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An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on
the Corporate Financial Policy
George Contos, Internal Revenue Service
T
he taxation of corporate profits in the United States
has been one of the most widely discussed issues
in the area of public finance. Corporate revenues
are currently subject to double taxation. Profits are taxed
first at the corporate level and then, when distributed
as dividends or when capital gains are realized, taxed
a second time at the individual level. The share of tax
revenues from corporate profits has been decreasing
steadily over the past four decades. In 1962, corporate
tax receipts accounted for 21 percent of all tax revenues,
but, by 2003, their share dropped to 7.5 percent.1 In 2003,
a proposal by the Bush Administration brought corporate
tax integration back to the front pages. The final legislation, the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act
of 2003, did not eliminate double taxation, but it did
reduce the taxation of corporate profits at the individual
level.2 Double taxation is still a reality; so, the discussion
for corporate integration is clearly not over.
In understanding why corporate taxation is such a
highly contested issue, critics argue that the current tax
system discourages business entities from organizing as
taxable corporations and encourages corporations to veer
from socially efficient decisions (Scholes et al. (2005),
p. 336). Those critics believe that the losses to the U.S.
economy caused by the current tax system far exceed the
gains from the revenues raised. They call for a neutral
tax system that does not enter into the decisionmaking
process of firms and does not distort economic efficiency.
Supporters of corporate taxation reply to those allegations by saying that corporations are distinct entities
and should be taxed separately from their shareholders;
that corporations should pay a fee, tax, for the special
privileges they enjoy; and that corporate taxation prevents the sheltering of individual income from taxation
(Rosen (2002), p. 399).
A large body of research has tested for the effects
of corporate taxation. Although the results of empirical
models vary significantly, all models agree that, to some
degree, corporate taxation affects a broad range of the
decisions made by taxable corporations. The magnitude
of those effects and their overall impact on the economy
are still under debate. Jane Gravelle (1995) divides the
debate on corporate taxation into three key issues. “First
who carries the burden of corporate tax--capital, labor,
or consumers, and does it play a role in a progressive
tax system? Second, how significant are the distortions
caused by the excess corporate tax? And third, how can
the revenues raised from corporate tax be replaced?”
This paper focuses on the second question and more
specifically on how the deductibility of interest affects
the capital structure of taxable corporations. I test the
hypothesis that taxable corporations have a tax incentive
to use debt financing versus equity financing because
interest paid is tax-deductible while dividends paid to
shareholders are not. Measuring the excess debt that
corporations carry due to the tax incentive is important
because the excessive use of debt may lead to financial
distress and even bankruptcy.
This paper extends the work of Gordon and Lee
(2001). They use an aggregate data time-series, Tax
Years 1950 to 1995, to test for the effects of corporate
taxation on the financial policy of firms of different sizes.
They found that taxes have a large effect on the use of
debt for the smallest and the largest firms. In this paper,
I first estimated the Gordon and Lee (G&L) model using the same aggregate Statistics of Income (SOI) data
but for a different time period, Tax Years 1993 to 2000,
and my findings were qualitatively similar to those of
G&L. Next, I introduced a confidential SOI firm-level
dataset for the 8-year period, and found an unexpected
negative relation between tax rates and debt. However,
using a marginal tax rate constructed from taxable income before the interest deduction and the panel dataset,
I found, as expected, a positive relation between tax
rates and debt. Finally, I divided my panel dataset into
small, intermediate, and large size firms, and I found a
positive relationship between tax rates and debt for all
three firm sizes.
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Corporate Taxation
Before discussing existing research on how taxes
affect the corporate capital structure, it is useful to
review how double taxation affects the decisionmaking process of firms. Business entities have a financial
incentive to organize as “C corporations,” where the
term C corporation comes from the subchapter of the
Tax Code defining their structure. Corporations are legal entities that can have multiple owners and separate
management. The ability to attract multiple investors
through the sale of shares or bonds gives corporations
broad access to capital and greater potential for growth.
The shares of corporations can be easily transferred to
other investors without disrupting the operations of
the companies. The owners of corporations also enjoy
limited liability since, in case of default, their liability
is limited to the amount they have invested. Because,
in the United States, corporate profits are subject to
double taxation, corporations in essence pay a fee for
the right to incorporate. Corporate revenues are taxed
first on the corporate level and then, when distributed
as dividends or when capital gains are realized, taxed
a second time on the individual level. Business entities
can avoid double taxation but in the process lose some
of the special privileges mentioned earlier, if they organize as passthrough entities. Passthrough entities, such
as sole proprietorships, partnerships, and subchapter
S corporations, avoid double taxation by passing all
profits and losses onto their shareholders (Brealey and
Myers, 2000).
debt to finance their investments, but empirical evidence shows that they use significant amounts of equity
capital.3 Why is this so? There can be significant nontax
costs involved with debt financing. These costs include
both the standard costs of borrowing and risks of financial distress that fixed liabilities imply. Firms fall into
financial distress when they have difficulty making their
debt payments. Extended periods of financial distress can
lead to bankruptcy. The higher the debt payment levels,
the higher the probability that the firm could fall into
financial distress. As the probability of distress increases
the risk for the firm’s debtor increases, so they demand
higher return for their investments. Consequently, the
value of debt tax shields decreases as these forms of
nontax costs increase.
The firm can finance its investments using equity
or debt. Equity is either cash available to the firm or
funds raised by issuing stock, primarily common stock.
Dividends paid to stockholders are not tax- deductible;
thus, dividends are paid from after-tax income. A firm
raises debt by borrowing from its shareholders, from
financial institutions, or from the public. All interest paid
by a corporation to its lenders is tax-deductible, thus
generating a tax shield. Clearly, there is a tax incentive
for a taxable corporation to use debt instead of equity.
So, double taxation directly affects the corporate capital
structure.
The value of tax shields also depends on the marginal
tax rate of the firm, and the availability of nondebt tax
shields4 and tax credits. The marginal tax rate is the tax
liability generated, today and in the future, by an additional dollar of income earned today. Estimating the
marginal tax rate is not straightforward because of the
uncertainty of future earnings, the carryback and the carryforward provisions of the tax law, and the alternative
minimum tax (AMT). Corporations can “carry back” and
“carry forward” operating losses and tax credits--meaning they can apply them to reduce tax liabilities incurred
in past or future years. As Graham (1996) explains,
the relationship among operating losses, marginal tax
rates, and the value of tax shields is not always obvious.
For example, tax shields have very low, if no, value to
corporations that expect operating losses in the future.
Such firms will have very low marginal tax rates because
they can use those net operating loss deductions (NOL’s)
in the future to refund any taxes paid today. Firms that
experienced losses in the past and expect moderate
profits in the future can also use NOL’s to reduce future
tax liabilities. However, if that same firm carries back
its current-year NOL and the NOL is less than or equal
to is past liabilities, then the marginal tax rate of any
additional income earned today will be equal to the
applicable statutory tax rate. From these examples, it is
easy to see that the NOL deduction makes estimating the
marginal tax rate of a corporation complex.
