A Day in the Life Cycle: Using Tax Data to Measure Changes in Income by Age
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A Day in the Life Cycle: Using Tax Data to Measure Changes in Income by Age
Peter J. Brady
Steven Bass
Investment Company Institute*
1401 H Street N.W.
Washington, DC 20005
pbrady@ici.org
Draft: December 10, 2024
Abstract
This paper uses administrative tax data to build a representative sample of the entire US
population in tax year 2016, inclusive of both tax filers and dependents identified on tax returns
and nonfilers identified using information returns. We examine differences in the amount and
composition of income by single year of age and, within each birth-year cohort, by income. The
analysis in this paper complements Brady and Bass (2023a), which used panel data to follow
individuals from age 55 through age 72. Consistent with the panel data analysis, we do not find
a drop in spendable income at the ages normally associated with the transition from work to
retirement. In fact, from age 61 through age 70, we find an increase in both the share of the
population with income and the median amount of spendable income that those individuals
have. We also document the shift with age from relying primarily on labor income to relying
primarily on Social Security and retirement income (income from DB pensions, DC pensions,
and IRAs). Own labor income incidence peaks in the mid-20s, although the share who work or
who have a working spouse remains fairly steady through the mid-40s. As the share with labor
income declines, the share with Social Security and (non-Social-Security) retirement income
increases, but during the transition into retirement the changes by single year of age are not
highly correlated. Some stop working before claiming Social Security while others continue
working after claiming, suggesting that, for many individuals, retirement is a transitional
process rather than a single point in time. After age 70, most individuals rely on a combination
of Social Security benefits and retirement income. Consistent with previous research using tax
data, we find much higher incidence of income from employer plans and IRAs than reported in
household survey data, with 70 percent or more of the population receiving retirement income
directly or through a spouse from age 71 through age 91.
* This research was conducted as part of the Statistics of Income Joint Research Program. Views presented
are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Internal Revenue Service or the
views of the Investment Company Institute or its members. We thank Kevin Pierce for his assistance with
this project.
A Day in the Life Cycle: Using Tax Data to Measure Changes in Income by Age
1. Introduction
This study uses administrative tax data to answer two questions about retirement in
America. First, how does spendable income change across the life cycle as individuals move
from working into retirement? Second, how does the composition of income change over the
life cycle as workers move from relying primarily on earnings from labor to relying primarily
on Social Security benefits, retirement plan distributions, and other income? In addition, we
investigate how the answers to these questions differ based on income.
The motivation for trying to answer these questions is that proposals to overhaul the US
Social Security system and the taxation of retirement plans are ubiquitous. We think such
proposals to change the current system should be based on an accurate assessment of how the
current system is performing.
Many proposals are motivated by a belief that the current system provides inadequate
resources to retirees and that the voluntary component of our retirement system—employersponsored defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) plans and individual retirement
arrangements (IRAs)—is primarily responsible for that failing.1 The belief that the US retirement
system produces inadequate retirement resources is based largely on research projecting that
most Americans will not accumulate enough resources for retirement (see, for example,
Munnell, Chen, and Siliciano 2021; and VanDerhei 2019). The belief that employer plans and
IRAs are not doing enough to help workers prepare for retirement is based largely on analyses
of household survey data that claim too few workers have access to retirement plans (see, for
example, Munnell and Bleckman 2014) and too few retirees receive income from employer
plans (see, for example, Social Security Administration 2016).
There is other research, however, that challenges these beliefs. Both Scholz, Sheshadri, and
Khitatrakun (2006) and Hurd and Rohwedder (2015) conclude that most—though not all—
American households appear to be adequately preparing for retirement. Further, studies that
See, for example, a series of editorials in Bloomberg News in early 2022 (Bloomberg News. America’s Retirement Crisis
Is a Financial Crisis Too, March 28, 2022; Saving for Retirement Is Harder Than It Needs to Be, April 4, 2022;
Piecemeal Reform Won’t Solve the U.S. Retirement Crisis, April 11, 2022; and How to Fix the Broken U.S. RetirementSavings System, April 18, 2022).
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compare tax data to household survey data (Brady and Pierce 2012; Bee and Mitchell 2017;
Brady and Bass 2021; Dushi and Trenkamp 2021; and Bee, et al. 2024) show that household
surveys undercount retirement income—that is, distributions from employer-sponsored DB and
DC retirement plans, IRAs, and annuities. These studies indicate that many more workers
accumulate resources from employer plans and IRAs during their working career and many
more retirees receive income from retirement plans than is indicated in household surveys.
The approach taken to answer these questions is most closely related to Brady, et al. (2017)
and Brady and Bass (2023a), which used panel data to follow individuals through the transition
into retirement. In particular, Brady and Bass (2023a) used administrative tax data to follow
individuals from age 55, before they are eligible to claim Social Security retirement benefits and
when retirement plan distributions are generally subject to an early withdrawal penalty, until
age 72, after the ages at which delaying Social Security claiming no longer increases monthly
benefits and required minimum distributions (RMDs) from IRAs and DC plans begin.
As a complement to Brady and Bass (2023a), this paper analyzes income differences by age
using cross-sectional data. This paper expands the analysis in two ways. First, by looking over
the entire life cycle, we can examine changes in income before age 55 and after age 72. Second,
we utilized a newly available tax form, Form 1095 (which reports coverage by health insurance),
to identify individuals otherwise untouched by the federal tax system, including those whose
only income is from public assistance. 2 This allowed us to better reflect the full population and
more accurately measure the incidence of income. Relative to Brady and Bass (2023a), this
change reduces our income incidence measures, for both total income and its components, but
otherwise the results of the two studies are consistent.
Examining a cross-section of the population by age, we do not find a drop in spendable
income at the ages normally associated with the transition from work to retirement. In fact,
from age 61 through age 70, we find an increase in both the share of the population with income
and the median amount of spendable income that those individuals have.
We wish to acknowledge and thank Ithai Lurie and James Pearce for providing us with the data they processed and
analyzed in Lurie and Pearce (2021). Form 1095 data are complex and require careful processing to be usable. See
Lurie and Pearce (2021) for a description of how they identified individuals with health insurance coverage using
Form 1095.
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More broadly looking over the entire life cycle, spendable income typically follows a
hump-shaped pattern with age. Median spendable income peaks at age 46 and declines by 10
percent of the peak by age 61. After age 70, median spendable income declines by 1.0 percent
per year, on average, through age 90.
The age profile of spendable income is flatter than that of total income because of changes
in effective tax rates over the life cycle. In particular, median total federal tax rates were lower
for retirees than they were for any other adults, with the largest tax rate declines experienced in
the middle of the income distribution.
Throughout their lifetimes, most Americans get most of their income from three sources
ultimately derived from work—labor, Social Security, and (non-Social Security) retirement
income. Among those with income, the typical individual gets 100 percent of their total income
from labor from age 16 through age 54, but has no labor income beginning at age 68.
The data suggest that retirement is better thought of as a period of transition rather than an
event that occurs at a single point in time. For many, the transition from relying primarily on
labor income to relying primarily on retirement and/or Social Security income occurs over a
number of years. Further, when the transition occurs varies by income, with much of the
transition away from labor income occurring prior to age 62 for the lowest income groups.
Most retirees receive both Social Security and retirement income. Consistent with previous
research using tax data, we find much higher incidence of income from employer plans and
IRAs than reported in household survey data, with 70 percent or more of the population
receiving retirement income directly or through a spouse from age 71 through age 91.
Income composition varies considerably across the income distribution, with lower income
retirees typically getting all their income from Social Security and retirement income increasing
in importance as total income increases. Despite being more reliant on Social Security, however,
the spendable income of the lowest income groups falls the least in retirement—relative to both
those in their mid-40s and those aged 61.
The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the data we use in our analysis.
Section 3 examines changes in spendable income by age. Section 4 analyzes changes in the
composition of income by age. Section 5 concludes the analysis.
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2. Description of Data
This study uses US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) administrative tax data from the 2016 tax
year. These data include information from both federal individual income tax returns filed by
taxpayers and information returns issued by third parties and sent to both taxpayers and the
IRS. Information returns are used to report income (such as Form W-2, which reports wages),
expenses (such as Form 1098, which reports mortgage interest expense), and other tax-relevant
information (such as Form 1099-Q, which reports distributions from qualified education savings
plans).3 We also incorporate Social Security Administration (SSA) data on gender, date of birth,
and date of death (if applicable).
Our overall population of interest is US citizens and resident aliens4 who—provided their
gross income exceeded the filing thresholds—would have been required to file a 2016
Form 1040 (inclusive of Form 1040, Form 1040A, and Form 1040EZ), excluding residents of US
territories. 5 This includes US citizens and resident aliens living in a state (inclusive of the 50
states and the District of Columbia), living outside the US, or living overseas as a member of the
US armed forces. We exclude residents of US territories because bona fide residents of US
territories generally do not file a Form 1040 with the IRS.6
Our method for deriving our representative sample from tax data differs from the typical
approach because we sample individuals rather than tax returns. We use the individual as our
unit of observation because the focus of our research—using both cross-sectional data as in this
study and panel data in related studies—is measuring changes in the amount and composition
3
For a full listing of information returns used in this study and their description, see Appendix Table A.1.
Resident aliens include individuals with a green card or who had a “substantial presence” in the US—inclusive of
the 50 US states and the District of Columbia. For more information on US income tax treatment of both resident and
nonresident aliens, see Internal Revenue Service (2017a).
4
For more information on filing requirements, see Internal Revenue Service (2016a) and Internal Revenue Service
(2016b).
5
US citizens and resident aliens who are bona fide residents of Guam, the US Virgin Islands, and the Northern
Mariana Islands are not required to file a Form 1040 with the IRS. US citizens and resident aliens who are bona fide
residents of American Samoa and Puerto Rico are only required to file a Form 1040 if they received income from a
source outside of the territory. For the definition of a bona fide resident and more information on filing requirements
for individuals with income from US possessions, see Internal Revenue Service (2017b).
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of income over the life cycle. It would be difficult, if not impossible, to use any other of unit of
analysis to study differences in income by age.
