Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

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December 7, 2010

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R40145

CRS Report for Congress

Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress

Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Summary

EPA regulatory actions on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions using existing Clean Air Act

authority have been the main focus of congressional interest in clean air issues in recent months.

Although the agency and the Obama Administration have consistently said that they would prefer

that Congress pass legislation to address climate change, EPA has begun to develop regulations

using its existing authority. On December 15, 2009, the agency finalized an “endangerment

finding” under Section 202 of the Clean Air Act, which permits it (in fact, requires it) to regulate

pollutants for their effect as greenhouse gases for the first time. Relying on this finding, EPA

finalized GHG emission standards for cars and light trucks, April 1, 2010. The implementation of

these standards will, in turn, trigger permitting requirements and the imposition of Best Available

Control Technology for new major stationary sources of GHGs in January 2011.

It is the triggering of standards for stationary sources (power plants, manufacturing facilities, etc.)

that has raised the most concern in Congress: legislation has been introduced in both the House

and Senate aimed at preventing EPA from implementing these requirements. The legislation has

taken several forms, including the introduction of resolutions of disapproval for the endangerment

finding itself under the Congressional Review Act, and stand-alone legislation that would

forestall specific EPA regulatory actions. Meanwhile, EPA has itself promulgated regulations and

guidance that will limit the applicability of Clean Air Act GHG requirements, delaying the

applicability of requirements for all stationary sources until 2011 through guidance published

April 2, 2010, and focusing its regulatory efforts on the largest emitters while granting smaller

sources at least a six-year reprieve through what it calls the Greenhouse Gas “Tailoring Rule.”

The endangerment finding and EPA’s other actions, which were triggered by a 2007 Supreme

Court decision, came as Congress struggled with climate change and energy legislation. On June

26, 2009, the House narrowly passed H.R. 2454, a 1,428-page bill addressing a number of

interrelated energy and climate change issues. The bill would have established a cap-and-trade

program for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, beginning in 2012. In the Senate, both the

Environment and Public Works Committee and the Energy and Natural Resources Committee

reported bills (S. 1733 and S. 1462), but action subsequently bogged down, while a trio of

Senators began negotiating a climate bill from scratch. As the clock wound down on the 111th

Congress, it became less likely that climate legislation would be enacted, and more likely that

EPA’s actions would be the principal U.S. response to climate issues for now.

Besides addressing climate change, EPA has taken action on a number of conventional air

pollutants, generally in response to the courts. Several Bush Administration regulatory decisions

were vacated or remanded to the agency: among them, the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR)—a

rule designed to control the long-range transport of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides from

power plants, by establishing a cap-and-trade program—and the Clean Air Mercury Rule, which

would have established a cap-and-trade program for power plant mercury emissions. EPA will

address these court decisions through new regulations—the agency proposed a replacement for

CAIR July 6. Some in Congress have wanted to address these issues through legislation, an

approach that might reduce the likelihood of further court challenges. The agency is also in the

midst of reviewing ambient air quality standards for the six most widespread air pollutants. These

standards serve as EPA’s definition of clean air, and drive a wide range of regulatory controls.

This report provides an overview of clean air legislative and regulatory issues. More detailed

information on most of the issues can be found in other CRS reports, which are referenced

throughout this report.

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Contents

Introduction ................................................................................................................................1

EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Regulations .............................................................................................2

Legislation on Climate Change....................................................................................................4

Legislative and Regulatory Issues .........................................................................................5

Cap-and-Trade ................................................................................................................6

GHG Emission Standards................................................................................................7

HFC Cap-and-Trade........................................................................................................7

Removal of Existing EPA Authorities ..............................................................................8

Agricultural Sources of Emissions...................................................................................9

International Offsets........................................................................................................9

Tariff Provisions ........................................................................................................... 10

State Preemption ........................................................................................................... 10

Cost of the Bill.............................................................................................................. 11

Experience with Other Cap-and-Trade Systems ............................................................. 12

Emissions from Power Plants .................................................................................................... 13

Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) ........................................................................................ 14

North Carolina v. EPA................................................................................................... 14

Effects of the Decision .................................................................................................. 15

EPA’s CAIR Replacement: The Clean Air Transport Rule.............................................. 16

Judicial and Legislative Options.................................................................................... 17

Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR) ....................................................................................... 18

Background .................................................................................................................. 18

New Jersey v. EPA......................................................................................................... 18

Other Mercury Issues .................................................................................................... 19

Next Steps..................................................................................................................... 19

New Source Review............................................................................................................ 20

Air Quality Standards................................................................................................................ 23

Background .................................................................................................................. 23

Judicial Reviews ........................................................................................................... 27

CASAC’s Role.............................................................................................................. 27

Adequacy of Monitoring ............................................................................................... 27

NAAQS Implementation............................................................................................... 28

Tables

Table 1. Status of NAAQS Reviews .......................................................................................... 24

Contacts

Author Contact Information ...................................................................................................... 28

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Introduction

EPA regulatory actions to limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions using existing Clean Air Act

authority have been the major focus of congressional interest in clean air issues in recent months.

Members and Senators from both sides of the aisle have expressed concern that EPA is

proceeding with regulations that could have major economic impacts without direct congressional

authorization, and/or that EPA should delay taking such action until Congress specifically

authorizes it.

The Administration counters that it would prefer for Congress to pass new legislation to control

greenhouse gas emissions, but the Clean Air Act already requires action: a 2007 Supreme Court

decision interpreting that authority found that EPA must weigh whether GHG emissions endanger

public health and welfare and, if it concludes that they do, proceed with regulation.

The 111th Congress struggled to produce its own approach to climate change. On June 26, 2009,

the House narrowly passed H.R. 2454, a 1,428-page bill addressing a number of interrelated

energy and climate change issues. Among its numerous provisions, the bill would have

established cap-and-trade programs for GHG emissions, beginning in 2012. The Senate did not

act; however, two Senate committees reported bills,1 but the prospect of obtaining 60 votes for

either bill appeared slim, and neither came to the floor. Given these prospects, a trio of Senators

began negotiating a climate bill from scratch, but they also encountered difficulty: the process

ultimately lost its Republican sponsor and did not produce an introduced bill. Toward the end of

the second session, there was talk of a slimmed-down bill focusing on energy and perhaps electric

utilities, but even this limited approach did not come to the floor.

Besides legislation and potential EPA regulation of greenhouse gases, a bipartisan group of

Senators and EPA both considered addressing issues related to sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen

oxides (NOx), and mercury emissions from electric power plants. Regulations addressing these

emissions were vacated by the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals in 2008, leaving major potential

gaps in EPA and state regulations. EPA is developing new regulations to address the court’s

concerns and proposed regulations addressing SO2 and NOx, July 6,2010, but legislation might

provide a more straightforward solution, resolving ambiguities in current law and reducing the

likelihood of further delays from litigation. S. 2995, a bipartisan bill addressing these issues, was

introduced in the Senate and hearings were held, but no further action was taken.

The Obama Administration’s EPA has also moved to reconsider or modify several Bush

Administration decisions regarding national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS). NAAQS

represent EPA’s formal judgment regarding how clean the air must be to protect public health and

welfare; the standards set in motion monitoring and planning requirements, which in turn lead to

emission controls.

•

On January 19, 2010, the agency proposed a more stringent NAAQS for ozone,

having concluded that a 2008 revision to the standard did not satisfy the

requirements of the Clean Air Act. The revision could affect as many as 650

counties—virtually every county that currently has an ozone monitor. Final

action on this proposal is expected by the end of December.

1

The Environment and Public Works Committee reported S. 1733, and the Energy and Natural Resources Committee

reported S. 1462.

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•

On June 22, 2010, the agency promulgated revisions to the NAAQS for SO2; 59

counties would violate the new SO2 standard, based on the most recent

monitoring data.2 None violated the old standard.

•

The agency is also reviewing or has recently completed reviews of the NAAQS

for four other pollutants, notably particulates, which are emitted by a wide range

of mobile and stationary sources. A revised particulate standard is to be proposed

by February 2011. Early indications are that the agency may propose

substantially more stringent standards.3

This report provides a brief overview of the climate change, power plant, and air quality standard

issues. More detailed information on most of the issues can be found in other CRS reports, which

are referenced throughout this report.

EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Regulations

EPA’s actions to regulate GHG emissions stem from more than a decade of petitions and

litigation. Responding to a 1999 petition that it regulate greenhouse gases from new motor

vehicles, the agency in 2003 denied that it had such authority, arguing that GHGs did not fall

within the Clean Air Act’s definition of “air pollutants.” The denial was challenged by

Massachusetts, 11 other states, and various other petitioners in a case that ultimately reached the

Supreme Court. In an April 2, 2007, decision (Massachusetts v. EPA), the Court found by 5-4 that

EPA does have authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, since the emissions are clearly air

pollutants under the Clean Air Act’s definition of that term.4 The Court’s majority concluded that

EPA must, therefore, decide whether emissions of these pollutants from new motor vehicles

contribute to air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or

welfare. When it makes such an “endangerment finding,” the act requires the agency to establish

standards for emissions of the pollutants.

On December 15, 2009, acting in response to the Court’s decision, EPA finalized an

endangerment finding for greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles, under Section 202(a) of

the act.5 Relying on this finding, EPA promulgated GHG emission standards for new cars and

2

The number of counties that will be formally designated nonattainment is likely to be different from the 59 EPA

identified, for two reasons. First, EPA promulgated changes to the monitoring requirements along with the new

standard. Second, the actual designations will most likely be made based on 2009-2011 monitoring data, whereas the

59 counties were identified using 2007-2009 data.

3

On July 2, 2010, EPA released the Second External Review Draft of its Policy Assessment for the Review of the

Particulate Matter NAAQS. The draft represented EPA staff’s recommendations to the Administrator. It outlined

options for revising both the fine and coarse particulate standard, both of which would make the standards more

stringent. The draft is available at http://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/pm/s_pm_2007_pa.html. Information on the

status of all of the NAAQS revisions can be found below in the section of this report entitled “Air Quality Standards.”

4

Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497 (2007). The majority held: “The Clean Air Act’s sweeping definition of ‘air

pollutant’ includes ‘any air pollution agent or combination of such agents, including any physical, chemical ...

substance or matter which is emitted into or otherwise enters the ambient air.... ‘ ... Carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous

oxide, and hydrofluorocarbons are without a doubt ‘physical [and] chemical ... substances[s] which [are] emitted into ...

the ambient air.’ The statute is unambiguous.”