Since all interest paid is tax-deductible, one would
expect that taxable corporations would rely heavily on
The value of debt tax shields also depends on the
availability of nondebt tax shields4 and tax credits. As
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An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
DeAngelo and Masulis (1980) explain, one can make the
case of a tax shield substitution effect since the availability of nondebt tax shields may crowd out debt tax
shields. Finally, it has been shown that the foreign tax
credit limitations do not just reduce the value of debt
tax shields, but actually influence U.S. multinationals
to decrease their domestic debts by substituting them
with equity financing.
In this paper, the corporate marginal tax rate proxies
are constructed by selecting the marginal statutory rate
that applies to the highest dollar of the current-year taxable income, or taxable income before interest deduction,
reported on the tax return. Such proxies have been used
successfully in earlier research and can be applied to both
the aggregate and firm-level datasets used. Upcoming
research by the author explores the effects of the NOL
deduction and the various tax credits on the corporate
capital structure.
Prior Empirical Research
Modigliani and Miller (1963) were the first to introduce the idea that corporate taxation affects the capital
structure of firms. As Scholes et. al. (2005) discuss,
Modigliani and Miller showed that if the only imperfection of the capital markets is corporate taxation, the
deductibility of interest generates a debt tax shield that
increases the value of corporations. When comparing
debt and equity financing, Modigliani and Miller explain
that borrowing is beneficial to corporations because the
cost of debt, interest paid, is tax-deductible while the
cost of equity, dividends, is not. In a later paper, Miller
(1977) pointed out that, if one takes into account the tax
status of corporate investors, equity financing can be a
competitive alternative to debt financing. If the interest
earned by the debt holders is taxed at a higher rate than
the dividends paid to stockholders, then the corporation’s
tax incentive is the difference between the sum of the corporate tax rate plus the dividend rate, and the individual
tax rate of the bondholders. The work of Modigliani and
Miller was advanced by DeAngelo and Masulis (1980),
who introduced the idea of tax shield substitution. Firms
can substitute nondebt tax shields, like the depreciation
deduction, for debt tax shields. The work of DeAngelo
and Masulis is important because it led to a hypothesis
that can be empirically tested; firms with large amounts
of nondebt tax shields will have lower levels of debt
than firms with small amounts of nondebt tax shields
(Scholes et al. (2005) p. 344).
Since the works of Modigliani and Miller (1963)
and DeAngelo and Masulis (1980), a number of empirical studies have examined the impact taxes have on the
financial structure of corporations. As Ayers, Cloyd,
and Robinson (2001) explain, the capital structure
literature can be divided into two streams. The first
stream of works compares taxable corporations that
have different tax incentives, hypothesizing that firms
with greater tax incentives will have higher levels of
debt. The second stream of works compares taxable
corporations to passthrough entities that are not subject
to corporate taxation because, by law, they have to pass
all income to their shareholders. Their hypothesis is that
taxable corporations will have higher levels of debt than
passthrough entities.
The earlier articles of the first stream do cross-section analysis of taxable corporations but do not find
convincing evidence that taxation affects the financial
policy of firms (Bradley, Jarrell, and Kim, 1984; and
Gaver and Gaver, 1985). The more recent articles of the
first stream are more successful in finding evidence of a
significant positive relationship between debt financing
and marginal tax rates. These articles introduce several
improvements over earlier work: They examine incremental financing decisions instead of debt levels (MacKie-Mason (1990); Graham (1996); Gropp (1997)); they
develop better proxies for marginal tax rates (Graham
(1996); Graham, Lemmon, and Schallheim (1998)); they
use the ratio of interest expense to gross profit rather than
the debt-to-equity ratio as the dependent variable (Cloyd,
Limberg, and Robinson (1997); and they research the
debt policies of corporations of different sizes (Gordon
and Lee (1999)). Here, I briefly present an overview of
this work, focusing on the data, the marginal tax rate
proxies used, and their key findings.
Bradley, Jarrell, and Kim (1984) use data from 851
large firms to estimate a general equilibrium model.
Although they have multiyear data for each firm, in
order to avoid business cycle variations or different
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adjustment periods, they calculate a 20-year average or
“permanent” leverage ratio for each firm. They examine how these ratios vary with the industry of the firm,
the volatility in the firm’s earnings, the availability of
nondebt tax shields, and the expenditures on research
and development and advertising. They do not find
concrete evidence that taxation affects the firm’s leverage ratios, but they find evidence that the leverage ratios
are strongly influenced by the firm’s industry. They also
find that firms with volatile earnings have lower levels of
debt, suggesting that the risk of bankruptcy has a negative effect on the amount a firm borrows. Finally, they
find that firms with higher levels of nondebt tax shields
borrow more, a finding that contradicts the findings of
the earlier literature. Bradley, Jarrell, and Kim offer as a
possible explanation for this last finding that firms with
large amounts of assets have more collateral and thus
can borrow more.
Graham (1996) follows MacKie-Mason’s incremental choice approach, using a simulated firm-specific
marginal tax rate as a proxy for the firm’s tax incentives.
The data used are a pooled cross-section of differenced
time series from about 10,000 Compustat firms from
1980 to 1992. Although he finds a strong positive relation between tax status and incremental debt policy, he is
puzzled by the low R-squared of about 5 percent that his
regressions produce. He states that "future researchers
should study why, given the strong tax incentives firms
have to issue debt, taxes do not explain a larger portion
of debt policy." Finally, he tests the effectiveness of the
tax status proxies used by earlier papers and finds that
only the net operating loss dummy variable is a reasonable proxy.5
The Gaver and Gaver (1985) article does not test
directly for the relationship between taxes and debt ratios
but rather tests the hypothesis that there is a systematic
relationship between the firm’s investment opportunity
set and its corporate policy decisions. Using longitudinal data from 237 new and 237 established firms, they
find evidence that growth firms have significantly lower
debt-to-equity ratios than established firms. This is an
interesting result that could explain the differences in
the debt levels across firms.
Gropp’s (1997) paper builds on the work done
by MacKie-Mason and Graham, but, instead of using proxies for expected marginal tax rates, he uses a
simple rational expectations approach to estimate the
expected effective corporate tax rates of firms. He finds
"that current average effective tax rates have substantial
predictive power for the estimation of expected corporate tax rates." Controlling for other theories of capital
structure choices, he finds that corporate taxation affects
the financial policy of firms using a balanced panel from
Compustat of 929 publicly traded manufacturing U. S.
firms from 1979 to 1991.
The MacKie-Mason (1990) article uses the Compustat data on large publicly traded companies to examine
the relationship between nondebt and debt tax shields
to measure the firm’s tax incentive, using a dummy
variable for the net operating loss deduction. Instead
of using the aggregate debt over total assets ratio as the
dependent variable, he uses the annual change in the
total debt levels scaled by the firm’s total assets. He finds
evidence of substantial tax effects on the choice between
issuing debt or equity; that firms with net operating loss
carry-forwards are much less likely to use debt; and
that the existence of investment tax credits reduces the
probability of debt issues only when the firm’s marginal
tax rate is near zero. His findings support a significant
relationship between corporate taxation and the financial
decisions of a firm.