Another difference with many past studies using tax data is that—following Lurie and
Pearce (2021), and using the data collected and processed by the authors of that study—we
include individuals identified on Form 1095 (inclusive of Forms 1095-A, 1095-B, and 1095-C),
which provides information on health insurance coverage. Studies that use tax data typically do
not include individuals solely dependent on public assistance because the benefit payments are
not reported to the IRS—neither on tax returns nor on information returns. Although our
income measure will not include benefit payments from public assistance programs, our
population counts should include most, if not all, individuals who rely solely on public
assistance because they typically are covered by government provided health insurance.
Our method of estimating the US population from tax data builds on the work of many at
the US Department of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis (OTA), the Joint Committee on
Taxation (JCT), and the Internal Revenue Service Statistics of Income Division (SOI)—in
particular Cilke (2014) and Lurie and Pearce (2021).7 A more complete description of our
method and the resulting sample is provided in Brady and Bass (2023b).
2.1 Creating the Representative Sample
We create a representative sample of the US population in 2016 by combining three separate
subsamples: one for filers (primary or secondary taxpayers listed on a return), inclusive of both
non-dependent and dependent filers; one for dependent nonfilers; and one for non-dependent
nonfilers. Tax returns allow us to identify filers and the dependents they claim. Information
returns allow us to identify non-dependent nonfilers.
For analysis of annual income, we include in our population only those individuals who
survived through December 31, 2016.
Early work trying to measure the nonfiling population include Cilke (1998), Sailer and Weber (1998), Mortenson et
al. (2009), and Lawrence et al. (2011). Examples of other recent studies using tax data to represent the US population
include Saez (2016) and Larrimore et al. (2019).
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The composition of the 2016 population varies with age (Figure 1). Dependent nonfilers
(individuals identified as a dependent on Form 1040 and who do not file a dependent return)
represent most of the population at younger ages, with their share falling rapidly after age 15,
remaining low through middle age, and then increasing again at older ages. Largely mirroring
the decline in dependent nonfilers, filers (individuals who are primary or secondary taxpayers
on Form 1040) increase rapidly as a share of the population after age 15 and the share remains
high for those from their mid-20s through early 60s before falling off at older ages. Nondependent nonfilers (individuals not identified on a tax return but who receive at least one
information return) increase as a share of the population with age, with their share growth
accelerating after age 60.
As illustrated by their share of the population, the inclusion of nonfilers in the sample is
critical for measuring the income of the elderly. The nonfiler share of the population—inclusive
of both dependent nonfilers and non-dependent nonfilers—increases from 18 percent of
individuals aged 60 to 37 percent of individuals aged 80.
2.2 Marital Status
Individuals are categorized as either joint or non-joint. For individuals who file a return,
married individuals filing a joint return are categorized as joint and all other filers (single, head
of household, qualified widow[er], and married filing separately) are categorized as non-joint.
We do not attempt to impute marital status for nonfilers, so all dependent nonfilers and nondependent nonfilers are categorized as non-joint.
The joint share of the population in 2016 follows a hump-shaped pattern by age (Figure 2).
The joint population share increases rapidly after age 18, hitting one-quarter of the population
at age 27 and half of the population at age 37 before peaking at 56 percent at age 62. After age
62, the joint population share falls—at first slowly and then at an accelerated rate. In addition to
spousal death, a portion of the decline in the joint population share after age 62 may be
attributable to a falling share of the population filing a return. Among filers, the share filing a
joint return peaks at age 69, where it reaches 71 percent.
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2.3 Income and Tax Measures
We derive our total income measure from tax data, but it differs from the tax code’s
definition of income because we are primarily focused on measuring income available to spend
after paying taxes and saving for retirement. As such, we include some types of income
excluded from taxable income—such as tax-exempt interest and the nontaxable portion of Social
Security benefits. To the extent possible, we exclude from income all retirement plan
contributions and include in income all non-rollover retirement plan distributions—regardless
of whether contributions were from an employer or an employee, and regardless of their tax
treatment.8 This means we exclude from income not only tax-deferred employee contributions
to employer plans and IRAs, but also Roth contributions and non-Roth after-tax contributions.
It also means we include in income not only taxable non-Roth distributions, but also Roth
distributions and the portion of non-Roth distributions that represents basis. Finally, because
our spendable income measure does not account for state income taxes, we exclude from
income taxable state income tax refunds.
The income and taxes of filers are primarily derived from tax returns while the income and
taxes of nonfilers are derived solely from information returns. Table A.2 describes in detail how
we calculate our income and tax measures for both filers and nonfilers.
Note that we do not impute taxes. For filers, income taxes are based on the tax amounts
reported on Form 1040, and payroll taxes are based on both the amounts reported as withheld
on Form W-2 and amounts reported on Form 1040 (for self-employment taxes, taxes on
unreported tips, and uncollected payroll tax on wages). For nonfilers, both income and payroll
taxes are based on the amounts reported as withheld on information returns.
Our measure of total income is the sum of six types of income: labor (wage and salary, selfemployment earnings, unemployment compensation), Social Security (disability benefits and
retirement benefits), retirement (IRA distributions and income from pensions and annuities),9
investment (taxable interest, tax-exempt interest, dividends, gains/losses),
business/farm/rents/royalties (business and farm income in excess of self-employment
8
See Brady and Bass (2020b) for a description of how we identify rollover distributions.
9
Pension income includes income from both DB and DC pensions .
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earnings; income from rents, royalties, partnerships, S-corps, and trusts), and other (net
alimony [alimony received less alimony paid] and other income).10
Our measure of total income already accounts for all the savings we can identify using tax
data. Neither employer nor employee contributions to pensions are included in our measure of
total income.
As such, our measure of spendable income is calculated as total income less total federal
taxes. Total federal taxes are comprised of federal income taxes and the employee share of
payroll taxes. For filers, federal income taxes are taken from Form 1040 and payroll taxes are
based on a combination of amounts withheld on information returns and Form 1040. For
nonfilers, both federal income and payroll taxes are based on the amount withheld on
information returns. We do not attempt to estimate state and local taxes. We also do not impute
federal excise or corporate income tax burdens.
The primary measure of income we use to analyze the incidence and amount of income, in
total and by type, is per capita income, which allocates the joint income of married couples
equally to each spouse. For a primary or secondary taxpayer on a joint return, per capita income
is the income derived from the tax return divided by two. For a primary taxpayer on a non-joint
tax return, per capita income is simply the income derived from the tax return. Similarly, for
nonfilers (who are all assumed to be non-joint), per capita income is simply the income derived
from the individual’s information returns.
In addition to per capita income, we also report own income for labor, Social Security, and
retirement income. For individuals with joint marital status, we use information returns to
allocate income to the spouse who received the income. For individuals with a non-joint marital
status (inclusive of filers with a non-joint return and all non-filers), there is no difference
between own income and per capita income.
Importantly, neither per capita income nor own income adjusts for family or household
size. All income reported on a tax return is allocated to filers—the primary taxpayer in the case
Our income measure does not include public assistance income because benefit payments from such programs as
Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF), Supplemental Security Income (SSI), and Veteran Affairs (VA) are
not reported to the IRS—neither on tax returns nor on information returns.
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of non-joint returns and the primary and secondary taxpayers in the case of joint returns. The
number of dependents claimed on a tax return has no impact on either measure, as no filer
income is allocated to dependents. Dependents have income only if they file their own return or
have income reported on their own information returns.
2.4 Tax Rates
For individuals who have income, we calculate average effective tax rates. We categorize
individuals as having income if they have nonzero per capita total income in any of our six
broad income categories (labor, Social Security, retirement, investment,
business/farm/rents/royalties, and other) or in any of the components of investment income
(taxable interest, tax-exempt interest, dividends, and gains/losses). An individual’s average
effective tax rate is calculated as taxes paid divided by total income, with both taxes and income
measured on a per capita basis. Average effective tax rates are reported for federal income
taxes, payroll taxes, and total federal taxes.
2.5 Medians and Percentile Measures
The medians presented in this study are approximate, as true medians could represent
disclosure of an individual’s tax data. To calculate approximate medians, we average the 48th,
49th, 50th, 51st, and 52nd percentile values and then round that average (to the nearest dollar
for amounts less than $100, the nearest $10 for amounts from $100 to less than $10,000, the
nearest $100 for amounts of $10,000 or more, and two decimal places for percentages). We then
only report these approximate medians for groups with 100 or more observations. We use the
same method to report other percentile measures.
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3. Changes in Spendable Income over the Life Cycle
In this section, we examine differences in 2016 income by age. Differences reflect both agerelated differences (that is, changes in income that individuals typically experience with age)
and cohort differences (that is, differences caused by the unique historical experience of each
birth-year cohort).
We also examine changes in income by age controlling for income rank within each age
cohort. This can provide some insights into income dynamics across the income distribution
provided the income ranking of individuals within their age group is somewhat stable over
time.
Some caution is warranted when interpreting the cross-sectional results as representing the
typical life cycle experience. That said, we are encouraged that the results for those aged 55
through 72 are consistent with those of Brady and Bass (2023), which analyzed panel data, and
we believe examining the full 2016 cross-section provides additional insights into income
dynamics both before and after the transition into retirement.
Although we report changes in total income, we are primarily focused on changes in
spendable income—that is, income available to spend after paying taxes and saving for
retirement. Economic theory predicts that individuals generally attempt to maintain steady
consumption over the life cycle.11 We cannot measure consumption or spending with the tax
data, but we can measure income available to spend.
Optimization over the life cycle generally requires that the marginal utility of consumption be equal in each time
period. If certain other conditions are met, this would also imply that an individual would prefer to smooth
consumption over time. See Engen, Gale, and Uccello (2005) and Scholz, Seshadri, and Khitatrakun (2006) for a
more formal description of life-cycle models and for a discussion of retirement savings adequacy. To the extent that
some spending—such as a portion of spending on clothing and travel—are properly characterized as a cost of
working rather than consumption, and to the extent retirees substitute home production for market production —for
example, preparing lunch at home versus purchasing lunch at a fast food establishment or cafeteria, consumption
can be maintained even if spending declines at older ages. See Hurst (2008) for a discussion of consumption changes
in retirement. In addition, retired people may maintain their marginal utility by diminishing their consumption and
increasing their time devoted to leisure. At younger ages, life-cycle models typically predict that workers will take
on debt because, to the extent earnings typically increase early in a worker’s career, they may be able to finance
consumption in every year of their life that is higher than what they earn early in their career. One reason younger
workers may not borrow is that they lack access to credit (see Deaton 1991 for a discussion of liquidity constraints
and their effect on life-cycle models). Another reason is that, although workers can expect earnings to increase, on
average, future earnings are too uncertain for them to want to risk taking on debt (see Carroll 1997 for a discussion
of “buffer-stock” savings and its effect on life-cycle models).
