# Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review

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URL: https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/documents/fr%3A2024-00366

## Record

- **Collection:** Federal Register
- **Document type:** Rule
- **Published:** March 8, 2024
- **Citation:** 89 FR 16820

## Text

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 60
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317; FRL-8510-01-OAR]
RIN 2060-AV16
Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review

AGENCY:

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION:

Final rule.

SUMMARY:

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is finalizing multiple actions to reduce air pollution emissions from the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. First, the EPA is finalizing revisions to the new source performance standards (NSPS) regulating greenhouse gases (GHGs) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) emissions for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category pursuant to the Clean Air Act (CAA). Second, the EPA is finalizing emission guidelines (EG) under the CAA for states to follow in developing, submitting, and implementing state plans to establish performance standards to limit GHG emissions from existing sources (designated facilities) in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. Third, the EPA is finalizing several related actions stemming from the joint resolution of Congress, adopted on June 30, 2021, under the Congressional Review Act (CRA), disapproving the EPA's final rule titled, “Oil and Natural Gas Sector: Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources Review,” September 14, 2020 (“2020 Policy Rule”). Fourth, the EPA is finalizing a protocol under the general provisions for optical gas imaging (OGI).

DATES:

This final rule is effective on May 7, 2024. The incorporation by reference (IBR) of certain publications listed in the rules is approved by the Director of the Federal Register as of May 7, 2024.

ADDRESSES:

The EPA has established a docket for this rulemaking under Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317. All documents in the docket are listed on the
https://www.regulations.gov/
website. Although listed, some information is not publicly available,
e.g.,
Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such as copyrighted material, is not placed on the internet and will be publicly available only in hard copy form. Publicly available docket materials are available electronically through
https://www.regulations.gov/.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:

Ms. Amy Hambrick, Sector Policies and Programs Division (E143-05), Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 109 T.W. Alexander Drive, P.O. Box 12055, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, 27711; telephone number: (919) 541-0964; email address:
hambrick.amy@epa.gov.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Preamble acronyms and abbreviations.
Throughout this document the use of “we,” “us,” or “our” is intended to refer to the EPA. We use multiple acronyms and terms in this preamble. While this list may not be exhaustive, to ease the reading of this preamble and for reference purposes, the EPA defines the following terms and acronyms here:

AMEL alternative means of emission limitation

ANSI American National Standards Institute

API American Petroleum Institute

ARPA-E Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy

ASME American Society of Mechanical Engineers

ASTM ASTM, International

AVO audible, visual, and olfactory

AWP alternative work practice

bbl barrels of crude oil

BLM Bureau of Land Management

boe barrels of oil equivalents

BOEM Bureau of Ocean Energy Management

BSER best system of emission reduction

Btu/scf British thermal units per standard cubic foot

°C degrees Celsius

CAA Clean Air Act

CBI Confidential Business Information

CCR Code of Colorado Regulations

CDX EPA's Central Data Exchange

CEDRI Compliance and Emissions Data Reporting Interface

CFR Code of Federal Regulations

CO carbon monoxide

CO
2
carbon dioxide

CO
2
Eq. carbon dioxide equivalent

COS carbonyl sulfide

CRA Congressional Review Act

CS
2
carbon disulfide

CVS closed vent systems

D.C. Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit

DOE Department of Energy

EAV equivalent annual value

EDF Environmental Defense Fund

EG emission guidelines

EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration

EJ environmental justice

E.O. Executive Order

EPA Environmental Protection Agency

ESD emergency shutdown devices

°F degrees Fahrenheit

FEAST Fugitive Emissions Abatement Simulation Toolkit

FR Federal Register

FrEDI EPA's Framework for Evaluating Damages and Impacts model

FRFA final regulatory flexibility analysis

g/hr grams per hour

GHG greenhouse gas

GHGI Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks

GHGRP Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program

GOR gas-to-oil ratio

H
2
S hydrogen sulfide

HAP hazardous air pollutant(s)

ICR information collection request

IRFA initial regulatory flexibility analysis

IWG Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases

kg kilograms

kg/hr kilograms per hour

kt kilotons

lb/yr pounds per year

low-E low emission

LDAR leak detection and repair

LPE legally and practicably enforceable

Mcf thousand cubic feet

MW megawatt

NAAQS national ambient air quality standards

NAICS North American Industry Classification System

NDE no detectable emissions

NIE no identifiable emissions

NESHAP national emission standards for hazardous air pollutants

NGO non-governmental organization

NHV net heating value

NO
X
nitrogen oxides

NSPS new source performance standards

NTTAA National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act

O
2
oxygen

OAQPS Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards

OGI optical gas imaging

OMB Office of Management and Budget

PM particulate matter

PM
2.5
particulate matter with a diameter of 2.5 micrometers or less

ppb parts per billion

ppm parts per million

PRA Paperwork Reduction Act

PSD prevention of significant deterioration

PTE potential to emit

PV present value

REC reduced emissions completion

RFA Regulatory Flexibility Act

RIA regulatory impact analysis

RTC response to comments

RULOF remaining useful life and other factors

SBAR Small Business Advocacy Review

SC-CH
4
social cost of methane

SC-CO
2
social cost of carbon dioxide

SC-GHG social cost of greenhouse gases

SC-N
2
O social cost of nitrous oxide

scf standard cubic feet

scfh standard cubic feet per hour

scfm standard cubic feet per minute

SIP State Implementation Plan

SO2 sulfur dioxide

SPeCS State Planning Electronic Collaboration System

tpy tons per year

the court U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit

TAR Tribal Authority Rule

TIP Tribal Implementation Plan

TSD technical support document

UMRA Unfunded Mandates Reform Act

U.S. United States

VCS voluntary consensus standards

VOC volatile organic compound(s)

VRU vapor recovery unit

Organization of this document.
The information in this preamble is organized as follows:

I. General Information

A. Does this action apply to me?

B. Where can I get a copy of this document and other related information?

C. Judicial Review and Administrative Review

II. Executive Summary

A. Purpose of the Regulatory Actions

B. Summary of the Major Provisions of This Regulatory Action

C. Costs and Benefits

III. Air Emissions From the Crude Oil and Natural Gas Sector and Public Health and Welfare

A. Impacts of GHGs, VOCs, and SO
2
Emissions on Public Health and Welfare

B. Profile of the Oil and Natural Gas Industry and Its Emissions

IV. Statutory Background and Regulatory History

A. Statutory Background of CAA Sections 111(b), 111(d), and General Implementing Regulations

B. What is the regulatory history and litigation background of NSPS and EG for the oil and natural gas industry?

C. Congressional Review Act (CRA) Joint Resolution of Disapproval

V. Legal Basis for Final Rule Scope

A. Introduction

B. Overview

C. Comments

D. Response to Comments and Discussion

VI. Other Actions and Related Efforts

A. Related State Actions and Other Federal Actions Regulating Oil and Natural Gas Sources

B. Industry and Voluntary Actions To Address Climate Change

C. Methane Emissions Reduction Program

VII. Summary of Engagement With Pertinent Stakeholders

VIII. Overview of Control and Control Costs

A. Control of Methane and VOC Emissions in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas Source Category—Overview

B. How does the EPA evaluate control costs in this final action?

IX. Interaction of the Rules and Response to Significant Comments Thereon

A. What date defines a new, modified, or reconstructed source for purposes of the final NSPS OOOOb?

B. What date defines an existing source for purposes of the final EG OOOOc?

C. How will the final EG OOOOc impact sources already subject to NSPS KKK, NSPS OOOO, or NSPS OOOOa?

X. Summary of Final Standards NSPS OOOOb and EG OOOOc

A. Fugitive Emissions From Well Sites, Centralized Production Facilities, and Compressor Stations

B. Advanced Methane Detection Technology Work Practices

C. Super Emitter Program

D. Process Controllers

E. Pumps

F. Wells and Associated Operations

G. Centrifugal Compressors

H. Combustion Control Devices

I. Reciprocating Compressors

J. Storage Vessels

K. Covers and Closed Vent Systems

L. Equipment Leaks at Natural Gas Processing Plants

M. Sweetening Units

N. Electronic Reporting

O. Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Title V Permitting

XI. Significant Comments and Changes Since Supplemental Proposal for NSPS OOOOb and EG OOOOc

A. Fugitive Emissions from Well Sites, Centralized Production Facilities, and Compressor Stations

B. Advanced Methane Detection Technology Work Practices

C. Super Emitter Program

D. Process Controllers

E. Pumps

F. Wells and Associated Operations

G. Centrifugal Compressors

H. Combustion Control Devices

I. Reciprocating Compressors

J. Storage Vessels

K. Covers and Closed Vent Systems

L. Equipment Leaks at Natural Gas Processing Plants

M. Sweetening Units

XII. Significant Comments and Changes Since Proposal for NSPS OOOOa and NSPS OOOO

A. Low Production Well Site Exemption Rescission

B. Compressor Station Quarterly Monitoring

C. Delay-of-Repair Provisions

D. Applicability/Scope of the Rule

XIII. Significant Comments and Changes to Emission Guidelines for State, Tribal, and Federal Plan Development for Existing Sources

A. Overview

B. Components of EG

C. Establishing Standards of Performance in State Plans

D. Components of State Plan Submission

E. Timing of State Plan Submissions and Compliance Times

F. EPA Action on State Plans and Promulgation of Federal Plans

G. Tribes and the Planning Process Under CAA Section 111(d)

XIV. Use of Optical Gas Imaging in Leak Detection (Appendix K) and Response to Significant Comments

A. Changes Since Supplemental Proposal

B. Summary of Requirements

XV. Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Title V Permitting

XVI. Summary of Cost, Environmental, and Economic Impacts

A. What are the air quality impacts?

B. What are the secondary impacts?

C. What are the cost impacts?

D. What are the economic impacts?

E. What are the benefits?

F. What analyses of environmental justice did we conduct?

XVII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and Executive Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory Review

B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)

C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)

D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)

E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism

F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With Indian Tribal Governments

G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks

H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use

I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR Part 51

J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations and Executive Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation's Commitment to Environmental Justice for All

K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)

I. General Information

A. Does this action apply to me?

The source category that is the subject of this final rulemaking is composed of the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category regulated under CAA section 111 New Source Performance Standards and Emission Guidelines. The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes for the industrial source category affected by the NSPS actions finalized in this rulemaking are summarized in table 1. The NAICS codes serve as a guide for readers outlining the type of entities that the final NSPS actions are likely to affect. The NSPS codified in 40 Code of Regulations (CFR) part 60, subpart OOOOb, are directly applicable to affected facilities that begin construction, reconstruction, or modification after December 6, 2022. Final amendments to 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOO, are applicable to affected facilities that began construction, reconstruction, or modification after August 23, 2011, and on or before September 18, 2015. Final amendments to 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOa, are applicable to affected facilities that began construction, reconstruction, or modification after September 18, 2015, and on or before December 6, 2022. As shown in table 1, Federal, state, and local government entities would not be affected by the NSPS actions.