Graham, Lemmon, and Schallheim (1998) is the
first paper to find a positive relationship between the
tax incentive and debt financing using debt levels.
They provide evidence that the corporate tax status is
endogenous to financing decisions, producing a spurious relationship between the debt ratio and the marginal
tax rate of the firm; in other words, the estimated effects
of tax status on the debt levels will be biased because
companies that have high levels of debt also have low
marginal tax rates. To solve this problem, they propose
a direct measure of the corporate marginal tax rate using taxable income before the interest deduction as a
measure of the firm profits. Using a balance panel from
Compustat of 18,193 observations from 1981 to 1992,
they find a positive relationship between tax rates and
the usage of debt.
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An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
Gordon and Lee (2001) is the first paper to research
the debt policies of corporations of all sizes and to find
a positive relationship between debt levels and afterfinancing tax rates. They create a dataset from the
aggregate data on corporations published by SOI and
test for the effects of taxation by comparing the ratios
of debt-to-assets of firms in different asset size-classes.
Over the 46-year period covered by their data, the corporate tax rates varied significantly,6 giving them adequate
variation both across time and across firms for a difference-in-difference procedure. This procedure compares
the changes in the debt-to-assets ratios for small versus
large firms with the changes in the relative tax rates they
face. They find that taxes have a large effect on the use
of debt for the smallest and the largest firms. For intermediate-sized firms, they estimate a much lower effect,
but they provide indirect evidence that this finding is a
result of measurement error in the tax variable. Since
the SOI data are grouped in asset classes, they only have
information on the average rate of return for firms in
each asset class, taxable income divided by assets; so,
they calculate the average marginal tax rate for firms in
each asset class. Due to this limitation, "they are not able
to capture the effects of heterogeneity in rates of return
across firms on the expected marginal tax rate, arising
from the nonlinearity in the tax structure." The effects of
heterogeneity in rates of return are more important for
intermediate firms since their "taxable incomes are near
the point where tax rates change dramatically."
To avoid such problems, I introduced a confidential
firm-level dataset of taxable corporations of all sizes, for
Tax Years 1993 to 2000. This dataset allowed studying
the effects of taxation on firms of all sizes, while capturing the heterogeneity in rates of return across firms. I
found an unexpected negative relation between tax rates
and debt. However, using a marginal tax rate constructed
from taxable income before the interest deduction, I
found the expected positive relation between tax rates
and debt. Next, I took advantage of the panel aspects of
the microdataset; by using fixed effects models, I controlled for the unobserved firm-specific effects and found
again a positive relation between taxation and debt. Finally, I divided the panel dataset into small, intermediate,
and large size firms, and I found a positive relationship
between tax rates and debt for all three firm sizes.
Empirical Research
The data sample
The data used for this study are the firm-level data
collected by SOI and published on an aggregate basis
in the annual Corporate Source Book.7 The data come
from the tax returns of domestic corporations and foreign
corporations with U.S. business activities.8 The firmlevel data are confidential, although SOI employees--like
my self--can conduct analyses of the data and share the
results with outsiders subject to disclosure review by the
Internal Revenue Service (IRS).
I began my analysis with Tax Year 1993 since it is
the first year that three new tax brackets, for returns with
taxable income greater than 10 million dollars, came into
effect. The three brackets were introduced by the Tax
Relief Act of 1993 and give my time series additional
variation across firms compared to earlier years. I ended
my analysis with Tax Year 2000 because it is the last full
year before the recession that started in March of 2001.9
Tax receipts in Tax Year 2001 decreased significantly;
so, including these data would complicate the analysis
of my findings.10 During the 1993 to 2000 time period,
the corporate tax schedule remained unchanged; so, the
dataset provides significant variation across firms but
limited variation across time.
To create the panel, I limited my sample to companies that filed tax returns under the same Employer Identification Number (EIN) and were selected by the SOI
sampling process every tax year from 1993 to 2000.11 To
confine the data to nonfinancial firms with appreciable
business operations, I excluded all financial returns
because they follow different tax rules: 1120F filers
because SOI does not collect balance sheet information
from them; part-year returns which have tax periods
of 6 months or less; and all returns with total assets of
$10,000 or less because such firms are too small to help
the explanatory power of the empirical model. After
these exclusions, the panel consisted of 10,552 firms.
Constructing a “true” balanced panel of corporations
is complicated by the need to account and adjust for
mergers, acquisitions, and other changes to the structure
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of each corporation in the sample. Given the difficulty
of this undertaking, and of analyzing firms undergoing
major changes, I decided to exclude from the panel all
companies for which total assets increased by more than
tenfold in a single year and all companies for which total
assets decreased by more than 90 percent between 1999
and 2000. The first criterion eliminates from the panel
corporations that have merged with or acquired another
business entity. The second criterion eliminates from
the panel corporations that are in financial distress and
will be going out of business in the near future.12 A total
of 60 records were dropped for these reasons, leaving a
“final” panel of 10,492 firms.
Apart from the large number of observations, the
SOI data offer several advantages over the financial data
used in the prior literature. The data collected by SOI
are reported by firms to the IRS when financial (book)
data are reported by corporations to their shareholders.13
As George Plesko (2004) points out, "differences in accounting rules for book and tax reporting purposes can
lead to differences in the amount of income reported
to shareholders and to the IRS." Mills, Newberry, and
Trautman (2002) find that book-tax income differences
grew throughout the 1990’s so that tax rates estimated
from book income will be wrong.14
Financial and tax data may also differ when a
parent corporation reports with its subsidiaries. For
financial purposes, a parent company must include in
the consolidation all domestic and foreign subsidiaries
which it owns by 50 percent or more. Under tax rules,
however, domestic subsidiaries must be 80-percent or
more owned to be included in the parent’s tax return, and
foreign subsidiaries cannot be consolidated. Since the
Compustat dataset reports financial consolidations and
does not separate foreign and domestic income, taxable
income could be inflated. The amount of debt reported
by some companies in their tax returns could be inflated
because they do not eliminate intercompany payables
and receivables. Mills, Newberry, and Trautman (2002)
report anecdotal feedback of such reporting, but, since
the dependent and the control variables of the empirical
model are ratios, the effects should be minimal.
Finally, another reason financial and tax data may
differ is off-balance sheet financing. Firms in the 1990’s
used special purpose entities to keep debt outside their
consolidated financial statements. Mills and Newberry
(2004) find "that these financial reporting effects occurred primarily during 1994-1999." So the financial
statements of large firms for that period could underreport both interest expense and debt and inflate taxable income. I believe that, overall, the use of tax data
improves the accuracy of my empirical work.
