Redzepagic v. Secretary of Health and Human Services

In the United States Court of Federal Claims

OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS

No. 19-853V

Filed: March 19, 2025

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

SANELA REDZEPAGIC, *

*

Petitioner, *

v. *

*

SECRETARY OF HEALTH *

AND HUMAN SERVICES, *

*

Respondent. *

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Maximillian Muller, Esq., Muller Brazil LLP, Dresher, PA, for petitioner.

Catherine Stolar, Esq., U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.

RULING ON ENTITLEMENT1

Roth, Special Master:

On June 10, 2019, Sanela Nicocevic filed a petition on behalf of her minor child, S.R., for

compensation pursuant to the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program.2 Petition, ECF

No. 1. Sanela Redzepagic was substituted as petitioner when she reached the age of majority.

ECF No. 30-31. Petitioner alleges that she developed Guillain-Barré Syndrome (“GBS”) as a

result of the influenza (“flu”) vaccine she received on January 29, 2018. Petition, ECF No. 1.

In his initial Rule 4(c) Report, respondent argued that petitioner had not established a

Table GBS claim following her flu vaccine because her onset was 46 days after vaccination. ECF

No. 21 at 7-8. However, in an amended Rule 4(c) Report, respondent stated that he would not

continue to defend the case and requested a ruling on the record regarding entitlement based on

the record as it currently existed. See ECF No. 26 at 1. Petitioner then filed her Motion for

Ruling on the Record and respondent responded thereto. ECF Nos. 33, 35.

1

Because this Ruling contains a reasoned explanation for the action taken in this case, it must be made publicly

accessible and will be posted on the United States Court of Federal Claims’ website, and/or at

https://www.govinfo.gov/app/collection/uscourts/national/cofc, in accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002.

44 U.S.C. § 3501 note (2018) (Federal Management and Promotion of Electronic Government Services). This

means the Ruling will be available to anyone with access to the internet. In accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b),

the parties have 14 days to identify and move to redact medical or other information, the disclosure of which would

constitute an unwarranted invasion of privacy. Any changes will appear in the document posted on the website.

2

National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755. Hereinafter, for ease of

citation, all “§” references to the Vaccine Act will be to the pertinent subparagraph of 42 U.S.C. § 300aa (2018).

Based on the medical records, affidavits, expert report of Dr. Simpson and medical

literature causally connecting petitioner’s diagnosis of GBS with the flu vaccination that she

received and for the reasons expressed below, I find petitioner’s evidence sufficient to meet her

burden in establishing entitlement to compensation.

I. Procedural History

The petition was filed on June 10, 2019, along with medical records and the affidavit of

petitioner’s mother, Sanela Nicocevic. Petitioner’s Exhibits (“Pet. Ex.”) 1-6. The case was

assigned to me on June 11, 2019, and an initial order was issued on the same date. ECF No. 4.

Petitioner filed a statement of completion on June 12, 2019. ECF No. 5.

Additional medical records and a statement of completion were filed on September 10,

2019. ECF Nos. 9-10. Respondent filed a status report on December 9, 2019, advising that he

was willing to entertain a demand from petitioner. ECF No. 11. The parties engaged in

settlement negotiations for several months. See ECF Nos. 13-14, 16, 18. Petitioner continued

filing updated medical records during that time. Pet. Ex. 8-10, ECF No. 15; Pet. Ex. 11, ECF No.

17.

On August 10, 2020, the parties advised the Court that they had reached an impasse. ECF

No. 19. Respondent was directed to and thereafter filed his Rule 4(c) Report on November 20,

2020. ECF No. 20; Non-PDF Scheduling Order, issued Sept. 21, 2020; ECF No. 21.

Petitioner then filed an expert report, curriculum vitae, and medical literature from Dr.

David Simpson. Pet. Ex. 12-24, ECF No. 23.

Following an initial request to file an expert report, respondent instead filed an amended

Rule 4(c) Report on August 9, 2021, stating that “he will not continue to defend this case during

further proceedings on entitlement before the Office of Special Masters, and requests a ruling on

the record regarding petitioner’s entitlement to compensation” while reserving “his right to a

potential appeal of the entitlement decision.” ECF Nos. 24-25; ECF No. 26 at 1.

A status conference was held thereafter on October 26, 2021 for clarification of

respondent’s position. The parties agreed to move forward with the filing of a motion for ruling

on the record. ECF No. 27. Petitioner was also noted to have reached the age of majority, and an

affidavit was ordered from her detailing the events in this case. Id.

On December 9, 2021, petitioner filed her affidavit and copies of text messages she sent

to her mother. Pet. Ex. 25-26, ECF No. 29. Sanela Redzepagic was substituted as petitioner on

December 17, 2021. ECF No. 30-31.

Petitioner filed a Motion for Ruling on the Record on January 24, 2022. ECF No. 33.

Respondent filed a response on April 25, 2022. ECF No. 35.

I have determined that the parties have had a full and fair opportunity to present their

cases and that it is appropriate to resolve this issue without a hearing. See Vaccine Rule 8(d);

2

Vaccine Rule 3(b)(2); Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 945 F.3d 1362, 1366

(Fed. Cir. 2020) (noting that “special masters must determine that the record is comprehensive

and fully developed before ruling on the record.”). Accordingly, this matter is now ripe for

resolution.

II. Background

A. Petitioner’s Medical History

Petitioner presented to her primary care physician (“PCP”) on January 29, 2018 for a

physical. She was a healthy 15 year old with no prior medical history, who received all her

childhood vaccinations without event. Pet. Ex. 3 at 35. An examination was normal, and she

received the subject influenza vaccine. Id. at 37-38.

On March 20, 2018, petitioner presented to the Stamford Health Emergency Room

(“Stamford ER”) for generalized body aches that began on Saturday3 and were worse in her legs

than in her upper body. Pet. Ex. 9 at 136. She had no fever, was not sick, and had not traveled.

She described pain in her lower back to lower legs that was sharp, mild to moderate, and

intermittent, aggravated by movement and ongoing for three to four days. She reported that the

symptoms started after she was vigorously exercising. Id. The impression was myositis, and she

was prescribed NSAIDs and discharged. Id. at 138-39.

Three days later, on March 23, 2018, petitioner returned to the Stamford ER. Pet. Ex. 9 at

104. She reported that her weakness and body aches were unchanged since she presented two

days ago. She was now unable to walk without calf pain, and she had some dizziness and blurred

vision since taking the Motrin prescribed when she presented previously. Id. Her blood work was

normal. She had a headache that resolved after eating. The impression was leg cramps. Id. at

104-06. She was discharged and walked out of the ER, but she felt weak while waiting for her

mother to get the car and was found lying on her side. She refused reevaluation. Id. at 107.

The following day, March 24, 2018, petitioner presented to Optimus Health Care Clinic

reporting “[t]otal body weakness.” Pet. Ex. 3 at 31. Her mother reported that petitioner had been

sick since getting the flu vaccine at the end of January and had presented to the ER twice for

generalized body aches and weakness. Her mother expressed concern for GBS. Id. She reported

no family history of muscle disorders, and that petitioner began having difficulty walking last

week then became unable to walk and had to be picked up from school. Petitioner denied leg

pain but reported toe numbness and tingling and weakness in her feet mainly when walking. She

reported tingling in her fingertips, jaw pain, difficulty eating, and headaches. She had dizziness

when rising, felt unsteady, and was experiencing “room spinning sensation.” Id. On examination,

she had tenderness in the back of her legs, leg weakness, and unstable gait, but normal reflexes

and strength. The assessment was myalgias and headache. Id. at 33. She was prescribed muscle

relaxers for leg pain and advised to continue over the counter NSAIDs. Id.

