Compact Over-Order Price Regulation

Federal RegisterNov 25, 1997

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SUMMARY: This rule extends the present compact over-order price

regulation (``price regulation'') for all Class I, fluid milk route

distributions in the territorial region of the six New England states

beyond its present expiration date of December 31, 1997. The rule

extends the price regulation for the period January 1, 1998 through

termination of the Compact enabling legislation.1 The

regulation is established in the combined, Federal Milk Market Order #1

and compact over-order, amount of $16.94 (Zone 1).

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\1\ 7 U.S.C. 7256(3) ``Consent for the Northeast Interstate

Dairy Compact shall terminate concurrent with the Secretary's

implementation of the dairy pricing and Federal milk marketing order

consolidation and reforms under section 7203 of this title.''

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In so extending the price regulation, the Northeast Dairy Compact

Commission (``Compact Commission'') reaffirms and again bases the

decision on its findings that such price regulation is necessary to

assure the viability of dairy farming in New England, that it is

necessary to assure the region's consumers of a continued, adequate,

local supply of fresh and wholesome milk, reasonably priced, and that

it is otherwise in the public interest. The Compact Commission also

establishes the price regulation based on the finding that the

regulation has been approved by producer referendum pursuant to Article

V, section 13 of the Northeast Interstate Dairy Compact. Notice of

approval by referendum is published separately in this Federal

Register.

This rule also establishes a Task Force under Article VII. D. of

the Compact Commission's Bylaws to determine whether it is appropriate

to provide similar reimbursement to the region's School Lunch Programs,

established under the National School Lunch Act of 1946 and the Child

Nutrition Act of 1966 for any adverse financial impact. The Task Force

is to report back on its assessment of whether it is appropriate to

reimburse the programs and, if so, to recommend a procedure for

reimbursement to the Compact Commission at its regularly scheduled

meeting for February, 1998.

Finally, the price regulation extends the administrative assessment

of 3.2 cents per hundredweight of milk on all route dispositions of

Class I, fluid milk in the territorial region of the six New England

states. It is noted that the additional, start-up assessment of

approximately 1.3 cents per hundredweight presently imposed will expire

with final payment in December, 1997.

EFFECTIVE DATE: January 1, 1998.

ADDRESSES: Northeast Dairy Compact Commission, 43 State Street, P.O.

Box 1058, Montpelier, VT 05601.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Daniel Smith, Executive Director,

Northeast Dairy Compact Commission at the above address or by telephone

at (802) 229-1941 or by facsimile at (802) 229-2028.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

The Compact Commission was established under authority of the

Northeast Interstate Dairy Compact (``Compact''). The Compact was

enacted into law by each of the six participating New England states as

follows: Connecticut--Public Law 93-320; Maine--Public Law 89-437, as

amended, Public Law 93-274; Massachusetts--Public Law 93-370; New

Hampshire--Public Law 93-336; Rhode Island--Public Law 93-106;

Vermont--Public Law 89-95, as amended, 93-57. Consistent with Article

I, Section 10 of the United States Constitution, Congress consented to

the Compact in Public Law 104-127 (FAIR ACT), Section 147, codified at

7 U.S.C. 7256. Subsequently, the United States Secretary of

Agriculture, pursuant to 7 U.S.C. 7256(1), authorized implementation of

the Compact.

Section 8 of the Compact empowers the Compact Commission to engage

in a broad range of activities designed to ``promote regulatory

uniformity, simplicity and interstate cooperation.'' For example, the

Compact authorizes the Compact Commission to engage in a range of

inquiries into the existing milk programs of both the participating

states and the federal milk marketing system, to make recommendations

to participating states, and to work to improve industry relations as a

whole. See Compact, Art. IV, section 8.

In addition to the powers conferred by Section 8, the Compact also

authorizes the Compact Commission to consider adopting a compact over-

order price regulation. See Compact, Art. IV, section 9. A ``compact

over-order price'' is defined as:

A minimum price required to be paid to producers for Class I

milk established by the Commission in regulations adopted pursuant

to sections nine and ten of this compact, which is above the price

established in federal marketing orders or by state farm price

regulation in the regulated area. Such price may apply throughout

the region or in any part or parts thereof as defined in the

regulations of the commission.

See Compact, Art. II, section 2(8).

The regulated price authorized by the Compact is actually an

incremental amount above, or ``over-order'' the minimum price for the

same milk established by Federal Milk Market Order #1. The price

regulation establishes the minimum procurement price to be paid by

fluid milk processors for milk that is ultimately utilized for fluid

milk consumption in the New England region.2 Price

regulation also provides for payment of a uniform ``over-order'' price,

out of the proceeds of the price regulation, to all dairy farmers

making up the New England milkshed regardless of the utilization of

their milk.3 See Compact, Art. IV, section 9 (``The

Commission is hereby empowered to establish the minimum price for milk

to be paid by pool plants, partially regulated plants and all other

handlers receiving milk from producers located in a regulated area.''.)

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\2\ 7 CFR 1305.2.

\3\ 7 CFR 1307.4.

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Section 11 of the Compact delineates the administrative procedure

the Compact Commission must follow in deciding whether to adopt a price

regulation:

Before promulgation of any regulations establishing a compact

over-order price or commission marketing order, including any

provision with respect to milk supply under subsection 9(f), or

amendment thereof, as provided in Article IV, the commission shall

conduct an informal rulemaking proceeding to provide interested

persons with an opportunity to present data and views. Such

rulemaking proceeding shall be governed by section four of the

Federal Administrative Procedures Act, as amended (5 U.S.C. 553). In

addition, the commission shall, to the extent practicable, publish

notice of rulemaking proceedings in the official register of each

participating state. Before the initial adoption of regulations

establishing a compact over-order price or a commission marketing

order and thereafter before any amendment with regard to prices or

assessments, the commission shall hold a public hearing. The

Commission may commence a rulemaking proceeding on its own

initiative or may in its sole discretion act upon the petition of

any person including individual milk producers, any organization of

milk producers or handlers, general farm organizations, consumer or

public interest groups, and local, state or federal officials.

Section 12(a) of the Compact directs the Commission to make four

findings of fact before an over-order price

[[Page 62811]]

regulation can become effective. Specifically, the Commission shall

make findings of fact with respect to:

(1) Whether the public interest will be served by the

establishment of minimum milk prices to dairy farmers under Article

IV.

(2) What level of prices will assure that producers receive a

price sufficient to cover their costs of production and will elicit

an adequate supply of milk for the inhabitants of the regulated area

and for manufacturing purposes.4

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\4\ The Commission limited its assessment to issues relating to

the fluid milk market, given the limitations on its authority to

regulate the price of milk used for manufacturing purposes. See

Compact, Section 9(a); see also 7 U.S.C. 7256(2).

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(3) Whether the major provisions of the order, other than those

fixing minimum milk prices, are in the public interest and are

reasonably designed to achieve the purposes of the order.

(4) Whether the terms of the proposed regional order or

amendment are approved by producers as provided in section thirteen.

Compact, Art. V. Section 12.

Pursuant to Section 11 of the Compact, the Compact Commission

initiated a rulemaking procedure in December, 1996.5 The

rulemaking culminated on May 30, 1997 with the issuance of a final rule

establishing a compact over-order price regulation for the period July

1-December 31, 1997.6

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\5\ The Commission issued a notice of Hearing on December 13,

1996 at 61 FR 65604 and held public hearings on December 17 and 19,

1996. The Notice also invited the public to submit written comments

through January 2, 1997. Following the close of this comment period,

the Commission met on January 16, 1997 and established three working

groups to consider the testimony and data submitted. The Commission

issued a Notice of Additional Comment Period on March 14, 1997. 62

FR 12252. This comment period closed on March 31, 1997; the reply

comment period closed April 9, 1997. Based on the testimony and

comment received, the Compact Commission issued a proposed rule on

April 28, 1997 to adopt price regulation. 62 FR 23032. As part of

the proposed rule, the Commission published for comment technical

regulations to be codified at 7 CFR Section 1300, et seq. Minor

corrections to the proposed rule were published on May 8, 1997, 62

FR 25140, to provide clarification and to correct errors. The

Compact Commission received additional comment in response to the

proposed rule issued April 28, 1997.

\6\ 62 FR 29626 (May 30, 1997).

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On September 8, 1997, the Compact Commission issued notice of

proposed rulemaking to consider whether to extend the price regulation

beyond the present December 31, 1997 expiration date.7 The

technical provisions of the price regulation established by final rule

of May 30, 1997 and as codified at 7 CFR Chapter 1300, and the summary

and analysis of the rule, were issued as a proposed rule in the

September 8, 1997 notice of rulemaking, with the further proposals that

the regulation be extended for one year and that it be amended

generally. Pursuant to Compact, Art. IV, Section 11, the Compact

Commission held a public hearing on September 24, 1997 on the proposed

rule, and accepted written comment pursuant to its bylaws until October

8, 1997.

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\7\ 62 FR 47156 (September 8, 1997).

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Based on the oral and written comment received, and upon the

reasoning set forth in its previous proposed and final rules, the

Compact Commission hereby extends the present price regulation for the

period January 1, 1998 through termination of the Compact enabling

legislation. As explained below, the amount of the price regulation

remains unchanged at $16.94. As also explained below, the technical

regulation, as codified at 7 CFR Chapter 13 [Secs. 1301.11(b),

1304.5(a), 1305.1, 1306.1, 1306.2, 1306.3(b) through (f), 1307.1,

1307.2, and 1307.4(f)], is amended in certain instances.

Immediately following is a summary analysis and response to the

comment received during the present rulemaking procedure. A more

detailed review and response follows, organized around the finding

analysis required by Section 12 of the Compact. This analysis also

summarizes and incorporates the relevant reasoning developed in the

previous rulemaking. The analysis also identifies and describes any

amendments to the price regulation made as part of this final rule.

I. Summary Analysis of Comments Received in Response to the Proposed

Rule and Compact Commission's Response

Oral and written comment received in the September 24, 1997 hearing

and additional written comments received by the Compact Commission's

published deadline of October 8, 1997 were duly considered by the

Compact Commission. The Compact Commission met on October 23, 1997 to

consider and act on the comment received. Public notice of this meeting

was published on October 16, 1997 in the Federal Register. 62 FR 53769.

Eighty-nine separate comments were received during the hearing and

written comment period. Of the total commenters, five expressed

opposition to the regulation's extension and eighty-four expressed

support for its extension.

The five commenters expressing opposition to the regulation's

extension include an economist for Public Voice for Food and Health

Policy, a public interest group based in Washington, DC, and four

representatives of Massachusetts ACORN, a low income community advocacy

group in Dorchester, MA. These commenters expressed concern primarily

with the regulation's impact on low income consumers in the New England

region.

The Compact Commission recognizes and acknowledges the concerns

raised by these opposing commenters. As explained in greater detail in

the subsequent analysis, one of the central reasons the Compact

Commission adopted its initial regulation for the limited period of six

months on May 30, 1997 was to ensure close monitoring of the

regulation's impact on consumers, including low income consumers. See

62 FR 29638. This careful scrutiny is derived from the finding analysis

and inquiry into the public interest in milk price regulation which the

Compact Commission must make under the Compact, and which is concerned

with, among other issues, the impact of price regulation upon

consumers, including low income consumers.

While accentuating the need for continued, careful scrutiny, the

commenters have not established that the price regulation is causing

such anomalous market distortions of the retail market as to justify

elimination of price regulation. When viewed in the context of, and

balanced with, the comments presented in support of continuing the

regulation, along with the reasoning derived from the prior rulemaking,

the Compact Commission concludes the interests of consumers in a stable

milk supply and, ultimately, stabilized prices, will continue to be

served by extending the price regulation.

Fifty-four of the eighty-four commenters expressing support for

extension of the regulation were dairy farmers. Other commenters

expressing support for extension include representatives of dairy

farmer cooperatives, farm credit agencies, banks, dairy processors,

dairy feed and fertilizer suppliers, Farm Bureaus, farm machinery

dealers, New England state WIC Programs, New England state Departments

of Agriculture, a state legislator, a large animal veterinarian, and a

consumer.

These commenters, farmers and others alike, expressed support for

extending the regulation for periods of varying duration. The broad

majority supported extension through the termination of the Compact

Commission's authority to establish an over-order price regulation

under the Congressional Consent to the Compact.8 The

supporting comment also was mixed with regard to whether the amount of

the over-order price should be kept at the same rate or increased, and,

if increased, at what rate. Most of

[[Page 62812]]

the comment supported an increase reflecting the increase in the

Consumer Price Index. Finally, a number of the commenters recommended

certain amendments to the technical codified price regulation.

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\8\ 7 U.S.C. 7256(3).

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In view of these amendments suggested by the commenters, the

Compact Commission notes that, in addition to allowing for close review

of the regulation's impact on the retail market, the limited, six month

duration of the initial price regulation was also established to ensure

close scrutiny of the regulation's impact on the overall fluid milk

marketplace. As with review of the impact on the retail market, this

overall assessment is necessary to determine whether the price

regulation has caused such market distortions as to require its

discontinuation, or whether its extension will continue to serve the

public interest.