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To calculate spendable income, we subtract total federal taxes (payroll taxes plus individual
income taxes) from total income. Our measure of total income already adjusts for retirement
savings—it excludes all contributions to qualified retirement plans (inclusive of both taxdeferred and taxable contributions) and includes all non-rollover distributions from qualified
plans (inclusive of both taxable and non-taxable distributions).
We find that spendable income varies less over the life cycle than does total income because
of the impact of taxes. Total federal taxes are a function of both the amount and the composition
of income. Spendable income typically increases by less than total income early in life, as
effective income tax rates generally increase with total income. Later in life, spendable income
typically decreases by less than total income as effective tax rates fall. Payroll tax rates fall as the
share of total income derived from labor declines. Income tax rates fall both because total
income is lower and because only a portion of Social Security benefits are included in taxable
income.
The extent to which taxes vary over the life cycle differs based on where individuals fall in
the income distribution. Controlling for income rank within each age cohort, the sharpest drops
in tax rates during the transition into retirement are experienced by those in the middle of the
income distribution.
Encompassing both differences in total income and differences in taxes, the age profile of
median spendable income is flatter for lower income groups. The highest income groups
experience the largest declines in spendable income during the transition into retirement.
Median spendable income actually increases for the bottom 60 percent of the income
distribution between age 61 and age 70.
3.1 Incidence and Amounts of Income by Age
The share of the 2016 population with income remains consistently high throughout
adulthood, and even increases slightly for those older than age 61 (Figure 3).12 The share of the
Individuals are categorized as having income if they have nonzero per capita income in any of our six broad
income categories (labor, Social Security, retirement, investment, business/farm/rents/royalties, and other) or in any of the
components of investment income (taxable interest, tax-exempt interest, dividends, and gains/losses). For the
derivation of these income measures, see Table A.2.
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population with income—inclusive of both filers and nonfilers with income—was very low for
young children but increases rapidly for teenagers and young adults, hitting 93 percent by
age 26. The share generally remains steady for those older than age 26, albeit increasing slightly
for those older than age 61. On average, 94 percent of the population had income—either
directly or through a spouse—from age 27 through age 61, and 96 percent of the population had
income from age 62 through age 90.
Conditional on having income, median per capita total income follows a hump-shaped
pattern with age in 2016 (Figure 4, blue line). Children 15 or younger with income typically
have small amounts, with median total income ranging from $50 for those younger than one
year of age to $1,200 at age 15.13 Median total income increases rapidly early in adulthood to
$30,000 at age 30 and then continues to increase with age but at a slower rate, peaking at $41,000
at age 46. Income declines with age for individuals older than 46—to $37,000 at age 61 and
$34,000 at age 70.14 After age 70, median total income falls by about 1.1 percent per year of age,
on average, through the late-90s.15
The age profile of median spendable income in 2016 (Figure 4, orange line) is flatter than
that of total income—particularly between age 61 and age 70—because of changes in taxes paid
over the life cycle. Prior to age 46, the growth in taxes paid results in spendable income
increasing less with age than total income. From age 46 to age 61, both total and spendable
median income falls roughly proportionately, with both declining by about 10 percent. The
largest difference in the two series was between age 61 and age 70, with median spendable
income $500 higher at age 70 ($32,800 versus $32,300 at age 61) despite median total income
being $2,900 lower ($34,300 versus $37,200 at age 61). After age 70, median spendable income
For ease of exposition, dollar amounts reported in the text are generally rounded to two significant digits. The
values plotted in the figures are available in an accompanying Excel spreadsheet.
13
Unlike the decline from age 46 to age 61, the decline in median per capita total income between age 61 and age 70
was associated with increased incidence. The share of the population with income increased 3.3 percentage points
between age 61 and age 70, from 93.7 percent to 97.0 percent.
14
Median total income declines 2.0 percent per year of age, on average, from age 70 through age 80, and 0.7 percent
per year of age, on average, from age 70 through age 98. Over the entire period from age 70 through age 98, median
spendable income falls by 1.1 percent per year of age, on average.
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declines a bit more slowly than total income, falling by about 1.0 percent per year of age, on
average, through the late-90s.16
3.2 Changes in Federal Taxes Over the Life Cycle
Median total federal taxes in 2016—the sum of payroll and income taxes—increases rapidly
through age 46 and remains high before beginning to edge down for individuals older than age
55 and then falling rapidly after age 61 (Figure 4, green line). As with income, median taxes
increase with age through age 46, but then taxes remain high even at ages where median total
income begins to decline, peaking for individuals in their early 50s. After age 61, taxes begin to
decline rapidly, and by age 84 more than half of individuals with income paid no federal tax—
neither payroll tax nor income tax.
As a share of total income, total federal taxes are lower for retirees than they were for any
other adults (Figure 5, top panel). From individuals in their late 20s to those in their early 60s,
the combination of payroll and income tax typically exceeds 12.0 percent of total income, with
median total federal tax rates peaking above 15.0 percent at age 55. For those older than age 60,
median total tax rates fall quickly over the ages individuals typically transition into retirement,
falling below 5.0 percent by age 68 and below 2.0 percent by age 74.
Payroll tax rates vary little with age for the typical individual in their prime working ages
but decline rapidly over the ages individuals typically transition into retirement (Figure 5,
middle panel). Median payroll tax rates are close to 7.65 percent from age 16 through age 55,
with the typical individual getting nearly all their income from labor. For individuals older than
age 55, median payroll tax rates edge down before falling rapidly for individuals older than age
61, as an increasing share of income is derived from sources—such as Social Security benefits
and retirement plan distributions—not subject to payroll taxes. By age 68, more than half of
individuals with income pay no payroll tax—either directly or through a spouse.
Median spendable income declines 1.8 percent per year of age, on average, from age 70 through age 80, and 0.6
percent per year of age, on average, from age 70 through age 98. Over the entire period from age 70 through age 98,
median spendable income falls by 1.0 percent per year of age, on average.
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In contrast to payroll tax rates, income tax rates vary more with age and peak much closer
to retirement (Figure 5, bottom panel). By single year of age, more than half of individuals with
income pay no income tax until age 19. The median income tax rate increases to nearly 5.0
percent for individuals aged 29 and remains about the same through age 37. For those older
than age 37, median income tax rates again increase with age and continue to increase even
after age 46, peaking above 7.8 percent from age 53 through age 61 despite declining median
income. For individuals older than age 61, median income tax rates decline sharply with age. By
age 81, more than half of individuals with income pay no federal income tax.
Family dynamics affect the income tax rates of younger individuals. Presumably, income
tax rates plateau from age 29 through age 37—despite total income increasing—because of
individuals purchasing homes and starting families at those ages, both of which typically
reduce income taxes for any given level of total income.17, 18 Conversely, income tax rates
continue to increase with age after age 46—despite total income decreasing—presumably
because of children getting older and eventually leaving the household and mortgage interest
expense declining as share of total income.19
Income tax rates fall late in life because of changes in both the amount and the composition
of income.20 Income tax rates typically decline at older ages because (1) total income generally
declines with age, and (2) only a portion of Social Security benefits are included in taxable
17
Filers who itemize can deduct their property taxes and mortgage interest expense.
In 2016, there were four tax provisions that provided tax benefits to filers with dependent children. A personal
exemption was allowed for qualifying dependents who were younger than 19 years of age or who were full-time
students younger than 24 years of age or who were permanently and totally disabled regardless of age (see Internal
Revenue Service 2016b). A non-refundable Child and Dependent Care Credit was available to offset work-related
care expenses for a dependent child younger than 13 years of age or for a disabled child or spouse (see Internal
Revenue Service 2016c). A partially refundable Child Credit was available for dependent children younger than
17 years of age (see Internal Revenue Service 2016d). A fully refundable Earned Income Credit (EIC) was available to
lower income filers but was considerably more valuable for filers with dependents (see Internal Revenue Service
2016e).
18
For the ages at which tax credits and exclusions for dependent children end, see note 18. With traditional fixed-rate
self-amortizing mortgages, mortgage interest expenses typically decline with age as the portion of the monthly
payments that represent mortgage interest declines over time. In addition, monthly payments are fixed in nominal
dollars with such mortgages and, thus, likely decline as a percentage of income over time.
19
20
For a more detailed discussion of why income taxes typically decline in retirement, see Brady (2016).
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income.21 In combination, these two changes reduce the share of total income subject to income
tax and reduce the share of taxable income subject to higher marginal tax rates.
3.3 Income and Taxes Controlling for Income Rank within Age Group
To examine how changes in income differ by the amount of total income individuals have,
we rank individuals by income within their single-year birth cohort. We then split those with
positive total income into ventiles (20 equally sized groups), with ventile 1 having the lowest
income and ventile 20 having the highest income. Those with non-positive total income,
representing 0.7 percent of those with income in 2016, are included in our income tabulations
for the entire sample but are not reported separately in the ventile tabulations.22
Examining changes in income by age controlling for income rank can provide some insights
into income dynamics provided the income ranking of individuals within their age group is
somewhat stable over time.
That said, some caution is warranted in interpreting the results. One reason is that income
rank is endogenous—that is, how an individual’s income changes with age will impact the
ventile into which they are categorized. Another reason is the composition of the population
with income changes with age, which can affect an individual’s rank even if they do not
experience large relative changes in income.
Two issues may be of particular importance at older ages that may have (at least partially)
offsetting effects. First, those with higher income are more likely to survive from year to year.