5

74 Federal Register 66496. While generally referred to as the “endangerment finding” (singular), the Federal

Register notice consists of two separate findings: a Finding that Emissions of Greenhouse Gases Endanger Public

Health and Welfare, and a Finding that Greenhouse Gases From Motor Vehicles Cause or Contribute to the

Endangerment of Public Health and Welfare.

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light trucks, April 1, 2010. The implementation of these standards will, in turn, trigger permitting

requirements and the imposition of Best Available Control Technology for new major stationary

sources of GHGs beginning in 2011. (For information on these regulations and permit

requirements, see CRS Report R40506, Cars, Trucks, and Climate: EPA Regulation of

Greenhouse Gases from Mobile Sources, and CRS Report R41212, EPA Regulation of

Greenhouse Gases: Congressional Responses and Options.)

The prospect of GHG standards for motor vehicles is not particularly controversial. On May 19,

2009, President Obama announced an agreement involving nine U.S. and foreign auto

manufacturers; the federal government; the governors of California, Michigan, and

Massachusetts; the United Auto Workers; and environmental groups under which EPA and the

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) would proceed with a joint

rulemaking in which GHG emissions from new motor vehicles would be reduced under the Clean

Air Act, while NHTSA would set corresponding fuel economy standards under the Corporate

Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) program.6 The objective of the new greenhouse gas standards is

to reach reduction levels similar to those adopted by the state of California and 13 other states,

who will harmonize their standards with those of EPA as part of the agreement. The California

standards required about a 30% reduction in GHG emissions from new vehicles by 2016. The

auto industry supported the national agreement, in part, to avoid having to meet standards on a

state-by-state basis; thus, it is not interested in seeing EPA’s motor vehicle GHG standards

blocked.

In addition to the motor vehicle GHG standards, EPA has received petitions asking the agency to

regulate GHGs from a variety of other sources, including coal mines, concentrated animal feeding

operations (CAFOs), aircraft, ocean-going ships, nonroad engines and equipment (e.g.,

construction equipment, farm equipment, recreational equipment, forklifts, harbor craft, and lawn

and garden equipment), and fuels. Another petition asks the agency to set National Ambient Air

Quality Standards for seven specific greenhouse gases. The agency also faces lawsuits seeking to

force it to regulate GHGs from stationary sources, including power plants, petroleum refineries,

nonroad vehicles and engines, and the Portland cement industry. The decision to move forward on

GHG standards for new motor vehicles is seen by many as a precedent for regulation of these

other sources. 7

Even without EPA decisions on these petitions or the conclusion of lawsuits, the adoption of

GHG standards for motor vehicles will trigger GHG permit requirements for new stationary

sources, as a result of language in Section 165 of the act that requires such permits to require best

available control technology for all pollutants “subject to regulation” under the act. It is this

triggering of standards for stationary sources (power plants, manufacturing facilities, and others)

that appears to have raised the most concern in Congress: legislation has been introduced in both

6

The President’s announcement and related documents, including a Notice of Upcoming Joint Rulemaking to Establish

Vehicle GHG Emissions and CAFE Standards, which appeared in the May 22, 2009 Federal Register, and both the

draft and final emission standards can be found at http://www.epa.gov/otaq/climate/regulations.htm. For additional

information, see CRS Report R40166, Automobile and Light Truck Fuel Economy: The CAFE Standards, by (name red

acted) and (name redacted) or CRS Report R40506,

Cars, Trucks, and Climate: EPA Regulation of Greenhouse

Gases from Mobile Sources, by (name redacted).

7

For a further discussion of these issues, see CRS Report R40984, Legal Consequences of EPA’s Endangerment

Finding for New Motor Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emissions, by (name redacted), CRS Report R40506,

Cars, Trucks, and

Climate: EPA Regulation of Greenhouse Gases from Mobile Sources, by (name redacted), and CRS Report R40585,

Climate Change: Potential Regulation of Stationary Greenhouse Gas Sources Under the Clean Air Act, by (name

redacted) and (name redacted).

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the House and Senate aimed at preventing EPA from implementing these requirements. The

legislation has taken several forms, including the introduction of resolutions of disapproval for

the endangerment finding itself under the Congressional Review Act (S.J.Res. 26, H.J.Res. 66,

H.J.Res. 76, and H.J.Res. 77), and five other bills that would either require EPA to reevaluate its

endangerment finding (H.Res. 974), amend the Clean Air Act to provide that greenhouse gases

are not subject to the act (H.R. 4396), limit EPA’s GHG authority to motor vehicle emissions (S.

1622), or suspend EPA actions regulating stationary source emissions of GHGs for two years (S.

3072, H.R. 4753). S.J.Res. 26, Senator Murkowski’s resolution of disapproval for the

endangerment finding, was defeated 53-47, on June 10, 2010. Meanwhile, EPA has itself

promulgated regulations and guidance that would delay the applicability of requirements for

stationary sources of GHGs until 2011 and focus its initial regulatory efforts on the largest

emitters, granting smaller sources at least a six-year reprieve. 8

Although both the resolutions of disapproval and the stand-alone legislation to restrict EPA’s

authority have received a great deal of attention, the path to enactment of either of these forms of

legislation would be a steep one. The Obama Administration has made the reduction of GHG

emissions one of its major goals; as a result, many conclude that legislation restricting EPA’s

authority to act, if passed by Congress, would encounter a presidential veto.

Addressing the issue through an amendment to the EPA appropriation, by cutting EPA’s

appropriation or by restricting its authority to use funds to take specific GHG regulatory actions,

might have more chance of enactment. The overall appropriation bill to which it would be

attached would presumably contain other elements that would make it more difficult to veto. This

approach was discussed at some length in the fall of 2009, when Senator Murkowski introduced

(but ultimately did not offer) S.Amdt. 2530 to the Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies

Appropriation Act (H.R. 2996).

In short, there are numerous ways that Congress can address EPA’s greenhouse gas authority, and

opponents of EPA action may continue to exert pressure to delay or limit the agency’s actions, as

the agency continues on its planned course. (For a more detailed discussion of EPA’s regulatory

actions and potential congressional responses, see CRS Report R41212, EPA Regulation of

Greenhouse Gases: Congressional Responses and Options, by (name redacted) and (name

redacted).)

Legislation on Climate Change

On June 26, 2009, by a vote of 219-212, the House passed H.R. 2454, the American Clean

Energy and Security Act of 2009. The bill, also referred to by its acronym (ACES) or as the

Waxman-Markey bill, addresses a number of interrelated energy and climate change issues. The

Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee and the Senate Environment and Public Works

Committee reported Senate counterparts: S. 1462 (Bingaman), equivalent to the energy titles, and

S. 1733, the Kerry-Boxer bill, establishing a cap-and-trade system and other measures to address

climate change. The Kerry-Boxer bill faced strong opposition, however. The Republican

8

EPA has promulgated two rules that would have these effects: “Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Title V

Greenhouse Gas Tailoring Rule,” final rule, 75 Federal Register 31514, June 3, 2010; and “Reconsideration of

Interpretation of Regulations that Determine Pollutants Covered by Clean Air Act Permitting Programs,” final rule, 75

Federal Register 17004, April 2, 2010.

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members of the Environment and Public Works Committee boycotted the markup. The bill was

reported with no Republican support and less than unanimous support among Democrats: it was

clear that the bill would lack the 60 votes necessary to overcome a filibuster and secure passage

on the floor. As a result, negotiations took place among a trio of Senators (Kerry, Graham, and

Lieberman) for a bipartisan (or, more accurately, tripartisan) alternative. This legislation, without

Senator Graham’s sponsorship, circulated extensively in draft form in 2010, but was not

introduced.

Controlling greenhouse gas emissions was among the highest priorities of the congressional

leadership and the Obama Administration in the 111th Congress. It would have been addressed in

the ACES legislation in a number of ways, many of which would have amended the Clean Air

Act. The remainder of the climate portion of this report discusses the House bill and the issues

that arose in the course of its consideration, with occasional references to developments in the

Senate.

The House bill would have amended the Clean Air Act to establish a cap-and-trade program9

(similar to the act’s current program for addressing acid rain) to limit greenhouse gas (GHG)

emissions beginning in 2012.10 The emissions cap on covered sources would have gradually

declined—from 3% below the 2005 emissions level in 2012 to 83% below in 2050. In addition to

the cap-and-trade program, the bill would have established renewable energy and energy

efficiency requirements, mandated carbon capture and sequestration by new coal-fired electric

generating units, and required EPA to set GHG emission standards for various sources. The bill

distributed the cap-and-trade program’s emission allowances to a wide array of sectors in an

effort to address potential impacts on low income households and protect industries that might be

subject to import competition from countries with less stringent GHG requirements, and it

encouraged the use of “offsets” (emission reductions in sectors not directly covered by the capand-trade program). The cap-and-trade program in S. 1733 was similar.11

Legislative and Regulatory Issues

In an earlier version of this report, we discussed five broad issues that climate legislation would

need to address: (1) how a new program regulating greenhouse gas emissions would relate to the

Clean Air Act, which gives EPA broad authority to set standards for air pollutants—potentially

including GHGs; (2) whether legislation would focus on individual sectors of the economy, the

economy as a whole, or both; (3) whether a cap-and-trade system would be the best approach,

and, if it were chosen, the specifics of such a system:

•

the comprehensiveness of the program,

9

A cap-and-trade system sets a declining national cap on emissions and allocates emission allowances that can be

bought and sold on open markets. For additional information, CRS Report RL34513, Climate Change: Current Issues

and Policy Tools, by (name redacted).

10

Seven greenhouse gases were listed in Section 711 of the bill: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide

(N2O), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and nitrogen trifluoride (NF3).

The EPA Administrator would have been given authority to designate additional gases. The bill also provided specific

authority to promulgate regulations for black carbon emissions.

11

For a summary and comparison of the House and Senate bills, see CRS Report R40896, Climate Change:

Comparison of the Cap-and-Trade Provisions in H.R. 2454 and S. 1733, by (name redacted), (name redacted),

and (name redacted).

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

•

how allowances (which are essentially permits to emit GHGs) would be

distributed or sold,

•

how allowance price volatility might be addressed,

•

what measures would be taken to address potential effects on U.S. industries visa-vis foreign competitors, and

•

what role there might be for offsets (i.e., credit for emission reductions by

sources outside the cap-and-trade program);

(4) what role there would be for carbon taxes; and (5) what role there would be for state

programs—in particular, the degree to which a federal program might preempt state measures

affecting similar sources.

