# DAVISON v. SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES

> United States Court of Federal Claims · September 19, 2025

URL: https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/cases/11141963

## Case

- **Court:** United States Court of Federal Claims
- **Decided:** September 19, 2025
- **Precedential status:** Unpublished
- **Opinion:** Opinion
- **Judges:** Daniel T. Horner
- **Cited by:** 0 later opinions in the Frix Law Library

## Citator (automated)

- No negative treatment found by the automated citator. That is not the same as a confirmation that the case is good law; read the citing cases.
- Full citator and citing cases: https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/cases/11141963

## How later opinions describe it (automated extraction)

- stating as the general rule that “[n]egligence actions for the suicide of another will generally not lie since the act of suicide is considered a deliberate intervening act“
- stating that “suicide constitutes an independent intervening act so extraordinary as not to have been reasonably foreseeable by the original tortfeasor”
- explaining the Vaccine Program is intended to compensate petitioners “quickly” and “with ‘generosity’” to keep them out of the traditional tort system (quoting H.R. REP. NO. 99-908 (1986))
- reasoning that “nothing . . . mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is sacrosanct—that is must be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted”

## Opinion text

In the United States Court of Federal Claims
OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
No. 19-1404V
Filed: August 19, 2025

Special Master Horner
RONALD DAVISON, Executor of the
ESTATE OF GARY DAVISON,

Petitioner,
v.

SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND
HUMAN SERVICES,

Respondent.

Edward Kraus, Kraus Law Group, LLC, Chicago, IL, for petitioner.
Jamica Marie Littles, U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.

RULING ON ENTITLEMENT1

On September 12, 2019, petitioner, Ronald Davison, filed a petition on behalf of
his deceased brother, Gary Davison, under the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act,
42 U.S.C. § 300aa-10, et seq. (2012),2 alleging that he suffered Guillain-Barré
Syndrome (“GBS”) caused-in-fact by a pneumococcal conjugate (Prevnar 13)
vaccination he received on August 10, 2017. (ECF No. 1.) Petitioner also alleged that
the decedent suffered depression leading to suicide as a consequence of his GBS. (Id.
at 6.) For the reasons set forth below, I conclude that petitioner is entitled to an award
of compensation.

1 Because this document contains a reasoned explanation for the action taken in this case, it must be

made publicly accessible and will be posted on the United States Court of Federal Claims' website, and/or
at https://www.govinfo.gov/app/collection/uscourts/national/cofc, in accordance with the E-Government
Act of 2002. 44 U.S.C. § 3501 note (2018) (Federal Management and Promotion of Electronic
Government Services). This means the document will be available to anyone with access to the
internet. In accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b), Petitioner has 14 days to identify and move to redact
medical or other information, the disclosure of which would constitute an unwarranted invasion of privacy.
If, upon review, I agree that the identified material fits within this definition, I will redact such material from
public access.
2 Within this ruling, all citations to § 300aa will be the relevant sections of the Vaccine Act at 42 U.S.C.

§ 300aa-10-34.

1
I. Applicable Statutory Scheme

Under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, compensation
awards are made to individuals who have suffered injuries after receiving vaccines. In
general, to gain an award, a petitioner must make a number of factual demonstrations,
including showing that an individual received a vaccination covered by the statute;
received it in the United States; suffered a serious, long-standing injury or death; and
has received no previous award or settlement on account of the injury. Finally – and the
key question in most cases under the Program – the petitioner must also establish a
causal link between the vaccination and the injury.

In some cases, the petitioner may simply demonstrate the occurrence of what
has been called a “Table Injury.” That is, it may be shown that the vaccine recipient
suffered an injury of the type enumerated in the “Vaccine Injury Table,” corresponding to
the vaccination in question, within an applicable time period following the vaccination
also specified in the Table. If so, the Table Injury is presumed to have been caused by
the vaccination unless it is affirmatively shown that the injury was caused by some
factor other than the vaccination. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(A); § 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(i);
§ 300aa-14(a); § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B). In many cases, however, the vaccine recipient
may have suffered an injury not of the type covered in the Vaccine Injury Table. In such
instances, an alternative means exists to demonstrate entitlement to a Program award.
That is, the petitioner may gain an award by showing that the recipient’s injury was
“caused-in-fact” by the vaccination in question. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B);
§ 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(ii). In that context, the presumptions available under the Vaccine
Injury Table are inoperative. The burden is on the petitioner to introduce evidence
demonstrating that the vaccination actually caused the injury in question. Althen v.
Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005); Hines ex rel.
Sevier v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 940 F.2d 1518, 1525 (Fed. Cir. 1991).

GBS is a Table Injury if onset occurs 3-42 days following receipt of a flu vaccine.
42 C.F.R. § 100.3(a)(XIV)(D). However, GBS is not a Table Injury relative to the
Prevnar 13 vaccine at issue in this case. 42 C.F.R. § 100.3(a)(XII). To succeed on a
claim that petitioner’s Prevnar 13 vaccine caused GBS, petitioner must satisfy the
burden of proof for “causation-in-fact.”

The showing of “causation-in-fact” must satisfy the “preponderance of the
evidence” standard, the same standard ordinarily used in tort litigation.
§ 300aa-13(a)(1)(A); see also Althen, 418 F.3d at 1279; Hines, 940 F.2d at 1525.
Under that standard, the petitioner must show that it is “more probable than not” that the
vaccination was the cause of the injury. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1279. The petitioner need
not show that the vaccination was the sole cause but must demonstrate that the
vaccination was at least a “substantial factor” in causing the condition, and was a “but
for” cause. Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352 (Fed. Cir.
1999). Thus, the petitioner must supply “proof of a logical sequence of cause and effect
showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury[,]” with the logical sequence
being supported by “reputable medical or scientific explanation.” Althen, 418 F.3d at

2
1278; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992).
Ultimately, petitioner must satisfy what has come to be known as the Althen test, which
requires: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a
logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for
the injury; and (3) a showing of proximate temporal relationship between vaccination
and injury. Id.

A petitioner may not receive a Vaccine Program award based solely on his or her
assertions, but may support the petition with either medical records or by the opinion of
a competent physician. § 300aa-13(a)(1). Medical records are generally viewed as
particularly trustworthy evidence, because they are created contemporaneously with the
treatment of the patient. Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 993 F.2d 1525,
1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). However, medical records and/or statements of a treating
physician’s views do not per se bind the special master to adopt the conclusions of such
an individual, even if they must be considered and carefully evaluated.
§ 300aa-13(b)(1). A petitioner may rely upon circumstantial evidence. Althen, 418 F.3d
at 1280. In that regard, the Althen court noted that a petitioner need not necessarily
supply evidence from medical literature supporting petitioner’s causation contention, so
long as the petitioner supplies the medical opinion of an expert. Id. at 1279-80. While
scientific certainty is not required, that expert’s opinion must be based on “sound and
reliable” medical or scientific explanation. Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs.,
941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019).

Cases in the Vaccine Program are assigned to special masters who are
responsible for “conducting all proceedings, including taking such evidence as may be
appropriate, making the requisite findings of fact and conclusions of law, preparing a
decision, and determining the amount of compensation, if any, to be awarded.” Vaccine
Rule 3. Special masters must ensure each party has had a “full and fair opportunity” to
develop the record but are empowered to determine the format for taking evidence
based on the circumstances of each case. Vaccine Rule 3(b)(2); Vaccine Rule 8(a);
Vaccine Rule 8(d). Special masters are not bound by common law or statutory rules of
evidence but must consider all relevant and reliable evidence in keeping with
fundamental fairness to both parties. Vaccine Rule 8(b)(1). The special master is
required to consider “all [] relevant medical and scientific evidence contained in the
record,” including “any diagnosis, conclusion, medical judgment, or autopsy or coroner’s
report which is contained in the record regarding the nature, causation, and aggravation
of the petitioner’s illness, disability, injury, condition, or death,” as well as the “results of
any diagnostic or evaluative test which are contained in the record and the summaries
and conclusions.” § 300aa-13(b)(1)(A). The special master is required to consider the
entirety of record, draw plausible inferences, and articulate a rational basis for the
decision. Winkler v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 88 F.4th 958, 963 (Fed. Cir.
2023) (citing Hines, 940 F.2d at 1528).

3
II. Procedural History

Petitioner filed medical records, medical literature, and a declaration (ECF Nos.
10-11, 15; Exs. 1-21) and then filed a statement of completion in April of 2020. (ECF
No. 16.) In November of 2020, respondent filed his Rule 4(c) Report, recommending
against compensation. (ECF No. 25.) Respondent contested petitioner’s ability to meet
the three-part Althen test with respect to the decedent’s GBS, but did not address the
death claim.3 (Id.) Petitioner filed an expert report by neurologist, Nizar Souayah, M.D.,
the following May. (ECF No. 28; Ex. 22; see also ECF Nos. 37-40; Exs. 23-55 (medical
literature).) Respondent filed responsive expert reports by neurologist Peter Donofrio,
M.D., and immunologist Harry Schroeder, Jr., M.D., Ph.D., in October of 2021. (ECF
Nos. 32-33; Exs. A-D.) Although Dr. Souayah opined that the decedent’s suicide was
causally related to his GBS and provided supporting literature, neither Dr. Donofrio nor
Dr. Schroeder addressed the decedent’s death in their responsive reports.

Thereafter, a status conference was held, during which it was noted that neither
the decedent’s diagnosis nor the timing of onset appeared to be at issue, leaving
primarily petitioner’s theory of causation at issue. (ECF No. 34, p. 1.) I also instructed,
with an eye toward addressing potential barriers to settlement discussions, that “if
respondent intends to raise any legal or factual defense to petitioner’s death claim
(beyond the question of whether the decedent’s GBS was vaccine-caused), he should
do so now and not wait for any potential damages phase of litigation.” (Id. at 2.) During
a follow up status conference, respondent initially advised that he “wishes to develop
the factual record with respect to the contributing factors underlying Mr. Davison’s
suicide and whether the suicide is attributable to depression stemming from his GBS as
petitioner alleges,” which he was permitted to do. (ECF No. 41.) However, respondent
subsequently filed a motion to amend the schedule, advising that

Respondent no longer wishes to develop the legal or factual record with
respect to petitioner’s claim that the decedent’s suicide is attributable to
depression stemming from the alleged vaccine injury of Guillain-Barré
Syndrome (“GBS”). However, Respondent will continue to defend this
case, contesting that the Prevnar 13 vaccine caused the decedent’s GBS.

(ECF No. 46.)