All else equal, this would shift some individuals into lower income ventiles with age. Second,
there is an increase in the share of the population with income after age 61. All else equal, and
The percentage of Social Security benefit payments included in gross income is based on a taxpayer’s modified
adjusted gross income (MAGI), which includes half of Social Security benefit payments plus other income included
in gross income. For single, head of household, and qualifying widow(er) returns: if MAGI is $25,000 or less, no
Social Security benefit payments are included in gross income; if MAGI is between $25,000 and $34,000, the lesser of
50 percent of Social Security benefit payments or 50 percent of MAGI in excess of $25,000 is included in gross income;
if MAGI is in excess of $34,000, the lesser of 85 percent of Social Security benefit payments or 85 percent of MAGI in
excess of $34,000 plus $4,500 [=50%*($34,000-$25,000)] is included in gross income. For joint returns, the MAGI
thresholds are $32,000 and $44,000, respectively. These thresholds are not indexed for inflation. For more information
on the taxation of Social Security benefits, see Internal Revenue Service (2017c).
21
22
See note 12 for an explanation of how we categorize individuals as having income.
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assuming those who had no income when aged 61 or younger also typically have relatively low
income when they are older than 61, this would tend to shift some individuals into higher
income ventiles with age.
3.3.1 Total Income by Ventile
Controlling for income rank within each single-year birth cohort, median total income is
typically hump shaped over the life cycle, with declines at older ages generally larger for higher
income ventiles (Figure 6).
Focusing on the top 15 ventiles (the highest 75 percent of the income distribution), higher
income ventiles generally experience larger declines after the age at which peak income is
reached, particularly from age 61 through age 70. For all 15 ventiles, total income increases
rapidly with age through the mid-40s, with income growing relatively more quickly for the
lower income ventiles before age 30 and then growing relatively more quickly for the higher
income ventiles after age 30. From peak income through age 61, all 15 ventiles experience
similar drops in median total income, with declines ranging from 8 percent to 10 percent. From
age 61 to age 70, however, higher income ventiles experience sharper drops in median total
income, ranging from no change for ventile 6 up to a 17 percent decline for ventile 20. After
age 70, declines with age are a bit more rapid in the middle of the income distribution.
The age patterns differ somewhat for the bottom five ventiles (the lowest 25 percent of the
income distribution), with age 70 income higher than age 46 income for the bottom three
ventiles and higher than age 61 income for all five ventiles. After age 70, median total income
remains higher than age 61 income for the bottom two ventiles and is either flat or declines
modestly for ventiles 3 through 5.
3.3.2 Federal Tax Rates by Ventile
Combining both income and payroll taxes, the middle-income ventiles have the sharpest
percentage point declines in federal total tax rates during the transition into retirement
(Figures 7a and 7b).
Relative to the middle-income ventiles, taxes fall less sharply for the lowest income ventiles
despite paying little or no taxes in retirement because they paid little or no taxes—or even
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received a net refund—prior to retirement. For example, while the typical individual in ventile 4
of their age group pays no federal taxes at ages 62 or higher, median total tax rates are negative
from age 27 through age 45 and are 2.0 percent or lower from age 46 through age 61.
Relative to the middle-income ventiles, total tax rates fall relatively less sharply for the
highest income ventiles both because income tax rates decline more gradually with age and
because payroll taxes represent a smaller share of their total income prior to retirement. For
example, median total tax rates for ventile 10 fall from a peak of 16 percent (from age 54
through age 57) to 3 percent by age 70, a drop of 13 percentage points. By comparison, median
total tax rates for ventile 20 fall from a peak of 28 percent (from age 42 through age 56) to 21
percent by age 70, a drop of 7 percentage points. Even though tax rates continue to decline with
age for the higher income ventiles after age 70, they do not match the percentage point declines
of the middle-income ventiles until after age 90.
Across income groups, median payroll taxes typically remain near 7.65 percent during
working years before declining rapidly as workers transition into retirement (Figure 7c).23 One
exception to that rule is that payroll taxes represent more than 7.65 percent of total income at
certain ages for the typical individuals in the top 11 income ventiles (ventiles 10 through 20),
presumably because employee retirement contributions are subject to payroll tax but are not
included in our measure of total income. Another exception is that median payroll tax rates fall
well below 7.65 percent at younger ages for the top 5 income ventiles (ventiles 16 through 20),
both because a worker’s labor earnings above $118,500 were not subject to the 6.2 percent Social
Security payroll tax in 2016 and because, with age, more of total income for these income
groups comes from sources not generally subject to payroll tax—such as interest, dividends,
and capital gains.
At older ages, the higher income ventiles are more likely to be subject to payroll taxes.
Median payroll taxes are zero for the bottom three ventiles (ventiles 1 through 3) by age 62, for
Although we do not plot data prior to age 20, the middle-income ventiles are more likely to be subject to payroll
taxes at younger ages. Children younger than 15 typically pay no payroll tax, regardless of income, with the highest
income ventiles typically getting their income from Social Security benefits and the lowest income ventiles getting de
minimis amounts from interest, dividends, and other income not subject to payroll tax. Median payroll tax rates are
positive for the middle income ventiles starting at age 15 and are positive for all ventiles by age 19.
23
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the two middle ventiles (ventiles 10 and 11) by age 68, and for the top ventile (ventile 20) by
age 75.
Median income tax rates follow considerably different patterns by age when controlling for
individuals’ income rank within their age group (Figure 7d). For the top two income ventiles
(ventiles 19 and 20), median income tax rates peak at age 48—the same age at which median
total income peaks. The tax benefits of children and, for filers who itemize, home ownership can
be seen more clearly in the age profile of the other income ventiles, as median income tax rates
plateau or decline in the late-20s or early-30s despite median total income generally increasing,
and then continue to increase even after median total income peaks.
Median income taxes for the seven lowest income ventiles (ventiles 1 through 7) are
negative—that is, taxpayers get refunds in excess of income taxes paid—beginning at age 25.
Median income taxes are negative for the lowest seven ventiles through age 40, for the lowest
four ventiles through age 50, and for ventile 2 through age 57. Net refunds are highest—both as
a percentage of total income and in absolute dollars—for ventile 4, peaking at 20 percent of
income, or $2,940 per capita, at age 35. Median income taxes are never positive for the lowest
four ventiles and remain low for ventiles 5 through 7, with ventile 7 peaking at 5.7 percent of
income at age 55. Median income taxes fall quickly after age 60 for ventiles 5, 6, and 7—falling
to zero by age 62, 64, and 66, respectively.
Median income tax rates are never negative for the next nine income ventiles nearer the
middle of the income distribution (ventiles 8 through 16), but they do decline beginning in the
mid- to late-20s before increasing again and peaking at age 55 or older. Peak median income tax
rates from the middle income ventiles range from 7.2 percent at age 55 for ventile 8 to
13 percent at age 60 for ventile 16. After age 60, median income tax rates decline sharply
through age 68 and then more slowly thereafter.
Median income taxes for the four highest income ventiles (ventiles 17 through 20) follow
more of a hump-shaped pattern with age, increasing with age initially and then declining. Peak
median income tax rates range from 14 percent at age 60 for ventile 17 to 24 percent at age 48 for
ventile 20. After age 60, median income tax rates typically decline more slowly than they do for
the middle-income ventiles.
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3.3.3 Spendable Income by Ventile
The impact of taxes varies considerably across income ventiles, but the end result is that
median spendable income generally has a flatter age profile than median total income
(Figure 8). The lone exception is ventile 1, for whom there is little difference between total and
spendable income at any age. For the lowest income ventiles, the primary impact of the federal
tax system is that spendable income exceeds total income at younger ages when they benefit
from child-related refundable credits. For the rest of the population, federal taxes generally
cause spendable income to increase more slowly than total income at younger ages and decline
more slowly as they transition into retirement.
Encompassing both differences in total income and differences in taxes, the age profile of
median spendable income is flatter for lower income ventiles. Lower income ventiles are closer
to their peak spendable income in their 30s, with median spendable income at age 35
representing 95 percent of the peak for ventile 5, 85 percent for ventile 15, and 67 percent for
ventile 20. After peaking, spendable income declines for all but the lowest income ventile
through age 61, but then increases for the bottom 12 ventiles between age 61 and age 70. In
contrast, median spendable income declines by 11 percent for the top ventile over those same
ages. Relative to peak spendable income, higher income ventiles experience larger declines in
median spendable income from their peak to age 70. This remains true until after age 80, at
which point median spendable income continues to decline slowly with age near the middle of
the income distribution but declines more slowly—or even increases—for the bottom and top of
the income distribution.
3.4 Summary of Changes in Spendable Income over the Life Cycle
Examining a cross-section of the population by age, we do not find a drop in spendable
income at the ages normally associated with the transition from work to retirement. In fact,
from age 61 through age 70, we find an increase in both the share of the population with income
and the median amount of spendable income that those individuals have. Controlling for
income rank within each age cohort, the highest income ventiles experience the largest declines
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in spendable income over these ages, with median spendable income actually increasing for the
bottom 12 income ventiles.
More broadly looking over the entire life cycle, most adults have income with the median
amount of spendable income typically hump shaped over the life cycle. The share of the
population with income was 94 percent, on average, from age 27 through age 61, and was 96
percent, on average, from age 62 through age 90. Among those with income, median spendable
income peaks at age 46 and falls by 10 percent of the peak by age 61. Despite the increase in the
share of the population with income, median spendable income remains roughly flat from
age 61 through age 70. On average from age 70 through age 90, median spendable income
declines by 1.0 percent per year.
The age profile of spendable income is flatter than that of total income because of changes
in effective tax rates over the life cycle. In particular, median total federal tax rates were lower
for retirees than they were for any other adults. Controlling for income rank within each age
cohort, tax rates decline the most immediately after age 61 for those in the middle of the income
distribution.
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4. Changes in the Composition of Income over the Life Cycle
Throughout their lifetimes, most Americans get most of their income from three sources—
labor income (wages, self-employment earnings, and unemployment compensation), Social
Security income (disability, retirement, and survivor benefits), and retirement income (IRA
distributions and pension and annuity income). All three of these income sources are ultimately
derived from work—either as current compensation (labor income), deferred compensation
(retirement income), or government benefits based on a worker’s earnings history (Social
Security income). The only groups that typically get more than a de minimis amount from other
sources are older individuals in the highest income ventiles.
Broadly over the life cycle, there is a decline in the importance of labor income with age
and an increase in the importance of Social Security and retirement income. From age 16
through age 55, the typical individual derives 100 percent of their income from labor. By age 68,
the typical individual derives none of their income from labor.
The data suggest, however, that the transition from work to retirement typically does not
occur at a single point in time. The data also show that the relative importance of Social Security
benefits and retirement plan distributions varies considerably across the income distribution.
