# Petition for Writ of Certiorari — E. I. du Pont de Nemours & Co. v. Environmental Protection Agency

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## Record

- **Collection:** Supreme Court brief
- **Document type:** Petition for Writ of Certiorari
- **Published:** January 1, 1976
- **Citation:** 426 U.S. 941

## Text

ef sulreme CLOUTT U Da | -

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IN THE

Supreme Court of the Cited States

OCTOBER TERM, 1975.

- 75-1613

NALCO CHEMICAL COMPANY,
Petitioner,
VS.

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY,
Respondent.

PETITION FOR WRIT OF CERTIORARI TO THE
UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR
THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT.

Victor P. KAYSER,
JOHN C. BERGHOFF, Jr.,
135 South LaSalle Street,
Chicago, Illinois 60603,
DaviD MACHANIC,
WILLIAM H. FITZ,
1200 18th Street, N. W.,
Washington, D. C. 20036,
Attorneys for Petitioner.

Of Counsel:
CHADWELL, KAYSER, RUGGLES,
McGEE & HASTINGs,
135 South LaSalle Street,
Chicago, Illinois 60603,
(312) 726-2545,

PIERSON, BALL & Down,
1200 18th Street, N. W.,
Washington, D. C. 20036,
(202) 331-8566.

Gunthorp-Warren Printing Company, Chicago e Financial 6-6565

Sietat eta ol

TABLE OF CONTENTS.

PAGE

I Cc Vicna lee tai Coe ete eS 1
MI ies x Vids FL ewes Cae Oa ee hc eae oe 2
SINE oy yao doen eduh cs ewdcyiee nus 2
Statutes and Regulations Involved .................. 3
UN GE TE. iwi Dh ehh aay cdacesaadeuks 3
Chronology of the Regulations ................. 3
I Se ce iN wads dene Owe ews 5
Reasons for Granting the Writ ....... 2... ...002000. 7

I. The Lower Court Unjustifiably Attributed Inherent
Discretion in the EPA to Regulate, Despite a
Limited Congressional Grant of Authority ......

A. Threshold Determination ................

B. Lepeistive Mistery .........0.sencseca 10
C. Comparison with Other Sections .......... 11
D. Generalized Attribution of Discretion ...... 12

Il. The Lower Court Unjustifiably Limited the Scope
of Its Review Because This Case Involved Environ-

IT SE ee a at cance eas 15
A. The Conflict Within the Lower Court as to
PU Se NE 5. vce bonne euaicies 15

B. The Record Does Not Support the Regulation
and Its Promulgation Constitutes a Clear Error
AP I hf ses be ee fase oes ee 19

If]. The Regulation Should Be Set Aside or Remanded
to the EPA Because of Failure to Provide Mean-

ingful Opportunity for Comment .............. 22
AE oo 6 ha. k be wee ee wea cee a Ae ee ee 30
Ce ee eee eer ee err ee eek nt Al
ND koh veka oo ccs eRe eae ee ewer Bl

DHAMnRD COHOPRPY

TABLE OF AUTHORITIES.

Cases.
Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, 501 F. 2d 722 (D. C. Cir. 1974)
SE NaIE Sadi tactnas excita Sacer lice Seas aati GAG as enn sala: 4,9, 10
Austin v. Jackson, 353 F. 2d 910 (Sth Cir. 1965) ...... 23
Bowman Transportation v. Arkansas-Best Freight System,
We 20
Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v. United States, 371 U. S.
ih eee eae ti ep oa 6 iad ode 17
Camp v. Pitts, 411 U.S. 138 (1973) ............00-. 28
Citizens to Preserve Overton Park v. Volpe, 401 U. S.
} I eee ceieg reer a ln Gay os vce dees 17,19
: Environmental Defense Fund, Inc. v. EPA, 465 F. 2d
i ee exo ce a adc mews pnuw es 13, 19, 23
/ Environmental Defense Fund, Inc. v. EPA, 510 F. 2d 1292
a I ea are seer kh noms two wes eww 8 13
3 Environmental Defense Fund, Inc. v. Ruckelshaus, 439
: F. 2d 584 (D.C. Cir. 1971) ............005. 16, 17, 20
Great Lakes Screw Corp. v. NLRB, 409 F. 2d 375 (7th
: ee ee ack i ww kleié nadine 23
: Greater Boston Television Corp. v. FCC, 444 F. 2d 841
(D. C. Cir.), cert. denied, 403 U. S. 923 (1971) ....17, 20
Hertz v. Woodman, 218 U. S. 205 (1910) ............ 19
Hess & Clark Div. of Rhodia, Inc. v. FDA, 495 F. 2d 975
ae i sb dias ee wplvie k we 6 ab a 23
Homan v. United States, 279 F. 2d 767 (8th Cir.), cert.
denied, 364 U. S. 866 (1960) ................... 18
Hotch v. United States, 212 F. 2d 280 (9th Cir. 1954) .. 26

BLEED THROUGH

Industrial Union Dept., AFL-CIO v. Hodgson, 449 F. 2d
ee NN abies hoa cao oceans 13

International Harvester Co. v. Ruckelshaus, 478 F. 2d 615

Oe eS NN nd ccc awake 8 dee ecdan 16, 17, 23
Kennecott Copper Corp. v. EPA, 462 F. 2d 846 (D. C.

I ne er ON ee Ue 20, 23
Portland Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F. 2d 375

(D. C. Cir. 1973), cert. denied, 417 U. S. 921 (1974)

ee ee ar 17, 20, 23
Reserve Mining Co. v. EPA, 514 F. 2d 492 (8th Cir.
ay ed OS ON OCR SET ON are er ae 13,14
Rodway v. U. S. Dept of Agriculture, 514 F. 2d 809 (D.C.
I ahs Pei a careers suk we oe oe La bs 20, 22
SEC v. Chenery Corp., 332 U. S. 194 (1947) ........ 20
Sierra Club v. Morton, 405 U. S. 727 (1972) ........ 16
Society of the Plastics Indus., Inc. v. OSHA, 509 F. 2d
1301 (2d Cir.), cert. denied, 421 U. S. 992 (1975) ... 13
South Terminal Corp. v. EPA, 504 F. 2d 646 (1st Cir.
cn ARES OR Re Om rr eet ra ne 23
United States v. American-Foreign SS. Corp., 363 U. S.
I aa es alle pi cued ee ho: 18
United States ex rel. Robinson v. Johnston, 316 U. S.
oR RS I i yee a ie 18

Universal Cameia Corp. v. NLRB, 340 U. S. 474 (1951) 17
Wagner Elec. Corp. v. Volpe, 466 F. 2d 1013 (3d Cir.

ile APRA GE Sah ERCSEY Sevier in ge orien Get Rene SO ee 26
Walter Holm & Co. v. Hardin, 449 F. 2d 1009 (D. C.
I eu alee whee ee as ew ie a et 23, 26

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attic LA PLT Ree gia PSS Hae Ye apie ae ene

a eS

EBON ry 0g EM TEE Be Ms Se non

iv

Statutes.

Administrative Procedure Act:

Be as Nie a eee

48

have the opportunity for leisurely and isolated scrutiny
of an entire mechanism. Awaiting certainty will often
allow for only reactive, not preventive, regulation.” Pe-
titioners suggest that anything less than certainty, that
any speculation, is irresponsible. But when statutes seek
to avoid environmental catastrophe, can preventive, albeit
uncertain, decisions legitimately be so labeled?

The problems faced by EPA in deciding whether lead
automotive emissions pose a threat to the public health

on probabilities that statistically constitute “certainties.” See
generally T. KUHN, THE STRUCTURE OF SCIENTIFIC REVOLU-
TIONS. While awaiting such statistical certainty may consti-
tute the typical mode of scientific behavior, its appropriate-
ness is questionable in environmental medicine, where regu-
lators seek to prevent harm that often cannot be labeled “cer-
tain” until after it occurs. See note 58 infra.

The uncertainty of scientific fact parallels the uncertainty
of all fact. In a metaphysical sense, at least, facts are them-
selves nothing more than risks, or statistical probabilities.
See D. HUME, A TREATISE OF HUMAN NATURE, bk. I, pt. III,
§ 6, at 87 (L.A. Selby-Bigge ed. 1958).

°? Thus this court, per Judge Wilkey, affirmed EPA’s gen-
eral ban on the use of DDT even though the evidence was
considerably less than certain:

[T]here is a great mass of often inconsistent evidence
which was developed at the hearing; this evidence is
substantial enough to support the conclusions of the Ad-
ministrator, although it possibly might support contrary
conclusions as well. Considering the evidence as a whole,
we cannot say that the Administrator’s decision was not
based on substantial evidence, even if the hazardous
nature of DDT has not been proved beyond a reasonable
doubt. Sufficient evidence has been adduced to show
potentially great dangers from DDT, and the Adminis-
trator’s decision to cancel the DDT registration is well
within his statutory authority.

Environmental Defense Fund, Inc. Vv. EPA (Coahoma), su-

pra note 28, 160 U.S.App.D.C. at 128, 489 F.2d at 1252 (em-
phasis added).

49

highlight the limitations of awaiting certainty. First,
lead concentrations are, even to date, essentially low-
level, so that the feared adverse effects would not ma-
terialize until after a lifetime of exposure. Contrary
to petitioners’ suggestion, however, we have not yet suf-
fered a lifetime of exposure to lead emissions. At best,
emissions at present levels have been with us for no
more than 15-20 years.** Second, lead exposure from
the ambient air is pervasive, so that valid control groups
cannot be found against which the effects of lead on
our population can be measured. Third, the sources
of human exposure to lead are multiple, so that it is
difficult to isolate the effect of automobile emissions.
Lastly, significant exposure to lead is toxic, so that con-
siderations of decency and morality limit the flexibility
of experiments on humans that would otherwise accele-
rate lead exposure from years to months, and measure
those results.” Cf. Environmental Defense Fund, Ine.
v. EPA (Shell), 167 U.S.App.D.C. 71, 78, 510 F.2d 1292,
1299 (1975).

The scientific techniques for attempting to overcome
these limitations are several: toxicology can study the
distribution and effect of lead in animals; epidemiological
techniques can analyze the effects of lead emissions on
entire populations; clinical studies can reproduce in

*% According to the NAS Panel, present air lead concentra-
tions, which over the largest American cities are 2,000 times
greater than air lead concentrations over the mid-Pacific
Ocean, have existed for 15 years. NAS Report at 205, JA 356.
The Panel attributed these high concentrations primarily to
automotive emissions. /d.

°° It is for these reasons that, although lead additives have
been used for over 50 years, the danger posed by lead emis-
sions is still a question “on the frontiers of scientific know]-
edge.” Industrial Union Department, AFL-CIO v. Hodgson,
supra note 49, 162 U.S.App.D.C. at 338, 499 F.2d at 474.
See note 97 infra.

50

laboratories atmospheric conditions and measure under
controlled circumstances the effects on humans. All of
these studies are of limited usefulness, however. Dr.
J. H. Knelson, Director of EPA’s Human Studies Lab-
oratory, has described, in the context of setting ambient
air standards, the limitations of these various investiga-
tive tools:

Each of these investigative approaches—classic
toxicology, epidemiology, and clinical research has
its advantages and disadvantages. The toxicologist
can control the dose and use invasive or destructive
techniques in measuring response in the animal, but
is always faced with the problem of extrapolating
results to humans. Epidemiology is most relevant
because it studies phenomena actually occurring in
humans under “natural” conditions, but can only
draw inference from observed correlations rather
than prove cause and effect relationships. Clinical
research can provide the most accurate dose-
response relationships in the species of interest.
Precisely because the study subjects are humans,
however, many experimental design problems are
encountered in assuring their safety. Although the
dose of an atmospheric pollutant can be carefully
controlled and measured in the clinical laboratory,
qualitative comparability to the multiplex variable
of atmospheric pollution cannot always be assured.

The best scientific criteria for establishing air
quality standards result from interactions between
these disciplines. Clinical studies must be preceded
by exhaustive toxicological assessment in other
species; observations from population studies should
play an important role in the experimental design
of clinical research. Biomedical data from all these
sources, taken in their entirety, should be used for
the prudent definition of air pollution control needs.

JA 582-583. The best biomedical evidence will be de-

rived from relating all three research approaches. This
EPA did. That petitioners, and their scientists, find a

BLEED THROU

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51

basis to disagree is hardly surprising, since the results
are still uncertain, and will be for some time. But if
the statute accords the regulator flexibility to assess risks
and make essentially legislative policy judgments, as we
believe it does, preventive regulation based on conflict-
ing and inconclusive evidence may be sustained. Recent
cases have recognized this flexibility in similar situations.

In Industrial Union Department, AFL-CIO v. Hodg-
son, supra, this court considered the Secretary of Labor’s
delegated power under the Occupational Safety and
Health Act (OSHA), 29 U.S.C. § 651 et seg., to protect
the health of industrial workers by setting standards
for exposure to industrial pollutants. Under review was
a standard for exposure to asbestos dust, thought to be
carcinogenic. Judge McGowan, writing for the division,
laid down the rule:

From extensive and often conflicting evidence, the
Secretary in this case made numerous factual de-
terminations. With respect to some of those ques-
tions, the evidence was such that the task consisted
primarily of evaluating the data and drawing con-
clusions from it. The court can review that data in
the record and determine whether it reflects sub-
stantial support for the Secretary’s findings. But
some of the questions involved in the promulgation
of these standards are on the frontiers of scientific
knowledge, and consequently as to them insufficient
data is presently available to make a fully informed
factual determination. Decision making must in
that circumstance depend to a greater extent upon

policy judgments and less upon purely factual analy-
sis.**

18 Where existing methodology or research in a new era
of regulations is deficient, the agency necessarily enjoys
broad discretion to attempt to formulate a solution to
the best of its ability on the basis of available informa-
tion, Permian Basin Area Rate Cases, 390 U.S. 747, 811,
88 S.Ct. 1344, 20 L.Ed.2d 312 (1968).