The Waxman-Markey bill, as passed by the House, addressed most of these issues. 12 It would

have both established an economy-wide cap-and-trade system and addressed individual sectors of

the economy and categories of emitters. In addition to capping GHG emissions, it set forth energy

efficiency and renewable energy requirements aimed at reducing the emissions of individual

sectors, notably electric utilities, cars and trucks, electrical appliances, and commercial or

government buildings. Together, these sectors account for the lion’s share of energy use and GHG

emissions. The bill would have amended the Clean Air Act to remove potential authority that EPA

has to regulate GHGs under several broadly worded sections of the existing statute, while

establishing new requirements that EPA set standards for specific emission sources. It would not

have established a carbon tax. In general, it would not have preempted state authority to set

standards for GHG emission sources, but it would have preempted state and regional cap-andtrade systems for the period 2012-2017.

S. 1733, reported by the Environment and Public Works Committee on February 2, 2010, had

similar provisions. The following sections discuss these provisions in more detail, as well as

issues that arose during floor debate on the House bill. 13

Cap-and-Trade

The House bill would have added a new Title VII to the act, in which an economy-wide cap-andtrade program for GHGs would have been established. The cap for GHG emissions from major

sources of emissions decreased 3% by 2012, 17% by 2020, 42% by 2030, and 83% by 2050,

compared to 2005 levels. As the cap (and hence, the number of allowances) was gradually

ratcheted down, markets would have determined who would reduce emissions: companies that

could do so at low cost would have incentives to take action; companies with fewer or more

costly options could buy allowances or offsets14 to cover excess emissions.

12

For a detailed summary of the Waxman-Markey bill, see CRS Report R40643, Greenhouse Gas Legislation:

Summary and Analysis of H.R. 2454 as Passed by the House of Representatives, coordinated by (name redacted) and (name

redacted).

13

CRS has several reports summarizing or comparing the House and Senate bills, the broadest of which are CRS

Report R40643, Greenhouse Gas Legislation: Summary and Analysis of H.R. 2454 as Passed by the House of

Representatives , coordinated by (name redacted) and (name redacted), and CRS Report R40896,

Climate Change:

Comparison of the Cap-and-Trade Provisions in H.R. 2454 and S. 1733, by (name redacted), (name redacted),

and (name redacted).

14

An offset is a measurable reduction, avoidance, or sequestration of GHG emissions from a source not covered by an

(continued...)

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GHG Emission Standards

In addition to the cap-and-trade system, the bill also would have added a new Title VIII to the act,

in which standards for specific sources of GHG emissions were addressed. Under Title VIII, EPA

would have been required to

•

set performance standards for CO2 removal from new coal-fired power plants—

50% removal for units initially permitted after January 1, 2009, and 65% for

units initially permitted after January 1, 2020. These standards would not have

taken effect until 2025, or four years after EPA determined that carbon capture

and sequestration technology had met criteria for commercialization specified in

the bill, whichever is earlier;

•

promulgate regulations within two years of enactment to minimize the risk of

atmospheric release of CO2 from geologic sequestration sites, and develop a

certification and permitting process for such sites;

•

promulgate GHG emission standards that reflect the greatest degree of emissions

reduction achievable for new heavy duty motor vehicles and engines, by

December 31, 2010;

•

promulgate GHG emission standards that reflect the greatest degree of emissions

reduction achievable for nonroad vehicles or engines, by December 31, 2012;

•

set New Source Performance Standards and corresponding regulations for

existing uncapped major sources of GHGs, generally within three years of the

date of enactment; and

•

report on black carbon emissions, including an inventory of sources and

identification of cost-effective control technologies, and, within two years of

enactment, either promulgate regulations to reduce emissions or find that existing

Clean Air Act regulations provide adequate control.

HFC Cap-and-Trade

The bill would also have amended Title VI of the Clean Air Act to establish a separate cap-andtrade program for hydrofluorocarbons, refrigerants used in air conditioning systems, which, with

one exception, have a global warming potential 1,000-15,000 times as great as CO2. HFC

production and imports would have been capped at 90% of baseline levels in 2012, and the cap

would have declined each year until it reached 15% of the baseline in 2033. The baseline amount

would have been the amount that EPA determined was the annual average consumed in the period

2004-2006, but not higher than 370 million tons of CO2 equivalent, nor less than 280 million

tons.

(...continued)

emission reduction program. Examples might include planting trees on previously non-forested lands, capturing

methane emissions from agricultural sources, or implementing an energy-efficiency project in a developing country

that has no GHG reduction program.

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Removal of Existing EPA Authorities

Among the more controversial aspects of H.R. 2454 was its removal of numerous potential

authorities under current law that the agency could use to control emissions of GHGs. Under the

Obama Administration, the authority EPA already possesses has taken on new significance. The

President is committed to addressing GHG emissions, and he can use existing Clean Air Act

authority in a number of ways to do so. For starters, the agency proposed on April 17, 2009, and

finalized December 15 an “endangerment finding” under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act.

This finding permits EPA to establish GHG emission standards for motor vehicles. On May 19,

2009, before finalizing the endangerment finding, the President announced that EPA would move

forward with the motor vehicle standards. EPA promulgated the standards April 1, 2010.

Implementation of the first limits is scheduled for the 2012 model year. EPA also proposed GHG

emission standards for medium- and heavy-duty trucks and engines, November 30, 2010.

In addition to the pending controls on cars and trucks, EPA has received nine additional petitions

to regulate GHG emissions from coal mines, concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs),

ships, non-road engines, aircraft, and fuels. Any of these petitions could prompt further agency

action. Another petition asks the agency to set National Ambient Air Quality Standards for seven

specific greenhouse gases. The agency also faces lawsuits seeking to force it to regulate GHGs

from stationary sources, including power plants, petroleum refineries, and the Portland cement

industry. The decisions on motor vehicle standards are likely to serve as precedents for some of

the other decisions, and may have implications for the agency’s position in the pending litigation.

During the Bush Administration, some groups, including EPA, four Cabinet departments, and the

Office of Management and Budget, expressed concern that proceeding with GHG standards for

motor vehicles would activate numerous other Clean Air Act provisions.15 Addressing these

concerns, H.R. 2454 would have prevented EPA from setting National Ambient Air Quality

Standards for GHGs solely on the basis of their effect on global climate change. It would have

prohibited the agency from regulating GHGs under Section 115’s provisions for international air

pollution. It would have prohibited regulation of GHGs as hazardous air pollutants under Section

112. It would have prohibited the use of New Source Review to regulate GHG emissions under

the Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) program. And no stationary source of GHGs

would have been required to obtain a permit under Title V of the act solely because of its GHG

emissions. Of these, only the two permit provisions (PSD-NSR, and Title V) have been invoked

by EPA, thus far, and the agency has taken steps to limit their applicability.16 The other authorities

seem, for the most part, ill-designed to address GHG emissions.17 Nevertheless, advocates of

15

See U.S. EPA, “Regulating Greenhouse Gas Emissions Under the Clean Air Act,” Advance Notice of Proposed

Rulemaking, 73 Federal Register 44354, July 30, 2008.

16

EPA shares congressional concerns about the potentially broad scope of the permit requirements, primarily because a

literal reading of the act might require as many as 6 million stationary sources to obtain permits. Thus, on June 3, 2010,

the agency promulgated a “Tailoring Rule” so that it can focus its resources on the largest emitters while deciding over

a six-year period what to do about smaller sources. The Tailoring Rule is available at http://www.epa.gov/nsr/

actions.html#may10. A separate guidance document, “Reconsideration of Interpretation of Regulations that Determine

Pollutants Covered by Clean Air Act Permitting Programs,” at 75 Federal Register 17004, April 2, 2010, delays the

effective date of the permit requirements to January 2, 2011.

17

In general, for example, the act defines major emission sources as those that emit more than 100 or 250 tons per year

of a pollutant: as noted above, this would include as many as 6 million sources in the case of CO2, potentially

overburdening EPA and state environmental agencies. Thus, the Clean Air Act’s existing authority may be useful as a

starting point, but most observers conclude that a new control program designed specifically to address GHGs would

make more sense.

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retaining the authorities questioned the necessity of their removal. (For a further discussion of

these authorities, see CRS Report R40585, Climate Change: Potential Regulation of Stationary

Greenhouse Gas Sources Under the Clean Air Act, and CRS Report R41212, EPA Regulation of

Greenhouse Gases: Congressional Responses and Options.)

Agricultural Sources of Emissions

Another major controversy concerned the treatment of agricultural sources of emissions in the

Waxman-Markey bill. The bill would have excluded the “agricultural and forestry sectors”

(undefined in the bill) from its emissions cap. It would also have excluded sources of methane

from enteric fermentation (livestock) from the standards that EPA must promulgate for uncapped

emission sources. Instead, it would have treated agriculture and forestry activities as a source of

offsets (reductions from sources outside the cap-and-trade system) that could be purchased by

capped sources and used in place of allowances. The bill would have allowed the use of up to 1

billion offset credits from domestic sources annually.

Industrial and electric utility emitters subject to the GHG cap would presumably have purchased

offsets if the cost of doing so were less than the cost of controlling their own emissions or of

purchasing allowances. As a result, agriculture and forestry could have earned substantial sums

for activities undertaken to reduce their GHG emissions—from $3.7 billion to $7.8 billion

annually in gross revenues using an initial set of CBO assumptions. 18 USDA’s Economic

Research Service was less sanguine about the near-term revenues; nevertheless, its analysis

“strongly suggests that revenue from agricultural offsets ... rise faster than costs to agriculture

from cap and trade legislation.”19

The agriculture provisions helped insure some support for the bill from the agricultural

community, but raised concerns among those who favored a more stringent bill. Of particular

concern to the latter group was the bill’s delegation of authority over the offset program to the

Department of Agriculture rather than to EPA.

International Offsets

The bill would also have allowed up to 1 billion offset credits to be generated annually by

international sequestration or emission reduction activities. If fewer than 1 billion domestic

offsets were used, up to 500 million additional international offsets could have been substituted,

raising the total permissible international offsets to as many as 1.5 billion in any given year. The

18

In its June 5 cost estimate for H.R. 2454 as ordered reported, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that

allowance prices would range from $16 per ton in 2012 to $26 per ton in 2019. Based on EPA data on the available

supply of domestic offsets at different prices, CBO estimated that covered entities would use domestic offsets to

substitute for about 230 million allowances in 2012 and about 300 million allowances in 2020. Under these

assumptions, the value of offset credits to the agricultural and forestry sectors would range from $3.68 billion in 2012

to as much as $7.8 billion in 2020. See Congressional Budget Office Cost Estimate, “H.R. 2454, American Clean

Energy and Security Act of 2009, as ordered reported by the House Committee on Energy and Commerce on May 21,

2009,” June 5, 2009, at http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/102xx/doc10262/hr2454.pdf. EPA estimates were lower: the

agency’s modeling projected domestic offset revenues at $2.3 billion in 2015 and $3.0 billion in 2020. Offset providers

would, of course, incur costs to undertake the activities that generate the offsets, so net revenues would be lower than

these estimates in each case.