As with previous work using tax data, we find that retirement income is much more
prevalent than reported in household survey data. Consistent with the findings of Brady and
Bass (2023a)—which followed individuals from age 55 through age 72 using panel data—we
find that more than 70 percent of individuals receive retirement income at age 72, either directly
or through a spouse. The cross-section data we analyze here further shows that age 72 is not an
outlier: own or spouse retirement income incidence is 70 percent or higher from age 71 through
age 91.
4.1 Income Sources and Amounts by Age
For analysis, we separate income into two broad categories. The first category includes
labor, Social Security, and retirement income—which, for brevity and clarity, we refer to as
Labor+SS+Retire income. The second category includes all other sources of income (including
taxable interest, tax-exempt interest, dividends, gains/losses, rents, royalties and income from
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partnerships and S-corporations)—which, for brevity, we refer to as non-Labor+SS+Retire
income.24
Few children aged 13 or younger have any income and those who do typically have small
amounts (Figure 9). Median total income ranges from $50 for the 1.1 percent of children
younger than one year of age who have income to $900 for the 13 percent of children aged 13
who have income. Initially most children get all their income from non-Labor+SS+Retire
income—primarily de minimis amounts of interest and dividends. Although the median
amount of non-Labor+SS+Retire income changes little with age for children, the share of
children with Labor+SS+Retire income—primarily Social Security benefits—increases, pulling
up the median amount of total income.
Beginning at age 14, the share of the population with Labor+SS+Retire income follows a
similar age profile as the share with total income. The share of the population with
Labor+SS+Retire income increases rapidly, hitting 90 percent at age 26 and remaining around
that level through age 61 (figure 9, top panel). After age 61, the share increases again, averaging
96 percent from age 65 through age 90.
Beginning at age 18, per capita median Labor+SS+Retire income follows a hump-shaped
pattern with age similar to that of median total income (Figure 9, bottom panel).
The incidence of non-Labor+SS+Retire income increases with age, with at least half of the
population having the income beginning at age 42, but the income amounts are typically low.
Conditional on having the income, median non-Labor+SS+Retire income declines with age after
the early 20s as the incidence of the income increases, and then, around age 40, it begins to
increase with age. That said, the median amounts were $250 or less through age 61. After
age 61, the median amount continues to increase, hitting $500 at age 72 and $1,000 at age 82.
From age 18 through age 61, 3.5 percent of the population, on average, has only
non-Labor+SS+Retire income. That share falls to less than 0.5 percent from age 70 through
age 94.
When choosing our shorthand for these broad income categories, we admittedly prioritized clarity over eloquence.
This is because our previous attempts to create an eloquent shorthand for Labor+SS+Retire income (such as “workrelated income” and “income derived from work”) caused considerable confusion among readers.
24
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The remainder of this discussion will focus on income from labor, Social Security, and
retirement. More detailed information on non-Labor+SS+Retire income is available in a
supplemental appendix.
4.1.1 Labor Income
Incidence of own labor income peaks in the mid-20s then declines slowly with age before
dropping more rapidly as individuals transition into retirement (Figure 10, top left panel, dark
orange line). Own labor incidence increases rapidly after age 15, peaking at 86 percent from
age 23 through age 27. The share of the population working then declines with age—at first
slowly and then accelerating beginning in the late 40s. The sharpest declines in work occur in
the 60s and early 70s, with own labor income incidence falling from 63 percent at age 61 to
17 percent at age 75.
Compared with own incidence, own or spouse labor income incidence peaks later, remains
steadier through middle age, and then declines more slowly with age until later in life (Figure
10, top left panel, light orange line). This is because the share of the population who only receive
labor income through a spouse increases with age, peaking above 13 percent from age 65
through age 67. As a result, own or spouse labor incidence peaks at 90 percent from age 27
through age 37 and remains above 88 percent through age 46. As with own incidence, own or
spouse labor income incidence declines sharply in the 60s and early 70s, falling from 75 percent
at age 61 to 25 percent at age 75.
For those with the income, the median amount increases rapidly from the mid-teens
through the late-30s, remains fairly steady through the late 50s, and then begins to decline at an
accelerating rate (Figure 10, top right panel, dark orange line). Median own labor income is
$40,000 or higher from age 40 through age 58, with peak earnings of $42,500 at age 46. As own
labor incidence declines at older ages, the median income of those who continue to work also
falls, from just over $37,000 at age 61 to $11,000 at age 75. Median per capita labor income
follows a similar path as own income through age 46 but then declines more rapidly through
age 61, as the share of married individuals with only spousal labor income increases (Figure 10,
top right panel, light orange line).
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4.1.2 Social Security Income
Own incidence of Social Security income follows different patterns for three different
groups: children, disabled adults, and retirees (Figure 10, middle left panel, dark green line).25
Among children, own Social Security incidence peaks at 10 percent of the population at
age 18. Children generally receive benefits if they have a parent who either receives Social
Security benefits or is deceased. To receive benefits, children need to be either (a) younger than
age 18, (b) younger than age 19 and still attending primary or secondary school, or (c) any age
with a disability that began before age 22.26 The share of children receiving benefits increases
with age to 10 percent at age 18 and then declines rapidly, hitting 0.6 percent at age 21. Children
with Social Security are about evenly split between those receiving disability benefits and those
receiving retirement or survivor benefits.27
In the early-20s, the share of the population directly receiving Social Security benefits
begins to grow again with age, albeit slowly, hitting 12 percent at age 59. Nearly all the growth
in own Social Security incidence over these ages represents individuals receiving disability
benefits. At age 59, 93 percent of Social Security beneficiaries receive disability payments.
After age 59, growth in own Social Security income incidence accelerates—first at age 60,
when individuals with a deceased spouse can generally first claim survivor benefits, and again
at age 62, the early claiming age for retirement benefits.28 At age 72, 94 percent of the population
receives their own Social Security income. By single year of age, the largest percentage point
increases in own incidence occur at age 62 (when it increases from 15 percent to 33 percent) and
the full benefit retirement age of 66 (when it increases from 60 percent to 81 percent).29
In this paper, own Social Security income refers to any benefits sent directly to an individual and which would be
reported as being sent to the individual on Form SSA-1099. These would include an individual’s own benefits—that
is, disability and retirement benefits to which the individual is entitled based on their own work history. It would
also include benefits paid to children or spouses (including survivors) based on the work history of a parent or
spouse.
25
26
For a more detailed discussion of benefit eligibility for children, see https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10085.pdf.
The tax data allow us to identify disability benefits but do not allow us to distinguish between retirement and
survivor benefits.
27
28
Disabled widows/widowers and those with a child younger than age 16 can claim survivor benefits before age 60.
Age 66 was the full benefit retirement age for individuals born from 1943 through 1954 (age 73 through age 62 in
2016). The full benefit retirement age increases ratably to age 67 for those born in 1960 or later (aged 56 or younger in
2016).
29
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When looking more broadly at the share of the population who received Social Security
either directly or through a spouse, we see a similar pattern of incidence by age except during
middle age (Figure 10, middle left panel, light green line). Through age 43, less than 1.0 percent
of the population did not receive Social Security benefits but had a spouse who did—either
because the spouse received disability benefits or because the spouse was older and had already
claimed retirement benefits. After age 43, spousal only Social Security income incidence
increases with age, peaking at 12 percent of the population at age 61. This share then declines
with age as the share of married individuals with their own Social Security benefits increases.
After age 70, less than 1.0 percent of the population receives Social Security income only
indirectly through a spouse.
For those receiving Social Security benefits, median Social Security income generally
increases with age, with median own income peaking just below $17,000 and median per capita
income peaking just above $16,000 from age 70 through age 76 (Figure 10, middle right panel).
Median own Social Security income is substantially lower at ages when incidence either drops
rapidly (age 19 through age 21) or increases rapidly (age 62 through age 66), as at those ages
many of the individuals exiting or entering the benefit rolls would have received less than a full
year of benefits. This effect is less notable for median per capita income during the 60s because
some individuals claiming benefits mid-year had a spouse who was already receiving Social
Security income. After age 76, both own and per capita median Social Security income decline
only modestly with age.
4.1.3 Retirement Income
Incidence of retirement income (IRA distributions plus pension and annuity income)
increases with age, with 70 percent or more of the population receiving retirement income
directly or through a spouse from age 71 through age 91 (Figure 10, bottom left panel).
Growth in own retirement income incidence increases with age—at first slowly and then
more quickly, particularly beginning at age 55 (Figure 10, bottom left panel, dark red line). The
largest percentage point increases in incidence were at certain ages related to pension rules. The
first of these ages was age 60, immediately following the elimination of the early withdrawal
penalty at age 59½ (when own incidence increases from 19 percent to 25 percent). The second
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was age 65, the normal retirement age for many DB pensions (when own incidence increases
from 37 percent to 43 percent). And the final big increase was from age 69 to age 71, around age
70½, after which distributions generally are required from IRAs and DC plans (when own
incidence increases from 52 percent to 63 percent).30 From age 72 through age 95, 64 percent or
more of the population received retirement income directly.
When looking more broadly at the share of the population who received retirement income
either directly or through a spouse, incidence was higher, particularly for individuals in
their 60s. For example, own or spouse retirement income incidence at age 43 was 10 percent,
including 3 percent of the population who only had spousal retirement income. The share with
only spousal retirement income increases with age, peaking at 12 percent at age 69—prior to the
age at which distributions are required from most IRAs and DC plans. The share with only
spousal retirement income then drops to 7 percent at age 71 and continues to decline with age
thereafter. Nevertheless, from age 71 through age 91, 70 percent or more of the population
receives retirement income directly or through a spouse.
For those with the income, median retirement income grows slowly with age after age 20
but remains fairly modest at younger ages (Figure 10, lower right panel). For example, median
own retirement income is just over $2,300 at age 30 and is $4,500 at age 40.
Growth in median amounts with age begins to accelerate around age 50, with median per
capita retirement income peaking at $15,200 at age 71. Own retirement income actually peaks at
$17,200 at age 68 and age 69, prior to required distributions from most IRAs and DC plans, and
then falls to $15,800 by age 71. Both own and per capita income then decline slowly with age
thereafter.
