Chehalis Reservation

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Chehalis Reservation

Natural Hazards

Mitigation Plan 2009

Table of Contents/Introduction

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Table of Contents/Introduction

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Table of Contents/Introduction

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Authorizing Resolution/Table of Contents

Authorizing Resolution ............................................................................ 2

Table of Contents ................................................................................... 4

Chapter 1: Introduction

Introduction .......................................................................................... 8

Chapter 2: Planning Process

Planning Process .................................................................................... 10

Table 1.1 Jurisdiction Adoption and Approval Dates of the 20032008 Hazard Mitigation Plan for the Thurston Region .......... 10

Table 1.2 2008-2009 Hazard Mitigation Planning Workgroup for

the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation .......... 11

Plan Update 2008-2009 .......................................................................... 12

Chehalis Reservation Community Process .................................................. 13

Natural Hazards Preparedness Questionnaire ............................................. 16

Chapter 3: Chehalis Reservation Profile

Tribal Government ................................................................................. 21

Table 2 Chehalis Tribe Employees ......................................... 22

Statistical Profile .................................................................................... 23

Socio –Economic .................................................................................... 23

Tribal Lands .......................................................................................... 24

Historic/Traditions/Culture ...................................................................... 25

Chapter 4: Risk Assessment

Risk Assessment Introduction .................................................................. 27

Table 3.1 Hazard/Risk Rating ............................................... 27

P’ucú/Flood – Identification & Profile ......................................................... 30

Table 3.2 Historical Flood Events Table .................................. 32

Identification and Profile ............................................................... 34

Characteristics of Flooding ............................................................. 34

Flood – Historic Profile .................................................................. 36

Table 3.3 USGS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service:

Seattle, Chehalis River near Grand Mound, Flood Categories 37

Table 3.4 USGS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service:

Seattle, Chehalis River at Centralia Flood Categories .......... 38

Topography ................................................................................. 40

Soil Types on the Chehalis Reservation............................................ 41

Impacts ...................................................................................... 42

Data/Chehalis Community Awareness ............................................. 44

Yakwa†t&mx/Earthquake - Identification and Profile ................................... 45

Geology ...................................................................................... 47

Earthquake – Historic Profile .......................................................... 49

Table 3.5 FEMA Disaster Assistance Totals July 31, 2001.......... 51

Table of Contents/Introduction

Page 4

Future Earthquake Potential........................................................... 52

Impacts ...................................................................................... 52

Chehalis Community Awareness ..................................................... 54

Severe Winter Storm – Identification & Profile ............................................ 55

Severe Storm – Historic Profile....................................................... 57

Future Severe Storm Potential ....................................................... 58

Impacts ...................................................................................... 58

Data/Chehalis Community Awareness ............................................. 59

Volcano – Identification & Profile .............................................................. 60

Volcano – Historic Profile ............................................................... 60

Impacts ...................................................................................... 63

Data/Chehalis Community Awareness ............................................. 63

Wildfire – Identification & Profile .............................................................. 65

Wildfire – Historic Profile ............................................................... 65

Impacts ...................................................................................... 66

Data/Chehalis Community Awareness ............................................. 66

Climate Change ..................................................................................... 67

Assessing Vulnerabilities - Identifying Structures ........................................ 69

Transportation Facilities ................................................................ 70

Table 3.6 Chehalis Reservation IRR Inventory ........................ 73

Table 3.7 Chehalis Reservation Bridge Inventory..................... 84

Estimating Potential Losses............................................................ 90

Table 3.8 Chehalis Tribe 2007-2008 COPE Table ..................... 91

Analyzing Development Trends ...................................................... 101

Land Use Criteria................................................................ 102

Primary Land Use Designations ............................................ 102

Summary of Proposed Development Zones ............................ 104

Summary of Tribal Land Use Goals and Objectives ............................ 106

Assessing Vulnerabilities - Assessing Cultural and Sacred Sites ..................... 107

Plan Incorporation and Coordination ......................................................... 107

Chapter 5: Mitigation Strategy

Identification & Analysis of Tribal Mitigation Actions .................................... 108

Mitigation Plan goals............................................................................... 109

Identification and Prioritization of Mitigation Initiatives ................................ 110

Implementation of 2004 Plan Tribal Mitigation Actions ................................. 111

Tribal Capacity Assessment ..................................................................... Apx A

Tribal Funding Sources ........................................................................... Apx B

Mitigation Strategy ................................................................................. Apx B

Implementation of Tribal Mitigation Actions ............................................... Apx B

Chapter 6: Plan Maintenance Strategy

Adoption by Tribal Governing Body ...................................................................................... 116

Implementation .................................................................................................................... 116

Plan Monitoring & Evaluation ............................................................................................... 116

Plan Maintenance ................................................................................................................. 117

Distribution of Revisions ....................................................................................................... 118

Mitigation Measures and Project Close Outs ....................................................................... 118

Continued Public Involvement .............................................................................................. 119

Table of Contents/Introduction

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APPENDICES

A. Tribal Capability Assessment.......................................................... 120

Table 4.1 Chehalis Tribe Hazard Management Policies .............. 121

Hazard Management Plans and Capabilities ................................................ 124

Evaluation of the Tribe’s Policies Related to Development in Hazard Prone

Areas .............................................................................................. 125

B. Mitigation Strategy- Tribal capacity assessment and tribal funding

sources....................................................................................... 126

C. Mitigation strategy-Identification and analysis of tribal mitigation

actions ....................................................................................... 126

D. Mitigation Measures ...................................................................... 127

Structural Mitigation Measures .................................................. 127

Table 4.2 Structural Mitigation Measures ……………………… 128

Mitigation Responsibilities and Timeframes............................. 129

Non-Structural Mitigation Measures ........................................... 131

Table 4.3 Non-Structural Mitigation Measures ............... 132

Non-Structural Mitigation Responsibilities and Timeframes ....... 132

Mitigation Funding Resources …………………………………………………………………………….134

BIBLIOGRAPHY ……………………………………………………………………………………………… 136

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Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION

The Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation (Chehalis Tribe or the Tribe)

developed this Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (NHMP) in accordance with the

requirements of 44 CFR Part 201 and Section 322 of the DMA 2000, Federal

Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). In addition, the Tribe has consulted

technical guidance documents provided by FEMA and other agencies in the

preparation of our NHMP.

This plan is an update. The Chehalis Tribe previously participated in the 2004

Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan, Thurston Region. In this updated plan, the

Chehalis Tribe sets forth specific analysis, identification and mitigation of hazards

for the Chehalis Indian Reservation.

Funding for the development of this plan was provided by the Chehalis Tribe and

the Bureau of Indian Affairs, Indian Reservation Roads, Transportation Planning.

The Chehalis NHMP was created to assist the Chehalis General Council and Business

Committee, Tribal staff and Tribal community members plan for and reduce the

human and economic losses and costs of flooding and other natural hazards and

disasters.

The Chehalis Reservation is located within a large floodplain and subject to minor

flooding events up to five times annually. Flooding sufficient to limit access to the

reservation, covering one or more reservation access roads, occur with a frequency

of about every 2.6 years. Flood events up to and above 15 year frequency cover 75

percent of the reservation lands, with incremental encroachment on roads and

homes.

The development of a tribal NHMP is essentially to guide future efforts to effectively

mitigate flooding and other natural hazards on the Chehalis Indian Reservation and,

in coordination with other jurisdiction as appropriate, to mitigate and respond to

natural hazards generated and adjacent to the Reservation or those that cross

Reservation boundaries.

The Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan (CEMP) is the ONLY governing

document pertaining to governmental operations during Emergencies/Disasters;

effective as of the end of March 2007, with the passing of Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation Resolution (CEMP; Appendix B; pg. 40.). All additional

revisions will become effective once the Business Committee reviews and approves

the revisions. This is the primary document for managing emergencies/disasters.

Table of Contents/Introduction

Page 8

For the Glossary of Terms, Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan (CEMP)

See Chehalis CEMP, Appendix A, page 31.

The Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (NHMP) is a supporting document to the Tribal

Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan (CEMP), will comply with all

standards and guidelines established within, for example:

1.

1.

2.

3.

Authority to Execute

Plan Maintenance

Review of the Base Document

Appendices Change Process

NOTE: The following PDM areas are classified as Appendices to this plan, and will

comply with all criteria outlined with the Tribal CEMP pertaining to Appendices:

A: Tribal Capability Assessment

B: Mitigation Strategy

1-Tribal Capacity

2-Tribal funding

C: Tribal Mitigation Actions

D: Implementation of Tribal Mitigation Actions

Table of Contents/Introduction

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Chapter 2: PLANNING PROCESS

This section describes how the plan was prepared, who was involved in the process,

and how the public was involved.

The Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan for the Thurston Region (2004) established

multi-jurisdictional hazards for the region, including the Chehalis Indian

Reservation.

When the first plan was written, 44 CFR did not accommodate for Indian Tribe

jurisdiction plans. With the amending of the CFR to include Indian tribal

government plans, 207.1, the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation

(Chehalis Tribe or Tribe) declared their intention to develop a specific hazard plan

for the Chehalis Indian Reservation.

In May 2008, the Emergency Management Council of Thurston County sent a letter

to 39 local stake holders to participate in the update of the Natural Hazards

Mitigation Plan for the Thurston Region. A total of 26 jurisdictions actively

participated in the plan update process including 18 of the original plan partners

plus eight new participating jurisdictions.

In Feb 2008, the Chehalis Tribe became aware of the 207.1 amendment to 44 CFR,

allowing for Indian tribal government plans and made the decision to pursue

development of a Reservation specific hazard plan under the individual tribal

jurisdiction. Thurston Regional Planning Council, coordinator of the Thurston

Regional Planning Process, was informed of the Tribe’s decision.

The following table comprises the Hazard Mitigation Planning workgroup for the

2004 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan.

Table 1.1 Jurisdiction Adoption and Approval Dates of the 2003-2008

Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan for the Thurston Region

Jurisdiction

Adoption

Approval

Thurston County

Town of Bucoda

Town of Lacey

City of Olympia

City of Rainier

City of Tenino

City of Tumwater

City of Yelm

Confederated Tribes Of the Chehalis

Reservation

Fire District 4- Rainier

August 4, 2003

May 24, 2005

September 11, 2003

December 9, 2003

March 2, 2005

July 22, 2003

July 15, 2003

August 13, 2003

July 19, 2003

October 3 2003

August 17, 2005

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

April 6, 2005

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

August 12, 2003

October 6, 2003

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Fire District 9- McLane

Fire District 13- Griffin

Intercity Transit

Providence St. Peter Hospital

School District, North Thurston Public Schools

School District, Olympia

School District, Rainier

School District, Tumwater

School District, Yelm Community Schools

The Evergreen State College

August 14, 2003

August 14, 2003

June 2, 2004

May 6, 2004

January 18, 2005

August 9, 2004

June 12, 2003

November 28, 2004

July 9, 2003

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

August 25, 2004

February 28, 2005

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

October 6, 2003

December 23, 2004

October 6, 2003

Chehalis Tribe representatives for the 2004 workgroup were David Burnett, Tribal

Chairman; Lennea Magnus, Planning Director and Ralph Wyman, Public Safety

Director. This group also served as workgroup participants between 2003 and

2008.

In March 2008, the Tribe recruited additional workgroup members to initiate the

process of updating the plan and developing a Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

(NHMP) of specific to Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Indian Reservation.

Table 1.2 2008-2009 Hazard Mitigation Planning Workgroup for the

Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation

Name

Position

Jurisdiction/Agency

David Burnett

Chairman

Lennea Magnus

Planning Director

Amy Loudermilk

Transportation Planner

Ralph Wyman

Public Safety Director,

Chief of Police,

Emergency Services

Coordinator

Natural Resources

Director

Language Program

Coordinator

Communications,

Newsletter Editor

Tribal Elder

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Mark White

Dan Penn

Fred Shortman

Catherine Barr

Jill Kangus

Anne Sullivan

Mark Stewart

Chapter 2

Emergency Manager

Emergency Manager

WA State Hazard

Mitigation Officer

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Confederated Tribes of

the Chehalis Reservation

Lewis County

Grays Harbor County

WA State

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Diana Coho

Kelly D. Cox

Sophi Beym

CFM, DHS-FEMA

Mitigation

Hazard Mitigation Officer

VP Planning and

Technology

FEMA

FEMA

Tribal Emergency

Management Systems,

LLC

PLAN UPDATE 2008-2009

The Regional Plan contained a large volume of material that was not specific to the

Reservation culture, community or geography as it was a multi-jurisdictional plan

covering a much larger region. The decision was made to rewrite the plan utilizing

information very specific to the tribal culture and geographical location of the

Chehalis Indian Reservation.

The Committee’s role was to: participate in all aspects of the plan update process,

meets as needed at the workgroup or within their department/agency to review,

update and amend sections of the plan and coordinate comments from their

department/agency, review, edit and/or commend on all elements of the draft and

final plan.

Chapter 1: Introduction was rewritten to clarify governing emergency documents

for the Chehalis Tribe.

Chapter 2: Planning Process was rewritten to update the material to reflect our

current planning process and participants.

Chapter 3: Thurston County Profile contained an overview of the greater

Thurston County Region. Similar information providing an overview of tribal

government, demographic and geography is now found in the Chapter 3 Chehalis

Reservation Profile.

Chapter 4: Risk Assessment consolidates the risk assessment and the hazard

profiles into a single section. The four original hazard profiles included earthquake,

flood, storm, and landslide. The Thurston County update contains flood,

earthquake, severe storm, volcano and wildfire. In its update, Chehalis Tribe also

added wildfire and volcano to its update. Landslide, however, was not included as

the Chehalis Reservation is relatively flat, with no mountainous formations, hills,

buttes or other threat of landslide. Analysis of structures, including transportation

facilities, on the Chehalis Reservation was greatly increased and detailed.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Chapter 5: Mitigation Initiatives were substantially modified in the update to

the Chapter 5, titled MITIGATION STRATEGY-IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS OF

TRIBAL MITIGATION ACTIONS. Specific discussion of Thurston County staff

processes, broad statements regarding regional and multi-jurisdictional activities

were eliminated to reflect the mitigation planning and strategies specific to the

Chehalis Indian Reservation. Discussion of abbreviations and formatting of the plan

charts were also eliminated. The number and detail of mitigation strategies specific

to the Chehalis Indian Reservation were greatly increased.

Chapter 6: Monitoring, Implementation and Maintenance was also revised to

reflect the plan’s focus on the Reservation community and to align with tribal

procedures and protocols and were also revised to reflect current federal planning

requirements.

Annexes – The updated plan deleted the sections for multiple jurisdictions outside

the Chehalis Reservation.

Appendices were revised to serve the needs of the plan update.

Chehalis Reservation Community Process

The type and outcome of public meetings are as follows. Lennea Magnus, Planning

Director for the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation, hosted two

community open forums. Seven hundred (700) advance notices were mailed out

prior to the forums. The mailing list included all enrolled tribal members and nonIndian reservation households.

During the public meetings participants were also interviewed one-on-one and were

asked to complete a survey (below) identifying the most important natural hazards

facing the community. They were also asked to comment on what the Tribe does

right, when responding to emergency events, and what could be improved upon.

Tribal members and residents had the following opportunities to comment prior to

final approval. On June 4, 2008, two open public meetings were held, focused upon

the primary natural hazard concerns of the community. Twelve Tribal members

and reservation residents attended the first meeting and the second meeting was

attended by (16) sixteen Tribal members and reservation residents. The residents

were interviewed one-on-one focusing upon the most critical hazards facing the

community. The community members commented on the tribal government

response to emergency incidents and were asked for their opinion on emergency

response improvements. In addition, tribal employees were encouraged to

comment and share opinions.

Next, research methods based upon guidelines from C.F.R. 44, 201.7 – Tribal

Mitigation Plan directed the planning methodology. Comprehensive research

conducted online and at the Learning Resource Center at the National Emergency

Training Center in Emmitsburg, MD created the opportunity to gather additional

resources in data, maps and journal articles. Input gathered from the Chehalis

community meetings directed the selections for areas of interest. Each hazard or

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

risk identified during the community meeting determined the mitigation priorities.

The timeline to complete the plan is as follows: The Hazard Mitigation Plan was

initiated in February of 2008 by the Chehalis Business Committee. They, in turn,

directed the Tribal planning department to implement the project with a completion

date of October 2008.

The type and outcome of public meetings are as follows. Lennea Magnus, Planning

Director for the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation, hosted two

community open forums. Seven hundred (700) advance notices were mailed out

prior to the forums. The mailing list included all enrolled tribal members and nonIndian reservation households.