162 U.S.App.D.C. at 338, 499 F.2d at 474.

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52

This rule was likewise applied in The Society of the
Plastics Industry, Inc. v. OSHA, 509 F.2d 1301 (2d
Cir.), cert. denied, 421 U.S. 992 (1975), where the
Second Circuit reviewed regulations limiting industrial
exposure to vinyl chloride, also considered a carcinogen:

As in Industrial Union Department, AFL-CIO v.
Hodgson, supra, the ultimate facts here in dispute
are “on the frontiers of scientific knowledge,” and,
though the factual finger points, it does not con-
clude. Under the command of OSHA, it remains
the duty of the Secretary to act to protect the work-
ingman, and to act even in circumstances where
existing methodology or research is deficient. The
Secretary, in extrapolating the MCA study’s finding
from mouse to man, has chosen to reduce the per-
missible level to the lowest detectable one. We find
no error in this respect.

Id. at 1308. And in Reserve Mining the Eighth Cir-
cuit agreed. Although reviewing the determination of a
District Court, not an expert Administrator, the court
recognized that it must nonetheless apply the test of the
preventive statute before it:

|W]e note that many of the issues in this case do
not involve “historical” facts subject to the ordinary
means of judicial resolution. Indeed, a number of
the disputes involve conflicting theories and experi-
mental results, about which it would be judicially
presumptuous to offer conclusive findings [quoting
Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, 163 U.S.App.D.C. 181, 501
F.2d at 741, which relied on Industrial Union}. In
Such circumstances, the finder of fact must accept
certain areas of uncertainty, and the findings them-
selves cannot extend further than attempting to as-
sess or characterize the strengths and weaknesses
of the opposing arguments.

514 F.2d at 507 n.20. See also id. at 529.

norrcrcre Fat.

Bilas et

53

These cases, recognizing as they do the developing
nature of environmental medicine, fortify our analysis
of the “will endanger” language of Section 211.°° Where
a statute is precautionary in nature,” the evidence dif-

* Ethyl argues that Industrial Union and Society of the
Plastics Industry are distinguishable from this case in that
under OSHA the Secretary is directed to set standards for in-
dustrial exposure to toxic substances, 29 U.S.C. § 655(b) (5),
while action under § 211 is discretionary with the Adminis-
trator. Ethyl Supp. Br. at 28-30. Ethyl has merely identified
the source of the flexibility granted the Secretary, while
failing to set the cited cases apart from this one. Under the
Clean Air Act the Administrator’s flexibility is derived
not from a command to act, but from a precautionary statute
that necessarily includes risk assessment if its preventive
purpose is to be achieved. Since there is reason to accord
flexibility to the regulator under both acts, the cited cases
are good support for the way in which that flexibility is to
be exercised.

Nalco asserts that the cases are distinguishable in that
Industrial Union and Society of the Plastics Industry involve
the manner in which standards are set under OSHA, rather
than the Secretary’s power to set standards at all. Nalco Supp.
Br. at 12. This purported distinction is no more than a
factual difference between the cases. Flexibility is necessary
under OSHA only in the manner of setting standards, since
the command to set standards is clear. Under the Clean Air
Act, on the other hand, flexibility is necessary both in
standard-setting and in deciding whether to regulate. The
teaching of the cases is nonetheless applicable.

Reserve Mining shows the spurious nature of both asserted
distinctions. In that case, as here, there was no command to
regulate, only a statutory term of a precautionary nature—
“endangering”—to justify flexibile decision-making (in Re-
serve Mining by a court rather than by an agency). Like-
wise, that case involved not only the manner of standard-
setting, but the threshold decision to regulate as well. None-
theless, Reserve Mining is fully consistent with Industrial
Union and Society of the Plastics Industry, and all three
cases support our conclusion here.

* Or, as with OSHA, mandatory in its command to act.
See note 56 supra.

Da an oa an A od a toe »

54

ficult to come by, uncertain, or conflicting because it is
on the frontiers of scientific knowledge, the regulations
designed to protect the public health, and the decision
that of an expert administrator, we will not demand
rigorous step-by-step proof of cause and effect. Such
proof may be impossible to obtain if the precautionary
purpose of the statute is to be served. Of course, we
are not suggesting that the Administrator has the power
to act on hunches or wild guesses. Amoco makes it quite
clear that his conclusions must be rationally justified.
Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, supra, 163 U.S.App.D.C. at 180-
181, 501 F.2d at 740-741. However, we do hold that in
such cases the Administrator may assess risks. He must
take account of available facts, of course, but his in-
quiry does not end there. The Administrator may apply
his expertise to draw conclusions from suspected, but
not completely substantiated, relationships between facts,
from trends among facts, from theoretical projections
from imperfect data, from probative preliminary data
not yet certifiable as “fact,” and the like. We believe
that a conclusion so drawn—a risk assessment—may,
if rational, form the basis for health-related regulations
under the “will endanger” language of Section 211.”

°° It bears emphasis that what is herein described as “‘assess-
ment of risk” is neither unprecedented nor unique to this area
of law. To the contrary, assessment of risk is a normal part
of judicial and administrative fact-finding. Thus EPA is not
attempting to expand its powers; rather, petitioners seek to
constrict the usual flexibility of the fact-finding process.
Petitioners argue that the Administrator must decide that
lead emissions “will endanger” the public health solely on
“facts,” or, in the words of the division majority, by a “chain
of scientific facts or reasoning leading [the Administrator]
ineluctably to this conclusion * * *.” Division op. at 59. Peti-
tioners demand sole reliance on scientific facts, on evidence
that reputable scientific techniques certify as certain. Typi-
cally, a scientist will not so certify evidence unless the prob-

BLEED THR

OUGH

55

All of this is not to say that Congress left the Ad-
ministrator free to set policy on his own terms. To the
contrary, the policy guidelines are largely set, both in
the statutory term “will endanger” and in the relation-

ability of error, by standard statistical measurement, is less
than 5%. That is, scientific fact is at least 95° certain.

Such certainty has never characterized the judicial or the
administrative process. It may be that the “beyond a reason-
able doubt” standard of criminal law demands 95‘ cer-
tainty. Cf. McGill v. United States, 121 U.S.App.D.C. 179,
185 n.6, 348 F.2d 791, 797 n.6 (1965). But the standard of
ordinary civil litigation, a preponderance of the evidence, de-
mands only 51% certainty. A jury may weigh conflicting
evidence and certify as adjudicative (although not scientific)
fact that which it believes is more likely than not.
Since Reserve Mining was adjudicated in court, this standard
applied to the court’s fact-finding. Inherently, such a standard
is flexible; inherently, it allows the fact-finder to assess risks,
to measure probabilities, to make subjective judgments. None-
theless, the ultimate finding will be treated, at law, as fact
and will be affirmed if based on substantial evidence, or, if
made by a judge, not clearly erroneous.

The standard before administrative agencies is no less
flexible. Agencies are not limited to scientific fact, to 95%
certainties. Rather, they have at least the same fact-finding
powers as a jury, particularly when, as here, they are engaged
in rule-making.

Looking to the future, and commanded by Congress to
make policy, a rule-making agency necessarily deals less
with “evidentiary” disputes than with normative con-
flicts, projections from imperfect data, experiments and
simulations, educated predictions, differing assessments
of possible risks, and the like.

Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, supra note 2, 163 U.S.App.D.C. at
175, 501 F.2d at 735. An agency’s finding of fact differs from
that of a jury or trial judge primarily in that it is accorded
more deference by a reviewing court. See note 74 infra. Thus,
as a matter of administrative law, the Administrator found
as fact that lead emissions “will endanger” the public health.
That in so doing he did not have to rely solely on proved

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fh Genie

56

ship of that term to other sections of the Clean Air Act.
These prescriptions direct the Administrator’s actions.
Operating within the prescribed guidelines, he must con-
sider all the information available to him. Some of the
information will be factual, but much of it will be more
speculative—scientific estimates and “guesstimates” of
probable harm, hypotheses based on still-developing data,
ete. Ultimately he must act, in part on “factual issues,”
but largely “on choices of policy, on an assessment of
risks, {and} on predictions dealing with matters on the
frontiers of scientific knowledge * * *.” Amoco Oil Co.
v. EPA, supra, 163 U.S.App.D.C. at 181, 501 F.2d at
741. A standard of danger—fear of uncertain or un-
known harm—contemplates no more.

3. Propriety of the Cumulative Impact Approach. In
addition to demanding that the Administrator act solely
on facts, petitioner Ethyl insists that those facts con-
vince him that the emission product of the additive to be
regulated “in and of itself,” i.e., considered in isolation,
endangers health. The Administrator contends that the
impact of lead emissions is properly considered together
with all other human exposure to lead. See page 18
supra. We agree.

First, Ethyl points to the language of Section 202
allowing regulation of any automobile emission that
“eauses or contributes to, or is likely to cause or con-

scientific fact is inherent in the requirements of legal fact-
finding. Petitioners’ assertions of the need to rely on “fact”
confuse the two terminologies. We must deal with the termi-
nology of law, not science. At law, unless the administrative
or judicial task is peculiarly factual in nature, or Congress
expressly commands a more rigorous finding, see 21 U.S.C.
§ 355(d); cf. pages 43-45 supra, assessment of risks as herein
described typifies both the administrative and the judicial
fact-finding function, and is not the novel or unprecedented
theory that petitioners contend.

57

tribute to, air pollution which endangers the public
health or welfare.” Section 202(a) (1), 42 U.S.C. § 1857
f-1(a)(1) (emphasis Ethyl’s in its brief at 18). This
is contrasted with Section 211’s language allowing regu-
lation of fuels or fuel additives whose “emission prod-
ucts * * * will endanger the public health or welfare.”
By italicizing the “contribute to” language of Section
202 Ethyl presumably suggests that Section 202 is more
lenient, allowing use of the cumulative impact theory
while Section 211 does not. This argument is but a
variant on Ethyl’s already rejected claim that Section
202 allows for regulation of “likely” dangers while Sec-
tion 211 does not. As with the earlier argument, this
reading of Section 202 must be rejected. While it is
possible that Section 202’s inclusion of emissions that
“cause or contribute to air pollution” is more encom-
passing than Section 211’s term “emission products,”
it is clear that whatever leniency Section 202 suggests
only concerns the makeup of air pollution. This is irrele-
vant to the cumulative impact theory. However they
differ, both Section 202 and Section 211 allow regulation
of lead additives only on a determination that the re-
sultant polluted air, however composed, endangers the
public health.* Both provisions leave open the question

°° As far as the cumulative impact theory is concerned, the
relevant portions of the two provisions are as follows:

[The Administrator may regulate any automobile emis-
sion that] causes or contributes to, or is likely to cause or
contribute to, air pollution which endangers the public
health or welfare.

Section 202(a)(1), 42 U.S.C. § 1857f-1(a) (1) (emphasis
added).
[The Administrator may regulate a fuel or fuel additive]
if any emission products of such fuel or fuel additive
will endanger the public health or welfare * * *.

Section 211(c) (1) (A), 42 U.S.C. § 1857f-6c(c) (1) (A) (em-
phasis added).

Pawo

58

whether emissions or air pollution can be found to en-
danger the public health when the endangerment is not
caused by that pollution alone.”

While Ethyl’s comparison suggests no answer, the ques-
tion is directly raised here. The Administrator found
endangerment, but recognized that the national lead
exposure problem is caused, not by air pollution alone,
but by an aggregate of sources, including food, water,
leaded paint, and dust. He believed that regulation was
justified because the aggregate was dangerous, and be-
cause leaded gasoline was a significant source that was
particularly suited to ready reduction. 38 FED. REG.
33734. To the question whether the Administrator was
correct in his belief, comparison with the “contribute
to” language of Section 202 provides no guidance.

The only other evidence relied upon by Ethyl for its
“in and of itself” theory is a quotation, taken out of
context, from Senator Baker. When the context of Ethyl’s
partial quotation is revealed the irrelevance of his state-
ment to Ethyl’s theory becomes clear. Senator Baker
reviewed the Committee bill for the Senate:

The [Administrator] is authorized to either control
or prohibit the sale of any given fuel when he finds
one of two things:

First. That the combustion or evaporation of
such fuel produces emissions that, in and of them-
selves, endanger the public health or welfare; or

Second. That such emissions prevent the opera-
tion of a system that is necessary to reduce automo-

6° Since automobile emissions generate approximately 90%
of all airborne lead, see note 7 supra and accompanying
text, the danger posed by lead-polluted air is virtually
identical to that posed by lead automobile emissions. As the
text suggests, the non-automotive sources of lead with which
the cumulative impact theory is concerned are not airborne.

ROLIGCGH

59

bile emissions to the levels required by standards
issued by the [Administrator] under section 202 of
the act.