On March 25, 2018, petitioner returned to the Stamford ER reporting continued bilateral

lower extremity weakness and difficulty walking. Pet. Ex. 9 at 80. She reported no fever,

3

The Saturday prior to this presentation was March 17, 2018.

3

shortness of breath, or pain, and had been seen in the ER numerous times for the same

complaints since receiving the flu vaccine in January. Pet. Ex. 9 at 80. The weakness in

petitioner’s lower extremities had progressed over the past 24 hours. Her mother reported she

was receiving IVIG for “peripheral neuropathy” herself. Pet. Ex. 9 at 80. Petitioner had weakness

in the lower extremities on examination. Id. at 81-82. The differential diagnosis included GBS,

myalgia, myositis, post viral weakness, ADEM, and transverse myelitis. Id. at 82. A head CT

was unremarkable but for a probable pineal cyst. Id. at 83. Petitioner was transferred to Yale

New Haven Children’s Hospital (“Yale”) at the recommendation of pediatric neurology. Id. at

83-84.

Upon arrival at Yale, petitioner’s extremity weakness was noted, and was the concern for

GBS versus cord compression from the Stamford ER. Pet. Ex. 4 at 29. Petitioner reported

headaches relieved with Advil, dizziness on standing, and blurry and double vision in her left eye

that began two days ago. Id. She reported that she had flu-like symptoms three weeks ago and

presented to the Stamford ER three times for bilateral lower extremity weakness. Her blood work

and CT had been normal, and her bilateral lower extremity weakness was attributed to over-

exhaustion from working out. Id. at 11, 29. During a neurology consultation, she reported that

she received a flu shot in January 2018 and developed flu-like symptoms which resolved but

then reoccurred several weeks later. She then developed lower extremity pain and weakness, that

was greater on the right than on the left. The weakness had gotten worse over the past few days.

Her mother had recently been diagnosed with “peripheral burning neuropathy,” but was not sure

what kind of neuropathy. The mother had no weakness but had shooting pain down her legs and

had a recent IVIG infusion. Id. at 10, 29.

Petitioner was admitted and a lumbar puncture was ordered. Pet. Ex. 4 at 15. Extensive

viral labs were ordered, which were negative for viruses. Id. at 22-23, 58-59. The neurology

assessment noted an otherwise healthy teen with asymmetrical weakness, diffuse hyporeflexia,

and intermittent blurry/double vision. GBS, transverse myelitis, neuromyelitis optica, and other

demyelinating processes or cord compression were noted as concerns. Id. at 43. The lumbar

puncture showed albuminocytologic dissociation, with CSF protein at 162 and 9 WBCs,

consistent with GBS. Id. at 44. Brain and spine imaging revealed enhancement of the cauda

equine nerve root with no other abnormalities, also consistent with GBS. Id. at 35-36, 44. There

was no bladder or bowel involvement. Id. at 33. The record documented “[c]urious infectious

component possible with mother impacted with b/l LE neuropathy without diagnoses of

diabetes.” Id. at 32. Two days of IVIG was ordered, with PLEX to be considered if she

worsened, and she was to be closely monitored. Id. at 44.

Petitioner experienced significant improvement with two days of IVIG. She could

ambulate and demonstrated improved muscle strength. She was discharged home on March 28,

2018, and was to attend outpatient rehabilitation. Pet. Ex. 4 at 48-49.

At a follow-up visit with her pediatrician on April 2, 2018, petitioner continued to report

poor appetite, nausea, blurred vision, and headache. She started physical therapy, and her

bilateral leg weakness was slowly improving. Pet. Ex. 3 at 27. She returned on April 5, 2018,

after fever the day prior but no upper respiratory symptoms. She reported continued

improvement and was walking without assistance. She still felt some weakness in her arms and

4

legs. Id. at 23. There were no sensory abnormalities noted, and her gait, stance, and reflexes were

normal. Id. at 25.

A physical therapy note from April 25, 2018 documented a 15 year old with GBS that

started around March 10 or 11 after receiving a flu shot. She started feeling tingling in her hands

and feet then started walking funny due to weakness. She went to the ER multiple times and

received two days of IVIG after the GBS diagnosis. Her symptoms were a lot better, but she felt

uncomfortable walking and was not 100% confident, and she was getting a lot of headaches. Pet.

Ex. 3 at 57; Pet. Ex. 8 at 69.

At a follow-up visit on April 27, 2018, the neurologist noted steady improvement. She

was attending physical therapy and able to walk but was not entirely back to baseline. Pet. Ex. 5

at 7. Petitioner reported suffering her first headache more than a year ago, but her headaches had

worsened since the lumbar puncture. She reported frontal and temporal bilateral headaches with

photophobia. Her headaches were better when laying down in a dark room. She had no nausea or

vomiting or aura or warning. She was taking Advil daily. Id. She was in high school and did well

academically. She had resolving GBS and had regained the reflexes she lost during the acute

phase of her illness, but had migraines without aura and chronic daily headache. She was to

continue with physical therapy, stop taking Advil, and return in three months. Id. at 7-8.

Petitioner attended 12 PT sessions and was discharged on June 25, 2018 with an at-home

exercise program. She had made gains in strength, coordination, and balance with reduced

fatigue and improved functional mobility. Pet. Ex. 9 at 43-44.

Petitioner returned to the neurologist on September 27, 2018. She reported no weakness

or tingling and had finished physical therapy, but she continued to report headaches with

photosensitivity. Pet. Ex. 5 at 9. It was noted that she did not eat well and was not doing the at-

home exercises provided by physical therapy. She expressed anxiety over schoolwork. Id. The

neurologist’s impression on that day was a 15 year old with a history of GBS and migraine

headaches. Her neurological exam was normal. She was overusing Advil, had poor nutrition

during the day, and was not sleeping enough at night and napping frequently after school.

Migraine prevention was discussed in detail. Id. at 11-12.

Petitioner returned to the neurologist on November 15, 2018 for continued headaches.

Pet. Ex. 5 at 13. She reported improvement since her last visit, with headaches only occurring a

couple of times a month. She was now eating breakfast, which was helping. She was often

stressed; sleep was still problematic, and she was often up until 2:00 am. She was not exercising

but her strength continued to improve. Id.

On February 2, 2019, petitioner presented to the pediatrician with a rash on her face for

about a month that worsened a few days before. Pet. Ex. 3 at 20. She also had a rash on her left

elbow and upper chest. The rash was slightly itchy, and she felt fatigued. Her mother was

concerned about lupus. Id. The examination was normal but for mild urticaria on her cheeks,

mild eczema on her left elbow, and pale erythematous light rash on her chest. Id. at 21. Blood

work was ordered, and she was prescribed Cephalexin for her rash and advised to do a “bleach

bath” once a week for the eczema. Id. at 22.

5

At a follow-up visit on February 8, 2019, she reported improvement of the rash on her

face, chest, and arms, but it was still itchy. She had no history of fever, no upper respiratory

symptoms, and no sick contacts or recent travel. The findings were otherwise normal. Pet. Ex. 3

at 12-15.

