Opinion

Schwab v. Philip Morris USA, Inc.

  • 449 F. Supp. 2d 992
  • 2006 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 73196
  • 2006 WL 2726102
Court
District Court, E.D. New York
Filed
Sep 25, 2006
Status
Published
Author
Weinstein
On the bench
Weinstein
Cited by
47 cases
Authority
More cited than 86.3%

Reversed on other grounds by McLaughlin v. American Tobacco Co., 522 F.3d 215 (2008)

holding that plaintiffs’ misrepresentation claim under the Illinois Consumer Fraud Act based on defendants’ use of the terms “Lights” and “Lowered Tar and Nicotine” is “wholly unrelated to any failure to warn claim and, therefore, not preempted.”

How later courts described this case

  • holding that plaintiffs’ misrepresentation claim under the Illinois Consumer Fraud Act based on defendants’ use of the terms “Lights” and “Lowered Tar and Nicotine” is “wholly unrelated to any failure to warn claim and, therefore, not preempted.”
  • recognizing that Basic is “neither binding in this case, nor identical in reasoning,” but holding that “[s]uch a presumption may be appropriate in the present ease”
  • permitting generalized proof of reliance including "surveys, expert evidence on marketplace principles, and extrapolated and statistic analysis of individuals and groups in the class"
  • “evidence that the FTC approved defendants’ representations [as to tar and nicotine content] might tend to disprove the existence of a scheme to defraud”

Written by the judges who cited it.

The opinion

MEMORANDUM & ORDER

WEINSTEIN, Senior District Judge.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I. Introduction................ 1018

II. Allegations..............................................................1025

A. Burden of Proof................................'.....................1025

1. Class Certification..............................’.................1025

2. Summary Judgment .............................................1025

B. Sources of Proof........................................... 1026

C. Overview of the Conspiracy and Fraud.................................1028

D. Other “Light” Cigarette Fraud Actions .. .•................'.............1029

III. Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act.........................1031

A. Violation of Criminal RICO......................i.. i.................1032

1. Conduct of a Racketeering Enterprise (§ 1962(c))....................1032

a. Enterprise.................................................1032

b. Conduct..............................••....................1033

c. Racketeering activity........................................1033

d. Pattern....................:............................... 1034

2. Conspiracy (§ 1962(d))..........................-.................1035

a. Cofacredit.................................................1035

b. Supreme Court precedent....................................1036

c. Subsequent decisions of the Second Circuit and district courts----1038

d. Other circuits..............................................1038

e. Conclusion on conspiracy requirements........................1039

B. Injury to Property ..............................................: • ■ ■ 1039

1. Law ...........................................................1039

2. Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment on Injury................1039

a. Proprietary injury..........................................1040

b. Personal injury.............................................1042

3. Conclusion on Injury.............................................1043

C. Causation and Reliance..............................................1043

1. Law ...........................................................1043

a. Factual causation...........................................1043

b. Proximate causation....................:....................1043

c. Reliance.............. 1044

i. Reliance is required.....................................1044

ii. Role of reliance ........................................1045

(a) Direct reliance......................................1045

(b) Third-party reliance.................................1045

d. Transaction causation and loss causation.......................1045

2. Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment on Causation.............1046

a. Reliance...................................................1046

i. Plaintiffs’ claims of reliance..............................1046

ii. Reliance showing required in this case.....................1047

iii. Plaintiffs have demonstrated reliance......................1048

b. Indirect purchaser rule......................................1050

i.

Illinois

Brick..........'................................1052

ii. Inapplicability of

Illinois Brick

rule.......................1053

3. Conclusion on Causation..........................................1056

D. Computation of Total Damages ....................".......■............1056

*1014

1. Plaintiffs’ Models................................................1057

a. “Loss of market” model......................................1057

b. “Loss of value” model.......................................1057

c. “Price impact” model........................................1058

2. Law ...........................................................1058

a. Practice under common law..................................1058

b. Practice under securities law.................................1059

i. 1933 Act...............................................1060

ii. 1934 Act...............................................1060

(a) Explicit rights of action..............................1060

(b) Implied rights of action..............................1060

c. Practice under antitrust law..................................1061

3. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1063

a. Appropriate measure........................................1063

b. Degree of precision required.................................1065

4. Equitable Relief.................................................1067

5. Conclusion on Computation of Total Damages.......................1067

E. Statute of Limitations................................................1067

1. Law ...........................................................1067

a. Accrual....................................................1068

b. Equitable tolling............................................1068

2. Procedural History..............................................1068

3. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1070

a. Actual knowledge...........................................1070

b. Imputed knowledge.........................................1070

i. Class counsel’s knowledge...............................1071

ii. Class members’ knowledge ..............................1072

e. Separate accrual............................................1074

d. Equitable tolling............................................1074

4. Conclusion on Statute of Limitations...............................1075

IV. Collateral Estoppel......................................................1076

A. Law...............................................................1076

B. Preclusive Effect in Possible Future Bodily Injury Cases.................1076

C. Claim Splitting......................................................1077

D. Preclusive Effect of

United States v. Philip

Morris......................1077

E. Preclusive Effect of Overlapping Class Actions..........................1079

V. Defendants’ Other Summary Judgment Motions.............................1079

A. Mutagenicity of “Light” Cigarettes....................................1079

B. Defendant BATCo’s Separate Motion for Summary Judgment on All

Claims...........................................................1080

1. Extraterritoriality of RICO.......................................1081

a. Law.......................................................1081

b. Application of law to facts....................................1081

2. BATCo’s Liability...............................................1082

a. BATCo’s conduct of the enterprise............................1082

b. BATCo’s participation in the conspiracy.......................1083

c. Damages..................................................1083

d. BATCo’s association with Brown & Williamson.................1083

3. Conclusion on BATCo’s Separate Motion ...........................1084

C. Defendant Philip Morris’ Separate Motion for Summary Judgment on

All Claims After November 2002 ....................................1084

1. Facts ..........................................................1084

a. PM USA’s disclosures.......................................1084

b. Plaintiffs’ “concession” ......................................1085

2. Law ...........................................................1086

3. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1086

a. Absence of a scheme to defraud...............................1086

*1015

b. Reasonable reliance.........................................1087

c. Judicial estoppel............................................1088

d. Findings on continued increases in nicotine inhaled from “light” cigarettes .........................................1089

4. Conclusion on Philip Morris’ Separate Motion.......................1089

VI. Plaintiffs’ Motions for Summary Judgment..................................1089

A. FTC Defense.......................................................1089

1. Facts ..........................................................1089

a. FTC action ................................................1089

b. Procedural history..........................................1091

2. Law...............................................:...........1092

3. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1092

a. “New” evidence ............................................1092

b. Defendants’ stated position...................................1093

4. Conclusion on FTC Defense.......................................1094

B. Compensation Defense...............................................1094

C. Compliance with Public Health Community Defense.....................1096

D. Meaning of “Lights” Descriptor.......................................1097

VII. Plaintiffs’ Motion for Class Certification....................................1097

A. Class Certification Under Rule 23 .....................................1097

1. Burden of Proof.................................................1097

2. Purpose of Rule 23...............................................1098

B. Rule 23(a) Prerequisites..............................................1101

1. Numerosity.....................................................1101

a. Law.......................................................1101

b. Application of law to facts....................................1101

2. Commonality....................................................1101

a. Law.......................................................1101

b. Application of law to facts....................................1103

3. Typicality.......................................................1104

a. Law.......................................................1104

i. Unique defenses........................................1104

ii. Subclasses.............................................1105

b. Application of law to facts....................................1105

4. Adequacy of Representation ......................................1106

a. Law.......................................................1106

i. Class counsel ..........................................1106

ii. Class representatives lacking interests antagonistic to the class.............................................1107

iii. Other factors...........................................1108

(a) Knowledge of the case and ability to supervise counsel..........................................1108

(b) Credibility of representatives.........................1109

b. Application of law to facts....................................1109

i. Named plaintiffs........................................1109

ii. Proposed class counsel..................................1112

C. Rule 23(b)(2): Injunctive or Declaratory Relief..........................1112

1. Law ...........................................................1112

2. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1113

D. Rule 23(b)(3): Money Damages.......................................1114

1. Law ...........................................................1114

a. Predominance of common questions of law or fact...............1114

i. Violation of RICO mail or wire fraud......................1115

ii. Causation and reliance..................................1115

(a) General proof of reliance.............................1115

(b) Individual proof of reliance...........................1117

iii. Injury to property and damages..........................1119

*1016

b. Superiority ................................................1120

2. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1121

a. Class action is superior method of adjudication .................1121

b. Common questions of law or fact predominate..................1123

i. Reliance...............................................1124

ii. Injury to property and damages..........................1127

iii. Statute of limitations....................................1130

E. Rule 23(g): Adequacy of Class Counsel ................................1131

F. RICO and Class Certification.........................................1131

G. Conclusion on Certification of Class....................................1131

VIII. Admissibility of Expert Evidence..........................................1132

A. Motions Regarding Admissibility of Expert Reports.....................1132

B. Rules 702 and 703 of the Federal Rules of Evidence .....................1132

C. Qualifications of Expert Witnesses.....................................1133

D. Helpfulness and Relevance...........................................1133

E. Reliability..........................................................1135

F. Individual Experts’ Reports..........................................1137

1. Challenges to Plaintiffs’ Experts...................................1138

a. John C. Beyer..............................................1138

b. David M. Burns ............................................1149

e. Joel B. Cohen..............................................1150

d. K. Michael Cummings.......................................1153

e. Michael J. Dennis...........................................1157

f. Robbin Derry..............................................1159

g. Marvin E. Goldberg.........................................1159

h. Jeffrey Harris..............................................1163

i. John R. Hauser.............................................1166

j. Katherine Kinsella..........................................1170

k. Matthew L. Myers..........................................1172

l. Blaine F. Nye..............................................1177

m. Richard W. Pollay..........................................1184

n. Robert N. Proctor..........................................1193

o. Paul Slovic.................................................1209

p. Joseph E. Stiglitz...........................................1215

2. Challenges to Defendants’ Experts.................................1221

a. Michael Dixon..............................................1221

b. Jeffery Gentry.............................................1222

c. Jane E. Lewis..............................................1222

d. Arnold T. Mosberg..........................................1223

e. Kenneth R. Podraza.........................................1224

f. Graham A. Read............................................1225

g. Edward A. Robinson........................................1225

h. William Wecker ............................................1226

3. Minor or No Challenges to Plaintiffs’ and Defendants’ Experts........1226

a. Neal L. Benowitz...........................................1226

b. Michael F. Borderding......................................1227

c. Gregory N. Connolly........................................1227

d. Richard Cox ...............................................1227

e. Wayne S. Desaro...........................................1227

f. Peter C. English............................................1227

g. Barry E. Goodstadt.........................................1227

h. Stephen Heeht.............................................1228

i. Lucy L. Henke.............................................1228

j. Jack E. Henningfield........................................1228

k. Jacob Jacoby...............................................1228

l. James A. Langenfeld........................................1228

m. Nancy A. Mathiowetz .......................................1229

n. Kenneth A. Mundt..........................................1229

*1017

o. Kevin M. Murphy...........................................1230

p. Bruce Neidle...............................................1230

q. Bruce M. Owen.............................................1230

r. Stanley Presser ............................................1231

s. Michael Schaller............................................1231

t. George Seiden..............................................1231

u. Peter G. Shields............................................1232

v. David W. Stewart...........................................1232

w. Charles R. Taylor...........................................1233

x. Michael Thun..............................................1233

y. Peter A. Valberg ...........................................1233

z. W. Kip Viscusi .............................................1234

aa. Errol Zeiger...............................................1234

G. Plaintiffs’ Motion to Exclude Expert Testimony that “Light” Cigarettes are Safer.........................................................1236

H. Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Expert Evidence of Impact of Marketing of “Light” Cigarettes on Smoking Rates....................1236

1. Relevance ......................................................1236

2. Reliability......................................................1236

I. Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Expert Testimony Regarding Mutagenicity of “Light” Cigarettes..................................1239

J. Further Rulings as Case Develops.....................................1239

IX. Management Issues......................................................1239

A. Aggregate Proof....................................................1239

1. Federal Rules of Civil Procedure and Evidence......................1241

2. Appropriateness of Sampling and Survey Techniques.................1244

3. Due Process....................................................1246

4. Jury Right......................................................1248

B. Distribution of Any Damages.........................................1251

1. Fluid Recovery..................................................1252

a. Nature and use.............................................1252

b. Interaction with procedural and substantive law................1254

c. General law................................................1255

2. Second Circuit Law on Fluid Recovery.............................1260

3. Application of Law to Facts.......................................1268

a.

Eisen

and

Van

Gemert......................................1269

b. Due process and Seventh Amendment issues...................1270

c. Rules Enabling Act.........................................1271

4. Conclusion on Fluid Recovery.....................................1272

C. Allocation of Damages Among Defendants..............................1272

1. National Common Law...........................................1273

2. Joint and Several Liability........................................1273

3. Market Share...................................................1274

4. Other Systems..................................................1276

X. Certification of Interlocutory Appeal.......................................1276

XI. Stay...................................................................1277

XII. Conclusion..............................................................1277

Appendix A:

United States v. Philip

Morris.......................................1278

Appendix B:

Blue Cross & Blue Shield of New Jersey v. Philip

Morris................1278

Appendix C:

Price v. Philip Morris

..............................................1279

Appendix D:

In re Simon II

Litigation...........................................1298

*1018

Appendix E: Monograph 13 ............................ 1298

Appendix F: Report of Massachusetts Department of Health 1351

I. Introduction

Tobacco has been woven into the fabric of American history and society since the 1620’s when, as the first cash crop, it saved the colony of Virginia and then, together with cotton, established the economic base for slavery. Edmund S. Morgan,

American Slavery, American Freedom, The Ordeal of Colonial Virginia

112, 310 (Francis Parkman Prize Ed., 2005).

In more recent times, through cigarettes — produced and allegedly fraudulently merchandised on a massive scale — it has become the basis for a pandemic, causing the premature deaths of tens of millions of Americans. This case represents one event in this long narrative: the alleged successful effort of defendants to cozen smokers into continuing to buy their products by convincing them that smoking “light” cigarettes was safer for their health.

It is plaintiffs’ view that this campaign caused smokers to buy “light” cigarettes, in large amounts, at a price greater than they would have paid had the truth been acknowledged by defendants. Defendants’ acts, plaintiffs contend, constituted a violation of the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO), 18 U.S.C. §§ 1961

jf,

warranting trebled money damages. 18 U.S.C. § 1964 (c). Class action status is sought to bring to bear, on a consolidated basis, the weight of all United States smokers’ claims.

It is charged- — with substantial evidence to support the contention — that plaintiff smokers bought cigarettes characterized as “light,” on the suggestion of defendants — the major cigarette manufacturers — that they were less harmful than “regular” cigarettes, when in fact they were at least as dangerous and defendants knew of their dangers. The claim is that the carcinogenic and other adverse effects smokers sought to avoid were not reduced by smoking “light” rather than other cigarettes; that defendants knew this was the case; that they concealed this fact; that they urged plaintiffs — through advertising and other public statements — to smoke these “lights” knowing smokers were being misled; and that they defrauded purchasers of billions of dollars spent for light cigarettes worth less than their purchase price.

On behalf of a prospective class, the named plaintiffs seek class certification pursuant to Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 23(a) and 23(b)(2) and (3) on behalf of the class of persons defined as:

All United States residents who purchased in the United States, not for resale, cigarettes labeled as “Lights” and/or “Light” (collectively “light cigarettes”) that were manufactured and/or sold by Defendants during the period commencing on the first date that Defendants began selling light cigarettes until the date trial commences (the “Class Period”), and who are not, as of the date of trial, members of a certified state class seeking economic damages stemming from their purchases of light cigarettes or having obtained an award of, or a denial of, such damages. Excluded from the Class are individuals who are directors and officers of the Defendants’ corporations, their parents, subsidiaries and/or affiliates.

This litigation is another in the continuing battle of plaintiffs’ lawyers and their clients with the cigarette industry. While

*1019

limited success by smokers in some suits— and the cost of litigating — have probably had some deterrent effect on aggressive marketing of a product defendants now partly acknowledge to be dangerous, this, and other suits like it, probably have had only a minimal value in reducing what even defendants now concede are the enormous costs to public health of widespread cigarette smoking. More effective in alleviating smoking dangers are probably such legislative and administrative efforts as prohibiting smoking in public and commercial areas, and raising prices, primarily through taxes. Nevertheless, where a cigarette smoker can demonstrate that he or a group of smokers has been damaged by the cigarette industry, the help of the court in resolving the claim and defenses is mandatory. The independent political-economic arrangement defendants made with the states to pay them billions of dollars over many years has not compensated smokers for the individual damages they have allegedly suffered.

Early in our history the Supreme Court ruled that a federal court must decide cases properly brought. It:

must take jurisdiction if it should. The judiciary cannot, as the legislature may, avoid a measure because it approaches the confines of the constitution. We cannot pass it by because it is doubtful. With whatever doubts, with whatever difficulties, a case may be attended, we must decide it, if it be brought before us. We have no more right to decline the exercise of jurisdiction which is given, than to usurp that which is not given. The one or the other would be treason to the constitution. Questions may occur which we would gladly avoid; but we cannot avoid them.