116 Conc. Rec. 32920 (1970) (emphasis added). Ethyl
relies on the Senator’s subsequent repetition of the words
“in and of themselves,” italicized above. Ethyl brief at
16. But the second paragraph makes clear that Senator
Baker’s meaning is contrary to Ethyl’s implication. He
is simply emphasizing the different nature of the two
provisions and thus uses the words “in and of them-
selves” to show that under Section 211(c)(1)(A) the
Administrator may act only because of the direct effects
of lead additives on a legislative goal, protection of health,
while under Section 211(c) (1) (B) he may act because
of their indirect effects on another goal, implementation
of emission control systems.”

Beyond these two points, Ethyl has nothing more to
offer in support of its “in and of itself’ reading. Thus
it has made out no case at all, particularly in light of
the realities of human exposure to lead and what Con-
gress knew about those realities. Such consideration dem-
onstrates both that, under Ethyl’s approach, EPA regula-
tion of lead on health grounds would be impossible and
that Congress could not possibly have intended the re-
strictive “by itself’ reading. As has been discussed more
extensively above, see pages 10-12 supra, lead enters the
human body from multiple sources, so that the effect

61 Ethyl actually quotes Sen. Baker’s second use of the
phrase, a few sentences after the one quoted in the text, see
116 Conc. Rec. 32920 (1970). It, however, is in the same
context of contrasting permissible EPA action under
§§ 211(c) (1) (A) and (B), and thus provides no more sup-
port for Ethyl’s position. The implausibility of Ethyl’s read-
ing of Sen. Baker’s words is heightened by the fact that the
Senator himself realized the important contribution of dietary
lead to the total body lead burden and so informed the Senate
only sentences before the quoted language. Jd.

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60

of any one source is meaningful only in cumulative terms.
If, for example, airborne lead were the only source of
the lead body burden, and it caused, by itself, a blood
lead level of 30 ug, there would be no danger to the
public health. But if that hypothetical 30 ug is added
to a possible 30 ug attributable to dietary ingestion, the
blood lead level would be 60 ug, a definite threat to
health. Under Ethyl’s approach, despite obvious en-
dangerment such a cumulative finding is insufficient to
justify regulation. Airborne lead, in and of itself, may
not be a threat. But the realities of human lead exposure
show that no one source in and of itself (except possibly
leaded paint) is a threat. Thus, under Ethyl’s tunnel-
like reasoning, even if parallel legislation permitted reg-
ulation of other sources of lead exposure, which it does
not, no regulation could ever be justified.

Such cannot be the case. Congress understood that the
body lead burden is caused by multiple sources. It un-
derstood that determining the effect of lead automobile
emissions, by themselves, on human health is of no more
practical value than finding the incremental effect on
health of the fifteenth sleeping pill swallowed by a
would-be suicide.* It did not mean for “endanger” to
be measured only in incremental terms.** This the Ad-

*2 While the incremental effect of lead emissions on the total
body lead burden is of no practical value in determining
whether health is endangered, it is of value, of course, in
deciding whether the lead exposure problem can fruitfully be
attacked through control of lead additives. Moreover, even
under the cumulative impact theory emissions must make
more than a minimal contribution to total exposure in order
to justify regulation under § 211(c) (1) (A). We accept the
Administrator’s determination that the contribution must be
“significant” before regulation is proper. See 38 FEp. REG.
33734.

*? Congress had before it a complete explanation of the
multiple sources of human lead exposure. It understood that

m~m™ AAP tee

61

ministrator also understood. He determined that absorp-
tion of lead automobile emissions, when added to all other
human exposure to lead, raises the body lead burden to a
level that will endanger health. He realized that lead
automobile emissions were, far and away, the most
readily reduced significant source of environmental lead.
And he determined that the statute authorized him to
reduce those emissions on such a finding. We find no
error in the Administrator’s use of the cumulative im-
pact approach.

4. Summary of the “Will Endanger” Determination.
In sum, we must reject petitioners’ cramped and unreal-
istic interpretation of Section 211(c) (1) (A). Their read-
ing would render the statute largely useless as a basis
for health-related regulation of lead emissions. Peti-
tioners’ arguments are rebuffed by the plain meaning
of the statute and the Administrator’s interpretation
of it," by the legislative history and the implications

lead is ubiquitous in nature, that trace elements of lead are
present in everyone, and that only when lead concentration
reaches higher levels would the public be endangered. It could
not have thought that lead automobile emissions could, by
themselves, endanger the public, although it clearly did think
they could be regulated only if they provided a significant
increment to the total human lead burden. See, e.g., Hearings
on S. 3229, S. 2466 & S. 3546 before the Subcommittee on Air
& Water Pollution of the Senate Committee on Public Works,
91st Cong., 2d Sess., pt. 1, at 433-434 (1970) (answers to
Sen. Muskie’s questions, supplied by the Dept. of Health,
Education & Welfare); id., pt. 3, at 1177; 116 CoNG. REC.
32920 (1970) (remarks of Sen. Baker).

*4 Considerable deference is owed to the interpretation of
a statute by the officer charged with its administration. Train
v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 421 U.S. 60, 87
(1975) (Clean Air Act); Zuber v. Allen, 396 U.S. 168, 192
(1969); Udall v. Tallman, 380 U.S. 1, 16 (1965); United
States v. American Trucking Assns, 310 U.S. 534, 549 (1940).
This deference is heightened when, as here, the interpreta-

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that can be drawn from other sections of the same
statute, by the relevant precedents, and by the estab-
lished maxim that health-related legislation is liberally
construed to achieve its purpose.”

We believe the Administrator may regulate lead ad-
ditives under Section 211(c)(1)(A) when he deter-
mines, based on his assessment of the risks as developed
by consideration of all the information available to him,
and as guided by the policy judgment inherent in the
statute, that lead automobile emissions significantly in-
crease the total human exposure to lead so as to cause
a significant risk of harm to the public health. Before
so regulating, he must consider the possibility of regula-
tion under Section 202." This interpretation of Section

tion is of a new statute by its implementing agency. Power
Reactor Development Co. v. International Union of Elec-
tricians, 367 U.S. 396, 408 (1961); United States v. Zucca,
351 U.S. 91, 96 (1956); United States v. American Trucking
Assns, supra; Norwegian Nitrogen Products Co. v. United
States, 288 U.S. 294, 315 (1933); Natural Resources Defense
Council, Inc. V. Train, 166 U.S.App.D.C. 312, 326, 510 F.2d
692, 706 (1975) (Clean Air Act). See note 16 supra.

*5 See, e.g., Parke v. Bradley, 204 Ala. 455, 86 So. 28 (1920);
Forbes Vv. Board of Health, 28 Fla. 26, 9 So. 862 (1891);
People ex rel. Barmore Vv. Robertson, 302 Ill. 422, 134 N.E.
815, 22 A.L.R. 835 (1922); Blue v. Beach, 155 Ind. 121, 56
N.E. 89 (1900); Walker v. Sears, 245 Iowa 262, 61 N.W.2d
729 (1953); State ex rel. Freeman v. Fadeley, 180 Kan. 652,
308 P.2d 537, 548 (1957); Board of Health v. Kollman, 156
Ky. 351, 160 S.W. 1052 (1913); Rock v. Carney, 21& Mich.
280, 185 N.W. 798, 22 A.L.R. 1178 (1921); State ex rl. Free-
man V. Zimmerman, 86 Minn. 358, 90 N.W. 783 (1902);
Crayton v. Larabee, 220 N.Y. 493, 116 N.E. 355 (1917);
Salt Lake City v. Howe, 37 Utah 170, 106 P. 705 (1910).

°° The statute demands “consideration” not only of the rele-
vant scientific and medical evidence, but also of the possi-
bility of regulation under § 202. Section 211(c) (2) (A), 42
U.S.C. § 1857f-6c(c) (2) (A). That means, of course, no more
than it says: actual good faith consideration of the specified

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211 does not allow for baseless or purposeless regulation,
but does grant the Administrator the flexibility needed
to confront realistically the public health problem pre-
sented by massive diffusion of lead emissions from
automobiles.

B. Comparison with Substitute Additives

Even when the Administrator has determined that a
fuel or fuel additive causes emissions which endanger

evidence and options, as reflected in the basis and purpose
statement required by § 4(b) of the APA, 5 U.S.C. § 553(c).
NPRA argues that the statute demands mandatory deference
to the possibility of regulation under § 202 rather than mere
consideration of such a possibility. NPRA Supp. Br. at 33-35
We reject the argument. NPRA ignores the deletion of the
specific findings requirement from the original bill. As pointed
out above, see pages 38-43 & note 14 supra, one effect of the
deletion was to eliminate mandatory deference to § 202 and
substitute instead ‘‘consideration” of § 202 regulation. While
Congress thus indicated its preference for regulation under
§ 202, it left the Administrator with full discretion to im-
plement that preference or not. See note 14 supra.

NPRA, joined by Nalco, further argues that EPA’s consid-
eration of § 202 regulation was arbitrary and capricious be-
cause the agency rejected reliance on lead traps as a means
of emission control. NPRA Supp. Br. at 35-37; Nalco Supp.
Br. at 57-58. EPA did reject lead traps, but that rejection was
not arbitrary and capricious. Rather, they were rejected be-
cause § 202 authorizes EPA to order emission controls only
on new vehicles, which would largely be using lead-free gaso-
line anyway because of the catalytic converter. On new ve-
hicles there would be no lead emissions to trap. See note 2
supra. The regulations before us seek to reduce lead emissions
from in-use vehicles; for such a purpose § 202 is of no use.
38 FED. REG. 33737.

We find that EPA’s consideration of the evidence presented
and of the alternatives to regulation under § 211 meets the
good faith test suggested above. See Citizens to Preserve
Overton Park Vv. Volpe, 401 U.S. 402, 416 (1971). See also
note 68 infra.

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the public health, he is not yet free to prohibit the sub-
stance under Section 211. He must first find, and pub-
lish his finding,

that in his judgment such prohibition will not cause
the use of any other fuel or fuel additive which
will produce emissions which will endanger the pub-
lic health or welfare to the same or greater degree
than the use of the fuel or fuel additive proposed
to be prohibited.

Section 211(c) (2)(C), 42 U.S.C. § 1857f-6e(c) (2) (C).

Preliminarily it must be noted that the section re-
quires a finding only before the Administrator “pro-
hibits” a fuel or fuel additive under Section 211. Since
the proposed regulations only “control” lead additives,
the findings requirement, on its face, does not apply to
the EPA action.” If the requirement is read to apply,
however, it plainly demands no more than the findings
requirement of Section 211(c)(2)(B), as construed in
Amoco, see pages 43-44 supra. This conclusion is compelled

*? This distinction is not unduly technical, since § 211(c) (1)
expressly allows the Administrator to “control or prohibit”
while § 211(c) (2) (C), drafted contemporaneously, repeatedly
indicates that a finding is required only before a fuel or fuel
additive is “prohibited.” Parallel §§ 211(c) (2) (A) and (B),
on the other hand, also expressly apply before a fuel or fuel
additive may be “controlled or prohibited.”

Nonetheless, the purpose behind § 211(c) (2) (C)—avoid-
ance of counterproductive results and protection of the public
health—suggests that a finding is of equal import whether
the fuel or fuel additive is to be controlled or prohibited, so we
do not conclude definitely that no such finding is required
for control under § 211. Since the Administrator has furn-
ished a finding such as is required by § 211(c) (2) (C), 38
FED. REG. 33737-33739 (1973), and we think that finding is
adequate under the Amoco standards suggested below, we do
not find it necessary to determine whether the finding was
required in this case. See note 68 infra.

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65

by the identical genesis of the two provisions, plus the
fact that the Section 211(c) (2) (C) finding is judgmental
by its own terms. Thus where the judgment turns “on
factual issues” we will “demand sufficient attention to
these in the statement to allow the fundamental ra-
tionality * * * to be ascertained.” Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA,
supra, 163 U.S.App.D.C. at 180-181, 501 F.2d at 740-
741. By contrast, where the judgment is necessarily
more speculative, we will “demand adequate reasons and
explanations, but not ‘findings’ of the sort familiar from
the world of adjudication.” Jd., 163 U.S.App.D.C. at 181,
501 F.2d at 741.°

** Naleo argues that the Adiministrator’s recent decision to
suspend the 1977 statutory emission standards for hydro-
carbons and carbonmonoxide, 40 FED. REG. 11900, see note 2
supra, invalidates his assessment of the impact of the substi-
tute additive, aromatic hydrocarbons. Nalco Supp. Br. at 45-
50. Cf. NPRA Supp. Br. at 48-49. This argument appears to
be a challenge to the regulations based on new information.
Such challenges are cognizable under § 307 of the Clean Air
Act, 42 U.S.C. § 1857h-5(b) (1), but may be brought to this
court only after a preliminary presentment of the new infor-
mation and a request for action to the agency. Oljato Chap-
ter of Navajo Tribe Vv. Train, U.S.App.D.C. . -
, 515 F.2d 654, 666-667 (1975). Since Nalco has not com-
plied with the rule of Oljato Chapter, this new information
claim does not appear to be properly before us.

In any case, however, Nalco’s claim is without merit. Un-
doubtedly high octane aromatic hydrocarbons will be used to
compensate for the reduction in lead caused by the regula-
tions and the average aromatic content of gasoline will rise
from 22‘7 to 29° (this increase includes that attributable to
the lead-free regulations at issue in Amoco). Aromatics can
result in emissions of polynuclear aromatic (PNA) hydro-
carbons, some of which are carcinogenic.