Petitioner was seen in the Stamford ER on March 24, 2019 for knee pain. She was

dancing in heels at a party and her knee “popped out.” She had significant pain with weight

bearing. Pet. Ex. 9 at 8. X-rays were negative but she had some soft tissue swelling. She was

encouraged to take Tylenol or Motrin and told to ice the knee. Id. at 9.

Petitioner presented to a rheumatologist on March 28, 2019 for evaluation of her facial

rash. She described waxing and waning itchy red patches on her cheeks, nose, and chin that felt

dry and bumpy or raised. She used Aquaphor, which helped the dryness and itching. Pet. Ex. 7 at

6. She reported a history of chronic headache, an oral ulcer that resolved a month ago, fatigue,

and a recent knee injury. She also reported she may have color changes in her hands with cold

exposure. Her mother expressed concern about lupus. Petitioner’s ANA was low positive, which

is a nonspecific finding and seen in up to 20% of the healthy pediatric population, and her other

labs were normal. Id. She was wearing makeup making the rash difficult to see, but it did not

appear to be the classic malar rash of lupus. Her fatigue seemed to be related to sleep hygiene.

The assessment was pruritic rash of unclear etiology, and no further testing was recommended.

Id. at 10.

Petitioner presented to urgent care on July 3, 2019 for facial swelling and rash. Pet. Ex.

10 at 2. She had large urticaria on her cheeks and was told to use Benadryl or Claritin for itching.

Id. at 3.

Petitioner presented for her annual physical on July 22, 2019. Pet. Ex. 8 at 6. She

reported a rash that would come and go, usually on her face and torso. Her examination was

normal, and she was assessed with a rash. Id. at 6-9.

B. Affidavit of Sanela Nicocevic

Ms. Nicocevic is petitioner’s mother. She submitted an affidavit that affirmed petitioner’s

receipt of an influenza vaccine on January 29, 2018, and that petitioner developed GBS, which is

recognized by the Vaccine Injury Table. She further affirmed that petitioner suffered the residual

effects of GBS in excess of six months. Pet. Ex. 6 at 1.

C. Affidavit of Petitioner

Petitioner affirmed that she went to the doctor on January 29, 2018 for a checkup and

received a flu shot. Pet. Ex. 25 at 1. “Right after the shot, I started experiencing flu-symptoms. I

couldn’t go to school for a few days because I had a fever, started throwing up, and was sore.”

She felt better after about a week and returned to school. Id.

Petitioner affirmed that she got sick again for a few days around March 7, 2018, with flu-

like symptoms, fatigue, and nausea. Pet. Ex. 25 at 1. She then began getting sharp cramps in the

6

legs, but was “still going to school with all that pain and trying to be present.” She would have to

call her mother to pick her up because she was unable to go up the stairs at school. Id. Petitioner

believes this occurred between March 10 and March 20, 2018. Pet. Ex. 25 at 1. She stopped

going to school because the symptoms were getting worse. Id.

According to petitioner, she then started to have numbness and tingling in her toes and

feet, and she could not walk. Her mother took her to the ER multiple times, but there was no

diagnosis. Pet. Ex. 25 at 1-2. She was told it was muscle cramps and was given ibuprofen, which

did not help. Id. at 2.

Petitioner affirmed that she stayed home in bed and could not walk, stand, or do anything.

Her mother took her to a clinic begging for answers, but none were given. Pet. Ex. 25 at 2. The

next morning, the ER called and told them to come back right away. She was then transferred to

Yale New Haven Children’s Hospital, where she underwent a spinal tap and other testing. Id.

She was diagnosed with GBS, received three days of IVIG, and was in the hospital for a week.

She couldn’t go to school because she was weak and could not walk properly. She went to

physical therapy for three months after her hospitalization. Id.

According to petitioner, she also started to have bad migraines at this time and had to see

a neurologist. She missed a lot of school and transferred schools because she was so behind. Pet.

Ex. 25 at 2. About two and half years ago, she dislocated her knee and had to use crutches for a

week. She thinks this was partially because her legs were still weak. She still gets tired, cannot

walk or stand for long periods of time, and feels her legs are weaker. Id.

D. Petitioner’s School Attendance Record

Petitioner was referred to Stamford Academy from her district school, Stamford High

School, due to extensive absences. The record shows her absence from school in early 2018 for

short- and long-term illness. However, petitioner was routinely tardy or absent prior to and after

the dates of her GBS illness. See generally Pet. Ex. 11.

E. Other Evidence

Petitioner filed some text message exchanges with her mother from February 1, 2018

through April 2018 from instances when she did not feel well. Pet. Ex. 26.

III. Petitioner’s Expert, Dr. David Simpson

A. Qualifications

Dr. Simpson is a Professor of Neurology and the Director of the Neuromuscular Division

and Clinical Neurophysiology Laboratories at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai,

where he has worked as an attending neurologist since 1984. He is board-certified in

neuromuscular and electrodiagnostic medicine, psychiatry, and neurology, with subspecialties in

clinical neurophysiology and neuromuscular medicine. Pet. Ex. 12 at 1. Dr. Simpson has

published and lectured extensively about neurological disorders, including peripheral neuropathy

7

and Guillain-Barré Syndrome, and electrodiagnosis. He maintains a clinical neurology practice

based in the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, an academic medical center, where he

supervises and trains medical students, residents, and fellows. His specialty is neuromuscular

disorders, which covers a wide range of peripheral nerve and muscle diseases, with Guillain-

Barré Syndrome and CIDP being an important part of that spectrum. Pet. Ex. 12 at 1; Pet. Ex. 13.

B. Opinion

Dr. Simpson detailed petitioner’s medical history following her receipt of the flu vaccine

on January 29, 2018. Pet. Ex. 12 at 2-4.

He explained that acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (“AIDP”), also

known as GBS, is a disorder characterized by progressive limb weakness, reduced reflexes, and

sometimes autonomic impairment. Pet. Ex. 12 at 4. Cerebral spinal fluid (“CSF”) may show

elevated protein and a low white blood cell count, which is known as albumino-cytologic

dissociation. Id. Nerve conduction and EMG studies typically reveal generalized sensory motor

demyelinating polyneuropathy. Symptoms generally reach nadir within four weeks of onset. Id.

Dr. Simpson proposed various biologic mechanisms by which vaccines may lead to

neurologic illness, including molecular mimicry, neurotoxic effect, immune complex formation,

and loss of self-tolerance. He proposed that molecular mimicry is “the most likely biologic

mechanism” in this case: “[t]his concept suggests that epitopes of a virus or vaccine, results in

the development of immune antibodies and/or T cells that could cross-react with epitopes on

myelin or axonal glycoproteins of nerves, leading to neuronal damage.” Pet. Ex. 12 at 4; Pet. Ex.

15.4

Dr. Simpson provided medical literature to show the connection between vaccines and

the occurrence of demyelinating neuropathy. Pet. Ex. 12 at 4; Pet. Ex. 175; Pet. Ex. 186; Pet. Ex.

19.7 Dr. Simpson further proposed that the most compelling example of vaccines causing

4

Michael C. Levin et al., Neuronal Molecular Mimicry in Immune-Mediated Neurologic Disease, 44 ANNALS OF

NEUROLOGY 87 (1998), filed as “Pet. Ex. 15.” This is a study on multiple sclerosis, a central nervous system disease.