3 In order to state a claim for a vaccine-related injury under the Vaccine Act, a vaccinee must have either:

(i) suffered the residual effects or complications of such illness, disability, injury, or condition for more than
6 months after the administration of the vaccine, or (ii) died from the administration of the vaccine, or (iii)
suffered such illness, disability, injury or condition from the vaccine which resulted in inpatient
hospitalization and surgical intervention. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(D). In this case, the decedent’s death by
suicide occurred less than six months post-vaccination. However, respondent did not challenge
petitioner’s satisfaction of the severity requirement. Notably, though, I find that the decedent’s GBS alone
meets the statutory severity requirement on the basis that he experienced inpatient hospitalization and
surgical intervention, namely, a tracheostomy on August 31, 2017 (see Ex. 1, p. 875). Accord Brandt v.
Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 23-1549V, slip op. at 3 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2025) (finding
a tracheostomy is a surgical intervention based on respondent’s report). Thus, petitioner’s claim for the
decedent’s GBS is not dependent on the validity of the separate death claim.

4
An entitlement hearing had been set to be held in February of 2023; however,
after the undersigned issued a ruling on entitlement in another case alleging that the
Prevnar vaccine had caused GBS, the parties sought to introduce new experts and the
entitlement hearing was cancelled. (ECF No. 52.) Petitioner then filed an expert report
by neuroimmunologist Lawrence Steinman, M.D., in January of 2023 (ECF No. 54; Ex.
56; see also ECF Nos. 59-62; Exs. 57-83 (medical literature)), and respondent filed a
responsive report by bioinformatician Yang Zhang, Ph.D., in June of 2023 (ECF No. 57;
Exs. E-F). The parties also exchanged supplemental reports by Drs. Steinman and
Zhang between October of 2023 and March of 2024. (ECF Nos. 63, 67-69; Exs. 90-103
(Steinman) and ECF No. 66; Exs. G-H (Zhang).) Dr. Steinman and Dr. Zhang primarily
addressed petitioner’s theory of causation with respect to the decedent’s GBS.

Thereafter, the parties requested that the case be resolved based on written
submissions and without a hearing. (ECF No. 70.) Petitioner filed a motion for a ruling
on the written record on May 31, 2024. (ECF No. 73.) The motion was fully briefed as
of September 12, 2024. (ECF Nos. 75-76.)

In light of the above, I have determined that the parties have had a full and fair
opportunity to present their cases and that it is appropriate to resolve entitlement on the
existing record. See Vaccine Rule 8(d); Vaccine Rule 3(b)(2); see also Kreizenbeck ex
rel. C.J.K. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 945 F.3d 1362, 1366 (Fed. Cir. 2020)
(noting that “special masters must determine that the record is comprehensive and fully
developed before ruling on the record”). Accordingly, this matter is now ripe for
resolution.

III. Factual History

The decedent received the Prevnar 13 (pneumococcal) vaccination at issue in
this case on August 10, 2017. (Ex. 2, pp. 120-21.) He also received a Zostavax
(shingles) vaccine. (Id.) He was 71 years old at the time with, inter alia, a prior history
of three prior cerebral vascular accidents, which left him with mild left-side weakness
and an unsteady gate. (Ex. 1, p. 290; Ex. 2, pp. 119, 136.) About ten days following
these vaccinations, the decedent presented to the emergency department on August
20, 2017, with a three-day history of progressive weakness, numbness, and tingling in
all of his extremities. (Ex. 1, p. 264; Ex. 2, p. 110.) He was also experiencing leg pain
and difficulty breathing. (Ex. 1, p. 264; Ex. 2, p. 110.) On exam, he had absent deep
tendon reflexes in his lower extremities and reduced vibration perception in his feet.
(Ex. 2, p. 113.) After a neurology consult, GBS was suspected, IVIG treatment was
started, and the decedent was transferred to the ICU for further evaluation. (Ex. 1, pp.
392-93.) During the course of his hospitalization, the decedent’s GBS diagnosis was
confirmed following a finding of elevated protein in cerebral spinal fluid on lumbar
puncture and a finding of severe motor polyneuropathy on EMG/NCS study. (Ex. 1, pp.
161, 322-23, 922.) This GBS diagnosis is not contested.

While in the ICU, the decedent was intubated and sedated with propofol due to
his respiratory difficulty and risk of aspiration. (Ex. 1, p. 354.) Although petitioner had

5
initially consented to full treatment, once intubated he “report[ed] he does not want any
more treatment, would like to die. Is refusing all treatment . . . .” (Id. at 353.) This was
attributed at least in part to an infectious disease consultation, which initially indicated
(ultimately incorrectly) that he had tested positive for both HIV and syphilis. (Ex. 1, pp.
358-64; Ex. 2, p. 13.) Shortly after this, the decedent refused a recommended lumbar
puncture, as well as any further treatment. (Ex. 1, p. 354.) He was reportedly “in
shock” and stated that “he did not want to live anymore.” (Id.) It was felt that the
decedent was experiencing “likely situational depression,” and a follow up psychiatry
evaluation was ordered to evaluate the decedent’s decision making capacity and his
depressive symptoms. (Id.; Ex. 2, p. 13.) It was concluded that the decedent lacked
medical decision-making capacity due to the decedent being “cognitively impaired,
oriented to person and time somewhat and not completely place.” (Ex. 1, pp. 355-56.)
However, because the decedent’s intubation limited him to yes or no questions (nodding
or shaking of the head), his mood and thought content could not be assessed, making it
impossible to evaluate his depressive symptoms. (Id. at 354-55.)

Petitioner remained in the ICU for about a month for treatment of GBS, aspiration
pneumonia, hemolysis, rhabdomyolysis, atrial fibrillation, and hypernatremia. (Ex. 1, p.
264.) After two five-day courses of IVIG, the decedent began to see some
improvement, though he was still suffering from quadriplegia with areflexia primarily
affecting the lower extremities. (Id. at 264.) He was eventually extubated on
September 21, 2017. (Id.) Thereafter, his decision-making capacity was reevaluated
by the psychiatry department. (Id. at 289-90.) He regained his decision-making
capacity; however, he continued to report feeling “down,” though he denied symptoms
of depression, expressed a preference for resuscitative efforts, and reported that he had
no thoughts of harm to himself. (Id. at 290-92.) By this time, he was being treated with
paroxetine (an anti-depressant) for his mood, which had been started on September 8,
2017, and which continued to be among his active medications through December of
2017. (Id. at 25; Ex. 19, p. 10.)

The decedent was discharged from the hospital to inpatient rehabilitation on
September 28, 2017, where he remained until being released home on November 30,
2017. (Ex. 1, pp. 264-65; Ex. 18, p. 24.) His rehabilitation intake diagnoses included
GBS and “major depressive disorder.” (Ex. 18, p. 27.) By the time of his discharge, the
decedent had “done well” in rehabilitation and at discharge he had achieved sufficient
independence to function at home, though he still required assistance and supervision
with mobility. (Id. at 24.) He was noted to be “doing well” with his depression; however,
depression remained among his discharge diagnoses. (Id.) He was hospitalized again
from December 13, 2017, through December 22, 2017, for dizziness and difficulty
breathing, likely either an exacerbation of COPD or pneumonia. (Ex. 19, pp. 14-16, 20,
28.)

The decedent expressed multiple times that he was concerned about the cost of
his treatment and that he was concerned he did not have anyone to assist him.4 (Ex. 1,

4 The decedent lived with his brother, but suggested his brother was frequently out of town for work. (Ex.
19, p. 40.)

6
p. 265; Ex. 19, p. 43.) Shortly before his second hospital discharge, the decedent’s
social worker documented on December 19, 2017: “provided pt with financial
assistances resources as he seemed depressed about his finances.” (Ex. 19, p. 43.)
The social worker noted that the decedent’s financial constraints would be a “barrier”
and that he would need a financial counselor once he received his bill. (Id.)

The petitioner, also the decedent’s brother, recalled that

[w]hen [the decedent] came home from the hospital on December 22, 2017,
he had lost the progress he had made previously with his walking. He
became very depressed because he was so weak and he did not think he
would ever recover. He told me that he didn’t think he would ever be well
enough to care for himself or to leave the house on his own to visit friends
or do any of the things he enjoyed before his GBS.

(Ex. 10, p. 3.) The decedent committed suicide on December 29, 2017, the day after
completing his initial evaluation for at home physical therapy. (Ex. 3, pp. 46, 56-57; Ex.
16.)

IV. Summary of Expert Opinions

a. Petitioner’s Expert, Nizar Souayah, M.D. 5

Initially, petitioner filed a report by neurologist Nizar Souayah, M.D. (Ex. 22.)
Following his review of the medical records, Dr. Souayah opined that the decedent
suffered GBS, the onset of which occurred approximately ten days following his
pneumococcal vaccination. (Id. at 6.) He explained that GBS is an autoimmune clinical
syndrome affecting the peripheral nerves that is frequently triggered by an acute
infectious process, with “[n]umerous” antecedent events recognized as triggers. (Id. at
8.) The most common form of GBS is acute inflammatory demyelinating
polyneuropathy (“AIDP”), in which “invasion of the myelin sheath of the peripheral nerve
by activated macrophages result[s] in damage to its intact myelin sheath, demyelination
and secondary axonal loss.” (Id. at 7-9.) Petitioner’s condition is consistent with AIDP.
(Id.)

5 Dr. Souayah received his medical degree from Medical School of Tunis in Tunisia in 1990, before going

on to complete a residency in primary care and family practice at Hospitals of the Medical School of Tunis
in 1990; a residency in internal medicine at Hospitals of Medical School of Strasbourg, France, in 1997; a
residency in internal medicine at University of Pennsylvania Health System, Presbyterian Medical Center,
in 1999; and a residency in neurology at Temple University Hospital in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, in
2002. (Ex. 104, pp. 1-2.) He is board certified in neurology with a subspecialty in neuromuscular
medicine, and he maintains an active medical license in New Jersey. (Id. at 3-4.) He currently works as
a professor of neurology and neurosciences, as well as an associate professor of pharmacology,
physiology, and neurosciences, at Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. (Id. at 2.) He has
published 85 articles; 6 books, monographs, and chapters; and nearly 300 abstracts. (Id. at 23-47.)

7
The exact etiology of GBS is unknown, though it is considered autoimmune and
post infectious and has been documented as following both upper respiratory and
gastrointestinal infections. (Ex. 22, p. 8.)

Six pathogens have been temporally associated with GBS in case-control
studies: Camplyobacter jejuni [also referred to as C. jejuni],
cytomegalovirus, hepatitis E virus, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, Epstein-Barr
virus and Zika virus. Other pathogens are linked to GBS on the basis of
evidence from case series or epidemiological studies, but their role in the
pathogenesis of GBS is uncertain.

