Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Congressional research reportMay 9, 2012
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and
Analysis of S. 2146
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Summary
U.S. policymakers have considered and deliberated on several policy designs that could
potentially reduce energy-related carbon emissions. In his 2011 State of the Union address,
President Obama proposed the concept of a Clean Energy Standard (CES) that would result in
80% of U.S. electricity generation from clean energy sources by 2035. In March of 2012, the
Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012 (S. 2146) was introduced in the Senate.
The primary goal of S. 2146 is to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the U.S. electricity
sector, which represents approximately 41% of total U.S. CO2 emissions. Generally, the approach
used to achieve this goal is to require certain utility companies to source a portion of their
electricity generation from qualified clean energy generators. Utilities located in either Alaska or
Hawaii are exempted from CES requirements.
Some utility companies that sell electricity directly to consumers (retail sales) would be required
to comply with the CES. Determining which utilities have to comply is based on each utility
company’s total amount of annual retail sales. Starting in 2015, a utility company that sold more
than 2 million megawatthours (MWh) of electricity to consumers would be required to comply.
The retail sales level for compliance decreases by 100,000 MWh each year until 2025, where it
remains constant at 1 million MWh. These thresholds represent a minority of electric utilities but
a majority of U.S. electricity sales.
Utilities required to comply with the CES would need to obtain a percentage of their electricity
from qualified clean energy generators. In 2015 the minimum percentage is 24% and rises to 84%
by 2035. The percentage is applied to a utility company’s total retail sales; however, all electricity
obtained from hydropower and nuclear power facilities placed in service before 1992 can be
deducted from the sales base, potentially making compliance easier.
The bill provides a four-part definition of electricity that would qualify as “clean energy”: (1)
electricity from renewable energy, biomass, natural gas, hydropower, nuclear power, or waste-toenergy facilities placed in service after 1991, (2) electricity from combined heat and power (CHP)
systems or any non-biomass energy source that emits less than 0.82 metric tons of CO2 per MWh,
(3) certain efficiency or capacity additions to nuclear or hydropower facilities that were placed in
service before 1992, and (4) electricity from facilities that capture and store CO2.
Utility companies can comply with the CES requirement by submitting clean energy credits,
making alternative compliance payments (ACP), or a combination thereof. The ACP design
element essentially caps the cost of CES compliance. ACP levels start at three cents per
kilowatthour in 2015 and increase by 5% annually thereafter.
Analysis by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that enactment of S. 2146
could result in the following changes to the U.S. power sector in 2035, compared to EIA’s
reference case projections: (1) CO2 emissions from electric power facilities decline 44%, (2)
electricity from coal decreases by 54%, (3) nuclear power and non-hydro renewable electricity
increases by 62% and 34%, respectively, and (4) average electricity prices increase by 18%. EIA
also notes that regional price disparity among exempt and non-exempt utilities could range
between 3% and 30%. However, it should be noted that any projections over such a long time
frame are difficult to accurately predict due to uncertainties associated with assumptions used to
make such estimates.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................................... 1
Policy Design Elements ................................................................................................................... 2
Entities Required to Comply ..................................................................................................... 2
Clean Energy Compliance Requirements .................................................................................. 4
Qualified Electricity Generation................................................................................................ 6
Clean Energy Standard Compliance .......................................................................................... 8
Clean Energy Credits .......................................................................................................... 8
Alternative Compliance Payments ...................................................................................... 9
Other Design Elements ............................................................................................................ 10
Combined Heat and Power ................................................................................................ 10
Biomass ............................................................................................................................. 11
Civil Penalties ................................................................................................................... 11
Interaction with State Programs ........................................................................................ 11
Other Energy Sources........................................................................................................ 11
Natural Gas........................................................................................................................ 12
EIA Analysis of S. 2146................................................................................................................. 12
Potential Areas for Further Clarification........................................................................................ 14
Is the carbon intensity metric (0.82 metric tons per MWh) on a gross or net basis?............... 14
How do utilities that operate in multiple states calculate their aggregate retail sales for