Summary Statistics
In order to be able to compare my results using the
firm-level data with G&L results based on aggregate
data, I first present summary information of all variables
from the G&L sample and the present sample. As shown
in Table 1, the summary statistics of the two samples
match very well. The mean total debt-to-assets ratio is
about four percentage points higher in the present sample
compared to that of G&L, reflecting greater long-term
borrowing over prior decades. Looking at the asset side
of their balance sheets, firms in the two samples own
comparable amounts of depreciable property and land,
but firms in the present sample have higher amounts of
intangible assets.15 Finally, although the ratio of accounts
receivable to assets dropped by a little bit more than 3
percentage points, cash holdings increased by about 2
percentage points. In comparing the mean marginal rates
of the two datasets, it is obvious that, in recent years,
corporations have faced significantly lower statutory
corporate tax rates: Companies in the 1950 to 1995
period faced higher tax scales with top statutory rates
as high as 52 percent, while those in the 1993 to 2000
period faced significantly lower tax scales that topped
at 39 percent. The mean marginal tax rate (mrt) has decreased from 37.6 percent to 26.5 percent.16 In contrast,
the average yearly individual tax rate on interest faced
by individual taxpayers (ifmr) in the same two periods
was much more stable, slipping from 24.5 to 22.3.17 It
is clear that firms in the 1993 to 2000 period have considerably lower tax incentive (dmr) than firms in the
1950 to 1995 period.18
Empirical Findings and Sensitivity
Analysis
I begin my empirical analysis by regressing the present aggregate sample. The first equation of the Gordon
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An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
21
where tdr is the debt over asset ratio for firms in asset
class s at year t, rassts are the inflation- adjusted total
i
assets of firms in asset class s at year t , log(rassts) is
the ith order polynomial function of logged rassts, dmr
is the tax incentive of firms in asset class s at year t,
X is a matrix of the composition of the assets of firms
in asset class s at year t, and d t are Tax Year dummies.
The main hypothesis is that the coefficient of the tax incentive is positive. For the asset composition variables,
I expect that firms with higher depreciable assets, land,
and intangibles asset ratios will have higher debt-toasset ratios when firms with higher cash balances and
trade notes and accounts receivable will have lower
debt-to-asset ratios. A complete listing of the variables
is included in the appendix.
Table 1
Aggregate Data ¹
Sample Means and Standard Deviations of Variables
Variables
Corporate debt-asset
ratios
Total debt-to-assets
Short-term debt-toassets
Long-term debt-toassets
Tax rates
Marginal tax ratetaxable income
Marginal tax ratetaxable income plus
interest paid
Individual tax rate
Marginal tax rate
minus individual tax
rate
Corporate assets
Depreciable assets-toassets
Land-to-assets
Cash-to-assets
Intangible assets-toassets
Accounts receivable to-assets
Gordon & Lee
Present Study
1950 - 1995 ²
1993 – 2000 ³
Notation
Mean
Standard
Deviation
Mean
Standard
Deviation
Tdr
25.18
8.05
29.12
6.83
Sdr
9.45
4.07
10.33
3.22
Ldr
15.73
4.36
18.78
4.62
Mrt
37.57
13.15
26.48
9.74
Mrtint
37.97
12.81
27.80
9.86
Ifmr
24.49
2.36
22.26
1.00
Dmr
13.04
12.72
4.22
9.75
Dprr
20.79
6.32
21.17
7.09
Landr
Car
3.66
9.5
2.46
4.00
3.51
11.37
2.06
6.58
Intr
1.12
1.08
2.45
0.84
Arr
22.83
4.53
19.01
4.70
¹ Source: SOI Source Book, amounts are in dollars.
² From Gordon and Lee (1999)
³ Author’s tabulations
and Lee empirical model measures the effects of tax
incentive (dmr), nontax factors, firm unique characteristics, and the business environment on the firm’s total
debt-to-assets ratios.19 To simplify the model, G&L assume that all nontax factors that affect the corporate financial policy do not change over time or change in a way
that is uncorrelated with relative tax rates. To account
for those nontax factors, they use an "arbitrary function
that measures desired debt-to-assets ratios ignoring tax
incentives." In estimation, this arbitrary function is a seventh-order polynomial function of logged real assets.20
The unique characteristics of the firms in each asset class
are measured by the composition of the assets of those
firms. Finally, the business environment is captured by a
set of Tax Year dummies. Thus, the equation estimated is:
n
tdrst = ∑ α i log(rassts st ) i + β dmrst +
i =1
7
γ X st + ∑ δ t d t + ε st
t =1
(1)
Gordon & Lee use OLS to estimate the first equation, finding the effects of taxes on debt to be modest.
Because the marginal tax rate proxy is based on taxable
income, they are concerned with possible endogeneity
bias: a firm’s debt levels through the interest deduction
directly affect its taxable income. To correct this bias,
they construct an exogenous instrument, based on the
findings of Graham, Lemmon, and Schallheim (1998)
and re-estimate the model using Instrumental Variable
(IV). The instrument is the average tax rate faced by
all firms in each time period if the interest deduction is
added back to taxable income. Their IV coefficients are
not significantly different from their OLS, which G&L
attribute to high correlation of the instrument with the
marginal tax rate proxy.
The results of the OLS regressions for the present
and G&L samples are shown in Table 2. Like Gordon
and Lee, I find an unexpected negative relation between
tax rates and debt. I next controlled for the firms’ size
and asset composition by regressing the first equation,
resulting as expected in a positive tax coefficient. The
coefficients of the control variables, except for the ratio
of land-to-assets, had the expected signs and are significant at the 1-percent level. So, I found that the 1990’s
aggregate data produce the same results as the aggregate
data from 1950 to 1995.
G&L also estimate the effects on financial policy of
any factors that change over time. These factors are the
business cycle, the nominal interest rates, and the tax en-
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22
incentive faced by corporations at year t, tb is the nominal interest rate measured by the 3-year Treasury bond
rate, dj is a business cycle proxy equal to the ratio of the
Dow Jones index over Gross Domestic Product, and d
86 is a dummy capturing any omitted aspects of the
Tax Reform Act of 1986.
Table 2
Aggregate Data
Regression Results
Variables
Dmr
G&L
Present
G&L
Present
Present
Present
Tdr
Tdr
Tdr
Tdr
Sdr
Ldr
-0.393**
(0.020)
-0.384
(0.065)
0.079**
(0.019)
1.853**
(0.355)
- 0.641**
(0.135)
-0.568**
(0.068)
0.085**
(0.009)
0.019**
(0.004)
-0.004**
(0.001)
0.002**
(0.00038)
0.320**
(0.058)
0.317
(0.254)
-0.437**
(0.087)
1.447**
(0.341)
0.078**
(0.038)
0.034**
(0.007)
-0.015**
(0.003)
-0.002**
(0.0002)
0.0006**
(0.0001)
-0.00003**
(0.000009)
-
0.127**
(0.027)
0.021**
(0.005)
-0.012**
(0.002)
-0.002**
(0.0002)
0.0005**
(0.00007)
-0.00002*
(0.00004)
-
-0.048**
(0.028)
0.013**
(0.005)
-0.003**
(0.002)
-0.0002**
(0.0001)
0.0002
(0.00007)
-0.0002
(0.00004)
-
-
-
-
0.663**
(0.122)
-1.271**
(0.307)
-0.223
(0.225)
0.578*
(0.409)
0.096**
(0.083)
-1.606**
(0.208)
-0.394**
(0.152)
0.251
(0.276)
0.567**
(0.092)
-0.335*
(0.231)
0.171
(0.169)
0.326*
(0.307)
Log(rassts)
Log(rassts)
Log(rassts)
2
3
Log(rassts)
4
Log(rassts)
5
Log(rassts)
6
Log(rassts)
7
Dprr
Landr
Car
Intr
Arr
Constant
Year
Dummies
Obs.