(Id.) Molecular mimicry, the most commonly proposed mechanism for autoimmune
disease, has been demonstrated in the context of GBS following C. jejuni. (Id. at 9.)
Although certain formulations of the flu vaccine have been epidemiologically linked to
GBS, Dr. Souayah acknowledges that “[a]lthough several studies reported the
occurrence of GBS after pneumococcal vaccination, the number of cases did not reach
significance [] when compared to GBS in non-vaccinated patients.” (Id. at 10-17.)

Noting that onset of the decedent’s GBS occurred during the “peak” timeframe
for post-vaccination GBS to occur (Ex. 22, p. 23), noting the decedent not to have had
any relevant preceding respiratory or gastrointestinal illness (Id. at 8), and opining that
the pneumococcal vaccine can result in molecular mimicry against myelin tissue
notwithstanding the lack of associational data (Id. at 19), Dr. Souyah opines that the
decedent’s GBS was caused by his pneumococcal vaccination (Id. at 22-23).

Additionally, Dr. Souayah explains that GBS patients have a 2.6 to 4.8-fold
increased risk for depression. (Ex. 22, p. 20 (citing Nian-Sheng Tzeng et al., Risk of
Psychiatric Disorders in Guillain-Barre Syndrome: A Nationwide, Population-Based,
Cohort Study, 381 J. NEUROLOGICAL SCIS. 88 (2017) (Ex. 47); Wafik Said Bahnasy et al.,
Sleep and Psychiatric Abnormalities in Guillain Barré Syndrome, 54 EGYPTIAN J.
NEUROLOGY PSYCHIATRY & NEUROSURGERY 1 (2018) (Ex. 48)).) More severely disabled
patients are more likely to develop psychological symptoms. (Id. (citing Bahnasy et al.,
supra, at Ex. 48; Christopher Hillyar & Anjan Nibber, Psychiatric Sequelae of Guillain-
Barré Syndrome: Towards a Multidisciplinary Team Approach, 12 CUREUS e7051 (2020)
(Ex. 49)).) Among severely disabled GBS patients, 67% have depression. (Id.)
Erlnagsen et al. conducted a retrospective cohort study of over seven million people in
Denmark to assess an association between neurologic disorders and higher rates of
suicide. (Id. (citing Annette Erlangsen et al., Association Between Neurological
Disorders and Death by Suicide in Denmark, 323 JAMA 444 (2020) (Ex. 50)).) Overall,
suicide occurred more than twice as often among those with neurologic disorders (44
per 100,000 person-years versus 20.1 per 100,000 person-years among those without
such a diagnosis). (Id.) The highest rate was between the first and third months after
being diagnosed. (Id.) Overall, those diagnosed with neurologic disorders had an
adjusted increased relative risk of suicide of 1.8 while GBS patients in particular had an
adjusted increased relative risk of suicide of 2.2 (95% confidence interval from 1.2 to
4.1). (Id.) Dr. Souayah notes that even after being discharged home, the decedent still

8
had significant disability, with respiratory impairment, general deconditioning, bilateral
partial foot drop, and the ability to walk or stand only with stand-by supervision. (Id. at
20-21.) Noting that the decedent had no prior history of depression or psychiatric
issues, he opines that the decedent’s December 29, 2017 suicide was the result of
“severe disability and depression induced by GBS triggered by vaccination.” (Id. at 21.)

b. Petitioner’s Expert, Lawrence Steinman, M.D.6

Dr. Steinman filed three reports in this case. (Exs. 56, 90, 103.) Like Dr.
Souayah, Dr. Steinman explains that molecular mimicry is a viable theory of causation
for GBS. (Ex. 56, p. 5.) With regard to the Prevnar 13 vaccine in particular, he
proposes two distinct molecular mimics. (Id. at 5-6.) First, Dr. Steinman explains that
the Prevnar 13 vaccine contains phosphoglycerol molecules, which he opines have
sufficient homology to cross-react with polar head groups within the lipids within myelin
tissue. (Id. at 6-14.) Second, he explains that the Streptococcus pneumoniae (“S.
pneumonia”) strains included in the Prevnar 13 vaccine are conjugated to a diphtheria
CRM197 protein. Using NIH “BLAST”7 searching, Dr. Steinman proposes that CRM197
can be shown to be a molecular mimic to a molecule known as “Contactin-1,” which he
indicates is a known target of autoimmune attack in some cases of GBS. (Id. at 5, 14-
26.) Because I have concluded that Dr. Steinman’s theory based on his first proposed
molecular mimic is sufficient to support petitioner’s burden of proof under Althen prong
one, the second theory will not be addressed further.8

Dr. Steinman explains that lipids constitute 70% of the myelin sheath. (Ex. 56, p.
6 (citing Peggy Ho et al., Identification of Naturally Occurring Fatty Acids of the Myelin
Sheath That Resolve Neuroinflammation, 6 SCI. TRANSLATIONAL MED. 137 (2012) (Ex.
64)).) Moreover, studies have shown that phospholipids within the myelin sheath are
targeted by autoantibodies as part of the neuroinflammation associated with multiple
sclerosis. (Id. (citing Jennifer Kanter et al., Lipid Microarrays Identify Key Mediators of

6 Dr. Steinman received his medical degree from Harvard in 1973. (Ex. 59, p. 1.) He completed an
internship and residency at Stanford University Hospital in 1973 and 1974, respectively, before going on
to complete a neuroimmunology fellowship at the Weizmann Institute of Science in 1977. (Id.) He
returned to Stanford University to complete an additional neurology residency in 1980. (Id.) Since then,
Dr. Steinman has worked as a professor in the neurology department at Stanford University. (Id.) He is
board certified in neurology. (Ex. 59, p. 2.) In his clinical capacity, Dr. Steinman has treated both adult
and pediatric patients who suffered from various forms of autoimmune disease of the nervous system,
including GBS. (Ex. 56, p. 1.) In his research capacity, he has published over 600 journal articles, many
of which are in the area of molecular mimicry. (Id.; Ex. 59, pp. 5-52.) Relevant here, Dr. Steinman has
also specifically published on the role of an immune response to lipids in the development of
demyelinating disease. (Ex. 56, p. 4.)
7 The Basic Local Alignment Search Tool (BLAST) “finds regions of local similarity between [nucleotide or

protein] sequences” and “can be used to infer functional and evolutionary relationships between
sequences as well as help identify members of gene families.” Basic Local Alignment Search Tool, NAT’L
LIBR. MED., https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi (last visited July 29, 2025).
8 As noted in notes 12-13, infra, Dr. Steinman’s CRM197 has been accepted in some instances and

rejected in others.

9
Autoimmune Brain Inflammation, 12 NATURE MED. 138 (2006) (Ex. 63); Ho et al., supra,
at Ex. 64.) Within these studies, it has been shown that it is the polar head group of
these molecules that is targeted, including phosphatidylcholine and phosphatidylserine
in particular. (Id. at 7 (citing Ho et al., supra, at Ex. 64).) While the Ho study pertained
to multiple sclerosis, there is no debate in this case that autoimmune attack on the
myelin sheath is relevant to the pathogenesis of GBS and a study by Nakos et al.
demonstrated the presence of phospholipid antibodies within GBS patients, but not
controls, including phosphatidylcholine and phosphatidylserine. (Id. at 6-7 (citing G.
Nakos et al., Anit-Phospholipid Antibodies in Serum from Patients with Guillain-Barré
Syndrome, 31 INTENSIVE CARE MED. 1401 (2005) (Ex. 68)).) Within the Nakos findings,
phosphatidylcholine was among the main antigens. (Id.)

Separately, a study by Chang et al. demonstrates that phosphoglycerol linkages
on the phosphate head group are “quite necessary” to the immunogenicity of the
serotype 18C component of the Prevnar 13 vaccine. (Ex. 56, p. 7 (citing Janoi Chang et
al., Relevance of O-Acetyl and Phosphoglycerol Groups for the Antigenicity of
Streptococcus pneumonia Serotype 18C Capsular Polysaccharide, 30 VACCINE 7090
(2012) (Ex. 69)).) Citing the Prevnar 13 patent, Dr. Steinman indicates that
phosphoglycerol is present in both the 18C and 23F serotypes within the vaccine. (Id.
at 9 (citing U.S. Patent No. 9,492,559 B2 (issued Nov. 15, 2016) [hereinafter Prevnar 13
Patent] (Ex. 71)).) According to Dr. Steinman, a study by Bryson et al. shows in the
context of the Pneumovax 23 vaccine (a different pneumococcal vaccine) that human
antibodies target the 23F S. pneumoniae serotype via phosphoglycerol. (Id. at 10-11
(citing Steve Bryson et al., Structures of Preferred Human IgV Genes-Based Protective
Antibodies Identify How Conserved Residues Contact Diverse Antigens and Assign
Source of Specificity to CDR3 Loop Variation, 196 J. IMMUNOLOGY 4723 (2016) (Ex.
72)).) Although the same study has not been conducted relative to the Prevnar 13
vaccine, Dr. Steinman opines “[s]ince the 23F and 18C components of Prevnar 13 also
contains the phosphoglycerol moiety . . . that is targeted by the antibodies generated by
Pneumovax, it is very likely that the immune response to 23F and 18C components of
Prevnar 13 vaccine also targets the phosphoglycerol moiety.” (Id. at 13-14.)

In his second report, Dr. Steinman responded to Dr. Zhang’s criticisms of both of
his theories. (Ex. 90.) First, Dr. Steinman takes issues with what he sees as Dr.
Zhang’s broader suggestion that the adaptive immune system “recognize the entire
protein or the entire lipid.” (Id. at 1-2.) He characterizes the idea that the immune
system detects fragments of proteins and lipids as “sound and reliable ‘textbook
principles.’” (Id. at 1.) Regarding the proposed molecular mimic based on
phosphoglycerol, Dr. Steinman indicates that Dr. Zhang’s bare assertion that the degree
of structural similarity is inadequate is directly refuted by the Ho et al. study, which
found that the phosphatidylcholine and phosphatidylserine were targeted in human
myelin. (Id. at 2 (citing Ho et al., supra, at Ex. 64).) To the extent Dr. Zhang suggested
that the phospholipid molecules found in patients with GBS are not necessarily
pathologic, Dr. Steinman stresses that the Ho, Nakos, Chang, and Bryson studies
should be considered in concert. (Id. at 6-9.) He suggests that Dr. Zhang’s illustration
within his report (Figure one, which is depicted below) is not informative because the

10
literature cited in Dr. Steinman’s reports shows where the relevant binding occurs. (Id.
10.) Dr. Steinman charges that Dr. Zhang is wrong to discuss protein structure without
discussing immunochemistry, because “he is not addressing how the immune system
sees small domains of the antigens discussed in Petitioner’s theory.” (Id. at 30.)