As explained in detail below, the Compact Commission concludes from

this rulemaking process that the public interest is best served by the

regulation's extension from January 1, 1998 through termination of the

Compact enabling legislation. Accounting for the concerns of the

commenters, the Compact Commission concludes the public interest,

including those of low income consumers, will be better served by

extending the price regulation so as to establish stable prices across

the wholesale and retail markets in New England for the continuous

period July 1, 1997 through termination of the Compact enabling

legislation. The Commission concludes that close scrutiny of the

regulation's impact must continue and, accordingly, schedules

subsequent rulemaking with review of all relevant issues to be

commenced, pursuant to Section 11 of the Compact, no later than July 1,

1998.

The comments received, with regard to the significant concerns and

relative positions on the critical issues invoked by the finding

analysis mandated by Section 12(a) of the Compact, are now addressed in

detail.

II. Summary and Further Explanation of Findings Regarding Adoption of

Over-order Price

As noted above, Section 12(a) of the Compact directs the Commission

to make four findings of fact before an over-order price regulation can

become effective. The issues relating to the first three topics

(excluding the referendum procedure) were exhaustively reviewed in the

Compact Commission's initial proposed rule. The Compact Commission's

findings on these topics, based on that analysis, were reaffirmed with

further discussion in the subsequently adopted final rule on May 30,

1997, which rule served as the proposed rule in the present rulemaking

process. The analysis of these issues contained in the previous

proposed and final rules is again reaffirmed, subject to the further

discussion contained here.

As in the previous rulemaking, the second finding required by the

Compact (the level of prices needed to assure a sufficient price to

producers and an adequate supply of milk) is discussed initially. The

Compact Commission finds that a price of $16.94 per hundredweight

continues to be needed to achieve these dual goals. The first finding

required by the Compact (whether the public interest will be served by

the establishment of minimum milk prices) is then discussed. The

Compact Commission further finds that the public interest will be

served by an over-order price regulation in the amount of $16.94 to

extend from January 1, 1998 through termination of the Compact enabling

legislation.

With respect to both of these findings, the Compact Commission's

inquiry has been guided by Section 9(e) of the Compact, which sets

forth several factors which the Compact Commission must consider during

the hearing process to determine whether to adopt and if so, the amount

of, an over-order price:

In determining the price, the commission shall consider the

balance between production and consumption of milk and milk products

in the regulated area, the costs of production, including, but not

limited to the price of feed, the cost of labor including the

reasonable value of the producer's own labor and management,

machinery expense, and interest expense, the prevailing price for

milk outside the regulated area, the purchasing power of the public

and the price necessary to yield a reasonable return to the producer

and the distributor.

The third finding required by the Compact is then discussed; the

Compact Commission concludes that the major provisions of this order,

other than those establishing minimum milk prices, are in the public

interest and reasonably designed to achieve the purposes of the order.

The fourth required finding is whether the terms of the proposed

order have been approved by producer referendum, pursuant to Article

IV, section 12 of the Compact. In this final rule, the Compact

Commission makes this finding premised upon certification of such

approval, published separately in this Federal Register. The procedure

for such certification is set forth infra in the section of this rule

addressing the fourth finding.

A. What Level of Prices Will Assure That Producers Receive a Price

Sufficient To Cover Their Costs of Production and Elicit an Adequate

Local Supply of Milk

As one of the four underlying findings required for the

establishment of price regulation, the Compact Commission must

determine:

(2) What level of prices will assure that producers receive a

price sufficient to cover their costs of production and will elicit

an adequate supply of milk for the inhabitants of the regulated area

and for manufacturing purposes.9

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\9\ The Commission limited its assessment to issues relating to

the fluid milk market, given the limitations on its authority to

regulate the price of milk used for manufacturing purposes. See

Compact, Sec. 9(a); see also 7 U.S.C. section 7256(2). At the same

time, for purposes of this analysis, it must be recognized that the

present supply needs for manufacturing purposes are not available

for fluid usage.

Compact Art. V, section 12(a)(2).

As in the prior rulemaking, the Compact Commission's deliberations

regarding the level of price required to cover costs of production

focused again on the variety of cost inputs identified in Section 9(e)

of the Compact. With regard to the price needed to elicit an adequate

local supply of milk, the Compact Commission reviewed the nature of the

balance of production and consumption in the region, as also called for

by Section 9(e) of the Compact.10 This required review again

prompts assessment of the degree to which farm prices have been

insufficient to cover costs of production over time (``price

insufficiency''), and the degree to which such insufficiency has

affected the balance of production and consumption in the region.

Assessment of this issue also required consideration of the wide swings

over time in farmer pay prices under federal regulation, which have

caused farm financial stress and made it difficult for farmers to plan

financially (``price instability''), and the failure of farmer pay

prices to keep up with inflation.

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\10\ This assessment was presented under the second, broader

public interest analysis in the first rulemaking procedure.

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Farmer Costs of Production

The Compact Commission's inquiry with regard to whether prices are

sufficient to cover the cost of production was guided by Section 9(e)

of the Compact, which directs the Commission to consider cash costs of

production, including feed, machinery expense, labor, and interest, as

well as the non-cash costs of value for the farmer's own labor and a

reasonable return on the farmer's investment.

With regard to the various specific components of cash and non-cash

costs

[[Page 62813]]

reviewed under Section 9(e) of the Compact, the Compact Commission

determined in the previous rulemaking that feed costs are a significant

production cost component. The Commission found that feed costs can

account for as much as 50 percent of a farmer's cost of production. 62

FR 23034. Farmers indicated that feed costs had risen beyond their

means. In 1996, in particular, feed costs increased by some 29 percent.

62 FR 29633.11

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\11\ In addition, a cost-of-production study conducted by

Wackernagel and relied upon by the Commission (62 FR 23034)

indicated that feed and crop expenses together can account for some

39% of a farmer's cash operating expenses.

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According to the comment received in the present rulemaking, feed

costs continue to account for a significant portion of cost of

production. A Vermont dairy farmer indicated that the ratio of

purchased grain cost to the value of milk produced for his farm has

normally been 20% but that, since January of 1997, it has averaged 32%.

De Geus and Gillmeister, in their joint submission,12 report

that the Economic Research Service (ERS) of the USDA indicate that

feeds account for as much as 50% of the cash expenses for milk

production in 1996. They also report that feed prices are down this

year relative to 1996 but remain historically high. They rely on the

ERS September 1997 Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Monthly

Report,13 as well as the recent farm experience in New

England, to conclude that high grain and high hay prices will raise

this year's production costs higher, but not as high as last year's

level.

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\12\ Reenie De Geus and William Gillmeister, Dairy Economists

for the Vermont and Massachusetts Departments of Agriculture,

Written comment, (``WC''), October 8, 1997.

\13\ The Report describes the current national situation to be:

``Forage supplies will be of mediocre quality and high priced, even

though the silage crop looks promising in most areas. Milk-feed

price ratios will be at levels normally associated with conservative

concentrate feeding and below-trend growth in milk per cow.''

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De Geus, in a separate submission,14 indicates that

Vermont feed costs are expected to remain high because of flooding in

northern Vermont and drought conditions in southern Vermont, parts of

New York, and much of the rest of New England.15 A dairy

farmer from Connecticut reported that, since last September, his grain

costs had increased approximately 8%.16 Other commenters

noted that the increase in grain prices they are experiencing is

creating an imbalance between their production costs and farm price for

milk.17

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\14\ Reenie De Geus, WC, October 8, 1997.

\15\ Vermont dairy farmers reiterated this point in their

submissions. Paul Doten, Harvey T. Smith, WC, October 8, 1997.

\16\ David Jaquier, Dairy Farmer, East Canaan, CT, Public

Hearing (``PH'') at p.134, September 14, 1997.

\17\ Walter Fletcher, Donna Caverly, Richard Woodger, Maine

Dairy Farmers, WC, October 8, 1997.

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Machinery expense as a factor in the cost of production arises

primarily in the context of depreciation; that is, depreciation must be

covered by replacing old and worn out equipment. See 62 FR 29633. As in

the prior rulemaking, farmers again indicated that pay prices are too

low to permit them to make these investments.18 Claude and

Jeanne Bourbeau indicated that that ``[their] debt load has increased

in the past year due to depreciation of farm equipment. Money is needed

to replace equipment and the milk check does not provide adequate funds

to replace this equipment.'' 19 Another farmer indicated

that it doesn't make sense to invest in new equipment because it would

just add to his debt load and increase his monthly

payments.20 Both Wesley Snow of Brookfield, Vermont and

Robert Dow of Dover, Maine indicated that the increase in equipment

costs since they purchased their current equipment makes replacement

impossible, given their current milk price.21

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\18\ See 62 FR 29633. Economist Reenie De Geus noted in record

testimony that expenditures on machinery and other depreciation

expenses tend to rise in the good years and are delayed in the bad

years. Reenie De Geus, WC 75.

\19\ Claude and Jeanne Bourbeau, Dairy Farmers, Swanton,

Vermont, WC, October 8, 1997.

\20\ David Hinsworth, Dairy Farmer, Royalton, Vermont, WC,

October 8, 1997.

\21\ WC, October 8, 1997.

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Section 9(e) also directs the Compact Commission to consider

interest and labor costs in assessing the sufficiency of farmer pay

prices. (Measurement of these components of costs of production, in

particular, provide for much of the variability in the range of cost of

production noted below.) In the previous rulemaking, the Compact

Commission determined that both interest and non-family labor expenses

constitute a significant proportion of costs of production: from $0.50

to $1.18 per hundredweight for interest expenses, and $1.08 to $1.92

per hundredweight for labor expenses. 62 FR 29633.22

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\22\ See: Wackernagel, which analyzed Agrifax and ELFAC farms

over a 3-year period; Maine cost-of-production studies; and Pelsue

and ERS-USDA studies submitted by Smith.

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Section 9(e) also directs the Compact Commission to consider

certain non-cash costs, including a reasonable value for the farmer's

own labor and a reasonable return on the farmer's investment. In

considering whether pay prices provide a reasonable value for the

farmer's labor, the Compact Commission previously determined that dairy

farms in New England are still predominately family operated, and, that

in light of farmer pay prices, much of this family labor is completely

uncompensated, or significantly undercompensated. Id. The Commission

concluded that this failure to compensate for family labor discourages

entry into the dairy industry. See 62 FR at 23035.

Comment received in this rulemaking again supports this

determination. A number of commenters indicated that they were

experiencing difficulty in hiring labor at rates they were able to

pay.23 One dairy farmer indicated that he must pay his hired

help more than he pays himself.24

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\23\ Lester Bailey, Robert L. Foster, and Claude and Jeanne

Bourbeau, Dairy Farmers, WC, October 8, 1997.

\24\ Onan Whitcomb, Williston, Vt., WC, October 8, 1997.

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Allaire Palmer reports that his ``family employees have not had a

raise in four years and work for six dollars per hour. Rent is

furnished because employees are required to be available twenty-four

hours per day.'' 25 Two dairy farmers testified that their

children and grandchildren were not interested in continuing the family

tradition of farming because of the long hours and short

profit.26 On the basis of the record, the Compact Commission

finds that current pay prices continue to discourage family entry into

dairy farming because they fail to offer reasonable value for the

farmer's labor.

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\25\ Allaire P. Palmer, Dairy Farmer, Cornish, Maine, WC,

October 8, 1997.

\26\ Douglas Carlson, Dairy Farmer, Canaan, CT, and Dale Lewis,

Dairy Farmer, Haverill, NH, PH at p. 99 and p. 140, respectively,

September 24, 1997.

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With regard to whether pay prices provide a reasonable return on

the farmer's investment, the Compact Commission noted several comments

received in the previous rulemaking indicating that a reasonable return

ranges between 4% and 5%.27 The Commission determined that,

for an extended period of time, pay prices have been insufficient to

provide a rate of return on equity that reaches these levels. 62 FR

29633.

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\27\ Robert A. Smith of the Yankee Farm Credit System suggested

a 4% rate of return was reasonable in his testimony at the September

24, 1997 PH and in his comments submitted in the previous rulemaking

in April, 1997. 62 FR 23033. The Maine cost-of-production studies,

which analyze southern New England, used a 5% return on equity. Id.

at 23034. In addition, Michael Sciabarrasi of University of New

Hampshire Cooperative Extension Service, suggested that 5% was a

minimal rate of return. Id.

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Comment received from farmers in the present rulemaking again

highlighted the impact of these

[[Page 62814]]

expenses upon their costs of production and the failure of pay prices

to cover them completely. A number of commenters pointed out that

failure of pay prices to cover their costs of production left them with

no return on their investment.28 Douglas Carlson pointed out

in his testimony that because of the large number of recent farm

foreclosures, auctions are not bringing a reasonable return on the

original investment, reflecting a lower general value of farm capital

investments.29 The Compact Commission, therefore, reaffirms

the determination that pay prices are insufficient to provide a rate of

return on equity that reaches a reasonable range between 4% and 5%.

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\28\ Allaine Palmer, David Bradshaw, Rosemarie Jeleniewski,

Harold Larrabee, and Roger Scott, Dairy Farmers, WC, October 8,

1997.

\29\ Douglas Carlson, PH at p. 102.