19

Office of the Chief Economist, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, “A Preliminary

Analysis of the Effects of H.R. 2454 on U.S. Agriculture,” July 22, 2009, p. 11.

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objective of this provision was to provide emission reductions at a lower cost than domestic GHG

controls and reduce emissions from developing countries. 20 Opponents of the provision, however,

viewed it as a give-away to countries that choose not to participate in internationally agreed

reduction requirements.

Tariff Provisions

For more than a decade, a primary concern in the climate debate has been how a GHG emissions

cap or other GHG controls would affect the competitiveness of U.S. industry: whether, for

example, it might lead manufacturers of carbon-intensive goods to relocate production to

countries with weaker GHG regulations or no cap at all. A number of options have been proposed

to address this “carbon leakage” concern, including directly supporting domestic carbon-intensive

industries, imposing countervailing duties or allowance requirements on imports from countries

with weaker GHG requirements, and/or developing sectoral approaches that address the

emissions of specific industries worldwide. 21

H.R. 2454 would have established an allowance rebate program for energy-intensive, tradeexposed industries. The net effect of the program would have been that these industries (likely to

include iron and steel, aluminum, and other energy-intensive heavy industry) would have been

given free allowances until 2025. Starting then, the rebates would have been phased out over a

10-year period.

EPA, with the concurrence of U.S. Customs, would also have been required to establish

international reserve allowance requirements (tariff provisions) for imports of energy-intensive

trade-exposed goods from countries that have not entered into international agreements for GHG

emission reductions at least as stringent as those of the United States. This provision, which

would have begun in 2020, was singled out by the President after the bill’s passage as an area of

concern. Earlier versions of the bill would have given the President tariff authority, but would

have allowed him greater discretion not to impose the tariffs.

State Preemption

A number of states, notably California and the Northeastern states, have already begun programs

to reduce GHG emissions. (For a discussion, see CRS Report RL33812, Climate Change: Action

by States to Address Greenhouse Gas Emissions.) Although the federal government under the

Bush Administration challenged some of these programs, particularly those affecting mobile

sources, states do have clear authority to regulate emissions from power plants, landfills,

residential and commercial buildings, and other stationary sources of GHGs. The extent to which

such state programs might serve as national models (or that a patchwork of state programs might

serve as a catalyst to a stronger federal regime) has been one set of issues; another is the degree to

which a federal program might preempt state measures affecting similar sources.

20

Many of the least cost GHG reduction options may be in developing countries, but verification of the baseline

emissions and of the continued application of emission controls could pose challenges to the regulatory authority in

such cases. For a discussion of offsets, see CRS Report RL34436, The Role of Offsets in a Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Cap-and-Trade Program: Potential Benefits and Concerns, by (name redacted).

21

For a discussion, see CRS Report R40100, “Carbon Leakage” and Trade: Issues and Approaches, by (name redacted)

and (name redacted).

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The Waxman-Markey bill would generally have left the states’ authority to set standards for

stationary sources of GHGs intact. One exception would have been that state and regional capand-trade programs for GHGs would have been preempted from 2012 through 2017. The bill also

would have preserved EPA’s authority to grant waivers to California for mobile source GHG

standards.

Cost of the Bill

Among the most important issues in the House debate was the prospective cost of the bill. In an

earlier CRS report, CRS noted that long-term cost projections, particularly for a bill that would

reduce GHG emissions over the course of four decades, are at best speculative.22 Over such a

long period of time, uncertainty about the future direction of the basic drivers of greenhouse gas

emissions and the economy’s responsiveness (economically, technologically, and behaviorally)

make economic models unable to predict the ultimate macroeconomic costs of a GHG reduction

program.

Despite this and similar caveats offered by other analysts, estimates of the bill’s impact were

widely cited both by opponents and proponents in the House debate. Opponents of the bill

claimed that it would impose costs of as much as $3,100 annually per family, one source of which

was a 2007 assessment of U.S. cap-and-trade proposals prepared by MIT’s Joint Program on the

Science and Policy of Global Change. The author of that study, in letters to the House minority

leader and the Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming, stated that the

study’s conclusions had been misstated.23

At the other end of the spectrum, EPA estimated that the costs of the reported bill (prior to some

of the final changes) would be $80 to $111 per family, annually,24 or as proponents have

sometimes expressed it, less than the cost of a postage stamp a day. EPA’s lower cost was, in part,

the result of assuming cost-saving energy technologies and including the availability of low-cost

emission offsets from both domestic and international sources. As noted above, the House bill

would have allowed the use of as many as 2 billion offsets annually (out of a total allowance pool

of 5-6 billion in the initial years). Questions have been raised whether so many offsets would

actually be available, especially in the short term.25

22

CRS Report RL34489, Climate Change: Costs and Benefits of S. 2191/S. 3036, by (name redacted) and (name red

acted). A report addressing the costs of H.R. 2454 (CRS Report R40809,

Climate Change: Costs and Benefits of

the Cap-and-Trade Provisions of H.R. 2454, by (name redacted) and (name redacted)) reaches similar conclusions,

while analyzing the results of seven studies that have modeled the costs of H.R. 2454.

23

In an April 1, 2009 letter, John Reilly, Associate Director of the MIT program, stated that the $3,100 estimate “... is

nearly 10 times the correct estimate which is approximately $340.” The $3,100 figure was widely quoted, including

during House debate on H.R. 2454, June 26. The letters stating that the cost data were being misrepresented appeared at

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/documents/2009/04/mit-scientist-republicans-confused-about-my-climate-changestudy.php?page=1.

24

U.S. EPA, Office of Atmospheric Programs, EPA Analysis of the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009,

H.R. 2454, in the 111th Congress, June 23, 2009, at http://energycommerce.house.gov/Press_111/20090623/

hr2454_epaanalysis2.pdf.

25

For example, see “How Realistic Are Expectations for the Role of Greenhouse Gas Offsets in U.S. Climate Policy?”

World Resources Institute Working Paper, March 2009, at http://pdf.wri.org/working_papers/

greenhouse_gas_offsets_in_us_climate_policy_phase1.pdf.

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A related issue was the impact of the bill on the federal deficit. In a letter dated June 26, 2009, the

Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) estimated that

enacting the legislation would increase revenues by $873 billion over the 2010-2019 period

and would increase direct spending by $864 billion over that 10-year period. In total, CBO

and JCT estimate that enacting the legislation would reduce future budget deficits by about

$4 billion over the 2010-2014 period and by about $9 billion over the 2010-2019 period.26

Whatever the true cost, a bill of this size, affecting numerous sectors of the economy, would be

bound to create winners and losers, even if its net impact on the economy or on federal revenues

were small. The result was intense lobbying, as affected industries/states/regions/labor unions/etc.

attempted to shape the bill to their advantage.

Experience with Other Cap-and-Trade Systems

Although now disparaged by opponents of climate legislation, cap-and-trade programs have had

an enviable reputation over most of the last two decades, largely based on the success of the

Clean Air Act’s acid rain program. That program imposed a cap on sulfur dioxide emissions for a

limited number of electric power plants in 1995, and in 2000 lowered the cap and expanded

coverage to more plants. It met its emission reduction goals at low cost, with virtually 100%

compliance, and with minimal administrative oversight.

The success of the program was at least partly the result of the favorable circumstances in which

it was implemented: the reduction targets were easily met because of an abundant supply of cheap

low-sulfur coal; there were only about 1,000 entities (power plants) covered by the trading

program, making it simple and inexpensive to monitor and administer; and most of the regulated

entities were allowed 10 years to achieve compliance, by which time early reductions had

generated an enormous number of extra allowances that helped lubricate the trading system.

Some other trading programs have not been as successful. Southern California’s Regional Clean

Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM), for example, which was implemented in 1994 to reduce

emissions of NOx and SO2 in the Los Angeles area, saw a 50-fold increase in NOx allowance

prices during the 2000-2001 California energy crisis. To permit its continued functioning and

allow utilities to use backup power generators, electric utilities were removed from the

RECLAIM system, charged a flat fee of $15,000 per ton for excess emissions, and subjected to

new command and control requirements (i.e., the type of regulation the trading system was

designed to avoid). The European GHG trading system (EU-ETS), established to help European

Union countries meet their Kyoto Protocol targets, saw wild swings in short-term allowance

prices during its start-up years, making planning and decision-making difficult for participating

entities. 27

Both supporters and opponents have cited previous experience with cap-and-trade systems to

buttress their arguments, and the House bill’s GHG cap-and-trade system was designed to deal

with several of the problems experienced by previous systems. Among the most notable of the

26

Letter of Douglas W. Elmendorf, Director, CBO, to Hon. Henry A. Waxman, Chairman, Committee on Energy and

Commerce, June 26, 2009, p. 1.

27

For additional information on the EU trading system, see CRS Report RL34150, Climate Change and the EU

Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS): Kyoto and Beyond, by (name redacted).

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design features were mechanisms to address potential volatility of allowance prices. The bill

addressed cost control through five main mechanisms: (1) unlimited banking and limited

borrowing of allowances, (2) a two-year compliance period, (3) a strategic auction with a reserve

price to increase the availability of allowances in the early years of the program, (4) periodic

auctions with a reserve price, and (5) generous limits on the use of offsets.28

Emissions from Power Plants

In addition to climate change, other clean air issues with a shorter time horizon are being

addressed by EPA. Many of these have to do with emissions from electric power plants.

Coal-fired power plants are among the largest sources of air pollution in the United States. Under

the Clean Air Act, however, they are not necessarily subject to stringent requirements: emissions

and the required control equipment can vary depending on the location of the plant, when it was

constructed, whether it has undergone major modifications, the specific type of fuel it burns, and,

to some extent, the vagaries of EPA enforcement policies. More than half a dozen separate Clean

Air Act programs could potentially be used to control emissions, which makes compliance

strategy complicated for utilities and difficult for regulators. Because the cost of the most

stringent available controls, for the entire industry, could range into the tens of billions of dollars,

utilities have fought hard and rather successfully to limit or delay regulations affecting them,

particularly with respect to plants constructed before the Clean Air Act of 1970 was passed.

As a result, emissions from power plants have not been reduced as much as those from some

other sources. Many plants built in the 1950s and 1960s (generally referred to as “grandfathered”

plants) have little emission control equipment.

Collectively, power plants are large sources of pollution. In 2005, they accounted for 10.2 million

tons of sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions (70% of the U.S. total), 52 tons of mercury emissions

(46% of the U.S. total), and 3.6 million tons of nitrogen oxides (19% of the U.S. total). Power

plants are also considered major sources of fine particles (PM2.5), many of which form in the

atmosphere from emissions from a wide range of stationary and mobile sources. In addition,

power plants account for about 40% of U.S. anthropogenic emissions of the greenhouse gas

carbon dioxide.