determining if they are required to comply with the CES? .................................................. 15
Policy Question: How to Define Clean Energy? ........................................................................... 15
Figures
Figure 1. Preliminary Analysis of Potential Utility Company Exemptions ..................................... 3
Figure 2. Estimated Number of Utilities Required to Comply with S. 2146 ................................... 4
Figure 3. Clean Energy Standard Compliance Requirements .......................................................... 5
Figure 4. Analysis of Placed-in-Service Dates for U.S. Electric Power Capacity ........................... 7
Figure 5. Distribution of Existing Qualified Clean Energy Generating Capacity ........................... 8
Figure 6. Alternative Compliance Payment Levels: 2015-2035 .................................................... 10
Figure 7. Projected Impact to Electricity Generation Fuel Mix..................................................... 13
Figure 8. EIA Projections for Non-Hydro Renewables ................................................................. 13
Tables
Table 1. Hypothetical Example of How Nuclear and Hydro Deductions Might Impact
CES Requirements ........................................................................................................................ 5
Table 2. Comparison of Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensity ........................................................ 14
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Contacts
Author Contact Information........................................................................................................... 16
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Introduction
Policymakers have several options when considering legislation that would result in reducing
carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the U.S. electricity sector. Some policy options might
include a carbon tax or a carbon cap-and-trade approach. A federal clean energy standard (CES),
such as that proposed in the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012 (S. 2146), is an alternative
approach that requires certain utility companies to provide a prescribed amount of electricity from
qualified clean energy sources based on a percentage of each utility company’s annual electricity
sales to consumers.1 Several CES policies have been proposed in the past, although none have
become law.2
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the electric power sector represents
approximately 41% of U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions.3 The remaining 59% of CO2 emissions
are from the transportation (33%) and buildings/infrastructure (26%) sectors. Unlike previous
carbon reduction policy proposals, S. 2146 is focused only on CO2 emission reductions in the
U.S. electric power sector.
The concept of a U.S. clean energy standard was proposed by President Barack Obama in his
2011 State of the Union address, and the White House subsequently published a proposed
framework for a federal CES.4 In March of 2011, the Senate Energy and Natural Resources
Committee (SENR) released a Clean Energy Standard white paper that solicited feedback on
several CES policy design questions.5 On March 1, 2012, the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012
(S. 2146) was introduced in the Senate. This report provides a summary and analysis of the CES
proposed in S. 2146.
S. 2146 proposes to amend Title VI of the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act (PURPA) of
1978 (16 U.S.C. 2601 et seq.)6 by adding a new section, Section 610, titled “Federal Clean
Energy Standard.”7 According to the proposed bill, the stated purpose of the Federal Clean
Energy Standard is:
1
Generally, there are many different opinions about what energy sources should be considered “clean energy.” As a
result, the definition of “clean energy” for different policy proposals typically varies.
2
For additional background on CES policy design elements and a comparison of previously proposed CES legislation,
see CRS Report R41720, Clean Energy Standard: Design Elements, State Baseline Compliance and Policy
Considerations, by (name redacted).
3
“Annual Energy Outlook 2010,” U.S. Energy Information Administration, April 2010, available at
http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo10/pdf/0383(2010).pdf.
4
White House Office of Media Affairs, “President Obama’s Plan to Win the Future by Producing More Electricity
Through Clean Energy,” February 3, 2011, available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/02/03/
president-obama-s-plan-win-future-making-american-businesses-more-energy.
5
Senators Jeff Bingaman and Lisa Murkowski, White Paper on a Clean Energy Standard, Committee on Energy and
Natural Resources, United States Senate, March 21, 2011, available at http://www.energy.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/
files/serve?File_id=d9286e01-b2ea-0c97-971a-6b9d16ef32ef.
6
For background information about PURPA, see CRS Report 98-419, Electricity Restructuring Background: The
Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 and the Energy Policy Act of 1992, by (name redacted).
7
The Energy Policy Act of 2005 included several PURPA modifications. For more information see CRS Report
RL33248, Energy Policy Act of 2005, P.L. 109-58: Electricity Provisions, by (name redacted).
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
to create a market-oriented standard for electric energy generation that stimulates clean
energy innovation and promotes a diverse set of low- and zero-carbon generation solutions in
the United States at the lowest incremental cost to electric consumers.
Policy Design Elements
The Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012 includes a number of design elements that define the
CES structure, methods of compliance, and other aspects. This report describes the proposed
policy, based on the following general questions: (1) Who is required to comply? (2) What are the
compliance requirements? (3) What types of electricity generation would qualify for the CES?
and (4) What mechanisms are available as a means of CES compliance? Additional design
elements are also briefly discussed.