It studied patients infected with human T-lymphotropic virus type I who developed HTLV-1 associated

myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis, an immune disease of the CNS. The results implicated molecular mimicry

as a potential pathogenic mechanism in immune-mediated damage to the CNS, suggesting that it may occur when an

immune response mounted against an environmental antigen cross-reacts with a host antigen, which in turn leads to

autoimmunity, organ-specific damage, and possibly disease. Pet. Ex. 15 at 8. The study did not involve GBS or

damage to the peripheral nervous system.

5

J. Pritchard et al., Risk of relapse of Guillain-Barré syndrome or chronic inflammatory demyelinating

polyradiculopathy following immunization, 73 J. NEUROLOGY NEUROSURGERY & PSYCHIATRY 348 (2002), filed as

“Pet. Ex. 17.” This is a 2002 study of patients already suffering from GBS and CIDP who experienced relapses with

increased fatigue, weakness, numbness, and paresthesia after vaccination. The authors acknowledged that their

conclusions were based on questionnaires filled out by the patients, with more patients who experienced symptoms

after vaccination responding than those who did not, thus overestimating the frequency of relapses.

6

Lawrence B. Schonberger et al., Guillain-Barre Syndrome Following Vaccination in the National Influenza

Immunization Program, United States 1976-1977, 110 AM. J. EPIDEMIOLOGY 105 (1979), filed as “Pet. Ex. 18.”

Schonberger is a 1979 epidemiologic study of the increase in GBS following the A/New Jersey influenza vaccine

that supports the hypothesis that GBS was an immunopathologic reaction triggered by recent exposure to an

exogenous agent which leads to certain cellular changes triggering an attack on the nerve root and peripheral nerves.

7

INST. OF MED., ADVERSE EFFECTS OF VACCINES: EVIDENCE & CAUSALITY (Kathleen Stratton et al. eds., 2012),

8

demyelinating disease was the outbreak of cases of GBS following the federal government-

sponsored National Influenza Immunization Program for the 1976 swine flu, but numerous case

reports have also documented the development of GBS following flu vaccination. Pet. Ex. 12 at

4; Pet. Ex. 148; Pet. Ex. 189; Pet. Ex. 19.10

Dr. Simpson discussed a survey done by questionnaire in the United Kingdom, which

focused on relapses within six weeks of vaccination in those who already had GBS and CIDP.

Pet. Ex. 12 at 4; Pet. Ex. 17.11 He noted that 1114 patients, or 37.1% of those asked, filled out the

questionnaire, and of those, 927 patients had GBS and 179 had CIDP.12

Relying on Nachamkin, Dr. Simpson stated that molecular mimicry is the proven

mechanism leading to the development of GBS, particularly in the setting of campylobacter

jejuni infection, and the accepted causal mechanism in the medical community for causing

autoimmunity in general: “[t]hus, it is generally accepted in the medical community that

vaccinations can serve as a causal antecedent to the occurrence of GBS and CIDP.” Pet. Ex. 12 at

4-5; Pet. Ex. 2013 at 2.

filed as “Pet. Ex. 19.” The 2012 IOM Adverse Effects of Vaccines: Evidence and Causality, published in 2012,

contained the findings of an association between the flu vaccine and GBS.

8

Thomas J. Safranek et al., Reassessment of the Association between Guillain-Barré Syndrome and Receipt of Swine

Flu Vaccine in 1976-1977: Results of a Two-State Study, 133 AM. J. EPIDEMIOLOGY 940 (1990), filed as “Pet. Ex.

14.” This was a reassessment of the Schoenberger study. It examined the methods used and the relationship of the

swine flu vaccine to the development of GBS, demonstrating the association between the receipt of the swine flu

vaccine and subsequent GBS with consistency to two prior nationwide studies, suggesting that further epidemiologic

studies would not reverse the findings.

9

Schonberger et al., supra note 6.

10

INST. OF MED., supra note 7.

11

Pritchard et al., supra note 5.

12

Pritchard further discusses that of the GBS patients, 311 patients had received vaccinations since having GBS. 11

patients or 3.5% reported symptoms of increased fatigue, weakness, numbness, and paresthesia, but these were

usually mild and did not require hospitalization or treatment. In three cases, onset was within 24 hours and all but

one case reported onset within one week of vaccination. One patient reported being unable to walk or drive for six

weeks. Pet. Ex. 17 at 1. Influenza, tetanus, and typhoid were the vaccinations most commonly associated with

relapse of GBS. Of the 311 patients who received vaccines after having GBS, 29 patients also received a vaccine

within six weeks before the onset of their initial GBS, and two had a recurrence after receiving a different vaccine.

Id. Of the 179 CIDP patients, 65 had been vaccinated after disease onset. Five reported worsening symptoms after

vaccination, with three of these patients having a typical relapse of CIDP, but only one required treatment within

two months of vaccination. The two others were vaccinated while already experiencing neurologic symptoms, which

worsened and caused them to become dependent on a cane and unable to drive. Two out of 23 patients with CIDP

experienced a relapse after the tetanus vaccine, two out of 46 after the flu vaccine, one after simultaneous flu and

pneumococcus vaccines, and two out of six after the pneumococcus vaccine. Id. 14 patients with CIDP had no

symptoms of relapse after the typhoid vaccine, and between one and seven patients with CIDP had no symptoms

after yellow fever, diphtheria, meningococcus, oral polio, BCG, hepatitis A, hepatitis B, cholera, or rubella vaccines.

The study concluded that for those with GBS and CIDP, the risk of relapse from vaccines was low. They also noted

that more people who had symptoms responded to the questionnaire than those who did not. Pet. Ex. 17 at 1-2.

13

Irving Nachamkin et al., Campylobacter Species and Guillain-Barré Syndrome, 11 CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY

REV. 555 (1998), filed as “Pet. Ex. 20.” Nachamkin discusses in detail campylobacter jejuni, a gastrointestinal

illness, as well as the various forms of GBS. It details the structural features of Campylobacter that can elicit an

autoimmune attack against host nerve tissue due to similarities between the structures of C. jejuni and those present

on relevant sites of the peripheral nerve fibers. Pet. Ex. 20 at 7-8. Nachamkin notes, however, that while “certain

types of Campylobacter may be implicated in GBS, host factors may play an even more important role in developing

GBS.” Id. at 8. Since some patients with C. jejuni with the similarities discussed do not develop antiganglioside

9

According to Dr. Simpson, petitioner was neurologically asymptomatic prior to the

January 29, 2018 flu vaccine. Pet. Ex. 12 at 5. The evolution of her clinical presentation was

notable for a constellation of neurological symptoms including gait impairment, muscle

weakness, and muscular pain. Neurological examinations revealed bilateral lower and upper

extremity sensory impairment and hypo-/areflexia. She had elevated protein on CSF testing. Her

presentation was classic for GBS, which was her ultimate diagnosis by all her providers. Id.

Petitioner was treated with IVIG with improvement in symptoms, further supporting the

diagnosis of an immunologically mediated peripheral neuropathy like GBS. Id.

