Emergency Application — North Dakota, et al., Applicants v. Environmental Protection Agency, et al.
Supreme Court briefAug 16, 2024
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No. ________
In the Supreme Court of the United States
STATE OF NORTH DAKOTA, STATE OF WEST VIRGINIA, et al.,
v.
Applicants,
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY,
Respondent.
TO THE HONORABLE JOHN G. ROBERTS, JR.,
CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE UNITED STATES
AND CIRCUIT JUSTICE FOR THE D.C. CIRCUIT
STATES’ EMERGENCY APPLICATION FOR AN IMMEDIATE STAY OF
ADMINISTRATIVE ACTION PENDING REVIEW IN THE D.C. CIRCUIT
PATRICK MORRISEY
Attorney General
DREW H. WRIGLEY
Attorney General
MICHAEL R. WILLIAMS
Solicitor General
PHILIP AXT
Solicitor General
*Counsel of Record
Office of the Attorney General
State Capitol Complex
Building 1, Room E-26
Charleston, WV 25301
Phone: 304.558.2021
michael.r.williams@wvago.gov
Counsel for State of West Virginia
NESSA HOREWITCH COPPINGER
DAVID M. FRIEDLAND
Special Assistant Attorneys General
Office of the Attorney General
600 E Boulevard Ave., Dept. 125
Bismarck, ND 58505
Phone: 701.328.2210
pjaxt@nd.gov
Counsel for State of North Dakota
[additional counsel listed after signature page]
PARTIES TO THIS PROCEEDING
Applicants in this Court and Petitioners in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals
are the State of North Dakota, State of West Virginia, State of Alaska, State of
Arkansas, State of Georgia, State of Idaho, State of Indiana, State of Iowa, State of
Kansas, Commonwealth of Kentucky, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State
of Missouri, State of Montana, State of Nebraska, State of Oklahoma, State of South
Carolina, State of South Dakota, State of Tennessee, State of Texas, State of Utah,
Commonwealth of Virginia, and State of Wyoming.
Respondent in this Court and Respondent in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals
is the United States Environmental Protection Agency.
Intervenor for Petitioner in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals is San Miguel
Electric Cooperative, Inc.
Intervenors for Respondent in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals are (1) Air
Alliance Houston, Alliance of Nurses for Healthy Environments, American Academy
of Pediatrics, American Lung Association, American Public Health Association,
Chesapeake Climate Action Network, Citizens for Pennsylvania’s Future, Clean Air
Council, Clean Wisconsin, Downwinders at Risk, Environmental Defense Fund,
Environmental Integrity Project, Montana Environmental Information Center,
Natural Resources Council of Maine, Natural Resources Defense Council, the Ohio
Environmental Council, Physicians for Social Responsibility, and Sierra Club; (2) the
State of Massachusetts, State of Minnesota, State of Connecticut, State of Illinois,
State of Maine, State of Maryland, State of Michigan, State of New Jersey, State of
New York, State of Oregon, State of Pennsylvania, State of Rhode Island, State of
i
Vermont, State of Wisconsin, District of Columbia, City of Baltimore, City of Chicago,
City of New York.
RELATED PROCEEDINGS
This application arises from an August 8 Order from the D.C. Circuit Court of
Appeals denying six motions to stay filed in eight consolidated cases:
No. 24-1119: State of North Dakota, et al v. EPA (lead case)
No. 24-1154: NACCO Natural Resources Corporation v. EPA, et al
No. 24-1179: National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, Lignite Energy
Council, National Mining Association, Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc., East
Kentucky Power Cooperative, Inc., Associated Electric Cooperative, Inc., Basin
Electric Power Cooperative, Rainbow Energy Center, LLC v. EPA, et al
No. 24-1184: Oak Grove Management Company, LLC, et al v. EPA, et al
No. 24-1190: Talen Montana, LLC v. EPA, et al
No. 24-1194: Westmoreland Mining Holdings LLC, Westmoreland Mining, and
Westmoreland Rosebud Mining LLC v. EPA, et al
No. 24-1201: America's Power, and Electric Generators MATS Coalition v. EPA
No. 24-1217: NorthWestern Corporation, d/b/a NorthWestern Energy v. EPA
No. 24-1223: Midwest Ozone Group v. EPA, et al
ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PARTIES TO THIS PROCEEDING .............................................................................. i
TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................... iii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ......................................................................................... iv
TABLE OF APPENDICES ........................................................................................... ix
INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1
DECISION BELOW ...................................................................................................... 6
JURISDICTION............................................................................................................. 6
BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................. 6
REASONS TO GRANT THE APPLICATION ............................................................ 14
I.
THE STATES WILL SUFFER IRREPARABLE HARM
WITHOUT A STAY ........................................................................................... 15
A.
The Rule Jeopardizes the Stability of the Nation’s Power Grids. ........ 15
B.
The Rule Will Impose Irreparable Economic Injury ............................. 18
II.
THE BALANCE OF HARMS AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST FAVOR A
STAY .................................................................................................................. 20
III.
APPLICANTS WILL LIKELY PREVAIL ON THE MERITS ......................... 21
A.
B.
EPA Has Exceeded the Authority Delegated by Congress ................... 22
1.
Revising the MATS Standard Is Not “Necessary” ..................... 22
2.
There Has Not Been a “Development” to Justify Revising the
MATS Rule ................................................................................... 24
The Final Rule is Arbitrary and Capricious ......................................... 30
1.
EPA’s Cost-Benefit Analysis is Indefensible .............................. 31
2.
EPA Failed to Adequately Consider Power Grid Impacts ......... 34
3.
EPA’s Basis for Promulgating the Rule is Pretextual ............... 37
CONCLUSION............................................................................................................. 40
iii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Cases
Armour & Co. v. Wantock,
323 U.S. 126, 129-30 (1944) ..................................................................................... 22
Ass’n of Battery Recyclers v. EPA,
716 F.3d 667 (D.C. Cir. 2013).................................................................................. 31
Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe,
401 U.S. 402 (1971)................................................................................................... 39
Del. Dep’t of Nat. Res. & Envtl. Control v. EPA,
785 F.3d 1, 18 (D.C. Cir. 2015)................................................................................. 35
Dep’t of Commerce v. New York,
588 US 752 (2019).................................................................................... 5, 37, 39, 40
GPA Midstream Ass’n v. DOT,
67 F.4th 1188, 1200 (D.C. Cir. 2023) ....................................................................... 33
Griffin v. Oceanic Contractors, Inc.,
458 U.S. 564 (1982).................................................................................................. 27
La. Envtl. Action Network v. EPA,
955 F.3d 1088, 1097-98 (D.C. Cir. 2020).................................................................. 22
Loper Bright Enter. v. Raimondo,
144 S. Ct. 2244 (2024) ................................................................................. 14, 21, 28
Mexican Gulf Fishing Co. v. U.S. Dep’t of Commerce,
60 F.4th 956 (5th Cir. 2023) .................................................................................... 34
Michigan v. EPA,
576 U.S. 743 (2015)................................................................ 2, 5, 7, 8, 24, 31, 33, 34
Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm,
463 U.S. 29 (1983).............................................................................................. 31, 36
National Association for Surface Finishing v. EPA,
795 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2015)................................................................................ 28, 29
Natural Res. Def. Council v. EPA,
529 F.3d 1084 (D.C. Cir. 2008).......................................................................... 10, 27
Ohio v. EPA,
144 S. Ct. 2040 (2024) ............................................................................... 2, 5, 14, 34
Philip Morris USA Inc. v. Scott,
561 U.S. 1301, 1305 (2010)......................................................................................... 2
Portland Cement Ass’n v. EPA,
665 F.3d 177 (D.C. Cir. 2011).................................................................................. 37
iv
Sierra Club v. EPA,
895 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2018)........................................................................................ 6
Sierra Club v. Ga. Power Co.,
180 F.3d 1309 (11th Cir. 1999) ............................................................................... 20
Small Ref. Lead Phase-Down Task Force v. EPA,
705 F.2d 506 (D.C. Cir. 1983).................................................................................. 36
Texas v. EPA,
829 F.3d 405 (5th Cir. 2016) ................................................................. 16, 18, 20, 35
Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich,
510 U.S. 200 (1994)................................................................................................... 19
Tri-State Generation & Transmission Ass’n v. Shoshone River Power, Inc.,
805 F.2d 351 (10th Cir. 1986) .................................................................................. 21
Webster v. Fall,
266 U.S. 507 (1925).................................................................................................. 28
West Virginia v. EPA,
597 U.S. 697 (2022).................................................................................. 5, 21, 38, 39
West Virginia v. EPA,
90 F.4th 323 (4th Cir. 2024) .................................................................................... 20
Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc.,
555 U.S. 7 (2008) ..................................................................................................... 14
Wis. Gas Co. v. FERC,
758 F.2d 669, 674 (D.C. Cir. 1985) ........................................................................... 36
Wyoming v. Dep’t of Interior,
493 F. Supp. 3d 1046 (D. Wyo. 2020) ...................................................................... 24
Statutes and Rules
All Writs Act, 28 U.S.C. § 1651 ..................................................................................... 6
Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 705 ............................................................ 6
28 U.S.C. § 1254(1) ........................................................................................................ 6
28 U.S.C. § 1201(f) ......................................................................................................... 6
Clean Air Act § 112
42 U.S.C. § 7412 ....................................................................................................... 6
42 U.S.C. § 7412(b)(1)............................................................................................... 6
42 U.S.C. § 7412(b)(3)(B) ........................................................................................ 22
42 U.S.C. § 7412(b)(3)(C) ........................................................................................ 22
v
42 U.S.C. § 7412(c)(9)(B)(i)..................................................................................... 10
42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(1)............................................................................................... 6
42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(3)............................................................................................... 6
42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(6)..................................................................................... 3, 7, 22
42 U.S.C. § 7412(f) .................................................................................................... 7
42 U.S.C. § 7412(n)(1)(A) ....................................................................................... 23
National Emission Standards for Coke Oven Batteries,
69 Fed. Reg. 48338 (Aug. 9, 2004)...................................................................... 10, 23
National Emission Standards for Coke Oven Batteries,
70 Fed. Reg. 19992 (Apr. 15, 2005) .......................................................................... 28
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Organic Hazardous
Air Pollutants From the Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry
71 Fed. Reg. 34422 (June 14, 2006) ......................................................................... 23
National Emission Standards for Organic Hazardous Air Pollutants From the
Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry,
71 Fed. Reg. 76603 (Dec. 21, 2006) .......................................................................... 10
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Coal- and OilFired Electric Utility Steam Generating Units and Standards of Performance
for Fossil-Fuel-Fired Electric Utility, Industrial-Commercial-Institutional, and
Small Industrial-Commercial-Institutional Steam Generating Units,
76 Fed. Reg. 24976 (May 3, 2011) ............................................................................ 30
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From the Pulp and
Paper Industry
76 Fed. Reg 81328 (Dec. 27, 2011) ........................................................................... 25
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Coal- and
Oil-Fired Electric Utility Steam Generating Units and Standards of
Performance for Fossil-Fuel-Fired Electric Utility, Industrial-CommercialInstitutional, and Small Industrial-Commercial-Institutional Steam
Generating Units,
77 Fed. Reg. 9304 (Feb. 16, 2012) ............................................................ 7, 13, 29, 33
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for the Portland Cement
Manufacturing Industry and Standards of Performance for Portland Cement
Plants,
78 Fed. Reg. 10006 (Feb. 12, 2013) .......................................................................... 33
Petroleum Refinery Sector Risk and Technology Review and New Source
Performance Standards,
80 Fed. Reg. 75178 (Dec. 1, 2015) ............................................................................ 32
vi
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and
Oil-Fired Electric Utility Steam Generating Units—Reconsideration of
Supplemental Finding and Residual Risk and Technology Review,
85 Fed. Reg. 31286 (May 22, 2020) ........................................................................ 8, 9
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Integrated Iron and
Steel Manufacturing Facilities Residual Risk and Technology Review,
85 Fed. Reg. 42074 (July 13, 2020) .......................................................................... 32