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This survey of various cost inputs of under Section 9(e) of the

Compact underscores the pressure farmers operate under with regard to

the inability of pay prices to cover costs of production. With regard

to identifying overall costs of production, as determined by the

previous rulemaking, numerous studies provide a variety of

estimates.30 While based on different methods for

determining costs of production, particularly with respect to non-cash

costs, these studies provide the basis for making the overall

assessment of price needed to cover cost of production, as required by

the Compact. In the previous rulemaking, based on a comprehensive

assessment of a number of studies, the Compact Commission concluded

that the range of the costs of production for New England is somewhere

between $14.06 and $16.46. Id.

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\30\ 62 FR 29632-33.

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The Compact Commission received additional comment on the measure

of overall cost of production in the present rulemaking from a number

of commenters. Robert A. Smith of Northeast Farm Credit Associations

again reported that, on the basis of a report prepared by Farm Credit

Partners surveying farms in New England, New York and Pennsylvania, the

costs of production for the region were $14.25/cwt. for 1995 and

$15.00/cwt. for 1996. When adjusted for a 4% return on equity, these

costs become $15.37/cwt. for 1995 and $16.02/cwt. for

1996.31 The cost figures for New England were the same as

for the larger region as a whole.32

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\31\ Robert A. Smith, Manager of Public Affairs and Regional

Council Relations, CoBank and Northeast Farm Credit Associations, PH

at p. 75, September 24, 1997.

\32\ Id.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Reenie De Geus, Vermont's Department of Agriculture, Food and

Market dairy economist, reported that the average costs of production

for Vermont farms in the Farm Credit Partners survey was $14.06/cwt.

for 1995 and $15.32/cwt. for 1996, up 9%.33 For that six

year period, 1991 to 1996, the average cost of production for these

Vermont farms is $14.65/cwt. with only a 3% return on

equity.34 A representative of a dairy processor testified

that the cost of production is in the range of $13.50/cwt. to $14.00/

cwt.35 Comment from individual farmers indicated a range for

their costs of production from $12.66/cwt. to $17.95/cwt.36

for an average among them of $14.65/cwt.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\33\ De Geus, WC.

\34\ Id.

\35\ Gary Warren, Vice-President, Fairdale Farms, Bennington,

VT, PH at p. 124, September, 24, 1997.

\36\ Ivar Green, Allaire Palmer, David Bradshaw, Claude and

Jeanne Bourbeau, and Neal Rea, WC, October 8, 1997; Ed Platt, PH,

September 24, 1997. It is to be noted that some of their estimates

include a return on equity and while others do not.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Combined with the analysis conducted during the prior rulemaking,

the Compact Commission determines in this rule that the cost of

production remains in the range of $14.06/cwt. to $16.46/

cwt.37 Acccordingly, the Commission concludes that an

overall combined pay price 38 in this range is necessary

``to assure that producers receive a price sufficient to cover their

costs of production'' within the meaning of the finding analysis

required by Section 12(a) of the Compact.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\37\ The Commission notes that it is in process of conducting

the comprehensive cost of production study authorized by its

previous final rule. See 62 FR29632. One commenter (Gillmeister)

argues for a division of the proceeds of price regulation based upon

a presentation of varying costs of production among the New England

states and New York. The Commission declines to adopt the approach

of this commenter as premature, given that the Commission has just

undertaken its study process to determine costs of production in the

states and the region.

\38\ This combined price reflects the federal Market Order #1

blend price plus the Compact over-order producer price. For a more

complete discussion of the components of the actual pay or ``mail

box'' price paid to farmers see 62 FR 23037.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

In the prior rulemaking, the Compact Commission concluded that an

over-order pay price in the range of $0.46-$1.90 was necessary to bring

farmer pay prices up to the level necessary to cover cost of

production. See 62 FR 29633 (Final Rule); 62 FR 23040-41 (Proposed

Rule). Assuming Class I utilization of 50 percent, this means that

price regulation in the amounts of $0.92-$3.80 would be necessary to

achieve the necessary range of over-order payment.

Elicitation of an Adequate Local Supply of Milk

The required finding with regard to pay price accounts for the

broader assessment of the level needed to elicit an adequate supply of

milk, in addition to the relatively discrete assessment of the level

needed to cover cost of production. In the prior rulemaking, the

Compact Commission determined that the Compact Sec. 9(e) scrutiny of

the balance of production and consumption of fluid, or beverage milk,

in the region is critical to this additional assessment. See 62 FR

29634-35.

The Compact Commission determined that production and consumption

is presently in balance, but in a balance of pronounced and

unsustainable stress that must be alleviated. 62 FR 23040. The Compact

Commission concluded that overall milk production was in decline in the

New England region and in the portion of New York State which has

traditionally been a supplemental part of the New England milkshed. 62

FR 23039-40. The Compact Commission also found that supplies of milk

are being transported increasing distances from the region's population

centers and associated processing plants. 62 FR 23040. While over fifty

percent of the milk produced in the New England milkshed is presently

utilized in a variety of manufactured dairy products, the Compact

Commission concluded that substitution of such milk cannot be relied

upon to provide an alternative supply for fluid utilization purposes.

62 FR 23039. In sum, the Compact Commission concluded that the balance

of production and consumption in the region depended on at least

stabilizing, if not increasing, the present, local supply through price

regulation. 62 FR 23040.

Assessment of how to alleviate the stress on the region's supply of

milk through price regulation requires consideration of how best to

alleviate the stress under which producers operate. This inquiry

naturally reverts back to the issue of the degree to which farmer pay

prices are not sufficient to cover costs of production. In addition, as

previously determined, the review leads the Compact Commission to

conclude that the nature of the persistently unstable farmer pay prices

and the degree to which farmer prices have failed to keep pace with

inflation are also structural factors of stress.

Price Insufficiency

As noted above, the Compact Commission's comprehensive review in

the prior rulemaking of the various cost inputs and the variety of

studies of

[[Page 62815]]

overall cost of production provided the basis for the Compact

Commission to determine the amount and degree to which farmer pay

prices were not sufficient to cover costs of production. 62 FR 29633.

Based on its review of the studies, overall, the Compact Commission

concluded that costs of production have exceeded the farm pay price by

an amount in the range of $0.46-$1.90. Id.

As also noted above, the newly received data, in combination with

the previous analysis, leads the Compact Commission again to conclude

that farmer pay prices are failing to cover costs of production and

that there is a continuing need for an over-order price that results in

farmer pay prices in the range of $0.46 to $1.90.

Failure of Farmer Pay Prices To Keep Up With Inflation

The Compact Commission determined in the prior rulemaking that the

failure of farmer pay prices to keep up with inflation was a

significant factor contributing to chronic price insufficiency and farm

financial stress. 62 FR 29633-64. For this reason, the Compact

Commission adopted the joint proposal of Reenie De Geus and William

Gillmeister, dairy economists for the Vermont and Massachusetts

Departments of Agriculture, respectively, to establish an over-order

price regulation based, in part, on an inflation

adjustment.39

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\39\ Their joint submission in this rulemaking, however, argues

against using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as a structural

adjustment to the Compact over-order price because the dairy

farmer's costs of production are driven by factors other than those

measured by the CPI, such as the cost of grain. The Commission

concludes that the CPI is not a perfect fit for systemic cost

increases on the farm.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Comment received in the present rulemaking did not focus on the

issue of the chronic, structural failure of prices to keep up with

inflation to the same degree as in the prior rulemaking. This is

perhaps a result of the fact that the price regulation adopted as part

of the prior rulemaking was premised, in part, on a structural

adjustment for inflation. In any event, the Commission remains mindful

that the relationship between farmer pay prices and inflation remains a

critical concern. Certainly, the comment received supports this

determination.40

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\40\ Robert Wellington, Sr. Vice-President, AgriMark

Cooperative, WC, October 8, 1997; Lee and Charlotte Bosworth,

Auburn, ME; Mary Connolly, Pittsfield, ME; Alaine Palmer, Cornish,

ME; Pery and Carol Hogden, Randolph, VT; David Hansen, North

Brookfield, MA; Edward A. Ellis, Hebron, CT; Wesley and Brenda Snow,

Brookfield, VT; Robert Dow, Dover, ME; Lowell J. Davenport Jr.,

Ancramdale, NY; Dairy Farmers, WC, October 8, 1997.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission also remains mindful, however, of the

concern expressed by several commenters in the prior rulemaking (62 FR

29634) and a comment submitted in this rulemaking 41 that an

inflation adjustment not be built in as a permanent, automatic

adjustment.42 The Compact Commission's determination of the

proper balance between adjustment for inflation and accounting for

broader market conditions, in establishing the appropriate level of

price regulation, is presented in the summary analysis of this section,

below.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\41\ See De Geus and Gillmeister, Id. In large part based on

their comment, CPI is rejected for automatic adjustment to the

Compact over-order price. See below.

\42\ Based in part on this concern, the Commission concluded on

May 30, 1997 that adoption of a price regulation for the limited

duration of six months would allow for continuing evaluation of

broader market conditions. Id.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Price Instability

The Compact Commission received a wealth of testimony and comment

in the prior rulemaking indicating that wide fluctuations in the price

of milk are also a primary cause of farm financial stress and, in

particular, made it difficult for farmers to plan financially. 62 FR

29633.

The comment received in the present rulemaking accentuates the fact

of persistent fluctuations in the pricing structure under federal

regulation. The price drop from the Autumn of last year to the present

was both precipitous and dramatic. Between October, 1996 and July,

1997, the New England Market Order #1 Blend price fell from $16.84 to

$11.97.43 For October, 1997, the blend price is estimated to

be $13.50 44

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\43\ Market Order #1 Administrator Statistics.

\44\ Wellington, PH at p. 8.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Not surprisingly, farmers again expressed their reluctance to make

long-term investments in their farming operations, and their concern

that when prices dropped precipitously they were unable to meet their

most basic obligations. For example, the ability of farmers to pay

machinery expenses is further diminished by price instability because

farmers are unable to invest (e.g., in new machinery or in upgrading

their facilities), given the wide fluctuations in the price of milk.

Of most concern, Leon Berthiaume, General Manager of St. Albans

Cooperative Creamery, testified that--

In May through July, 66 to 100 of our members received a check

of less than $1,000.00 for 15 days worth of milk production. We also

during [sic] this period of time there was 20 to 50 members that

received no check at all for those 15 days of production. We are

continuing to experience farm auctions. In the last 2\1/2\ weeks, we

have lost 12 members from our Cooperative, and in the next week we

have three more members that are scheduled to be auctioned

off.45

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\45\ Leon Berthiaume, PH at pp. 57-58. Robert Wellington also

testified at the PH at p. 8 that Agri-Mark, the region's largest

cooperative, accounting for 1630 of the approximately 3840 pool

producers in Federal Market Order #1, indicates a loss of 73 member

producers in July, 1997 from the previous July. It also was down 61

members in August compared to the previous August. Agri-Mark also

added 10 new New York members in July, 1997 as compared with the

previous July, and 17 such new members in August, as compared with

the previous year. According to the testimony, ``New York has been

the only area available to obtain the additional milk needed for New

England consumers.''

Gary Warren, in his testimony at the public hearing, underscored

the benefits of price stability across the market, from farmer to

consumer.46 Robert A. Smith pointed out that volatility in

milk prices makes it very difficult for farmers to effectively plan and

make the type of investments necessary to position themselves for the

future.47

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\46\ Warren, PH at p. 128.

\47\ Smith, PH at p. 76.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

In addition to testimony of the apparent, continuing, stress on

supply, however, the Compact Commission received testimony that

production had nonetheless increased by 2.2 percent in

1997.48 This indicates that, in the short term, despite the

persistent failure over time of prices to cover cost of production and

the structural conditions of market stress, farmers are still able to

produce milk to cover demand. The Compact Commission concludes this is

in part because of the presence of a range of cost of

production,49 and in part because of the working dynamic

between the fluid and manufactured milk markets under federal

regulation. One commenter indicated such increased production may also

in part be a function of the cool 1997 summer.50 In

addition, testimony in the record indicates that increased production

may be a factor of persistently low farm prices.51 (The

Compact Commission also notes that, in addition to price enhancement

under the Compact price regulation for August and September, 1997,

according to De Geus, ``last year was an abnormally high year both for

price and costs with the result that farmers had a positive return

[[Page 62816]]

of one cent for the first time in six years.'') 52

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\48\ Leon Graves, Commissioner, Vt. Dept. of Agriculture, Food

and Markets, WC, October 8, 1997.

\49\ John Schnittker, Public Voice for Food and Health Policy,

PH at p. 13, September 24, 1997; Gillmeister, WC, October 8, 1997;

De Geus and Gillmeister, WC, October 8, 1997.

\50\ Wellington, PH at p. 114.

\51\ Wellington, PH at p. 110; Carl Peterson, Dairy Farmer and

President, AgriMark, PH at p. 70.

\52\ See footnote 27; 62 FR 29633.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission concludes, accordingly, that the required

determination of the amount needed both to cover cost of production and

to assure an adequate supply must account simultaneously for both the

persistent gap between cost of production and pay prices and the level

of supply in the market in spite of that gap. The finding analysis

reflects an intended balancing of the basic economic requirement that

pay prices cover cost of production to ensure sustainability with a

recognition that supply may still be provided despite some gap between

cost of production and pay prices.

