Amicus Curiae Brief — National Rural Electric Cooperative, Applicant v. Environmental Protection Agency, et al.

Supreme Court briefAug 5, 2024

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Nos. 24A95, 24A96, 24A97, 24A98, 24A106, and 24A116

IN THE

Supreme Court of the United States

________________________________

STATE OF WEST VIRGINIA, et al.,

Applicants,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

To the Honorable John G. Roberts, Jr.,

Chief Justice of the United States and

Circuit Justice for the District of Columbia Circuit

BRIEF OF THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF

AMERICA AS AMICUS CURIAE IN SUPPORT OF APPLICANTS’ MOTIONS

FOR STAY PENDING REVIEW

Brent A. Rosser

Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

One South at the Plaza, Suite 3500

101 South Tryon Street

Charlotte, North Carolina 28280

(704) 378-4700

Elbert Lin

Counsel of Record

Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

951 East Byrd Street, East Tower

Richmond, VA 23219

(804) 788-7202

F. William Brownell

Matthew Z. Leopold

Erica N. Peterson

Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

2200 Pennsylvania Ave. NW

Washington, DC 20037

(202) 955-1500

Andrew R. Varcoe

Christopher J. Walker

U.S. CHAMBER LITIGATION CENTER

1615 H Street, NW

Washington, DC 20062

(202) 463-5337

Counsel for Amicus Curiae

Additional Captions Listed on Following Page

NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE,

Applicant,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

NATIONAL MINING ASSOCIATION, et al.,

Applicants,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

NACCO NATURAL RESOURCES CORPORATION,

Applicant,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

ELECTRIC GENERATORS FOR A SENSIBLE TRANSITION,

Applicant,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, et al.,

Applicants,

v.

UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,

Respondents.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................i

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES .................................................................................... ii

INTEREST OF AMICUS CURIAE............................................................................ 1

INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT ....................................... 1

ARGUMENT ............................................................................................................. 3

I.

II.

If The D.C. Circuit Upholds The Rule, This Court Would Likely

Grant Review And Reverse. ............................................................................ 3

A.

EPA Misinterpreted its Authority Under Clean Air Act Section

111. ........................................................................................................ 4

B.

EPA’s Chosen System of Carbon Capture and Sequestration

Has Not Been Adequately Demonstrated. ............................................ 8

1.

EPA Failed to Show That 90% Capture of CO2

from EGUs Had Been Adequately Demonstrated......... 9

2.

EPA Failed to Show That Development of a

Sufficient Pipeline System for CO2

Transportation Had Been Adequately

Demonstrated. .............................................................. 12

3.

EPA Also Failed to Show that a Sufficient System

of CO2 Sequestration Had Been Adequately

Demonstrated. .............................................................. 15

4.

Since EPA Promulgated The Rule, It Has Become

Even Clearer That EPA’s BSER Is Based On

Crystal Ball Speculation. ............................................. 16

The Equities Favor A Stay Because EPA’s Rule Will Jeopardize the

Reliability of the Nation’s Power. ................................................................. 18

CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................ 23

i

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

Cases

Page(s)

Am. Forest & Paper Ass’n v. EPA, No. 23A351, 2023 WL 7040199 (Oct.

13, 2023) .................................................................................................................. 18

Deep S. for Envt’l Just. v. EPA,

No. 24-60084 (5th Cir. June 12, 2024) ................................................................... 17

Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus,

486 F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973) .............................................................................. 4, 7

Facebook Inc. v. Duguid,

592 U.S. 395 (2021) .................................................................................................. 5

HollyFrontier Cheyenne Refining, LLC v. Renewable Fuels Association,

594 U.S. 382 (2021) .................................................................................................. 5

Lignite Energy Council v. EPA,

198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999) .......................................................................... 7, 8, 9

Loper Bright Enters. v. Raimondo,

144 S. Ct. 2244 (2024) .......................................................................................... 5, 8

Michigan v. EPA,

No. 98-1497 (D.C. Cir. June 22, 2000) ................................................................... 19

Murray Energy Corp. v. EPA,

577 U.S. 1127 (2016) .............................................................................................. 18

Ohio v. EPA,

144 S. Ct. 2040 (2024) ........................................................................................ 2, 18

Portland Cement Association v. Ruckelshaus,

486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973) .......................................................................... 7, 8, 9

Ross v. Blake,

578 U.S. 632 (2016) .................................................................................................. 5

S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. FERC,

762 F.3d 41 (D.C. Cir. 2014) .................................................................................. 21

Sierra Club v. Costle,

657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981) .................................................................................. 4

ii

West Virginia v. EPA,

577 U.S. 1126 (2016) .......................................................................................... 2, 18

West Virginia v. EPA,

597 U.S. 697 (2022) .............................................................................. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8

West Virginia v. EPA,

No. 24-1120 (D.C. Cir. June 11, 2024) ................................................................. 2, 9

Statutes and Rules

Supreme Court Rule 37.6 .............................................................................................. 1

16 U.S.C. § 824o(a)....................................................................................................... 21

42 U.S.C. § 7411(a)(1) ................................................................................................ 2, 4

Regulations

88 Fed. Reg. 33,240 (May 23, 2023) ............................................................................ 12

89 Fed. Reg. 39,798 (May 9, 2024) ............................ 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15

Ill. Pub. Act 103-0651 .................................................................................................. 16

Other Authorities

Andrew Adams, After Years of Controversy, Illinois pauses CO2

pipeline construction, for now, CAPITOL NEWS ILLINOIS, July 19,

2024 ......................................................................................................................... 16

Carlos Anchondo, Major coal CCS project hits delays, cost spikes, E&E

NEWS, June 25, 2024 .............................................................................................. 17

J.J. Dooley et al., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, PNNL18520, An Assessment of the Commercial Availability of Carbon

Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009 (June 2,

2009)........................................................................................................................ 11

Leah Douglas, Navigator CO2 Ventures cancels carbon-capture pipeline

project in US Midwest, REUTERS (Oct. 20, 2023) .................................................. 14

Stavroula Giannaris, et al., SaskPower's Boundary Dam Unit 3 Carbon

Capture Facility-The Journey to Achieving Reliability, Proceedings

of the 15th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control

Technologies (Mar. 15-18, 2021) ............................................................................ 10

iii

Ethan Howland, PJM capacity prices hit record highs, sending build

signal to generators, UTILITYDIVE (July 31, 2024) ................................................ 22

Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, The carbon

capture crux: Lessons learned (Sept. 2022) ........................................................... 11

Angela C. Jones, CONG. RESEARCH SERV., R48033, Class VI Carbon

Sequestration Wells: Permitting And State Program Primacy (2024).................. 15

MISO, Response to the Reliability Imperative at 1 (Feb. 2024) .......................... 20, 21

NACCO Application for Immediate Stay, No. 24A98 (U.S. July 23,

2024)........................................................................................................................ 18

Nara Schoenbert, Wolf Carbon Solutions pauses its bid for Illinois

approval of a controversial 260-mile CO2 pipeline (Nov. 26, 2023) ..................... 14

Nat’l Mining Ass’n Application for Immediate Stay, No. 24A97 (U.S.

July 23, 2024) ......................................................................................................... 18

NERC, 2023 Long-Term Reliability Assessment (Dec. 2023) .................................... 21

Nina Elkadi, A battle in rural Midwest as farmers fight carbon capture

pipeline, THE NEW LEDE (July 16, 2024)................................................................ 17

Paul W. Parfomak, CONG. RESEARCH SERV., IN11944, Carbon Dioxide

Pipelines: Safety Issues (June 3, 2022) ............................................................ 13, 14

PJM, PJM Statement on the Newly Issued EPA Greenhouse Gas and

Related Regulations (May 8, 2024) ........................................................................ 21

Regulatory Impact Analysis (Apr. 2024), EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-00728913 ......................................................................................................................... 20

Timothy Puko, Washington Post, Why these environmentalists are

resisting part of Biden’s climate push (June 25, 2023) ......................................... 13

Karen Rives, Only still-operating carbon capture project battled

technical issues in 2021, S&P GLOBAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (Jan.

6, 2022).................................................................................................................... 10

Jared Strong, Summit says pipeline system won't be operational until

2026, IOWA CAPITAL DISPATCH (Oct. 19, 2023) ...................................................... 14

U.S. Steel Corp. v. EPA, No. 23A384, 2023 WL 7163329 (Oct. 26, 2023) ................. 18

Webster’s New World Dictionary of the American Language (1970) .......................... 6

iv

Webster’s Seventh New Collegiate Dictionary (1970) .................................................. 6

Webster’s Third New International Dictionary (1986) ................................................ 6

Sean Wolfe, Indiana's consumer advocate wants to thwart Duke

Energy's carbon capture study, POWER ENGINEERING (July 16, 2024) ................. 17

World Resources Institute, Working Paper, Meeting the Reliability

Challenges of the Clean Energy Transition (Nov. 2023) ....................................... 22

v

INTEREST OF AMICUS CURIAE

The Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America (“Chamber”) is the

world’s largest business federation.1 It represents approximately 300,000 direct

members and indirectly represents the interests of more than 3 million companies

and professional organizations of every size, in every sector, and from every region of

the country. An important function of the Chamber is to represent the interests of

its members in matters before Congress, the Executive Branch, and the courts. To

that end, the Chamber regularly files amicus curiae briefs in cases, like this one, that

raise issues of concern to the business community.

The Chamber supports policies that reduce greenhouse-gas emissions as much

and as quickly as reasonably possible, consistent with the pace of innovation and the

feasibility of implementing large-scale technical change. The Chamber also has a

strong interest in ensuring that agency regulations comply with the law, and that

judicial review of regulations is timely and effective.

INTRODUCTION AND

SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT

Yet again, EPA is coloring well outside its statutory lines. In 2015, with the

Clean Power Plan, EPA claimed to find “in the previously little-used backwater of

Section 111(d)” of the Clean Air Act (“CAA”), West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 730

(2022), the unprecedented power to force a transformation of the nation’s power

1 Pursuant to Supreme Court Rule 37.6, amicus curiae states that no counsel for any party

authored this brief in whole or in part and no entity or person, aside from amicus curiae, its members,

or its counsel, made any monetary contribution intended to fund the preparation or submission of this

brief.

1

sector. This Court stayed that rule, West Virginia v. EPA, 577 U.S. 1126 (2016), and

then, in West Virginia, 597 U.S. 697, confirmed that EPA had exceeded its authority

in choosing generation-shifting measures as a “best system of emission reduction”

under section 111(d). Now, just two years later, EPA is back with a different “best

system of emission reduction” that stretches another part of section 111(d) past its

breaking point. Among its other “meaningful constraints,” section 111 requires that

EPA “make sure the best system has a proven track record.” Id. at 759 (Kagan, J.,

dissenting). EPA has not done so. The primary “best system of emission reduction”

in the Rule2— 90% carbon-capture-and-sequestration (“CCS”)—does not even exist

for electric generating units (“EGUs”), much less have a proven track record for

EGUs.

This Court should grant the motions for a stay.

