Emergency Application — Kinder Morgan, Inc., et al., Applicants v. Environmental Protection Agency, et al.
Supreme Court briefOct 13, 2023
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No. 23AIn the
Supreme Court of the United States
KINDER MORGAN, INC.; ENBRIDGE (U.S.) INC.; TRANSCANADA
PIPELINE USA LTD.; INTERSTATE NATURAL GAS ASSOCIATION OF
AMERICA; AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE,
Applicants,
v.
UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, et al.,
Respondents.
On Emergency A pplication for Stay to the
Honorable John G. Roberts, Jr., Chief Justice and Circuit Justice
for the U.S. Court of A ppeals for the District of Columbia Circuit
EMERGENCY APPLICATION FOR STAY OF FINAL AGENCY
ACTION DURING PENDENCY OF PETITIONS FOR REVIEW
A na M. Gutiérrez
Michael D. Miller
Womble Bond Dickinson (US) LLP
2001 K Street, NW
Washington, DC 20006
Catherine E. Stetson
Counsel of Record
Hogan Lovells US LLP
555 Thirteenth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20004
(202) 637-5600
cate.stetson@hoganlovells.com
Counsel for Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Additional Counsel listed on Inside Cover
October 13, 2023
324648
A
(800) 274-3321 • (800) 359-6859
Eric D. McA rthur
Sidley Austin LLP
1501 K Street, NW
Washington, DC 20005
Counsel for the Interstate
Natural Gas Association
of America and American
Petroleum Institute
Laura K. McA fee
(D.C. Cir. Bar No. 62386)
Beveridge & Diamond, PC
201 North Charles Street,
Suite 2200
Baltimore, MD 21201
Counsel for Enbridge
(U.S.) Inc.
Brittany M. Pemberton
Bracewell LLP
2001 M Street, NW,
Suite 900
Washington, DC 20036
Counsel for TransCanada
PipeLine USA Ltd.
RULE 29.6 STATEMENT
Kinder Morgan is a publicly held corporation. Kinder Morgan does not have a parent
corporation, and no publicly held corporation holds 10% or more of Kinder Morgan’s stock.
Enbridge (U.S.) Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Enbridge Inc., a diversified energy company headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Enbridge (U.S.) Inc.’s holdings include natural gas pipelines regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. Enbridge Inc. is
a publicly traded company that trades on the New York and Toronto stock exchanges.
Enbridge, Inc. has no parent companies, and no publicly held company owns a 10 percent or
greater interest in Enbridge, Inc.
TransCanada PipeLine USA Ltd. is an indirectly owned subsidiary of TC Energy Corporation. TC Energy Corporation is a federally registered Canadian corporation, with its
headquarters in Calgary, Alberta. TC Energy Corporation is a publicly held corporation with
no parent corporation. No entity (whether publicly or privately held) has an ownership interest in TC Energy Corporation of 10% or more.
Interstate Natural Gas Association of America (“INGAA”) hereby states that INGAA is
a national trade association that represents interstate natural gas transmission pipeline
companies. INGAA has no parent corporation, and no publicly held corporation has a 10%
or greater ownership in INGAA.
American Petroleum Institute (“API”) hereby states that API is a national trade association that represents all segments of America’s natural gas and oil industry. API has no
parent corporation, and no publicly held corporation has a 10% or greater ownership in API.
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PARTIES TO THE PROCEEDINGS
The parties to D.C. Circuit Case No. 23-1157 (lead case), consolidated with Case Nos.
23-1181, 23-1183, 23-1190, 23-1191, 23-1193, 23-1195, 23-1199, 23-1200, 23-1201, 231202, 23-1203, 23-1205, 23-1206, 23-1207, 23-1208, 23-1209, and 23-1211 are listed below:
Applicant Kinder Morgan, Inc. is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1181; Applicants Interstate Natural Gas Association of America and American Petroleum Institute are Petitioners
in Case No. 23-1193; Applicant Enbridge (U.S.) Inc. is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1202; and
Applicant TransCanada PipeLine USA Ltd. is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1205.
Respondent State of Utah is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1157.
Respondents States of Ohio, Indiana, and West Virginia are Petitioners in Case No.
23-1183.
Respondent American Forest and Paper Association is Petitioner in Case No.
23-1190.
Respondent Midwest Ozone Group is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1191.
Respondents Associated Electric Cooperative, Inc.; Ohio Valley Electric Corporation;
Wabash Valley Power Association, Inc. d/b/a Wabash Valley Power Alliance; America’s
Power; National Rural Electrification Cooperative Association; and Portland Cement Association are Petitioners in Case No. 23-1195.
Respondent National Mining Association is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1199.
Respondent American Iron and Steel Institute is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1200.
Respondent State of Wisconsin is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1201.
Respondent American Chemistry Council is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1203.
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Respondent Hybar LLC is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1206.
Respondent U.S. Steel Corporation is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1207.
Respondent Union Electric Company d/b/a Ameren Missouri is Petitioner in Case
No. 23-1208.
Respondent State of Nevada is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1209.
Respondent Arkansas League of Good Neighbors is Petitioner in Case No. 23-1211.
Respondent City Utilities of Springfield, Missouri is Intervenor for Petitioners in the
consolidated cases.
Respondents the United States Environmental Protection Agency and Michael S. Regan, Administrator U.S. EPA, are Respondents in all consolidated cases listed above.
Respondents City of New York; Commonwealth of Massachusetts; Commonwealth of
Pennsylvania; District of Columbia; Harris County, Texas; State of Connecticut; State of Delaware; State of Illinois; State of Maryland; State of New Jersey; State of New York; State of
Wisconsin; Air Alliance Houston; Appalachian Mountain Club; Center for Biological Diversity; Chesapeake Bay Foundation; Citizens for Pennsylvania’s Future; Clean Air Council;
Clean Wisconsin; Downwinders at Risk; Environmental Defense Fund; Louisiana Environmental Action Network; Sierra Club; Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance; and Utah Physicians for a Healthy Environment are Intervenors for Respondent, U.S. EPA.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
RULE 29.6 STATEMENT ......................................................................................................................................... i
PARTIES TO THE PROCEEDINGS ...................................................................................................................... ii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ...................................................................................................................................... v
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................................ 1
STATEMENT ............................................................................................................................................................... 4
A. Statutory And Regulatory Background ............................................................................................ 4
B. Procedural History .................................................................................................................................... 9
REASONS FOR GRANTING THE APPLICATION ........................................................................................ 10
I. APPLICANTS ARE LIKELY TO SUCCEED ON THE MERITS........................................................... 11
A. The Legal Predicate For The Rule Is Undermined By Stays Across Seven Circuits ... 11
B. EPA Failed To Identify Emissions “Amounts” From Non-EGU Sources That
Contribute Significantly To Nonattainment, Failed To Explain Its Departure From
Past Practice, And Failed To Justify Its Conclusions ................................................................ 13
C. EPA’s Compliance Timeline Failed To Consider Natural Gas Reliability Impacts ...... 17
D. EPA’s 1,000-Horsepower Applicability Criterion For Pipeline Engines Is Unlawful .21
II. ABSENT A STAY, PIPELINE OPERATORS—AND THEIR CUSTOMERS—WILL BE
IRREPARABLY HARMED ............................................................................................................................. 23
III. THE BALANCE OF HARMS AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST WEIGH HEAVILY IN FAVOR OF
A STAY ............................................................................................................................................................... 29
CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................................................................... 29
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TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Page(s)
Cases
Ala. Ass’n of Realtors v. Dep’t of Health & Hum. Servs.,
141 S. Ct. 2485 (2021) ................................................................................................................ 24, 29
Ass’n of Oil Pipe Lines v. FERC,
281 F.3d 239 (D.C. Cir. 2002) ......................................................................................................... 17
Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v. FERC,
954 F.3d 279 (D.C. Cir. 2020) ......................................................................................................... 23
Does 1-3 v. Mills,
954 F.3d 279 (D.C. Cir. 2020) .........................................................................................................11
EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P.,
572 U.S. 489 (2014) ............................................................................................ 4, 5, 12, 13, 14, 22
Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro,
579 U.S. 211 (2016) ........................................................................................................................... 16
FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc.,
556 U.S. 502 (2009) ........................................................................................................................... 16
Hollingsworth v. Perry,
558 U.S. 183 (2010) ............................................................................................................................ 10
In re Musical Instruments & Equip. Antitrust Litig.,
798 F.3d 1186 (9th Cir. 2015) ....................................................................................................... 19
League of Women Voters of United States v. Newby,
838 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2016) .............................................................................................................. 29
MD/DC/DE Broadcasters Ass’n v. FCC,
236 F.3d 13 (D.C. Cir. 2001) .................................................................................................... 12, 13
Maryland v. EPA,
958 F.3d 1185 (D.C. Cir. 2020) ........................................................................................ 14-15, 21
Memphis Light, Gas & Water Div. v. Craft,
436 U.S. 1 (1978) ................................................................................................................................ 18
Minnesota v. Mille Lacs Band of Chippewa Indians,
526 U.S. 172 (1999) ........................................................................................................................... 13
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TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued
Page(s)
Michigan v. EPA,
213 F.3d 663 (2000) .......................................................................................................................... 14
Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto Ins. Co.,
463 U.S. 29 (1983) ................................................................................................................ 16, 20, 22
Nat’l Fed. of Indep. Bus. v. Dep’t of Labor,
142 S.Ct. 661 (2022) ........................................................................................................................... 11
Nken v. Holder,
556 U.S. 418 (2009) ........................................................................................................................... 10
Reno v. ACLU,
521 U.S. 844 (1997) ........................................................................................................................... 12
Shell Oil Co. v. EPA,
950 F.2d 741 (D.C. Cir. 1991) ......................................................................................................... 16
Small Refiner Lead Phase-Down Task Force v. EPA,
705 F.2d 506 (D.C. Cir. 1983) ......................................................................................................... 20
Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich,
510 U.S. 200 (1994) ........................................................................................................................... 24
Train v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc.,
421 U.S. 60 (1975) ................................................................................................................................. 4
Window Covering Mfrs. Ass’n v. Consumer Prod. Safety Comm’n,
No. 22-1300, 2023 WL 5918899 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 12, 2023) ................................................ 17
Worldcom, Inc. v. FCC,
238 F.3d 449 (D.C. Cir. 2001) ......................................................................................................... 23
Statutes and Regulations
42 U.S.C.
§ 7407(a) ................................................................................................................................................ 11
§ 7409(a) ................................................................................................................................................... 4
§ 7410(a)(2)(C) ...................................................................................................................................... 4
§ 7410(a)(2)(D)(i) .......................................................................................................................... 4, 23
§ 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) ........................................................................................................................ 14
§ 7410(c)(1) ...................................................................................................................................... 4, 11
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TABLE OF AUTHORITIES—Continued
Page(s)
§ 7410(c)(1)(B) ................................................................................................................................... 11
40 C.F.R.
§ 52.40(d)(3) .................................................................................................................................... 8, 27
§ 52.40(e) .................................................................................................................................................. 8
§ 52.40(e)(2)(B) .................................................................................................................................. 16
§ 52.41(b) ................................................................................................................................................. 7
§ 52.41(c) .................................................................................................................................................. 7
§ 52.41(d) ................................................................................................................................................. 8
§ 52.45(b)(1) ......................................................................................................................................... 23
§ 52.45(b)(2) ......................................................................................................................................... 23
Federal Register
Rule To Reduce Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate Matter and Ozone (Clean
Air Interstate Rule); Revisions to Acid Rain Program; Revisions to the NOXSIP
Call,
70 Fed. Reg. 25,162 (May 12, 2005) .......................................................................................................15
Federal Implementation Plans: Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate Matter and
Ozone and Correction of SIP Approvals,
76 Fed. Reg. 48,208 (Aug. 8, 2011) ...........................................................................................................15
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update for the 2008 Ozone NAAQS,
81 Fed. Reg. 74,504, 74,509 (Oct. 26, 2016) ..........................................................................................15
Federal Implementation Plan Addressing Regional Ozone Transport for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard,
87 Fed. Reg. 20,036 (proposed Apr. 6, 2022) ....................................................................... 13, 15, 21
Air Plan Disapprovals; Interstate Transport of Air Pollution for the 2015 8-Hour
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
88 Fed. Reg. 9,336 (Feb. 13, 2023) ............................................................................................................. 6
Federal “Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards,
88 Fed Reg. 36,654 (June 5, 2023) .... 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 20, 21, 22, 23, 26
Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards; Response to Judicial Stays of SIP Disapproval Action for Certain
States,
88 Fed. Reg. 49,295 (July 31, 2023) ............................................................................................................ 9
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TO THE HONORABLE JOHN G. ROBERTS, JR.,
CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT AND
CIRCUIT JUSTICE FOR THE D.C. CIRCUIT:
Applicants Kinder Morgan, Inc., Enbridge (U.S.) Inc., TransCanada PipeLine USA Ltd.,
Interstate Natural Gas Association of America, and American Petroleum Institute, respectfully ask this Court to immediately stay the effectiveness of the final rule (Rule) of the United
States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) entitled Federal “Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards, 88 Fed Reg. 36,654 (June 5, 2023) as it
applies to engines used for pipeline transportation of natural gas. The Applicants have petitioned for review of the Rule in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia
Circuit and filed stay motions in that court requesting that the Rule’s applicability to pipeline
engines be stayed pending judicial review. In a split decision, the D.C. Circuit denied these
and other stay motions on September 25, 2023.
INTRODUCTION
In the Rule, EPA established a uniform, federal program to enforce stringent emissions limits for 23 States that may be contributing to increased pollution levels in nearby
States. Consistent with similar past rulemakings, the Rule requires operators of power
plants within those States to implement control technologies to reduce emissions. The Rule
also, for the first time, reaches into 20 states to regulate gas-fired reciprocating internal combustion engines (pipeline engines) used to efficiently transport natural gas along pipelines
across the United States.
The Applicants and their members own and operate hundreds of thousands of miles
of natural gas pipelines and transport the vast majority of natural gas consumed in the
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United States. The Rule requires that thousands of pipeline engines achieve certain emission-rates limits by May 1, 2026. This date is flat-out impossible for all subject pipeline engines to achieve. Indeed, even to make progress on achieving compliance by that date, operators must significantly impair their ability to serve residential and commercial natural gas
and electric power demand across the United States in the short term—making it all the
more remarkable that EPA made no effort to even discuss the impacts of its Rule with the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, the agency charged with ensuring the safe and reliable transportation of natural gas.
Applicants are entitled to a stay pending appeal because: they are likely to succeed on
the merits; they will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay; and the balance of harms and
public interest favors a stay.
As a threshold matter, EPA had to disapprove over 20 state implementation plans
before the agency could adopt its national Rule. EPA’s disapprovals of those state plans are
currently under challenge in seven federal circuits, and every one of those courts has stayed
EPA’s disapproval of the underlying state plans. Yet EPA continues to implement the Rule—
no longer a uniform, national rule—despite it being stayed in a majority of the states in which
it was meant to apply.
On top of this foundational flaw, EPA violated the Clean Air Act and the Administrative
Procedure Act by: failing to identify the “amounts” of emissions from pipeline engines under
the Clean Air Act that significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance in a downwind state; failing to comport with past practice; and failing to justify its
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approach. And on top of that, EPA adopted an overly broad applicability criterion for pipeline engines that is inconsistent with its own definition of sources that “significantly contribute.”
Taken together, this Rule’s fundamental predicate and substantive particulars are
lacking. If this Rule is not arbitrary and capricious, no rule is.
If this Court does not stay the Rule, there will be natural gas supply interruptions
while the courts consider the legality of the Rule and operators struggle to bring pipeline
engines into compliance with an arbitrary standard. Add the enormous compliance costs of
nearly one billion dollars that Applicants will bear over that period, and the Rule causes the
exact type of irreparable injury that merits a stay.