Executive Order No. 13990, Protecting Public Health and the Environment
and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis,
86 Fed. Reg. 7037 (Jan. 25, 2021) .............................................................................. 9
New Source Performance Standards Review for Lead Acid Battery Manufacturing
Plants and National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Lead
Acid Battery Manufacturing Area Sources Technology Review,
88 Fed. Reg. 11556 (Feb. 23, 2023) .......................................................................... 32
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and Oil-Fired
Electric Utility Steam Generating Units Review of the Residual Risk and
Technology Review,
88 Fed. Reg. 24854 (April 24, 2023) ......................................................... 9, 11, 12, 29
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and
Oil-Fired Electric Utility Steam Generating Units Review of the Residual
Risk and Technology Review,
89 Fed. Reg. 38508 (May 7, 2024) .............. 6, 11-13, 17, 18, 20 ,23, 25, 26, 29-33, 37
40 C.F.R. Part 63 Subparts F through HHHHHHH .................................................... 7
Other Authorities
2018 Technology Review Memorandum ..................................................................... 25
2023 Technology Review for the Coal- and Oil-Fired EGU Source Category (“2023
Tech Review”) ........................................................................................................... 11
Am. Heritage Dictionary (5th ed. 2011)...................................................................... 25
Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019) ...................................................................... 22
Merriam Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary (10th ed. 1994)......................................... 22
Chemnick et al., What the EPA’s New Plans for Regulating Power Plans Mean for
Carbon, Sci. Am. (Mar. 11, 2022) ............................................................................ 39
EPA, Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Suite of Standards to Reduce
Pollution from Fossil Fuel-Fired Power Plants (Apr. 25, 2024)........................ 15, 37
FERC-NERC-Regional Entity Staff Report: The February 2021 Cold Weather
Outages in Texas and the South Central United States (Nov. 16, 2021) ......... 15-16
vii
Milman, New US climate rules for pollution cuts ‘probably terminal’ for coal-fired
plants, Guardian (May 2, 2024) ............................................................................... 40
Joe Rago, A Supreme Carbon Rebuke,
Wall St. J. (Feb. 10, 2016) .......................................................................................... 3
PBS, EPA Administrator Michael Regan discusses Supreme Court ruling on
climate change, YouTube (June 30, 2022) .......................................................... 38-39
Pratson et. al., Fuel Prices, Emission Standards, and Generation Costs for Coal v
Natural Gas Power Plants,
Am. Chem. Soc’y, Env’l Sci. & Tech., 4929 (Mar. 2013) .......................................... 13
Ronald Cass, Staying Agency Rules: Constitutional Structure and
Rule of Law in the Administrative State,
69 Admin. L. Rev. 225, 254-57 (2017) ........................................................................ 3
Timothy Cama & Lydia Wheeler, Supreme Court Overturns Landmark EPA Air
Pollution Rule, The Hill (June 29, 2015) ................................................................... 8
U.S. Energy Info. Admin., Planned coal-fired power plant retirements continue to
increase (Mar. 20, 2014) ........................................................................................... 13
White House, Press Gaggle by Principal Deputy Press Secretary Karine JeanPierre & Env’t Prot. Agency Adm’r Michael Regan (Feb. 17, 2022) ....................... 38
Minnkota Power Coop. Inc. Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5978 ................................................................................ 34
MISO Comments
Docket ID Nos. EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0283, EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0282,
EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0280 ...................................................................................... 34
Nat’l Min. Ass’n Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2009-0234-20531 .............................................................................. 14
National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5956 ................................................................................ 34
Rainbow Energy Center Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5990 ................................................................................ 34
Power Generators Air Coalition Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5994 ................................................................................ 34
viii
TABLE OF APPENDICES
Court of Appeals Order Denying the Motions to Stay
(D.C. Cir. August 8, 2024) ........................................................................................ 1a
42 U.S.C. § 7412 ........................................................................................................... 3a
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and Oil-Fired
Electric Utility Steam Generating Units Review of the Residual Risk and
Technology Review, 89 Fed. Reg. 38508 (May 7, 2024) ........................................ 59a
Chang Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 145a
Fedorchak Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North
Dakota’s Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024) ............................................... 160a
Friez Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 174a
Huston Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 269a
Lane Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 275a
McCollam Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North
Dakota’s Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024) ............................................... 295a
McLennan Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North
Dakota’s Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024) ............................................... 312a
Nowakowski Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North
Dakota’s Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024) ............................................... 515a
Purvis Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 526a
Rickerson Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North
Dakota’s Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024) ............................................... 546a
Tschider Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 552a
Vigesaa Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 592a
ix
Webb Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 601a
Bohrer Declaration (ECF No. 2058570), filed in support of State of North Dakota’s
Motion to Stay (D.C. Cir. June 7, 2024)............................................................... 605a
Excerpted MISO Comments,
Docket ID Nos. EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0280, EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0282,
EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0283 .................................................................................. 612a
Excerpted Minnkota Power Co-op. Inc. Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5978 ............................................................................ 616a
Excerpted Nat’l Min. Ass’n Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2009-0234-20531 .......................................................................... 619a
Excerpted National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) Comment &
attachment Cichanowicz, et al., Technical Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air
Pollution: Coal and Oil-fired Electric Utility Steam Generating Units Review of
Residual Risk and Technology Review
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5956 ............................................................................ 624a
Excerpted Rainbow Energy Center Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5990 ............................................................................ 634a
Excerpted Power Generators Air Coalition Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5994 ............................................................................ 637a
Excerpted North American Coal Corporation (NACCO) Comment,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-6000 ............................................................................ 640a
Excerpted 2018 Technology Review for the Coal- and Oil-Fired EGU Source
Category ................................................................................................................ 645a
Excerpted Residual Risk Assessment for the Coal- and Oil-Fired EGU Source
Category in Support of the 2020 Risk and Technology Review Final Rule, EPAHQ-OAR-2018-0794-4553 (Sept. 2019) ................................................................ 648a
Excerpted 2023 Technology Review for the Coal- and Oil-Fired EGU Source
Category ................................................................................................................ 662a
Excerpted EPA Summary of Public Comments and Responses on Proposed Rule,
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and Oil-Fired
Electric Utility Steam Generating Units, Review of the Residual Risk and
Technology Review, published 88 Fed. Reg. 24854, Apr. 24, 2024 (“EPA Response
To Comments”) ..................................................................................................... 664a
x
Excerpted FERC-NERC-Regional Entity Staff Report: The February 2021 Cold
Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States
(Nov. 16, 2021) ...................................................................................................... 678a
Excerpted Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final National Emission Standards
for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and Oil-Fired Electric Utility Steam
Generating Units Review of the Residual Risk and Technology Review, EPA452/R-24-005 (April 2024) .................................................................................... 683a
EPA’s Combined Opposition To Motions To Stay Final Rule (ECF No. 2065849)
(D.C. Cir. No. 24-1119 July 22, 2024) (“EPA Br.”) .............................................. 725a
Excerpted EPA Resp. to Petitioners’ Motions To Govern Future Proceedings,
White Stallion Energy Ctr., LLC. v. EPA, No. 12-1100, Entry 1579186
(D.C. Cir. Oct. 21, 2015) ...................................................................................... 791a
D.C. Cir. Order, White Stallion Energy Ctr., LLC. v. EPA, No. 12-1100, Entry
1588459 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 15, 2015) ........................................................................ 794a
Excerpted Transcript of Oral Argument, Michigan v. EPA,
576 U.S. 743 (Mar. 25, 2015) (No.14-46) ............................................................. 796a
xi
TO THE HONORABLE JOHN G. ROBERTS, CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE UNITED STATES AND
CIRCUIT JUSTICE FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT:
INTRODUCTION
Applicants, including nearly half the States in the country, seek to stay an EPA
Rule which reduces the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (“MATS”) for coal-fired
power plants by 66-70%. With one sentence, and without any indication of why it
determined a stay was unwarranted, the D.C. Circuit denied six motions and
disregarded thousands of pages of briefing and declarations attesting that the Rule
will impose tremendous costs and risk destabilizing the nation’s power grids without
creating any relevant or quantifiable benefit to public health.
Under Section 112 of the Clean Air Act, EPA has rulemaking authority to set
emission levels for specifically listed hazardous air pollutants (“HAPs”).
That
authority is for protecting public health and the environment from those listed HAP
emissions. Section 112 does not bestow EPA with a general rulemaking authority for
combating climate change or achieving other environmental policy goals.
The Rule at issue here loses sight of that purpose. EPA cannot quantify any
relevant or meaningful public health or environmental benefit from the mandated
reduction in HAP emissions. None. EPA acknowledges that the standards already
in place have achieved HAP emission levels that are well below any threshold that
would impact public health. Indeed, health risks from HAP emissions for the worst
performing coal-fired plant in the country are already orders of magnitude below the
Clean Air Act’s aspirational standard, where, by statute, EPA could discontinue
regulating the emission source entirely.
1
Conversely, implementation costs for the Rule will be substantial, there is a
significant likelihood power plants will be forced to retire, and, at minimum, prices
for electricity will increase. Without a stay, the Rule will require investment and
shutdown decisions to be made immediately, and those decisions will not be reversible
if Applicants later prevail on the merits. Not coincidentally, grid regulators around
the country are warning that the long-term reliability of our nation’s alreadyprecarious power grids will be threatened.
“When States … seek to stay the enforcement of a federal regulation … often
the ‘harms and equities [will be] very weighty on both sides.’” Ohio v. EPA, 144 S.
Ct. 2040, 2052 (citation omitted). But that’s not the case here. The disparity between
injuries likely to result from not granting a stay and the lack of injuries from granting
a stay could not be more stark. Cf. Philip Morris USA Inc. v. Scott, 561 U.S. 1301,
1305 (2010) (Scalia, J.) (granting stay where “[r]efusing a stay may visit an
irreversible harm … but granting it will apparently do no permanent injury”).
EPA knows that to impose this Rule on the nation it doesn’t need to prevail on
the merits, all it needs to do is prevent a stay of the Rule during the pendency of the
challenge—the multi-year timelines for powerplant investment decisions and time
needed to get a Clean Air Act merits decisions will do the rest. EPA knows this
because they’ve already ran that play before, using the MATS Rule.
The last time the MATS Rule was litigated, this Court eventually held that
EPA acted “unreasonably when it deemed cost irrelevant to the decision to regulate
power plants.” Michigan v. EPA, 576 U.S. 743, 760 (2015). But that victory proved
2
hollow, because without a stay during the years it took for a merits decision, power
plants were forced to make and implement compliance and retirement decisions,
resulting in billions expended and a multitude of plant closures in response to an
unlawful regulation. Rather than showing contrition for upending an entire industry
with an unlawful regulation, EPA celebrated how many power plants had been forced
into compliance by the time the rule was declared unlawful. Joe Rago, A Supreme
Carbon Rebuke, Wall St. J. (Feb. 10, 2016), https://tinyurl.com/zwstzuw3. The last
time the MATS Rule was litigated became a textbook example for when agency rules
should be stayed. E.g., Ronald Cass, Staying Agency Rules: Constitutional Structure
and Rule of Law in the Administrative State, 69 Admin. L. Rev. 225, 254-57 (2017).