During the public meetings participants were interviewed one-on-one and were

asked to identify the most important natural hazards facing the community. They

were also asked to comment on what the Tribe does right, when responding to

emergency events, and what could be improved upon.

Tribal members were involved in the planning process by using the Chehalis Tribal

newsletter as the primary method of communication and were given the

opportunity to review the plan in draft. Tribal residents received copies of the draft

plan before the formal review team. They were encouraged to review the plan, and

submit their comments to a local phone number. All comments by tribal members

were included in the plan.

The planning team initiated the process, developed the goals, objectives and

timeline, assigned the lead agency and completed the introduction. They provided

data to support the reservation profile; geography; and population demographics

including languages, culture, history, household size, household characteristics,

number of housing units, employment, median income, household income, poverty

level, families below poverty, and education. Their contribution also included an

overview of the tribal government structure and a comprehensive list of Tribal Land

Use and Community Development Ordinances and Plans (1997 – 2008). This list

consists of: (8) eight ordinances; (6) phases of the Facilities Master Plan; (1) one

culture/historic report and (6) studies and plans for waste water, ground water

assessment and long range transportation plans. Each person took personal

responsibility to initiate the Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan, review the draft and

actively provide comment(s) for accuracy and attention to detail.

In addition, outreach to other entities was in the form of telephone conversations

requesting a review of the draft. Technical research references Mitigation Plans

from other counties; portions of those plans are included. The local county

Emergency Managers were given notice of the upcoming document, expectations

and due date. Outreach to U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) - Federal

Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) officials included telephone conversations

to Kelly Cox, Hazard Mitigation Officer – Alaska, and email conversations with

Diana Coho, FEMA, Certified Flood Manager (CFM) requesting preliminary review of

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

the NHMP. Stakeholders had the opportunity to review, comment and guide the

development of the plan.

In addition to the public meetings, a community questionnaire was distributed

with a response of 30 completed surveys.

Chapter 2

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

NATURAL HAZARDS PREPARNESS QUESTIONNAIRE RESULTS

Total number of surveys = 30

Numbers highlighted in blue depict number of people answering.

1.

In the past ten years have you or someone in your household experienced a

natural disaster such as earthquake, severe winter storm or wind storm,

flood, wildfire, or other type of natural disaster?

25

Yes

1.1

2.

83%

0

0%

If “Yes”, what type of natural disaster has you or someone in your

household experienced?

Coastal Erosion

Drought

0

1

0%

3%

Dust Storm

Earthquake

0

16

0%

53%

Flood

26

87%

Landslide

Wildfire

4

0

13%

0%

Household

Fire

Tsunami

Volcanic

Eruption

Windstorm

Winter

Storm

Other

9

0

30%

0%

2

21

7%

70%

18

60%

0

0%

How concerned are you personally about each of the following natural

disasters affecting the Chehalis Reservation? (1-very concerned, 5-not

concerned)

#1

3.

No

#2

#3

%

#4

#5

Drought

0

0%

0

0%

3

10%

9

30%

15

50%

Dust Storm

Earthquake

Flood

Wildfire

House Fire

Volcanic

Wind Storm

Winter Storm

Other

0

2

11

0

2

0

1

0

1

0%

7%

37%

0%

7%

0%

3%

0%

3%

0

5

9

4

6

3

11

13

0%

17%

30%

13%

20%

10%

37%

43%

0

12

5

9

8

1

8

9

0%

40%

17%

30%

27%

3%

27%

30%

0

8

2

8

8

8

5

5

0%

27%

7%

27%

27%

27%

17%

17%

30

0

0

8

4

16

3

1

0%

0%

0%

27%

13%

53%

10%

3%

Have you ever received information about how to make your family and

home safer from natural disasters?

Chapter 2

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Yes

3.1

5

0

8

0

1

7&

40%

17%

0%

6‐12 mo

5‐more

6

0

.5

20%

0%

1‐2

yr

4

13%

27%

0%

3%

Govt/Tribal

Red Cross

Other

2

2

1

7%

7%

3%

Insurance

Non‐profit

1

0

3%

0%

Govt/Tribal

Agency

Utility

Red Cross

Not Sure

9 30%

4 13%

5 17%

1 3%

1 3%

19

7

16

2

63%

23%

53%

7%

What is the most effective way for you to receive information about how to

make your home and family safer from natural disasters?

Newspaper

Radio

6.

12

Who would you most trust to provide you with information about how to

make your family and home safer from natural disasters?

News Media

Insurance

University

Non‐Profit

Other

5.

No

From whom did you last receive information about how to make your

family and home safer from natural disasters?

News media

Utility Co

Not sure

4.

43%

If “Yes”, how recently”

Last 6 mo

2‐5 yr

3.2

13

12

7

40%

23%

Television

Other

9

22

30%

73%

To help in communicating information to others about how to better prepare

for a natural disaster, which phrase best describes how to prepare for a

disaster?

Natural Disaster Readiness

10

33%

Emergency Preparedness

9

30%

Disaster Preparedness

Natural Hazards

Risk Readiness

7 23%

1

3%

In the following list, please check those activities that you HAVE

DONE in your

Chapter 2

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

8

household, PLAN TO DO in the near future, HAVE NOT DONE, or are

UNABLE

TO DO.

A) Attended meetings or received written information on natural

disaster or emergency preparedness.

B) Talked with members in your household about what to do in case of

a natural disaster or emergency?

C) Developed a “Household/Family Emergency Plan” in order to decide

what everyone would do in the event of a household

emergency?

D) Prepared a “Disaster Supply Kit” (stored extra food, water,

batteries, or other emergency supplies)?

E) In the last year, has anyone in your household train in the first aid

or Cardio-Pulmonary Resuscitation (CPR)?

8A

B

C

D

E

9.

Have

Done %

7

23%

10

33%

4

13%

5

17%

17

57%

Not Done

17

8

14

10

7

%

57%

27%

47%

33%

23%

Unable

To Do

%

0

0

0

0

0

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Building a disaster supply kit, receiving first aid training and developing a

household/family emergency plan are inexpensive activities that require a

personal time commitment. How much time (per year) are you willing to

spend on preparing your household for a natural disaster or emergency

event?

0‐1 hr

8‐15 hr

10.

Plan to

do

%

4 36%

10 33%

11 37%

12 40%

4 13%

4

8

13%

27%

2‐3 hr

16+

4

1

13%

3%

4‐7 hr

Other

3

3

10%

10%

What steps, if any, have your or someone in your household take to prepare

for a natural disaster?

Food

Flashlight

Battery Radio

Smoke Det.

First Aid/CPR

Comm. Plan

Other

Chapter 2

12

19

10

21

16

4

2

40%

63%

33%

70%

53%

13%

7%

Water

Batteries

First Aid Kit

Disaster Kit

Fire Escape

Utility Shut Off

14

15

16

4

3

4

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47%

50%

53%

13%

10%

13%

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

11.

Does your household have insurance coverage for earthquake events?

6

10

Yes

Don’t Know

12.

16

37%

53%

No

13

43%

17

2

57%

7%

No

8

27%

How much money are you willing to spend to better protect your family and

home from natural disasters?

$5000

15.

11

Would you be willing to spend more money on a home that had features that

made it more disaster resistant?

Yes

N/A

14.

No

Did you consider the possible occurrence of a natural hazard when you

bought/moved into your current home?

Yes

13.

20%

33%

= 1

3%

$100‐499= 2

7%

Other

3%

= 1

$2500‐

4999 = 2

$100‐1 = 3

7%

10%

$1000‐

2499

= 3

Nothing = 2

10%

$500‐999 = 2

7%

7%

Don’t Know

=12

40%

What nonstructural or structural modifications for earthquake have you made

to your home?

Anchor

Latches

Sec. Propane

Other

Sec. Home

Br. Chimney

None

4

4

2

2

8

2

14

16.

Indicate your age.

17.

Indicate your gender.

Chapter 2

13%

13%

7%

7%

27%

7%

47%

Secure Heater

Flex. Conn.

None

6

1

15

20%

3%

50%

Brace Sheathing

Brace Masonry

Other

2

2

2

7%

7%

7%

Median age of 35

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan

Male

18.

4

13%

20

67%

Please indicate your level of education.

0

7

6

0

Grade School

HS Grad/GED

College Deg

Other

19.

Female

0%

23%

20%

0%

Some HS

Some College

Post Degree

0

14

2

0%

47%

7%

4

4

13%

13%

How long have you lived on the Chehalis Reservation?

Less than 1

5‐9 years

20 years

0

4

14

0%

13%

47%

1‐5 years

10‐19 years

20.

If you have lived on the Chehalis Reservation for less than 1 year,

in what state did you live before your move to Chehalis.

21.

Do you have access to the Internet or World Wide Web?

Yes

22.

83%

No

4

13%

63%

No (rent)

9

30%

No

Apartment 3‐4

Manf. Home

0

0

6

0%

0%

20%

Do you own your home?

Yes

23.

25

19

Do you live in a single-family home?

17

57%

Yes

Duplex

4

13%

Apartment 5

0

0%

Other

1

3%

Chapter 2

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Chapter 3: CHEHALIS RESERVATION PROFILE

Tribal Government

The Chehalis tribal governing body is the General Council, which is comprised of all

enrolled members 18 years of age and older. The Business Committee, a fivemember body elected by the General Council for two-year terms, oversees tribal

administration and business. The Business Committee is composed of the Tribal

Chairman, Vice Chairman, Secretary, Treasurer, and Fifth Council Member.

The tribe’s administrative functions are overseen by the general manager who reports

directly to and receives policy direction from the Business Committee. The general

manager oversees tribal operations through a departmental structure. The tribe’s

organizational structure and management system promote a separation of policymaking and management functions, and establish clear lines of authority within the

organization.

The Chehalis Tribe provides a wide variety of public services to the community

including Law Enforcement, Corrections, a Tribal court system, Medical/Dental

Services, Head Start/Early Head Start, Elders meals and center, Vocational

Rehabilitation, Education, Planning, Natural Resources, cultural and heritage

programs and mental and behavioral health services including substance abuse

counseling.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

A variety of federal and state grant and contract awards are administered throughout

the tribal departments. During the most recently completed audit report, ending

December 31, 2008, the Chehalis Tribe expended $30,237,359 on federal services

and programs. Department of Interior (DOI) and Department of Health and Human

Services (DHHS) encompass about 74% of revenues, with state and other federal

grants and contracts contributing 26% of grant/contract revenues. Current grant

awards being implemented include the following: two projects in IHS Special

Diabetes Program for Indians, COPS Tribal Resources Program, ACF Indian Head

Start/Early Head Start, Dept of Justice Indian Alcohol and Substance Abuse grant,

Department of Education Indian Education and BIA Transportation Planning and

Indian Reservation Roads Construction.

The Chehalis Tribe operates several successful entertainment enterprises including

the Great Wolf Lodge Resort, a 400 room hotel, convention center and indoor water

park; the Lucky Eagle Casino, 106,000 sq ft casino and Eagles Landing Hotel, a 70room hotel. The Tribe also owns and operates three convenience stores, two with a

gas station; a cigarette stamping business and two construction companies. The

Lucky Eagle Casino is very successful and has been in operation since 1996. The

Chehalis Tribe opened the Great Wolf Lodge in 2008. The Chehalis Tribe has a total

of 1,498 employees.

Table 2 Chehalis Tribe Employees

Chehalis Tribe Employees

Chehalis Tribal Administration and Services

143

Lucky Eagle Casino

667

Great Wolf Lodge

593

Eagle’s Landing Hotel

24

Chehalis Tribal Enterprises

71

Total tribal employment 2009

1,498

Source: Chehalis Tribe Human Resources Department, Feb. 2009

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Statistical Profile:

Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation

Population, 1990 ----------------------------- 491

Population, 2000 ----------------------------- 691

Average Annual Population Growth ----------- 3.5%

Tribal Enrollment 2000------------------------- 629

Tribal Enrollment 2009------------------------- 828

Service Population, 2000 ------------------ 2,143

Service Population, 2006 ------------------ 3,453

Households, 2000 ---------------------------- 194

Average Household Size, 2000 ---------------- 3.56

19 and under ------------------------------303 _______ 44%

20 - 64 ------------------------------------- 347 ________ 50%

65 and over --------------------------------- 41 ________ 6%

Median Age --------------------------------- 25

Race and Ethnic Categories, 2000:

White --------------------------------------- 239

32.2%

Black/African American --------------------- 3

0.4%

American Indian &

Alaska Native ------------------------------ 388

52.2%

Asian ------------------------------------------0 0.0%

Native Hawaiian &

Other Pacific Islander ----------------------- 0

0.0%

Other Race ---------------------------------- 12

1.6%

Two or More Races ------------------------- 49

6.6%

Hispanic* ----------------------------------- 52

7.0%

Housing Units, 2000

Single-Family ------------------------------ 139

Multifamily ---------------------------------- 25

Manufactured Homes ---------------------- 51

Median Household Income

1989 (Census 1009 in 1999 $’s) -----$18,556

1999 (Census 2000) ------------------ $30,000

Explanation: *Person of Hispanic Origin can be of any race

Source: Thurston Regional Planning Council, Profile 2009

Socio-Economic

Figures from the 2000 U.S. Census confirm the Chehalis Reservation population of

691 persons. This is an increase of 41% over the 1990 U.S. Census. In direct

comparison, Grays Harbor County population increased a mere 4.7%, Thurston

County population increased 28.6%, and Washington State American Indian/Alaska

Native populations increased 29%. According to The U.S. Bureau of Indian Affairs,

U.S. Labor Force Report, 2006 there are 728 enrolled members of the Chehalis

Tribe. The same report accounts for a service population of 3,453; a service

population is defined as “enrolled and non-enrolled Native Americans living on and

near the Reservation and non-Native American with familial or economic ties to the

Reservation and receiving services”. Census 2000 data indicate a majority of the

Chapter 3

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

population, approximately 44%, under the age of 19, with a median age of 24.5

years. By contrast, Grays Harbor County has a median age of 36.8 and Thurston

County a median age of 36.5.

Tribal Lands

The Chehalis Reservation is located in southwestern Washington State in a river

valley formed by the confluence of the Black River and the Chehalis River. The

Reservation is approximately 5,000 acres in size and consists of agricultural areas,

residential neighborhoods and forested stands. The mountains of Capitol Forest

and the Doty Hills to the north border the valley.

The current and historical paths taken by the Chehalis and Black rivers dominate

the Chehalis Reservation. The current river channels within the Reservation

contain approximately (10) ten miles of the Chehalis River and the principal fish

harvested are Spring Chinook Salmon, Coho Salmon, Fall Chum Salmon,

Fall/Summer Chinook Salmon and Winter Steelhead.

Historically surrounded by thick forests, the Chehalis Reservation currently has

over 2,700 acres of forested stands. There are many stands of White Oak and

Douglas Fir as well as riparian areas consisting of a mixture of Western Red Cedar,

Big Leaf Maple, Cottonwoods and Alder trees. Many of the stands are second

growth populations due to the heavy logging that occurred here within the past 100

years. The regular flooding of the rivers has created fertile soils in the valley. The

rich soils combined with the long growing season provide a productive agriculture

zone. Agriculture became prevalent in the valley and on the Reservation once

European settlers moved to the area in the late 1800s. At the peak of farming

activities on the Reservation, there were approximately 1,100 acres of land used

for raising crops like hay or alfalfa or pasturelands for livestock.

The large quantity of wetlands, riparian areas and water features along with unique

land features such as acres of natural prairie lands, provide habitat for a great

variety of flora and fauna. Some of the major animal species found in the area

include: elk from the Olympic Elk Herd, white-tailed deer, river otter, opossum,

raccoon, bald eagle, great blue heron, kingfisher and approximately (3) three miles

of the Black River, upstream from the mouth of the river. Many wetlands, sloughs

and oxbow ponds are remnants of old river channels. Tribal members utilize the

river in many ways but primarily for harvesting salmon in customary fishing sites.

Unique flora found on the Reservation includes camas, shooting stars, wild

strawberries and white oak.

Since the adoption of the Chehalis Comprehensive Plan, 2004, the Tribe has

pursued a policy of purchasing farmland located primarily on the floodplain for

conservation purposes including

reforestation, wildlife habitat and wetlands

development.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Historic/Traditions/Culture

Historically, the indigenous population of the Chehalis originally occupied a specific

geography within the Chehalis watershed. This watershed encompasses a region

from the foothills of the Cascade mountain range to the Pacific Ocean in the

southwest region of the state of Washington. “Chehalis” is a collective name for

several Shalishan Tribes living on the Chehalis River, its affluent, and in Grays

Harbor. The Chehalis people have lived on a reservation since the 1850s; however,

important archaeological, cultural, and historic sites are scattered throughout the

original indigenous geography.