Finally, the public interest favors a stay. An agency’s compliance with the law is always in the public interest. And, unless stayed, EPA’s unlawful rule threatens disruption to
a reliable supply of natural gas for customers throughout the country, including for heating
and cooking in homes and businesses, as a fuel for electric power generation, and as a critical
input in industrial processes.
Applicants support sensible emissions regulations of pipeline engines; but EPA’s arbitrary and capricious Rule leaves pipeline engine operators only two choices: (1) be out of
compliance with EPA’s Rule; or (2) restrict transportation of natural gas, at grave costs to
the public. Applicants urge this Court to stay the Rule so they can continue to reliably serve
this country’s natural gas demand.
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STATEMENT
A.
Statutory And Regulatory Background
1. The Clean Air Act is a fundamentally federalist statute: it tasks EPA with setting
national air quality standards and tasks states with implementing those standards in the first
instance through state implementation plans. See 42 U.S.C. §§ 7409(a), 7410(a)(2)(C). As
“long as the ultimate effect of a State’s choice of emission limitations is compliance with the
national standards, the State is at liberty to adopt whatever mix of emission limitations it
deems best suited to its particular situation.” Train v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 421 U.S. 60,
79 (1975). If—and only if—a State declines to submit a plan, or if the State’s plan does not
satisfy the federal standards, EPA promulgates a federal plan in its stead. Id. § 7410(c)(1).
Relevant here, the Act requires state plans to prohibit sources “within the State from emitting any air pollutant in amounts” that will “contribute significantly” to another State’s nonattainment, or interfere with maintenance, of the national standards. Id. § 7410(a)(2)(D)(i).
This statutory requirement has been referred to as the “good neighbor” provision, or the
“transport” provision.
To implement this directive, EPA uses modeling and data from “receptors” that monitor air quality throughout the country to identify the downwind States expected to have
problems attaining or maintaining the national standards, and the upwind States that contribute emissions to those downwind receptors. See 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,659; EPA v. EME
Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489, 500 (2014). To determine which upwind emissions
must be eliminated because they “contribute significantly” to downwind nonattainment, EPA
considers the cost of reducing the emissions and the impact it will have on downwind air
quality. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,660. “EPA’s task is to reduce upwind pollution, but only in
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‘amounts’ that push a downwind State’s pollution concentrations above the relevant [air
quality standard].” EME Homer City Generation, 572 U.S. at 514; see also 88 Fed. Reg. at
36,676 (EPA defining “amounts” to mean the “amount of emissions that is in excess of the
emissions control strategies that EPA has deemed cost-effective”). Identifying a specific
“amounts” threshold is therefore imperative to comply with the transport provision.
In an earlier transport rule, see 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,668–69, EPA determined that an
upwind State’s emissions “‘contribute[d] significantly’ to downwind nonattainment to the
extent its exported pollution both (1) produced one percent or more of a[n] [air-quality
standard] in at least one downwind State”; and “(2) could be eliminated most cost-effectively
as determined by EPA.” EME Homer, 572 U.S. at 502–503. Thus, “[a]s EPA interprets the
statute, upwind emissions rank as ‘amounts [that] . . . contribute significantly to nonattainment’ if they . . . can be eliminated under the cost threshold set by the Agency.” Id. at 518.
This Court upheld that approach, concluding that eliminating “amounts that can cost-effectively be reduced is an efficient and equitable solution to the allocation problem the Good
Neighbor Provision requires the Agency to address.” Id. at 519.
This Court made clear, however, that EPA cannot “require a State to reduce its output
of pollution by more than is necessary to achieve attainment in every downwind State or at
odds with the one-percent threshold the Agency has set.” Id. at 521. If EPA were to engage
in such “over-control,” it “will have overstepped its authority.” Id. at 521–22.
2. In October 2015, EPA promulgated a new, more stringent national air-quality
standard for ozone. See 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,656. The new ozone standard triggered a duty on
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upwind States to revise their state plans to restrict NOx emissions, a precursor to ozone.1
Under the Clean Air Act, states then had three years to submit their state plans to EPA for
approval—meaning the state plans needed to be submitted in 2018. Many states submitted
their plans by this deadline or soon thereafter.
EPA did not act expeditiously on the state plans submitted to it by that 2018 statutory
deadline: It was not until February 2023—nearly five years later—that the agency announced its decision to disapprove those submissions. Air Plan Disapprovals; Interstate
Transport of Air Pollution for the 2015 8‐Hour Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
88 Fed. Reg. 9,336 (Feb. 13, 2023). EPA concluded that 23 States did not adequately discharge their obligations under the transport provision of the Act. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,656.
Then, a few months later, EPA issued the Rule establishing its own federal plan to restrict
NOx emissions from sources in all 23 States. Id.2
As relevant here, and for the first time, the Rule directly regulates reciprocating internal combustion engines used in pipeline transportation of natural gas. 88 Fed. Reg. at
36,659.3 For pipeline engines, EPA imposed emissions limits after examining the available
emissions-control technologies and allegedly selected the “cost threshold” that it found “in
Nitrogen oxides—“NOx”—are a type of pollutant formed by atmospheric nitrogen during
combustion. NOx can combine with other pollutants in the presence of sunlight to form
ozone.
1
2 The Rule is provided in the Appendix at 1a. Notably, EPA proposed the Rule well before it
even disapproved the state plans. See Federal Implementation Plan Addressing Regional
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard, 87 Fed. Reg.
20,036 (proposed Apr. 6, 2022).
The Rule also regulates electric generating units (EGUs) and certain industrial sources
(non-EGUs), of which pipeline engines are one.
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general, maximized cost-effectiveness—i.e., that achieved a reasonable balance of incremental NOx reduction potential and corresponding downwind air quality improvements” relative to other possible reductions. Id. at 36,678. “Taken together,” the agency stated, the
Rule’s emissions limits “will fully eliminate the amount of emissions that constitute the covered states’ significant contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance in
downwind states for purposes of the 2015 ozone [standard].” Id. at 36,657. But EPA abandoned its cost threshold in the final Rule while nonetheless requiring the same emission control strategies for industrial sources resulting from that abandoned cost analysis.
The Rule now limits emissions from pipeline engines with a “nameplate rating” of
1,000 horsepower or greater. 40 C.F.R. § 52.41(b). The specific limitations vary based on
the type of engine, but each caps the grams of NOx that can be emitted per horsepower-hour.
Id. § 52.41(c). In arriving at the 1,000-horsepower applicability criterion for pipeline engines, EPA deviated from its approach for several other industrial sources, where EPA used
actual emissions amounts exceeding 100 tons per year. Despite wide variance in actual emissions from pipeline engines greater than 1,000 horsepower, EPA contends that the horsepower criterion “reasonably approximates” the 100-ton-per-year applicability criterion that
EPA used for other industrial sources. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,820.
The Rule also sets an impossible compliance deadline given the scale and scope of
requirements for pipeline engines. All regulated pipeline engines are required to meet the
applicable emissions rate limits by May 1, 2026, less than three years after the Rule’s effective date. EPA rationalized this compliance date in part by contending that the proposed rule
had provided “roughly an additional year of notice.” Id. at 36,755.
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Tacitly acknowledging the Rule’s overly broad application, costly requirements, and
impossible compliance timeline, EPA tacked on provisions (not proposed at the draft stage)
purportedly allowing for one-off exceptions or limited flexibility. Operators may attempt to
seek EPA’s discretionary approval, on “a case-by-case” basis, for a higher emissions limit for
an engine that cannot comply with the applicable limit “due to technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship.” 40 C.F.R. § 52.40(e). Operators also may attempt to seek EPA
approval for a “Facility-Wide Averaging Plan as an alternative means of compliance,” provided that the “total emissions reductions” for all the engines in the facility are “equivalent
to or greater than those” that would be achieved if each engine hit its individual limit. Id.
§ 52.41(d). For pipeline engines, EPA may grant a case-by-case compliance extension for
units that cannot meet the applicable compliance date “due to circumstances entirely beyond
the owner or operator’s control” if the owner or operator demonstrates it “has taken all steps
possible to install the controls necessary for compliance . . . by the applicable compliance
date.” Id. § 52.40(d)(3).
3. EPA’s disapproval of the state plans—the predicate for the nationwide Rule—has
been challenged in seven different federal circuit courts. All seven have stayed EPA’s underlying state plan disapprovals.4 Acknowledging these stays, EPA has issued two “interim final
Order, Texas v. EPA, No. 23-60069, ECF 269-1 (5th Cir. May 1, 2023); Order, Arkansas v.
EPA, No. 23-1320, ECF 5280996 (8th Cir. May 25, 2023); Order, Missouri v. EPA, No. 23-1719,
ECF 5281126 (8th Cir. May 26, 2023); Order, Texas v. EPA, No. 23-60069, ECF 359-2 (5th Cir.
June 8, 2023); Order, Nevada Cement Co. v. EPA, No. 23-682, ECF 27.1 (9th Cir. July 3, 2023);
Order, ALLETE, Inc. v. EPA, No. 23-1776 (8th Cir. July 5, 2023); Order, Kentucky v. EPA, No.
23-3216, ECF 39-2 (6th Cir. July 25, 2023); Order, Utah v. EPA, No. 23-9509, ECF
010110895101 (10th Cir. July 27, 2023); Interim Stay Order, West Virginia v. EPA, No. 2301418, ECF 39 (4th Cir. Aug. 10, 2023); Order, Alabama v. EPA, No. 23-11173 (11th Cir. Aug.
17, 2023). This uniform response from the federal courts of appeals reinforces the primacy
4
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rules” to stay the Rule within the twelve states where the state plan disapprovals have been
stayed. See Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards; Response to Judicial Stays of SIP Disapproval Action for Certain States, 88 Fed. Reg.
49,295 (July 31, 2023) (First Interim Final Rule)5; Federal “Good Neighbor Plan” for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards; Response to Additional Judicial Stays of SIP
Disapproval Action for Certain States, 88 Fed. Reg. 67,102, 67,103 (Sept. 29, 2023) (Second
Interim Final Rule). EPA has not expressly extended the compliance deadline for pipeline
engines in states with stays, however, creating yet more regulatory uncertainty for operators
attempting to manage an already impossible timeline. See 88 Fed. Reg. at 67,103–04 (stating
only that EPA “generally anticipates” that lead times would be “comparable” if/when state
SIP disapproval stays are lifted).
B.
Procedural History
The States of Indiana, Ohio, Utah, and West Virginia, along with members of multiple
affected industries, timely petitioned for review of the Rule in the D.C. Circuit. See D.C. Circuit
Lead Case No. 23-1157. The following relevant motions to stay the Rule were then filed:
of States’ roles in achieving air quality standards under the Clean Air Act’s cooperative federalism approach, and confirms the extent of EPA’s overreach. See Order, Texas v. EPA, No.
23-60069, ECF 269-1, at 17 (“In sum, because the EPA’s lack of deference to the States inverts
the agency’s ‘ministerial function’ in this system of ‘cooperative federalism,’ Stay Petitioners
have made a strong showing that the EPA acted unlawfully.”) (cleaned up). EPA’s overly
muscular approach to Clean Air Act regulation, coupled with the immense costs to industry,
also implicate the Major Questions Doctrine. See Br. for Enbridge (U.S.) Inc. 12–13, No. 231157 (D.C. Cir. Aug. 4, 2023) (arguing that EPA’s action in universally disapproving state
plans in favor of a federal plan “runs roughshod over” cooperative federalism and implicates
the Major Questions Doctrine).
One of the Applicants has challenged the First Interim Final Rule in the D.C. Circuit. See
Kinder Morgan v. EPA, D.C. Cir. No. 23-1279 (Sept. 29, 2023).
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Utah moved to stay on July 7, 2023;6
Indiana, Ohio, and West Virginia moved jointly to stay on July 19, 2023;
Kinder Morgan moved to stay on July 27, 2023;
API and INGAA moved to stay on July 27, 2023,
American Forest & Paper Association, Midwest Ozone Group, America's
Power, Associated Electric Cooperative, Inc., Deseret Generation & Transmission Co-Operative, National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, Ohio Valley Electric Corporation, Portland Cement Association, Wabash Valley Power
Association, Inc., and the National Mining Association moved to stay on August
2, 2023.
Enbridge moved to stay on August 4, 2023.
TC Energy moved to stay on August 8, 2023.
A divided panel of the D.C. Circuit denied the stay motions on September 25, 2023.
Order, Utah v. EPA, No. 23-1157 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 25, 2023) (266a). Judge Walker dissented.
Id.
REASONS FOR GRANTING THE APPLICATION
Applicants are entitled to a stay if they can establish that (1) they are likely to succeed
on the merits; (2) they will be irreparably injured absent a stay; (3) a stay will not substantially injure other parties; and (4) a stay serves the public interest. Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S.
418, 434 (2009). The third and fourth factors merge when the government is the opposing
party. Id. at 435. These Applicants satisfy each factor.7
6 Utah subsequently moved to hold the briefing for its motion in abeyance because the Tenth
Circuit stayed EPA’s disapproval of Utah’s state plan; the D.C. Circuit granted Utah’s request.
Applicants do not need to meet the standard in Hollingsworth v. Perry, 558 U.S. 183, 190
(2010), where the Court analyzes likelihood of granting certiorari and the prospect of reversal. In Hollingsworth, this Court considered an application for a stay of a lower court or7
10
I.
APPLICANTS ARE LIKELY TO SUCCEED ON THE MERITS.
A.
The Legal Predicate For The Rule Is Undermined By Stays Across Seven
Circuits.
As an exercise of cooperative federalism, the Clean Air Act assigns to the States the
“primary responsibility for assuring air quality.” 42 U.S.C. § 7407(a). As such, EPA only has
authority to issue a federal plan if a state plan does not comply with the Act. See id.
§ 7410(c)(1). But seven circuit courts—all circuits presented with a request to date—have
stayed EPA’s disapproval of 12 separate state plans. Thus, a majority of the 20 states where
the Rule applies to pipeline engines have now had their state plan disapprovals stayed, eliminating the legal predicate for the Rule in those states. Id. § 7410(c)(1)(B).
That state of affairs fundamentally undermines the Rule. EPA itself states that the
Rule is based on the “combined effect of the entire program across all linked upwind states,”
88 Fed. Reg. at 36,749 (emphasis added), so the many judicial stays of the state plan disapprovals have profoundly altered the nature and scope of the multi-state Rule EPA proposed,
received comments on, analyzed for emissions impacts, and promulgated. The data tells the
story: of EPA’s total estimated emissions reductions, only 22 percent remain from the states
where EPA continues to have authority to enforce the Rule. Appendix at 649a. By sector,
only 11 percent of total EGU emissions reductions remain, and only 40 percent of total nonEGU emissions reductions remain. Id.
der pending the filing of petitions for certiorari and mandamus. Id. at 185. Here, by contrast, Applicants seek a stay of a federal rule that the D.C. Circuit’s motions panel refused to
stay. See Nat’l Fed’n of Ind. Bus. v. Dep’t of Labor, 142 S.Ct. 661 (2022) (per curiam) (applying traditional Nken factors and granting stay in analogous posture). Even if Hollingsworth
applied, however, see Does 1–3 v. Mills, 142 S. Ct. 17, 18 (2021) (Barrett, J., concurring) (understanding Nken’s first factor to encompass the Hollingsworth standard), Applicants
would still satisfy that standard given the importance of the issues and the Rule’s significant legal flaws.
11
Given this data, EPA’s own rationale for the Rule disintegrates. EPA itself emphasized
that the Rule is meant to address interstate ozone transport “on a national scale” and that
“consistency in rule requirements across all jurisdictions is vital in ensuring the remedy for
ozone transport is ‘efficient and equitable.’” 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,691 (quoting EME Homer, 572
U.S. at 519). Now, the Rule no longer applies on a “national scale” and imposes inconsistent
requirements among states. Similarly, EPA stated that the Rule depends on “a uniform level
of emissions reduction . . . the linked upwind states can achieve,” id. at 36,676, but the Rule
is not “uniform” when it applies to less than half the states EPA originally intended.