As this Court recently

observed, “[w]hen States and other parties seek to stay the enforcement of a federal

regulation against them,” the resolution often “turns on the merits and the question

who is likely to prevail at the end of th[e] litigation.” Ohio v. EPA, 144 S. Ct. 2040,

2052–53 (2024). Here, the merits strongly favor the Applicants. The Rule is premised

on a system of technologies that has not “been adequately demonstrated” as required

by section 111. 42 U.S.C. § 7411(a)(1). Indeed, EPA concedes that “no commercial

power plant is consistently achieving 90% capture,” Resp’ts’ Opp’n to Mots. to Stay

Final Rule at 44, West Virginia v. EPA, No. 24-1120 (D.C. Cir. June 11, 2024), and

2 “New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified,

and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse

Gas Emissions From Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the

Affordable Clean Energy Rule,” 89 Fed. Reg. 39,798 (May 9, 2024).

2

instead argues that section 111 gives it authority to “project the development of a

control system at a future time.” 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,801. But that reading is contrary

to the plain text of the Act.

The other stay factors are also satisfied. If the Rule takes effect, it will cause

serious irreparable harm. Regulated parties, and the U.S. economy more generally,

will suffer major costs that cannot be recovered if the Rule is later invalidated. In

addition, the Rule will jeopardize the reliability and affordability of the nation’s

power, which is critical to the functioning of our national economy and the activities

of daily life. EPA itself projects that its Rule will result in widespread retirement of

dispatchable generation while severely restricting pathways for reliable electricity

supplies necessary to replace it, even as demand for electricity is increasing and

projected to soar in the coming decade. For similar reasons, the balance of the

equities and the public interest favor staying the Rule pending review.

ARGUMENT

I.

If The D.C. Circuit Upholds The Rule, This Court Would Likely Grant

Review And Reverse.

Applicants are likely to succeed on the merits because, among other reasons,

the Rule exceeds EPA’s authority under section 111 of the Clean Air Act by selecting

a system of emission reduction that has not “been adequately demonstrated.” First,

the Rule misinterprets that statutory requirement. And second, even under EPA’s

own mistaken standard, EPA has far exceeded its statutory limits by selecting a

system that is not currently operational for EGUs anywhere in the country, based on

speculation about capabilities that may emerge in the future.

3

A.

EPA Misinterpreted its Authority Under Clean Air Act Section

111.

Section 111 authorizes EPA to regulate power plants by setting a “standard of

performance” for their emission of pollutants. 42 U.S.C. § 7411(a)(1). That standard

must be “achievable” and reflect the “best system of emission reduction” (“BSER”)

that EPA determines “has been adequately demonstrated” for the particular source

category. Ibid (emphasis added). This means, at the very least, that EPA must “make

sure the best system has a proven track record.” West Virginia, 597 U.S. at 759

(Kagan, J., dissenting). A system “has been adequately demonstrated” if it “has been

shown to be reasonably reliable, reasonably efficient,” Essex Chem. Corp. v.

Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 433 (D.C. Cir. 1973), and not “unreasonably costly,”

Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 384 (D.C. Cir. 1981). EPA cannot select a system

that is “purely theoretical or experimental,” Essex Chem., 486 F.2d at 433–34, or

based on only “prototype” or “pilot scale” demonstration facilities. Sierra Club, 657

F.2d at 341 n.157.

The Rule, however, features a primary “best system of emission reduction” that

lacks any meaningful track record and is not realistically available to the electric

power industry. The Rule seeks to reduce GHGs from new natural gas-fired, and

existing coal-fired, EGUs, mainly by identifying carbon capture and sequestration

(“CCS”) technology with 90% CO2 capture as BSER for these units. CCS technology

is highly promising, and Chamber members are investing in developing and

commercializing the technology for a range of applications. But as explained below,

EPA’s hypothesized CCS system for EGUs (including 90% capture) does not exist at

4

this time, and there is no evidence that it will be available in the near future. See

infra I.B.

EPA acknowledges as much, but asserts that section 111 authorizes it to

project a BSER that might be demonstrated in the future. 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,831.

EPA asserts that “the BSER can be forward-looking in nature and take into account

anticipated improvements in control technologies” and, accordingly, that the Agency

“may reasonably project the development of a control system at a future time.” Id. at

39,801. EPA supports its reading by saying that the word “demonstrated” in section

111 should be interpreted to mean “to ‘explain or make clear by using examples,

experiments, etc.,’” suggesting all that is needed is a pilot “demonstration project” or

“demonstration plant” as “examples of technological feasibility.” Id. at 39,830–31.

As this Court recently made clear, the judiciary “must exercise independent

judgment in determining the meaning of statutory provisions.” Loper Bright Enters.

v. Raimondo, 144 S. Ct. 2244, 2262 (2024). That inquiry begins, of course, with the

text. Ross v. Blake, 578 U.S. 632, 638 (2016). And in reviewing that text, the Court

looks to the ordinary meaning of statutory terms where a definition is not provided,

HollyFrontier Cheyenne Refining, LLC v. Renewable Fuels Association, 594 U.S. 382,

388 (2021), as well as the “conventional rules of grammar,” Facebook Inc. v. Duguid,

592 U.S. 395, 402 (2021).

EPA’s reading, which suggests that the base technology underlying the chosen

system need merely be in existence, should be rejected for at least three reasons.

First, EPA misunderstands the verb tense of the phrase “has been adequately

5

demonstrated.” The Agency rewrites the phrase to require only that “the technology

is in existence.” 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,830. But that changes the meaning of the phrase,

which applies to the system and uses the present perfect tense “has been

demonstrated.”

That mandates not merely that some aspect of the underlying

technology “exist” today; the chosen system must have “a proven track record.” West

Virginia, 597 U.S. at 759 (Kagan, J., dissenting).

Second, EPA uses a secondary definition of “demonstrate”—namely, to

“explain or make clear by using examples, experiments, etc.”—to support its view

that a proven track record is unnecessary. That interpretive move is not plausible.

The most common definitions at the time of the Clean Air Act’s enactment required

far more than what EPA suggests. “Demonstrate” meant “to show clearly,” “to prove

or make clear by reasoning or evidence,” or “to illustrate or explain esp. with many

examples.”