The Chehalis Tribe did not sign a treaty but in 1864, by executive order, land was

set aside for the Chehalis reservation. In 1939, the Confederated Tribes of the

Chehalis reservation was formed and approved by the federal government and its

Constitution was amended in 1973 (Chehalis). “In the old days we gathered sacred

roots and berries. We fished the Chehalis, Black, Cowlitz, Satsop, Wynoochee, Elk,

Johns, Skookumchuck and Newaumkum rivers. Our people fished and hunted from

the mountains, across the prairie, to Grays Harbor and the lower Puget Sound. In

the old days, the baskets carried and stored our foods. We relied upon the

baskets, the rivers, the land, the roots, the berries, the fish, and the animals. Our

lives were tied together by the Creator” (Bellon, Francis and Hicks).

At one time, there were many villiages in the Upper Chehalis region, principal ones

being located in the Upper Chehalis region, principal ones being located at the

mouths of rivers and creeks. Elders of the Tribe have identified major village sites

as they remembered from years previous, including the mouths of Lincoln Creek,

Scatter Creek, Skookumchuck River, Black River, Cedar Creek and at Grand Mound.

A very large settlement once stood at Grand Mound; its name was ‘aqáygt,

meaning “long prarie”. About a mile above the mouth of the Skookumchuck was a

village called ‘tè·’wt’n, meaning “fording place”. Where the Black River enters the

Chehalis near Oakville there was a village called s ‘àc

l’t, or “made lake”.

Continuing down river, there were villages at the mouth of Cedar Creek and below

Porter. Near Malone was ‘nsxà·wm or “carrot place” indicating a place where wild

carrots were plentiful (Bellon, Francis and Hicks).

Within the village lived one or more extended families or “house groups”, each

occupying it’s own large (from 80-100 feet long) house constructed from cedar

planks. The house group included a headman, his wives and relatives, and may

have included some slaves, either captured or traded from other Tribes. Each

family within the longhouse had its own fire, and cattail mats were often hung as

partitions. Around the inside walls of the house was a double row of cedar

platforms used for sleeping and sitting, covered with several thicknesses of mats.

Above the platforms were shelves for storing household goods and provisions.

Smoke left the building through a hole in the roof covered with a hinged board that

could be opened or closed with a pole. Unlike Puget Sound, where the houses had

shed-type roofs, the Chehalis house had a gabled roof and verticle wall boards.

During the summer months when the house was not lived in, the boards were

lowered and fresh air let in (Bellon, Francis and Hicks). Gaining a livlihood from the

resources of the land and waters demanded adjustment to seasonal patterns.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

The Upper Chehalis like all tribes in the area, followed the natural cycle of the flora

and fauna of their territory and moved about a great deal during the course of the

year to collect certain kinds of foods. Various species of fish were caught at certain

places. Elk hunting took place when travel in the mountains was easiest. Large

quantities of fish, meat, roots and berries were dried or smoked, then stored inside

the longhouse. Women gathered and prepared all the vegetable foods. Camas

bulbs, roots of bracken fern, wild sunflower, wild carrots, acorns, and hazelnuts

formed a part of the Chehalis diet. Berry picking was an important activity during

summer months. Entire families might camp at the berry-picking grounds, the

women and children picking and preparing the fruit while the men went to fish,

hunt and compete in horse races. This was a time that people looked forward to, a

chance to meet friends and relatives and to enjoy games and feasting when the

work was complete (Bellon, Francis and Hicks).

In order to encourage the growth of berries and camas, the Upper Chehalis would

burn the prarie lands every two or three years. In this way they were assured of a

good suppply in those areas. Such resource areas were not used exclusively by

one village but rather shared by serveral villages and even among people of

different tribes. Fishing occupied the men beginning in late spring and ending in

late fall. Four kinds of salmon, (Chinook, pink, silver and dog) as well as steel

head frequented the waters of the Upper Chehalis territory. Small fish like suckers

and trout could be caught year round. Eels migrate up the Chehalis River in late

spring and at Rainbow Falls, caught on the rocks as they attemped to assend. In

June, eels could be found also in Lincoln Creek just before the fishing began in the

Skookumchuck. The resources of nearby salt-water areas supplemented the diet of

the Upper Chehalis; they went up the Black River to Mud Bay to gather clams and

to catch flounder.

The Upper Chehalis used a combination of spears, hooks, nets, traps and weirs to

obtain their year’s supply of salmon. Members of two or more families shared in

the catch. When one group had caught enough for its needs, another group came

and fished the site. Spears and gaff hooks were essential fishing gear throughout

this area. The spear was generally used in shallow water or at traps and weirs, the

hooks in deeper water. The Upper Chehalis used a variety of nets, including seine

nets, tubular nets and dip nets. A strong reliance on fish in the subsistence

economy of the Upper Chehalis is typical of a river people, but they also relied

heavily on deer, elk and smaller game that frequented their terriroty. When an elk

was killed, the hunting party butchered and dried the meat before packing it all the

way to the villiage. The successful hunter gave a feast at which he shared the elk

meat with his friends and relatives. Elk tallow was used like butter on dried fish and

meat, and also rubbed on the face to prevent chapping.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Chapter 4: RISK ASSESSMENT

Risk Assessment Introduction

The Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation (Chehalis Tribe) developed this

plan to meet the requirements of C.F.R.44, 201.7, Tribal Mitigation Plan. More

importantly, the plan was created to reduce future loss of life, land and property

due to natural hazards that affect the Tribe. It is difficult to predict when natural

hazards will affect the Reservation; however, it is accurate to say they will.

The Chehalis Tribe is a small, tightly knit community. The Tribe, Tribal community,

contractors, Tribal employees, and others worked closely together to assess create

this risk assessment.

The largest and most costly disasters to occur in the area of the Reservation have

been floods. The most recent disaster occurred in December of 2007. The

Reservation faces many natural and manmade hazards. Although some are on a

seemingly small scale, they often prove disabling to the Reservation community.

During one of the community meetings, tribal members were invited to list all the

possible hazards that they thought might impact the community. Work group

members were also invited to list all potential hazards that they believed could

possibly occur.

The hazards listed are the result of these brainstorming sessions. Once listed, the

work group ranked the probably of occurrence, vulnerability of the community and

overall risk rating.

Table 3.1 Hazard/Risk Rating

Hazard

Probability of

Occurrence

Flooding

High

Earthquake

High

Severe Storm

High

Volcano

Low

Wildfire

High

Drought

Medium

Landslide

Low

Tsunami

Low

Vulnerability

Overall Risk Rating

High

High

High

High

Low

High

Medium

Low

High

High

High

Medium

Medium

Medium

Medium

Low

Risk Rating: and adjective description (High, Medium, or Low) of the overall threat

posed by a hazard is assessed for the next 25 years. Risk is the subjective estimate

of the combination of a given hazard’s probability of occurrence and the

reservation’s vulnerability to the hazard.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

•

High: There is a strong potential for a disaster of major proportions

during the next 25 years; or history suggests the occurrence of

multiple disasters of moderate proportions during the next 25 years.

•

Medium: There is a medium or moderate potential for a disaster of

less than major proportions during the next 25 years.

•

Low: there is little potential for a disaster during the next 25 years.

Probability of Occurrence: An adjective description (High, Medium, Low) of the

probability of a hazard impacting the Chehalis Reservation within the next 25 years.

•

High: there is great likelihood that a hazardous event will occur within

the next 25 years.

•

Medium: There is a medium likelihood that a hazardous event will

occur within the next 25 years.

•

Low: There is little likelihood that a hazardous event will occur within

the next 25 years.

Vulnerability: Vulnerability can be expressed as a combination of the severity of a

natural hazard’s effect and its consequential impacts to the community. An

adjective description (High, Medium, Low) of the potential impact a hazard could

have on the Chehalis Reservation. It considers the population, property, commerce,

infrastructure and services as risk relative to the surround region and counties.

•

High: The total population, property, commerce, infrastructure and services

of the reservation that are uniformly exposed to the effects of a hazard of

potentially great magnitude. In a worst case scenario, there could be a

disaster of major to catastrophic proportions.

•

Medium: The total population, property commerce, infrastructure and

services of the reservation that are exposed to the effects of a hazard of

moderate influence; or the total population, property, commerce,

infrastructure and services of the reservation are exposed to the effects of a

hazard of moderate influence, but not all to the same degree; or an

important segment of the total population, property, commerce,

infrastructure and services of the reservation are exposed to the effects of

the hazard. In a worst case scenario, there could be a disaster of moderate

to major, though not catastrophic, proportions.

•

Low: A limited area or segment of the population, property, commerce,

infrastructure and services of the reservation is exposed to the effect of a

hazard. In a worst case scenario, there could be a disaster of minor to

moderate proportions.

The following hazards were identified for further study:

1.

2.

Flood

Earthquake

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

3.

4.

5.

Severe Winter Storm

Volcano

Wildfire

The hazards selected for study were identified as most likely to occur, based on

reservation history and experience and are of the most concern to community

residents. All hazards with a “high” probability of occurrence – Flooding,

Earthquake, Severe Storm and Wildfire were selected for study. Volcano was also

selected as the reservation is within 75 of Mount St. Helens which has erupted

several times in the past 30 years. While the likelihood of eruption is “medium”, the

vulnerability of the reservation is considered “high” as the pyroclastic eruptions of

this volcano are likely to reach the reservation and particularly detrimental and

harmful to mechanical and electrical equipment. Pyroclastic or ash eruption also

carries heightened health risk for persons with certain medical conditions which are

prevalent on the reservation.

RISK ASSESSMENT

Above map of flood affected areas, December 2007 incident.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

P’ucú­ (Kinkade)

Flood

The Great Spirit, angry about the wickedness of people and animals, decided to rid the earth of all but

the good animals, one good man, and his family. At the Great Spirit's direction, the man shot an arrow

into a cloud, then another arrow into that arrow, and so on, making a rope of arrows from the cloud to

the ground. The good animals and people climbed up. Bad animals and snakes started to climb up, but

the man broke off the rope. Then the Great Spirit caused many days of rain, flooding up to the snow

line of Takhoma (Mount Rainer). After all the bad people and animals drowned, the Great Spirit

stopped the rain, the waters slowly dropped, and the good people and animals climbed down. To this

day, there are no snakes on Takhoma. [Clark, pp. 31-32] Once a big flood came, people made ropes

of twisted cedar limbs and used them to fasten their canoes to mountains. The flood covered the

Olympic Mountains. Some of the ropes broke, and the canoes drifted to the country of the Flatheads.

That is why the Skokomish and the Flatheads speak the same language. [Clark, p. 44] (Clark 44)

http://blog.americanrivers.org/wordpress/index.php/2007/12/06/lessons‐from‐flooding‐in‐the‐pacific‐

northwest/

Definitions

Cfs = Cubic Feet per Second

NWS = National Weather Service

Flood stage is the elevation of a river’s surface at a gauging station, determined by NWS,

at which overflow of the natural banks of a river begins to cause damage in the local area

by flooding.

Flow is the amount of water flowing in a river past the gauging station, usually stated in

cubic feet per second - sometimes called stream flow or discharge.

Gage height is the elevation of a river’s surface at a gauging station, in reference to an

established elevation point – sometimes called stage. (USGS)

PROBABILITY

Grays Harbor County is the most vulnerable county to floods in Washington State

(Washington State Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2004, Tab 7.1.4 – p. 17) and floods are

the most common natural disaster to occur in the County. The frequency of a

moderate or higher flood event in the County from 1956 to 2004 was every three

years. Recent studies have identified the frequency and peak flows of floods have

increased since 1990. The probability of future flooding, based on long-term trends,

can be assumed to be at least once every three years. The probability could be

higher if present trends continue given there were seven major floods from 1990 to

2003 included in Federal Disaster Declarations.

The cause of flooding in Grays Harbor County is a combination of climate,

topography, and land development. A predominately marine climate with mild wet

winters dictates weather patterns in the County. Flood season usually begins in

early November when heavy rainfall occurs. Pacific frontal systems become

stationary over the region, bringing long periods of rainfall through February and

often extending into March.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Annual precipitation is 65” to 75” on the coast, 80” to 90”near the foothills, 125” to

150” on the windward slopes of the Olympic Mountains, and 100” for the Willapa

Hills.

During long periods of rainfall, river and stream channels fill to overflowing. Intense

precipitation combined with mild temperatures will cause snowmelt on the south

slopes of the Olympic Mountains which can also induce or increase flooding.

Extensive floodplains and wetlands contribute to the regional nature of flood events

in the County. River floods happen most often when winter storms bring heavy

rains from the southwest. The heavy precipitation causes the main river or stream

channel’s flood capacity to be exceeded. The effect of this is overflowing rivers and

streams allowing water to flow from the floodway onto the floodplain.

The Chehalis River, a dominant factor in floods in the County, meanders east to

west along a broad, flat river valley terminating in Grays Harbor. The largest

tributaries of the Chehalis are the Satsop and Wynoochee Rivers originating on

mountain slopes north of the river. The Chehalis River Basin is the second largest

river basin in the state of Washington outside the Columbia River Basin. The total

drainage area of the Chehalis River Basin is 2,660 square miles of which

approximately 85% is forest lands. Approximately 257 square miles (164,000

acres), or 9.7% of the basin is agricultural land.

Approximately 75 percent of the Chehalis Reservation is located in the drainage of

the Chehalis River Basin, creating an active floodplain that is subject to minor levels

of flooding annually, with moderate or higher flooding occurring every three years.

In the last three decades, the Chehalis Reservation has experienced several very

large floods, including the 1986, 1990, 1996 and 2007 floods, each of which ranked

as a flood of record at the time of its occurrence.

Flooding within the Chehalis Reservation restricts access to the Reservation for

periods of one or more days, isolating portions of the Reservation, and may cause

failure of individual water and waste water systems. Flooding of Chehalis

Reservation lands requires immediate evacuation of non-residents, invacuation of

residents (that is, keeping people within a building or other location while a

dangerous situation exists outside the building or location), and severely limits

access to basic goods and services. Severe flooding also can contribute to the

formation of swift-moving water in floodways that is capable of significantly

endangering residents and their property. Flooding of this type can affect more

than two-thirds of the Chehalis Reservation. The consequences of floods within the

Chehalis Reservation have been very costly in terms of human life, property and

economic health. Significant damage has occurred to public and private

investments, interrupted public services and schools and closed businesses.

Flooding from 15-year and greater recurrence interval storms is severe, and

endangers roads and many structures within the floodplain. (Chehalis

Comprehensive Flood Hazard management Plan, 2009)

Typically, high water levels occur between November and February. Moderate

flooding occurs when the flow rate exceeds about 26,000 cfs. Since 1972, this has

occurred more than 20 times. Major flooding occurs when the rate exceeds about

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

50,000 cfs. This has happened six times since 1972. In February 1996, the record

flow rate was 75,000 cfs. The Black River is a slow, meandering stream that flows

through Thurston County for approximately 19 miles. Extending from Black Lake,

marshland lines the river and the water table is perennially at or above the ground

surface. Back-flow from the Chehalis River causes the preponderance of flooding

along the Black River and similar recurrence intervals are expected.

The reservation, because of the relative land area and population affected, is

exposed to high vulnerability. The frequency of flooding, the potential for

simultaneous flooding events, involving both the Black and Chehalis rivers, plus the

historical record of recurrent flooding and cumulative costs, all suggest the

assignment of a high-risk rating. (Thurston County IV-26).

Probability, likelihood and frequency of flood incidents in Chehalis Reservation are

high, with moderate to severe intensity. The histories of floods are as follows:

A review of USGS flood gauge data shows that over a 37 year period, 1970-2008,

there have been twelve major flood events on the Chehalis Reservation. Since

1990, seven major flood events have occurred.