On top of that, the Rule’s ozone-reduction rationale no longer applies. EPA concluded
that “the collective application of these mitigation measures and emissions reductions are
projected to deliver meaningful downwind air quality improvements” of 0.66 parts per billion (ppb) of ozone reduction on average. Id. at 36,748 (emphasis added). In proposing and
promulgating the Rule, EPA also emphasized that an individual state’s contribution may be
relatively small, but the “collective contribution resulting from multiple upwind states” may
not. Id. at 36,678 (emphasis added). With 78 percent of the “collective” emission reductions
now stayed, it is unclear what, if any, ozone benefit would result; EPA did not analyze the
effect of a partial rule.
EPA may respond that it considers the Rule severable. See id. at 36,693 (“[S]hould a
court find any discrete aspect of this document invalid, the Agency believes that the remaining aspects of this rule can and should be implemented to the extent possible.”). But severability depends on whether the provisions at issue are actually severable, Reno v. ACLU, 521
U.S. 844, 882–83 (1997), meaning whether “the remainder of the regulation could function
sensibly without the stricken provision.” MD/DC/DE Broadcasters Ass’n v. FCC, 236 F.3d 13,
12
22 (D.C. Cir.), aff’d on reh’g, 253 F.3d 732, 734 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (en banc); see also Minnesota
v. Mille Lacs Band of Chippewa Indians, 526 U.S. 172, 194 (1999) (entirety of order inseverable, “embodying as it did one coherent policy”). Where severance would “severely distort
the [agency’s] program and produce a rule strikingly different from any the [agency] has ever
considered or promulgated,” as here, the regulation cannot be severed. MD/DC/DE Broad‐
casters, 236 F.3d at 23. EPA’s own statements in briefing on venue drive this home: “[The
Rule] depends on the continuing operation of ‘interdependent’ interstate mechanisms.”
Tulsa Cement et al. v. EPA, EPA’s Motion to Dismiss or Transfer Petitions for Improper Venue
16, No. 23-9551 (10th Cir. July 20, 2023). With these interdependencies dissolved by the
stays spanning 12 states, and with the Rule’s striking difference from the one considered and
promulgated, the whole Rule falls apart.
This procedural and substantive mess is compounded by the foundational legal issues
with the Rule itself, which we discuss in turn.
B.
EPA Failed To Identify Emissions “Amounts” From Non‐EGU Sources That
Contribute Significantly to Nonattainment, Failed to Explain its Depar‐
ture From Past Practice, and Failed to Justify its Conclusions.
In its proposed rule, and applying its “uniform cost” framework upheld by EME
Homer, 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,719, EPA used a “marginal cost threshold of $7,500 per ton” of
emissions as the threshold for the “amounts” of emissions to be eliminated for non-EGU
sources, including pipeline engines, 87 Fed. Reg. at 20,083. After pipeline companies identified critical flaws in EPA’s cost data and analysis during the comment period (including that
the Rule would apply to more than three times the number of engines that EPA assumed),
EPA jettisoned that threshold as “not reflect[ing] the full range of cost-effectiveness values
13
that are likely present across the many different types of non-EGU industries and emissions
units assessed.” 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,740, 36,746.
But EPA then made a critical error: it never adopted (or even analyzed) a revised cost
threshold reflecting the “amount of emissions that is in excess of the emissions control strategies that EPA has deemed cost-effective.” 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,676. Instead, it continued to
require the same emissions controls identified at the proposal stage that were not reflective
of the full range of cost-effectiveness values pipeline engines would face. EPA’s flawed Rule
thus requires emissions reductions on engines that vastly exceed $7,500 per ton. See TC
Energy Comment 5 (noting total costs of Rule of $900 million for engines that operate infrequently) (603a); Kinder Morgan Comment 21–26 (noting costs above $100,000/ton and
even above $684,169/ton) (543a–548a). EPA’s approach runs afoul of the Clean Air Act—
and this Court’s prior precedent—and arbitrarily and capriciously departs from its own past
practice.
First, the Clean Air Act requires EPA to define the “amounts” of pollutants to be reduced. 42 U.S.C. § 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). As the D.C. Circuit has explained, “[i]nterstate contributions cannot be assumed out of thin air.” Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 684 (2000). Rather, they must be grounded in an “amount.” EPA definitively decided to define this amount
in this Rule using a cost-effectiveness criterion, where “upwind emissions rank as ‘amounts
[that] . . . contribute significantly to nonattainment’ if they . . . can be eliminated under the
cost threshold set by the Agency.” EME Homer, 572 U.S. at 518; 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,719. EPA
maintains that the Rule “continues to apply the same approach as the prior three [interstate
transport] rulemakings” for evaluating “amounts” of “significant contribution,” which are
“represented by cost thresholds.” 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,678; see Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185,
14
1192 (D.C. Cir. 2020). EPA is wrong. In discarding its proposed cost-effectiveness threshold
in the final Rule without ever defining an alternative, EPA failed to determine the statutory
“amounts” of emissions required to be eliminated.8
Second, EPA’s failure to define “amounts” as “represented by a cost threshold” also
departs from its own long-held approach. In past ozone transport rules, EPA required industries to install only those control technologies that are cost-effective, based on a defined
threshold. See, e.g., 76 Fed. Reg. 48,208, 48,248 (Aug. 8, 2011) (“defin[ing] each state’s . . .
contribution . . . as the emission reductions available at a particular cost threshold in a specific
upwind state.” (emphasis added)). And when EPA found a cost threshold unrepresentative,
it did not require reductions. See, e.g., 70 Fed. Reg. 25,162, 25,214 (May 12, 2005) (“EPA
believes it is necessary to have . . . better control cost information for [non-EGUs] before assuming reductions from them.”); 81 Fed. Reg. 74,504, 74,508 (Oct. 26, 2016) (“Our analysis
shows that there is uncertainty regarding whether or not meaningful, cost-effective non-EGU
emission reductions are achievable . . . . Therefore, non-EGU reductions are not included in
the final rule.”).
Despite admitting that the $7,500 threshold did “not reflect the full range of cost-effectiveness values that are likely present across the many different types of non-EGU industries and emissions units assessed,” EPA is still forcing companies to install those same controls it proposed. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,746. EPA also did not explain why it was departing from
EPA may argue in response that the $7,500 threshold was never supposed to be a fixed
cost threshold above which emissions reductions would not be required. But the agency's
own record belies that claim. EPA said at proposal that it “believes that . . . engines subject to
this proposed [rule] can achieve the emissions limit of 1.5 g/hp-hr with the installation and
operation” of specified “control technologies at the marginal cost threshold of $7,500 per ton.”
87 Fed. Reg. at 20,142–43 (emphasis added).
8
15
its past practice in defining a cost-effectiveness threshold above which emissions reductions
are not required. See FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 556 U.S. 502, 515–16 (2009) (reasoned explanation required when agency departs from past practice). Even worse, EPA
changed its interpretation in a final rule, without the opportunity for notice and comment.
See Shell Oil Co. v. EPA, 950 F.2d 741, 747 (D.C. Cir. 1991). Indeed, one commenter noted that
“[i]t is unclear how EPA could make the necessary findings for a final rule given the inaccurate data it relies upon.” Kinder Morgan Comment 3 (525a). EPA’s failure to provide a reasoned explanation “for disregarding facts and circumstances that underlay or were engendered by the prior policy” was arbitrary and capricious. Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro,
579 U.S. 211, 222 (2016) (quoting Fox Television, 556 U.S. at 515–16).
For the Clean Air Act’s requirements to have any meaning, EPA cannot be allowed to
choose to define a source’s “significant contribution” in terms of whether the source can
make cost-effective emissions reductions, identify a threshold for assessing cost-effectiveness, and then deem cost-effectiveness irrelevant by finalizing a Rule that imposes costs
vastly exceeding the threshold. See Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto Ins. Co.,
463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983) (agency must “articulate a satisfactory explanation for its action,” including “a rational connection between the facts found and the choice made.”).
EPA likely will respond that the Rule provides a limited exemption process for “certain individual facilities and emissions units [that] may face extreme hardship,” 88 Fed. Reg.
at 36,747 n.250. But that process is no panacea. First, whether to grant an exemption is
committed to EPA’s sole discretion. See 40 C.F.R. §52.40(e)(2)(B) (demonstration of extreme
economic hardship must be to EPA’s “satisfaction”). Thus, pipeline companies have no assurance that even an engine with emission-reduction costs far in excess of $7,500/ton would
16
be granted an exemption. Second, to be granted this discretionary cost-based exemption,
companies must demonstrate “extreme economic hardship”—a standard EPA has never used
and has yet to define as a fixed cost-per-ton threshold. Id. (emphasis added). And third, by
limiting exemptions to “individual facilities and emissions units” on a case-by-case basis, it
is unlikely that EPA will grant widespread exemptions even though widespread exemptions
will inevitably be necessary.9 The theoretical availability of occasional exemptions does not
save this deeply flawed Rule. See Ass’n of Oil Pipe Lines v. FERC, 281 F.3d 239, 244 (D.C. Cir.
2002) (“safety valve” could not “rescue [agency’s rule] from systemic errors, for then the
exception would swallow the rule”).
C.
EPA’s Compliance Timeline Failed To Consider Natural Gas Reliability
Impacts.
The Rule requires the pipeline transportation sector to implement complex control
technologies by May 1, 2026—an impossible deadline for pipeline engines. 88 Fed. Reg. at
36,756. 10 These emissions requirements apply to over three thousand pipeline engines
across the country, id. at 36,824, but a retrofit on a single engine “requires between 1 and 2
½ years to complete (from inception to completion of commissioning),” INGAA Comment 36
There are only two vendors nationwide with the necessary equipment and experience to
retrofit most pipeline engines, and those contractors have never processed the scale and
magnitude of requests that the Rule forces. See Kinder Morgan Comment 28 (550a); NOx Emis‐
sions Control Technology Installation Report Timing for Non‐EGU Sources, Final Report, EPAHQ-OAR-2021-0668-1077, 68, A-1−A-3 (Mar. 14, 2023) (Timing Report) (454a, 456a–
458a). EPA ignored these logistical impediments as well.
9
10 EPA contends that “the publication of the proposal” also “provided roughly an additional
year of notice.” Id. That contention is meritless. See Window Covering Mfrs. Ass’n v. Consumer
Prod. Safety Comm’n, No. 22-1300, 2023 WL 5918899, at *13 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 12, 2023) (rejecting agency’s assertion that the proposed rule gave additional notice to the regulated industry in concluding agency’s chosen effective date was arbitrary and capricious).
17
(500a).11 EPA’s refusal to provide a feasible compliance deadline jeopardizes the safe and
reliable transportation of natural gas in the United States. See id. at 34–42 (explaining impossibility of EPA’s proposed compliance date for pipeline engines and noting that EPA had
not evaluated pipeline reliability impacts of its proposed compliance date) (498a–506a);
Memphis Light, Gas & Water Div. v. Craft, 436 U.S. 1, 18 (1978) (recognizing “utility service”
as a “necessity of modern life”). Notwithstanding the gravity of this concern, EPA failed to
consider the adverse impacts to natural gas reliability when setting the compliance deadline,
which will result in natural gas and electric power service interruptions during the times of
year when downstream users, including homes, businesses, institutions (such as schools and
hospitals), and electric power plants, need fuel the most.
With over three thousand regulated engines, basic math dictates that pipeline companies will need to take numerous pipeline engines offline simultaneously (for months each,
once the operator secures the permits, contractor, and parts) to even attempt to meet the
2026 deadline. These outages will in turn cause a “large-scale reduction in output of natural
gas,” Kinder Morgan Comment 29, 36–37 (551a, 558a–559a), and “prevent[] [natural gas]
shippers from transporting as much gas as their users require,” INGAA Comment 42 (506a).
Despite the importance of natural gas reliability and industry comments, EPA offers scant
discussion on—and no meaningful support for—its conclusion that the Rule would not cause
supply shortages.
This is in part because pipeline engines are a far cry from the small engines in cars and
trucks. Pipeline engines typically weigh at least 100,000 pounds and can weigh as much as
365,000 pounds, and they are highly complex and integrated machines. Kinder Morgan
Comment 28 (550a).
11
18
First, EPA relies on a cursory report it commissioned, and which it did not publish
until the final Rule, which suggests that operators could simply “coordinate outages” of pipeline engines to minimize natural gas reliability concerns and service disruptions. EPA, NOx
Emissions Control Technology Installation Report Timing for Non‐EGU Sources, Final Report,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-1077, ES-8 (Mar. 14, 2023) (Timing Report) (385a). That rationale is both misplaced and unsupported. Pipelines are linear. Pipeline engines are spread
every 40 to 100 miles along the pipeline network to ensure sufficient flow of natural gas. If
one engine is taken offline for retrofits, there is limited ability for an engine immediately
ahead or behind it to substitute for its capacity at high demand, and there is no ability to
substitute engine capacity across different pipelines. Further, even if such coordination were
physically possible, EPA does not consider that pipeline capacity cannot be coordinated
among different pipeline operators, given that pipeline companies are competitors—meaning agreements between them to allocate capacity would trigger serious antitrust concerns.12
And each pipeline operator can have unique delivery points to distribution companies, gasfired electric generators, or industrial customers that no other operator can access, eliminating any opportunity for coordination. EPA’s proposed solution is thus no solution at all.
Second, the Timing Report expressly states that its authors “were not able to complete
an evaluation of” the reliability concerns raised during the comment period. Timing Report
at ES-8 (385a). Given that the Timing Report represents EPA’s only analysis of pipeline reliability concerns at all, EPA admits that it “failed to consider [this] important aspect of the
12 See In re Musical Instruments & Equip. Antitrust Litig., 798 F.3d 1186, 1191 (9th Cir. 2015)
(“[A]greements among competitors to fix prices, divide markets, and refuse to deal . . . [are]
inherently anticompetitive horizontal agreements [that] violate the Sherman Act per se.”).
19
problem.” State Farm, 463 U.S. at 43. EPA’s lack of consideration for natural gas reliability
is especially stark in contrast with the lengthy electric-sector reliability evaluation (where
the agency at least paid lip service to the issue for EGUs), particularly where gas-fired power
plants themselves rely on pipelines for fuel. See 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,772 n.301 (noting report
EPA prepared to evaluate electric-sector reliability).
EPA’s failure to consider these adverse impacts drew ire from a Federal Energy Regulatory Commissioner, who observed with respect to the Rule that “[a]lthough EPA responds
to arguments regarding how the EGU portion of its rule affects electric reliability, . . . EPA
[did] not ever consider the impacts that the timeline for compliance for non-EGUs would
have on electric reliability or residential uses.” Commissioner James Danly, Response to Ques‐
tions for the Record for June 13, 2023 House Energy & Commerce Oversight Hearing 23–24,
https://perma.cc/C757-3DD3 (637a–638a). Quite so.
The Rule’s unrealistic compliance timeline cannot be saved by the fact that the Rule
allows an operator to request a case-by-case extension in exceptional circumstances. Indeed,
for the reasons discussed above, extensions will almost certainly be required across the
board, rather than only in one-off or exceptional cases.
EPA thus “entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the problem” when adopting the compliance timeline—namely, the widespread impacts to natural gas reliability—
and the Rule is arbitrary and capricious as a result. State Farm, 463 U.S. at 43; see Small
Refiner Lead Phase‐Down Task Force v. EPA, 705 F.2d 506, 544−545, 552 (D.C. Cir. 1983) (vacating EPA’s gasoline lead standard under the Clean Air Act in part for lack of record evidence
that compliance timeline was achievable).
20
D.