And beyond the sharp imbalance of imminent and irreparable harms,
Applicants also have a high likelihood of prevailing on the merits.
Under Section 112(d)(6) of the Clean Air Act, EPA may only revise HAP
emission standards “as necessary (taking into account developments in practices,
processes, and control technologies).” 42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(6). The operative statutory
phrase is “revise as necessary,” yet EPA never determined that this Rule was
“necessary.” Nor could it. A Section 112 rule that imposes tremendous costs without
achieving any relevant health benefit could hardly be “necessary.” EPA’s failure to
establish that the Rule is “necessary” renders it unlawful out of the gate.
Rather than trying to establish any necessity, EPA claims that power plants
have been able to comply with the current standard at lower cost than anticipated,
and interprets that to be a “development” under Section 112(d)(6). But even setting
3
aside EPA’s failure to address Section 112(d)(6)’s use of the term “necessary,” EPA’s
interpretation of the term “development” does not hold water. The primary emission
control technologies have not changed in the last decade.
And the alleged cost
efficiencies EPA points to for using long-existent control technologies cannot justify
the Rule’s dramatic ratcheting down of the standards.
The Rule is also arbitrary and capricious multiple times over. For one, the
Rule’s cost-benefit analysis is indefensible. Even taking EPA’s calculations at face
value, the estimated cost per ton of HAP removed exponentially exceeds cost-benefit
ratios that EPA itself has rejected as unreasonable for other Section 112 rulemakings.
Yet in exchange for those astronomical costs, EPA cannot point to any relevant,
quantifiable public health benefit to be gained. EPA has never before used its Section
112(d)(6) rulemaking authority to impose costs of such a magnitude without any
corresponding, quantifiable benefit to public health to show for it.
For another, EPA failed to adequately consider the Rule’s significant and
foreseeable impacts on our nation’s already-strained power grids. EPA promulgated
this Rule as one part of a “suite” of rules targeting coal-fired power plants with
retirement-inducing costs. EPA’s perfunctory conclusion that the tremendous costs
of this Rule (and related rules) will have no effect on the power sector does not reflect
reasoned analysis entitled to any degree of deference. EPA is not an expert on the
power grid, and, despite the Rule’s foreseeable impact on the power grid, EPA did not
seek input from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the North
4
American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), or any other similar entity that
could have apprised it of this Rule’s likely impact on long term grid reliability.
And finally, there is considerable evidence that EPA’s stated reason for
engaging in this rulemaking is pretextual. Cf. Dep’t of Commerce v. New York, 588
U.S. 752, 784-85 (2019) (“[T]he evidence tells a story that does not match the
explanation the Secretary gave for his decision. … Accepting contrived reasons would
defeat the purpose of the enterprise.”).
Contrary to EPA’s stated purpose of
protecting public health from HAP emissions (which the Rule doesn’t do), there is
evidence that EPA is using its rulemaking authority under Section 112(d)(6) as part
of an effort to force a nationwide transition away from coal for putative climate
change reasons—pursuing a national policy choice this Court has expressly held the
agency lacks authority to make. Contra West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 735
(2022) (holding it “not plausible” that the Clean Air Act empowers EPA to “force a
nationwide transition away from the use of coal to generate electricity”).
“Stay applications are nothing new. They seek a form of interim relief perhaps
‘as old as the judicial system of the nation.’” Ohio, 144 S. Ct. at 2052 (citation
omitted). The D.C. Circuit’s one-sentence denial of the stay motions filed below
demonstrates a failure to learn from the Michigan v. EPA saga, and it did not identify
(for the parties, or for this Court) which prong of the stay analysis its decision rested
upon. To avoid imminent and irreparable harms from a rule likely to be set aside,
this Court should stay the Rule’s implementation pending resolution of the merits.
5
DECISION BELOW
The D.C. Circuit’s order denying the motions for a stay pending review of the
Rule is unpublished. It is reproduced at App. 1a-2a. The relevant Rule, National
Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal- and Oil-Fired Electric
Utility Steam Generating Units Review of the Residual Risk and Technology Review,
is published at 89 Fed. Reg. 38508 (May 7, 2024) and reproduced at App. 59a-144a.
JURISDICTION
This Court has jurisdiction over this Application under 28 U.S.C. §§ 1254(1)
and 2101(f). It has the authority to grant Applicants’ requested relief under both the
Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 705, and the All Writs Act, 28 U.S.C. § 1651.
BACKGROUND
Section 112 of the Clean Air Act (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 7412) provides EPA
with statutory authority to set emission levels for protecting public health and the
environment from certain HAPs specifically enumerated in Section 112(b)(1). 42
U.S.C. § 7412(b)(1); see also Sierra Club v. EPA, 895 F.3d 1, 7 (D.C. Cir. 2018) (“There
are 189 hazardous air pollutants subject to regulation”). Carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases are not HAPs subject to EPA’s Section 112 authority, and
combating climate change is not the purpose of Section 112.
When setting emission levels for the HAPs regulated under Section 112, the
statute first requires EPA to set standards based on what is achievable with current
technology. See 42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(1), (3). Then, the Clean Air Act requires EPA to
periodically evaluate whether to revise them. For public health, the Clean Air Act
requires that eight years after setting a standard, EPA must evaluate if any “residual
6
risks” remain to public health from those HAP emissions (the “Residual Risk
Review”). 42 U.S.C. § 7412(f). And for technological advances, the Clean Air Act
requires that every eight years after setting a standard, EPA must review and revise
“as necessary,” by “taking into account developments in the practices, processes and
control technologies” (the “Technology Review”). 42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(6).
EPA has promulgated over 100 HAP standards for a wide variety of emission
sources under Section 112. See 40 C.F.R. 63 Subparts F through HHHHHHH. The
Final Rule challenged here pertains to certain HAP emissions from coal- and oil-fired
power plants (referred to as electric utility steam generating units or “EGUs”).
In 2012, EPA issued the original MATS rule for mercury and other specified
HAPs from coal- and oil-fired EGUs. See 77 Fed. Reg. 9304 (Feb. 16, 2012). The
original MATS rule identified different emission standards for mercury from power
plants that use lignite coal compared to other types of coal. That distinction was
based on science: lignite is more variable (in terms of heat, moisture, and mercury
content) than other types of coal, and available technologies cannot consistently
achieve the same control levels. See 77 Fed. Reg. at 9393. For all other covered HAPs
(i.e., the non-mercury metal HAPs), the original MATS Rule allowed for measuring
filterable particulate matter (fPM) as a surrogate for total non-mercury metal HAPs.
Several parties challenged the original MATS Rule, arguing that EPA failed to
consider the substantial costs the Rule would impose on the already heavily regulated
power sector. See Michigan, 576 U.S. at 747-50. This Court agreed and found the
original MATS Rule unlawful because EPA unreasonably “deemed cost irrelevant to
7
the decision to regulate power plants.” Id. at 760. But without a stay while the merits
were litigated, EGUs were forced by the original MATS Rule to incur compliance costs
or make retirement decisions in the interim, resulting in billions expended and many
plant closures in response to an unlawful regulation.
This “results first, legality second” approach was intentional.
Then-EPA
Administrator Gina McCarthy proclaimed this Court’s ruling on the lawfulness of the
MATS Rule did not matter, because given the time it took to litigate, “[m]ost of [the
EGUs] are already in compliance, [and] investments have been made.” Timothy
Cama & Lydia Wheeler, Supreme Court Overturns Landmark EPA Air Pollution
Rule, The Hill (June 29, 2015), https://tinyurl.com/yw5b3z8u. And on remand to the
D.C. Circuit, EPA argued (and that court accepted) that costs had by then become a
moot point because they’d already been imposed. App. 792a-93a (EPA Resp. to
Petitioners’ Motions To Govern Future Proceedings, White Stallion Energy Ctr., LLC.
v. EPA, No. 12-1100, Entry 1579186 at 14-15 (D.C. Cir. Oct. 21, 2015)); see also App.
794a-95a (D.C. Cir. Order, White Stallion Energy Ctr., LLC. v. EPA, No. 12-1100,
Entry 1588459 at 1-2 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 15, 2015)). So ultimately, EPA unlawfully failed
to consider the rule’s costs, yet succeeded in having those costs imposed anyway.
In 2020, EPA conducted the 8-year Residual Risk and Technology Reviews. In
its Residual Risk Review, EPA “determined that the current [standard] provides an
ample margin of safety to protect public health and prevent an adverse
environmental effect.”
85 Fed. Reg. 31286, 31314 (May 22, 2020).
And in the
Technology Review, EPA determined there were no developments in emission control
8
technologies, practices, or processes that warranted revising the rule. 85 Fed. Reg.
at 31298 (“there are no developments in HAP emissions controls to achieve further
cost-effective reductions beyond the current standards”). Accordingly, EPA concluded
it was not “necessary” to revise the original MATS rule. 85 Fed. Reg. at 31314.
But six months later there was a change in presidential Administration, and
the current Administration issued Executive Order 13990, entitled “Protecting Public
Health and the Environment and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis.” 86
Fed. Reg. 7037 (Jan. 25, 2021). Without identifying any legal or factual basis to do
so, the Executive Order directed EPA to consider “suspending, revising, or rescinding”
the 2020 Residual Risk and Technology Reviews for the MATS Rule—a rule that has
nothing to do with greenhouse gases or climate change.
Following Executive Order 13990, EPA reconsidered its 2020 Residual Risk
and Technology Reviews for the MATS Rule. For public health, EPA reached the
exact same conclusion—that the original rule provided an ample margin of safety to
protect public health. 88 Fed. Reg. 24854, 24895 (Apr. 24, 2023). As EPA noted, its
2020 residual risk analysis was “a rigorous and robust analytical review using
approaches and methodologies that are consistent with those that have been utilized
in residual risk analyses and reviews for other industrial sectors … [and] the results
of the 2020 residual risk assessment … indicated low residual risk from the coal- and
oil-fired EGU source category.” 88 Fed. Reg. at 24866.
EPA’s longstanding practice is that an ample margin of safety is a maximum
excess cancer risk to the most exposed individual of less than 100-in-a-million. See
9
Nat. Res. Def. Council v. EPA, 529 F.3d 1077, 1082 (D.C. Cir. 2008). And under the
Clean Air Act, EPA has discretion to delete a source category from regulation entirely
if its HAP emissions do not “cause a lifetime risk of cancer greater than one in one
million to the individual in the population who is most exposed.”
42 U.S.C.
§ 7412(c)(9)(B)(i); see also Nat. Res. Def. Council, 529 F.3d at 1082 (one-in-one million
standard is the Clean Air Act’s “aspirational goal”). Here, under the standards
already in place, the lifetime cancer risk of the person most exposed to coal-fired HAP
emissions in the country is 0.344-in-a-million—significantly lower than the one-in-amillion threshold where EPA can stop regulating a source category entirely. App.
642a (NACCO Cmt. at 15, EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-6000) (citing App. 650a-661a
(Residual Risk Assessment for the Coal- and Oil-Fired EGU Source Category in
Support of the 2020 Risk and Technology Review Final Rule, EPA-HQ-OAR-20180794-4553, App. 10, Tbls. 1 & 2a. (Sept. 2019)).