John Schnittker argues, without supporting evidence, that the price

regulation would primarily help the larger and generally more

financially healthy dairy producers and would help the smaller and

financially stressed producers the least.53 The commenter

made the same argument in the previous rulemaking process, also without

supporting evidence. The Compact Commission there concluded that the

criticism of the Compact over-order price regulation by Schnittker was

incorrect. 62 FR 29634. The assertion assumes that the smaller producer

is less efficient than the larger producer. On the basis of the

detailed analysis of Professor Wackernagel,54 the Commission

again concludes, however, that the financial viabililty of both 80 cow

farms and 350 cow farms will be improved substantially by the Compact

over-order price regulation.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\53\ Schnittker, PH at p. 11.

\54\ 62 FR 29634 (May 30, 1997).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Summary Analysis--Level of Prices Needed to Assure That Producers

Receive a Price Sufficient To Cover Their Costs of Production and

Elicit an Adequate Local Supply of Milk

As noted above, the Compact Commission has determined that an over-

order price in the range of $0.46-$1.90 continues to be needed to

assure that farmer costs of production are covered, requiring an over-

order price regulation in the range of $0.92-$3.80.55 With

regard to the price needed to elicit an adequate supply of milk for the

region, the Compact Commission again notes that such an amount is not

necessarily identical with that required to cover costs of production.

The Compact Commission further concludes that the analysis of the

appropriate level of price regulation must also account for price

instability and the failure of producer prices to account for

inflation,56 as well as the regulation's duration.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\55\ Assuming Class I utilization of 50 percent, the amount of

the over-order regulation price must be twice the over-order

producer price to account for the entire, identified, amounts.

\56\ The Commission here reaffirms its reliance upon the study

by Professor Wackerngel, cited at length in both the previous

proposed and final rules, which analyzed in detail the impact of

Compact price enhancement and price stabilization upon two different

farm sizes--an 80 cow herd and a 350 cow herd. 62 FR 29634 (May 30,

1997).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

As noted at the outset, the prior rulemaking resulted in

establishment of an over-order price regulation of $16.94 for six

months duration. 62 FR 29632. The Compact Commission received numerous

comments from farmers on the appropriate level of price and duration

for an extension of the price regulation. The majority of these

commenters recommended that the price be adjusted by the CPI at 2.2%,

with such adjustment to last through the termination of the

Compact.57 Wellington and Berthiaume made a similar

recommendation; Beach recommended an adjustment by the CPI at 2.2% for

a period of six months.58 De Geus and Gillmeister

recommended that it be raised by 2%.59 (In his separate

comment, Gillmeister proposed a six months' duration; De Geus proposed

extension through sunset.) Warren suggested that the price be raised by

$1.00.60

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\57\ 7 U.S.C. 7256(3).

\58\ Wellington, PH at p. 107; Berthiaume, PH at p. 58; Sally

Beach, Independent Dairymen's Coop., PH at p. 82.

\59\ De Geus and Gillmeister, WC.

\60\ Warren, PH at p. 126.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Viewing the comment in light of all the relevant factors, the

Compact Commission finds the argument of De Geus and Gillmeister

61 persuasive for not further adjusting the amount of the

Compact over-order price regulation in direct proportion to the

Consumer Price Index. The function of the initial regulation was a one-

time regulatory adjustment in response to the strikingly apparent,

chronic, structural failure of the marketplace to account for

inflation. Price regulation forward must be responsive to the variety

of market forces at work, including but not limited to inflation, as

argued by these commenters.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\61\ See: note 34 supra.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission further concludes that the present amount of

the price regulation at $16.94 is sufficiently responsive to the

variety of market forces referred to above. The resulting degree of

price enhancement provided by the price regulation still ensures that

the net pay price remains within the range, albeit at the low end, of

that identified as necessary to provide for covering the costs of

production.

The Compact Commission also determines that extension of the $16.94

price regulation for the period January 1, 1998 through termination of

the Compact enabling legislation, so as to establish uniform regulation

and price for a total period of at least 21 months, will provide

critical assurance of continued price stability for producers. Finally,

the presence of a regulation of stable, continuous, duration will still

allow the Commission to hear and consider the need to make further

adjustment to account for increased costs of production and inflation

at any time, before farmer pay prices again begin to lag far behind

inflation. The Commission will commence rulemaking, pursuant to Section

11 of the Compact, no later than July 1, 1998 to consider whether any

further adjustment in the Compact over-order regulation price is

necessary and appropriate.

In this regard, the Commission takes official notice of the fact

that the first three months of the regulation increased farmer pay

prices, on average, by approximately $1.30 per hundredweight, raising

the combined, regulated minimum pay price from approximately $12.00 to

approximately $13.30 per hundredweight. For the next two months of the

regulation, it is projected that the regulation will increase the pay

price by approximately $.75 and $.40, respectively, yielding combined

pay prices of approximately $13.90--$14.10 per hundredweight. The

regulation, accordingly, is providing both price enhancement and

stability.

With this background, the response of the Compact Commission to the

comments received from farmers and cooperative representatives

indicating the need for further price enhancement is to extend the

current regulation at the same price. The extension of the regulation

serves the essential function of establishing combined price

enhancement and price stability in the market for a period of at least

21 consecutive months. At the same time, the extension in no way

precludes the Commission from finding that a further adjustment in

price is warranted after making an assessment of the costs of

production, market prices and production levels during the rulemaking

process the Commission will commence no later than July 1, 1998.

In sum, extension of the price regulation in the amount of $16.94

through termination of the Compact enabling legislation is the

appropriate ``level of price needed to assure that producers receive a

price sufficient to

[[Page 62817]]

cover their costs of production and elicit an adequate local supply of

milk.''

B. Whether the Public Interest Will Be Served by the Establishment of

Minimum Milk Prices to Dairy Farmers

In the prior rulemaking, the Compact Commission first focused

specifically on the producer related-inquiry of Section 9(e) in making

the finding concerning the appropriate level of price required by the

Compact, and then referred to the conclusions there determined in

making the broader ``public interest finding'' required by the Compact.

62 FR 29632. This analytical approach is adopted for purposes of

extending the rule. This analytical approach is also adopted with

regard to the dual findings required for establishment of the proper

level of price under the rule.

The Compact Commission also adopts the two-part assessment of the

broader ``public interest'' utilized in the prior rulemaking. This

assessment is premised first on a review of those components of the

public interest specifically identified by section 9(e), followed by

consideration of a broader range of subjects and issues drawn from

these specific components.

As set forth in section A, above, focusing on the producer/milk

supply-related finding inquiry, the Compact Commission found the amount

of $16.94 per hundredweight to be the appropriate level of price

regulation, extended for the period January 1, 1998 through termination

of the Compact enabling legislation. This level of price was determined

to be necessary to ``cover * * * costs of production and elicit * * *

an adequate supply of milk'' within the meaning of the required finding

analysis. The price assures in addition, thereby, that the ``balance

between production and consumption of milk productions in the regulated

area'' will be maintained within the meaning of Compact, section 9(e).

With regard to the review of ``the purchasing power of the public''

contemplated by Compact, section 9(e), the Compact Commission has again

determined that this inquiry is relevant to assessing the impact of

price regulation on the consumer market, the ``critical part of the

Compact Commission's assessment of the public interest under this

finding section.'' 62 FR 23045. This inquiry focuses ``primary concern

on the consumer interest because milk is a staple product.''

Id.62

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\62\ With regard to the Compact's emphasis on the ``prevailing

price for milk outside the regulated area'' and the first ``public

interest'' finding, the Compact Commission again determines this

data to be relevant with regard to the retail price of milk outside

the region. (It is also relevant to the farm price of milk outside

the region.) Based on the comments received in the prior rulemaking,

the Commission identified the retail prices in two separate markets

outside the Compact region as a benchmark for tracking the impact of

price regulation on retail prices in the region, 62 FR 23046-47

(April 28, 1997), and to compare ``the current, relative alignment

in prices between the New England and New York regions against the

relative alignments once price regulation is in place.'' 62 FR 23048

(April 28, 1997). The comprehensive study to conduct this tracking

analysis is currently being developed by the Commission.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission determined in the prior rulemaking that the

continuing erosion of the region's milkshed has had a direct--and

adverse--impact on retail prices, and hence on the purchasing power of

the public, in part because of the increased transportation costs

associated with an expanding milkshed. 62 FR 29635. The Compact

Commission similarly determined that ``farm/wholesale price volatility

had also likely had an adverse impact on retail prices over time, and

that stabilization of the farm/wholesale price through a compact over-

order price regulation, traced through to the endpoint retail market,

likely will manifest as a corresponding positive impact on retail

prices.'' 63 Id. Finally, the Compact Commission determined

that ``the foregoing analysis supports the conclusion that the

purchasing power of the public likely will be enhanced, rather than

diminished, as a result of the stabilizing effects of the over-order

price regulation.'' Id.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\63\ As a general manager of a processing facility testified,

stable wholesale prices should lead to stable retail prices. Warren,

PH at p. 130.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Based on the reasoning presented in the proposed and final rules,

the Compact Commission reaffirms these determinations.64

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\64\ The Commission also concluded that the actual impact on

retail prices could only be determined by careful monitoring and

tracking over time. 62 FR 23048 (April 28, 1997). The Commission is

in process of establishing and implementing the study procedure

necessary to accomplish this assessment.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The detailed data and comment received with regard to the consumer

interest focused on prevailing retail prices for Class I fluid milk in

the region and the potential and actual impact of the price regulation

on the retail market. Adverse comment was also received with regard to

retail prices and concerns about the regulation's impact on low income

consumers. Comment was also submitted with regard to extension of the

State WIC program reimbursement provisions.

Impact on Retail Prices--Data and Analysis

De Geus and Gillmeister submitted joint testimony with regard to

the impact of the price regulation on the overall retail market. Data

was submitted placing the price regulation's impact within a context of

price movements between 1995 and the present. The relationship between

the procurement cost for raw milk and the retail price was assessed.

According to their testimony,

The important point to note in the relationship between tables 1

and 2 is that farm prices for Class I milk fell dramatically in

January of 1997, while retail price [sic] remained elevated. Then,

when the Compact [sic] implemented the Final Rule in July of 1997,

the prevailing price jumped 30 cents from their already elevated

level. In Figure 1, Vermont shows a 20 cent increase in the price of

a gallon of milk. Then in August the prevailing price in Boston fell

10 cents and remained unchanged in September. Expectations are that

the prevailing price will fall more over time.

The commenters further indicated that--

The baseline projections for dairy product prices for 1998 shows

a decrease in prices of 0.4%. That is to say, dairy product prices

are expected to decline * * *. Overall, we feel that the consumer is

doing quite well. While fluid milk prices increased in July, they

should decrease some over the next several months as competition for

the growing sea of consumer dollars begins to over-ride any over-

order price.

Table 1: Federal Market Order #1 (Zone 1) Class I Prices 1995-1997

[Per cwt] \65\

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

15.10.. 14.62 14.59 15.03 15.13 14.47 14.36 14.66 14.47 14.79 15.32 15.85 14.85

16.11.. 16.15 15.97 15.83 15.94 16.33 17.01 17.16 17.73 18.18 18.61 17.37 16.82

14.85.. 14.58 15.18 15.69 15.73 14.69 16.94 16.94 16.94 16.94 16.94 16.94 15.54

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

\65\ Source: Gillmeister and DeGeus, infra, (Market Order #1 Administrator Statistics).

[[Page 62818]]

Table 2: Boston Retail Prices 1995-1997

[Per gallon] \66\

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Average

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2.59... 2.49 2.49 2.59 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.49 2.59 2.52

2.59... 2.59 2.69 2.59 2.69 2.59 2.59 2.79 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.62

2.59... 2.59 2.69 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.89 2.79 2.79 ...... ...... ...... 2.67

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

\66\ Source: Gillmeister and De Geus, infra, (International Association of Milk Control Agencies).

De Geus submitted additional individual testimony, indicating

similar retail price experience in Vermont and Connecticut:

Retail Price

------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vermont: Connecticut:

$/gallon $/gallon

------------------------------------------------------------------------

November 1996................................ $2.49 $2.67

December..................................... 2.53 2.68

January 1997................................. 2.54 2.65

February..................................... 2.51 2.62

March........................................ 2.48 2.61

April........................................ 2.49 2.60

May.......................................... 2.48 2.65

June......................................... 2.49 2.61

July......................................... 2.64 2.81

August....................................... 2.62 2.83

September.................................... 2.62 2.78

------------------------------------------------------------------------

As can be seen, prices in Vermont increased by 15 cents after

initiation of the price regulation in July, then declined the following

month, and held constant in September. In Connecticut, prices were

observed to have increased by 20 cents after initiation of the price

regulation in July, another 2 cents in August, and then decreased by 5

cents for September.

Despite the apparent initial spike in retail prices,\67\ the

Compact Commission concludes that the regulation has not affected the

retail market so anomalously as to require its elimination. Rather, it

is concluded from the data and analysis presented that the retail

market can best be understood as in the process of adjustment to the

current price regulation. The Commission particularly notes that the

average Class I price for 1997 will be 11 cents less than last year,

while the retail price for the Boston market is expected to be 5 cents

greater. Recognizing that last year's prices were unusually high, and

that the retail market usually takes time to adjust to price

changes,\68\ it is noted that the retail price has increased 15 cents

since 1995, while the farm price, including that imposed by the price

regulation has increased by only six cents.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\67\ De Geus indicated that the data gathered for the

Connecticut market, identifying a price increase of 20 cents,

includes ``Mom and Pop'' stores while the Vermont data, identifying

a price increase of 15 cents, does not. According to De Geus, this

difference is attributable to the difference in data collection. WC.