Table 1—Industrial Source Categories Affected by NSPS Actions

Category

NAICS Code
1

Examples of regulated entities

Industry
211120
Crude Petroleum Extraction.

211130
Natural Gas Extraction.

221210
Natural Gas Distribution.

486110
Pipeline Distribution of Crude Oil.

486210
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas.

Federal Government
. . . .
Not affected.

State and Local Government
. . . .
Not affected.

Tribal Government
921150
American Indian and Alaska Native Tribal Governments.

1
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).

This table is not intended to be exhaustive but rather provides a guide for readers regarding entities likely to be affected by the NSPS actions. Other types of entities not listed in the table could also be affected by these NSPS actions. To determine whether your entity is affected by any of the NSPS actions, you should carefully examine the applicability criteria found in the final NSPS rules. If you have questions regarding the applicability of the NSPS rules to a particular entity, consult the person listed in the
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section, your state air pollution control agency with delegated authority for NSPS, or your EPA Regional Office.

The issuance of CAA section 111(d) final EG does not impose binding requirements directly on existing sources. The EG codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOc, applies to states in the development, submittal, and implementation of state plans to establish performance standards to reduce emissions of GHGs from designated facilities that are existing sources on or before December 6, 2022. Under the Tribal Authority Rule (TAR), eligible Tribes may seek approval to implement a plan under CAA section 111(d) in a manner similar to a state. See 40 CFR part 49, subpart A. Tribes may, but are not required to, seek approval for treatment in a manner similar to a state for purposes of developing a Tribal implementation plan (TIP) implementing the EG codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOc. The TAR authorizes Tribes to develop and implement their own air quality programs, or portions thereof, under the CAA. However, it does not require Tribes to develop a CAA program. Tribes may implement programs that are most relevant to their air quality needs. If a Tribe does not seek and obtain the authority from the EPA to establish a TIP, the EPA has the authority to establish a Federal CAA section 111(d) plan for designated facilities that are located in areas of Indian country.
1

A Federal plan would apply to all designated facilities located in the areas of Indian country covered by the Federal plan unless and until the EPA approves a TIP applicable to those facilities.

1
See the EPA's website,
https://www.epa.gov/tribal/tribes-approved-treatment-state-tas,
for information on those Tribes that have treatment as a state for specific environmental regulatory programs, administrative functions, and grant programs.

B. Where can I get a copy of this document and other related information?

In addition to being available in the docket, at Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317 located at
https://www.regulations.gov/,
an electronic copy of this final rulemaking is available on the internet at
https://www.epa.gov/controlling-air-pollution-oil-and-natural-gas-industry.
Following signature by the EPA Administrator, the EPA will post a copy of this final rulemaking at this same website. Following publication in the
Federal Register
,
the EPA will post the
Federal Register
version of the final rulemaking and key technical documents at this same website.

C. Judicial Review and Administrative Review

Under Clean Air Act (CAA) section 307(b)(1), judicial review of this final rulemaking is available only by filing a petition for review in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit by May 7, 2024. Under CAA section 307(b)(2), the requirements established by this final rulemaking may not be challenged separately in any civil or criminal proceedings brought by the EPA to enforce the requirements.

Section 307(d)(7)(B) of the CAA further provides that “[o]nly an objection to a rule or procedure which was raised with reasonable specificity during the period for public comment (including any public hearing) may be raised during judicial review.” This section also provides a mechanism for the EPA to convene a proceeding for reconsideration, “[i]f the person raising an objection can demonstrate to the EPA that it was impracticable to raise such objection within [the period for public comment] or if the grounds for such objection arose after the period for public comment, (but within the time specified for judicial review) and if such objection is of central relevance to the outcome of the rule.” Any person seeking to make such a demonstration to us should submit a Petition for Reconsideration to the Office of the Administrator, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Room 3000, WJC West Building, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20460, with a copy to both the person(s) listed in the preceding
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section, and the Associate General Counsel for the Air and Radiation Law Office, Office of General Counsel (Mail Code 2344A), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20460.

II. Executive Summary

A. Purpose of the Regulatory Actions

On November 15, 2021, the EPA published a proposed rule (“November 2021 Proposal”) to mitigate climate-destabilizing pollution and protect human health by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) and VOC emissions from the oil and natural gas industry,
2

specifically the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category.
3 4

In the November

2021 Proposal, the EPA proposed new standards of performance under section 111(b) of the CAA for GHGs (in the form of methane limitations) and VOC emissions from new, modified, and reconstructed sources in this source category, as well as revisions to standards of performance already codified at 40 CFR part 60, subparts OOOO and OOOOa. The EPA also proposed EG under section 111(d) of the CAA for GHGs emissions (in the form of methane limitations) from existing sources (designated facilities).
5

The new CAA section 111 NSPS and EG would be codified in 40 CFR part 60 at subpart OOOOb (NSPS OOOOb) and subpart OOOOc (EG OOOOc), respectively. The EPA also proposed several related actions stemming from the joint resolution of Congress, adopted on June 30, 2021, under the CRA disapproving the EPA's final rule titled, “Oil and Natural Gas Sector: Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources Review,” September 14, 2020 (“2020 Policy Rule”). Lastly, in the November 2021 Proposal the EPA proposed a protocol under the general provisions for OGI.

2
The EPA characterizes the oil and natural gas industry operations as being generally composed of four segments: (1) extraction and production of crude oil and natural gas (“oil and natural gas production”), (2) natural gas processing, (3) natural gas transmission and storage, and (4) natural gas distribution.

3
“Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review.” Proposed rule. 86 FR 63110, November 15, 2021.

4
The EPA defines the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category to mean: (1) crude oil production, which includes the well and extends to the point of custody transfer to the crude oil transmission

pipeline or any other forms of transportation; and (2) natural gas production, processing, transmission, and storage, which include the well and extend to, but do not include, the local distribution company custody transfer station, commonly referred to as the “city-gate.”

5
The term “designated facility” means “any existing facility which emits a designated pollutant and which would be subject to a standard of performance for that pollutant if the existing facility were an affected facility.” See 40 CFR 60.21a(b).

On December 6, 2022, the EPA published a supplemental proposed rule (“December 2022 Supplemental Proposal”) that was composed of two main additions.
6

First, the EPA updated, strengthened, and expanded on the NSPS OOOOb standards proposed in November 2021 under CAA section 111(b) for GHGs (in the form of methane limitations) and VOC emissions from new, modified, and reconstructed facilities. Second, the EPA updated, strengthened, and expanded the presumptive standards proposed for EG OOOOc in the November 2021 Proposal as part of the CAA section 111(d) EG for GHGs emissions (in the form of methane limitations) from designated facilities. For purposes of EG OOOOc, the EPA also proposed the implementation requirements for state plans developed to limit GHGs pollution (in the form of methane limitations) from designated facilities in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category under CAA section 111(d).

6
“Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review.” Supplemental notice of proposed rulemaking. 87 FR 74702, December 6, 2022.

The purpose of this final rulemaking is to finalize these multiple actions to reduce air emissions from the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. First, the EPA finalizes NSPS OOOOb regulating GHG (in the form of a limitation on emissions of methane) and VOCs emissions for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category pursuant to CAA section 111(b)(1)(B). Second, the EPA finalizes the presumptive standards in EG OOOOc to limit GHGs emissions (in the form of methane limitations) from designated facilities in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, as well as requirements under the CAA section 111(d) for states to follow in developing, submitting, and implementing state plans to establish performance standards. Third, the EPA finalizes several related actions stemming from the joint resolution of Congress, adopted on June 30, 2021, under the CRA, disapproving the 2020 Policy Rule. Fourth, the EPA finalizes a protocol under the general provisions of 40 CFR part 60 for OGI.

These final actions stem from the EPA's authority and obligation under CAA section 111 to directly regulate categories of new stationary sources that cause or contribute to endangerment from air pollution and to promulgate EG for states to follow in regulating existing sources (designated facilities) in the source category. This final rulemaking takes a significant step forward in mitigating climate-destabilizing pollution and protecting human health by reducing GHG and VOC emissions from the oil and natural gas industry, specifically the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. These mitigations are based on proven, cost-effective technologies already required by prior EPA regulations or states' regulations or deployed by industry leaders to reduce this dangerous pollution. The final rules will also encourage the deployment of innovative technologies that currently exist to rapidly and cost-effectively detect and reduce methane pollution and promote further innovation that is already under way to find even more efficient and effective ways to mitigate this pollution. Because methane is the main component of natural gas, the rules also result in more saleable product.

The oil and natural gas industry is the United States' largest industrial emitter of methane, a highly potent GHG. Emissions of methane from human activities are responsible for about one-third of the warming due to well-mixed GHGs and constitute the second most important warming agent arising from human activity after carbon dioxide (CO
2
).
7

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), strong, rapid, and sustained methane reductions are critical to reducing near-term disruption of the climate system as well as a vital complement to reductions in other GHGs that are needed to limit the long-term extent of climate change and its destructive impacts. The oil and natural gas industry also emits other harmful pollutants in varying concentrations and amounts, including CO
2
, VOC, sulfur dioxide (SO
2
), nitrogen oxides (NO
X
), hydrogen sulfide (H
2
S), carbon disulfide (CS
2
), and carbonyl sulfide (COS), as well as benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylenes (this group is commonly referred to as “BTEX”), and
n
-hexane.

7
A well-mixed gas is one with an atmospheric lifetime longer than a year or two, which allows the gas to be mixed around the world.

Under the authority of CAA section 111, this rulemaking finalizes comprehensive standards of performance for GHG emissions (in the form of methane limitations) and VOC emissions for new, modified, and reconstructed sources in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, including sources located in the production, processing, and transmission and storage segments. For designated facilities, this rulemaking finalizes EG containing presumptive standards for GHG in the form of methane limitations. States must follow these EG to submit to the EPA plans that establish standards of performance for designated facilities and provide for implementation and enforcement of such standards. The EPA will provide support for states in developing their plans to reduce methane emissions from designated facilities within the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. Under the TAR, eligible Tribes may seek approval to implement a plan under CAA section 111(d) in a manner similar to a state. See 40 CFR part 49, subpart A. Tribes may, but are not required to, seek approval for treatment in a manner similar to a state for purposes of developing a TIP implementing the EG codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOc. The TAR authorizes Tribes to develop and implement one or more of their own air quality programs, or portions thereof, under the CAA. However, it does not require Tribes to develop a CAA program. Tribes may implement programs that are most relevant to their air quality needs. If a Tribe does not seek and obtain the authority from the EPA to establish a TIP, the EPA has the authority to establish a Federal CAA section 111(d)

plan for designated facilities that are located in areas of Indian country.
8

A Federal plan would apply to all designated facilities located in the areas of Indian country covered by the Federal plan unless and until the EPA approves a TIP applicable to those facilities.

8
See the EPA website,
https://www.epa.gov/tribal/tribes-approved-treatment-state-tas,
for information on those Tribes that have treatment as a state for specific environmental regulatory programs, administrative functions, and grant programs.