That should have been the end of it. In other Section 112(d)(6) rulemakings,
EPA itself has taken the position that if its standards already “provide an ample
margin of safety to protect public health and prevent adverse environmental effects,
one can reasonably question whether further reviews of technological capability are
‘necessary.’” 69 Fed. Reg. 48338, 48351 (Aug. 9, 2004); see also 71 Fed. Reg. 76603,
76608 (Dec. 21, 2006). But in this rulemaking, where the risk from coal-fired units
is less than the negligible level of one-in-one-million, EPA did not even ask the
question.
Instead, EPA reversed course, deciding to see if it could interpret
“development” in a way that would allow it to lower HAP emission standards for coal-
10
fired EGUs in the absence of any significant new practices, processes, or control
technologies, and without quantifiable public health benefit from that reduction in
HAP emissions. And lo and behold, EPA claimed to find “developments” that would
justify dramatically revising the MATS rule in two ways: (1) reducing the surrogate
fPM emission standard for all coal-fired EGUs by 66%; and (2) reducing the mercury
emission standard for lignite coal-fired EGUs by 70%.
For the surrogate fPM standard, EPA’s Technology re-Review again found “no
new practices, processes, or control technologies” for the relevant HAP emissions. 88
Fed. Reg. at 24868. The primary control technologies used in 2012 are the same as
today. See App. 662a (2023 Tech Review at 1). Nonetheless, EPA justified ratcheting
down the standards under Section 112(d)(6) on the grounds that existing control
technologies “are more widely used, more effective, and cheaper.” 88 Fed. Reg. at
24866-72. EPA further concluded that “…most EGUs were reporting fPM emission
rates well below the 0.030 lb/MMBtu standard. The fleet was achieving these
performance levels at lower costs than estimated” during promulgation of the original
MATS rule. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38530.
EPA’s “development,” in other words, was that EGUs were meeting the
standard at lesser costs than estimated in 2012. EPA also determined there were
marginal improvements in fPM control technology since the original MATS rule,
stating that “industry has learned and adopted ‘best practices’ associated with
monitoring ESP operation,” and more “durable” materials for fabric filters have been
developed since the original MATS rule. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38530.
11
And for the mercury emission standard, EPA revised the standard for lignitefiring EGUs because of alleged cost efficiencies for activated carbon injection control
technology—the same technology that was in place at the time of the original MATS
Rule. 88 Fed. Reg. at 24880. Then, with almost no record support, and in the face of
numerous comments to the contrary, EPA determined those alleged cost efficiencies
make lignite-firing EGUs capable of meeting the same control standard as other types
of coal, dropping the emission standard by 70%. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38586.
EPA also prepared an analysis of the potential costs and benefits of the Rule
in its Regulatory Impact Analysis (“RIA”). App. 685a, 718a-19a (RIA 3-1, 4-1–4-2).
Able to point to no quantifiable public health benefit from the Rule’s reduction in
HAP emissions, EPA attempted to justify the Rule by claiming climate change
benefits. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38561-62 (quantifying alleged particulate matter, ozone,
and “climate” benefits); see also App. 723a-24a (RIA 4-16–4-17) (assessing climate
impacts in its benefits analysis). EPA also claimed vague and unquantifiable benefits
from mercury-reduction for subsistence fish consumers but recognized that these
postulated benefits are so small they cannot be reliability extrapolated or quantified.
App. 722a (RIA 4-5).
In exchange for zero quantifiable benefits from the mandated reduction in HAP
emissions, the Rule imposes tremendous costs. For surrogate fPM emissions, the
cost-effectiveness is $10.5 million per ton of HAP removed. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38532-33.
Commenters noted this cost is much higher than the cost-benefit ratios EPA itself
has explicitly rejected in other Section Rule 112 rulemakings for being excessive. And
12
EPA admits as much. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38523 (“EPA acknowledges that the costeffectiveness values for these standards are higher than cost-effectiveness values that
the EPA concluded were not cost-effective … for some prior rules.”).
Commenters also stressed that the Rule’s substantial compliance costs will
result in serious economic harm and threaten power grid reliability. Yet EPA failed
to address power outages or grid reliability in its RIA, matter-of-factly stating that
the Rule will have no significant impact on the power grid or energy prices. See App.
685a-717a (RIA Section 3); 89 Fed. Reg. at 38555-56. And while EPA claims it
consulted with the Department of Energy, the agency points only to a generic
Memorandum of Understanding with DOE regarding interagency cooperation.
Nothing in the record indicates EPA consulted with DOE (or any other grid operator
or reliability expert) on this specific rule. See App. 676a-677a (Response to Comments
at 156-57) (“This process is not linked to any one regulatory effort or final action.”).
Moreover, EPA is promulgating this Rule against the backdrop of its failure to
accurately estimate the impact the last MATS Rule would have on power plant
operations. The last time the MATS Rule was litigated, EPA claimed it would only
cause about 5,000 MW of generation to go offline. 77 Fed. Reg. at 9407 (“…expected
retirements of coal-fueled units as a result of this final rule (4.7 GW) are fewer than
was estimated at proposal and much fewer than some have predicted”). EPA was
wrong. It ended up being closer to 60,000 MW.1 Our power grids do not have the
1 See, e.g., U.S. Energy Info. Admin., Planned coal-fired power plant retirements continue to increase
(Mar. 20, 2014), bit.ly/4dbYwfM (between 2012 and 2020, “about 60 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity is
projected to retire … assum[ing] implementation of the MATS standards”); Pratson et. al., Fuel Prices,
13
same buffer of dispatchable generation that they did a decade ago.
App. 595a
(Vigesaa Decl. ¶11-12); App. 282a (Lane Decl. ¶¶12-13); App. 272a-273a (Huston
Decl. ¶¶8-14).
Applicant States, along with many other petitioners, moved the D.C. Circuit to
stay implementation of the MATS Rule pending litigation and provided an array of
declarations describing the imminent harms threatened by the Rule’s compliance
deadlines. During the D.C. Circuit stay briefing, this Court issued its decisions in
Loper Bright and Ohio v. EPA. Loper Bright Enter. v. Raimondo, 144 S. Ct. 2244
(2024); Ohio v. EPA, 144 S. Ct. 2040 (2024). The D.C. Circuit denied the stay motions
on August 6, 2024, stating only that “Petitioners have not satisfied the stringent
requirements for a stay pending court review.” App. 1a. Applicants now move this
Court for a stay of the Rule pending resolution of the merits.
REASONS TO GRANT THE APPLICATION
This Court should stay the Rule until the merits of the challenges to it are
resolved because the States will suffer irreparable harm absent a stay, a stay will not
injure other parties or the public interest, and the States will likely succeed on the
merits. Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20 (2008).
Of course, this application is not the only Clean Air Act-related emergency stay
this Court has seen recently. States’ Emergency Application for an Immediate Stay,
Emission Standards, and Generation Costs for Coal v Natural Gas Power Plants, Am. Chem. Soc’y,
Env’l Sci. & Tech., 4929 (Mar. 2013), bit.ly/3w7yLN2 (most coal-fired EGU retirements in the wake of
the original MATS Rule were due to “stronger regulations,” not unrelated market forces); see also App.
620a (Nat’l Min. Ass’n Cmt. at 2 & n.4, EPA-HQ-OAR-2009-0234-20531) (for the nearly 60 gigawatts
of coal-fired EGU retirements announced between 2012 and 2016, “virtually all” the stated closures
were “either fully or partially attributable to MATS and other EPA regulations”).
14
West
Virginia
v.
EPA,
No.
24A95
(docketed
July
26,
2024),
https://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docket/docketfiles/html/public
/24a95.html. But these stay applications are the result of EPA’s decision to bundle
and simultaneously promulgate a “suite” of rules targeting coal-fired power plants
with retirement-inducing costs. See EPA, Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes
Suite of Standards to Reduce Pollution from Fossil Fuel-Fired Power Plants (Apr. 25,
2024), https://tinyurl.com/y5u92sx3. Serial agency actions that ignore congressional
direction in order to destroy an entire industry require serial remedies.
I.
THE STATES WILL SUFFER IRREPARABLE HARM WITHOUT A
STAY
Absent a stay, Applicant States will suffer imminent and irreparable injury
from the Rule. Applicant States, grid operators, and regulated EGUs provided an
array of declarations establishing that the Rule will seriously undermine the long
term reliability of our nation’s power grids. Though retirements necessitated by the
Final Rule may not happen for several years, irreversible decisions to put power
plants on retirement tracks will need to be made now. But even short of potential
power grid failures, the Rule will cause imminent and significant cost increases for
ratepayers and consumers of electricity, including Applicant States themselves as
major consumers of electricity.
A.
The Rule Jeopardizes the Stability of the Nation’s Power Grids.
Power grid instability and failures are frequently paid for in human lives. E.g.,
App. 680a-82a (FERC-NERC-Regional Entity Staff Report: The February 2021 Cold
Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States at 8-10 (Nov. 16,
15
2021) (over 200 fatalities during weather event “with most of the deaths connected to
the power outages”)).
Consequently, threats to power grid reliability constitute
irreparable harm. E.g., Texas v. EPA, 829 F.3d 405 (5th Cir. 2016) (“the threat of
grid instability and potential brownouts alone constitute irreparable injury.”). And
here, State and grid regulators have attested to the Rule’s significant, foreseeable,
and negative impacts on grid reliability. See, e.g., App. 595a-600a (Vigesaa Decl.
¶¶11-26; App. 162a-168a (Fedorchak Decl. ¶¶7-24); App. 285a-293a (Lane Decl. ¶¶1834); App. 550a-551a (Rickerson Decl. ¶¶13-15); App. 518a-525a (Nowakowski Decl.
¶¶7-12); App. 603a-604a (Webb Decl. ¶¶6-10); App. 273a (Huston Decl. ¶12).
According to a study commissioned by the North Dakota Transmission
Authority, if the Rule causes any of North Dakota’s lignite-fired EGUs to retire—
which it appears designed to do—it will risk causing the entire MISO grid (which
covers all or part of 15 states and parts of Canada) to experience black-outs resulting
in economic damages ranging from $29 million to over $1 billion. App. 598a-600a
(Vigesaa Decl. ¶¶22-25). Other declarants have attested to the devastating effects of
grid failure, including documented health impacts and morbidity. App. 341a-342a
(McLennan Decl. ¶67); App 541a-542a (Purvis Decl. ¶31) (“Other concrete damages
would occur such as business shutdowns, food spoilage, property damage, and lost
labor productivity”).
Notwithstanding EPA’s nothing-to-see-here attitude, there is substantial
evidence in the record indicating that coal-fired power plant shutdowns are not only
possible but likely due to the Rule, and that those retirements will cause significant
16
threats to the long term reliability of the power grid. E.g., App. 609a-610a (Bohrer
Decl. ¶¶21-24); App. 329a-332a, 343a-344a (McLennan Decl. ¶¶34-39, 70) (“Recent
test data suggest that Minnkota will not be able to meet the New Mercury Limitation
even at the higher PAC injection rates that EPA assumed to be sufficient to meet the
New Mercury Limitation.”); App. 558a-559a (Tschider Decl. ¶¶21-23); App. 306a308a (McCollam Decl. ¶¶34-43); App. 537a-539a (Purvis Decl. ¶¶24-25) (upgrades to
comply “will certainly fail, despite best engineering and maintenance practices, due
to the lack of any margin to meet the aggressively low new fPM limitation”).