Cohens v. Virginia,

19 U.S. 264 , 6 Wheat. 264, 404 , 5 L.Ed. 257 (1821).

While “the federal courts may, in their discretion, [in some narrowly specified classes of cases,] properly withhold the exercise of the jurisdiction conferred upon them where there is no want of another suitable forum,”

Massachusetts v. Missouri

308 U.S. 1, 19 , 60 S.Ct. 39 , 84 L.Ed. 3 (1939), the choice in the present case under the federal RICO statute is not between a United States district court and some other forum, but between this court and no effective forum at all.

Plaintiffs have proposed an elegant analysis of the law and facts as a rationale for certifying this litigation as a class action. Their claim is that they, and a class consisting of tens of millions of smokers, were induced by fraud to buy a kind of cigarettes, “lights,” and that they suffered financial damage because they did not get what they thought they were getting — a more valuable, safer cigarette. By relying on federal substantive statutes — the combined “RICO” and Mail and Wire Fraud Acts, 18 U.S.C. §§ 1341 , 1343 — they seek to avoid one of the serious difficulties with national class cigarette actions: the tort law in the fifty states is not uniform.

They also propose to avoid the other main problem with smokers’ class actions: conduct and motive differences among members of the class. Individuals start and quit smoking and choose various types of cigarettes for different reasons and suffer wide variations in possible harm, creating different specific causation and damage issues attributable to each class member. If plaintiffs’ experts are to be credited in the testimony promised by plaintiffs’ counsel, economic loss of value in purchases of cigarettes allegedly touted as “lighter” when they are not safer avoids this problem of human diversity: first, by the equivalent of statistical averaging and, second, should the jury determine total damages to the class, division of the damages

*1020

based on claims of smokers for the relative number of cigarettes they bought during the applicable liability period, with unclaimed proceeds to be distributed on a cy pres basis.

Defendants, by contrast, in powerful briefs and arguments, point to what they believe are critical defects in the plaintiffs’ case on the facts and the law requiring not only denial of class certification, but dismissal of the case. They contend that they committed no fraud, that the statute of limitations has run, and that class action procedures are not applicable. Accordingly, they move to dismiss and to deny class certification.

In considering the matter as it now stands, two powerful factors should be kept in mind: First, is the jury’s constitutional role and its vast discretion in evaluating evidence in a civil suit of this kind under Amendment VII of the United States Constitution. The jury’s power and capacity to deal with complex -facts and come to a reasonable resolution of a dispute should not be underestimated.

Second, is the power of the American legal system to overcome a defense that plaintiffs’ claims are so enormous in scope and time, and in diverse persons affected, that they can never be fairly adjudicated in a reasonably comprehensive and relatively inexpensive way. In this connection it is well to recall a central theme of our American legal system:

ubi jus, ibi remedi-um

— each right has a remedy. Every violation of a right should have a remedy in court, if that is possible.

The very essence of civil liberty certainly consists in the right of every individual to claim the protection of the laws, whenever he receives an injury. One of the first duties of government is to afford that protection____

“[I]t is a general and indisputable rule, that where there is a legal right, there is also a legal remedy by suit or action at law, whenever that right is invaded.” ...

“[Ejvery right, when withheld, must have a remedy, and every injury its proper redress.” The government of the United States has been emphatically termed a government of laws, and not of men. It will certainly cease to deserve this high appellation, if the laws furnish no remedy for the violation of a vested legal right.

Marbury v. Madison,

5 U.S. 137 , 1 Cranch 137, 163 , 2 L.Ed. 60 (1803) (quoting 3 William Blackstone, Commentaries 23, 109).

In modern times, at least since adoption of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure and Evidence, the ancient maxim is modified to read, “each violation of a right should have a practicable remedy.” A remedy that is impracticable in execution is — for those whose legal rights have been violated- — no remedy at all. Procedures developed through American class action jurisprudence should not be frustrated when a large number of small claims can be aggregated and tried in a way fair to both plaintiffs and defendants. Current widespread partial acknowledgment by defendants of the dangers of their product and alleged efforts to reduce smoking by minors and others does not negate any liability for past delicts not subject to the statute of limitations.

Resolution of many of the factual disputes in the case depends upon widely divergent possible inferences that may be drawn from a huge amount of already available evidence of activities by defendants and members of the putative class. While the American jury has been more and more controlled by devices such as summary judgment, the strong policy embodied in Amendment VII, and the pre

*1021

sumption that the system can provide a practical remedy for a widespread violation of a right, requires allowing jurors to draw necessary operative factual conclusions wherever reasonable minds could differ.

In the instant case the wisdom embodied in the Constitution is reflected in the ability of a fair cross section of the community to appreciate and understand evidence of why people smoke, why they do it in certain ways, and what impact actions and policies of defendants in such matters as advertising have had in influencing behavior. The federal petty civil jury provides the ultimate focus group of the law.

In deciding the balance between plaintiffs and defendants, the scale tips heavily in the instant case in favor of allowing a jury rather than a judge to decide the case. Here, in a litigation that arguably might go either way on inferences and facts, the Constitution and basic principle point to certification of the class, allowing the matter to proceed before a jury in a way that is practicable. Denial of motions to dismiss and to exclude relevant and reliable proof, scientific and otherwise, will permit the jury to decide the dispute fairly.

Whether plaintiffs can overcome the defendants’ objections to then- proof is subject to trial by jury. There is enough merit to both plaintiffs’ and defendants’ contentions to permit the litigation to go forward. If, as contended by plaintiffs, a huge fraud was perpetrated on tens of millions of people causing them billions of dollars in loss — measured largely by the difference between the value people were led to believe they were getting when they bought “light” cigarettes for safety, and what they received, a non-safe product— recovery dependent on proof should be allowed. The extensive evidence introduced on preliminary motions supports certification of the class and denial of defendants’ motions for summary judgment.

While evidence of fraud on the class appears to be quite strong — and defendants have been less than candid in insisting that there was no fraud — evidence of the percentage of the class which was defrauded and the amount of economic damages it suffered appears to be quite weak — and plaintiffs have been less than candid in failing to acknowledge that deficiency in their proof.

The court in

United States v. Philip Morris,

449 F.Supp.2d 1 (D.D.C.2006), described in Part II.D,

infra

and excerpted in Appendix A,

supra,

has estimated that some fifty percent of those who smoked “light” cigarettes would not have done so had they known the truth.

See

Appendix A at 449 F.Supp.2d at 280 ,

supra.

This estimate, strongly relied on by plaintiffs in argument,

see

Transcript of Sept. 13, 2006, at 52:5-13, 157:22-159:7, does not fill the gap in their proof since, even if the court was right in

United States v. Philip Morris,

a significant portion of that fifty percent might have smoked other types of cigarettes purchased at the same price “lights” were selling for. Contrasting the real diverse universe of “lights” smokers with the countérfactual universe of fully advised “lights” smokers to determine the impact of the fraud on the size of the market and its nature for damage purposes is a daunting enterprise even with the many proffered experts holding up their statistical lanterns to help in the search for the truth.

There is considerable merit to defendants’ experts’ position that many, if not all, the plaintiffs would have bought these light cigarettes' even if they knew they provided no health advantage over regular cigarettes, and that they received full value for their money. There are also serious

*1022

objections to the plaintiffs’ plan to divide any damages based on the relative number of cigarettes claimed to have been bought by claimants during the period found applicable by the jury, with cy pres division of the remainder. This form of fluid recovery tends — like almost all aggregate litigation — to overcompensate some and un-dercompensate other members of the class who may have relied differently on the “lights” designation and may have acted differently and for different reasons relevant to damages. Nevertheless, serious and unique factual-substantive issues now presented can be resolved by the jury with the aid of experts and statistical proof. If plaintiffs are right, they should not be fobbed off by real and imagined barriers of proof and management problems that can be circumvented in a fair adjudication.

Essentially, the issue before the court is not whether a fraud case be proven, but whether damages can be proven for the period since each smoker started smoking, failed to stop, switched to, or started with “lights” rather than the standard cigarettes in vogue up to the introduction of “lights” on a large scale. That introduction to “light” smoking and encouragement of continued use by defendants was allegedly in response to a widespread, fright induced by the Surgeon General’s reports and other warnings of hundreds of thousands of deaths caused yearly by cancer attributable to smoking.

Plaintiffs have demonstrated that they may be able to produce sufficient proof to satisfy a jury as to damages based largely on statistics, the law of large numbers, and their experts’ analyses to show a reasonable estimate of total damages, without producing proof of reliance and fraud as to each of millions of smokers, with a damage figure assigned to each smoker and each year that he or she smoked.

If each smoker must be considered separately, as defendants suggest is the case, it would be impossible to proceed with a suit of this nature even if it were absolutely clear that each plaintiff had been damaged in the manner plaintiffs allege. The transactional costs and the relatively small recovery for the difference in value between what an individual smoker paid for and what he received would result in damages measured in tens or hundreds of dollars. The huge costs in bringing this action could not be supported by such individual adjudications.

The question then becomes whether the American legal system, faced with an alleged massive fraud, must throw up its hands and conclude that it has no effective remedy for what at this stage of the litigation must be assumed to be a huge continuing violation of consumers’ rights. In the American legal system, whose watchword has been, as already noted, “no right without a remedy,” the answer is that modern civil procedure, scientific analysis, and the law of large numbers used by statisticians provide a legal basis for a practical and effective remedy. The plaintiffs are entitled to the chance to prove their allegations.

Candor impels recognition of the fact that the Courts of Appeals have not been kind to massive claims against tobacco companies. Despite repeated findings of fact by judges and juries supporting claims of fraud, appellate courts have repeatedly dismissed such cases whether the claim was for consumer fraud, personal injury, or third party damages for costs of medical treatment. The defendants make a strong case that this suit, too, must founder on that appellate predilection for individual suits.

The case comes down to the role of the jury: should it be permitted to decide this vexing private litigation on the basis of

*1023

somewhat dubious arguments and questionable proofs when the decision has so many important public social overtones, or should the judges themselves decide by holding that the matter is beyond the ken of a reasonable jury? Here, the fundamentals of the Constitution provide the answer. The first Congress and the States that then constituted the Union still speak clearly enough:

AMENDMENT VII

RIGHTS IN CIVIL CASES

In Suits at common law, where the value in controversy shall exceed twenty dollars, the right of trial by jury shall be preserved, and no fact tried by a jury, shall be otherwise re-examined in any Court of the United States, than according to the rules of the common law.

See also Brink’s Inc. v. City of New York,

717 F.2d 700 , 711 (2d Cir.1983) (“There is no bright line that divides evidence worthy of consideration by a jury, although subject to heavy counter-attack, from evidence that is not. Especially because of the guaranty of the Seventh Amendment,- a federal court must be exceedingly careful not to set the threshold to the jury room too high.”) (quoting

Herman Schwabe, Inc. v. United Shoe Machinery Corp.,

297 F.2d 906, 912 (2d Cir.),

cert. denied,

369 U.S. 865 , 82 S.Ct. 1031 , 8 L.Ed.2d 85 (1962)).

If this case presents issues for the jury — as is now the decision of this court— then both the certification question and defense motions for summary judgment should be — and now are — decided in plaintiffs’ favor. That the court believes, on the evidence thus far produced, that the amount of possible damages has been grossly exaggerated by plaintiffs is not a basis for denying their right to a jury trial. Adjustments to damages can be made after all the evidence is in and the jury has made its decision, if that decision is unreasonable. ,

In Part II and Appendices A, B, C, and D, allegations and prior findings of fact against the tobacco companies on the fraud issue are sampled: First, is the general fraud in hiding the dangers of smoking, and second, is the particular fraud respecting lights. Appendix E includes portions of a Untied States Surgeon General’s report on the health risks posed by “light” cigarettes and the history of their development. Appendix F includes portions of a recent Commonwealth of Massachusetts report on continuing increases in nicotine inhaled from cigarettes, including those designated as “light.” In Part III, the law of RICO is analyzed and defendants’ central motions for dismissal considered.

In Part IV the court considers the role of collateral estoppel ' in this litigation. Whether an adjudication against either side would be binding on collateral estop-pel grounds in suits based on substantive theories similar to the one implicated in the present litigation when recovery is sought for physical injury to smokers rather than economic loss from the purchase of overpriced cigarettes is important. Recoveries for medical damage to the person of smokers are enormously higher than those sought now. This legal problem and the related problem of splitting a cause of action, also discussed in Part TV, do not trump class action advantages since members of the class can opt out. It is a factor, however, that needs evaluation in the context of certification.

In Parts V and VI, the parties’ additional motions for summary judgment are discussed and resolved. Part. VII addresses the motion for class certification. The question of class certification is critical for this court and the Court of Appeals. No individual can afford to prosecute the case alone. Denial of certification here or on

*1024

appeal would constitute a “death knell.” Part VIII contains an analysis pursuant to Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence of the proposed testimony of experts for defendants and plaintiffs to determine whether a jury should be permitted to hear them; it is concluded that most experts of both defendants and plaintiffs should be heard. Part IX considers management issues, including the use of aggregate proof and fluid recovery.

Part X considers application of Rule 23(f) or section 1292(b) of title 18 to an interlocutory appeal. Based on experience with the trial and other disposition of a number of aggregate tobacco actions in this court, it is the opinion of the court that this class action can be tried to a final judgment that provides appropriate protection against relitigation of the issues adjudicated with fidelity to the applicable substantive law. Federal courts have the institutional capacity to conduct these proceedings. The representation of defendants and plaintiffs is adequate to conduct the litigation for the benefit of all persons whose interests are being adjudicated.

Am immediate stay is rejected in Part XI. The Court of Appeals has the power to grant such a stay, but the case, in the trial court’s opinion, should promptly proceed in view of its long history.

Part XII orders that the class sought by plaintiffs be certified. The motions for summary judgment are denied.

Numerous interlocutory orders have been issued in this litigation.

See Schwab v. Philip Morris,

No. 04-CV-1945, 2006 WL 721368 (E.D.N.Y. Mar. 20, 2006) (overruling plaintiffs’ objections to magistrate judge’s orders); 2005 WL 3032556 (E.D.N.Y. Nov. 14, 2005) (discussing fluid recovery); 2005 WL 2467766 (E.D.N.Y. Oct. 6, 2005) (denying defendants’ motion for summary judgment on statute of limitations); 2005 WL 2401647 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 29, 2005)

(Daubert

issues); 2005 WL 2401645 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motions for partial summary judgment and application of collateral es-toppel); 2005 WL 2401635 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying defendants’ motion to dismiss claims based on increased muta-genicity of “light” cigarettes); 2005 WL 2401638 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion to exclude testimony that “light” cigarettes are safer than regular cigarettes); 2005 WL 2401639 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ Rule 16(c) motion for simplification of the issues); 2005 WL 2401642 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying defendant BATCo’s motion for summary judgment on all claims); 2005 WL 2401643 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 27, 2005) (denying defendants’ motion to exclude expert testimony on the impact of “light” cigarette marketing on smoking rates); 2005 WL 2401565 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion for partial summary judgment on the existence of defendants’ conspiracy); 2005 WL 2401353 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (granting defendant British American Tobacco p.l.c.’s motion to dismiss); 2005 WL 2401350 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion for partial summary judgment on defendants’ claim that they complied with the directives of the public health community in developing “light” cigarettes); 2005 WL 2401276 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion for partial summary judgment on defendants’ claim that smokers knew about compensation and so were not defrauded); 2005 WL 2401633 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion for a permanent injunction prohibiting defendants from marketing or selling any cigarette with a “light” or “lights” descriptor); 2005 WL 2401196 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 26, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion for partial summary judgment on the meaning of the

*1025

“light” descriptor); 2005 WL 2303821 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 22, 2005) (granting defendants’ motion for partial summary judgment on plaintiffs’ claims for equitable relief); 2005 WL 2303822 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 22, 2005) (denying plaintiffs’ motion to strike defendants’ employee-expert reports but requiring those reports to meet the standards of Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 26(a)(2)(B)); 2005 WL 2303823 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 22, 2005) (granting defendants’ motion to exclude the expert testimony of plaintiffs’ expert on business ethics); 2005 WL 2293381 (E.D.N.Y. Sept. 21, 2005) (denying defendants’ motion for an immediate stay of all proceedings); 2005 WL 2155141 (E.D.N.Y. Aug. 31, 2005) (excluding from consideration on interlocutory orders certain plaintiffs’ experts’ reports); 228 F.R.D. 165 (E.D.N.Y.2005) (preliminary reflections and questions for the parties). This memorandum and order incorporates and modifies the above orders.

II. Allegations

A. Burden of Proof

1. Class Certification

On a motion for class certification, plaintiffs bear the burden of proving that the requirements of Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure have been met.

Amchem Prods., Inc. v. Windsor,

521 U.S. 591, 614 , 117 S.Ct. 2231 , 138 L.Ed.2d 689 (1997);

Caridad v. Metro-North Commuter R.R.,

191 F.3d 283, 291 (2d Cir.1999). At this stage in the litigation they need not show that they are likely to prevail on the merits.