Nonetheless, the Administrator determined that substitution
of PNA emissions for lead emissions would be less dangerous
to the public health because: (1) PNA emissions from auto-
mobiles, together with emissions from refineries that produce
gasoline, account for only approximately 2% of PNA emis-

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66

After making the “will endanger” determination and
the “substitute additives” finding, EPA has complied
with the statutory mandate and is free to regulate the
fuel or fuel additive under Section 211.

Ill. THE EVIDENCE

A. The Standard of Review

In promulgating the low-lead regulations under Section
211, EPA engaged in informal rule-making. As such,
since the statute does not indicate otherwise, its proce-

sions in the ambient air: (2) PNA emissions are being re-
duced from automobiles by the applicable hydrocarbon stand-
ards; and (3) PNA automobile emissions will continue to
decrease overall, even while the hydrocarbon content of gaso-
line increases, as uncontrolled automobiles are retired and
replaced by those with emission control systems. 38 FED.
REG. 33738. Thus the Administrator concluded that replace-
ment of lead additives by increased hydrocarbons would re-
sult only in a slight slowing of the rate of decrease of PNA
emissions from automobiles. We think this is a sufficient find-
ing under § 211(c) (2) (C).

Nalco’s charge that suspension of emission standards
changes this calculation is untrue. Even under the suspended
standards, hydrocarbons will be significantly controlled and
PNA emissions will continue to decrease. EPA calculated
the effect of an increase in hydrocarbon content of gasoline
under several anticipated circumstances, including the as-
sumption that the interim standards would remain in effect
through 1980. In that circumstance, which may turn out to
be the correct forecast, PNA emissions would still decrease
69°7 over 1973 levels by 1980. Without the low-lead regula-
tions they would decrease 72°, only a 3% better rate. JA
1428-1431; see also id. 1489-1490. Thus EPA anticipated
the possibility of suspended emission standards, calculated
the effects of that suspension on PNA emissions, and found
them to be minimal. We cannot find this substitute additive
finding to be insufficient.

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67

dures are conducted pursuant to Section 4 of the APA,”
5 U.S.C. £553, and must be reviewed under Section 10
of the Act,” 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)-(D). Our review of
the evidence is governed by Section 10(e) (2) (A), which
requires us to strike “agency action, findings, and con-
clusions” that we find to be “arbitrary, capricious, an
abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with
law * * *.”" 5 US.C. § 706(2)(A). This standard of

* The hybrid procedures that placed the EPA action some-
where between informal rule-making and adjudication and
that caused such extended inquiry by the Amoco court are
largely absent from this case. In Amoco, in addition to the
“findings” requirement of § 211(c) (2) (B), the court had to
deal with the same section’s requirement of a public hearing.
The resultant standard of review was, nonetheless, not sig-
nificantly different from traditional “arbitrary and capri-
cious” review. See Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, supra note 2, 163
U.S.App.D.C. at 171-181, 501 F.2d at 731-741. In this case
there is no public hearing requirement and the only “find-
ings” requirement is that of § 211(c) (2) (C), which we have
construed at pp. 63-66 supra.

The requirement that the Administrator “consider” vari-
ous evidence before acting under § 211(c)(1)(A) guides
the direction, but does not affect the rigor, of “arbitrary and
capricious” review. Such guidelines are typical as a prerequi-
site for agency action, se, ¢.g., § 1002(e) (the Rule of Rate-
making) of the Federal Aviation Act of 1958, 49 U.S.C.
§ 1482(e) (1970), and assurance of agency compliance is sim-
ply one part of “arbitrary and capricious” review. Citizens
to Preserve Overton Park v. Volpe, 401 U.S. 402, 416 (1971)
(court must determine “whether the decision was based on a
consideration of the relevant factors”).

* All the Clean Air Act says about judicial review of EPA
action under $211 is that it shall be available exclusively in
this court. 42 U.S.C. § 1857h-5(b) (1).

“Our review of the Administrator’s construction of the
statute, see pages 16-66 supra, is authorized by § 10(e) (2)
(C), 5 U.S.C. § 706(2) (C), which allows the reviewing court
to set aside agency action it finds to be “in excess of statutory
jurisdiction, authority, or limitations, or short of statutory

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68

review is a highly deferential one. It presumes agency
action to be valid. Citizens to Preserve Overton Park
v. Volpe, 401 U.S. 402, 415 (1971); Pacific States Box
& Basket Co. v. White, 296 U.S. 176, 185-186 (1935) ;
United States v. Chemica! Foundation, 272 U.S. 1, 14-
15 (1926). Moreover, it forbids the court’s substi-
tuting its judgment for that of the agency, Citizens
to Preserve Overton Park v. Volpe, supra, 401 USS.
at 416, and requires affirmance if a rational basis exists
for the agency’s decision.** Bowman Transportation, Inc.
v. Arkansas-Best Freight System, Inc., 419 U.S. 281,
290 (1974). Cf. United States v. Allegheny-Ludlum Steel
Corp., 406 U.S. 742, 749 (1972).

This is not to say, however, that we must rubber-
stamp the agency decision as correct. To do so would
render the appellate process a superfluous (although time-
consuming) ritual. Rather, the reviewing court must
assure itself that the agency decision was “based on

right * * *.” Our review of EPA procedures, sec pages 97-
111 infra, is pursuant to § 10(e) (2) (D), 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)
(D), which authorizes reversal of agency action taken “with-
out observance of procedure required by law.”

7? NPRA seeks to attach meaning to the fact that an ex-
press presumption of validity was included in the Senate ver-
sion of the Clean Air Act, and then deleted by the conference
committee. NPRA Supp. Br. at 21-24. See S. Rep. No. 91-
1196, 91st Cong., 2d Sess. at 41, 125 (1970). As the above
cited cases make clear, however, a general presumption of
validity attaches to any regulation within an agency’s dele-
gated powers. Thus the deletion is of no consequence.

** Of course, that basis must be expressed by the agency
itself and not supplied by the court. SEC v. Chenery Corp.,
332 U.S. 194, 196 (1947). Nonetheless, a decision of “less
than ideal clarity” will be upheld if the agency’s rationale
“may reasonably be discerned.” Bowman Transportation,
Ine. V. Arkansas-Best Freight System, Inc., 419 U.S. 281,
286 (1974). See also Colorado Interstate Gas Co. v. FPC,
324 U.S. 581, 595 (1945).

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69
consideration of the relevant factors * * *.”** More-

** Overton Park also requires the reviewing court to con-
sider “whether there has been a clear error of judgment.”
Citizens to Preserve Overton Park v. Volpe, supra note 69,
401 U.S. at 416, citing L. JAFFE, JUDICIAL CONTROL OF AD-
MINISTRATIVE ACTION 182 (1965) ; McBee v. Bomar, 296 F.2d
235, 237 (6th Cir. 1961) ; Jn re Josephson, 218 F.2d 174, 182
(1st Cir. 1954); Western Addition Community Organization
Vv. Weaver, 294 F.Supp. 433 (N.D. Cal. 1968); Wong Wing
Hang v. INS, 360 F.2d 715, 719, (2d Cir. 1966). While as
used, carefully bracketed by traditional statements of the
restraint of “arbitrary and capricious” review, the phrase
works no change in the law, the Court’s choice of language is
troublesome. The phrase sounds much like the “clearly er-
roneous” standard used to review the factual findings of a
trial court sitting without a jury. Rule 52(a), FED. R. Civ. P.
Unlike an agency determination or a jury verdict, such find-
ings may be fairly readily reversed. District of Columbia V.
Pace, 320 U.S. 698, 702 (1944); 4 K. DAVIs, supra note 15,
§ 29.02, at 118-126; L. JAFFE, supra, at 615-616. See espe-
cially Orvis v. Higgins, 180 F.2d 537, 540 (2d Cir.) (Frank,
J.), cert. denied, 340 U.S. 810 (1950). Indeed, under “clearly
erroneous” review a court may substitute its judgment for
that of the trial court and upset findings that are not unrea-
sonable. Sce 4 K. DAVIS, supra note 15, at 121-122.

Since Overton Park expressly forbade such intrusive re-
view, 401 U.S. at 416, it plainly did not intend to use the
“clear error of judgment” phrase to replace swb_ silentio
“arbitrary and capricious” review with “clearly erroneous”
review. Nonetheless, more than linguistic echoes of “clearly
erroneous” review accompany the Court’s turn of phrase. To
the extent the cases relied upon by the Court support consid-
eration of “clear errors of judgment,” they all involve review
of trial courts’, and not agencies’, abuses of discretion. See
cases cited supra, and compare L. JAFFE, supra, at 182 with
id. at 615-616. Such review is intrusive and essentially iden-
tical with “clearly erroneous” review. See McBee v. Bomar,
supra; In re Josephson, supra. On the other hand, the Court
also cited a case in which Judge Friendly recognized that an
agency’s abuse of discretion, unlike a court’s, is reviewed
under the “arbitrary and capricious” standard, 5 U.S.C.
§ 706(2) (A), and that review in such cases should be much

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70

over, it must engage in a “substantial inquiry” into the
facts, one that is “searching and careful.” Citizens to
Preserve Overton Park v. Volpe, supra, 401 U.S. at 415,

more deferential than under the “clearly erroneous” stand-
ard. Wong Wing Hang Vv. INS, supra, 360 F.2d at 718-719.

All of this makes the Court’s intent in Overton Park some-
what difficult to plumb and its standard even more uncertain
of application. We do not think the Court’s use of the “clear
error of judgment” phrase was an attempt vastly to revamp
traditional “arbitrary and capricious” review. See infra.
Nonetheless, we fear, its use of this phrase so familiar to
judges in another, and significantly more intrusive, context
may unintentionally prompt judicial distortion of the “arbi-
trary and capricious” standard. Already at least one court
has expressly indicated that it is prepared to read the Court’s
use of the phrase as approval! of intrusive “clearly erroneous”
review of agency action. Raitport v. National Bureau of
Standards, 385 F.Supp. 1221, 1225 (E.D. Pa. 1974). Mean-
while, other courts use the “clear error of judgment” phrase
as a shorthand summary of “arbitrary and capricious” re-
view, see, e.g., Union Electric Co. v. EPA, 515 F.2d 206, 216
(8th Cir.), cert. granted, U.S. , 44 U.S. L. WEEK
3200 (Oct. 6, 1975) ; Conservation Council of North Carolina
V. Froehlke, 473 F.2d 664, 665 (4th Cir. 1973); Schicke v.
United States, 346 F.Supp. 417, 420, 422-423 (D. Conn. 1972),
while others loosely treat the phrase as synonymous with
“clearly erroneous.” Duke City Lumber Co. v. Butz, 382
F.Supp. 362, 374 (D.D.C. 1974) (‘whether the agency’s
threshold decision was arbitrary, capricious or otherwise
clearly erroneous”); Daly v. Volpe, 350 F.Supp. 252, 255
(W.D. Wash. 1972) (“it was not clearly erroneous, and there-
fore it was not arbitrary and capricious”).

Post-Overton Park decisions, as well as the internal evi-
dence in Overton Park itself, see swpra, have made clear that
the Court does not intend the “clear error of judgment”
phrase to sanction review more intrusive than traditional
“arbitrary and capricious” review; rather, the Court has
reaffirmed that the reviewing court must defer if the agency
has a rational basis for its decision. Bowman Transportation,
Ine. V. Arkansas-Best Freight System, Inc., supra note 73,
419 U.S. at 290; United States v. Allegheny-Ludlum Steel
Corp., 406 U.S. 742, 749 (1972). See note 79 infra. Thus it

te

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? *.
Hearings on S. 3229, S. 3455, S. 3546 before the Subcomm.
on Air and Water Pollution of the Senate Comm. on Public
Works, 91st Cong., 2d Sess. at 74 (1970). No less than with
“particularly sensitive citizens such as bronchial asthmatics
and emphysematics” who receive the special attention of the
Clean Air Act, S. Rep. No. 91-1196, 91st Cong., 2d Sess. 10
(1970), citizens who are occupationally exposed outdoors
to otherwise uncontrollable lead concentrations in the ambient
air are among “the most vulnerable in our population” and
deserve to be considered when regulations under § 211(c)
(1) (A) are at issue.

83

group of research subjects. See D. CLARK & B. MAC-
MAHON, PREVENTIVE MEDICINE 26 (1967) (hereinafter
CLakK & MACMAHON). Thus much of the evidence
in Reserve Mining of the danger to the general public
of absorption of asbestos particles came from epidemio-
logical studies of asbestos workers. Reserve Mining Co.
v. EPA, supra, 514 F.2d at 507.” Because of this the
occupational data are not only in themselves indicative
of high blood lead levels among a significant portion of
the adult population, but they suggest the future likeli-
hood, absent controls, of increasing high blood lead levels
among even more widely dispersed portions of the public.
In any case, however, the evidence relied upon by the
Administrator was not only of occupational groups. Some
evidence of high blood lead level relates to such “spec-
cialized” groups as “Drivers of Cars.” “Male Com-
muters,” and “Urban” residents. Third Health Docu-
ment at Tables VII-1 & 2, JA 145-146.

Petitioners argue that the negative conclusions of the
Seven Cities Study and several other studies should

“ The dissent criticizes this comparison of the Adminis-
trator’s use of studies of occupational groups with the Eighth
Circuit’s use of similar evidence on the ground that the court
explained the validity of its use of occupational data whereas
the Administrator did not. Dissent at 73. The Administra-
tor, however, based his inferences on studies of occupational
groups whose lead intake results from exposure, albeit for
longer than average periods of time, to the same air breathed
by the general public. See pp. 81-82 supra. The Eighth Circuit,
by contrast, was explaining the validity of inferring a haz-
ard to the general public from studies showing a hazard
to workers and others exposed to higher levels of a some-
what different substance than that with which the court was
concerned. See 514 F.2d at 511-512. In short, the Eighth
Circuit was faced with a situation where differences between
the hazard facing the eccupationally exposed group and the
hazard facing the general public required that the propriety of
reaching a conclusion about the public from occupational
studies be explained; the Administrator was not.