Adj Rsquared
25.572**
(1.289)
Yes
0.311
(0.018)
Yes
-0.027
(0.040)
20.992**
(2.187)
Yes
-0.823**
(0.166)
0.433**
(0.062)
Yes
-0.630**
(0.112)
0.370**
(0.042)
Yes
-0.193**
(0.124)
0.063**
(0.047)
Yes
434
0.433
88
0.246
434
0.972
88
0.98
88
0.974
88
0.988
Table 3 reports both the unexplained yearly variation reported by the G&L and the present samples. According to G&L, if the first equation fully accounts for
the effects of taxation on the corporate financial policy,
then the tax coefficient of the second equation should be
zero; they find that the tax coefficient is positive, large
in magnitude, and statistically significant. Because the
dependent variable of the second equation is measured
net of the estimated effects of taxes estimated in the
first equation, to get the complete effect of taxation,
they combine the two IV tax coefficients. They find that
large firms in the 1970’s would finance 9.2 percent of
their assets with debt relative to the smaller firms. Using
seven annual observations, my replication of the timeseries aggregate model showed no unexplained yearly
variation. So, for the present sample, the first equation
seems to capture the tax incentive in its entirety. This is
not totally unexpected since, in the 8 years of my time
series, both business cycle and the nominal interest rate
variables remained fairly constant when their sample
* and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent and 1 percent. Standard errors in parenthesis.
Note: Following G&L, I stopped adding powers to the polynomial when the next higher power
Table 3
was statistically insignificant.
vironment. The dependent variable for the second equation is the coefficients of the time dummies estimated
on the first equation. Having already controlled for the
tax incentives, size of firm, and asset composition, the
coefficients of the time dummies capture the effects on
financial policy of these nontax factors. In addition, by
including in the second equation a yearly measure of
the tax incentive (dmr), G&L also test if they have adequately controlled for taxes on the first equation. If they
have done so, then the coefficient of the tax incentive
must be equal to zero. Thus, the equation estimated is:
(2)
Aggregate Data
Unexplained yearly variation
OLS Regression Results
Variables
Dmrt
Mrt
Ifmr
TB
DJ
Dummy for
post 1986
Constant
Obs.
Adj. Rsquared
where δˆt are the coefficients of the Tax Year dummies
estimated by the first equation, dmr is the average tax
- 102 -
G&L
Present
0.264**
(0.094)
-0.232
(0.291)
0.504**
(0.148)
-4.546**
(1.485)
3.313**
(0.692)
0.191
(1.978)
37
0.84
0.001
(0.003)
0.015
(0.020)
-0.004
(0.044)
7
0.90
*and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent
and 1 percent. Standard errors in parenthesis.
An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
period permits 37 annual observations and gains power
from a structural change in 1986, as well as several
economic cycle changes.
adjusted R-squared of the regression is 0.14 percent. So,
my model provides a better fit than earlier firm-level
studies but is still unexpectedly poor.
I now turn my attention to the balanced panel of
firm-level microdata. I began by regressing the first
equation on the final panel using OLS. The results of
these regressions are reported in the first two columns of
Table 4. The tax coefficient is significant at the 1-percent
level but negative, and it stayed negative even after I
controlled for the size of the firm and asset composition. The asset composition variables had the expected
signs, and their magnitudes are consistent with my
expectations and were statistically significant. Firms
with higher depreciable or intangible asset ratios have
higher debt-to-asset ratios, and firms with higher levels
of cash at hand and accounts and trade notes receivable
have lower debt-to-asset ratios. Finally, the land coefficient was again negative but significantly lower. The
Still not satisfied with the goodness of fit of the liner
model, I estimated a log-linear model,21 and the OLS
regression results are shown in the two last columns
of Table 4. The adjusted R-squared of the log-linear
regression was higher than the linear model, while the
sum of square errors was lower, suggesting a better
fit. In particular, the adjusted R-squared was now 0.2
percent, considerably higher than the ones reported by
similar firm-level studies. The tax coefficient was again
negative, and the asset composition variables had the
expected signs.
Table 4
OLS Regression Results
Variables
Dmr
Log(rassts)
Log(rassts)
2
Log(rassts)
3
Log(rassts)
4
Log(rassts)
5
Tdr
Tdr
Log(tdr)
Log(tdr)
-0.821**
(0.009)
-0.581**
(0.006)
No
-0.381**
(0.008)
-8.079**
(0.735)
0.960**
(0.093)
-0.055**
(0.006)
0.002**
(0.0001)
-0.00002**
(0.000002)
0.272**
(0.005)
-0.028**
(0.010)
-0.384**
(0.008)
0.363**
(0.020)
-0.087**
(0.006)
26.654**
(2.294)
Yes
No
-0.240**
(0.005)
-4.417**
(0.436)
0.532**
(0.055)
-0.031**
(0.003)
0.0009**
(0.0001)
-0.000005
(0.000001)
0.263**
(0.004)
-0.038**
(0.007)
-0.411**
(0.006)
0.304**
(0.014)
-0.098**
(0.005)
14.353
(1.362)
Yes
83,936
0.09
83,936
0.14
83,936
0.09
83,936
0.20
Dprr
Landr
Car
Intr
Arr
Constant
Year
Dummies
Obs.
R-squared
*and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent and 1 percent. Standard
errors in parenthesis.
Note:
The final panel includes 10,492 nonfinancial companies that filed
tax returns under the same EIN and were selected by the SOI sampling
process every tax year from 1993 to 2000 and their total assets did not
increase by more than 10 times from one period to the next and did not file
final returns in Tax Year 2000. Following G&L, I stopped adding powers
to the polynomial when the next higher power was statistically insignificant.
I next took advantage of the panel aspects of my
dataset by using fixed effects.22 Fixed effects allow us
to isolate the unobserved firm-specific effects and get
a better measure of the true effects of taxation on the
financial policy of firms. By unobserved firm-specific
effects, I refer to all those firm-unique characteristics
that do not change from year to year and help shape the
firm’s financial policy and capital structure. As shown
in Table 5, the relationship between the tax incentive
and debt-to-asset ratios is again negative. The tax coefficient when total debt is the dependent variable was
–0.115, while the coefficients of the asset composition
variables have the expected signs and, except for the
ratio of land-to-assets, were statistically significant.
The tax coefficient was negative even when I divided
debt into short-term and long-term, –0.057 and –0.065,
respectively. The overall R-squared of the total, short,
and long-term debt regressions were 0.14 percent, 0.016
percent, and .2 percent, respectively.
