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Text

Vol. 80

Monday,

No. 133

July 13, 2015

Part IV

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

12 CFR Part 327

Assessments; Proposed Rule

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

1 12 U.S.C. 1817(b). A ‘‘risk-based assessment

system’’ means a system for calculating an insured

depository institution’s assessment based on the

institution’s probability of causing a loss to the DIF

due to the composition and concentration of the

institution’s assets and liabilities, the likely amount

of any such loss, and the revenue needs of the DIF.

See 12 U.S.C. 1817(b)(1)(C).

2 As used in this NPR, the term ‘‘bank’’ is

synonymous with the term ‘‘insured depository

institution’’ as it is used in section 3(c)(2) of the FDI

Act, 12 U.S.C 1813(c)(2).

On January 1, 2007, the FDIC instituted separate

assessment systems for small and large banks. 71 FR

69282 (Nov. 30, 2006). See 12 U.S.C. 1817(b)(1)(D)

(granting the Board the authority to establish

separate risk-based assessment systems for large

and small insured depository institutions).

3 As used in this NPR, the term ‘‘small bank’’ is

synonymous with the term ‘‘small institution’’ as it

is used in 12 CFR 327.8. In general, a ‘‘small bank’’

is one with less than $10 billion in total assets.

4 The common equity tier 1 capital ratio, a new

risk-based capital ratio, was incorporated into the

deposit insurance assessment system effective

January 1, 2015. 79 FR 70427 (November 26, 2014)

in this NPR, the term ‘‘small bank’’ is

synonymous with the term ‘‘small institution’’ as it

is used in 12 CFR 327.8. In general, a ‘‘small bank’’

is one with less than $10 billion in total assets.

4 The common equity tier 1 capital ratio, a new

risk-based capital ratio, was incorporated into the

deposit insurance assessment system effective

January 1, 2015. 79 FR 70427 (November 26, 2014).

Beginning January 1, 2018, a supplementary

leverage ratio will also be used to determine

whether an advanced approaches bank is: (a) well

capitalized, if the bank is subject to the enhanced

supplementary leverage ratio standards under 12

CFR 6.4(c)(1)(iv)(B), 12 CFR 208.43(c)(1)(iv)(B), or

12 CFR 324.403(b)(1)(vi), as each may be amended

from time to time; and (b) adequately capitalized,

if the bank is subject to the advanced approaches

risk-based capital rules under 12 CFR

6.4(c)(2)(iv)(B), 12 CFR 208.43(c)(2)(iv)(B), or 12

CFR 324.403(b)(2)(vi), as each may be amended

from time to time. 79 FR 70427, 70437 (November

26, 2014.) The supplementary leverage ratio is

expected to affect the capital group assignment of

few, if any, small banks.

5 The term ‘‘primary federal regulator’’ is

synonymous with the term ‘‘appropriate federal

banking agency’’ as it is used in section 3(q) of the

FDI Act, 12 U.S.C. 1813(q).

6 A financial institution is assigned a composite

rating based on an evaluation and rating of six

essential components of an institution’s financial

condition and operations. These component factors

address the adequacy of capital (C), the quality of

assets (A), the capability of management (M), the

quality and level of earnings (E), the adequacy of

liquidity (L), and the sensitivity to market risk (S).

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

CORPORATION

12 CFR Part 327

RIN 3064–AE37

Assessments

AGENCY: Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation (FDIC).

ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking

(NPR) and request for comment

of capital (C), the quality of

assets (A), the capability of management (M), the

quality and level of earnings (E), the adequacy of

liquidity (L), and the sensitivity to market risk (S).

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

CORPORATION

12 CFR Part 327

RIN 3064–AE37

Assessments

AGENCY: Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation (FDIC).

ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking

(NPR) and request for comment.

SUMMARY: The FDIC is proposing to

amend 12 CFR part 327 to refine the

deposit insurance assessment system for

small insured depository institutions

that have been federally insured for at

least 5 years (established small banks)

by: revising the financial ratios method

so that it would be based on a statistical

model estimating the probability of

failure over three years; updating the

financial measures used in the financial

ratios method consistent with the

statistical model; and eliminating risk

categories for established small banks

and using the financial ratios method to

determine assessment rates for all such

banks (subject to minimum or maximum

initial assessment rates based upon a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating). The

FDIC does not propose changing the

range of assessment rates that will apply

once the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF or

fund) reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent;

thus, under the proposal, as under

current regulations, the range of initial

deposit insurance assessment rates will

fall once the reserve ratio reaches 1.15

percent. The FDIC proposes that a final

rule would go into effect the quarter

after a final rule is adopted; by their

terms, however, the proposed

amendments would not become

operative until the quarter after the DIF

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent.

DATES: Comments must be received by

the FDIC no later than September 11,

2015.

ADDRESSES: You may submit comments

on the notice of proposed rulemaking

using any of the following methods:

• Agency Web site: http://www.fdic.

gov/regulations/laws/federal/

r

terms, however, the proposed

amendments would not become

operative until the quarter after the DIF

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent.

DATES: Comments must be received by

the FDIC no later than September 11,

2015.

ADDRESSES: You may submit comments

on the notice of proposed rulemaking

using any of the following methods:

• Agency Web site: http://www.fdic.

gov/regulations/laws/federal/. Follow

the instructions for submitting

comments on the agency Web site.

• Email: comments@fdic.gov. Include

RIN 3064–AE37 on the subject line of

the message.

• Mail: Robert E. Feldman, Executive

Secretary, Attention: Comments, Federal

Deposit Insurance Corporation, 550 17th

Street NW., Washington, DC 20429.

• Hand Delivery: Comments may be

hand delivered to the guard station at

the rear of the 550 17th Street Building

(located on F Street) on business days

between 7 a.m. and 5 p.m.

• Public Inspection: All comments

received, including any personal

information provided, will be posted

generally without change to http://www.

fdic.gov/regulations/laws/federal.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:

Munsell St.Clair, Chief, Banking and

Regulatory Policy, Division of Insurance

and Research, 202–898–8967; Nefretete

Smith, Senior Attorney, Legal Division,

202–898–6851; Thomas Hearn, Counsel,

Legal Division, 202–898–6967.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

I. Policy Objectives

The Federal Deposit Insurance Act

(FDI Act) requires that the FDIC Board

of Directors (Board) establish a risk-

based deposit insurance assessment

system.1 Pursuant to this requirement,

the FDIC adopted a risk-based deposit

insurance assessment system effective

in 1993 that applied to all banks.2 A

risk-based assessment system reduces

the subsidy that lower-risk banks

provide higher-risk banks and provides

incentives for banks to monitor and

reduce risks that could increase

potential losses to the DIF

d deposit insurance assessment

system.1 Pursuant to this requirement,

the FDIC adopted a risk-based deposit

insurance assessment system effective

in 1993 that applied to all banks.2 A

risk-based assessment system reduces

the subsidy that lower-risk banks

provide higher-risk banks and provides

incentives for banks to monitor and

reduce risks that could increase

potential losses to the DIF. Since 1993,

the FDIC has met its statutory mandate

and has pursued these policy goals by

periodically introducing improvements

in the deposit insurance assessment

system’s ability to differentiate for risk.

The primary purpose of the proposals in

this NPR is to improve the risk-based

deposit insurance assessment system

applicable to small banks to more

accurately reflect risk.3

II. Background

Risk-Based Deposit Insurance

Assessments for Small Banks

Since 2007, assessment rates for small

banks have been determined by placing

each bank into one of four risk

categories, Risk Categories I, II, III, and

IV. These four risk categories are based

on two criteria: capital levels and

supervisory ratings. The three capital

groups—well capitalized, adequately

capitalized, and undercapitalized—are

based on the leverage ratio and three

risk-based capital ratios used for

regulatory capital purposes.4 The three

supervisory groups, termed A, B, and C,

are based upon supervisory evaluations

by the small bank’s primary federal

regulator, state regulator or the FDIC.5

Group A consists of financially sound

institutions with only a few minor

weaknesses (generally, banks with

CAMELS 6 composite ratings of 1 or 2);

Group B consists of institutions that

demonstrate weaknesses that, if not

corrected could result in significant

deterioration of the institution and

increased risk of loss to the DIF

(generally, banks with CAMELS

composite ratings of 3); and Group C

consists of institutions that pose a

substantial probability of loss to the DIF

unless effective corrective action is

taken (generally, banks

roup B consists of institutions that

demonstrate weaknesses that, if not

corrected could result in significant

deterioration of the institution and

increased risk of loss to the DIF

(generally, banks with CAMELS

composite ratings of 3); and Group C

consists of institutions that pose a

substantial probability of loss to the DIF

unless effective corrective action is

taken (generally, banks with CAMELS

composite ratings of 4 or 5). An

institution’s capital and supervisory

group determine its risk category as set

out in Table 1 below.

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7 New small banks in Risk Category I, however,

are charged the highest initial assessment rate in

effect for that risk category. Subject to exceptions,

a new bank is one that has been federally insured

for less than five years as of the last day of any

quarter for which it is being assessed. 12 CFR

327.8(j).

8 In 2011, the Board revised and approved regular

assessment rate schedules. See 76 FR 10672 (Feb.

25, 2011); 12 CFR 327.10.

9 The weights applied to CAMELS components

are as follows: 25 percent each for Capital and

Management; 20 percent for Asset quality; and 10

percent each for Earnings, Liquidity, and Sensitivity

to market risk. These weights reflect the view of the

FDIC regarding the relative importance of each of

the CAMELS components for differentiating risk

among institutions for deposit insurance purposes.

The FDIC and other bank supervisors do not use

such a system to determine CAMELS composite

ratings.

10 See 71 FR 41910, 41913 (July 24, 2006).

11 Insured branches of foreign banks are deemed

small banks for purposes of the deposit insurance

assessment system.

12 12 U.S.C. 1817(e) (granting the Board the

discretion to suspend or limit dividends).

13 12 U.S.C. 1817(b)(3)(B)

rance purposes.

The FDIC and other bank supervisors do not use

such a system to determine CAMELS composite

ratings.

10 See 71 FR 41910, 41913 (July 24, 2006).

11 Insured branches of foreign banks are deemed

small banks for purposes of the deposit insurance

assessment system.

12 12 U.S.C. 1817(e) (granting the Board the

discretion to suspend or limit dividends).

13 12 U.S.C. 1817(b)(3)(B).

14 Public Law 111–203, 334(d), 124 Stat. 1376,

1539 (12 U.S.C. 1817(note)).

15 Public Law 111–203, 334(e), 124 Stat. 1376,

1539 (12 U.S.C. 1817(note)). The Dodd-Frank Act

also: (1) eliminated the requirement that the FDIC

provide dividends from the fund when the reserve

ratio is between 1.35 percent and 1.5 percent, 12

U.S.C. 1817(e), and (2) continued the FDIC’s

authority to declare dividends when the reserve

ratio at the end of a calendar year is at least 1.5

percent, but granted the FDIC sole discretion in

determining whether to suspend or limit the

declaration of payment or dividends, 12 U.S.C.

1817(e)(2)(A)–(B).

16 See 76 FR 10672.

TABLE 1—DETERMINATION OF RISK CATEGORY

Capital group

Supervisory group

A

CAMELS 1 or 2

B

CAMELS 3

C

CAMELS 4 or 5

Well Capitalized .............................

Risk Category I.

Adequately Capitalized ..................

Risk Category II

Risk Category III.

Under Capitalized ..........................

Risk Category III

Risk Category IV

To further differentiate risk within

Risk Category I (which includes most

small banks), the FDIC uses the

financial ratios method, which

combines supervisory CAMELS

component ratings with current

financial ratios to determine a small

Risk Category I bank’s initial assessment

rate.7

Within Risk Category I, those

institutions that pose the least risk are

charged a minimum initial assessment

rate and those that pose the greatest risk

are charged an initial assessment rate

that is four basis points higher than the

minimum. All other banks within Risk

Category I are charged a rate that varies

between these rates

a small

Risk Category I bank’s initial assessment

rate.7

Within Risk Category I, those

institutions that pose the least risk are

charged a minimum initial assessment

rate and those that pose the greatest risk

are charged an initial assessment rate

that is four basis points higher than the

minimum. All other banks within Risk

Category I are charged a rate that varies

between these rates. In contrast, all

banks in Risk Category II are charged the

same initial assessment rate, which is

higher than the maximum initial rate for

Risk Category I. A single, higher, initial

assessment rate applies to each bank in

Risk Category III and another, higher,

rate to each bank in Risk Category IV.8

The financial ratios method

determines the assessment rates in Risk

Category I using a combination of

weighted CAMELS component ratings

and the following financial ratios:

• Tier 1 Leverage Ratio;

• Net Income before Taxes/Risk-

Weighted Assets;

• Nonperforming Assets/Gross

Assets;

• Net Loan Charge-Offs/Gross Assets;

• Loans Past Due 30–89 days/Gross

Assets;

• Adjusted Brokered Deposit Ratio;

and

• Weighted Average CAMELS

Composite Rating.9

To determine a Risk Category I bank’s

initial assessment rate, the weighted

CAMELS components and financial

ratios are multiplied by statistically

derived pricing multipliers, the

products are summed, and the sum is

added to a uniform amount that applies

to all Risk Category I banks. If, however,

the rate is below the minimum initial

assessment rate for Risk Category I, the

bank will pay the minimum initial

assessment rate; if the rate derived is

above the maximum initial assessment

rate for Risk Category I, then the bank

will pay the maximum initial rate for

the risk category.

The financial ratios used to determine

rates come from a statistical model that

predicts the probability that a Risk

Category I institution will be

downgraded from a composite CAMELS

rating of 1 or 2 to a rating of 3 or worse

within one year

te derived is

above the maximum initial assessment

rate for Risk Category I, then the bank

will pay the maximum initial rate for

the risk category.

The financial ratios used to determine

rates come from a statistical model that

predicts the probability that a Risk

Category I institution will be

downgraded from a composite CAMELS

rating of 1 or 2 to a rating of 3 or worse

within one year. The probability of a

CAMELS downgrade is intended as a

proxy for the bank’s probability of

failure. When the model was developed

in 2006, the FDIC decided not to

attempt to determine a bank’s

probability of failure because of the lack

of bank failures in the years between the

end of the bank and thrift crisis in the

early 1990s and 2006.10

The financial ratios method does not

apply to new small banks or to insured

branches of foreign banks (insured

branches).11 The manner in which

assessment rates for these institutions is

determined is described further below.