Eisen v. Carlisle & Jacquelin,

417 U.S. 156, 178 , 94 S.Ct. 2140 , 40 L.Ed.2d 732 (1974). But' a “rigorous analysis” to determine that the Rule 23 requirements are met must be conducted.

Gen. Tel. Co. of Southwest v. Falcon,

457 U.S. 147, 161 , 102 S.Ct. 2364 , 72 L.Ed.2d 740 (1982). While it is sometimes mistakenly suggested that “a motion for class certification is not an , occasion for examination of the merits of the case,’ ”

In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig.,

227 F.R.D. 65, 93 (S.D.N.Y.2004), the courts should not launch the heavy and expensive machinery of the class action unless there is a chance for a recovery. In any event, since defendants combine their opposition to certification with a motion for summary judgment, the merits must be considered.

£

Summary Judgment

Plaintiffs need not prove that they will prevail at trial in order to survive a motion for summary judgment. Summary judgment is appropriate only if “there is no genuine issue' as to any material fact and ... the moving party is entitled to a judgment- as a matter of law.”

Anderson v. Liberty Lobby, Inc.,

477 U.S. 242, 248 , 106 S.Ct. 2505 , 91 L.Ed.2d 202 (1986).

See also Mitchell v. Washingtonville Central School District,

190 F.3d 1, 5 (2d Cir.1999).

The burden rests initially with the moving party to demonstrate the absence of a genuine issue of material fact.

Goenaga v. March of Dimes Birth Defects Found.,

51 F.3d 14, 18 (2d Cir.1995);

see also Celotex Corp. v. Catrett,

477 U.S. 317, 322-23 , 106 S.Ct. 2548 , 91 L.Ed.2d 265 (1986). If the moving party appears to meet this burden, the opposing party must produce evidence that raises a material question of fact to defeat the motion.

See

Fed.R.Civ.P. 56(e). This evidence may not consist of “mere conclusory allegations, speculation or conjecture[.]”

Cifarelli v. Village of Babylon,

93 F.3d 47, 51 (2d Cir.1996).

See also Delaware & Hudson Ry. v. Consolidated Rail Corp.,

902 F.2d 174, 178 (2d Cir.1990) (“Conclusory allegations will not suffice to create a genuine issue.”).

The mere existence of some peripheral factual disputes will not defeat an otherwise properly supported motion for sum

*1026

mary judgment.

Anderson,

477 U.S. at 247 , 106 S.Ct. 2505 . “[Ojnly disputes over facts that might affect the outcome of the suit under the governing law will properly preclude the entry of summary judgment. Factual disputes that are irrelevant or unnecessary will not be counted.”

Id.

at 248 , 106 S.Ct. 2505 .

In deciding the motion, all inferences from, and ambiguities in, the underlying facts are to be resolved in favor of the party opposing summary judgment.

Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. Zenith Radio Corp.,

475 U.S. 574, 587-88 , 106 S.Ct. 1348 , 89 L.Ed.2d 538 (1986). Only when reasonable minds could not differ as to the import of the proffered evidence is summary judgment proper.

See Anderson,

477 U.S. at 250-52 , 106 S.Ct. 2505 ;

Bryant v. Maffucci,

923 F.2d 979, 982 (2d Cir.1991).

“In considering the motion, the court’s responsibility is not to resolve disputed issues of fact but to assess whether there are factual issues to be tried.”

Knight v. U.S. Fire Ins. Co.,

804 F.2d 9 , 11 (2d Cir.1986). Critical is recognition of the jury’s fact-finding primacy:

It is well established that credibility assessments, choices between conflicting versions of the events, and the weighing of evidence are matters for the jury, not for the court on a motion for summary judgment. If, as to the issue on which summary judgment is sought, there is any evidence in the record from which a reasonable inference could be drawn in favor of the opposing party, summary judgment is improper.

Curry v. City of Syracuse,

316 F.3d 324, 333 (2d Cir.2003) (quotation marks omitted).

Defendants in this case have outproduced plaintiffs — in documents, number of experts, etc. — by at least two to one. Yet summary judgment, even in a large, complicated litigation such as this one, does not hinge on volume. If plaintiffs’ legal theory is sound, and if they can demonstrate that proof is available to support it, summary judgment for defendants is inappropriate. The materials supplied by both parties demonstrate that plaintiffs have available sufficient evidence, and a legal theory sufficiently sound, to withstand a motion for summary judgment.

B. Sources of Proof

The record is immense. Plaintiffs and defendants have submitted 200 volumes of documentary evidence, expert reports, and briefs. They have appeared before the court numerous times since suit was filed in May 2004. Argument on the dispositive motions was heard over two days in September 2005 and again in September 2006. Discovery was conducted under Magistrate Judge Steven Gold for over a year and a half. The docket contains some 1000 entries.

Aspects of the cigarette litigation before this and other courts provide additional sources of proof for decision on the summary judgment and certification motions.

See, e.g., United States v. Philip Morris USA, Inc.,

449 F.Supp.2d 1 (D.D.C.2006) (part 1 of 6) (final order containing findings of fact and law after 9-month bench trial on federal government’s civil RICO suit against tobacco manufacturers for mail and wire fraud);

Davies v. Philip Morris USA, Inc.,

No. 04-2-08174-2, 2006 WL 1600067 (Wash.Super. May 26, 2006) (denying certification of class of Washington smokers of Marlboro Lights alleging fraud under state consumer protection act);

Pearson v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 0211-11819, 2006 WL 663004 (Or.Cir. Feb. 23, 2006) (denying certification of class of Oregon smokers of Marlboro Lights alleging fraud under state consumer protection act);

Aspinall v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

442 Mass. 381 , 813 N.E.2d 476

*1027

(2004) (affirming lower court’s certification of class of Massachusetts smokers of Marlboro Lights for fraud under state consumer protection act);

Curtis v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

No. PI 01-018042, 2004 WL 2776228 (Minn.Dist.Ct. Nov. 29, 2004) (certifying class of Minnesota smokers of Marlboro Lights for fraud under state consumer protection act);

Craft v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 002-00406A, 2003 WL 23139381 (Mo.Cir. Dec. 31, 2003) (denying summary judgment in class action by Missouri smokers of Marlboro Lights for fraud under state consumer protection act);

Craft v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 002-00406A, 2003 WL 23355745 (Mo.Cir. Dec. 31, 2003) (granting class certification in same suit);

Price v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 00-L-112, 2003 WL 22597608 (Ill.Cir. March 21, 2003) (findings of fact and law after bench trial on Illinois smokers’ class action against tobacco manufacturers for “light” cigarette fraud under state consumer protection law),

rev’d on other grounds,

219 Ill.2d 182 , 302 Ill.Dec. 1 , 848 N.E.2d 1 (111.2005) (holding that the action was barred by the state act);

In re Simon II Litigation,

211 F.R.D. 86 (E.D.N.Y.2002) (certifying nationwide class for litigation of punitive damages for fraud by tobacco companies),

rev’d,

407 F.3d 125 (2d Cir.2005);

Blue Cross & Blue Shield of New Jersey v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

178 F.Supp.2d 198 (E.D.N.Y.2001) (discussing jury findings after 44 days of trial on health insurer’s claim that tobacco companies distorted public body of knowledge about cigarettes in violation of New York’s consumer protection statute),

rev’d on other grounds,

344 F.3d 211 (2d Cir.2003) and 393 F.3d 312 (2d Cir.2004);

Falise v. American Tobacco Co.,

94 F.Supp.2d 316 (E.D.N.Y.2000) (denying summary judgment in suit by trust established to compensate victims of asbestos against tobacco manufacturers for their alleged role in contributing to the trust claimants’ injuries).

Of particular note is the comprehensive recent opinion in the federal government’s civil RICO suit against these same defendants, alleging in part the same fraudulent behavior as is now being charged. The opinion runs to 1,742 pages and is minutely documented.

See United States v. Philip Morris USA Inc., supra.

Defendants object to the use of the district court’s findings in that suit — and the evidence upon which they were based — on the motions in this litigation. They argue that, because the district court considered the entire “low tar” market segment, which includes brands not bearing the “lights” descriptor, much of the evidence from the prior suit is irrelevant to this suit. The argument ignores the problem pervading both suits: the health concerns of smokers, which defendants attempted to deflect by their related “lights” and “low tar” advertisements. “Low tar” and “lights” findings in the suit by the United States in the District of Columbia provide substantial support for plaintiffs’ claims. Those findings, even if not decisive, supply persuasive muster for the case plaintiffs seek to construct.

The standard of probability under the rule [of relevance] is “more ... probable than it would be without the evidence.” Any more stringent requirement is unworkable and unrealistic. As McCormick says, “A brick is not a wall” ....

Fed.R.Evid. 401 advisory committee notes (1972) (citations omitted).

Plaintiffs have chosen a sensible class definition based, perhaps, on prior experience with other “lights” cases,

see

Part III.E.3.b.i (noting proposed class counsel’s previous involvement in such suits), or in anticipation of what a jury may find persuasive. That they.could have sought a broader class is no bar to evidence relevant both to the present class and the unchosen more general class. Contrary to

*1028

defendants’ characterization, plaintiffs’ allegations do not depend solely on the use of the “lights” descriptor.

See, e.g.,

proposed expert testimony of Marvin E. Goldberg, Part VIII.F.l.g,

infra,

on variety of marketing techniques employed by defendants, including color and imagery. Evidence of defendants’ conduct and its effects on the entire “low tar” market is relevant to their conduct and effect on the “lights” segment of that market. Subject to hearsay, prejudice, and other exclusions, if particular testimony, scientific studies, or internal industry documents could contribute to a jury’s understanding of defendants’ conduct and plaintiffs’ beliefs and alleged injuries with respect to “light” cigarettes, they are admissible.

See also

Part VIII.D,

infra

(rejecting a similar argument with respect to expert testimony).

C. Overview of the Conspiracy and Fraud

As noted, the fraud and conspiracy alleged here have been the subject of intense litigation in recent years. The court merely limns the allegations here. Appendices A, B, C, and D,

infra,

contain some of the detailed factual findings from previous litigations.

If plaintiffs’ allegations are true, defendants have engaged in a fifty-year still continuing conspiracy to deceive the public about the risks of smoking in order to prevent restrictive governmental regulation and prop up cigarette sales that otherwise would have sagged as smokers began to understand the array of diseases caused by smoking. As part of this conspiracy, defendants reacted to growing consensus in the late 1960s by public health officials that smoking cigarettes causes lung cancer and numerous other diseases by promoting new brands as low in tar. This conspiracy was neatly summarized by the district court in the government’s suit against the defendant companies after a nine-month bench trial:

Defendants ... marketed and promoted their low tar brands as being less harmful than conventional cigarettes [when they knew they were not].... By making these false claims, Defendants [gave] smokers an acceptable alternative to quitting smoking, as well as an excuse for not quitting.

Defendants used a combination of techniques to market and promote their low tar brands. Defendants’ marketing has emphasized claims of low tar and nicotine delivery accompanied by statements that smoking these brands would reduce exposure to the “controversial” elements of cigarette smoke (i.e., tar). Since the 1970s, Defendants also have used so-called brand descriptors such as “light” and “ultra light” to communicate reassuring messages that these are healthier cigarettes and to suggest that smoking low tar cigarettes is an acceptable alternative to quitting. In addition to appealing advertising and easily-remembered brand descriptors, Defendants have used sophisticated marketing imagery such as lighter color cigarette packaging and white tipping paper to reinforce the same message that these brands were low in tar and therefore less harmful____

Even as they engaged in a campaign to market and promote filtered and low tar cigarettes as less harmful than conventional ones, Defendants either lacked evidence to substantiate their claims or knew them to be false. Indeed, internal industry documents reveal Defendants’ awareness by the late 1960s/early 1970s that, because low tar cigarettes do not actually deliver the low levels of tar and nicotine which are advertised, they are unlikely to provide any clear health benefit to human smokers ... when compared to regular, full flavor cigarettes.

*1029

As Defendants have long been aware, nicotine delivered by cigarettes is addictive .... Defendants’ internal documents demonstrate their understanding that, in order to obtain an amount of nicotine sufficient to satisfy their addiction, smokers of low tar cigarettes modify their smoking behavior, or “compensate,” for the reduced-nicotine yields by taking more frequent puffs, inhaling smoke more deeply, holding smoke in their lungs longer, covering cigarette ventilation holes with fingers or lips, and/or smoking more cigarettes.... As a result of this nicotine-driven smoker behavior, smokers of light cigarettes boost their intake of tar, thus negating what Defendants have long promoted as the primary health-related benefit of light cigarettes: lower tar intake.

Defendants did not disclose the full extent and depth of their knowledge and understanding of smoker compensation to the public health community or to government regulators.

Defendants’ conduct relating to low tar cigarettes was intended to further their overarching economic goal: to keep smokers smoking; to stop smokers from quitting; to encourage people ... to start smoking; and to maintain or increase corporate profits.

United States v. Philip Morris,

at 449 F.Supp.2d at 430-43 .

D. Other “Light” Cigarette Fraud Actions

Class actions alleging fraud in the sales and marketing of “light” cigarettes have been brought in a number of state — and occasionally federal — courts in the past several years.

See, e.g., FLANAGAN V. ALTRIA GROUP, INC.,

No. 05-71697, 2005 WL 3719112 (E.D.Mieh. April 29, 2005);

Watson v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

No. 03-CV-4661 (Ark.Cir.) (filed April 18, 2003);

Virden v. Altria Group, Inc.,

No. 03-C-64 M (W.Va.Cir. March 28, 2003);

Pearson v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 0211-11819 (Or.Cir.) (filed Nov. 20, 2002);

Curtis v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

No. PI 01-018042 (Minn.Dist.Ct.) (filed Nov. 28, 2001);

Craft v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

No. 002-00406A (Mo. Cir.) (filed Feb. 14, 2000);

Marrone v. Philip Morris Cos.,

No. 99 CIV 0954 (Ohio Ct.Com.Pl.) (filed Nov. 8, 1999);

McClure v. Altria Group, Inc.,

No. 99C148 (Tenn. Cir.Ct.) (filed Jan. 19, 1999);

Trombino v. R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co.,

No. L-11263-98 (N.J.Super.Ct.) (filed Jan. 19, 1999);

Aspinall v. Philip Morris Cos.,

No. 98-6002, 1998 WL 34190483 (Mass.Sup.Ct. Nov. 25, 1998);

Cummis v. Philip Morris Cos.,

No. L-2114-98 (N.J.Super.Ct.) (filed July 9, 1998);

OLIVER

V

R.J. REYNOLDS TOBACCO CO.,

No. 268 (Pa.Ct. Com.Pl. Mar. 6, 1998). Results have been mixed.

In several, certification was granted over challenges on the basis of individual causation and reliance.

See, e.g., Aspinall v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

442 Mass. 381, 392-93 , 813 N.E.2d 476 (Mass. 2004) (approving class certification; defendants’ common course of conduct predominated over variations in damages; “pragmatically, [a class action] is the only method whereby purchasers of [“light” cigarettes] can seek redress for the alleged deception”);

Curtis v. Philip Morris-Companies, Inc.,

No. PI 01-018042, 2004 WL 2776228 , at *4 (Minn.Dist.Ct. Nov. 29, 2004) (on reconsideration, granting certification; defendants’ deliberately deceptive conduct justified presumption of reliance; as to proof of injury, because “ ‘it may be unlikely that any individual would smoke a cigarette the exact same way twice[,] ... it is probable that no smoker received the promised benefit of lowered tar and nicotine every time he or

*1030

she smoked a [“light”] cigarette’ ”) (quoting Aspinall);

Craft v. Philip Morris Companies, Inc.,

No. 002-00406A, 2003 WL 23355745 , at *4, 10 (Mo.Cir. Dec. 31, 2003) (compensation by smokers common enough to support certification; variations in damages insufficient to deny certification). In others, questions of individual causation and reliance were found to predominate and render certification inappropriate.

See, e.g., Davies v. Philip Morris USA Inc.,

No. 04-2-08174-2, 2006 WL 1600067 , at *3 (Wash.Super. May 26, 2006) (finding that individual causation questions predominated over common questions of defendants’ conduct);

Pearson v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

No. 0211-11819, 2006 WL 663004 , at

*7,

10 (Or.Cir. Feb. 23, 2006) (placing burden on each plaintiff to demonstrate that he or she was not receiving less tar; individual questions predominated because plaintiffs did not present any evidence purporting to prove reliance and causation on class-wide basis).

Some of these cases have failed on state law issues irrelevant to the instant suit.

See, e.g., Marrone v. Philip Morris USA Inc.,

110 Ohio St.3d 5, 13 , 850 N.E.2d 31 (Ohio 2006) (class certification denied; class action only maintainable under state Consumer Sales Practices Act if defendant’s alleged violation is “substantially similar to an act that was previously declared to be deceptive”);

Price v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

219 Ill.2d 182, 196, 265-66 , 302 Ill.Dec. 1 , 848 N.E.2d 1 (Ill.2005) (consent orders between FTC and two defendants restricting “use of the words ‘low,’ ‘lower,’ or ‘reduced’ or like qualifying terms” with respect to the amount of tar in its cigarettes “specifically authorize^] all United States tobacco companies to utilize” such terms, including “light,” “so long as the descriptive terms are accompanied by a clear and conspicuous disclosure of the ‘tar’ and nicotine content,” barring suit under Illinois state statute protecting defendants against consumer fraud actions based on actions “specifically authorized by law administered by any regulatory body or officer acting under statutory authority of this State or the United States”);

Flanagan v. Altria Group, Inc.,

No.