Dr. Simpson proposed that while the Table specifies 3-42 days for onset of GBS

following influenza vaccine, Schonberger demonstrates that the true range of attributable risk is

longer than 42 days and up to ten weeks. Pet. Ex. 12 at 5; Pet. Ex. 18.14

Dr. Simpson then discussed respondent’s suggestion that an upper respiratory infection

was an alternative cause of petitioner’s GBS. Pet. Ex. 12 at 6-7. He addressed the medical

records documenting petitioner’s report of flu-like symptoms following her receipt of flu-like

symptoms that resolved then returned several weeks later, prior to the onset of her neurological

symptoms. Id. However, Dr. Simpson argued that it cannot be inferred that this indicates a

causative relationship between an upper respiratory infection and GBS, but rather it is more

likely that both the upper respiratory symptoms and GBS are causally related to the flu vaccine.

Id.

Further, Dr. Simpson cited to several studies that support the association between flu

vaccination and upper respiratory symptoms within the following weeks, including one study

that showed a 4.4-fold increase in non-influenza upper respiratory illnesses in the nine months

following receipt of a flu vaccine when compared to a placebo injection. Pet. Ex. 12 at 7; Pet.

Ex. 2215; Pet. Ex. 2316; Pet. Ex. 24.17

antibodies, how these antibodies develop may depend on the interaction between the microbe and the immune

system. However, it is unclear whether host genetic factors are important in GBS, which raises the question of

whether solely host factors determine the outcome of GBS. Pet. Ex. 20 at 8-9. Nachamkin concluded that the

association of Campylobacter and the development of GBS is firmly established, but how it induces the disease is

unclear. A better system of surveillance is needed since most Campylobacter infections go unrecognized. Id. at 9-10.

14

Schonberger et al., supra note 6. Schonberger noted that the period of increased risk was concentrated within the

5-week period after vaccination, but it lasted for approximately 9 to 10 weeks. Pet. Ex. 18 at 7.

15

Benjamin J. Cowling et al., Increased Risk of Noninfluenza Respiratory Virus Infections Associated With Receipt

of Inactivated Influenza Virus, 54 CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES 1778 (2012), filed as “Pet. Ex. 22.” Cowling

conducted a randomized study of 115 children over the nine months after they received the inactivated trivalent flu

vaccine or a placebo, with recipients of the flu vaccine having an increased risk of non-influenza infections,

suggesting that influenza vaccine recipients may lack temporary non-specific immunity against other respiratory

viruses.

16

Alexa Dierig et al., Epidemiology of respiratory viral infections in children enrolled in a study of influenza

vaccine effectiveness, 8 INFLUENZA & OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES 293 (2014), filed as “Pet. Ex. 23.” This was a

follow-up study to Cowling. The study found an increase in adeno and rhinovirus in children vaccinated against

influenza, but the biological mechanism by which the flu vaccine induced immunity to influenza but decreased

immunity to other respiratory viruses was unknown. The authors concluded that it should be a priority to determine

whether a causal association exists, whether it is consistent across populations, and whether an increase in the rate of

non-influenza respiratory illnesses outweighs the benefits of seasonal flu vaccines in children. Pet. Ex. 23 at 1, 7.

17

Sharon Rifkin et al., Assessment of temporally-related acute respiratory illness following influenza vaccination,

36 VACCINE 1958 (2018), filed as “Pet. Ex. 24.” Rifkin studied the risk of non-influenza caused respiratory

10

Dr. Simpson concluded that GBS was the correct diagnosis based on petitioner’s

symptoms and testing, the evidence supporting an association between influenza vaccine and the

onset of GBS, and the onset occurring within an appropriate medical time frame following the

flu vaccine. Pet. Ex. 12 at 7. Further, “[t]here is no alternative explanation for causation of this

neurological syndrome in this patient’s medical history.” Id. The intervening upper respiratory

infection is unlikely to be causative of her GBS, because evidence supports an increased risk of

upper respiratory infection in the several weeks following influenza vaccination. Id.

IV. The Parties’ Arguments

A. Petitioner’s Argument

Petitioner maintains that she has presented a medical theory causally connecting her GBS

to the influenza vaccine. Petitioner’s Brief (“Pet. Br.”) at 8. She submits that GBS resulting from

a flu vaccine is a “Table” injury, and “[t]herefore, a reputable medical theory causally connecting

the vaccination and injury is clearly established and accepted by the government.” Pet. Br. at 8.

Further, petitioner submitted that her expert Dr. Simpson discussed the generally

accepted theory regarding GBS resulting from flu vaccination: “[t]he theory is based upon

molecular mimicry, where epitopes of a virus or vaccine, results in development of immune

antibodies and/or T cells that could cross-react with epitopes on myelin or axonal glycoproteins

of nerves, leading to neuronal damage.” Pet. Br. at 8; Pet. Ex. 12 at 4-5. Petitioner continued that

molecular mimicry is the accepted mechanism when viral or bacterial antigens share homology

with host antigens, and the resulting immune response is directed at both the injected antigens

and host antigens. Pet. Br. at 8. (citing Barone v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., 2014 WL

6834557, at *3 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 12, 2014).18

Petitioner submitted that she has presented evidence of a specific biological mechanism

that explains how the flu vaccine provoked an autoimmune response which caused GBS by

molecular mimicry, and has therefore satisfied her burden under Prong I. Pet. Br. at 8.

Petitioner further argued that she was healthy prior to January 29, 2018, and developed

GBS 46 days after the flu vaccine “consistent with post-vaccination GBS. Pet. Br. at 9; Pet. Ex. 3

at 35-40; Pet. Ex. 12 at 5. Petitioner asserts that Dr. Simpson “demonstrated a theory, based on

molecular mimicry, where the flu vaccine results in development of immune antibodies and/or T

cells that could cross-react with epitopes on myelin or axonal glycoproteins of nerves, leading to

GBS.” Pet. Br. at 9; Pet. Ex. 12 at 4-5. Therefore, petitioner has satisfied her burden under Prong

II. Pet. Br. at 9.

infections in post-influenza vaccinated children when compared with unvaccinated children. The study found an

increased hazard of acute respiratory infection caused by non-influenza pathogens in the influenza vaccinated

population, and concluded this warranted further investigation, which could correct the misperception that all acute

respiratory infections occurring after vaccination were caused by influenza.

18

Petitioner cites to a case involving GBS after a flu vaccine prior to flu/GBS being recognized as an on-Table

injury. See Barone, 2014 WL 6834557 at *6.

11

In addressing respondent’s argument that petitioner suffered from an intervening upper

respiratory infection that was an alternative cause of her GBS, petitioner argued that Dr. Simpson

addressed this, citing to studies that demonstrated an increased risk of upper respiratory infection

in the weeks following flu vaccine and suggesting that both petitioner’s upper respiratory

symptoms and GBS were caused by the flu vaccine. Pet. Br. at 9; Pet. Ex. 12 at 7; Pet. Ex. 2219;

Pet. Ex. 2320; Pet. Ex. 24.21

Regardless, petitioner argued that even if it was determined that the upper respiratory

infection was a factor, petitioner is not required to show that the flu vaccine was the sole cause or

even a predominant cause of her GBS. Rather, demonstrating that the vaccine was a “substantial

factor” and a “but for” cause of the injury is sufficient. Pet. Br. at 9 (citing Pafford v. Sec’y of

Health & Human Services., 452 F. 3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006); Shyface v. Sec’y of Health &

Human Services., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 1999)).