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outweigh the positive indications of the studies described
above. PPG/duPont Supp. Br. at 16-23; NPRA Supp.
Br. at 5-8. The Administrator disagreed, and we can-
not fault his conclusion. Because of the many uncon-
trolled variables in epidemiological studies, valid con-
clusions may be obscured. But, while the possibility of
false negative conclusions is a real one, the possibility
of false positive findings is considerably less likely.
CLARK & MACMAHON, supra, at 100. Thus the Ad-
ministrator credited the occupational and other studies
reporting a small, but significant, portion of the general
population with elevated blood lead levels and discounted
the negative studies on which petitioners rely. Third
Health Document at VII-3, JA 144. We cannot say his
conclusion was arbitrary or capricious.

2. Automobile Lead Emission Products Are Directly
Absorbed in the Body to a Significant Extent

Since it is apparent from the face of his decision and
the Third Health Document that the Administrator con-
sidered all the evidence before him, the only issue is
whether he treated that evidence in a rational manner.
Petitioners have now conceded that lead emissions are
directly absorbed in the body from the ambient air,
and they challenge only whether the extent of absorption
is significant enough to justify these regulations. Nalco
Supp. Br. at 37; PPG/duPont Supp. Br. at 23. The
Administrator’s conclusion that lead absorption from the
air is significant is amply supported by the record in
this rule-making.

The Administrator relied on three types of evidence:
theoretical, epidemiological, and clinical studies. The theo-
retical evidence consisted of a set of calculations de-
signed to estimate the amount of lead in the air which,
when added to an average dietary intake, would suffice
to bring the blood lead burden of a “standard man” up

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85

to 40 ug.”’ These calculations indicated that the 40 ug
level can be reached by exposure to ambient air lead
concentrations no greater than those now found in parts
of our larger cities. Significantly, the results of two
clinical experiments support the estimates derived from
these theoretical calculations. The calculations, as well
as petitioners’ misguided attacks on their validity, are
discussed in Appendix A to this opinion. See pages
A-1 to A-4 infra.

The second type of evidence relied upon by the Ad-
ministrator in reaching his conclusion that airborne lead
contributes significantly to the human lead body burden
consisted of epidemiological research. Epidemiologists
study the effects of various phenomena on humans under
uncontrolled or “natural” conditions. These effects are
correlated with other observed facts in an attempt to
develop significant relationships among the data. The
science is limited, however, in that inferences may be
drawn, but relationships cannot be proved by the cor-
relations alone. JA 583. The studies before the Ad-
ministrator were of large groups of people; correlations
were sought between blood lead level and exposure to
lead in the ambient air. The studies were confounded,
however, by the multiple sources of lead. Since diet
accounts for a major portion of the body lead burden,
an individual’s blood lead level varies not only accord-
ing to his exposure to lead in the ambient air, but ac-
cording to his daily dietary intake of lead. Wide varia-
tions in dietary lead intake, which are common, can
completely mask the effects of air lead absorption. None-
theless, none of the epidemiological studies could control
or measure dietary lead intake. This uncertainty in the
data severely limited the usefulness of the broadly con-

“ EPA specifically requested comment on the figures it
used in calculating the respiratory absorption of lead by a
“standard man.” 37 FED. REG. 11787 (1972), JA 21.

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ceived epidemiological studies and led the Administra-
tor to rely instead on data limited to situations in which
dietary exposure could roughly be termed constant.

Following this rationale, the Administrator focused
on the consistent relationship found between air and
blood lead levels within particular metropolitan areas,
rather than on the lack of such a relationship between
areas.” See pages A-5 to A-9 infra. The Administrator

“ The dissent suggests that this court, not the Administra-
tor, first propounded this rationale for relying on the intra-
metropolitan results of the epidemiological studies. Dissent
at 76-77. This critique ignores the facts that the Administra-
tor referred to this explanation at the beginning of his opin-
ion, JA 3, and that the Third Health Document identifies the
language in the Seven Cities Study which justifies the Ad-
ministrator’s reliance on that study’s intrametropolitan area
data. JA 89, quoting JA 844 (the introductory summary of
the Seven Cities Study). The section of the Seven Cities
Study summarized by the language quoted in the Third
Health Document explicitly states the rationale relied on by
the Administrator. JA 892; see pp. A-5 to A-6 & note 4
infra. Clearly, the “agency’s path” to its decision to credit
the intrametropolitan results “may reasonably be discerned.”
Bowman Transportation, Inc. v. Arkansas-Best Freight Sys-
tem, Inc., supra note 73, 419 U.S. at 286.

Despite its origins in the Seven Cities Study itself, the dis-
sent rejects this explanation for the Administrator’s ap-
proach to the evidence as totally irrational. The dissent ar-
gues that it is illogical to maintain that intrametropolitan
dietary lead can be assumed to be relatively constant despite
the income differences in a large metropolitan area. This
argument, which has no foundation in any material before
this court, illustrates the danger of “plausible-sounding, but
simplistic, judgments of the relative weight to be afforded
various pieces of technical data.” Concurring op. of Chief
Judge Bazelon at 2. Without ourselves attempting to assume
a scientific role, we note that since the main source of dietary
lead is the soil, see note 5 supra, the geographical origin of
foodstuffs may be a more important determinant of their lead
content than is price. In any event, whatever the underlying

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also drew support for his conclusion that lead in the
air significantly affects lead in the blood from studies
conducted in single neighborhoods. There, too, confound-
ing factors were minimized by proximity, and there,
too, a clear direct relationship was found. See pages A-
11 to A-14 infra. Thus the epidemiological studies,
although perhaps insufficient to justify the Administra-
tor’s decision if considered singly or even collectively,
were reasonably relied on as part of the basis for the
low-lead rules.

The conclusions the Administrator drew from theo-
retical calculations and the epidemiological studies are
significantly bolstered by two important clinical studies.
Clinical studies are laboratory experiments on humans
in which variables can be controlled and causal relation-
ships demonstrated. Clinicians attempt to reproduce at-
mospheric conditions in the laboratory and measure the
response to pollution of small numbers of humans chosen
to represent the population at large. JA 583. Because
of its necessarily significant intrusion on the subjects’
lives, clinical research is limited in the number of sub-
jects it can study. Nonetheless, the two clinical studies
are especially valuable since they are the only attempts
to control or account for dietary lead intake. Thus they
sought to measure the contribution of respiratory ab-
sorption of lead unmasked by variations in dietary
lead. Both studies found that airborne lead provided
a significant portion of the lead in the blood of the
experiments’ subjects. Moreover, the amount of lead
actually absorbed from the air during these studies cor-
responded ciosely with the amount EPA’s theoretical cal-
culations predicted would be absorbed. See pages A-14
to A-18 infra.

basis for this approach might be, the important point is that
we have no reason to fault the Administrator’s decision to
rely on the scientific expertise of the authors of the epidemiol-
ogical studies before him.

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While we must consider petitioners’ arguments care-
fully, the necessary existence of limitations and incon-
sistencies in the data remind us to observe carefully
; our limited appellate function. It does not matter
: whether or not we agree with the Administrator’s de-
3 termination. Nor does it matter whether the evidence
: might support a conclusion contrary to that reached by
the Administrator. All that is of concern to us is that
there be a rational basis in the evidence for the con-
clusion reached. We cannot say there is not. The bulk
of the evidence cited supports the Administrator. See
Appendix A to this opinion. The Administrator treated
all the evidence in a consistent and rational manner.
This treatment disposed of most of the studies relied
upon by petitioners, leaving the plain conclusion that
lead emissions form a significant part of the human
body burden. Particularly in light of the precautionary
nature of the “will endanger” standard, we cannot find
the Administrator’s conclusion to be arbitrary or ca-
pricious. Accordingly, we must uphold his determination.

ates

3. Lead Exposure from Dustfall Threatens the Health
of Children

: While we would have no difficulty in sustaining the
: low-lead regulations solely on the basis of the evidence
and conclusions discussed above, the Administrator based
his decision to regulate on other evidence as well. He
presented a hypothesis, which he found consistent with
known information, that urban children are particularly
threatened by lead additives in that they are prone to
ingest lead emissions that have fallen to the ground and
mixed with dust. While the hyopthesis is admittedly
not proved as fact, we need not decide whether it would
be sufficient by itself to support the low-lead regulations,
for it is offered only in support of the evidence already
presented. Petitioners vigorously attack the hypothesis
nonetheless, but constantly confuse the issue by ignoring

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the flexibility of the “will endanger” standard and by
attempting to refute the Administrator with evidence
that he both understands and has accounted for. Thus
it is helpful first to set these matters straight.

First, as we have demonstrated above, see pages 17-
36 supra, the “will endanger” standard is a precau-
tionary standard that embraces a wide range of per-
missible proof. It is therefore no objection to the dust-
fall hypothesis that it is merely a hypothesis. A sup-
portable and reasonable hypothesis may well form the
basis for regulations under Section 211(c)(1)(A). In-
deed, the totality of evidence relied upon in the Re-
serve Mining case constituted no more than such a
hypothesis. See pages 93-94 infra.

Second, although it seems too obvious to mention, the
Administrator understood and expressly recognized that
leaded paint “is the primary cause of clinical lead
poisoning” in children, 38 FED. REG. 33735. Although
petitioners repeatedly try to rebut EPA conclusions by
stating this fact, the Administrator was well aware of
it and his evaluation of the data before him invariably
accounted for it. We do not believe the importance
of lead paint to the lead poisoning problem in children
invalidates the Administrator’s reliance on the dustfall
theory. The Administrator justified his hypothesis as a
basis for regulation on grounds that dustfall may be
regulated far more readily than leaded paint, that dust-
fall contributes significantly to the threat from leaded
paint by raising blood lead levels so as to make lead
poisoning easier to contract, and that even when acute
lead poisoning does not develop absorption of lead dust-
fall may cause undesirable and avoidable subclinical
effects. 388 FED. REG. 33736-33737. We have held, see

*’ Petitioners’ persistent refusal to recognize that these are
the reasons the Administrator is concerned about lead dust-
fall makes their constant arguments about leaded paints com-

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pages 56-61 supra, that concern about the cumulative
impact of exposure to various lead sources may justify
regulation of lead additives under Section 211(c) (1) (A).
Thus we cannot say that these reasons for regulation,
when added to the demonstrated danger to the general
public from respiratory absorption of lead emissions,
see Appendix A to this opinion, and if supported by the
evidence, do not form a permissible basis for the low-
lead regulations under the “will endanger” standard.

With these preliminaries settled, we turn to the evi-
dence supporting the Administrator’s determination.
Since the hypothesis is only a secondary basis for the
regulations, and since the evidence cited goes consider-
ably beyond that necessary to establish the hypothesis
as reasonable, we shall address only the thrust of pe-
titioners’ objections and the Administrator’s responses.
The logical steps to the Administrator’s conclusion are
these:

a. High lead concentrations in dust and dirt are
prevalent in urban areas.

b. In most circumstances, lead from exhausts and
not lead paint or lead from stationary sources is
the primary source of lead in urban dust and dirt.

e. Children prone to pica, about 50 percent of
those between the ages of one and three, eat non-
food objects, including dust and dirt.

d. As a result of ingesting dust and dirt con-
taminated with lead fallout, children can be expected
to absorb lead into their bodies.

38 FED. REG. 33736. If the intermediate steps are
supported by the evidence, the validity of the Adminis-
trator’s conclusion as a reasonable hypothesis is un-
assailable. Our study of the underlying evidence con-

pletely unresponsive to the Administrator’s analysis of the
evidence.

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vinces us that it is firm and convincing, and certainly
sufficient to support the Administrator’s hypothesis as
reasonable.

Petitioners concede that lead concentrations are high
in the dust near highways and adjacent to homes with
lead paint. They contest, however, that high lead concen-
trations are otherwise prevalent in urban areas. PPG/
duPont Supp. Br. at 37 n.86. The facts rebut their argu-
ment. The NAS Panel found that “[t]he concentration
of lead in street dust and surface soil of large cities is
extremely high.” NAS Report at 30 (emphasis added).
This conclusion was based on a finding that, compared
to the usual range of dust lead concentrations of 2-200
parts per million (ppm), dust lead concentrations in
cities averaged 1,636 ppm and 2,413 ppm respectively for
residential and commercial sites. Even in city parks lead
concentrations ranged from 194 ppm to 3,357 ppm. Jd.
Other evidence of record shows high lead concentrations
in Central Park Zoo in New York City, JA 2630, and
school playgrounds in Philadelphia, JA 674.

Where does this high dust lead content come from?
The Administrator concluded that since 90 percent of the
lead in the ambient air is from automotive exhausts and
since, as petitioners concede, PPG/duPont Reply Br. at
17, the lead eventually settles to the ground, most of the
lead in dust is a product of automobile lead emissions.
Petitioners do not seriously contest this; indeed their
own studies suggest this by showing that lead content in
soil decreases with distance from highways.** Rather,
they argue that “lead from paint or stationary sources
is the source of lead in dust and dirt in areas where
young children play.” PPG/duPont Supp. Br. at 37 n.86.