\68\ Cf. 62 FR 29629 citing Hansen, Hahn, and Weimar,

``Determinants of the Farm-to-Retail Milk Price Spread'',

Agriculture Information Bulletin Number 693 (March 1994). See also

Kinnucan and Forker, ``Asymmetry in Farm-Retail Price Transmission

for Major Dairy Products'', Amer. J. Ag. Econ., 285-292 (May, 1987).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission also takes note that the over-order price

obligation for July, 1997 was $3.00, while for November it will be

substantially less, in the amount of $0.91. The impact of having a flat

price in the market, resulting from the interplay between the

underlying federal, Class I price and the Compact ``over-order'' price,

accordingly, thus has yet to be fully assimilated into the pricing

dynamic of the market.

The data and analysis presented are not inconsistent with the

Compact Commission's prior determination that stabilization of the

farm/wholesale price through a compact over-order price regulation,

traced through to the endpoint retail market, likely will manifest as a

corresponding positive impact on retail prices.'' 62 FR 29635.\69\

Indeed, if the commenters cited above are correct in their assessment

of the likely trend of retail prices in 1998, it will only require a

slight such ``drift downward'' for retail prices to reach their 1995

level.

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\69\ One commenter who is the general manager of a processing

facility supported the Commission's analysis with his assessment

that stable wholesale prices should lead to stable retail prices. PH

at p 130.

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Comment on the Impact of the Compact Over-order Price Regulation on Low

Income Consumers

The Compact Commission received four comments from an organization

representing low income consumers \70\ who expressed opposition to the

extension of the price regulation. Their comments centered on a concern

with increased retail prices for fluid milk faced by low income parents

and grandparents. Because they attributed recent price increases in

their neighborhoods to the Compact Commission's decision to establish

the price regulation, they are opposed to its extension.

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\70\ Joyce Campbell, Patricia Maben, and Florence Knedsen of

Massachusetts ACORN, a low income community advocacy group, PH at

pp. 14-25; Felicia Fields, President, Boston ACORN, WC.

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Another commenter expressed opposition based on his analysis that

the regulation was benefiting farmers at the expense of consumers,

particularly low income consumers. According to this commenter, the

over-order price now in effect could increase consumer cost for milk in

the Compact region by as much as $70 million over the next year.\71\

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\71\ John Schnittker, Public Voice for Food and Health, PH at p

9. The Commission notes in response to this comment that, despite

the apparent initial spike in prices, the Commission does not

determine that the apparent impact of the price regulation is some

form of a price increase attributable to a direct ``pass-through'',

as apparently inferred by the commenter. As in the previous

rulemaking the Commission declines to adopt this approach in view of

the lack of explanation, and given that it is directly contrary to

the developed literature on this issue which suggests a contrary

conclusion. As the Commission determined in its proposed rule, price

stabilization eliminates the need for retailers to retain

significant margins in order to protect against the uncertainty in

wholesale costs that exists when prices are volatile. See 62 FR

23049 (citing Hahn, et al.). Because retailers will not have to

engage in this ``risk response'' pricing strategy to ensure cost

recovery, the Commission again disagrees with the commenter's

conclusory remarks regarding the impact of price regulation on

retail prices.

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The Compact Commission's response to these commenters flows from

its assessment of the actual and potential impact on the retail market

described above. As indicated, the Commission determined price

regulation would likely have a ``positive impact'' on retail prices

over time, though cognizant of the possibility of short-term increases

in milk prices at the retail level, when it adopted the regulation.

Establishment of a six month regulation ensured either expiration of

the regulation in short order or review of the regulation soon after

its adoption to determine whether unexpected anomalies were occurring

so as to preclude its extension.72

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\72\ The WIC reimbursement provisions were established in part

to cover such a contingency.

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Even accounting for these adverse comments, the Compact Commission

determines that no such anomalies are occurring in the marketplace.

Rather, the market is in process of responding to the imposition of a

flat, combined

[[Page 62819]]

Class I price, and the actual impact of the regulation is yet to be

determined. The interplay of the underlying federal Class I pricing

regulation and the ``over-order'' mechanism, combining to establish the

flat, combined price, have yet to work through the asymmetric pricing

regimen of retail milk prices. Moreover, while prices may have spiked

up in response to initial imposition of the price regulation, according

to the received data and analysis, they declined the next month and

``are expected to fall more over time.'' 73

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\73\ De Geus and Gillmeister, infra.

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The Compact Commission notes further that the WIC

program,74 along with the School Lunch Program,75

provides a buffer to assist low income consumers with increases in the

retail cost of milk that might occur.76 In view of the

existence of these programs, and given the current market picture

presented by the data and analysis as a whole, the Commission

determines that the adverse comment does not establish the need for

elimination of the price regulation.

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\74\ The WIC reimbursement provisions remain in effect as part

of this extended price regulation.

\75\ Pub.L. 79-346 and Pub.L. 89-642; see also: 62 FR 29637 (May

30, 1997).

\76\ The Commission takes official notice that the Massachusetts

WIC Program guidelines show program eligibility at 185% of the

federal poverty level. Under the guidelines, a family of four is

eligible at an income of $29,639 per annum or $572 monthly.

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Reasonable Rate of Return to the Distributor

With regard to the ``price necessary to yield a reasonable rate of

return to the distributor,'' Compact, Section 9(e), the Compact

Commission has previously determined that ``[t]he focus of this inquiry

is the determination of a price that ensures a reasonable rate of

return,'' and, more specifically, ``whether processing plants are

currently covering costs of production,'' including the distributors'

rate of return on capital. 62 FR 23045.

Working from this framework, the Compact Commission sought and

received comment on wholesale costs and prices. The data received

persuaded the Compact Commission to conclude that processors are in

fact covering their margins, including a return on capital of $0.06 per

gallon.77 The Compact Commission further determined that

``minimization of such persistent fluctuations in price can only serve

as a benefit to stability of firm participants in the wholesale

market.'' 62 FR 29635.

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\77\ The comment received and used for this analysis included a

study by R. Aplin, E. Erba, M. Stephenson, ``An Analysis of

Processing and Distribution Productivity and Costs in 35 Fluid Milk

Plants,'' February 1997, R.B. 97-03, Cornell University, and an

extract by the same authors, entitled ``Presentation at IDFA Annual

Meeting in Dallas, Texas (October 1996). (This extract provides

``estimated costs of marketing 2% lowfat milk through supermarkets,

New York Metro Area, $ per gallon, 1995). In comment received on the

proposed rule, Professor Aplin indicates that the extract was based

on identified costs of the northeast plants that were part of the

broader, overall study group. The Commission also relied upon a

study by the Economic Research Service (ERS) of the United States

Department of Agriculture, Food Cost Review/AER-729. The Commission

found the Aplin et al. study more representative, given its

identified inclusion of a significant percentage of northeast

plants. Moreover, the ERS study incorporated data drawn from

vertically integrated, or combined, processing/retailing facilities.

The Compact region only includes one such operation.

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The Compact Commission hereby reaffirms the resulting determination

that the benefits of price stabilization 78 in the wholesale

market parallel the benefits of price stabilization at the farm level,

namely, allowing processors to engage in long-term economic planning

and investment, and thereby improve their economic efficiency and

performance. Id.

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\78\ See: footnote 64, supra.

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Broadened Inquiry Under Compact Section 9(e)

As indicated in the introduction to this finding section, the

Compact Commission determined under the prior rulemaking that the

ultimate finding required by Section 12 of the Compact--whether ``the

public interest will be served by the establishment of minimum milk

prices to dairy farmers''--necessitated consideration of a broader

range of subjects and issues than those specifically delineated by

Section 9(e) of the Compact. Accordingly, the Compact Commission sought

comment regarding the potential impact of price regulation on each of

the farm, wholesale and retail sub-markets which comprise the overall

market for fluid milk. 62 FR 23042. These inquiries were broken down

further into the individual components of these respective sub-markets,

including some of the components specifically listed in Section 9(e) of

the Compact, as discussed above. This broad-ranging inquiry, focusing

on all phases of the fluid milk market, allowed the Compact Commission

to gather substantial data and make an informed determination that an

over-order price regulation would be in the public interest, overall,

and with regard to its specific impact on each of the three discrete

sub-markets--farm, wholesale and retail. 62 FR 23048-50. For purposes

of completeness, the Compact Commission's conclusions with regard to

the wholesale and retail submarkets are again expressly presented,

along with analysis of relevant comment received as part of this

rulemaking process.79

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\79\ As in the prior rulemaking, the impact on the farm

submarket is presented under the inquiry mandated by the farmer/

supply finding.

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Wholesale Sub-Market--The Compact Commission assessed the impact of

price regulation on the wholesale market by considering the issue of

rate of return to processors, as discussed above, (62 FR 23045), and by

assessing whether price regulation would result in market distortion

with regard to wholesale price and thereby contravene the public

interest. 62 FR 23048. In assessing the concern with market distortion,

the Compact Commission carefully reviewed present patterns of supply

for the region's wholesale needs. The Compact Commission determined

that the wholesale market presently is supplied almost totally in the

form of raw, bulk product transported from areas of concentration of

dairy farms in the rural part of the region to the fluid processing

plants located in close proximity to the region's cities. 62 FR 23045.

The Compact Commission also determined that the marginal, remainder of

the wholesale market is supplied by finished, packaged milk transported

from processing plants located some distance away from the region's

cities. Id.

With regard to the primary bulk supply component of the wholesale

market, the Compact Commission determined that there was unlikely to be

market distortion caused by price regulation that could adversely

affect the wholesale price. According to the comment received in the

previous rulemaking, present patterns of raw product supply between

processors and independent farmers or cooperative organizations of

farmers are relatively stable and are unlikely to be affected by a

regulated price increase in the amount and for the duration established

by the price regulation. 62 FR 23048.

The Compact Commission also concluded that price regulation was

unlikely to cause market distortion with regard to the secondary

packaged product component of the market. The concern here is whether

price regulation can be administered uniformly with regard to raw

product and, as identified and addressed in the current rule, packaged

milk supplies. If a significant portion of the packaged milk supplies

is left unregulated, this might distort the market by creating a

competitive advantage for such packaged products, encouraging their

substitution as a source of wholesale supply. 62 FR 23048. Given that

packaged milk as

[[Page 62820]]

wholesale supply is more expensive than raw product supply, such

substitution resulting from market distortion would increase retail

prices and be contrary to the public interest.

The Compact Commission concluded that raw product and packaged

product supplies could be regulated uniformly and that such uniform

regulation will prevent market distortion, including indirect impact on

price. (The basis for this conclusion was presented under the third

finding analysis of the prior rulemaking. 62 FR 29637)

The comment received in the present rulemaking initially confirms

the Compact Commission's assessment that the price regulation would not

adversely affect the relatively stable market patterns of the wholesale

sub-market. As presented in the next finding analysis, the Commission

received and has responded in detail to comment received indicating the

need for marginal adjustment in the operation of the price regulation

in the wholesale market. Such comment indicating the need only for

marginal adjustment confirms that the regulation has not had such an

anomalous impact on the marketplace so as to require its elimination.

At the same time, the Compact Commission reaffirms the need to continue

to monitor comprehensively the regulation's impact on this sub-market,

as detailed in the prior rulemaking. The Commission is in process of

implementing the tracking mechanism necessary to conduct the required

monitoring established by the prior rulemaking.

Retail Sub-Market--With regard to the retail market, the Compact

Commission concluded in the prior rulemaking that price regulation was

likely overall to have a positive impact on ``the purchasing power of

the public'' within the meaning of Compact Section 9(e), and thereby to

be distinctly in the public interest. See 62 FR 23048. (The

Commission's underlying conclusion, that stabilizing the milk supply

and removing variability in the federally regulated, farm/wholesale,

pricing structure would likely combine to have a positive, downward

impact on retail prices is explained in further detail at 62 FR 23048-

50.) As noted above, the Commission has reaffirmed this conclusion in

view of the comment received with regard to retail prices.

In the prior rulemaking, the Compact Commission also made a further

determination of the potential, positive impact of price regulation

with regard to the broader, consumer-based market. More specifically,

the Commission concluded that price regulation will not have a negative

impact on government supplemental nutrition programs such as the

National School Lunch Program. The Commission made this further

determination based on its assessment that the pricing patterns of such

programs were premised on essentially the same competitive patterns of

the broader, consumer-based market. See 62 FR 23050. Citing a General

Accounting Office description of the program, the Commission noted in

its proposed rule:

The National School Lunch Act of 1946 (Pub L. 79-396) and the

Child Nutrition Act of 1966 (Pub L. 89-642) authorize USDA to

reimburse state and local school authorities--under grant

agreements--for some or all of the costs of these programs.

Reimbursements are based on either the number of meals served or the

number of half pints served. The schools use these funds, as well as

state and local funds and moneys collected from students, to

purchase food, including milk, for these programs. These purchases

are made through either sealed bid or negotiated procurements.

USDA's regulations require that these procurements be conducted in a

manner that provides for the maximum amount of open and free

competition.80

\80\ GAO Report 13-239877 at 2 (October 16, 1992), submitted by

Jeffords as Additional Reply Comment, April 9, 1997; See also 62 FR

23050.