Finally, petitioner maintains that onset in this case was approximately 46 days after her

receipt of the flu vaccine. Pet. Br. at 10. While the Table criteria for GBS and flu vaccine is 3-42

days, Dr. Simpson relied on Schonberger to explain that studies have shown the risk period to be

up to 10 weeks. Pet. Br. at 11; Pet. Ex. 12 at 5; Pet. Ex. 18 at 8.22 Petitioner noted that respondent

has not offered any evidence to demonstrate that 46 days is not within a medically acceptable

timeframe, and other Program cases have found eight weeks or 56 days to be a reasonable

timeframe for the onset of GBS symptoms following flu vaccination. Pet. Br. at 11-12 (citing

Barone, No. 11-707V, 2014 WL 6834557, at *13).

Petitioner concluded that she has satisfied all three Althen Prongs and is therefore entitled

to compensation under the Vaccine Act. Pet. Br. at 12.

B. Respondent’s Argument

Respondent briefly reviewed the relevant procedural history, referencing his initial Rule

4(c) Report. In this report, respondent recommended against compensation because petitioner’s

onset of 46 days was outside the 3-42 day window required for a Table injury of GBS following

the flu vaccine, and petitioner had failed to establish a cause-in-fact claim. Respondent’s Brief

(“Resp. Br.”) at 2; ECF No. 21.

Respondent further noted that after petitioner filed the report of Dr. Simpson, respondent

filed an amended Rule 4(c) Report, maintaining his position that petitioner failed to meet her

burden under the Vaccine Act, but stating that “in light of petitioner’s expert report and the

evidence filed therewith . . . he no longer wished to defend against petitioner’s entitlement claim

before the Office of Special Masters and requested a ruling on the record regarding petitioner’s

entitlement to compensation.” Resp. Br. at 2; ECF No. 26 at 7-9.

19

Cowling et al., supra note 15.

20

Dierig et al., supra note 16.

21

Rifkin et al., supra note 17.

22

Schonberger et al., supra note 6.

12

Respondent detailed petitioner’s arguments and responded that “[a]s noted in

respondent’s Amended Rule 4(c) Report, respondent maintains that petitioner has not met her

burden of proof under the Vaccine Act but no longer wishes to defend against petitioner’s

entitlement claim before the Office of Special Masters.” Resp. Br. at 7; ECF No. 26 at 9.

Respondent concluded that the Special Master should decide the issue of entitlement

based on the record as filed. In the event that entitlement is decided in petitioner’s favor,

respondent recommended further proceedings be scheduled to determine the type and amount of

damages to be awarded, and reserved his right to request additional information in support of a

damages award. Resp. Br. 7-8.

V. Legal Standard

The Vaccine Act provides two avenues for petitioners to receive compensation. First, a

petitioner may demonstrate a “Table” injury—i.e., an injury listed on the Vaccine Injury Table

that occurred within the provided time period. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(i). “In such a case,

causation is presumed.” Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1320

(Fed. Cir. 2006); see § 13(a)(1)(B). Second, where the alleged injury is not listed on the Vaccine

Injury Table, a petitioner may demonstrate an “off-Table” injury, which requires that the

petitioner “prove by a preponderance of the evidence that the vaccine at issue caused the injury.”

Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1320; see § 11(c)(1)(C)(ii); see also Wright v. Sec’y of Health & Human

Servs., 22 F.4th 999, 1006 (Fed. Cir. 2022) (defining the term “residual effects” in the Act, as

“detrimental conditions within the patient, such as lingering or recurring signs and symptoms” of

the alleged vaccine injury, which are compensable). A petitioner need not show that the

vaccination was the sole cause, or even the predominant cause, of the alleged injury; showing

that the vaccination was a “substantial factor” and a “but for” cause of the injury is sufficient for

recovery. Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006);

Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 1999). Petitioners

are not required “to eliminate alternative causes as part of establishing [their] prima facie case.”

Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 601 F.3d 1349, 1357-58 (Fed. Cir. 2010); see Walther v.

Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 485 F.3d 1146, 1152 (Fed. Cir. 2007) (holding that a

“petitioner does not bear the burden of eliminating alternative independent potential causes”).

Once a petitioner has proven causation by preponderant evidence, “the burden then shifts to the

respondent to show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors unrelated

to the administration of the vaccine.” Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Human

Servs., 717 F.3d 1363, 1367 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citing 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B)).

To prove causation, a petitioner must satisfy the three-pronged test established in Althen

v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274 (Fed. Cir. 2005). Althen requires that a

petitioner show by preponderant evidence that a vaccination they received caused their injury

“by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a

logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury;

and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Id. at

1278. Together, these prongs must show “that the vaccine was ‘not only a but-for cause of the

injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.’” Stone v. Sec’y of Health &

Human Servs., 676 F.3d 1373, 1379 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (quoting Shyface, 165 F.3d at 1352-53).

13

Causation is determined on a case-by-case basis, with “no hard and fast per se scientific or

medical rules.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994).

Petitioners are not required to identify “specific biological mechanisms” to establish causation,

nor are they required to present “epidemiologic studies, rechallenge, the presence of pathological

markers or genetic disposition, or general acceptance in the scientific or medical communities.”

Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1325 (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280). “[C]lose calls regarding

causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280.

Each Althen prong requires a different showing. Under the first prong, a petitioner must

provide a “reputable medical theory” demonstrating that the vaccine received can cause the type

of injury alleged. Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355-56 (citation omitted). To satisfy this prong, a

petitioner’s “theory of causation must be supported by a ‘reputable medical or scientific

explanation.’” Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1379

(Fed. Cir. 2009) (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). This theory need only be “legally probable,

not medically or scientifically certain.” Id. at 1380 (emphasis omitted) (quoting Knudsen, 35

F.3d at 548). Nevertheless, “petitioners [must] proffer trustworthy testimony from experts who

can find support for their theories in medical literature.” LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Human

Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1341 (Fed. Cir. 2014).

The second Althen prong requires proof of a “logical sequence of cause and effect.”

Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326 (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). Even if the vaccination can

cause the injury, a petitioner must show “that it did so in [this] particular case.” Hodges v. Sec’y

of Health & Human Servs., 9 F.3d 958, 962 n.4 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (citation omitted). “A reputable

medical or scientific explanation must support this logical sequence of cause and effect,” Id. at

961 (citation omitted), and “treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine

whether a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for

the injury,” Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 786 F.3d 1373, 1385 (Fed. Cir. 2015)

(quoting Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375).

The third Althen prong requires that a petitioner establish a “proximate temporal

relationship” between the vaccination and the alleged injury. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281. This

“requires preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe for which,

given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer

causation-in-fact.” De Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir.

2008). Typically, “a petitioner’s failure to satisfy the proximate temporal relationship prong is

due to the fact that onset was too late after the administration of a vaccine for the vaccine to be

the cause.” Id. However, “cases in which onset is too soon” also fail this prong; “in either case,

the temporal relationship is not such that it is medically acceptable to conclude that the

vaccination and the injury are causally linked.” Id.; see also Locane v. Sec’y of Health & Human

Servs., 685 F.3d 1375, 1381 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (“[If] the illness was present before the vaccine was

administered, logically, the vaccine could not have caused the illness.”).

Finally, although this decision discusses some but not all the literature in detail, I have

reviewed and considered all of the medical records and literature submitted in this matter. See

Moriarty ex rel. Moriarty v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 844 F.3d 1322, 1328 (Fed. Cir.

2016) (“We generally presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence

14

even though [s]he does not explicitly reference such evidence in h[er] decision.”); Simanski v.

Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 115 Fed. Cl. 407, 436 (2014) (“[A] Special Master is ‘not

required to discuss every piece of evidence or testimony in her decision.’” (citation omitted)),

aff’d, 601 F. App’x 982 (Fed. Cir. 2015).

VI. Discussion

It is undisputed that petitioner received a flu vaccination, that she suffered from GBS, and

that she suffered the sequela of GBS in excess of six months. Respondent raised two issues: the

onset of GBS 46 days after receipt of the flu vaccination, and petitioner’s “flu-like illnesses”

reported as occurring between her receipt of the flu vaccination and the onset of her GBS. See

Resp. Br. at 7; ECF No. 21 at 7-9. Therefore, this case is one of causation-in-fact, and petitioner

must prove by preponderant evidence the three prongs of Althen. Based on the existing medical

records, expert opinion, and medical literature filed, I find petitioner has satisfied her burden.

A. Petitioner Has Satisfied Althen Prong I

The first Althen prong requires petitioner to provide a “reputable medical theory”

demonstrating that the vaccines received can cause the type of injury alleged. Pafford, 451 F.3d

at 1355-56 (citation omitted). To satisfy this prong, petitioner’s “theory of causation must be

supported by a ‘reputable medical or scientific explanation.’” Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1379 (quoting

Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). This theory need only be “legally probable, not medically or

scientifically certain.” Id. at 1380 (emphasis omitted) (quoting Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 548). This

standard was recently clarified by the Federal Circuit. See Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human

Servs., 941 F.3d at 1351, 1359-60 (Fed. Cir. 2019) (stating that the correct standard for Althen

prong one is “reputable,” and “sound and reliable” not a “lower reasonable standard” (internal

quotations omitted)). Nevertheless, “petitioners [must] proffer trustworthy testimony from

experts who can find support for their theories in medical literature.” LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1341.

Following a review of the 2012 Institute of Medicine (“IOM”) report, which was

developed after the IOM conducted a comprehensive review of the scientific literature on

vaccines and adverse events, the committee charged with this review agreed to proposed changes

to the Vaccine Table. In accordance with Section 312(b) of the National Childhood Vaccine

Injury Act of 1986, Title III of Public Law 99-660, 100 Stat. 3779 (42 U.S.C. 300aa-1 note) and

Section 2114(c) of the Public Health Service Act as amended (PHS Act) (42 U.S.C. 300aa-

14(c)), the following change, inter alia, to the Vaccine Table became effective on February 21,

2017: “XIV. Seasonal influenza vaccine…(D) Guillain-Barre Syndrome within 3-42 days (not

less than 3 days and not more than 42 days).” National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program:

Revisions to the Vaccine Injury Table, 82 Fed. Reg. 6294-01 (Jan. 19, 2017) (codified at 42

C.F.R. § 100.3 (2022)).

Because this is not a Table case, petitioner is required to prove the Althen Prongs despite

the Program’s recognition that flu vaccine can cause GBS. To that end, citing to medical

literature, Dr. Simpson explained how viral illnesses and vaccinations can cause acute

demyelinating illnesses in the nervous system in general, and how the flu vaccine can cause GBS

15

specifically. Pet. Ex. 12 at 4; Pet. Ex. 15.23 He proposed molecular mimicry as the biological

mechanism to explain how the flu vaccine can cause GBS. He relied on the epidemiological

study by Schonberger showing the increased risk of developing GBS following the swine flu

vaccine in the 1970s, as well as other studies concluding that molecular mimicry was accepted in

the medical community as a plausible theory for how the flu vaccination can cause GBS. Pet. Ex.

12 at 4-5; Pet. Ex. 1724; Pet. Ex. 1825; Pet. Ex. 1926; Pet. Ex. 20.27

Petitioner presented a sound and reliable medical theory supported by medical literature

and an expert opinion for how flu vaccine can cause GBS that is sufficient to satisfy Althen

Prong I. While the depth of Dr. Simpson’s opinions may be insufficient in other contexts, the

acceptance by the IOM that the flu vaccine can cause GBS weighs in favor of petitioner having

satisfied her burden under Prong I. Further, respondent’s lack of effort in rebutting Dr.

Simpson’s opinions with an expert report of his own and claiming only that petitioner has not

satisfied the Althen prongs also weighs in favor of petitioner. There are occasions where this

approach may be appropriate and sufficient for respondent to be successful, but the evidence

offered herein along with the medical community’s acceptance of the connection between flu

vaccine and GBS amounts to preponderant evidence in favor of petitioner on Prong I.

B. Petitioner Has Satisfied Althen Prong II

The second Althen prong requires proof of a “logical sequence of cause and effect.”

Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326 (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). In other words, even if the

vaccinations can cause the injury, petitioner must show “that it did so in [this] particular case.”

Hodges v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 9 F.3d 958, 962 n.4 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (citation

omitted). “A reputable medical or scientific explanation must support this logical sequence of

cause and effect,” id. at 961 (citation omitted), and “treating physicians are likely to be in the

best position to determine whether a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the

vaccination was the reason for the injury,” Paluck, 786 F.3d at 1385 (quoting Andreu, 569 F.3d

at 1375). Petitioner is not, however, required “to eliminate alternative causes as part of

establishing [their] prima facie case.” Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 601 F.3d 1349,

1357-58 (Fed. Cir. 2010); see Walther v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 485 F.3d 1146, 1152

(Fed. Cir. 2007) (holding that a “petitioner does not bear the burden of eliminating alternative

independent potential causes”).

It is undisputed that petitioner received a flu vaccine and suffered GBS. However,

respondent argued that petitioner had an upper respiratory infection after her receipt of the flu

vaccine and prior to her onset of GBS. Therefore, the upper respiratory infection was the cause

of her GBS, not the flu vaccine. See ECF No. 21 at 8-9.

It is unclear what petitioner suffered following the flu vaccine and prior to the onset of

her GBS. Petitioner affirmed that she started experiencing flu-like symptoms right after the flu

23

Levin et al., supra note 4.

24

Pritchard et al., supra note 5.

25

Schonberger et al., supra note 6.

26

INST. OF MED., supra note 7.

27

Nachamkin et al., supra note 13.

16

vaccine and could not go to school for about a week because she had a fever and was sore and

throwing up. Pet. Ex. 25 at 1. She further affirmed that around March 7, 2018, she had flu-like

symptoms, fatigue, and nausea again and was sick for a few days. Id. She never described

symptoms of an upper respiratory infection, but rather only non-descript “flu-like symptoms.”

See id.

The medical records show that when petitioner presented to the ER on March 20, 2018,

she reported generalized body aches that were worse in her legs than in her upper body, but

denied fever, sick contact, or recent travel. Pet. Ex. 9 at 136. When she returned to the ER three

days later, she reported weakness and body aches unchanged from two days ago, but she was

now unable to walk without pain and had some dizziness and blurred vision. No illness of any

kind was reported. Id. at 104. On March 24, 2018, when petitioner presented to Optimus Health

Care Clinic for “[t]otal body weakness,” her mother reported that she had been sick since getting

the flu vaccine in January. There was no explanation of what symptoms she had since then, other

than a fever twice. Pet. Ex. 3 at 31. Upon arrival at Yale on March 25, 2018, she reported “flu

like symptoms” that resolved, reoccurred several weeks later, and resolved again. She then

started developing lower extremity pain and weakness. Pet. Ex. 4 at 10. Id. at 10, 29. Petitioner

underwent extensive viral panels, all of which were negative for viruses. Id. at 22-23, 58-59.