Assessment Rates Under Current Rules

The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform

and Consumer Protection Act (the

Dodd-Frank Act), enacted in July 2010,

revised the statutory authorities

governing the FDIC’s management of the

DIF. The Dodd-Frank Act granted the

FDIC authority to manage the fund in a

manner that would help maintain a

positive fund balance during a banking

crisis and promote moderate, steady

assessment rates throughout economic

credit cycles.12

Among other things, the Dodd-Frank

Act: (1) raised the minimum designated

reserve ratio (DRR), which the FDIC

must set each year, to 1.35 percent (from

the former minimum of 1.15 percent)

and removed the upper limit on the

DRR (which was formerly capped at 1.5

percent); 13 (2) required that the fund

reserve ratio reach 1.35 percent by

September 30, 2020 (rather than 1.15

percent by the end of 2016, as formerly

required); 14 and (3) required that, in

setting assessments, the FDIC ‘‘offset the

effect of [requiring that the reserve ratio

reach 1.35 percent by September 30,

202

d removed the upper limit on the

DRR (which was formerly capped at 1.5

percent); 13 (2) required that the fund

reserve ratio reach 1.35 percent by

September 30, 2020 (rather than 1.15

percent by the end of 2016, as formerly

required); 14 and (3) required that, in

setting assessments, the FDIC ‘‘offset the

effect of [requiring that the reserve ratio

reach 1.35 percent by September 30,

2020 rather than 1.15 percent by the end

of 2016] on insured depository

institutions with total consolidated

assets of less than $10,000,000,000.’’ 15

In 2011, the FDIC adopted a schedule

of assessment rates designed to ensure

that the reserve ratio reaches 1.15

percent by September 30, 2020.16 In the

near future, the FDIC plans to propose

a rule to implement the Dodd-Frank Act

requirement that the cost of raising the

reserve ratio from 1.15 percent to 1.35

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

17 A bank’s total base assessment rate can vary

from its initial base assessment rate as the result of

three possible adjustments. Two of these

adjustments—the unsecured debt adjustment and

the depository institution debt adjustment (DIDA)—

apply to all banks (except that the unsecured debt

adjustment does not apply to new banks or insured

branches). The unsecured debt adjustment lowers a

bank’s assessment rate based on the bank’s ratio of

long-term unsecured debt to the bank’s assessment

base. The DIDA increases a bank’s assessment rate

when it holds long-term, unsecured debt issued by

another insured depository institution. The third

possible adjustment—the brokered deposit

adjustment—applies only to small banks in Risk

Category II, III and IV (and to large and highly

complex institutions that are not well capitalized or

that are not CAMELS composite 1 or 2-rated)

essment

base. The DIDA increases a bank’s assessment rate

when it holds long-term, unsecured debt issued by

another insured depository institution. The third

possible adjustment—the brokered deposit

adjustment—applies only to small banks in Risk

Category II, III and IV (and to large and highly

complex institutions that are not well capitalized or

that are not CAMELS composite 1 or 2-rated). It

does not apply to insured branches. The brokered

deposit adjustment increases a bank’s assessment

when it holds significant amounts of brokered

deposits. 12 CFR 327.9 (d).

18 The historical analysis and long-term fund

management plan are described at 76 FR at 10675

and 75 FR 66272, 66272–281 (Oct. 27, 2010).

19 See 76 FR at 10717–720.

20 For new banks, however, the rates will remain

in effect even if the reserve ratio equals or exceeds

2 percent (or 2.5 percent).

21 The reserve ratio for the immediately prior

assessment period must also be less than 2 percent.

percent be paid by banks with $10

billion or more in assets.

The current initial assessment rates

for small and large banks are set forth

in Table 2 below.

TABLE 2—INITIAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES

[In basis points per annum]

Risk category

I*

II

III

IV

Large &

highly

complex

institutions**

Minimum

Maximum

Annual Rates (in basis points) .................

5

9

14

23

35

5–35

* Initial base rates that are not the minimum or maximum will vary between these rates.

** See § 327.8(f) and § 327.8(g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

An institution’s total assessment rate

may vary from the initial assessment

rate as the result of possible

adjustments.17 After applying all

possible adjustments, minimum and

maximum total assessment rates for

each risk category are set forth in Table

3 below

aximum will vary between these rates.

** See § 327.8(f) and § 327.8(g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

An institution’s total assessment rate

may vary from the initial assessment

rate as the result of possible

adjustments.17 After applying all

possible adjustments, minimum and

maximum total assessment rates for

each risk category are set forth in Table

3 below.

TABLE 3—TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES*

[In basis points per annum]

Risk

category

I

Risk

category

II

Risk

category

III

Risk

category

IV

Large &

highly

complex

institutions **

Initial Assessment Rate .......................................................

5–9

14

23

35

5–35

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** ...........................................

¥4.5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Assessment Rate ........................................................

2.5 to 9

9 to 24

18 to 33

30 to 45

2.5 to 45

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate. The unsecured debt adjustment does not apply to new banks or insured branches

to 45

2.5 to 45

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate. The unsecured debt adjustment does not apply to new banks or insured branches.

Before adopting the current

assessment rate schedules, the FDIC

undertook a historical analysis to

determine how high the reserve ratio

would have to have been to have

maintained both a positive balance and

stable assessment rates from 1950

through 2010.18 The analysis shows that

the fund reserve ratio would have

needed to be approximately 2 percent or

more before the onset of the 1980s and

2008 crises to maintain both a positive

fund balance and stable assessment

rates, assuming, in lieu of dividends,

that the long-term industry average

nominal assessment rate would have

been reduced by 25 percent when the

reserve ratio reached 2 percent, and by

50 percent when the reserve ratio

reached 2.5 percent.

In 2011, consistent with the FDIC’s

historical analysis and the FDIC’s long-

term fund management plan adopted as

a result of the historical analysis, the

Board adopted lower, moderate

assessment rates that will go into effect

when the DIF reserve ratio reaches 1.15

percent.19 Pursuant to the FDIC’s

authority to set assessments, the initial

base and total base assessment rates set

forth in Table 4 below will take effect

beginning the assessment period after

the fund reserve ratio first meets or

exceeds 1.15 percent, without the

necessity of further action by the Board.

The rates will remain in effect unless

and until the reserve ratio meets or

exceeds 2 percent.20

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essment period after

the fund reserve ratio first meets or

exceeds 1.15 percent, without the

necessity of further action by the Board.

The rates will remain in effect unless

and until the reserve ratio meets or

exceeds 2 percent.20

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

22 New small banks will remain subject to the

assessment schedule in Table 5 when the reserve

ratio reaches 2 percent and 2.5 percent.

TABLE 4—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES *

[In basis points per annum]

[Once the reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent] 21

Risk

category

I

Risk

category

II

Risk

category

III

Risk

category

IV

Large &

highly

complex

institutions **

Initial Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

3–7

12

19

30

3–30

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** ...........................................

¥3.5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

1.5 to 7

7 to 22

14 to 29

25 to 40

1.5 to 40

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base as-

sessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 3 basis points will have a maximum un-

secured debt adjustment of 1.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1.5 basis points. The unsecured debt ad-

justment does not apply to new banks or insured branches

of an insured depository institution’s initial base as-

sessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 3 basis points will have a maximum un-

secured debt adjustment of 1.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1.5 basis points. The unsecured debt ad-

justment does not apply to new banks or insured branches.

In lieu of dividends, and pursuant to

the FDIC’s authority to set assessments

and consistent with the FDIC’s long-

term fund management plan, the initial

base and total base assessment rates set

forth in Table 5 below will come into

effect without further action by the

Board when the fund reserve ratio at the

end of the prior assessment period

meets or exceeds 2 percent, but is less

than 2.5 percent.22

TABLE 5—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES*

[In basis points per annum]

[If the reserve ratio for the prior assessment period is equal to or greater than 2 percent and less than 2.5 percent]

Risk

category

I

Risk

category

II

Risk

category

III

Risk

category

IV

Large &

highly

complex

institutions **

Initial Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

2–6

10

17

28

2–28

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** ...........................................

¥3 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

1 to 6

5 to 20

12 to 27

23 to 38

1 to 38

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions

o 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

1 to 6

5 to 20

12 to 27

23 to 38

1 to 38

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 2 basis points will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 1 basis point and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1 basis point. The unsecured debt adjust-

ment does not apply to insured branches.

The initial base and total base

assessment rates set forth in Table 6

below will come into effect, again,

without further action by the Board

when the fund reserve ratio at the end

of the prior assessment period meets or

exceeds 2.5 percent.

TABLE 6—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES*

[In basis points per annum]

[If the reserve ratio for the prior assessment period is equal to or greater than 2.5 percent]

Risk

category

I

Risk

category

II

Risk

category

III

Risk

category

IV

Large &

highly

complex

institutions **

Initial Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

1—5

9

15

25

1–25

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** ...........................................

¥2.5 to 0

¥4.5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

0.5 to 5

4.5 to 19

10 to 25

20 to 35

0.5 to 35

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions

5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..............................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..............................................

0.5 to 5

4.5 to 19

10 to 25

20 to 35

0.5 to 35

* Total base assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 1 basis point will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 0.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 0.5 basis points. The unsecured debt

adjustment does not apply to insured branches.

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23 See 12 CFR 327.10(f); 76 FR at 10684.

24 Subject to exceptions, an established insured

depository institution is one that has been federally

insured for at least five years as of the last day of

any quarter for which it is being assessed. 12 CFR

327.8(k).

25 As under current rules, the brokered deposit

adjustment would continue to apply only to

established small banks that are less than well

capitalized or that have a CAMELS composite rating

of 3, 4 or 5.

With respect to each of the four

assessment rate schedules (Tables 3, 4,

5 and 6), the Board has the authority to

adopt rates without further notice and

comment rulemaking that are higher or

lower than the total assessment rates

(also known as the total base assessment

rates) shown in the tables, provided

that: (1) The Board cannot increase or

decrease rates from one quarter to the

next by more than two basis points; and

ssessment rate schedules (Tables 3, 4,

5 and 6), the Board has the authority to

adopt rates without further notice and

comment rulemaking that are higher or

lower than the total assessment rates

(also known as the total base assessment

rates) shown in the tables, provided

that: (1) The Board cannot increase or

decrease rates from one quarter to the

next by more than two basis points; and

(2) cumulative increases and decreases

cannot be more than two basis points

higher or lower than the total base

assessment rates.23

III. Justification for Proposal

While the current deposit insurance

assessment system effectively reflects

the risk posed by small banks, it can be

improved by incorporating newer data

from the recent financial crisis and

revising the methodology to directly

estimate the probability of failure three

years ahead. These improvements will

allow the FDIC to more effectively price

risk. The proposed improvements to the

small bank risk-based assessment

system will further the goals of reducing

cross-subsidization of high-risk

institutions by low risk institutions and

help ensure that banks that take on

greater risks will pay more for deposit

insurance.

IV. Description of the Proposed Rule

Summary of the Proposed Rule

The FDIC proposes to improve the

assessment system applicable to

established small banks 24 (that is, small

banks other than new small banks and

insured branches of foreign banks) by:

high-risk

institutions by low risk institutions and

help ensure that banks that take on

greater risks will pay more for deposit

insurance.

IV. Description of the Proposed Rule

Summary of the Proposed Rule

The FDIC proposes to improve the

assessment system applicable to

established small banks 24 (that is, small

banks other than new small banks and

insured branches of foreign banks) by:

(1) Revising the financial ratios method

so that it is based on a statistical model

estimating the probability of failure over

three years; (2) updating the financial

measures used in the financial ratios

method consistent with the statistical

model; and (3) eliminating risk

categories for all established small

banks and using the financial ratios

method to determine assessment rates

for all such banks. CAMELS composite

ratings, however, would be used to

place a maximum on the assessment

rates that CAMELS composite 1- and 2-

rated banks could be charged and

minimums on the assessment rates that

CAMELS composite 3-, 4- and 5-rated

banks could be charged.

Over 500 banks have failed since the

end of 2007. These failures, together

with the hundreds of failures during the

banking crisis of the late 1980s and

early 1990s, have generated a robust set

of data on bank failures. The FDIC need

no longer rely on a model that estimates

a proxy for failure—the probability that

a bank with a CAMELS composite rating

of 1 or 2 will be downgraded to a

CAMELS composite rating of 3, 4, or 5

within 12 months; rather, the FDIC can

base small bank deposit insurance

assessments on a statistical model that

estimates a bank’s probability of failure

directly.

In addition to estimating probability

of failure directly, the proposal

improves the small bank deposit

insurance assessment system in other

ways. First, it allows the assessment

system to better capture risk when the

risk is assumed, rather than when the

risk has already resulted in losses

rance

assessments on a statistical model that

estimates a bank’s probability of failure

directly.

In addition to estimating probability

of failure directly, the proposal

improves the small bank deposit

insurance assessment system in other

ways. First, it allows the assessment

system to better capture risk when the

risk is assumed, rather than when the

risk has already resulted in losses. The

statistical model on which the proposed

deposit insurance assessment system for

small banks is based estimates the

probability of failure within three years,

balancing the need to capture risk when

it is assumed with the need for accurate

failure predictions. (The longer the

prediction period, the less accurate a

model’s predictions will tend to be; so,

for example, the FDIC cannot create a

model that predicts failure ten years in

the future with sufficient accuracy.) The

risk-based assessment system

established in 2011 for large banks is

also designed to capture performance

over a period longer than one year. The

FDIC would update the financial

measures used in the financial ratios

method to be consistent with the

proposed statistical model. All of the

proposed measures were statistically

significant in predicting a bank’s

probability of failure within a three-year

period.

Second, because the model allows the

FDIC to estimate the probability of

failure directly, it allows the FDIC to

apply the model to all established small

banks, not just those in Risk Category I.

In part because CAMELS ratings can

incorporate information that the model

cannot, the FDIC proposes to apply

minimum or maximum initial base

assessment rates that will depend on a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating. Thus,

as it has with large banks, the FDIC

would eliminate risk categories for

small banks (other than new small

banks and insured branches of foreign

banks)

in Risk Category I.

In part because CAMELS ratings can

incorporate information that the model

cannot, the FDIC proposes to apply

minimum or maximum initial base

assessment rates that will depend on a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating. Thus,

as it has with large banks, the FDIC

would eliminate risk categories for

small banks (other than new small

banks and insured branches of foreign

banks).

Third, because the model predicts the

probability of failure three years ahead

using data on hundreds of failures

(including failures during the recent

crisis), it better reflects banks’ actual

risks and provides incentives to banks

to monitor and reduce risks that

increase potential losses to the DIF.