Entities Required to Comply
Some utility companies that sell electricity to consumers in U.S. states, except Alaska and
Hawaii, plus the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, would be required to obtain a certain
percentage of electricity sales from qualified clean energy generators.8 Whether or not a utility
company is required to comply with the CES depends on the total amount of its annual electricity
sales to consumers, in megawatthours (MWh). Beginning in 2015, S. 2146 requires utilities that
sold 2 million MWh or more the previous calendar year to comply with the CES. The annual
sales threshold for utility compliance declines by 100,000 MWh each year from 2015 to 2025,
after which the level remains constant at 1 million MWh of annual electricity sales.
This electricity sales threshold exempts the majority of utility companies from having to comply
with the CES. According to EIA data, there are more than 3,500 utility companies operating in the
contiguous 48 United States. Preliminary analysis based on 2010 electric utility sales data
indicates that just over 300 utility companies would be required to comply with the CES starting
in 2015 (see Figure 1). However, these 300 utility companies required to comply with the CES
would represent approximately 81% of total national electricity sales.
8
According to PURPA definitions: “The term ‘State’ means a State, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico.” S.
2146 specifically excludes Alaska and Hawaii from CES compliance requirements.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Figure 1. Preliminary Analysis of Potential Utility Company Exemptions
(Based on S. 2146 Clean Energy Requirements in 2015)
Source: CRS analysis of Energy Information Administration Form 861 survey data for 2010. EIA’s Form 861 data
can be found at http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia861.html.
Notes: EIA Form 861 includes annual retail sales (in megawatt hours) for more than 3,500 utility companies in
the U.S. CRS categorized each utility based on annual retail sales being either more than or less than 2 million
megawatt hours per year. Electric utilities located in Alaska and Hawaii were excluded from this analysis. Many of
the 3,266 exempt utility companies include electric cooperatives and municipal utilities. Utility companies
included in EIA’s Form 861 survey data may include wholly owned subsidiaries of a parent company that may
have retail sales less than 2 million megawatt hours. The parent company of these subsidiaries may have
aggregate retail sales of more than 2 million megawatt hours. However, an assessment of parent and subsidiary
companies is beyond the scope of this report. EIA performed a regional analysis of exempt retailer sales as a
percentage of total sales in each region. Results from EIA’s analysis are provided in Appendix B of “Analysis of
the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012,” U.S. Energy Information Administration, May 2012, available at
http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/bces12/pdf/cesbing.pdf.
As the threshold sales level decreases from year 2015 to 2025, the number of utility companies
required to comply gradually increases to nearly 500 in 2025 (see Figure 2), at which time
approximately 87% of national electricity sales would be subject to CES requirements.
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Figure 2. Estimated Number of Utilities Required to Comply with S. 2146
(2015–2025)
Source: CRS analysis of S. 2146 and Energy Information Administration Form 861 survey data for 2010.
Notes: The estimated number of utilities required to comply increases over time as the retail sales threshold
for compliance decreases from 2 million MWh per year in 2015 to 1 million MWh per year in 2025. Also, see
Figure 1 notes above.
Clean Energy Compliance Requirements
Starting in 2015, S. 2146 would require non-exempt utilities, as described above, to obtain a
percentage of their total electricity sales to consumers—less applicable deductions of certain
hydropower and nuclear power electricity—from qualified clean energy generators. (Definitions
for qualified clean energy are discussed and provided in the next section.) Clean energy includes
electricity generated from facilities using renewables, nuclear, natural gas, and other specific
energy sources, that were placed in service after 1991, plus other technologies described in the
next section of this report.
The standard requires a minimum of 24% clean energy by 2015. The percentage requirement
increases an additional 3% each year until 2035, when 84% of electricity sold from non-exempt
utilities must be sourced from clean energy generators (see Figure 3). Non-exempt utility
companies can deduct their hydropower and nuclear power electricity generation, as long as the
electricity is generated from facilities placed in service before 1992, from their applicable sales
base. This deduction could potentially make it easier for certain utilities (especially those with
large amounts of hydropower and nuclear power in their portfolio) to comply with the standard as
a result of decreasing the total amount of qualified clean energy needed to meet annual CES
compliance requirements (see example in Table 1).
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Figure 3. Clean Energy Standard Compliance Requirements
(Percentage of annual electricity sales to consumers)
Source: S. 2146.