Dr. Steinman’s third report primarily addresses Dr. Zhang’s criticisms of the
CRM197 theory, which this decision does not reach. (Ex. 103.)

c. Respondent’s Expert, Peter Donofrio, M.D.9

Dr. Donofrio agrees on respondent’s behalf that the decedent suffered GBS
beginning about ten days after his pneumococcal vaccine, but disagrees that the
vaccine can be causally implicated. (Ex. A, pp. 1, 5.) Dr. Donofrio’s report is limited to
discussing a number of publications which he indicates show that the pneumococcal
vaccine has not been associated with GBS. (Id. at 5-7.) He does not otherwise raise
any issue with respect to the decedent’s own clinical history. He concludes:

The clinical and electrodiagnostic presentation of the petitioner and his
response to therapy supports the diagnosis of GBS. Review of the literature
does not confirm an association between the [Prevnar] 13 vaccination and
GBS. Epidemiologic data does not exist on the development of GBS after
receiving the pneumococcal vaccine. In the petitioner’s case, GBS more
likely occurred by chance. For this reason, more likely than not, it is my
opinion that GBS in this petitioner is not related to the [Prevnar] 13
vaccination.

(Id. at 7.) Dr. Donofrio did not respond to Dr. Souayah’s opinion that the decedent’s
suicide was a consequence of his GBS or otherwise discuss Dr. Souayah’s observation
that GBS is a cause of depression.

9 Dr. Donofrio received his medical degree from Ohio State University School of Medicine in 1975, before

going on to complete an internal medicine residency at Good Samaritan Hospital in Cincinnati, Ohio, in
1978; a neurology residency at the University of Michigan Medical Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan, in
1981; and a neuromuscular fellowship at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, Michigan, in 1982. (Ex.
B, pp. 1-2.) From there, he worked as a professor of neurology. (Id. at 2-3.) He maintains positions as a
Professor Emeritus of Neurology, as well as Chief of the Neuromuscular Section and Director of the MDA
and ALS Clinics, at Vanderbilt University Medical Center. (Ex. A, p. 1.) He is board certified in neurology,
internal medicine, electrodiagnostic medicine, and neuromuscular disorders. (Ex. B, p. 2; Ex. A, p. 1.) He
has authored over 100 journal articles, a textbook, and several book chapters and abstracts, among other
publications, that touched on GBS, CIDP, and other neuropathies. (Ex. B, pp. 12-62; Ex. A, p. 1.)

11
d. Respondent’s Expert, Harry Schroeder, Jr., M.D., Ph.D.10

Dr. Schroeder cautions that:

It is important to remember that while molecular mimicry can elicit
autoimmune reactions in the host, these reactions are not random. GBS is
a very specific disorder where there is a defined attack by the immune
system on a specific set of antigens in neural tissue, which then yields a
characteristic phenotype. Invocation of molecular mimicry requires that the
offending foreign antigen contain a shape or a structure that can mimic that
of a host self-antigen. As noted above (Ex11), the bacteria Campylobacter
jejuni appear to include structures that can mimic the structures of
gangliosides found on neural tissues. These findings have provided a
causal link to GBS, a specific autoimmune disorder. We have an etiology
as well as an epidemiologic association. Conversely, it then follows that if
other microorganisms or vaccines both lack an epidemiologic association
and also do not express molecules that can mimic gangliosides and elicit
anti-ganglioside reactions, then [it] is highly unlikely that they will be
associated with GBS. [Prevnar 13] has not been shown to contain
molecules with structural similarities to the gangliosides associated with
GBS.

(Ex. C, p. 7 (emphasis omitted).)

With regard to petitioner’s case, Dr. Schroeder agrees that the decedent was
appropriately diagnosed with GBS following his pneumococcal vaccination; however,
like Dr. Donofrio, he does not agree that the condition can be attributed to the
vaccination. (Ex. C, p. 9.) He cites three specific reasons for this conclusion. First, the
Prevnar vaccine does not contain any ganglioside-like structures and is therefore
unlikely to elicit the type of antiganglioside autoantibodies implicated in GBS, as has
been evidenced in the case of C. jejuni. (Id.) Second, the decedent’s medical work up,
though sufficient to arrive at the GBS diagnosis, was not sufficient to rule out other
possible causes of GBS, including prior infections, which could have been either
unreported or subclinical. (Id. at 9-10.) And, third, the only evidence linking the
vaccination to the decedent’s GBS is the temporal proximity; however, the medical
literature does not support the idea that this proximity is causally meaningful given that

10 Dr. Schroeder received his medical degree and Ph.D. in Cell Biology from Baylor College of Medicine

in Houton, Texas, in 1981 and 1979, respectively. (Ex. D, p. 1.) He went on to complete two genetics
fellowships, as well as an internship and residency in internal medicine. (Id. at 2.) From there, Dr.
Shroeder worked as a research associate at Howard Hughes Medical Institute at the University of
Washington, before transitioning to the role of professor at the University of Alabama at Birmingham. (Id.
at 2-4.) He is also the Director of the Program in Immunology and Training Program in Immunologic
Disease and Basic Immunology at the University of Alabama. (Id. at 4; Ex. C, p. 1.) Dr. Shroeder is
board certified in internal medicine and clinical genetics, and he maintains an active medical license in
Texas and Alabama. (Ex. D, p. 4.) He has authored nearly 100 articles, 30 reviews and editorials, 28
book chapters, and 4 books, among other publications. (Id. at 24-36.)

12
no associational relationship has been detected. (Id. at 10.) Like Dr. Donofrio, Dr.
Schroeder opines that the fact that the decedent’s GBS arose post-vaccination is “due
to chance alone.” (Id.)

Dr. Schroeder also did not respond to Dr. Souayah’s opinion that the decedent’s
suicide was a consequence of his GBS or otherwise discuss Dr. Souayah’s observation
that GBS is a cause of depression.

e. Respondent’s Expert, Yang Zhang, Ph.D.11

Significant portions of Dr. Zang’s reports are dedicated to seeking to refute Dr.
Steinman’s proposed molecular mimic between CRM197 and Contactin-1. (Exs. E, G.)
Indeed, Dr. Zhang’s supplemental report is dedicated exclusively to seeking to rebut Dr.
Steinman’s CRM197-based theory based primarily on the distinction between linear and
conformational epitopes. (Ex. G.) However, as noted above, this ruling will not reach
that theory of causation. With regard to Dr. Steinman’s proposed phosphoglycerol
theory, Dr. Zhang raises two objections: (1) he opines that, although phospholipid
molecules are found in patients with GBS, “there is no evidence establishing that these
molecules are causative agents of GBS”; and (2) comparison of the proposed mimic
using “stringent bioinformatics criteria,” shows no structural similarity. (Ex. E, pp. 12-
13.) Ultimately, Dr. Zhang opines that Dr. Steinman’s opinion includes a “critical logic
chain flaw” and “lacks direct evidence” to support his conclusion. (Ex. G, p. 6.)

Dr. Zhang opines that Dr. Steinman’s theory is logically flawed because the fact
that phospholipid molecules are observed in GBS patients “does not necessarily mean”
that they cause disease. (Ex. E, p. 3.) However, this is the full extent of his analysis on
that point. He does not specifically discuss any of Dr. Steinman’s more specific
observations regarding the potential pathogenicity of phospholipid antibodies in GBS or
any of the literature he relied upon. In particular, Dr. Zhang includes no mention of the
study by Ho et al., which Dr. Steinman relied upon as providing a basis for revisiting the
pathogenicity of these antibodies.

11 Dr. Zhang received his Ph.D. in physics from the Institute of Particle Physics at Central China Normal

University in Wuhan, China, in 1996. (Ex. H, p. 1.) From there, Dr. Zhang completed a fellowship in the
Physics Department at Free University Berlin in Berlin, Germany. (Id.) In 1999, he accepted a position
as a postdoctoral associate at the Institute of Theoretical Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, in
Beijing, China. (Id.) The following year, he moved to the United States and accepted a position as a
postdoctoral associate at Donald Danforth Plant Science Center in St. Louis, Missouri. (Id.) From there,
Dr. Zhang worked as a research associate at Center of Excellence in Bioinformatics, University at Buffalo,
in Buffalo, New York. (Id.) He accepted a position as an assistant professor in the Department of
Molecular Biosciences at the University of Kansas in Lawrence, Kansas, in 2005. (Id.) In 2009, Dr.
Zhang transitioned to associate professor in the Department of Computational Medicine and
Bioinformatics at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Id.) He remained at the University
of Michigan in Ann Arbor for several years and was eventually promoted to professor in the Department
of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics, the Department of Biological Chemistry, and the
Department of Macromolecular Sciences and Engineering. (Id.; Ex. E, p. 1.) In 2022, Dr. Zhang
accepted a position as professor in the Departments of Computer Sciences and Biochemistry at the
National University of Singapore. (Id.) He has authored over 250 peer-reviewed scientific publications.
(Ex. E, p. 1; Ex. H, pp. 14-25.)

13
Regarding the structural comparison, Dr. Zhang explains that “[t]he biological
function of small molecules is closely linked to their structure,” such that “[e]ven slight
differences can lead to entirely different biological functions.” (Ex. E, p. 3.) He indicates
that the two phospholipid molecules present in the Prevnar 13 vaccine (in serotypes
18C and 23F) “differ in global structure and molecular formula” from the four major
phospholipid antigens observed in GBS patients. (Id. at 3-4.) Thus, there is not
“sufficient ‘mimicry’ to classify the phospholipid molecules in the Prevnar 13 vaccine as
antigens for GBS.” (Id. at 4.) He provided the following figure:

(Id.) Dr. Zhang’s discussion of Dr. Steinman’s phosphoglycerol theory does not include
any citation to literature and does not explain how the above figure was generated.
Although Dr. Steinman provided significant supplemental information seeking to rebut
Dr. Zhang’s conclusion that there is insufficient mimicry, Dr. Zhang’s subsequent
supplemental report did not address that discussion. (Compare Ex. 90, with Ex. G.)