05-71697,

2005 WL 2769010 (E.D.Mich. Oct. 25, 2005) (same under Michigan Consumer Protection Act).

In every case, the class sought was restricted to smokers of particular brands residing within a particular state.

See, e.g., Flanagan

(smokers of Cambridge Lights and Marlboro Lights in Michigan);

Price

(smokers of Cambridge Lights and Marlboro Lights in Illinois);

Aspinall

(smokers of Marlboro Lights in Massachusetts). Yet as shown in Appendix E,

infra,

the National Cancer Institute’s 2001 monograph on “light” cigarettes (“Monograph 13”), and Appendix F,

infra,

the Massachusetts Department of Health analysis of increasing nicotine in cigarettes, the alleged frauds and harms were widespread across the industry and the country.

The federal government conducted, at great expense, a civil prosecution under RICO against the defendants named in this suit, who are the dominant members of the tobacco industry.

United States v. Philip Morris,

No. 99-2496 (filed Sept. 22, 1999). Alleging fraud with regards to all cigarettes sold by the defendants, including the “light” cigarettes at issue in this case, it sought disgorgement of the tobacco companies’ profits traceable to cigarette sales to addicted youths between 1971 and 2001 — an estimated 289 billion dollars — to repay health expenditures the federal government had paid or would pay to treat tobacco-related illnesses.

See United States v. Philip Morris USA Inc.,

396 F.3d 1190, 1193 (D.C.Cir.2005). An interlocutory ruling by the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia rendered dis

*1031

gorgement unavailable under the civil remedy provision relied upon by the government.

Id.

at 1202 (holding that 18 U.S.C. § 1964 (a) is limited to prospective • remedies, of which disgorgement is not one). The district court then completed the bench trial and held in favor of the government on most claims. It entered an order prohibiting the use of descriptors such as “light,” “mild,” and “low tar,” and enjoining defendants from making misleading statements about their products in the future,

United States v. Philip Morris,

449 F.Supp.2d at 937 (final judgment and remedial order); directing defendants to issue corrective statements to clear up their prior misrepresentations,

id.

at 938-40; requiring defendants to be more transparent by maintaining document depositories and websites,

id.

at 944; and awarding costs to the government.

Id.

449 F.Supp.2d at 944-45 .

No case has sought, as this one does, a nationwide class to recover economic damages stemming from the alleged “light” cigarette fraud perpetrated by the industry.

III. Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act

The Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (“RICO”) has strong civil as well as criminal implications. It makes it unlawful “for any person employed by or associated with any enterprise engaged in, or the activities of which affect, interstate or foreign commerce, to conduct or participate, directly or indirectly, in the conduct of such enterprise’s affairs through a pattern of racketeering activity or collection of unlawful debt” or “to conspire to violate” the Act. 18 U.S.C. §§ 1962 (c), 1962(d). RICO defines “racketeering activity” as any act indictable under a list of provisions in title 18 of the United States Code, ■ including sections 1341 and 1343, relating to mail and wire fraud. 18 U.S-.C. § 1961(1)(B).

Persons “injured in [their] business or property by reason of a violation of’ RICO’s criminal provisions may bring a private suit. 18 U.S.C. § 1964 (c). If successful, they “shall recover threefold the damages [they] sustain[] and the cost of the suit, including a reasonable attorney’s fee.”

Id.

This civil suit provision, no less than the rest of the RICO statute, is to be “liberally- construed to effectuate its remedial purposes.” Pub.L. 91-452, § 904 (a), 84 Stat. 947 (1970).

See Sedima, S.P.R.L. v. Imrex Co., Inc.,

473 U.S. 479, 498 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 , 87 L.Ed.2d 346 (1985) (“The statute’s ‘remedial purposes’ are nowhere more evident than in the provision of a private action for those injured by racketeering activity.”).

Dispute over the exact contours of civil RICO is ongoing.

Compare United States v. Philip Morris USA, Inc.,

396 F.3d 1190, 1197 (D.C.Cir.2005) (disgorgement not a permissible remedy under civil RICO),

with United States v. Carson,

52 F.3d 1173, 1182 (2d Cir.1995) (disgorgement permissible but only if calibrated to restrain and prevent future conduct),

and Richard v. Hoechst Celanese Chem. Group, Inc.,

355 F.3d 345, 354-55 (5th Cir.2003) (following Carson).

Compare Ideal Steel Supply Corp. v. Anza,

373 F.3d 251, 262-63 (2d Cir.2004) (reliance by plaintiff or third party on alleged mail or wire fraud is required),

rev’d on other grounds,

— U.S. -, 126 S.Ct. 1991 , 164 L.Ed.2d 720 (2006),

with Systems Management, Inc. v. Loiselle,

303 F.3d 100, 104 (1st Cir.2002) (reliance not required). No one doubts, however, that the statute relied upon by present plaintiffs provides a

*1032

remedy for fraud perpetrated by legitimate businesses on their customers if the customers can establish that the fraud caused them a financial loss.

See, e.g., Kemp v. American Tel. & Tel

.

Co.,

393 F.3d 1354, 1360 (11th Cir.2004) (upholding class action jury verdict against phone company for fraudulent billing practices);

Carnegie v. Household Int’l, Inc.,

376 F.3d 656, 658-59 (7th Cir.2004) (class of customers could sue tax preparers who were secretly self-dealing);

Moore v. Paine-Webber, Inc.,

189 F.3d 165, 167 (2d Cir.1999) (financial services company could be held liable to class for allegedly misrepresenting that its life insurance policies were akin to individual retirement- accounts, “thereby tricking [class members] into buying life insurance with funds that they would otherwise have used for IRAs or similar investments”).

Civil RICO is akin to a Russian ma-tryoshka doll, with statutes nested inside of statutes. It demands that a plaintiff prove injury stemming from a violation of criminal RICO, which in turn requires proof of a pattern of violations of one or more specific state or federal criminal statutes. As the appellate courts have built specific requirements into the substance of the somewhat vague criminal and civil provisions, each layer has become more complex.

All defendants move for summary judgment on issues of causation, injury, damages, and the statute of limitations. If a motion was granted on any one of these grounds, it would be fatal to the suit. For reasons indicated below, summary judgment is denied.

These motions take aim at the aggregate nature of this litigation. The discussion here sounds themes that will be heard again in the discussion of class certification.

See

Part VII,

infra.

A. Violation of Criminal RICO

To sustain a claim under civil RICO, plaintiffs must first prove that defendants violated RICO’s criminal provisions. 18 U.S.C. § 1964 ,

supra.

Plaintiffs here allege injury stemming from a pattern of racketeering activity by defendants (in violation of section 1962(c)) and a conspiracy to commit such activity (in violation of section 1962(d)).

1. Conduct of a Racketeering Enterprise (§ 1962(c))

To prove a violation of 1962(c), plaintiffs must demonstrate that defendants conducted or participated in the affairs of an enterprise through a pattern of racketeering activity.

Sedima,

473 U.S. at 496 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 .

a. Enterprise

An enterprise, as defined in the statute, “includes any individual, partnership, corporation, association, or other legal entity, and any union or group of individuals associated in fact although not a legal entityf.]” 18 U.S.C. § 1961 (4).

See also First Capital Asset Mgmt., Inc. v. Satinwood, Inc.,

385 F.3d 159 (2d Ch*.2004) (quoting the statute).

A RICO enterprise is “a group of persons associated together for a common purpose of engaging in a course of conduct,” the existence of which is proven “by evidence of an ongoing organization, formal or informal, and by evidence that the various associates function as a continuing unit.”

United States v. Turkette,

452 U.S. 576, 583 , 101 S.Ct. 2524 , 69 L.Ed.2d 246 (1981). The enterprise must be engaged in, or the activities of the enterprise must affect, interstate or foreign commerce. 18 U.S.C. § 1962 .

See also First Capital,

385 F.3d at 173 n. 12. Corporations qualify as persons under the act.

See

18 U.S.C.

*1033

§ 1961(3) (“ ‘[P]erson’ includes any individual or entity capable of holding a legal or beneficial interest in property!)]”).

Plaintiffs here allege an association in fact comprised of the named defendant corporations and industry organizations “whereby they coordinated their efforts and conducted their affairs for the past 50 years, with the likelihood of future continuance, in order to achieve the shared goals of preserving and expanding the market for cigarettes and maximizing their profits.” Second Amended Complaint (“SAC”) ¶ 187.

While denying the accuracy of the factual contentions underlying the claims, defendants do not deny that, if proved, plaintiffs’ allegations would demonstrate the existence of an enterprise under the statute.

b. Conduct

A defendant “conduces] or partiei-pate[s], directly or indirectly, in the conduct of [an] enterprise’s affairs,” 18 U.S.C. § 1962 (c), when it has “some part in directing those affairs.”

Reves v. Ernst & Young,

507 U.S. 170, 179 , 113 S.Ct. 1163 , 122 L.Ed.2d 525 (1993): “Of course, the word ‘participate’ makes clear that RICO liability is not limited to those with primary responsibility for the enterprise’s affairs, just as the phrase ‘directly or indirectly’ makes clear that RICO liability is not limited to those with a formal position in the enterprise; but some part in directing the enterprise’s affairs is required.”

First Capital,

385 F.3d at 176 (quoting

Reves)

(alterations omitted).

“[0]ne is liable under RICO only if he participated in the operation or management of the enterprise itself.”

Id.

(quoting

Azrielli v. Cohen Law Offices,

21 F.3d 512, 521 (2d Cir.1994)).

See also Reves,

507 U.S. at 179 , 113 S.Ct. 1163 (approving this test). “In this Circuit, the ‘operation or management’ test typically has proven to be a relatively low hurdle for plaintiffs to clear, especially at the pleading stage.”

First Capital,

385 F.3d at 176 . Whether a defendant operated or managed the affairs of an enterprise is “essentially [a question] of fact.”

Id.

With the exception of BATCo, defendants do not contest that, if true, plaintiffs’ allegations would adequately demonstrate that, in a legal sense, defendants had operated or managed the alleged enterprise.

See

Part V.B,

infra.

c. Racketeering activity

Racketeering activity is any of a number of violations of state and federal law listed in section 1961(1), including — as alleged in this and many other civil RICO cases— mail and wire fraud in violation of sections 1341 and 1343 of title 18.

See

18 U.S.C. § 1961 (1) (listing offenses); 18 U.S.C. § 1341 (criminalizing use of the mails to “obtainf ] money or property by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations, or promises”); 18 U.S.C. § 1343 (same by way of “wire, radio, or television communication in interstate ... commerce”). . Instances of racketeering activity are described as “predicate acts.”

See Sedima,

473 U.S. at 497 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 .

In relevant part the mail fraud statute reads:

Whoever, having devised or intending to devise any scheme or artifice to defraud, or for obtaining money or property by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, [or] representations ... for the purpose of executing such scheme or artifice or attempting so to do, places in any post office or authorized depository for mail matter, any matter or thing whatever to be sent or delivered by the Postal Service, or deposits or causes to be deposited any matter or thing whatever to be

*1034

sent or delivered by any private or commercial interstate carrier, or takes or receives therefrom, any such matter or thing, or knowingly causes to be delivered by mail or such carrier according to the direction thereon, or at the place at which it is directed to be delivered by the person to whom it is addressed, any such matter or thing, shall be [guilty of a crime.]

18 U.S.C. § 1341 .

In parallel language, the wire fraud provision reads in relevant part:

Whoever, having devised or intending to devise any scheme or artifice to defraud, or for obtaining money or property by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations, or promises, transmits or causes to be transmitted by means of wire, radio, or television communication in interstate or foreign commerce, any writings, signs, signals, pictures, or sounds for the purpose of executing such scheme or artifice, shall be [guilty of a crime.]

18 U.S.C. § 1343 .

The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has recently approved a simple charge defining a fraudulent “plan, device, or course of action” as follows:

The district court instructed the jury that the phrase “any scheme or artifice to defraud” is defined as:

[A]ny plan, device or course of action that deprives another of money or property by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations or promises. It is, in other words, a plan to deprive another of money or property by trick, deceit, deception, swindle or overreaching.

That instruction comports with the Supreme Court’s command that the statute be read conjunctively to require that the defendant not only devise a scheme or artifice, but also use that scheme or artifice to obtain money or property.

United States v. Males,

459 F.3d 154, 157-58 (2d Cir.2006).

Plaintiffs allege that defendants used the mails and interstate communication wires to advertise deceptively, and make misleading public statements about the health risks of, “light” cigarettes, thereby obtaining plaintiffs’ money by fraud. There are myriad examples relied upon by plaintiffs of acts violating these statutes.

See

SAC, App. B (non-exclusive list of predicate acts of mail and wire fraud).

d. Pattern

A civil RICO plaintiff must not only prove that the defendant engaged in acts defined as racketeering in section 1961(1) of title 18, but must also prove that these acts constituted a pattern. To establish such a pattern, a plaintiff must plead and prove at least two section 1961(1) predicate acts, show that the acts are related, and demonstrate that they amount to, or pose a threat of, continuing criminal activity.

See

18 U.S.C.A. §§ 1961 (1), 1962(c);

H.J. Inc. v. Northwestern Bell Tele. Co.,

492 U.S. 229 , 109 S.Ct. 2893 , 106 L.Ed.2d 195 (1989);

Economic Opportunity Com’n of Nassau County v. County of Nassau, Inc.,

47 F.Supp.2d 353 (E.D.N.Y.1999).

Plaintiffs have pleaded nineteen predicate acts of mail and wire fraud.

See

SAC, App. B. Defendants do not contest that, for the purposes of summary judgment and certification, the acts are sufficiently related to each other and the alleged common purpose of defendants to constitute a pattern — or that, if proved, they would demonstrate a threat of continuing racketeering activity. They do not raise the judgment and injunction in

United States v. Philip Morris,

Appendix A,

supra,

as a bar to a finding that there

*1035

remains a threat of criminal conduct prohibited by RICO.

2. Conspiracy (§ 1962(d))

The conspiracy required is vanilla flavored. Two or more defendant corporations must have agreed explicitly or by implication to act together and commit two related criminal acts. Defendants argue that this provision requires that plaintiffs prove that each conspirator itself agreed to commit two predicate acts. In the seminal case

Salinas v. United States, 522

U.S. 52, 118 S.Ct. 469 , 139 L.Ed.2d 352 (1997), the Supreme Court held that the RICO conspiracy statute does not impose such a requirement.

Id.

at 63 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . Defendants contend, however, that the

Salinas

standard is limited to criminal cases. Relying on

Cofacredit, S.A. v. Windsor Plumbing Supply Co.,

187 F.3d 229, 244-45 (2d Cir.1999), they submit that, in civil cases, the Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit requires that each defendant agree that he would commit two predicate acts himself.

a.

Cofacredit

While some language in

Cofacredit

may lend itself to this interpretation, defendants’ contention is rejected for several reasons. First, imposing a stricter standard in civil cases is inconsistent with the broad holding of

Salinas

that the RICO conspiracy statute did not change well-established principles of conspiracy law.

See Salinas, 522

U.S. at 63, 118 S.Ct. 469 . Second, neither the Supreme Court nor the Second Circuit have distinguished between RICO conspiracy standards . for criminal and civil cases.

See Cofacredit,

187 F.3d at 244-45 . Third, a construction of the standard for civil RICO conspiracy in line with the standard set forth in

Salinas

is supported by subsequent decisions in the Second Circuit and persuasive authority from other circuits. Finally, plaintiffs allege, and there is ample evidence to support, an agreement to take requisite action by each of the defendants. For purposes of a preliminary ruling on certification or summary judgment, plaintiffs satisfy both the narrow and broad readings of RICO’s requirement for an agreement to commit two or more predicate acts.

In

Cofacredit,

the defendants were sued on multiple theories, including substantive and conspiracy RICO violations, for their involvement in a scheme to obtain financing from the plaintiffs by presenting sham invoices for factoring.

Cofacredit,

187 F.3d at 234 . The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit found that there was insufficient evidence that the alleged predicate acts displayed the continuity necessary for a substantive RICO offense, or that the defendants agreed to commit additional predicate acts that, if committed, would have displayed the requisite continuity.

Id.

at 245 .

The court applied a two-prong test in reaching this finding. First, a plaintiff must establish that the defendants “agreed to form and associate themselves with a RICO enterprise and that they agreed to commit two predicate acts in furtherance of a pattern of racketeering activity in connection with the enterprise.”

Id.

at 244 (citing

United States v. Sessa,

125 F.3d 68, 71 (2d Cir.1997)). Second, a plaintiff must show that if the agreed-upon predicate acts had been carried out, they would have constituted a pattern of racketeering activity.

Id.

at 245 (citing

Salinas, 522

U.S. at 65, 118 S.Ct. 469 ).