The Commission further notes that the purchasing patterns of

other institutional buyers such as the military and hospitals, as

described in the GAO study similarly mirror the broader, competitive

market. The Commission concludes that these institutional buyers

will also benefit from the impact of price regulation on the

competitive market.

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The Compact Commission reaffirms this understanding of the expected

interplay between the price regulation and the School Lunch Program.

Given the critical concern with the potential impact on such

supplemental food nutrition programs, and in view of the comment

received on this issue, the Commission determines it appropriate to

establish a Task Force pursuant to Article VII. D. of the Compact

Commission's Bylaws to assess more closely the regulation's actual and

potential impact on the School Lunch programs. The Task Force shall

report back to the Commission at its regularly scheduled meeting for

February, 1998. Based on the Committee's assessment of the impact of

the Compact over-order price regulation, it shall make recommendations

as to whether the region's School Lunch Programs should receive

reimbursement for some or all of any increased costs attributable to

the price regulation and, if so, the method for reimbursing the

appropriate local authorities.

Price Regulation and the WIC Program

The Compact Commission did determine in the prior rulemaking that

pricing and reimbursement patterns for one government supplemental

nutrition program, the WIC Program, are not configured according to the

same pattern as the broader consumer-based retail market. 62 FR 23050;

29637. Accordingly, the Commission exempted the WIC program from

operation of the price regulation. Id. at 23050-53; 29637.

Two of the State WIC Program Directors submitted comment in support

of extending the provisions in the current rule for reimbursing State

WIC Programs for their costs incurred as a result of the Compact over-

order price regulation.81 The current rule includes a formal

agreement between the Compact Commission and the six State WIC Programs

that governs the terms of the reimbursement program. The Compact

Commission herein extends that agreement for the effective period of

the rule.

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\81\ Mary Kelligrew Kassler, Director of the Massachusetts WIC

Program, WC; Jadwiga Goclowski, Division Director/State WIC

Director, Department of Health, State of Connecticut, WC.

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About the WIC Program

The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants and

Children (WIC) is a unique health and nutrition program serving women

and children with--or at risk of developing--nutrition-related health

problems. WIC provides access to healthcare, free nutritious food, and

nutrition information to help keep low to moderate income pregnant

women, infants and children under five healthy and strong. The Program

provides a monthly ``prescription'' for nutritious foods tailored to

supplement the individual dietary needs of each participant. Milk and

other dairy products play a large and important role in every

participant's food package.

The WIC Program is a Federally funded program carried out according

to provisions of the Federal Child Nutrition Act. The Program is funded

through the Food and Consumer Service of the United States Department

of Agriculture (USDA) and administered on the local level by State WIC

Programs in the Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode

Island, Vermont State Departments of Public Health (the States).

Additional state funds are also provided in Massachusetts. Participants

are issued WIC checks or vouchers at local agencies for WIC authorized

foods. The checks or vouchers--which do not have a predetermined

value--are redeemed at authorized retail stores at current store prices

in accordance with posted prices. Prepayment edits are performed on

each check to ensure that specific food

[[Page 62821]]

purchasing, pricing and payment requirements are met.

Because WIC is not an entitlement program and has a capped program

appropriation, any increase in food costs results in fewer women and

children being served. It is imperative, therefore, that WIC's funds be

held harmless from any adverse impact due to a Regulation. While the

Compact Commission has again concluded that price regulation should

have a ``positive impact'' on retail markets, it has also found that

the market is presently adjusting to the price regulation with an as-

yet indeterminable, overall, actual outcome. In order to ensure that

WIC funds are held harmless, it is necessary to extend the

reimbursement procedure during the effective period of the Compact

over-order price regulation.

Continuing Assessment of Impact

The Compact Commission, in its current rule, provides for

continuous monitoring and analysis of Class I fluid milk retail price

data in order to accurately assess and evaluate any regulation-related

adverse or beneficial impact on costs to consumers and WIC, and to make

related adjustments to assure that the public interest is served and

consumers and the WIC Program and its participants are protected. The

Compact Commission, under this rule, will continue to monitor and

analyze information at both the New England Regional and individual

State levels--including each State's WIC programs--comprising

representative samples of market areas and retail store types,

proportion of sales by package size, and degree to which retail price

fluctuations differ for package sizes in relation to each other.

WIC Reimbursement System

Given that State WIC Programs have a September 30th fiscal year

end, the Compact Commission can not make the Program whole after the

fact. WIC must operate in a funding ``limbo'' between October and

January when its State Program grants are announced. Uncertainty

regarding the potential effect of price regulation, or reimbursements

to States made by the Compact Commission at a later date, would force

State WIC managers to lower first quarter participation levels. The

State WIC Programs have proposed and the Commission has agreed to a

method by which the WIC Program will be held harmless from any impact

related to a demonstration of a Compact Over-Order Price Regulation for

Class 1 fluid milk. The Commission will reimburse each respective State

WIC Program. The amount of reimbursement will be based on a formal

agreement to be entered into by the Compact Commission and the six New

England State WIC Program Directors, as approved by the Food and

Consumer Service of the USDA. Under the agreement, the reimbursement

amounts will be based on: (1) The quantities of milk purchased with WIC

checks and (2) the amount of any Compact Over-Order Price Regulation.

The Compact Commission has also made provision for continuing

monitoring and analysis of retail and wholesale prices for fluid milk.

Should there be continuing adverse impacts on consumers, in general,

and low income consumers, in particular, the Commission will be able to

react.

Impact on Retailers

Finally, the Compact Commission reaffirms its prior determination

that price regulation does not and will not likely have an adverse

impact on the retailers, themselves. In summary: in similar manner as

with its assessment of the wholesale market in the prior rulemaking,

the Commission reviewed retail costs and prices to determine if

retailers are covering costs, including return on capital, under

present market conditions. 62 FR 23045, 23046-48. The Compact

Commission concluded that such margins are presently being covered, and

that price regulation will not adversely affect the ability of retail

outlets to continue to cover their margins. Id. at 23048.82

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\82\ The comment received and used for the cost analysis relied

upon the study by Aplin et al, ``An Analysis of Processing and

Distribution Productivity and Costs in 35 Fluid Milk Plants'',

February 1997, R.B. 97-03, Cornell University and the extract by the

same authors, entitled ``Presentation at IDFA Annual Meeting in

Dallas, Texas (October 1996). (This extract provides ``estimated

costs of marketing 2% lowfat milk through supermarkets, New York

Metro Area, $ per gallon, 1995). In comment received on the proposed

rule, Professor Aplin indicates that the represented supermarket

costs were representative of New England supermarkets, as well. The

Commission notes that these studies focus on supermarket costs.

Supermarkets represent the primary retail outlet for fluid milk in

the marketplace. According to the Aplin study, retail cost, with

return is $2.12 per gallon.

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Public Interest Finding--Summary Analysis

Based on this analysis under Compact section 9(e) and the broader

market-wide analysis, the Compact Commission concludes that continuing

the price regulation in the amount of $16.94 for the period January 1,

1998 through termination of the Compact enabling legislation will

ensure the ``public interest'' is served in the manner contemplated by

the finding analysis under Compact section 12(a)(2). The Compact

Commission concludes the current price regulation has begun to achieve

its intended purposes of price stabilization and limited price

enhancement for producers without distortion of downstream wholesale

and retail markets. While the actual impact on the downstream markets

cannot yet be determined comprehensively, the data and comment

presented indicate that at worst only marginal adjustments are

necessary and that at best the regulation may be serving its intended

purpose of having a positive, downward pressure on retail prices.

Extension of the regulation in substantially similar form will continue

its function as a limited market adjustment which again accounts for

its potential impact on all levels of the market, from farm to retail,

including the benefits of market stability.

As noted throughout the analysis under this and the previous

finding section, the Compact Commission has again considered and

accounted for the variety of potential market impacts in fashioning

this extension of the price regulation. The Commission remains

concerned with its potential, adverse impact on the wholesale market,

as well as with regard to unanticipated impacts on consumer prices.

While the Compact Commission has concluded that the regulation has

not and is not likely to adversely affect the wholesale market and may

well, indeed, have a positive impact on retail prices, the Commission

will ensure comprehensive monitoring of these market functions. The

Commission has also determined that it will commence a rulemaking

proceeding, pursuant to section 11 of the Compact, no later than July

1, 1998 during which it will make an assessment of, among other issues,

the data and analysis received as a result of its tracking analysis.

As a final safeguard against unanticipated, adverse consequences,

the Commission has again acted to ``hold harmless'' the WIC Program by

reestablishing the reimbursement provisions for all New England State

WIC Programs, despite the Commission's conclusion of the remoteness of

there occurring unanticipated, adverse consequences in the retail

market. Finally, as a new element of this monitoring procedure adopted

under the previous rulemaking, the Commission will establish a Task

Force to assess the specific impact of the regulation on the region's

School Lunch Programs and to determine whether it is appropriate to

establish some form of reimbursement for these programs.

[[Page 62822]]

C. Whether the Major Provisions of the Order, Other Than Those Fixing

Minimum Prices, Are Reasonably Designed To Achieve the Purposes of the

Order

The third provision of section 12(a) of the Compact requires that

the Compact Commission determine whether the non-price provisions of

the proposed rule would also be in the public interest, and, based on

the record before it, the Commission so finds. The Commission's

assessment focuses on two conditions: assurance that the regulation

does not create an incentive for dairy farmers to produce additional,

surplus supplies of milk, and second, the Commission's regulation is

uniform and equitable and does not unduly distort traditional markets

and marketing channels. The Compact Commission finds that both

conditions are met by the final rule, as amended from the proposed

rule.

Based on their individual farm or cooperative experience with

production over the period January through August, 1997, several

commenters 83 indicated that the price regulation had not

created an incentive for dairy farmers to produce additional, surplus

supplies of milk. They indicated that production for either their farm

or their cooperative was roughly the same in 1997 for the 8 month

period as for the same period in 1996.84 One dairy farmer

indicated that in his experience, it is low prices that cause the

farmer to produce more milk in order to meet the monthly fixed

commitments for farm expenses.85 Similarly, another

commenter indicated that the over-order producer price would likely not

be an incentive for increased production because the farmer will have a

better cash flow under the regulation and can avoid the extra costs of

increasing production with additional cows or other

strategies.86

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\83\ Leon Berthiaume, St. Albans Coop., PH at p. 63 and WC;

Sally Beach, IDA, PH at p. 85; Douglas Carlson, dairy farmer, PH at

p. 102; David Jaquier, dairy farmer, PH at p. 137; Norma O'Leary,

Ct. Farm Bureau, WC; Carl Peterson, dairy farmer, PH at p. 70;

Robert Wellington, AgriMark Coop., PH at p. 111 and WC.

\84\ Berthiaume indicated in his testimony, PH at p. 59-64 that

production for St. Albans Cooperative was the same for January

through June, 1997 as it was for the same period in 1996. It

increased 1% in July, 1997 and 2.3% in August, 1997, well below the

average increase in the 20 largest dairy states which was 5% and

4.4%, respectively.

\85\ Peterson. PH, p. 70.

\86\ Wellington, WC. In his written comment, he also made the

point that farm prices regularly below the costs of production will

not themselves generate any long-term additional supplies of milk.

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Two commenters 87 based their opinion that the

regulation will not elicit increased production on an analysis of the

interactive effect of the compact over-order price when applied in

complement to the Basic Formula Price (BFP) of the federal Milk Market

Order #1. Because the current compact over-order price of $16.94

establishes a partial floor price to the producer, the supply and

demand in the New England milkshed, the farmer receives appropriate

economic signals about the amount of production called for by the

market. They independently conclude that this mechanism provides a more

stable price for the producer while allowing the natural mechanisms of

the marketplace to influence supply and demand.

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\87\ Smith and Wellington. op. cit.

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The joint submission of Renee De Gues and William Gillmeister, both

dairy economists for the Vermont and Massachusetts Departments of

Agriculture, respectively, indicates that, based on reported data,

production levels in the region have not changed dramatically since the

Final Rule was implemented on July 1, 1997. Based on the data they

submitted, they conclude that ``the Compact is not stimulating

production in New York and Pennsylvania because from July through

September, milk production in those states seems to have matched milk

production patterns for the U.S.'', as a whole. Receipts for New York

and New England, while up over the same period in 1996, were normal

when compared to 1994 and 1995. In their joint submission, they report

that receipts from New York, Vermont and Connecticut increased by 0.6%,

0.17%, and 3.5%, respectively, from July to August, 1997. Receipts from

Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island fell by 1.6%,

2.1%, 1.4%, and 2.4%, respectively, from July to August, 1997.

Moreover, production levels were considerably below the average

increase in the national production.88

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\88\ Leon Graves, Commissioner, Vt. Dept. of Agriculture, Food

and Markets, WC.

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The Compact Commission notes that the Commodity Credit Corporation

(CCC) made no purchases of surplus milk in the region during fiscal

year 1996 or 1997.89 The Commission established a monitoring

plan in the May 30, 1997 Final Rule that will track regional and

national rates of production to determine whether the regional rate of

increased production is within 0.25% of the national rate of increased

production. If New England production levels do increase within this

range, then for each such month, the Commission will estimate the

potential cost of CCC surplus purchases of surplus which might occur

should the rate of regional increased production exceed the national

rate. The Commission will retain a portion of the proceeds of the price

regulation sufficient to cover such estimated costs, as necessary. See

62 FR 23054. In this rulemaking, the Commission determines that the

tracking procedure and the plan for paying CCC for any surplus

purchases are still the most viable and reasonable method for dealing

with any increased production in the region.