Table 1 provides an illustrative example of how the pre-1992 nuclear and hyropower deduction
might affect the amount of qualified clean energy needed by three hypothetical utility companies
in order to comply with the CES. In this example, three hypothetical utility companies with
different generation fuel mixes, but the same amount of total electricity sales (2 million MWh
annually), are compared. As Table 1 indicates, CES compliance requirements for different
utilities can vary depending on the fuel sources used for generation. While the total retail sales for
each utility might be the same, adjusting the applicable sales base by deducting nuclear and hydro
electricity from facilities placed in service before 1992 results in varying amounts of qualified
clean energy needed for compliance.
Table 1. Hypothetical Example of How Nuclear and Hydro Deductions Might Impact
CES Requirements
(All numbers in annual megawatthours)
A
Nonqualified
Fossil
B
Pre-1992
Nuclear &
Hydro
C
Post-1991
Renewables
D
Total Elect.
Sales Base
A+B+C
E
Adjusted
Sales Base
D-B
F
2015 CES
Requirement
E x 24%
Utility 1
1,000,000
500,000
500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
360,000
Utility 2
500,000
1,000,000
500,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
240,000
Utility 3
1,500,000
300,000
200,000
2,000,000
1,700,000
408,000
Source: CRS.
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Qualified Electricity Generation
In order to comply with proposed CES requirements, electric utilities that sell electricity to
consumers would need to generate or purchase electricity that is qualified as “clean energy.”9 S.
2146 provides a four-part definition of the term “clean energy.”
1. Electricity generation from facilities placed in service after 1991 that use the
following energy sources: renewable energy,10 renewable biomass,11 natural
gas,12 hydropower, nuclear power, or waste-to-energy.13
2. Electricity generation from facilities placed in service after the date of enactment
that use either combined heat and power or non-biomass energy sources that emit
less than 0.82 metric tons of CO2 per MWh.14 Additional information about
qualified CHP is discussed below in the section titled “Combined Heat and
Power.”
3. Electricity generation that results from efficiency or capacity additions made
after 1991 to nuclear or hydropower facilities that were originally placed in
service before 1992.
4. Electricity generation from facilities that capture and store CO2 regardless of
each facility’s placed-in-service date.
Regarding item 1 above, according to EIA, approximately 1.1 million megawatts (MW) of
electricity generation capacity exists in the lower 48 United States.15 Roughly 400,000 MW of
electric power capacity was installed during the years 1992 to 2010. Approximately 93% (nuclear,
natural gas, and renewables) of this electric power capacity would qualify under the “clean
energy” definition (see Figure 4).16 Most of this qualified “clean energy” capacity is natural gas
facilities—although natural gas generation is only eligible for partial CES credits based on the
9
For additional discussion about qualified clean energy, see CRS Report R41797, Clean Energy Standard: Potential
Qualifying Energy Sources, coordinated by (name redacted).
10
S. 2146 defines renewable energy to include the following energy sources: (1) solar, (2) wind, (3) ocean, (4) current,
(5) wave, (6) tidal, and (7) geothermal.
11
S. 2146 defines qualified renewable biomass as follows: “The term qualified renewable biomass means renewable
biomass produced and harvested through land management practices that maintain or restore the composition, structure,
and processes of ecosystems, including the diversity of plant and animal communities, water quality, and the
productive capacity of soil and the ecological systems.”
12
While natural gas facilities are included as qualified generators, electricity derived from natural gas would receive
partial CES credits based on the carbon dioxide intensity of each natural gas generator.
13
S. 2146 defines qualified waste-to-energy as follows: “The term qualified waste-to-energy means energy produced
from the combustion of—(i) post-recycled municipal solid waste; (ii) gas produced from the gasification or
pyrolization of post-recycled municipal solid waste; (iii) biogas; (iv) landfill methane; (v) animal waste or animal
byproducts; or (vi) wood, paper products that are not commonly recyclable, and vegetation (including trees and
trimmings, yard waste, pallets, railroad ties, crates, and solid-wood manufacturing and construction debris), if diverted
from or separated from other waste out of a municipal waste stream.” S. 2146 also requires that waste-to-energy
facilities have annual certifications and be in compliance with all applicable federal and state environmental permits.
14
Carbon dioxide emissions of 0.82 metric tons per MWh-net are typically equivalent to CO2 emissions from a
Supercritical Pulverized Coal (PC) electricity generating facility. Additional discussion about MWh-net versus MWhgross can be found in this report under the section titled “Potential Areas for Further Clarification.”