“*Ter Haar & Aronow, New Information on Lead in Dirt
and Dust as Related to the Childhood Lead Problem, presented
at the EPA-NIEHS Conference on Low Level Lead Toxicity,
Raleigh, N.C., Oct. 1, 1973, JA 917, 922 (Fig. 1).

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This argument reflects petitioners’ consistent refusal to
recognize that city children play regularly in city streets,
where petitioners concede lead dustfall from automobiles
accumulates. PPG/duPont Reply Br. at 17. Since the
Administrator’s concern about dustfall is based on the
harm it may cause city children, petitioners’ argument
that children are not exposed to automobile dustfall where
they play must be rejected.

Petitioners do not contest that pica is a common phe-
nomenon among preschool children, although they note
that it “is a psychological disorder; it is not characteris-
tic of all children * * *.” PPG/duPont Supp. Br. at 37
n.86. While this is certainly true, pica is characteristic
of a significant number of children. Petitioners do not
challenge the conclusion of the NAS Panel that pica oc-
curs in at least 50 percent of both middle- and lower-
class children. NAS Report at 133.

On the basis of this evidence alone it is reasonable to
hypothesize that children with pica will ingest dust and
dirt containing lead dustfall from automobiles. Indeed,
on such limited evidence the NAS Panel accepted the
dustfall hypothesis as credible:

Airborne lead wastes from such sources as auto-
mobile emissions and the weathering and demolition
of old buildings can be expected to have a signifi-
cant additive effect on the total intake. This would
be sufficient to evoke compensatory metabolic re-
sponses that are now considered subclinical (such
as increased urinary ALA), at the very least. It
may be estimated that dustfall from airborne lead,
if swallowed, can make a significant contribution to
a small child’s total lead intake and thereby con-
tribute to the occurrence of lead poisoning, espe-
cially in urban areas. Even so, the direct ingestion
of lead-pigment paints is clearly the principal en-
vironmental source in cases of severe acute lead
poisoning in young children.

93

NAS Report at 140 (emphasis added). Again petition-
ers focus on the last sentence and emphasize the danger
from leaded paints. Since the Administrator is in agree-
ment with them on the point, howeyer, their arguments
are superfluous. 4

Petitioners’ primary claims are not addressed to the
evidence that establishes the dustfall hypothesis as ten-
able. Rather, they argue that there is no evidence that
lead dustfall from automobiles is in fact swallowed by
children with pica. While such proof is not necessary to
establish the Administrator’s hypothesis as reasonable,
see pages 90-91 supra, we note that a considerable
amount of circumstantial evidence does support his con-
clusion. See Appendix B to this opinion.

In any case, all the evidence suggesting that the chil-
dren with pica tend to eat dust contaminated with lead
fallout from automobiles takes the Administrator’s theory
far beyond the hypothesis stage. He offered only a tenta-
tive result, “a hypothesis consistent with information pro-
vided by a variety of studies.” 38 FED. REG. 33736. Un-
doubtedly, he has shown that. Indeed, as reasonable med-
ical hypotheses go, this one is particularly solid. This
is vividly demonstrated by recalling the kind of evidence
relied upon to justify similar precautionary relief in
Reserve Mining.

The question in that case was the validity of the hy-
pothesis that ingestion of asbestos fibers was dangerous
to health. The reason for concern was that epidemiolog-
ical studies had associated inhalation of asbestos with
cancer. The evidence supporting the hypothesis was of
three kinds: (1) a court-sponsored study to determine
whether asbestos fibers were present in residents who
drank the polluted water; (2) animal studies designed
to measure whether asbestos fibers can be absorbed into
the body from the stomach; and (3) epidemiological
studies associating inhalation of asbestos fibers with gas-
trointestinal cancer and the theory that this may be due

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to ingestion of asbestos fibers initially inhaled. Reserve
Mining Co. v. EPA, supra, 514 F.2d at 514. Upon re-
view of the evidence the court concluded (1) asbestos
fibers were not present in long-time residents; (2) the
animal studies were ambiguous on whether asbestos fibers
could be absorbed if ingested; and (3) the theory that
asbestos workers ingested asbestos fibers as well as in-
haled them was no more than a theory, id. at 514-516.
Nonetheless, solely on the basis of this evidence, the court
concluded that “the theory that excess cancers may be
attributed to the ingestion of asbestos fibers rests on a
tenable medical hypothesis,” id. at 516. On the basis of
this tenable hypothesis, the court accepted the further
hypothesis that asbestos could be ingested from the
drinking water and that, therefore, there was a “rea-
sonable medical concern” for the public health which
justified abatement of the asbestos discharge under the
“endangering” language of the FWPCA. /d. at 520.

None of these uncertainties cloud the Administrator’s
dustfall hypothesis. Lead is present in children, and in
elevated amounts. Children do ingest dust, and dust is
heavily laden with lead. Animal studies prove that in-
gested lead dust is absorbed into the bloodstream. And
epidemiological studies associate high lead concentrations
in children with high lead concentrations in dirt and
dust, and with proximity to automobiles. Since the auto-
mobile is the predominant source of lead in dust, the
Administrator’s hypothesis stands firm as reasonable, un-
doubtedly with more support in studies already made
than the hypothesis that justified regulation in Reserve
Mining. Indeed, the primary difference between this case
and Reserve Mining is that the Eighth Circuit justified
ordering abatement of asbestos discharges into the water
solely on the basis of a hypothesis,” while here the hy-

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** Since proof of the danger posed by inhalation of asbestos
wastes was much stronger than proof of the danger posed by

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pothesis is offered only as support for the regulations,
the primary basis being the demonstrated danger to
health posed by inhalation of lead emissions. In this con-
text, and keeping in mind the precautionary nature of
the “will endanger” standard, we have no difficulty in
finding the dustfall hypothesis sufficiently well grounded
to support the Administrator’s limited reliance on it.”

C. Summary of the Evidence

From a vast mass of evidence the Administrator
has concluded that the emission products of lead addi-
tives will endanger the public health. He has handled an
extraordinarily complicated problem with great care and
candor. The evidence did not necessarily always point
in one direction and frequently, until] EPA authorized
research, there was no evidence at all.” The Adminis-

ingestion, the Reserve Mining court ordered immediate ac-
tion taken with regard to the discharge of wastes into the
air. Sce note 34 supra.

% The dissent states that its disagreement with the Admin-
istrator and the majority concerning the interpretation of the
“will endanger” standard “reduces itself to semantics.” Dis-
sent at 4. The dissent also rejects the Administrator’s reli-
ance on the dustfall hypothesis simply because it is a hy-
pothesis. Dissent at 84-85. Yet as we have demonstrated above
and as the Reserve Mining court held, a reasonable hypothesis
supported by evidence is a sufficient basis for regulating
under the “will endanger” standard as the Administrator
has interpreted that standard.

* This fact completely rebuts petitioners’ claim that this
case does not present problems “on the frontiers of scientific
knowledge.” Industrial Union Department, AFL-CIO V.
Hodgson, supra note 35, 162 U.S.App.D.C. at 338, 499 F.2d
at 474. See, e.g., NPRA Supp. Br. at 49. Although petitioners
note that lead additives have been in use for over 50 years,
and that questions about their safety have been raised for al-
most as long, see note 3 supra, the fact remains that virtually
all the evidence cited by both EPA and petitioners was de-

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trator reached his conclusion only after hearings spread
over several months, consideration of thousands of pages
of documents, publication of three health documents,
three formal comment periods, and receipt of hundreds
i of comments. Each study was considered independently ;
its worth was assessed only after it was measured against
any critical comments. From the totality of the evidence
the Administrator concluded that regulation under Sec-
tion 211(c) (1) (A) was warranted."

: veloped in the last five years, most of it for the purpose of sup-
3 porting or opposing these regulations. Cf. note 3 supra.
Moreover, both EPA and petitioners admit much more re-
: mains to be discovered. See pp. 48-49 and note 83 supra.

** The dissent’s repeated assertion that the evidence was in-
sufficient to convince the independent scientific community,
7 represented by other Government agencies, is unconvincing
for two reasons. First, the Department of Health, Education,
and Welfare, which shares with EPA responsibility for and
: scientific expertise in the areas of public and environmental
health, endorsed the regulations. The dissent relies on a Jan.
29, 1973 letter from then Secretary of HEW Elliot Richard-
son to demonstrate the Department’s opposition to the lead
reduction regulations. Dissent at 14. The Aug. 7, 1973 letter
: of Richardson’s successor, Caspar Weinberger, in which the
; Department endorsed removing lead from gasoline provided
§ the result would not be the introduction of more harmful
; additives, JA 2507, is unconvincingly discounted. Dissent at
13-14 n.27. We have found reasonable the Administrator’s
3 determination that reducing the lead content of gasoline would
j not have this perverse effect on the public health. See pp. 64-66
: & notes 67-68 supra.

4 Second, the dissent’s equation of the views of other Govern-
4 ment agencies with the views of the independent scientific
: community is itself fallacious. Without in the least impugning
their motivation, it may be assumed that agencies such as

’ the Department of the Interior and the Department of Com-

merce, see dissent at 9, 14, respond to and represent interests
: other than those concerned with the environment and the
4 public health. The very existence of EPA is evidence that
‘ Congress believed the other agencies of the Government could

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In tracking his path through the evidence we, in our
appellate role, have also considered separately each study
and the objections petitioners make thereto. In no case
have we found the Administrator’s use of the evidence
to be arbitrary or capricious. Having rejected the in-
dividual objections, we also reject the overall claim of
error. We find the Administrator’s analysis of the evi-
dence and assessment of the risks to be well within the
flexibility allowed by the “will endanger” standard. Ac-
cordingly, we affirm his determination that lead emis-
sions “present a significant risk of harm to the health of
urban populations, particularly to the health of city
children.” 38 FED. REG. 33734.

IV. EPA PROCEDURES

Petitioners’ last major objection to the low-lead regu-
lations is the claim that they are procedurally defective
in that, after allowing a total of three formal comment
periods, the Administrator did not allow a fourth prior
to issuing the regulations.”* Petitioners claim this de-

not adequately appraise and act against environmental threats.
Truly independent scientific opinion, represented by com-
ments from those with no association with environmental
groups cr industry, favored the regulations by a margin of
approximately two to one. JA 5.

We also note that the California Air Resources Board has
recently adopted regulations imposing a more stringent lead
reduction schedule than is imposed by the regulations before
us. See N.Y. Times, Feb. 20, 1976, at 12 col. 3.

*° Since EPA never stopped accepting comments on the
proposed regulations, the comment period on these regulations
actually lasted almost two years. All comments were made
public when they were received, in accordance with the pro-
cedure established by EPA’s notices of proposed rule-making.
See, e.g., 38 FED. REG. at 1260, JA 17; 17 Feb. REG. at 3882,
JA 23. Moreover, in keeping with his statutory mandate to
consider “all relevant medical and scientific evidence avail-
able to him,” § 211(c) (2) (A), 42 U.S.C. § 1857f-6c(c) (2)
(A) (emphasis added), the Administrator considered com-

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prived them of administrative due process in contraven-
tion of the demands of Section 4 of the Administrative
Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 553 (1970). Ethyl Br. at 50;
PPG/duPont Br. at 43; Nalco Br. at 64; NPRA Br. at
44. We find the argument to be without merit.

Section 4 requires that prior to final promulgation of
a rule the agency must make public “either the terms or
substance of the proposed rule or a description of the
subjects and issues involved.” 5 U.S.C. § 553(b) (3).
The courts have added useful flesh to this statutory lan-
guage. The notice should be sufficiently descriptive of
the “subjects and issues involved” so that interested
parties may offer informed criticism and comments. See,
e.g., Portland Cement Assn Vv. Ruckelshaus, 158 U.S.App.
D.C. 308, 325-327, 486 F.2d 375, 392-394 (1973), cert
denied, 417 U.S. 921 (1974): Mobil Oil Corp. v. FPC,
157 U.S.App.D.C. 235, 248 n.39, 483 F.2d 1238, 1251
n.39 (1973). But the notice need not contain “every
precise proposal which |the agency] may ultimately adopt

ments received throughout this extended comment period.
See pp. 109-110 & note 123 infra.

NPRA claims that placing the new studies in the public
file did not satisfy EPA’s obligations because “EPA did not
notify the public of the availability of these documents or that
it intended to rely upon them in promulgating the final regula-
tions.” NPRA Reply Br. at 17. This statement is not accur-
ate, since EPA’s public notice of the proposed low-lead rule-
making, supra, stated that all new information received con-
cerning the proposed regulations would be made available
for public inspection at its Office of Public Affairs. 38 Fen.
REG. at 1260, JA 17. Moreover, NPRA’s own submissions
refer to documents contained in the EPA public file. See JA
1962; Doc. 1259. See also Doc. 1089 (letter from Ethyl, dated
Oct. 12, 1973, requesting that certain documents not yet in
the public file be placed there). Since the statute requires
the Administrator to consider all evidence available to him,
the complaint that petitioners could not know the Admin-
istrator would make use of the material in the public file is un-
impressive.

99

as a rule.” California Citizens Band Assn v. United
States, 375 F.2d 48, 48 (9th Cir.), cert. denied, 389
U.S. 844 (1967). This last qualification is important
since the notice invites comments and the comments will
frequently prompt changes in the ultimate regulations.