EPA’s 1,000‐Horsepower Applicability Criterion For Pipeline Engines Is
Unlawful.
EPA also erred by adopting an initial applicability criterion that captures many pipeline engines whose emissions are far below the threshold EPA used to screen out sources
that do not “contribute significantly.”
In determining which sources to regulate, and before applying the marginal cost
threshold discussed above, EPA “focused on assessing emission units that emit > 100 [tons
per year] of NOx.” EPA, Screening Assessment of Potential Emissions Reductions, Air Quality
Impacts, and Costs from Non‐EGU Emissions Units for 2026 at 3 (Feb. 28, 2022) (736a). EPA’s
decision to screen out sources that emit less than that amount necessarily represents a determination that those sources do not “significantly contribute” to downwind nonattainment. Maryland, 958 F.3d at 1204.
For some other non-EGU sources, EPA used 100 tons per year of actual emissions as
a threshold for the applicability criterion. See 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,825 (cement and concrete
product manufacturing); id. at 36,827 (iron and steel mills and ferroalloy manufacturing); id.
at 36,829 (glass and glass product manufacturing). For pipeline engines, by contrast, EPA
did not. Instead, it implemented the 100-tons-per-year threshold by using a horsepowerbased proxy, lumping in all pipeline engines with a design capacity of 1,000 horsepower or
greater and asserting that this criterion “reasonably approximates” the 100-tons-per-year
threshold. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,820; see also 87 Fed. Reg. 20,036, 20,142 (proposed Apr. 6,
2022).
At the proposal stage, EPA projected that its horsepower proxy would cover only 307
engines nationwide. 87 Fed. Reg. at 20,090. And it projected that a significant majority of
those engines would exceed the 100-tons-per-year threshold: EPA estimated that “over 200
21
engines” out of 307 “emitted greater than 100 [tons per year].” EPA, Technical Support Doc‐
ument (TSD) for the Final Rule: Final Non‐EGU Sectors TSD at 4 (Mar. 2023) (271a).
Commenters demonstrated that EPA had wildly underestimated the proposed rule’s
reach. See INGAA Comment 8–9 (472a–473a (stating that INGAA’s members alone operate
1,380 units that would be regulated, contrasting with EPA’s estimate of 307 engines in total).
In the Final Rule, EPA admitted that the 1,000-horsepower criterion had “captured more
units than the EPA intended,” including “low-use units and some units with emissions of less
than 100 tons per year.” 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,819, 36,821. That was an understatement: EPA
now projects that 3,005 units are subject to the Rule—almost ten times its initial projection.
Id. at 36,824. Yet EPA continued to project that fewer than 300 units would meet the 100tons-per-year threshold for coverage under the Rule. See EPA, Non‐EGU Facilities and
Units.xlsx
(Mar.
2023)
(listing
about
260
engines
above
the
threshold),
https://perma.cc/UDK9-LRKU (downloads file).
EPA nonetheless persisted in its plan to regulate all units with a 1,000-horsepower
rating, refusing to adjust its applicability criterion to address the mismatch of actual emissions as compared to potential emissions. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,819–21. This was unlawful.
First, EPA’s applicability criterion results in regulation of a significant number of engines that, by EPA’s own logic, do not “contribute significantly.” That exceeds EPA’s authority
under the statute: EPA may not require emissions reductions “at odds with the . . . threshold
the Agency has set.” EME Homer, 572 U.S. at 521.
Second, EPA’s finding that a 1,000-horsepower rating “reasonably approximates” the
100-tons-per-year threshold, 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,820, “runs counter to the evidence before
the agency,” State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 463 U.S. at 43. EPA’s own data shows that fewer
22
than one in ten of the units subject to the rule meet the 100-tons-per-year threshold. The
rest are collateral damage. A “reasonable approximation” is one that fairly, if inexactly, captures the target group. Cf. Worldcom, Inc. v. FCC, 238 F.3d 449, 459 (D.C. Cir. 2001). Rather
than a “reasonable approximation,” the Rule amounts to a tenfold expansion of EPA’s regulatory reach beyond sources that “contribute significantly.”
Third, EPA’s reasons for declining to adjust the applicability criterion are arbitrary
and capricious. Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v. FERC, 954 F.3d 279, 285 (D.C. Cir. 2020) (agency has a
“duty to explain inconsistent treatment” of regulated entities). EPA tried to justify its overreach by claiming that the hundreds of units below the emissions threshold could one day
exceed 100 tons per year and it is “not possible to guarantee without an effective emissions
control program that all such units could not increase emissions in the future.” 88 Fed. Reg.
at 36,821. But the statute applies only to sources that “will . . . contribute significantly,” 42
U.S.C. § 7410(a)(2)(D)(i) (emphasis added), not that “could potentially” do so in the future.
And, contrary to EPA’s assertion, it is possible to ensure that units do not increase their emissions: As it did in the Rule for other sources, EPA could impose a reporting obligation and
require compliance with emissions limits if the 100-tons-per-year threshold is exceeded. Cf.
40 C.F.R. § 52.45(b)(1)–(2) (exempting low-use boilers from all but recordkeeping and reporting requirements unless they exceed certain usage thresholds).
II.
ABSENT A STAY, PIPELINE OPERATORS—AND THEIR CUSTOMERS—WILL BE
IRREPARABLY HARMED.
Absent a stay, pipeline operators will be forced to curtail natural gas shipments—
causing supply interruptions—while they take pipeline engines offline for retrofits to meet
EPA’s infeasible and unsupported compliance timeline and spend hundreds of millions of
dollars in just the 12 to 18 months after the Rule’s effective date (August 4, 2023) on those
23
retrofits. Interrupted natural gas supplies no doubt constitute irreparable injury—to the
public and pipeline companies. Likewise, compliance costs that cannot be recovered are irreparable. Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich, 510 U.S. 200, 220–21 (1994) (Scalia, J., concurring
in part and concurring in the judgment) (“[C]omplying with a regulation later held invalid
almost always produces the irreparable harm of nonrecoverable compliance costs.”); see also
Ala. Ass’n of Realtors v. HHS, 141 S. Ct. 2485, 2489 (2021) (per curiam) (noting financial impact “with no guarantee of eventual recovery” put applicants “at risk of irreparable injury”).
Natural gas reliability. Natural gas pipelines—the backbone of the country’s natural
gas supply infrastructure—cannot retrofit all their engines in time to meet EPA’s compliance
deadline of May 1, 2026. Supra at 17–21. To even have a chance of meeting that deadline,
pipeline operators will need to take engines offline during peak-demand seasons (winter and
summer) to retrofit all the engines required.13
Pipeline engines are large, complex pieces of machinery, and a single retrofit project
can take from one to two-and-a-half years from engineering development to commissioning.
Yeager Decl. ¶ 19 (716a). The installation phase itself can take between three to six months
per engine or six to 12 months per compressor station. Wooden Decl. ¶ 11 (702a). Before
construction can even begin, pipeline operators need to have state permits in hand, and the
permit process itself can take over a year, even without delays. Grubb Decl. ¶ 52 (681a).
Pipeline operators must do so to achieve the emissions limits in states where the Rule is
not stayed, and as noted above, EPA offered only vague assurances that compliance timelines
would be pushed back to account for existing state plan disapproval stays. See 88 Fed. Reg.
at 67,103–04 (EPA “generally anticipates” that lead times would be “comparable” if/when
state plan disapproval stays are lifted).
13
24
Adding this all together, pipeline operators will have a short window of time to retrofit engines, and these retrofits would require taking hundreds of engines offline during peak-demand seasons, risking natural gas reliability for winter heating (November to March) and for
use in power plants to serve air conditioning loads in the summer (May to September).
Grubb Decl. ¶¶ 61–69 (685a–693a); Wooden Decl. ¶¶ 11–12 (702a–703a). This forcedmarch timeline sharply contrasts with pipeline operators’ practice of scheduling service or
other necessary outages during lower demand periods. Grubb Decl. ¶ 62 (685a–686a).
Two case studies illustrate that reliability concerns are concrete and imminent.
Kinder Morgan performed computer simulation modeling on two of its pipelines to evaluate
the pipeline capacity impacts that will result if Kinder Morgan attempts to meet the May 1,
2026, compliance date for as many of its engines as possible. Grubb Decl. ¶¶ 64–66 (687a–
689a). First, for its pipeline system serving the Chicago area—which serves approximately
60 percent of the Chicago natural gas market—Kinder Morgan found that its delivery capacity during peak-demand winter days in Chicago would fall 20 percent short of demand. Id.
¶ 66 (689a). That shortfall equates to approximately 1,761,000 homes’ worth of natural gas
usage that could not be supplied during a peak-demand winter day. Id. (689a). Second, the
same modeling showed that Kinder Morgan’s pipeline segment serving the Gulf Coast region
would experience shortfalls of delivered natural gas equating to hundreds of thousands of
homes going unserved during both summer and winter periods. Id. ¶ 67 (690a–691a).
Kinder Morgan’s natural gas system in this region also serves six natural gas-fired power
plants, which collectively provide electricity to millions of customers. Id. (690a–691a).
EPA will likely argue that pipelines have sufficient spare capacity to absorb required
engine outages, given pipelines’ “average annual capacity utilization.” See Timing Report at
25
ES-8, 8 (385a, 394a) (citing average annual capacity utilization of 40 percent). This is not a
solution; indeed, it only reveals EPA’s deep misunderstanding of the pipeline industry. Av‐
erage capacity utilization bears little on the ability to serve peak demand. Natural gas demand is highly seasonal; pipelines experience much higher demand when weather is extremely hot or extremely cold, and demand ebbs in the spring and fall. For a particular pipeline, then, “40 percent utilization” could mean a much lower percent utilization during lowdemand times in spring and fall and over 95 percent during peak summer and winter demand. And if the weather turns hot or cold in these “off-peak” months, utilization jumps
higher.
Relying on a 40% average capacity utilization also presupposes that engine capacity
can be borrowed across the entire industry. The capacity a pipeline engine provides is highly
location- and pipeline-specific. Even within a single pipeline, there is little ability for sharing
the work of engines too far upstream or downstream in the pipeline. And in certain highly
populated regions, there is only one pipeline company that can deliver to core urban areas,
making sharing among different pipeline companies a physical impossibility.
The Rule’s purported compliance flexibilities will not avoid irreparable injury either.
First, EPA estimates that only one-third of engines would require controls because of its allowance for facility-wide emissions averaging. 88 Fed. Reg. at 36,760. But EPA’s analysis of
this supposed option is based on unrepresentative and extremely limited data and provides
operators little practical ability to reduce the number of engines requiring retrofits. Grubb
Decl. ¶¶ 35–44 (670a–676a) (noting that EPA only evaluated 10 compressor stations (out
of 713 total), all of which have far more engines than the average compressor station, and
26
therefore show more benefit from averaging than would be experienced in practice).14 Second, and as discussed above (at 16–17), the case-by-case emissions limit for extreme economic hardship is only meant to apply on a limited basis, and EPA has not provided a specific
cost threshold that would qualify, making it impossible for companies to reasonably rely on
this option. Yager Decl. ¶ 9 (711a). Third, the compliance timeline extensions would be required for a massive number of pipeline engines. For example, Kinder Morgan alone has
concluded it would need an extension for approximately half of its engines that do not currently meet the emissions limits. Grubb Decl. ¶ 48 (679a). And to qualify, operators must
“take[] all steps possible to install controls for compliance with the applicable requirements,”
40 C.F.R. § 52.40(d)(3), meaning they need to begin performing engine retrofits promptly
and through the pendency of litigation. Finally, EPA has sole discretion to grant any of these
compliance flexibilities; operators cannot reasonably rely on EPA to do so.
Compliance costs. Individual pipeline companies face steep compliance costs in the
12 to 18 months after the Rule’s effective date. As of July 2023, Enbridge expected to incur
$350 million;15 Kinder Morgan expected to incur $270 million;16 and TC Energy expected to
incur $75 million.17 Adding these costs plus its other members’ costs, INGAA estimated that
its members will need to spend at least several hundred million dollars on engine retrofits
The averaging approach also offers little flexibility in practice because it presents a constantly moving target based on a “rolling” lookback period. Grubb Decl. ¶ 44 (676a).
14
15 Wooden Decl. ¶ 13 (703a).
16 Grubb Decl. ¶¶ 6, 28 (653a–654a, 666a–667a).
17 Yeager Decl. ¶ 9 (722a).
27
over the same period. Yager Decl. ¶ 10 (712a). Absent a stay, if a court later invalidates the
Rule, pipeline companies will not be able to recover these substantial costs.
The total costs expected for retrofits of engines to meet the Rule’s emissions rates
limits are even more jaw-dropping. As of July 2023, Kinder Morgan anticipated $1.8 to $2.1
billion;18 Enbridge anticipated $1 billion;19 and TC Energy anticipated $600 million.20 In total, INGAA estimated that its members will have to spend up to approximately six billion dol‐
lars. Yager Decl. ¶ 10 (712a). And even these astronomical amounts do not include costs
resulting from curtailed shipments and other opportunity costs. Grubb Decl. ¶¶ 45–46, 70–
73 (676a–679a, 693a–695a) (noting costs of modernizations and emissions reduction projects placed on hold, as well as “reservation charge credits”—i.e., refunds—to customers for
interrupted pipeline service); Wooden Decl. ¶ 14 (703a) (system modernization plans being
deferred). These burdensome costs constitute the types of irreparable injury other circuit
courts have necessarily found when issuing stays of EPA’s state plan disapprovals. See, e.g.,
Order at 23, Texas v. EPA, No. 23-60069, ECF 269-1 (“Stay Petitioners will be forced to spend
billions of dollars in compliance costs . . . .”).
To avert natural gas delivery interruptions during peak seasons and to prevent pipeline companies from facing exorbitant compliance costs, this Court should stay the Rule.
18 Grubb Decl. ¶¶ 6, 26 (653a, 666a).
19 Wooden Decl. ¶ 14 (703a).
20 Yeager Decl. ¶¶ 9, 15 (722a, 724a).
28
III.
THE BALANCE OF HARMS AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST WEIGH HEAVILY IN FA‐
VOR OF A STAY.
Even where a compelling public interest exists, “our system does not permit agencies
to act unlawfully even in pursuit of desirable ends.” Ala. Ass’n of Realtors, 141 S. Ct. at 2490.
Accordingly, “there is a substantial public interest ‘in having governmental agencies abide
by the federal laws that govern their existence and operations.’” League of Women Voters of
United States v. Newby, 838 F.3d 1, 12 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (citation omitted). Here, given EPA’s
unlawful actions, the public interest strongly supports a stay.
A stay is also warranted because EPA, and only EPA, is responsible for the Rule’s constrained timeline, given the immense gap between States’ 2018 plan submissions and EPA’s
2023 disapprovals. As the Fifth Circuit observed, “EPA’s multi-year delay” in disapproving
states’ implementation plans “undercuts any claim that time is of the essence when it comes
to imposing” the Rule. Order at 24, Texas v. EPA, 5th Cir. No. 23-60069, ECF 269-1. Where
EPA set an unreasonable compliance deadline for pipeline engines, and where EPA was the
source of the delay in the first instance, EPA cannot argue that it or the public is harmed by
a stay. On the contrary, the public interest in ensuring the consistent and reliable supply of
natural gas to downstream consumers, including homes, businesses, and electric power
plants, tips sharply in favor of a stay.
CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, Applicants respectfully request an immediate stay of the
Rule’s provisions for pipeline engines.
29
Respectfully submitted,
/s/ Catherine E. Stetson
Ana Maria Gutiérrez
Michael D. Miller
WOMBLE BOND DICKINSON (US) LLP
2001 K St NW
Washington, DC 20006
CATHERINE E. STETSON
Counsel of Record
HOGAN LOVELLS US LLP
555 Thirteenth Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20004
(202) 637-5600
cate.stetson@hoganlovells.com
Counsel for Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Brittany M. Pemberton
BRACEWELL LLP
2001 M Street, N.W.
Suite 900
Washington, DC 20036
Counsel for TransCanada PipeLine
USA Ltd.