Table 3.2 Historical Flood Events Table

Historical Flood

Events

Flood

Gage @

Centralia

December 2007

74.78

KCSF*

74.31

73.5

72.4

71.99

71.65

71.3

71.17

70.2

Flood

Gage @

Grand

Mound

20.23

KCFS*

19.98

19.34

18.18

18.41

18.21

18.12

17.73

February 1996

January 1990

January 2009

November 1986

January 1972

November 1990

December 1975

January 1971

April 1991

17.66

December 1996

70.18

February 1990

69.91

17.46

*KCFS (Thousands of Cubic Feet Per Second) for a particular stage at that river location

A Recent flood event, December 4, 2007, set a new record in peak stream flow in

the upper watershed of the Chehalis River. The stream flow indicates a pattern

resulting from a very intense rainstorm, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

Peak stream flow was recorded at 51,100cfs before floodwater swamped the

instruments and destroyed equipment at Doty, WA. The previous record peak flow

recorded at Doty was 28,900 cfs during the February 1996 flood. (USGS)

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

(USGS, Chehalis Basin)

Thurston County in its Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan, September 2009, Table 4.3.4,

notes the following probability of Chehalis River flooding as follows:

Flood Severity

Events 1968 to

2009

Annual

Probability

Rate of

Occurrence

(years)

Minor

62

151/2%

.7

Moderate

23

56.1%

1.8

Major

9

22.0%

4.6

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Identification and Profile

Floods cause loss of life and damage to structures, crops, land, flood control

structures, roads and utilities. Floods also cause erosion and landslides and can

transport debris and toxic products that cause secondary damage. Flood damage in

Washington State exceeds damage by all other natural hazards. There have been

28 Presidential Major Disaster Declarations for floods in Washington State for

flooding since 1970. While not every flood creates enough damage to merit such a

declaration, most are severe enough to warrant intervention by authorities. Since

1980, to repair public facilities, help individuals recover from flood disasters and

pay measure to prevent future flood damage required a $522 million dollar

investment. That is nearly 40% of the $1.37 billion dollar amount spent on disaster

relief and hazard mitigation during this time. The magnitude of most floods in

Washington depend on particular combinations of intensity and duration of rainfall,

pre-existing soil conditions (i.e. was ground wet or frozen before the storm), area

of basin, elevation of rain or snow level and amount of snow pack. Synthetic

changes to a basin can also affect the size of floods. (Pudlo 7.1.4 p1)

A flood is a general or temporary condition of partial or complete inundation of

normally dry land areas from (1) overflow of inland or tidal waters (2) the unusual

and rapid accumulation of runoff or surface waters from any source, or (3) mud

flows or the collapse of shoreline land. (County 77) Several factors determine the

severity of floods, including rainfall intensity (or other water source) and duration.

A large amount of rainfall over a short time span can result in flash flood conditions.

In locations where soil is saturated from a previous wet period or if rain is

concentrated in an area of impermeable surfaces, such as a large parking lot, paved

roadway or other impervious developed area, a small amount of rain can also result

in floods. Topography and ground cover are also contributing factors for floods.

Water run-off is greater in areas with steep slopes and little or no vegetative

ground cover. The frequency of inundation is affected by climate, soil and channel

slope.

Characteristics of Flooding

1.

Stationary frontal systems

2.

Heavy precipitation

3.

Increasing frequency of events

4.

Saturated soils

5.

Erosion

6.

Flooding in association with another hazard event

Types of flooding common in the Chehalis area are:

1.

River or stream building floods,

2.

Flash floods,

3.

Groundwater flooding

River and stream building floods occur because of prolonged heavy rainfall, a

rapidly melting snow pack or a combination of these. According to the Natural

Hazards Mitigation Plan for Thurston County, “historically, Thurston County must

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experience two or three days of rainfall averaging 2-5 inches per day for this type

of flooding to occur”. (T. County IV-21) The Chehalis River has flooded because of

events in their watersheds outside of the reservation. River floods happen most

often when winter storms bring heavy rains from the southwest. Heavy

precipitation events occur when water exceeds the main river or stream channel’s

flood capacity. The effect of this is over flooding rivers and streams allowing water

to flow from the floodway onto the floodplain. In addition, solid saturated with

moisture will weaken and destabilize banks contributing to more flooding and

erosion. The Chehalis River, a dominant factor in floods, meanders east to west

along a broad, flat river valley terminating in Grays Harbor. The largest tributaries

of the Chehalis are the Satsop and Wynoochee Rivers originating on the mountain

slopes north of the river. River and stream building floods are the most common

because of many river and stream and development patterns along them. (T.

County IV-21)

There are three types of river flooding:

1.

Nuisance/Minor flooding: The River exceeds bank-full conditions at one or

more locations, generally flooding fields and forests. Some roads may be

covered but passable. There may be enhanced erosion of some riverbanks.

2.

Moderate flooding: Individual residential structures are threatened and

evacuation recommended for selected properties. Some roads may be

closed. Moderate damage may be experienced.

3.

Major flooding: For neighborhood and community residents living on specific

areas along the river the risk is higher and evacuation recommended. Major

through fares may be closed and major damage is expected

A flash flood is a quick rise and fall of water level. Flash floods generally result

from intense storms dropping large amounts of rain within a short period onto

watersheds that cannot absorb or slow the flood. The natural terrain and

vegetation of the Chehalis reservation help to reduce the potential for flash floods.

As development continues, increasing the distribution and proportion of impervious

surfaces, the threat from flash floods will increase. (T. County IC-22) Ground water

flooding occurs when there is a high water table and persistent heavy rains. An

upper, thin layer of permeable soils overlaying an impermeable layer of hardpan

causes this situation.

As the ground absorbs more and more rainwater, the groundwater table rises and

shows itself as flooding in areas where the land surface is below the water table.

The conditions have historically been most severe in the second and subsequent

years of consecutive wet years. According to the Army Corps of Engineers, the

frequency of a groundwater flooding disaster is every 25 years. (T. County IV-22)

FEMA has mapped most of the known floodplains in the United States. The

Chehalis River extends for only 8.6 miles in Thurston County has an extensive

floodplain, covering over (8) eight square miles. Land use is primarily agriculture,

houses are scattered sparsely over the area. Some flooding occurs nearly every

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year, but damage is usually light. Historically, minor/nuisance flooding occurs

when the flow rate exceeds about 14,000 cfs. Since 1972, the river has exceeded

the flow rate 48 times.

Groundwater has historically been most severe in the second and subsequent years

of consecutive wet years. According to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (“Corps”)

post even report on the storm of 1996-97, the frequency of groundwater flooding

disaster is every 25 years. This was the first widespread flooding disaster event

since 1972 and the worst on record until the winter of 1996, which was considered

the “event of record” until December 2007. The 2007 event set a new record in

peak stream flow in the upper watershed of the Chehalis River. The stream flow

indicates a pattern resulting from a very intense rainstorm, according to the U.S.

Geological Survey. Peak stream flow was recorded at 51,100 cfs before floodwaters

swamped the instruments and destroyed equipment at Doty, WA. The previous

record of peak stream flow recorded at Doty was 28,900 cfs during the February

1996 floor. (USGS)

Statistically, the Corps estimates there is approximately a 70% chance that the

1996-97 flooding will be equaled or exceeded at least once during a 30-year

mortgage cycle. According to FEMA records for the March 1997 high groundwater

flood event, only 15 of 237 damage sites (6%) occurred within the mapped 100year floodplain. When added together, the 100- and 500- year floodplains it

increased to 9%. (T. County IV-24)

Flood – Historic Profile

Data gathered from the United States Geological Survey (USGS); NWS; Thurston

County; Grays Harbor and Washington State Mitigation plans created this section of

the NHMP. The data limitations were few. Technical data in the form of real-time

surface water sites are available for download from the USGS website. The

following chart indicates real-time surface-water sites monitored by the USGS.

Identification No: 12027500 is Chehalis River near Grand Mound, WA and

Identification No: 12025100 is Chehalis River at Centralia. USGS river gauging

stations form the backbone of flood-warning systems in the state. Federal agencies

such as the Corps of Engineers and the NWS and others, use the real-time stream

flow data from USGS river gauging stations to monitor the rivers closely to protect

people and property. (Clemen)

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(FEMA, Debris after Washington Flood)

Table 3.3 USGS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Seattle, Chehalis

River near Grand Mound, Flood Categories (in feet) (USGS)

Major Flood Stage

Moderate Flood Stage

Flood Stage

Action Stage

17

15.5

14

12.2

Historical Crests

20.23 feet

19.98 feet

19.34 feet

18.41 feet

18.39 feet

12/04/2007

02/09/1996

01/10/1990

11/25/1986

12/29/1937

Flood Impacts (Chehalis River near Grand Mound):

At 19.0 feet, the Chehalis River will cause severe near record flooding, with deep

and swift floodwaters inundating the Independence Valley. Flooding will occur all

along the river including headwaters, tributaries and other streams within and near

the Chehalis River Basin.

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At 17.5 feet, the Chehalis River will cause major flooding, inundating roads and

farmlands in Independence Valley. Deep and swift floodwaters will cover SR-12

and Independence and Moon Roads. Flooding will occur all along the river including

headwaters, tributaries, and other streams within and near the Chehalis River

Basin.

At 15.5 feet, the Chehalis River will flood several roads in Independence Valley with

swiftly moving water including SR-12 and James, Independence, Moon and

Anderson Roads. Floodwaters will cut off access to and from Chehalis reservation

and inundate nearby farmlands and some residential structures may be threatened.

At 14.0 feet, the Chehalis River will flood several roads in Independence Valley

including James Road, Independence Road and Moon Road. Floodwaters will also

cover nearby farmlands

At 12.5 feet, the Chehalis River will locally spill out of its banks into nearby fields

and over a few roads. (USGS)

Table 3.4 USGS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Seattle, Chehalis River at

Centralia Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage

72

Moderate Flood Stage

68.5

Flood Stage

65

Action Stage

61

Historical Crests

72.78 feet

74.31 feet

73.5 feet

71.99 feet

71.65 feet

12/04/2007

02/09/1996

01/10/1990

11/25/1986

01/21/1972

Flood Impacts (Chehalis River at Centralia):

At 73.4 feet, the Chehalis River will cause severe near record flooding with deep

swift floodwaters inundating residential and business areas, roads including I-5 and

farms. Flooding will occur all along the river including headwaters, tributaries and

other streams within and near the Chehalis River Basin.

At 72.0 feet, the Chehalis River will cause major flooding inundating residential and

commercial areas, farms and many roads including I-5. Floodwaters will be deep

and swift in some areas. Flooding will occur all along the river including

headwaters, tributaries and other streams within and near the Chehalis River Basin.

At 68.5 feet, the Chehalis River will flood some residential and commercial areas

with water encroaching upon the first floor of some homes and businesses. Swift

floodwaters will cover some roads.

At 65.0 feet, the Chehalis River will cause shallow flooding of farmlands and some

roads.

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At 53 feet, the Chehalis River will spill over its banks into nearby pasturelands

around Chehalis and Centralia.

(FEMA, Road Damage from Washington Floods)

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Topography

Geological formations determine the topology of the Chehalis reservation. The

geological map show older terraces forming “islands” of higher ground surrounded

by alluvial floodplain. The higher terraces are 10 – 20 feet above surrounding lands

and are the only areas of the reservation that do not flood.

The reservation land has an elevation of up to 115 feet above mean sea level on

the highest eastern terrace. The surrounding floodplains average around 95 feet.

The elevations drop on the western end of the reservation corresponding to the fall

in the Chehalis River. The western terrace averages about 88 feet in elevation

while the floodplains near the river, average about 70 feet. With the exception of a

few relatively steep escarpments between the terraces and the floodplain, the land

slopes at a very gradual rate.

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Soil Types on the Chehalis Reservation

The Chehalis Reservation holds six soil classifications:

CLASS I: Very little Class I land occurs in Western Washington. There is one small

section subject to flooding and not currently used for agriculture.

Symbol

Name

Class

Woodland

Ce

Chehalis Loam

0-2% I

2o

CLASS II: Class II is the largest soil class, subject to annual flooding good for

agriculture.

Symbol

Name

Class

Woodland

Suitability

8a

Abiqua Silty Clay Loam

IIw

F4-Ig, F4G

Arta silt loam

IIw

30Hp

Ca

Camas clay loam

IIs

3c

12A

Chehalis silt loam

IIw

OwHp

Cf

Chehalis silty clay loam

IIs

2o

13A

Cloquqato silt loam

IIw

OwHp

CLASS III: Class III are generally found next to Class II soils and are generally

found near the river or lower and are subject to more frequent and deeper flooding.

In some cases, there is winter ponding and they are found narrow, lower, flood

channels that interface with Class II soils.

Symbol Name

Class

Woodland Suitability

22A

Bear Prairie Silt Loam

IIIs

20Hp

Cb

Camas gravelly loam

IIIs

3c

Nb

Newberg sandy loam, 20%

IIIs

3c

59A

Newberg silt loam

IIIw

2o

87A

Rennie silty loam clay loam

IIIw

OwHp

Wc

Wapato silty clay loam

IIIw

OwLp

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CLASS IV: Class IV is caused by frequent and severe flooding, is generally clayey,

or silty, and is poorly drained. There are few narrow bands found.

Symbol

Name

Class

Woodland

77L

Klone gravelly silt loam IVe

2fHp

18A

Nemah gravelly silt loam IVw

OwLp

Ra

Reed clay

IVw

CLASS V: Class V is the second largest types of soils found. Class V soils are

composed of gravelly terrace soils and excessively drained. They are typical prairie

soils become very dry in the summer season.

Symbol

Name

Class

Woodland

Fa

Fitch gravelly

0-3% VIs

4f

sandy loam

Fb

Fitch gravelly sandy loam

3-15% VIs

4f

30A

Sol Duc gravelly loam

Vis

3fHp

8A

Spanaway very gravelly sandy loam Vis

3fMp

Sh

Spanaway gravelly sandy loam

Vis

3f

Class VII & VIII: These soils are essentially gravelly bars or sandy bars along the

river.

Symbol

Name

Class

Woodland

Rw

Riverwash

VIIIw

Ow

Ma

Alluvial Land

VIIIw

OwHp

Impacts

Approximately 75 percent of the Chehalis Reservation is located on an active

floodplain that is subject to significant flooding up to five times annually. Flooding

within the Chehalis Reservation restricts access to the Reservation for periods of

one or more days, isolating portions of the Reservation, and may cause failure of

individual water and waste water systems. Severe flooding also can contribute to

the formation of swift-moving water in floodways that is capable of significantly

endangering residents and their property. Flooding of this type can affect more

than two-thirds of the Chehalis Reservation.

The high frequency of flooding is caused by

the unique geologic and physical

environment of the Chehalis Reservation.

These minor floods occur on the west,

central, and eastern areas of the Chehalis

Reservation, and cover up to half of the

Reservation for periods of one or more

days.

December 2007 Flood. Source: Chehalis Tribe

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Flooding of local roads limits access to and from higher ground atop the two glacial

terraces. These two areas become isolated “islands” during most flooding events.

Flood-related impacts to the Chehalis Reservation typically increase with an

increase in the significance of the flood event. Moderate events jeopardize roads,

bridges, property fences, outbuildings, wells and septic systems, and other

structures (including private residences) constructed before the adoption of the

Chehalis Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance. During such floods, residents of the

central part of the Chehalis Reservation must be evacuated to higher ground.

During past events, flooding has resulted significant damages to private and

commercial properties and the evacuation of people from homes built on low

ground. During such events, it may be difficult or impossible to leave the

reservation for up to seven days. A tragic example of the isolation created by

flooding occurred during the 1996 flood, when the Tribe experienced a fatality

resulting from the inability to access emergency medical care.

Major floods resulting in severe impacts, including evacuation of people from

residences in low-lying areas, and the inundation of major access roads, such as

U.S. Highway 12, has historically occurred every 9 to 11 years. Consecutive years

of major flooding (double floods) occur about every 20 years.

The 1996 flood covered 75 percent of the reservation with measured flood depths

up to 10 feet. All access routes, including Howanut Road, Anderson Road, and

Moon Road were under one to four feet of fast-moving water. U.S. Highway 12,

which provides access to many secondary roads, also was flooded, and Interstate 5

was flooded and closed for several days. To improve emergency access, in 2002

the Tribe rebuilt Anderson Road. They elevated and straightened portions of the

road and fitted it with nineteen (19) culverts to allow passage of most flood waters

beneath the road. A hydraulic model was prepared prior to engineering and design

of the road, assuring that the road construction resulted in no net loss of floodplain

storage

During the 2007 flood, homes in the central area of the reservation were inundated

with up to four feet of water. The water moved swiftly and covered the reservation

to record water depths within 24 hours of notification of flooding. At the east end

of the Chehalis Reservation, water overtopped Anderson Road. Up to two feet of

water overtopped U.S. Highway 12 and flowed into the Black River east of Anderson

Road. Southeast of the Reservation, Independence Road was overtopped near the

bridge and a section of the Chehalis River channel migrated south and eroded a

portion of the abandoned railroad grade. The central portion of the Chehalis

Reservation, at the confluence of the Chehalis and Black rivers, was flooded from

U.S. Highway 12 south to the abandoned railroad grade. Floodwater ponded

upstream of the western glacial terrace and rose high enough to overtop

Blockhouse Road and flow down Harris Creek. Between the glacial terrace and

Oakville, bridges and culverts were overtopped, road pavement was damaged, and

houses were flooded. At the west end of the Reservation, portions of Balch Road

were damaged and the east approach to the Sickman-Ford Bridge was overtopped

and damaged. Elsewhere within the Chehalis Reservation, gravel driveways and

rural roads were scoured clean of gravel.