There is nothing in Section 4 that requires new notice
whenever the agency responsibly adopts the suggestions
of interested parties. Nonetheless, in this case the Ad-
ministrator did just that. When, after two comment
rounds, criticism of the regulations originally proposed
prompted him to alter somewhat the theories on which
he was acting, he did not simply promulgate final rules
based on these new theories. Rather, he reproposed the
regulations as amended and opened them up for a third
comment round. It was only when the final regulations
were issued that the Administrator omitted a fourth
comment period. There was no reason for further com-
ment. The Agency theories underlying the final regula-
tions were identical with those of the Second Health
Document and reproposed regulations. The Third Health
Document differs from the Second only in that it incor-
porates new information received since the reproposal
and responds to the comments. The only change in the
regulations as issued was the switch. supported by com-
ments from a majority of refiners, from leaded pool
averaging to total pool averaging.’

*° The reproposed regulations had made clear that these
two alternatives were under consideration and that, at the
time, the Administrator favored leaded pool averaging. 38
FED. REG. 1260 (1973). When the majority of industry com-
ments favored use of the total pool system, 38 FED. REG.
33739 (1973), the Administrator shifted his position. While
we think the notice at 38 FED. REG. 1260 was a sufficient
basis for a change in position in the final regulations, the
Administrator gave actual notice of the change to the re-
finers several months before the final regulations were pro-
mulgated. See NPRA letter dated Oct. 25, 1973, JA 1962.
Moreover, petitioner NPRA submitted comments on that
change. See id.

100

All significant new information developed during the
rule-making in this area on the frontiers of scientific
knowledge was made available to petitioners and the pub-
lie for comment well in advance of issuance of the final
regulations on November 28, 1973." Thus both the re-
quirements and the spirit of Section 4 were complied
with. Nevertheless, the dissent vigorously and at
length "* attacks the Administrator’s use of several stud-

*t Since all material information was made available for
comment by petitioners and the public, it is not necessary for
us to determine whether the Administrator may rely on
information not previously made available.

*°? By contrast, the division majority allotted less than one
and a half pages of its 73-page opinion to this argument.
Petitioners also treated this contention as a minor part of
their attack on the regulations. The major thrust of the dis-
sent’s complaint appears to be that although all of the evi-
dence on which the Administrator relied was made available
to the public at least three months before the regulations were
issued, that evidence was not specifically delivered to or called
to the attention of petitioners when it arrived at EPA. The
dissent does not explain the origin of this supposed responsi-
bility of the Agency. Certainly the APA’s requirement of
opportunity for notice and comment is satisfied by placing
evidence in a designated public access file and repeatedly
announcing the existence and location of that file in the FED-
ERAL REGISTER. See note 99 supra. Thus the dissent’s chart
of the availability of new evidence, dissent at 49, is funda-
mentally misleading. All interested parties had legally ade-
quate notice of the evidence relied on by the Administrator,
and of his intent to rely, see note 99 supra, from the time
that evidence was placed in the public file.

The dissent attempts to avoid this fact by repeatedly la-
menting that EPA’s public file was “poorly indexed” (and
dusty). Dissent at 20 n.34, 27, 45-47. On examination this
entire attack turns out to be based on the excuse offered by
EPA’s attorney for a slight delay in providing a document
to this court. See id. at 20 n.34. Had petitioners complained
that they were not able to use the public file, we would of
course have treated that complaint as a serious matter. But

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101

ies, alleging they were not made available for comment.
A brief review of the record relating to these studies
demonstrates that this attack is without merit.

1. The Pilot Lead Isotope Study. The pilot lead iso-
tope study consists of two separately reported experi-
ments which produced similar results.’’* One of these
experiments was presented in a paper delivered at the
October 1-2, 1973 Conference on Low Level Lead Toxicity
sponsored by EPA and HEW and has apparently not
been published elsewhere. However, the results of this
experiment were reported to EPA in a letter dated Aug-
ust 28, 1972, and placed in the public file at that time.
Doe. &75."* More significantly, a draft report of the
companion experiment was received by EPA and placed
in the public file in early May of 1978. Doc. 470, dated
May 5, 1978. The final version of this study, which was
eventually published in November 1973, was made avail-

petitioners made no such allegation, nor did they suggest that
EPA’s public file procedures were in any way less adequate
than the procedures customarily followed by administrative
agencies. It may well be that the public reference procedures of
this still relatively new agency can be improved. But we see
no basis for a hypothesis, really a speculation, that persons
affected are so unable to use the public file that minimal fair-
ness is lacking. In any event that complaint was not made by
able and experienced counsel for petitioners.

3 Rabinowitz ef al., “Study of human lead metabolism
using stable isotope tracers,” paper presented at EPA-NIEHS
Conference on Low Level Lead Toxicity, Raleigh, N. C., Oct.
1-2, 1973, JA 678; Rabinowitz et al., ““Lead Metabolism in the
Normal Human: Stable Isotope Studies,” 182 SCIENCE 725-
727 (1973), JA 704.

4 See also EPA letter of Oct. 2, 1975. That letter and a
letter of Sept. 26, 1975 were responses to requests for in-
formation from this court. Copies of these letters were sent
by EPA to counsel for all parties to this litigation. No party
commented on either letter.

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able to Ethyl and placed in the public file in early Aug-
ust 1973."° Thus the pilot lead isotope study was avail-
able for comment and criticism well before the regula-
tions were promulgated.”

2. The Unpublished Japanese Study. The dissent
places great stress on the fact that this unpublished and
undated draft"? bears an inscription prohibiting cita-
tion or quotation. Dissent at 21. We note first that since
the study was prepared and submitted to EPA by the
International Lead Zine Research Organization, an indus-
try group including these petitioners, Government Supp.
Br. at 46, their claim of prejudice from the Administra-
tor’s use of the study rings false. Moreover, the study
was placed in the public file and sent to petitioner Ethyl

'°® The final draft was received by EPA’s Office of the Gen-
eral Counsel Aug. 6, 1975, for transmittal to Ethyl, see note
117 infra, and to the public file. EPA letter of Sept. 26, 1975.

'°° Nalco Chemical Co. submitted extensive comments on the
scientific evidence, including comments directed specifically
at the lead isotone study, on Nov. 19, 1973. Doe. 821 at 7.
Ethyl also submitted comments on this study in the form of
a transcript of the October conference. Doc. 433.

The dissent finds it strange that we consider this transcript
a substantive comment on the studies discussed at the meet-
ing. Dissent at 41, 45. In response, we simply note that
the only possible interpretation of Ethyl’s action in prepar-
ing and submitting the transcript was that the company
wished to have the critical comments of its scientists and
some others who attended the meeting brought to EPA’s
attention as substantive critiques of the studies. A covering
letter from Ethyl’s counsel which accompanied the company’s
submission of the transcripts of a Feb. 26 and 2 Merch 15
meeting explicitly states this purpose. See JA 986.

'*' Tsuchiya et al., Study of Lead Concentrations in Atmo-

“spkere and Population in Japan (undated), JA 1092.

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some four months before the Administrator’s decision
was announced.’”

3. The Chamber Study. The dissent attempts to build
an argument from the fact that the Second Health Docu-
ment cites the chamber study’ as a “preprint” whereas
the Third references the study to the printed proceed-
ings of the international symposium at which the paper
was delivered. Dissent at 22, 28. But see id. at 23. How-
ever, comparison of the “preprint” with the final publica-
tion shows that they are absolutely identical.° Thus
the chamber study was in the public realm from the
beginning of the formal comment period on the repro-
posed regulations.

4. The Seven Cities Study. The dissent criticizes only
the Administrator’s reliance on an EPA reanalysis of
the data on which this study was based, since it is
conceded that the study itself '"’ was available at the

18 The study was received by EPA’s Office of the General
Counsel on July 22, 1973, for transmittal to Ethyl, see note
117 infra, and to the public file. EPA letter of Sept. 26, 1975.
It too was commented on by Nalco. Doc. 821 at 7. Since the
study was available for comment four months prior to issu-
ance of the Administrator’s decision, we find the significance
of the fact that it was not cited in the Third Health Docu-
ment, dissent at 22, mystifying.

'°° Knelson et al., Kinetics of Respiratory Lead Intake in
Humans, PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM
ON ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS OF LEAD 391-401 (1973), JA
596.

"© Compare Doc. 85, JA 596-601, with Doc. 111 at 391-401.
The final printed “version” differs from the “preprint” only
in that the former contains a translation of the authors’ sum-
mary into French and German.

'! Tepper & Levin, “A Survey of Air and Population Lead
Levels in Selected American Communities,” Department of
Environmental Health, College of Medicine, University of
Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio (1972), JA 840.

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104

beginning of the formal comment period. Dissent at 22-
23, 28-29. Three facts vitiate this criticism of the Ad-
ministrator’s reliance on the Seven Cities Study. First,
the dissent is simply incorrect when it implies that the
Administrator relied only on the “additional analysis.”
Dissent at 28. The Administrator actually relied pri-
marily on a finding reported in the original study. See
page 86 & note 92 supra. The reanalysis merely re-
confirmed the validity of that finding."? Second, the

2 The dissent’s emphasis on the importance of the re-
analysis of the Seven Cities Study appears to be based on a
misunderstanding of the meaning of statistical significance.
Statistical significance simply expresses the level of assur-
ance we can have that certain data was not the product of
random relationships. See, e.g., F. MOSTELLER, R. ROURKE &
G. THOMAS, PROBABILITY WITH STATISTICAL APPLICATIONS
304-307 (2d ed. 1970).

Unfortunately, the word “significant” in everyday use
means not only “suggestive” but also “important” and
“weighty”. We do not carry these everyday meanings
over into statistics. * * * A statistically significant result
is one that the data support as showing a real effect, as
opposed to a result that might readily arise from sampling
variation.

Id. at 307.

Typically, scientists refuse to certify an observed relation-
ship as “significant” unless they are 95% certain that the data
could not have been generated randomly. See note 58 supra.
Thus the authors of the Seven Cities Study found the relation-
ship between air and blood lead levels between cities “ [n]ot
significantly different from 0 at the 5% level,” JA 902, mean-
ing that they could not be certain that if there were no genuine
relationship in the real world, the relationship that was ob-
served in this study would be found in at most five out of every
100 randomly drawn data samples. On reanalyzing the data
using more refined techniques, EPA’s scientists determined
that the observed relationship could be expected to be pro-
duced by chance less than one time out of 1,000. See Doc. 228
at Table 3. Sisiilarly, the authors of the Seven Cities Study
themselves recognized the implication of their “consistent

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reanalysis itself is just EPA’s effort to reexamine the
study in light of the critical comments received on it.’**
It would be unreasonable to require another formal com-
ment period whenever an agency determines that com-
ments received during a preceding comment period do
not undermine the validity of a particular piece of
evidence. Finally, EPA made the reanalysis public in
February 1973.**

observation” that blood lead levels were higher in a given
metropolitan area’s urban region than in its suburbs. See
p. 86 & note 92 supra. The reanalysis simply demonstrated
that this “consistent observation” has less than a one in 1,000
likelihood of being the product of chance. See Doc. 228 at
Table 3.

There is, of course, no reason why the Administrator can-
not rely on observed relationships among data which he is
less than 95% certain reflect a true underlying relationship
between the phenomena that the data measure. See note 58
supra. The dissent’s assertion that only the reanalysis pro-
vides support for the Administrator’s decision assumes that
the Administrator must be 95% certain before he credits
any evidence.

13 The purpose and contents of the reanalysis are described
by its first sentence: “This brief paper is an attempt to an-
swer questions raised by reviewers about the statistical analy-
ses performed [in the Seven Cities Study]. Doc. 228 at 1.

™4The results and methodology of the reanalysis were
presented and discussed at a meeting of the EPA Hazardous
Materials Advisory Committee on Feb. 26, 1973. JA 989-992.
Representatives of Ethyl attended the meeting, prepared a
transcript of it, including critical comments by some of those
in attendance, and forwarded the transcript to the Adminis-
trator. JA 985; see note 106 supra. The dissent strives might-
ily to show that the reanalysis was not in the public domain
until four days after the close of the formal comment period,
rather than 13 days before. Dissent at 23. Even if this were
true, the important point is that the reanalysis was available
for public comment some nine months prior to issuance of
the regulations.

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5. The Newark, Rochester, Philadelphia, and Chicago
Studies. The only clear references to these studies,'*
which bear on the validity of the dustfall hypothesis,
occur in a portion of the Administrator’s decision that
addresses the question, “What new infcrmation has be-
come available since reproposal of the regulation and as
a result of the additional comment period?” JA 5. This
section of the decision follows the Administrator’s ex-
planation and justification of his conclusion that “lead
particle emissions from motor vehicles present a signifi-
cant risk of harm to the health of urban populations,
particularly to the health of city children.” JA 2. See
JA 2-5. The Administrator was required to take account
of the new information by the statute, which directs
him to consider “all relevant medical and scientific evi-
dence available to him.” Section 211(c)(2)(A), 42
U.S.C. § 1857f-6e(c) (2) (A) ‘emphasis added).