With new ambient air quality standards for ozone, fine particles, and SO2 taking effect, emissions

of NOx and SO2 will necessarily have to be reduced to meet standards.29 (These standards are

discussed below under “Air Quality Standards.”) For more than a decade, mercury emissions

have also been a focus of concern: 48 states have issued fish consumption advisories due to

mercury pollution, covering 14 million acres of lakes, 882,000 river miles, and the coastal waters

of 13 entire states. The continuing controversy over the interpretation of New Source Review

requirements for existing power plants (also discussed below) has exerted pressure for a more

predictable regulatory structure, as well.

28

For more information, see CRS Report R40643, Greenhouse Gas Legislation: Summary and Analysis of H.R. 2454

as Passed by the House of Representatives, coordinated by (name redacted) and (name redacted).

29

NOx contributes to the formation of ozone and fine particles; SO2, besides being a regulated pollutant in its own

right, is also among the sources of fine particles.

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Thus, some in industry, environmental groups, Congress, and the last two Administrations have

said that legislation addressing power plant pollution in a comprehensive (multi-pollutant)

fashion would be desirable. Such legislation would address the major pollutants on a coordinated

schedule and would rely, to a large extent, on a system such as the one used in the acid rain

program, where national or regional caps on emissions are implemented through a system of

tradable allowances. The key questions have been how stringent the caps should be and whether

carbon dioxide (CO2), the major gas of concern with regard to climate change, would be among

the emissions subject to a cap.

Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR)

The Senate Environment and Public Works Committee has voted twice on a multi-pollutant bill

(in 2002 and 2005), but neither of the bills progressed to the Senate floor. In the House, similar

bills have been introduced, but none has progressed to markup. On March 10, 2005, therefore,

EPA announced that it would use existing Clean Air Act authority to promulgate final regulations

similar to the Bush Administration’s multi-pollutant bill (the “Clear Skies” bill30) for utility

emissions of SO2 and NOx in 28 eastern states and the District of Columbia.31

The Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) established cap-and-trade provisions for SO2 and NOx.32

CAIR covered only the eastern half of the country, but since most of the grandfathered generation

capacity is located in the East and South, EPA projected that nationwide emissions of SO2 would

decline 53% by 2015 and NOx emissions 56%.33 The agency also projected that the rule would

result in $85-$100 billion in health benefits annually by 2015, including the annual prevention of

17,000 premature deaths. CAIR’s health and environmental benefits would be more than 25 times

greater than its costs, according to EPA.

North Carolina v. EPA

CAIR was one of the few Bush Administration environmental initiatives that was generally

supported by environmentalists. It also had broad support among the regulated community. But a

variety of petitioners, including the state of North Carolina, which argued that the rule was not

strong enough to address pollution from upwind sources, and some individual utilities that felt

they were unfairly treated by the rule’s emission budgets, challenged the rule in the D.C. Circuit,

and the court vacated it July 11, 2008. A unanimous court found that EPA had established a

significant contribution made by power plants to nonattainment of standards and failure to

maintain standards in downwind states, as required by Section 110 of the Clean Air Act, but the

30

President Bush first proposed the Clear Skies Act on February 14, 2002, and the bill was introduced by request in the

107th Congress as H.R. 5266/S. 2815. In the 109th Congress, a somewhat modified Clear Skies bill, introduced as S.

131, was considered by the Environment and Public Works Committee, but failed to advance, on a 9-9 vote. Clear

Skies was not introduced in the 110th Congress.

31

The rule appeared in the Federal Register two months later. See U.S. EPA, “Ambient air quality standards,

national—Fine particulate matter and ozone; interstate transport control measures,” 70 Federal Register 25162, May

12, 2005.

32

A separate regulation, the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR), promulgated at the same time, established a ClearSkies-like cap-and-trade system for mercury emissions. It is described in a separate section below.

33

As compared to nationwide emissions from electric generating units in 2001. Some of the projected reduction would

be due to pre-existing regulations. See U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Radiation, Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final

Clean Air Interstate Rule, March 2005, pp. 3-3 and 3-4, at http://www.epa.gov/cair/pdfs/finaltech08.pdf.

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court concluded that the agency’s methodology for establishing emission budgets for each state

was unrelated to that link. 34 The court also found that the choice of 2015 for a second phase

compliance deadline, based on technological and economic feasibility, ignored EPA’s statutory

mandate. It found the fuel adjustment factors in the rule (which set more stringent requirements

for natural gas- and oil-fired plants than for coal-fired ones) to be arbitrary and capricious. It

concluded: “CAIR’s flaws are deep. No amount of tinkering ... will transform CAIR, as written,

into an acceptable rule.”35

Despite the seemingly high hurdle set by the language the court used, EPA, environmental

groups, and the utility and mining industries asked the court to review its decision. On December

23, 2008, the court modified its decision, allowing CAIR to remain in effect until a new rule is

promulgated by EPA. 36 The court was not specific about how long this process would be allowed

to take, but stated:

Though we do not impose a particular schedule by which EPA must alter CAIR, we remind

EPA that we do not intend to grant an indefinite stay of the effectiveness of this court’s

decision. Our opinion revealed CAIR’s fundamental flaws, which EPA must still remedy.37

Effects of the Decision

From a policy standpoint, the court’s vacatur of CAIR would remove the lynchpin of the Bush

Administration’s approach to clean air. CAIR was a principal means by which EPA projected that

nonattainment areas in the eastern half of the country would attain the ozone and fine particulate

National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS); in the agency’s analysis, it would also have

been responsible for achieving the lion’s share of reductions in mercury emissions from coal-fired

power plants (as discussed further below); it would have addressed regional haze impacts from

power plants; and it would have addressed state petitions to control upwind sources of ozone and

fine particulate pollution, making controls on individual power plants under Section 126 of the

Clean Air Act unnecessary, according to EPA. Thus, EPA asked the court to reconsider its

decision, which led the court to announce that it would delay issuing its mandate.

There is general agreement among the states, electric utilities, and environmental groups that

something like CAIR should be salvaged.

•

Without CAIR, most eastern states would have huge gaps in their emission

control programs, which would have to be filled by other regulatory measures if

the states are to attain the NAAQS by the statutory deadlines. The states could be

subject to sanctions, including a suspension of federal highway funding for new

projects, if they fail to adopt such measures.

•

For the utilities, CAIR was designed to build on the existing regulatory

framework of cap-and-trade programs under the acid rain program and the “NOx

SIP Call.”38 Anticipating the ability to bank and trade emission allowances under

34

North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir. 2008).

Id. at 930.

36

North Carolina v. EPA, 2008 Westlaw 5335481 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 23, 2008).

37

Id. at *1.

35

38

The acid rain program is described above on p. 11. The NOx SIP Call, implemented in 2004, is a cap-and-trade

program for control of nitrogen oxide emissions in the eastern half of the country.

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CAIR, numerous utilities have already invested in equipment to meet or exceed

CAIR’s requirements, the first phase of which are now being implemented.

•

For environmental groups, which found little to their liking in the Bush

Administration, CAIR was the major exception. They argued for a stronger

version of CAIR—particularly its second phase, to be implemented in 2015—but

they generally supported the basic approach.

EPA’s CAIR Replacement: The Clean Air Transport Rule

On July 6, 2010, EPA proposed a replacement for CAIR, the Clean Air Transport Rule.39 The

transport rule would leave the CAIR Phase 1 limits in place and would set new limits replacing

CAIR’s second phase in 2012 and 2014, up to three years earlier than CAIR would have.

The CAIR Phase 1 rules already appear to be having substantial effects. On August 11, 2010, EPA

reported that emissions of SO2 had declined sharply in both 2008 and 2009: in the latter year,

emissions from fossil-fueled power plants in the lower 48 states (at 5.7 million tons) were 44%

below 2005 levels. NOx emissions from the same sources declined to 1.8 million tons in 2009, a

decline of 45% compared to 2005.40 Further reductions of both SO2 and NOx can be expected as

Phase 1 takes effect.

The proposed transport rule would build on these reductions. It would establish a second and third

phase of reductions in 2012 and 2014, with particular emphasis on SO2—emissions of which

would decline to 3.8 million tons (62% below 2005 levels) in 2014. The proposed rule would

cover 31 Eastern, Midwestern, and Southern states and the District of Columbia, adding three

new states (Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska) to the 28 covered by CAIR. The rule would allow

unlimited trading of allowances within individual states, but it would limit interstate trading in

order to comply with the D.C. Circuit’s ruling. In order to insure that the rule is implemented

quickly, EPA proposed a Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) for each of the states: the FIP

specifies budgets for each state based on controlling emissions from electric power plants. States

may develop their own State Implementation Plans and choose to control other types of sources if

they wish, but the federal plan will take effect unless the state acts.

EPA estimates that the rule will cost the power sector $2.8 billion annually in 2014, but it expects

the benefits to be 40 to 100 times as great—an estimated $120 billion to $290 billion annually.

The most important benefit would be 14,000 to 36,000 fewer premature deaths annually. Avoided

deaths and other benefits occur throughout the East, Midwest, and South, according to EPA, with

Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York benefitting the most.41

Because the agency is near finalizing more stringent ambient air quality standards for ozone, it

stated its intention to propose another transport rule in 2011 to address any additional emission

reductions needed to meet those new standards. It also stated an “ongoing commitment” to

consider upwind contributions of pollution to nonattainment when implementing any future

39

The proposal appeared in the Federal Register August 2, 2010. The rule, a Fact Sheet, a Regulatory Impact Analysis,

and an overview presentation can be found on EPA’s website at http://www.epa.gov/airtransport/actions.html#jul10.

40

Data are from EPA’s “2009 Acid Rain Program Emission and Compliance Data Report,” August 11, 2010, at

http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/progress/ARP09.html.

41

U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Radiation, “Proposed Air Pollution Transport Rule,” Overview Presentation, July 26,

2010, pp. 13-15, at http://www.epa.gov/airtransport/pdfs/TRPresentationfinal_7-26_webversion.pdf.

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NAAQS revisions. With revisions of the fine particulate (PM2.5) standard expected in 2011,

additional transport rules might be expected.