The EPA is finalizing these actions in accordance with its legal obligations and authorities following a review directed by Executive Order (E.O.) 13990, “Protecting Public Health and the Environment and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis,” issued on January 20, 2021. These final actions address the harmful consequences of climate change, which is already resulting in severe and growing human and economic costs within the United States (and globally too). According to the IPCC AR6 assessment, “It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere have occurred.” The IPCC AR6 assessment states that these changes have led to increases in heat waves and wildfire weather, reductions in air quality, more intense hurricanes and rainfall events, and rising sea level. These changes, along with future projected changes, endanger the physical survival, health, economic well-being, and quality of life of people living in the United States (U.S.), especially those in the most vulnerable communities.

Methane is both the main component of natural gas and a potent GHG. Using one standard metric (the 100-year global warming potential (GWP), which is a measure of the climate impact of emissions of 1 ton of a GHG over 100 years relative to the impact of the emissions of 1 ton of CO
2
over the same time frame), methane has about 30 times as much climate impact as CO
2
. Because methane has a shorter lifetime than CO
2
, it has a larger relative impact over shorter time frames, and a smaller one over longer time frames: the IPCC AR6 assessment found that “Over time scales of 10 to 20 years, the global temperature response to a year's worth of current emissions of SLCFs [short lived climate forcers] is at least as large as that due to a year's worth of CO
2
emissions.”
9

The IPCC estimated that, depending on the reference scenario, collective reductions in these SLCFs (methane, ozone precursors, and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)) could reduce warming by 0.2 degrees Celsius (°C) (more than one-third of a degree Fahrenheit (°F) in 2040 and 0.8 °C (almost 1.5 °F) by the end of the century. As methane is the most important SLCF, this makes methane mitigation one of the best opportunities for reducing near-term warming. Emissions from human activities have already more than doubled atmospheric methane concentrations since 1750, and that concentration has been growing larger at record rates in recent years.
10

In the absence of additional reduction policies, methane emissions are projected to continue rising through at least 2040.

9
However, the IPCC AR6 assessment cautioned that “[t]he effects of the SLCFs decay rapidly over the first few decades after pulse emission. Consequently, on time scales longer than about 30 years, the net long-term temperature effects of sectors and regions are dominated by CO
2
.”

10
Naik, V., S. Szopa, B. Adhikary, P. Artaxo, T. Berntsen, W.D. Collins, S. Fuzzi, L. Gallardo, A. Kiendler 41 Scharr, Z. Klimont, H. Liao, N. Unger, P. Zanis, 2021, Short-Lived Climate Forcers. In: Climate Change 42 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the 43 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. 44 Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. 45 Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University 46 Press. In Press.

Methane's radiative efficiency means that immediate reductions in methane emissions, including from sources in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, can help reduce near-term warming. As natural gas is composed primarily of methane, every natural gas leak or intentional release of natural gas through venting or other processes constitutes a release of methane. Reducing human-caused methane emissions, such as controlling natural gas leaks and releases through the measures in this final action, is critical to addressing climate change and its effects. See section III of this preamble for further discussion on the air emissions from the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category climate change, including discussion of the impacts of GHGs, VOCs, and SO
2
emissions on public health and welfare.

Methane and VOC emissions from the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category result from a variety of industry operations across the supply chain. As natural gas moves through the necessarily interconnected system of exploration, production, storage, processing, and transmission that brings it from wellhead to commerce, emissions primarily result from intentional venting, unintentional gas carry-through (
e.g.,
vortexing from separator drain, improper liquid level settings, liquid level control valve on an upstream separator or scrubber does not seal properly at the end of an automated liquid dumping event, inefficient separation of gas and liquid phases occurring upstream of tanks allowing some gas carry-through), routine maintenance, unintentional fugitive emissions, flaring, malfunctions, abnormal process conditions, and system upsets. These emissions are associated with a range of specific equipment and practices, including leaking valves, connectors, and other components at well sites and compressor stations; leaks and vented emissions from storage vessels; releases from natural gas-driven pumps and natural gas-driven process controllers; liquids unloading at well sites; and venting or under-performing flaring of associated gas from oil wells. But technical innovations have produced a range of technologies and best practices to monitor, eliminate, or minimize these emissions, which in many cases have the benefit of reducing multiple pollutants at once and recovering saleable product. These technologies and best practices have been deployed by individual oil and natural gas companies, required by state regulations, or reflected in regulations issued by the EPA and other Federal agencies.

In developing this final rulemaking, the EPA applied the latest available information to finalize the analyses presented in the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal. This latest information provided additional insights into lessons learned from states' regulatory efforts, the emission reduction efforts of leading companies, the continued development of new and developing technologies, and information and data from peer-reviewed literature and emission measurement efforts across the U.S.

In both the November 2021 Proposal and the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal, the EPA solicited comment on various aspects of the proposed rules. This final rulemaking responds to the nearly one million total public comments the Agency received. A wide range of stakeholders, including state and local governments, Tribal nations, representatives of the oil and natural gas industry, communities affected by oil and gas pollution, environmental and public health organizations, submitted public comments on both the November 2021 Proposal and the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal. Following the November 2021 Proposal, over 470,000 public comments were submitted. After the December 2022 Supplemental

Proposal, over 515,000 additional public comments were submitted. Many commenters representing diverse perspectives expressed general support for the proposals and requested that the EPA further strengthen the proposed rules and make them more comprehensive. Other commenters highlighted implementation or cost concerns related to elements of both proposals or provided specific data and information that the EPA was able to use to refine or revise several of the proposed standards included in the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal.

This final action also builds on extensive engagement with states, Tribes, and a broad range of stakeholders. The EPA conducted stakeholder trainings after both the November 2021 Proposal and the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal for communities with environmental justice (EJ) concerns, Tribes, and small businesses. The EPA held 3-day virtual public hearings for both the November 2021 Proposal and the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal with over 600 speakers and hundreds of viewers on livestream. Tribal consultations were completed after the November 2021 Proposal at the request of the Northern Arapahoe Tribe, Mandan, Hidatsa and Arikara Nation (MHA Nation), and Eastern Shoshone Tribe.
11

Additional Tribal consultation was completed at the request of MHA Nation and an informational meeting was held with the Ute Tribe after the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal.
12

Through this stakeholder engagement, the EPA heard from diverse voices and perspectives, all of which provided ideas and information that helped shape and inform this final rulemaking.

11
See Memorandum in EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317.

12
See Memorandum in EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317.

In this final rulemaking, the EPA is finalizing updates to various aspects of the proposed rules because of the information received through the public comment process. For example, after review of the comments, the EPA is finalizing updates to allow owners and operators the option to use advanced methane monitoring technologies for detecting fugitive emissions. All stakeholders supported allowing for the use of alternative technologies and provided the EPA with constructive feedback and information to help finalize this aspect of the rulemaking, along with improvements that provide greater flexibility for owners and operators while ensuring these technologies are used in an effective way to detect methane emissions. Among other things, the EPA is finalizing changes from the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal that will allow owners and operators to use multiple advanced technologies in combination, and facilitate the use of the best advanced technologies that we know of by streamlining certain of the proposed monitoring requirements associated with their use. The EPA is also finalizing an efficient pathway for demonstrating that new technologies meet the performance requirements established under this rulemaking, and approving their use under this program. The final rulemaking allows for either a periodic screening approach or a continuous monitoring approach. The EPA believes this program will allow owners and operators to leverage advanced technologies that are already available to detect methane emissions rapidly with accuracy, as well as to incorporate promising new technologies that are emerging in this rapidly evolving field.

As a result of information provided through the public comment process, the EPA is also finalizing revisions to the proposed requirements for new sources to limit routine flaring of associated gas. During the comment period, the EPA received extensive information regarding alternatives to routine flaring, state-level requirements to limit or prohibit routine flaring, and commitments that owners and operators have already made voluntarily to phase out routine flaring in the near future. Based on this information and the EPA's updated BSER analysis, the EPA is finalizing requirements that will phase out and eventually prohibit routine flaring of associated gas from newly constructed wells that are developed after the effective date of this rule. These requirements include reasonable exemptions for certain temporary and emergency uses of flaring, and a transition period to allow owners and operators adequate time to incorporate this requirement into their development plans and to deploy any necessary equipment and controls. For a subcategory of existing wells (with documented methane of 40 tons per year (tpy) or less), the EPA is finalizing modifications to its December 2022 Supplemental Proposal to allow routine flaring. This approach reflects information the EPA received during this rulemaking, and the EPA's updated BSER analysis, that indicates that alternatives to routine flaring at such wells are generally costly and could be technically challenging to implement, while achieving relatively small emission reductions. For higher-emitting existing (above 40 tpy methane), modified, and reconstructed wells, the EPA is finalizing the provisions proposed in the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal limiting routine flaring to situations in which a sales line to collect the associated gas is not available, and the owner and operator has submitted a demonstration that other alternatives to routine flaring are not available due to technical infeasibility. With the updates made in this final rulemaking in response to comments, the EPA believes that the final rules and emission guidelines provide an approach to limiting routine flaring from associated gas that achieves significant reductions in emissions, while also providing owners and operators with flexibility to utilize routine flaring where needed and sufficient lead time to implement alternatives to routine flaring at newly developed wells.

Further, the EPA is finalizing, with certain revisions, requirements proposed in the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal to monitor flares to ensure proper operation and assure continual compliance. Improperly operating flares are a well-documented large source of emissions, and requiring operators to monitor and fix these problems will yield significant methane reductions.

In addition, the EPA is finalizing a Super Emitter Program as part of this rulemaking that requires owners and operators to take appropriate action to investigate very large emissions events upon receiving from the EPA a notification from a certified entity, and if necessary, take steps to ensure compliance with the applicable regulation(s). The EPA has made important modifications to this program based on comments received on the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal. Public comments informed the EPA that there is widespread recognition of the need to address super-emitters, that it is critical for the EPA to have a central role in the program, and that timely information-sharing and response is key to being able to achieve emission reductions. As a result, the final Super Emitter Program provides a central role for the EPA in receiving notifications from certified third parties and verifying that these notifications are complete and have properly documented the existence of a super-emitting event before sending them to the appropriate owner or operator. In addition, as proposed, the EPA will have a central role in approving monitoring technologies, certifying and de-certifying notifiers, requiring that third parties submit

notifications within a limited timeframe, and obligating operators to subsequently respond in a timely manner. These targeted changes for the Super Emitter Program are intended to ensure that the program operates with a high degree of accuracy, integrity, and transparency, while providing owners and operators with prompt and reliable notifications of super-emitting events that may require follow-up investigation and remediation. See sections X and XI of this preamble for a full summary and rationale of the changes since proposal.

After careful consideration of the public comments, the EPA is finalizing other aspects of the rulemaking as proposed. For example, the EPA is finalizing the NSPS and EG for process controllers (formerly referred to as pneumatic controllers) as proposed. For both the NSPS and EG, process controllers are required to meet a methane and VOC emission rate of zero.
13

Another area of the rulemaking that the EPA is finalizing as proposed is liquids unloading. These sources are required to comply with best management practices for every well that undergoes liquids unloading that results in vented emissions. The EPA is also finalizing standards for well completions and sweetening units as proposed. See sections X and XI of this preamble for a full summary and rationale of the areas of the rulemaking that are being finalized as proposed.