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\89\ Wellington, WC.

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On the basis of this record, the Compact Commission concludes that

neither additional supplies nor surplus production has occurred to date

nor does it expect any to occur under an extension of the Compact over-

order price regulation. The Commission will continue the tracking

procedures established under the current regulation to monitor

production, so as to allow appropriate action should an unanticipated

change in production patterns occur. 62 FR 23054. Pursuant to section

9(f) 90 of the Compact, the Commission finds that it is not

now necessary to take any action to ensure that the over-order price

does not create an incentive for producers to generate additional

supplies of milk. If the monitoring procedures indicate the need for

such action, the Commission will take the necessary and feasible

action, as appropriate, to reimburse the Commodity Credit Corporation

for any purchases of resulting surplus supplies.91

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\90\ When establishing a compact over-order price, the

commission shall take such action as necessary and feasible to

ensure that the price does not create an incentive for producers to

generate additional supplies of milk.'' Compact. section 9(f).

\91\ ``Before the end of each fiscal year that a Compact price

regulation is in effect, the Northeast Interstate Dairy Compact

Commission shall compensate the Commodity Credit Corporation for the

cost of any purchases of milk and milk products by the Corporation

that result from the projected rate of increase in milk production

for the fiscal year within the Compact region in excess of the

projected national average rate of the increase in milk production,

as determined by the Secretary [of Agriculture].'' 7 U.S.C. 7256(6).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

One commenter 92 suggested an amendment to the codified

regulations that would establish a method for assessing pro rata all

pooled producers for a three month period for the purpose of any

retroactive payment to the Commodity Credit Corporation for surplus

purchases. The Commission's response is that, should payments at the

end of the fiscal year to the commodity Credit Corporation be necessary

and appropriate, the entire producer pool ought to bear those costs,

when incurred. This mechanism provides an added disincentive for over-

production

[[Page 62823]]

by the pool producers appropriate under Section 9(e) of the Compact.

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\92\ Leon Berthiaume, WC.

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The inquiry on the second condition centers on the technical

provisions, currently codified in 7 CFR parts 1300, 1301, and 1303-

1307. These provisions establish the definitions and procedures for the

assessment of price regulation collection from processors and

disbursements to producers. The Commission finds, generally, that these

provisions continue to ensure uniform and equitable administration of

the price regulation. The provisions continue to be patterned closely

upon the underlying federal Milk Market Order #1, as they were when

adopted on May 30, 1997. 62 FR 29637. They are designed to and have, in

fact, worked since July 1, 1997 in complement to the Market Order with

the direct, technical assistance of the Market Order #1 Administrator's

office.

In response to the Compact Commission's proposal to extend and

amend generally the current provisions of the regulation, a number of

comments were received at both the public hearing and in later written

submissions. To allow later written comment on a number of technical

administrative issues, the Compact Regulation Administrator

93 suggested in his testimony at the September 24, 1997

public hearing, that an additional criteria be added to 7 CFR

1301.11(b), relating to qualifying as a producer under the regulation,

to include having moved milk into the regulated area for more than half

the days during December of 1997. The current rule provides that any

dairy farmer who moved milk into New England in December of 1996 for

over half of the days on which he or she shipped milk qualified for the

over-order producer price. This reflects the traditional parallel

provision of the federal Milk Market Order for qualifying for pooling

during a specific time period of each year.94 Those who

qualify during this specific period have demonstrated that they are

traditionally associated the regional milkshed. The Commission finds it

reasonable and consistent to provide a parallel one month qualifying

period for December of 1997 added to December of 1996. It, therefore,

amends 7 CFR 1301.11(b) to insert ``and December 1997'' after December,

1996 in the current regulation.

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\93\ Carmen L. Ross, Compact Regulation Administrator, PH at pp.

44-55.

\94\ Under the federal Milk Market Order #1 regulatory

provisions, producers qualify who ship milk for over half of the

days in July through August each year.

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The same commenter also suggested that 7 CFR 1301.11(b) be further

amended by adding a provision that would limit the total amount of milk

at a pool plant eligible to qualify out of region producers to the

total bulk receipts of fluid milk products less the total bulk

transfers of fluid milk products (not including bulk transfers of

skimmed milk and condensed milk).

The principal criterion for qualifying a producer for the over-

order producer price is whether the farmer has committed to supply the

Compact area milkshed. Out of area producer milk being shipped into a

Compact area pool plant and then transferred out of the plant for

distribution outside of the regulated area does not meet that criteria.

The commenter noted that, under the current version of this section,

milk could be shipped into a pool plant only to qualify the producer

for the Compact over-order producer price. The Commission finds that

the suggestion deals adequately with this problem and is consistent

with the principal criteria for producer qualification of a

demonstrated commitment to supply the New England milkshed. There are,

however, additional problems associated with this suggested provision.

Another commenter 95 advocated that the current rule not

be amended and that the current treatment of plant diversions be left

in place, to parallel the treatment under the federal Milk Market

Order. He pointed out that plant diversions are part of everyday life

in all regions of the country and that these diversions are required by

a variety of circumstances. A third commenter 96 pointed out

that it would be unfair to penalize the out of area producers and

prevent their qualification because business necessity at the plant

required that producer's milk be transferred on any particular day. He

suggested that ``reloading'' occurs for a variety of reasons, among

which are varying seasonal demand and supply in the milkshed, and that

a percentage limit on bulk milk transfers for purposes of qualifying

out of region producers could solve the problem while not distorting

normal business practice.

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\95\ Eugene Madill, CEO, Dairylea Coop., PH at p. 37.

\96\ Wellington, PH at p. 109 and WC.

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A dairy processor from New York 97 identified a somewhat

related concern with regard to the current rules for qualified out of

region producers whose milk is shipped to a pool plant in the regulated

area with sales outside the regulated area in competition with the New

York processor. According to the commenter, the New York processing

facility must match the over-order producer price paid by the New

England-based pool plant to qualified New York producers in order to

assure maintenance of raw product supply. According to the commenter,

this payment raises the New York processor's costs compared with the

New England processing facility's costs.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\97\ Gary Dake, Vice-President, Stewart's Processing Corp.,

Saratoga Springs, NY, WC.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

This comment raises a similar concern to that presented with regard

to bulk transfers, in that new milk is being pooled which is not

traditionally associated with the pool for the regulated New England

area. The Commission responds to this comment by amending the

regulation to limit producer qualification in some instances with

regard to milk utilized for sales outside the region. All out of region

producers historically associated with the milkshed for the region, or

those providing supply in December 1996 and 1997, will qualify on that

basis. Newly supplying producers, however, will qualify only to the

extent that their receiving plant has sales in the regulated region

attributable to such new, additional, supply.

In recognition of the problem to which Ross's suggested amendment

is addressed, to reflect the need to accommodate reloading as a current

business practice for balancing milk supplies to fit consumer needs and

available plant capacity, and to correct the problem pointed out by the

New York processor, the Compact Commission adopts two new provisions in

Sec. 1301.11(b) which will:

(a) restrict a handler's ability to increase its out of region

producer supply not traditionally associated with regulated area, by

limiting the out of region producer qualification to only 10% of the

milk received from those producers but subsequently reloaded and

transferred in bulk for disposition out of the region; and will:

(b) provide for minimization or elimination of qualification of out

of region producers whose milk is shipped to a pool plant that packages

the milk for sale outside of the regulated area, solely for such sales.

To reflect the decisions of the Compact Commission to include these

new provisions, 7 CFR 1301.11 (b) is amended as indicated infra in

``Codification in Code of Federal Regulations''.

One commenter 98 suggested that the five month

qualifying period be reduced to 3 months to allow more out of region

producers to take advantage of the over-order producer price. Another

[[Page 62824]]

commenter,99 however, advocated that the qualifying period

remain at the five months required by the current provision. The

Compact Commission's response to these comments is that the five month

period is a reasonable measure of a producer's initial commitment to

supply the New England milk pool. The Commission concludes that the

current provision with the suggested amendments adopted above ensures

equitable and uniform treatment of out of region producers. The

Commission, therefore, will continue the current five month requirement

in 7 CFR 1301.11(b).

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\98\ Garry Warren, PH at p.126.

\99\ Wellington, WC.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

A previous commenter 100 suggested another amendment to

clarify the current regulation in 7 CFR 1304.5 dealing with the

classification of milk. He suggested deleting the current provision at

Sec. 1304.5(a) and adding a new subsection (a) to clarify that fluid

milk products which had been pooled at a New England pool plant and

shipped to a partially regulated plant will be attributed only to the

pool plant. This suggestion ensures that milk already subject to the

Compact over-order obligation at the pool plant will not again be

subject to the obligation at a partially regulated plant to which it is

later shipped.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\100\ Carmen L. Ross, Id.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Although no double billing has occurred under the current

provision, this clarification will ensure that it cannot happen. There

was no comment opposing this suggestion.

The Compact Commission agrees that the current provision should be

clarified to ensure uniform and equitable administration of the

regulation. The Commission, therefore, adopts the amendment to delete

the current language at 7 CFR 1304.5(a) and to replace it with a new

subsection (a) as is indicated infra in ``Codification in Code of

Federal Regulations.''

The Commission notes that the current codified provision at

Sec. 1305.1 establishing the Compact over-order Class I price does not

include the dollar amount adopted by the Commission on May 30, 1997.

Because of the need for clarity in the codified regulations, the

Compact Commission amends that section to include reference to the new

Compact over-order price of $16.94, as indicated infra in

``Codification in Code of Federal Regulations.''

The same commenter suggested that 7 CFR 1306.1 and 1306.2 be

amended to establish a parallel exemption from regulation with that of

the federal Milk Market Order #1 for any dairy processor who handles

less than an average of 300 quarts per day. He points out that these

limited amounts of milk should be excluded from the Compact pool as a

de minimus exemption because of the relatively small amounts of the

Compact over-order obligation and consequent producer price

distribution. There was no further comment received on this suggestion.

The Compact Commission finds merit in the suggestion as a way to

simplify administration of the regulation and to reflect the practice

under the federal Milk Market Order system. The Commission, therefore,

amends 7 CFR 1306.1 and 1306.2 as is indicated infra. ``Codification in

Code of Federal Regulations.''

The same commenter pointed out that, in the notice of final

rule,101 the Compact Commission adopted the requirement of a

formal agreement for a reimbursement system between the Commission and

the State WIC Program directors, to be approved by the Food and

Consumer Service of the USDA, that will ensure reimbursement of any

additional costs incurred by those programs because of the over-order

price regulation, the requirement was inadvertently omitted from the

codification. In the same final rule notice, the Commission had also

approved the establishment of a Commission reserve account for

reimbursement of anticipated WIC Program costs.

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\101\ 62 FR 29630.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

As explained in the prior finding analysis, the Commission has

reestablished and extended the WIC reimbursement system.102

The Commission, therefore, amends 7 CFR 1306.3 to add a new subsection

(b).

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\102\ See: Discussion of the WIC Programs, supra.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

In addition, the Compact Commission notes that, although it adopted

a mechanism for reserving funds to cover any costs to be reimbursed to

the Commodity Credit Corporation for surplus purchases in its Proposed

and Final Rule,103 it did not include any provision in the

codified regulations. To address that omission, the Commission amends 7

CFR 1306.3 further to add a new subsection (c) and to redesignate the

remaining subsections to be (d) through (f), as indicated infra in

``Codification in Code of Federal Regulations.''

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\103\ 62 FR 23054 and 29638.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The same commenter also suggested changes needed to 7 CFR 1307.1

both to accommodate new references required by the above amendments and

to correct the language. There was no additional comment on these

suggestions. The Commission adopts these suggestions and amends 7 CFR

1307.1, as indicated infra in ``Codification in Code of Federal

Regulations.''

The same commenter suggested changes to 7 CFR 1307.2 to clarify the

intent and to delete subsection (c) which is not needed. There were no

additional comments on this suggestion. The Compact Commission agrees

with the comments and amends 7 CFR 1307.2 by deleting (c) in its

entirety and amending (b) (1) and (2), as indicated infra in

``Codification in Code of Federal Regulations.''

This same commenter's last suggestion for changes to the codified

provisions of the regulation was to amend 7 CFR 1307.4 to exclude milk

at a partially regulated plant that was diverted from a pool plant,

where it was already pooled for purposes of the Compact over-order

price obligation. There was no additional comment on this suggestion.

Because this amendment will ensure that the price obligation not be

assessed twice on the same milk, the Commission adopts the suggestion

and amends 7 CFR 1307.4(f), as indicated infra in ``Codification in

Code of Federal Regulations.''

Another commenter 104 suggested an amendment to 7 CFR

1304.4(a)(ii) to avoid the assessment of the over-order obligation on a

cooperative for bulk milk which the cooperative ships to other pool or

partially regulated plants. He points out that under the current

regulation the cooperative and its membership are financially

responsible for the assessment for which the receiving plant is billed

by the cooperative and which will ultimately be paid by the receiving

plant. He suggests that it is more appropriate that the second

processing plant be financially responsible than the farmer

cooperative.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

\104\ Leon J. Berthiaume, WC.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Compact Commission's response is that the over-order price

obligation is imposed on this particular cooperative as a processor

operating a compact pool plant. It is a traditional technique of milk

market regulation to impose the obligation on the pool plant that

receives the milk from the producer. It is, therefore, appropriate that

the cooperative continue to be responsible for the obligation as the

operator of the receiving pool plant.