Because it measures risk more

accurately, the model reduces the

subsidization of riskier banks by less

risky banks.

The FDIC intends to preserve the

lower range of initial base assessment

rates previously adopted by the Board.

The FDIC is proposing that the new

assessment system go into operation the

quarter after the reserve ratio reaches

1.15 percent. At that time, under the

initial base assessment rate schedules

adopted by the Board in 2011, initial

based assessment rates will fall

automatically from the current 5 basis

point to 35 basis point range to a 3 basis

point to 30 basis point range, as

reflected in Table 4.25 The FDIC adopted

this schedule of assessment rates

pursuant to its long-term fund

management plan as the FDIC’s best

estimate of the assessment rates that

would have been needed from 1950 to

2010 to maintain a positive fund

balance during the past two banking

crises.

The FDIC proposes to convert the

statistical model to assessment rates

within this 3 basis point to 30 basis

point assessment range in a revenue

neutral way; that is, in a manner that

does not change the aggregate

assessment revenue collected from

established small banks

hat

would have been needed from 1950 to

2010 to maintain a positive fund

balance during the past two banking

crises.

The FDIC proposes to convert the

statistical model to assessment rates

within this 3 basis point to 30 basis

point assessment range in a revenue

neutral way; that is, in a manner that

does not change the aggregate

assessment revenue collected from

established small banks. Specifically,

the conversion would be done to ensure

that aggregate assessments for an

assessment period shortly before

adoption of a final rule would have been

approximately the same under the final

rule as they would have been under the

assessment rate schedule set forth in

Table 4 (the rates that, under current

rules, will automatically go into effect

when the reserve ratio reaches 1.15

percent).

To avoid unnecessary burden, the

FDIC is proposing a revised small bank

assessment system that does not require

small banks to report any new data in

their Reports of Condition and Income

(Call Reports).

Implementation of the Proposed Rule

The FDIC proposes that a final rule go

into effect the quarter after a final rule

is adopted; by their terms, however, the

proposed revisions would not become

operative until the quarter after the DIF

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent.

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FDIC proposes that a final rule go

into effect the quarter after a final rule

is adopted; by their terms, however, the

proposed revisions would not become

operative until the quarter after the DIF

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent.

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40843

Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

26 For certain lagged variables, such as one-year

asset growth rates, the statistical analysis also used

bank financial data from 1984.

27 Current rules provide that, if a Risk Category

I small bank’s CAMELS component ratings change

during a quarter in a way that changes the bank’s

initial base assessment rate, the initial base

assessment rate for the period before the change

shall be determined under the financial ratios

method using the CAMELS component ratings in

effect before the change. Beginning on the date of

the CAMELS component ratings change, the initial

base assessment rate for the remainder of the

quarter is determined using the CAMELS

component ratings in effect after the change. 12 CFR

327.9(a)(4)(iv)(B). Under the proposal, this rule

would remain essentially unchanged, but would

apply to all established small banks rather than just

banks within Risk Category I.

28 Two measures in the current financial ratios

method—net loan charge-offs/gross assets and loans

past due 30–89 days/gross assets—are not used in

the statistical analysis and are not among the

proposed measures.

29 The adjusted brokered deposit ratio can affect

assessment rates only if a bank’s brokered deposits

(excluding reciprocal deposits) exceed 10 percent of

its non-reciprocal brokered deposits and its assets

have grown more than 40 percent in the previous

4 years. 12 CFR 327 Appendix A to Subpart A.

30 As of December 31, 2014, the adjusted brokered

deposit ratio affected the assessment rate of 81

banks

ted brokered deposit ratio can affect

assessment rates only if a bank’s brokered deposits

(excluding reciprocal deposits) exceed 10 percent of

its non-reciprocal brokered deposits and its assets

have grown more than 40 percent in the previous

4 years. 12 CFR 327 Appendix A to Subpart A.

30 As of December 31, 2014, the adjusted brokered

deposit ratio affected the assessment rate of 81

banks.

31 Credit card loans were excluded from the loan

mix index because they produced anomalously high

assessment rates for banks with significant credit

card loans. Credit card loans have very high charge-

off rates, which the loan mix index can capture, but

they also tend to have very high interest rates to

compensate. In addition, few small banks have

significant concentrations of credit card loans.

Consequently, credit card loans are omitted from

the index.

Detailed Description of the Proposed

Rule

Risk Differentiation

As mentioned above, the FDIC is

proposing to update the financial

measures used in the financial ratios

method consistent with the statistical

model, eliminate risk categories for all

established small banks, and use the

financial ratios method to determine

assessment rates for all such banks.

CAMELS composite ratings would be

used to place a maximum on the

assessment rates that CAMELS

composite 1- and 2-rated banks could be

charged, and minimums on the

assessment rates that CAMELS

composite 3-, 4- and 5-rated banks could

be charged.

The financial ratios method as revised

would use the measures described in

the right-hand column of Table 7 below.

For comparison’s sake, the measures

currently used in the financial ratios

method are set out on the left-hand

column of the table.

TABLE 7—COMPARISON OF CURRENT AND PROPOSED MEASURES IN THE FINANCIAL RATIOS METHOD

Current risk category I financial ratios method

Proposed financial ratios method

• Weighted Average CAMELS Component Rating .................................

• Weighted Average CAMELS Component Rating

the measures

currently used in the financial ratios

method are set out on the left-hand

column of the table.

TABLE 7—COMPARISON OF CURRENT AND PROPOSED MEASURES IN THE FINANCIAL RATIOS METHOD

Current risk category I financial ratios method

Proposed financial ratios method

• Weighted Average CAMELS Component Rating .................................

• Weighted Average CAMELS Component Rating.

• Tier 1 Leverage Ratio ...........................................................................

• Tier 1 Leverage Ratio.

• Net Income before Taxes/Risk-Weighted Assets .................................

• Net Income before Taxes/Total Assets.

• Nonperforming Assets/Gross Assets ....................................................

• Nonperforming Loans and Leases/Gross Assets.

• Other Real Estate Owned/Gross Assets.

• Adjusted Brokered Deposit Ratio .........................................................

• Core Deposits/Total Assets.

• One Year Asset Growth.

• Net Loan Charge-Offs/Gross Assets

• Loans Past Due 30–89 Days/Gross Assets

• Loan Mix Index.

All of the proposed measures are

derived from a statistical analysis that

estimates a bank’s probability of failure

within three years. Each of the measures

was statistically significant in predicting

a bank’s probability of failure over that

period. The statistical analysis used

bank financial data and CAMELS ratings

from 1985 through 2011, failure data

from 1986 through 2014, and loan

charge-off data from 2001 through

2014.26 Appendix 1 to the

Supplementary Information section of

this notice and the proposed Appendix

E describe the statistical analysis and

the derivation of these proposed

measures in detail

ilure over that

period. The statistical analysis used

bank financial data and CAMELS ratings

from 1985 through 2011, failure data

from 1986 through 2014, and loan

charge-off data from 2001 through

2014.26 Appendix 1 to the

Supplementary Information section of

this notice and the proposed Appendix

E describe the statistical analysis and

the derivation of these proposed

measures in detail.

Two of the proposed measures—the

weighted average CAMELS component

rating and the tier 1 leverage ratio—are

identical to the measures currently used

in the financial ratios method.27 The

proposed net income before taxes/total

assets measure is also identical to the

current measure, except that the

denominator is total assets rather than

risk-weighted assets. The current

measure nonperforming assets/gross

assets includes other real estate owned.

In the proposal, other real estate owned/

gross assets is a separate measure from

nonperforming loans and leases/gross

assets.

The remaining three proposed

measures—core deposits/total assets,

one-year asset growth, and the loan mix

index—are new.28

Under the proposal, the core deposits/

total assets and the one-year asset

growth measures would replace the

adjusted brokered deposit ratio

currently used in the financial ratios

method. The adjusted brokered deposit

ratio increases a Risk Category I small

bank’s assessment rate only if the bank

has both large amounts of brokered

deposits and high asset growth.29 Few

banks have both, so the ratio affects few

banks.30 One of the proposed

replacement measures—core deposits/

total assets—will tend to lower

assessment rates for most small banks.

The other proposed replacement

measure—one-year asset growth—will

tend to raise assessment rates for small

banks that grow significantly over a year

(other than through merger or by

acquiring failed banks).

The loan mix index is a measure of

the extent to which a bank’s total assets

include higher-risk categories of loans

l assets—will tend to lower

assessment rates for most small banks.

The other proposed replacement

measure—one-year asset growth—will

tend to raise assessment rates for small

banks that grow significantly over a year

(other than through merger or by

acquiring failed banks).

The loan mix index is a measure of

the extent to which a bank’s total assets

include higher-risk categories of loans.

Each category of loan in a bank’s loan

portfolio is divided by the bank’s total

assets to determine the percentage of the

bank’s assets represented by that

category of loan. Each percentage is then

multiplied by that category of loan’s

historical weighted average industry-

wide charge-off rate. The products are

then summed to determine the loan mix

index value for that bank.

The loan categories in the loan mix

index were selected based on the

availability of category-specific charge-

off rates over a sufficiently lengthy

period (2001 through 2014) to be

representative. The loan categories

exclude credit card loans.31 For each

loan category, the weighted average

charge-off rate weights each industry-

wide charge-off rate for each year by the

number of bank failures in that year.

Thus, charge-off rates from 2009

through 2014, during the recent banking

crisis, have a much greater influence on

the weighted average charge-off rate

than charge-off rates from the years

before the crisis, when few failures

occurred. The weighted averages assure

that types of loans that have high

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nking

crisis, have a much greater influence on

the weighted average charge-off rate

than charge-off rates from the years

before the crisis, when few failures

occurred. The weighted averages assure

that types of loans that have high

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

32 As discussed above, the loan mix index uses

loan charge-off data from 2001 through 2014. As

discussed in greater detail below, if financial,

failure and charge-off data from later years is

available at the time the FDIC adopts a final rule

pursuant to this proposal, the FDIC may update the

statistical model, including the loan mix index,

using the methodology described in Appendix E.

The table shows industry-wide weighted charge-

off percentage rates, the loan category as a

percentage of total assets and the products to two

decimal places. In fact, the FDIC proposes to use

seven decimal places for industry-wide weighted

charge-off percentage rates, and as many decimal

places as permitted by the FDIC’s computer systems

for the loan category as a percentage of total assets

and the products. The total (the loan mix index

itself) would use three decimal places.

33 As under current rules, however, no

adjustments would apply to bridge banks or

conservatorships. These banks would continue to

be charged the minimum assessment rate applicable

to small banks. As under current rules, the brokered

deposit adjustment would not apply to insured

branches.

34 If the bank were less than well capitalized, it

would be subject to the brokered deposit

adjustment for the whole quarter.

35 See 12 CFR 327.10(b); 76 FR at 10718.

charge-off rates during downturns have

an appropriate influence on assessment

rates.

Table 8 below illustrates how the loan

mix index is calculated for a

hypothetical bank

it adjustment would not apply to insured

branches.

34 If the bank were less than well capitalized, it

would be subject to the brokered deposit

adjustment for the whole quarter.

35 See 12 CFR 327.10(b); 76 FR at 10718.

charge-off rates during downturns have

an appropriate influence on assessment

rates.

Table 8 below illustrates how the loan

mix index is calculated for a

hypothetical bank.

TABLE 8—LOAN MIX INDEX FOR A HYPOTHETICAL BANK 32

Weighted

charge-off rate

percent

Loan category

as a percent

of hypothetical

bank’s total

assets

Product of two

columns to the

left

Construction & Development .......................................................................................................

4.50

1.40

6.29

Commercial & Industrial ..............................................................................................................

1.60

24.24

38.75

Leases .........................................................................................................................................

1.50

0.64

0.96

Other Consumer ..........................................................................................................................

1.46

14.93

21.74

Loans to Foreign Government .....................................................................................................

1.34

0.24

0.32

Real Estate Loans Residual ........................................................................................................

1.02

0.11

0.11

Multifamily Residential .................................................................................................................

0.88

2.42

2.14

Nonfarm Nonresidential ...............................................................................................................

0.73

13.71

9.99

1–4 Family Residential ...............................................................................................................

.............................................................................................

0.88

2.42

2.14

Nonfarm Nonresidential ...............................................................................................................

0.73

13.71

9.99

1–4 Family Residential ................................................................................................................

0.70

2.27

1.58

Loans to Depository banks ..........................................................................................................

0.58

1.15

0.66

Agricultural Real Estate ...............................................................................................................

0.24

3.43

0.82

Agriculture ....................................................................................................................................

0.24

5.91

1.44

SUM (Loan Mix Index) .........................................................................................................

........................

70.45

84.79

The weighted charge-off rates in the

table are the same for all small banks.

The remaining two columns vary from

bank to bank, depending on the bank’s

loan portfolio. For each loan type, the

value in the rightmost column is

calculated by multiplying the weighted

charge-off rate by the bank’s loans of

that type as a percent of its total assets.

In this illustration, the sum of the right-

hand column (84.79) is the loan mix

index for this bank.

As in the current methodology for

Risk Category I small banks, under the

proposal the weighted CAMELS

components and financial ratios would

be multiplied by statistically derived

pricing multipliers, the products would

be summed, and the sum would be

added to a uniform amount that would

be: (a) Derived from the statistical

analysis, (b) adjusted for assessment

rates set by the FDIC, and (c) applied to

all established small banks. The total

would equal the bank’s initial

assessment rate

components and financial ratios would

be multiplied by statistically derived

pricing multipliers, the products would

be summed, and the sum would be

added to a uniform amount that would

be: (a) Derived from the statistical

analysis, (b) adjusted for assessment

rates set by the FDIC, and (c) applied to

all established small banks. The total

would equal the bank’s initial

assessment rate. If, however, the

resulting rate were below the minimum

initial assessment rate for small banks,

the bank’s initial assessment rate would

be the minimum initial assessment rate;

if the rate were above the maximum,

then the bank’s initial assessment rate

would be the maximum initial rate for

small banks. In addition, if the resulting

rate for a small bank were below the

minimum or above the maximum initial

assessment rate applicable to banks with

the bank’s CAMELS composite rating,

the bank’s initial assessment rate would

be the respective minimum or

maximum assessment rate for a small

bank with its CAMELS composite

rating. This approach would allow rates

to vary incrementally across a wide

range of rates for all small banks (other

than new small banks and insured

branches). The conversion of the

statistical model to pricing multipliers

and uniform amount are discussed

further below and in detail in the

proposed Appendix E. Appendix E also

discusses the derivation of the pricing

multipliers and the uniform amount.

