commercially approved four years from now. See

id. at 67:13-19. This is quite a rosy scenario, though. In fact, other evidence—including

80

testimony from Defendants and interventional cardiologists—suggests that the FDA’s regulatory

review process tends to take longer. See, e.g., Kereiakes Dep. at 30:10-31:21 (estimating that it

takes “five to seven years” to wind through the FDA approval process); PX-2413 at 15

(JenaValve presentation indicating that “[s]everal new dedicated AR TAVR devices [are] in

development, but all are in early clinical stages and will not be available for 5+ years”),

Kesselheim Rep. § 95 (estimating that other TAVR-AR devices “still have five to ten years

before they may obtain FDA approval”).

In sum, contrary to Defendants’ contentions, low barriers to entry do not characterize the

TAVR-AR market in the United States. Given the high market barriers and the typical length of

the FDA premarket review process, it is likely that any new entrants into the market will be

several years behind in the FDA approval pipeline compared to both SOJOURN and Trilogy.

Any new entry would therefore not be timely enough to offset the Proposed Transaction’s

expected anticompetitive effects. And considering Edwards’s expectation that the first entrant to

the market can “set[] the bar on commercial price,” see PX-1390 at 2, the Court finds an elevated

risk that, in the absence of competitors, the pricing for commercialized TAVR-AR products

would be detrimental to the interests of patients, doctors, and hospitals.

b. Procompetitive Effects

Defendants next argue that, rather than causing a substantial lessening of competition, the

Proposed Transaction would benefit competition and patients. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL 4] 306-

15. Notwithstanding the fact that a merger between Edwards and JenaValve would reduce the

number of firms in the U.S. TAVR space, Defendants suggest that the merger would increase

JenaValve’s chances of obtaining FDA approval for Trilogy, help it manufacture the device at

scale, and therefore maximize the number of patients it can treat. See id. As Defendants explain,

81

the FTC assumes that, if independent from Edwards, JenaValve will be a robust firm capable of

exerting meaningful competitive pressure on Edwards, both in the innovation market and a future

commercial market. See id. ¢ 306. According to Defendants, though, this JenaValve does not

and would not exist. See id. Without Edwards, Defendants maintain, JenaValve’s “dire financial

condition,” “persistent manufacturing and quality issues,” and inability to secure FDA premarket

approval would seriously constrain its ability to compete in the U.S. TAVR-AR market. See id.

qq 153, 306.

These arguments invoke two commonly asserted rebuttal grounds in Section 7 cases: the

“weakened competitor” defense and the “efficiencies” defense. The weakened competitor

defense requires the defendant to make “a substantial showing that the acquired firm’s weakness,

which cannot be resolved by any competitive means, would cause that firm’s market share to

reduce to a level that would undermine the government’s prima facie case.” FTC v. Univ.

Health, Inc., 938 F.2d 1206, 1221 (11th Cir. 1991). In other words, “a defendant may rebut the

government’s prima facie case by showing that the government’s market share statistics”—or, in

this case, the FTC’s assumptions about JenaValve’s finances and capabilities—‘‘overstate the

acquired firm’s ability to compete in the future,” such that a “merger would not substantially

lessen competition.” See id. The efficiencies defense, meanwhile, is premised on the argument

that “efficiencies” resulting from a merger “will offset any potential anticompetitive effects of

the merger.” CCC Holdings, 605 F. Supp. 2d at 72; see also Sysco, 113 F. Supp. 3d at 81 (“[{Jn

some instances, efficiencies resulting from the merger may be considered in rebutting the

government’s prima facie case.’’); Heinz, 246 F.3d at 720. The Court reviews the weakened

competitor and efficiencies defenses in turn.

82

i. Weakened Competitor Defense

Even if JenaValve receives FDA approval for the Trilogy device, Defendants assert that

the company faces weaknesses and limitations that would prevent it from successfully

commercializing the device. See Defs.’ PFOF-PCOL § 46. For example, Defendants argue that

JenaValve does not have the manufacturing capacity to produce valves at the scale required to

commercialize Trilogy. Jd. § 47. Each Trilogy valve ‘Ld lL LC

using porcine pericardial tissue. Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 113:6—114:25.

JenaValve’s CEO explained at the evidentiary hearing that the company has i

the cost of manufacturing each valve is “‘astronomical,” as one Edwards executive put it. Nov.

20 AM Hr’g Tr. (Bierman (Edwards)) at 102:24—-103:2.

According to Defendants, JenaValve also lacks adequate financial resources. See Defs.’

PFOF-PCOL § 52. JenaValve’s CEO testified that the company

(A sel See Nov. 18 PM Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve))

at 122:7-16. Moreover, JenaValve does not have enough clinical support staff to consistently

meet the demand for Trilogy valves in clinical trials. See Nov. 21 AM Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at

13:14-14:11. Interventional cardiologists serving as principal investigators at these sites

described having to delay valve implantations due to the unavailability of valves or support staff.

See, e.g., Nov. 25 AM Hr’g Tr. (Chetcuti) at 1 1:22-12:13;° Nov. 21 AM Hr’g Tr. (Vahl) at

© Before the evidentiary hearing, the FTC moved to exclude the testimonies of Dr.

Stanley Chetcuti and Dr. Vinod Thourani—both principal investigators for the Trilogy and/or

SOJOURN pivotal trials—on the basis that the doctors had “inappropriately interfered with the

83

33:12-34:22. Due to resource and personnel constraints, JenaValve has delayed certain

innovation efforts, including the development of larger Trilogy valve sizes. See Nov. 18 PM

Hr’g Tr. (Kilcoyne (JenaValve)) at 123:4-124:8; Nov. 20 PM Hr’g Tr. (Pinto (JenaValve)) at

152:11-15.

Furthermore, Defendants claim that JenaValve’s limited resources undercut its ability to

support a national commercial launch of the Trilogy valve, assuming it obtains FDA approval.

According to Defendants, JenaValve’s internal projections contemplate only a constrained

launch at a limited number of sites if the Proposed Transaction does not go through.

Specifically, 2023 projections show that in a base model, JenaValve contemplated activating [ij

sites and implanting [il valves in the first two years following Trilogy’s commercialization,

while an “accelerated” model that assumed a merger with Edwards projected the activation of

a sites and the implantation of i valves during the same period. DX-0060 at 18; see also

DX-0189 at 11 (noting that the 2025 budget does not cover “[c]omprehensive buildout of

internal commercial infrastructure”).

FTC’s ability to take written and deposition discovery.” FTC’s Mot. Exclude Testimony at I,

ECF No. 108-1. Defendants opposed the motion, arguing that

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