State air pollution control agencies, through the National Association of Clean Air Agencies

(NACAA), have argued that substantial further reductions will be necessary if the states are to

attain the new ozone standards. Ozone forms through chemical reactions in the atmosphere

between volatile organic compounds and NOx; thus, NOx reductions are key to attaining a more

stringent ozone standard. For NOx, the Phase 1 cap is 45% below baseline, with Phase 2

providing an additional 7%. The technology is clearly available to do more: EPA modeling

projects 34% of coal-fired electric generating units in the transport region to be without the best

available NOx control in 2014.42 Assuming that modeling shows that more reductions are needed

for the states to attain the new ozone NAAQS, the pressure will be on EPA to strengthen the

regulations further.

Judicial and Legislative Options

The courts might be the venue for further consideration of the issues if any of the parties find

themselves unhappy with the pace or substance of EPA’s regulatory decisions.

Congress might also act: in order to shorten the regulatory process and avoid further litigation,

some have argued that Congress needs to resolve the issues posed by the D.C. Circuit’s 2008

CAIR decision. Over the past decade, several dozen multi-pollutant bills would have addressed

SO2 and NOx emissions from power plants through a cap-and-trade system, most of them in

conjunction with controls on mercury and CO2. If legislation is to be considered now, the issues

might, therefore, include not only the stringency and timing of SO2 and NOx controls, but also

whether to include mercury and CO2 controls in the bill.

On February 4, 2010, Senators Carper and Alexander, with a bipartisan group of cosponsors,

introduced S. 2995 to address the issues posed by the CAIR decision and to set standards for

power plant mercury emissions. The bill would establish cap-and-trade systems for SO2 and NOx

with more stringent caps than those of the CAIR rule or EPA’s proposed replacement. The SO2

cap would be 78% below the 2001 baseline in 2015, and 83% below in 2018. The EPA

Administrator would be authorized to reduce the cap further for 2021 and later years. The NOx

cap would also be more stringent than provided by CAIR or the proposed transport rule and it

would cover 32 states (seven more than CAIR, four more than the proposed EPA rule). In 2012,

its cap would be 24% below CAIR’s emissions level (in addition to covering more states within

that cap). In 2015, its cap would be identical to CAIR’s, but because it would cover seven more

states, would still be substantially more stringent. The bill would also establish a NOx cap in the

rest of the lower 48 states for the first time, which would decline 37% by 2020.

At a Senate hearing, March 4, 2010, there was general support for S. 2995, although some

concern was expressed that the reductions would still not be sufficient to bring Eastern states into

attainment of the ozone NAAQS.43

42

U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Radiation, Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Proposed Federal Transport Rule, June

2010, Table 7-11, p. 259, http://www.epa.gov/ttn/ecas/regdata/RIAs/proposaltrria_final.pdf. The technology referred to

is selective catalytic reduction (SCR).

43

“Legislative Hearing: S. 2995, The Clean Air Act Amendments of 2010,” U.S. Senate Committee on Environment

and Public Works, March 4, 2010. See especially the testimony of Colin P. O’Mara, Secretary, Delaware Department

(continued...)

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR)

Background

Regulation of mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants has a complicated legislative and

regulatory history, dating back to the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. EPA was required by that

legislation and a 1998 consent agreement to determine whether regulation of mercury from power

plants under Section 112 of the Clean Air Act was appropriate and necessary. Section 112 is the

section that regulates emissions of hazardous air pollutants. In general, it requires EPA to set

standards based on the Maximum Achievable Control Technology (a term defined with great

precision in the act), and to impose the MACT standards at each individual emissions source. In a

December 2000 regulatory finding, EPA concluded that regulation of mercury from power plants

under Section 112 was appropriate and necessary. The finding added coal- and oil-fired electric

generating units to the list of sources of hazardous air pollutants, and triggered other provisions of

the 1998 consent agreement: that the agency propose MACT standards for them by December 15,

2003, and finalize the standards by March 15, 2005.

Rather than promulgate MACT standards, however, EPA reversed its December 2000 finding in

March 2005, and established through regulations a national cap-and-trade system for power plant

emissions of mercury, the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR). Under CAMR, the final cap would

have been 15 tons of emissions nationwide in 2018 (about a 70% reduction from 1999 levels,

when achieved). There would also have been an intermediate cap of 38 tons in 2010, well above

EPA’s projection of emissions in that year.44

Under the cap-and-trade system, utilities could either control the pollutant directly or purchase

excess allowances from other plants that instituted controls more stringently or sooner than

required. As with the acid rain and CAIR cap-and-trade programs, early reductions under CAMR

could have been banked for later use, which the agency itself said would result in utilities

delaying compliance with the full 70% reduction until well beyond 2018, as they used up banked

allowances rather than installing further controls. The agency’s analysis projected actual

emissions to be 24.3 tons (less than a 50% reduction) as late as 2020. Full compliance with the

70% reduction would have been delayed until after 2025.45 (For additional information on the

mercury rule, see CRS Report RL32868, Mercury Emissions from Electric Power Plants: An

Analysis of EPA’s Cap-and-Trade Regulations, by (name redacted).)

New Jersey v. EPA

The CAMR rule was immediately challenged in petitions for review filed by New Jersey and 16

other states as well as other petitioners.46 The D.C. Circuit, in a 3-0 decision handed down

February 8, 2008,47 vacated the rule. The court found that once the agency had listed electric

(...continued)

of Natural Resources and Environmental Control.

44

The agency projected emissions at 31 tons in 2010 even if 99% of the generating units installed no mercury control

equipment.

45

U.S. EPA, Mercury RIA, previously cited, Table 7-3, p. 7-5.

46

Seven other states joined EPA in defending the rule.

47

New Jersey v. EPA, 517 F.3d 574 (D.C. Cir. 2008).

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

generating units (EGUs) as a source of hazardous air pollutants, it had to proceed with MACT

regulations under Section 112 of the act unless it “delisted” the source category, under procedures

the act sets forth in Section 112(c)(9). Delisting would have required the agency to find that no

EGU’s emissions exceeded a level adequate to protect public health with an ample margin of

safety, and that no adverse environmental effect would result from any source—a difficult test to

meet, given the agency’s estimate that EGUs are responsible for 46% of mercury emissions from

all U.S. sources. Rather than delist the EGU source category, the agency had maintained that it

could simply reverse its December 2000 “appropriate and necessary” finding, a decision that was

much simpler because there were no statutory criteria to meet. The court found this approach

unlawful. “This explanation deploys the logic of the Queen of Hearts, substituting EPA’s desires

for the plain text of Section 112(c)(9),” the court said in its opinion.48

Other Mercury Issues

Besides the question of whether EPA complied with the law’s requirements, critics found other

reasons to oppose EPA’s cap-and-trade approach to controlling mercury. One of the main

criticisms has been that it would not address “hot spots,” areas where mercury emissions and/or

concentrations in water bodies are greater than elsewhere. In fact, under a cap-and-trade system,

nothing would prevent emissions from increasing at hot spots. Many also argued that the mercury

regulations should have been more stringent or implemented more quickly than the cap-and-trade

regulations would have required. These arguments found a receptive audience in the states: about

20 states have promulgated requirements stricter than the federal program, with several requiring

80% to 90% mercury reductions before 2010. (For additional information, see archived CRS

Report RL33535, Mercury Emissions from Electric Power Plants: States Are Setting Stricter

Limits, by (name redacted).)

Next Steps

Under the D.C. Circuit’s ruling, unless EPA delists the power plant category, it does not have the

legislative authority to establish a cap-and-trade program for their mercury emissions: it must

impose MACT standards on each individual plant once it has listed the category. The agency

could have appealed the court’s ruling: under the Bush Administration, on October 17, 2008, it

petitioned for certiorari to the Supreme Court.49 But the Obama Administration withdrew the

petition in early February 2009 and announced that it will proceed with the development of

MACT standards.50 Proposed standards are expected, under a consent agreement, by March 2011,

with final standards to be promulgated in November of that year.

While the agency develops new regulations in response to the court’s remand, new coal-fired

electric generating units and modifications of existing units will be required to obtain permits

under a provision of the law known as the “MACT hammer” (Section 112(g)(2)). Under this

provision, if no applicable emission limits have been established, no person may construct a new

major source or modify an existing major source in the category unless the Administrator or the

state determine on a case-by-case basis that they meet MACT emission limits. On February 28,

48

Id. at 582.

77 U.S.LW 3253 (No. 08-512).

50

Withdrawal of EPA’s petition for certiorari left a separate petition filed by the Utility Air Regulatory Group before

the Court. The Court denied that petition, February 23, 2009.

49

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

2008, the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) released a list of 32 new coal-fired power

plants in 13 states that it believed must adopt MACT mercury controls under this provision. 51

New Source Review

A related issue that has driven some of the debate over the regulation of power plant emissions is

whether EPA has adequately enforced existing regulations, using a process called New Source

Review (NSR). The New Source Review debate has occurred largely in the courts. EPA took a

more aggressive stance on NSR late in the Clinton Administration, filing lawsuits against 13

utilities for violations at 51 plants in 13 states. The Bush and Obama Administrations have taken

action against an additional dozen or so utilities and, after years of negotiation, settled many of

the original suits.52 In the interim, however, the Bush Administration proposed major changes in

the NSR regulations that critics argued would have weakened or eliminated New Source Review

as it pertained to modifications of existing plants. Under the Obama Administration, some

additional NSR cases have been filed against electric utilities, and six cases have been settled.

The controversy over the NSR process stems from EPA’s use of it to require the installation of

best available pollution controls on existing stationary sources of air pollution that have been

modified. The Clean Air Act requires that plants undergoing modifications meet these NSR

requirements, but industry has often avoided the NSR process by claiming that changes to

existing sources were “routine maintenance” rather than modifications. In the 1990s, EPA began

reviewing records of electric utilities, petroleum refineries, and other industries to determine

whether the changes were, in fact, routine. As a result of these reviews, since late 1999, EPA and

the Department of Justice have filed suit or administrative actions against numerous large sources

of pollution, alleging that they made major modifications to their plants, extending plant life and

increasing output, without undergoing required New Source Reviews and without installing best

available pollution controls.

Of the utilities charged with NSR violations, 21 have settled with the EPA, generally without

going to trial. Under the settlements, they have agreed to spend about $10 billion on pollution

controls or fuel switching to reduce emissions at their affected units. Combined, these companies

will reduce pollution by at least 1.65 million tons annually. 53 Since March 2000, the agency has

also reached 24 agreements with petroleum refiners representing 88% of industry capacity. The

refiners agreed to settle potential charges of NSR violations by paying fines and installing

equipment to eliminate 337,000 tons of pollution.