The case at bar concerns the interpretation of the second clause of the first prong: “they agreed to commit two predicate acts in furtherance of a pattern of racketeering activity.” Syntactically, the clause may be understood either as requiring that each

*1036

defendant agree that he would commit two predicate acts personally, or that the defendants agreed among themselves that one or some of them would commit two predicate acts. Only the latter interpretation is consistent with Supreme Court precedent, subsequent Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit cases, Second Circuit district courts’ applications of the RICO conspiracy provision, and, finally, persuasive authority from other circuits. The fatal defect in plaintiffs claim in

Cofa-credit

was that the predicate acts did not extend for a sufficient period to form a pattern of racketeering activity, no matter which defendant had agreed to commit them.

Id.

at 245.

b. Supreme Court precedent

This reading of

Cofacredit

to ease plaintiffs’ burdens accords with the Supreme Court’s holding in

Salinas v. United States,

522 U.S. at 63 , 118 S.Ct. 469 , that the RICO conspiracy provision does not require that each defendant agree to commit two predicate acts personally. In

Salinas ,

the defendant challenged his conviction for RICO conspiracy because the jury had not been instructed that he had to have agreed to commit two predicate acts personally.

Id.

at 61 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . The Supreme Court rejected that contention on two grounds. First, unlike the general federal conspiracy statute, 18 U.S.C. § 371 , which requires that at least one of the conspirators commit an overt act to “effect the object of the conspiracy,” section 1962(d) “broadened conspiracy coverage by omitting the requirement of an overt act.”

Id.

at 61, 64 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . Second, the phrase “to conspire” should be interpreted according to well-established principles of conspiracy law, because section 1962(d) “did not ... work the radical change of requiring the Government to prove each conspirator agreed that he would be the one to commit two predicate acts.”

Id.

at 64 , 118 S.Ct. 469 .

Traditionally, conspiracy requires an agreement between two or more persons to commit an offense and an overt act in furtherance of the object of the conspiracy.

United States v. Falcone,

311 U.S. 205, 207 , 61 S.Ct. 204 , 85 L.Ed. 128 (1940). After he has' agreed to join the conspiracy, each co-conspirator is liable for the acts of his co-conspirators.

See, e.g., Pinkerton v. U.S.,

328 U.S. 640, 646-47 , 66 S.Ct. 1180 , 90 L.Ed. 1489 (1946) (“[S]o long as the partnership in crime continues, the partners act for each other in carrying it forward. It is settled that an overt act of one partner may be the act of all without any new agreement specifically directed to that act.”);

Bannon v. U.S.,

156 U.S. 464, 469 , 15 S.Ct. 467 , 39 L.Ed. 494 (1895) (“It has always been ... that, after prima facie evidence of an unlawful combination has been introduced, the act of any one of the co-conspirators in furtherance of such combination may be properly given in evidence against all.”).

In accordance with these traditional principles, the Court in

Salinas

held that the RICO conspiracy provision reaches a conspirator who “intend[s] to further an endeavor which, if completed, would satisfy all of the elements of a substantive criminal offense[. I]t suffices that he adopt the goal of furthering or facilitating the criminal endeavor.”

Salinas,

522 U.S. at 65 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . The requirement of two predicate acts for a substantive offense under section 1962(c) “makes no difference” in respect to the coverage of the conspiracy provision.

Id.

The Court recognized that some circuits may have required that each defendant agree that he would commit two predicate acts because “in some cases the connection the defendant had to the alleged enterprise or to the conspiracy to further it may be tenu

*1037

ous enough so that his own commission of two predicate acts may become an important part of the Government’s case.”

Id.

at 65-66 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . Nonetheless, the Court refused to import such limited considerations into the general definition of RICO conspiracy.

Id.

at 66 , 118 S.Ct. 469 .

In light of

Salmas, Cofacredit

should not be construed to require that each defendant agree that he would commit two predicate acts. Imposing that requirement would substantially depart from the traditional principle of conspiracy that supporters are liable for the acts of the perpetrators so long as they agree to pursue together the same criminal objective.

See Salinas,

522 U.S. at 64 , 118 S.Ct. 469 . Such a departure would be inconsistent with the Supreme Court’s understanding that Congress intended to preserve the conventional scope of conspiracy when it enacted the RICO conspiracy provision.

Id.

at 63 , 118 S.Ct. 469 .

Defendants contend that the standard set forth in

Salinas

is limited to criminal cases. This contention is rejected. If defendants’ position were correct,

Cofacredit

would have distinguished its holding from

Salinas

and other criminal cases. The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, however, did not distinguish — but rather explicitly relied on — criminal RICO conspiracy cases to establish the' standard for RICO conspiracy.

See Cofacredit,

187 F.3d at 244 -45 (citing

Salinas,

118 S.Ct. at 477 , and

United States v. Sessa,

125 F.3d 68, 71 (2d Cir.1997)). In turn, the passage from

Sessa

relied on in

Cofacredit

quotes from another criminal case,

United States v. Benevento,

836 F.2d 60, 73 (2d Cir.1987).

The Supreme Court has not indicated that its holding in

Salinas

is limited to criminal cases. In

Beck v. Prupis,

529 U.S. 494 , 120 S.Ct. 1608 , 146 L.Ed.2d 561 (2000), a case subsequent to

Salinas ,

the Supreme Court rejected petitioner’s suggestion that the court should look to civil, rather than criminal, conspiracy to interpret section 1962(d).

Id.

at 501 n. 6, 120 S.Ct. 1608 . Citing to

Salinas ,

the Court stated that “the common law of criminal conspiracy ... define[s] what constitutes a violation of § 1962(d).”

Id.See also Smith v. Berg,

247 F.3d 532 , 539 (3d Cir.2001)

(“[Beck’s

] reference to

Salinas

does not in any way repudiate its holding about what constitutes a conspiracy violation or indicate that the violation is different in a civil context .... ”).

The Supreme Court did look to civil conspiracy law, however, for the “combined meaning” of section 1962(d) and section 1964(c), which provides for a private cause of action.

Beck,

529 U.S. at 501 n. 6, 120 S.Ct. 1608 . The Court held that an “injury caused by an overt act that is not an act of racketeering or otherwise wrongful under RICO ... is not sufficient to givé rise to a cause of action under § 1964(c) for a violation of § 1962(d).”

Id.

at 505, 120 S.Ct. 1608 . As the Third Circuit has remarked, the decision in

Beck

“actually limits the class of plaintiffs whose injuries are cognizable; it does not in any way limit the class of defendants who are liable.”

Smith,

247 F.3d at 539 n. 13. Yet, even assuming the civil conspiracy requirement of an injury caused by an overt act indirectly bears on the standard for conspiracy under section 1962(d), it would still not mandate that each particular conspirator agree that he would commit the wrongful act.

See Beck,

529 U.S. at 506-07 , 120 S.Ct. 1608 (“[A] plaintiff could, through a § 1964(c) suit for a violation of § 1962(d) sue co-conspirators who might not themselves have violated one of the substantive provisions of § 1962.”). As the Court explained, under the common law, once a conspirator commits a tortious act, then the other co-conspirators are jointly liable.

Id.

at 503, 120 S.Ct. 1608 (conspiracy is a

*1038

mechanism for “subjecting co-conspirators to liability when one of their member committed a tortious act”; “some wrongful act to the plaintiffs damage must have been done by one or more of the defendants, and the fact of a conspiracy merely bears on the liability of the various defendants as joint tort-feasors”; conspiracy is “a means for establishing vicarious liability for the underlying tort”) (citations omitted).

c. Subsequent decisions of the Second Circuit and district courts

The jurisprudence, of the Second Circuit subsequent to

Cofacredit

also lends no support to defendants’ argument. . In

Baisch v. Gallina,

346 F.3d 366, 376-77 (2d Cir.2003), the defendant contended that he was not a proper defendant in substantive and conspiracy RICO claims because he committed no predicate acts, did not operate or manage the enterprise, and his knowledge of fraud was insufficient to support a RICO conspiracy finding. The court rejected his arguments, and, relying on

Salinas ,

held that “in the civil context, a plaintiff must allege that the defendant knew about and agreed to facilitate the scheme.”

Id.

at 377. Since plaintiff had presented a genuine question as to defendant’s knowledge of the racketeering enterprise and his willingness to promote it, summary judgment for defendant was not appropriate.

Id.

Recent decisions by district courts in the Second Circuit have not required that a defendant agree to the personal commission of two predicate acts in the civil context.

See, e.g., Zito v. Leasecomm Corp.,

No. 02-CIV-8074, 2004 WL 2211650 , at *18 (S.D.N.Y. Sept. 30, 2004) (“[I]t is possible to violate § 1962(d) by conspiring with others, even without committing or agreeing to commit any predicate acts oneself.”);

Davis Lee Pharmacy, Inc. v. Manhattan Cent. Capital Corp.,

327 F.Supp.2d 159, 163-64 (E.D.N.Y.2004) (“A plaintiff ... must prove an agreement by each defendant to commit at least two predicate acts,” but “[t]he conspirator need not have agreed to commit the two or more predicate acts himself.”).

See also State Farm Mutual Auto. Ins. Co. v. CPT Med. Serv., P.C.,

375 F.Supp.2d 141, 150-51 (E.D.N.Y.2005) (holding that plaintiffs allegation that defendants provided “support” in furtherance of a pattern of racketeering activity was sufficient under 1962(d), even if plaintiff did not allege that defendants committed two predicate acts themselves).

d. Other circuits

Persuasive authority from other circuits supports construing the civil standard for a 1962(d) violation analogously to the standard set forth in

Salinas .

The Seventh Circuit has held that “an individual can be charged under § 1962(d) even if he personally does not agree to commit two predicate acts of racketeering.”

Slaney v. Int’l Amateur Athletic Fed’n,

244 F.3d 580, 600 (7th Cir.2001) (citing

Goren v. New Vision Int’l, Inc.,

156 F.3d 721, 731 (7th Cir.1998)). Explaining that the touchstone of 1962(d) liability is an agreement to violate the substantive RICO provisions, rather than an actual violation, the court confirmed that it is enough that “defendant ... agreed that

someone

would commit at least two predicate acts to accomplish [the] goals [of the conspiracy].”

Id.

(emphasis supplied).

The holdings of several circuits on a related issue — whether the reach of the RICO conspiracy statute is limited to those who would have participated in the operation or management of an enterprise — reaffirm the application of

Salinas

to civil cases. In light of

Salinas ,

the Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit held that a civil defendant may be held liable for conspiracy to violate section 1962(d) if

*1039

he knowingly agrees to facilitate a scheme which includes the operation or management of a RICO enterprise.

Smith,

247 F.3d at 538. The court overruled its prior holding in

United States v. Antar,

53 F.3d 568 (3d Cir.1995), which limited conspiracy liability to those who. had conspired personally to operate or manage the corrupt enterprise.

Smith

at 534.

See also United States v. Fernandez,

388 F.3d 1199 (9th Cir.2004) (overruling

Neibel v. Trans World Assurance Co.,

108 F.3d 1123 (9th Cir.1997), on the same grounds).

Smith

held that its prior holding in

Antar

was inconsistent with “the plain indication of the standard set forth in

Salinas ...

that one who opts into or participates in a conspiracy is liable for the acts of his co-conspirators which violate section 1962(c) even if the defendant did not personally agree to do, or conspire with respect to,

any

particular element.”

Smith,

247 F.3d at 537 (emphasis in original). The court explicitly rejected defendants’ contention that

Beck

limited

Salinas

to criminal cases.

Id.

at 538-39.

e. Conclusion on conspiracy requirements

Civil liability under RICO does not require that each conspirator agree to the personal commission of any element of the substantive offense — including the personal commission of two predicate acts.

B. Injury to Property

1. Law

A RICO plaintiff “can only recover to the extent that [] he has been injured in his business or property by the conduct constituting the violation.”

Sedima,

473 U.S. at 496 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 .

But the statute requires no more than this. Where the plaintiff alleges each element of the violation, the compensa-ble injury necessarily is the harm caused by predicate acts sufficiently related to constitute a pattern, for the essence of the violation is the commission of those acts in connection with the conduct of an enterprise. Those acts are, when committed in the circumstances delineated in § 1962(c), ‘an activity which RICO was designed to deter.’ Any recoverable damages occurring by reason of a violation of § 1962(c) will flow from the commission of the predicate acts.

Id.

at 497, 105 S.Ct. 3275 .

Money is property under RICO.

See Bankers Trust Co. v. Rhoades,

741 F.2d 511 (2d Cir.1984),

vacated and remanded on other grounds,

473 U.S. 922 , 105 S.Ct. 3550 , 87 L.Ed.2d 673 (1985) (“Bankers has alleged that it has been deprived of various sums of money by the defendants’ activities. There is no question that this constituted ‘injur[y] in [its] business or property...’”). As the Supreme Court has held in the antitrust context, “[I]t taxes the ordinary meaning of common terms to argue ... that a consumer’s monetary injury arising directly out of a retail purchase is not comprehended by the natural and usual meaning of the phrase ‘business or property.’ ”

Reiter v. Sonotone Corp.,

442 U.S. 330, 339 , 99 S.Ct. 2326 , 60 L.Ed.2d 931 (1979). The gloss courts have put on the phrase “business or property” in the antitrust context is more restrictive than that put on the phrase in the RICO context.

Compare Sedima

(in RICO suit, no requirement of a distinct “RICO injury”)

with Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc.,

429 U.S. 477, 489 , 97 S.Ct. 690 , 50 L.Ed.2d 701 (1977) (in antitrust suit, plaintiffs must plead and prove a distinct “antitrust injury”). A for-tiori, if money is property under the antitrust laws, it is property under RICO.

2. Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment on Injury

The challenge to plaintiffs’ claim of injury overlaps with defendants’ motion to dis

*1040

miss on damages grounds, and is largely-discussed at Part III.D,

infra.

Addressed here are two peripheral arguments of defendants that are rejected.

a. Proprietary injury

Defendants contend that plaintiffs have not suffered an injury to their business or property because “light” cigarettes have always cost the same as regular cigarettes, and many, if not all, of the class members would have continued to smoke in the absence of the alleged fraud. These contentions may persuade a jury, but cannot decide the motion for summary judgment.

Defendants rest their challenge on one in-circuit and three out-of-circuit cases. Each, they avow, stands for the proposition that a defrauded plaintiff cannot show injury under RICO if the object he or she received was worth what he or she paid for it. None bars plaintiffs’ claims.

In

Commercial Union Assurance Co. v. Milken,

17 F.3d 608 (2d Cir.1994), the Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit held that plaintiff investors who initially suffered losses stemming from the criminal conduct of Michael Milken and others could not maintain an action under RICO after the full amount of their original investment had been returned to them. 17 F.3d at 611 (noting that appellants had received “114.6 percent of their initial capital investment and they still own their partnership interests”). Because plaintiffs had “received the return actually bargained for, they had suffered no compensa-ble RICO injury.”

First Nationwide Bank v. Gelt Funding Corp.,

27 F.3d 763, 769 (2d Cir.1994) (describing the holding in Milken). Smoker plaintiffs’ claim here, to the contrary, is that they did not receive what they bargained for — i.e., a safer cigarette.

Milken

is inapplicable.

In

Heinold v. Perlstein,

651 F.Supp. 1410 (E.D.Pa.1987), the court dismissed for lack of injury a suit seeking recovery for a lost “bargain opportunity” due to a retailer’s representation that a ring was more valuable than it was.

See

651 F.Supp. at 1411 . Critically, the plaintiff conceded that the ring was, in fact, worth more than he had paid.

Id.

The plaintiff sought to recover his expectancy damages, which he defined as the difference between the value that the defendant represented the ring to have and the actual value of the ring.

Id.

The court rejected the plaintiffs position since the only property to which the plaintiff alleged an injury was his expectation interest. “Since plaintiff admits that he either broke even or came out ahead on the deal, albeit not as far ahead as he had hoped, I fail to see what property injury he sustained.”

Id. Heinold

is easily distinguishable from the case at hand. Here, plaintiffs allege that they paid

more

than the fair market value of the cigarettes they purchased. It is not only the expectation of a benefit that is the source of plaintiffs’ claim, but an actual loss of money: had the truth about “light” cigarettes been revealed earlier, they contend, the market value of these cigarettes would have been lower than the amount they paid.

See

Expert Reports of Dr. Jeffery Harris, Part VIII.F.l.h (under one of plaintiffs’ damage models, “an economist assesses, on a per-cigarette basis, the difference between the price paid for the good as represented and the value of the good actually sold”); Dr. John Beyer, Part VIII.F.l.a (another model, using multiple regression, “identifies the extent to which prices of cigarettes were higher as a result of the alleged fraudulent behavior.”).

Similarly inapt is

Line v. Astro Manufacturing,

993 F.Supp. 1033 (E.D.Ky.1998). In

Line ,

a putative class of owners of manufactured homes sued the builders to recover for diminution of property value

*1041

associated with homes that were subject to an increased risk of injury and death from fires. The court held that the plaintiffs had not alleged a RICO injury because the houses they had purchased were not worth less than what the plaintiffs had paid for them.