EPA has never grappled with this information, preferring to stick its head in
the sand and rely on its unrealistic and counterfactual model which predicts that
absolutely zero EGU retirements or shutdowns will occur as a result of the Rule. 89
Fed. Reg. at 38526. Though in a telling section, EPA dismisses widespread concerns
about the Rule’s foreseeable impact on power grid reliability by assuming that State
or regional regulators will be able to use emergency powers to prop up the power grid
if the Rule makes EGUs no longer commercially viable. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38526.
Moreover, this Rule is not the first time EPA has significantly underestimated
the impact that its regulations will have on the power grid. As noted supra, the last
time the MATS Rule was litigated EPA claimed that the Rule would only cause about
5,000 MW to go offline. But that ended up being wrong by over a factor of ten. Our
power grids do not have the same buffer of dispatchable power that they had ten or
even five years ago, and an error of the same magnitude as EPA’s last profound error
17
will risk catastrophic impacts to our nation’s power grids. App. 595a (Vigesaa Decl.
¶11-12); App. 282a (Lane Decl. ¶¶12-13); App. 272a-273a (Huston Decl. ¶¶8-14).
“EPA has no expertise on grid reliability.” Texas, 829 F.3d at 432. Nor did
EPA seek input from FERC or NERC before promulgating the Rule, entities
entrusted with maintaining the reliability of our nation’s power grids and which could
have apprised it of the Rule’s likely impact on grid reliability. EPA’s lack of expertise,
its pattern of grossly underestimating its Rules’ impacts on power plant operations,
and the seriousness of the attendant consequences weigh strongly in favor of a stay.
B.
The Rule Will Impose Irreparable Economic Injury
In addition to the Rule’s threats to grid reliability, Applicant States will suffer
irreparable economic harm as a result of the Rule. EPA recognizes that compliance
with the Rule will impose nearly a billion dollars in costs (presuming plants are able
to comply at all). 89 Fed. Reg. at 38513, 38561. And as noted supra, complying with
the Rule’s three-to-four-year implementation period requires EGUs to make
compliance and retirement decisions now. App. 609a-611a (Bohrer Decl. ¶¶24-28);
App. 338a (McLennan Decl. ¶58); App. 560a-561a (Tschider Decl. ¶¶25-30); App.
306a-309a (McCollam Decl. ¶¶34-43); App. 179a (Friez Decl. ¶¶16-17); App. 533a535a (Purvis Decl. ¶¶15-19).
Without a stay, EGUs must immediately begin incurring costs. As of yet, it
has not actually been established that EGUs will be able to consistently meet the
Rule’s new emission standards, and testing is needed to determine a pathway to
compliance, if compliance is even possible. E.g., App. 334a (McLennan Decl. ¶45)
(“Minnkota must immediately begin mercury testing”); App. 555a (Tschider Decl.
18
¶11) (“must begin implementing the required controls and monitoring system
immediately”). And beyond initial testing, supply constraints and the realities of
power plant modification mean that meeting the Rule’s three or four year deadlines
require work to begin imminently. App. 609a-611a (Bohrer Decl. ¶¶24-28); App. 338a
(McLennan Decl. ¶58); App. 560a-561a (Tschider Decl. ¶¶25-30); App. 306a-309a
(McCollam Decl. ¶¶34-43); App. 179a (Friez Decl. ¶¶16-17); App. 533a-535a (Purvis
Decl. ¶¶15-19).
And even if EGUs are able to find a way to consistently comply with the Rule,
and even if they can meet the Rule’s deadlines for doing so, implementing the Rule
will inevitably result in increased electricity prices for ratepayers, including
Applicant States themselves as consumers of electricity.
E.g., App. 168a-170a
(Fedorchak Decl. ¶¶25-33) (compliance costs for just one lignite-fired plant in North
Dakota will cause at least a 0.5 percent rate increase); see also App. 287a-288a (Lane
Decl. ¶23); App. 274a (Huston Decl. ¶¶16-17); App. 608a-609a (Bohrer Decl. ¶¶1821); App. 333a-334a (McLennan Decl. ¶43); App. 561a (Tschider Decl. ¶29); App.
306a-307a (McCollam Decl. ¶¶33-35); App. 531a-532a (Purvis Decl. ¶11); App. 274a
(Huston Decl. ¶17) (explaining how costs of installations are passed on to consumers).
Indeed, EPA doesn’t dispute that complying with the Rule will necessarily impose
costs resulting “in the form of higher electricity bills.” App. 782a (EPA Br. 44).
Applicant States (and their ratepaying citizens) will not be able to recover
these costs even if they prevail on the merits, making those injuries irreparable. E.g.,
Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich, 510 U.S. 200, 220-21 (1994) (Scalia, J., concurring
19
in part and in the judgment) (“complying with a regulation later held invalid almost
always produces the irreparable harm of nonrecoverable compliance costs”).
II.
THE BALANCE OF HARMS AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST FAVOR A
STAY
The balance of harms and public interest weigh strongly in favor of a stay
because, as discussed supra, EPA cannot point to any relevant, quantifiable harm to
the public in staying the Rule. EPA acknowledges that the status quo, without the
new Rule, already protects public health with an “ample margin of safety.” 89 Fed.
Reg. at 38508. Indeed, the current standard already far exceeds the Clean Air Act’s
aspirational standard for protecting public health, where, by statute, EPA could
discontinue regulating the EGUs entirely. Conversely, the economic injuries and
threats to power grid stability in the absence of a stay are real and imminent.
The public interest also strongly favors preserving the status quo when the
public’s access to affordable electricity is threatened. Texas, 829 F.3d at 435 (granting
stay of EPA action that threatened to impose retirement-inducing costs on coal-fired
plants because the “public interest in ready access to affordable electricity”
outweighed “inconsequential” emissions reductions that implementation would have
achieved during the pendency of the litigation); see also, e.g., West Virginia v. EPA,
90 F.4th 323, 332 (4th Cir. 2024) (“the public [] has an interest in the efficient
production of electricity and other industrial activity in the State, even as such
production is balanced with environmental needs”); Sierra Club v. Ga. Power Co., 180
F.3d 1309, 1311 (11th Cir. 1999) (denying preliminary injunction where it threatened
to reduce power generation, as “[a] steady supply of electricity … especially … [for]
20
the elderly, hospitals and day care centers, is critical”); Tri-State Generation &
Transmission Ass’n v. Shoshone River Power, Inc., 805 F.2d 351, 357 (10th Cir. 1986)
(public interest in residents not “los[ing] their source of electric power”).
In short, even EPA acknowledges that current levels of HAP emissions from
the worst performing coal-fired EGUs in the country already provide more than an
ample margin of safety. There is no relevant, quantifiable public health benefit that
will be gained by denying a stay, whereas the risks of not imposing a stay are
tremendous. The balance of equities and public interest tilt sharply in favor of a stay.
III.
APPLICANTS WILL LIKELY PREVAIL ON THE MERITS
In promulgating the challenged Rule, EPA disregarded the statutory text
constraining its ability to exercise Section 112(d)(6) rulemaking authority only when
doing so is “necessary.” A revision can hardly be “necessary,” when there is no
relevant health benefit from it (as EPA itself has recognized in the past). And EPA’s
capacious interpretation of Section 112(d)(6)’s use of the term “development” to mean
meeting the standard at lower costs is not a rational, let alone the “best” reading of
the statute, and not entitled to any deference. Loper Bright, 144 S. Ct. at 2273.
Moreover, EPA’s cost-benefit analysis of the Rule is indefensible, and the
agency largely ignored evidence about one of the most critical aspects of the
problem—the impact the Rule would have on grid reliability. All of which leads to
the inexorable conclusion that the Rule’s claimed public health benefits are merely
pretext for EPA’s true purpose in promulgating the Rule: regulating criteria
pollutants related to climate change. Contra West Virginia, 597 U.S. at 735.
21
A.
EPA Has Exceeded the Authority Delegated by Congress
Section 112(d)(6) of the Clean Air Act directs EPA to “review, and revise as
necessary (taking into account developments in practices, processes, and control
technologies), emission standards promulgated under this section no less often than
every 8 years.”
42 U.S.C. § 7412(d)(6).
The “operative” phrase is “revise as
necessary,” and “EPA must consider practical and technological advances” when
determining whether revision is “necessary.” La. Envtl. Action Network v. EPA, 955
F.3d 1088, 1097-98 (D.C. Cir. 2020). Here, EPA has not even attempted to satisfy the
statutory requirement that the Rule be “necessary,” and its legal theory about what
constitutes a “development” is unmoored from the statute.
1.
Revising the MATS Standard Is Not “Necessary”
As a matter of common understanding and parlance, “necessary” means
“needed for some purpose or reason; essential.” Black’s Law Dictionary, Necessary
(11th ed. 2019); see also, e.g., Merriam Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, Necessary
(10th ed. 1994) (“absolutely needed”).
Use of the term “necessary” is context-
dependent, and requires answering the question necessary for what? Armour & Co.
v. Wantock, 323 U.S. 126, 129-30 (1944) (“the word ‘necessary,’ [] has always been
recognized as a word to be harmonized with its context”). And in the context of Clean
Air Act Section 112, the “for what” can only be protecting public health and the
environment from adverse effects of the regulated HAPs.
See, e.g., 42 U.S.C.
§§ 7412(b)(3)(B), (C) (substances shall be included or deleted from regulation under
Section 112 based on “adverse effects to human health or adverse environmental
effects”). And that is doubly true for power plants, where Congress required EPA to
22
“perform a study of the hazards to public health” before it undertook any regulation
of power plants under Section 112. 42 U.S.C. § 7412(n)(1)(A).
Here, the Rule’s revisions to the MATS standard can hardly be deemed
“necessary” when EPA is unable to point to any meaningful public health benefit to
be gained from the Rule. Indeed, in other Section 112(d)(6) rulemakings, EPA itself
has acknowledged that when its HAP emission standards already “provide an ample
margin of safety to protect public health and prevent adverse environmental effects,
one can reasonably question whether further reviews of technological capability are
‘necessary.’” 69 Fed. Reg. at 48351; see also 71 Fed. Reg. 34422, 34437 (Jun. 14, 2006)
(where an existing HAP emission standard “obtains protection of public health with
an ample margin of safety and prevents adverse environmental effects, it is unlikely
that it would be ‘necessary’ to revise the standard further, regardless of possible
developments in control options”).
EPA makes no attempt to quantify any public health or environmental benefits
from the Rule’s mandated reduction in HAP emissions. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38518-19;
38562. Instead, the only alleged “benefits” EPA purports to quantify in the Rule are
reducing criteria pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions. See 89 Fed. Reg. at 38561
(pointing to alleged particulate matter, ozone, and “climate” benefits). But these
alleged ancillary benefits cannot be used to justify EPA’s exercise of rulemaking
authority under Section 112(d)(6). As Chief Justice Roberts recognized the last time
the MATS Rule was litigated, it is improper for EPA to use its Section 112 authority
to “get at the criteria pollutants that you otherwise would have to go through a much
23
more difficult process to regulate. In other words, you can’t regulate the criteria
pollutants through the HAP program ….”