15
Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-860 Data Files for 2010, available at http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/
electricity/page/eia860.html.
16
Ibid.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
amount of CO2 emissions per MWh of electricity produced. This qualified clean energy
generating capacity is distributed throughout the United States. Figure 5 shows the amount of
qualified clean energy capacity located in each state.
Figure 4. Analysis of Placed-in-Service Dates for U.S. Electric Power Capacity
(Total Contiguous U.S. Electric Power Capacity = 1.13 million MW)
Source: CRS analysis, Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-860 Data Files for 2010, available at
http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia860.html.
Notes: It is important to realize that electric power capacity (MW), represented in this figure, is different than
electricity generation (MWh). S. 2146 places a clean energy requirement on annual electricity generation (MWh).
Data contained in this figure only represents the potential for electricity generation from qualified clean energy
generators, per S. 2146, and may not be representative of actual electricity that may be produced.
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Figure 5. Distribution of Existing Qualified Clean Energy Generating Capacity
(Megawatts)
Source: CRS analysis of Energy Information Administration Form EIA-860 Data Files for 2010, available at
http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia860.html.
Notes: See notes in Figure 4 above.
Clean Energy Standard Compliance
Utility companies required to comply with the CES have two compliance options: (1) submit
clean energy credits to the Secretary of Energy, and/or (2) make alternative compliance payments
to the Secretary of Energy.
Clean Energy Credits
Clean Energy Credits would be issued by the Secretary of Energy to qualified electricity
generation facilities owned by an electric utility.17 Generally, clean energy credits are issued
based on the CO2 emission intensity, as determined by the Secretary of Energy, of qualified
electricity generation compared to the CO2 emission intensity of a pulverized coal plant—which
is estimated to be approximately 0.82 metric tons of CO2 per MWh. Whether or not this CO2
intensity metric is on a gross or net basis is not specified in the bill. Additional discussion about
gross vs. net emission intensity is discussed in the section below titled “Potential Areas for
Further Clarification.”
17
PURPA defines the term “electric utility” to mean “any person, State agency, or Federal agency, which sells electric
energy.” This definition could include both wholesale and retail electricity sales. As a result, electricity generated by
both vertically integrated utility companies and independent power producers (IPPs) could be eligible to receive CES
credits based on the qualification criteria described in the proposed bill.
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The formula used to calculate the per-MWh CES credit amount for qualified electricity generators
is as follows:
CES CreditMWh = 1 – [(Metric Tons of CO2 per MWhqualified generator)/0.82]
For example, a qualified clean energy generator that uses a renewable energy source with a CO2
emission intensity of 0 would receive 1 CES credit per MWh of electricity generation. However,
a qualified generator that uses a fossil energy source with a CO2 emission intensity of 0.41 would
receive a partial, in this case 0.5, credit for each MWh of electricity generated.
Once CES credits are issued, they can be (1) used to comply with annual CES requirements, (2)
sold to other entities, or (3) held in reserve (also known as ‘banking’) and used for compliance in
future years (i.e., CES credits do not expire). For qualified clean energy sold under contract—in
effect on the date of enactment of the proposed bill—into the wholesale market, CES credits for
the electricity generated would be issued to the purchaser of the electricity; unless the contractual
terms for wholesale electricity transactions include other conditions regarding title to CES credits.
The Secretary of Energy is required to establish a Federal Clean Energy Trading Program to
facilitate, document, and track CES compliance. The Secretary of Energy also has the option of
delegating the market function of CES credit trading to qualified entities.
Alternative Compliance Payments
Another CES compliance option for non-exempt utilities is making alternative compliance
payments (ACP) instead of generating or purchasing CES credits. The ACP design element
essentially places a cap on the cost of CES compliance. S. 2146 sets the initial ACP level at three
cents ($0.03) per kilowatthour in 2015. The ACP increases 5% per year—adjusted for inflation
(see Figure 6). All ACP collections, and any civil penalty payments (discussed further below),
would be used for a State Energy Efficiency Funding Program, which would distribute 75% of all
collections to states for energy efficiency initiatives.18 Distribution amounts to each state are
proportional to the percentage of collections received from each respective state.