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Reservation flooding has frequently damaged homes, including flooring, walls,

electrical, plumbing, wells, septic, heating. Flooding destroys vehicles and

mechanical equipment. Residents lose household items including furnishings,

clothing, appliances, food, personal keepsakes and household pets. They become

homeless for weeks or months until their homes are repaired or they can find other

lodging. The Chehalis Reservation has a housing shortage and replacement housing

can be difficult to locate. Cleanup and recovery is stressful and further traumatizes

flood victims. Children miss schools days; parents may lose income during the

disruption.

Reservation enterprises are closed during moderate to major flooding and lose

revenue as customers and workers are unable to access businesses due to road

closures and damaged roads.

Residents living on high ground on the reservation are unable to leave during major

flooding to go to work. Children cannot leave the reservation to attend school.

Access to specialty medical care is completely blocked. Firefighters cannot access

the reservation for medical assistance calls or to fight fires. Homes that are not

flooded are still likely to lack clean domestic water or sewer services due to

overtopping of well heads and damage to pumps.

Data

Data limitations were not found, historic data, National Weather Service, USGS

information on floods in the area nearby the Chehalis Reservation. Telephone

conversations with Ted Buehner, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, National

Weather Service, and Seattle/Tacoma added open invitations to educate the public

on StormWatchers and methods to incorporate the Tribe into “StormReady”

program.

CHEHALIS AWARENESS

Twenty-two (22) of 22 people interviewed, ranked flooding as the number one

hazard on the Reservation.

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Yakwałt&mx

(K ink ade)

Thunderbird and Whale

Thunderbird is a bird of monstrous size and lives in a dark hole under the foot of

t h e O l y m p i c g l a c i a l f i e l d . T h u n d e r b i r d s o a r e d f r o m h e r d ar k h o l e i n t h e m o u n t a i n s ,

far out over the placid waters and there poised herself high up in the air and waited

for Whale to come to the surface of the water. Whale came and as quick as a flash,

the powerful bird darted and seized it Whale in her flinty talons. Then, above the

watery surface she lifted Whale and with great effort soared away toward the land

areas. Passing beyond the oceans with her ponderous load, she was compelled to

alight and rest her wings. Each and every time Whale was allowed to reach solid

land there was a terrible battle; for Whale was powerful and fought for its life with

terrible energy. Again Thunderbird would seize Whale; again Whale would escape.

Again Thunderbird caught Whale. High into the air Thunderbird carried Whale over

the land, dropping it to the land surface. Then, at this place there was another

great battle. Thunderbird finally carried Whale to its nest in the lofty mountains,

and there was the final and terrible contest fought. There was shaking, jumping up

and trembling of the earth beneath, and a rolling up of the great waters...

(Sciences)

Earthquake

Probability

Based upon data collected from the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network, in the last

129 years the average earthquakes had a magnitude of 5.716, a range of 7.1 – 4.9

magnitude with 27 occurrences making it a 20.9% probability in the next 129

years. The King County Hazard Mitigation Plan simply states Moderate

Probability/High Impact (p 5-21). Grays Harbor County Hazard Mitigation Plan

scored earthquake an 11 out of possible 12. (p75) Thurston County gave

earthquake a “high probability of occurrence with high vulnerability” (p IV-6).

However, according to Mazzotti and Adams, the last great earthquake along the

Cascadian Subduction Zone was ~1700 A.D. and future occurrence “shows an

interesting bimodal pattern of recurrence interval with long (more than 700 years)

and short (less than 450 years) intervals” (p1956). That would estimate their

probability dates of occurrence, for a great (M~9) earthquake along the Cascadian

Subduction Zone, at 2150 A.D. to 2150 A.D. (+/-130 years). Nevertheless, our

communities should prepare for a seismic event no matter WHAT the simple and

complicated statistics predict. Because according to Huff, “common errors, both

intentional and unintentional, associated with the interpretation of statistics, and

these errors can lead to biased or inaccurate conclusions.”

Identification and Profile

According to Rogers, “the principal hazards from earthquakes are surface faulting,

ground failure and ground shaking”. (Rogers) Rogers states, “Surface faulting

accompanies many large earthquakes, particularly in the western United States,

and occurs when rock on either side of a fault is displaced at the earth’s surface.

The slip may be vertical, horizontal, or a combination of both. In major

earthquakes, the movement along a fault can be as much as (35) feet and the

length of the surface rupture as great as 250 miles. Even small amounts of slip can

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disrupt power, water supply, and communication lines. In an area where the fault

line and roads cross, vertical slip greater than a few inches can completely disrupt

transportation infrastructure.

In addition, faults that pass under structures are likely to cause severe structural

damage if slippage occurs. (Rogers 113) Ground failure (which includes landslides,

liquefaction and settlement) is induced by earthquake shaking in some geologic

materials having unfavorable physical properties. (Rogers 113) Liquefaction occurs

when ground shaking produces high water pressure under the earth’s surface and

causes sand layer to act as liquid. (Rogers 115) Settlement is simply compaction of

loose soils. This phenomenon can be damaging to roadways, particularly near

bridge abutments, where the roadbed may settle while the bridge remains fixed.

(Rogers 115) Although all of these earthquake-induced phenomenon’s can play an

important part in causing damage, it is possible to experience an earthquake in

which the damage is caused solely by ground shaking. In fact, in most

earthquakes, ground shaking is the greatest hazard, causing the largest percentage

of damage. Ground shaking is caused by earth waves that travel away from the

earthquake source and may cause damage at distances of as much as 50-75 miles.

(Rogers 116) Site conditions are a major element affecting the likely intensity of

ground shaking. Thick soils overlying solid rock intend to increase the level of

ground shaking and prolong the duration of shaking. The degree to which this

effect takes place is dependent on certain physical properties of the soil, especially

its velocity, density, and thickness relative to the underlying rock. (Rogers 117)

Larger and longer ground motions could cause total collapse”. (Rogers 118)

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Geology Map of the Chehalis Valley

LEGEND

Qal ‐ Alluvium, deposits of silt, sand and clay left by flood waters

QV ‐ Vashon drift – the older, higher terraces of outwash sand and gravel from the Vashon glacier

Geology

Geology of the Chehalis River Valley is a thick deposit of glacial sand and gravel

filling the entire area between the Black Hills to the North and the Doty Hills to the

South. Recent geomorphology created rich bottomland in between higher gravelly

terraces. Ground water percolates easily through the permeable gravelly outwash

deposits and the underlying bedrock serves to conserve this water at depths of less

than 100 feet. The porous gravelly outwash deposits allow easy lateral as well as

vertical movement of the water.

Depths of the largest Washington earthquakes are not precisely known because the

calculations of depth require a number of seismograms for each earthquake. Before

1949, the number of earthquakes and their locations and sizes were determined

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almost entirely using newspaper accounts of reported damage. As a result,

information about early earthquakes is incomplete, the locations, depths and sizes

of these earthquakes is less precise than those earthquakes recorded after 1969 by

the University of Washington multi-station seismograph network (Linda Noson).

Exceptions include the 1949, magnitude 7.1, Olympia earthquake and the 1965,

magnitude 6.5 earthquake as they were large enough to be recorded at many

seismograph stations around the world. An interesting fact about this pair of

earthquakes is the lack of aftershocks. According to Algermissen and Perkins, a

lack of aftershock is considered a characteristic of a deep earthquake. Most of the

early large earthquakes in the Puget Sound region were deep. (Perkins)

The size of an earthquake is indicated by a number called magnitude. Magnitude is

calculated from a measurement of either amplitude or duration of specific types of

recorded seismic waves recorded on seismograms. The Richter scale assigns

numerical estimates of the size of an earthquake. The unit assigned to the

logarithmic relation to recorded ground motion increase in size by a factor of 10.

The force at which an earthquake shakes the ground is measured with the Richter

scale, which rates the earthquake's actual force on a scale from 0 to 9. A 0 level

Richter rating cannot even be felt by a person, while a rating of 8 shakes hard

enough to crumble buildings. The Richter scale is based on a reading from a

seismograph — a device that detects the waves sent out by an earthquake. Each

number on the Richter scale indicates an increase of ten times the force of the

previous number. For example, the Richter scale rating of 2 is ten times the force of

a level 1. A Richter scale level of 3 is ten times more powerful than a level two and

one hundred times more powerful than a level l, etc.

The intensity of an earthquake is indicated by the amount of ground shaking at a

particular site, and determined from reports of human reaction to shaking, damage

done to structures and other effects. The Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) scale is

the most commonly used scale to rank earthquakes in the United States.

Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) Scale (Wood)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

Not felt by a very few under especially favorable circumstances.

Felt only by a few persons at rest, especially on upper floors of buildings. Delicately suspended

objects may swing.

Felt quite noticeably by persons indoors, especially on upper floors of buildings. Many people

do not recognize it as an earthquake. Standing motor cars may rock slightly. Vibration is

similar to the passing of a truck. Duration estimated.

Felt indoors by many, outdoors by few during the day. At night, some awakened. Dishes,

windows, doors disturbed; walls make cracking sounds. Sensations like a heavy truck striking

a building. Standing motor cars rocked noticeably.

Felt by nearly everyone; many awakened. Some dishes and windows broken; unstable objects

overturned. Pendulum clocks may stop.

Felt by all; many frightened. Some heavy furniture moved; a few instances of fallen plaster.

Damage slight.

Damage negligible in buildings of good design and construction; slight to moderate in wellbuilt ordinary structures; considerable damage in poorly built or badly designed structures;

some chimneys broken. Noticed by persons driving in motor cars.

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8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

Damage slight in specially designed structures; considerable in ordinary substantial buildings

with partial collapse. Damage great in poorly built structures. Fall of chimneys, factory stacks,

columns, monuments, walls. Heavy furniture overturned.

Damage considerable in specially designed structures; well-designed frame structures thrown

out of plumb. Damage great in substantial buildings, with partial collapse. Buildings shifted off

foundations.

Some well-built wooden structures destroyed; most masonry and frame structures thrown out

of plumb. Rails bent.

Few, if any masonry structures remain standing. Bridges destroyed. Rails bent greatly.

Damage total. Lines of sight and level distorted. Objects thrown into the air.

Therefore, earthquake hazard can be defined as the probability of occurrence of a

specified level of ground shaking in a specified period of time. Earthquake risk is

defined as the expected or probable life loss, injury, or building damage, given the

probabilities that specific levels of ground shaking occur. (Rogers 120)

Earthquake – Historic Profile

Historically, strong earthquakes have occurred in the Puget Sound region between

Olympia and the Canadian border, in the Cascade Mountains and along the

Washington-Oregon border. (Linda Noson)

On December 14, 1872, a MMI VI earthquake in the Cascade Mountains was felt

over 390,000 square kilometers, extending as far south as Eugene, Oregon and

north into British Columbia and possibly into Alaska. (Hake)

On January 11, 1909, a MMI VI earthquake in Blaine, Washington, near the

northern border of Washington, was felt over 65,000 square kilometers. (Hake)

On January 23, 1920, a MMI VII earthquake occurred near the Strait of Georgia, in

the northern region of Washington, and was felt as far away as Anacortes and

Bellingham, north to Vancouver Island, British Columbia. (Hake)

On July 15, 1936, a magnitude 5.75 or MMI VII earthquake was centered in the

southeastern region, near Walla Walla, Washington and Milton, Oregon. The total

damage amounted to about $100,000 and was felt over 272,000 square

kilometers, including most of Washington, Oregon and northern Idaho. (Hake)

On April 29, 1945, a MMI VI – VII earthquake was reported causing minor damage,

about 100 miles from Chehalis, in North Bend, Palmer and Stampede Pass. The

earthquake was felt over the 130,000 square kilometers or over the greater portion

of Washington, a small section of western Idaho and in the vicinity near Portland,

Oregon. (Hake)

On February 14, 1946, a MMI VII earthquake caused a few deaths and damage

estimated at $250,000. The damage included cracked plaster and slight chimney

failure with a few cases of building damage in Seattle, less than 100 miles from

Chehalis. The earthquake was felt over 182,000 square kilometers from

southwestern British Columbia to northwestern Oregon. (Hake)

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On June 23, 1946, a 7.3 magnitude earthquake was reported in the Strait of

Georgia, less than 100 miles from Chehalis, causing one death, heavy damage and

tsunamis. Damage reports included flooding of fields and highways, fallen

chimneys, and damage to industrial and residential buildings. The earthquake was

felt at Bellingham, Olympia, Raymond, Tacoma, areas in Canada and an estimated

260,000 square kilometers. (Hake)

On April 13, 1949, a MMI VIII earthquake caused an estimated $25 million dollars

in property damage near Olympia, less than 100 miles from Chehalis. Eight deaths

were caused, nearly all buildings in Olympia were damaged, water and gas mains

were broken, and property damage included toppled chimneys and cracked walls.

Power and communication networks were interrupted, transportation was

suspended for several days, and railway bridges were ordered out of commission.

The earthquake was felt in western Canada, eastward to western Montana and

southward to Cape Blanco, Oregon. The total area affected was 400,000 square

kilometers. (Hake)

On November 5, 1962, a MMI VII earthquake caused minor damage in Vancouver,

Washington, and was located about 100 miles from Chehalis; the earthquake also

affected Portland, Oregon. Numerous chimneys were damaged, several buildings

reported fallen ceiling tiles, cracked plaster and broken windows. The total area

affected was over 52,000 square kilometers of Washington and Oregon. (Hake)

On April 29, 1965, a MMI VII – VIII earthquake caused about $12.5 million in

damage throughout 340,000 square kilometers in northeastern region of

Washington, parts of Oregon, northern Idaho, northwestern Montana and part of

British Columbia. Three persons were killed by falling debris and four elderly women

perished from heart failure attributed to the earthquake. (Hake)

On December 20, 1973, the largest earthquake in eastern Washington was a

shallow 4.4 magnitude incident. The earthquake was located near Othello, located

about 300 miles from Chehalis. (Linda Noson)

On May 16, 1976, a 5.1 magnitude earthquake was located in the Puget Sound

area, located about 100 miles from Chehalis. (Linda Noson)

On September 8, 1976, a 4.5 magnitude earthquake was centered in the southern

Puget Sound basin, about 100 miles from Chehalis. (Linda Noson)

On March 11, 1978, a 4.6 magnitude earthquake was centered near Bremerton,

Washington, located less than 100 miles from Chehalis. The main shock was

followed by 44 aftershocks. (Linda Noson)

Beginning on March 24, 1980 through May 21, 1980, Mount St. Helens, located

about 100 miles from Chehalis, generated 312 earthquakes with an average

magnitude of 4.5. (Network)

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On February 13, 1981, a magnitude 7.3 earthquake was felt over 102,000 square

kilometers and had more than 1,000 aftershocks distributed over the St. Helen’s

Zone. Weaver and Smith estimate that the St. Helen’s Seismic Zone could be

capable of generating a magnitude 7.0 + earthquake. (Linda Noson)

On February 28, 2001, a magnitude 6.8 earthquake struck western Washington at

10:55 am local time. The epicenter was located approximately 11 miles northwest

of the capitol, Olympia, located less than 30 miles from Chehalis, and 36 miles

southwest of Seattle. Two aftershocks of magnitudes higher than 2.5 were

recorded during the first 48 hours after the main shock. (Filiatrault A.) On March 1,

2001, a Presidential declaration (FEMA-1361-DR, Washington) was issued for 22

declared counties and 24 Tribal Nations. (FEMA) On July 31, 2001, FEMA released a

summary of the Disaster Assistance totals from this incident. Washington residents

and businesses received $129.7 million in recovery aid and 41,032 registrations

from this disaster exceed the combined total of all other previous Washington

disasters. Since the March 1, 2001 Presidential declaration, $50.02 million in aid

has been approved for temporary disaster housing assistance and minimal repair

grants. Inspectors have completed 36,808 damage verifications in the declared

counties. The Small Business Administration has approved $76.82 million in low

interest loans to homeowners, renters and businesses of all types. The Individual

and Family Grant program has approved $2.86 million for residents affected by the

earthquake. The Chehalis Tribe government was reimbursed for $30,000 damage

to tribal governmental facilities.