See

993 F.Supp. at 1037 (a plaintiff “did not suffer any injury to business or property because he paid no more than fair market value for a manufactured home without a sprinkler system”). On the record in this suit, the jury may well decide that the cigarettes purchased by plaintiffs were worth less than, and had a fair market value below, what plaintiffs had actually paid.

A third case relied on by defendants,

Frankford Trust Co. v. Advest, Inc.,

943 F.Supp. 531 (E.D.Pa.1996), is also wide of the mark.

Frankford Trust

found

Hein-hold’s

limitations — no recovery for harm to an expectation interest — inapplicable in a suit alleging mismanagement of funds and seeking profits that would have been earned had defendants invested wisely.

See

943 F.Supp. at 535

(“Heinold

is easily distinguishable from the case at hand.”). The district court’s holding in

Frankford Trust

that lost profits could be an injury under RICO does not preclude present plaintiffs’ claim that they paid more than the fair market value for “light” cigarettes.

That “light” cigarettes did and do cost the same as regular cigarettes may not prevent a finding that plaintiffs paid more than fair market value. Plaintiffs contend that implicit in defendants’ marketing was a trade-off between taste and safety. Smokers who chose “light” cigarettes, they claim, understood that flavor would be sacrificed for decreased health risks.

See, e.g.,

Brown & Williamson, “Low ‘Tar’ Satisfaction, Step 1, Identification of Perceived and Underperceived Consumer Needs,” July 25, 1977, Bates No. 775036043^14 (“It must be assumed that Full Taste smokers come down to ‘low tar’ expecting less taste ... they are willing to compromise taste expectations for health reassurance.”); “Low Tar Brand Market Overview and Lights Review,” Nov. 1994, Bates No. 403695152 (“Lights as a descriptor has distinct perception of relating to an expectation of low tar/nicotine delivery with an additional secondary expectation of reduced taste.”). Under this view, a “light” cigarette that did not provide any decreased health risk would be worth less than a regular cigarette, even if both were priced the same, because of deficiencies in the latter’s taste. Defendants counter that most “light” smokers claim to prefer the taste of “light” cigarettes — suggesting that health risks do not play a major role in the choice to start or continue smoking “lights.” Under this view, a smoker who preferred the taste of “light” cigarettes would have no injury even if he or she received no less tar or nicotine than he or she would have from a regular cigarette.

But see

Expert Report of Marvin Goldberg, pp.9-14, excerpted in Part VIII. F.l.g (arguing that defendants’ marketing of “light” cigarettes shaped consumer perceptions of taste);

Price,

Appendix C at ¶ 41,

infra

(finding that some smokers’ stated preference for the taste of “light” cigarettes “was actually an additional health reassurance reinforcement”). These intricate questions of implicit promises and subjective value are in the jury’s bailiwick.

Damage models submitted to the jury will be vetted to conform to the evidence and any jury finding on injury. For example, if the jury were to find that “light” cigarettes were worth what plaintiffs paid, then only damages stemming from sales to those who would have quit, or would have smoked fewer cigarettes but for the fraud, will be permitted.

See

Part III.D.3.a (discussing basis for computation of out of

*1042

pocket losses if benefit of the bargain recovery is disallowed).

b. Personal injury

Defendants urge' that plaintiffs are improperly seeking compensation for increased risk of future personal injury under the cover of economic harm. Plaintiffs respond that the damages they seek are the most direct form of damage envisioned under RICO — money that was taken from them by fraud.

It is not clear that personal injury damages are not recoverable under RICO.

See Nat’l Asbestos Workers Med. Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

74 F.Supp.2d 221, 229 (E.D.N.Y.1999) (“The most natural reading of the language in RICO supports the conclusion that pecuniary losses resulting from racketeering and causing personal injuries should be compensable under the statute.”);

Guerrero v. Gates,

110 F.Supp.2d 1287, 1293 (C.D.Cal.2000) (permitting recovery for personal injuries caused by police misconduct; collecting cases).

See also Hargraves v. Capital City Mortg. Corp.,

140 F.Supp.2d 7, 26 (D.D.C.2000) (citing

National Asbestos Workers Medical Fund)

(denying motion to dismiss claims seeking damages for emotional or physical injuries).

But see Berg v. First State Ins. Co.,

915 F.2d 460, 464 (9th Cir.1990) (personal injuries not compensable under RICO);

Rylewicz v. Beaton Services, Ltd.,

888 F.2d 1175 (7th Cir.1989) (same).

The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has yet to rule on the matter. A prohibition on recovery for personal injuries would not be consonant with the statutory language (“The provisions of this title shall be liberally construed to effectuate its remedial purposes.” Pub.L. 91-^452, § 904(a), 84 Stat. 947 .), or the Supreme Court’s admonition that “RICO is to be read broadly.”

Sedima,

473 U.S. at 497 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 . In any event, plaintiffs here do not seek damages for personal injuries, either directly or indirectly.

Plaintiffs’ proposed jury instructions would make this distinction clear. “Damages that are recoverable include, for example, the payment of money, unjust profits, and overcharges. They do not include, for example, claims for personal injury or mental anguish.” Pis.’ Prop. Jury Inst. 6.

Relying on a footnote from

In re Bridge-stonetFirestone, Inc. Tires Products Liability Litigation,

defendants also argue that permitting the instant suit to go forward without barring all future suits for personal injury would result in double recovery and double liability.

See

288 F.3d 1012 , 1017 n. 1 (7th Cir.2002) (rejecting certification of nationwide class of consumers seeking damages for reduced value of defective tires). The learned footnote dealing with defects in widgets is of no help in the present case.

Bridgestone

turned on choice-of-law analysis, not double recovery.

See id.

at 1018 (concluding that the applicable state rule of

lex loci delicti

would require utilization of many different state substantive laws, rendering the case unmanageable on a national class action basis). Jurors may take a different view of choices by consumers of cigarettes looking for protection from cancer than they do of choices by purchasers of nonlethal widgets.

Cf.

Joe Nocera, “If It’s Good for Philip Morris, Can It Also Be Good for Public Health?”, N.Y. Times Magazine, June 18, 2006 (quoting Steve Parrish, Altria’s senior vice president for corporate affairs: “We don’t make widgets.”). No language in RICO evidences concern with the possibility that its rule of recovery might lead to “excess precautions” — a phrase itself somewhat out of place in a suit alleging deliberate, long-term deception about serious public and private health concerns.

*1043

For the reasons described in Parts IV.B and IV.C,

infra

(rejecting claim splitting challenge), no double recovery would arise were a plaintiff successful in this suit also to sue for personal injuries stemming from consumption of “light” cigarettes — the claims are distinct and would remedy harms to different proprietary interests.

S. Conclusion on Injury

Plaintiffs’ theory of injury is legally unobjectionable. It is supported by evidence sufficient to withstand summary judgment.

C. Causation and Reliance

1. Law

To recover under civil RICO, a plaintiff must establish an injury to his business or property “by reason of’ the alleged racketeering activity.

See Sedima, S.P.R.L. v. Imrex Co.,

473 U.S. 479, 496 , 105 S.Ct. 3275 , 87 L.Ed.2d 346 (1985) (“[A] plaintiff ... can only recover to the extent that[ ] he has been injured in his business or property by the conduct constituting the violation.”);

Bankers Trust Co. v. Rhoades,

741 F.2d 511, 516 (2d Cir.1984),

vacated and remanded on other grounds,

473 U.S. 922 , 105 S.Ct. 3550 , 87 L.Ed.2d 673 (1985),

on remand, 859

F.2d 1096 (2d Cir.1988) (“the requirement that the injury be ‘by reason of a violation of § 1962 means that there must be a causal connection between the prohibited conduct and the plaintiffs proprietary injury. Thus, it is insufficient for a plaintiff to prove simply a violation by the defendants and a proprietary injury; it must prove that the defendant’s violation caused the injury.”); Douglas E. Abrams,

The Law of Civil RICO

§ 3.3.1 (1991) (“[Section 1964(c)’s ‘by reason of language requires proof that the violation caused the plaintiffs proprietary injury.”).

The “by reason of’ language requires both factual, “but for,” causation and “proximate” causation.

See Commercial Cleaning Servs., L.L.C. v. Colin Serv. Sys., Inc.,

271 F.3d 374, 380 (2d Cir.2001) (“RICO’s use of the clause ‘by reason of has been held to limit standing to those plaintiffs who allege that the asserted RICO violation was the legal, or proximate, cause of their injury, as well as a logical, or ‘but for,’ cause.”).

a. Factual causation

Factual causation is a requirement of every tort.

See generally

Dan B. Dobbs,

The Law of Torts

§ 166 (cause in fact requirement). It is eommonsensical: if a defendant’s action cannot be linked to a harm suffered by plaintiff, he cannot be held liable for it.

b. Proximate causation

The term “proximate causation” is used “to label generically the judicial tools used to limit a person’s responsibility for the consequences of that person’s own acts.”

Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp.,

503 U.S. 258, 268 , 112 S.Ct. 1311 , 117 L.Ed.2d 532 (1992). As it has with identical language in the Clayton Act,

see Associated Gen. Contractors of California, Inc. v. California State Council of Carpenters,

459 U.S. 519, 535-6 , 103 S.Ct. 897 , 74 L.Ed.2d 723 (1983), the Supreme Court has read a proximate cause requirement into civil RICO.

See Holmes,

503 U.S. at 268 , 112 S.Ct. 1311 (“We may fairly credit the 91st Congress, which enacted RICO, with knowing the interpretation federal courts had given the words earlier Congresses had used first in § 7 of the Sherman Act, and later in the Clayton Act’s § 4. It used the same words, and we can only assume it intended them to have the same meaning that courts had already given them. Proximate cause is thus re

*1044

quired.”) (citations omitted).

See also First Nationwide Bank v. Gelt Funding Corp.,

27 F.3d 763, 769 (2d Cir.1994) (RICO’s “by reason of’ clause “requires a showing not only that the defendant’s alleged RICO violation was the ‘but-for’ or cause-in-fact of his injury, but also that the violation was the legal or proximate cause.”).

Though proximate cause had taken many forms at common law, the issue in

Holmes

was “a demand for some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged.”

Id.

Little weight was to be put on the Court’s terminology. “[0]ur use of the term ‘direct’ should merely be understood as a reference to the proximate-cause enquiry that is informed by the concerns set out in the text. We do not necessarily use it in the same sense as courts before us have and intimate no opinion on results they reached.”

Id.

at 274 n. 20, 112 S.Ct. 1311 .

The Court in

Holmes

did not attempt to set out a definitive test for proximate cause. “[T]he infinite variety of claims that may arise make it virtually impossible to announce a black-letter rule that will dictate the result in every case.”

Id.

at 274 n. 20, 112 S.Ct. 1311 (quoting

Associated General Contractors,

459 U.S. at 536 , 103 S.Ct. 897 ).

See also Nat’l Asbestos Workers Med. Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

74 F.Supp.2d 221, 223 (E.D.N.Y.1999) (“[Pjroximate causation is a normative, flexible, and highly fact specific doctrine which requires individualized inquiry in each case.”); W. Page Keeton et al.,

Pros-ser and Keeton on the Law of Torts

§ 42 (5th ed.1984) (proximate cause is “always to be determined on the facts of each case upon mixed considerations of logic, common sense, justice, policy and prece-dente]”).

See also Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp.,

— U.S. -, 126 S.Ct. 1991 , 164 L.Ed.2d 720 (2006) (applying

Holmes

as current law).

The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has read

Holmes

to imply that the common law torts principles of direct injury, substantial causation, reasonable foreseeability, and the “zone of interests” are “distinct concepts, [each] of which must generally be established by a plaintiff.”

Laborers Local 17 Health and Benefit Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

191 F.3d 229, 235-36 (2d Cir.1999).

See also id.

at 238-39 (holding plaintiff health fund’s suit barred because its financial losses were wholly derivative of injuries to individual smokers; “the critical question posed ... is whether the damages a plaintiff sustains are derivative of an injury to a third party.”).

c. Reliance

i. Reliance is required

When, as here, mail fraud and wire fraud are the alleged predicate acts forming the racketeering activity, justified reliance on the fraud is necessary to satisfy RICO’s causation requirements.

See Metromedia Co. v. Fugazy,

983 F.2d 350, 368 (2d Cir.1992) (“[T]o establish the required causal connection, the plaintiff [must] ... demonstrate that the defendant’s misrepresentations were relied on.”).

See also, e.g., Appletree Square I Ltd. v. W.R. Grace & Co.,

29 F.3d 1283 , 1286 (8th Cir.1994) (“In order to establish injury to business or property ‘by reason of a predicate act of mail or wire fraud, a plaintiff must establish detrimental reliance on the alleged fraudulent acts.”);

Grantham and Mann, Inc. v. Am. Safety Prods.,

831 F.2d 596, 606 (6th Cir.1987) (failure to establish detrimental reliance);

In re Sumitomo Copper Litig.,

995 F.Supp. 451, 458 (S.D.N.Y.1998) (“When the predicate acts [of mail or wire] fraud are alleged, ‘to establish the required caus

*1045

al connection, the plaintiff [is] required to demonstrate that the defendant’s misrepresentations were relied on.’ ”).

But see Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp.,

— U.S. -, -, 126 S.Ct. 1991, 2008 ,, 164 L.Ed.2d 720 (2006) (Thomas, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part) (reaching a question not reached by the majority, i.e., whether reliance is required in a civil RICO suit predicated on mail and wire fraud, and concluding that “[b]ecause reliance cannot be read into [the mail or wire fraud statutes], nor into RICO itself, it is not an element of a civil RICO claim”).

ii. Role of reliance

The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has not always stated explicitly, when discussing reliance, what purpose it serves. A fair reading of the cases demonstrates that whether reliance, in itself, satisfies both factual and proximate causation depends on whether the reliance is direct or third-party.

(a) Direct reliance

In cases deriving from predicate acts of mail or wire fraud, plaintiffs may establish reliance sufficient to satisfy RICO’s “by reason of’ language in one of two ways. First, a plaintiff may “claim that he was the direct target of the fraudulent scheme. In that case, to plead causation, [the] plaintiff would have to allege that he himself relied on the underlying misrepresentations to his detriment.”

Sterling Interiors Group, Inc. v. Haworth, Inc.,

No. 94-9216, 1996 WL 537482 , at *4 (S.D.N.Y. Sept. 23, 1996). Proof of injury by the intended victim of a scheme is a prototypical example of proximate cause.

See, e.g.,

Restatement (Second) of Torts § 525 (1977) (“One who fraudulently makes a misrepresentation of fact, opinion, intention or law for the purpose of inducing another to act or to refrain from action in reliance upon it, is subject to liability to the other in deceit for pecuniary loss caused to him by his justifiable reliance upon the misrepresentation.”). Direct reliance satisfies proximate causation.

(b) Third-party reliance

As a second possibility, a plaintiff may allege that his injuries were caused by a third party’s reliance on fraudulent scheme.

See, e.g., County of Suffolk v. Long Island Lighting Co.,

907 F.2d 1295, 1300, 1311 (2d Cir.1990) (permitting plaintiff county and utility ratepayers to sue on theory that defendant utility had testified falsely before the state Public Service Commission, which granted the utility the right to increase rates in reliance on the false testimony). Proof of third-party reliance will not always satisfy RICO’s requirement of proximate causation.

See 2 Civil RICO Litigation

§ 8.04[B][l][a] (“[I]f the defendant’s misrepresentations cause a third party to take actions causing plaintiffs injury, the factual causation link is satisfied. Whether such injury should nevertheless be deemed too remote to permit recovery under [civil RICO] is a matter of proximate causation analysis, not causation-in-fact.”).

Cf. Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp.,

— U.S. —, 126 S.Ct. 1991 , 164 L.Ed.2d 720 (2006) (proximate cause not met where government agency, not plaintiff, relied on defendant’s alleged mail and wire fraud).

d. Transaction causation and loss causation

The Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has, in the context of RICO suits alleging fraud in commercial finance transactions, said that plaintiffs must show “transaction causation” and “loss causation.”

See, e.g:, Moore v. PaineWebber,

189 F.3d 165 (2d Cir.1999) (plaintiffs alleged that financial service company mis

*1046

represented life insurance policies as Individual Retirement Accounts, causing them to purchase the policies instead of investing their money in more profitable ways);

First Nationwide Bank v. Gelt Funding Corp.,

27 F.3d 763 (2d Cir.1994) (defendant mortgage broker misrepresented to plaintiff commercial lender the operating income of properties in order to secure loans on those properties, and then defaulted, causing substantial losses);

Citibank, N.A. v. K-H Corp.,

968 F.2d 1489 (2d Cir.1992) (defendants made false representations to lender in order to secure an extension of credit). Defendants contend that the same “transaction causation” and “loss causation” principles apply to the present consumer fraud -case, and that plaintiffs cannot meet these requirements.

The doctrines are inapplicable. Transaction causation would require plaintiffs to demonstrate that, “but for the defendant[s’] wrongful acts, the plaintiffs would not have entered into the transactions that resulted in their losses.”

Moore,

189 F.3d at 172 . Loss causation would require that plaintiffs show “that the defendants’ misstatements or omissions were the reason the transactions turned out to be losing ones.”