14
V. Discussion

a. Althen prong one

Under Althen prong one, petitioner must provide a “reputable medical theory,”
showing that the subject vaccine can cause the type of injury alleged. Pafford v. Sec’y
of Health & Human Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1355-56 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (quoting Pafford v.
Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01-0165V, 2004 WL 1717359, at *4 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. July 16, 2004)). Such a theory need only be “legally probable, not medically
or scientifically certain.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548-
49 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Petitioner may satisfy the first Althen prong without resort to
medical literature, epidemiological studies, demonstration of a specific mechanism, or a
generally accepted medical theory. See Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs.,
569 F.3d 1367, 1378-79 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (citing Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human
Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1325-26 (Fed. Cir. 2006)). However, “[a] petitioner must provide
a ‘reputable medical or scientific explanation’ for [the proposed causal] theory. While it
does not require medical or scientific certainty, it must still be ‘sound and reliable.’”
Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359 (citation omitted) (first quoting Moberly v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 (Fed. Cir. 2010); then quoting Knudsen, 35 F.3d at
548-49).

As with many cases in the Program, petitioner’s theory involves molecular
mimicry. Molecular mimicry is a concept whereby a susceptible host encounters a
foreign antigen that has sufficient similarity (“homology”) with components of host tissue
such that the immune system “cross-reacts,” producing antibodies that attack the host
tissue instead of the foreign antigen to ultimately cause disease or injury. (Robert S.
Fujinami et al., Molecular Mimicry, Bystander Activation, or Viral Persistence: Infections
and Autoimmune Disease, 19 CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY REVS. 80 (2006) (Ex. 27);
Lawrence Steinman, Autoimmune Disease: Misguided Assaults on the Self Produce
Multiple Sclerosis, Juvenile Diabetes and Other Chronic Illnesses. Promising Therapies
Are Emerging, 269 SCI. AM. 106 (1993) (Ex. 66).) Molecular mimicry “is a generally
accepted scientific principle, [but] mere invocation of the scientific term does not carry a
petitioner’s burden in a Program case.” Deshler v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No.
16-1070V, 2020 WL 4593162, at *20 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 1, 2020) (citing Forrest
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 14-1046V, 2019 WL 925495, at *3 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. Jan. 28, 2019)). Moreover, “the finding of sequence homology does not
necessarily mean the similarity has significance to the immune system.” Tullio v. Sec’y
of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-51V, 2019 WL 7580149, at *15 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.
Dec. 19, 2019), aff’d, 149 Fed. Cl. 448 (2020); see also Caredio ex rel. D.C. v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 17-0079V, 2021 WL 4100294, at *31 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.
July 30, 2021) (“[D]emonstration of homology alone is not enough to establish a
preponderant causation theory.” (emphasis omitted) (citing Schultz v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., No. 16-539V, 2020 WL 1039161, at *22 n.24 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan.
24, 2020))), mot. for rev. denied, No. 17-79V, 2021 WL 6058835 (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3,
2021).

15
As noted above, however, petitioners in this Program are not required to
establish scientific certainty. See, e.g., Gross v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No.
17-1075V, 2022 WL 9669651, at *36 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 22, 2022) (finding that
criteria, including supportive epidemiology, identification of antibodies directed against
human antigens, identification of the mimics of the target antigen, and reproduction in
an animal model, is tantamount to “require[ing] scientific certainty, which is a bar too
high”). With regard to the application of molecular mimicry, prior cases have expressed
that “[t]he line must be drawn somewhere between speculation and certainty.” Brayboy
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-183V, 2021 WL 4453146, at *19 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. Aug. 30, 2021). Thus, for example, in Brayboy, an omnibus proceeding
addressing autoimmune premature ovarian insufficiency, the special master found it
sufficient that the petitioners “identified cross-reaction between components of the
vaccine and proteins in the body that are directly responsible for the health and
productivity of the organ at issue” and further expressed that requiring additional steps,
or insisting on direct, testable evidence would impermissibly heighten petitioner’s
burden of proof. Id.

GBS is an acute inflammatory polyneuropathy affecting the peripheral nerves
and, in the case of AIDP, most notably affecting myelin tissue. (Guillain-Barré
Syndrome Fact Sheet, NAT’L INST. NEUROLOGICAL DISORDERS & STROKE (last updated
Aug. 26, 2014) (Ex. 65).) While the condition is believed to be of an autoimmune
etiology, the pathogenesis of GBS is incompletely understood. (Ex. 22, p. 9; see also
Nakos et al., supra, at Ex. 68.) Although there is no established association between S.
pneumoniae infection and GBS (Ex. C, p. 7), it is generally accepted that a number of
different infectious antigens can cause GBS, including unspecified respiratory infections
(J.B. Winer, An Update in Guillain-Barré Syndrome, AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES, Jan. 2014,
at 1 (Ex. 23); Baxter et al., supra, at Ex. 40, pp. 1, 4). This includes both viral and
bacterial infections. (Ex. 22, p. 9; Winer, supra, at Ex. 23, p. 2; Baxter et al., supra, at
Ex. 40, p. 1.) Thus, there is little question that multiple antigens are implicated as
causes of GBS. Additionally, for at least one of these antigens, C. jejuni, there is
sufficient proof to conclude that molecular mimicry is the mechanism of causation
leading to GBS, albeit resulting primarily in the axonal subtype of GBS and involving a
molecular mimic not at issue here. (Ex. 22, p. 9; Winer, supra, at Ex. 23, p. 3.) At least
some formulations of the flu vaccine have been identified as a cause of GBS,
suggesting that antigenic triggers for GBS are not limited to active infections.
(Lawrence B. Schonberger et al., Guillain-Barre Syndrome Following Vaccination in the
National Influenza Immunization Program, United States, 1976-1977, 110 AM. J.
EPIDEMIOLOGY 105 (1979) (Ex. 29).) Petitioner’s experts opine that this understanding of
GBS provides some basic support for the opinion that the Prevnar 13 vaccine can
cause GBS. (Ex. 22, pp. 8-10; Ex. 56, pp. 5, 26.)

In some prior cases, this background information has partly informed the special
masters’ analysis of a petitioner’s theory of causation with respect to GBS. See, e.g.,
J.G. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 20-664V, 2023 WL 2752634, at *30 (Fed.
Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 13, 2023) (observing that “[t]he experts do not dispute the theory of
molecular mimicry, or that it is a sound and reliable theory generally as it relates to

16
GBS” and that “[m]olecular mimicry has been accepted as a sound and reliable theory
in many Vaccine Program cases dealing with demyelinating conditions, including GBS”);
Osso v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-575V, 2023 WL 5016473, at *21 (Fed.
Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 13, 2023) (molecular mimicry accepted as a “sound and reliable
theory”); Harris v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-944V, 2023 WL 2583393, at
*22 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 21, 2023) (finding that “the fact that GBS is well accepted
as an autoimmune condition with a wide variety of suspected antigenic triggers,
inclusive of antigens from both infection and vaccination, provides meaningful evidence
supporting petitioner’s burden of proof with respect to Althen prong one”). But see
Trollinger v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-473V, 2023 WL 2521912, at *30
(Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 17, 2023) (finding that “Dr. Steinman’s theory had a one-size-
fits-all quality, in which he strained to shoehorn the science behind the flu-GBS
association into the context of the pneumococcal vaccine” and further noting that, “[i]f
this were sufficient to establish that this particular vaccine ‘can cause’ GBS, it is hard to
imagine the theory not also applying to each and every one of the sixteen Program-
covered vaccines/vaccine antigenic components”), mot. for rev. denied, 167 Fed. Cl.
127 (2023). Although only the flu vaccine is presumed to be a cause of GBS in this
Program (42 C.F.R. § 100.3(a)), petitioners have been found entitled to compensation in
at least isolated instances for GBS caused by many other vaccines. This includes
vaccines that target both viruses and bacteria. See, e.g., Salmins v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., No. 11-140V, 2014 WL 1569478, at *14 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 31,
2014) (finding that HPV vaccine “can cause” GBS); Peugh v. Sec’y of Health & Human
Servs., No. 99-638V, 2007 WL 1531666, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 8, 2007)
(finding as part of an omnibus proceeding that hepatitis B vaccine can GBS); Whitener
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 06-0477V, 2009 WL 3007380, at *20 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. Sept. 2, 2009) (finding that meningococcal vaccine can cause GBS); Koller
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-439V, 2021 WL 5027947, at *7-20 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. Oct. 8, 2021) (finding that pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, Prevnar 13,
can cause GBS); Mohamad v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-1075V, 2022
WL 711604, at *9-18 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 27, 2022) (finding that Tdap vaccine can
cause GBS); J.G., 2023 WL 2752634, at *29-32 (finding that hepatitis A vaccine can
cause GBS). In fact, given the nature of the condition, molecular mimicry has been
accepted as a theory of causation for GBS even in the absence of any demonstration of
homology and cross-reaction. Salmins, 2014 WL 1569478, at *14.

Within that context, Dr. Steinman opines that the Prevnar 13 vaccine can be
considered among the causes of GBS, presenting several pieces of medical literature to
demonstrate that (1) the Prevnar 13 vaccine contains phosphoglycerol groups that are
necessary to the vaccine’s immunogenicity (Ex. 56, pp. 7-12 (citing Chang et al., supra,
at Ex. 69; Prevnar 13 Patent, supra, at Ex. 71; Bryson et al., supra, at Ex. 72)); (2) the
phosphate portion of the phospholipid molecule has immune reactivity in myelin tissue,
albeit demonstrated in the context of a different demyelinating condition (multiple
sclerosis) (Id. at 6 (citing Ho et al., supra, at Ex. 64)); (3) GBS patients develop anti-
phospholipid antibodies (Id. at 7 (citing Nakos et al., supra, at Ex. 68)), and (4) these
antibodies are cross-reactive with phospholipids present in myelin tissue (Id. at 6 (citing
Ho et al., supra, at Ex. 64)).