4.1.4 Transition into Retirement
The age patterns of income receipt suggest that, for many, retirement is more of a
transitional period than it is an event that occurs at a single point in time. Although we observe
a decline in the incidence of own labor income and an increase in the incidence of both own
In 2016, starting in the tax year an individual turns aged 70½ distributions were required from (i) traditional IRAs
and (ii) defined contribution plans after separation from employment. Distributions were not required for those aged
70½ or older from (i) Roth IRAs or (ii) defined contribution plans prior to separation from employment.
30
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Social Security and own retirement income over the life cycle, the year-to-year changes are not
highly correlated immediately after age 61—the ages at which many workers transition into
retirement (Figure 11, top left panel). For example, own Social Security incidence increased by
71 percentage points from age 61 to age 67, but incidence of own labor income declined by only
30 percentage points from age 61 to age 68.31
One reason the annual incidence changes were not highly correlated is that some
individuals may not have had their own labor income in the year (or years) before they first
received their own Social Security income. Indeed, the increased share of the population who
received their own Labor+SS+Retire income after age 61 suggests that some individuals had
neither their own labor income nor their own retirement income prior to claiming Social
Security benefits. In addition, another 7 percent of the population was not working and only
had own retirement income at age 61 (Figure 11, bottom left panel).
Another reason the annual incidence changes were not highly correlated is that some
individuals may have continued to work after claiming Social Security or after beginning to
receive retirement income (Figure 11, bottom left panel). For example, of those with their own
retirement income, 85 percent at age 50 and 68 percent at age 60 also had their own labor
income. Of those aged 66 who received their own Social Security income, 38 percent also
received their own labor income. For both groups, the share with labor income remained above
30 percent through age 68.
4.1.5 Labor+SS+Retire Income
When the incidence and amounts of labor, Social Security, and retirement income are
examined separately, it may be difficult to make sense of the results—especially during the
transition into retirement.
A more coherent picture emerges when looking at the share of the population with income
from at least one of these three sources: incidence is high and fairly stable during prime
working years and then increases further in retirement (Figure 12, left panel).
Because we observe annual income, we extend the labor calculation to age 68 to account for work prior to claiming
during the year the individual reaches age 67.
31
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The share of the population with their own income from at least one of these three sources
is much higher after age 61. Own Labor+SS+Retire income incidence peaks at 87 percent in the
mid-20s and then declines slowly with age to 82 percent at age 61. Associated with claiming of
Social Security benefits, own incidence increases sharply after age 61, averaging 95.4 percent
from age 66 through age 90.
In contrast, the share of the population receiving this income either directly or through a
spouse increases much less dramatically after age 61. Own or spouse Labor+SS+Retire income
incidence is more stable than own incidence during prime working years, equal to 90 percent or
more of the population from age 26 through age 61 and averaging 91 percent. Own or spouse
incidence also increases after age 61, albeit less dramatically than own incidence, averaging 95.7
percent from age 66 through age 90.
Although the decline in own Labor+SS+Retire income prior to age 61 is largely accounted
for by those who have a spouse with the income, the data indicate that some portion of the
population has only intermittent work prior to claiming Social Security or receiving retirement
income. In particular, Social Security benefits are only available to those who have worked, or
had a spouse who worked, long enough to qualify for benefits. In the case of Social Security
retirement benefits, the equivalent of 10 years of work is required. The increased incidence in
Labor+SS+Retire income after age 61 indicates that some individuals/couples worked long
enough to be eligible for benefits but were not employed consistently prior to claiming those
benefits.
Median own and per capita Labor+SS+Retire income follow a similar path through age 61
(Figure 12, right panel). Prior to age 14, when most with Labor+SS+Retire income are receiving
Social Security benefits, median amounts increase slowly with age to just over $5,000 at age 13.
As the share with labor income then increases with age, median amounts decline to just under
$2,200 at age 16 and then increase with age, with both own and per capita median
Labor+SS+Retire income peaking at over $41,000 at age 46. Median amounts then decline slowly
until age 61, to just under $37,000.
Immediately after age 61, per capita amounts of Labor+SS+Retire income decline more
slowly with age than own amounts because the share of two-income married couples increases.
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The sharp increase in own Labor+SS+Retire income incidence after age 61 is associated with a
sharp decline in own median amounts—which is consistent with individuals who previously
had no income beginning to receive relatively low amounts. But because many of those without
own Labor+SS+Retire income at age 61 were married individuals who had a spouse with the
income, the decline in per capita amounts is much less dramatic.
4.2 Income Sources and Amounts by Age and Income
The transition from relying primarily on labor income to relying primarily on retirement
and/or Social Security income tends to occur at younger ages for lower-income individuals. For
the lowest income ventiles, a good deal of this transition occurs prior to the early claiming age
for Social Security retirement benefits (age 62). For example, at age 61 fewer than half of
individuals in ventile 2 and ventile 3 receive labor income either directly or through spouse
while more than half receive Social Security income. More generally, higher income individuals
are more likely to work longer and to delay claiming Social Security benefits.
In retirement, the relative importance of Social Security and retirement income varies
considerably across the income distribution. Individuals in the lowest income ventiles are much
less likely to have retirement income and those who do generally have small amounts. The
importance of retirement income, however, increases rapidly with income. At age 72, for
example, 90 percent of individuals in ventile 10 receive retirement income either directly or
through a spouse, with the median amount per capita equal to $12,000.
4.2.1 Labor Income
Perhaps not surprisingly, the lowest income ventiles are much less likely to have labor
income during typical working years (Figure 13). Most individuals have their own labor income
in their early to mid-20s regardless of income rank. At age 25, own labor income incidence
ranges from 77 percent for the lowest-income ventile to 97 percent for the eight highest-income
ventiles. Long before typical retirement ages, however, labor income becomes much less
prevalent for the lowest income ventiles
Through age 50, ventiles 11 through 19 all have similar age patterns of labor income
incidence (Figure 13, top panel). For this group as a whole, own labor incidence is 97 percent at
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age 25, falls modestly through the early 30s, and then stabilizes, averaging 92 percent from age
33 through age 50. This decline in own incidence is largely attributable to married individuals
with working spouses, as the share who receive labor income either directly or through a
spouse averages 99 percent from age 25 through age 50
For the lower income ventiles (Figure 13, bottom panel), the drop in own labor income
incidence after the mid-20s is progressively more pronounced as income-rank falls, although it
only translates into a fall in own or spouse incidence for the lowest income ventiles. For
example, own or spouse labor income incidence for ventile 5 is 93 percent from age 33 through
age 42—the same as it was at age 25—and is 90 percent or more until age 50. In contrast, own or
spouse incidence falls consistently over these ages for the bottom three ventiles, with only about
two-thirds receiving labor income, either directly or through a spouse, at age 50.
The highest income ventile has a unique age profile (Figure 13, top panel). Like the lower
income ventiles, own labor income incidence falls substantially with age—from 97 percent at
age 25 to just over 80 percent at age 50. Like the higher income ventiles, however, own or
spouse labor income incidence remains high and stable, remaining at 98 percent from age 25
through age 44, and is still at 97 percent at age 50.
After age 50, labor income incidence falls across all ventiles with declines accelerating after
age 61, but the declines typically occur at younger ages in the lower income ventiles (Figure 13).
For example, by age 61, own labor incidence is 40 percent or less for the three lowest income
ventiles, and own or spouse labor incidence is below 50 percent. In contrast, own labor
incidence for ventile 11 is just over 75 percent at age 61 and own or spouse labor incidence is
nearly 90 percent. Own labor incidence for ventile 11 does not fall to 40 percent until age 67 and
own or spouse labor incidence does not fall below 50 percent until age 69.
Once again, the highest income ventile has a unique age profile after age 50. Compared
with the rest of the top half of the income distribution, the top ventile has much lower own—
and slightly lower own or spouse—labor income incidence through the late 50s but has the
highest incidence of both at ages 64 and older. At age 75, more than half of the top income
ventile receives labor income, either directly or through a spouse.
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Conditional on working, own and per capita labor income generally peaks in the mid- to
late-40s, declines modestly through the early to mid-60s, and then declines more rapidly
(Figure 14). The lone exception is the lowest income quintile, where median labor income tends
to drift upward with age even as the share working declines.
Labor income is relatively modest for most workers (Figure 14). At age 46, both own and
per capita median labor income peak around $20,000 for ventile 5 and below $40,000 for
ventile 10. Peak median labor income exceeds $100,000 only for the top two ventiles.
Labor income follows a similar pattern by age for ventiles 3 through 18 (the middle 80
percent of the income distribution). For these ventiles, both own and per capita median labor
income peak in the mid- to late-40s and are 95 percent or more of the peak amounts from age 43
through age 55. The decline in earnings with age accelerates after age 61, albeit more quickly for
the lower income ventiles. At age 73, both own and per capita median labor income are less
than 30 percent of the peak amounts for ventiles 3 through 18.
Compared with the middle income ventiles, earnings initially fall more quickly with age
after reaching their peak for the top two income ventiles, but then fall more slowly after age 61.
For example, median own labor income at age 61 is only 77 percent of peak earnings for
ventile 20, compared with an average of 89 percent for ventiles 3 through 18. At age 73,
however, median earnings for ventile 20 are still 38 percent their peak, compared with 26
percent of their peak, on average, for ventiles 3 through 18.
The importance of labor income thus declines at older ages both because fewer individuals
work (or have a spouse who does) and because those who continue to work typically earn less
than younger workers. For those with income from work at age 75, for example, median per
capita labor income is below $10,000 for the bottom 14 ventiles and below $20,000 for the
bottom 18 ventiles.
4.2.2 Social Security and Retirement Income
For those younger than age 60—when own Social Security income primarily represents
disability benefits—Social Security incidence generally declines with income (Figure 15, left
panels). At these younger ages, incidence is typically highest among individuals in the second
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and third ventiles, with about one-in-four individuals in these income groups already receiving
their own Social Security benefits by age 50 and about four-in-ten receiving it by age 59.
For those aged 60 or older, lower income is associated with earlier claiming of Social
Security retirement benefits (Figure 16, left panel).32 Of the increase in own Social Security
income incidence observed between age 59 and age 72, 60 percent occurred by age 63 for the
lowest five ventiles, on average, whereas only about 20 percent occurred at age 66 (the full
benefit age) or older.33 In contrast, only 20 percent of the increase in own Social Security
incidence occurred by age 63 for the top five ventiles, on average, while 65 percent occurred at
age 66 or older.