Adjustments to Initial Base Assessment

Rates

As under current rules: (1) The DIDA

would continue to apply to all banks; (2)

the unsecured debt adjustment would

continue to apply to all banks except

new banks and insured branches; and

cussed

further below and in detail in the

proposed Appendix E. Appendix E also

discusses the derivation of the pricing

multipliers and the uniform amount.

Adjustments to Initial Base Assessment

Rates

As under current rules: (1) The DIDA

would continue to apply to all banks; (2)

the unsecured debt adjustment would

continue to apply to all banks except

new banks and insured branches; and

(3) the brokered deposit adjustment

would continue to apply to all small

banks except those that are well

capitalized and have a CAMELS

composite rating of 1 or 2.33 As under

current rules, if, during a quarter, a

bank’s supervisory rating changes from

a CAMELS composite 1 or 2 rating to a

CAMELS composite 3, 4 or 5 rating or

vice versa, the bank would be subject to

the brokered deposit adjustment for the

portion of the quarter that it did not

have a CAMELS composite 1 or 2

rating.34

Proposed Assessment Rates

As described above and as set out in

the rate schedule in Table 9 below, for

established small banks, the FDIC

proposes to eliminate risk categories,

but maintain the range of initial

assessment rates (3 basis points to 30

basis points) that the Board has

previously determined will go into

effect starting the quarter after the

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent and

include a maximum assessment rate that

would apply to CAMELS composite 1-

and 2-rated banks and the minimum

assessment rates that would apply to

CAMELS composite 3-rated banks and

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks.35 Unless revised by the Board,

these rates would remain in effect so

long as the reserve ratio is less than 2

percent.

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assessment rates that would apply to

CAMELS composite 3-rated banks and

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks.35 Unless revised by the Board,

these rates would remain in effect so

long as the reserve ratio is less than 2

percent.

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36 The reserve ratio for the immediately prior

assessment period must also be less than 2 percent.

TABLE 9—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES *

[In basis points per annum]

[Once the reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent] 36

Established small banks

Large & highly

complex

institutions **

CAMELS Composite

1 or 2

3

4.or 5

Initial Base Assessment Rate ..........................................................................

3 to 16

6 to 30

16 to 30

3 to 30

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** .......................................................................

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..........................................................................

0 to10 ****

0 to10

0 to10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..........................................................................

1.5 to 26

3 to 40

11 to 40

1.5 to 40

* Total base assessment rates in the table do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 3 basis points will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 1.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1.5 basis points

unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 3 basis points will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 1.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1.5 basis points.

**** The brokered deposit adjustment applies to established small banks with CAMELS composite ratings of 1 or 2 only if they are less than

well capitalized.

As discussed above, the FDIC adopted

the range of assessment rates in this rate

schedule pursuant to its long-term fund

management plan as the FDIC’s best

estimate of the assessment rates that

would have been needed from 1950 to

2010 to maintain a positive fund

balance during the past two banking

crises. This assessment rate schedule

remains the FDIC’s best estimate of the

long-term rates needed. Consequently,

and as discussed in greater detail further

below and in detail in Appendix E, the

FDIC proposes to convert its statistical

model to assessment rates within this 3

basis point to 30 basis point assessment

range in a revenue neutral way.

The FDIC proposes to maintain the

range of initial assessment rates, set out

in the rate schedule in Table 10 below,

that the Board has previously

determined will go into effect starting

the quarter after the reserve ratio

reaches or exceeds 2 percent and is less

than 2.5 percent. Unless revised by the

Board, these rates would remain in

effect so long as the reserve ratio is in

this range. Table 10 also includes the

maximum assessment rates that will

apply to CAMELS composite 1- and 2-

rated banks and the minimum

assessment rates that will apply to

CAMELS composite 3-rated banks and

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks

eds 2 percent and is less

than 2.5 percent. Unless revised by the

Board, these rates would remain in

effect so long as the reserve ratio is in

this range. Table 10 also includes the

maximum assessment rates that will

apply to CAMELS composite 1- and 2-

rated banks and the minimum

assessment rates that will apply to

CAMELS composite 3-rated banks and

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks.

TABLE 10—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES *

[In basis points per annum]

[If the reserve ratio for the prior assessment period is equal to or greater than 2 percent and less than 2.5 percent]

Established small banks

Large & highly

complex

institutions **

CAMELS Composite

1 or 2

3

4 or 5

Initial Base Assessment Rate ..........................................................................

2 to 14

5 to 28

14 to 28

2 to 28

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** .......................................................................

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment ..........................................................................

0 to 10 ****

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate ..........................................................................

1 to 24

2.5 to 38

9 to 38

1 to 38

* Total base assessment rates in the table do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 2 basis points will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 1 basis point and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1 basis point.

**** The brokered deposit adjustment applies to established small banks with CAMELS composite ratings of 1 or 2 only if they are less than

well capitalized

thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 2 basis points will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 1 basis point and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 1 basis point.

**** The brokered deposit adjustment applies to established small banks with CAMELS composite ratings of 1 or 2 only if they are less than

well capitalized.

The FDIC proposes to maintain the

range of initial assessment rates, set out

in the rate schedule in Table 11 below,

that the Board has previously

determined will go into effect, again

without further action by the Board,

when the fund reserve ratio at the end

of the prior assessment period meets or

exceeds 2.5 percent. Unless changed by

the Board, these rates would remain in

effect so long as the reserve ratio is at

or above this level. Table 11 also

includes the maximum assessment rates

that will apply to CAMELS composite 1-

and 2-rated banks and the minimum

assessment rates that will apply to

CAMELS composite 3-rated banks and

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks.

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37 The FDIC proposes to convert a linear version

of its model, which was estimated in a non-linear

manner. (See Appendix E.) The conversion using a

linear version of the model preserves the same rank

ordering as the non-linear model, but using the

linear version of the model allows initial

assessment rates to be expressed as a linear function

of the model variables. The FDIC also used a linear

version of its original non-linear downgrade

probability statistical model when it instituted

variable rates within Risk Category 1 (effective

January 1, 2007)

f the model preserves the same rank

ordering as the non-linear model, but using the

linear version of the model allows initial

assessment rates to be expressed as a linear function

of the model variables. The FDIC also used a linear

version of its original non-linear downgrade

probability statistical model when it instituted

variable rates within Risk Category 1 (effective

January 1, 2007).

38 Initial assessment rates under the rate schedule

actually in effect for the fourth quarter of 2014

ranged from 5 basis points to 35 basis points, since

the DIF reserve ratio was under 1.15 percent.

TABLE 11—INITIAL AND TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES *

[In basis points per annum]

[If the reserve ratio for the prior assessment period is equal to or greater than 2.5 percent]

Established small banks

Large & highly

complex

institutions **

CAMELS Composite

1 or 2

3

4 or 5

Initial Base Assessment Rate .........................

1 to 13 ............................................................

4 to 25

13 to 25

1 to 25

Unsecured Debt Adjustment *** ......................

¥5 to 0 ..........................................................

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

¥5 to 0

Brokered Deposit Adjustment .........................

0 to 10 **** ......................................................

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate .........................

0.5 to 23 .........................................................

2 to 35

8 to 35

0.5 to 35

* Total base assessment rates in the table do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions

0 to 10 **** ......................................................

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Base Assessment Rate .........................

0.5 to 23 .........................................................

2 to 35

8 to 35

0.5 to 35

* Total base assessment rates in the table do not include the DIDA.

** See § 327.8(f) and (g) for the definition of large and highly complex institutions.

*** The unsecured debt adjustment cannot exceed the lesser of 5 basis points or 50 percent of an insured depository institution’s initial base

assessment rate; thus, for example, an insured depository institution with an initial base assessment rate of 1 basis point will have a maximum

unsecured debt adjustment of 0.5 basis points and cannot have a total base assessment rate lower than 0.5 basis points.

**** The brokered deposit adjustment applies to established small banks with CAMELS composite ratings of 1 or 2 only if they are less than

well capitalized.

With respect to each of the three

assessment rate schedules (Tables 9, 10

and 11), the FDIC proposes that the

Board would retain its authority to

uniformly adjust assessment rates up or

down from the total base assessment

rate schedule without further

rulemaking, as long as adjustment does

not exceed 2 basis points. Also, with

respect to each of the three schedules,

the FDIC proposes that, if a bank’s

CAMELS composite or component

ratings change during a quarter in a way

that changes the institution’s initial base

assessment rate, then its assessment rate

would be determined separately for

each portion of the quarter in which it

had different CAMELS composite or

component ratings

eed 2 basis points. Also, with

respect to each of the three schedules,

the FDIC proposes that, if a bank’s

CAMELS composite or component

ratings change during a quarter in a way

that changes the institution’s initial base

assessment rate, then its assessment rate

would be determined separately for

each portion of the quarter in which it

had different CAMELS composite or

component ratings.

Conversion of Statistical Model to

Pricing Multipliers and Uniform

Amount

As discussed above, the FDIC

proposes to convert its statistical model

to assessment rates set out in Table 9 in

a revenue neutral manner.37

Specifically, and as described in detail

in Appendix E, the FDIC proposes to

convert the statistical model to

assessment rates to ensure that aggregate

assessments for an assessment period

shortly before adoption of a final rule

would have been approximately the

same under the final rule as they would

have been under the assessment rate

schedule set forth in Table 4 (the rates

that, under current rules, will

automatically go into effect when the

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent).

To illustrate the conversion, Table 12

below sets out the pricing multipliers

and uniform amounts that would have

resulted if the FDIC had converted the

statistical model to the assessment rate

schedule set out in Table 9 (with a range

of assessment rates from 3 basis points

to 30 basis points) so that, for the fourth

quarter of 2014, aggregate assessments

for all established small banks under the

proposal would have equaled, as closely

as reasonably possible, aggregate

assessments for all established small

banks had the assessment rate schedule

in Table 4 been in effect for that

assessment period.38 Partly because the

actual conversion will be based upon a

later quarter (and partly for the reasons

discussed directly below), the pricing

multipliers and the uniform amount

shown in Table 12 are likely to differ

somewhat from those in the final rule

regate

assessments for all established small

banks had the assessment rate schedule

in Table 4 been in effect for that

assessment period.38 Partly because the

actual conversion will be based upon a

later quarter (and partly for the reasons

discussed directly below), the pricing

multipliers and the uniform amount

shown in Table 12 are likely to differ

somewhat from those in the final rule.

TABLE 12—PRICING MULTIPLIERS AND

THE UNIFORM AMOUNT UNDER

A

HYPOTHETICAL CONVERSION OF THE

STATISTICAL

MODEL

TO

ASSESS-

MENT

RATES

BASED

ON

THE

FOURTH QUARTER OF 2014

Model measures

Pricing

multiplier

Weighted Average CAMELS

Component Rating ............

1.731

Tier 1 Leverage Ratio ...........

¥1.337

Net Income Before Taxes/

Total Assets ......................

¥0.652

Nonperforming Loans and

Leases/Gross Assets ........

0.924

TABLE 12—PRICING MULTIPLIERS AND

THE UNIFORM AMOUNT UNDER

A

HYPOTHETICAL CONVERSION OF THE

STATISTICAL

MODEL

TO

ASSESS-

MENT

RATES

BASED

ON

THE

FOURTH QUARTER OF 2014—Con-

tinued

Model measures

Pricing

multiplier

Other Real Estate Owned/

Gross Assets .....................

0.620

Core Deposits/Total Assets ..

¥0.139

One Year Asset Growth .......

0.043

Loan Mix Index .....................

0.066

Uniform Amount ....................

19.376

Updating the Statistical Model, Pricing

Multipliers and Uniform Amount

The statistical analysis used bank

financial data and CAMELS ratings from

1985 through 2011, failure data from

1986 through 2014 and loan charge-off

data from 2001 through 2014. The FDIC

proposes to retain the flexibility to

update the statistical model from time to

time using financial, failure and charge-

off data from later years and publish a

new loan mix index, uniform amount

and pricing multipliers based on the

updated model without further notice-

and-comment rulemaking. Any update

to the model would be done pursuant to

the methodology described in Appendix

E

DIC

proposes to retain the flexibility to

update the statistical model from time to

time using financial, failure and charge-

off data from later years and publish a

new loan mix index, uniform amount

and pricing multipliers based on the

updated model without further notice-

and-comment rulemaking. Any update

to the model would be done pursuant to

the methodology described in Appendix

E. No new financial ratios or other

measures would be introduced into the

model without notice-and-comment

rulemaking. Because the analysis would

continue to use earlier years’ data as

well, changes in estimations of failure

probability should usually be relatively

small. Similarly, if financial, failure and

charge-off data from later years is

available at the time the FDIC adopts a

final rule pursuant to this proposal, the

FDIC may update the statistical model,

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39 These supervisory evaluations result in the

assignment of supervisory ratings referred to as

ROCA ratings. ROCA stands for Risk Management,

Operational Controls, Compliance, and Asset

Quality. Like CAMELS components, ROCA

component ratings range from a ‘‘1’’ (best rating) to

a ‘‘5’’ rating (worst rating). A Risk Category I

insured branch generally has a ROCA composite

rating of 1 or 2.

40 Specifically, the assessment rate depends on

the insured branch’s weighted average ROCA

component ratings. The weights applied to

individual ROCA component ratings are 35 percent,

25 percent, 25 percent, and 15 percent, respectively.

41 No insured branch in any risk category is

subject to the unsecured debt adjustment or

brokered deposit adjustment. Insured branches are

subject to the DIDA

Specifically, the assessment rate depends on

the insured branch’s weighted average ROCA

component ratings. The weights applied to

individual ROCA component ratings are 35 percent,

25 percent, 25 percent, and 15 percent, respectively.

41 No insured branch in any risk category is

subject to the unsecured debt adjustment or

brokered deposit adjustment. Insured branches are

subject to the DIDA.

42 As of March 31, 2015, there were only 9

insured branches that file regulatory financial

submissions (FFIEC Form 002). (One of these

branches, however, files for itself and another

branch of the same foreign bank that does not file

separately.)

43 For example, insured branches of foreign banks

do not report earnings and report only limited

balance sheet information in FFIEC Form 002.

44 New small banks are subject to the DIDA. New

small banks in Risk Categories II, III, and IV are

subject to the brokered deposit adjustment. New

small banks are not subject to the unsecured debt

adjustment.