App. 798a-99a (Transcript of Oral
Argument at 59:19–60:5, Michigan v. EPA, Nos. 14-46, 14-47, 14-49 (Mar. 25, 2015));
cf., e.g., Wyoming v. Dep’t of Interior, 493 F. Supp. 3d 1046, 1079 (D. Wyo. 2020)
(agency “cannot rationally claim the Rule’s objective is waste prevention while
justifying its considerable costs almost entirely on climate change benefits”).
Rather than trying to meet Section 112(d)(6)’s necessary requirement by
establishing any relevant, quantifiable benefit to the Rule, EPA claims Section
112(d)(6) gives it the power to ratchet down HAP emission standards simply on the
basis that “less is better.” App. 739a (EPA Br. 1) (arguing its Section 112(d)(6)
authorities are guided by a “[l]ess is better” standard). But this “less is better”
assertion has no basis in the text of Section 112(d)(6) and ignores the statutory
language constraining EPA’s ability to make Section 112(d)(6) revisions only when
doing so is “necessary.” Congress could have said that EPA should revise these
standards whenever “possible.” But it didn’t.
In short, the Rule is not “necessary” under the language of Section 112(d)(6)
and any common sense meaning of that term, and EPA’s failure to make any necessity
determination before promulgating the Rule contravenes the statutory text.
2.
There Has Not Been a “Development” to Justify Revising
the MATS Rule
Rather than establishing that the Rule’s revisions are “necessary” because the
reduction in HAP emissions provides any relevant public health benefit, EPA grounds
the Rule solely on the contention that there have been “developments” that enable
24
dramatically ratcheting down the standards. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38518. But even setting
aside its failure to grapple with the term “necessary,” EPA’s capacious interpretation
of the term “development” is also wrong.
As used in the context of Section 112(d)(6), “development” must mean some
new, significant change that is correlated to revision of the emission standard. E.g.,
Am. Heritage Dictionary (5th ed. 2011), Development (“A significant event,
occurrence, or change”). Congress cannot have intended to empower EPA to revise
the Section 112(d)(6) standards every time there is some alleged cost savings or some
minor change or modification equivalent to a cell phone software patch.
EPA itself has previously recognized that a determination there are no
substantially new practices, processes or control technologies means there are no
“developments” that would allow revising an emission standard under Section
112(d)(6). See App. 646a-647a (2018 Tech Review Memo at 9-10); see also 76 Fed. Reg
81328, 81341 (Dec. 27, 2011) (defining “developments” for purposes of Section
112(d)(6) as: “(1) Any add-on control technology or other equipment that was not
identified and considered during development of the [prior standard]; (2) Any
improvements in add-on control technology or other equipment (that were identified
and considered during development of the [prior standard]) that could result in
significant additional emissions reductions; (3) Any work practice or operational
procedure that was not identified or considered during development of the [prior
standard]; and (4) Any process change or pollution prevention alternative that could
25
be broadly applied to the industry and that was not identified or considered during
development of the [prior standard]”). None of these criteria are met here.
Nonetheless, to advance a policy goal of forcing coal-fired EGUs out of the
market by setting dramatically reduced emission standards, EPA now interpreted
the term “development” in Section 112(d)(6) to include the fact that EGUs have been
able to comply with the existing standards at less costs than previously predicted.
EPA purports to have found that many coal-fired plants have been able to comply
with the surrogate fPM emission standards with more cost efficiency than EPA
assumed when it promulgated the original MATS Rule. For surrogate fPM emissions,
EPA claims as a “development” its alleged finding “that a majority of sources were
not only reporting fPM emissions significantly below the current emission limit, but
also that the fleet achieved lower fPM rates at lower costs than the EPA estimated
when it promulgated the 2012 MATS Final Rule.” 89 Fed. Reg. at 38521. Similarly,
for mercury emissions from lignite-fired EGUs, EPA claims that alleged cost
efficiencies for controlling mercury emissions from lignite-fired EGUs mean that
those EGUs can be held to the same mercury emission standard as other coal-fired
EGUs, and it “expect[s] that the units could meet the final, more stringent, emission
standard of 1.2 lb/TBtu by utilizing brominated activated carbon at the injection rates
suggested in the beyond-the-floor memorandum from the 2012 MATS Final Rule.” 89
Fed. Reg. at 38547.
But those alleged cost efficiencies are not “developments” under Section
112(d)(6). The “core requirement” for tightening HAP emission standards under
26
Section 112(d)(6) is for EPA to identify new technological developments. Natural Res.
Def. Council v. EPA, 529 F.3d at 1080, 1084 (summarizing Section 112(d)(6) as
commanding “the Administrator to ‘review, and revise as necessary’ the technologybased standards in light of technological developments”) (emphasis added). And that
interpretation makes sense; Congress intended Section 112(d)(6) to serve as a
periodic review of whether there were substantial changes in control technologies
that would allow EPA to revise previously issued standards.
There must be a
substantial change in control technology or processes that is directly correlated to the
mandated reduction in emission levels.
EPA now claims that a Section 112(d)(6) “development” can mean any
“incremental changes,” to include alleged cost efficiencies. App. 749a (EPA Br. 11).
But the flaws in EPA’s legal theory are obvious. All regulated sources must comply
with a HAP emission standard once it is issued, or they must stop emitting. And for
emission sources with variable fuel supplies (like coal-fired EGUs), they must do so
at a level that ensures continuous compliance. If meeting an emission standard with
alleged cost efficiency qualified as a “development,” then the simple fact that a facility
was complying with the relevant HAP emissions standard would allow EPA to
continually tighten that standard in perpetuity until regulated sources can no longer
meet the standards and are forced to shut down. This ever-tightening squeeze cannot
be what Congress intended. See, e.g., Griffin v. Oceanic Contractors, Inc., 458 U.S.
564, 575, (1982) (interpretation of a statute that would produce absurd results is to
be avoided if alternative interpretations, consistent with legislative purpose, are
27
available).
Even EPA has previously recognized that Section 112(d)(6) puts
meaningful constraints on its ability to continuously ratchet down HAP emission
standards. See 70 Fed. Reg. 19992, 20008 (Apr. 15, 2005) (“We reiterate that there is
no indication that Congress intended for section 112(d)(6) to inexorably force existing
source standards progressively lower and lower in each successive review cycle …”).
EPA has relied upon the D.C. Circuit’s decision in Nat’l Ass’n for Surface
Finishing v. EPA to justify its capacious interpretation of the term “development.”
See App. 751a (EPA Br. 13 (citing 795 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2015)). But for a variety of
reasons, EPA’s invocation of that decision is not persuasive.
For one, in Surface Finishing, the D.C. Circuit specifically noted that the
petitioner trade association did not challenge EPA’s broad legal interpretation of the
word “developments” under Section 112(d)(6). 795 F.3d at 8. Consequently, the Court
did not address, let alone rule upon, the validity of EPA’s capacious interpretation of
the term. Cf. Webster v. Fall, 266 U.S. 507, 511 (1925) (“Questions which merely lurk
in the record, neither brought to the attention of the court nor ruled upon, are not to
be considered as having been so decided as to constitute precedents.”).
Here,
Applicants do affirmatively challenge EPA’s interpretation.
Second, the Surface Finishing court specifically relied upon “the familiar
deferential standard announced in Chevron.” 795 F.3d at 7. Chevron is of course no
longer good law, and courts must now “exercise their independent judgment in
deciding whether an agency has acted within its statutory authority, as the APA
requires.” Loper Bright, 144 S. Ct at 2273. The D.C. Circuit’s one-sentence denial of
28
Petitioners’ motions to stay gives no indication that the court gave proper, or any,
consideration to these critical issues and changes in law.
And third, in Surface Finishing EPA identified several technologies—
emissions elimination devices, HEPA filters, enclosing tank hoods and fume
suppressants—in support of its determination that there had been “developments”
that warranted a reduction there. 795 F.3d at 11. Here, by contrast, EPA has not
identified any such new technologies. Electrostatic precipitators and fabric filters
were available for surrogate fPM control under the original MATS rule in 2012, and
EPA itself determined those are the same technologies used today. See 88 Fed. Reg.
at 24865. Similarly, activated carbon injection was available for control of mercury
emissions under the original MATS rule in 2012, and that is the same technology
used to control mercury emissions today. See 89 Fed. Reg. at 38517.
Finally, the marginal purported “developments” (other than alleged cost
efficiencies) that EPA identified in the Final Rule cannot save it. For surrogate fPM
emissions, EPA claims that increased durability in filter-bag material for baghouse
controls is a development that warrants a ratcheting down of the fPM standard. 89
Fed. Reg. at 38530. But improvements in filter durability cannot be a “development”
under the Clean Air Act, because in setting the HAP emission standard EPA already
presumed that no malfunctions will occur. See 77 Fed. Reg. 9304, 9393 (Feb. 16,
2012). In other words, the MATS standard already assumes that the filter-bags will
never break, so any alleged improvement in their durability is not a “development”
that would justify further tightening the standard. Similarly, for mercury emissions,
29
activated carbon injection has been used since 2011, when EPA first proposed the
original MATS standard, and the Final Rule’s emphasis on the effectiveness of
brominated powdered activated carbon is misplaced—as this product was both
available and in use when EPA set the mercury standard in the original MATS rule.
89 Fed. Reg. at 38547; 76 Fed. Reg. 24976, 25014 (May 3, 2011). It cannot be a
“development” justifying revising the standard.
* * * *
In summary, EPA can only revise HAP emission standards under Section
112(d)(6) when doing so is “necessary.” EPA failed to make any determination that
the challenged Rule’s revision to the MATS standard were “necessary,” and revisions
without any corresponding benefit to either the public health or the environment from
the mandated reduction in HAP emission can scarcely be described as “necessary.”
But even if a “development” in control technologies could be used to justify a Section
112(d)(6) revision without any corresponding benefit to public health or the
environment, there has been no such development that would support the Rule’s
dramatic revisions to the standard here, and EPA’s capacious interpretation of the
term is not entitled to any degree of deference.
B.
The Final Rule is Arbitrary and Capricious
An agency’s rulemaking is arbitrary and capricious “if the agency has relied on
factors which Congress has not intended it to consider, entirely failed to consider an
important aspect of the problem…or is so implausible that it could not be ascribed to
a difference in view of the product of agency expertise.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v.
30
State Farm, 463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983). This Rule is arbitrary and capricious for many
reasons, each of which warrants vacating it.
1.
EPA’s Cost-Benefit Analysis is Indefensible
This Rule makes clear that EPA has not learned the lessons this Court set
forth in Michigan v. EPA regarding the agency’s previous attempt to regulate HAP
emissions for the coal and oil-fired EGU source category.
In Michigan, this Court made clear that Clean Air Act Section 112(n)(1)(A)’s
use of the term “appropriate and necessary” “plainly subsumes consideration of cost.”
576 U.S. at 753, 756. And EPA acknowledges that consideration of costs is similarly
relevant for Section 112(d)(6) rulemakings.
See App. 754a (EPA Br. 16 (“EPA
considers ‘costs, technical feasibility, and other factors when evaluating whether it is
necessary to revise existing emission standards under [Section 7412](d)(6)) (quoting
89 Fed. Reg. at 38531); see also Ass’n of Battery Recyclers v. EPA, 716 F.3d 667, 67374 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (rejecting argument that cost is irrelevant to emission standard
revisions under Section 112(d)(6)).