Laura K. McAfee (D.C. Cir. Bar No.
62386)
BEVERIDGE & DIAMOND, PC
201 North Charles Street, Suite 2200
Baltimore, MD 21201
Counsel for Enbridge (U.S.) Inc.
Eric D. McArthur
SIDLEY AUSTIN LLP
1501 K St NW
Washington, DC 20005
Counsel for the Interstate Natural Gas
Association of America and Ameri‐
can Petroleum Institute
October 13, 2023
30
APPENDIX
i
TABLE OF APPENDICES
Page
APPENDIX A — FINAL RULE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL
PROTECTION AGENCY, DATED MONDAY JUNE 5, 2023 . . . . . . . 1a
APPENDIX B — CIRCUIT ORDER FOR THE U.S. COURT OF
APPEALS FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT,
FILED SEPTEMBER 25, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266a
APPENDIX C — FINAL NON-EGU SECTORS TSD OF THE U.S.
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY OFFICE OF
AIR AND RADIATION, DATED MARCH 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268a
APPENDIX D — NOX EMISSION CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
INSTALLATION TIMING FOR NON-EGU SOURCES, DATED
MARCH 14, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371a
APPENDIX E — COMMENTS OF THE INTERSTATE
NATURAL GAS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA ON THE U.S.
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY’S PROPOSED
RULE, DATED APRIL 6, 2022 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 459a
APPENDIX F — KINDER MORGAN COMMENTS TO THE
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY’, DATED
JUNE 21, 2022 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 523a
A P P E N D I X G — T C E N E R GY C O M M E N T S T O U . S .
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, DATED
JUNE 21, 2022 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 599a
APPENDIX H — RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS FOR THE
RECORD FOR JUNE 13 2023 HOUSE ENERGY & COMMERCE
OVERSIGHT HEARING . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 615a
APPENDIX I — U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY ’S EXPECTED EMIS SIONS REDUCTIONS
WITH STAYS CHART . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 648a
ii
Table of Appendices
Page
APPENDIX J — DECLARATION OF KENNETH W. GRUBB
IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR
T H E D I S T R I C T O F C O LU M B I A C I R C U I T, F I L E D
JULY 27, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .650a
A P P E N D I X K — D E C L A RAT I O N O F E N B R I D G E
IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR
T H E D I S T R I C T O F C O LU M B I A C I R C U I T, F I L E D
JULY 27, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .698a
APPENDIX L — DECLARATION OF SCOTT YAGER IN
T H E U N I T E D S TAT E S C O U RT O F A P P E A L S F O R
T H E D I S T R I C T O F C O LU M B I A C I R C U I T, F I L E D
JULY 27, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .709a
APPENDIX M — DECLARATION OF DANIKA YEAGER
IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR
T H E D I S T R I C T O F C O LU M B I A C I R C U I T, F I L E D
JULY 27, 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .719a
A P P E N D I X N — E PA S C R E E N I N G A S S E S S M E N T,
DATED FEBRUARY 28, 2022 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 734a
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 52, 75, 78, and 97
[EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668; FRL–8670–02–
OAR]
RIN 2060–AV51
Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standards
AGENCY: Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
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SUMMARY: This action finalizes Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) requirements
to address 23 states’ obligations to
eliminate significant contribution to
nonattainment, or interference with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) in other states. The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
is taking this action under the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ or ‘‘interstate transport’’
provision of the Clean Air Act (CAA or
Act). The Agency is defining the amount
of ozone-precursor emissions
(specifically, nitrogen oxides) that
constitute significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance from these 23 states. With
respect to fossil fuel-fired power plants
in 22 states, this action will prohibit
those emissions by implementing an
allowance-based trading program
beginning in the 2023 ozone season.
With respect to certain other industrial
stationary sources in 20 states, this
action will prohibit those emissions
through emissions limitations and
associated requirements beginning in
the 2026 ozone season. These industrial
source types are: reciprocating internal
combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
DATES: This final rule is effective on
August 4, 2023.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a
docket for this rulemaking under Docket
ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668. All
documents in the docket are listed in
the https://www.regulations.gov index.
Although listed in the index, some
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information is not publicly available,
e.g., Confidential Business Information
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
will be publicly available only in hard
copy. Publicly available docket
materials are available either
electronically at https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, EPA Docket Center, William
Jefferson Clinton West Building, Room
3334, 1301 Constitution Ave. NW,
Washington, DC. The Public Reading
Room is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30
p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding
legal holidays. The telephone number
for the Public Reading Room is (202)
566–1744, and the telephone number for
the Office of Air and Radiation Docket
is (202) 566–1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ms.
Elizabeth Selbst, Air Quality Policy
Division, Office of Air Quality Planning
and Standards (C539–01),
Environmental Protection Agency, 109
TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle
Park, NC 27711; telephone number:
(312) 886–4746; email address:
selbst.elizabeth@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Preamble Glossary of Terms and
Abbreviations
The following are abbreviations of
terms used in the preamble.
2016v1 2016 Version 1 Emissions Modeling
Platform
2016v2 2016 Version 2 Emissions Modeling
Platform
4-Step Framework 4-Step Interstate
Transport Framework
ABC Associated Builders and Contractors
ACS American Community Survey
ACT Alternative Control Techniques
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
AQAT Air Quality Assessment Tool
AQS Air Quality System
BACT Best Available Control Technology
BART Best Available Retrofit Technology
BOF Basic Oxygen Furnace
BPT Benefit Per Ton
C1C2 Category 1 and Category 2
C3 Category 3
CAA or Act Clean Air Act
CAIR Clean Air Interstate Rule
CBI Confidential Business Information
CCR Coal Combustion Residual
CDC Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention
CDX Central Data Exchange
CEDRI Compliance and Emissions Data
Reporting Interface
CEMS Continuous Emissions Monitoring
Systems
CES Clean Energy Standards
CFB Circulating Fluidized Bed Units
CHP Combined Heat and Power
CMDB Control Measures Database
CMV Commercial Marine Vehicle
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1a
CoST Control Strategy Tool
CPT Cost Per Ton
CRA Congressional Review Act
CSAPR Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
DAHS Data Acquisition and Handling
System
DOE Department of Energy
EAF Electric Arc Furnace
EGU Electric Generating Unit
EIA U.S. Energy Information Agency
EIS Emissions Inventory System
EISA Energy Independence and Security
Act
ELG Effluent Limitation Guidelines
E.O. Executive Order
EPA or the Agency United States
Environmental Protection Agency
ERT Electronic Reporting Tool
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission
FFS Findings of Failure to Submit
FIP Federal Implementation Plan
GIS Geographic Information System
g/hp-hr grams per horsepower per hour
HDGHG Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Fuel Efficiency Standards for Medium- and
Heavy-Duty Engines and Vehicles
HEDD High Electricity Demand Days
ICI Industrial, Commercial, and
Institutional
I/M Inspection and Maintenance
IPM Integrated Planning Model
IRA Inflation Reduction Act
LAER Lowest Achievable Emission Rate
LDC Local Distribution Company
LME Low Mass Emissions
LNB Low-NOX Burners
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
MCM Menu of Control Measures
MDA8 Maximum Daily Average 8-Hour
MJO Multi-Jurisdictional Organization
MOU Memorandum of Understanding
MOVES Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator
MSAT2 Mobile Source Air Toxics Rule
MWC Municipal Waste Combustor
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality
Standards
NACAA National Association of Clean Air
Agencies
NAICS North American Industry
Classification System
NEEDS National Electric Energy Data
System
NEI National Emissions Inventory
NERC North American Electric Reliability
Corporation
NESHAP National Emissions Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants
NMB Normalized Mean Bias
NME Normalized Mean Error
No SISNOSE No Significant Economic
Impact on a Substantial Number of Small
Entities
Non-EGU Non-Electric Generating Unit
NODA Notice of Data Availability
NOX Nitrogen Oxides
NREL National Renewable Energy Lab
NSCR Non-Selective Catalytic Reduction
NSPS New Source Performance Standard
NSR New Source Review
NTTAA National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act
OFA Over-Fire Air
OMB United States Office of Management
and Budget
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OSAT/APCA Ozone Source Apportionment
Technology/Anthropogenic Precursor
Culpability Analysis
OTC Ozone Transport Commission
OTR Ozone Transport Region
OTSA Oklahoma Tribal Statistical Area
PDF Portable Document Format
PEMS Predictive Emissions Monitoring
Systems
PM2.5 Fine Particulate Matter
ppb parts per billion
ppm parts per million
ppmv parts per million by volume
ppmvd parts per million by volume, dry
PRA Paperwork Reduction Act
PSD Prevention of Significant Deterioration
PTE Potential to Emit
RACT Reasonably Available Control
Technology
RATA Relative Accuracy Test Audit
RCF Relative Contribution Factor
RFA Regulatory Flexibility Act
RICE Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines
ROP Rate of Progress
RPS Renewable Portfolio Standards
RRF Relative Response Factor
RTC Response to Comments
RTO Regional Transmission Organization
SAFETEA Safe, Accountable, Flexible,
Efficient, Transportation Equity Act
SCC Source Classification Code
SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction
SIL Significant Impact Level
SIP State Implementation Plan
SMOKE Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel
Emissions
SNCR Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction
SO2 Sulfur Dioxide
tpd ton per day
TAS Treatment as State
TSD Technical Support Document
UMRA Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
VMT Vehicle Miles Traveled
VOCs Volatile Organic Compounds
WRAP Western Regional Air Partnership
WRF Weather Research and Forecasting
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Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs
Established by the Final Rule
2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial
Stationary Point Sources Established by
the Final Rule
B. Summary of the Regulatory Framework
of the Rule
C. Costs and Benefits
II. General Information
A. Does this action apply to me?
B. What action is the Agency taking?
C. What is the Agency’s legal authority for
taking this action?
D. What actions has the EPA previously
issued to address regional ozone
transport?
III. Air Quality Issues Addressed and Overall
Rule Approach
A. The Interstate Ozone Transport Air
Quality Challenge
1. Nature of Ozone and the Ozone NAAQS
2. Ozone Transport
3. Health and Environmental Effects
B. Final Rule Approach
1. The 4-Step Interstate Transport
Framework
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a. Step 1 Approach
b. Step 2 Approach
c. Step 3 Approach
d. Step 4 Approach
2. FIP Authority for Each State Covered by
the Rule
C. Other CAA Authorities for This Action
1. Withdrawal of Proposed Error Correction
for Delaware
2. Application of Rule in Indian Country
and Necessary or Appropriate Finding
a. Indian Country Subject to Tribal
Jurisdiction
b. Indian Country Subject to State
Implementation Planning Authority
D. Severability
IV. Analyzing Downwind Air Quality
Problems and Contributions From
Upwind States
A. Selection of Analytic Years for
Evaluating Ozone Transport
Contributions to Downwind Air Quality
Problems
B. Overview of Air Quality Modeling
Platform
C. Emissions Inventories
1. Foundation Emissions Inventory Data
Sets
2. Development of Emissions Inventories
for EGUs
a. EGU Emissions Inventories Supporting
This Rule
b. Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on
EGU Emissions
3. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Stationary Industrial Point Sources
4. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Onroad Mobile Sources
5. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Commercial Marine Vessels
6. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Other Nonroad Mobile Sources
7. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Nonpoint Sources
D. Air Quality Modeling To Identify
Nonattainment and Maintenance
Receptors
E. Methodology for Projecting Future Year
Ozone Design Values
F. Pollutant Transport From Upwind States
1. Air Quality Modeling To Quantify
Upwind State Ozone Contributions
2. Application of Ozone Contribution
Screening Threshold
a. States That Contribute Below the
Screening Threshold
b. States That Contribute Above the
Screening Threshold
G. Treatment of Certain Monitoring Sites in
California and Implications for Oregon’s
Good Neighbor Obligations for the 2015
Ozone NAAQS
V. Quantifying Upwind-State NOX Emissions
Reduction Potential To Reduce Interstate
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone
NAAQS
A. The Multi-Factor Test for Determining
Significant Contribution
B. Identifying Control Stringency Levels
1. EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
a. Optimizing Existing SCRs
b. Installing State-of-the-Art NOX
Combustion Controls
c. Optimizing Already Operating SNCRs or
Turning on Idled Existing SNCRs
d. Installing New SNCRs
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e. Installing New SCRs
f. Generation Shifting
g. Other EGU Mitigation Measures
2. Non-EGU or Stationary Industrial Source
NOX Mitigation Strategies
3. Other Stationary Sources NOX
Mitigation Strategies
a. Municipal Solid Waste Units
b. Electric Generating Units Less Than or
Equal to 25 MW
c. Cogeneration Units
4. Mobile Source NOX Mitigation Strategies
C. Control Stringencies Represented by
Cost Threshold ($ per ton) and
Corresponding Emissions Reductions
1. EGU Emissions Reduction Potential by
Cost Threshold
2. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Emissions
Reduction Potential
D. Assessing Cost, EGU and Industrial
Source NOX Reductions, and Air Quality
1. EGU Assessment
2. Stationary Industrial Sources
Assessment
3. Combined EGU and Non-EGU
Assessment
4. Over-Control Analysis
VI. Implementation of Emissions Reductions
A. NOX Reduction Implementation
Schedule
1. 2023–2025: EGU NOX Reductions
Beginning in 2023
2. 2026 and Later Years: EGU and
Stationary Industrial Source NOX
Reductions Beginning in 2026
a. EGU Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
b. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Schedule
for 2026 and Later Years
B. Regulatory Requirements for EGUs
1. Trading Program Background and
Overview of Revisions
a. Current CSAPR Trading Program Design
Elements and Identified Concerns
b. Enhancements To Maintain Selected
Control Stringency Over Time
i. Revised Emissions Budget-Setting
Process
ii. Allowance Bank Recalibration
c. Enhancements To Improve Emissions
Performance at Individual Units
i. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions
Rates
ii. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
d. Responses to General Comments on the
Revisions to the Group 3 Trading
Program
2. Expansion of Geographic Scope
3. Applicability and Tentative
Identification of Newly Affected Units
4. State Emissions Budgets
a. Methodology for Determining Preset
State Emissions Budgets for the 2023
through 2029 Control Periods
b. Methodology for Determining Dynamic
State Emissions Budgets for Control
Periods in 2026 Onwards
c. Final Preset State Emissions Budgets
5. Variability Limits and Assurance Levels
6. Annual Recalibration of Allowance Bank
7. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions
Rates
8. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
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9. Unit-Level Allowance Allocation and
Recordation Procedures
a. Set-Asides of Portions of State Emissions
Budgets
b. Allocations to Existing Units, Including
Units That Cease Operation
c. Allocations From Portions of State
Emissions Budgets Set Aside for New
Units
d. Incorrectly Allocated Allowances
10. Monitoring and Reporting
Requirements
a. Monitor Certification Deadlines
b. Additional Recordkeeping and Reporting
Requirements
11. Designated Representative
Requirements
12. Transitional Provisions
a. Prorating Emissions Budgets, Assurance
Levels, and Unit-Level Allowance
Allocations in the Event of an Effective
Date After May 1, 2023
b. Creation of Additional Group 3
Allowance Bank for 2023 Control Period
c. Recall of Group 2 Allowances for Control
Periods After 2022
13. Conforming Revisions to Regulations
for Other CSAPR Trading Programs
C. Regulatory Requirements for Stationary
Industrial Sources
1. Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
2. Cement and Concrete Product
Manufacturing
3. Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing
4. Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
5. Boilers at Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills, Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloys Manufacturing, and Metal
Ore Mining Facilities
a. Coal-fired Industrial Boilers
b. Oil-fired Industrial Boilers
c. Natural gas-fired Industrial Boilers
6. Municipal Waste Combustors
D. Submitting a SIP
1. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2024 under EGU Trading Program
2. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2025 and Beyond Under EGU Trading
Program
3. SIP Option To Replace the Federal EGU
Trading Program With an Integrated
State EGU Trading Program
4. SIP Revisions That Do Not Use the New
Trading Program
5. SIP Revision Requirements for Non-EGU
or Industrial Source Control
Requirements
E. Title V Permitting
1. Title V Permitting Considerations for
EGUs
2. Title V Permitting Considerations for
Industrial Stationary Sources
F. Relationship to Other Emissions Trading
and Ozone Transport Programs
1. NOX SIP Call
2. Acid Rain Program
3. Other CSAPR Trading Programs
VII. Environmental Justice Analytical
Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
A. Introduction
B. Analytical Considerations
C. Outreach and Engagement
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VIII. Costs, Benefits, and Other Impacts of the
Final Rule
IX. Summary of Changes to the Regulatory
Text for the Federal Implementation
Plans and Trading Programs for EGUs
A. Amendments to FIP Provisions in 40
CFR Part 52
B. Amendments to Group 3 Trading
Program and Related Regulations
C. Transitional Provisions
D. Clarifications and Conforming Revisions
X. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and
Regulatory Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. Information Collection Request for EGUs
2. Information Collection Request for NonEGUs
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA)
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions
To Address Environmental Justice in
Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations
K. Congressional Review Act
L. Determinations Under CAA Section
307(b)(1) and (d)
I. Executive Summary
This final rule resolves the interstate
transport obligations of 23 states under
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), referred
to as the ‘‘good neighbor provision’’ or
the ‘‘interstate transport provision’’ of
the Act, for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. On
October 1, 2015, the EPA revised the
primary and secondary 8-hour standards
for ozone to 70 parts per billion (ppb).1
States were required to submit to EPA
ozone infrastructure State
Implementation Plan (SIP) revisions to
fulfill interstate transport obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS by October 1,
2018. The EPA proposed the subject
rule to address outstanding interstate
ozone transport obligations for the 2015
ozone NAAQS in the Federal Register
on April 6, 2022 (87 FR 20036).