45 As with other assessment rates, the Board has

the ability to adopt actual rates that are higher or

lower than these total assessment rates without the

necessity of further notice and comment

rulemaking, provided that: (1) The Board cannot

increase or decrease rates from one quarter to the

next by more than two basis points; and (2)

cumulative increases and decreases cannot be more

than two basis points higher or lower than the total

base rates.

46 Current rules provide that: (1) under specified

conditions, certain subsidiary small banks will be

considered established rather than new, 12 CFR

327.8(k)(4); and (2) the time that a bank has spent

as a federally insured credit union is included in

determining whether a bank is established, 12 CFR

327.8(k)(5)

nnot be more

than two basis points higher or lower than the total

base rates.

46 Current rules provide that: (1) under specified

conditions, certain subsidiary small banks will be

considered established rather than new, 12 CFR

327.8(k)(4); and (2) the time that a bank has spent

as a federally insured credit union is included in

determining whether a bank is established, 12 CFR

327.8(k)(5). If a Risk Category I small bank is

considered established under these rules, but has

no CAMELS component ratings, its initial

assessment rate is 2 basis points above the

minimum initial assessment rate applicable to Risk

Category I (which is equivalent to 2 basis points

above the minimum initial assessment rate for

established small banks) until it receives CAMELS

component ratings. Thereafter, the assessment rate

is determined by annualizing, where appropriate,

financial ratios obtained from all quarterly Call

Reports that have been filed, until the bank files

four quarterly Call Reports. For small banks that are

considered established under these rules, but do not

have CAMELS component ratings, the FDIC

proposes the following:

1. If the bank has no CAMELS composite rating,

its initial assessment rate would be 2 basis points

above the minimum initial assessment rate for

established small banks until it receives a CAMELS

composite rating; and

2. If the bank has a CAMELS composite rating but

no CAMELS component ratings, its initial

assessment rate would be determined using the

financial ratios method by substituting its CAMELS

composite rating for its weighted average CAMELS

component rating and, if the bank has not yet filed

four quarterly Call Reports, by annualizing, where

appropriate, financial ratios obtained from all

quarterly Call Reports that have been filed.

47 Empirical studies show that new banks exhibit

a ‘‘life cycle’’ pattern, and it takes close to a decade

after its establishment for a new bank to mature

ite rating for its weighted average CAMELS

component rating and, if the bank has not yet filed

four quarterly Call Reports, by annualizing, where

appropriate, financial ratios obtained from all

quarterly Call Reports that have been filed.

47 Empirical studies show that new banks exhibit

a ‘‘life cycle’’ pattern, and it takes close to a decade

after its establishment for a new bank to mature.

Continued

including the loan mix index, using the

methodology described in Appendix E.

Insured Branches of Foreign Banks and

New Small Banks

The FDIC proposes to make no

changes to the rules governing the

assessment rate schedules applicable to

insured branches or to the assessment

rate schedule applicable to new small

banks. The FDIC also proposes to make

no changes to the way in which

assessment rates for insured branches

and new small banks are determined.

Insured Branches

The current risk-based deposit

insurance assessment system for small

banks assigns insured branches an

assessment risk classification that is

based on the FDIC’s consideration of

supervisory evaluations provided by the

institution’s primary federal regulator.39

Within Risk Category I, each insured

branch’s assessment rate is based on

these supervisory evaluations.40 Insured

branches not in Risk Category I are

charged the initial base assessment rate

for the risk category to which they are

assigned.41 Once the DIF reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent, 2 percent, and 2.5

percent, assessment rate schedules

previously adopted by the Board will go

into effect and remain in place for

insured branches

essment rate is based on

these supervisory evaluations.40 Insured

branches not in Risk Category I are

charged the initial base assessment rate

for the risk category to which they are

assigned.41 Once the DIF reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent, 2 percent, and 2.5

percent, assessment rate schedules

previously adopted by the Board will go

into effect and remain in place for

insured branches.

The FDIC does not propose changing

the way assessment rates applicable to

insured branches are determined.42

Insured branches do not report the

information that the FDIC would need

to apply the financial ratios method to

them.43 Moreover, because insured

branches operate as extensions of a

foreign bank’s global banking

operations, they pose unique risks,

which the financial ratios method may

not be able to capture. An insured

branch operates without capital of its

own (capital is held by the foreign

bank), its business strategies are

typically directed by the foreign bank, it

relies extensively on the foreign bank

for liquidity and funding, and it often

has considerable country and transfer

risk exposures not typically found in

other insured institutions of similar

size. Insured branches also present

potentially challenging concerns in the

event of failure.

New Small Banks

New small banks are currently

assigned to risk categories in the same

manner as all other small banks. All

new small banks in Risk Category I,

however, are charged the maximum rate

applicable to Risk Category I. New small

banks not in Risk Category I are charged

the initial base assessment rate for the

risk category to which they are

assigned.44 Once the DIF reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent, new small banks

will be charged initial rates under the

previously adopted rate schedule that

automatically goes into effect then

ory I,

however, are charged the maximum rate

applicable to Risk Category I. New small

banks not in Risk Category I are charged

the initial base assessment rate for the

risk category to which they are

assigned.44 Once the DIF reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent, new small banks

will be charged initial rates under the

previously adopted rate schedule that

automatically goes into effect then. This

rate schedule will remain in place even

if the reserve ratio equals or exceeds 2

percent or 2.5 percent.45 After applying

all possible adjustments, minimum and

maximum total assessment rates for new

small banks in each risk category are set

forth in Table 13 below.

TABLE 13—TOTAL BASE ASSESSMENT RATES, NEW SMALL BANKS *

[In basis points per annum]

Risk category

I

Risk category

II

Risk category

III

Risk category

IV

Initial Assessment Rate ...................................................................................

7

12

19

30

Brokered Deposit Adjustment (added) ............................................................

N/A

0 to 10

0 to 10

0 to 10

Total Assessment Rate ...................................................................................

7

12 to 22

19 to 29

30 to 40

* The unsecured debt adjustment does not apply to new banks. Total assessment rates do not include the DIDA.

The FDIC does not propose changing

the way assessment rates applicable to

new small banks are determined.46 The

financial data on which the financial

ratios method is based tends to be

harder to interpret and less meaningful

for new small banks. A new bank

undergoes rapid changes in the scale

and scope of operations, often causing

financial ratios to be fairly volatile

include the DIDA.

The FDIC does not propose changing

the way assessment rates applicable to

new small banks are determined.46 The

financial data on which the financial

ratios method is based tends to be

harder to interpret and less meaningful

for new small banks. A new bank

undergoes rapid changes in the scale

and scope of operations, often causing

financial ratios to be fairly volatile. In

addition, a new bank’s loan portfolio is

often unseasoned, and therefore it is

difficult to assess credit risk based

solely on current financial ratios.47

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Despite low profitability and rapid growth, banks

that are three years or newer have, on average, a

probability of failure lower than established banks,

perhaps owing to large capital cushions and close

supervisory attention. However, after three years,

new banks’ failure probability, on average,

surpasses that of established banks. New banks

typically grow more rapidly than established banks

and tend to engage in more high-risk lending

activities funded by large deposits. Studies based

on data from the 1980s showed that asset quality

deteriorated rapidly for many new banks as a result,

and failure probability (conditional upon survival

in prior years) reached a peak by the ninth year.

Many financial ratios of new banks generally begin

to resemble those of established banks by about the

seventh or eighth year of their operation. See

Chiwon Yom, ‘‘Recently Chartered Banks’’

Vulnerability to Real Estate Crisis,’’ FDIC Banking

Review 17 (2005): 115 and Robert DeYoung, ‘‘For

How Long Are Newly Chartered Banks Financially

Fragile?’’ Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working

Paper Series 2000–09.

48 The proposal assumes a range of initial

assessment rates from 3 basis points to 30 basis

points

th year of their operation. See

Chiwon Yom, ‘‘Recently Chartered Banks’’

Vulnerability to Real Estate Crisis,’’ FDIC Banking

Review 17 (2005): 115 and Robert DeYoung, ‘‘For

How Long Are Newly Chartered Banks Financially

Fragile?’’ Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working

Paper Series 2000–09.

48 The proposal assumes a range of initial

assessment rates from 3 basis points to 30 basis

points. For purposes of determining assessment

rates for the illustration, the FDIC converted the

statistical model to a range of assessment rates from

3 basis points to 30 basis points so that, for the

fourth quarter of 2014, aggregate assessments for all

established small banks under the proposal would

have equaled, as closely as reasonably possible,

aggregate assessments for all established small

banks under the rate schedule in Table 4 (the rates

that, under current rules, will automatically go into

effect when the reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent).

Initial assessment rates under the rate schedule

actually in effect for the fourth quarter of 2014

ranged from 5 basis points to 35 basis points, since

the DIF reserve ratio was under 1.15 percent.

Further, on average, new banks have a

higher failure rate than established

institutions.

V. Expected Effects of the Proposed

Rule

Effect on Assessment Rates

To illustrate the effects of the

proposal on small bank assessment

rates, the FDIC compared actual

assessment rates of established small

banks as of the end of 2014, using a

range of initial assessment rates of 5

basis points to 35 basis points with

hypothetical assessment rates under

Table 9 of the proposal (which has an

overall range of assessment rates of 3

basis points to 30 basis points).48 The

proportion (and number) of established

small banks paying the minimum initial

assessment rate would have increased

significantly, from 23.3 percent in

actuality (1,493 small banks) to 56.0

percent under the proposal (3,584 small

banks)

hypothetical assessment rates under

Table 9 of the proposal (which has an

overall range of assessment rates of 3

basis points to 30 basis points).48 The

proportion (and number) of established

small banks paying the minimum initial

assessment rate would have increased

significantly, from 23.3 percent in

actuality (1,493 small banks) to 56.0

percent under the proposal (3,584 small

banks). The proportion (and number) of

established small banks paying the

maximum assessment rate would have

decreased from 0.7 percent of

established small banks in actuality (43

small banks) to 0.1 percent of

established small banks under the

proposal (7 small banks). Most

established small banks (5,922 or 92.5

percent) would have had rate decreases.

On average, Risk Category I established

small banks would have had a rate

decrease of 2.4 basis points, and Risk

Category II, III, and IV established small

banks would have had a rate decrease of

6.5 basis points. Of the Risk Category II,

III, and IV established small banks, 96.3

percent would have had rate decreases;

the average decrease would have been

6.8 basis points. 481 established small

banks (7.5 percent of established small

banks) would have had rate increases.

Of the Risk Category I established small

banks, 8.0 percent would have had rate

increases; the average increase would

have been 1.6 basis points.

Chart 1 below graphically compares

the distribution of established small

bank initial assessment rates under this

illustration. The horizontal axis in the

chart represents established small banks

ranked by risk, from the least risky on

the left to the most risky on the right.

Because actual risk rankings under the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system differ from risk

rankings under the proposal, a

particular point on the horizontal axis is

not likely to represent the same bank for

the current system and the proposal

n the

chart represents established small banks

ranked by risk, from the least risky on

the left to the most risky on the right.

Because actual risk rankings under the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system differ from risk

rankings under the proposal, a

particular point on the horizontal axis is

not likely to represent the same bank for

the current system and the proposal.

Thus, the chart does not show how an

individual bank’s assessment would

change under the proposal; it simply

compares the distribution of assessment

rates under the current system to the

distribution under the proposal.

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To further illustrate the effects of the

proposal on small bank assessment

rates, the FDIC compared hypothetical

assessment rates under the proposal

with the assessment rates established

small banks would have been charged as

of the end of 2014 if the assessment rate

schedule that, under current rules, will

go into effect when the reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent had been in effect.

The proportion of established small

banks paying the minimum initial

assessment rate would also have

increased from 23.3 percent in actuality

to 56.0 percent under the proposal and

the proportion of established small

banks paying the maximum assessment

rate would also have decreased from 0.7

percent of established small banks in

actuality to 0.1 percent of established

small banks under the proposal. Most

established small banks (3,814 or 59.5

percent) would have had rate decreases.

On average, Risk Category I established

small banks would have had a rate

decrease of 0.4 basis points, and Risk

Category II, III, and IV established small

banks would have had a rate decrease of

3.7 basis points

lished small banks in

actuality to 0.1 percent of established

small banks under the proposal. Most

established small banks (3,814 or 59.5

percent) would have had rate decreases.

On average, Risk Category I established

small banks would have had a rate

decrease of 0.4 basis points, and Risk

Category II, III, and IV established small

banks would have had a rate decrease of

3.7 basis points. Of the Risk Category II,

III, and IV established small banks, 90.9

percent would have had rate decreases;

the average decrease would have been

4.4 basis points. 1,268 established small

banks (19.8 percent of established small

banks) would have had rate increases.

Of the Risk Category I established small

banks, 21.4 percent would have had rate

increases; the average increase would

have been 1.9 basis points.

Chart 2 below graphically compares

the distribution of established small

bank initial assessment rates under this

illustration.

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Effect on Capital and Earnings

Appendix 2 to the Supplementary

Information section of this notice

discusses the effect of the proposal on

the capital and earnings of small

established banks in detail. Annualizing

fourth quarter 2014 balance sheet data,

Appendix 2 analyzes the effects of the

proposal on capital and income in two

ways: (1) The effect of the proposal

compared to the current small bank

deposit insurance assessment system

under the rate schedule in Table 3 (with

an initial assessment rate range of 5

basis points to 35 basis points) (the first

comparison); and (2) the effect of the

proposal compared to the current small

bank deposit insurance assessment

system under the rate schedule in Table

4 (with an initial assessment rate range

of 3 basis points to 30 basis points; this

rate sc

rance assessment system

under the rate schedule in Table 3 (with

an initial assessment rate range of 5

basis points to 35 basis points) (the first

comparison); and (2) the effect of the

proposal compared to the current small

bank deposit insurance assessment

system under the rate schedule in Table

4 (with an initial assessment rate range

of 3 basis points to 30 basis points; this

rate schedule is to go into effect the

quarter after the DIF reserve ratio

reaches 1.15 percent) (the second

comparison).

Under either comparison, the

proposal would cause no small banks to

fall below a 4 percent or 2 percent

leverage ratio that would otherwise be

above these thresholds. Similarly, the

proposal would cause no small banks to

rise above a 2 percent leverage ratio that

would otherwise be below this

threshold. Two established small banks

facing a decrease in assessments under

the first comparison and one established

small bank facing a decrease in

assessments under the second

comparison would, as a result of the

proposal, have their leverage ratios rise

above 4 percent, when they would have

been below 4 percent otherwise.