Webster’s Seventh New Collegiate Dictionary 220 (1970); see also

Webster’s New World Dictionary of the American Language 376 (1970) (defining

“demonstrate” as “to show by reasoning; prove”).

Third, EPA ignores that the system must not only be “demonstrated” but

“adequately demonstrated.”

“Adequately” means “in an adequate manner” with

“adequate” defined as “fully sufficient for a specified or implied requirement.”

Webster’s Third New International Dictionary at 25 (1986). That forecloses EPA’s

position that it need only establish “technological feasibility” by way of a single “test

or study—as in, for example, a ‘demonstration project’ or ‘demonstration plant.’” 89

Fed. Reg. at 39,831–32. It is not enough that the technology can work in some form

6

(say, CCS with 30% CO2 capture) and might therefore evolve eventually into the

BSER. The word “adequately” requires that the chosen system (CCS with 90% CO2

capture) is “reasonably reliable, reasonably efficient, and . . . can reasonably be

expected to serve the interests of pollution control without becoming exorbitantly

costly.” Essex Chem., 486 F.2d at 433. That is one of the “meaningful constraints”

imposed by section 111 on EPA’s authority to “find the best system of emission

reduction,” and it must be honored. West Virginia, 597 U.S. at 758–59 (Kagan, J.,

dissenting).

To support its strained reading of the text, EPA relies on Portland Cement

Association v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973), and Lignite Energy Council

v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999). 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,835. Those cases do not

provide EPA the shelter it seeks.

First, Portland Cement and Lignite Energy were not about whether a BSER

“has been adequately demonstrated,” which is the relevant question here. Instead,

these cases were about the “degree of emission limitation” for certain new sources. In

Portland Cement, the petitioners challenged stationary source standards for new or

modified Portland cement plants.

486 F.2d at 378.

And thus, it was “the

‘achievability’ of the proposed standard that [wa]s in issue” when the court said it

could consider “what may fairly be projected for the regulated future.” Id. at 391.

Likewise, Lignite Energy was also about “extrapolat[ing] from … studies … in setting

. . . [a] new source performance standard.” 198 F.3d at 934.

7

Second, whatever these cases have to say, they are arguably both founded on

the mistaken understanding that section 111 concerns new emission sources only. In

Portland Cement, the court rejected any focus on “the state of the art at present”

because, in its view, section 111 “is addressed to standards for new plants” only. 486

F.2d at 391. And in Lignite Energy, the court similarly based its conclusion on the

premise that section 111 “applies only to new sources.” 198 F.3d at 934. In the D.C.

Circuit’s view at the time, because section 111 “applies only to new sources . . . [it]

looks toward what may fairly be projected for the regulated future, rather than the

state of the art at present.” Ibid. (cleaned up). But as this Court has since recognized,

section 111 applies to both new and existing sources. West Virginia, 597 U.S. at 706.

The D.C. Circuit’s stay denial order did not consider any of this. It concluded

that the Applicants were not likely to succeed, “given the record in this case,” on the

claim that EPA “acted arbitrarily or capriciously in determining that carbon capture

and other emission control technologies are adequately demonstrated.”

States’

Emergency Application for Immediate Stay at App. 2a, No. 24A95 (U.S. July 23,

2024). But it did not even acknowledge, much less address, the Applicants’ contention

that EPA incorrectly interpreted the statute in the first place—a legal question over

which the court was required to “exercise independent judgment.” Loper Bright

Enters., 144 S. Ct. at 2273.

B.

EPA’s Chosen System of Carbon Capture and Sequestration

Has Not Been Adequately Demonstrated.

In any event, the Rule fails even EPA’s preferred standard under Portland

Cement and Lignite Energy.

Under Portland Cement, any “projection based on

8

existing technology” is “subject to the restraints of reasonableness and cannot be

based on ‘crystal ball’ inquiry.” 486 F.2d at 391. Nor may EPA rely on “mere

speculation or conjecture.” Lignite Energy, 198 F.3d at 934. But that is all the Agency

has presented, as explained below.

EPA’s primary “best system of emission reduction” comprises three main

components: (1) capturing CO2 at a rate of 90%; (2) transporting it by pipeline to a

storage site; and (3) storing it in deep underground sites. Contrary to the D.C.

Circuit’s conclusory statement, EPA has not shown that each of these components

“has been adequately demonstrated” as an integrated “system of emission reduction”

for EGUs. And developments since EPA issued its rule only further confirm that CCS

does not have a proven track record.

1.

EPA Failed to Show That 90% Capture of CO2 from EGUs

Had Been Adequately Demonstrated.

To start, EPA has not shown any—much less a proven—track record for 90%

capture of CO2 from EGUs. Indeed, EPA concedes that “no commercial power plant

is consistently achieving 90% capture,” Resp’ts’ Opp’n to Mots. to Stay Final Rule at

44, West Virginia, No. 24-1120, yet that is precisely what the Rule requires.

EPA acknowledges that the primary example it offers—Unit 3 of

Saskatchewan Power’s Boundary Dam coal plant—has failed to demonstrate capture

at the sustained rate of 90 percent required by the Rule. EPA cites a report detailing

the facility’s operations and efforts to make Unit 3 more reliable despite technical

9

challenges.3 Although the report states that the facility was designed to achieve a

90% capture rate, 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,848; Giannaris at 3, the report shows that such

a rate was rarely achieved.

As EPA acknowledged, “the capture plant has not

consistently operated” at 90% total capture efficiency. 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,848. That

is an understatement. The chart below (included in Giannaris at 10, Fig. 8) indicates

that the facility achieved 90% capture on just a few days during a five-year period of

operation—in other words, less than 1% of the time.