Id.

Transaction causation is similar to the factual causation inquiry under reliance, discussed above. Loss causation, in the consumer fraud context, would be nonsensical. If, as defendants aver, plaintiffs here were required to show that the misstatements or omissions “actually caused their economic loss,”

see

Tr. of Sept. 13, 2006 Hr’g, at 123:20, they would have to demonstrate that defendants’ alleged misrepresentations about “light” cigarettes made those cigarettes worth

less

than plaintiffs paid— i.e., made those purchases “losing ones.” But the allegation is not that defendants’ fraud itself decreased the value of “light” cigarettes. It is that defendants-manufactured an inferior product (because it tasted worse than regular cigarettes and was no safer) and disguised its worth with misleading statements about its reduction of health risks. As with every consumer fraud, it is not the misrepresentation that makes the product worth less than defendant claims. It is the facts behind the lies.

Application of the “transaction causation”-“loss causation” duo would bar all consumer fraud claims under RICO. The law does not so radically reduce consumer protections because of its rules for an entirely different kind of case, one dealing with commercial finance.

2. Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment on Causation

Defendants move for summary judgment on causation grounds. They claim that 1) plaintiffs have made an insufficient showing of reliance and 2) the indirect purchaser rule bars their claims.

a. Reliance

The challenge on grounds of insufficient showing of reliance is twofold. It is a challenge, first, to plaintiffs’ experts’ reports and, second,' to the use of aggregate proof on what defendants claim is a set of “individualized” questions. Because the court finds the reports and testimony of plaintiffs’ pertinent experts admissible,

see

Part VIII,

infra,

and the use of statistical proof appropriate,

see

Parts VII.D.l.a.ii, VII.D.2.b.i, and IX.A,

infra,

defendants’ remonstration is unfounded.

i. Plaintiffs’ claims of reliance

Plaintiffs allege reliance on the “lights” descriptor appearing on each pack of “light” cigarettes, as well as the sophisticated'marketing campaigns of defendants.

See

SAC ¶ 72 (“In furtherance of their fraud and deception, Defendants added the labels “Light” and/or “Lights” to their reg

*1047

ular cigarette brands ... to induce eon-sumer[s] into believing that they would receive lower amounts of tar and nicotine from these cigarettes than from their regular cigarettes----”); ¶ 115 (“Each advertisement, marketing activity, and public statement regarding light cigarettes was intended to convey a ‘health reassurance’ to existing and potential smokers.”); ¶ 189 (“As a direct and proximate result of Defendants’ [conspiracy to misrepresent the health risks of “light” . cigarettes], ... Plaintiffs and the Class were induced and/or deceived into purchasing light cigarettes, and were thereby injured in their property.”). They also allege reliance on the statements of public health community and government officials, who themselves were misled by defendants and, as a result, did not warn smokers of the risks of “light” cigarettes as soon as they would have had they not been deceived.

See

SAC ¶¶ 149-184 (describing defendants’ efforts to suppress research and other documentation that might reveal to the public health authorities and others the risks of “light” cigarettes).

ii. Reliance showing required in this ease

Though reliance is a requirement for establishing causation where predicate acts based in fraud are alleged, the nature of the reliance is not a constant. Where the fraudulent scheme is limited in scope and specifically targeted at only one or a few individuals, organizations, or entities, the establishment of causation may require reliance on identifiable misrepresentations.

See, e.g., County of Suffolk,

907 F.2d at 1311

(“In the context of this case,

which involves RICO mail fraud claims ... it is necessary for Suffolk to demonstrate at trial that LILCO’s misrepresentations to the PSC were relied upon by the PSC.”) (emphasis supplied).

See also Metromedia,

983 F.2d at 357 (misrepresentations sent by mail directly to targeted victim). Where, however, the fraudulent scheme is targeted broadly at a large proportion of the American public the requisite showing of reliance is less demanding. Such sophisticated, broad-based fraudulent schemes by their very nature are likely to be designed to distort the entire body of public knowledge rather than to individually mislead millions of people. From the perspective of the fraudulent actors, clear efficiencies are gained by co-opting the media and other outlets of information as unwitting tools for such a pervasive scheme.

If plaintiffs’ allegations are borne out, it was crucial to the success of defendants’ scheme — particularly the public’s willingness to accept the misrepresentations as truths — that the health claims about “light” cigarettes appear to come not only from the defendants themselves, but also to appear as facts, or at least open questions, permeating the entire body of public knowledge.

Cf, e.g., Simon II,

Appendix D, at Part III.B.4,

infra

(it was tobacco industry policy that “reports were to be withheld from the United States Surgeon General” if they implicated cigarettes in causing disease). To require reliance on specific misrepresentations where the concealed and obscured use of indirect channels of communication was integral to the success of the scheme would produce the perverse result of having the most massive and sinister fraudulent schemes be the ones that escape civil RICO liability.

Where such a broad-based fraudulent scheme is alleged, a plaintiff in order to establish reliance for injury causation need only establish (1) that the RICO defendants intentionally engaged in a scheme to distort the body of public knowledge, (2) that the defendants were successful in doing so (i.e., were, a sub

*1048

stantial factor causing the distortion), (3) that there was detrimental reliance on this distorted knowledge by an intended and foreseeable class of victims, (4) that such reliance was reasonable in the totality of the circumstances, and (5) that the plaintiffs were proximately injured by this reliance.

Falise v. American Tobacco Co.,

94 F.Supp.2d 316, 334 (E.D.N.Y.2000).

iii. Plaintiffs have demonstrated reliance

Plaintiffs have met the five

Falise

requirements:

(1) Documents submitted by plaintiffs in this case, experience with like tobacco litigation, the recent opinion after bench trial in

United States v. Philip Morris

(Appendix A,

supra),

the findings of the jury in

Blue Cross

(Appendix B,

supra),

the trial in Illinois state court (Appendix C, infra), and the expert reports of Joseph Stiglitz, Robert Pollay, Richard Proctor, and others provide ample evidence of a scheme by defendants to mislead each potential smoker of “light” cigarettes, and the public generally, about the health risks of “light” cigarettes.

(2) While defendants raise FTC and public health community “approval” as defenses,

see

Parts VIA, VI.C,

infra,

their advertisements and marketing efforts were and are the primary source of information for smokers about defendants’ products.

See United States v. Philip Morris,

Appendix A at 449 F.Supp.2d at 513-61 ,

supra

(detailing marketing efforts). The expert reports of Katherine Kinsella, Marvin Goldberg, Robert Pollay, and others provide evidence on which a rational jury could conclude that defendants’ representations were a substantial factor causing plaintiffs’ misapprehensions.

(3) Plaintiffs’ experts Robert Proctor, K. Michael Cummings, Joel Cohen, and Michael Dennis, among others, provide evidence that “lights” smokers, the class of alleged victims, relied on defendants’ misrepresentations, and that they did not receive what was represented — less tar and nicotine or, more generally, a less dangerous cigarette.

Defendants’ attack on plaintiffs’ failure to produce a single, determinate “reliance number” — the percentage of plaintiffs who relied on defendants’, as opposed to any other party’s, representations — misconceives the allegations in the case. The survey of plaintiffs’ expert John Hauser attempts to fix — within acceptable limits— the percentage of “light” smokers for whom health was a significant contributing factor to the decision to smoke “light” cigarettes.

See

Part VIII.F.Li,

infra

(finding the survey and Dr. Hauser’s opinions based upon it admissible). He concludes, based on his survey, that 90.1 percent of “light” smokers chose their cigarettes based on the desire to reduce health risks.

“Light” cigarettes are an invention of defendants. The true “reliance number” might be expected to closely approximate Dr. Hauser’s number, unless there were other sources of information about “light” cigarettes. There is substantial evidence that, beginning in 1971, defendants marketed their “light” brands aggressively— with advertising expenditures out of proportion to their market share — in order to capitalize on anticipated smoker concerns about health.

See

Expert Report of Marvin Goldberg, Part VIII.F.l.g,

infra.

Defendants’ representations were thus the primary, (and for many years, the only) source of information about “light” cigarettes.

Accord United States v. Philip Morris,

Appendix A at 449 F.Supp.2d at 898-99 ,

supra.

*1049

Plaintiffs further claim, with evidence sufficient to withstand summary judgment, that defendants deceived and misled the FTC and public health authorities — the only other possible sources of information about “light” cigarettes. Reliance on those entities’ statements, under plaintiffs’ view, would in effect be reliance on defendants’ statements. This distortion of the collective body of knowledge would have been a critical component of the alleged fraud’s success. If this aspect of plaintiffs’ claims is proven, Dr. Hauser’s number should be very close to the true “reliance number.” A jury would be justified in basing a determination of causation on it.

(4) Reliance by many, if not all, of the plaintiffs was reasonable in the totality of the circumstances, particularly given the lack of sophistication on such health matters of many, if not most, smokers, combined with the allegedly voluminous distortions and omissions by defendants concerning the dangers of “light” cigarettes.

Plaintiffs’ experts Jeffery Harris, John Beyer, and John Hauser, among others, present admissible reports that provide a basis for a jury determination that plaintiffs suffered compensable economic harms as a result of defendants’ alleged fraud.

See

Part VUI.F.l,

infra.

(5) Compared to previous RICO cases supervised by this and other courts, the proximate cause inquiry here is not complex. It does not involve a medical provider suing in subrogation to recover costs incurred as a consequence of medical injuries suffered by smokers because of defendants’ fraudulent conduct,

cf. Blue Cross/ Blue Shield of New Jersey,

344 F.3d at 218 (overturning jury verdict because plaintiff insurer failed to identify individualized subrogor claims); a trust fund suing to recover monies expended on medical services for smokers misled by tobacco companies about the addictiveness and health risks of cigarettes,

cf. Laborers Local 17 Health and Benefit Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

191 F.3d 229, 239 (2d Cir.1999) (dismissing complaint because plaintiff trust fund’s injuries were “entirely derivative” of union smokers’); or workers or entrepreneurs harmed by a business that hired a large number of undocumented immigrants and paid them poorly — depressing local wages or permitting the business to underbid competitors on public contracts.

See, e.g., Williams v. Mohawk Indus., Inc.,

411 F.3d 1252 , 1261 (11th Cir.2005) (wages);

Trollinger v. Tyson Foods, Inc.,

370 F.3d 602, 618-9 (6th Cir.2004) (same);

Mendoza v. Zirkle Fruit Co.,

301 F.3d 1163, 1170-1 (9th Cir.2002) (same);

Commercial Cleaning Servs., L.L.C. v. Colin Serv. Sys., Inc.,

271 F.3d 374, 381-5 (2d Cir.2001) (bidding).

Plaintiffs here allege a simple and short chain of causation: defendants represented that “light” cigarettes provided health benefits that they knew these cigarettes did not provide; plaintiffs believed the misrepresentation and so continued to buy “light” cigarettes in larger numbers than they would have absent the fraud; this kept demand for “light” cigarettes at a much higher level than it otherwise would have been; elevated demand allowed defendants to keep prices higher than they otherwise would have; and plaintiffs paid more for “light” cigarettes than they otherwise would have.

Defendants’ reliance upon

Ideal Steel Supply Corp. v. Anza

is ill-placed. The plaintiff in

Anza

alleged harm to his business by reason of a competitor’s fraudulent submission of false tax claims to state authorities. 126 S.Ct. at 1995 . By failing to pay the sums due the state, he alleged, his competitor was able to lower his prices and so attract more customers.

Id.

at 1997 . Two discontinuities plagued the suit.

*1050

First was the disjuncture between the party allegedly defrauded and the party allegedly harmed. “The cause of [plaintiffs] harms ... is a set of actions (offering lower prices) entirely distinct from the alleged RICO violation (defrauding the State).”

Id.

“The direct victim of this conduct was the State of New York, not Ideal.”

Id.

Second was the “attenuated connection” between the injury and the fraud. Plaintiffs “lost sales could have resulted from factors other than [the competitor’s] alleged acts of fraud. Businesses lose and gain customers for many reasons, and it would require a complex assessment to establish what portion of [plaintiffs] lost sales were the product of National’s decreased prices.”

Id.

Plaintiffs here, by contrast, were both the direct target of the fraud and the party injured. Documentary evidence discussed in some detail at Part VIII,

infra,

strongly suggests that the fraudulent “health reassurance” campaign was the central and predominating reason for plaintiffs’ choice. Relatively straightforward surveys of consumers are possible — and conducted often by these very defendants — to determine what motivated the choice of “light” cigarettes that would be infeasible in the complex, multifactor business and investment environment.

Cf. Holmes

at 272-273, 112 S.Ct. 1311 (“If the nonpurchasing customers were allowed to sue, the district court would first need to determine the extent to which their inability to collect from the broker-dealers was the result of the alleged conspiracy to manipulate, as opposed to, say, the broker-dealers’ poor business practices or their failures to anticipate developments in the financial markets.”).

As explained by Justice Breyer in his concurrence in part and dissent in part, it was the competitive and antitrust implications of Anza’s complaint that mandated a finding of no proximate cause:

In my view, the “antitrust” nature of the treble-damage provision’s source, taken together with both RICO’s basic objectives and important administrative concerns, implies that a cause is “indirect,” i.e., it is not a “proximate cause,” if the causal chain from forbidden act to the injury caused a competitor proceeds through a legitimate business’s ordinary competitive activity. To use a physical metaphor, ordinary competitive actions undertaken by the defendant competitor cut the direct causal link between the plaintiff competitor’s injuries and the forbidden acts.

The basic objective of antitrust law is to encourage the competitive process.

Anza,

126 S.Ct. at 2010 . Proximate cause boundaries on but-for cause are based on policy decisions designed to prevent undue inhibition of activities society encourages— in

Anza,

competition. No public policy supports drawing the proximate cause limitation to preclude these plaintiffs’ suit. They were the persons targeted; they expended their own funds; and they were allegedly damaged by getting less than they paid for, satisfying direct, proximate cause requirements.

Anza

does not appear to shrink the class of plaintiffs who may sue under the principles set forth in

Holmes ,

described

supra. See

126 S.Ct. at 1995 (“Our analysis begins — and, as will become evident, largely ends — with Holmes.”).

b. Indirect purchaser rule

Defendants do not appear to seriously contend that they had no direct duty to plaintiff smokers, or that they did not have a duty to smokers not to make fraudulent representations regarding the safety of their cigarettes. Nevertheless, they continue to rely upon the non-applicable indirect purchaser rule.

*1051

The indirect purchaser rule, or

Illinois Brick

doctrine, precludes an indirect purchaser from suing an antitrust violator for overcharges passed on to the indirect purchaser through intermediaries.

Illinois Brick Co. v. Illinois,

431 U.S. 720, 729 , 97 S.Ct. 2061 , 52 L.Ed.2d 707 (1977). The doctrine equally applies to RICO actions for treble damages.

See, e.g., Sperber v. Boesky,

849 F.2d 60, 65 (2d Cir.1988);

Carter v. Berger, 777

F.2d 1173 (7th Cir.1985).

Defendants contend that the

Illinois Brick

doctrine bars plaintiffs’ claims because plaintiffs seek to recover a portion of the price they allegedly overpaid, and yet they have not bought “light” cigarettes directly from the defendants. Rather, plaintiffs bought from retailers, who bought from wholesalers, who bought from defendants. The gist of defendants’ argument is that any injury plaintiffs have suffered is derivative of injury inflicted, in the first instance, upon the wholesalers. In the context of this litigation, the suggestion that the cause of action belongs to the intermediate chain of purchasers in bulk' — ■ the wholesaler, the large supermarket corporations, or even the corner grocer— rather than the to the smoker-purchaser to whom defendants’ advertising is pitched verges on the bizarre. “ ‘If the law supposes that,’ said Mr. Bumble, ‘the law is a ass, a idiot.’ ” Charles Dickens,

Oliver Twist, in Familiar Quotations

669b (John Bartlett, ed., 14th ed.1968). But it is not such a bumbler.

Plaintiffs do not contest that they are indirect purchasers within this crabbed definition preferred by defendants. Their submission is that the

Illinois Brick

doctrine does not bar their claims because they are the direct victims and targets of defendants’ fraud. First, they point out that the case law does not mandate application of the

Illinois Brick

doctrine in the context of a mail and wire fraud case where the purchasers are the direct victims or intended targets of fraud. Second, they contend that the policy rationale underlying the

Illinois Brick

doctrine — to streamline enforcement by granting full recovery only to the direct victim — does not support divesting direct victims and targets of fraud from a cause of action. Plaintiffs argue that because defendants? fraud was designed to inflate the ultimate purchasers’ demand for “light” cigarettes, they are the ones with the “requisite proximity to injury.”

The notion of separating the concept of direct victim with that of intended target is not without some basis.

Cf. Associated Gen. Contractors, Inc. v. California State Council of Carpenters,

459 U.S. 519, 537, 540 , 103 S.Ct. 897 , 74 L.Ed.2d 723 (1983) (treating the specific intent of antitrust conspirators to target plaintiffs separately from the directness or indirectness of plaintiffs’ injury, which relates to the chain of causation between the injury and the unlawful conduct). Although courts have used the term “direct” with some latitude, under Second Circuit precedent, an injury is direct where plaintiffs harm arises from defendant’s misrepresentations to the plaintiff and not from an injury to a third party.