In the first comparison, only

approximately 7 percent of profitable

established small banks and

approximately 6 percent of unprofitable

small banks would face a rate increase;

all but a very few (26) banks would have

resulting declines in income (or

increases in losses, where the bank is

unprofitable) of 5 percent or less. As

discussed above, assessment rates for

approximately 92 percent of established

small banks would decline, resulting in

increases in income (or decreases in

losses), some of which would be

substantial

small banks would face a rate increase;

all but a very few (26) banks would have

resulting declines in income (or

increases in losses, where the bank is

unprofitable) of 5 percent or less. As

discussed above, assessment rates for

approximately 92 percent of established

small banks would decline, resulting in

increases in income (or decreases in

losses), some of which would be

substantial.

In the second comparison,

approximately 20 percent of profitable

established small banks and

approximately 14 percent of

unprofitable established small banks

would face a rate increase; all but 111

established small banks would have

resulting declines in income (or

increases in losses, where the bank is

unprofitable) of 5 percent or less. As

discussed above, assessment rates for

approximately 60 percent of established

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

49 The current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system did not exist at the end of 2006

and existed in somewhat different forms in years

before 2011. The comparison assumes that the small

bank deposit insurance assessment system in its

current form existed in each year of the comparison.

50 A ‘‘perfect’’ projection is defined as one where

the projection rates every bank that fails over the

projection period as more risky than every bank that

does not fail. A random projection is one where the

projection does no better than chance; that is, any

given percentage of banks with projected higher risk

will include the same percentage of banks that fail

over the projection period

50 A ‘‘perfect’’ projection is defined as one where

the projection rates every bank that fails over the

projection period as more risky than every bank that

does not fail. A random projection is one where the

projection does no better than chance; that is, any

given percentage of banks with projected higher risk

will include the same percentage of banks that fail

over the projection period. Thus, for example, in a

random projection, the 10 percent of banks that

receive the highest risk projections will include 10

percent of the banks that fail over the projection

period; the 20 percent of banks that receive the

highest risk projections will include 20 percent of

the banks that fail over the projection period, and

so on.

51 As implied in the footnote to Table 14, the

accuracy ratios in the table for the proposed system

are based on in-sample backtesting. In-sample

backtesting compares model forecasts to actual

outcomes where those outcomes are included in the

data used in model development. Out-of-sample

backtesting is the comparison of model predictions

against outcomes where those outcomes are not

used as part of the model development used to

generate predictions. Out-of-sample backtesting,

discussed in Appendix 1 of the Supplementary

Information section of this notice, also shows that,

while the current assessment system for small

banks did relatively well at predicting failures in

more recent years, the proposed system would have

done significantly better immediately before the

recent crisis and at the beginning of the crisis, but

also better overall.

small banks would decline, resulting in

increases in income (or decreases in

losses), some of which would be

substantial

hile the current assessment system for small

banks did relatively well at predicting failures in

more recent years, the proposed system would have

done significantly better immediately before the

recent crisis and at the beginning of the crisis, but

also better overall.

small banks would decline, resulting in

increases in income (or decreases in

losses), some of which would be

substantial.

In sum, because the proposed

revisions are intended to generate the

same total revenue from small banks as

would have been generated absent the

proposal, the revisions should, overall,

have no effect on the capital and

earnings of the banking industry,

although the revisions will affect the

earnings and capital of individual

institutions.

VI. Backtesting

To evaluate the proposed revisions to

the risk-based deposit insurance

assessment system for small banks, the

FDIC tested how well the revised system

would have differentiated between

banks that failed and those that did not

during the recent crisis compared to the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system.

Table 14 compares accuracy ratios for

the proposed system and the current

small bank deposit insurance

assessment system. An accuracy ratio

compares how well each approach

would have discriminated between

banks that failed within the projection

period and those that did not. The

projection period in each case is the

three years following the date of the

projection (the first column), which is

the last day of the year given

the proposed system and the current

small bank deposit insurance

assessment system. An accuracy ratio

compares how well each approach

would have discriminated between

banks that failed within the projection

period and those that did not. The

projection period in each case is the

three years following the date of the

projection (the first column), which is

the last day of the year given. Thus, for

example, the accuracy ratios for 2006

reflect how well each approach would

have discriminated in its projection

between banks that failed and those that

did not from 2007 through 2009.49 A

‘‘perfect’’ projection would receive an

accuracy ratio of 1; a random projection

would receive an accuracy ratio of 0.50

TABLE 14—ACCURACY RATIO COMPARISON BETWEEN THE PROPOSAL AND THE CURRENT SMALL BANK DEPOSIT

INSURANCE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Year of projection

Accuracy ratio for

the proposal *

Accuracy ratio for

the current small

bank assessment

system

Accuracy ratio for

the proposal—

accuracy ratio for

the current system

(A)

(B)

(A–B)

2006 ...........................................................................................................................

0.7029

0.3491

0.3539

2007 ...........................................................................................................................

0.7779

0.5616

0.2163

2008 ...........................................................................................................................

0.8930

0.7825

0.1105

2009 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9398

0.9015

0.0383

2010 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9657

0.9394

0.0262

2011 ..........................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................

0.9398

0.9015

0.0383

2010 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9657

0.9394

0.0262

2011 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9485

0.9323

0.0161

* The accuracy ratio for the proposal is based on the conversion of the statistical model as estimated through 2014.

The table reveals that, while the

current system did relatively well at

capturing risk and predicting failures in

more recent years, the proposed system

would have not only done significantly

better immediately before the recent

crisis and at the beginning of the crisis,

but also better overall.51 In the early part

of the crisis, when CAMELS ratings had

not fully reflected the worsening

condition of many banks, the proposed

system would have recognized risk far

better than the current system, primarily

because the rates under the proposed

system are not constrained by risk

categories. As the crisis progressed and

CAMELS ratings more fully reflected

crisis conditions, the superiority of the

proposed system decreased, but it still

performed better than the current

system.

Appendix 1 to the Supplementary

Information section of this notice

contains a more detailed description of

the FDIC’s backtests of the proposal.

VII. Alternatives Considered

Alternative Minimum and Maximum

Assessment Rates Based on CAMELS

Composite Ratings

The FDIC considered imposing no

minimum or maximum initial

assessment rates based on a bank’s

CAMELS composite rating, which

would have allowed initial assessment

rates to vary between the minimum and

maximum initial assessment rates of the

entire rate schedule without regard to a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating (the

unbounded variation)

Assessment Rates Based on CAMELS

Composite Ratings

The FDIC considered imposing no

minimum or maximum initial

assessment rates based on a bank’s

CAMELS composite rating, which

would have allowed initial assessment

rates to vary between the minimum and

maximum initial assessment rates of the

entire rate schedule without regard to a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating (the

unbounded variation). Thus, for

example, under the 3 basis point to 30

basis point initial assessment range, a

CAMELS composite 5 rated bank could,

in principle, have paid a 3 basis point

initial rate and a CAMELS composite 1

rated bank could, in principle, have

paid a 30 basis point initial rate. As

Table 15 shows, the accuracy ratios for

this unbounded variation would have

been similar to the accuracy ratios for

the proposal.

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52 To be revenue neutral, using different

maximums or minimums will lead to different

uniform amounts and pricing multipliers from the

proposal when the new statistical model is

converted to assessment rates.

53 Similarly, the first alternative would maintain

the proposed assessment rate schedule that would

go into effect the quarter after the reserve ratio

reaches or exceeds 2 percent, but is less than 2.5

percent, and include the same maximum and

minimum assessment rates determined by CAMELS

composite ratings (see Table 10), except that it

would lower the maximum initial assessment rate

for a CAMELS composite 1 rated bank from 14 basis

points to 10 basis points

ment rate schedule that would

go into effect the quarter after the reserve ratio

reaches or exceeds 2 percent, but is less than 2.5

percent, and include the same maximum and

minimum assessment rates determined by CAMELS

composite ratings (see Table 10), except that it

would lower the maximum initial assessment rate

for a CAMELS composite 1 rated bank from 14 basis

points to 10 basis points. Also, the first alternative

would maintain the proposed assessment rate

schedule that would go into effect the quarter after

the reserve ratio reaches or exceeds 2.5 percent, and

include the same maximum and minimum

assessment rates determined by CAMELS composite

ratings (see Table 11), except that it would lower

the maximum initial assessment rate for a CAMELS

composite 1 rated bank from 13 basis points to 9

basis points.

TABLE 15—ACCURACY RATIO COMPARISON BETWEEN THE PROPOSAL AND THE UNBOUNDED VARIATION

Year of projection

Accuracy ratio for

the unbounded

variation

Accuracy ratio for

the proposal *

Accuracy ratio for

the unbounded

variation—accu-

racy ratio for the

proposal (A–B)

(A)

(B)

2006 ...........................................................................................................................

0.6959

0.7029

¥0.0070

2007 ...........................................................................................................................

0.7779

0.7779

0.0001

2008 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9121

0.8930

0.0191

2009 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9407

0.9398

0.0010

2010 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9670

0.9657

0.0013

2011 ..........................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................

0.9407

0.9398

0.0010

2010 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9670

0.9657

0.0013

2011 ...........................................................................................................................

0.9514

0.9485

0.0029

* The accuracy ratios for the variation and for the proposal are based on the conversion of the statistical model as estimated through 2014.

The FDIC decided not to propose the

unbounded variation, however. Other

than taking into account weighted

average CAMELS component ratings,

the statistical model uses historical

financial data to estimate average

relationships between financial

measures and the risk of failure. The

statistical model does not take into

account idiosyncratic or unquantifiable

risk or risk mitigators (e.g., entering or

exiting a risky line of lending; having

inexperienced or experienced

management, reducing or tightening

underwriting requirements), again

except through weighted average

CAMELS component ratings. The model

does take into account weighted average

CAMELS component ratings, but it

assigns the same weight to them for

each bank. Thus, for banks that have

significant idiosyncratic or

unquantifiable risk or risk mitigators,

the model may not assign an assessment

rate that reflects their actual risk. The

proposal, however, ensures that the

assessment system takes idiosyncratic

and unquantifiable risks and risk

mitigators into account to the extent that

they are reflected in CAMELS composite

ratings, and prevents the assessment

system from assigning a rate that reflects

either too little risk (for a bank with a

CAMELS composite 3, 4 or 5 rating) or

too much risk (for a bank with a

CAMELS composite 1 or 2 rating)

es that the

assessment system takes idiosyncratic

and unquantifiable risks and risk

mitigators into account to the extent that

they are reflected in CAMELS composite

ratings, and prevents the assessment

system from assigning a rate that reflects

either too little risk (for a bank with a

CAMELS composite 3, 4 or 5 rating) or

too much risk (for a bank with a

CAMELS composite 1 or 2 rating). As a

result, under the proposal, initial

assessment rates for small banks that are

well rated (those with CAMELS

composite ratings of 1 or 2) would not

overlap with initial assessment rates for

troubled small banks (those with

CAMELS composite ratings of 4 or 5),

except at the maximum initial rate for

CAMELS composite 1- and 2-rated

banks and the minimum initial rate for

CAMELS composite 4- and 5-rated

banks.

In seeking the proper balance between

maintaining the accuracy of the

assessment system overall and reducing

the risk that a particular bank’s

assessment rate might be inappropriate,

the FDIC considered many other

variations of minimum and maximum

initial assessment rates based on a

bank’s CAMELS composite rating. Some

variations with lower (or no) minimums

for CAMELS 3- and/or CAMELS 4- and

5-rated banks and/or higher (or no)

maximums for CAMELS 1- and/or

CAMELS 2-rated banks had slightly

higher accuracy ratios, but would have

increased the risk of inappropriate

assessment rates for some banks. Some

variations with higher minimums for

CAMELS 3- and/or CAMELS 4- and 5-

rated banks and/or lower maximums for

CAMELS 1- and/or CAMELS 2-rated

banks had somewhat lower (or

significantly lower) accuracy ratios. The

maximums and minimums in the

proposal represent the FDIC’s best

judgment on the proper balance. The

FDIC is requesting comment on whether

the proposal achieves the proper

balance and whether the final rule

should, instead, use alternative (or no)

maximums and minimums based on

CAMELS composite ratings

CAMELS 2-rated

banks had somewhat lower (or

significantly lower) accuracy ratios. The

maximums and minimums in the

proposal represent the FDIC’s best

judgment on the proper balance. The

FDIC is requesting comment on whether

the proposal achieves the proper

balance and whether the final rule

should, instead, use alternative (or no)

maximums and minimums based on

CAMELS composite ratings. Because the

FDIC intends that the effect of the

proposal be revenue neutral, any

reduction in the maximum initial

assessment rate applicable to CAMELS

composite 1- or CAMELS 2-rated banks

that lowers some banks’ assessment

rates will increase the assessment rates

of other banks.52

The FDIC is particularly interested in

comment on two alternatives to the

proposal, both of which would

distinguish between CAMELS

composite 1- and 2-rated small banks.

The first alternative would maintain the

assessment rate schedule that would go

into effect starting the quarter after the

reserve ratio reaches 1.15 percent (with

a range of initial assessment rates of 3

basis points to 30 basis points) and

include the same maximum and

minimum assessment rates based upon

banks’ CAMELS composite ratings (see

Table 9), except that it would lower the

maximum initial assessment rate for a

CAMELS composite 1-rated bank from

16 basis points to 12 basis points.53 As

reflected in Table 16 below, compared

to the proposal, this alternative would

have virtually no effect on accuracy

(that is, on how well the assessment

system would have differentiated

between banks that failed and those that

did not during the recent crisis); the

alternative, like the proposal, is also

significantly more accurate than the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system. On the other hand,

the FDIC has never before distinguished

between CAMELS composite 1-rated

banks and CAMELS composite 2-rated

banks for deposit insurance assessment

purposes

d

between banks that failed and those that

did not during the recent crisis); the

alternative, like the proposal, is also

significantly more accurate than the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system. On the other hand,

the FDIC has never before distinguished

between CAMELS composite 1-rated

banks and CAMELS composite 2-rated

banks for deposit insurance assessment

purposes.

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54 The second alternative would have the same

assessment rate schedule go into effect the quarter

after the reserve ratio reaches or exceeds 2 percent,

but is less than 2.5 percent, as the first alternative

and include the same maximum and minimum

assessment rates determined by CAMELS composite

ratings, except that it would lower the minimum

initial assessment rate for a CAMELS composite 4

and 5 rated banks from 14 basis points to 10 basis

points. Also, the second alternative would have the

same assessment rate schedule go into effect the

quarter after the reserve ratio reaches or exceeds 2.5

percent as the first alternative, and include the

same maximum and minimum assessment rates

determined by CAMELS composite ratings (see

Table 11), except that it would lower the minimum

initial assessment rate for a CAMELS composite 4-

and 5-rated banks from 13 basis points to 9 basis

points.