13
See tables 3 and 4 of this preamble for a summary of process controller standards in Alaska.

The EPA conducted an analysis of EJ in the development of this final rulemaking and sought to ensure equitable treatment and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color, national origin, or income in the process. The EPA engaged and consulted representatives of frontline communities that are directly affected by and particularly vulnerable to the climate and health impacts of pollution from this source category through interactions such as webinars, listening sessions, and meetings. These opportunities allowed the EPA to hear directly from the public, especially overburdened and underserved communities, on the development of the rulemaking and to factor these concerns into the rulemaking. The extensive pollution reduction measures in this final rulemaking will collectively reduce the emissions of a suite of harmful pollutants and their associated health impacts in communities adjacent to these emission sources. A full discussion and summary of engagement with pertinent stakeholders can be found in section VII of the preamble. A full discussion of the analysis of EJ is found in section XVI.F of the preamble.

In this final rulemaking, the EPA has conducted a comprehensive analysis of the available data from emission sources in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, the latest available information on control measures and techniques, and information submitted by stakeholders through the public comment process to identify achievable, cost-effective measures to significantly reduce emissions, consistent with the requirements of section 111 of the CAA. This final rulemaking will lead to significant and cost-effective reductions in climate and health-harming pollution and encourage development and deployment of innovative technologies to further reduce this pollution in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category.

As described in more detail below, the EPA recognizes that several states and other Federal agencies currently regulate the oil and natural gas industry. The EPA also recognizes that these state and other Federal agency regulatory programs have matured since the EPA began implementing the current NSPS requirements in 2012 and 2016. The EPA further acknowledges the technical innovations that the oil and natural gas industry has made during the past decade; this industry operates at a fast pace and changes constantly as technology evolves. The EPA commends these efforts and recognizes states for their innovative standards, alternative compliance options, and implementation strategies, and these final actions build upon progress made by certain states and Federal agencies in reducing GHG and VOC emissions. See preamble section VI for further discussion of Related State Actions and Other Federal Actions Regulating Oil and Natural Gas Sources and Industry and Voluntary Actions to Address Climate Change.

As the Federal agency with primary responsibility to protect human health and the environment, the EPA has the unique responsibility and authority to regulate harmful air pollutants emitted by the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. The EPA recognizes that states and other Federal agencies regulate in accordance with their respective legal authorities and within their respective jurisdictions but collectively do not fully and consistently address the range of sources and emission reduction measures contained in this final rulemaking. Direct Federal regulation of methane from new, reconstructed, and modified sources in this category, combined with approved state plans that are consistent with the EPA's EG presumptive standards for designated facilities (existing sources), will help reduce both climate- and other health-harming pollution from a large number of sources that are either unregulated or from which additional, cost-effective reductions are available, level the regulatory playing field, and help promote technological innovation.

Included in this final rulemaking are the final new subparts NSPS OOOOb and EG OOOOc and amendatory regulatory text for NSPS OOOO, NSPS OOOOa, and 40 CFR part 60, subpart KKK (NSPS KKK). The public docket for this rulemaking also includes the full text redline versions of NSPS OOOO, NSPS OOOOa, and NSPS KKK amendments.
14

In addition, the EPA is providing a Response to Comments (RTC) document and updated documents including the technical support document (TSD), supporting information collection request (ICR) burden statements, and regulatory impact analysis (RIA) that seeks to account for the full impacts of these proposed actions.

14
Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317.

B. Summary of the Major Provisions of This Regulatory Action

This final rulemaking includes four distinct groups of actions under the CAA each of which could have been promulgated as a separate final rule. First, pursuant to CAA section 111(b)(1)(B), the EPA has reviewed, and is finalizing revisions to, the standards of performance for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category published in 2012 and 2016 and amended in 2020, codified at 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOO—“Standards of Performance for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities for Which Construction, Modification, or Reconstruction Commenced After August 23, 2011, and on or Before September 18, 2015
”
(2012 NSPS) and subpart OOOOa—“Standards of Performance for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities for which Construction, Modification or Reconstruction Commenced After September 18, 2015” (2016 NSPS OOOOa). Specifically, the EPA is updating, strengthening, and expanding the current requirements under CAA section 111(b) for methane and VOC emissions from sources that commenced construction, modification, or reconstruction after December 6, 2022. These final standards of performance will be in a new subpart, 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOb (NSPS OOOOb), and include standards for emission sources previously not regulated under the 2012 NSPS OOOO and 2016 NSPS OOOOa.

Second, pursuant to CAA section 111(d), the EPA is finalizing the first nationwide EG for states to limit methane pollution from designated facilities in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. The EG being finalized in this rulemaking will be in a new subpart, 40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOc (EG OOOOc). The EG finalizes presumptive standards for GHG emissions (in the form of methane limitations) from designated facilities that commenced construction, reconstruction, or modification on or before December 6, 2022, and implementation requirements designed to inform states in the development, submittal, and implementation of state plans that are required to establish standards of performance for emissions of GHGs from their designated facilities in the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. The EPA is also finalizing regulatory language in NSPS OOOO, NSPS OOOOa, and NSPS KKK to provide clarity on when sources transition from being subject to these NSPS and become subject to a state or Federal plan implementing EG OOOOc.

Third, the EPA is taking several related actions stemming from the joint resolution of Congress, adopted on June 30, 2021, under the CRA, disapproving the EPA's final rule titled, “Oil and Natural Gas Sector: Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources Review,” 85 FR 57018 (September 14, 2020) (“2020 Policy Rule”). As explained in section XII of this document, the EPA is finalizing amendments to the 2016 NSPS OOOOa to address (1) certain inconsistencies between the VOC and methane standards resulting from the disapproval of the 2020 Policy Rule and (2) certain determinations made in the final rule titled, “Oil and Natural Gas Sector: Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources Reconsideration,” 85 FR 57398 (September 15, 2020) (“2020 Technical Rule”), specifically with respect to fugitive emissions monitoring at low production well sites and gathering and boosting stations. With respect to the latter, as described below, the EPA is finalizing the rescission of provisions of the 2020 Technical Rule that were not supported by the record for that rule or by our subsequent information and analysis.

In addition, in this final rulemaking the EPA updates the NSPS OOOO and NSPS OOOOa provisions in the CFR to reflect the CRA resolution's disapproval of the final 2020 Policy Rule, specifically, the reinstatement of the NSPS OOOO and NSPS OOOOa requirements that the 2020 Policy Rule repealed but that came back into effect immediately upon enactment of the CRA resolution. It should be noted that these requirements have come back into effect already, even prior to these updates to CFR text to reflect them.
15

The EPA waited to make these updates to the CFR text until the final rule simply because it was more efficient and clearer to amend the CFR once at the end of this rulemaking process to account for all changes to the 2012 NSPS OOOO (77 FR 49490, August 16, 2012) and 2016 NSPS OOOOa at the same time.

15
See Congressional Review Act Resolution to Disapprove EPA's 2020 Oil and Gas Policy Rule Questions and Answers (June 30, 2021) available at
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/qa_cra_for_2020_oil_and_gas_policy_rule.6.30.2021.pdf.

Fourth, the EPA is finalizing a protocol for the use of OGI in leak detection being finalized as appendix K to 40 CFR part 60 (referred to hereafter as appendix K). While this protocol is being finalized in this action, the applicability of the protocol is broader. The protocol is applicable to facilities when specified in a referencing subpart to help determine the presence and location of leaks; it is not currently applicable for use in direct emission rate measurements from sources. The protocol does not on its own apply to any sources. For NSPS OOOOb and EG OOOOc, we are finalizing the use of the protocol for application at natural gas processing plants. The protocol may be applied to other sources only when incorporated through rulemaking to a specific subpart.

Each group of actions just described is severable from the other. In addition, within each group of actions, the requirements governing each emission source are separate from and so severable from the requirements for each other emission source. Specifically, for each emission source, the EPA separately analyzed and determined the appropriate BSER. And for each emission source, the EPA conducted a separate analysis for new sources governed by the NSPS and for existing sources covered by the EG. Each of the requirements in this final rule is functionally independent—
i.e.,
may operate in practice independently of the other standards of performance.

As CAA section 111(a)(1) requires, the standards of performance being finalized in this rulemaking reflect “the degree of emission limitation achievable through the application of the best system of emission reduction [BSER] which (taking into account the cost of achieving such reduction and any nonair quality health and environmental impact and energy requirement) the Administrator determines has been adequately demonstrated.”
16

This rulemaking further finalizes EG for designated facilities, under which states must submit plans which establish standards of performance that reflect the degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the BSER, as identified in the final EG. In this final rulemaking, we evaluated new data made available to the EPA and information provided from public comments on the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal to update the analyses and evaluate whether revisions to the proposed BSER should be considered. For any potential control measure evaluated in this rulemaking, as in the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal, the EPA evaluated the emission reductions achievable through these measures and employed multiple approaches to evaluate the reasonableness of control costs associated with the options under consideration. For example, in evaluating controls for reducing VOC and methane emissions from new sources, we considered a control measure's cost effectiveness under both a “single-pollutant cost effectiveness” approach and a “multipollutant cost effectiveness” approach to appropriately consider that the systems of emission reduction considered in this rulemaking
17

typically achieve reductions in multiple pollutants at once and secure a multiplicity of climate and public health benefits. For both NSPS OOOOb and EG OOOOc, we also compared: (1) the capital costs that would be incurred through compliance with the final standards against the industry's current level of capital expenditures and (2) the annualized costs against the industry's estimated annual revenues. For a detailed discussion of the EPA's consideration of this and other BSER statutory elements, see sections IV and VIII of this

preamble. Table 2 summarizes the applicability dates for the four subparts that the EPA is finalizing.

16
The EPA notes that design, equipment, work practice, or operational standards established under CAA section 111(h) (commonly referred to as “work practice standards”) reflect the “best technological system of continuous emission reduction” and that this phrasing differs from the “best system of emission reduction” phrase in the definition of “standard of performance” in CAA section 111(a)(1). Although the differences in these phrases may be meaningful in other contexts, for purposes of evaluating the sources and systems of emission reduction at issue in this rulemaking, the EPA has applied these concepts in an essentially comparable manner because the systems of emission reduction the EPA evaluated are all technological.

17
For EG OOOOc, where the pollutant is GHGs in the form of limitations on methane, the EPA considered a control measure's cost effectiveness under a “single-pollutant cost effectiveness” approach.

Table 2—Applicable Dates for Subparts Addressed in This Rulemaking
18

Subpart
Source type
Applicable dates

40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOO
New, modified, or reconstructed sources
After August 23, 2011, and on or before September 18, 2015.

40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOa
New, modified, or reconstructed sources
After September 18, 2015, and on or before December 6, 2022.

40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOb
New, modified, or reconstructed sources
After December 6, 2022.