17
Dr. Steinman’s theory does not involve the antiganglioside antibodies that are
most commonly associated with GBS. However, literature filed in this case confirms
that this is not very significant. (Winer, supra, at Ex. 23, p. 2 (noting that, while the
association between antiganglioside antibodies and GBS is “strong” with respect to
MFS and AMAN, its “only rarely associated” with AIDP); Tony Ho & John Griffin,
Guillain-Barre Syndrome, 12 CURRENT OP. NEUROLOGY 389 (1999) (Ex. 25, p. 4) (“In
AIDP, the nature of the target remains unresolved. The possibility of a glycolipid
antigen remains, but no candidate glycolipid to date has had high degrees of sensitivity
or specificity.”).) We do not actually know the full scope of the antibodies that may be
implicated in the pathology of GBS, leaving little reason to doubt Dr. Steinman’s theory
on that basis. (See, e.g., Winer, supra, at Ex. 23, p. 3 (“Although antiganglioside
antibodies are the most commonly reported antibody in GBS there are other reports of
antibodies that might be pathogenic in a small number of patients.”); see also Gross,
2022 WL 9669651, at *36 (indicating that “the literature filed by the parties does not
support the notion that gangliosides are the only player in the game of molecular
mimicry”).) Afterall, the “S” in GBS stands for “syndrome” and “GBS variants are
generally believed to have a multitude of both clinical presentations and causes,” McGill
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-1485V, 2023 WL 3813524, at *27 n.16 (Fed.
Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 11, 2023), raising the question of whether a single causal theory
can explain every instance of GBS, post-vaccination or otherwise. (See Anil K. Jasti et
al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome: Causes, Immunopathogenic Mechanisms and Treatment,
12 EXPERT REV. CLINICAL IMMUNOLOGY 1175 (2016) (Ex. C, Tab 1, p. 1) (expert
commentary stating that “we are convinced that the syndrome results from a permissive
genetic background on which environmental factors, including infections, vaccination
and the influence of aging, lead to disease”).)

I have previously concluded that Dr. Steinman’s phosphoglycerol theory is sound
and reliable, and preponderantly supports a legally probable, though not scientifically
certain, theory of causation sufficient to satisfy petitioner’s burden of proof under Althen
prong one, based on the same medical literature cited in this case. Pierson v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 17-1136V, 2022 WL 322836, at *27-31 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
Mstr. Jan. 19, 2022); Bartoszek v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 17-1254V,
2024 WL 4263604, at *17-22 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 27, 2024); Datte v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 18-2V, 2025 WL 1565894, at *14-19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.
May 9, 2025); see also Cooper v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-1885V, 2024
WL 1522331, at *13-18 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 12, 2024). I again reach the same
conclusion based on the evidence of record in this case. Additionally, other special
masters have reached similar conclusions based on substantially similar underlying
evidence. Koller, 2021 WL 5027947, at *16-20 (Gowen); Maloney v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., No. 19-1713V, 2022 WL 1074087, at *30-31 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar.
17, 2022) (Dorsey); Gross, 2022 WL 9669651, at *35-36 (Dorsey); Sprenger v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 18-279V, 2023 WL 8543435, at *18-19 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
Mstr. Nov. 14, 2023) (Dorsey); Parker v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 20-411V,
2023 WL 9261248, at *20-22 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 20, 2023) (Dorsey); Anderson
v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-484V, 2024 WL 557052, at *30-31 (Fed. Cl.

18
Spec. Mstr. Jan. 17, 2024) (Dorsey); Simeneta v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No.
18-859V, 2024 WL 4881411, at *30-31 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 31, 2024) (Dorsey);
Brown v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-1074V, 2025 WL 2017882, at *25-27
(Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 23, 2025) (Dorsey); see also Tracy ex rel. R.S. v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 16-213V, 2022 WL 1125281, at *29-32 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
Mstr. Mar. 30, 2022) (Special Master Young accepting a similar theory in the context of
transverse myelitis).12

However, acceptance of this theory has not been unanimous among special
masters.13 Bielak v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-761V, 2023 WL 35509, at
*33-37 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 3, 2023) (Corcoran); Trollinger, 2023 WL 2521912, at
*26-30 (Corcoran); Gamboa-Avila v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-925V,
2023 WL 6536207, at *25-29 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 11, 2023) (Corcoran), mot. for
rev. denied, 170 Fed. Cl. 441 (2024), appeal filed, No. 24-1765 (Fed. Cir. May 1, 2024);
Jaye v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 20-672V, 2024 WL 3691413, at *14-17
(Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 18, 2024) (Corcoran); Morrison v. Sec’y of Health & Human
Servs., No. 18-386V, 2024 WL 3738934, at *19-23 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 18, 2024)
(Oler). These contrary decisions are not binding on me. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1358-
59; Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998).
Nonetheless, I have considered the points raised by these decisions. I simply reach a
different conclusion based on my overall weighing of the evidence on this record.14
Notably, even when reaching a different result, there has still been agreement that
record evidence comparable to what has been presented in this case at a minimum

12 Other special masters have also found that petitioners have preponderantly established that the

Prevnar 13 vaccine case cause GBS based on the other causal theory Dr. Steinman presented.
Diponziano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 17-1130V, 2025 WL 942744, at *18-25 (Fed. Cl.
Spec. Mstr. Feb. 11, 2025) (Gowen) (accepting petitioner’s causal theory based on molecular mimicry
between CRM197 and Contactin-1); Byrd v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 20-1476V, 2024 WL
4003061, at *21-26 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 8, 2024) (Gowen) (same); Anderson, 2024 WL 557052, at
*31-32 (Dorsey) (same); Sprenger, 2023 WL 8543435, at *19-20 (Dorsey) (same); Gross, 2022 WL
9669651, at *36-37 (Dorsey) (same); Maloney, 2022 WL 1074087, at *32 (Dorsey) (same).

13 Dr. Steinman’s alternative CRM197 and Contactin-1 theory has likewise also been rejected on some

occasions. Deshler, 2020 WL 4593162, at *19-21; Trollinger, 2023 WL 2521912, at *29; Gamboa-Avila,
2023 WL 6536207, at *27; Jaye, 2024 WL 3738934, at *14-17; Morrison, 2024 WL 3738934, at *21-23.
An additional case was resolved against the petitioner based on a different theory of causation.
McConnell v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 18-1051V, 2022 WL 4008238, at *7-9 (Fed. Cl. Spec.
Mstr. Aug. 19, 2022).

14 There have been some significant differences in the record evidence of the various decisions weighing

the theory Dr. Steinman presents in this case. For instance, while some prior cases denying
compensation for GBS based on this theory found significance in the distinction between B- and T-cell
responses, respondent’s expert in Cooper specifically disclaimed a hardline distinction between such
responses, testifying instead that “nothing is pure B cell/Tcell”. Compare Cooper, 2024 WL 1522331, at
*17, with Deshler, 2020 WL4593162, at *19-20, and Bielak, 2023 WL 35509, at *29-37. The Morrison
decision turned in part on acceptance of the pathological role of antiganglioside antibodies in GBS as
suggested by respondent’s expert, Dr. Whitton. 2024 WL 3738934, at *19-21. Yet, respondent’s expert
in Bartoszek, Dr. Kedl, asserted to the contrary that this is “tenuous, speculative and clinically unproven,”
and that “the vast majority of literature stands in sharp contrast to the assertion that there is any causal
relationship between ganglioside-specific antibodies and GBS.” 2024 WL 4263604, at *20 n.16.

19
does offer reliable support for the conclusion that phosphoglycerol is found
in the pneumococcal vaccine; that the immune system produces antibodies
in reaction to the relevant antigens containing the phosphoglycerol; and that
individuals with neuropathies (although some suffer from the
distinguishable disease MS) have been shown in small sample studies to
possess antibodies specific to myelin-containing phospholipids.

Trollinger, 2023 WL 2521912, at *28.

I have also considered the issues raised by respondent in this particular case,
but do not find that they cast sufficient doubt on Dr. Steinman’s theory such that they
would prevent petitioner from meeting her burden of proof under Althen prong one.

As a general matter, respondent argues that the fact that the wild S. pneumoniae
infection has not been shown to cause GBS counsels against a finding that the vaccine
can cause GBS. (ECF No. 75, pp. 21-22.) However, parallels to wild infection are
never strong evidence. E.g., Gaskin v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 21-835V,
2025 WL 786306, at *12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 11, 2025) (noting that the IOM
concludes that evidence of parallels to natural infection, though some evidence, “is
never sufficient” to either accept or reject a causal relationship). Moreover, the clarity of
this issue is reduced in this context, given that, as noted above, S. pneumoniae causes
respiratory infections and unspecified upper respiratory infections in turn are generally
accepted as a cause of GBS. Ultimately, a petitioner need not “demonstrate that a
vaccine’s infectious counterpart is a known-disease trigger.” Morrison, 2024 WL
3738934, at *18. Respondent also argues that the epidemiologic evidence weighs
against petitioner’s theory. (ECF No. 75, pp. 22-26.) The Federal Circuit has previously
stressed that a petitioner is not obligated to prove a case with epidemiology.
Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1325. Yet, “[n]othing in Althen or Capizzano requires the
Special Master to ignore probative epidemiological evidence that undermines
petitioner’s theory.” D’Tiole v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 726 F. App’x 809, 811
(Fed. Cir. 2018). I have considered all the epidemiology submitted in this case, and
although I give some weight to these studies highlighted by respondent, I do not find
that they cast significant doubt on the viability of Dr. Steinman’s theory.

Regarding the specifics of Dr. Steinman’s phosphoglycerol theory, respondent
argues that (1) there are no published studies examining the specific cross-reactivity he
has proposed between phosphoglycerol moieties (ECF No. 75, p. 28); (2) the theory is
inconsistent with literature proposing gangliosides as the target of autoimmune attack in
GBS (Id. at 29); (3) the presence of phospholipid antibodies in GBS patients does not
establish their relevance to the pathogenesis of the disease (Id.); and (4) Dr. Steinman
overstated the significance of tangentially related studies (Id. at 29-30). I have
considered these arguments, but they are all retreads of arguments I have addressed in
prior decisions. Pierson, 2022 WL 322836, at *27-31; Bartoszek, 2024 WL 4263604, at
*20-22; Datte, 2025 WL 1565894, at *18-19; Cooper, 2024 WL 1522331, at *16-18. All
of these arguments can be summed up as an objection to the fact that Dr. Steinman’s

20
theory is only circumstantially supported. However, as I have previously explained,
petitioners are permitted to rely on circumstantial evidence. Pierson, 2022 WL 322836,
at *29. In this particular case, respondent’s suggestion that these arguments poke any
significant hole in Dr. Steinman’s reasoning is especially unpersuasive given the cursory
nature of his own expert’s competing analyses.

Accordingly, petitioner has met his preponderant burden of proof under Althen
prong one, having presented a sound and reliable theory of causation demonstrating
that the Prevnar 13 vaccine can cause GBS.

b. Althen prong three

Under the third Althen prong, a petitioner must demonstrate a “proximate
temporal relationship” between the subject vaccination and the alleged injury. Althen,
418 F.3d at 1278. To do this, petitioner must provide “preponderant proof that the onset
of symptoms occurred within a timeframe for which, given the medical understanding of
the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation-in-fact.” de Bazan v.
Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008).