55 Under either alternative, if a bank’s CAMELS

composite or component ratings changed during a

quarter (other than a change in CAMELS composite

rating from a 4 to a 5 or a 5 to a 4 with no change

in component ratings), including a change in

CAMELS composite rating from a 1 to a 2 or a 2

to a 1, its assessment rate would be determined

separately for each portion of the quarter in which

it had different CAMELS composite or component

ratings

posite or component ratings changed during a

quarter (other than a change in CAMELS composite

rating from a 4 to a 5 or a 5 to a 4 with no change

in component ratings), including a change in

CAMELS composite rating from a 1 to a 2 or a 2

to a 1, its assessment rate would be determined

separately for each portion of the quarter in which

it had different CAMELS composite or component

ratings.

TABLE 16—ACCURACY RATIO COMPARISON BETWEEN THE FIRST ALTERNATIVE, THE PROPOSAL AND THE CURRENT SMALL

BANK DEPOSIT INSURANCE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Year of projection

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative *

Accuracy ratio for

the proposal *

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative—ac-

curacy ratio for the

proposal (A–B)

Accuracy ratio for

the current small

bank assessment

system

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative—ac-

curacy ratio for the

current system (A–

C)

(A)

(B)

(C)

2006 ...................................

0.7045

0.7029

0.0016

0.3491

0.3555

2007 ...................................

0.7770

0.7779

¥0.0009

0.5616

0.2154

2008 ...................................

0.8895

0.8930

¥0.0035

0.7825

0.1070

2009 ...................................

0.9398

0.9398

0.0000

0.9015

0.0383

2010 ...................................

0.9657

0.9657

0.0000

0.9394

0.0262

2011 ...................................

0.9485

0.9485

0.0000

0.9323

0.0161

* The accuracy ratios for the alternative and for the proposal are based on the conversion of the statistical model as estimated through 2014

0.7825

0.1070

2009 ...................................

0.9398

0.9398

0.0000

0.9015

0.0383

2010 ...................................

0.9657

0.9657

0.0000

0.9394

0.0262

2011 ...................................

0.9485

0.9485

0.0000

0.9323

0.0161

* The accuracy ratios for the alternative and for the proposal are based on the conversion of the statistical model as estimated through 2014.

The second alternative is the same as

the first, except that, for the rate

schedule that would go into effect the

quarter after the reserve ratio reaches

1.15 percent, the minimum initial

assessment rate applicable to CAMELS

composite 4- and 5-rated banks would

be lowered from 16 basis points to 12

basis points.54 55 As reflected in Table 17

below, compared to the proposal, this

alternative would also have little effect

on accuracy and, like the proposal, is

significantly more accurate than the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system.

TABLE 17—ACCURACY RATIO COMPARISON BETWEEN THE SECOND ALTERNATIVE, THE PROPOSAL AND THE CURRENT

SMALL BANK DEPOSIT INSURANCE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Year of projection

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative *

Accuracy ratio for

the proposal *

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative-

accuracy ratio for the

proposal (A–B)

Accuracy ratio for

the current small

bank assessment

system

Accuracy ratio for

the alternative-

accuracy ratio for the

current system (A–

C)

2006 ...................................

0.7061

0.7029

0.0032

0.3491

0.3570

2007 ...................................

0.7779

0.7779

0.0000

0.5616

0.2163

2008 ...................................

0.8903

0.8930

¥0.0027

0.7825

0.1078

2009 ...................................

0.9407

0.9398

0.0009

0.9015

0.0392

2010 ...................................

0.9671

0.9657

0.0014

0.9394

0.0276

2011 ..................................

61

0.7029

0.0032

0.3491

0.3570

2007 ...................................

0.7779

0.7779

0.0000

0.5616

0.2163

2008 ...................................

0.8903

0.8930

¥0.0027

0.7825

0.1078

2009 ...................................

0.9407

0.9398

0.0009

0.9015

0.0392

2010 ...................................

0.9671

0.9657

0.0014

0.9394

0.0276

2011 ...................................

0.9504

0.9485

0.0019

0.9323

0.0180

* The accuracy ratios for the alternative and for the proposal are based on the conversion of the statistical model as estimated through 2014.

In addition to the numerous

variations on minimum and maximum

initial assessment rates based on

CAMELS composite ratings, the FDIC

also considered other alternatives when

developing this proposal.

Loss Given Default

Though expected losses to the DIF are

a function of both the probability of a

failure (or probability of default (PD))

and the loss given failure (or loss given

default (LGD)), the new statistical model

estimates only the PD. As discussed in

Appendix 1 to the Supplementary

Information section of this notice, the

FDIC did not model LGD. Actual losses

for many failed banks during the recent

crisis are still estimated, primarily

because of the use of loss-sharing

agreements that have not yet terminated.

Until the losses are actually realized,

estimating an LGD model using current

data would be circular, as other FDIC

models are used to estimate expected

losses where losses have not yet been

realized. Relying solely on realized

losses would exclude much of the

failure data from the recent crisis,

leaving mainly failure data from the

banking crisis of the late 1980s and

early 1990s. However, the vast majority

of the bank failures in that crisis

occurred in a different regulatory regime

(prior to the Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation Improvement Act of 1991)

and may, therefore, not reflect expected

LGD in the current environment as well

the

failure data from the recent crisis,

leaving mainly failure data from the

banking crisis of the late 1980s and

early 1990s. However, the vast majority

of the bank failures in that crisis

occurred in a different regulatory regime

(prior to the Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation Improvement Act of 1991)

and may, therefore, not reflect expected

LGD in the current environment as well.

For these reasons, the FDIC considered

but rejected including LGD in the new

statistical model. Nevertheless, after

losses from failures during the recent

crisis are more fully realized, it may be

appropriate to consider whether LGD

should be included in a small bank

pricing model.

No Change

The FDIC also considered leaving the

current small bank deposit insurance

assessment system in place unchanged.

While the backtesting discussed in

Appendix 1 revealed that the new

statistical model generally performed

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56 See 5 U.S.C. 603, 604 and 605.

57 5 U.S.C. 601.

58 Throughout this RFA analysis (unlike the rest

of this NPR), a ‘‘small institution’’ refers to an

institution with assets of $550 million or less; a

‘‘small bank,’’ however, continues to refer to a small

insured depository institution for purposes of

deposit insurance assessments (generally, a bank

with less than $10 billion in assets).

59 For purposes of the analysis, an institution’s

total revenue is defined as the sum of its interest

income and noninterest income and an institution’s

profit is defined as income before taxes and

extraordinary items.

better than the current small bank

deposit insurance assessment system,

the current system performed relatively

well

nerally, a bank

with less than $10 billion in assets).

59 For purposes of the analysis, an institution’s

total revenue is defined as the sum of its interest

income and noninterest income and an institution’s

profit is defined as income before taxes and

extraordinary items.

better than the current small bank

deposit insurance assessment system,

the current system performed relatively

well. Nevertheless, the FDIC is

proposing to change the small bank

deposit insurance assessment system

and base it on the new statistical model

because the new model is superior to

the current small bank deposit

insurance assessment system. Under the

proposed system, fewer riskier small

banks would pay lower assessments and

fewer safer banks would pay higher

assessments than their conditions

warrant.

VIII. Request for Comments

The FDIC seeks comment on every

aspect of this proposed rulemaking,

including the alternatives considered. In

addition, the FDIC seeks comment on

the following:

• Are there other variables, besides

the eight included in the statistical

model and proposal, that both predict

the likelihood of bank failure with

statistical significance and do not have

perverse incentive effects?

• Are there variables that can be

shown to predict likely losses given

failure with statistical significance?

• Should the upper end of the

assessment rate range decline from 35

basis points to 30 basis points as

proposed or should higher assessment

rates continue to apply to the riskiest

banks?

IX. Regulatory Analysis

A

tistical significance and do not have

perverse incentive effects?

• Are there variables that can be

shown to predict likely losses given

failure with statistical significance?

• Should the upper end of the

assessment rate range decline from 35

basis points to 30 basis points as

proposed or should higher assessment

rates continue to apply to the riskiest

banks?

IX. Regulatory Analysis

A. Regulatory Flexibility Act

The Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)

requires that each federal agency either

certify that a proposed rule would not,

if adopted in final form, have a

significant economic impact on a

substantial number of small entities or

prepare an initial regulatory flexibility

analysis of the proposal and publish the

analysis for comment.56 Certain types of

rules, such as rules of particular

applicability relating to rates or

corporate or financial structures, or

practices relating to such rates or

structures, are expressly excluded from

the definition of ‘‘rule’’ for purposes of

the RFA.57 The proposed rule relates

directly to the rates imposed on insured

depository institutions for deposit

insurance and to the deposit insurance

assessment system that measures risk

and determines each established small

bank’s assessment rate. Nonetheless, the

FDIC is voluntarily undertaking an

initial regulatory flexibility analysis of

the proposal and seeking comment on it.

As of December 31, 2014, of the 6,509

insured commercial banks and savings

institutions, there were 5,257 small

insured depository institutions as that

term is defined for purposes of the RFA

(i.e., those with $550 million or less in

assets).58

For purposes of this analysis, whether

the FDIC were to collect needed

assessments under the existing rule or

under the proposed rule, the total

amount of assessments collected would

be the same

ercial banks and savings

institutions, there were 5,257 small

insured depository institutions as that

term is defined for purposes of the RFA

(i.e., those with $550 million or less in

assets).58

For purposes of this analysis, whether

the FDIC were to collect needed

assessments under the existing rule or

under the proposed rule, the total

amount of assessments collected would

be the same. The FDIC’s total

assessment needs are driven by the

FDIC’s aggregate projected and actual

insurance losses, expenses, investment

income, and insured deposit growth,

among other factors, and assessment

rates are set pursuant to the FDIC’s long-

term fund management plan. This

analysis demonstrates how the new

pricing system under the proposed

range of assessment rates of 3 basis

points to 30 basis points (P330) could

affect small entities relative to the

current assessment rate schedule (C535)

and relative to the rate schedule that

under current regulations will be in

effect when the reserve ratio exceeds

1.15 percent (C330). Using data as of

December 31, 2014, the FDIC calculated

the total assessments that would be

collected under both rate schedules and

under the proposed rule.

The economic impact of the proposal

on each small institution for RFA

purposes (i.e., institutions with assets of

$550 million or less) was then

calculated as the difference in annual

assessments under the proposed rule

compared to the existing rule as a

percentage of the institution’s annual

revenue and annual profits, assuming

the same total assessments collected by

the FDIC from the banking industry.59

Projected Effects on Small Entities

Assuming a Range of Assessment Rates

Under Both the Current Established

Small Bank Deposit Insurance

Assessment System and the Proposed

System of 3 Basis Points to 30 Basis

Points (P330–C330)

Based on the December 31, 2014 data,

of the total of 5,257 small institutions,

one institution would have experienced

an increase in assessments equal to five

percent or more

cts on Small Entities

Assuming a Range of Assessment Rates

Under Both the Current Established

Small Bank Deposit Insurance

Assessment System and the Proposed

System of 3 Basis Points to 30 Basis

Points (P330–C330)

Based on the December 31, 2014 data,

of the total of 5,257 small institutions,

one institution would have experienced

an increase in assessments equal to five

percent or more of its total revenue.

These figures do not reflect a significant

economic impact on revenues for a

substantial number of small insured

institutions. Table 18 below sets forth

the results of the analysis in more detail.

TABLE 18—PERCENT CHANGE IN ASSESSMENTS RESULTING FROM THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming No Change in the Assessment Rate Range]

Change in assessments

Number of

institutions

Percent of

Institutions

More than 10 percent lower ................................................................................................................................

0

0

5 to 10 percent lower ...........................................................................................................................................

3

0

0 to 5 percent lower .............................................................................................................................................

3,296

63

0 to 5 percent higher ...........................................................................................................................................

1,957

37

5 to 10 percent higher .........................................................................................................................................

1

0

More than 10 percent higher ...............................................................................................................................

0

0

Total .............................................................................................................................................................

....................................................................

1

0

More than 10 percent higher ...............................................................................................................................

0

0

Total ..............................................................................................................................................................

5,257

100

The FDIC performed a similar

analysis to determine the impact on

profits for small institutions. Based on

December 31, 2014 data, of those small

institutions with reported profits, 21

institutions would have an increase in

assessments equal to 10 percent or more

of their profits. Again, these figures do

not reflect a significant economic

impact on profits for a substantial

number of small insured institutions.

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Table 19 sets forth the results of the

analysis in more detail.

TABLE 19*—ASSESSMENT CHANGES RELATIVE TO PROFITS FOR PROFITABLE SMALL INSTITUTIONS UNDER THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming No Change in the Assessment Rate Range]

Change in assessments relative to profits

Number of

institutions

Percent of

institutions

Decrease in assessments equal to more than 40 percent of profits ......................................................................

65

1

Decrease in assessments equal to 20 to 40 percent of profits ..............................................................................

64

1

Decrease in assessments equal to 10 to 20 percent of profits ..............................................................................

131

3

Decrease in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ...............................................................................

0 to 40 percent of profits ..............................................................................

64

1

Decrease in assessments equal to 10 to 20 percent of profits ..............................................................................

131

3

Decrease in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ................................................................................

306

6

Decrease in assessments equal to 0 to 5 percent of profits ..................................................................................

3,541

73

Increase in assessments equal to 0 to 5 percent of profits ....................................................................................

706

14

Increase in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ..................................................................................

40

1

Increase in assessments equal to 10 to 20 percent of profits ................................................................................

8

0

Increase in assessments equal to 20 to 40 percent of profits ................................................................................

5

0

Increase in assessments equal to more than 40 percent of profits ........................................................................

8

0

Total ..................................................................................................................................................................

4,874

100

*Institutions with negative or no profit were excluded. These institutions are shown in Table 20.

Table 19 excludes small institutions

that either show no profit or show a

loss, because a percentage cannot be

calculated. The FDIC analyzed the effect

of the proposal on these institutions by

determining the annual assessment

change (either an increase or a decrease)

that would result

4

100

*Institutions with negative or no profit were excluded. These institutions are shown in Table 20.