The EPA is making a finding that
interstate transport of ozone precursor
emissions from 23 upwind states
(Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
1 See 80 FR 65291 (October 26, 2015).
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Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) is
significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in downwind states, based on projected
ozone precursor emissions in the 2023
ozone season. The EPA is issuing FIP
requirements to eliminate interstate
transport of ozone precursor emissions
from these 23 states that significantly
contributes to nonattainment or
interferes with maintenance of the
NAAQS in downwind states. The EPA
is not finalizing its proposed error
correction for Delaware’s ozone
transport SIP, and we are deferring final
action at this time on the proposed FIPs
for Tennessee and Wyoming pending
further review of the updated air quality
and contribution modeling and analysis
developed for this final action. As
discussed in section III of this
document, the EPA’s updated analysis
of 2023 suggests that the states of
Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, and New Mexico
may be significantly contributing to one
or more nonattainment or maintenance
receptors. The EPA is not making any
final determinations with respect to
these states in this action but intends to
address these states, along with
Tennessee and Wyoming, in a
subsequent action or actions.
The EPA is finalizing FIP
requirements for 21 states for which the
Agency has, in a separate action,
disapproved (or partially disapproved)
ozone transport SIP revisions that were
submitted for the 2015 ozone NAAQS:
Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Texas, Utah, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin. See 88 FR 9336. In this final
rule, the EPA is issuing FIPs for two
states—Pennsylvania and Virginia—for
which the EPA issued Findings of
Failure to Submit for 2015 ozone
NAAQS transport SIPs. See 84 FR 66612
(December 5, 2019). Under CAA section
301(d)(4), the EPA is extending FIP
requirements to apply in Indian country
located within the upwind geography of
the final rule, including Indian
reservation lands and other areas of
Indian country over which the EPA or
a tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction.2
This final rule defines ozone season
nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions
2 In general, specific tribal names or reservations
are not identified separately in this final rule except
as needed. See section III.C.2 of this document for
further discussion about the application of this rule
in Indian Country.
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performance obligations for Electric
Generating Unit (EGU) sources and
fulfills those obligations by
implementing an allowance-based
ozone season trading program beginning
in 2023. This rule also establishes
emissions limitations beginning in 2026
for certain other industrial stationary
sources (referred to generally as ‘‘nonElectric Generating Units’’ (non-EGUs)).
Taken together, these regulatory
requirements will fully eliminate the
amount of emissions that constitute the
covered states’ significant contribution
to nonattainment and interference with
maintenance in downwind states for
purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
This final rule implements the
necessary emissions reductions as
follows. Under the FIP requirements,
EGUs in 22 states (Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) are
required to participate in a revised
version of the Cross-State Air Pollution
Rule (CSAPR) NOX Ozone Season Group
3 Trading Program that was previously
established in the Revised CSAPR
Update.3 In addition to reflecting
emissions reductions based on the
Agency’s determination of the necessary
control stringency in this rule, the
revised trading program includes
several enhancements to the program’s
design to better ensure achievement of
the selected control stringency on all
days of the ozone season and over time.
For 12 states already required to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program
(Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia) under the Revised
CSAPR Update (with respect to the 2008
ozone NAAQS), the FIPs are amended
by the revisions to the Group 3 trading
program regulations. For seven states
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
under SIPs or FIPs, the EPA is issuing
new FIPs for two states (Alabama and
Missouri) and amending existing FIPs
for five states (Arkansas, Mississippi,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin) to
transition EGU sources in these states
from the Group 2 program to the revised
Group 3 trading program, beginning
with the 2023 ozone season. The EPA is
3 As explained in section V.C.1 of this document,
the EPA is making a finding that EGU sources
within the State of California are sufficiently
controlled such that no further emissions
reductions are needed from them to eliminate
significant contribution to downwind states.
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issuing new FIPs for three states not
currently covered by any CSAPR NOX
ozone season trading program:
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah.
This rulemaking requires emissions
reductions in the selected control
stringency to be achieved as
expeditiously as practicable and, to the
extent possible, by the next applicable
nonattainment dates for downwind
areas for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Thus,
initial emissions reductions from EGUs
will be required beginning in the 2023
ozone season and prior to the August 3,
2024, attainment date for areas
classified as Moderate nonattainment
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The remaining emissions reduction
obligations will be phased in as soon as
possible thereafter. Substantial
additional reductions from potential
new post-combustion control
installations at EGUs as well as from
installation of new pollution controls at
non-EGUs, also referred to in this action
as industrial sources, will phase in
beginning in the 2026 ozone season,
associated with the August 3, 2027,
attainment date for areas classified as
Serious nonattainment for the 2015
ozone NAAQS. The EPA had proposed
to require all emissions reductions to
eliminate significant contribution to be
in place by the 2026 ozone season.
While we continue to view 2026 as the
appropriate analytic year for purposes of
applying the 4-step interstate transport
framework, as discussed in section
V.D.4 and VI.A.2 of this document, the
final rule will allow individual facilities
limited additional time to fully
implement the required emissions
reductions where the owner or operator
demonstrates to the EPA’s satisfaction
that more rapid compliance is not
possible. For EGUs, the emissions
trading program budget stringency
associated with retrofit of postcombustion controls will be phased in
over two ozone seasons (2026–2027).
For industrial sources, this final rule
provides a process for individual
facilities to seek a one year extension,
with the possibility of up to two
additional years, based on a specific
showing of necessity.
The EGU emissions reductions are
based on the feasibility of control
installation for EGUs in 19 states that
remain linked to downwind
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors in 2026. These 19 states are:
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. The emissions
reductions required for EGUs in these
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states are based primarily on the
potential retrofit of additional postcombustion controls for NOX on most
coal-fired EGUs and a portion of oil/gasfired EGUs that are currently lacking
such controls.
The EPA is finalizing, with some
modifications from proposal in response
to comments, certain additional features
in the allowance-based trading program
approach for EGUs, including dynamic
adjustments of the emissions budgets
and recalibration of the allowance bank
over time as well as backstop daily
emissions rate limits for large coal-fired
units. The purpose of these
enhancements is to better ensure that
the emissions control stringency the
EPA found necessary to eliminate
significant contribution at Step 3 of the
4-step interstate transport framework is
maintained over time in Step 4
implementation and is durable to
changes in the power sector. These
enhancements ensure the elimination of
significant contribution is maintained
both in terms of geographical
distribution (by limiting the degree to
which individual sources can avoid
making emissions reductions) and in
terms of temporal distribution (by better
ensuring emissions reductions are
maintained throughout each ozone
season, year over year). As we further
discuss in section V.D of this document,
these changes do not alter the stringency
of the emissions trading program over
time. Rather, they ensure that the
trading program (as the method of
implementation at Step 4) remains
aligned with the determinations made at
Step 3. These enhancements are further
discussed in section VI.B of this
document.
The EPA is making a finding that NOX
emissions from certain non-EGU sources
are significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
and that cost-effective controls for NOX
emissions reductions are available in
certain industrial source categories that
would result in meaningful air quality
improvements in downwind receptors.
The EPA is establishing emissions
limitations beginning in 2026 for nonEGU sources located within 20 states:
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri,
Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah,
Virginia, and West Virginia. The final
rule establishes NOX emissions
limitations during the ozone season for
the following unit types for sources in
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non-EGU industries: 4 reciprocating
internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
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A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
The purpose of this rulemaking is to
protect public health and the
environment by reducing interstate
transport of certain air pollutants that
significantly contribute to
nonattainment, or interfere with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in downwind states. Ground-level ozone
has detrimental effects on human health
as well as vegetation and ecosystems.
Acute and chronic exposure to ozone in
humans is associated with premature
mortality and certain morbidity effects,
such as asthma exacerbation. Ozone
exposure can also negatively impact
ecosystems by limiting tree growth,
causing foliar injury, and changing
ecosystem community composition.
Section III of this document provides
additional evidence of the harmful
effects of ozone exposure on human
health and the environment. Studies
have established that ozone air
pollution can be transported over
hundreds of miles, with elevated
ground-level ozone concentrations
occurring in rural and metropolitan
areas.5 6 Assessments of ozone control
approaches have concluded that control
strategies targeting reduction of NOX
emissions are an effective method to
reduce regional-scale ozone transport.7
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requires
states to prohibit emissions that will
contribute significantly to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance in any other state with
4 We use the terms ‘‘emissions limitation’’ and
‘‘emissions limit’’ to refer to both numeric
emissions limitations and control technology
requirements that specify levels of emissions
reductions to be achieved.
5 Bergin, M.S. et al. (2007) Regional air quality:
local and interstate impacts of NOX and SO2
emissions on ozone and fine particulate matter in
the eastern United States. Environmental Sci &
Tech. 41: 4677–4689.
6 Liao, K. et al. (2013) Impacts of interstate
transport of pollutants on high ozone events over
the Mid-Atlantic United States. Atmospheric
Environment 84, 100–112.
7 See 82 FR 51238, 51248 (November 3, 2017)
[citing 76 FR 48208, 48222 (August 8, 2011)] and
63 FR 57381 (October 27, 1998).
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respect to any primary or secondary
NAAQS.8 Within 3 years of the EPA
promulgating a new or revised NAAQS,
all states are required to provide SIP
submittals, often referred to as
‘‘infrastructure SIPs,’’ addressing certain
requirements, including the good
neighbor provision. See CAA section
110(a)(1) and (2). The EPA must either
approve or disapprove such submittals
or make a finding that a state has failed
to submit a complete SIP revision. As
with any other type of SIP under the
Act, when the EPA disapproves an
interstate transport SIP or finds that a
state failed to submit an interstate
transport SIP, the CAA requires the EPA
to issue a FIP to directly implement the
measures necessary to eliminate
significant contribution under the good
neighbor provision. See generally CAA
section 110(k) and 110(c). As such, in
this rule, the EPA is finalizing
requirements to fully address good
neighbor obligations for the covered
states for the 2015 ozone NAAQS under
its authority to promulgate FIPs under
CAA section 110(c). By eliminating
significant contribution from these
upwind states, this rule will make
substantial and meaningful
improvements in air quality by reducing
ozone levels at the identified downwind
receptors as well as many other areas of
the country. At any time after the
effective date of this rule, states may
submit a Good Neighbor SIP to replace
the FIP requirements contained in this
rule, subject to EPA approval under
CAA section 110(a).
The EPA conducted air quality
modeling for the 2023 and 2026 analytic
years to identify (1) the downwind areas
identified as ‘‘receptors’’ (which are
associated with monitoring sites) that
are expected to have trouble attaining or
maintaining the 2015 ozone NAAQS in
the future and (2) the contribution of
ozone transport from upwind states to
the downwind air quality problems. We
use the term ‘‘downwind’’ to describe
those states or areas where a receptor is
located, and we use the term ‘‘upwind’’
to describe states whose emissions are
linked to one or more receptors. States
may be both downwind and upwind
depending on the receptor or linkage in
question. Section IV of this document
provides a full description of the results
of the EPA’s updated air quality
modeling and relevant analyses for the
rulemaking, including a discussion of
how updates to the modeling and air
quality analysis following the proposed
rule have resulted in some modest
changes in the overall geography of the
final rule. Based on the EPA’s air quality
8 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
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analysis, the 23 upwind states covered
in this action are linked above the 1
percent of the NAAQS threshold to
downwind air quality problems in
downwind states. The EPA intends to
expeditiously review the updated air
quality modeling and related analyses to
address potential good neighbor
requirements of six additional states—
Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, New Mexico,
Tennessee, and Wyoming—in a
subsequent action. The EPA had
previously approved 2015 ozone
transport SIPs submitted by Oregon and
Delaware, but in the proposed FIP
action the EPA found these states
potentially to be linked in the modeling
supporting our proposal. We proposed
to issue an error correction for our prior
approval of Delaware’s 2015 ozone
transport SIP; however, in this final
rule, the EPA is withdrawing the
proposed error correction and the
proposed FIP for Delaware, because our
updated modeling for this final rule
confirms that Delaware is not linked
above the 1 percent of NAAQS
threshold (see section III.C.1 of this
document for additional information).
The EPA is deferring finalizing a finding
at this time for Oregon (see section IV.G
of this document for additional
information).
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs
Established by the Final Rule
In this rule, the EPA is issuing FIP
requirements that apply the provisions
of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 Trading Program as revised in the rule
to EGU sources within the borders of the
following 22 states: Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Implementation of the revised trading
program provisions begins in the 2023
ozone season.
The EPA is expanding the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program beginning in the 2023 ozone
season. Specifically, the FIPs require
power plants within the borders of the
22 states listed in the previous
paragraph to participate in an expanded
and revised version of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
created by the Revised CSAPR Update.
Affected EGUs within the borders of the
following 12 states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading
Program under existing FIPs remain in
the program, with revised provisions
beginning in the 2023 ozone season,
under this rule: Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
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Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. The FIPs also require affected
EGUs within the borders of the
following seven states currently covered
by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program (the ‘‘Group 2
trading program’’) under existing FIPs or
existing SIPs to transition from the
Group 2 program to the revised Group
3 trading program beginning with the
2023 control period: Alabama,
Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin.9
Finally, the EPA is issuing new FIPs for
EGUs within the borders of three states
not currently covered by any existing
CSAPR trading program for seasonal
NOX emissions: Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah. Sources in these states will enter
the Group 3 trading program in the 2023
control period following the effective
date of the final rule.10 Refer to section
VI.B of this document for details on
EGU regulatory requirements.
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2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial
Stationary Point Sources Established by
the Final Rule
The EPA is issuing FIP requirements
that include new NOX emissions
limitations for industrial or non-EGU
sources in 20 states, with sources
expected to demonstrate compliance no
later than 2026. The EPA is requiring
emissions reductions from non-EGU
sources to address interstate transport
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
for the following 20 states: Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia and
West Virginia.