With these amendments to the current codified provisions of the

price regulation, the Commission finds that the major provisions of the

order, other than those fixing minimum prices, are reasonably designed

to achieve the purposes of the order.

[[Page 62825]]

Finally, the Compact Commission concludes that the administrative

assessment of $0.032 per hundredweight of milk on all route

dispositions of class I fluid milk in the territorial region of the six

New England states should be extended in order to finance the budgeted

costs for administration of the Compact Commission's regulations

through the effective period of the rule. The Commission notes that the

additional, start-up assessment of approximately $0.013 per

hundredweight presently imposed will expire with final payment in

December of 1997.

III. Required Findings of Fact

Pursuant to Compact Article V, Section 12, the Compact Commission

hereby finds:

(1) That the public interest will be served by the continuation of

minimum prices in the amount of $16.94 (Zone 1) to dairy farmers under

Article IV for the period January 1, 1998 through termination of the

Compact enabling legislation.

(2) That a level price of $16.94 (Zone 1) will assure that

producers receive a price sufficient to cover their costs of production

and will elicit an adequate supply of milk for the inhabitants of the

regulated area and for manufacturing purposes.

(3) That the major provisions of the order, other than those fixing

minimum milk prices, are in the public interest and are reasonably

designed to achieve the purposes of the order.

(4) That the terms of the proposed price regulation were approved

by producers by referendum.105

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\105\ Section 13 of the Compact requires that the Commission

conduct a referendum among producers and that, at least, two-thirds

of the voting producers approved the regulation. A separate notice

in the Federal Register certifies the results of the referendum

pursuant to the following Referendum Approval Certification

Procedure:

The Compact Commission resolves and adopts this procedure for

certifying whether the price regulation adopted by this final rule

has been duly approved by producer referendum in accordance with

Compact Article V, section 12.

________ is hereby designated as ``Referendum Agent'' and

authorized to administer this procedure.

The designated Referendum Agent shall:

1. Verify all ballots with respect to timeliness, producer

eligibility, cooperative identification, authenticity and other

steps taken to avoid duplication of ballots. Verification of ballots

shall include those cast individually by block vote. Ballots

determined by the Referendum Agent to be invalid shall be marked

``disqualified'' with a notation of the reason for disqualification.

Disqualified ballots shall not be considered in determining approval

or disapproval of the regulation.

2. Compute and certify the following:

A. The total number of ballots cast.

B. The total number of ballots disqualified.

C. The total number of verified ballots cast in favor of the

price.

D. The total number of verified ballots cast in opposition to

the price regulation.

E. Whether two-thirds of all verified ballots were cast in the

affirmative.

3. Report to the Executive Director of the Compact Commission

the certified computations and results of the referendum under

Section 2.

4. At the completion of his or her work, seal all ballots,

including the disqualified ballots, and shall submit a final report

to the Executive Director stating all actions taken in connection

with the referendum. The final report shall include all ballots cast

and all other information furnished to or compiled by the Referendum

Agent.

The ballots cast, the identity of any person or cooperative, or

the manner in which any person or cooperative voted, and all

information furnished to or compiled by the Referendum Agent shall

be regarded as confidential.

The Executive Director shall publish the certified results of

the referendum in the Federal Register.

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List of Subjects in 7 CFR Parts 1300, 1301, 1303-1307

Milk.

Codification in Code of Federal Regulations

For reasons set forth in the preamble, the Compact Commission

amends title 7, chapter XIII, as follows:

PART 1301--DEFINITIONS

1. The authority citation for part 1301 continues to read as

follows:

Authority: 7 U.S.C. 7256

2. In Sec. 1301.11, paragraph (b) is revised to read as follows:

Sec. 1301.11 Producer.

* * * * *

(b) A dairy farmer who produces milk outside of the regulated area

that is moved to a pool plant, provided that on more than half of the

days on which the handler caused milk to be moved from the dairy

farmer's farm during December 1996 and December 1997, all of that milk

was physically moved to a pool plant in the regulated area. Or: to be

considered a qualified producer, on more than half of the days on which

the handler caused milk to be moved from the dairy farmer's farm during

the current month and for five (5) months subsequent to July of the

preceding calendar year, all of that milk must have moved to a pool

plant, provided that the total amount of milk at a pool plant eligible

to qualify producers who did not qualify in December 1996 and December

1997 shall not exceed the total bulk receipts of fluid milk products

less:

(1) Producer receipts as described in paragraph (a) of this section

and producer receipts as described in paragraph (b) of this section who

are qualified based on December 1996 and December 1997;

(2) 90% of the total bulk transfers of fluid milk products (not

including bulk transfers of skimmed milk and condensed milk) disposed

outside of the regulated area; and

(3) 100% of packaged fluid milk products disposed outside of the

regulated area.

* * * * *

PART 1304--CLASSIFICATION OF MILK

1. The authority for part 1304 continues to read as follows:

Authority: 7 U.S.C. 7256.

2. In Sec. 1304.5, paragraph (a) is revised to read as follows:

Sec. 1304.5 Classification of producer milk at a partially regulated

plant.

* * * * *

(a) Subtract from the total pounds of fluid milk products in Class

I the pounds of fluid milk products in:

(1) Receipts of Class I fluid milk products from pool plants if

reported and classified Class I by the pool plant;

(2) Disposition of Class I fluid milk products outside of the

regulated area;

(3) Receipts of exempt fluid milk products pursuant to Section

1301.13 (a), (b), and (c) of this Chapter.

* * * * *

PART 1305--CLASS PRICE

1. The authority citation for part 1305 continues to read as

follows:

Authority: 7 U.S.C. 7256.

2. Section 1305.1 is revised to read as follows:

Sec. 1305.1 Compact over-order class I price and compact over-order

obligation.

The compact over-order Class I price per hundredweight of milk

shall be as follows:

(a) The class I price shall be $16.94 per hundredweight.

(b) The compact over-order obligation shall be computed as follows:

(1) The compact Class I price ($16.94);

(2) Deduct Federal Order #1 Zone 1, Class I price;

(3) The remainder shall be the compact over-order obligation.

PART 1306--COMPACT OVER-ORDER PRODUCER PRICE

1. The authority for part 1306 continues to read as follows:

Authority: 7 U.S.C. 7256.

2. Sections 1306.1, 1306.2, and 1306.3 are revised to read as

follows:

[[Page 62826]]

Sec. 1306.1 Handler's value of milk for computing basic over-order

producer price.

For the purpose of computing the basic over-order producer price,

the compact commission shall determine for each month the value of milk

of each handler with respect to each of the handler's pool plants and

of each handler described in Sec. 1301.9 (d) of the chapter with

respect to milk that was not received at a pool plant, as directed in

this section. Any pool plant that does not exceed a daily average of

300 quarts of disposition in the compact regulated area in the month

shall not be subject to the compact over-order obligation. The total

assessment for each handler is to be calculated by multiplying the

pounds of Class I fluid milk products as determined pursuant to

Sec. 1304.1 (a) by the compact over-order obligation.

Sec. 1306.2 Partially regulated plant operator's value of milk for

computing basic over-order producer price.

For the purpose of computing the basic over-order producer price,

the compact commission shall determine for each month the value of milk

disposition in the regulated area by the operator of a partially

regulated plant as directed in this section. Any partially regulated

plant that does not exceed a daily average of 300 quarts of disposition

in the compact regulated area in the month shall not be subject to the

compact over-order obligation. The total assessment for each handler is

to be calculated by multiplying the pounds of Class I fluid milk

products as determined pursuant to Sec. 1304.1 (a) of this chapter by

the compact over-order obligation.

Sec. 1306.3 Computation of basic over-order producer price.

The compact commission shall compute the basic over-order producer

price per hundredweight applicable to milk received at plants as

follows:

(a) Combine into one total the values computed pursuant to

Sec. 1306.1 and Sec. 1306.2 of this chapter for all handlers from whom

the compact commission has received at the Compact Commission's office

prior to the 9th day after the end of the month the reports for the

month prescribed in Sec. 1303.1 and the payments for the preceding

month required under Sec. 1307.3 (a) of this chapter.

(b) Subtract 3% of the total value computed pursuant to paragraph

(a) above for the purpose of retaining a reserve for WIC pursuant to

the Formal Agreement for reimbursement of WIC Program costs entered

into between the Commission and the six New England State WIC Program

Directors, as approved by the Food and Consumer Service of the United

States Department of Agriculture (USDA);

(c) In any month when the average percentage increase in production

in the regulated area comes within 0.25 of the average percentage

increase in production for the nation, subtract from the total value

computed pursuant to paragraph (a) above, for the purpose of retaining

a reserve, an amount estimated by the Commission in consultation with

the USDA for anticipated costs to reimburse the Commodity Credit

Corporation (CCC) at the end of its fiscal year for any surplus milk

purchases. Should those funds not be needed because no surplus

purchases were made by the CCC at the end of its fiscal year, it is to

be disbursed as follows:

(1) Any producer who has received payment from a handler pursuant

to Sec. 1307.4 shall become eligible to receive a pro rata disbursement

by submitting to the Commission documentation that the producer did not

increase production of milk during and after the month on which the

regional rate of production increase met or exceeded the national rate

of production increase, as compared to the same period in the

preceeding year. Such documentation shall be filed with the Commission

not later than 45 days after the end of the fiscal year.

(2) The Commission shall calculate the amount of refund to be

provided to each eligible producer by taking into account the total

amount of retained proceeds, the total production of milk by all

producers eligible for refunds, and the total amount of production by

each eligible producer.

(d) Add an amount equal to not less than one-half of the

unobligated balance of the producer-settlement fund at the close of

business on the 8th day after the end of the month;

(e) Divide the resulting amount by the sum of the following for all

handlers included in these computations:

(1) The total hundredweight of producer milk;

(2) The total hundredweight for which a value is computed pursuant

to Sec. 1306.2(a); and

(f) Subtract not less than four (4) cents nor more than five (5)

cents for the purpose of retaining a cash balance in the producer-

settlement fund. The result shall be the basic over-order producer

price for the month.

PART 1307--PAYMENTS FOR MILK

1. The authority citation for part 1307 continues to read as

follows:

Authority: 7 U.S.C. 7256.

2. Sections 1307.1 and 1307.2 are revised to read as follows:

Sec. 1307.1 Producer-settlement fund.

(a) The compact commission shall establish and maintain a separate

fund known as the producer-settlement fund. It shall deposit into the

fund all amounts received from handlers under Sec. 1307.3, Sec. 1307.7,

and Sec. 1307.8 of this Chapter and the amount subtracted under

Sec. 1306.3(f). It shall pay from the fund all amounts due handlers

under Sec. 1307.3, Sec. 1307.7, and Sec. 1307.8 and the amount added

under Sec. 1306.3(d) subject to their right to offset any amounts due

from the handler under these sections and under Sec. 1308.1 of this

chapter.

(b) All amounts subtracted under Sec. 1306.3(f), including interest

earned thereon, shall remain in the producer-settlement fund as an

obligated balance until it is withdrawn for the purpose of effectuating

Sec. 1306.3(d).

(c) The compact commission shall place all monies subtracted under

Sec. 1306.3(b), 1306.3(c), and 1306.3(f) in an interest-bearing bank

account or accounts in a bank or banks duly approved as a Federal

depository for such monies, or invest them in short-term U.S.

Government securities.

Sec. 1307.2 Handlers' producer-settlement fund debits and credits.

On or before the 15th day after the end of the month, the compact

commission shall render a statement to each handler showing the amount

of the handler's producer-settlement fund debit or credit, as

calculated in this section.

(a) The producer-settlement fund debit for each plant and each

cooperative association in its capacity as a handler under Sec. 1301.9

(d) of this chapter shall be the value computed pursuant to

Secs. 1306.1 and 1306.2.

(b) The producer-settlement fund credit for each plant and each

cooperative association in its capacity as a handler under Sec. 1301.9

(d) shall be computed as specified in this paragraph.

(1) Multiply the quantities of producer milk that were reported by

pool plants pursuant to Sec. 1303.1 and the quantities or route

disposition in the marketing area by partially regulated plants for

which a value was determined pursuant to Sec. 1306.2(a) by the basic

over-order producer price computed under Sec. 1306.3.

(2) For any cooperative association in its capacity as a handler

under Sec. 1301.9 (d), multiply the quantities of all producer milk

reported pursuant to Sec. 1303.1(c) by the basic over-order producer

price computed under Sec. 1306.3.

3. In Sec. 1307.4, paragraph (f) is revised to read as follows:

[[Page 62827]]

Sec. 1307.4 Payments to producers.

* * * * *

(f) At a partially regulated plant each handler shall make

payments, on a pro rata basis, to all producers and dairy farmers for

milk (excluding diverted pool producer milk) received from them during

the month, the payment received pursuant to Sec. 1307.3 (b).

Daniel Smith,

Executive Director.

[FR Doc. 97-30602 Filed 11-24-97; 8:45 am]

BILLING CODE 1650-01-P

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