18
Generally, the reason that only 75% of the value of ACPs is returned to the states is to make this provision revenue
neutral from a federal budget perspective. ACPs can be deducted as an expense by a company that makes such
payments. As a result, a company’s taxable income would be reduced, thereby reducing the amount of federal tax
collections. By retaining 25% of collections from a federal program that collects payments, such as the CES, the federal
government is essentially offsetting any revenue losses that might occur as a result of companies deducting ACP
payments as an expense. For more information about the 25% revenue offset, see “The Role of the 25 Percent Revenue
Offset in Estimating the Budgetary Effects of Legislation,” Congressional Budget Office, January 13, 2009, available at
http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/ftpdocs/96xx/doc9618/01-13-25percentoffset.pdf. Historically, 25% has
been the general revenue offset percentage used. However, the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) released its changes
to revenue offsets used to assess budget impacts of various programs, with the offset percentage rising to approximately
30% in 2022. For more information, see Joint Committee on Taxation, New Income and Payroll Tax
Offsets to Changes in Excise Tax Revenues for 2012-2022 (JCX-23-12), March 6, 2012.
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Figure 6. Alternative Compliance Payment Levels: 2015-2035
(2015 Dollars)
Source: CRS analysis of S. 2146.
Notes: S. 2146 stipulates that alternative compliance payments in 2015 will be $0.03 per kilowatthour. Each year
thereafter ACPs increase by 5% over the previous year, and this increase is to be adjusted for inflation. This
figure does not assume any inflation adjustments. Therefore, actual ACP levels for each year could vary
depending on the magnitude of annual inflation. According to the proposed bill, ACPs will continue escalating by
5% each year after 2035.
Other Design Elements
In addition to the major policy design parameters in the bill, S. 2146 includes several other design
elements. Some of these additional design elements are briefly discussed below.
Combined Heat and Power
Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems may qualify for meeting CES compliance
requirements. Unlike other qualified generators that only produce electricity for consumption,
CHP systems produce both electricity and heat for beneficial use. Owners of CHP systems,
typically industrial operations, generally consume a certain portion of the CHP energy (electricity
and heat) for on-site facility and business operations. S. 2146 requires CHP systems to have an
overall energy efficiency of more than 50%, produce at least 20% of useful energy in the form of
electricity, and produce at least 20% of useful energy in the form of thermal energy.
The number of CES credits issued to CHP system owners is based on the amount of electricity
generated by the CHP system, the relative CO2 intensity of the electricity produced, the amount of
electricity used for on-site operations, and the annual CES compliance requirement. Gross CES
credits for CHP systems are calculated using the same CES credit formula discussed above;
however, a certain portion of on-site electricity consumption—determined by the annual CES
requirement—is deducted from the gross CES credit calculation. Additional CES credits may be
issued to CHP system owners based on avoided greenhouse gas emissions that would result from
eliminating the need for a dedicated on-site heat source.
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Biomass
S. 2146 provides a specific definition for renewable biomass, which includes potential impacts
associated with land use and management practices.19 The bill requires the Secretary of Energy to
issue interim carbon intensity regulations for biomass and to commission a study by the National
Academy of Sciences (NAS) to assess total lifecycle emissions from biomass-derived electricity.
Based on the results of the NAS study, the Secretary of Energy is required to issue final carbon
intensity regulations for qualified renewable biomass. A similar effort to quantify lifecycle
emissions, including those from land use and management practices, for growing biofuel
feedstock was led by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in response to requirements in
the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA, P.L. 110-140).20 Much debate and
controversy in the biofuel community resulted from the life cycle analysis, with some groups
arguing that emissions were understated and some groups taking the position that emissions were
overstated.21
Civil Penalties
Non-exempt utilities that do not meet annual CES requirements would be required to pay civil
penalties equal to twice the value of adjusted alternative compliance payments (discussed above)
for the deficit amount of electricity needed to comply with annual requirements.
Interaction with State Programs
As of April 2012, 29 states plus the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico had established binding
renewable portfolio standard (RPS) policies.22 Generally, RPSs are policies designed to encourage
development of renewable electricity projects by requiring a certain percentage of electricity be
generated from renewable sources. Each state RPS usually has some degree of unique design with
regards to the amount of renewable electricity required, dates for compliance, carve-outs for
certain technologies, and other aspects. The impact of a federal CES on state-level RPS policies
could be a concern to some policy makers. S. 2146 states that the CES does not affect the
authority of states to enforce renewable energy laws or regulations. The bill also indicates that no
state laws or regulations can relieve a utility company from its federal CES compliance
obligations.