At age 70, nearly all received Social Security benefits either directly or through a spouse
(Figure 16, right panel), and incidence remains high at older ages (Figure 15, right panels). At
age 72, for example, ventile one has the lowest own or spouse Social Security incidence at
90 percent. Incidence for the other ventiles ranges from 97 percent for ventiles 18 and 19 up to
99 percent for ventiles 4 through 12.
Consistent with Social Security’s progressive benefit formula, median Social Security
income for those aged 70 or older differs more among the bottom five ventiles than it does
among the top 15 ventiles (Figure 17). Social Security benefits are designed to replace a high
share of wages for workers with low lifetime earnings but increase more slowly as lifetime
earnings increase.
Controlling for income rank among those aged 70 or older, median Social Security income
has a relatively flat age profile for the bottom income ventiles but is typically higher for younger
cohorts in the top income ventiles (Figure 17).34 For all but the lowest three ventiles, median
The figure reports any Social Security (retirement, survivor, or disability) receipt, but after age 60, the largest
incidence changes are from retirement or survivor claims.
32
33
Age 66 is the full benefit age for individuals aged 62 through 73 at year-end 2016 (see note 29).
There are multiple, possibly offsetting, reasons median own Social Security income would differ by age. First,
younger higher earners would have higher benefits because the maximum amount of annual earnings on which taxes
were collected—and, thus, the maximum amount of annual earning on which benefit calculations were based—
increased substantially in the 1970s and early 1980s, from roughly 125 percent of the average wage index (AWI) in
1972 to roughly 235 percent of AWI in 1983. All else equal, this would increase benefits for those earning above
125 percent of AWI but would not impact other workers. Second, average real earnings have increased over time
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own income is at least modestly higher for younger cohorts. Median per capita Social Security
income, however, is consistently higher for younger cohorts only for those in the top of the
income distribution.
Incidence of income from pensions, annuities, and IRAs generally increases with income
for both the young and the old, although incidence peaks below the top ventile for those older
than age 35 (Figure 18). Retirement income incidence for ventile 20 is lowest relative to the rest
of the top half of the income distribution for individuals in their 60s, who are not yet required to
take retirement plan distributions (Figure 18, top panels). Much of that difference disappears
between age 69 and age 72, however, when incidence increases most sharply for the top income
ventile.
Controlling for individuals’ income rank within their birth cohort, retirement income
incidence generally follows a similar pattern by age—increasing most rapidly from the late 50s
through the early 70s and then remaining about the same at older ages. The lowest income
ventile is an exception to this rule, with incidence peaking for those aged 61.
Among individuals aged 70 or older, incidence of retirement income increases rapidly with
income for the bottom half of the income distribution, while nearly all in the top half of the
income distribution receive the income. At age 72, for example, 90 percent of ventile 10 received
retirement income either directly or through a spouse, compared with 54 percent of ventile 5.
For the top half of the income distribution, own or spouse incidence at age 72 ranges from
91 percent for ventile 11 up to 94 percent for ventiles 17 through 19.
Among those aged 70 or older with the income, median retirement income varies much
more across income ventiles than does median Social Security income (Figures 17 and 19).
Within each birth cohort aged 70 or older, median retirement income for ventile 10 is more than
which, all else equal, would result in younger cohorts having higher benefits across the income distribution.
Counteracting these two changes, the full benefit age increased from age 65 for those born in 1937 or earlier (aged 79
or older in 2016) to age 66 for those born from 1943 to 1954 (aged 62 to 73 in 2016). For those claiming at age 65, this
change would have reduced benefits by 6.7 percent. In addition, differential mortality can affect median benefits.
Differential mortality by income would tend to increase median benefits for older individuals, as those with higher
lifetime earnings—and, thus, higher Social Security benefits—would be more likely to survive to older ages.
Differential mortality by gender could also affect median benefits, but the availability of survivor benefits makes it
unclear what that impact would be.
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triple that of ventile 5, and median retirement income for ventile 15 is more than twice that of
ventile 10. At age 72, for example, median per capita retirement income is $3,350 for ventile 5,
$12,000 for ventile 10, and $26,000 for ventile 15.
Controlling for income rank among those aged 70 or older, median retirement income is
typically higher for younger cohorts (Figure 19). The exceptions are the two highest income
ventiles, with median retirement income having a relatively flat age profile for ventile 19 and
increasing with age for ventile 20. Retirement income declines with age for the other ventiles,
with the largest declines near the middle of the income distribution. For example, median percapita retirement income of ventile 10 is 40 percent higher for those in their early 70s (averaging
just over $12,000) than for those in their late 80s (averaging $8,700).
To better illustrate how the relative importance of Social Security and retirement income
varies with total income, Figure 20 shows the incidence and conditional median amounts of
those two income sources for all 20 ventiles among individuals for a single birth-year cohort—
those aged 72 in 2016.
Regardless of income, nearly all received Social Security benefits—either directly or
through a spouse—at age 72 (Figure 20, top panel). Most of those without Social Security who
have lower income in retirement presumably did not work long enough to qualify for benefits,
nor did they have a spouse who did.35 Those without Social Security who have higher income in
retirement were most likely former government workers who, because they were covered by an
alternative pension system, were not required to participate in Social Security.
In contrast to Social Security income, the share who received retirement distributions at
age 72 varied considerably across the income distribution. Individuals in the lowest income
ventiles were unlikely to have retirement income but incidence increases sharply with income,
with own or spouse retirement income incidence greater than 50 percent for ventile 5 and
higher, 75 percent or more for ventile 7 and higher, and 90 percent or more for ventile 10 and
higher.
Individuals are required to have the equivalent of 10 years of covered employment to qualify for Social Security
benefits. Individuals who do not qualify based on their own work history, however, would be eligible to receive
spousal or survivor benefits if they were married, for 10 years or longer, to a worker who qualified for Social Security
benefits. See note 25 for a further explanation of how we measure receipt of own Social Security income.
35
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Median retirement income also varies more by income ventile than does median Social
Security income (Figure 20, bottom panel). Not only are those with lower income less likely to
have retirement income, but those who do typically receive modest amounts. Median per capita
retirement income increases rapidly as total income increases, however, and is greater than
median Social Security benefits for ventile 13 and higher (representing the top 40 percent of the
population).
4.2.3 Labor+SS+Retire Income
For most income ventiles, the share of working-age individuals with own Labor+SS+Retire
income peaks for those in their late teens or early 20s, declines with age through the early to
mid-30s, and then remains fairly stable through age 61 (Figure 21, left panels). For ventiles 9
through 19, for example, own Labor+SS+Retire income incidence is 98 percent or higher at
age 19 (not shown on the chart) and remains 90 percent or higher through age 61.
This pattern differs for both the lowest income ventile and the highest income ventile. For
ventile 1, own Labor+SS+Retire income incidence falls fairly steadily with age, from 80 percent
in the late 20s to only 63 percent at age 61. For ventile 20, own Labor+SS+Retire income
incidence is 97 percent from age 20 through age 25, but then declines to 90 percent at age 35 and
is 85 percent or less from age 43 through age 61.
Among higher income ventiles, most without their own Labor+SS+Retire income have a
spouse with the income. For ventiles 9 through 19, for example, own or spouse Labor+SS+Retire
income incidence is 98 percent or higher from age 24 through age 61. At 98 percent from age 24
through age 48, own or spouse incidence is also high for ventile 20, but it falls to 96 percent
from age 59 through age 61—which is lower incidence at those ages than all but ventiles 1
through 4.
Although many in the lowest income ventiles without their own Labor+SS+Retire income
also have a spouse with the income, there are more individuals in these ventiles who receive,
either directly or through a spouse, only non-Labor+SS+Retire income.36 For ventile 4, for
Note that only individuals with positive per capita total income are included in the ventiles, so those included in a
ventile without own or spouse Labor+SS+Retire income have own or spouse income from some other source. As
36
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example, own or spouse Labor+SS+Retire income incidence is 90 percent or less from age 32
through age 39 but increases back up to 95 percent or more from age 54 through age 61. For
ventile 1, own or spouse incidence falls from 82 percent at age 30 to 73 percent from age 57
through age 61.
After age 61, own Labor+SS+Retire income incidence increases sharply across all ventiles
and own or spouse incidence increases among the lower income ventiles. By age 72, essentially
all have Labor+SS+Retire income in the top 19 income ventiles. Ventile 1 has the lowest
incidence at age 72, with 94 percent having their own Labor+SS+Retire income and 95 percent
receiving the income directly or through a spouse.
Labor+SS+Retire income is more evenly distributed at older ages than it is at younger ages
(Figure 22). Conditional on having the income, the amount of median Labor+SS+Retire income
follows a hump-shaped pattern with age for all but the lowest income ventiles—which have flat
or increasing income at older ages. As was the case with total income, median Labor+SS+Retire
income typically peaks in the mid- to late-40s, with the largest declines at older ages occurring
in the highest income ventiles. Unlike total income, however, Labor+SS+Retire income continues
to decline more rapidly with age for the highest income ventiles even after age 70. After age 70
median per capita Labor+SS+Retire income changes little with age at the bottom of the income
distribution, declines about 1 percent per year in the middle, and declines by about 2 percent
per year at the top.
4.3 Income Shares
To better quantify the importance of different types of income, this section analyzes the
share of total income from different sources. These measures capture both the likelihood that
individuals have a particular source of income—either directly or through a spouse—and the
amount received by those who have the income.
For each individual we calculate income shares as:
noted earlier in the text, 3.5 percent of the population, on average, has only non-Labor+SS+Retire income from age 18
through age 61, with that share falling to less than 0.5 percent from age 70 through age 94.
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𝑆𝑖 =
𝑋𝑖
𝑍𝑖
Where S = share of per capita total income from a given source37
X= per capita income from a given source,
Z = per capita total income, and
i indexes individuals
4.3.1 Labor+SS+Retire Income Share
Regardless of age, most individuals received most of their income from some combination
of labor, Social Security, and retirement income (that is, IRA distributions and pension and
annuity income). The median share from Labor+SS+Retire income was 100 percent from age 20
through age 71 and remained 99 percent or higher after age 71 (Figure 23, orange line). The 25th
percentile of the Labor+SS+Retire income share declines with age but was below 99 percent only
for individuals older than age 52 and was below 95 percent only for individuals older than
age 73 (Figure 23, lower blue line).