Table 3.5 FEMA Disaster Assistance Totals July 31, 2001

County

Registrations

Grays

Harbor

Lewis

Thurston

Chehalis

Tribe

Totals

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2,075

Approved

Temporary

Housing

Assistance

$3,556,692

SBA

Approved

Disaster

Loans

$2,166,400

1,215

5,386

0

$1,797,346

$5,632,584

0

$2,073,400

$12,916,900

0

8,676

$10,986,622

$17,156,700

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FUTURE EARTHQUAKE POTENTIAL

Cascadia Subduction Zone

The Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) is a very long sloping fault that stretches from

Vancouver Island to Northern California. It separates the Juan de Fuca and North

American plates. CSZ is where the two plates meet. Great Subduction Zone

earthquakes are the largest earthquakes in the world and can exceed 9.0.

Earthquake size is proportional to fault area – the last known great earthquake in

the northwest was in January 1700, just over 300 years ago. Geological evidence

indicates that great earthquakes may have occurred at least (7) seven times in the

last 3,500 years suggesting a return time of about 400 to 600 years.

Impacts

The impact from earthquakes to communities is well-evidenced by the catastrophic

events around the world; San Franciso in the United States; Kobe, Japan; Chengdu,

China and Kashmire, Pakistan. Failed bridges, building and other structures can

tran or bury people causing injury or death. Damage to community infrastructre is

common and distrupts public and private commerce and services. Disruptions are

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widespread and include communication, electrical, heat fuel, auto fuel and domestic

water. Structural fires are a secondary hazard from earthquakes. Individuals may

be displaced due to damaged homes or lack heat, light, water and/or sewer

facilities. Major earthquakes may prevent travel to obtain services or aid.

Subsequent econmic impacts to businesses are likely following an earthquake.

Structures built since 2002 on the Chehalis Reservation are built to modern code,

but structures built prior are likely to be vulnerable to ground shaking. Fire fighters

and law enforcment can quickly become over-extended with response and recover

operations. All fire assistance comes from outside the reservation and may face

barriers due to disruption of transportation facilities or maybe unable to respond to

the reservation community due to priority calls within their primary response area.

Tribal services can expect a high number of requests for assistance to law

enforcement, health and social services. Building and structural inspections will

become priorities for planning and permitting services personnel and disrupt other

operations. Tribal government may also be expected to house and feed tribal

members is their residences are unihabitable due to damage or until residences are

inspected. Disruption to phone and transportation services may leave some

residences stranded or trapped and unable to call or send for assistance making

search and rescue operations necessary.

Data

There were no issues of data limitations and data was obtained though the use of

internet, library, journal, and scientific sources available to the public. An analysis

of Tribal vulnerabilities focuses upon the public meeting input. The Tribal

community members were more concerned with floods in the area and not actively

concerned with earthquake.

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CHEHALIS AWARENESS

From the Household Natural Hazards Preparedness Questionnaire, 83% of the

reservation has experienced a natural disaster; however, only 53% of the

reservation had experienced an earthquake. When asked the level of concern

regarding earthquakes, with choices from (1) extremely concerned; (2) very

concerned; (3) concerned; (4) somewhat concerned to (5) not concerned, a

majority (40%) of the surveyed population chose (3) concerned. Only 7% of the

surveyed population said that they were, “extremely concerned” about earthquake

danger.

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SEVERE WINTER STORM

PROBABILITY

According to Washington State Mitigation Plan, Counties Most Vulnerable to High

Winds, with a recurrence rate of >100% - at least one occurrence per year,

Thurston County is vulnerable to meteorological conditions, with a 175% recurrence

rate; Grays Harbor County is vulnerable to meteorological conditions with a 170%

recurrence rate. (Pudlo)

According to Washington State Mitigation Plan, Counties Most Vulnerable to Winter

Storms, with a recurrence rate of >100% - at least one occurrence per year,

Thurston County is vulnerable to meteorological conditions, with a 50% recurrence

rate; Grays Harbor County is not vulnerable to meteorological conditions with a

40% recurrence rate. (Pudlo)

Hazardous Weather Seasons

1.

Flood season: Western Washington – November through February

2.

Windstorm season: October through March.

3.

Snow season: Western Washington – mid November through mid March.

High winds – The National Weather Service defines high winds as sustained winds

of 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or greater, not caused by thunderstorms, expected

to last for an hour or more. Areas most vulnerable to high winds are those affected

by a strong pressure difference from deep storms originating over the Pacific

Ocean; an outbreak of very cold, Arctic air originating over Canada; or air pressure

differences. Areas considered most vulnerable to high winds are 1) those most

affected by conditions that lead to high winds, as described above, and 2) those

with a high wind recurrence rate of 100 percent, meaning the area experiences at

least one damaging high wind event every year. (Pudlo)

Winter storm – The National Weather Service defines a winter storm as having

significant snowfall, ice, and/or freezing rain; the quantity of precipitation varies by

elevation. Heavy snowfall is 4 inches or more in a 12-hour period, or 6 inches or

more in a 24-hour period in non-mountainous areas; and 12 inches or more in a

12-hour period or 18 inches or more in a 24-hour period in mountainous areas.

Areas most vulnerable to winter storms are those affected by convergence of dry,

cold air from the interior of the North American continent, and warm, moist air off

the Pacific Ocean. Typically, significant winter storms occur during the transition

between cold and warm periods. Areas considered most vulnerable to winter storm

are 1) those most affected by conditions that lead to such storms, as described

above, and 2) those with a recurrence rate of 50 percent, meaning the area

experiences at least one damaging winter storm event every two years. (Pudlo)

FEMA reports four severe storm disaster declarations in 2006 and 2007 for Grays

Harbor County that caused damage or threats to the reservation population

(Disaster Numbers 1734, 1682, 1671, 1641).

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IDENTIFICATION AND PROFILE

A severe storm is an atmospheric disturbance that results in one or more of the

following phenomena: strong winds and large hail, thunderstorms, tornados, rain,

snow, or other mixed precipitation. Typically, major impacts from a severe storm

are to transportation infrastructure, services and loss of utilities. Most storms move

into Washington from the Pacific Ocean. Considered for this profile are the following

severe storm elements (using National Weather Service definitions):

1.

High winds – Storms with sustained winds of 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or

greater, not caused by thunderstorms, expected to last for an hour or more.

2.

Winter storm – A storm with significant snowfall, ice, and/or freezing rain;

the quantity of precipitation varies by elevation. Heavy snowfall is 4 inches or more

in a 12-hour period, or six or more inches in a 24-hour period in non-mountainous

areas; and 12 inches or more in a 12-hour period or 18 inches or more in a 24-hour

period in mountainous areas.

Precipitation is recorded 20 to 25 days or more each month and December and

January are the wettest months. Snowfall is light in the lower elevations. During the

wet season, rainfall is usually of light to moderate intensity and continuous over a

period. The strongest winds are generally from the south or southwest and occur

during the fall and winter. In interior valleys, wind velocities reach 40 to 50 mph

each winter, and 75 to 90 mph a few times every 50 years. The highest summer

and lowest winter temperatures generally occur during periods of offshore easterly

winds. During most of the year, the prevailing wind is from the southwest or west.

The frequency of northeasterly winds is greatest in the fall and winter. Wind

velocities ranging from four to 12 mph can be expected 60 to 70 percent of the

time; 13 to 24 mph, 15 to 24 percent of the time; and 25 mph or higher, 1 to 2

percent of the time. The highest wind velocities are from the southwest or west and

are frequently associated with rapidly moving weather systems. Extreme wind

velocities can be expected to reach 50 mph at least once in two years; 60 to 70

mph once in 50 years; and 80 mph once in 100 years. (Pudlo)

According to the National Weather Service, there are three ingredients for a storm

to develop cold air, moisture and lift. Cold air below freezing temperatures is

necessary to make snow or ice. Air blowing over a body of water is an excellent

source of moisture to form clouds and precipitation. To raise the moist air to form

clouds and cause precipitation requires lift. An example of lift is warm air colliding

with cold air and raising over the cold dome. The boundary between the warm and

cold air masses is a front. Severe storms are dangerous and cause deaths in by

traffic accidents on icy roads, death by hypothermia from prolonged exposure to

cold and heart attacks from shoveling snow. (Pudlo 5-7 p3) According to the

Center for Disease Control, carbon monoxide poisoning was a major health

consequence of the severe storm in January of 1993. Because of the use of

alternative sources of energy for indoor cooking and home heating, the risk of

exposure to CO increased. (Control)

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Severe Storm – Historic Profile

January/February 1916 – Seattle's Greatest Snowstorm was one of the top 10

weather events in Washington during the 20th Century, according to the National

Weather Service, Seattle Forecast Office. Seattle’s snowfall in January was 23

inches, and February snowfall was 35 inches, for a two-month total of 58 inches.

Seattle recorded its maximum snowfall ever in a 24-hour period, with 21.5 inches

on February 1. Other parts of western Washington received between two to four

feet of snow. Winds created snowdrifts as high as five feet. The region was crippled,

with transportation essentially halted.

January 13, 1950 – The January 1950 Blizzard was one of the top 10 weather

events in Washington during the 20th Century, according to The National Weather

Service, Seattle Forecast Office. On this date, 21.4 inches of snow fell in Seattle,

the second greatest 24-hour snowfall recorded with 25-40 mph winds. January had

18 days with high temperatures of 32 degrees or lower. The winter of 1949-50 was

the coldest winter on record in Seattle, with an average temperature of 34.4

degrees.

October 12, 1962 – The Columbus Day Wind Storm was the top weather event in

Washington during the 20th Century, according to the National Weather Service,

Seattle Forecast Office. This storm is the greatest windstorm to hit the Northwest

since weather recordkeeping began in the 19th century, and called the mother of all

wind storms” in the 1900s. All windstorms in the Northwest are compared to this

one. The Columbus Day Storm was the strongest widespread non-tropical

windstorm to strike the continental U.S. during the 20th century, affecting an area

from northern California to British Columbia. The storm claimed seven lives in

Washington State; 46 died throughout the impacted region. One million homes lost

power. More than 50,000 homes were damaged. Total property damage in the

region was estimated at $235 million (1962 dollars). The storm blew down 15

billion board feet of timber worth $750 million (1962 dollars); this is more than

three times the timber blown down by the May 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens,

and enough wood to replace every home in the state. Highest recorded wind speeds

(before power went out at recording stations):

1.

2.

3.

4.

Naselle, Washington Coast – gust to 160 mph.

Bellingham and Vancouver – gusts of 113 mph.

Renton – gust of 100 mph.

Tacoma – gust of 88 mph.

April 5, 1972 – Washington's Deadliest Tornado Outbreak was one of the top 10

weather events in Washington during the 20th Century, according to the National

Weather Service, Seattle Forecast Office. Three tornadoes touched down in

Washington State on this day:

1.

An F3 tornado touched down in Vancouver; it swept through a grocery store,

bowling alley, and grade school near where Vancouver Mall is today. It caused six

deaths, 300 injuries, and $50 million in damage.

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2.

Later that day, another F3 tornado touched down west of Spokane near

Davenport, and an F2 tornado struck rural Stevens County.

3.

Numerous severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds were

reported over other areas of eastern Washington.

An F3 tornado has winds of 158-206 mph, and is capable of severe damage. An F2

tornado has winds of 113-157 mph and is capable of considerable damage. Because

of these tornados, Washington led the nation in tornado deaths in 1972.

November 1990 – Statewide Flooding

Federal Disaster #883 - Stafford Act disaster assistance provided $57 million. It

was classified as one of the top 10 weather events in Washington during the 20th

Century, according to the National Weather Service, Seattle Forecast Office. This

storm caused widespread, major flooding on western Washington Rivers. This storm

caused two deaths. Damage estimated at $250 million.

December 1990 – Severe Storm

Federal Disaster #896 - Stafford Act disaster assistance provided – $5.1 million.

Causing floods, snow, and high winds.

January 20, 1993 – The Inauguration Day Wind Storm

Federal Disaster #981, Stafford Act disaster assistance provided – $24.2 million.

This storm claimed five lives.

December 1996 - January 1997 – Ice, Wind, Flooding, Snow-loading, Landslides

Federal Disaster #1159 - Stafford Act disaster assistance provided – $83 million.

Small Business Administration loans approved – $31.7 million. Saturated ground

combined with snow, freezing rain, rain, rapid warming and high winds within a

five-day period produced flooding and landslides. Twenty-four deaths; $140 million

(est.) in insured losses; 250,000 people lost power.

Impacts

The Chehalis Reservation, like most of western Washington is vulnerable to high

winds because of the climatic conditions and prevalence of 100 ft to 150 ft tall

conifer trees. High winds weaken standing trees and structures weighted with snow

or ice. Two predominating species, Douglas fir, which are planted extensively on

the reservation as a timber crop and western hemlock have shallow later root

systems with top heavy crown. Trees are vulnerable to falling when soils are soaked

from ongoing rainfall. Sustained high winds and gusts cause tress to sway

significantly; repetitive swaying can weaken a tree’s root hold in the saturated soils

and force it to topple. Power lines, vehicles, homes and structures may be

damaged. Transportation routes may be blocked. Falling tree limbs and debris can

injure or cause death to individuals. Downed power lines may cause electrocutions.

Severe winter storms cause wide spread power outages annually in our rural

setting, which may take 2 to 5 days or longer to restore. Downed trees and debris

hinder or prevent emergency response capabilities, forcing the closure of tribal

government services and businesses. Homes without power may suffer from cold

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and hypothermia when winds are combined with snow and low temperatures.

Improperly stored foods can become rancid and unsafe to eat. Some people may

resort to trying to heat their home with outdoor grills, exposing themselves and

their families to carbon monoxide poisoning. Risks of home fires increase as people

try to use candles for light, or start wood fires in unsafe stoves or homes with faulty

chimneys or flues. Medically vulnerable individuals may be at risk of severe health

consequences for oxygen respirators or other equipment.

The rural setting of the Chehalis Reservation can increase these impacts as the

reservation is located at the furthest end of two county public utilities and often

must wait longer for power restoration in the event of a storm. About 50% of the

reservation population is dependent on well water, which must be pumped and

septic systems with also utilize pumps. During power outages, many or most of our

rural residents may be completely lacking drinking water or sewer services. When

combined with flooding, this likelihood increases.

Data

The comprehensive data from the State of Washington Hazard Mitigation Plan is

cited throughout this section. The references included: National Weather service,

Seattle Times, FEMA and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

CHEHALIS AWARENESS

According to the Hazards Survey, over 40% of participants were “very concerned”

about Severe Storms.

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VOLCANO

IDENTIFICATION AND PROFILE

A volcano is a mountain connected to a reservoir of molten rock below the surface

of the earth. Volcanoes are built up by an accumulation of their own eruptive

products, lava and ash. Though there are no volcanoes within Thurston County,

active volcanoes in the Cascade Range, including Mt. Rainier to the east and Mt. St.

Helens to the south, could affect Thurston County with mud and debris flow (lahar),

flooding due to an upstream lahar, and ashfall.

Mt. Saint Helens in Washington state, USA

Volcano – Historic Profile

Cascade Range volcanoes in the U.S. have erupted more than 200 times during the

past 12,000 years for an average of nearly two eruptions per century. At least five

eruptions have occurred during the past 150 years. The last major eruption of Mt.

Rainier was more than 1,000 years ago.

The most recent eruptions in the Cascade Range are the well-documented 19801986 eruptions of Mount St. Helens which claimed 57 lives and caused nearly a

billion dollars in damage and response costs. The effects were felt throughout the

northwest. Thurston County was affected by extensive ash fall which damaged

internal combustion engines, caused transportation problems due to reduced

visibility, and was a general nuisance. There was also an economic impact resulting

from the closure of I-5. Over the past 200 years, Mount St. Helens has erupted

three times, suggesting a recurrence interval of about 70 years.

Mount St. Helens is located 49 miles south of the Chehalis Indian Reservation.

Additional devastating impacts could result if winds move debris and ash toward

Thurston County. This would disrupt transportation and other essential services,

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and cause buildings to collapse while particulates, toxic gases and acid rains could

affect public health, water supplies, animal, aquatic and other plant life.

Another eruption of Mount St. Helens would likely have an impact similar to that

experienced in 1980.

When Mount St. Helens erupted on May 18, 1980, red hot lava did not spew out of

the volcano and pour down its flanks. This perception of a volcanic eruption is a

common one and is probably due in part to pictures seen on television or in books

of the beautiful lava flows and lava fountains in Hawai'i. The type of eruptions in

Hawai'i are known as hawaiian volcanism and are far less dangerous than the

eruptions produced by Mount St. Helens. It is important to know what type of an

eruption a volcano is most likely to produce so that the types of hazards produced

by such an eruption can be identified. Knowledge of these types of hazards, will

help determine where a person would need to go to be safe during a volcanic

eruption.