Other Energy Sources
Integrating energy efficiency and thermal energy sources into a federal CES is a topic of interest
to many groups. Technologies that reduce the total amount of electrical load through either
19
S. 2146 defines Qualified Renewable Biomass as follows: “The term ‘qualified renewable biomass’ means renewable
biomass produced and harvested through land management practices that maintain or restore the composition, structure,
and processes of ecosystems, including the diversity of plant and animal communities, water quality, and the
productive capacity of soil and the ecological systems.”
20
For additional information, see “EPA Lifecycle Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Renewable Fuels,” U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, May 2009, available at http://www.epa.gov/oms/renewablefuels/420f09024.htm.
21
For more information about biofuel lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions, see CRS Report R40460, Calculation of
Lifecycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions for the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), by (name redacted) and (name
redacted).
22
http://www.dsireusa.org/documents/summarymaps/RPS_map.pdf.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
efficiency or heat sources could contribute toward CO2 emission reductions in the electric power
sector. However, calculating the amount and qualification of CES credits for such technologies
can be challenging. S. 2146 requires a report that evaluates these technologies and provides
legislative recommendations about how they might be integrated into the CES policy framework.
Natural Gas
The bill also requires a report on natural gas conservation, with the goal of quantifying natural
gas losses during production and transportation and recommending programs and policies to
promote natural gas conservation.
EIA Analysis of S. 2146
At the request of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, EIA analyzed the
potential impact of the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012 on the U.S. electricity sector.23 Results
from EIA’s analysis indicate that the projected electricity generation fuel mix would change when
compared to EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook reference case projections (see Figure 7). Changes to
the electric power fuel mix are projected to reduce electric sector CO2 emissions in 2035 by 44%
when compared to EIA’s reference case scenario.24 As with any long-term forecast, models used
to calculate such estimates are subject to certain economic, cost, technology, market, and other
assumptions that can make the accuracy and reliability of long-range projections questionable.
EIA’s analysis compares two scenarios (Reference and S. 2146) with identical macro-level
assumptions and adds policy parameters defined in the CES to the S. 2146 scenario. While this
approach may not be able to accurately predict what will actually happen in 2035, it does provide
some indication of potential changes to the electric power sector associated with the CES policy
design. However, it is possible that changes to certain underlying assumptions could yield
different results than those provided in the analysis of S. 2146.
23
“Analysis of the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012,” U.S. Energy Information Administration, May 2012, available
at http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/bces12/pdf/cesbing.pdf.
24
Ibid.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Figure 7. Projected Impact to Electricity Generation Fuel Mix
(Each bar represents 100% of U.S. electricity generation for each scenario)
Source: “Analysis of the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012,” U.S. Energy Information Administration, May
2012, available at http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/bces12/pdf/cesbing.pdf.
Coal, nuclear, and non-hydro renewable energy sources would experience the most significant
changes. In 2035, electricity generated from coal would decrease by 54%, nuclear power would
increase by 62%, and non-hydro renewables would increase by 34% relative to reference case
projections. Growth in non-hydro renewable sources of electricity is dominated by wind and
wood/biomass; however, solar electricity is essentially the same as in EIA’s reference case
projections (see Figure 8).
Figure 8. EIA Projections for Non-Hydro Renewables
(Each bar represents 100% of non-hydro renewable electricity generation for each scenario)
Source: “Analysis of the Clean Energy Standard Act of 2012,” U.S. Energy Information Administration, May
2012, available at http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/bces12/pdf/cesbing.pdf.
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Natural gas generation is also expected to experience a relatively modest increase of 8% over
2035 reference case projections including natural gas-fired CHP generation, which would
increase by 21% in 2035. EIA’s analysis also indicates that S. 2146 results in essentially no
carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) projects as a means of CES compliance.
With regard to the potential impact on electricity prices, EIA projects that average U.S. electricity
prices would increase, compared to EIA reference case projections, by approximately 4% in 2025
and 18% in 2035. EIA also notes that the provision in S. 2146 to exempt certain utility companies
from CES compliance requirements could create some degree of regional price disparity between
exempt and non-exempt utilities. Using one estimation approach, EIA indicates that by 2030
electricity prices from non-exempt utilities could be 3% to 30% higher than exempt utilities.
Finally, EIA’s analysis estimates that the use of alternative compliance payments as a means of
CES compliance is minimal throughout the projection period.