EPA’s cost-benefit analysis for this Rule, to the extent it can be called a costbenefit analysis at all, provides no basis to justify the Rule. EPA anticipates that
that the Rule will impose compliance costs of at least $860 million. 89 Fed. Reg. at
38512. Those costs of nearly a billion are weighed against zero quantifiable public
health benefits from the mandated reduction in HAP emissions. In order to claim
some “benefits” of the Rule, EPA pivots to pointing to alleged benefits that are
unrelated to HAP emissions. 89 Fed. Reg. at 38512 (claiming $300 million in health
benefits from reductions of non-HAP pollutants and $130 million in other “climate
31
benefits”).
As noted supra, alleged benefits unrelated to the Rule’s mandated
reduction in HAP emissions cannot drive Section 112 rulemaking. And yet, even with
these impermissibly considered ancillary benefits, EPA acknowledges that the Rule
still has a “negative net monetized benefit”—meaning the costs of the Rule still
outweigh the benefits by at least $440 million. Id. at 38511.
Moreover, under EPA’s own calculations, the estimated cost-per-ton of HAP
removed exponentially exceeds cost-benefit ratios that EPA has rejected for other
Section 112 rulemakings. For surrogate fPM emissions, by EPA’s own math, the cost
effectiveness is $10.5 million per ton of HAP removed. 89 Fed. Reg at 38532-33. That
is orders of magnitude higher than dollars per ton costs that EPA has explicitly
rejected as being excessive. See 89 Fed. Reg. at 38522-23; 80 Fed. Reg. 75178, 75201
(Dec. 1, 2015) ($23,000 per ton of surrogate fPM emissions deemed excessive); 85 Fed.
Reg. 42074, 42090 (Jul. 13, 2020) ($14,000 per ton volatile HAP emissions deemed
excessive); 78 Fed. Reg. 10006, 10020-21 (Feb. 12, 2013) ($268,000 per ton of
surrogate fPM emissions deemed excessive); 88 Fed. Reg. 11556, 11565 (Feb. 23,
2023) ($4.7M per ton of lead emissions deemed excessive). These costs will likely
force power plant retirements and threaten grid reliability, see supra, but, even if
they didn’t, they will increase the price of electricity for consumers.
Having found that the costs of the Rule outweigh its benefits by at least $440
million (even when counting alleged ancillary benefits), 89 Fed. Reg. at 38512, EPA
decided to ignore that analysis and rely instead on “alternative metrics.” 89 Fed. Reg.
at 38532. EPA claims that the benefits of the Rule’s mandated reduction in HAP
32
emissions escape quantification. See 89 Fed. Reg. at 38559. That claim is in stark
contrast to the original MATS rule, wherein EPA was able to quantify the alleged
benefits of reducing the very same HAP emissions.
See 77 Fed. Reg. at 9425
(concluding the 2012 MATS rule’s reduction of 20 tons of mercury emissions would
provide $4-$6 million in benefits).
And regardless, EPA’s attempt to avoid
accountability for this Rule’s indefensible cost-benefit analysis by pointing to
unquantifiable (and unchallengeable) benefits is contrary to the reasoned
decisionmaking demanded from the agency by this Court in Michigan. Accord, e.g.,
GPA Midstream Ass’n v. DOT, 67 F.4th 1188, 1200 (D.C. Cir. 2023) (“Without
quantified benefits to compare against costs, it is not apparent just how the agency
went about weighing the benefits against the costs.”).
Moreover, every single past instance of rulemaking cited by EPA to justify
abandoning any attempt to quantify the relevant benefits of this Rule either found
the cost effectiveness to be within the range of acceptable values before considering
other cost metrics, or declined to enact the rule due to facility-specific determinations
of “poor cost effectiveness” even after considering other cost metrics. See 89 Fed. Reg.
at 38532 n. 52 (citing 87 Fed. Reg. 27002, 27008 (May 6, 2022); 87 Fed. Reg. 1616,
1635 (proposed Jan. 11, 2022); 80 Fed. Reg. 50386, 50398 (Aug. 19, 2015); 80 Fed.
Reg. 37366, 37381 (Jun. 30, 2015); 80 Fed. Reg. 14248, 14254 (Mar. 18, 2015); 77 Fed.
Reg. 58220, 58226 (Sep. 19, 2012); 77 Fed. Reg. 49490, 49523 (Aug. 16, 2012)).
EPA’s inability (or refusal) to quantify any HAP-related benefits of the Rule
speaks volumes about the Rule’s necessity and the adequacy of existing regulations.
33
And given that it is arbitrary and capricious for EPA to impose significant economic
costs “for a few dollars” of benefit,” Michigan, 576 U.S. at 752, so too where EPA
imposes substantial costs with “no meaningful benefit.” Mexican Gulf Fishing Co. v.
U.S. Dep’t of Commerce, 60 F.4th 956, 966 (5th Cir. 2023).
2.
EPA Failed to Adequately Consider Power Grid Impacts
In Ohio v. EPA, this Court recently issued a stay after the D.C. Circuit refused
to, admonishing the agency must materially address comments relevant to its
rulemaking. Here again, the D.C. Circuit denied a stay where EPA has done the
same thing, this time regarding the Rule’s foreseeable impact on our power grids.
Numerous commentators for this Rule put EPA on notice that our nation’s
power grids are already extremely strained, and that the Rule will likely force at least
some coal-fired plants to retire. See, e.g., App. 636a (Rainbow Energy Center Cmt. at
4, EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794-5990); see also App. 614a (MISO Cmt. on Docket ID Nos.
EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0283,
EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-0282,
EPA-HQ-OLEM-2021-
0280, at 3); App. 617a-618a (Minnkota Power Coop. Inc. Cmt. at 2-3, EPA-HQ-OAR2018-0794-5978); App.639a (Power Generators Air Coalition Cmt. at 12, EPA-HQOAR-2018-0794-5994); App. 625a-626a (NRECA Cmt. at 5-6, EPA-HQ-OAR-20180794-5956); App. 628a-633a (Cichanowicz Technical Cmt. at 39-44). Yet EPA failed
to meaningfully address grid reliability in its Regulatory Impact Analysis, see App.
685a-717a (RIA Section 3), and EPA has never meaningfully considered the
voluminous information it received describing the Rule’s serious risks to the power
grid.
34
EPA’s perfunctory conclusion that the significant costs the Rule imposes on
coal-fired EGUs will have no effect on the power sector, 89 Fed. Reg. at 38555-56,
does not reflect reasoned analysis entitled to any degree of deference. “EPA has no
expertise on grid reliability,” Texas, 829 F.3d at 432, and comment after comment put
EPA on notice that the Rule will foreseeably have significant impacts on power grid
reliability. Nonetheless, the Final Rule does not reflect any attempt by EPA to seek
input from FERC, NERC, or any similar entity that could have apprised it of the
Rule’s likely impact on grid reliability. Cf. Del. Dep’t of Nat. Res. & Envtl. Control v.
EPA, 785 F.3d 1, 18 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (encouraging EPA to solicit input from FERC on
remand, as “[t]here is no indication that either FERC, the federal entity responsible
for the reliability of the electric grid, 16 U.S.C. § 824o (b)(1), or NERC, FERC’s
designated electric reliability organization … was involved in this rulemaking or
submitted their views to EPA.”).
While EPA claimed in its briefing below that it “consult[ed] ‘other federal
agencies, reliability experts, and grid operators’” on the Rule, App. 772a (EPA Br. 34),
that assertion appears to be a red herring. In support of that claim, EPA cited only
on its own response to comments, where it describes a generic Memorandum of
Understanding with the Department of Energy for interagency cooperation on certain
aspects of grid reliability. App. 772a (EPA Br. 34). EPA does not indicate it consulted
with DOE (or any other grid operator or reliability expert) on this specific rule. App.
676a-677a (Response to Comments at 156-57) (“This process is not linked to any one
regulatory effort or final action.”).
35
In its briefing below, EPA also pointed to its “state-of-the art” model, which
assumes the Rule will cause zero plant retirements, to defend its conclusion that the
Rule will have no impact on power grid reliability. App. 772a (EPA Br. 34). But EPA
made no effort to ensure its model reflected the many comments it received warning
that its baseline assumption of zero coal-fired power plants being forced to retire was
likely incorrect, resulting in the agency reaching a conclusion that entirely ignores
away a significant aspect of the problem. Cf. Small Ref. Lead Phase-Down Task Force
v. EPA, 705 F.2d 506, 535 (D.C. Cir. 1983) (“agency must explain the assumptions
and methodology used in preparing [a] model and, if the methodology is challenged,
must provide a complete analytic defense”) (internal quotations omitted). EPA’s
failure to adequately consider one of the Rule’s most important impacts was arbitrary
and capricious. State Farm, 463 U.S. at 43.
Moreover, as noted supra, EPA has a history of dramatically underestimating
the impact of its MATS rules on power plant operations.
The last time EPA
promulgated a MATS Rule it assured the country it would only cause about 5,000
MW to go offline, and it ended up being wrong by over a factor of ten. The dramatic
difference represents a profound failure on EPA’s part to analyze the rule’s impacts
on power generation and provides “proof that the harm has occurred in the past and
is likely to occur again.” Wis. Gas Co. v. FERC, 758 F.2d 669, 674 (D.C. Cir. 1985).
Consequently, EPA’s perfunctory conclusion that this Rule (dropping emission
standards by 66-70%) will not cause a single retirement, App. 700a (RIA at 3-16),
36
should be viewed with extreme skepticism given the number of comments and
declarations attesting EPA has gotten it profoundly wrong again.
Lastly, EPA’s analysis of the Rule’s power grid impacts is also arbitrary and
capricious because it fails to “acknowledge and account for” the impacts of
“contemporaneous and closely related rule[s].” Portland Cement Ass’n v. EPA, 665
F.3d 177, 187 (D.C. Cir. 2011). EPA expressly issued this Rule as part of a “suite” of
rules targeting coal-fired power plants.
See EPA, Biden-Harris Administration
Finalizes Suite of Standards to Reduce Pollution from Fossil Fuel-Fired Power Plants
(Apr. 25, 2024), https://tinyurl.com/y5u92sx3. EPA’s failure to meaningfully assess
how the confluence of these (and many other) rules targeting coal-fired power plants
will affect the power grid further cements its arbitrary and capriciousness.
3.
EPA’s Basis for Promulgating the Rule is Pretextual
As an independent problem, EPA’s stated justifications for the Rule appear to
be pretextual. Dep’t of Com., 588 U.S. at 785. When an agency promulgates a rule,
it must truthfully “disclose the basis of its action,” and courts must set aside the rule
if “the evidence tells a story that does not match the explanation.” Id. at 780, 784.
Accepting “contrived reasons” would vitiate the reasoned-explanation requirement
and convert judicial review into an “empty ritual.”
Id. at 784-85.
There is
considerable evidence that is the case here. And in such cases, courts must evaluate
“pretext” in light of “all evidence in the record before the court.” Id. at 782.
Despite claiming it engaged in this rulemaking to protect the public from HAP
emissions, 89 Fed. Reg. at 38509-10, available evidence indicates that EPA is using
37
its Section 112(d)(6) authority as part of an effort to force a nationwide transition
away from coal for putative climate change reasons. Contra West Virginia, 597 U.S.
at 735 (2022) (declaring it “not plausible” the CAA empowers EPA to “force a
nationwide transition away from the use of coal to generate electricity”).