Petitioner did not report suffering from an upper respiratory infection at any time

throughout her treatment. One medical record documented that petitioner “…endorses a flu-like

syndrome (fever, chills, myalgias, nausea, emesis x 1) roughly 3.5 weeks ago that subsided

within a week.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 41. However, petitioner never explained with specificity what she

meant by “flu-like symptoms” when she experienced them either right after her receipt of the flu

vaccine or again several weeks later. Further, it is unclear if petitioner provided the details of

fever, chills, myalgias, nausea, and one episode of emesis included in that history, or if it was

provided by the person taking the history. See id.

Petitioner’s text messages to her mother show that on February 1, 2018, petitioner texted

her mother that she was “so sick I wanna die” and that she should never have gotten the flu shot.

Pet. Ex. 26 at 2. On March 7, 2018, petitioner texted her mother at 1:35 am and 11:01 am that

she threw up, her stomach hurt, and she was afraid to eat because she didn’t want to throw up. Id.

at 3. On March 19, 2018 at 8:26 am, she asked her mother to pick her up because she was in so

much pain. Id. at 4. Other than the text message on February 1, 2018 when petitioner mentioned

the flu vaccine, the details of petitioner’s illnesses when these text messages were sent is not

known.

Petitioner’s school record shows that she did not go to school on February 2 or February

5, 2018, but she was not absent again until March 19, 2018. Pet. Ex. 11 at 2. Therefore, whatever

“flu-like symptoms” she suffered in March were not significant enough to keep her out of school.

While there is no definitive proof that petitioner suffered from an upper respiratory

infection or that the symptoms she referred to as flu-like symptoms would qualify as an upper

respiratory infection, Dr. Simpson seemingly accepted respondent’s reference to an upper

respiratory infection in rendering his opinion regarding the potential involvement of the upper

respiratory infection in her GBS. Pet. Ex. 12 at 6-7. Dr. Simpson argued that a causative

17

relationship between an upper respiratory infection and GBS cannot be inferred, but rather that

the symptoms of each were causally related to the flu vaccine. Id. He then cited several cases

which studied the increase in non-influenza upper respiratory illnesses in children in the months

following receipt of the flu vaccine. Pet. Ex. 12 at 7; Pet. Ex. 2228; Pet. Ex. 2329; Pet. Ex. 24.30

Further, respondent did not rebut Dr. Simpson’s opinions or interpretation of her medical

history. He offered no expert opinion or other support for his claim that an alternative cause

existed for her GBS, other than the unsupported possibility that she suffered from an upper

respiratory infection after the flu vaccine but prior to the onset of GBS. Additionally, respondent

did not offer any evidence to establish how an upper respiratory infection, if petitioner did have

one, could cause GBS.

Between March 20, 2018 and March 25, 2018, petitioner’s mother relentlessly sought

medical attention for petitioner’s unexplained symptoms while her condition progressively

worsen. Had petitioner been sick with an upper respiratory or other illness of any significance

prior to the onset of her GBS, her mother certainly would have reported that to the various

doctors at the many visits over those five days rather than simply saying she had been sick since

the flu vaccine.

Based on Dr. Simpson’s opinion that petitioner’s GBS and other symptoms were all

causally related to the flu vaccine and the lack of any definitive evidence of an upper respiratory

infection in petitioner’s records, I find that petitioner has satisfied Prong II.

C. Petitioner Has Established Althen Prong III

To satisfy the third Althen prong, petitioner must establish a “proximate temporal

relationship” between the vaccination and the alleged injury. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281. This

“requires prepondrant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe for which,

given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer

causation-in-fact.” de Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1352. Typically, “a petitioner’s failure to satisfy the

proximate temporal relationship prong is due to the fact that onset was too late after the

administration of a vaccine for the vaccine to be the cause.” Id. However, “cases in which onset

is too soon” also fail this prong; “in either case, the temporal relationship is not such that it is

medically acceptable to conclude that the vaccination and the injury are causally linked.” Id.; see

also Locane v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 685 F.3d 1375, 1381 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (“[If] the

illness was present before the vaccine was administered, logically, the vaccine could not have

caused the illness.”).

Dr. Simpson opined that 46 days was a medically appropriate timeframe for the onset of

GBS following petitioner’s flu vaccine. Pet. Ex. 12 at 5. In support of his opinion, he relied on

Schonberger which provided that the increased risk period was within 5 weeks but could last up

to 10 weeks. Id.; Pet. Ex. 18.31

28

Cowling et al., supra note 15.

29

Dierig et al., supra note 16.

30

Rifkin et al., supra note 17.

31

Schonberger et al., supra note 6.

18

The Vaccine Table provides for onset of GBS within 3 to 42 days of the flu vaccine.

Petitioner’s onset was 46 days, though there was a report early in her presentation where she

reported onset as March 10 or 11, which would have placed onset on the 40th or 41st day after the

flu vaccine. See Pet. Ex. 3 at 57; Pet. Ex. 8 at 69. Decisions in the Vaccine Program have gone

out as far as two months or 60 days for vaccine-caused demyelinating illness. See, e.g., Spayde v.

Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-1499V, 2021 WL 686682, at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.

Jan. 27, 2021).

Respondent provided no evidence to argue against the 46-day onset in this matter. I

therefore find that petitioner offered sufficient evidence to support the 46-day onset of GBS

following flu vaccination and has therefore satisfied Prong III.

D. Burden Shifting: Alternative Causation

A petitioner who satisfies all three prongs of the Althen test has established a prima facie

showing of causation. Hammitt v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 98 Fed. Cl. 719 (2011).

Consequently, the burden then shifts to the government to prove that an alternative cause

unrelated to the administration of the vaccine was the “sole substantial factor” in causing the

alleged injury. De Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1354; see also Hammitt, 98 Fed. Cl. at 726 (explaining that

respondent’s burden is to show that the “factor unrelated” was the “sole substantial factor” in

causing the injury). Additionally, a factor unrelated “may not include ‘any idiopathic,

unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumentable cause, factor, injury, illness or

condition.’” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(2); see also Doe/11 v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 83

Fed. Cl. 157 (2008) (holding that an idiopathic diagnosis cannot be a “factor unrelated,” as it is

idiopathic).

As the foregoing confirms, it is unclear what petitioner meant by “flu-like symptoms”

following her receipt of the flu vaccine and again several weeks later. Further, respondent did not

provide any evidence to show how a virus such as an upper respiratory infection could cause

GBS. Rather, he appears to rely only on the temporal association of petitioner’s complaint of

“flu-like symptoms” prior to the onset of her GBS to demonstrate alternative causation. Just as

the word of petitioner alone is insufficient to support a claim, respondent simply claiming that

petitioner suffered some sort of illness between the receipt of a vaccination and the onset of GBS

is insufficient to satisfy his burden in proving alternative cause.

VII. Conclusion

Having considered all the evidence filed in this matter, I am persuaded that petitioner has

carried her burden of proof. Despite respondent’s objections to the contrary, he provided no

expert report or other evidence to rebut the evidence presented by petitioner. The record

sufficiently establishes that petitioner’s flu vaccine was the substantial factor in her development

of GBS. Accordingly, this matter shall proceed to damages. A separate damages order will be

issued.

IT IS SO ORDERED.

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s/ Mindy Michaels Roth

Mindy Michaels Roth

Special Master

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