Potential Areas for Further Clarification
S. 2146 includes a number of policy design elements that are integrated to create a structure for
the Clean Energy Standard policy. The proposed CES raises some areas that Congress may decide
to further clarify during future deliberations about the proposed bill.
Is the carbon intensity metric (0.82 metric tons per MWh) on a gross
or net basis?
S. 2146 specifies a carbon intensity metric of 0.82 metric tons per MWh as the basis for
calculating partial CES credits for fossil energy generators. However, the bill does not specify if
this metric is on a gross or net basis. Table 2 compares the CO2 emission intensity of subcritical
and supercritical pulverized coal plants under certain operating conditions. Whether or not carbon
intensity is on a gross or net basis could determine if certain plants qualify for partial CES credits
and this determination could also affect the magnitude of partial credits issued to qualified natural
gas generators.
Table 2. Comparison of Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensity
(Subcritical and Supercritical Pulverized Coal)
Subcritical Pulverized Coal
Supercritical Pulverized Coal
CO2 Emissions (lb/MWhgross)
1,783
1,675
CO2 Emissions (lb/MWhnet)
1,888
1,768
CO2 Emission intensity (gross)
0.81
0.76
CO2 Emission intensity (net)
0.86
0.80
Source: “Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and Natural Gas
to Electricity,” National Energy Technology Laboratory, November 2010.
Notes: Gross emissions represent the total amount of CO2 emissions divided by the total amount of electricity
generated. Net emissions represent the total amount of CO2 emissions divided by the net amount of electricity
available for sale after deducting electricity required for plant operations. Emission intensity numbers are
calculated by dividing CO2 emissions (lbs per MWh) by 2,200 (lbs per metric ton). CO2 emission estimates from
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
this study are based on bituminous coal. However, CO2 emissions per MWh of electricity generated can vary
based on coal type (bituminous, sub-bituminous, lignite, etc.), plant location, and local environmental conditions.
How do utilities that operate in multiple states calculate their
aggregate retail sales for determining if they are required to comply
with the CES?
The clean energy requirement in S. 2146 indicates that non-exempt electric utilities that sell
electricity to consumers “in a State,” are required to comply with annual CES requirements. S.
2146 also indicates that the calculation of total electricity sold by a utility, for determining
whether or not a utility is exempt from the CES requirement, should include electricity sold by all
affiliates and associated companies. Utility companies that operate in multiple states may
question whether they should aggregate company, affiliate, and associated company sales within
each state or aggregate electricity sales from electric power operations in all states when
calculating their total sales to determine if they are required to comply with the CES.
Policy Question: How to Define Clean Energy?
Should Congress choose to continue evaluating the possible implementation of a Clean Energy
Standard for the U.S. electric power sector, future debate about the proposed policy may include
various topics associated with defining “clean energy.” S. 2146 defines clean energy based on
carbon dioxide emissions at the point when electricity is generated. However, S. 2146 generally
does not take into account potential emissions, waste, or other environmental impacts that might
occur throughout the entire lifecycle of electricity generation from various energy sources. Some
may argue that the entire lifecycle (energy extraction, transportation, land use, etc.) should be
considered when defining clean energy, while others may argue that a CES focused on reducing
electric power CO2 emissions is a sound approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Every energy source for electricity generation has benefits and drawbacks. Nuclear power can
provide carbon-free, reliable, and baseload electricity, yet there are concerns with disposal of
spent fuel and weapons proliferation. Natural gas generation emits roughly half the amount of
CO2, compared to coal, per MWh of electricity generated; however, there are environmental
concerns with natural gas extraction. Hydropower could be considered a carbon-free and
renewable source of electricity, but there are fish, wildlife, and water quality concerns associated
with hydropower development. Non-hydro renewable electricity, with possibly the exception of
biomass, is generally considered to be the cleanest source of power generation; however, there are
concerns with endangered species, animal habitat, land use, and other issues associated with
renewable electricity development.25
25
For more information about renewable electricity resources and challenges, see CRS Report R41954, U.S.
Renewable Electricity Generation: Resources and Challenges, by (name redacted) and (name redacted).
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Clean Energy Standard: Summary and Analysis of S. 2146
Author Contact Information
(name redacted)
Specialist in Energy Policy
[redacted]@crs.loc.gov, 7-....
Congressional Research Service
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