The data above align with more recent statements by SaskPower indicating

that Boundary Dam Unit 3 cannot achieve 90% capture. The “carbon capture rate in

2021 was less than 37% of the official target of 90%.”4 Monthly reports dating back

to early 2020 show “frequent” outages due to issues like “‘wet coal,’” “‘plugging,’”

“‘issues in the powerhouse,’” “‘trip,’” “‘water cooling issues’” and other technical

issues. Ibid. As SaskPower itself said in comments on the Rule: “SaskPower’s CCS

facility is not capturing 90 percent of emissions from Boundary Dam Unit 3.”

3 See 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,848, n.290 (citing Stavroula Giannaris, et al., SaskPower's Boundary

Dam Unit 3 Carbon Capture Facility—The Journey to Achieving Reliability, Proceedings of the 15th

International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (Mar. 15-18, 2021), EPA-HQ-OAR2023,0072-0053_Attachment 28 (“Giannaris”)).

4 Karen Rives, Only still-operating carbon capture project battled technical issues in 2021, S&P

GLOBAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (Jan. 6, 2022), available at https://tinyurl.com/2mzruwwx.

10

SaskPower Comment (Aug. 4, 2023), EPA‐HQ‐OAR‐2023‐0072‐0687; see also 89 Fed.

Reg. at 39,848 (“Boundary Dam has more recently been capable of achieving capture

rates of 83 percent when the capture plant is online”) (emphasis added). Another

report similarly concluded: “Boundary Dam 3, the only active carbon capture project

in the power sector worldwide, has captured less than its pre-specified target by a

wide margin (about 50%).”5 Contrary to EPA’s claims, Boundary Dam’s record is

strong evidence that CO2 capture at 90% has not been adequately demonstrated.

EPA also errs in claiming that 90% CO2 capture “has been further

demonstrated at other coal-fired steam generating units” and “other industrial

processes.” 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,888, 39,926. EPA relies on a 2009 report6 to assert

that certain plants “clearly show the technical feasibility of post-combustion carbon

capture.” Id. at 39,849. But that report states that only “[a] small fraction of the

power plant[s’] overall CO2 [was] captured”; the rest was “vented to the atmosphere.”7

Finally, EPA mistakenly claims that the former CO2 capture facility at the

Bellingham Energy Center demonstrated the viability of carbon capture on a

combined cycle (natural gas-fired) combustion turbine EGU.8 The agency report cited

by EPA actually states that carbon capture systems for natural gas systems “have

5 Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, The carbon capture crux: Lessons

learned at 47 (Sept. 2022), available at https://tinyurl.com/mv8m4r4a.

6 Id. at 39,849 n.301 (citing J.J. Dooley et al., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, PNNL18520, An Assessment of the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage

Technologies as of June 2009 (June 2, 2009), EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0053_Attachment 4).

7 J.J. Dooley et al., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, PNNL-18520, An Assessment of the

Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009 at 8

(June 2, 2009), EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0053_Attachment 4).

8 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,926 n.763 (citing DOE, Carbon Capture Opportunities for Natural Gas

Fired Power Systems, EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-9008 (“DOE Natural Gas CCS Report”)).

11

not been proven at full scale” and that “more effort and R&D is required to advance

into full commercial application.”9

2.

EPA Failed to Show That Development of a Sufficient

Pipeline System for CO2 Transportation Had Been

Adequately Demonstrated.

Next, EPA also has not shown any—much less a proven—track record for the

development of a pipeline system sufficient to transport CO2 from generating

facilities nationwide, each capturing CO2 at a 90% capture rate, to sequestration

sites. According to EPA, 20,000 to 25,000 additional miles of pipeline are needed to

capture over 1 billion metric tons of CO2 emissions from large coal and gas EGUs per

year.

Proposed Rule, “New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas

Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric

Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing

Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean

Energy Rule,” 88 Fed. Reg. 33,240, 33,369 (May 23, 2023). In its proposal, EPA

asserted that such build-out is feasible because the domestic CO2 pipeline network

has “steadily expanded and appears primed to continue to do so.” Id. at 33,293. But

EPA acknowledged that only 5,339 miles of CO2 pipelines currently exist in the U.S.,

which is only a “13 percent increase in CO2 pipeline miles since 2011.” Id. at 33,294.

Put another way, on average over the last 12 years, only 50 miles of CO2 pipelines

have been constructed per year. At that rate, only a few hundred miles of additional

9 DOE Natural Gas CCS Report at 2, 4.

12

CO2 pipeline would be constructed by 2030, falling woefully short of the 20,000 to

25,000 miles that EPA indicates are necessary. Id. at 33,369.

In the Rule, EPA does not address this fundamental problem, but rather

attempts to sidestep it. EPA still “anticipates . . . in the coming years” that a “largescale interstate pipeline network may develop to transport CO2.” 89 Fed. Reg. at

39,855 (emphasis added). But it admits that it did “not base its analysis of the

availability of CCS on the projected existence of a large-scale interstate pipeline

network.” Ibid.

Instead, EPA pivots to predicting “the construction of relatively short lateral

pipelines that extend from the source to the nearest geologic storage reservoir.” Ibid.

But this would require a massive number of shorter pipelines to be rapidly permitted

and constructed. There is no basis in the Rule, or reality, to believe that will happen.

Pipeline permitting and construction face significant obstacles. In a 2022

report, for example, the Congressional Research Service noted that pipeline

developers repeatedly “face opposition among affected landowners and advocacy

groups,” often struggling to secure “agreements with landowners for pipeline rightsof-way through their properties.”10 Certain representatives of environmental justice

communities recently vowed to stop the build-out of CCS infrastructure “in the

permitting stage.”11 Without landowner agreements, “developers may . . . secure

property rights through eminent domain authority,” but CO2 pipeline “siting

10 Paul W. Parfomak, CONG. RESEARCH SERV., IN11944, Carbon Dioxide Pipelines: Safety Issues

at 2 (June 3, 2022), available at https://tinyurl.com/mrxa6v69.