40 CFR part 60, subpart OOOOc
Existing sources
On or before December 6, 2022.

1. New Source Performance Standards for New, Modified, and Reconstructed Sources After December 6, 2022 (NSPS OOOOb)

18
See preamble section IX, “Interaction of the Rules and Response to Significant Comments Thereon” for discussion on the applicable dates.

As described in section X of this preamble, the EPA is finalizing several changes to the BSER and the NSPS for certain affected facilities based on a review of new data made available to the EPA and information provided in public comments. For the other NSPS that generally remain unchanged, the EPA is finalizing them as proposed in the November 2021 Proposal and/or December 2022 Supplemental Proposal. The EPA is also finalizing further justifications, flexibilities, or clarifications, as needed, based on the public comments and other additional information received, as described in section X of this preamble. The NSPS applies to affected sources across the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, including the production, processing, transmission, and storage segments, for which construction, reconstruction, or modification commenced after December 6, 2022, which is the date of publication of the supplemental proposal for NSPS OOOOb.

In particular, this action finalizes changes to strengthen the proposed VOC and methane standards addressing: fugitive emissions from well sites; monitoring of control devices; super-emitters; storage vessels; associated gas; pumps; equipment leaks at gas plants; appendix K; centrifugal compressors; and reciprocating compressors. It generally leaves unchanged the SO
2
performance standard for sweetening units and the VOC and methane performance standards for well completions, gas well liquids unloading operations, process controllers, and fugitive emissions from compressor stations. A summary of the final BSER determination and final NSPS for affected sources for which construction, reconstruction, or modification commenced after December 6, 2022 (NSPS OOOOb), is presented in table 2. See sections X and XI of this preamble for a complete discussion of the changes to the BSER determination and NSPS requirements.

The final NSPS OOOOb also includes provisions for the use of advanced methane detection technologies that allow for periodic screening or continuous monitoring for fugitive emissions and emissions from covers and closed vent systems (CVS) used to route emissions to control devices. These advanced methane detection technologies could also be used to identify super-emitter emissions events sooner and outside the normal periodic OGI monitoring for fugitive emissions, control devices, covers on storage vessels, and CVS. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a Super Emitter Program where an owner or operator must investigate, and if necessary, take steps to ensure compliance with the applicable regulation(s) upon receiving certified notifications of detected emissions that are 100 kilograms per hour (kg/hr) of methane or greater. See section X.C of this preamble for a complete discussion of these final provisions.

2. EG for Sources Constructed Prior to December 6, 2022 (EG OOOOc)

As described in sections X and XI of this preamble, the EPA is finalizing several changes to the BSER determinations and presumptive standards that were proposed under the authority of CAA section 111(d) in the November 2021 Proposal and/or the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal. These changes are based on a review of new data made available to the EPA and information provided in public comments. In the November 2021 Proposal, the EPA proposed the first nationwide EG for GHG (in the form of methane limitations) for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, including the production, processing, and transmission and storage segments (EG OOOOc). In the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal, the EPA proposed key implementation information unique to the EG for stakeholders.

This action finalizes revisions to strengthen the proposed presumptive standards for methane addressing: fugitive emissions from well sites; monitoring of control devices; super-emitters; storage vessels; associated gas; pumps; equipment leaks at gas plants; appendix K; centrifugal compressors; and reciprocating compressors. It generally leaves unchanged the presumptive standards for gas well liquids unloading operations, process controllers, and fugitive emissions from compressor stations. A summary of the final BSER determination and final presumptive standards for EG OOOOc is presented in table 3. See section X of this preamble for a complete discussion of the changes to the BSER determination and final presumptive standards.

The final EG OOOOc also includes the same provisions described for NSPS OOOOb that allow for the use of alternative test methods using advanced methane detection technologies for periodic screening or continuous monitoring for fugitive emissions and emissions from covers and CVS used to route emissions to control devices. Finally, the EPA is also finalizing in the final EG OOOOc presumptive requirements for state plans to include a Super Emitter Program, where an owner or operator must investigate, and if necessary, take steps to ensure compliance with the applicable regulation(s) upon receiving certified notifications of detected emissions that are 100 kilograms per hour (kg/hr) of methane or greater. See section X of this preamble for a complete discussion of these final provisions.

As stated in the November 2021 Proposal
19

and the December 2022 Supplemental Proposal,
20

when the EPA establishes NSPS for a source category, the EPA is required to issue EG to reduce emissions of certain pollutants from existing sources in that same source category. In such circumstances, under CAA section 111(d), the EPA must issue regulations to establish procedures under which states submit plans to establish, implement, and enforce standards of performance for existing sources for certain air pollutants to which a Federal NSPS would apply if such existing source were a new source. Thus, the issuance of CAA section 111(d) final EG does not impose binding requirements directly on existing sources but instead provides requirements for states in developing their plans. There is a fundamental requirement under CAA section 111(d) that a state's standards of performance in its state plan submittal are no less stringent than the presumptive standard determined by the EPA, which derives from the definition of “standard of performance” in CAA section 111(a)(1). Further, as provided in CAA section 111(d), a state may choose to take into account remaining useful life and other factors (RULOF) in applying a standard of performance to a particular source, consistent with the CAA, the EPA's implementing regulations, and the final EG.

19
See 86 FR 63117 (November 15, 2021).

20
See 87 FR 74702 (December 6, 2022).

The EPA is finalizing changes to the BSER determinations and the degree of limitation achievable through application of the BSER for certain existing equipment, processes, and activities across the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category. Those changes are discussed in section X of this preamble. Section XIII of this preamble discusses the components of EG, including the steps, requirements, and considerations associated with the development, submittal, and implementation of state, Tribal, and Federal plans, as appropriate. For the EG, the EPA is translating the degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the BSER (
i.e.,
level of stringency) into presumptive standards that states may use in the development of state plans for specific designated facilities. In doing so, the EPA has formatted the final EG OOOOc such that if a state chooses to adopt these presumptive standards as the standards of performance in a state plan, the EPA could approve such a plan as meeting the requirements of CAA section 111(d) and the finalized EG, if the plan meets all other applicable requirements. In this way, the presumptive standards included in the final EG OOOOc serve a function similar to that of a model rule,
21

because they are intended to assist states in developing their plan submissions by providing states with a starting point for standards that are based on general industry parameters and assumptions. The EPA anticipates that providing these presumptive standards will create a streamlined approach for states in developing state plans and for the EPA in evaluating state plans. However, the EPA's action on each state plan submission is carried out via rulemaking, which includes public notice and comment. Inclusion of presumptive standards in the final EG does not predetermine the outcomes of any future rulemaking on state plan submittals.

21
The presumptive standards are not the same as a Federal plan under CAA section 111(d)(2). The EPA has an obligation to promulgate a Federal plan if a state fails to submit a satisfactory plan. In such circumstances, the final EG and presumptive standards would serve as a guide to the development of a Federal plan. See section XIII.F of this document for information on Federal plans.

Designated facilities located in Indian country would not be encompassed within a state's CAA section 111(d) plan. Instead, an eligible Tribe that has one or more designated facilities located in its area of Indian country would have the opportunity, but not the obligation, to seek authority and submit a plan that establishes standards of performance for those facilities on its Tribal lands. If a Tribe does not submit a plan, or if the EPA does not approve a Tribe's plan, then the EPA has the authority to establish a Federal plan for designated facilities located within that Tribe's area of Indian country. A summary of the final EG for existing sources (EG OOOOc) for the oil and natural gas sector is presented in table 4. See section X of this preamble for a complete discussion of the final EG requirements.

3. Final Amendments to 2016 NSPS OOOOa, and CRA-Related CFR Updates

The EPA is finalizing modifications to the 2016 NSPS OOOOa to address certain amendments to the VOC standards for sources in the production and processing segments finalized in the 2020 Technical Rule. Because the methane standards for the production and processing segments and all standards for the transmission and storage segment were removed from the 2016 NSPS OOOOa via the 2020 Policy Rule prior to the finalization of the 2020 Technical Rule, the latter amendments apply only to the 2016 NSPS OOOOa VOC standards for the production and processing segments. In this final rulemaking, the EPA also is applying some of the 2020 Technical Rule amendments to the methane standards for all industry segments and to VOC standards for the transmission and storage segment in the 2016 NSPS OOOOa. These amendments are associated with the requirements for well completions, pumps, closed vent systems, fugitive emissions, alternative means of emission limitation (AMELs), and onshore natural gas processing plants, as well as other technical clarifications and corrections. The EPA is also finalizing a repeal of the amendments in the 2020 Technical Rule that (1) exempted low production well sites from monitoring fugitive emissions and (2) changed monitoring of VOC emissions at gathering and boosting compressor stations from quarterly to semiannual, which currently applies only to VOC standards (not methane standards) from the production and processing segments. A summary of the final amendments to the 2016 OOOOa NSPS is presented in section XII of this preamble.

Lastly, in this rulemaking, the EPA updates the NSPS OOOO and OOOOa provisions in the CFR to reflect the CRA resolution's disapproval of the final 2020 Policy Rule, specifically, the reinstatement of the NSPS OOOO and OOOOa requirements that the 2020 Policy Rule repealed but that came back into effect immediately upon enactment of the CRA resolution. The EPA waited to make the updates to the CFR text until the final rulemaking because it would be more efficient and clearer to amend the CFR once at the end of this rulemaking process to account for all changes to the 2012 NSPS OOOO and 2016 NSPS OOOOa at the same time, rather than make piecemeal amendments to the CFR.

Table 3—Summary of Final BSER and Final New Source Performance Standards for GHGs and VOCs (NSPS OOOO
b
)
22

Affected source
Final BSER
Final new source performance standards for GHGs and VOCs

Fugitive Emissions: Single Wellhead Only Well Sites and Small Well Sites
Quarterly AVO monitoring surveys

Quarterly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.
Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Multi-wellhead Only Well Sites (2 or more wellheads)

Quarterly AVO monitoring surveys
AND

Monitoring and repair based on semiannual monitoring using OGI
2

Quarterly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.
Semiannual OGI monitoring (Optional semiannual EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).
First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.
Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Well Sites with Major Production and Processing Equipment and Centralized Production Facilities

Bimonthly AVO monitoring surveys (
i.e.,
every other month)
AND
Monitoring and repair based on quarterly monitoring using OGI

Bimonthly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.
AND
Well sites with specified major production and processing equipment: Quarterly OGI monitoring. (Optional quarterly EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).
First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.
Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Compressor Stations

Monthly AVO monitoring surveys
AND
Monitoring and repair based on quarterly monitoring using OGI

Monthly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.
AND
Quarterly OGI monitoring. (Optional quarterly EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).
First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Fugitive Emissions: Well Sites and Compressor Stations on Alaska North Slope
Monitoring and repair based on annual monitoring using OGI

Annual OGI monitoring. (Optional annual EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).
First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Storage Vessels: A Single Storage Vessel or Tank Battery with PTE
4
of 6 tpy or more of VOC or PTE of 20 tpy or more of methane

Capture and route to a control device
95 percent reduction of VOC and methane.