It is only in the highest income ventiles at older ages where the typical individual received
more than a de minimis share of their total income from non-Labor+SS+Retire income
(Figure 24). At age 50, for example, the median Labor+SS+Retire income share was 95 percent
for ventile 20 and either 100 percent or slightly below for the other 19 ventiles. The importance
of non-Labor+SS+Retire income generally increases with age, especially for the highest income
ventiles. At age 75, for example, the median Labor+SS+Retire income share was just under
70 percent for ventile 20 and a bit over 90 percent for ventile 19.
4.3.2 Labor Income Share
The typical individual gets 100 percent of their total income from labor from age 16 through
the mid-50s but gets no labor income at age 68 (Figure 25, top panel, orange line). The 25th
percentile (lower blue line) and the 75th percentile (higher blue line) illustrate the range of
For individuals with positive source income and negative total income, the income share from that source is set to
100 percent. For individuals with negative source income—which can only occur in the case of non-Labor+SS+Retire
income and some of its components—the income share from that source is set to zero. Because both negative total
income and negative source income are uncommon, individuals to whom these income shares are assigned are
unlikely to determine the 25th percentile, median, or 75th percentile.
37
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experience across the population. For example, while the typical individual got nearly all their
income from labor at age 55, 25 percent received 68 percent or less of their income from labor.
Conversely, while the typical individual had no labor income at age 68, 25 percent received 40
percent or more of their income from labor.
Across the income distribution we see a similar age pattern in the labor income share but
the shift away from labor income typically occurs at younger ages for lower income ventiles
(Figure 26).
There is not much variation in the age pattern of labor income across, or within, the middle
income ventiles. For ventiles 7 through 15, the median labor income share is 100 percent from
age 20 through age 55, does not fall below 95 percent until age 60, and hits zero at age 67 or
older.
For the highest income ventiles, the age pattern is similar to that of the middle income
ventiles, but the rapid declines in labor income shares tend to occur at slightly older ages. For
example, the median labor income share for the highest income ventile does not hit zero until
age 76.
For lowest income ventiles, in contrast, the transition away from labor income occurs at
younger ages. In the case of the three lowest income ventiles, the transition largely occurs before
the early claiming age for Social Security benefits. For example, the median labor income share
for ventile 2 falls below 95 percent at age 52 and hits zero at age 61.
4.3.3 Social Security and Retirement Income Shares
As labor income declines during the transition into retirement, Social Security and
retirement income increase in importance (Figure 25, middle and bottom panels) although the
relative importance of those two income sources varies considerably across the population
(Figures 27 and 28).
The share of income from Social Security increases rapidly in the 60s and early 70s and then
remains fairly steady through the mid-80s (Figure 25, middle panel). By age 75, the typical
individual gets just over half of their total income from Social Security. That share varies
considerably across the population, however, with 25 percent getting 85 percent or more of their
income from Social Security at age 75 and 25 percent getting one-third or less.
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The retirement income share follows a similar pattern by age as Social Security—increasing
in the 60s and early 70s and remaining fairly steady through the mid-80s—but the share of total
income is typically lower (Figure 25, bottom panel). By age 75, the median retirement income
share is 27 percent, with 25 percent of the population getting more than half of their income
from retirement plans and 25 percent getting little to no retirement income.
Much of the variation in Social Security and retirement income shares across the population
is related to income.
Although few get Social Security income before age 60, disability benefits represent a large
share of income for a substantial minority of individuals in some of the lower income ventiles
(Figure 27). One-quarter of individuals in ventiles 2 and 3, for example, get all their income
from Social Security at age 55.
Reflecting the progressive benefit formula, Social Security income is more important in
retirement for lower income individuals (Figure 27). The median Social Security income share
increases more sharply and at younger ages for those in the lowest income ventiles. At age 75,
the median share of income from Social Security was 100 percent for the three lowest income
ventiles, was below 50 percent by ventile 12, and was below 33 percent for the highest four
income ventiles.
Consistent with having lower Social Security income shares, retirement plan distributions
were most important for retirees with moderate to moderately high income (Figure 28). At
age 75, the median retirement income share was zero for the four lowest income ventiles, rises
above 30 percent for ventile 9, and peaks above 50 percent for ventiles 15 through 19.
Retirement income is less important for the highest income ventile, with the median retirement
income share below that of ventile 9 at age 75 and generally below that of ventile 11 throughout
retirement.
Those in their 70s and early 80s are less reliant on Social Security than older cohorts, with
the median Social Security income share increasing, and the median retirement income share
decreasing, after age 85 (Figure 25, middle and bottom panels). The reduced reliance on Social
Security among more recent retiree cohorts is most prominent among the middle- and lowermiddle income ventiles (Figure 27). The largest increases in median Social Security income
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shares at older ages occur in ventiles 6 through 12. In contrast, the lowest income ventiles are
heavily reliant on Social Security regardless of age and the age profile of the Social Security
income share is relatively flat for the highest income ventiles.
4.4 Summary of Changes in the Composition of Income over the Life Cycle
Throughout their lifetimes, most Americans get most of their income from three sources
ultimately derived from work—labor, Social Security, and retirement income. Older individuals
in the highest income ventiles were the only groups who typically received more than a de
minimis amount income from other sources.
For many individuals, retirement is a transitional period, taking place over a number of
years rather than at a single point in time. Some stop working prior to claiming Social Security,
others continue working after claiming Social Security. Some begin receiving retirement income
before claiming Social Security, with the majority of those continuing to work. Others claim
Social Security benefits but delay drawing down retirement accounts until required to do so by
law.
This finding has two implications for those studying retirement. First, changes in income
should be analyzed over a period of years rather than attempting to define retirement as an
event that occurs at a single point in time and looking at changes in income around that event.
Second, analysis of retirement should analyze comprehensive measures of income rather than,
say, comparing labor income immediately before a retirement event to Social Security or
retirement income immediately after the event.
This transition from relying primarily on labor income to relying primarily on retirement
and/or Social Security income tends to occur at younger ages for lower-income individuals. For
the lowest income ventiles, a good deal of this transition occurs prior to the early claiming age
for Social Security retirement benefits (age 62). For example, at age 61 fewer than half of
individuals in ventile 2 and ventile 3 received labor income either directly or through a spouse
while more than half received Social Security income. For the typical individual in the middle
and upper income ventiles, this transition takes place after age 61, with higher income workers
more likely to delay claiming Social Security benefits and work longer.
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After age 70, most retirees receive both Social Security and retirement income. From age 71
through age 91, own or spouse incidence was 93 percent or higher for Social Security income
and 70 percent or higher for retirement income. Over this same age range, the share of the
population with both sources of income ranged from 68 percent to 70 percent.
Among those over age 70, the relative importance of Social Security and retirement income
varies considerably by income. Regardless of income, most receive Social Security income, and,
because of the progressive benefit formula, the amounts received vary only modestly with
income. In contrast, the lowest income ventiles are much less likely to receive retirement
income, and those who do receive fairly modest amounts. Further, while most in the middle
and upper income ventiles have retirement income, the amounts vary more with income than
do the amounts of Social Security income. As a result, the share of income that retirees get from
Social Security falls rapidly as income rank increases. At age 75, for example, the median share
of income from Social Security was 100 percent for the three lowest income ventiles, was below
50 percent by ventile 12, and was below 33 percent for the highest four income ventiles.
As with previous work using tax data, we find that retirement income—that is, IRA
distributions plus pension and annuity income—is much more prevalent than reported in
household survey data. We also show that, other than retirees in the lowest income ventiles,
retirement income is both common and substantial. At age 72, for example, 90 percent of
individuals in ventile 10 received retirement income either directly or through a spouse, with
the median amount per capita equal to $12,000.
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5. Conclusion
In this study, we use administrative tax data to build a unique cross-sectional data set that
is representative of the 2016 US population. These data allow us to observe changes in the
amount and composition of individuals’ income by single year of age and, within each age
cohort, by income. By looking over the entire life cycle, this study complements Brady and
Bass (2023a), which used panel data to follow individuals from age 55 to age 72.
Throughout their lifetimes, most Americans get most of their income from three sources:
labor income (wage and salary, self-employment earnings, and unemployment compensation),
Social Security income (disability and retirement benefits), and retirement income (IRA
distributions and income from pensions and annuities). Among those with income, the typical
adult gets 100 percent of their income from labor prior to age 55 but has no labor income after
age 67.
The data suggests that retirement is better thought of as a transitional process rather than a
single point in time. The transition from relying primarily on labor income to relying primarily
on retirement and/or Social Security income often occurs over a number of years and typically
occurs at younger ages for lower-income individuals. For the bottom 15 percent of the
population, much of the transition away from labor income occurs prior to age 62.
After age 70, most retirees receive both Social Security and retirement income. Consistent
with previous research using tax data, we find much higher incidence of income from employer
plans and IRAs than reported in household survey data. From age 71 through age 91, own or
spouse incidence was 93 percent or higher for Social Security income and 70 percent or higher
for retirement income.
Income composition varies considerably across the income distribution, with lower income
retirees typically getting all their income from Social Security and retirement income increasing
in importance as total income increases. The typical individual in their 70s got about half their
income from Social Security.
We do not find a drop in spendable income at the ages normally associated with the
transition from work to retirement. In fact, from age 61 through age 70, we find an increase in
both the share of the population with income and the median amount of spendable income that
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those individuals have. More broadly looking over the entire life cycle, spendable income
typically follows a hump-shaped pattern with age, peaking at age 46.
Despite relying more on Social Security in retirement, the age profile of spendable income
is much flatter for lower income groups. Comparing individuals with the same income rank
within their age group, the spendable income of the lowest income groups falls the least in
retirement—relative to both those in their mid-40s and those aged 61.
The results of this study challenge two widely held beliefs about the US retirement system.
The data show that spendable income does not decline rapidly at older ages, and—when
compared to those of similar income rank within their age groups—falls the least at the bottom
of the income distribution. The data also show that most retirees rely on a combination of Social
Security benefits and retirement plan distributions in retirement.
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