11 Timothy Puko, Washington Post, Why these environmentalists are resisting part of Biden’s

climate push (June 25, 2023), available at https://tinyurl.com/432636v2.

13

authorities, landowner rights, and eminent domain laws reside with the states and

vary from state to state, so securing rights-of-way for interstate projects is not

guaranteed.”12 The end result, in the words of the Congressional Research Service,

is that (1) opposition “may prevent CO2 pipeline development in certain localities and

increase development time and costs in others”; and (2) the “actual or perceived risks

associated with CO2 pipelines may limit the potential of CCS as a greenhouse gas

mitigation option.”13

Nevertheless, EPA suggests that the design and implementation of CO2

transport can be completed within 3.5 years. 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,875 n.594. But EPA

cannot point to any CO2 pipeline project that has been permitted, constructed, and

operational within that timeframe. The two main projects that EPA cites have either

been cancelled (Heartland Greenway) or significantly delayed (Midwest Carbon).14

With respect to the latter, Midwest Carbon’s CEO recently announced that the

company was pushing back the estimated operational date of its proposed CO2

pipeline from 2024 to 2026, citing “regulatory hurdles and environmental and

landowner opposition.”15 And in November 2023, Wolf Carbon Solutions withdrew

its application for a proposed 260‐mile CO2 pipeline in light of concerns expressed by

state regulators.16

12 Parfomak, Carbon Dioxide Pipelines: Safety Issues at 2.

13 Ibid.

Leah Douglas, Navigator CO2 Ventures cancels carbon-capture pipeline project in US

Midwest, REUTERS (Oct. 20, 2023), available at https://tinyurl.com/44r57b8u.

15 Jared Strong, Summit says pipeline system won’t be operational until 2026, IOWA CAPITAL

DISPATCH (Oct. 19, 2023), available at https://tinyurl.com/2mznfdpn.

16 Nara Schoenbert, Wolf Carbon Solutions pauses its bid for Illinois approval of a controversial

260-mile CO2 pipeline (Nov. 26, 2023), available at https://tinyurl.com/3hmkjszd.

14

14

3.

EPA Also Failed to Show that a Sufficient System of CO2

Sequestration Had Been Adequately Demonstrated.

Finally, EPA has not shown a proven track record for geologic sequestration of

CO2 at the scale required by the Rule. Commercial storage for the amount of CO2

that would result from a 90% rate of capture is neither available now nor anticipated

in the near term. Application of NRECA for Immediate Stay App. 288–89a, No.

24A96 (U.S. July 23, 2024).

Instead of identifying available commercial storage, EPA again turns to

speculation.

EPA claims to have satisfied its burden by identifying “potential

geolog[y]” for storage within 100 kilometers of every state with existing units affected

by the Rule. 89 Fed. Reg. at 39,857 (emphasis added). But “potential” storage sites

are very different from storage sites that can be used today, or even tomorrow. As

EPA admits, it will require significant study to determine whether these storage sites

can ever be used for sequestration, and if so, how much capacity they have. Id. at

39,855 n.378.

The regulatory hurdles to CO2 storage further mean that storage at the scale

contemplated by the Rule will not be possible in the near future. Geologic storage of

CO2 may take place only through compliance with regulations under one of two

regulatory classes—Class II or Class VI—in EPA’s Underground Injection Control

(UIC) program.

Class II with respect to CO2 refers to the process of enhanced

recovery. But opportunities for enhanced recovery are limited to a subset of oil- and

gas-bearing formations, which are not distributed throughout all areas of the country.

15

With respect to the Class VI program, only a small number of permits have been

issued since 2015 (eight by EPA and 11 by States).17

4.

Since EPA Promulgated The Rule, It Has Become Even

Clearer That EPA’s BSER Is Based On Crystal Ball

Speculation.

Recent developments only confirm that 90% CCS for EGUs has not been

adequately demonstrated and will not be anytime soon. Illinois recently passed a law

that will significantly delay the construction of CO2 pipelines there. On July 19, 2024,

for example, the Governor of Illinois signed a bill that banned the construction of CO2

pipelines until July 1, 2026, unless the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety

Administration (“PHMSA”) finalizes new federal safety regulations before that

date.18 Even after July 1, 2026, however, the new law does not allow the Illinois

Commerce Commission to issue a certificate to construct until the applicant has

obtained “all required permits or approvals from [PHMSA], the U.S. Army Corps of

Engineers, and the Illinois Department of Agriculture, in addition to all other permits

and approvals necessary for the construction and operation of the pipeline prior to

the start of any construction.”19 As explained, the permitting and approval process

alone can take several years and often times far longer in light of significant local and

national opposition to the construction of CO2 pipelines.

17 Angela C. Jones, CONG. RESEARCH SERV., R48033, Class VI Carbon Sequestration Wells:

Permitting And State Program Primacy at 7–8 (2024), available at https://tinyurl.com/cd8ks2b9.

18 Andrew Adams, After years of controversy, Illinois pauses CO2 pipeline construction, for now,

CAPITOL NEWS ILLINOIS, July 19, 2024, available at https://tinyurl.com/pskbfsak.

19 Ill. Pub. Act 103-0651.

16

There is other local opposition, too. Just last month, the Indiana Office of

Utility Consumer Counselor (“OUCC”) filed testimony opposing a proposed CCS

study for a power plant in the state, claiming that “the feasibility and affordability of

a CCS system” is “speculative.”20 Across the Midwest, local residents are continuing

their “fight[] to kill” the construction of CO2 pipelines through their states.21 In North

Dakota, a utility is reconsidering its planned $2 billion CCS power plant project in

light of the significant amount of “uncertainty” created by EPA’s section 111 rule, as

well as economic concerns.22

And in Louisiana, environmental groups recently

challenged an EPA rule granting the state authority over wells used to sequester

captured carbon, arguing that Louisiana lacks the requisite expertise “in light of . . .

the state’s past failures regulating less complicated wells.”23

If history is any

indication, such litigation can take years to resolve.