Volcanic eruptions can be placed into two general categories: those that are

explosive, such as at Mount St. Helens, and those that are effusive, such as in

Hawai'i. The most active volcano in the world, Kilauea Volcano on the big island of

Hawai'i, is generally a nonexplosive volcano (though there have been occasions

when it erupted explosively). Eruptions from it normally result in gently flowing lava

flows, spatter cones, and lava fountains. Another type of nonexplosive volcanism is

flood basalts. Lava flows from this type of eruption are extruded from fissures and

cover vast areas. These nonexplosive eruptions are the least dangerous type of

volcanic eruption since people rarely get killed by them (Francis, 1993). However,

they are devastating and may have global consequences.

Many eruptions are explosive in nature. They produce fragmental rocks from

erupting lava and surrounding country rock. Some eruptions are highly explosive

and produce fine volcanic ash that rises many kilometers into the atmosphere in

enormous eruption columns. Explosive activity also causes widespread ash fall,

pyroclastic flows, debris avalanches, landslides, pyroclastic surges, and lahars.

PROBABILITY

In 1980 the Mount St. Helens eruption killed 57 people, caused nearly $1 billion in

property damage, buried 230 square miles with landslide debris, deposited ash as

deep as a half-inch 300 miles away, and plugged the Toutle and Cowlitz rivers with

mud. Southwest of King County, this mountain presents a potential volcanic threat

to Puget Sound residents because of the probability that hazardous ashfall will be

released during an eruption. In fact, about an hour after the eruption of Mount St.

Helens in 1980, ash began to fall in Yakima in Eastern Washington (about 150 miles

east of Seattle). The ashfall was so heavy it became so dark that lights were turned

on all day. It took 10 weeks to haul away the ash from Yakima's streets, sidewalks,

and roofs. While this hazard was last most spectacularly witnessed over 25 years

ago, recent stirrings at St. Helens have brought that threat back into regional focus.

(King County Office of Emergency Management).

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The United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports that Mount Rainier has

produced moderate quantities of ash in past eruptions. The eruption of Mount St.

Helens in 1980 did deposit a scan layer of ash in Thurston County, but the fallout

did pose a significant threat to the region. Thurston County winds prevail from the

south and west, therefore ash is more likely to fall on the east side of the Cascades

than the west side. If Mount St. Helens was to erupt, a resultant ash plume would

require an easterly wind to deposit ash on the Chehalis Reservation. The USGS

calculates that the annual provability for a significant ash deposit of one centimeter

or greater in Thurston County is .02 percent for the south eastern third of the

county, where the Chehalis Reservation is located. This hazard has a low

probability.

Volcanic Hazards (based on activity in the last 15,000 years).

Areas in blue or purple show regions at greater or lesser risk of local volcanic

activity, including lava flows, ashfalls, lahars (volcanic mudflows) and debris

avalanches, based on the record of the last 15,000 years, as compiled by

Mullineaux (1976). Areas in pink show regions at risk of receiving 5 cm or more of

ashfall from large or very large explosive eruptions, originating at the volcanic

centers shown in blue. These projected ashfall extents are based on

observed ashfall distributions from an eruption ("large") of Mt. St. Helens that took

place 3,400 years ago, and the eruption of Mt. Mazama ("very large") that formed

Crater Lake, OR, 6,800 years ago. There is a moderate to high vulnerability of risk

from these two volcanoes.

The State of Montana Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan and Statewide Hazard Assessment October 2004

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Impacts

Volcanic ash, like the 1980 ash produced by the pyroclastic emissions of St. Helens,

Washington, is made up of tiny jagged particles of rock and glass (photo on right;

magnified 200 times).

Hazards of volcanic ash:

• Short-circuits and failure of electronic components, especially high-voltage

circuits and transformers (wet ash conducts electricity).

• Eruption clouds and ashfall commonly interrupt or prevent telephone and

radio communications.

• Volcanic ash can cause internal-combustion engines to stall by clogging air

filters and also damage the moving parts. Engines of jet aircraft have

suddenly failed after flying through clouds of even thinly dispersed ash.

• Roads, highways, and airport runways can be made treacherous or

impassable because ash is slippery and may reduce visibility to near zero.

Cars driving faster than 5 miles per hour on ash-covered roads stir up thick

clouds of ash, reducing visibility and causing accidents.

• Ash also clogs filters used in air-ventilation systems to the point that airflow

often stops completely, causing equipment to overheat.

Like airborne particles from dust storms, forest fires, and air pollution, volcanic ash

poses a health risk, especially to children, the elderly, and people with cardiac or

respiratory conditions, such as asthma, chronic bronchitis, and emphysema.

Source: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 027-00 Online Version 1.0 (USGS 2003c)

Clean up and recovery would likely be the greatest cost to both the public and

private sector. The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens posed a major nuisance for

community in Eastern Western. In Yakima, ash removal took ten weeks and cost

$2.2 million. Source: Tilling, Rover, I. et. Al. 1990. Eruptions of Mount St. Helens: Past, Present

and Future, U.S. Geological Survey Special Interest Publication.

Data

There were no issues of data limitations and data was obtained through internet,

library, journal, and scientific sources available to the public. An analysis of Tribal

vulnerabilities focuses upon the public meeting input and the Natural Hazards

Preparedness Questionnaire. The Tribal community members are not actively

concerned with Volcano hazards.

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

CHEHALIS AWARENESS

From the Household Natural Hazards Preparedness Questionnaire, 83% of the

reservation has experienced a natural disaster; however, only 7% of the

reservation had experienced volcanic hazards. When asked the level of concern

regarding volcanic hazards, 10% of participants were “very concerned”, 3% of

participants were “concerned”, 27% of participants were “somewhat concerned”,

and 53% of participants were “not concerned” about volcanic hazards.

Chapter 4

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

WILDFIRE

IDENTIFICATION AND PROFILE

Any instance of uncontrolled burning in grasslands, brush, or woodlands is classified

as a wildfire, whereas uncontrolled burning within a forested area is a forest fire.

Wildfire/Forest Fire - Historical Profile

Forest and wildfires are most likely to occur during the local dry season, mid-May

through October, and anytime during prolonged dry periods causing drought or

near-drought conditions. The probability of a destructive fire depends on weather,

fuel conditions, topography and human activities such as debris burning, land

clearing, camping, and construction. Greater than four out of five forest and

wildfires are started by people, often due to negligent behavior such as failure to

properly extinguish smoking materials or campfires.

There have been no major forest fires or wildfires in Thurston County. However, the

existence of large tracts of public and private forest, increasing population,

increasing recreational use of forested land, and possible changing climate patterns,

all increase the likelihood of a major fire.

Although nearly half of the County is forest land, three general areas are vulnerable

to a major forest fire. These are Capital Forest in the west, Fort Lewis Military

Reservation in the east, and large commercial tracts in the southeast. In each of

these areas, development is prohibited or restricted.

All areas of the county are vulnerable to a wildfire, especially those areas

surrounded by brush and grass which tend to dry out in the hotter months. The

threat of fire increases in years following those years in which a large amount of

debris is added to the forest floor as seen during the summer of 1997 following the

massive amounts of fuel added during the wind and ice storm of December 1996.

The flood of record in 2007 produced a similar abundance of fuel.

The impact of a major fire would be amplified by collateral effects such as loss of

ground cover which could exacerbate runoff, flooding and landslides, loss of

commercial and aesthetic value of the forest, destruction of wildlife habitat, and

damage to power lines, pipelines and the communications and transportation

infrastructure.

PROBABILITY

Wildland fire hazard is somewhat unique in that it is the most frequent occurring

hazard, with over 70 fires starting per year. Wildland fires are also preventable;

over 95% occur as the result of accidents or poor human judgments. It is the only

hazard that can be actively contained or suppressed in real time.

Numerous wildland fires will occur over the next 25 years. While few occur on the

reservation, past fires have threatened homes including the destruction of one

home on the Chehalis Reservation in the past three years.

Chapter 4

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Thurston County Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan (September 2009) notes an

expected total of 1775 fires may be predicted to occur over the next 25 years in

Thurston County.

The existence of undeveloped grasslands and heavily forested areas, consistent

with the rural nature of the Chehalis Reservation, coupled with an increasing

population and the uncertain impact of a changing climate combine to suggest a

moderate probability of occurrence. Reservation housing is interspersed throughout

grasslands and forested areas. Furthermore, Chehalis lacks on reservation fire

fighting capacity and must request aid from either Grand Mound (Thurston County)

or Oakville’s volunteer fire department (Grays Harbor), creating a delayed

containment or suppression response. The destruction of large tracts of forest land

would have immediate economic impact to the community through lost jobs and

increased public support while collateral economic and social effects could impact

the County for years. Accordingly, a “high” probability rating is assigned.

Impacts

Wildland fire impact depends upon the size and location of the fire. Heat from winddriven flames can destroy virtually any material in its path. People caught off guard

by a rapidly spreading fire could suffer burn injuries or death. People fishing or

hunting or recreating in remote or inaccessible areas of the reservation are

particularly at risk.

Fire fighting consumes significant local and state resources and poses severe

hazards to firefighting crews.

Potential damages include loss of timber and wildlife habitat; economic losses from

lost timber and commercial enterprises on the reservation; loss of residences,

vehicles and their contents; utilities lines and vehicles are also possible. Loss of

vegetation on the slopes of the Chehalis River could seriously threaten fish habit.

Wildland fire also disrupts transportation facilities, requiring detour routes.

Residents may be unable to access to residences; customers may be unable to

access businesses to due heat, smoke or proximity to the wildland fire.

Data

There were no issues of data limitations and data was obtained through the use of

internet, library, journal, and scientific sources available to the public. An analysis

of Tribal vulnerabilities focuses upon the Natural Hazards Preparedness

Questionnaire. The Tribal community members are not actively concerned with

wildfires.

CHEHALIS AWARENESS

From the Household Natural Hazards Preparedness Questionnaire, 83% of the

reservation has experienced a natural disaster; however, the reservation has never

experienced a wildfire. When asked the level of concern regarding wildfires, 13% of

participants were “very concerned”, 30% of participants were “concerned”, 27% of

Chapter 4

Page 66

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

participants were “somewhat concerned”, and 27% of participants were “not

concerned” about wildfire/forest fire hazards.

CLIMATE CHANGE

According to James Lovelock, “Gaia Theory is a view of the Earth that sees it as a

self-regulating system made up from the totality of organisms, the surface rocks,

the ocean and the atmosphere tightly coupled as an evolving system. The theory

sees this system as having a goal – the regulation of the surface conditions so as

always to be as favorable as possible for contemporary life”. (Lovelock 162)

Greenhouse effect defined by Lovelock is as follows. “Most of the sun’s radiant

energy is in the visible and near infra-red. The air, when free of clouds and dust, is

as transparent to this radiation as is the glass of a greenhouse. Surfaces on the

Earth, or within the greenhouse, are warmed by sunlight and some of this warmth

is transferred to the air in contact with the surfaces. The warm air stays in the

greenhouse mainly because the walls and green roof prevent the restless wind from

dissipating it.

The Earth is kept warm in a similar but not identical way, by the absorption of

radiant heat emitted from the warm surface by gases, carbon dioxide, water vapor,

and methane. These gases, although transparent to light, are partially opaque to

the longer wavelengths emitted by a warm surface. In the absence of pollution, the

greenhouse effect is benign and has long kept the surface air warm. Without it, the

Earth would be 32°C colder and probably incompatible with life. (Lovelock 162-3).

Currently, the climate centers around the world have reported the Earth’s physical

condition and see it as seriously ill and soon to pass into a morbid fever that may

last as long as 100,000 years. I have to tell you, as intimate members of the Earth

family, that civilization is in grave danger (Lovelock xiii). Without realizing it, we

have poisoned the earth by our emission of greenhouse gases and weakened it by

taking farmland and housing the land that was once the home of ecosystems that

sustained the environment. We have driven the Earth to a crisis state from which it

may never, on a human time scale, return to the lush and comfortable world we

love and in which we grew up (Lovelock xiii). Global vulnerabilities include loss of

habitat, food source, and large-scale wars over basic resources (food, water, and

land base). Local vulnerabilities include possibilities of additional floods due to

“increase of ocean volume mainly from the melting of land base ice” as Jim Hansen

states in Climate Change. He also notes that rapidly rising sea levels will be the

greatest threat because “these changes alter the distribution of forests and deserts

and the availability of land on which to grow food. When the carbon dioxide

abundance passes 500 ppm, we will enter the zone where temperatures will rise to

a new steady state, perhaps six to eight degrees hotter than now (Lovelock 64-5).

According to Wigley and Meehl, et al, in an article in the March 2005 issue of

Science, “sea levels will rise between 10 and 30 centimeters by 2100” (Lovelock

61). Although these sources show an estimated average change in global change, it

Chapter 4

Page 67

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

does not show “unpredicted extremes, including flood events and storms of great

severity” (Lovelock 60).

There is no limit on data regarding global climate change – the Lovelock book

references well rounded scientific sources including respected scientific journals,

such as Nature and Science; organizations such as the Intergovernmental Panel on

Climate Change (IPCC) and the International Geosphere Biosphere Program (IGBP)

and many respected scientists. Probability of this event is in process as we watch

Arctic ice caps melt, Greenland is disappearing, record heat in Europe killing over

30,000 people and others. In addition, record event report from the National

Weather Service, Seattle, WA 128 am PDT Tuesday October 28 2008, record high

temperature set at Quillayute, WA Airport, a record high temperature of 69 degrees

was set at Quillayute, WA airport yesterday. This breaks the old record of 68 set in

1968. (Service) According to the NOAA Paleoclimatology website, the following

chart provides an overview of developments to support the critical stage our planet

is in. (NOAA)

Past 10

Years

1991 AD

1992 AD

1993 AD 1994 AD

1995 AD

1996 AD

1997 AD

1998 AD

1999 AD

2000 AD

The 1990s Bangladesh August"Storm Severe

Atlantic

Hurricanes Impact of Hurricane La Niña

Wildfires in the

Cyclone

Hurricane of the

ice storm Hurricane Bertha

1997Mitch

linked to

Western U.S.

kills over

Andrew

Century" in

Season

and Fran 1998

devastates drought

burn over 6

138,000.

hits

hits U.S. southeast second

hit North

ENSO

Central

conditions

million acres.

"Perfect

Florida,

east

US cause busiest

Carolina

warm

America,

in much of Over 6 billion

Storm"

killing 54, coast

an

hurricane resulting in event

killing

U.S. and

Homo sapiens

develops

costing

with 270 estimated season

major

estimated estimated high

on planet.

off Nova

$25

missing. $3 billion since

flooding.

at $25 to 11,000.

precipitation

Scotia.

billion.

Midwest in

1871.

$-33

in Pacific

flooding damages. 830 die in

billion

Northwest.

causes

Midwest

$18

heat

billion

wave.

damage.

How do we mitigate against global climate change? Accept that change is coming

and prepare ourselves for the inevitable.

Chapter 4

Page 68

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

RISK ASSESSMENT – ASSESSING VULNERABLITIES

IDENTIFYING STRUCTURES

The Vosper Residential Area is a medium density Planned Development Unit (PUD)

located off Balch Road that will be built out over the next 20 years. There are

currently (16) sixteen residential lots planned as (12) single family residences,

including (5) five Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD) and (4) four were

reserved for the three multi-family units. Vosper is a 15.26 acre Tribal trust parcel.

(Council)

The Oakes Residential Area is a medium density PUD located adjacent to the city of

Oakville. The Oakes has (15) single-family lots, five of which are currently

developed. (Council)

The Chehalis Tribal Housing Authority (CTHA) oversees the three HUD housing

developments on the reservation, Tahown, Makum and Davis. Tahown and Makum

are home-ownership developments and Davis is a rental development. Tahown,

Makum and Davis are built out to their full capacities.

In addition, there are scattered rural home sites throughout the reservation. All

housing in the floodplain is scattered site housing owned by both Indian and nonIndian reservation residents.

The Tribal Complex is a collection of government facilities developed around the

Chehalis Baseball Field. Core Tribal government administrative functions including:

accounting, planning and Tribal government are located in the main Tribal Center

facility. The remaining sets of buildings are the hub for community activities and

services, including: social and mental health services, Chehalis Tribal Clinic, Elders

Center, Indian Head Start and Early Head Start, Youth Center, Public Safety, Health

Clinic, Community Center, Natural Resources, and End of the Trail I convenience

store. (Council)

Lucky Eagle Casino and Eagle’s Landing Hotel is a 69 room hotel across from the

Lucky Eagle Casino and there is a 20-space RV park in the hotel parking lot.