Process Controllers: Natural Gas-driven
Use of zero-emissions controllers
VOC and GHG (methane) emission rate of zero.

Process Controllers: Alaska (at sites where onsite power is not available—continuous bleed natural gas-driven)
Use of low-bleed process controllers

Natural gas bleed rate no greater than 6 scfh.
5

Process Controllers: Alaska (at sites where onsite power is not available—intermittent natural gas-driven)
Monitor and repair through fugitive emissions program
OGI monitoring and repair of emissions from controller malfunctions.

Well Liquids Unloading
Best management practices to minimize or eliminate methane and VOC emissions to the maximum extent possible
Perform best management practices to minimize or eliminate methane and VOC emissions to the maximum extent possible from liquids unloading events that vent emissions to the atmosphere.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites)
Capture and route emissions from the wet seal fluid degassing system to a control device
95 percent reduction of methane and VOC emissions.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites): Self-contained centrifugal compressors and wet seal compressors equipped with a mechanical seal
(Optional) Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm per compressor seal.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites): Alaska North Slope centrifugal compressors equipped with a seal oil recovery system
(Optional) Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 9 scfm per seal
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 9 scfm per compressor seal.

Dry Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites)

Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 10 scfm
7
per seal

Monitoring and repair of seal to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 10 scfm per compressor seal.

Reciprocating Compressors (except for those located at well sites)
Monitoring and repair or replace the reciprocating compressor rod packing in order to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 2 scfm per cylinder
Monitoring and repair or replacement of rod packing to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 2 scfm per cylinder.

Pumps: Natural gas-driven
Use of zero-emissions pumps
GHG (methane) and VOC emission rate of zero.

Pumps: Natural gas-driven (at sites where onsite power is not available and there are fewer than 3 diaphragm pumps)
Use of an existing VRU or control device
Route pump emissions to a process if VRU is onsite, or to control device if onsite.

Well Completions: Subcategory 1 (non-wildcat and non-delineation wells)

Combination of REC
8
and the use of a completion combustion device

Applies to each well completion operation with hydraulic fracturing.
REC in combination with a completion combustion device; venting in lieu of combustion where combustion would present demonstrable safety hazards.
Initial flowback stage: Route to a storage vessel or completion vessel (frac tank, lined pit, or other vessel) and separator.
Separation flowback stage: Route all salable gas from the separator to a flow line or collection system, reinject the gas into the well or another well, use the gas as an onsite fuel source or use for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel or raw material would serve. If technically infeasible to route recovered gas as specified, recovered gas must be combusted. All liquids must be routed to a storage vessel or well completion vessel, collection system, or be reinjected into the well or another well.
The operator is required to have (and use) a separator onsite during the entire flowback period.

Well Completions: Subcategory 2 (exploratory, wildcat, and delineation wells and non-wildcat and non-delineation low-pressure wells)
Use of a completion combustion device

Applies to each well completion operation with hydraulic fracturing.
The operator is not required to have a separator onsite. Either: (1) Route all flowback to a completion combustion device with a continuous pilot flame; or (2) Route all flowback into one or more well completion vessels and commence operation of a separator unless it is technically infeasible for a separator to function. Any gas present in the flowback before the separator can function is not subject to control under this section. Capture and direct recovered gas to a completion combustion device with a continuous pilot flame.
For both options (1) and (2), combustion is not required in conditions that may result in a fire hazard or explosion, or where high heat emissions from a completion combustion device may negatively impact tundra, permafrost, or waterways.

Equipment Leaks at Natural Gas Processing Plants

LDAR
9
with bimonthly OGI

LDAR with OGI following procedures in appendix K.

New Wells with Associated Gas that commenced construction after May 7, 2026
Route associated gas to a sales line
Route associated gas to a sales line; or, the gas can be used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel, chemical feedstock, or raw material would serve, or recovered from the separator and reinjected into the well or injected into another well.

New wells with Associated Gas that commenced construction between May 7, 2024, and May 7, 2026
Route associated gas to a sales line
Route associated gas to a sales line; or, the gas can be used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel, chemical feedstock, or raw material would serve, or recovered from the separator and reinjected into the well or injected into another well. If demonstrated, and documented annually, that routing to a sales line and the alternatives are not technically feasible, the associated gas can be routed to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in GHG (methane) and VOC emissions. A second infeasibility determination may not extend beyond 24 months from effective date.

New Wells with Associated Gas that Commenced Construction after December 6, 2022, and before May 7, 2024
Route associated gas to a sales line
Route associated gas to a sales line; or, the gas can be used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel, chemical feedstock, or raw material would serve, or recovered from the separator and reinjected into the well or injected into another well. If demonstrated, and documented annually, that routing to a sales line and the alternatives are not technically feasible, the associated gas can be routed to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in GHG (methane) and VOC emissions.

Wells with Associated Gas Reconstructed or Modified after December 6, 2022
Route associated gas to a sales line
Route associated gas to a sales line; or, the gas can be used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel, chemical feedstock, or raw material would serve, or recovered from the separator and reinjected into the well or injected into another well. If demonstrated, and documented annually, that routing to a sales line and the alternatives are not technically feasible, the associated gas can be routed to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in GHG (methane) and VOC emissions.

Sweetening Units

Achieve SO
2
emission reduction efficiency

Achieve required minimum SO
2
emission reduction efficiency.

1
tpy (tons per year).

2
OGI (optical gas imaging).

3
ppm (parts per million).

4
PTE (potential to emit).

5
scfh (standard cubic feet per hour).

6
BMP (best management practices).

7
scfm (standard cubic feet per minute).

8
REC (reduced emissions completion).

9
LDAR (leak detection and repair).

22
For fugitive emissions at well sites,centralized production facilities, and compressor stations, the EPA is finalizing an advanced measurement technology compliance option to use alternative periodic screening and alternative continuous monitoring instead of OGI and AVO monitoring.

Table 4—Summary of Final BSER and Final Presumptive Standards for GHGs From Designated Facilities (EG OOOO
c
)
23

Designated facility
Final BSER
Final presumptive standards for GHGs

Fugitive Emissions: Single Wellhead Only Well Sites and Small Well Sites
Quarterly AVO monitoring surveys
Quarterly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.

Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Multi-wellhead Only Well Sites (2 or more wellheads)
Quarterly AVO monitoring surveys
Quarterly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.

AND
Semiannual OGI monitoring (Optional semi-

Monitoring and repair based on semiannual monitoring using OGI
2

annual EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).

First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Well Sites and Centralized Production Facilities

Bimonthly AVO monitoring surveys (
i.e.,
every other month)

Bimonthly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.

AND
AND

Monitoring and repair based on quarterly monitoring using OGI
Well sites with specified major production and processing equipment: Quarterly OGI monitoring. (Optional quarterly EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).

First attempt at repair within 30 days after finding fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Fugitive monitoring continues for all well sites until the site has been closed, including plugging the wells at the site and submitting a well closure report.

Fugitive Emissions: Compressor Stations
Monthly AVO monitoring surveys
Monthly AVO surveys. First attempt at repair within 15 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 15 days after first attempt.

AND
AND

Monitoring and repair based on quarterly monitoring using OGI
Quarterly OGI monitoring. (Optional quarterly EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).

First attempt at repair within 30 days after detecting fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Fugitive Emissions: Well Sites and Compressor Stations on Alaska North Slope
Monitoring and repair based on annual monitoring using OGI
Annual OGI monitoring. (Optional annual EPA Method 21 monitoring with 500 ppm defined as a leak).

First attempt at repair within 30 days after finding fugitive emissions. Final repair within 30 days after first attempt.

Storage Vessels: Tank Battery with PTE of 20 tpy or More of Methane
Capture and route to a control device
95 percent reduction of methane.

Process Controllers: Natural gas-driven
Use of zero-emissions controllers
GHG (methane) emission rate of zero.

Process Controllers: Alaska (at sites where onsite power is not available—continuous bleed natural gas-driven)
Use of low-bleed process controllers
Natural gas bleed rate no greater than 6 scfh.

Process Controllers: Alaska (at sites where onsite power is not available—intermittent natural gas-driven)
Monitor and repair through fugitive emissions program
OGI monitoring and repair of emissions from controller malfunctions.

Gas Well Liquids Unloading
Best management practices to minimize or eliminate methane and VOC emissions to the maximum extent possible
Perform best management practices to minimize or eliminate methane and VOC emissions to the maximum extent possible from liquids unloading events that vent emissions to the atmosphere.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites)

Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm
7

Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm per seal.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites): Self-contained centrifugal compressors and wet seal compressors equipped with a mechanical seal
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 3 scfm per seal.

Wet Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites): Alaska North Slope centrifugal compressors equipped with a seal oil recovery system
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 9 scfm
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 9 scfm per seal.

Dry Seal Centrifugal Compressors (except for those located at well sites)

Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 10 scfm
7

Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 10 scfm per seal.

Reciprocating Compressors (except for those located at well sites)
Monitoring and repair or replace the reciprocating compressor rod packing in order to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 2 scfm
Monitoring and repair to maintain volumetric flow rate at or below 2 scfm per cylinder.

Pumps: Natural gas-driven
Use of zero-emissions pumps
GHG (methane) emission rate of zero.

Pumps: Natural gas-driven (at sites where onsite power is not available and there are fewer than 3 diaphragm pumps)
Use of an existing VRU or control device
Route pump emissions to a process if VRU is onsite, or to control device if onsite.

Equipment Leaks at Natural Gas Processing Plants
LDAR with bimonthly OGI
LDAR with OGI following procedures in appendix K.

Wells with Associated Gas greater than 40 tpy methane
Route associated gas to a sales line
Route associated gas to a sales line. Alternatively, the gas can be used as an onsite fuel source or used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel or raw material would serve, or be injected into the well or another well. If demonstrated, and annually documented, that a sales line and alternatives are not technically feasible, the gas can be routed to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in methane emissions.

Wells with Associated Gas 40 tpy methane or less
Route associated gas to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in methane emissions
Route associated gas to a sales line. Alternatively, the gas can be used as an onsite fuel source or used for another useful purpose that a purchased fuel or raw material would serve, or be injected into the well or another well. Alternatively, the gas can be routed to a flare or other control device that achieves at least 95 percent reduction in methane emissions.

C. Costs and Benefits

23
For fugitive emissions at well sites, centralized production facilities, and compressor stations, the EPA is finalizing an advanced measurement technology compliance option to use alternative periodic screening and alternative continuous monitoring instead of OGI and AVO monitoring.

In accordance with the requirements of E.O. 12866, the EPA projected the emissions reductions, costs, and benefits that may result from this final rulemaking. These results are presented in detail in the RIA accompanying this final rulemaking developed in response to E.O. 12866. The RIA focuses on the elements of the final rules that are likely to result in quantifiable cost or emissions changes compared to a baseline without the rule. We estimated the cost, emissions, and benefit impacts for the 2024 to 2038 period. We present the present value (PV) and equivalent annual value (EAV) of costs, benefits, and net benefits of this rulemaking in 2019 dollars.