To test whether the tax coefficients are driven by the
presence in my sample of a significant number of firms
with no taxable income, I regressed the first equation using two subsets of the final panel. In the first, the sample
was limited to 8,900 firms that had a positive marginal
tax rate for at least 1 year. Here again, the fixed effects
tax coefficient was negative and significant. Next, the
sample is further restricted to the 3,100 companies that
had a positive marginal tax rate every year; the coefficient remained negative and significant. Both datasets
produced the expected signs for all control variables,
- 103 -
Contos
instrument is the average tax rate faced by all firms in
each time period if the interest deduction is added back
to taxable income but the instrumental variable tax coefficient is again negative.
Table 5
Fixed Effects Regression Results
Variables
Log(dmr)
Log(rassts)
Log(rassts)
2
Log(rassts)
3
Log(rassts)
4
Log(rassts)
5
Log(dprr)
Log(landr)
Log(car)
Log(intr)
Log(arr)
Constant
Year
Dummies
Obs.
R-squared
Log(tdr)
Log(sdr)
Log(ldr)
-0.115**
(0.004)
-2.432**
(0.526)
0.285**
(0.067)
-0.016**
(0.004)
0.0005**
(0.0002)
-0.00001**
(0.000003)
0.267**
(0.007)
0.145**
(0.013)
-0.108**
(0.006)
0.310**
(0.015)
-0.058**
(0.007)
8.148**
(1.621)
Yes
-0.057**
(0.003)
-2.202**
(0.409)
0.242**
(0.052)
-0.013**
(0.003)
0.0003**
(0.0001)
-0.00001**
(0.000002)
0.034**
(0.005)
-0.005
(0.011)
-0.076**
(0.005)
-0.018**
(0.012)
-0.021**
(0.005)
7.850**
(1.260)
Yes
-0.065**
(0.003)
-0.503**
(0.474)
0.073**
(0.060)
-0.005*
(0.004)
0.0002*
(0.0002)
-0.000003*
(0.000002)
0.251**
(0.006)
0.154**
(0.012)
-0.038**
(0.005)
0.344**
(0.014)
-0.040**
(0.005)
1.249
(1.461)
Yes
83,936
0.14
83,936
0.014
83,936
0.20
Since the instrument does not seem to correct the
bias, I followed the example of Graham, Lemmon, and
Schallheim and generated a second marginal tax rate
proxy (mrtint) using taxable income before the interest deduction as a measure of the profits. I proceeded to
estimate the log-linear models using fixed effects. Table 6
reports the results of these regressions. The fixed effects
tax coefficients of all three regressions are positive and
significant at the 1-percent level. The tax coefficient,
for the total debt regression, was equal to 0.06. So, after
using a modified measure of revenue, one that includes
the interest deduction, I found a significant distortion
on the corporate financial policy caused by taxation. I
estimated that firms in the 39-percent tax bracket are
*and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent and 1 percent.
Standard errors in parenthesis.
Note: The final panel includes 10,492 nonfinancial companies
Table 6
that filed tax returns under the same EIN and were selected by the
SOI sampling process every tax year from 1993 to 2000 and their
Fixed Effects Regression Results
total assets did not increase by more than 10 times from one period
to the next and did not file final returns in Tax Year 2000.
Variables
Log(dmrtint)
Following G&L, I stopped adding powers to the polynomial when
the next higher power was statistically insignificant.
Log(rassts)
and the same or higher overall R-squared as the final
panel did.23
Log(rassts)2
To test whether the negative tax coefficient related
to the companies with extreme observations, I excluded
from my sample firms that had total debt greater than
80 percent of total assets or firms that had any single
asset equal to or greater than total assets. After these
restrictions, my sample was reduced down to about 9,000
records. The tax coefficient was again negative and significant, with the rest of the control variables having the
expected signs. Excluding those extreme observations
reduced significantly the unobserved firm-specific error
and raised the overall R-squared to 0.2 percent.
Log(rassts)5
Since the negative relationship between taxes and
capital structure seemed to be independent of the dependent variable and the sample, I turned my attention to the
possibility of endogeneity bias between the dependent
variable and the main regressor.24To correct the possible bias, I constructed an exogenous instrument. The
- 104 -
Log(rassts)3
Log(rassts)4
Log(dprr)
Log(landr)
Log(car)
Log(intr)
Log(arr)
Constant
Year
Dummies
Obs.
R-squared
Log(tdr)
Log(sdr)
Log(ldr)
0.058**
(0.006)
-1.831**
(0.530)
0.213**
(0.067)
-0.012**
(0.004)
0.0003**
(0.0001)
-0.000003
(0.000002)
0.274**
(0.007)
0.156**
(0.014)
-0.130**
(0.006)
0.320**
(0.016)
-0.069**
(0.007)
6.269**
(1.633)
Yes
0.014**
(0.004)
-1.974**
(0.410)
0.215**
(0.052)
-0.011**
(0.003)
0.0003**
(0.00009)
-0.000003
(0.000002)
0.038**
(0.005)
0.010*
(0.011)
-0.086**
(0.005)
-0.013**
(0.012)
-0.027**
(0.005)
7.139**
(1.265)
Yes
0.049**
(0.005)
-0.344*
(0.116)
-0.032*
(0.011)
0.001*
(0.0004)
-0.00002*
(0.000007)
-
83,936
0.13
83,936
0.01
83,936
0.20
0.256**
(0.006)
0.160**
(0.013)
-0.051**
(0.005)
0.350**
(0.014)
-0.047**
(0.006)
-0.043
(1.467)
Yes
*and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent and 1 percent.
Standard errors in parenthesis.
Note: The final panel includes 10,492 nonfinancial companies
that filed tax returns under the same EIN and were selected by the
SOI sampling process every tax year from 1993 to 2000 and their
total assets did not increase by more than 10 times from one period
to the next and did not file final returns in Tax Year 2000.
Following G&L, I stopped adding powers to the polynomial when
the next higher power was statistically insignificant.
An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
forecasted to finance 1.5 percent more of their assets
with debt than firms in the 15-percent tax bracket. Firms
in the top tax bracket, large firms, are forecasted to
finance 1.2 percent more of their assets with debt than
small firms. The coefficients of the asset composition
variables have the expected signs and are significant at
the 1-percent level.
Dividing debt into short-term and long-term also
produces very interesting results. The tax coefficient
of the long-term debt regression is greater than the tax
coefficient of the short-term regression, 0.049 compared
to 0.013. These coefficients are drastically different from
the aggregate data coefficients presented in Table 2.
The coefficients of the asset composition variables for
both the short-term and long-term regressions have the
expected signs and are statistically significant, except
for the land and intangible assets coefficients of the
short-term regression that are statistically insignificant.25
Firms with higher depreciable assets have higher longterm debt-to-assets ratios compared to their short-term
debt ratios. Firms with higher ratios of cash-to-assets
have higher short-term debt-to-assets ratios compared
to their long-term debt ratios.
impact on the tax liability of the larger firms. If interest
paid was not tax-deductible, then the 7 cents of additional
tax liability for large firms would have been 10 cents.
These findings are not surprising, since large firms hold
more debt, but they give us a measure of the importance
of the interest deduction as a tax shield.