The courts have generally sided with the Clinton Administration’s interpretation of NSR. In the

first case to go to trial, the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio found that Ohio

Edison had violated the Clean Air Act 11 times in modifying its W. H. Sammis power plant.54 The

company subsequently settled the case, agreeing to spend $1.1 billion to install controls that are

expected to reduce pollution by 212,000 tons annually. A second case, involving Duke Energy,

51

NRDC, “32 Coal-Fired Power Plants in 13 States Now Up in the Air After Major Court Ruling on Mercury,” Press

Release, February 28, 2008, at http://www.nrdc.org/media/2008/080228.asp.

52

For the current status of the NSR lawsuits under EPA’s Coal-Fired Power Plant Enforcement Initiative, see

http://www.epa.gov/compliance/resources/cases/civil/caa/coal/index.html.

53

Total emissions of SO2 and NOx from all sources nationwide were 37 million tons in 2003. Thus, settlements with

the 21 utilities will eliminate about 5% of total emissions of the two pollutants.

54

United States v. Ohio Edison Co., 276 F. Supp. 2d 829 (S.D. Ohio 2003).

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

was initially decided in the utility’s favor, but on appeal to the Supreme Court, the utility lost. The

issue in that case involved whether EPA should consider the hourly emissions rate or the annual

total of emissions in deciding whether to apply NSR. The U.S. District Court for the Middle

District of North Carolina, in a decision upheld by the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals, held that

the company was not required to undergo NSR and install more stringent pollution controls since

the maximum hourly emissions rate did not increase as a result of the modifications, even if

annual emissions did increase.55 On April 2, 2007, the Supreme Court overturned the lower court

rulings in a unanimous decision, finding that EPA’s regulations, promulgated in 1980, clearly

specified an increase in actual annual emissions as the measure of whether a permit for a

modification was required.56

The Bush Administration promulgated a number of changes to the NSR regulations that would

have made future enforcement of NSR less likely. In December 2002 and October 2003, the

agency promulgated five sets of changes to the NSR rules. The most controversial were new

regulations defining what constitutes routine maintenance.57 The new regulations would have

exempted industrial facilities from undergoing NSR (and thus from installing new emission

controls) if the cost of the replacement components was less than 20% of the replacement value

of the process unit. Using this benchmark, few, if any, plant modifications would trigger new

pollution controls. Fifteen states, three municipalities, and several environmental groups filed suit

to block this “equipment replacement / routine maintenance” rule. The rule was stayed by the

U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit on December 24, 2003, and on March 17, 2006, a

three-judge panel of the court unanimously struck the rule down.58 In its decision, the court held

that EPA’s attempt to change the NSR regulations was “contrary to the plain language” of the

Clean Air Act.59

EPA proposed further changes to the NSR regulations on October 20, 2005, and September 14,

2006.60 For the most part, these regulations have not been promulgated. Under the October 2005

proposal, power plants could have modified existing facilities without triggering NSR, provided

that the facility’s “maximum hourly emissions achievable” after the changes were no greater than

the same measure at any point during the past five years. The new rule would have effectively

allowed increases in annual emissions without an NSR permit, if a modification led to an increase

in the hours of operation of a facility. The agency’s proposal stated that this change would

establish a uniform national emissions test, in conformance with the Fourth Circuit’s decision in

the Duke Energy case, and it downplayed the significance of the change in light of “substantial

55

United States v. Duke Energy Corp., 278 F.Supp. 2d 619 (M.D.N.C. 2003), affirmed, 411 F. 3d 539 (4th Cir., 2005).

Environmental Defense v. Duke Energy Corp., 549 U.S. 561 (2007).

57

U.S. EPA, “Prevention of significant deterioration and nonattainment new source review; routine maintenance,

repair and replacement,” 68 Federal Register 61247, October 7, 2003.

58

New York v. EPA, 443 F.3d 880 (D.C. Cir. 2006) cert. denied, 127 S.Ct. 2127 (2007).

59

Id. at 883.

60

U.S. EPA, “Air pollution; standards of performance for new stationary sources: Electric generating units; emissions

test,” 70 Federal Register 61081, October 20, 2005, and “Prevention of significant deterioration and nonattainment

new source review; debottlenecking, aggregation, and project netting,” 71 Federal Register 54235, September 14,

2005. The September 2006 proposal, parts of which were finalized January 13, 2008, would limit application of NSR

by allowing plants to consider emissions only from the unit undergoing modification, rather than the entire plant, in

determining whether NSR applies.

56

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

emissions reductions from other CAA [Clean Air Act] requirements that are more efficient,”61 an

allusion to CAIR.

Since that time, both of these justifications have disappeared—the Fourth Circuit decision being

overturned by the Supreme Court, and the “more efficient” reduction requirements (CAIR)

having been vacated by the D.C. Circuit. Thus, the rule has not been promulgated.

At Congress’s direction, the National Academy of Sciences began a review of the NSR program

in May 2004. An interim report, released in January 2005, said the committee had not reached

final conclusions, but it also said, “In general, NSR provides more stringent emission limits for

new and modified major sources than EPA provides in other existing programs” and “It is ...

unlikely that Clear Skies [the Bush Administration’s proposed multi-pollutant legislation] would

result in emission limits at individual sources that are tighter than those achieved when NSR is

triggered at the same sources.”62 The final report, issued July 21, 2006, was ambivalent in many

of its conclusions, but it found that

[m]ore than 60% of all coal-fired electricity-generation capacity in the United States

currently lacks the kinds of controls for SO2 and NOx emissions that have been required

under NSR. Also, the older facilities are more likely than newer facilities to undergo

maintenance, repair, and replacement of key components, so a substantial portion of

emissions from the electricity-generating sector is potentially affected by the NSR rule

changes.63

Besides the NAS study, on April 21, 2003, the National Academy of Public Administration

(NAPA) released a report commissioned by Congress that made sweeping recommendations to

modify NSR. The study panel recommended that Congress end the “grandfathering” of major air

emission sources by requiring all major sources that have not obtained an NSR permit since 1977

to install Best Available Control Technology or Lowest Achievable Emissions Rate control

equipment. In the interim, the NAPA panel concluded, the EPA and the Department of Justice

should continue to enforce NSR vigorously, especially for changes at existing facilities.64

The continuing controversy over NSR, the court decisions involving CAIR and CAMR, and the

prominence of the electric power industry’s CO2 emissions might all be addressed through multipollutant legislation. On the other hand, legislation addressing emissions from utilities found

itself competing with economy-wide climate change cap-and-trade legislation which had priority

both in the 111th Congress and the Administration.

61

70 Federal Register 61083, October 20, 2005.

62

National Research Council of the National Academies, Interim Report of the Committee on Changes in New Source

Review Programs for Stationary Sources of Air Pollutants (Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2005), p.

27.

63

National Research Council of the National Academies, New Source Review for Stationary Sources of Air Pollutants

(Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2006), Prepublication Copy, p. 3.

64

National Academy of Public Administration, A Breath of Fresh Air: Reviving the New Source Review Program,

Summary Report, April 2003, p. 3.

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Air Quality Standards

Background

Air quality has improved substantially since the passage of the Clean Air Act in 1970: annual

emissions of the six most widespread (“criteria”) air pollutants have declined nearly 180 million

tons (59%), despite major increases in population, motor vehicle miles traveled, and economic

activity. 65 Nevertheless, the goal of clean air continues to elude many areas, in part because

scientific understanding of the health effects of air pollution has caused EPA to tighten standards

for most of the criteria pollutants.

The most widespread problems involve ozone and fine particles. As of September 2010, 119

million people lived in areas classified “nonattainment” for the ozone National Ambient Air

Quality Standard (NAAQS);66 70 million lived in areas that were nonattainment for the fine

particle (PM2.5) NAAQS.67 EPA attributes at least 33,000 premature deaths and millions of lost

work days annually to exceedances of the PM2.5 standard. Recent research has tied ozone

pollution to premature mortality as well.

Violations of the ambient air quality standards for the other four criteria pollutants are not as

widespread, but EPA is engaged in (or has recently completed) reviews indicating that health

effects of most of these pollutants are more serious than previously thought. At present, for

example, no areas exceed the NAAQS for sulfur dioxide (SO2), but in a recent review, EPA

determined that between 2,300 and 5,900 premature deaths can be avoided annually by

strengthening that standard. Thus, the agency has promulgated a new SO2 standard under which

as many as 59 counties could be designated nonattainment, based on the most recent monitoring

data.68

Table 1 summarizes EPA’s recent efforts to review the NAAQS and implement revisions,

including the next steps for each of the six criteria pollutants. Revisions for five of the six

pollutants (ozone, PM, lead, NO2, and SO2) have been completed since 2006, with the standards

being made more stringent in each case (three of the five were subsequently challenged in court

and two of these three were remanded to the agency for further revisions). Reviews of the

NAAQS for carbon monoxide and the two remanded standards (ozone and PM) are to be

completed in 2010 or 2011.69

65

See U.S. EPA, “Air Emissions Summary Through 2005,” at http://www.epa.gov/air/airtrends/2006/

emissions_summary_2005.html, updated with data from 2008 in U.S. EPA, “Air Quality Trends,” at

http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/aqtrends.html#comparison. The six criteria pollutants are ozone, particulate matter,

carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and lead.

66

Data for ozone nonattainment areas are from the U.S. EPA “Green Book,” at http://www.epa.gov/oar/oaqps/greenbk/

gntc.html.

67

Fine particles, as defined by EPA, consist of particulate matter 2.5 micrometers or less in diameter, abbreviated as

PM2.5. Data for PM2.5 nonattainment areas are also from the U.S. EPA “Green Book,” at http://www.epa.gov/oar/oaqps/

greenbk/qntc.html.

68

http://www.epa.gov/air/sulfurdioxide/pdfs/20100602map0709.pdf. The 59 potential nonattainment counties were

identified using the most recent available monitoring data (2007-2009). EPA is likely to use 2009-2011 or later data

when it comes time to actually designate the areas. Additional monitors will also be sited.

69

There are CRS reports on three of the NAAQS revisions: CRS Report R41062, Ozone Air Quality Standards: EPA’s

Proposed January 2010 Revisions, CRS Report RL34762, The National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for

(continued...)

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Table 1. Status of NAAQS Reviews

Monitoring

Issues?

Pollutant

Last Revision

Court Action?

Next Steps

ozone

March 27, 2008;

revised

standards were

proposed

January 19, 2010.

In response to

suits filed by 15

states (Mississippi

v. EPA), EPA

agreed to

reconsider the

March 2008

standards.

Final standards

are expected to

be promulgated

by the end of

December,

2010.

Implementation

of the 2008

NAAQS is

stayed pending

review.

Only 675 of the

nation’s 3,000

counties have

ozone monitors:

Between 515

and 650 of these

counties

exceeded the

proposed

standard based

on the most

recent

monitoring data.

Ozone is

increasingly seen

as a regional

pollutant that

affects rural as

well as urban

areas, so more

counties may

need monitors.