(Council)

Great Wolf Lodge, a 400,000 sf Resort and Conference center includes a 24,000 sf

conference center, indoor water park, and a 399 room resort employing 500

people. (Council)

The Tribe operates a convenience store and two convenience store/gas stations.

End of Trail I is located adjacent to the Tribal Center. End of Trail II is located at

the intersection of SR 12 and Anderson Rd. End of Trail III is located immediately

north of the Great Wolf Lodge structure.

Chehalis Tribal Construction, a dirt work company employing 8-10 people, is

located immediately south of End of Trail II on Anderson Road.

Chapter 4

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Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES

Ownership of Roads

The Chehalis Reservation Transportation Plan includes approximately 60 miles of

roads under the jurisdiction of the Confederated Tribes of the Chehalis Reservation,

the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA), the State of Washington, Grays Harbor and

Thurston Counties, and private owners.

Chehalis Reservation IRR inventory of roads by ownership (see Table 15 for

details):

•

•

•

•

•

•

BIA Roads:

City of Oakville:

Grays Harbor County Roads:

Thurston County Roads:

Private Roads:

WSDOT:

approximately 2 miles

approximately 2 miles

approximately 13 miles

approximately 18 miles

approximately 2 miles

approximately 25 miles

Functional Classification of Roads

The Chehalis Tribe is utilizing the BIA Functional Classification for roads which

consists of an analysis of transportation facilities taking into account current and

future traffic generators, and their relationship to connecting or adjacent BIA, state,

county, federal, and/or local roads, and other intermodal facilities. The Functional

Classification is used to delineate the difference between the various road and/or

intermodal transportation facility standards eligible for funding under the Indian

Reservation Roads (IRR) program.

Transportation

classifications:

facilities

are

classified

according

to

the

following

functional

Class 1 Roads: Major arterial roads providing an integrated network with

characteristics for serving traffic between large population centers, generally

without stub connections and having average daily traffic volumes of 10,000

vehicles per day or more with more than two lanes of traffic.

Class 2 Roads: Rural minor arterial roads providing an integrated network

having the characteristics for serving traffic between large population

centers, generally without stub connections. Class 2 roads may also link

smaller towns and communities to major resort areas that attract travel over

long distances and generally provide for relatively high overall travel speeds

with minimum interference to through traffic movement. Generally provide

for at least inter-county or inter-state service and are spaced at intervals

consistent with population density. This class of road will have less than

10,000 vehicles per day.

Class 3 Roads: Streets located within communities serving residential areas.

Chapter 4

Page 70

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Class 4 Roads: Rural major collector road is collector to rural local roads.

Class 5 Roads: Rural local road that is either a section line and/or stub type

roads, make connections within the grid of the road inventory system. This

class of road may serve areas around villages, into farming areas, to schools,

tourist attractions, or various small enterprises. Also included are roads and

motorized trails for administration of forests, grazing, mining, oil, recreation,

or other use purposes.

Class 6 Roads: City minor arterial streets that are located within

communities, and serve as access to major arterials.

Class 7 Roads: City collector streets that are located within communities and

serve as collectors to the city local streets.

Class 8 Roads: This class encompasses all non-road projects such as paths,

trails, walkways, or other designated types of routes for public use by foot

traffic, bicycles, trail bikes, snowmobiles, all terrain vehicles, or other uses to

provide for the general access of non-vehicular traffic.

Class 9 Roads: This classification encompasses other transportation facilities

such as public parking facilities adjacent to inventory routes and scenic

byways, rest areas, and other scenic pullouts, ferry boat terminals, and

transit terminals.

Chehalis Reservation IRR inventory by Functional Class (see Table 15 for

details):

•

•

•

•

Class 1 Roads

Class 2 Roads

Class 3 Roads

Class 4 Roads

approximately 25 miles

approximately 2 miles

approximately 11 miles

approximately 23 miles

Construction Need for Roads

The Chehalis Tribe is utilizing the BIA Construction Need coding system which is

used in cost to construct calculations. In the BIA Construction Need coding system,

transportation facilities are assigned a Construction Need using the following

guidelines: Ownership or responsibility of the facility, whether it is within or

provides access to the reservation or communities in which the majority of the

residents are Indian, and whether it is vital to the economic development of the

Tribe.

A summary of the Construction Need codes are as follows:

Construction Need 0: Transportation facilities which have been improved to

their acceptable standard, or projects/facilities proposed to receive

construction funds on an IRRTIP.

Chapter 4

Page 71

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Construction Need 1: Existing BIA Roads needing improvement.

Construction Need 2: Construction need other than BIA roads needing

improvement.

Construction Need 3: Substandard or other roads for which no improvements

are planned (maintenance only).

Construction Need 4: Roads that do not currently exist and need to be

constructed, proposed roads.

Chehalis Reservation IRR inventory by Construction Need (see Table 3.6 for

details):

•

•

•

•

Construction Need 0:

Construction Need 1:

Construction Need 2:

Construction Need 4:

Chapter 4

approximately 4 miles

approximately 2 miles

approximately 55 miles

approximately .3 miles

Page 72

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Table 3.6

Chehalis Reservation IRR Inventory

Map

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

Pg. 81

& 82

Route

No.

1

section

5

2

section

5

3

section

5

4

section

5

5

section

5

5

section

10

6

section

5

7

section

5

8

section

5

Pg. 81

& 82

8

section

10

Moon Road SW

-from Hwy 12 to

bridge

Thurston County

Thurston

0.3

Paved

4

2

X

8

section

15

Moon Road SW

- bridge #1

Thurston County

Thurston

0.038

Paved

4

2

X

Pg. 67

& 68

Pg. 69

& 70

Pg. 71

& 72

Pg. 73

& 74

Pg. 75

& 76

Pg. 75

& 76

Pg. 77

& 78

Pg. 79

& 80

Pg. 81

& 82

Chapter 4

Route Name

Ownership

County

Location

Functional

Class

Code

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

Makum Lane

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

X

Davis Drive

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

X

Petoie Lane

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

X

Parsons Drive

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

X

X

(route no.

5)

Fern Drive

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

Oak Lane

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

0

X

Tahown Drive

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.2

Paved

3

1

X

X

Lacamus Lane

Moon Road SW

-from School Land Rd. SW

to Hwy 12

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.1

Paved

3

1

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.2

Paved

4

2

X

Page 73

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

X

(rename route to Rt. 5

section 5)

X

X

X

X (rename route to

route 8 section 10,

change length from

1.1 to 0.3

X

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Pg. 81

& 82

Pg. 81

& 82

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 83

& 84

Pg. 85

& 86

Pg. 85

& 86

Route

No.

8

section

20

8

section

25

9

section

5

9

section

10

9

section

15

9

section

20

9

section

25

9

section

30

9

section

35

10

section

5

10

section

10

Chapter 4

Route Name

Moon Road SW

-from end of bridge

to gravel

Moon Road SW

-from gravel south

to end of road

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

Thurston County

Thurston

0.5

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.3

Gravel

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

2.4

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

.012

Paved

4

2

X

183 Ave SW – from end

of bridge to US 12

Thurston County

Thurston

1.4

Paved

4

2

X

183rd Ave SW – from

Forstrom St. SW to bridge

Thurston County

Thurston

.60

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

.004

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

.60

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.6

Paved

4

2

X

X

X (rename Route 10

section 5, change

length from 1.0 to 0.3,

construction need

change from 2 to 3)

rd

183 Ave SW – from Case

Road SW to bridge

rd

183 Ave SW –bridge #1

X

rd

rd

183 Ave SW – bridge #2

X

rd

183 Ave SW – from end

of bridge to Moon Rd. SW

183rd Ave SW – from

Moon Rd. SW to end of

road

188th Ave SW – from

Anderson Rd. to bridge #1

Thurston County

Thurston

0.3

Paved

4

2

X

188th Ave SW –

Bridge #1

Thurston County

Thurston

0.009

Paved

4

0

X

Page 74

X

(route no.

10)

X

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Route

No.

Pg. 85

& 86

10

section

15

Route Name

188 Ave SW

-from end of bridge

#1 to start of bridge

#2

Pg. 85

& 86

10

section

20

188 Ave SW

-bridge #2

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

th

Pg. 85

& 86

Pg. 85

& 86

Pg. 87

& 88

10

section

25

10

section

30

11

section

5

12

section

5

Pg. 87

& 88

12

section

10

Pg. 89

& 90

13

section

5

Chapter 4

Thurston County

Thurston

0.001

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.011

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.5

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.7

Paved

3

2

X

X

0.3

Earth

3

2

X

th

th

188 Ave SW

-from end of bridge #2 to

Moon Rd.

th

188 Ave SW – from

Forstrom St. SW to Marble

St. SW

River Road

Privately owned

Grays Harbor

X

X

(part of

route no.

5327,

section no.

820)

1

Pearson Road

Pearson Road

Secena Road

BIA

Grays Harbor

County

Privately owned

Grays Harbor

Grays Harbor

Grays Harbor

0.6

0.5

1

Gravel

Gravel

Gravel - Poor

3

3

3

Page 75

X

2

X (part of

route no.

5327,

section no.

820)

2

X (route

no. 5327,

section no.

810)

X

X

(rename Route 12

section 5, change

length from 1.1 to 0.6,

const. need changed

to 3)

X

(rename to Route 12

section 10, and const.

need change to 3)

X

(rename route no. to

Route 13, change

length from .5 to 1,

and ownership

changed from County

to Privately owned)

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Pg. 91

& 92

Route

No.

14

section

5

Pg. 93

& 94

14

section

10

14

section

15

14

section

20

14

section

25

14

section

30

14

section

35

14

section

40

15

section

5

Pg. 95

& 96

16

section

5

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Pg. 91

& 92

Chapter 4

Route Name

Anderson Road – from

Hwy 12 to start of

bridge #1

Anderson Road

- bridge #1

Anderson Road –from

end of bridge #1 to

Reservation boundary

Anderson Road – from

Reservation boundary

to start of bridge #2

Anderson Road

- bridge #2

Anderson Road –from

bridge #2 to start of

bridge #3

Anderson Road

- bridge #3

Anderson Road –from

end of bridge #3 to

end of road

Balch Road

Howanut Road

-from Anderson

Road to start of

bridge #1

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

X (route

no. 5327,

section no.

840)

X

(rename route to

Route 14 section 5,

change length from

1.5 to 0.2)

Thurston County

Thurston

0.20

Paved

4

0

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.02

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.10

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.20

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.006

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.2

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.016

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County,

Thurston

1

Paved

4

2

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

Grays Harbor

1.0

0.8

Paved

Paved

3

4

Page 76

2

2

X

X

X (route

5327,

sect. 850)

X (part of

route no.

5327,

section no.

880)

X

X

(rename route no. to

Route 15)

X

(rename route no. to

Route 16 section 5 in

IRR inventory )

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Route

No.

Pg. 95

& 96

16

section

10

Pg. 95

& 96

Pg. 95

& 96

Pg. 95

& 96

Pg. 95

& 96

Pg. 95

& 96

Pg. 95

& 96

16

section

15

16

section

20

16

section

25

16

section

30

16

section

35

16

section

40

Pg. 95

& 96

16

section

45

16

section

50

Pg. 95

& 96

16

section

55

Pg. 95

& 96

Chapter 4

Route Name

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

X (part of

route no.

5327,

section no.

880)

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

X(rename

route to Route 16

section 10 , change

length from 3.2 to 0.8)

Howanut Road

-bridge #1

Howanut Road

-from end of bridge

#1 to start of bridge

#2

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.009

Paved

4

2

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.6

Paved

4

2

X

Howanut Road

-bridge #2

Howanut Road

-from end of bridge

#2 to start of bridge

#3

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.031

Paved

4

2

X

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.4

Paved

4

2

X

X

Howanut Road

-bridge #3

Howanut Road

-from end of bridge

#3 to start of bridge

#4

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.005

Paved

4

2

X

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.2

Paved

4

2

X

X

Howanut Road

-bridge #4

Howanut Road

-from end of bridge

#4 to start of bridge

#5

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.005

Paved

4

2

X

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.5

Paved

4

2

X

X

Howanut Road

-bridge #5

Howanut Road

-from end of bridge

#5 to Reservation

boundary

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.039

Paved

4

2

X

X

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.5

Paved

4

2

X

X

Page 77

X

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Pg. 95

& 96

Route

No.

16

section

60

Route Name

Howanut Road – from

Reservation boundary to

Elma Gate Rd.

Ownership

County

Location

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

0.2

Paved

4

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

2

X

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

X (route

no. 5327,

section no.

870)

X ( route

no. 5327,

section no.

890)

X ( route

no. 5327,

section no.

830)

X ( route

no. 5327,

section no.

830)

X ( route

no. 5327,

section no.

860)

X

X

(rename route no. to

Route 17 in IRR

inventory)

X

(rename route no. to

Route 18 in IRR

inventory)

X

(rename route no. to

Route 19 in IRR

inventory)

X

(rename route no. to

Route 19 in IRR

inventory)

X(rename route to

Route 20 sec. 5, and

change length from

1.6 to 1.4)

Pg. 97

& 98

17

section

5

Fitzgerald Road

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.6

Gravel

3

2

X

Pg. 99

& 100

18

section

5

Niederman Road

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.9

Paved

3

2

X

Pg. 101

& 102

19

section

5

Cemetery Road – from

Elma Gate Rd. to

Reservation boundary

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.5

Paved

3

2

X

Pg. 101

& 102

19

section

10

Cemetery Road – from

Reservation boundary to

South Bank Road

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.3

Paved

3

2

X

20

section

5

20

section

10

21

section

5

22

section

5

23

section

5

23

section

10

South Bank Road

-from Fairview Street

to start of bridge

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

1.4

Paved

4

2

X

South Bank Road

-bridge

Grays Harbor

County

Grays Harbor

0.204

Paved

4

2

X

X

Prairie Lane

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.2

Paved

3

0

X

X

Tomahawk Drive

Albany Street - from

School Land Road SW to

Hwy 12

BIA

Grays Harbor

0.2

Gravel

3

1

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.3

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.2

Paved

4

2

X

X

Pg. 103

& 104

Pg. 103

& 104

Pg. 105

& 106

Pg. 107

& 108

Pg. 109

& 110

Pg. 109

& 110

Chapter 4

Albany Street – From Hwy

th

12 to 185 St. SW

Page 78

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Pg. 111

& 112

Pg. 111

& 112

Pg. 111

& 112

Pg. 113

& 114

Pg. 113

& 114

Pg. 113

& 114

Pg. 115

& 116

Pg. 115

& 116

Pg. 115

& 116

Pg. 117

& 118

Pg. 117

& 118

Pg. 117

& 118

Route

No.

24

section

5

24

section

10

24

section

15

25

section

5

25

section

10

25

section

15

Route Name

Marble Street - from

Albany Street to bridge

Marble Street - bridge

Marble Street – From end

of bridge to Independence

Road

Independence Road –

from Marble Street SW to

start of bridge

Independence Road –

bridge

Independence Road –

from end of bridge to Tribal

Trust Property

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

Thurston County

Thurston

0.4

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

.004

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.4

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.8

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.082

Paved

4

2

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

1.8

Paved

4

2

X

X

26

section

5

Old Hwy 99 - from State

Hwy to start of bridge

Thurston County

Thurston

0.4

Paved

2

2

X

X

26

section

10

Old Hwy 99 - bridge

Thurston County

Thurston

0.008

Paved

2

2

X

X

Old Hwy 99 – from bridge

to tribal trust property

Thurston County

Thurston

0.8

Paved

2

2

X

X

Case Road SW - north to

start of bridge

Thurston County

Thurston

0.6

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

0.09

Paved

4

0

X

X

Thurston County

Thurston

1

Paved

4

0

X

X

26

section

15

27

section

5

27

section

10

27

section

15

Chapter 4

Case Road SW - bridge

Case Road SW - from

end of bridge to tribal trust

property

Page 79

Chehalis Reservation Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan

Map

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Pg. 119

& 120

Route

No.

28

section

5

28

section

10

28

section

15

28

section

20

28

section

25

28

section

30

28

section

35

28

section

40

28

section

45

28

section

50

28

section

55

28

section

60

28

section

65

Chapter 4

Route Name

Ownership

County

Location

Length

(miles)

Surface

Type

Functional

Class

Code

Construction

Need

2005

Tribal

Inventory

1999

Official

Status in

BIA IRR

Inventory

2006 Proposed

Additions and

Revisions to BIA

IRR Inventory

State Route 12 - I-5

overcrossing (bridge #1)

WSDOT

Thurston

0.04

Paved

1

2

X

X

State Route 12 – RR

overcrossing (bri

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