Respondent disputes that petitioner has met his burden of proof under Althen
prong three for two reasons. First, petitioner relied primarily on a study by Schonberger
et al., which examined the timeframe for development of GBS following an unrelated
vaccine. Respondent notes, in particular, that the Prevnar vaccine is conjugated and
contains an alum adjuvant. (ECF No. 75, p. 35.) Second, petitioner failed under Althen
prong one to set forth a theory from which a relevant timeframe could be drawn. (Id.)
These arguments are not persuasive.

While Dr. Steinman did rely primarily on the Schonberger study with respect to
timing, Dr. Souayah also explained on petitioner’s behalf that two-thirds of GBS patients
experienced symptoms of infection within the 6 weeks prior to onset of their GBS, which
is generally viewed as consistent with it having a post-infectious antibody-driven
pathogenesis. (Ex. 22, pp. 8-9.) This point is not in dispute. For example, Dr.
Schroeder similarly opined on respondent’s behalf that GBS “often occurs a few days or
weeks after respiratory or gastrointestinal microbial infections” and that, in the case of
C. jejuni, this has been shown to be the result of molecular mimicry leading to attack on
neuronal tissue. (Ex. C, pp. 6-7.) Further to this, Dr. Souayah observed that the ten-
day onset at issue in this case coincides with the expected time for the body’s immune
system to produce antibodies in response to vaccination. (Ex. 22, p. 13.)

Respondent is correct in noting that the Schonberger study involved a vaccine
different than the one at issue in this case; however, the findings of this study have
been utilized in assessing risk periods in subsequent studies that have looked at other
potential causes of GBS. (Roger Baxter et al., Lack of Association of Guillain-Barré
Syndrome with Vaccinations, 57 CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES 197 (2013) (Ex. 40, pp.
7-8) (referencing the 1976 swine flu vaccine study as helpful for selecting an
appropriate time interval); see also Penina Haber et al., Post-Licensure Surveillance of

21
13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) in Adults Aged ≥ 19 Years Old in
the United States, Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), June 1, 2012-
December 31, 2015, 34 VACCINE 6330 (2016) (Ex. 88, p. 5) (noting that the study results
“verified 11 GBS reports with symptoms onset within 42 days of [Prevnar 13]
vaccination” and referencing the Schonberger study in the bibliography).) Other special
masters have also referenced Schonberger et al. in evaluating whether petitioners, who
have alleged that they suffered GBS following Prevnar 13 vaccinations, have met their
burden of proof under the third Althen prong. See, e.g., Godfrey v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., No. 17-1419V, 2025 WL 896840, at *28 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 26,
2025) (Dorsey); Koller, 2021 WL 5027947, at *22-23 (Gowen). Moreover, respondent
has not established that the fact that the Prevnar vaccine is conjugated and adjuvanted
would be meaningful to assessing the timing of expected onset of GBS. Respondent’s
argument is limited to merely noting the existence of this distinction and he has not
pointed to any medical evidence suggesting these are meaningful distinctions vis-à-vis
the expected timing of onset. Moreover, the period of onset in this case –
approximately ten days post-vaccination – is not at the edge of the expected timeframe
cited by petitioner. Schonberger et al. found increased risk of onset of GBS primarily
within five weeks of vaccination with the 1976 swine flu vaccine. (Schonberger et al.,
supra, at Ex. 29.) Accordingly, a marginal difference in the expected timing would not
be significant.

Accordingly, petitioner has preponderantly shown under the third Althen prong
that onset of the decedent’s GBS occurred within a medically acceptable timeframe
from which vaccine causation can be inferred.

c. Althen prong two

The second Althen prong requires preponderant proof of a logical sequence of
cause and effect, which is usually supported by facts derived from petitioner’s medical
records.15 Althen, 418 F.3d 1278; Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375-77; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at
1326; Grant, 956 F.2d at 1148. While the opinions of treating physicians are often
favored, Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326, a petitioner may support a cause-in-fact claim
through presentation of either medical records or an expert medical opinion. See
§ 300aa-13(a).

15 Medical records are generally viewed as trustworthy evidence. Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528. These
records are generally contemporaneous to the medical events and “contain information supplied to or by
health professionals to facilitate diagnosis and treatment of medical conditions. With proper treatment
hanging in the balance, accuracy has an extra premium.” Id. However, medical records and/or
statements of a treating physician’s views do not per se bind the special master. § 300aa-13(b)(1)
(providing that “[a]ny such diagnosis, conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or summary shall not be
binding on the special master or court”); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 746
n.67 (2009) (reasoning that “nothing . . . mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is
sacrosanct—that is must be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted”).

22
Respondent stresses the Federal Circuit’s caution in Capizzano that the second
prong of Althen “is not without meaning.” (ECF No. 75, p. 34 (quoting 440 F.3d at 1326-
27).) He argues that

petitioner has presented no evidence that the manifestation of [the
decedent’s] GBS was somehow aberrant from a typical manifestation of
GBS absent vaccination. The evidence does not support that S.
pneumoniae or diphtheria is generally implicated in causing GBS, weighing
against the logic of concluding that pneumococcal vaccination acts as an
inciting prodrome event.

(Id.) However, contrary to what respondent argues, I have concluded that petitioner has
presented a sound and reliable theory explaining that the Prevnar vaccine can cause
GBS. Although respondent is correct that the second Althen prong “is not without
meaning,” the Federal Circuit also explained in Capizzano that the petitioner’s
satisfaction of Althen prongs one and three is probative with respect to Althen prong
two. Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326. Thus, it is significant to petitioner’s Athen prong two
showing that he has demonstrated that the Prevnar vaccine can cause GBS and that
the onset of symptoms in this case occurred within a timeframe from which causation
can be inferred.16

Moreover, as I have observed in prior cases, “[o]rdinary medical care offers little
beyond clinical history that would confirm the cause of GBS.” Datte, 2025 WL 1565894,
at *21 (alteration in original) (quoting Bartoszek, 2024 WL 4263604, at *23). “The
presence of preceding events is frequent, but they are not essential to the diagnosis.”
(Arthur K. Asbury & David R. Cornblath, Assessment of Current Diagnostic Criteria for
Guillain-Barré Syndrome, 27 ANNALS NEUROLOGY S21 (1990) (Ex. 24, p. 1).) Thus,
petitioner’s theory of causation simply posits that the vaccine at issue is among the
potential causes of GBS. Contrary to what respondent suggests, it does not anticipate
any aberrant manifestation of GBS. Nor has respondent otherwise substantiated that
any aberrant manifestation should be expected. For example, the Qualifications and
Aids to Interpretation accompanying the Vaccine Injury Table for flu-vaccine related
GBS are consistent with the ordinary diagnostic standards for GBS. 42 C.F.R. §
100.3(c)(15).

16 The Capizzano Court described the circumstances in which Althen prong two may be a stumbling block

as follows:

There may well be a circumstance where it is found that a vaccine can cause the injury at
issue and where the injury was temporally proximate to the vaccination, but it is illogical to
conclude that the injury was actually caused by the vaccine. A claimant could satisfy the
first and third prongs without satisfying the second prong when medical records and
medical opinions do not suggest that the vaccine caused the injury, or where the probability
of coincidence or another cause prevents the claimant from proving the vaccine caused
the injury by preponderant evidence.

440 F.3d at 1327.

23
In addition to the decedent’s GBS arising within a period during which a causal
inference is appropriate, it is also the case that no other cause is evident for the
decedent’s GBS. This is also probative with respect to Althen prong two. Walther v.
Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 485 F.3d 1146, 1151 (Fed. Cir. 2007) (noting that “a
petitioner is certainly permitted to use evidence eliminating other potential causes to
help carry the burden on causation and may find it necessary to do so when the other
evidence on causation is insufficient to make out a prima facie case”). Although Dr.
Schroeder opined on respondent’s behalf that the decedent’s medical work up did not
actually rule out other causes because an infectious illness may have gone unreported
or been present only subclinically (Ex. C, pp. 9-10), this is rank speculation. None of
respondent’s experts opined that any infectious trigger, or any other cause of the
decedent’s GBS, was more likely than not present.

Of course, the Althen court held that “neither a mere showing of a proximate
temporal relationship between vaccination and injury, nor a simplistic elimination of
other potential causes of the injury suffices, without more, to meet the burden of
showing actual causation.” 418 F.3d at 1278. Treating physician opinion on the cause
of the decedent’s GBS is not robust, consisting primarily of the fact that the decedent’s
prior pneumococcal vaccination was documented as a consideration as they assessed
the likelihood of the GBS diagnosis. (ECF No. 73, p. 26 (discussing Ex. 1, p. 868).)
However, petitioner stresses in his motion for a ruling on the written record that he has
demonstrated actual causation with affirmative expert medical opinion by both Drs.
Souayah and Steinman based on their review of the facts of this case, as well as their
experience and qualifications as neurologists and their familiarity with GBS in particular.
(Id. at 25-26.) Although respondent submitted competing medical opinions by Drs.
Donofrio and Schroeder, who are also qualified to opine regarding the causes of GBS,
their conclusion that the decedent’s GBS was merely coincidental to vaccination is
based exclusively on their disbelief as to general causation. However, as discussed
under Althen prong one, I found petitioner’s evidence more persuasive with respect to
general causation. Accordingly, their opinions are by extension also less persuasive
with respect to Althen prong two.

Petitioner also argues that he has established a logical sequence of cause and
effect whereby the decedent’s vaccination resulted in his GBS “leaving him unable to
walk or adequately care for himself, and severely depressed, ultimately resulting in his
suicide.” (ECF No. 73, p. 25.) That is, petitioner argues that the decedent’s death is a
part of the vaccine injury at issue because the decedent’s GBS was a but for cause of
his depression and suicide. (ECF No. 76, p. 4.) In response, respondent argues,
similar to his argument with respect to the underlying GBS, that “none of [the
decedent’s] treating physicians opined that [his] GBS caused him to become depressed
such that he eventually died by suicide.”17 (ECF No. 75, p. 34.) Based on my review of
17 Petitioner’s reply argues that respondent has waived this argument. (ECF No. 76, p. 4.) Petitioner’s
wavier argument stems from the October 20, 2021 status conference referenced above in the procedural
history. (Id. (quoting ECF No. 34, p. 2).) At that time, I instructed respondent to raise any legal or factual
defense to petitioner’s death claim “now” (meaning during the entitlement phase). (ECF No. 34, p. 2.)
Thereafter, respondent confirmed he would not develop the record with respect to the suicide. (ECF No.
46, p. 1.) However, I cannot agree that this constitutes a waiver of the argument actually raised.

24
the evidence, petitioner has preponderantly established that the decedent’s GBS was a
substantial contributing factor and but for cause of his death.