The EPA is establishing emissions
limitations for the following unit types
in non-EGU industries: reciprocating
internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
9 Five of these seven states (Arkansas,
Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin)
currently participate in the Federal Group 2 trading
program pursuant to the FIPs finalized in the
CSAPR Update. The FIPs required under this rule
amend the existing FIPs for these states. The other
two states (Alabama and Missouri) have already
replaced the FIPs finalized in the CSAPR Update
with approved SIP revisions that require their EGUs
to participate in state Group 2 trading programs
integrated with the Federal Group 2 trading
program, so the FIPs required in this action
constitute new FIPs for these states. The EPA will
cease implementation of the state Group 2 trading
programs included in the two states’ SIPs on the
effective date of this rule.
10 Three states, Kansas, Iowa, and Tennessee, will
remain in the Group 2 Trading Program.
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Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
Refer to Table II.A–1 for a list of North
American Industry Classification
System (NAICS) codes for each entity
included for regulation under this rule.
B. Summary of the Regulatory
Framework of the Rule
The EPA is applying the 4-step
interstate transport framework
developed and used in CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, and other previous ozone
transport rules under the authority
provided in CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The 4-step interstate
transport framework provides a
stepwise method for the EPA to define
and implement good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The four steps are as follows: (Step 1)
identifying downwind receptors that are
expected to have problems attaining or
maintaining the NAAQS; (Step 2)
determining which upwind states
contribute to these identified problems
in amounts sufficient to ‘‘link’’ them to
the downwind air quality problems (i.e.,
in this rule as in prior transport rules
beginning with CSAPR in 2011, above a
contribution threshold of 1 percent of
the NAAQS); (Step 3) for states linked
to downwind air quality problems,
identifying upwind emissions that
significantly contribute to downwind
nonattainment or interfere with
downwind maintenance of the NAAQS
through a multifactor analysis; and
(Step 4) for states that are found to have
emissions that significantly contribute
to nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind areas, implementing the
necessary emissions reductions through
enforceable measures. The remainder of
this section provides a general overview
of the EPA’s application of the 4-step
framework as it applies to the
provisions of the rule; additional details
regarding the EPA’s approach are found
in section III of this document.
To apply the first step of the 4-step
framework to the 2015 ozone NAAQS,
the EPA performed air quality modeling
to project ozone concentrations at air
quality monitoring sites in 2023 and
2026.11 The EPA evaluated projected
11 These 2 analytic years are the last full ozone
seasons before, and thus align with, upcoming
attainment dates for the 2015 ozone NAAQS:
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ozone concentrations for the 2023
analytic year at individual monitoring
sites and considered current ozone
monitoring data at these sites to identify
receptors that are anticipated to have
problems attaining or maintaining the
2015 ozone NAAQS. This analysis of
projected ozone concentrations was
then repeated for 2026.
To apply the second step of the
framework, the EPA used air quality
modeling to quantify the contributions
from upwind states to ozone
concentrations in 2023 and 2026 at
downwind receptors.12 Once quantified,
the EPA then evaluated these
contributions relative to a screening
threshold of 1 percent of the NAAQS
(i.e., 0.70 ppb).13 States with
contributions that equaled or exceeded
1 percent of the NAAQS were identified
as warranting further analysis at Step 3
of the 4-step framework to determine if
the upwind state significantly
contributes to nonattainment or
interference with maintenance in a
downwind state. States with
contributions below 1 percent of the
NAAQS were considered not to
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind states.
Based on the EPA’s most recent air
quality modeling and contribution
analysis using 2023 as the analytic year,
the EPA finds that the following 23
states have contributions that equal or
exceed 1 percent of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and, thereby, warrant further
analysis of significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS: Alabama,
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin.
There are locations in California to
which Oregon contributes greater than 1
percent of the NAAQS; the EPA
August 3, 2024, for areas classified as Moderate
nonattainment, and August 3, 2027, for areas
classified as Serious nonattainment. See 83 FR
25776.
12 The EPA performed air quality modeling for
2032 in the proposed rulemaking, but did not
perform contribution modeling for 2032 since
contribution data for this year were not needed to
identify upwind states to be analyzed in Step 3. The
modeling of 2032 done at proposal using the
2016v2 platform does not constitute or represent
any final agency determinations respecting air
quality conditions or regulatory judgments with
respect to good neighbor obligations or any other
CAA requirements.
13 See section IV.F of this document for
explanation of EPA’s use of the 1 percent of the
NAAQS threshold in the Step 2 analysis.
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proposed that downwind areas
represented by these monitoring sites in
California should not be considered
interstate ozone transport receptors at
Step 1. However, the EPA is deferring
finalizing a finding at this time for
Oregon (see section IV.G of this
document for additional information).
Based on the air quality analysis
presented in section IV of this
document, the EPA finds that, with the
exception of Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin, the states found linked in
2023 will continue to contribute above
the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold
to at least one receptor whose
nonattainment and maintenance
concerns persist through the 2026 ozone
season. As a result, the EPA’s evaluation
of significantly contributing emissions
at Step 3 for Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin is limited to emissions
reductions achievable by the 2023 and
2024 ozone seasons.
At the third step of the 4-step
framework, the EPA applied a
multifactor test that incorporates cost,
availability of emissions reductions, and
air quality impacts at the downwind
receptors to determine the amount of
ozone precursor emissions from the
linked upwind states that
‘‘significantly’’ contribute to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance
receptors. The EPA is applying the
multifactor test described in section V.A
of this document to both EGU and
industrial sources. The EPA assessed
the potential emissions reductions in
2023 and 2026,14 as well as in
intervening and later years to determine
the emissions reductions required to
eliminate significant contribution in
2023 and future years where downwind
areas are projected to have potential
problems attaining or maintaining the
2015 ozone NAAQS.
For EGU sources, the EPA evaluated
the following set of widely-available
NOX emissions control technologies: (1)
fully operating existing selective
catalytic reduction (SCR) controls,
including both optimizing NOX removal
by existing operational SCRs and
turning on and optimizing existing idled
SCRs; (2) installing state-of-the-art NOX
14 The EPA included emissions reductions from
the potential installation of SCRs at all affected
large coal-fired EGUs in the 2026 analytic year for
the purposes of assessing significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with maintenance,
which is consistent with the associated attainment
date. However, in response to comments identifying
potential supply chain and outage scheduling
challenges if the full breadth of these assumed SCR
installations were to occur, the EPA is
implementing half of this emissions reduction
potential in 2026 ozone-season NOX budgets for
states containing these EGUs and the other half of
this emissions reduction potential in 2027 ozoneseason NOX budgets for those states.
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combustion controls; (3) fully operating
existing selective non-catalytic
reduction (SNCR) controls, including
both optimizing NOX removal by
existing operational SNCRs and turning
on and optimizing existing idled
SNCRs; (4) installing new SNCRs; (5)
installing new SCRs; and (6) generation
shifting. For the reasons explained in
section V of this document and
supported by the ‘‘Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the Final Federal
Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standard,
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668, EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD’’ (Mar. 2023),
hereinafter referred to as the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD,
included in the docket for this action,
the EPA determines that for the
regional, multi-state scale of this
rulemaking, only fully operating and
optimizing existing SCRs and existing
SNCRs (EGU NOX emissions controls
options 1 and 3 in the list earlier) are
possible for the 2023 ozone season. The
EPA determined that state-of-the-art
NOX combustion controls at EGUs
(emissions control option 2 in the list
above) are available by the beginning of
the 2024 ozone season. See section
V.B.1 of this document for a full
discussion of EPA’s analysis of NOX
emissions mitigation strategies for EGU
sources.
The EPA is requiring control
stringency levels that offer the most
incremental NOX emissions reduction
potential from EGUs—among the
uniform mitigation measures assessed
for the covered region—and the most
corresponding downwind ozone air
quality improvements to the extent
feasible in each year analyzed. The EPA
is making a finding that the required
controls provide cost-effective
reductions of NOX emissions that will
provide substantial improvements in
downwind ozone air quality to address
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS in a timely manner.
These controls represent greater
stringency in upwind EGU controls than
in the EPA’s most recent ozone
transport rulemakings, such as the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update. However, programs to address
interstate ozone transport based on the
retrofit of post-combustion controls are
by no means unprecedented. In prior
ozone transport rulemakings such as the
NOX SIP Call and the Clean Air
Interstate Rule (CAIR), the EPA
established EGU budgets premised on
the widespread availability of
retrofitting EGUs with post-combustion
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emissions controls such as SCR.15 While
these programs successfully drove many
EGUs to retrofit post-combustion
controls, other EGUs throughout the
present geography of linked upwind
states continue to operate without such
controls and continue to emit at
relatively high rates more than 20 years
after similar units reduced these
emissions under prior interstate ozone
transport rulemakings.
Furthermore, the CSAPR Update
provided only a partial remedy for
eliminating significant contribution for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS, as needed to
obtain available reductions by the 2017
ozone season. In that rule, the EPA
made no determination regarding the
appropriateness of more stringent EGU
NOX controls that would be required for
a full remedy for interstate transport for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS. Following the
remand of the CSAPR Update in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019) (Wisconsin), the EPA again
declined to require the retrofit of new
post-combustion controls on EGUs in
the Revised CSAPR Update, but that
determination was based on a specific
timing consideration: downwind air
quality problems under the 2008 ozone
NAAQS were projected to resolve before
post-combustion control retrofits could
be accomplished on a fleetwide,
regional scale. See 86 FR 23054, 23110
(April 30, 2021).
In this rulemaking, the EPA is
addressing good neighbor obligations for
the more protective 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and the Agency observes
ongoing and persistent contribution
from upwind states to ozone
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors in downwind states under that
NAAQS. As further discussed in section
V of this document, the nature of this
contribution warrants a greater degree of
control stringency than the EPA
determined to be necessary to eliminate
significant contribution of ozone
transport in prior CSAPR rulemakings.
In this rule, the EPA is requiring
emissions performance levels for EGU
NOX control strategies commensurate
with those determined to be necessary
in the NOX SIP Call and CAIR.
Based on the Step 3 analysis
described in section V of this document,
the EPA finds that emissions reductions
commensurate with the full operation of
all existing post-combustion controls
(both SCRs and SNCRs) and state-of-theart combustion control upgrades
constitute the Agency’s selected control
stringency for EGUs within the borders
of 22 states linked to downwind
15 See, e.g., 70 FR 25162, 25205–06 (May 12,
2005).
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nonattainment or maintenance in 2023
(Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin). For 19 of those states
that are also linked in 2026 (Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West
Virginia), the EPA is determining that
the selected EGU control stringency also
includes emissions reductions
commensurate with the retrofit of SCR
at coal-fired units of 100 MW or greater
capacity (excepting circulating fluidized
bed units (CFB)), new SNCR on coalfired units of less than 100 MW capacity
and on CFBs of any capacity size, and
SCR on oil/gas steam units greater than
100 MW that have historically emitted
at least 150 tons of NOX per ozone
season.
To identify appropriate control
strategies for non-EGU sources to
achieve NOX emissions reductions that
would result in meaningful air quality
improvements in downwind areas, for
the proposed FIP, the EPA evaluated air
quality modeling information, annual
emissions, and information about
potential controls to determine which
industries, beyond the power sector,
could have the greatest impact in
providing ozone air quality
improvements in affected downwind
states. Once the EPA identified the
industries, the EPA used its Control
Strategy Tool to identify potential
emissions units and control measures
and to estimate emissions reductions
and compliance costs associated with
application of non-EGU emissions
control measures. The technical
memorandum Screening Assessment of
Potential Emissions Reductions, Air
Quality Impacts, and Costs from NonEGU Emissions Units for 2026 lays out
the analytical framework and data used
to prepare proxy estimates for 2026 of
potentially affected non-EGU facilities
and emissions units, emissions
reductions, and costs.16 17 This
16 The memorandum is available in the docket at
https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQOAR-2021-0668-0150.
17 This screening assessment was not intended to
identify the specific emissions units subject to the
proposed emissions limits for non-EGU sources but
was intended to inform the development of the
proposed rule by identifying proxies for (1) nonEGU emissions units that had emissions reduction
potential, (2) potential controls for and emissions
reductions from these emissions units, and (3)
control costs from the potential controls on these
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information helped shape the proposal
and final rule. To further evaluate the
industries and emissions unit types
identified by the screening assessment
and to establish the applicability criteria
and proposed emissions limits, the EPA
reviewed Reasonably Available Control
Technology (RACT) rules, New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) rules,
National Emissions Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP)
rules, existing technical studies, rules in
approved SIPs, consent decrees, and
permit limits. That evaluation is
detailed in the ‘‘Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the Proposed Rule,
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668, Non-EGU Sectors TSD’’ (Dec.
2021), hereinafter referred to as the
Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD,
prepared for the proposed FIP.18
In this final rule, the EPA is retaining
the industries and many of the
emissions unit types included in the
proposal in its findings of significant
contribution at Step 3, as discussed in
section V of this document. As
discussed in the memorandum for the
final rule, titled ‘‘Summary of Final
Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs,’’ the EPA uses the 2019
emissions inventory, the list of
emissions units estimated to be
captured by the applicability criteria,
the assumed control technologies that
would meet the emissions limits, and
information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the Control
Measures Database,19 to estimate NOX
emissions reductions and costs for the
year 2026. In this final rule, the EPA
made changes to the applicability
criteria and emissions limits following
consideration of comments on the
proposal and reassessed the overall nonEGU emissions reduction strategy based
on the factors at Step 3 to render a
judgment as to whether the level of
emissions control that would be
achievable from these units meets the
criteria for ‘‘significant contribution.’’ In
the final rule, we affirm our proposed
determinations of which industries and
emissions units are potentially
emissions units. This information helped shape the
proposed rule.
18 The TSD is available in the docket at https://
www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR2021-0668-0145.
19 More information about the control measures
database (CMDB) can be found at the following link:
https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysisair-pollution-regulations/cost-analysis-modelstoolsair-pollution.
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36661
impactful and warrant further analysis
at Step 3, and we find that the available
emissions reductions are cost-effective
and make meaningful improvements at
the identified downwind receptors. For
a detailed discussion of the changes,
between the proposal and this final rule,
in emissions unit types included and in
emissions limits, see section VI.C. of
this document.
The EPA performed air quality
analysis using the Ozone Air Quality
Assessment Tool (AQAT) to evaluate
the air quality improvements
anticipated to result from the
implementation of the selected EGU and
non-EGU emissions reduction strategies.
See section V.D of this document.20 We
also used AQAT to determine whether
the emissions reductions for both EGUs
and non-EGUs potentially create an
‘‘over-control’’ scenario. As in prior
transport rules following the holdings in
EME Homer City, overcontrol would be
established if the record indicated that,
for any given state, there is a less
stringent emissions control approach for
that state, by which (1) the expected
ozone improvements would be
sufficient to resolve all of the downwind
receptor(s) to which that state is linked;
or (2) the expected ozone improvements
would reduce the upwind state’s ozone
contributions below the screening
threshold (i.e., 1 percent of the NAAQS
or 0.70 ppb) to all of linked receptors.
The EPA’s over-control analysis,
discussed in section V.D.4 of this
document, shows that the control
stringencies for EGU and non-EGU
sources in this final rule do not overcontrol upwind states’ emissions either
with respect to the downwind air
quality problems to which they are
linked or with respect to the 1 percent
of the NAAQS contribution threshold,
such that over-control would trigger reevaluation at Step 3 for any linked
upwind state.
Based on the multi-factor test applied
to both EGU and non-EGU sources and
20 The use of AQAT and other simplified
modeling tools to generate ‘‘appropriately reliable
projections of air quality conditions and
contributions’’ when there is limited time to
conduct full-scale photochemical grid modeling
was upheld by the D.C. Circuit in MOG v. EPA, No.