See Laborers Local 17 Health and Benefit Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

191 F.3d 229, 237-39 (2d Cir.1999) (collecting cases).

Analysis requires considering plaintiffs’ contention that they are both the direct victims and the intended targets of defendants’ fraud.

Illinois Brick

doctrine does not bar plaintiffs’ claims under either theory. The cases relied on by defendants do not involve indirect purchasers who are direct victims or intended targets of fraud. Barring plaintiffs’ claims would negate the long-standing principle underlying the

Illinois Brick

doctrine that the victim who is

*1052

in the best position to uncover violations gets the full recovery.

See Carter,

777 F.2d at 1176 .

i.

Illinois Brick

The

Illinois Brick

doctrine originated in the context of antitrust law. In

Hanover Shoe, Inc. v. United Shoe Machinery Corp.,

392 U.S. 481 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 , 20 L.Ed.2d 1231 (1968), the Supreme Court rejected an antitrust defendant’s claim that the plaintiff buyer did not suffer a cognizable injury because it passed on the illegal overcharges to his customers. In that case, a shoe manufacturer sued a manufacturer and distributor of shoe machinery on the theory that the defendant monopolized the shoe industry through its practice of leasing shoe equipment, instead of selling it.

Id.

at 483-84 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 . Plaintiff sought to recover the difference between the price of rentals and the amount he would have paid, had defendant been willing to sell the shoe machinery.

Id.

The Supreme Court held that so long as the seller continued to charge the illegal price, the buyer was not barred from recovery even if he had recouped the overcharge by charging higher prices to his customers.

Id.

at 489 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 .

The Court’s first concern was that allowing defendant to assert that plaintiff passed on the overcharges would make it virtually impossible to ascertain how much of the overcharge was passed every time the goods changed hands.

Id.

at 492-93 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 . Second, allowing the pass-on defense would reduce the effectiveness of treble-damages actions because the buyers of single pairs of shoes would have too tiny a stake to sue, and antitrust violators would retain the fruits of their illegality.

Id.

at 494 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 .

Illinois Brick

involved a situation obverse to

Hanover Shoe.

The state of Illinois and local government agencies sued producers of concrete blocks for conspiring to fix prices and alleged that intermediary contractors passed on the overcharge to the government.

Illinois Brick Co.,

431 U.S. at 735 , 97 S.Ct. 2061 . The government agencies did not buy the bricks directly from the producers; rather, the producers sold to masonry contractors, who submitted bids to general contractors, who, in turn, submitted bids to the government agencies.

Id.

at 726 , 97 S.Ct. 2061 . The Supreme Court held that the counties were barred from suing, because giving indirect purchasers standing to sue was inconsistent with the rule of

Hanover Shoe. Id.

at 728-29, 97 S.Ct. 2061 . Precluding defendant from asserting that a direct purchaser passed on an alleged overcharge to indirect purchasers, while allowing an indirect purchaser to recover from the defendant would result in multiple liability for the defendant.

Id.

at 730 , 97 S.Ct. 2061 . Rather than allowing every potentially affected party to sue only for the portion it absorbed, concentrating full recovery in the hands of the direct purchaser would better ensure that violators would not retain the fruits of their illegality.

Id.

at 735 , 97 S.Ct. 2061 .

The Second Circuit has applied the

Illinois Brick

doctrine in the context of proximate causation in a RICO case.

See Sperber,

849 F.2d at 65 (holding that investors’ injuries were not proximately caused by defendant’s acts of insider trading and analogizing the investors to consumers who merely pay higher prices to an intimidated storekeeper). Other circuits have applied the twin holdings of

Hanover Shoe

and

Illinois Brick

to bar both plaintiffs and defendants from asserting the “pass-on” argument in the context of RICO actions for treble damages.

Compare McCarthy v. Recordex Serv., Inc.,

80 F.3d 842 (3d Cir.1996) (barring suit by indirect purchasers of copies of medical records),

*1053

and Carter, 777

F.2d at 1173 (barring suit by taxpayers for injuries resulting from defendant’s illegal underpayment of taxes),

with County of Oakland v. City of Detroit,

866 F.2d 839 (6th Cir.1989) (plaintiff counties were not barred from suit notwithstanding that they may have passed overcharges to customers),

and Terre Du Lac Ass’n, Inc. v. Terre Du Lac, Inc.,

772 F.2d 467 (8th Cir.1985) (property owners association was not barred from suit notwithstanding that it passed costs to its members).

ii. Inapplicability of

Illinois Brick

Rule

The underlying rationales of

Illinois Brick

doctrine do not support barring plaintiffs’ claims. The Supreme Court’s concern in

Illinois Brick

that defendants would be exposed to multiple liability if indirect purchasers are allowed to sue is remote or non-existent in the case before the court. Under defendants’ interpretation of the

Illinois Brick

doctrine, only the wholesalers would have standing to sue, since they are the ones who bought directly from the defendants. It is questionable, however, whether the wholesalers would have standing to recover, if, as plaintiffs allege, defendants’ fraudulent scheme was designed to induce smokers, and not the wholesalers, into buying more “light” cigarettes.

Cf. Abrahams v. Young & Rubicam Inc.,

79 F.3d 234, 238 (2d Cir.1996) (foreign tourist official who alleged injury to his reputation and business from defendants’ scheme to bribe him, which was unbeknownst to him, failed to establish a RICO claim because he was not the target of the enterprise and his injuries did not flow from the harms the predicate acts were intended to cause);

Byrne v. Nezhat, M.D.,

261 F.3d 1075 , 1111-12 (11th Cir.2001) (“when the alleged predicate act is mail fraud, the plaintiff must have been a target of the scheme to defraud and must have relied to his detriment on misrepresentations made in furtherance of that scheme”) (citations and alteration omitted).

But cf. Terre Du Lac Ass’n,

772 F.2d at 472 (RICO standing exists even where plaintiff does not allege that it was a target of the racketeering activity). To the extent that the wholesalers do not have standing to sue, defendants do not face a risk of multiple liability if plaintiffs are allowed to sue.

Second, barring plaintiffs’ claims would vitiate, rather than enhance, the policy of deterrence underlying the

Illinois Brick

doctrine. As explained by the Seventh Circuit in

Carter ,

granting full recovery to a single party rather than spreading recovery amongst all potentially injured parties gives incentive to sue to the person best positioned to uncover violations.

See Carter, 777

F.2d at 1176. Insofar as defendants’ fraud was designed to increase the purchasers’ demand for “light” cigarettes, it would be pointless to concentrate full recovery in the hands of the wholesalers. There is no reason to surmise that the wholesalers would be in a better position to uncover fraud committed upon the consumers. If plaintiffs’ contentions are correct, the wholesalers stood to gain from defendants’ fraud, since it increased total cigarette sales for both producers and wholesalers.

Where the wholesalers have not suffered any injury that might induce them to sue, allowing plaintiffs’ claims is the only way to ensure that the defendants will not retain the fruits of illegal practices. Although individual plaintiffs’ stakes may be smali,

Hanover Shoe,

392 U.S. at 494 , 88 S.Ct. 2224 , aggregating their damages in a class action provides adequate incentive to sue.

Defendants rely on the Second Circuit decision in

Sperber,

849 F.2d at 60 , a civil RICO action by investors in six publicly

*1054

traded companies against a securities trader who had pled'guilty to insider trading. In that case, the plaintiffs alleged that defendant’s acts of insider trading violated the wire and mail fraud statutes, and that plaintiffs were injured when the price of the six stocks fell following defendant’s plea.

Id.

at 61-62 . The court interpreted the allegation to mean that the price of the six stocks was artificially inflated because defendant’s success in other stock drove all stocks up by encouraging more people to enter into the market, or that defendant’s success attracted a “cult of watchers who bought the1 stocks he bought,” thereby raising the prices only of those stocks.

Id.

at 62, 64 . Significantly, plaintiffs did not contend that they were injured from defendant’s illegal trading in the six relevant stocks.

Id.

at 64 . In addition, plaintiffs did not know that defendant was involved in the stocks that they purchased.

Id.

Citing

Illinois Brick,

the court analogized the investors’ situation to consumers, who unaware of any racketeering, pay higher prices to an intimidated storekeeper: “those- consumers are further removed from the racketeer than the storekeeper is and probably cannot recover under RICO, just as they cannot recover under the antitrust laws.”

Id.

at 65 . The court held that the investors’ injuries were too- remote from defendant’s unlawful acts to satisfy proximate cause where the investors “were neither the target of the racketeering enterprise nor the competitors nor the customers of the racketeer,” and where the defendant “did not cheat or deceive plaintiffs in any way with regard to the particular stocks in question since they did not know he had purchased them and he did not trade in them illegally.”

Id.

Defendants here contend that the facts of

Sperber

closely parallel the plaintiff smokers’ allegations, since- the plaintiffs in

Sperber

had similarly alleged that defendants’ fraud created the demand for stocks. Defendants’ analogy is misplaced. The Second Circuit specifically based its holding in

Sperber

on the fact that plaintiffs were not targets of the racketeering enterprise, and that defendant did not deceive plaintiffs with regard to the relevant stocks. In the case before the court, plaintiffs allege that they were the intended targets of defendants’ fraud, and that the defendant manufacturers deceived them into buying “light” cigarettes.

Also distinguishable are the Third Circuit decision in

McCarthy,

80 F.3d at 842 , which barred suit by hospital patients for inflated photocopying charges, and the Seventh Circuit decision in

Carter,

777 F.2d 1173 , which barred suit by taxpayers for injuries derived from defendant’s tax fraud upon the county. Plaintiffs in

McCarthy

were patients who asserted both antitrust and RICO violations, alleging that the defendant hospitals and copying services conspired to charge excessive prices for photocopies of their medical records.

McCarthy,

80 F.3d at 845 . In practice, the plaintiffs’ attorneys requested the photocopies of their clients’ medical records in the course of their representation, after obtaining consent from their clients.

Id.

Defendants billed the attorneys for the requested photocopies.

Id.

The plaintiffs had contingent fee arrangements with the attorneys, and all but one of the plaintiffs had no obligation under their retainer agreements to reimburse the attorneys for photocopying services, unless the attorney obtained monetary recovery in favor of the respective client.

Id.

at 845-46 . In these circumstances, the Third Circuit held that the indirect purchaser rule barred plaintiffs’ claim, since the attorneys, and not the clients, were direct purchasers of the photocopies.

Id.

at 852 . The contingent basis on which attorneys passed on costs to the clients, if any, would have made it too

*1055

difficult to ascertain what portions of the costs were borne by the clients.

Id.

at 851 .

McCarthy

is not on point because the plaintiffs were not the direct victims or targets of defendant’s unlawful conduct. The patients would have suffered no injury unless their attorneys first obtained monetary recovery in their favor. No allegation was made that the defendant hospitals and copy services induced patients through fraud to request more photocopies of medical records, or that they otherwise targeted the patients. Here, by contrast, plaintiffs have alleged that defendants induced them to buy more “light” cigarettes by falsely representing to them that they would experience reduced health risks from the lower amounts of tar and nicotine in “light” cigarettes.

The

Carter

decision is distinguishable for the same reason. In that case, taxpayers brought a RICO action against a defendant who had previously pled guilty to paying money to county officials to obtain lower tax assessments for his clients.

Carter,

777 F.2d at 1174 . The taxpayers alleged that they had been injured because they had to pay more taxes to make up for the illegal lower assessments.

Id.

The Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit held that the taxpayers did not have standing to sue because their injury was derivative of injury to the county.

Id.

While recognizing that a “fraud committed against one person often injures others,” the court stated that “concentrating the entire right to recover in the hands of the directly injured party promotes deterrence,” because that person has the best opportunity to uncover a violation.

Id.

at 1174, 1176 . While in

Carter

the taxpayers sought to recover for fraud committed against county, plaintiffs in the present case seek to recover for fraud against themselves. They had the best opportunity and motive to uncover the alleged RICO violations and the right to recover properly belongs to them.

Defendants have also relied on three cases which barred RICO defendants from asserting that plaintiffs had no standing to sue because they recouped their losses by passing on the costs to their customers. In the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit case

County of Oakland,

866 F.2d at 839 , plaintiff counties sued the city and the mayor of Detroit under antitrust and RICO theories.

Id.

at 841 . The counties’ allegation was that the city’s charges for sewerage services were inflated because of a price-fixing conspiracy concerning the city’s contracts for sludge disposal.

Id.

The district court had held that the counties had suffered no injury in fact because they passed on the costs to municipalities, which in turn passed on the costs to the ultimate consumers.

Id.

The Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit reversed, holding that the counties had standing to bring suit, even if they had passed the overcharge down the chain of distribution to the ultimate consumers.

Id.

at 851 .

Defendants place great emphasis on the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit’s dicta that allowing the defendants to assert the pass-on argument would have transformed the case into a massive class action by the end users and would have presented “enormous evidentiary complexities and uncertainties” in determining each class' member’s damages.

Id.

at 850 (citations omitted). Notwithstanding these rationales,

County of Oakland

did not involve a situation where defendant specifically targeted the' end users or manipulated demand for sewerage services. The court’s holding cannot be extended to a situation where defendants’ fraud directly manipulated the end users’ demand for “light” cigarettes. The public interest in deterring RICO violators by granting rem

*1056

edies to those in the best position to uncover violations outweighs the evidentiary-problems of apportioning damages among the class members.

Defendants cite the decision in

Blue Cross & Blue Shield of New Jersey, Inc. v. Philip Morris, Inc.,

138 F.Supp.2d 357 (E.D.N.Y.2001). In

Blue Cross,

plaintiff insurer asserted a subrogation claim against cigarette manufacturers on the theory that defendants’ deceptions about the adverse health effects of tobacco caused plaintiffs subscribers to incur medical costs, which plaintiff paid.

Id.

at 360, 363 . The court rejected defendants’ claim that the plaintiff insurance company did not suffer any injury because it passed on the increased health care costs to its subscribers.

Id.

at 360, 363-64 . In rejecting the pass-on defense, the court emphasized that plaintiffs “subrogated action [was] not predicated on the idea that costs may have been passed on to its insured in higher premiums,” but was an “independent action in which equitable principles are applied to shift [the] loss to the one who caused [it].”

Id.

at 363 .

Defendants in the present case erroneously claim that

Blue Cross

held that only the direct purchaser can be properly regarded as the damaged party. The plaintiff insurance company in

Blue Cross

was not a purchaser of tobacco, let alone a direct purchaser. Furthermore, plaintiff in

Blue Cross

did not assert a direct RICO claim against defendants in its own right, but rather asserted the rights of its subro-gors.

Blue Cross,

therefore, merely stands for the proposition that insurance subscribers who were injured by paying higher premiums because of tobacco manufacturers’ deceptions had the right to recover.

Defendants here directed their marketing and advertising directly at plaintiff smokers. The smokers’ injury is not derivative of injury to the wholesalers.

Illinois Brick

does not bar the suit.

S. Conclusion on Causation

Plaintiffs’ theory of causation is sound. Their supporting evidence is sufficient to withstand a motion for summary judgment.

D. Computation of Total Damages

This section covers computation of total damages. Distribution of damages through the “fluid recovery” system is covered in Part IX.B,

infra.

Allocation among defendants is dealt with in Part IX.C,

infra.

Damages recoverable under RICO are equivalent to the injury suffered, trebled.

See

18 U.S.C. § 1964 (c). Defendants contend that, even if plaintiffs could prove that defendants intentionally misrepresented the health risks of “light” cigarettes, plaintiffs cannot demonstrate that class members suffered compensable damages. Because plaintiffs have offered two methods of calculating class damages that comport with defendants’ rights and

Daubert

requirements, the contention is rejected.

Plaintiffs’ models for determining loss to the misled purchasers of “lights” come well within the legal boundaries of damages for deceit. As McCormick stated it in his old, but still classic treatise:

As to the measure of damages in deceit, two rules have been adopted in different jurisdictions: (1) The federal rule, followed in a few states, allows the person defrauded to recover the difference between the value of what the plaintiff has parted with and the value of what he has received in the transaction; (2) the majority rule, following the analogy of the measure in actions in contract for breach of warranty, allows recovery of the difference between the actual value

*1057

of what the plaintiff received and the value which it would have had if it had been as represented. The first may be termed the “out-of-pocket loss” rule, and the second, the “loss of bargain” rule.

Charles T. McCormick,

Handbook on the Law of Damages

448 (1935).

See

Part III.D.2.a,

infra.

A certain degree of flexibility in computing damages is allowed, whatever the purist’s view of the applicable of damage law. Even, for example, in condemnations cases, where there is a fairly clear rule that market value is determined by what willing sellers and buyers would pay for comparable properties, the special value to the owner — here, the cigarette purchaser — will be considered.

See, e.g.,

Lewis Orgel,

Valuation Under the Law of Eminent Domain

§ 43 (2d ed.1953) (value to owner may influence estimate of “fair market value”).

1. Plaintiffs’Models

Plaintiffs have offered, as possible measures of the injury they have suffered, models based on profit disgorgement, price impact, loss of value, and loss

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