In his affidavit, petitioner asserts that his brother, the decedent, had no history of
depression. (Ex. 10.) This is corroborated insofar as the medical records that are
available do not suggest otherwise. Nor has respondent asserted that the decedent
had any history of depression or suicidal ideation.18 However, during the course of his
hospitalization for his GBS, the decedent’s physicians recorded that he at one point
refused treatment and stated that “he did not want to live anymore.”19 (Ex. 1, pp. 353-
354; Ex. 2, p. 13.) He was believed to be suffering “likely situational depression.” (Ex.
2, p. 13.) A follow up screening found the decedent did not have decision-making
capacity; however, a complete screening for his depressive symptoms could not be
completed because he was intubated at the time. (Ex. 1, pp. 354-56.) After the
decedent was extubated and regained his decision-making capacity, he continued to
report feeling “down,” but denied symptoms of depression, expressed a preference for
resuscitative efforts, and reported that he had no thoughts of harm to himself. (Id. at
290.) Nonetheless, he continued to be treated with antidepressant medication and after
being discharged from the hospital, his inpatient rehabilitation records later characterize
him as experiencing a “major depressive disorder” (Ex. 3, p. 43) and depression
remained among his discharge diagnoses. Although the decedent provided no first-
hand account of the reason for his suicide (Id. at 44; Ex. 16, p. 3), his brother averred
that, when he returned home, he

Although respondent declined to develop the record further on this point, he bases his argument on the
otherwise existing record. Therefore, while I would have been disinclined to entertain any request to
delay resolution of the issue or belatedly develop the record further for the reason raised by petitioner,
respondent’s argument as couched in his motion response is not precluded by the prior procedural
history.
18 Respondent does note that the decedent had a prior history of refusing medical treatment (ECF No. 75,

pp. 2-3 (citing Ex. 2, pp. 120-22, 125, 136)), though he stops short of arguing that this is relevant to
assessing the decedent's state of mind following onset of his GBS (Id. at 34-35). Specifically, the
decedent had two surgeries to remove a polyp in his throat in 2014 and 2015. (E.g., Ex. 2, p. 131.) After
the second surgery, he was told that the polyp, which was suspected to be a verruca carcinoma, was
growing back and radiation therapy was recommended. (Id.) The decedent refused this further
treatment, including as recently as an August 10, 2017 check up. (Id. at 121-22.) It was noted at that
time, however, that there had been no changes in his medical condition. (Id.) Verruca carcinoma is a
form of squamous cell cancer that is generally slow growing and for which metastasis is rare. See
Verrucous Carcinoma, WIKIPEDIA, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verrucous_carcinoma (last visited July 31,
2025). Accordingly, especially given the decedent’s age, it is not readily apparent that his decision to
forgo radiation is comparable to or predictive of his reaction to his GBS. The medical records cited by
respondent do not discuss the details of the decedent’s discussions with his physicians regarding the
risks and benefits of the proposed radiation therapy, simply noting that he was aware of the risks
associated with his decision. (Ex. 2, pp. 122.)

19 The medical records suggest that this may have been prompted at least in part by the decedent having

been incorrectly informed that he was HIV positive (this was ultimately a false positive). (Ex. 1, pp. 353-
54.) However, it is also notable that this occurred close to the nadir of his GBS and at a time when he
was intubated. Moreover, the treatment he was refusing was for the GBS, not HIV.

25
became very depressed because he was so weak and he did not think he
would ever recover. He told me that he didn’t think he would ever be well
enough to care for himself or to leave the house on his own to visit friends
or do any of the things he enjoyed before his GBS.

(Ex. 10, p. 3.)

Further to this, petitioner has provided a medical opinion by Dr. Souayah. Dr.
Souayah opines that GBS patients are at increased risk of major depressive disorders
which, in turn, are a risk factor for suicide. (Ex. 22, p. 20 (citing Bahnasy et al., supra, at
Ex. 48); see also Does Depression Increase the Risk for Suicide?, U.S. DEP’T OF HEALTH
& HUM. SERVS. (last updated Sept. 14, 2014) (Ex. 15).) In fact, the literature filed in this
case indicates that GBS patients in particular have small, but elevated, risk of suicide.
(Ex. 22, p. 20 (citing Erlangsen et al., supra, at Ex. 50).) Thus, Dr. Souayah opines that
this decedent’s suicide was causally related to his GBS, stressing that the decedent had
no prior history of depression and became depressed as a result of his GBS and
ongoing disability. (Id. at 20-21.) Erlangsen, et al., found that among neurologic
patients overall, increased incidences of suicide were highest between one to three
months after diagnosis as well as being correlated to cumulative hospital contacts.
(Erlangsen et al., supra, at Ex. 50, p. 4.) This decedent’s suicide is broadly consistent
with this pattern. His GBS diagnosis was confirmed after his EMG study on September
7, and his suicide occurred less than four months later, on December 29, and shortly
after release from a second hospitalization, which itself followed a prolong
hospitalization and inpatient rehabilitation. (Ex. 1, pp. 322-23; Ex. 16.)

All of this together tends to show that petitioner was not simply despondent
regarding his circumstances, but that his state of mind was likely a direct result of his
condition, inclusive of GBS and a related depressive disorder. Although Dr. Souayah is
not a psychiatrist or psychologist, his qualifications and experience as a clinical
neurologist permit him to offer an opinion as to the likely sequela of GBS. In any event,
Dr. Souayah’s medical opinion on this point is entirely unrebutted. None of
respondent’s experts offered any opinion contesting that the decedent’s death was
casually related to his GBS.

Nonetheless, after noting that none of the treating physicians specifically
concluded that the decedent suffered GBS-related depression leading to suicide,
respondent argues that “[i]nstead, the medical evidence reveals that less than two
weeks before his death, [the decedent] told his treating physician and a hospital social
worker about his concerns regarding his inability to care for himself and pay for post-
hospitalization GBS treatment.” (ECF No. 75, pp. 34-35 (citing Ex. 1, pp. 264-65, 432;
Ex. 19, p. 43).) To the extent respondent appears to be arguing that financial concerns
represent an alternative or mutually exclusive explanation for the decedent’s suicide,
this is not persuasive without more. The fact that the decedent had specific concrete
concerns with respect to the consequences of his injury does not undermine the
allegation that his state of mind was due to GBS-related depression. Indeed, in
addressing the decedent’s financial concerns, the social worker specifically remarked

26
on December 19, 2017, just ten days prior to his death, that he “seemed depressed.”
(Ex. 19, p. 43.)

Accordingly, petitioner has preponderantly demonstrated a logical sequence of
cause and effect under the second Althen prong whereby he has shown that the
decedent’s GBS was caused-in-fact by his August 10, 2017 Prevnar 13 vaccination and
that his vaccine-caused GBS was in turn a substantial contributing factor and a but for
cause of his subsequent death.20

d. Factor unrelated to vaccination

Once petitioner has satisfied his own burden of proof, the burden shifts to
respondent to demonstrate by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury was
caused by factors unrelated to vaccination. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B); Deribeaux v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., 717 F.3d 1363, 1367-69 (Fed. Cir. 2013). Respondent has not
presented any factor unrelated to vaccination as a potential cause of the decedent’s
GBS. (ECF Nos. 25, 75.)

20 Despite this conclusion in this case, the question of whether a death by suicide is cognizable under the

Vaccine Act as a “vaccine-related death” or a death “from the administration of the vaccine” is probably
still best viewed as an open or unresolved question. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-15(a)(2) and 11(c)(1)(D)(ii). I am
not aware of any prior case that has adjudicated this question within the Program, and, in this particular
case, respondent has not raised this question at any point, even after prompting. (ECF Nos. 25, 46, 75.)
Thus, apart from the factual issue raised by respondent, which I have resolved, the petitioner’s ability to
assert a claim based on this decedent’s death has not been contested as a legal matter. Therefore, I opt
not to delve into that potential issue sua sponte, allowing petitioner the benefit of the remaining ambiguity.
Accord Lowry v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 189 F.3d 1378, 1381 (Fed. Cir. 1999) (explaining the
Vaccine Program is intended to compensate petitioners “quickly” and “with ‘generosity’” to keep them out
of the traditional tort system (quoting H.R. REP. NO. 99-908 (1986))); Vaccine Rule 8(f) (arguments “must
be raised specifically in the record before the special master”). Liability for suicide resulting from tortious
injury is not treated uniformly in jurisdictions throughout the country. Compare, e.g., White v. Lawrence,
975 S.W.2d 525, 530 (Tenn. 1998) (finding that “leading risk factors for suicide include physical illness
and depression. The decedent suffered from both. The plaintiff presented medical proof that the
decedent’s suicide was reasonably foreseeable from a medical standpoint, and that the defendant’s
conduct was a substantial factor in bringing about the suicide.”), and Kivland v. Columbia Orthopaedic
Grp., LLP, 331 S.W.3d 299, 309 (Mo. 2011) (indicating that “[a] plaintiff can show that the defendant’s
negligence was the proximate cause of the decedent’s suicide by presenting evidence that the decedent’s
suicide was the ‘natural and probable consequence’ of the injury he suffered at the hands of the
defendant”), with Krieg v. Massey, 781 P.2d 277, 278 (Mont. 1989) (stating as the general rule that
“[n]egligence actions for the suicide of another will generally not lie since the act of suicide is considered
a deliberate intervening act“), and McPeake v. William T. Cannon, Esquire, P.C., 553 A.2d 439, 441 (Pa.
1989) (stating that “suicide constitutes an independent intervening act so extraordinary as not to have
been reasonably foreseeable by the original tortfeasor”). The so called “suicide rule” – that suicide
inherently breaks the causal chain – remains the traditional approach; however, the modern trend has
been to move away from brightline application of the traditional rule. See Alex B. Long, Abolishing the
Suicide Rule, 113 NW. U.L. REV. 767 (2019). Accordingly, absent direct appellate authority, there is no
readily available answer as to how this evolving tort background would apply in this specific program, a
remedial no-fault system with no private tortfeasor.

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VI. Conclusion

After weighing the evidence of record within the context of this Program, I find by
preponderant evidence that the decedent suffered GBS caused-in-fact by the Prevnar
13 vaccination he received on August 10, 2017, and further that his death was causally
related to his GBS. Accordingly, petitioner is entitled to compensation. A separate
damages order will be issued.

IT IS SO ORDERED.

s/Daniel T. Horner
Daniel T. Horner
Special Master

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Source: Frix Law Library, https://www.frixlaw.com/law-library/cases/11141963. Public record. Not legal advice.