Moreover, as the Administrator’s placement of the
discussion of these studies makes clear, the studies are
not needed or used to support the conclusion that the
dustfall hypothesis is reasonable. That conclusion is a

"5 Margulis et al., Residential Location, Ambient Air Lead
Pollution and Childhood Lead Poisoning, — ARCH. ENV.
HEALTH — (in press at time record was compiled), JA 626;
Sayre et al., House and Hand Dust as a Potential Source of
Childhood Lead Exposure, — AM. J. Dis. CHILD — (in press at
time record was compiled); and Vostal et al., “Lead Contain-
ing House Dust: Another Source of Increased Lead Exposure
in Inner City Children,” paper presented at EPA-NIEHS
Conference on Low Level Lead Toxicity, Raleigh, N. C., Oct.
1-2, 1973, JA 720, 738; Needleman & Shapiro, “Dentine Lead
Levels in Asymptomatic Philadelphia School Children: Sub-
clinical Exposure in High and Low Risk Groups,” paper pre-
sented at EPA-NIEHS Conference on Low Level Lead
Toxicity, Raleigh, N. C., Oct. 1-2, 1973, JA 662; Sachs,
“Effects of a Screening Program on Changing Patterns of
Lead Poisoning,” paper presented at EPA-NIEHS Confer-
ence on Low Level Lead Toxicity, Raleigh, N. C., Oct. 1-2,

1973, JA 718.
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sufficient basis for regulation under the statute. See
pages 16-36, 90 supra. These additional studies, which
are corroborative of the dustfall hypothesis, see pages
91-93 supra and Appendix B to this opinion, play no
role in the Administrator’s decision to regulate.’**

Finally, petitioners and the dissent suggest that even
if all the new studies were made available to the public
for comment well before the Administrator reached his
decision, Section 4 of the APA requires still another
procedural step: that the Administrator, before arriv-
ing at his decision, publicly identify the recently re-
ceived studies and comments on which he intended to
rely so that the public might have yet another oppor-
tunity to comment on that material. If this new round
of comments provided any significant information, the
Administrator would presumably be able to use that
information only if he formally stated his intent to do
so and allowed still another round of comments. For
obvious reasons, there is no support for this novel sug-
gestion in the Act or in the jurisprudence.’”

1% Compare JA 1-5 (the text of the Administrator’s deci-
sion) with JA 186-193 and JA 231-239 (discussions of the
dustfall hypothesis in the Second Health Document).

17 The dissent cites no authority at all in that part of its
argument which focuses on the asserted need for notice of
intent to rely. See dissent at 31-32, 42-50. The authorities cited
in the same section of the dissent, see id. at 33-35 &
nn.78-80, support only the proposition that an agency may not
keep secret the purpose of its proceeding or information im-
portant to its decision. The citation to K. DAvis, ADMINIS-
TRATIVE LAW TREATISE § 15.10 at 402 (1958), dissent at 34
n.78, refers to a discussion of the “Procedures for Using and
Challenging Extra-Record Facts” of which an administrative
decision maker has taken notice during an adjudicatory pro-
ceeding. Since all of the studies at issue here were disclosed
by the Administrator as soon as they became available to him,
not kept secret, and since there could be no allegation that
any of this material was not part of the record properly be-

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The record in this case clearly demonstrates that EPA
fully satisfied the requirements of administrative due
process. In fact, EPA’s efforts to elicit informed comment
on its proposed action went far beyond the measures it
was required to take. All health-related documents, in-
cluding internal EPA policy memoranda, were made
public upon receipt," and comments on the documents

fore the Administrator, these authorities are of no assistance
to the dissent’s argument.

Bowman Transportation, Inc. v. Arkansas-Best Freight
System, Inc., supra note 73, quoted, dissent at 35, also
offers no support for the proposition that the APA requires
notice of what material received and made public after pub-
lication of a proposed rule will be relied on to support the final
regulation. In the first place, Bowman was an adjudicatory
proceeding, not a notice-and-comment rule-making. More im-
portantly, in the sentence immediately following the language
quoted by the dissent the Supreme Court noted that a party’s
right “to be apprised of the factual material on which the
agency relies for decision” does “not preclude a factfinder
from observing strengths and weaknesses in the evidence
that no party identified.” 419 U.S. at 288 n.4. The Adminis-
trator’s treatment of the Seven Cities Study, as well as of the
Japanese study submitted by lead industry opponents of the
proposed regulation, fits squarely within this observation.
Moreover, the Bowman Court also noted that the petitioners
there “are not in a position to claim unfair surprise” because
the Commission had offered the same rationale for its inter-
pretation of evidence in a case decided at the time the hearings
in Bowman were beginning. Jd. at 289 n.4. That rationale, it
should be noted, was potentially rebuttable. In the face of this
conclusion, the assertion that petitioners were not on notice
that the agency might rely on information in the public record
of this rule-making proceeding appears frivolous.

Finally, we note that nothing in Wright, The Courts and the
Rulemaking Process: The Limits of Judicial Review, 59
CORNELL L. REV. 375 (1974), supports the dissent’s attempt
to transmute the three-step process established by § 4 into a
potentially unending and fruitless series of notices, comments,
and notices of intent to rely on comments.

"* See note 99 supra. Indeed, petitioner Ethyl was directly
furnished with all such documents as a result of a Freedom

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were accepted until the date of final promulgation.
These documents included drafts of the Administrator’s
decision whose contents were very similar to the version
finally published *" and a draft of the Third Health Docu-
ment which was substantially identical to the final
draft." Both the draft of the Administrator’s decision
and the regulations and the draft of the Third Health
Document were circulated for comment, and comments
were received = and acted upon.’ On this record, we

11a

of Information Act, 5 U.S.C. § 552 (1970), suit. JA 1509-
1510. See Ethyl Corp. v. EPA, 478 F.2d 47 (4th Cir. 1973).

4° The dissent’s effort to demonstrate that little comment
was received about the most recent of the studies relied on by
the Administrator is irrelevant. All the APA requires is that
there have been an opportunity to comment. The three months
between the time the important new studies were placed in
the public file and the time of the Administrator’s decision is
clearly sufficient opportunity.

12° Joy 1474; JA 1502.

* Doc. 141. Chapters I, Il, V, VII, and VIII (the conclu-
sions) of this draft, dated Oct. 19, 1973, differ only in minor
wording changes from the final Third Health Document.
Chapters III, IV, and VI of the final version contain a few ad-
ditional inconsequential paragraphs and references. The cover
of the Oct. 19 draft states that “[i]t is being circulated for
comment on its technical accuracy and policy implications.”

The early October preparation and circulation of a draft
decision and a draft Third Health Document, both in ob-
viously near final form, belie the dissents’ contention that this
court’s 30-day order, see p. 14 supra, forced EPA to rush into
a decision it was not yet ready to make.

122 See, e.g., JA 2577 (Treasury Department comments) ;
JA 2651 (letter from Secretary of Transportation); JA 2493
(Department of the Interior comments, dated Dec. 7, 1973).
The Nalco comments, see note 106 supra, were addressed to
both the draft Third Health Document and the draft of the
Administrator’s decision.

23 See Ethyl letter dated Oct. 29, 1973, Doc. 1090, present-
ing evidence considered in the Third Health Document, JA 79

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110

cannot find that petitioners were deprived of administra-
tive due process by EPA procedures.’

(ref. 11) & 140 (ref. 43). The Ethy] letter called this evidence
to EPA’s attention because “[t]o our knowledge these highly
significant articles have not been referred to by EPA to date
in its consideration of the health question * * *.” Doc. 1090
supra. The timing of this letter suggests that Ethyl was re-
ferring to EPA’s failure to reference these articles in the Oct.
19 draft of the Third Health Document. Ethyl would have
received that draft due to its Freedom of Information Act suit.
See note 118 supra.

*** Beyond their attacks on the Administrator’s interpreta-
tion of the statutory language, the evidence, and the proced-
ures, petitioners raise a host of other objections to the final
EPA regulations. We have considered above petitioners’
claims that the Administrator did not properly consider the
possibility of regulation under § 202, see note 66 supra, and
that he did not make a valid finding that any substitute addi-
tive would be less dangerous than lead, particularly in light
of his recent suspension of 1977 statutory emission standards.
: See notes 67-68 supra. Cf. note 2 supra. We shall briefly ad-
: dress petitioners’ remaining contentions.

Ethyl claims a right to cross-examine agency witnesses.
Ethy! Br. at 55. Not only does the Clean Air Act not require
any hearings at all, but even if hearings were required cross-
examination is not mandated in § 4 type proceedings, 5 U.S.C.
§ 553. United States v. Florida East Coast R. Co., 410 U.S.
224, 240 (1973). Petitioners were afforded a meaningful
opportunity to be heard and to controvert the evidence. Fair-
ness demands no more. See International Harvester Co. V.
Ruckelshaus, 155 U.S.App.D.C. 411, 427, 478 F.2d 615, 631
(1973).

PPG, duPont and NPRA claim the Administrator was re-
quired to set ambient air standards for lead under § 108, 42
U.S.C. § 1857e-3, before acting under § 211, and his failure
to do so warrants reversal. PPG/duPont Br. at 45; NPRA
Supp. Br. at 37-47. There is no basis in the statute for this
claim. While § 211 expressly mentions consideration of regu-
lation under § 202, it makes no mention at all of § 108. More
over, the Administrator claims, with some statutory support,

4

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111
V. CONCLUSION
The complex scientific questions presented by this rule-

making proceeding were “resolved in the crucible of
debate through the clash of informed but opposing scien-

that action under § 108 is discretionary with him. 38 FED. REG.
33740 (1973). Cf. note 21 supra.

Nalco, PPG and duPont all claim that the Administrator
did not give sufficient consideration to the adverse economic
effects of his decision to regulate lead additives. Nalco Br. at
42; PPG Br. at 40. Even if the Administrator is allowed to
consider at all the economic effects of regulations issued under
§ 211(c) (1) (A), a question we do not address, he has plainly
both well understood and considered the consequences of these
regulations and found them to be minimal. 38 FED. REG. 33739
(1973). We cannot say his judgment was irrational.

NPRA objects to the Administrator’s switch from leaded
pool averaging to total pool averaging. NPRA Supp. Br. at 47-
48. EPA switched in response to the comments of a majority
of refiners. 38 FED. REG. 33739. We find nothing wrong with
the use of that system. We discussed at note 100 supra the
propriety of the Agency’s announcing this change when prom-
ulgating its final regulations.

Lastly, Ethyl, PPG, duPont and NPRA claim that EPA was
required to file an environmental impact statement under
$ 102(2)(C) of the National Environmental Policy Act, 42
U.S.C. § 4332(2)(C) (1970), or the functional equivalent of
one. Ethyl Br. at 57; PPG Br. at 46; NPRA Br. at 53. So
far as EPA regulation under § 211 is concerned, we answered
this question in Amoco, and recent legislation has made the
point doubly clear. An environmental impact statement from
EPA does not appear necessary; a “functiona! equivalent”
suffices. The Amoco court held that when the Administrator
has considered the evidence and alternative courses of action
required before action under § 211 is permitted, he has neces-
serily furnished the “functional equivalent” of an impact
statement. Amoco Oil Co. v. EPA, supra note 2, 163 U.S.App.
D.C. at 189-190, 501 F.2d at 749-750. Since we believe the
Administrator has complied with all the demands of § 211 in
this case, we believe he has likewise complied with NEPA.

[continued }

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tifie and technological viewpoints.” International Har-
vester Co. Vv. Ruckelshaus, 155 U.S.App.D.C. 411, 448,
478 F.2d 615, 652 (1973) (concurring opinion of Chief
Judge Bazelon). On January 31, 1971 the EPA began
the debate by publishing advance notice of proposed rule-
making concerning possible controls on lead additives
: in gasolines because of their possible danger to health.
On February 23, 1972 it published the proposed regula-
7 tions supported by a document, Health Hazards of Lead
(First Health Document), prepared by the EPA scien-
tific staff. It invited comment from the lead industry,
: the scientific community, and the concerned public. The
EPA held public hearings in Washington, D.C., Dallas,
7 and Los Angeles to give people across the country an
opportunity to join the debate.
q

On January 10, 1973 the EPA reproposed the regula-
tions in slightly changed form, supported by a Second
Health Document which reflected the scientific comments
on the first and brought the scientific information on
the subject up to date. Scientific studies, pro and con,
i which had become available since the proposed regula-
; tions were first published were included. Again the
; EPA invited the parties, the scientific community, and
‘ the concerned public to comment. Finally, on November
28, 1973, almost three years after the debate was
joined, the EPA promulgated its regulations accompanied

Any lingering doubt in this regard has been removed by
recent congressional action. The Energy Supply and Environ-
mental Coordination Act of 1974, Pub. L. No. 93-319, 88 STaT.
246 (1974) (codified at 15 U.S.C. §791 et seq. (Supp. IV
1974)), provides: “No action taken under the Clean Air Act
shall be deemed a major Federal action significantly affecting
the quality of the human environment within the meaning
of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969.” Jd. § 7(c)
(1), 15 U.S.C. §793(c) (1). Thus Congress has expressly
exempted EPA action under the Clean Air Act from NEPA’s
environmental impact statement requirement.

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by a 10,000-word opinion, thoroughly and comprehen-
sively analyzing the various scientific studies and giving
its reasons why it resolved the scientific debate it had
provoked in favor of protecting the public from the
danger of lead emissions. A Third Health Document,
extensively detailing and reviewing the current state of
scientific knowledge of the health effects of airborne
lead, also accompanied the regulations and the reasons
for their issuance.

Because of the importance of the issues raised, we
have accorded this case the most careful and exhaustive
consideration. We find that in this rule-making pro-
ceeding the EPA has complied with all the statutory
procedural requirements and that its reasons as stated
in its opinion provide a rational basis for its action.
Since we reject all of petitioners’ claims of er

[Text truncated at 120,000 characters. The full text is on the page linked above.]

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Source: Frix Law Library, https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/documents/brief%3Amicro_IA40385609_0192%3A1. Public record. Not legal advice.