The fixed effects regression results of the log-linear
model for separate asset-sized classes are reported in
Table 7. The dependent variable for the fixed effects
regression is the marginal tax rate based on taxable
income before the interest deduction (mrtint).27 The
estimated tax coefficients are: 0.057 for small firms,
0.055 for intermediate firms, and 0.085 for large firms.
So, I found evidence of a positive relationship between
taxation and corporate debt for all three types of firms.
Contrary to the G&L findings, taxes had the largest effect on the use of debt for the largest firms, and the tax
effect for intermediate firms is comparable to the tax
effect for small firms. The coefficients of the majority of
the control variables had the anticipated sign and were
statistically significant.
To get a better understanding of the effects of taxation on the financial policy of firms of different size, I
divide my sample into small, intermediate, and large
firms.26 Small firms have lower debt-to-asset ratios than
the rest of the firms, 26 percent of total assets compared
to 31 percent for intermediate and large firms. The majority of that debt for all three categories is long-term debt,
but, for small firms, long-term debt is a lower percentage
of total debt. Large firms have the highest combined ratio
of depreciable and intangible assets, with intermediate
firms being a close second. The amount of cash firms
hold is inversely related to their sizes. Firms in the lowest asset class hold more than one fifth of their assets
in cash, while firms in the highest asset class hold only
about 6 percent of their assets in cash. The progressiveness of the tax system is evident in both marginal tax rate
proxies. The average marginal tax rates, for both proxies,
increase as the asset classes rise. An additional dollar of
taxable income increases the tax liability of large firms
by more than 7 cents, 22.7 percent, whereas an additional
dollar of taxable income increases that of small firms by
15.8 percent. The interest paid deduction has the highest
- 105 -
Table 7
Fixed Effects Regression Results
$1 under
$10,000,000
Log(tdr)
Variables
Log(drtint)
Log(rassts)
Log(rassts)
2
Log(rassts)
3
Log(dprr)
Log(landr)
Log(car)
Log(intr)
Log(arr)
Constant
Obs.
R-squared
0.057**
(0.007)
-0.422**
(0.101)
0.029**
(0.007)
-0.0006**
(0.0002)
0.292**
(0.008)
0.156**
(0.016)
-0.134**
(0.007)
0.378**
(0.024)
-0.095**
(0.008)
2.113
(0.444)
54,024
0.17
$10,000,000
under
$100,000,000
$100,000,000
or more
Log(tdr)
Log(tdr)
0.055**
(0.014)
-2.807**
(0.514)
0.158**
(0.031)
-0.003**
(0.0006)
0.268**
(0.013)
0.192**
(0.031)
-0.108**
(0.012)
0.307**
(0.026)
0.037**
(0.014)
16.564**
(2.883)
21,360
0.09
0.085**
(0.036)
-0.826**
(0.159)
0.042**
(0.009)
-0.0007**
(0.0001)
0.144**
(0.021)
0.118**
(0.058)
-0.190**
(0.022)
0.232**
(0.027)
-0.050**
(0.021)
-5.479**
(1.008)
8,552
0.10
*and ** indicate significance levels at 5 percent and 1 percent. Standard
errors in parenthesis.
Note: Following G&L, I stopped adding powers to the polynomial when
the next higher power was statistically insignificant.
Contos
Next, I divided debt into short-term and long-term,
and I re-estimated the model. All tax coefficients were
positive and statistically significant. The effect of taxation on the long-term debt of small firms was large when
the effect on short-term debt was very small. The opposite was true for large firms, where the effect of taxation
on short-term debt was approximately two times the
effect on long-term debt. Finally, the effects of taxation
on short-term and long-term debt for intermediate firms
were approximately the same. I believe that these finding can be supported by intuition. Although small firms
have relatively less long-term debt than intermediate and
large firms, this debt doubles as debt tax shield. Large
firms have more mature capital structures; they follow
debt target level for their long-term borrowing and use
short-term borrowing to create tax shields as needed.
Summarizing my findings, I found evidence of a positive
relationship between corporate taxation and the total debt
ratios of small, intermediate, and large firms.
When using a firm-level dataset, and after isolating
the unobserved firm-specific effects and using a modified measure of revenue, my findings suggest that there
is a positive relationship between taxation and the use
of corporate debt. Contrary to the G&L findings, taxes
have the largest effect on the use of debt for the largest
firms and a positive effect on the use of debt for intermediate firms.
Appendix
Definitions of Variables and Expected
Signs
Dependent Variables
Tdr Ratio of total debt to total assets. Measures total
debt as a percentage of total assets. Total debt
is equal to the sum of mortgages, notes, bonds
payable (Form 1120, page 4 balance sheet, lines
17 and 20).
Conclusion
Past empirical research on the effects of taxation on
corporate financial policy has been limited, due to lack
of data, to large publicly-traded firms or small closelyheld partnerships. The more recent studies of the capital
structure literature find a positive relationship between
taxation and the debt levels of those firms. The only
work that looks at the entire corporate population is a
study by Gordon and Lee. They utilized an aggregate
time-series dataset from 1950 to 1995 to find evidence
that taxation increases the use of debt. In this study, I
used the SOI aggregate and microdata files to research
the effects of taxation on the corporate financial policy
from Tax Years 1993 to 2000.
When using the aggregate dataset, my findings suggest that taxation in the 1990’s still affected the financial
policy of firms but to a somewhat lesser extent. I found
that large firms in the 1990’s finance 1.4 percent more of
their assets with debt relative to the smaller firms. That
it is a significant decrease compared to the 9.2 percent
estimated by G&L. I believe that this decrease is in its
entirety due to the lower tax rates faced by all firms and
by the reduction in the gap between the tax rates faced
by small versus large firms.
Sdr Ratio of short-term to total assets. Measures
short-term debt as a percentage of total assets.
Short- term debt is equal to the sum of mortgages, notes, bonds payable in less than 1 year
(Form 1120, page 4 balance sheet, line 17).
Ldr Ratio of long-term to total assets. Measures
long-term debt as a percentage of total assets.
Long-term debt is equal to the sum of mortgages,
notes, bonds payable in 1 year or more (Form
1120, page 4 balance sheet, line 20).
Tax Variables
- 106 -
Dmr Equal to mrt minus ifmr. Measures the tax
incentive the firm has to use debt. (+)
Mrt Proxy for marginal rate using taxable income.
The rate is set equal to the marginal statutory
rate that applies to the highest dollar of taxable
income (Form 1120, page 1, line 30). The rate
is set to zero when taxable income is zero. (+)
An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
assets (amortizable only) less accumulated
amortization (Form 1120, page 4 balance
sheet, lines 13 a (c) and b (c)). (+)
Dmrtint Equal to mrtint minus ifmr. Measures the
tax incentive the firm has to use debt. (+)
Mrtint
Ifmr
Proxy for marginal rate using taxable income before the interest deduction. The rate
is set equal to the marginal statutory rate
that applies to the highest dollar of taxable
income before interest deduction (Form
1120, page 1, lines 30 and 18). The rate
is set to zero when taxable income before
interest deduction is zero. (+)
Proxy for yearly individual tax rate on interest income multiplied by the fraction of
household assets held outside of pensions
and life insurance. The yearly rate is the
weighted average marginal tax rate reported
in the SOI individual returns publication. (-)
Yearly Variables
Ydmr Yearly average of dmr.