The initial analysis year in the RIA is 2024 as we assume the NSPS rules will take effect early in 2024. The EG will take longer to go into effect as states will need to develop implementation plans in response to the EG and have them approved by the EPA. We assume in the RIA that this process will take 4 years, and so EG impacts will begin in 2028. The final analysis year is 2038, which allows us to provide up to 15 years of projected impacts after the NSPS is assumed to take effect and 11 years of projected impacts after the EG is assumed to take effect.

The cost analysis presented in the RIA reflects a nationwide engineering analysis of compliance cost and emissions reductions, of which there are two main components. The first component is a set of representative or model plants for each regulated facility, segment, and control option. The characteristics of the model plant include typical equipment, operating characteristics, and representative factors including baseline emissions and the costs, emissions reductions, and product recovery resulting from each control option. The second component is a set of projections of activity data for affected facilities, distinguished by vintage, year, and other necessary attributes (
e.g.,
oil versus natural gas wells). Impacts are calculated by setting parameters on how and when affected facilities are assumed to respond to a particular regulatory regime, multiplying activity data by model plant cost and emissions estimates, differencing from the baseline scenario, and then summing to the desired level of aggregation. In addition to emissions reductions, some control options result in natural gas recovery, which can then be combusted in production or sold. Where applicable, we present projected compliance costs with and without the projected revenues from product recovery.

The EPA expects climate and health benefits due to the emissions reductions projected under this final rulemaking. The EPA estimated the monetized climate benefits of methane emission reductions expected from these final rules using estimates of the social cost of methane (SC-CH
4
) that reflect recent advances in the scientific literature on climate change and its economic impacts and incorporate recommendations made by the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine (National Academies 2017). The EPA presented these estimates in a sensitivity analysis in the December 2022 RIA, solicited public comment on the methodology and use of these estimates, and has conducted an external peer review of these estimates, as discussed in section XVI.E of this preamble.

In addition to climate benefits from methane emissions reductions, the EPA expects that VOC emission reductions under the final rulemaking will improve air quality and improve health and welfare due to reduced exposure to ozone, particulate matter with a diameter of 2.5 micrometers or less (PM
2.5
), and hazardous air pollutants (HAP). In a national-level analysis of public health impacts, the EPA used the environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program—Community Edition (BenMAP-CE) software program to quantify counts of premature deaths and illnesses attributable to photochemical modeled changes in summer season average ozone concentrations resulting from projected VOC emissions reductions under the rulemaking. The methods for quantifying the number and value of air pollution-attributable premature deaths and illnesses are described in the RIA for this action and the TSD titled
Estimating PM
2.5
- and Ozone-Attributable Health Benefits.
24

These reductions in health-harming pollution would result in significant public health benefits including avoided

premature deaths, reductions in new asthma cases and incidences of asthma symptoms, reductions in hospital admissions and emergency department visits, and reductions in lost school days.

24

https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-01/Estimating%20PM2.5-%20and%20Ozone-Attributable%20Health%20Benefits%20TSD_0.pdf.

The EPA notes that the benefits analysis is distinct from the statutory BSER determinations finalized herein, which are based on the statutory factors the EPA is required to consider under section 111(a) of the CAA (including cost, energy requirements and nonair quality health, and environmental impacts). The assessment of benefits described above and in the RIA is presented solely for the purposes of complying with E.O. 12866 and providing the public with a complete depiction of the impacts of the rulemaking.

The projected national-level emissions reductions over the 2024 to 2038 period anticipated under the finalized requirements are presented in table 5. Table 6 presents the PV and EAV of the projected benefits, costs, and net benefits over the 2024 to 2038 period under the final rule using discount rates of 2, 3, and 7 percent.

Table 5—Projected Emissions Reductions Under the Final Rules, 2024-2038 Total

Pollutant

Emissions reductions
(2024-2038 total)

Methane (million short tons)
a

58

VOC (million short tons)
16

Hazardous Air Pollutant (million short tons)
0.59

Methane (million metric tons CO
2
Eq.)
b

1,500

a
To convert from short tons to metric tons, multiply the short tons by 0.907. Alternatively, to convert metric tons to short tons, multiply metric tons by 1.102.

b
Carbon dioxide equivalent (CO
2
Eq). calculated using a global warming potential of 28.

Table 6—Benefits, Costs, Net Benefits, and Emissions Reductions Under the Final Rules, 2024-2038

[Dollar Estimates in Millions of 2019 Dollars]
a

2 Percent near-term Ramsey discount rate
PV
EAV
PV
EAV
PV
EAV

Climate Benefits
b

$110,000
$8,500
$110,000
$8,500
$110,000
$8,500

2 Percent
discount rate

PV
EAV

3 Percent
discount rate

PV
EAV

7 Percent
discount rate

PV
EAV

Ozone Health Benefits
c

$7,000
$540
$6,100
$510
$3,500
$380

Net Compliance Costs
19,000
1,500
18,000
1,500
14,000
1,600

Compliance Costs

31,000
2,400
29,000
2,400
22,000
2,400

Value of Product Recovery

13,000
980
11,000
950
7,400
820

Net Benefits
d

97,000
7,600
97,000
7,500
98,000
7,300

Non-Monetized Benefits

Climate and ozone-related health benefits from reducing 58 million short tons of methane from 2024 to 2038.
Benefits to provision of ecosystem services associated with reduced ozone concentrations from reducing 16 million short tons of VOC from 2024 to 2038.

PM
2.5
-related health benefits from reducing 16 million short tons of VOC from 2024 to 2038.

HAP benefits from reducing 590 thousand short tons of HAP from 2024 to 2038.

a
Values rounded to two significant figures. Totals may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.

b
Climate benefits are based on reductions in methane emissions and are calculated using three different estimates of the SC-CH
4
(under 1.5 percent, 2.0 percent, and 2.5 percent near-term Ramsey discount rates). For the presentational purposes of this table, we show the climate benefits associated with the SC-CH
4
at the 2 percent near-term Ramsey discount rate. Please see tables 3.4 and 3.5 in the RIA for the full range of monetized climate benefit estimates. All net benefits are calculated using climate benefits discounted at the 2 percent near-term rate.

c
Monetized benefits include those related to public health associated with reductions in ozone concentrations. The health benefits are associated with several point estimates.

d
Several categories of climate, human health, and welfare benefits from methane, VOC, and HAP emissions reductions remain unmonetized and are thus not directly reflected in the quantified benefit estimates in the table.

III. Air Emissions From the Crude Oil and Natural Gas Sector and Public Health and Welfare

A. Impacts of GHGs, VOCs, and SO
2
Emissions on Public Health and Welfare

As noted previously, the oil and natural gas industry emits a wide range of pollutants, including GHGs (such as methane and CO
2
), VOCs, SO
2
, NO
X
, H
2
S, CS
2
, and COS. See 49 FR 2636, 2637 (January 20, 1984). As noted below, to this point the EPA has focused its regulatory efforts under CAA section 111 on GHGs, VOC, and SO
2
.
25

25
We note that the EPA's focus on GHGs (in particular methane), VOC, and SO
2
in these analyses does not in any way limit the EPA's authority to promulgate standards that would apply to other pollutants emitted from the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, if the EPA determines in the future that such action is appropriate.

1. Climate Change Impacts From GHGs Emissions

Elevated concentrations of GHGs are and have been warming the planet, leading to changes in the Earth's climate including changes in the frequency and intensity of heat waves, precipitation, and extreme weather events; rising seas; and retreating snow and ice. The changes taking place in the atmosphere as a result of the well-documented

buildup of GHGs due to human activities are changing the climate at a pace and in a way that threatens human health, society, and the natural environment. Human-produced GHGs, largely derived from our reliance on fossil fuels, are causing serious and life-threatening environmental and health impacts. While the EPA is not making any new scientific or factual findings with regard to the well-documented impact of GHG emissions on public health and welfare in support of this rulemaking, the EPA is providing some scientific background on climate change to offer additional context for this rulemaking and to increase the public's understanding of the environmental impacts of GHGs.

Extensive additional information on climate change is available in the scientific assessments and the EPA documents that are briefly described in this section of this preamble, as well as in the technical and scientific information supporting them. One of those documents is the EPA's 2009
Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for GHGs Under Section 202(a)
of the CAA (74 FR 66496, December 15, 2009).
26

In the 2009 Endangerment Findings, the Administrator found under section 202(a) of the CAA that elevated atmospheric concentrations of six key well-mixed GHGs—CO
2,
methane, N
2
O, HFCs, perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF
6
)—“may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public health and welfare of current and future generations” (74 FR 66523, December 15, 2009), and the science and observed changes since that time have confirmed and strengthened the understanding and concerns regarding the climate risks considered in the Findings. The 2009 Endangerment Findings, together with the extensive scientific and technical evidence in the supporting record, documented that climate change caused by human emissions of GHGs threatens the public health of the U.S. population. It explained that by raising average temperatures, climate change increases the likelihood of heat waves, which are associated with increased deaths and illnesses (74 FR 66497, December 15, 2009). While climate change also increases the likelihood of reductions in cold-related mortality, evidence indicates that the increases in heat mortality will be larger than the decreases in cold mortality in the U.S. (74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). The 2009 Endangerment Findings further explained that compared to a future without climate change, climate change is expected to increase tropospheric ozone pollution over broad areas of the U.S., including in the largest metropolitan areas with the worst tropospheric ozone problems, and thereby increase the risk of adverse effects on public health (74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). Climate change is also expected to cause more intense hurricanes, and more frequent and intense storms of other types, and heavy precipitation, with impacts on other areas of public health such as the potential for increased deaths, injuries, infectious and waterborne diseases, and stress-related disorders (74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). Children, the elderly, and the poor are among the most vulnerable to these climate-related health effects (74 FR 66498, December 15, 2009).

26
In describing these 2009 Findings in this proposal, the EPA is neither reopening nor revisiting them.

The 2009 Endangerment Findings also documented, together with the extensive scientific and technical evidence in the supporting record, that climate change touches nearly every aspect of public welfare
27

in the U.S. with resulting economic costs, including: changes in water supply and quality due to increased frequency of drought and extreme rainfall events; increased risk of storm surge and flooding in coastal areas and land loss due to inundation; increases in peak electricity demand and risks to electricity infrastructure; and the potential for significant agricultural disruptions and crop failures (though offset to some extent by carbon fertilization). These impacts are also global and may exacerbate problems outside the U.S. that raise humanitarian, trade, and national security issues for the U.S. (74 FR 66530, December 15, 2009).

27
The CAA states in section 302(h) that “[a]ll language referring to effects on welfare includes, but is not limited to, effects on soils, water, crops, vegetation, manmade materials, animals, wildlife, weather, visibility, and climate, damage to and deterioration of property, and hazards to transportation, as well as effects on economic values and on personal comfort and well-being, whether caused by transformation, conversion, or combination with other air pollutants.” 42 U.S.C. 7602(h).