The timeline for regulatory approvals has also not improved. Approvals for

CO2 capture wells continue to lag at the federal level, with 145 applications pending

before EPA as of July 19, 2024, and only four final permit decisions issued.24 In some

cases, EPA projects that it will take nearly three years to complete its “technical

review” of a single well application.

20 Sean Wolfe, Indiana’s consumer advocate wants to thwart Duke Energy’s carbon capture

study, POWER ENGINEERING (July 16, 2024), available at https://tinyurl.com/4tej2n7k.

21 Nina Elkadi, A battle in rural Midwest as farmers fight carbon capture pipeline, THE NEW

LEDE (July 16, 2024), available at https://tinyurl.com/3rwkm69v.

22 Carlos Anchondo, Major coal CCS project hits delays, cost spikes, E&E NEWS, June 25, 2024,

available at https://tinyurl.com/4wsuhrst.

23 Opening Brief of Petitioners at 1, Deep S. for Envt’l Just. v. EPA, No. 24-60084 (5th Cir. June

12, 2024).

24 Underground Injection Control (UIC) Class VI Permit Tracker (last updated July 19, 2024),

available at https://tinyurl.com/34h4tm6d.

17

II.

The Equities Favor A Stay Because EPA’s Rule Will Jeopardize the

Reliability of the Nation’s Power.

As this Court recently recognized, when “parties seek to stay the enforcement

of a federal regulation against them, often the harms and equities [will be] very

weighty on both sides” and thus the resolution of the stay requests often “ultimately

turns on the merits.” Ohio, 144 S. Ct. at 2052–53 (cleaned up). This case is no

different.

Applicants showed that, absent a stay, they will suffer substantial irreparable

harm from complying with the Rule during the pendency of this litigation.25 Though

the deadlines are still years away, States and other entities must begin taking actions

now if they are to have any chance of meeting those deadlines. The D.C. Circuit

puzzlingly belittled these actions as “long-term planning,” States’ Emergency

Application for Immediate Stay at App. 2a, No. 24A95, but that was clearly wrong.

These are the same kinds of “weighty” harms that this Court recognized as

irreparable in Ohio, 144 S. Ct. at 2053, and in granting the stay in West Virginia v.

EPA, 577 U.S. 1126 (2016).26

25 See, e.g., States’ Emergency Application for Immediate Stay at 26–38, No. 24A95; Nat’l

Mining Ass’n Application for Immediate Stay at 17–26, No. 24A97 (U.S. July 23, 2024); NACCO

Application for Immediate Stay at 33–35, No. 24A98 (U.S. July 23, 2024); NRECA Application for

Immediate Stay at 35–39, No. 24A96 (U.S. July 23, 2024); Electric Generator for a Sensible Transition

Application for Immediate Stay at 23–33, No. 24A116 (U.S. July 26, 2024).

26 See, e.g., U.S. Steel Corp. v. EPA, No. 23A384, 2023 WL 7163329, at *24 (Oct. 26, 2023)

(“U.S. Steel cannot wait before it must incur substantial costs on work plans that EPA does not have

the authority to impose, and on the design, permitting and installation of boiler and reheat furnace

modifications that are unnecessary and may be subject to withdrawal or modification in a revised

rule.”); Am. Forest & Paper Ass’n v. EPA, No. 23A351, 2023 WL 7040199, at *25-26 (Oct. 13, 2023)

(“[t]o reach compliance in time, [Applicants and their members] will have to immediately begin the

process of installing prohibitively expensive emissions controls, incurring hundreds of millions of

dollars in capital compliance and construction costs” and that “sources ‘will need to immediately make

a decision . . . on whether to upgrade or retire’ units”); Application of Utility and Allied Parties for

18

The D.C. Circuit also clearly erred in reasoning that “a stay will not help

because the risk remains” that the Rule’s deadlines will “come back into force at the

end of the case.” States’ Emergency Application for Immediate Stay at App. 2a, No.

24A95. It is well settled that, in the event that a stayed rule survives judicial review,

a court has the power to order the rule’s deadlines to be extended day-for-day for the

period of the stay. See, e.g., Michigan v. EPA, No. 98-1497 (D.C. Cir. June 22, 2000),

Doc. No. 540209 (extending SIP deadline after expiration of stay so that states would

“have 1,309 days for implementing SIP revisions, as provided in the original rule”);

id., Doc No. 524995 (granting covered States the same 128 days they had left for

compliance at the time of the stay in order to “restore the status quo preserved by the

stay”). And parties that obtain a stay of a rule can and do cease compliance efforts in

reliance on that expectation. Were it otherwise, there would often be no point in

seeking a stay.

The balance of the equities and the public interest also support a stay here.

Precisely because the Rule sets unworkable standards based on unrealistic

assumptions, the Rule will threaten electric reliability, as well as impose major costs

on regulated parties and the U.S. economy that cannot be recovered if the Rule is

later set aside.

Because it imposes a system that has not yet been adequately

demonstrated and currently is very costly, the Rule is likely to cause widespread

Immediate Stay at 12, Basin Elec. Power Coop., 577 U.S. 1126 (No. 15A776) (“to meet the rule’s

requirements and have replacement generation online by 2022, the power industry must act now”);

Coal Industry Application for Immediate Stay at 31, Murray Energy Corp. v. EPA, 577 U.S. 1127 (2016)

(No. 15A778) (“Decisions to implement [plant] closures must begin immediately, and planning for

future retirements is underway now.”).