21–1146 (D.C. Cir. March 3, 2023). The EPA has
used AQAT for the purpose of air quality and
overcontrol assessments at Step 3 in the prior
CSAPR rulemakings, and we continue to find it
reliable for such purposes. We discuss the
calibration of AQAT for this action and the multiple
sensitivity checks we performed to ensure its
reliability in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD in the docket. Because we were able
to conduct a photochemical grid modeling run of
the 2026 final rule policy scenario, these results are
also included in the docket and confirm the
regulatory conclusions reached with AQAT. See
section VIII of this document and Appendix 3A of
the Final Rule RIA for more information.
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our subsequent assessment of overcontrol, the EPA finds that the selected
EGU and non-EGU control stringencies
constitute the elimination of significant
contribution and interference with
maintenance, without over-controlling
emissions, from the 23 upwind states
subject to EGU and non-EGU emissions
reductions requirements under the rule.
For additional details about the multifactor test and the over-control analysis,
see the document titled ‘‘Technical
Support Document (TSD) for the Final
Federal Good Neighbor Plan for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standard, Docket ID No. EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668, Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Proposed Rule TSD’’
(Mar. 2023), hereinafter referred to as
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD, included in the docket for
this rulemaking.
In this fourth step of the 4-step
framework, the EPA is including
enforceable measures in the
promulgated FIPs to achieve the
required emissions reductions in each of
the 23 states. Specifically, the FIPs
require covered power plants within the
borders of 22 states (Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program
created by the Revised CSAPR Update.
Affected EGUs within the borders of the
following 12 states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading
Program will remain in the program,
with revised provisions beginning in the
2023 ozone season, under this rule:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia. Affected EGUs within the
borders of the following seven states
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
(the ‘‘Group 2 trading program’’)—
Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin—will transition from the
Group 2 program to the revised Group
3 trading program beginning with the
2023 control period,21 and affected
21 The EPA will deem participation in the Group
3 trading program by the EGUs in these seven states
as also addressing the respective states’ good
neighbor obligations with respect to the 2008 ozone
NAAQS (for all seven states), the 1997 ozone
NAAQS (for all the states except Texas), and the
1979 ozone NAAQS (for Alabama and Missouri) to
the same extent that those obligations are currently
being addressed by participation of the states’ EGUs
in the Group 2 trading program.
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EGUs within the borders of three states
not currently covered by any CSAPR
trading program for seasonal NOX
emissions—Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah—will enter the Group 3 trading
program in the 2023 control period
following the effective date of the final
rule. In addition, the EPA is revising
other aspects of the Group 3 trading
program to better ensure that this
method of implementation at Step 4
provides a durable remedy for the
elimination of the amount of emissions
deemed to constitute significant
contribution at Step 3 of the interstate
transport framework. These
enhancements, summarized later in this
section, are designed to operate together
to maintain that degree of control
stringency over time, thus improving
emissions performance at individual
units and offering a necessary measure
of assurance that NOX pollution controls
will be operated throughout each ozone
season, as described in section VI.B of
this document. This rulemaking does
not revise the budget stringency and
geography of the existing CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 trading program.
Aside from the seven states moving
from the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program under the final
rule, this rule otherwise leaves
unchanged the budget stringency of the
existing CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading program.
The EPA is establishing preset ozone
season NOX emissions budgets for each
ozone season from 2023 through 2029,
using generally the same Group 3
trading program budget-setting
methodology used in the Revised
CSAPR Update, as explained in section
VI.B of this document and as shown in
Table I.B–1. The preset budgets for the
2026 through 2029 ozone seasons
incorporate EGU emissions reductions
to eliminate significant contribution and
also take into account a substantial
number of known retirements over that
period to ensure the elimination of
significant contribution is maintained as
intended by this rule. These budgets
serve as floors and may be supplanted
by a budget that the EPA calculates for
that control period using more recent
information (a ‘‘dynamic budget’’) if that
dynamic budget yields a higher level of
allowable emissions—still consistent
with the Step 3 level of emissions
control stringency—than the preset
budget. As reflected in Table I.B–1, and
accounting for both the stringency of the
rule and known fleet change, the 2026
preset budget is 23 percent lower than
the 2025 preset budget; the 2027 preset
budget is 20 percent lower than the
2026 preset budget; the 2028 preset
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9a
budget is 4 percent lower than the 2027
preset budget; and the 2029 preset
budget is 8 percent lower than the 2028
preset budget.
While it is possible that additional
EGUs may seek to retire in this 2026–
2029 period than are currently
scheduled and captured in the preset
emissions budgets, it is also possible
that EGUs with currently scheduled
retirements may adjust their retirement
timing to accommodate the timing of
replacement generation and/or
transmission upgrades necessitated by
their retirement. While the EPA
designed this final rule to provide preset
budgets through 2029 to incorporate
known retirement-related emissions
reductions to ensure the elimination of
significant contribution as identified at
Step 3 is maintained over time, the use
of these floors also provides generators
and grid operators enhanced certainty
regarding the minimum amount of
allowable NOX emissions for reliability
planning through the 2020s. By
providing the opportunity for dynamic
budgets to subsequently calibrate
budgets to any unforeseen increases in
fleet demand, it also ensures this rule
will not interfere with ongoing
retirement scheduling or adjustments
and thus is robust to future uncertainty
during a transition period.
The EPA also believes the likelihood
and magnitude of a scenario in which a
state’s preset emissions budgets during
this period would authorize more
emissions than the corresponding
dynamic budget is low. As described
elsewhere, dynamic budgets are
incorporated to best calibrate the rule’s
stringency to future unknown changes
to the fleet. The circumstances in which
a dynamic budget would produce a
level of allowable emissions less than
preset budgets is most pronounced for
future periods in which there is a high
degree of unknown retirements
(increasing the risk that budgets are not
appropriately calibrated to the reduced
fossil fuel heat input post retirement).
However, the 2026–2029 period
presents a case where retirement
planning has been announced with
greater lead time than normal due to a
combination of utility 2030
decarbonization commitments, and
Effluent Limitation Guideline (ELG) and
Coal Combustion Residual (CCR)
alternative compliance pathways
available to units planning to cease
combustion of coal by December 31,
2028. For each of these existing rules,
facilities that are planning to retire have
already conveyed that intention to EPA
in order to take advantage of the
alternative compliance pathways
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available to such facilities.22 Therefore,
the likelihood of unknown
retirements—leading to lower dynamic
budgets—is much lower than typical for
this time horizon. This makes EPA’s
balanced use of preset emissions
budgets or dynamic budgets if they
exceed preset levels a reasonable
mechanism to accommodate planning
and fleet transition dynamics during
this period. The need and reasoning for
the limited-period preset budget floor is
further discussed in section VI.B.4.
For control periods in 2030 and
thereafter, the emissions budgets will be
the amounts calculated for each state
and noticed to the public roughly one
36663
year before the control period, using the
dynamic budget-setting methodology. In
this manner, the stringency of the
program will be secured and sustained
in the dynamic budgets of this program,
regardless of whatever EGU transition
activities ultimately occur in this 2026–
2029 transition period.
TABLE I.B–1—PRESET CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 STATE EMISSIONS BUDGETS (TONS) FOR 2023 THROUGH
2029 CONTROL PERIODS *
2023 State
budget
State
2024 State
budget
2025 State
budget
2026 State
budget **
2027 State
budget **
2028 State
budget **
2029 State
budget **
Alabama .......................
Arkansas ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Kentucky ......................
Louisiana ......................
Maryland ......................
Michigan .......................
Minnesota .....................
Mississippi ....................
Missouri ........................
Nevada .........................
New Jersey ..................
New York .....................
Ohio ..............................
Oklahoma .....................
Pennsylvania ................
Texas ...........................
Utah ..............................
Virginia .........................
West Virginia ................
Wisconsin .....................
6,379
8,927
7,474
12,440
13,601
9,363
1,206
10,727
5,504
6,210
12,598
2,368
773
3,912
9,110
10,271
8,138
40,134
15,755
3,143
13,791
6,295
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,999
9,363
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,058
11,116
2,589
773
3,912
7,929
9,384
8,138
40,134
15,917
2,756
11,958
6,295
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,472
9,107
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,037
11,116
2,545
773
3,912
7,929
9,376
8,138
38,542
15,917
2,756
11,958
5,988
6,339
6,365
5,889
8,410
10,190
6,370
842
6,743
4,058
3,484
9,248
1,142
773
3,650
7,929
6,631
7,512
31,123
6,258
2,565
10,818
4,990
6,236
4,031
5,363
8,135
7,908
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
2,084
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
7,929
3,917
7,158
23,009
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
6,236
4,031
4,555
7,280
7,837
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
1,752
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
6,911
3,917
7,158
21,623
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
5,105
3,582
4,050
5,808
7,392
3,639
842
4,656
2,578
1,752
7,329
880
773
3,388
6,409
3,917
4,828
20,635
2,593
1,951
9,678
3,416
Total ......................
208,119
198,014
195,259
151,329
119,663
115,193
105,201
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* Further information on the state-level emissions budget calculations pertaining to Table I.B–1 is provided in section VI.B.4 of this document
as well as the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Further information on the approach for allocating a portion of Utah’s emissions
budget for each control period to the existing EGU in the Uintah and Ouray Reservation within Utah’s borders is provided in section VI.B.9 of this
document.
** As described in section VI of this document, the budget for these years will be subsequently determined and equal the greater of the value
above or that derived from the dynamic budget methodology.
The budget-setting methodology that
the EPA will use to determine dynamic
budgets for each control period starting
with 2026 is an extension of the
methodology used to determine the
preset budgets and will be used
routinely to determine emissions
budgets for each future control period in
the year before that control period, with
each emissions budget reflecting the
latest available information on the
composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet at the time that emissions budget
is determined. The stringency of the
dynamic emissions budgets will simply
reflect the stringency of the emissions
control strategies selected in the
rulemaking more consistently over time
and ensure that the annual updates
would eliminate emissions determined
to be unlawful under the good neighbor
provision. As already noted, for the
control periods in which both preset
budgets and dynamic budgets are
determined for a state (i.e., 2026 through
2029), the state’s dynamic budget will
apply only if it is higher than the state’s
preset budget. See section VI.B of this
document for additional discussion of
the EPA’s method for adjusting
emissions budgets to ensure elimination
of significant contribution from EGU
sources in the linked upwind states.
In conjunction with the levels of the
emissions budgets, the carryover of
unused allowances for use in future
control periods as banked allowances
affects the ability of a trading program
to maintain the rule’s selected control
stringency and related EGU effective
emissions rate performance level as the
EGU fleet evolves over time.
Unrestricted banking of allowances
allows what might otherwise be
temporary surpluses of allowances in
some individual control periods to
accumulate into a long-term allowance
surplus that reduces allowance prices
and weakens the trading program’s
incentives to control emissions. To
prevent this outcome, the EPA is also
revising the Group 3 trading program by
adding provisions that establish a
routine recalibration process for banked
allowances using a target percentage of
21 percent for the 2024–2029 control
periods and 10.5 percent for control
periods in 2030 and later years.
As an enhancement to the structure of
the trading program originally
promulgated in the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA is also establishing
backstop daily emissions rates for coal
22 Notices of Planned Participation for the ELG
Reconsideration Rule were due October 31, 2021
(85 FR 64708, 64679). For the CCR Action, facilities
had to indicate their future plans to cease receipt
of waste by April 11, 2021 (85 FR 53517).
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
steam EGUs greater than or equal to 100
MW in covered states. Starting with the
2024 control period, a 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio (instead of the usual 1for-1 surrender ratio) will apply to
emissions during the ozone season from
any large coal-fired EGU with existing
SCR controls exceeding by more than 50
tons a daily average NOX emissions rate
of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The daily average
emissions rate provisions will apply to
large coal-fired EGUs without existing
SCR controls starting with the second
control period in which newly installed
SCR controls are operational at the unit,
but not later than the 2030 control
period.
The backstop daily emissions rates
work in tandem with the ozone season
emissions budgets to ensure the
elimination of significant contribution
as determined at Step 3 is maintained
over time and more consistently
throughout each ozone season. They
will offer downwind receptor areas a
necessary measure of assurance that
they will be protected on a daily basis
during the ozone season by more
continuous and consistent operation of
installed pollution controls. The EPA’s
experience with the CSAPR trading
programs has revealed instances where
EGUs have reduced their SCRs’
performance on a given day, or across
the entire ozone seasons in some cases,
including high ozone days.23 In addition
to maintaining a mass-based seasonal
requirement, this rule will achieve a
much more consistent level of emissions
control in line with our Step 3
determination of significant
contribution while maintaining
compliance flexibility consistent with
that determination. These trading
program improvements will promote
consistent emissions control
performance across the power sector in
the linked upwind states, which
protects communities living in
downwind ozone nonattainment areas
from exceedances of the NAAQS that
might otherwise occur.
The EPA is including enforceable
emissions control requirements that will
apply during the ozone season (annually
from May to September) for nine nonEGU industries in the promulgated FIPs
to achieve the required emissions
reductions in 20 states with remaining
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS in 2026: Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. These requirements
would apply to all existing emissions
units and to any future emissions units
constructed in the covered states that
meet the relevant applicability criteria.
Thus, the emissions limitations for nonEGU sources and associated compliance
requirements would apply in all 20
states listed in this paragraph, even if
some of these states do not currently
have any existing emissions units
meeting the applicability criteria for the
identified industries.
Based on our evaluation of the time
required to install controls at the types
of non-EGU sources covered by this
rule, the EPA has identified the 2026
ozone season as a reasonable
compliance date for industrial sources.
The EPA is therefore finalizing control
requirements for non-EGU sources that
take effect in 2026. However, in
recognition of comments and additional
information indicating that not all
facilities may be capable of meeting the
control requirements by that time, the
final rule provides a process by which
the EPA may grant compliance
extensions of up to 1 year, which if
approved by the EPA, would require
compliance no later than the 2027 ozone
season, followed by an additional
possible extension of up to 2 more
years, where specific criteria are met.
For sources located in the 20 states
listed in the previous paragraph, the
EPA is finalizing the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–2 for
reciprocating internal combustion
engines in Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas; the NOX emissions limits
listed in Table I.B–3 for kilns in Cement
and Cement Product Manufacturing; the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table
I.B–4 for reheat furnaces in Iron and
Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–5 for furnaces
in Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing; the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–6 for boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table
I.B–7 for combustors and incinerators in
Solid Waste Combustors or Incinerators.
TABLE I.B–2—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION OF NATURAL GAS
NOX emissions limit
(g/hp-hr)
Engine type and fuel
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Rich Burn ...............................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Lean Burn ..............................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Two Stroke Lean Burn ...............................................................................................................................
1.0
1.5
3.0
TABLE I.B–3—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR KILN TYPES IN CEMENT AND CONCRETE PRODUCT
MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lb/ton of clinker)
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Kiln type
Long Wet .................................................................................................................................................................................
Long Dry ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater .................................................................................................................................................................................
Precalciner ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater/Precalciner ..............................................................................................................................................................
23 See 86 FR 23090. The EPA highlighted the
Miami Fort Unit 7 (possessing a SCR) more than
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
Based on evaluation of comments
received, the EPA is not, at this time,
finalizing the source cap limit as
36665
proposed at 87 FR 20046 (see section
VII.C.2 of the April 6, 2022, Proposal).
TABLE I.B–4—SUMMARY OF NOX CONTROL REQUIREMENTS FOR IRON AND STEEL AND FERROALLOY EMISSIONS UNITS
NOX emissions standard or requirement
(lb/mmBtu)
Emissions unit
Reheat furnace .........................................................................................
Test and set limit based on installation of Low-NOX Burners.
TABLE I.B–5—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR FURNACE UNIT TYPES IN GLASS AND GLASS PRODUCT
MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lb/ton of glass produced)
Furnace type
Container Glass Manufacturing Furnace ...........
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