Table 19 excludes small institutions

that either show no profit or show a

loss, because a percentage cannot be

calculated. The FDIC analyzed the effect

of the proposal on these institutions by

determining the annual assessment

change (either an increase or a decrease)

that would result. Table 20 below shows

that 27 (seven percent) of the 383 small

insured institutions with negative or no

reported profits would have an increase

of $20,000 or more in their annual

assessments.

TABLE 20—CHANGE IN ASSESSMENTS FOR UNPROFITABLE SMALL INSTITUTIONS RESULTING FROM THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming No Change in the Assessment Rate Range]

Change in assessments

Number of

Institutions

Percent of

Institutions

$20,000 or more decrease ......................................................................................................................................

170

44

$10,000–$20,000 decrease .....................................................................................................................................

74

19

$5,000–$10,000 decrease .......................................................................................................................................

43

11

$1,000–$5,000 decrease .........................................................................................................................................

28

7

$0–$1,000 decrease ................................................................................................................................................

11

3

$0–$1,000 increase .................................................................................................................................................

3

1

$1,000–$5,000 increase .........................................................................................................................................

.............................................................

11

3

$0–$1,000 increase .................................................................................................................................................

3

1

$1,000–$5,000 increase ..........................................................................................................................................

16

4

$5,000–$10,000 increase ........................................................................................................................................

6

2

$10,000–$20,000 increase ......................................................................................................................................

5

1

$20,000 increase or more .......................................................................................................................................

27

7

Total ..................................................................................................................................................................

383

100

Projected Effects on Small Entities

Assuming a Range of Assessment Rates

Under the Current Established Small

Bank Deposit Insurance Assessment

System of 5 Basis Points to 35 Basis

Points and Under the Proposed System

of 3 Basis Points to 30 Basis Points

(Assessment Change P330–C535)

Based on the December 31, 2014 data,

of the total of 5,257 small institutions,

no institution would have experienced

an increase in assessments equal to five

percent or more of its total revenue.

These figures do not reflect a significant

economic impact on revenues for a

substantial number of small insured

institutions. Table 21 below sets forth

the results of the analysis in more detail

Based on the December 31, 2014 data,

of the total of 5,257 small institutions,

no institution would have experienced

an increase in assessments equal to five

percent or more of its total revenue.

These figures do not reflect a significant

economic impact on revenues for a

substantial number of small insured

institutions. Table 21 below sets forth

the results of the analysis in more detail.

TABLE 21—PERCENT CHANGE IN ASSESSMENTS RESULTING FROM THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming Assessment Rate Range Change From 5–35 Bps to 3–30 Bps]

Change in assessments

Number of

institutions

Percent of

institutions

More than 10 percent or lower ................................................................................................................................

4

0

5 to 10 percent lower ...............................................................................................................................................

4

0

0 to 5 percent lower .................................................................................................................................................

4,969

95

0 to 5 percent higher ...............................................................................................................................................

280

5

More than 5 percent higher .....................................................................................................................................

0

0

Total ..................................................................................................................................................................

5,257

100

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0

0

Total ..................................................................................................................................................................

5,257

100

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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 133 / Monday, July 13, 2015 / Proposed Rules

60 5 U.S.C. 605.

61 12 U.S.C. 4802.

The FDIC performed a similar

analysis to determine the impact on

profits for small institutions. Based on

December 31, 2014 data, of those small

institutions with reported profits, eight

institutions would have an increase in

assessments equal to 10 percent or more

of their profits. Again, these figures do

not reflect a significant economic

impact on profits for a substantial

number of small insured institutions.

Table 22 sets forth the results of the

analysis in more detail.

TABLE 22*—ASSESSMENT CHANGES RELATIVE TO PROFITS FOR PROFITABLE SMALL INSTITUTIONS UNDER THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming Assessment Rate Range Change From 5–35 Bps to 3–30 Bps]

Change in assessments relative to profits

Number of

institutions

Percent of

institutions

Decrease in assessments equal to more than 40 percent of profits ......................................................................

119

2

Decrease in assessments equal to 20 to 40 percent of profits ..............................................................................

99

2

Decrease in assessments equal to 10 to 20 percent of profits ..............................................................................

285

6

Decrease in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ................................................................................

603

12

Decrease in assessments equal to 0 to 5 percent of profits .................................................................................

20 percent of profits ..............................................................................

285

6

Decrease in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ................................................................................

603

12

Decrease in assessments equal to 0 to 5 percent of profits ..................................................................................

3,513

72

Increase in assessments equal to 0 to 5 percent of profits ....................................................................................

239

5

Increase in assessments equal to 5 to 10 percent of profits ..................................................................................

8

0

Increase in assessments equal to 10 to 20 percent of profits ................................................................................

4

0

Increase in assessments equal to 20 to 40 percent of profits ................................................................................

3

0

Increase in assessments equal to more than 40 percent of profits ........................................................................

1

0

Total .........................................................................................................................................................................

4,874

100

* Institutions with negative or no profit were excluded. These institutions are shown in Table 23.

Table 22 excludes small institutions

that either show no profit or show a

loss, because a percentage cannot be

calculated. The FDIC analyzed the effect

of the proposal on these institutions by

determining the annual assessment

change (either an increase or a decrease)

that would result. Table 23 below shows

that just 11 (three percent) of the 383

small insured institutions with negative

or no reported profits would have an

increase of $20,000 or more in their

annual assessments

rcentage cannot be

calculated. The FDIC analyzed the effect

of the proposal on these institutions by

determining the annual assessment

change (either an increase or a decrease)

that would result. Table 23 below shows

that just 11 (three percent) of the 383

small insured institutions with negative

or no reported profits would have an

increase of $20,000 or more in their

annual assessments. Again, these figures

do not reflect a significant economic

impact on profits for a substantial

number of small insured institutions.

TABLE 23—CHANGE IN ASSESSMENTS FOR UNPROFITABLE SMALL INSTITUTIONS RESULTING FROM THE PROPOSAL

[Assuming No Change in the Assessment Rate Range]

Change in assessments

Number of

institutions

Percent of

institutions

$20,000 or more decrease ......................................................................................................................................

262

68

$10,000–$20,000 decrease .....................................................................................................................................

57

15

$5,000–$10,000 decrease .......................................................................................................................................

23

6

$1,000–$5,000 decrease .........................................................................................................................................

14

4

$0–$1,000 decrease ................................................................................................................................................

3

1

$0–$1,000 increase .................................................................................................................................................

1

0

$1,000–$5,000 increase .........................................................................................................................................

..............................................................

3

1

$0–$1,000 increase .................................................................................................................................................

1

0

$1,000–$5,000 increase ..........................................................................................................................................

6

2

$5,000–$10,000 increase ........................................................................................................................................

1

0

$10,000–$20,000 increase ......................................................................................................................................

5

1

$20,000 increase or more .......................................................................................................................................

11

3

Total ..................................................................................................................................................................

383

100

The proposed rule does not directly

impose any ‘‘reporting’’ or

‘‘recordkeeping’’ requirements within

the meaning of the Paperwork

Reduction Act. The compliance

requirements for the proposed rule

would not exceed (and, in fact, would

be the same as) existing compliance

requirements for the current risk-based

deposit insurance assessment system for

small banks. The FDIC is unaware of

any duplicative, overlapping or

conflicting federal rules.

The initial RFA analysis set forth

above demonstrates that, if adopted in

final form, the proposed rule would not

have a significant economic impact on

a substantial number of small

institutions within the meaning of those

terms as used in the RFA.60

Commenters are invited to provide

the FDIC with any information they may

have about the likely quantitative effects

of the proposal on small insured

depository institutions (those with $550

million or less in assets).

B

orm, the proposed rule would not

have a significant economic impact on

a substantial number of small

institutions within the meaning of those

terms as used in the RFA.60

Commenters are invited to provide

the FDIC with any information they may

have about the likely quantitative effects

of the proposal on small insured

depository institutions (those with $550

million or less in assets).

B. Riegle Community Development and

Regulatory Improvement Act:

The Riegle Community Development

and Regulatory Improvement Act

(RCDRIA) requires that the FDIC, in

determining the effective date and

administrative compliance requirements

of new regulations that impose

additional reporting, disclosure, or other

requirements on insured depository

institutions, consider, consistent with

principles of safety and soundness and

the public interest, any administrative

burdens that such regulations would

place on depository institutions,

including small depository institutions,

and customers of depository

institutions, as well as the benefits of

such regulations.61

This NPR proposes no additional

reporting or disclosure requirements on

insured depository institutions,

including small depository institutions,

nor on the customers of depository

institutions.

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the benefits of

such regulations.61

This NPR proposes no additional

reporting or disclosure requirements on

insured depository institutions,

including small depository institutions,

nor on the customers of depository

institutions.

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62 The preamble to the NPR refers to the new

model as the ‘‘statistical model.’’

63 Unless explicitly stated otherwise, references to

CAMELS ratings are references to CAMELS

composite ratings.

64 FDIC (1998), Legislation Governing the FDIC’s

Roles as Insurer and Receiver,’’ from Managing the

Crisis, https://www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/

managing/history3-A.pdf, p. 774–747.

C. Paperwork Reduction Act:

No collections of information

pursuant to the Paperwork Reductions

Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.) are

contained in the proposed rule.

D. The Treasury and General

Government Appropriations Act, 1999—

Assessment of Federal Regulations and

Policies on Families

The FDIC has determined that the

proposed rule will not affect family

well-being within the meaning of

section 654 of the Treasury and General

Government Appropriations Act,

enacted as part of the Omnibus

Consolidated and Emergency

Supplemental Appropriations Act of

1999 (Pub. L. 105–277, 112 Stat. 2681).

E. Solicitation of Comments on Use of

Plain Language

Section 722 of the Gramm-Leach-

Bliley Act, Public Law 106–102, 113

Stat. 1338, 1471 (Nov. 12, 1999),

requires the Federal banking agencies to

use plain language in all proposed and

final rules published after January 1,

2000. The FDIC invites your comments

on how to make this proposal easier to

understand

L. 105–277, 112 Stat. 2681).

E. Solicitation of Comments on Use of

Plain Language

Section 722 of the Gramm-Leach-

Bliley Act, Public Law 106–102, 113

Stat. 1338, 1471 (Nov. 12, 1999),

requires the Federal banking agencies to

use plain language in all proposed and

final rules published after January 1,

2000. The FDIC invites your comments

on how to make this proposal easier to

understand. For example:

• Has the FDIC organized the material

to suit your needs? If not, how could the

material be better organized?

• Are the requirements in the

proposed regulation clearly stated? If

not, how could the regulation be stated

more clearly?

• Does the proposed regulation

contain language or jargon that is

unclear? If so, which language requires

clarification?

• Would a different format (grouping

and order of sections, use of headings,

paragraphing) make the regulation

easier to understand?

Appendix 1—Description of Statistical

Model Underlying Proposed Method for

Determining Deposit Insurance

Assessments For Established Small

Insured Depository Institutions

This appendix provides a technical

description of the statistical model (the

‘‘new model’’) 62 underlying the

proposed method for determining

deposit insurance assessments for

established small banks. The appendix

provides background information,

reviews the data and methodology used

to estimate the new model underlying

the proposed method, discusses

estimation results and alternative

specifications considered, and evaluates

the results.

I. Background

A. RRPS

The current small bank deposit

insurance assessment system has been

in effect, with some modifications, since

January 1, 2007. The current small bank

deposit insurance system assigns

assessment rates in several steps. The

first step assigns small banks to risk

categories. The categories are jointly

determined by bank capital and

supervisory ratings

s

the results.

I. Background

A. RRPS

The current small bank deposit

insurance assessment system has been

in effect, with some modifications, since

January 1, 2007. The current small bank

deposit insurance system assigns

assessment rates in several steps. The

first step assigns small banks to risk

categories. The categories are jointly

determined by bank capital and

supervisory ratings. Well-capitalized

small banks rated CAMELS 1 or 2 are

placed in Risk Category I.63 Small banks

with lower capital or weaker CAMELS

ratings are placed in either Risk

Category II, Risk Category III or Risk

Category IV.

The second step differentiates risk

further among Risk Category I small

banks using the financial ratios method,

which combines supervisory CAMELS

component ratings with current

financial ratios to determine a Risk

Category I small bank’s initial

assessment rate. The contribution of

these variables (the CAMELS

component ratings and the financial

ratios) to assessment rates is determined

using a linear model (the downgrade

probability model or existing model)

estimating the probability that a

CAMELS 1- or 2-rated bank will be

downgraded to a CAMELS rating of 3 or

worse within 12 months.

In November 2006, when the final

rule establishing the current small bank

deposit insurance system was adopted,

it had been more than a decade since

the United States experienced a

significant number of bank failures.

Consequently, historical downgrades

were used as a proxy for the risk to the

DIF of a bank’s failure.

The data generated by the rash of

bank failures since the financial crisis of

2008 suggests that the model underlying

the small bank deposit insurance

assessment system can be improved and

updated.

B. Probability of Default

The data generated from the

approximately 500 bank failures since

2008 suggests that the probability of

downgrade probability model can be

replaced by a probability of default (that

is, a probability of failure) model

e the financial crisis of

2008 suggests that the model underlying

the small bank deposit insurance

assessment system can be improved and

updated.

B. Probability of Default

The data generated from the

approximately 500 bank failures since

2008 suggests that the probability of

downgrade probability model can be

replaced by a probability of default (that

is, a probability of failure) model.

Failures are nearly always costly to the

FDIC, whereas downgrades lead to DIF

losses relatively infrequently, since

many downgraded banks do not fail.

C. Loss Given Default

Though expected losses to the DIF are

a function of both the probability of a

default (PD) and the loss given default

(LGD), the new model estimates only

the PD. LGD was not modeled. Actual

losses for many of the failed banks

during the crisis are still estimated,

primarily because of the use of loss-

sharing agreements that have not yet

terminated. Until the losses are actually

realized, estimating a loss given default

model using current data would be

circular, as FDIC models are used to

estimate expected losses where losses

have not yet been realized. Relying

solely on realized losses would exclude

much of the failure data from the recent

crisis, leaving mainly failure data from

the banking crisis of the late 1980s and

early 1990s. However, the vast majority

of the bank failures in that crisis

occurred in a different regulatory regime

(prior to the Federal Deposit Insurance

Corporation Improvement Act of

199164) and may, therefore, not reflect

expected LGD in the current

environment as well. See Bennett and

Unal (2014).

Notwithstanding these concerns, a

careful consideration of whether future

rulemaking should include LGD in a

small bank deposit insu

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