19

retirement of dispatchable generation while simultaneously preventing the

development of new, dispatchable generation resources.

That is particularly

concerning because such generation is needed to balance the expansion of renewables

and to satisfy the significant increase in electricity demand that is expected over the

coming years and decades, due in part to data center and AI growth, as well as the

widespread electrification of transportation, manufacturing and housing sectors.

EPA’s own modeling projects that the vast majority of regulated EGUs will not

implement CCS but will instead retire to achieve “efficient compliance” with the Rule.

Regulatory Impact Analysis at 3-25 to 3-28 (Apr. 2024), EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-00728913 (“RIA”). That prospect is highly concerning—not only to the Chamber, but to

regional and independent electric power system operators.

For example, the Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc. (“MISO”),

which manages the delivery of energy to roughly 45 million people throughout the

middle of the United States, is already operating near the limits of its resource

capacity. In a recent report, MISO stated that it is time “to face some hard realities,”

including “immediate and serious challenges to the reliability of our region’s electric

grid.”27

MISO recognized the need for “new dispatchable generation”—that is,

generation “that can be turned on and off and adjusted as needed”28—in light of “the

conventional dispatchable coal and natural gas resources that are being retired.” 29

“[A] key risk is that many ‘dispatchable’ resources . . . are being replaced with

MISO, Response to the Reliability Imperative at 1 (Feb. 2024), available at

https://tinyurl.com/ya7tz7y9.

28 Id. at 1, 2.

29 Id. at 2.

27

20

weather-dependent resources such as wind and solar,” which lack “certain key

reliability attributes that are needed to keep the grid reliable every hour of the

year.”30 While “several emerging technologies may someday change that calculus,

they are not yet proven at grid scale.”31 Until then, MISO “will continue to need

dispatchable resources for reliability purposes.”32

MISO’s warnings about grid reliability are echoed by the North American

Electric Reliability Corporation (“NERC”), the Electric Reliability Organization that

the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”) has certified pursuant to the

Federal Power Act to establish and enforce reliability standards, subject to FERC

review, for the nation’s bulk-power system.33 In a recent assessment, NERC found

“clear evidence of growing resource adequacy concerns over the next 10 years,” and

identified large areas of the country at a “high” risk of failing to meet demand,

including MISO’s 15‐state area.34 In just four years, “MISO is projected to have a 4.7

GW shortfall if expected generator retirements occur despite the addition of new

resources that total over 12 GW.”35

PJM Interconnection, the regional grid operator responsible for ensuring

reliability for 65 million people across 13 states and the District of Columbia, has

30 Id. at 1 (emphasis omitted).

31 Ibid.

32 Ibid.

33 See, e.g., S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. FERC, 762 F.3d 41, 51, 79 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (discussing

NERC); 16 U.S.C. § 824o(a).

34 NERC, 2023 Long‐Term Reliability Assessment at 6‐9 (Dec. 2023), available at

https://tinyurl.com/bdm36c27.

35 Id. at 7-9. For context, 1 GW is generally enough energy to power about 750,000 homes.

California ISO, Understanding electricity, available at https://tinyurl.com/2p9tbykp.

21

expressed similar concerns.36

According to PJM, EPA’s rule is likely to “drive

premature retirement” of EGUs and “dissuade new gas resources from coming

online,” even though such resources are needed to meet “significant increases” in

demand “as a result of new data center load, electrification of vehicles and increased

electric heating load.”37

This new reality has also led to the recent, dramatic

increases in electric generation capacity prices across the PJM region.38

The

functioning of our national economy, and the vast majority of the small and large

businesses within it, depends on a power system that can routinely handle demand

increases without risking interruptions in service or dramatic market disruptions.

EPA does not explain how the fossil generation forced to retire as a result of

its Rule can or will be replaced at current levels and with similar dispatch

characteristics, notwithstanding strong evidence that electricity demand is expected

to grow rapidly in the coming years and decades, as noted above. As one global

environmental organization recently put it: “the United States . . . does not have a

plan to manage the reliable transition of its electricity sector.” 39 EPA has finalized

“binding power plant emissions reduction targets, but fully decarbonizing the

electricity sector requires coordinated, regional planning and targeted investments

for specific types of resources, many of which are not yet commercially available.”40

36 PJM, PJM Statement on the Newly Issued EPA Greenhouse Gas and Related Regulations at

2-3 (May 8, 2024), available at https://tinyurl.com/3uu34edn.

37 Ibid.

38 Ethan Howland, PJM capacity prices hit record highs, sending build signal to generators,

UTILITYDIVE (July 31, 2024), available at https://tinyurl.com/bdzfzr78.

39 World Resources Institute, Working Paper, Meeting the Reliability Challenges of the Clean

Energy Transition (Nov. 2023), available at https://tinyurl.com/mr7exsv4.

40 Ibid.

22

CONCLUSION

This Court should grant the applications for immediate stay of the Rule.

Respectfully submitted,

/s/ Elbert Lin

Elbert Lin

HUNTON ANDREWS KURTH LLP

Riverfront Plaza, East Tower

951 East Byrd Street

Richmond, VA 23219

(804) 788-8200

elin@huntonak.com

Brent A. Rosser

Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

One South at the Plaza, Suite 3500

101 South Tryon Street

Charlotte, North Carolina 28280

(704) 378-4700

F. William Brownell

Matthew Z. Leopold

Erica N. Peterson

Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

2200 Pennsylvania Ave. NW

Washington, DC 20037

(202) 955-1500

Andrew R. Varcoe

Christopher J. Walker

U.S. CHAMBER LITIGATION CENTER

1615 H Street, NW

Washington, DC 20062

(202) 463-5337

Counsel for Amicus Curiae Chamber of

Commerce of the United States of

America

August 5, 2024

23

This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.

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