The current EPA Administrator has made no secret that the agency would
respond to this Court’s curtailment of its authority to implement climate changerelated rules by issuing a “suite” of rules designed to close fossil fuel-fired power
plants using a variety of regulatory authorities unrelated to climate change.
As just one example, Administrator Regan said his agency would “couple”
climate regulations with “health-based” regulations to regulate greenhouse gases and
get around the West Virginia v. EPA decision.
PBS: How much of a setback is [the West Virginia v. EPA decision] to
your efforts to regulate greenhouse gases?
Regan: …We still will be able to regulate climate pollution. And we’re
going to use all of the tools in our toolbox. …
PBS: Well, can you give us a couple of examples of the kind of tools that
you believe you still can use to regulate this industry?
Regan: …We also have a suite of regulations that are facing the power
sector. And so, as we couple the regulation of climate pollution with the
regulation of health-based pollution, we are providing the power sector
with a very clear picture of what regulations they’re facing so that they
can make the right investment decisions.
PBS, EPA Administrator Michael Regan discusses Supreme Court ruling on climate
change, YouTube (June 30, 2022) (emphasis added), https://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=Ic_1UxwsXj8 (accessed May 7, 2024); see also, e.g., White House, Press
Gaggle by Principal Deputy Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre & Env’t Prot. Agency
Adm’r Michael Regan (Feb. 17, 2022) (stating if the Supreme Court limits EPA’s
38
ability to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, EPA will respond with “bread-andbutter regulations,” such as “regulating mercury”), https://tinyurl.com/bddpr22j;
Chemnick et al., What the EPA’s New Plans for Regulating Power Plans Mean for
Carbon, Sci. Am. (Mar. 11, 2022) (noting that when asked about the impending West
Virginia decision, Administrator Regan said he “[doesn’t] believe [EPA] ha[s] to
overly rely on any one regulation” and suggested EPA could still achieve its climate
goals by using authorities for protecting the public from mercury and air toxins).
Such public comments match internal documents that have been produced
through FOIA indicating that EPA and the White House Climate Office contrived
revising the MATS Rule as a means of reducing power plant emissions for climate
change reasons. For example, in February 2021, EPA prepared a presentation for
the White House Climate Advisor.
See Power Sector Strategy: Climate, Public
Health, Environmental Justice, Briefing for Gina McCarthy and Ali Zaidi (Feb. 4,
2021). App. 145a (Chang Decl. ¶¶3-5).
While heavily redacted, the document
evidences EPA’s intent to use its regulatory authority under various programs,
including the MATS Rule, for reducing power plant emissions to implement the
Administration’s climate agenda. App. 146a (Chang Decl. ¶¶6-7).
EPA’s public statements and internal documents show that the “sole stated
reason” for the Rule—i.e., protecting the public from exposure to the regulated
HAPs—was likely “contrived.” Dep’t of Com., 588 U.S. at 784. This is not a case
where the Court must risk substantial intrusion on Administrator Regan to inquire
about his “mental processes,” Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 401
39
U.S. 402, 420 (1971), as his public statements already lay bare his motivations. And
the fact that EPA can identify no quantifiable public health benefits from the Rule’s
mandated reduction in HAP emissions, and instead claims millions of dollars in
“climate” benefits, resolves any doubt as to EPA’s true intent.
The purpose for EPA’s “suite” of rules targeting coal-fired plants is recognized
around the world, e.g., Milman, New US climate rules for pollution cuts ‘probably
terminal’ for coal-fired plants, Guardian (May 2, 2024), https://tinyurl.com/
ykmb9xvn, and courts are “not required to exhibit a naiveté from which ordinary
citizens are free.” Dep’t of Com., 588 U.S. at 785 (citation omitted).
CONCLUSION
For the reasons set forth above, the Court should stay the Rule pending
resolution of the merits, including through resolution of any petitions for certiorari.
Respectfully submitted.
PATRICK MORRISEY
Attorney General
DREW H. WRIGLEY
Attorney General
MICHAEL R. WILLIAMS
Solicitor General
PHILIP AXT
Solicitor General
*Counsel of Record
Office of the Attorney General
State Capitol Complex
Building 1, Room E-26
Charleston, WV 25301
Phone: 304.558.2021
michael.r.williams@wvago.gov
Counsel for State of West Virginia
NESSA HOREWITCH COPPINGER
DAVID M. FRIEDLAND
Special Assistant Attorneys General
Office of the Attorney General
600 E Boulevard Ave., Dept. 125
Bismarck, ND 58505
Phone: 701.328.2210
pjaxt@nd.gov
Counsel for State of North Dakota
40
TREG TAYLOR
Attorney General
TIM GRIFFIN
Attorney General
GARRISON TODD
Assistant Attorney General
Alaska Department of Law
1031 W. 4th Ave. Ste. 200
Anchorage, AK 99501
(907) 269-5100
Garrison.Todd@alaska.gov
NICHOLAS J. BRONNI
Solicitor General
DYLAN L. JACOBS
Deputy Solicitor General
Office of the Arkansas Attorney
General
323 Center Street, Suite 200
Little Rock, AR 72201
(501) 682-2007
nicholas.bronni@arkansasag.gov
Counsel for State of Alaska
Counsel for State of Arkansas
CHRISTOPHER M. CARR
Attorney General
RAÚL R. LABRADOR
Attorney General
STEPHEN J. PETRANY
Solicitor General
Office of the Attorney General
40 Capitol Square, SW
Atlanta, Georgia 30334
(404) 458-3408
spetrany@law.ga.gov
JOSHUA N. TURNER
Chief of Constitutional Litigation and
Policy
ALAN M. HURST
Solicitor General
Office of Idaho Attorney General
P.O. Box. 83720
Boise, Idaho 83720
(208) 334-2400
Josh.Turner@ag.idaho.gov
Alan.Hurst@aga.idaho.gov
Counsel for State of Georgia
Counsel for State of Idaho
THEODORE E. ROKITA
Attorney General
BRENNA BIRD
Attorney General
JAMES A. BARTA
Solicitor General
Indiana Attorney General’s Office
IGCS – 5th Floor
302 W. Washington St.
Indianapolis, IN 46204
(317) 232-0709
james.barta@atg.in.gov
ERIC H. WESSAN
Solicitor General
1305 E. Walnut Street
Des Moines, Iowa 50319
(515) 823-9117
eric.wessan@ag.iowa.gov
Counsel for State of Iowa
Counsel for State of Indiana
41
KRIS W. KOBACH
Attorney General
RUSSELL COLEMAN
Attorney General
ANTHONY J. POWELL
Solicitor General
Office of Kansas Attorney General
120 SW 10thAvenue, 2ndFloor
Topeka, Kansas 66612
(785) 368-8539
Anthony.Powell@ag.ks.gov
MATTHEW F. KUHN
Solicitor General
JACOB M. ABRAHAMSON
Assistant Solicitor General
Office of Kentucky Attorney General
700 Capital Avenue, Suite 118
Frankfort, Kentucky 40601
(502) 696-5300
Matt.Kuhn@ky.gov
Jacob.Abrahamson@ky.gov
Counsel for State of Kansas
Counsel for Commonwealth of Kentucky
ELIZABETH B. MURRILL
Attorney General
LYNN FITCH
Attorney General
J. BENJAMIN AGUIÑAGA
Solicitor General
Louisiana Department of Justice 1885
N. Third Street
Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70802
(225) 506-3746
aguinagab@ag.louisiana.gov
JUSTIN L. MATHENY
Deputy Solicitor General
Office of the Attorney General
P.O. Box 220
Jackson, Mississippi 39205
(601) 359-3825
justin.matheny@ago.ms.gov
Counsel for State of Louisiana
Counsel for State of Mississippi
ANDREW T. BAILEY
Attorney General
AUSTIN KNUDSEN
Attorney General
SAMUEL C. FREEDLUND
Deputy Solicitor General
Office of the Attorney General
815 Olive St., Suite 200
St. Louis, Missouri 63101
(314) 340-4869
Samuel.Freedlund@ago.mo.gov
CHRISTIAN B. CORRIGAN
Solicitor General
PETER M. TORSTENSEN, JR.
Deputy Solicitor General
Montana Department of Justice
215 N. Sanders Helena, MT 59601
(406)444-2707
Christian.Corrigan@mt.gov
Counsel for State of Missouri
Counsel for State of Montana
42
MICHAEL T. HILGERS
Attorney General
GENTNER DRUMMOND
Attorney General
GRANT D. STROBL
Assistant Solicitor General
Nebraska Attorney General’s Office
2115 State Capitol
Lincoln, NE 68509
(402) 471-2683
grant.strobl@nebraska.gov
GARRY M. GASKINS, II
Solicitor General
JENNIFER L. LEWIS
Deputy Attorney General
Office of the Attorney General of
Oklahoma
313 NE Twenty-First St.
Oklahoma City, OK 73105
(405) 521-3921
garry.gaskins@oag.ok.gov
jennifer.lewis@oag.ok.gov
Counsel for State of Nebraska
Counsel for State of Oklahoma
ALAN WILSON
Attorney General
MARTY J. JACKLEY
Attorney General
THOMAS T. HYDRICK
Assistant Deputy Solicitor General
Office of the Attorney General of South
Carolina
1000 Assembly Street
Columbia, SC 29201
(803) 734-4127
thomashydrick@scag.gov
STEVE BLAIR
Deputy Attorney General
Office of the Attorney General of South
Dakota
1302 East Highway 14, Suite 1
Pierre, SD 57501-8501
(605) 773-3215
atgservice@state.sd.us
steven.blair@state.sd.us
Counsel for State of South Carolina
Counsel for State of South Dakota
43
JONATHAN SKRMETTI
Attorney General
KEN PAXTON
Attorney General
WHITNEY HERMANDORFER
Director of Strategic Litigation
MATTHEW RICE
Solicitor General
Office of the Attorney General and
Reporter of Tennessee
P.O. Box 20207
Nashville, TN 37202-0207
(615) 741-7403
Whitney.Hermandorfer@ag.tn.gov
Matthew.Rice@ag.tn.gov
JOHN R. HULME
Assistant Attorney General
BRENT WEBSTER
First Assistant Attorney General
JAMES LLOYD
Deputy Attorney General for Civil
Litigation
KELLIE E. BILLINGS-RAY
Chief, Environmental Protection
Division
Office of the Texas Attorney General
P.O. Box 12548
Austin, Texas 78711-2548
John.hulme@oag.texas.gov
Counsel for State of Tennessee
Counsel for State of Texas
SEAN REYES
Attorney General
JASON MIYARES
Attorney General
STANFORD PURSER
Solicitor General
Office of the Utah Attorney General
160 East 300 South, Fifth floor
Salt Lake City, Utah 84111
(385) 366-4334
Spurser@agutah.gov
KEVIN M. GALLAGHER
Principal Deputy Solicitor General
BRENDAN T. CHESTNUT
Deputy Solicitor General
Virginia Attorney General’s Office
202 North 9th Street
Richmond, VA 23219
(804) 786-2071
kgallagher@oag.state.va.us
bchestnut@oag.state.va.us
Counsel for State of Utah
Counsel for Commonwealth of Virginia
44
BRIDGET HILL
Attorney General
D. DAVID DEWALD
Deputy Attorney General
Wyoming Attorney General’s Office
Water & Natural Resources Division
109 State Capitol
Cheyenne, WY 82002
(307) 777-7895 phone
david.dewald@wyo.gov
Counsel for State of Wyoming
Dated: August 16, 2024
45
This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.