Total assts (Form 1120, page 4 balance
sheet, line 15d) deflated by CPI. Real total
assets.
Dprr
Ratio of net depreciable assets to total assets. Net depreciable assets are equal to
buildings and other depreciable assets less
accumulated depreciation (Form 1120, page
4 balance sheet, lines 10 a (c) and b (c)). (+)
Landr
Ratio of cash to total assets (Form 1120,
page 4 balance sheet, line 1(d)). (-)
Arr
Ratio of trade notes and accounts receivable
to total assets. Trade notes and accounts
receivable are equal to trade notes and accounts receivable less allowance for bad
debts (Form 1120, page 4 balance sheet,
lines 2 a (c) and b (c)). (-)
Intr
Tb
Three-year Treasury Bill rate. Proxy for nominal interest rate.
Dj
Average Dow Jones index deflated by GDP.
Proxy for the business cycle.
1
Source: Congressional Budget Office Web site;
Table 3 Revenues by Major Source, 1962-2003.
2
Beginning in 2003, the maximum tax rates on
qualified dividends have been lowered to 15
percent from 39.6 percent. For sales and other
dispositions of property after May 5, 2003, the
maximum tax rates on net capital gains have been
lowered to 15 percent from 20 percent.
3
Although the ratios fluctuate from year to year,
firms relay primarily on internal generated cash
(retained earning plus depreciation) to finance new
investments. Industry averages show that the ratio
can range from 40 percent to 85 percent (Brealey
and Myers, 2000).
4
The most widely used nondebt tax shields in Tax
Year 2000 were: depreciation, compensation of
officers, employee benefit programs, advertising,
and contributions to pensions and profit-sharing
plans.
5
In a later paper (1996), he adds two more acceptable marginal tax rate proxies, a trichotomous
variable and the statutory marginal tax rate.
6
The top corporate tax rate for that time period
ranged from a high of 52 percent, from 1952 to
1963, to a low of 34 percent, from 1988 to 1992.
Ratio of land to total assets. Land is equal
to land net of any amortization (Form 1120,
page 4 balance sheet, line 12). (+)
Car
Proxy personal marginal tax rate.
Endnotes
Control Variables
Rassts
Imr
Ratio of intangible assets to total assets.
Intangible assets are equal to intangible
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Contos
7
8
The data are aggregated based on the end-of-year
total assets reported in the balance sheet by each
firm. For the studies used by Gordon and Lee, the
number of asset classes ranged between ten and
fourteen. For my dataset, there are eleven asset
classes. The breakdown of the asset classes is: (1
under 0.1m), (0.1m under 0.25m), (0.25m under
0.5m), (0.5m under 1m), (1m under 5m), (5m
under 10m), (10m under 25m), (25m under 50m),
(50m under 100m), (100m under 250m), (250m
or more), and (zero assets). The last asset class
groups returns that had no ending assets, and was
not used in my analysis.
The term domestic corporation refers to companies incorporated in the United States but does
not necessarily imply that all their activities are
domestic. For foreign corporations engaged in
trade or business in the United States, only income
that was considered effectively connected with the
conduct of a trade or business in the United States
was included in the statistics.
9
The Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research, November
26, 2001, reports that the longest expansion in
the NBER chronology reached its peak in March
of 2001.
10
Tax receipts are total income tax after credits
reported on Table 1 of the Corporate Income Tax
Returns Publication..
11
12
The sample selection process is set up in such a
manner that any firms selected into the sample in
a given year will be selected again the next year,
providing that the firm files a return using the
same employer identification number (EIN) in
the two years and that it falls into a stratum with
the same or higher sampling rate. Note that a firm
will usually change its EIN when it merges with
another firm. For more detailed explanation of the
sampling process, see Section 3 of the Corporate
Income Tax Returns Publication.
13
14
Financial reporting usually follows the generally
accepted accounting principles (GAAP) rules issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB).
The use of book data is an issue for all prior literature, Auerbach and Poterba (1987) review pre
TRA86 data and they report that the differences
between the tax and book amounts reported by
firms can be significant.
15
The intangible assets number maybe inflated by
the Internet bubble.
16
My findings are in line with the historical marginal tax
rates reported at the Tax Policy Center’s Web site.
17
Proxy for yearly individual tax rate multiplied
by the fraction of household assets held outside
of pensions and life insurance. The yearly rate is
the weighted average marginal tax rate reported
in the SOI individual returns publication.
18
I set the tax incentive as the simple difference
between the corporate marginal tax rate and the
individual tax rate on interest income. Other literature is investigating the tradeoff and how the
individual tax rate differences (dividends versus
interest versus capital gain rates) are affecting
capital structure, but this issue is beyond the scope
of this paper.
19
The total debt is the sum of mortgages, notes bonds
payable in less than 1 year and mortgages, notes
bonds payable in 1 year or more.
20
This is the only variable deflated using the Consumer Price Index (CPI); the rest of variables are
in current dollars.
21
To estimate the model, following the work of Gentry (1994), I transformed all dependent, tax, and
control variables by adding one to all observations.
I did so because those variables have observations
that are equal to zero. I also tried another model
with the log of the total debt ratio as the dependent variable, but the log-liner model consistently
produced the highest adjusted R-squared.
Such firms have unusually large amounts of debt
and no taxable income.
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An Essay on the Effects of Taxation on the Corporate Financial Policy
22
Originally, I thought that, due to the large number
of observations in our panel, random effects may
be the better choice than fixed effects, but the
Hausman test rejected the random coefficients as
inconsistent.
23
Because for these regressions I dropped observations based on the magnitude of the dependent
variable, these results may be spuriously induced.
24
I also allowed for the possibility of dynamics of
adjustment of the debt-over-asset ratio by including in the right-hand side of the empirical model
a one-period lag of the ratios and estimating the
model using the method of Arellano and Bond.
The one-period lag coefficient was both positive
and significant with the tax incentive still having
a negative effect, but I found that the instrument
variables, dmr and dprr, were correlated to some
set of residuals and are not acceptable, and the
model failed the Sargan test of overidentifying
restrictions.
25
26
27
The time dummy coefficients for these regressions were statistically insignificant; so, I did not
estimate the second equation.
I decided against using the thirteen SOI asset
classes because their breakouts were too detailed.
My breakouts, based on yearend total assets are:
small firms, less than $10,000,000; intermediate
firms, $10,000,000 less than $100,000,000; and
large firms, $100,000,000 or more.
In order to retain the panel aspects of my datasets
and because firms over the eight years time-series
moved in and out of asset classes I assigned to all
eight observation of each firm the same asset class
based on the firms’ 1996 year-end total assets.
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This is a copy of a public record, reproduced as it was published. It is not legal advice, and it may not be the version a court would rely on. Check the official source before you cite it.