In 2016, the Administrator similarly issued Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for GHG emissions from aircraft under section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA (81 FR 54422, August 15, 2016).
28

In the 2016 Endangerment Findings, the Administrator found that the body of scientific evidence amassed in the record for the 2009 Endangerment Findings compellingly supported a similar endangerment finding under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) and also found that the science assessments released between the 2009 and the 2016 Findings “strengthen and further support the judgment that GHGs in the atmosphere may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public health and welfare of current and future generations.” (81 FR 54424, August 15, 2016).

28
In describing these 2016 Findings in this proposal, the EPA is neither reopening nor revisiting them.

Since the 2016 Endangerment Findings, the climate has continued to change, with new records being set for several climate indicators such as global average surface temperatures, GHG concentrations, and sea level rise. Moreover, heavy precipitation events have increased in the eastern U.S. while agricultural and ecological drought has increased in the western U.S. along with more intense and larger wildfires.
29

These and other trends are examples of the risks discussed the 2009 and 2016 Endangerment Findings that have already been experienced. Additionally, major scientific assessments continue to demonstrate advances in our understanding of the climate system and the impacts that GHGs have on public health and welfare both for current and future generations. These updated observations and projections document the rapid rate of current and future climate change both globally and in the U.S. These assessments include:

29
See later in this section of the document for specific examples. An additional resource for indicators can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators.

• U.S. Global Change Research Program's (USGCRP) 2016 Climate and Health Assessment
30

and 2017-2018 Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4)
31 32

30
USGCRP, 2016:
The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment.
Crimmins, A., J. Balbus, J.L. Gamble, C.B. Beard, J.E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R.J. Eisen, N. Fann, M.D. Hawkins, S.C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, D.M. Mills, S. Saha, M.C. Sarofim, J. Trtanj, and L. Ziska, Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 312 pp.

31
USGCRP, 2017:
Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment,
Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470 pp, doi: 10.7930/J0J964J6.

32
USGCRP, 2018:
Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II
[Reidmiller, D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.

• IPCC's 2018 Global Warming of 1.5 °C,
33

2019 Climate Change and Land,
34

and the 2019 Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
35

assessments, as well as the 2023 IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).
36

33
IPCC, 2018:
Global Warming of 1.5 °C.
An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T. Waterfield (eds.)].

34
IPCC, 2019:
Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems
[P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, E. Calvo Buendia, V. Masson-Delmotte, H.-O. Pörtner, D. C. Roberts, P. Zhai, R. Slade, S. Connors, R. van Diemen, M. Ferrat, E. Haughey, S. Luz, S. Neogi, M. Pathak, J. Petzold, J. Portugal Pereira, P. Vyas, E. Huntley, K. Kissick, M. Belkacemi, J. Malley, (eds.)].

35
IPCC, 2019:
IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
[H.-O. Pörtner, DC Roberts, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama, N.M. Weyer (eds.)].

36
IPCC, 2023: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 1-34, doi:10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647.001.

• The NAS 2016 Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change,
37

2017 Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide,
38

and 2019 Climate Change and Ecosystems
39

assessments.

37
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016.
Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://dio.org/10.17226/21852.

38
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017.
Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://doi.org/10.17226/24651.

39
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2019.
Climate Change and Ecosystems.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://doi.org/10.17226/25504.

• National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) annual State of the Climate reports published by the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
40

most recently in 2022.

40
Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds., 2022: “State of the Climate in 2021”. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103 (8), Si-S465,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

• EPA Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the United States: A Focus on Six Impacts (2021).
41

41
EPA. 2021. Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the United States: A Focus on Six Impacts. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA 430-R-21-003.

The most recent information demonstrates that the climate is continuing to change in response to the human-induced buildup of GHGs in the atmosphere. These recent assessments show that atmospheric concentrations of GHGs have risen to a level that has no precedent in human history and that they continue to climb, primarily because of both historical and current anthropogenic emissions, and that these elevated concentrations endanger our health by affecting our food and water sources, the air we breathe, the weather we experience, and our interactions with the natural and built environments. For example, atmospheric concentrations of one of these GHGs, CO
2
, measured at Mauna Loa in Hawaii and at other sites around the world reached 419 parts per million (ppm) in 2022 (nearly 50 percent higher than preindustrial levels)
42

and have continued to rise at a rapid rate. Global average temperature has increased by about 1.1 °C (2.0 °F) in the 2011-2020 decade relative to 1850-1900.
43

The years 2015-2021 were the warmest 7 years in the 1880-2021 record, contributing to the warmest decade on record with a decadal temperature of 0.82 °C (1.48 °F) above the 20th century.
44 45

The IPCC determined (with medium confidence) that this past decade was warmer than any multi-century period in at least the past 100,000 years.
46

Global average sea level has risen by about 8 inches (about 21 centimeters (cm)) from 1901 to 2018, with the rate from 2006 to 2018 (0.15 inches/year or 3.7 millimeters (mm)/year) almost twice the rate over the 1971 to 2006 period, and three times the rate of the 1901 to 2018 period.
47

The rate of sea level rise over the 20th century was higher than in any other century in at least the last 2,800 years.
48

Higher CO
2
concentrations have led to acidification of the surface ocean in recent decades to an extent unusual in the past 2 million years, with negative impacts on marine organisms that use calcium carbonate to build shells or skeletons.
49

Arctic sea ice extent continues to decline in all months of the year; the most rapid reductions occur in September (very likely almost a 13 percent decrease per decade between 1979 and 2018) and are unprecedented in at least 1,000 years.
50

Human-induced climate change has led to heatwaves and heavy precipitation becoming more frequent and more intense, along with increases in agricultural and ecological droughts
51

in many regions.
52

42

https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt.

43
IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3-32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.

44
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, State of the Climate 2021 retrieved on August 3, 2023, from
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-climate.

45
Blunden,
et al.
2022.

46
IPCC, 2021.

47
IPCC, 2021.

48
USGCRP, 2018:
Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II
[Reidmiller, D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.

49
IPCC, 2021.

27
IPCC, 2021.

51
These are drought measures based on soil moisture.

52
IPCC, 2021.

The assessment literature demonstrates that modest additional amounts of warming may lead to a climate different from anything humans have ever experienced. The 2022 CO
2
concentration of 419 ppm is already higher than at any time in the last 2 million years.
53

If concentrations exceed 450 ppm, they would likely be higher than any time in the past 23 million years:
54

at the current rate of increase of more than 2 ppm a year, this would

occur in about 15 years. While GHGs are not the only factor that controls climate, it is illustrative that 3 million years ago (the last time CO
2
concentrations were above 400 ppm) Greenland was not yet completely covered by ice and still supported forests, while 23 million years ago (the last time concentrations were above 450 ppm) the West Antarctic ice sheet was not yet developed, indicating the possibility that high GHG concentrations could lead to a world that looks very different from today and from the conditions in which human civilization has developed. If the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets were to melt substantially, sea levels would rise dramatically—the IPCC estimated that over the next 2,000 years, sea level will rise by 7 to 10 feet even if warming is limited to 1.5 °C (2.7 °F), from 7 to 20 feet if limited to 2 °C (3.6 °F), and by 60 to 70 feet if warming is allowed to reach 5 °C (9 °F) above preindustrial levels.
55

For context, almost all of the city of Miami is less than 25 feet above sea level, and the NCA4 stated that 13 million Americans would be at risk of migration due to 6 feet of sea level rise. Moreover, the CO
2
being absorbed by the ocean has resulted in changes in ocean chemistry due to acidification of a magnitude not seen in 65 million years,
56

putting many marine species—particularly calcifying species—at risk.

53
Annual Mauna Loa CO
2
concentration data from
https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt,
accessed September 9, 2023.

54
IPCC, 2013.

55
IPCC, 2021.

56
IPCC, 2018.

The NCA4 found that it is very likely (greater than 90 percent likelihood) that by mid-century, the Arctic Ocean will be almost entirely free of sea ice by late summer for the first time in about 2 million years.
57

Coral reefs will be at risk for almost complete (99 percent) losses with 1 °C (1.8 °F) of additional warming from today (2 °C or 3.6 °F since preindustrial). At this temperature, between 8 and 18 percent of animal, plant, and insect species could lose over half of the geographic area with suitable climate for their survival, and 7 to 10 percent of rangeland livestock would be projected to be lost.
58

The IPCC similarly found that climate change has caused substantial damages and increasingly irreversible losses in terrestrial, freshwater, and coastal and open ocean marine ecosystems.

57
USGCRP, 2018.

58
IPCC, 2018.

Scientific assessments also demonstrate that even modest additional amounts of warming may lead to a climate different from anything humans have ever experienced. Every additional increment of temperature comes with consequences. For example, the half degree of warming from 1.5 to 2 °C (0.9 °F of warming from 2.7 °F to 3.6 °F) above preindustrial temperatures is projected on a global scale to expose 420 million more people to frequent extreme heatwaves, and 62 million more people to frequent exceptional heatwaves (where heatwaves are defined based on a heat wave magnitude index which takes into account duration and intensity—using this index, the 2003 French heat wave that led to almost 15,000 deaths would be classified as an “extreme heatwave” and the 2010 Russian heatwave which led to thousands of deaths and extensive wildfires would be classified as “exceptional”). It would increase the frequency of sea-ice-free Arctic summers from once in 100 years to once in a decade. It could lead to 4 inches of additional sea level rise by the end of the century, exposing an additional 10 million people to risks of inundation as well as increasing the probability of triggering instabilities in either the Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets. Between half a million and a million additional square miles of permafrost would thaw over several centuries. Risks to food security would increase from medium-to-high for several lower-income regions in the Sahel, southern Africa, the Mediterranean, central Europe, and the Amazon. In addition to food security issues, this temperature increase would have implications for human health in terms of increasing ozone concentrations, heatwaves, and vector-borne diseases (for example, expanding the range of the mosquitoes which carry dengue fever, chikungunya, yellow fever, and the Zika virus, or the ticks which carry Lyme, babesiosis, or Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever).
59

Moreover, every additional increment in warming leads to larger changes in extremes, including the potential for events unprecedented in the observational record. Every additional degree will intensify extreme precipitation events by about 7 percent. The peak winds of the most intense tropical cyclones (hurricanes) are projected to increase with warming. In addition to a higher intensity, the IPCC found that precipitation and frequency of rapid intensification of these storms has already increased, the movement speed has decreased, and elevated sea levels have increased coastal flooding, all of which make these tropical cyclones more damaging.
60

59
IPCC, 2018.

60
IPCC, 2021.

The NCA4 also evaluated a number of impacts specific to the U.S. Severe drought and outbreaks of insects like the mountain pine beetle have killed hundreds of millions of trees in the western U.S. Wildfires have burned more than 3.7 million acres in 14 of the 17 years between 2000 and 2016, and Federal wildfire suppression costs were about a billion dollars annually.
61

The National Interagency Fire Center has documented U.S. wildfires since 1983, and the 10 years with the largest acreage burne

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Source: Frix Law Library, https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/documents/fr%3A2024-00366. Public record. Not legal advice.