On July 14, 2009,

EPA proposed to

require that

states monitor

ozone

concentrations

in rural as well

as urban areas.

March 2008

primary (healthbased) standards

were set at a

level less

stringent than

recommended

by EPA’s science

advisers. The

revision also did

not act on

proposed

changes to the

form of the

secondary

(welfare)

standard that

would have

more accurately

addressed

impacts on crops

and forests. The

January 2010

proposal

addresses both

of these issues.

particulate

matter (PM2.5

and PM10)

October 17,

2006

The D.C. Circuit

remanded the

2006 PM2.5

standards to EPA

in February 2009

(American Farm

Bureau Federation

v. EPA).

EPA expects to

propose a PM2.5

NAAQS by

February 2011,

with promulgation of final

standards by

October 2011.

Environmental

groups would

like to see

additional

monitoring in

areas with

expected high

concentrations

(e.g., along

highways, near

ports, etc.).

October 2006

primary

standards for

PM2.5 were set at

levels less

stringent than

recommended

by EPA’s science

advisers.

In an agency

document

released July 2,

2010, staff

recommended

substantially

more stringent

standards.

Comments

(...continued)

Particulate Matter (PM): EPA’s 2006 Revisions and Associated Issues, and CRS Report RL34479, Revising the

National Ambient Air Quality Standard for Lead.

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Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Monitoring

Issues?

Pollutant

Last Revision

Court Action?

Next Steps

sulfur dioxide

(SO2)

On June

22,2010, EPA

revised the

NAAQS,

focusing on

shorter-term

(1-hour)

exposures. The

prior standards

(for 24-hour and

annual

concentrations),

which were

revoked as part

of the revision,

were set in

1971. The new

short-term

standard is

substantially

more stringent,

replacing a 24hour standard of

140 parts per

billion (ppb) with

a 1-hour

maximum of 75

ppb.

The D.C. Circuit

remanded the

SO2 standard to

EPA in 1998,

following an

agency review

that left the

standard

unchanged. The

court found the

Administrator

had failed

adequately to

explain her

conclusion that

no public health

threat existed

from short term

exposures to

SO2. (American

Lung Association

v. EPA)

EPA intends to

designate

nonattainment

areas by June

2012.

The current SO2

monitoring

network is not

primarily

configured to

monitor

locations of

maximum shortterm

concentrations.

The network

needs 41 new

monitoring sites,

according to

EPA. In a change

from the

agency’s

December 2009

proposal, EPA

will rely

primarily on

dispersion

modeling to

assess

compliance with

the standard.

Since 1971, EPA

had conducted

three reviews of

the SO2 standard

without changing

it.

carbon

monoxide (CO)

Current primary

standard was set

in 1971. EPA

revoked a

secondary

standard in 1985.

The U.S. District

Court for the

Northern

District of

California has

ordered EPA to

review the CO

NAAQS by May

13, 2011.

(Communities for

a Better

Environment v.

EPA)

EPA must

propose any

revision to the

CO NAAQS by

January 28, 2011,

with final action

by August 12,

2011.

Uncertain.

Emissions of

CO, largely from

motor vehicles,

have declined

56% since 1980,

and few areas

violate the

existing CO

NAAQS.

nitrogen dioxide

(NO2)

EPA completed a

review and

promulgated a

new 1-hour

standard

February 9,

2010. The new

standard is in

addition to the

previous annual

average

standard, which

was set in 1971.

A suit filed in

2005 charged

that EPA had

failed to review

the NO2

standard in the

last 5 years, as

required by the

Clean Air Act

(Center for

Biological Diversity

v. Johnson).

Under a 2007

consent decree,

EPA proposed

EPA expects to

identify

nonattainment

areas by January

2012. However,

the agency

believes most

areas will be

“unclassifiable,”

due to the lack

of adequate

monitoring.

Once an

expanded

network of NO2

Under EPA’s

new monitoring

network, a

monitor will be

required near a

major road in

any urban area

with a

population of

350,000 or

more. (The

majority of NO2

emissions come

from motor

vehicles.)

There are no

nonattainment

areas for the

annual standard,

and only Cook

County, IL

(Chicago)

violates the new

1-hour standard

using current

monitoring data.

NO2 emissions

have been more

stringently

controlled even

Congressional Research Service

Comments

25

Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Pollutant

lead

Last Revision

November 12,

2008

Congressional Research Service

Monitoring

Issues?

Court Action?

Next Steps

revisions to the

primary standard

July 15, 2009,

and promulgated

the revisions in

February 2010.

monitors is fully

deployed and

three years of air

quality data have

been collected,

the agency will

redesignate

areas (in 2016 or

2017) based on

air quality data

from the new

monitoring

network.

Communitywide

concentrations

would also be

monitored in

urban areas with

populations of

1,000,000 or

more.

though there

have not been

recent violations

of the NO2

standard,

because nitrogen

oxides

contribute to the

formation of

ozone, the

standard for

which has been

reviewed and

strengthened

several times.

Both

environmental

groups (which

challenged the

adequacy of the

monitoring

requirements)

and industry

(which

challenged the

standard itself)

have petitioned

for review

(Missouri Coalition

for the

Environment v.

EPA and Coalition

of Battery

Recyclers

Association v.

EPA). EPA

granted a

petition for

reconsideration

of the

monitoring

requirements in

July 2009.

Revised

monitoring rules

were proposed

December 23,

2009.

In July 2009, EPA

agreed to review

the monitoring

portions of its

November 2008

NAAQS. At

least 24 of the

50 states,

including some

with major

sources of lead

emissions, had

no lead monitors

at all. Under the

2008 regulations,

101 metro areas

(those with

populations

greater than

500,000) would

be required to

have monitors as

would an

estimated 135

areas that have

sources of lead

emissions

greater than or

equal to one ton

per year.

Proposed

regulations

would lower the

source threshold

to 0.5 tons.

EPA’s November

2008 action

reduced the

standard by 90%,

from 1.5

micrograms per

cubic meter

(μg/m3) to 0.15

μg/m3.

Environmental

groups, while

generally pleased

with the

NAAQS itself,

petitioned for

reconsideration

of the

monitoring

requirements,

arguing that EPA

should require

more locations

near emission

sources to have

monitors.

Industry groups

believe the

standard itself is

too stringent.

The lawsuit

challenging the

standard itself is

proceeding.

16

nonattainment

areas were

designated in

November 2010.

Comments

26

Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

Judicial Reviews

As the table indicates, court challenges have played a key role in bringing about the NAAQS

reviews, and in causing further review after the NAAQS have been promulgated. Reviews of

most of the standards were stimulated at least in part by court cases: EPA is statutorily required to

review the NAAQS every five years, and its failure to do so can be addressed by citizen suits.

At the other end of the process, once the agency’s review of a NAAQS is completed, the

standards are almost invariably challenged in court. In the case of both particulate matter and

ozone, judicial review has led to a remand of the standards that EPA promulgated in 2006 and

2008 respectively. The agency has now agreed to promulgate further revisions to these standards

in 2010 and 2011.

CASAC’s Role

As the table indicates, in at least two cases, EPA’s revised standards have been remanded at least

in part because the agency did not follow the advice of its independent science advisors, the

Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC). EPA is not required by statute to follow

CASAC’s recommendations; the act requires only that the Administrator set forth (in the Federal

Register notice in which she proposes a NAAQS) any pertinent findings, recommendations, and

comments made by CASAC and, if her proposal differs in an important respect from any of the

recommendations, provide an explanation of the reasons for such differences. 70 But the failure to

follow CASAC recommendations almost inevitably raises the question of whether the

Administrator’s decision will be judged arbitrary and capricious in a judicial review.

In the recent revisions of both the ozone and PM standards, CASAC made detailed objections to

the Administrator’s final decisions. The committee’s description of the process as having failed to

meet statutory and procedural requirements played an important role during judicial review. This

raises the question of whether Congress might opt to strengthen CASAC’s statutory role in the

review process, or limit the Administrator’s authority to reject CASAC’s advice.

Adequacy of Monitoring

A feature common to many of the recent NAAQS reviews has been EPA’s finding that the current

monitoring network is inadequate to determine whether or not many areas of the country are in

attainment of the standards. In several cases, such as for lead and sulfur dioxide, more extensive

monitoring networks had been partly dismantled by the time the standards were reviewed, after

years of indicating compliance with older, less stringent standards. In other cases, such as PM and

NO2, the monitoring network was not designed to measure the kinds of exposure that current

research identifies as a cause of concern (e.g., exposure to fine particles near highways). As a

result, EPA and the states will need to devote resources in the next few years to expanding and

refocusing the monitoring networks in order to identify areas where air quality does not meet new

standards.

70

The requirement is found in Section 307(d)(3) of the act.

Congressional Research Service

27

Clean Air Issues in the 111th Congress

NAAQS Implementation

Although most of the NAAQS standards are likely to have been revised by the end of 2011—

ultimately stimulating billions of dollars in expenditures on pollution control—the impact of the

new standards will be gradual. A NAAQS does not directly limit emissions; rather, a primary

NAAQS represents the Administrator’s formal judgment regarding the level of ambient pollution

below which public health will be protected with an adequate margin of safety; a secondary

standard reflects her judgment as to the level of ambient pollution necessary to protect public

welfare, including protection of the environment, water quality, building materials, etc.

Promulgation of a NAAQS sets in motion a lengthy process under which states and the EPA first

identify nonattainment areas. Those areas then undertake a complicated implementation process.

The first step, designation of nonattainment areas, generally takes at least two years after a

standard is promulgated, and in many cases longer, if a new monitoring network needs to be

established. After nonattainment areas are formally designated, the states generally have three

years to submit State Implementation Plans (SIPs) that identify the specific regulations and

emission control requirements that will bring the area into attainment.

Whether more stringent NAAQS will lead to stronger federal emission controls for the sources of

pollution—in addition to the controls contemplated by individual states or metropolitan areas—is

likely to be an important issue. Several of the criteria pollutants have impacts across state lines,

far from the source of emissions; others (notably ozone) form in the atmosphere as the result of

chemical reactions involving precursors that may have been emitted many miles upwind. Thus,

measures taken by individual states and nonattainment areas to control emissions within their

borders may be inadequate for the areas to attain a NAAQS. Federal standards for cars, trucks,

power plants, and other major pollution sources could need strengthening for many areas to be

able to attain the NAAQS.

Congress has given EPA the authority to strengthen such emission standards; but Congress may

still act to review the implementation of that authority.

Author Contact Information

(name redacted)

Specialist in Environmental Policy

[redacted]@crs.loc.gov, 7-....

Congressional Research Service

28

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